5* ACC Tournament Game of the Month on Louisville - 

I really like the value here with the Cardinals as a short favorite against the Blue Devils. Louisville has a big advantage here in rest, as this is their first game of the tournament, while Duke had to play yesterday. I also think the Cardinals are the better team. I know the Blue Devils are playing better of late, but there's something to be said about the Cardinals 9-point win over Duke earlier this season. Note that Duke is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after a game where they covered the spread, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as a dog of 6.5 or less points and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games. Take Louisville! 

4* Conference Tourn Undervalued Underdog on Texas +

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a decently priced road dog against the Red Raiders. These two teams split their two regular season meetings, but Texas Tech is getting all the love here due to the fact that beat Texas on 67-57 at home on 3/1. I like the revenge angle here for the Longhorns and I feel like Texas is undervalued due to the fact that they have lost 7 straight. This team is a lot better than their record would suggest as they have had some tough luck in close games. As for the Red Raiders, it's not like they are lighting it up down the stretch. They are just 4-9 in their last 13. Texas Tech is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 0-6 in their last 6 road games after losing 3 of their last 4. Longhorns on the other hand are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when revenging a road loss. Take Texas!

5* NBA Southeast Game of the Month on Heat -

I really like the value here with the Heat as a short home favorite against division rival Charlotte. Miami continues to play like a completely different team that opened the season looking like one of the worst teams in the league. The books are slower to adjust on bad teams, which is evident by the fact that Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8. Most will assume they will be in line for a letdown off back-to-back wins over the Cavs, but I don't believe it. The Hornets are a team that are right on their heels in the east playoff race and Miami will be out for double-revenge having lost each of the two meetings this season. The Hornets have won 3 of their last 4, but it's more of the schedule than them turning things around. Charlotte is just 1-8 ATS this season after covering the spread in each of their last 2 games, while the Heat are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 off an upset win and 30-18 ATS in their last 48 when revenging a same season loss. Take Miami!

4* Oklahoma/TCU Big 12 Tourn ATS Annihilator on TCU

These two teams just closed out the regular season against each other with Oklahoma pulling out a 73-68 win at home. The Sooners covered as a short 3.5-point favorite and have now covered the number in 6 straight. TCU on the other hand has dropped 7 straight. Needless to say the public is going to be all over the Sooners here, but I think the value is with the Horned Frogs. I like the revenge angle and the fact that the Sooners are a miserable 3-12 SU away from home this season. Keep in mind that TCU beat Oklahoma at home. The Horned Frogs are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take TCU!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Thunder -

I like OKC to bounce back with a statement win at home against the Blazers tonight. The Thunder enter this contest off 3 straight losses and the last was an embarrassing 89-104 defeat at Dallas on Sunday. On top of that, Oklahoma City is going to be out for revenge here from a 109-114 loss at Portland back on 3/2. Needless to say the Thunder are going to bring their "A" game in this one. As for the Blazers, they have won their last two, but both were at home and this is a team that is just 10-22 on the road. Note that OKC is a dominant 23-8 at home.

Thunder are also 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 after losing 3 of their last 4 and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 revenging a same season loss. Blazers are 6-16 ATS as a road dog this season and 3-11 when listed as a road dog of 6 or less. Take Oklahoma City!

4* Pitt/Ga Tech ACC Tourn Total No Brainer on UNDER

These conference tournament games have a tendency to be much lower-scoring than people anticipate and a lot of that has to do with teams don't shoot as well away from home and the defensive intensity is turned up a notch. I look for both of these teams to struggle to score, which would be nothing new. Pittsburgh is only averaging 68.0 ppg away from home and the Yellow Jackets are even worse at 63.3 ppg on the road.

It's also worth noting that these two combined for a mere 113 points in their only regular season matchup. UNDER is 9-3 in Pitts last 12 as a favorite of 6.5 or less, 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 50 or less in their last game and 6-0 in their last 6 vs the ACC. UNDER is also 15-5-1 in Georgia Tech's last 21 as a dog of 6.5 or less. Take the UNDER!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rockets/Spurs UNDER

I'm taking the Spurs and Rockets to finish below the high total set here by the books. San Antonio can be a dominant defensive team when they want to and are capable of slowing down the Rockets. In fact, they have held Houston to 100 points or fewer in 9 straight meetings between the two clubs. That includes two games this year, which the two teams combined for 206 and 202 points respectively. I expect a similar outcome here.

UNDER is 12-3 in the Rockets last 15 road games after scoring 105 or more points in 4 straight games, 11-4 in their last 15 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 8-2 in the Spurs last 10 when playing on 1 day of rest, 10-1 in their last 11 off a win and 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Hawks +

I really like the value here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against the Warriors. Golden State has not been the same since the Durant injury and it's asking a lot for them to be laying this kind of number against what's going to be a very motivated Hawks team that's going to treat this as a statement game. Warriors are also playing on no rest after failing to cover yesterday at New York and are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 off a win where they failed to cover the spread. They are also 1-8 ATS this season in road games after failing to cover the number in 2 or more games. Take Atlanta!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Bucks -

I really like the value here with Milwaukee as a short road favorite against the 76ers. I know Philadelphia has been playing better of late, but this is not an ideal spot for the 76ers, who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and could have their eyes set on a lengthy 4-game west coast trip on deck. On top of that they could be without a couple key pieces in Okafor and Henderson, who are both questionable. Milwaukee isn't going to overlook the 76ers, as they have already lost twice at home to Philadelphia. I love that double-revenge angle and the Bucks are playing well coming into this one, as they just beat the Clippers and Raptors at home. Take Milwaukee!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Thunder -

I really like the value here with OKC at basically a pick'em on the road against the Mavericks. We are going to get a max effort here from Westbrook and the Thunder, as they come in looking to snap a 2-game skid. Dallas has been playing better of late and have covered 4 straight, but I believe it has them overvalued here in what I think is a horrible matchup with Ferrell having to go up against Westbrook. These two played in OKC back on 1/26 and the Thunder rolled 109-98 while shooting 51.4% from the field. Thunder are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games off 2 or more road losses. Take Oklahoma City!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northwestern +

I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a home dog against the Boilermakers. Northwestern comes in off a thrilling 67-65 home win over Michigan and that victory was a big relief for the Wildcats, as it all but punched their ticket to the big dance. I look for them to come out relaxed and motivated here to build off that win in their home finale. Purdue on the other hand is in a tough spot. Not a lot to play for here, as the Boilermakers already have the Big 10 regular season title locked up. I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats in this one. Take Northwestern!

5* Duke/UNC ACC Game of the Month on North Carolina -

I like the Tar Heels to not only get their revenge from that earlier loss at Duke, but to do so in blowout fashion. While Duke has been playing better of late, I still North Carolina is the much better team and playing at home is a massive edge here. The Tar Heels are a perfect 14-0 at home this season and have double-digit wins over the likes of Louisville, Virginia, Syracuse and FSU in conference play. I don't think it will be any different against the Blue Devils.

Duke is just 2-8 ATS this season when they come in having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, while the Tar Heels are 10-3 ATS at home, 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite in that range. Take North Carolina!

4* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer on Pistons -

This might seem like a big number for Detroit to be laying on the road given the Pistons are just 10-20 away from home and the 76ers just covered last night at home against the Knicks as a 1.5-point dog. That right there is where the value comes in on Detroit, as this is an ideal spot to fade Philadelphia playing on no rest against a Pistons team that has had the last 2 days off. Not to mention Detroit is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after an ugly 23 point loss at New Orleans last time out.

Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing SU record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take Detroit!

4* NCAAB Vegas No Doubt ATS Blowout on Utah -

The Utes come into this one off a 30-point (74-44) blowout win at home over California and I got no problem laying less than 10 points on Utah at home against the Cardinal. Stanford just lost 72-91 on Thursday at Colorado, dropping them to 4-10 on the road this season. It's not just the poor road record that has me like the Utes, it's the fact that Stanford is playing two road games at Colorado and then Utah in a span of just 3 days. That's as tough as it gets with the thin air players have to deal with.

