4* ACC Game of the Week on Maryland -

Virginia Tech is the worst team in the ACC and I expect the Terrapins to hand them their eighth conference loss of the season. Virginia Tech has a 1-7 record against conference opponents this season, and they are 2-6 ATS in those games. Their average margin of defeat is just shy of 11 points per game. The Hokies are showing no signs of life coming off back-to-back losses by 20 points or more.

The Terrapins have been victim to an incredibly difficult schedule, but they have still managed to post a 4-4 record against ACC opponents. They are coming off a big win over Miami in their last outing, and managed to stay within four points of No. 20 ranked Pittsburgh in the game prior. Maryland has a +5 figure in rebounding margin, and they have a strong head-to-head history against Virginia tech. The Terrapins are a perfect 3-0 straight up and ATS in their last three meetings with the Hokies.

Virginia Tech is 1-10 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Maryland on the other hand is 14-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team that has won 40 to 49 percent of their games after 15 or more games. The Hokies have lost six of their eight conference games by six or more points, and that is a trend I expect to see continue in this matchup.

3* Bailout Blowout on Utah Jazz +

The Warriors are 4-6 in their last 10 games and none of those wins have come consecutively. They are coming off a big win over the Clippers last night, and they are playing in a back-to-back situation when they face the Jazz this evening. After a big win over a division rival I think the Warriors are playing in a letdown spot tonight. Golden State has played very sloppy basketball on the road averaging 17 turnovers per game, and they are facing a Utah team that is coming off three days of rest.

The Jazz are playing well right now picking up back-to-back wins in their last two games. These teams met earlier this season in Salt Lake City with the Warriors picking up the win. Golden State has not won multiple regular season games in Utah in the same season since the 1980-81 campaign. The Jazz have covered the spread in three of their last four meetings against Golden State, and I see no reason why that trend won't continue for today's game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing Utah. You should play on home underdogs like the Jazz when they have played five or less games in the last 14 days, and they have a losing record on the season. This system identifies home teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers. It has resulted in a 42-18 (70%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets +

The Nets have been on an incredible run since the New Year. They have posted a 10-2 record in 2014 and we are getting a lot of value on Brooklyn as an underdog on their home court in this game. Oklahoma City is coming off a big upset win as an underdog against Miami, and I think that has the Thunder playing in a letdown spot in this matchup with the Nets.

These teams met earlier this month in Oklahoma City and it was Brooklyn that walked away with a victory. The Nets picked up a two point win on the road as a double-digit underdog, and considering how well Brooklyn has played recently there is no reason to expect a different outcome in this matchup on their home court. The Nets defense has been a key factor in their recent run. They have held opponents to a mere 91.8 points per game over their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against the Thunder. You should fade teams like Oklahoma City when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent when that opponent is coming off an upset loss as a favorite against a division rival. This system has resulted in a 58-26 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Ivy League Game of the Year on Penn +

The wrong team is favored in this game since Dartmouth will be without its best player. Gabas Maldunas is out for the season with an ACL injury, and he is Dartmouth's leading scorer this season. You can see the impact Maldunas has on the team by looking at Dartmouth's performance against Harvard. They lost on the road by 16 points with Maldunas in the lineup and lost by 30 points at home without him.

Pennsylvania is a much better team than their record would indicate. They may be 4-11 overall this season, but the non-conference schedule has been incredibly tough. Dartmouth on the other hand has played an incredibly soft schedule this year, and I don't think the Big Green will be able to compete with Penn in this game. The Quakers are 1-0 against Ivy League opponents, while Dartmouth has lost five consecutive games including a 0-2 record against Ivy League teams. The Big Green are averaging just 51.8 points per game during that five game stretch.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Quakers. You should play on underdogs coming off a win of 15 points or more when they are facing an opponent that is coming off a blowout loss of 20 points or more. This system identifies teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 255-164 (61%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Oakland -

This game has blowout written all over it. Oakland may not have a great record, but they have played an incredibly difficult schedule this season. The Golden Grizzlies have faced four ranked opponents, and they have played in some very close games against them. They lost by just four points against then No. 5 ranked Michigan State on a neutral court, and they come into this matchup against Youngstown State with a 7-2 record at home.

The Penguins have struggled on the road this season posting a 4-7 record. I expect Oakland to put a huge number on the scoreboard facing such a soft defense. The Golden Grizzlies average 82.3 points per game at home while the Penguins are allowing 78.9 points per game on the road. Youngstown State is also -5 in rebounding margin on the road. They are at a statistical disadvantage on the boards and in the turnover margin.

Youngstown State comes into this matchup with a 2-5 ATS record against conference opponents. They have been given far too much credit from the oddsmakers recently, and that has resulted in a 2-3 ATS record in the Penguins last five games. Oakland has several statistical advantages in this game, and I think they are being undervalued because of their poor record. The Golden Grizzlies strength of schedule has been ridiculously difficult this year, and with home court advantage Oakland should easily win this game.

3* Late Night Bailout on Long Beach State +

The oddsmakers have given Hawaii too much credit for home court advantage in this game. The 49ers have been playing great basketball recently, winning three of their last four games. Two of those wins have come by a double-digit margin, and the third was an upset win as a road underdog. Long Beach State has covered the spread in five of its last seven games, and I like their chances to continue that trend against the Warriors.

Hawaii is a bad team defensively. They are surrendering 72.3 points per game this season. The Warriors offensive numbers are a bit inflated thanks to a soft schedule. Hawaii's opponents have been poor defensive teams that surrender an average of almost 75 points per game. That won't be the case in this matchup against Long Beach State. The 49ers are holding opponents 1.5 points below their scoring average this season.

You should play against home favorites that are coming off an upset win as an underdog when they have won 60 to 80 percent of their games and they are playing a team that has won only 20 to 40 percent of their games. This system identifies teams that are being overvalued by the oddsmakers. It has resulted in a 59-25 (70%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Pacific Division Game of the Year on Warriors -

This game has blowout written all over it. Golden State has played extremely well against division opponents this season. They have a 6-3 record, and the Warriors have the luxury of playing host in this matchup with the Clippers. Golden State is averaging 104.8 points per game at home this season, and they should score at will against a Clippers defense that has surrendered 103.9 points per game against division opponents.

The rest profile also favors Golden State in this matchup. They are coming off a day of rest as they prepare for their fifth consecutive home game. The Clippers have had a crazy schedule playing seven straight on the road before returning home last night to face Washington. Now they are playing in a back-to-back situation as they head north to face the Warriors tonight. This will be the Clippers fifth game in the past seven days.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on home teams like Golden State after 42 or more games in the season when they are an average ball handling team committing 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers versus an average pressure defense that is forcing 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers per game. This matchup identifies home teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 94-59 (61%) record against the spread.

3* Oddsmakers Error on UTEP +

The wrong team is favored in this matchup between Louisiana Tech and UTEP. The Miners have a respectable 4-1 record in C-USA play, and they can move into a share of first place with a win over Louisiana Tech tonight. The Bulldogs are still without leading scorer Raheem Appleby, and with the competition level getting a lot stronger in this matchup I expect his absence to catch up with them.

The Bulldogs typically have a big rebounding advantage over their opponents, but that won't be the case against UTEP. The Miners are +6 in rebounding margin at home, and I see no reason why they won't dominate the boards in this matchup. The Miners are also riding a four game win streak, and they have a 10-3 straight up record at home.