Adding even more value here is that the Utes will be out for revenge from a 75-81 loss at Stanford back on 2/4. Utah is 31-14 ATS in their last 55 home games when playing on 1-day or less of rest, while the Cardinal are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after playing their previous game on the road and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference road loss. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Notre Dame +

I like the value here with the Fighting Irish as a decently sized dog against the Cardinal. You don't hear a lot about them on TV, but Notre Dame is currently sitting second by themselves in the ACC, just 1-game back of North Carolina for the top spot (can tie with win and UNC loss to Duke). I just feel the Irish aren't getting near the respect they deserve in this one. Notre Dame is a veteran bunch that knows how to go on the road and win in a hostile environment and they already beat Louisville earlier this season at home 77-70.

The Cardinals come into this one off a 81-88 loss at Wake Forest on Wednesday and that's worth noting, as Louisville is just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 after playing a game where both teams scored 80 points or more. Cardinals are also just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Irish are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Notre Dame!

4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Illinois -

The Fighting Illini have really turned it on down the stretch. Illinois comes in having won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. During this stretch they have impressive road wins over Northwestern, Iowa and Nebraska. I don't see the Illini letting their guard down here against Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are a mere 2-15 in Big Ten play and come into this one having lost 6 straight. I know it's their home finale, but I just don't think that's a big deal for a team as bad as Rutgers.

Last time out Illinois defeated Michigan State 73-70 at home and that's worth noting, as the Illini are a dominant 22-8 ATS in their last 30 off a conference win by 3 points or less. They are also 12-3 AT in their last 15 against a team with a losing record. Take Illinois!

5* NBA Southwest Game of the Month on Spurs -

I really like the Spurs to go into New Orleans and lay a beating on the Pelicans tonight. New Orleans really struggled in their first 3 games with Cousins and it's just going to take some time for them to adjust. It was pretty evident how much they are off when Cousins sat our their last game because of a suspension and the Pelicans rolled to a 109-86 win. I do think the duo of Davis and Cousins is going to work, but it's going to take weeks before they get comfortable with each other.

The Spurs aren't the team you want to face when you are trying to find your way, especially with San Antonio likely coming out with a chip on their shoulder after a poor showing at home in a 1-point win over the Pacers. The Spurs also know a thing or two about winning away from home, as they are 26-7 on the road this season, which includes a 20-12 ATS mark. Take San Antonio!

4* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers Error on Mavericks +

Dallas is showing some great value here as a home dog against the Grizzlies. The Mavericks will be out for revenge from one of their worst performances of the season. Dallas lost 64-80 at home to Memphis back on 11/18. That's definitely playing into this line, which is a mistake, as the Mavericks are a completely different team right now than they were when these two last met.

Dallas has been especially good on their home floor, where they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12. The Mavs are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the western conference, 7-2 ATS off a SU loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on Friday. Take Dallas!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on 76ers +

I like the value here with Philadelphia as a home dog against the Knicks. Even with Embiid out the 76ers have continued to play well and I like this spot for them. These two teams played in New York recently on 2/25 and the Knicks won on a last second shot 110-109. That's not a loss you forget about and I expect Philadelphia to get get their revenge. Keep in mind the 76ers are a dominant 22-8-1 ATS at home this season. As for the Knicks, this isn't a team that should be favored on the road against all but maybe the Nets, as they are just 10-20 away from home this season. Not to mention they only have 3 more wins than Philadelphia.

The 76ers are 22-7 ATS as a home dog and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a home dog of 6 points or less. They are also 15-5 ATS off a road loss and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games off a loss by 10 or more. Take Philadelphia!

4* Evansville/Illinois St MVC Early Bird Heavy Hitter on Illinois St -

The Redbirds swept the season series against the Purple Aces, winning by 12 at home in the first meeting and 10 on the road in the rematch. I believe the 3rd time around is going to be an even bigger blowout, as Illinois State has a big time edge in rest. The Redbirds last played on 2/25, while Evansville had to lace them up last night against Indiana State. Big favorites playing with rest against an opponent off a cover and playing on no rest have been a very profitable bet over the years. Evansville is just 1-6 ATS over the last 3 years when revenging a loss of 10 or more points and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 when playing with double-revenge like we have here. Take Illinois State!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on Utah -

I really like the value here with the Utes as a short home favorite against Cal. Utah is just below the top 3 teams (Arizona, UCLA & Oregon) in the Pac-12 and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve at home in this one. Utes are 9-7 in Pac-12 play with 5 of those losses coming on the road. The 2 home losses were a 1-point defeat to UCLA and 6-point loss to Oregon. Right now Utah is projected to make the NCAA Tournament, while Cal is. That only addes fuel to the fire here for the Utes and I expect them to deliver in a big way.

Utes are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 home games after losing 2 of their last 3, 36-19 in their last 55 home games after scoring 80 or more points in their last game and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 when revenging a loss of 3 points or less (lost 75-77 at Cal on 2/5). Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Colorado -

I like the value here with the Buffaloes as a relatively short home favorite against the Cardinal. Colorado comes in off a 81-86 home loss to Utah, but are still a very respectable 11-4 at home and I just don't see them dropping two straight on their home floor, especially with Stanford not being a great road team (4-9). This is also a bad spot for the Cardinal, who are coming off a crushing 73-75 home loss to Oregon. While that loss looks good on paper, it's really hard for a bad team like Stanford to bounce back from a defeat like that.

Cardinal are 7-21 ATS over the last 3 seasons in conference road games, 2-12 ATS in their last 14 off a conference loss and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games. On top of that, the Buffaloes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Colorado!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bulls +

I really like the value here with the Bulls as a pretty big dog at home against the Warriors. We know we are going to get Chicago's best effort here in a nationally televised game against the team everyone wants to beat in Golden State. As for the Warriors, they are going to have to adjust to life without Durant for the rest of the regular season and I believe it's a bigger loss than people thing, as they just don't have the depth they did a year ago. Durant was also playing at a ridiculous level. Not to mention Curry has really been struggling of late.

The Bulls are just 30-30 overall, but this team has found a way to play their best against the better teams. Chicago also will be out for revenge from a 21 point loss at Golden State less than a month ago. Bulls are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games off a loss by 10 or more and the Warriors are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Take Chicago!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on TCU -

I really like the value here with the Horned Frogs laying a short number at home against the Wildcats. Both of these teams have struggled of late, but for TCU it's been more about a brutal schedule than anything. They have lost 5 straight but the 5 games were @ Baylor, Oklahoma St, @ ISU, @ Kansas and West Virginia. Without question the 5 best teams in the Big 12. As for the Wildcats, they just have lost all confidence and are a mere 2-8 in their last 10.

TCU already went on the road and beat K-State and I give the Horned Frogs a big advantage here with this being their home finale and how desperate they are going to be after losing their last 5 games. Note that the Wildcats are a mere 2-9 ATS when revenging a same season loss over the last 2 years. Take TCU!

4* NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Pelicans -

I really like the value here with New Orleans as a short home favorite against the Pistons. The Pelicans have lost each of their first 3 games since acquiring Cousins from the Kings and it has them undervalued here. The thing is, I wasn't the least bit surprised to see New Orleans struggle after the trade. It was going to take some time for Davis and Cousins to not only learn how to play together, but make everyone else better. I still think that's a work in progress, but I love this spot at home against a Pistons team that struggles on the road and is playing on no rest after a hard fought win last night at home against the Blazers.

Pistons are a mere 10-22 ATS in their last 32 road games after they scored the spread and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 with a line of +3 to -3. Take New Orleans!

4* NBA Oddsmakers Line Mistake on Bucks -

I really like the value here with the Bucks laying a short number at home against the Nuggets. Milwaukee comes in off a hard fought 95-102 loss at Cleveland on Monday and are going to be 100% locked in on getting a win at home tonight. I like their chances against a Nuggets team that figures to be playing on fumes. Denver is playing on no rest after playing in Chicago last night and this is also the Nuggets 3rd game in 4 nights and 5th in the last 7 days.

Not to mention the Nuggets aren't a good road team. Denver is 1-9 ATS in their last 10  off a road win and 3-14 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. Bucks on the other hand are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games off a loss to a division rival. Take Milwaukee!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Celtics +

I really like the value here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home against the Cavaliers. I think we saw just how important this game is to the Celtics with their lackluster performance in Monday's 98-114 home loss to the Hawks. Boston was clearly looking ahead to this matchup and I expect the Celtics and their fans to treat this like a playoff game. Cleveland won't lie down, but I just think they are going to struggle to match the intensity of Boston and let's not forget they are still missing a key piece to the puzzle in Kevin Love.