This matchup fits into a system to play against Louisiana Tech. You should fade a hot team that has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games when they have won 80 percent or more of their games overall and they are facing a good team that has won 60 to 80 percent of their games on the season. This system identifies teams that are overvalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 130-77 (63%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Ohio Valley Game of the Month on Tennessee State +

Tennessee State may not have a great overall record, but they are a much better team than they are getting credit for. This matchup has a lot of upset potential, and I like the Tigers to play a great game against their in-state conference rival. Tennessee Tech picked up a win in the first meeting of the season between these teams, but it was only by four points. The Tigers had a poor shooting performance in that game, but we can expect a much better showing in the second meeting of the season between these teams.

Tennessee State played Wichita State to 14 points on the road, and lost by just five points on the road against Auburn. This is a young team that has shown a lot of improvement each week. They don't have any seniors, so everyone on the team will be fighting for a position on next year's team. There will be no packing it in for the Tigers this season, and they will have the revenge factor on their side in this matchup.

Tennessee Tech has been given too much credit from the oddsmakers when playing at home. The Golden Eagles have a 2-3 record against the spread at home, and they are 1-4 ATS overall in their last five games. Tennessee State on the other hand has a 7-4 ATS record on the road, and a winning record of 10-8 ATS overall this season. This is a big rivalry game for these schools, and it is one the Tigers hold the advantage. They are 3-2 both straight up and against the spread over the last three seasons, and I expect them to improve on those numbers today.

3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -

The Indiana Pacers should dominate this game from the start. They have the best home court advantage in basketball, posting a 21-1 straight up record and a 16-6 ATS record in home games this season. The Pacers lost two of their last four games, and that has created value in this matchup with Phoenix. If not for those two recent losses I suspect the Pacers would be a much larger favorite.

The Pacers defense has been unbelievably good this season. They are holding opponents to a mere 83.7 points per game at home, while scoring an average of 99.5 points in those games. The Suns defense has struggled this season, and they are going through a really rough stretch recently. Phoenix has surrendered 104.2 points per game over its last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Pacers. You should play on home favorites like Indiana when they are a well rested team playing their second game in five days and they are facing an opponent that is playing their fourth game in the last five days. This system is 29-10 (74%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Bailout Blowout on Belmont -

This game has blowout written all over it. Belmont is an explosive offensive team with a very underrated defense. The Bruins are averaging 79 points per game, and they have barely slowed down when playing on the road by still averaging 77.8 points per game. The defense has surrendered 75.2 points per game, but a big reason for that has been an incredibly difficult schedule. The Bruin's opponents have an offensive average of almost 73 points per game.

Belmont has dominated the head-to-head series with Morehead State. They are a perfect 3-0 straight up the last three seasons. The Bruins picked up a 14 point win the last time these teams met, and I don't think a change in venue is enough to swing the outcome of this game enough to give Morehead State the advantage. Belmont is one of the best shooting teams in the country. They rank sixth in the nation in field goal percentage making 50.1 percent of their attempts.

Morehead State has been a great team to fade in conference games the last two seasons. They have an 8-17 record against the spread, and they are just 2-5 ATS this season when facing an Ohio Valley rival. Morehead played a great game statistically in the first meeting of the season between these teams shooting 46 percent from the field and 41.2 percent on three point attempts. There was not much else they could do to narrow the gap, so I see no reason to expect a different result in this matchup.

3* No Doubt Rout on Dallas Mavericks -

We are getting a lot of value on the Mavericks as such small favorites on their home court. Houston is playing in a back-to-back situation after playing host to San Antonio last night. I expect the Rockets to struggle without a day of rest and playing against a team like Dallas that has a 15-7 record at home this season. The Rockets have been a .500 team on the road for most of the season, and I have them losing big against the Mavericks who are coming into this matchup with two days of rest.

Houston gets a lot of media attention for their high scoring offense, but it is actually Dallas that has the statistical advantage in this matchup. The Mavericks are averaging 106.6 points per game at home this season, and I expect them to score at-will against a Rockets team that has surrendered 105.7 points per game on the road. Dallas has also played incredibly well against division opponents. They are averaging 106.9 points per game against the division and have a 7-3 record in those games.

Dallas is 14-4 ATS in the second half of the season against poor defensive teams that are allowing 99 or more points per game over the last two seasons. The Mavericks also have a 26-12 ATS record in all games when the line has been set at three points or less in either direction. Houston on the other hand has a 9-20 ATS record on the road when coming off an under. The Rockets have failed to score 100 points or more in three straight games, and I expect them to struggle keeping pace with the Mavericks in this matchup.

5* Eastern Conference Game of the Month on 76ers +

The wrong team appears to be favored in this game. Boston is playing in a tough back-to-back situation after getting blown out last night on the road against New York. Philadelphia on the other hand is coming into this matchup with a day of rest. The 76ers offense gives them a big advantage in this game. They are averaging 101.4 points per game against division opponents, while Boston comes into this matchup averaging a mere 91.7 points in division games.

The Celtics are struggling just like the 76ers right now, and with the rest profiles favoring Philadelphia it looks like they catch the first break. Boston has lost four of its last five games, scoring a mere 89.8 points per game while allowing over 100 points per game during that stretch. The 76ers might also be 1-4 in their last five, but it has not been from a lack of offense. They are scoring 101.6 points per game during their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the 76ers. You should play on road teams like Philadelphia after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games when they are averaging 98 to 102 points per game, and they are playing a poor defensive team that is allowing 98 to 102 points per game. This system is 80-26 (76%) against the spread over the last five seasons. Boston has not done a good job of protecting their home court, and playing without rest makes Philadelphia an easy call in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Boston College -

Virginia Tech is easily the worst team in the conference, and Boston College should have no problem picking up a big win at home in this matchup. The Hokies are averaging a mere 60.8 points per game on the road this season, and they will struggle to keep pace with this Eagles team that is averaging just shy of 72 points per game at home. Boston College may not have a great record, but they have certainly shown flashes of greatness this year.

The Eagles played a much closer game with Syracuse than the final score would indicate. The same can also be said about their game with North Carolina. The schedule has been incredibly difficult this season, yet Boston College has managed to play in some very close games. They already have a three point win on the road against Virginia Tech, and with home court advantage in these team's second meeting of the season I see no reason why the Eagles can't widen that margin of victory.

Virginia Tech is 2-10 ATS when coming off a game scoring 55 points or less. They have also been a great team to fade after playing from the road underdog position. The Hokies are 3-14 ATS over the last three seasons when coming off a game as a road dog. The Eagles have dominated the head-to-head series with Virginia Tech. They are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in the last four games against the Hokies.

3* No Doubt Rout on La Salle +

George Washington is without its best player tonight when they take on La Salle, and I think they will have a hard time protecting their undefeated record at home without him. Kethan Savage is second in scoring and pulls in 4.6 rebounds per game for the Colonials. He is also second on the team in assists and first on the team in steals. Making up for his lost production will be a challenge, and I think La Salle is good enough to pull off the upset without Savage in the game.

The Explorers are averaging 70.9 points per game this season so keeping pace with GW should be a fairly easy task to accomplish. The defense is surrendering just 65.6 points per game when playing on the road. The Explorers have played well against conference opponents, posting a 3-2 record this season. Their most recent loss came in double-overtime against VCU in a game that was much closer than the final score.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Explorers. You should play on a team like La Salle that has failed to cover the spread in three or more games when they are playing an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in four or more games. This system identifies teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 119-67 (64%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Memphis Grizzlies +

The Trailblazers are struggling right now having dropped three of their last five games. Even when they have been winning, Portland is squeaking by its opponents. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, and that is a trend I think will continue in this matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies.