Cavs are a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Cleveland is also a miserable 0-8 ATS this season when playing a road game after playing their previous 2 games at home. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Tennessee -

LSU is a complete mess right now and not even their regular season home finale is going to snap them out of this slump. The Tigers come in having lost 15 straight and are just 5-10 ATS during this stretch. Note that all 5 of those games where they covered were on the road. LSU is a mere 3-11 ATS at home this season, as the books just aren't setting the lines high enough. I believe that's once again the case here, as Tennessee is more than capable of turning this into a blowout.

The Vols are just 1-4 in their last 5, but the losses have come against Georgia, Kentucky, Vanderbilt and South Carolina, 4 of the better teams in the SEC at the moment. The lone game against a bottom feeder like LSU was a home game against Missouri, which they won by 20. It's also worth noting that Tennessee has played well on the road this season. The Vols are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games off 2 or more losses and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off a conference loss by 20 or more points. Take Tennessee!

4* NCAAB Late Night Heavy Hitter on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones at basically a pick'em at home against the Cowboys. Iowa State has quietly been playing their best basketball of the season and come into this game in sole possession of 2nd place in the Big 12, yet are only ranked No. 24 in the country. Hilton will be electric with ISU playing their final home game of the season and even more so given how well Oklahoma State has been playing. While the Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 they lost by 10 at home to Iowa State earlier this season and that was with them shooting 53% from the field.

Cyclones come in off a big win and cover against Baylor on Saturday and are a dominant 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games off a home win against a conference opponent. It's also worth noting that OK State is just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 as a road dog of 3 or less, while ISU is 27-4 as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take Iowa State!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Providence -

The fact that the Friars lost 63-64 at DePaul earlier this season will have some questioning why Providence is such a big favorite here, but I think it's more than warranted. The Friars are playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they come in having won 4 straight over the likes of Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Marquette. Providence isn't going to over look DePaul given the first meeting and I expect them to get their revenge in blowout fashion.

The Friars are a 14-3 at home this season, compared to 4-8 on the road, so the road loss to DePaul isn't a huge shocker. On the flip side of this, DePaul is 1-11 on the road, where they are getting outscored by nearly 14.5 ppg. Coming off a crushing 79-82 home loss to Seton Hall, I just don't see them being all that interested in a meaningless game. DePaul is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games off a home game and 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games off a loss. Friars are 9-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Take Providence!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pistons -

I really like the value here with Detroit laying a relatively short number at home against the Blazers. Portland (10-21) is not a good road team and the Pistons are much better at home (18-12). This is also the final game of a 3-game trip for the Blazers, who just lost in Toronto to a Raptors team without one of their best players in Kyle Lowry.

Detroit has been a bit of a disappointment this season, but have shown signs of coming to life of late. They are 7-4 in the month of February with two of those losses on the road and the other two at home against elite teams in the Spurs and Celtics. Pistons are 33-18 ATS in their last 51 as a home favorite and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Detroit!

5* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Kings +

Most just assume the Kings were throwing in the towel after they traded away Cousins, but what they forget is that for as good as Cousins was, he had almost the same negative effect on the team with his attitude, which is why Sacramento continued to be one of the worst teams in the league. I think the Kings are going to surprise some people down the stretch and let's not forget they won their first game at home without Cousins 116-100 over the Nuggets as a 6.5-point dog.

The Timberwolves are in a horrible spot here, as they get read to play their 3rd game in 4 nights after an extremely up-tempo game at Houston that saw 272 combined points in a 130-142 defeat. I just don't see Minnesota being locked in for this one and that makes the Kings great value here as a decently priced home dog vs a T-Wolves squad that is 8-18 on the road this season.

Minnesota is 14-40 ATS in their last 56 after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game and 13-26 ATS in their last 39 off a road loss by 10 or more. Kings are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 4-1-1 ATS last 6 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Heat/Mavs UNDER

The fact that offenses are scoring at a ridiculous pace this season has forced oddsmakers to adjust the totals big time and I believe it creates some decent value when you get two teams like the Mavericks and Heat that aren't all that great offensively and still bring it on the defensive end of the floor. Dallas has especially been grinding games out of late. The Mavs have failed to eclipse 100 points in 4 straight and allowed 100 or less in their last 3.

Miami's offense has been playing well during their huge 2nd half surge, but I don't see them putting up a big number here on the road against this Mavs team. Not only will the Heat not being scoring as much as normal, they should be able to lockdown defensively on Dallas, who is scoring just 96.2 ppg over their last 5. Take the UNDER!

4* West Virginia/Baylor ATS No Brainer on West Virginia +

I played against Baylor successfully on Saturday at ISU and will fade them once again, as they get ready to host West Virginia. The Mountaineers tormented the Bears at home in a 89-69 win back on 1/3. The win snapped Baylor's perfect 15-0 start to the season, which had just got them to No. 1 in the polls. West Virginia's press gave the Bears a lot of problems, as Baylor turned it over 29 times. Sure they shouldn't turn it over that much at home, but they could be without starting point guard Manu Lecomte, who is questionable after leaving their last game against ISU early. Even if he does play, he's not going to be at full strength and if he doesn't the West Virginia press could cause chaos once again.

The Mountaineers are also playing the much better basketball right now. They are 8-2 in their last 10 and one of those losses was that unthinkable 14-point collapse at Kansas in the final minutes. Baylor on the other hand is just 3-5 in their last 8. Bears are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on Monday. Take West Virginia!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Notre Dame -

I look for the Fighting Irish to lay a beating on the Yellow Jackets at home tonight. Notre Dame enters riding a 4-game winning streak and are well rested having not played since last Saturday (2/18). The Irish aren't going to over look Georgia Tech here, as they got BC on deck and have revenge on their mind from a 60-62 loss at Georgia Tech back on 1/28. Yellow Jackets have exceeded expectations, but they have struggled on the road, especially against the top tier teams of the ACC. I expect that trend to continue.

Irish are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a winning streak of 3 or more games, 15-5 ATS in their lat 20 home games when playing against a marginal winning team and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Notre Dame!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Lakers +

I like the value here with the Lakers as a double-digit home dog against the Spurs. LA is a young team that struggles with consistency, but have been a lot more competitive at home, where they are actually outscoring opponents on the season. I just feel the Lakers are getting zero respect here against the Spurs, who no one wants to go against when facing a team like LA. I think it's created great value in what I think could be a bit of a flat spot for San Antonio, as they finally finish up their lengthy rodeo road trip.

Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after covering the spread in their last game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Los Angeles!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Xavier +

I really like the value here with the Musketeers as a home dog against the Bulldogs. Xavier comes in having lost 4 straight, which has them undervalued. It started with a home loss to Villanova, which is nothing to be ashamed about and then they lost 3 straight on the road. What a lot will overlook is they played a number of those with Bluiett. He returned in their last game at Seton Hall and it was their best showing in weeks. I look for them to snap out of their funk at home against Butler, who is poised for a bit of a letdown here after that huge road upset over Villanova.

Musketeers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 as a home underdog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after playing 3 straight on the road. Butler is only 1-4 ATS last 5 as a favorite and 0-4 ATS last 4 off a cover. Take Xavier!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Hawks/Magic OVER

I'm expecting a high-scoring affair tonight between the Hawks and Magic. Orlando traded away one of their best defensive players in Ibaka and were not good defensively to start with. The Magic come in having allowed 107 or more points in 7 straight games. They allowed the Blazers to shoot 50.6% from the field in their first game back from the break.

Atlanta only managed 90 points in their first game back last night at home against the Heat, but that came without starting point guard Dennis Schroder, who was serving a suspension. Atlanta has scored at least 110 points in each of the last 4 meetings in the series. Hawks haven't been playing great defense of late and I think Orlando does enough at home to push this well over the mark. Take the OVER!

5* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas +

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a decently priced home dog against the Jayhawks. Texas was competitive in a 12-point loss at KU earlier this season and are going to be 100% locked in for revenge against the best the Big 12 has to offer. Last time out the Jayhawks secured yet another Big 12 title and that's a big relief for the players, as no one wants to be the ones who are responsible for stopping the streak. I believe that has Kansas primed for a letdown here on the road against a team they know they are better than.

Kansas covered last time out and that's a good thing, as they are just 1-8 ATS this season after covering the number in their last game. Longhorns on the other hand are 20-4 ATS in their last 24 home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when revenging a road loss. Take Texas!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Iowa State -

The general public is going to look at this line and want to jump all over No. 9 Baylor as a dog against the Cyclones, but my money is on Iowa State to Knock off the Bears at home. The Cyclones should have beat Baylor earlier this season on the road, but ended up losing 63-65. ISU enters this meeting playing their best basketball of the season. They have won 4 straight and 5 of 6 overall, which includes that road win over Kansas. Baylor is getting a lot of love, but are just 3-3 in their last 6 games and I'm just not buying them being a Top 10 team.

Iowa State has a huge homecourt edge which is why they are favored here. Cyclones are 32-16 ATS in their last 48 home games off a conference win and a ridiculous 26-4 ATS in their last 30 home games as a favorite of 3 or less. Baylor on the other hand is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after playing 3 straight games as a favorite. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Suns/Bulls OVER

I'm not expecting a lot of defense to be on display when the Bulls host he Suns tonight. Chicago just traded away one of their better defensive players in Taj Gibson. That move also means the pulls are going to play more of a smaller lineup with a stretch 4 like Mirotic. That should help generate more offense, but will hurt the Bulls defensively and Phoenix is a team that can put the ball in the basket. The Suns come in averaging 106.9 ppg and don't have hardly any dropoff on the road (106.2 ppg).

Phoenix doesn't play defense, as they come in allowing 113.3 ppg on the road. They also just traded away one of their best defensive players in P.J. Tucker. The Suns final 4 games before the break all had a combined score of at least 212 points. That included a 115-97 win over the Bulls at home. That's the only time Phoenix has held an opponent under 100 points in their last 20 games. OVER is 12-4 in the Suns 16 games this season against teams that allow opponents to shoot 46 or better from the field. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Mavs/Wolves OVER

The books have set the bar too low for tonight's total between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. Minnesota is a team that likes to push the pace offensively and while their head coach preaches defense, they don't play a ton of it. The Timberwolves scored 106 or more points in 6 straight before the break and have allowed 100+ points in 14 of their last 16 games. Dallas isn't known for being an offensive team, but I believe they are trending in that direction with the move to release Deron Williams and give the point guard job to Yogi Ferrell.

I'm not expecting this to be in the 220's but I feel this number is way to low given that the average combined score in Minnesota home games is 210.7. OvER is 5-1 in the Mavs last 6 against the west and 20-7 in their last 27 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. OVER is also 5-0 in the T-Wolves last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record and 6-1 in their last 7 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Non Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +

I really like the value here with Indiana at basically a pick'em at home against the Grizzlies. The Pacers limped into the All-Star break with a 6-game losing streak and then had their best player rumored in multiple trades prior to yesterday's trade deadline. Some might view this as a negative, but I believe it's going to unite this team and have them playing inspired the rest of the way.

The biggest thing here is the Pacers just aren't getting enough respect for playing at home, where they are 20-10 SU on the season. Memphis does come in with a 16-13 road record, but they are just 11-22 ATS in their last 33 road games against a team with a wining record and a mere 3-16 ATS in road games against a marginal winning team like the Pacers with a win percentage between 51% to 60%. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Rockets -

I believe the Davis/Cousins combination is going to eventually turn the Pelicans into a serious threat in the West. The key word in that phrase is "eventually." It's easy to think the two superstars will instantly mesh, but that's just not how it works. You have to have chemistry to be successful in the NBA and it will especially take some time for these two big men to figure out how to compliment each other.

Not only does a trade like this cause problems on offense, but it really has a negative impact on their ability to communicate and lockdown defensively. That's the biggest problem I see for New Orleans in this game. The Rockets feature one of the most dynamic offenses in the game and know they can take advantage of the Pelicans in this one. Take Houston!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Blazers/Magic OVER

I really like the value we are getting here on the total in tonight's matchup between the Blazers and Magic. I have this one easily eclipsing the 220 mark and potentially getting to 230. I just don't see either of these teams being all that motivated to play defense coming out of the break, especially given how disappointing a season it's been for both of these teams.

On top of that, defense has been a major problem for both teams, as each ranks in the bottom 8 in defensive efficiency. Not to mention both teams have had some big moving pieces in trades. OVER is 11-2 in the Magic's last 13 home games against a team from the Northwest division and 11-3 in the Blazers last 14 road games after going under the total in their previous game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Memphis +

I really like the value here with the Tigers as a massive road dog against the Bearcats. Cincinnati is clearly the better team, but I just feel the books have drastically inflated this line in their favor. These two teams play a very similar style, which more times than not is going to lead to a competitive game. Memphis is certainly going to bring everything they have to this one, as they desperately need a win after losing their last 2.

Cincinnati's defense has been great of late, but the Bearcats are 0-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons after allowing 65 points or less in 4 straight games. On the flip side of this, the Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons when coming off 2 straight conference losses. Take Memphis!

5* American Athletic Game of the Month on Connecticut +

I really like the value here with the Huskies as a good sized dog against the Cougars. UConn comes in playing the best basketball of the season, as they have won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. That includes outright wins at UCF and Temple. Houston has also been playing well but come in off a crushing 66-76 home loss to SMU, which will be tough to bounce back from. The Huskies also will be coming out with a chip on their shoulder, as the Cougars embarrassed them 62-46 on their home floor earlier this season. Note that came with UConn missing it's best player in Jalen Adams, who is averaging a team-high 14.9 ppg and 6.6 apg.

Huskies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games off an upset win as an underdog and 34-14 ATS in their last 48 after a win by 3 points or less. Take Connecticut!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Providence/Creighton OVER

These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total set by the books tonight. These played earlier this season at Providence and combined for 142 with the Friars shooting just 39% from the field and 16% from long-distance. Creighton likes to push the pace and will be able to do so at home, where they are averaging 85.5 ppg. The Bluejays allow 73.2 ppg on the road and Providence comes in having scored 70+ in 3 straight.

OVER is 10-2 in the Friars last 12 games off 2 or more home wins and 21-7 in their last 28 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. OVER is also 20-9 in Creighton's last 29 games against teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers/game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis +

I really like the value here with the Billikens as a massive underdog against the well respected Rams. VCU comes in having won 8 straight and are simply way overvalued in this spot, as they are going to have a hard time getting up for this one with a couple of huge road games on deck against Rhode Island and Dayton, which will likely decide if they win the A-10 regular season title.

St Louis is a mere 4-10 in conference play, but are a strong 9-5 ATS. VCU is 0-3 ATS this season when listed as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points and 1-5 ATS this year after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games. Billikens are 6-0 ATS off a road loss and a perfect 3-0 ATS off back-to-back conferences losses by double-digits. Take St. Louis!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Georgia Tech -

I like the value here with the Yellow Jackets at home against the Wolfpack. NC State is a program that's a mess right now. Their head coach has been fired but is finishing up the season with the team. NC State has lost 7 straight and really haven't been competitive. In their last 4 games they have lost by 9 at home to Notre Dame, 24 at home to UNC, 30 at Wake Forest and 24 at Florida State. Georgia Tech beat the Wolfpack 86-76 on the road back on 1/15 when NC State hadn't thrown in the towel. I could see NC State getting up for Saturday's home finale against Virginia, but not here on the road in a meaningless game.

The Wolfpack are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 as an underdog, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after playing 2 straight games as an underdog. Take Georgia Tech!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Shocker on Clemson +

This line is going to make the public want to take the Hokies at home as a short favorite, as Virginia Tech is 13-1 at home this season and have covered 4 straight. Oddsmakers aren't stupid and by setting the line where they did, they are basically telling us that Clemson is the bet here. I completely agree.

The Tigers are so much better than their 4-10 record in the ACC would lead you to believe and have been playing well without the results of late. They are 1-3 in their last 4 with all 3 losses by 6 points or less. Clemson also has revenge on their mind here from a 81-82 loss at home to Va Tech on 1/22. Take Clemson!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on South Carolina +

I really like the value here with the Gamecocks catching near double-digits on the road against the Gators. South Carolina already beat Florida at home 57-53 this season. I'm not buying that the change in venue is going to see that kind of a swing to where the Gators blow this thing wide open. I believe this line is simply inflated on Florida, who comes in having won 8 straight and are 6-2 ATS during this stretch. The Gamecocks on the other hand have lost 3 of 4 and failed to cover the spread in 5 straight. Another big factor here against the Gators is they have a huge game on deck at Kentucky this Saturday.