Memphis has a very stingy defense, and after seeing Portland get held to just 88 points in their last outing I like the Grizzlies chances to put on a strong defensive performance. Memphis is surrendering a mere 94.2 points per game on the road this season. The Grizzlies defense is playing incredibly well recently, allowing just 86 points per game over their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Grizzlies. You should play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Memphis when they have gone under the total by 36 or more points in their last five games, and they have a win percentage of 45 to 55 percent on the season. This system identifies teams with undervalued defenses, and it has resulted in a 50-23 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

4* American Athletic Game of the Week on South Florida +

This game has upset written all over it. The last time these teams met South Florida was on the road, and I expect them to get some revenge against the Mustangs when they play from the host role in the second meeting of the season. The Bulls have played a tough schedule recently, and I think that has forced the oddsmakers to under value South Florida in this game.

The Bulls have played three consecutive games against ranked opponents. After a brutal stretch of schedule like that I expect South Florida to respond with a strong performance against SMU. The Mustangs have benefit from a soft schedule recently, and they are playing their second consecutive road game in the last three days. That should have SMU playing in a letdown spot against the Bulls.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing South Florida. You should play on underdogs like the Bulls after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points in their last 10 games combined when playing in the month of January. This system identifies teams the oddsmakers have undervalued, and it has resulted in a 42-15 (74%) record against the spread.

3* Main Event on Eastern Washington +

The wrong team is favored in this matchup between the Eastern Washington Eagles and Portland State Vikings. Eastern Washington is averaging 74.2 points per game and they have the 112th scoring offense in the country. Portland State on the other hand is coming into this matchup with the 186th ranked scoring offense with 71.6 points per game. The Vikings also ranked near last in rebounds per game with 31.8.

Portland State has struggled against Big West opponents this season. They have a 3-4 record in conference games and a 2-5 ATS record in those matchups. Sadly, the oddsmakers have set the bar incredibly low for the Vikings in those games listing them as an underdog in five of their seven matchups with Big Sky foes. Three of the Vikings last four losses have come by a double-digit margin, and with Eastern Washington having such a strong rebounding advantage in this matchup, that trend will likely continue.

Portland State is 9-18 ATS against conference opponents over the last two seasons. They are also 2-10 ATS against good ball handling teams that are committing 14 turnovers or less after 15 or more games. You should play on underdogs like Eastern Washington when they have been beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last 10 games in a January game. This system identifies teams the oddsmakers are undervaluing and it has resulted in a 42-15 (73%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Vegas Insider of the Month on Utah Jazz -

The Sacramento Kings have not played well when they are completely healthy, so I do not like their chances tonight when they will try to avoid a fourth straight loss. The Kings will be visiting the Utah Jazz, and things don't look good since both DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay are listed as doubtful for this matchup. Sacramento already struggles in road games with a 6-13 record and without Cousins and Gay the Utah Jazz should win this game in a blowout.

Utah will have no problem scoring points as they face one of the league's worst defenses. The Kings have surrendered 106.7 points per game on the road this season. Over its last five games Sacramento has allowed 113 points per game. That puts them in a tough spot tonight against a Jazz team that has a 6-2 record at home in their last eight games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Jazz. You should play against road teams like Sacramento when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 110 or more points and they are a bad team that has won 25 to 40 percent of its games on the season playing another team with a losing record. This system is 48-18 (73%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Philadelphia 76ers +

The Phoenix Suns are playing in a back-to-back situation after coming off a road game last night in Cleveland. That has them playing in a letdown situation today as they come into Philadelphia without rest to play their second consecutive road game, and third overall game in the last four days. There is a lot of value on Philadelphia as an underdog in this matchup since they are coming off a day of rest and played at home in their last outing.

The 76ers have played well on their home court, and I like their chances to pull off an upset in this game. Philadelphia averages 100.8 points per game at home while Phoenix is averaging 99.3 points per game on the road. Over their last five games the Suns have surrendered 100.8 points per game, so I don't think Philadelphia will have any problem getting points on the board in this matchup.

The Suns have not fared well against teams with a losing record. They are 1-10 ATS in the second half of the season against a team that has won 25 to 40 percent of its games over the last two seasons. I think we are getting added value on the 76ers with the return of Evan Turner. In the last meeting between these teams Turner had to miss the game because of a sore knee. It is also worth noting that the last time these teams played in Philadelphia it was the 76ers who picked up a 104-101 victory.