These Tuesday night games get a lot of attention and the Gators have struggled in this spot at home, going just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 at home on Tuesday night. Florida is also 0-11 ATS in their last 11 after a combined score of 115 or less in their last game and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 when revenging a same season loss. Take South Carolina!

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider Game of the Week on Virginia -

I like the Cavaliers to put away the Hurricanes in blowout fashion tonight. Virginia is a pissed off bunch after a rare 3-game losing streak. It started with them blowing a big lead on the road against in-state rival Virginia Tech. Then they had to play two elite teams in Duke and North Carolina in a span of just 4 days. The most recent was an embarrassing 24-point loss on the road to the Tar Heels.

Virginia is 3-1 ATS this season off a road loss and 8-3 ATS in this same spot over the last 3 years. Miami comes in having really played well at home in their last two games, but are just 1-3 ATS this season off back-to-back home wins, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 65 or less points in 2 straight games and 0-4 when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take Virginia!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Syracuse/Georgia Tech UNDER

I think the books have set the total too high here. The UNDER has gone 8-3 in Georgia Tech home games and is 5-1 in their 6 conference home games. It's because the style of play that the Yellow Jackets play. They are a limited offensive team, so they have to slow the pace down and rely on their defense to be competitive. They are doing just that, scoring only 67.8 ppg and allowing just 61.1 ppg at home. 

UNDER is 14-3 in the Yellow Jackets last 17 home games when playing their 2nd game in a week, 15-4 in their last 19 home games off a conference loss and 11-2 in their last 13 home games as an underdog and 7-0 in their last 7 as a home dog of 6 points or less. Take the UNDER! 

5* ACC Game of the Month on Virginia/North Carolina OVER

I think the books have set the total way too low for tonight's big ACC showdown between North Carolina and Virginia. The Cavaliers are known for being a dominant defensive team, but they don't often go up against an offensive like the Tar Heels. North Carolina is averaging 90.6 ppg at home. Virginia is more than capable of keeping pace and their defense isn't near as strong on the road as it is at home.

OVER is 16-4 in the Tar Heels last 20 home games with a total of 130 to 139.5, 14-5 in their last 19 after scoring75 or more in 4 straight games and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 against elite defensive teams that are allowing 57 or less points/game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Iowa -

I like the value we are getting here with the Hawkeyes as a short home favorite against the Illini. Iowa will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Illinois. The Hawkeyes are a completely different team at home compared to on the road. That's evident by their 5-1 record in the Big 10 at home, compared to just 1-6 record on the road (only win at Rutgers). It's a similar story for the Fighting Illini, who are just 1-5 on the road in Big 10 play with the only win coming at Northwestern in a game the Wildcats were minus one of their best players.

Illinois is 10-20 ATS in their last 30 as an underdog and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 off an upset loss as a home favorite in conference play. Illini are also just 7-17 ATS in their last 24 against a team with winning record at least 15 games into the season. Take Iowa!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +

I really like the value here with the Demon Deacons as a double-digit dog against the Blue Devils. Duke is playing better of late, but are in a prime letdown spot here off that huge win at Virginia earlier in the week. Not to mention the Blue Devils have three of their top players dealing with injuries. While they won't prevent them from playing, I think it takes away from the mental focus for Duke here.

It's a very similar spot to last week. Duke was off that big win over North Carolina and barely held on for a 64-62 win at home against Clemson as a 11-point favorite. Wake Forest only lost by 2-points at home to the Blue Devils. I don't expect them to pull off the upset, but I think this one goes down to the wire. Duke is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after covering the spread and the Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. Take Wake Forest!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Valparaiso

I really like the value here with the Crusaders at basically a pick'em on the road against the Golden Grizzlies. This is a big revenge spot for Valparaiso, who were upset at home by Oakland 78-66 back in early January. Since that loss the Crusaders have gone 10-1 and are sitting at 11-2 in the Horizon. With a win here they can pretty much lock up the regular season title (Oakland is 2nd at 9-4).

Valparaiso came out flat in that first meeting with Oakland. They shot just 36.2% from the field, while allowing the Grizzlies to connect on 47% of their attempts. That's uncharacteristic for the Crusaders on both sides of the ball. Valpo is shooting 46% from the field in Horizon play, while limiting conference opponents to just 65 ppg on 38.1% shooting.

It's also worth noting that this is not the same Oakland team as the first meeting. The Grizzlies are without a key contributor in Stevie Clark. He was a big factor against the Crusaders, scoring 16 points with a team-high 5 assists. I believe his loss isn't getting enough respect here, due to Oakland coming in having won 4 straight, but note that all 4 of those wins came against the bottom 4 team in the conference. Take Valparaiso!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Connecticut -

I really like the Huskies to take care of business at home against the Tigers and win here comfortably. Connecticut might be just 12-12 overall, but they aren't playing like it right now. The Huskies have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss coming on the road against an elite Cincinnati team. UConn has won 5 straight homes in conference play and will take on a Memphis squad that has been getting way to much respect of late, which is why they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6. Last time the Tigers played on the road they were embarrassed 57-72 at UCF, which is the same team that UConn just beat on the road in their last game.

Memphis is a mere 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games when listed as an underdog and just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Huskies are 33-13 ATS in their last 46 after a win by 3 points or less, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 25 or less points in the 1st half of their last game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite of 6.5 or less. Take UConn!

5* NCAAB West Coast Game of the Month on San Francisco +

Betting against Gonzaga this season hasn't been a profitable move, but I just think this spot has created too much value on San Francisco to pass up. The Dons have a winning record in the WCC and are one of the few teams to keep it respectable against Gonzaga this season, losing by just 15 points in the first meeting. Note that was with Gonzaga shooting a ridiculous 61% from the field.

The even bigger key here is that this is an ideal situation to fade the Bulldogs. Gonzaga just played their biggest game in quite some time last Saturday at St. Mary's, which most were calling their last chance at having their perfect record broken. The Bulldogs prevailed 74-64 and it's only human nature for them to have a letdown here. On the flip side of this, San Francisco is going to treat this like it's their Super Bowl. Dons did lose at home last time out and that's worth noting as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games off a home conference loss and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a home loss by 10 or more points. Take San Francisco!

4* NBA Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Bulls

I'm expecting an all out effort here from Chicago at home in a nationally televised game going into to the All-Star break. The Bulls have had their struggles, but they have shown the ability to step up their game at home against top level teams. That includes a 105-99 win over Boston at home earlier this season. As for the Celtics, this isn't a great spot. Boston just played an up-tempo game last night at home against the 76ers, which was their first home game after a 4-game west coast trip and now they are right back on the road. With the Celtics comfortably sitting in 2nd in the east, I just don't see them matching the intensity of Chicago in this one.

Boston is a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 following a win and 1-13 ATS in their last 14 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Chicago!

4* NCAAB Situational Underdog No Brainer on Tulane +

This is all about the situation and going against SMU in a major flat spot. The Mustangs knocked off Cincinnati at home on Saturday in the biggest game of the season. The Bearcats had already knocked off SMU earlier this season and were undefeated in AAC play.Now the Mustangs and Cincinnati are sitting with just 1 loss each.

It's only human nature to suffer a letdown after a game like that, especially when the next opponent has lost 8 straight and are just 1-11 in conference play. I just don't see SMU being all the interested here, as they know all they have to do is show up and they win this one. Green Wave are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 after a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a road underdog. Take Tulane!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Indiana +

I really like the value here with the Hoosiers as a decent priced dog against the Gophers. It's been an ugly stretch here for Indiana, which is just 1-5 in their last 6. Injuries have played a big part of this, but the Hoosiers just recently got back leading scorer James Blakmon and I look for him to go off here against a Gophers defense that is allowing 74.8 ppg over their last 5.

Minnesota comes in having won 3 straight, but it's come against the likes of Illinois, Iowa and Rutgers. Prior to that the Gophers had lost 5 straight. I look for Indiana to be the more desperate team here and fully expect them to win outright, but I'll gladly take the points. Hoosiers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Heat/Rockets OVER

I look for a lot of offensive fireworks tonight when the Rockets host the Heat. These two recently played in Miami, with the Heat winning 109-103. Houston shot just 40% from the floor and the two teams still managed to combine for 212 points. Considering the Rockets are on 3-days rest and averaging 116.0 ppg at home this season, I think these two will have no problem making up the difference to push this over the mark. Miami has scored 105 or more points in 7 straight games.

OVER is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and a perfect 4-0 in Houston's last 4 when playing on 3 or more days rest. OVER is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Houston. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Miami (FL) -

I'm not expecting this one to be all that competitive. I know the Yellow Jackets are playing better than expected, but most of their success has come at home. Georgia Tech lost 3 straight and 4 of 6 on the road in the ACC by double-digits. That includes recent losses at both Clemson and Wake Forest by 12-points. Miami is better than both of those teams and are going to be locked in here after a loss at Louisville.

The Hurricanes are 11-2 at home on the season with the only two losses coming to elite teams in Notre Dame and Florida State. Yellow Jackets are a mere 2-7 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 12.0 ppg. Miami should be able to create plenty of separation here with their defense. The Hurricanes are allowing a mere 62.4 ppg at home and are taking on a Georgia Tech offense that averages only 64.2 ppg on the road. Take Miami!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Spurs/Magic UNDER

I think the books have set the total too high for this one. San Antonio is playing on fumes right now, as this will be their 6th straight on the road, all of which coming since 2/6. I just don't see the Spurs looking to push the pace here. Their only focus is getting a win going into the All-Star break.

With Orlando likely playing short-handed, I look for the Spurs to try and put this game away early. Their defense should be able to make life miserable for the Magic. San Antonio has held 6 of their last 8 opponents under 100 points and Orland is only averaging 97.7 ppg at home. UNDER is 23-8 in the Spurs last 31 road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Pacers +

I really like the value here with the Pacers catching a good sized number given the circumstances. Every team gets up for playing the Cavs and there's no question we are going to get the best Indiana has to offer in this one. The Pacers are not only going to be motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak, but they want to get revenge from a 117-132 loss at home to Cavs. While the Pacers are going to be locked in, I don't know that the same can be said about Cleveland.

Unlike Indiana, who has to play Washington tomorrow, this is the Cavs final game before the All-Star break. Cleveland has been desperate for some rest and will be coming into this one off tired legs. The Cavs just played a pretty fast-paced game last night in Minnesota, which they won 116-108. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested here. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and are 31-17 over the last 3 seasons in road games off a loss. Take Indiana!

5* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month on Providence -

I really like this spot for Providence at home against the Musketeers. Xavier lost point guard Edmond Summer to a season ending injury at the end of January and now are expected to be without Trevon Bluiett tonight against the Friars. That's the Musketeer's two best players not available. That's just too much to overcome on the road against a hungry Providence team that has been playing much better of late. While the Friars are just 4-4 in their last 8, they are 7-1 against the spread during this stretch. They also come in with a 12-3 record at home and fresh off an impressive 71-65 home win over Butler as 3-point dog.

I don't see Providence overlooking Xavier given the injury situation, as they will be out for revenge from an ugly 56-82 loss at Xavier back on 12/28. Note that Bluiett and Summer combined for 35 points 11 assists and 13 rebounds. Friars are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Providence!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Boise State +

I'm backing the Broncos as a short road dog against the Lobos tonight. This might seem like a mistake by the books, as New Mexico already went on the road and beat Boise State 81-70 back on 1/17. Nothing went right for the Broncos, who shot just 38% from the field, while allowing the Lobos to shoot 50% from the field and behind the 3-point line. That was an uncharacteristic performance from Boise State, who is only allowing opponents to shoot 41.8% from the field on the season. 

A big difference this time around is New Mexico will be minus one of their best players in Tim Williams, who is averaging 17.9 ppg and 7.0 rpg. It's a huge loss the only other player averaging more than 7 ppg is Elijah Brown (18.8 ppg). Boise is going to consistently double-team Brown and force these other guys beat him. Note that Williams had a game-high 19 points in the Lobos win over the Broncos earlier this season.

Broncos are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a loss as a home favorite, 14-4 ATS in their last 18  with a line of +3 to -3 and 24-12 in their last 36 road games. Take Boise State!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bulls OVER

There's a lot of moving parts going on around this game, as the Raptors just made a trade for Serge Ibaka and the Bulls are expected to be without starters Wade and Butler, as well as reserves Mirotic and Zipser. All of this has this game feeling a bit like an exhibition game and I just don't see either team playing much defense in this one.

Chicago certainly hasn't been playing any of late. The Bulls have allowed 100 or more points in 9 straight games and given up 115 or more in each of their last 3. Given what Chicago has to work with and the Raptors ability to light it up offensively (109.1 ppg), I think Toronto is going to continue that streak. Not having Butler and Wade might seem like a huge loss for Chicago's offense, but it allows them to play at a little faster pace and gets some more 3-point shooters on the floor. You also have to take into consideration that Toronto will have a difficult time taking the Bulls seriously without their star players, so it's unlikely they are coming into this one looking to lock down defensively. OVER is 8-0 in the Bulls last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nuggets +

I like the value here with the Nuggets catching double-digits against the Warriors tonight. I just don't see Golden State being mentally all that interested in this contest. They played at Memphis on Friday, in a game where they had double-revenge from losing the first two against the Grizzlies this season, then they had the highly anticipated showdown against the Thunder on Saturday, which was Durant's first game back in OKC. Even with yesterday off, I see them coming out flate in what's their final road game before the All-Star break.

Denver on the other hand is going to treat this like it's the biggest game of their season. I'm not expecting them to win, but I'm confident they can keep it competitive. Warriors are just 3-12 ATS this season after 3 straight games where they hit 47% or more of their field goal attempts. Take Denver!

5* NBA Southeast Game of the Month on Magic/Heat OVER

I'm expecting a shootout in Miami when the Heat host the Magic tonight. Miami had their 13-game winning streak snapped in a 109-117 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. It's exactly difficult to keep the momentum going from a long winning streak after it's snapped. On top of that, the Heat are returning home from a 4-game road trip. I just don't see the effort being their on the defensive side of the ball, especially against a bad team like the Magic.

Offensively the Heat should be able to continue to their recent surge. Miami has scored 100+ points in 12 straight games and are facing a Orlando defense that has allowed 112 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 109 ppg on the road this season. OVER is 8-1 in the Magic's last 9 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 12-4 in their last 16 after giving up 60+ points at the half of their last game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Louisville/Syracuse UNDER

I like the value here on the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. These two teams are both capable of shutting down the opposition with their defense. Louisville comes in allowing just 63.7 ppg on the road and the Orange are giving up only 64.1 ppg at home. I know both offenses average over 75+ ppg, but these two have a history of low-scoring games when they meet up at Syracuse. In fact, 5 of the last 6 the Orange have hosted in the series have gone UNDER the total.

UNDER is 8-2 in Louisville's last 10 games when playing in one of these rare Monday matchups and 9-3 in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in their last game. UNDER is also 20-6-3 in Syracuse's last 29 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 40-18-1 in their last 59 games on Monday. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on Washington St +

I like the value here with the Cougars as double-digit road dog. Washington State comes in having lost 3 straight and I believe it's playing into this line. The thing is, the Cougars last 3 games have been back-to-back at home against UCLA and USC, followed by a road game at Utah. Those are 3 of the better teams in the Pac-12 and Washington State was competitive in thos games. I know the Cougars aren't a great team, but they have won on the road at both Washington and Arizona State.

Colorado is a solid team and come in having won 4 of 5, but the schedule has been favorable. What is getting overlooked here is that the Cougars already beat Colorado at home 91-89 back on 1/21 as a 7-point dog. I'm not saying they win on the road, but I think there's a good chance this game is close until the end and Washington State covers. Colorado is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 off a win and the Cougars are 22-10 ATS after 3 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or better. Take Washington State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Raptors -

I like the Raptors to not only win but to win big at home against the Pistons. Toronto has gone just 4-9 in their last 13 games, which is an uncharacteristic run for what most consider one of the elite teams in the east. The thing is, Toronto played a number of those games without one of their best players in DeRozan and the majority came on the road. The Raptors come into this contest as healthy as they have been in a while and fresh off 3 days of rest.

I look for Toronto to come out looking to make a statement here and the Pistons are definitely a team they can beat by double-digits. In fact, they already beat them by 18 at home earlier this season. Detroit is only 9-18 SU and 10-17 ATS on the road. Pistons are also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 60 or more points in the 1st half of their last game and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their last game against a team from the west. Take Toronto!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northern Iowa +1.5

I really like the value here with the Panthers at basically a pick'em on the road against Missouri State. UNI is playing their best basketball of the season right now. After starting out 0-5 in conference play, the Panthers have won 7 of 8. They will be out for revenge here from a 4-point loss at home to the Bears back in UNI's dreadful start to the MVC. Note that Missouri State only won by 4 points, despite jumping out to a 32-8 lead in the 1st half, which included a 19-0 run.