4* Vegas Insider on Golden State Warriors -

We are getting a lot of value on the Warriors today thanks to a couple bad performances against some very good teams. I have Golden State getting things back on track tonight with a big win over Portland. The Trailblazers have been horrible defensively. They are surrendering 110.2 points per game over their last five games, and things could get really out of hand tonight against this Warriors team that averages 105.9 points per game at home.

While Golden State has had a few struggles on the defensive end of the court recently, you also can't ignore the fact that they held opponents to an average of 92.8 points per game during their recent 10 game win streak. Portland has lost its last two games on the road, scoring just 97 points in their last outing against Oklahoma City. I expect a similar performance out of the Trailblazers in this game, thanks to a strong defensive performance from Golden State.

The Warriors are 20-7 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games. Portland on the other hand has a 1-10 ATS record in road games after two straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. This matchup also fits a system to play on favorites like Golden State when they are allowing a shooting percentage of 43.5 to 45.5 percent and are playing a poor defensive team allowing 45.5 to 47.5 percent when both teams have a +3 to +5.5 figure in rebounding margin. This system is 39-17 (70%) against the spread.

4* Total Dominator on Nets/Celtics UNDER

The total in this game seems to be quite a bit higher than it should be. Boston is playing some solid defense right now surrendering just 87.8 points per game against division opponents. The Celtics offense has been horrible this year, so I think the Nets are poised for a strong defensive performance too. Boston averages 95.1 points per game and should struggle against this Brooklyn team that has held opponents to 96.4 points per game over its last five games. That five game stretch has come against opponents with a lot more scoring potential than the Celtics bring to this matchup.

The under is 14-4 in Boston's last 18 home games when coming off a matchup with a non-conference opponent. The under is also 12-4 when Boston has been an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Brooklyn is well rested right now, playing just their second game in five days. The under is 26-14 in the Nets last 40 games when playing in a 2-in-5 situation over the last two seasons.

There is a very profitable system backing the under in this matchup. You should play the under when the total is between 190 to 199.5 points and the road team is well rested playing their second game in five days, and they have won 40 to 49 percent of their games on the season. This system is 48-21 (70%) to the under for the last five seasons. With both teams playing solid defense recently I expect this to be a very low scoring game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Brooklyn Nets -

The Celtics are a bad team and I like the Nets to win this game in a blowout. Brooklyn is the hottest team in the league since the New Year winning nine of its last 10 games. They have covered the spread in eight of those games, yet the oddsmakers still seem to be undervaluing the Nets. A once struggling offense from Brooklyn is now averaging 103.1 points per game over its last five games.

Boston comes into this game with a 3-16 record in their last 19 games. I don't expect home court advantage to be a big factor since it is a short travel time from Brooklyn to Boston, and the Celtics fan base will probably be more excited about seeing Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett than they will their own players. Pierce and Garnett were key factors in turning the Celtics franchise around, and this will be the first game on their old home court since the blockbuster trade that sent them to the Nets.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against the Celtics. You should play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Boston when they are coming off a loss by 10 or more points, and they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in three straight games. This system has a 43-19 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Stanford -

This game has blowout written all over it. Stanford is the better offensive team in this matchup, averaging 76.8 points per game this season against opponents whose defensive scoring average is a mere 69.8 points per game. The Cardinal should score at will against this soft Trojans defense. USC has surrendered 74.3 points per game this year, and they are showing no signs of being able to stop the bleeding any time soon.

USC is really struggling right now. They have lost five of their last six games straight up. All five of those losses have come by a double-digit margin. In fact, the Trojans average margin of loss in those games is a whopping 22.4 points. Stanford on the other hand has suffered just two double-digit loses all season, both coming against some very good teams. They also have a win over then No. 10 ranked UConn and No. 17 ranked Oregon, so there has not been a lot of disparity in strength of schedule.