The Bears win over UNI came during a 6-1 stretch. This time they enter having lost 4 of their last 5 and fresh off a ugly 18-point loss at Wichita State. Missouri State is only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games after going over the total in their previous game and 4-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a day stretch. Panthers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 65 or less points in 5 straight games. Take UNI! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Oregon/USC UNDER

I really like the value here with this one going under the total set by the books. These two teams played at Oregon back in late December and combined for fewer than the total here. That was with the Ducks putting up 84 points at home. I just don't see that same kind of offensive outburst here for Oregon, who is primed for a letdown after playing their last two against the league's two best teams in Arizona and UCLA. Even more so with just 1-day of rest after blowing a big lead against the Bruins.

USC comes in having won 5 straight and I expect them to really get after it defensively here. Not only to get a huge win at home, but to get revenge from that ugly 23-point loss to the Ducks in December. UNDER 15-5 in Oregon's last 20 games when playing for 2nd time in just a 3 day span. UNDER is also 11-2 this season after a game where the Ducks covered the spread and 4-0 in USC last 5 games as a home underdog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Jazz -

I like the value here with the Jazz laying what I feel is a short number given how bad a spot this is for the Celtics. Boston is playing their 3rd straight road game on the west coast in a span of just 4 days. They started out with a loss at Sacramento then had to rally for a win at Portland. I just don't see them having enough left in the tank to keep up with the Jazz in the thin air of Utah.

Celtics beat the Blazers 120-111 in their last game and that's important to note, as Boston is a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game. The Jazz are 35-19 ATS in their last 54 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 205 or more and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Dominator on Oklahoma/Iowa St OVER

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game this afternoon between the Cyclones and Sooners. These two teams played already this season and combined for 179. I know that came in OT, but the flow of the game was exactly what we look for when backing the over. Keep in mind that neither team shot the ball well and they still put up a ton of points. ISU was only 42.7% from the field and Oklahoma was a mere 40.3% from the field. It was also the 4th straight meeting in the series that saw at least 155 points.

I don't normally pay a ton of attention to the day of the week when it comes to trends, but this one is hard to ignore. OVER is 7-1 in the Sooners last 8 games played on Saturday and a perfect 6-0 in the Cyclones last 6 games on Saturday. OVER is also 4-0 in Oklahoma's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 5-1 in ISU's last 6 off a SU loss. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer on Michigan St -

I really like the value her with the Spartans at home, as Michigan State is going to be locked in after getting annihilated in their last game on the road against Michigan. I know the Spartans aren't on the same level as they have been in previous years, but this is still a well-coached team that isn't going to lay down. I expect one of Michigan State's best game to take place today.

It helps that they are catching the Hawkeyes in a terrible spot. Iowa has had their road woes as it is in Big Ten play and now have to play their 2nd straight on the road after a crushing double-overtime loss at Minnesota last time out. With just two days between games, I just don't think that's enough time for the Hawkeyes to recover. Iowa is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 or more points and the Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite. Take Michigan State!

4* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout on Hornets -

I really like this spot for the Hornets at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles is just 3-7 since Chris Paul tore a ligament in his thumb and their only two wins have come against the likes of the Suns and Knicks. Now I now Charlotte hasn't been playing great of late, but the schedule hasn't done them in any favors. This is a great spot for them to turn things around. LA can't have a whole lot left in the tank here, as they are playing their 4th straight on the road, all on the east coast.

The Hornets are a respectable 16-11 at home this season and LA is a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Clippers are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the Eastern Conference and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after a combined score of 205 or more in 3 straight games. Take Charlotte!

5* Big Ten Game of the Month on Maryland -

This might seem like a big number for the Terrapins to be laying at home against an Ohio State team that has won 2 straight, but I really like this spot for Maryland and for them to win here in a blowout. We know we are going to get a max effort here from the Terrapins, as they come in off a back-to-back losses.

The bigger key here is that Ohio State will be without the services of point guard JaQuan Lyle. That's a big time loss as Lyle is 3rd in scoring at 11.4 ppg and leads the team with a solid 5.0 apg. Losing a point guard is tough to overcome, especially on the road. I think it's even more of a problem for a team like the Buckeyes who aren't a great offensive team to start with.

Ohio State is a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games on Saturday and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Terrapins are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Maryland!

4* NCAAB Afternoon ATS Heavy Hitter on Illinois -

I really like the value here with the Fighting Illini as a relatively short home favorite against the Nittany Lions. This is a prime spot for Illinois to get back on track at home, where they are a very respectable 10-4 this season. We also catch the Illini fresh off a upset win at Northwestern. Penn State is also off a win, but it was a big one, as they upset Maryland on their home floor. I believe that puts the Nittany Lions in a prime letdown spot with this game being on the road. Penn State is just 4-7 away from home with their only road win coming against bottom feeder Rutgers.

The Fighting Illini are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Take Illinois!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Hawks -

I like the value here with the Hawks as a short road favorite against the Kings. Atlanta comes in off a 117-106 win over the Nuggets and are playing the much better basketball. The Hawks have actually been rock solid on the road, where they are 15-11 on the season. Sacramento on the other hand is just 10-15 at home and are primed for a letdown after a 108-92 blowout win over the Celtics. A win that came with Cousins. While he will be back for this one, Atlanta has someone who can matchup with him in Howard.

Kings come in shooting the ball well, but are 0-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 3 straight games where they shot 47% or better from the field. Sacramento is also just 5-14 ATS this season off a win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win by more than 10 points. Hawks are 10-4 ATS last 14 road games and 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Atlanta!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Pelicans +

I expect the public to be all over the Timberwolves in this one, but I think the Pelicans are the play. Minnesota is still trying to figure out how to cope with the loss of Zach LaVine and incorporate their new addition of Lance Stephenson. The Timberwolves were able to knock off the Raptors 112-109 in their last game, but had lost 4 straight prior to that and continue to struggle on the defensive end. Minnesota has allowed 100+ points in 12 straight games.

New Orleans is primed for a big time effort here after an ugly 33-point loss to the Jazz at home and while they are just 1-5 in their last 6, the schedule has been brutal of late. Note that these two teams played earlier this season and the Pelicans cruised to a 117-96 win, shooting over 54% from the field, while the Wolves were under 40%. Minnesota is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game and a mere 8-17 ATS as a favorite this season. Take New Orleans!

5* NBA No Limit Heavy Hitter Top Play on Wizards -

I like the value here with the Wizards laying a relatively short number at home against the Pacers. Washington was on an absolute roll before losing in OT to the Cavs at home. No surprise, they didn't play their best game after that crushing loss, but they still managed to win at Brooklyn. I look for Washington to return to form here against the Pacers, who are primed for a letdown after a crushing 117-132 loss at home to Cleveland, which snapped their 7-game winning streak.

Indiana hasn't exactly been great on the road this season, as the Pacers are just 9-16 away from home. Washington on the other hand has been lights out at home. They had won 17 straight prior to the loss to the Cavs and are 22-7 at home on the season.

Pacers are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game, while the Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Take Washington!

5* NBA Late Night Vegas Insider Top Play on Celtics +

Boston laid an egg in Sacramento last night, losing 82-108 as a 8.5-point favorite against a Kings team that was minus their best player in Boogie Cousins. Those performances are going to happen over an NBA season. The key here is that elite teams like the Celtics almost always bounce back after an ugly showing like that. I expect a completely different Boston team to show up tonight, especially with this game being a nationally televised contest on TNT.

This year's Blazers team still gets respect for how good they were a year ago, especially when playing at home, but the truth is they just aren't very good. Portland is only 14-11 SU at home on the season, which is the exact same record the Celtics have on the road. No rest for the Celtics has been no problem, as they are 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also 9-3-2 ATS last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +

I really like the value here with the Cornhuskers catching a decent amount of points at home against the Badgers. It's not been the season Nebraska was hoping for in Big Ten play, but this team has found a way to compete with some of the top teams in the conference. The Cornhuskers have road wins at both Indiana and Maryland, as well as a win at home against Purdue. I don't know that they can knock off the Badgers, but I wouldn't be surprised if they did.

Either way I'm expecting an all out effort here from Nebraska at home against a Top 10 team and wouldn't be shocked if Wisconsin struggled to match that intensity. Badgers have won 7 straight, but are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6. Cornhuskers are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 home games off 2 straight conference losses and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 as a home dog of 7 to 12.5 points. Take Nebraska!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on West Virginia -

This might seem like a big number for the Mountaineers to be laying on the road, but I think this is a prime spot for West Virginia to lay it on the Sooners. The Mountaineers are going to be 100% locked in for this game. Not only are they looking to bounce back from a 75-82 home loss to Oklahoma State, but they also want revenge against the Sooners, who beat them at home 89-87 back on 1/18. It just so happens that was the last win for Oklahoma, who has dropped 5 straight. Sooners are a great home team, just 5-6 on the season and recently lost by 34 at home to Florida.

Oklahoma is a mere 8-20 ATS over the last 2 seasons when playing a good team that's won between 60% to 80% of their games. They are also a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's forcing 18 or more turnovers after 15+ games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against good passing teams that are averaging 16 or more assists/game. Take West Virginia!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Heat/Bucks OVER

I think this total is a good 10-points lower than what it should be. The Heat are playing at a different level right now than they were just a few weeks ago. Miami only averages 100.7 ppg on the season, but have scored 100 or more in 9 straight games, eclipsing 115 points in each of their last 3. That trend doesn't figure to come to an end against a Bucks team that has allowed 100+ in 17 straight games and is mixing up the rotation with three new faces tonight.

While Miami figures to have no problem surpassing the 100-point mark, I think the Bucks could really light up the scoreboard here. The Heat are not the same team defensively on the road and the Bucks are locked in offensively right now. After putting up 117 at Denver, the hung 137 on the Suns the next night. These two played in Miami on 1/13 and combined for 224 points and I think we will see a similar type of output tonight. Take the OVER!

5* NCAAB Missouri Valley Game of the Month on Southern Illinois +

I really like the value here with the Salukis on the road against the Panthers. UNI has won 6 of their last 7, but most of those have come against the bottom half of the Missouri Valley. They do have a 58-57 win at Southern Illinois during this stretch, but I think that only adds to the value here with the Salukis in a big time revenge spot. Note that Southern Illinois only lost by 1-point and shot a mere 38.2% from the field, while UNI hit an uncharacteristic 47% (only shoot 40.7% on the season).

UNI failed to cover in their last game and are a mere 3-10 ATS in their last 13 after a game where they failed to cover the number and only 2-11 ATS in their last 13 against a team with a winning record. Salukis are also 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games after allowing 30 points or less in the first half of 2 straight games.Take Southern Illinois!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Vanderbilt +

The Commodores are showing some great value here as a short road dog against the Razorbacks. Arkansas comes in with the better record, but I just don't think they are all that great. I see two very evenly matched teams with a huge motivational edge to Vanderbilt, who hasn't forgot about a heartbreaking 70-71 loss at home to the Razorbacks on 1/24. Since that win Arkansas has lost by 28 at Oklahoma State and were just upset by SEC bottom feeder Missouri.

Vanderbilt has really played well on the road, especially in the SEC. Their last two on the highway resulted in big time wins at Florida and Texas A&M. The Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a winning record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a wining home record. Take Vanderbilt!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Magic/Rockets OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for tonight's showdown between the Rockets and Magic. On one side you have one the most dynamic and efficient offenses in the league in the Rockets and on the other you have one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA in the Magic, Houston is averaging 114.8 ppg at home and the Magic are giving up 108.2 ppg on the road. The Rockets should score close to 120-125 on their own, which means we just need an average offense night from the Magic to push this over the total.

I believe we will get at least that from Orlando and maybe some more. Given how bad the Magic have been this year and are playing at the moment, this isn't a game where the Rockets are going to choose to use up a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball. OVER is 6-2 in the Rockets last 8 games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-0 in the Magic's last 7 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +

The Demon Deacons are showing some great value here as a pretty good sized dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 overall. I look for their struggles to continue here against a talented Wake Forest team that is playing with confidence off back-to-back wins. The Deacons are also a solid 5-2 ATS in their last 7.

Notre Dame held Georgia Tech to 69 points in their last game, but had allowed 79 or more in each of their previous 7. Wake Forest comes in averaging 81.6 ppg on the season and aren't far off at 80.2 ppg in conference play. The Deacons ability to score is going to make it hard for the Irish to turn this into a blowout and leaves open the possibility of an outright upset. Note that the Demon Deacons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game at least 15 games into the season and Notre Dame is only 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games with a high total of 150 to 159.5. Take Wake Forest!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Lakers/Knicks OVER

These two teams played back in December and combined for 230 points in a 118-112 Knicks win. I think we are going to see a similar scoring output here. Both of these teams have the ability to put up a lot of points and each rank in the top half of the league in pace. Each also come into this game in good form. Lakers have scored at least 107 in each of their last 3 and the Knicks are averaging 109.8 ppg over their last 5.

The big key here is that neither of these teams play much defense. In fact, both rank in the bottom 7 of the league in defensive efficiency. Lakers have allowed 113 or more in each of their last 3 games and the Knicks have allowed 100+ in 11 of their last 12. Add in this being a game played on Monday, where players just aren't always locked in and I think there's going to be zero defense played in this one. OVER is 13-4 in the Lakers last 17 road games when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Thunder on Monday. Indiana is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 straight and are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. On top of that they are one of the best in the league at home, where they are 19-6 on the season.

OKC continues to get a lot of respect from the books because of all the attention that's been given to Westbrook, but this is a pretty average team that I think is starting to wear down. This is definitely a tough spot for the Thunder, who will be playing on no rest and 3rd in the last 4 overall. OKC is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against the Central division. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month on Cavs/Wizards UNDER

I really like the value here with the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. This is a big time game. Cleveland is the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and the Wizards are playing as well as anyone right now. Washington is 14-2 over their last 16 and have won 17 straight at home. The Cavs are well aware of this and I expect them to try a send a massage to the Wizards, especially with this being a nationally televised prime time game on TNT.

The defensive numbers for Cleveland aren't great, but this is a team that can get after it on that side of the ball when they want to. They also have been playing much better on that side of the ball of late, allowing just 99.0 ppg over their last 4. Washington's defense has also been solid of late, giving up just 96.0 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 14-4 in Cleveland's last 18 as a road dog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Clippers +

I like the value here with Los Angeles as a decently priced road dog against the Celtics on Super Bowl Sunday. The Clippers are a bit undervalued right now, as they have had to play two of their last 3 against the Warriors. LA was competitive in either game against Golden State, but that's to be expected without Chris Paul. Boston is another quality team, but no where close to the level of the Warriors.

I think we get a motivated and desperate Clippers team this afternoon. Not only do they want to get back to winning, but anytime their head coach goes up against his former team it means a little something extra. Note that Los Angeles is 5-1 in the series since Rivers left Boston for LA with the only loss by 5-points. Clippers are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 after a double-digit loss at home, while Boston is only 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Take Los Angeles!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Notre Dame/UNC UNDER

I think the value here is with the UNDER on the total. This game was suppose to take place yesterday on North Carolina's home floor, but had to be moved and is now being played 50 miles out to the Greensboro Coliseum. The quick change in venue is big, as it keeps the Tar Heels off their home court and will likely have a negative impact on the scoring output of both teams. This is also a big time game and I expect both to bring the defensive intensity here. Notre Dame is only giving up 68.1 ppg and the Tar Heels aren't too far behind at 71.4 ppg.

North Carolina wants to protect their home court and are catching the Irish at the right time, as they have lost 3 straight. On the flip side of this, Notre Dame will come out and lay it all on the line here to not only snap the losing streak, but to get some revenge from losing to UNC in the East Regional Final of last year's NCAA Tournament. UNDER is 8-2 in the Tar Heels last 10 when playing a team that's won between 60% to 80% of their games and 12-3 in the Irish's last 15 off a conference loss. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Kings +

I think the value here is clearly with the Kings as a massive home dog against the Warriors. Golden State is the best team in the league, but I just don't see them being all the interested in this one, as they get to return home an enjoy a 3-day break after this contest. Sacramento is going to treat this one like a Game 7 at home and are certainly capable of keeping it close. The Warriors really don't have an answer inside for Cousins. Look for him to have a big game here and for the Kings to keep this closer than people expect.

Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games, while the Warriors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing record and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take Sacramento!