USC is 7-17 ATS against good teams that are outscoring their opponents by four or more points per game after 15 or more games. The Trojans are also 17-32 ATS as an underdog over the last three seasons and 12-26 ATS in all home games during that time. Stanford on the other hand has a 20-8 ATS record on the road when coming off a game with a combined score of 165 points or more. The Cardinal are hot right now shooting over 52 percent from the field in three of their last four games, and I expect them to easily get past the Trojans and their soft defense.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Portland Trailblazers -

This line seems inappropriate given Portland's margin of victory when playing at home this season. The Trailblazers are a very high scoring team averaging 109 points per game for the home fan base. They will face a soft defense tonight when they play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota is surrendering 103.5 points per game on the road this year.

Portland is playing with a day of rest, and they are coming off a win at home in their last outing. This will be the third consecutive road game for Minnesota, and the wear and tear of all that travel will catch up with them tonight. The Timberwolves are also playing in a back-to-back situation after squeaking by Golden State last night.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against Minnesota. You should fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Timberwolves when they are a poor defensive team that has allowed 99 or more points per game and they are facing an opponent that has surrendered 100 points or more in four straight games. This system identifies teams that are being overvalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 64-39 (62%) record against the spread.

5* Bailout Game of the Month on Nuggets +

Denver is playing in the perfect spot to pull off an upset over Indiana. The Pacers are playing their fourth consecutive road game, and their fourth game in the last seven days. That is a lot of travel, and the fact that Indiana is also playing in a back-to-back situation adds even more value to the Nuggets. With the Nuggets playing the host role in this matchup they are an easy call tonight.

I expect the wear and tear of Indiana's road trip to catch up with them tonight. The Nuggets are a very high scoring and uptempo team, and combined with the altitude and facing a tired team like the Pacers that gives them a big advantage in this matchup. Denver averages 103.4 points per game and they are poised to put up another big number today. Over their last five games the Pacers have surrendered an average of 102 points per game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to fade the Pacers. You should play against a team like Indiana when they average 98 to 102 points per game against a team allowing 102 points per game or more when they are coming off a matchup with a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight games. This system identifies potentially tired defenses and has resulted in a 72-35 (67%) record against the spread.

3* Total Annihilator on Rockets/Grizzlies UNDER

With the Grizzlies playing at home I think they will control the pace of this game. That puts a lot of value on the under since they are surrendering just 96.3 points per game this season. The under is 22-8 in Memphis games after a matchup where both teams scored 90 points or less.

This is the second leg of a home-and-home series between these teams. In the first game these teams combined for a score of 175 points, and there is no reason to expect an outcome much different than that in this matchup. Memphis has gone under the total in five consecutive games, and the Rockets have gone under the total in five of their last seven games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the under. You should play the under when a team, like Memphis, is facing a division opponent and they are coming off a road win over a division rival. This system has gone under the total at a rate of 69-36 (66%) over the last five seasons.

4* Ohio Valley Game of the Week on Belmont -

This game has blowout written all over it. Eastern Kentucky is nowhere near as good as their 14-6 record would indicate. Five of their six losses have come by six points or more, and I expect them to struggle against the best team in the Ohio Valley Conference. Eastern Kentucky's stat sheet is bloated thanks to their soft schedule. Their opponents have surrendered an average of 74.9 points per game this season so I am not impressed by their 76.5 points per game scored when playing on the road.

The Belmont Bruins come into this matchup protecting a 7-1 record on their home court. They average over 80 points per game at home. The Bruins are an excellent foul drawing team, and I think their 73 percent from the free throw line gives them another huge advantage against the Colonels. I also expect the Bruins to dominate the rebounding margin in this game. Eastern Kentucky is -6 in rebounding margin overall, and that number drops to -8 when playing on the road.

The Colonels have had issues with getting into foul trouble this season. They are averaging 22 personal fouls per game on the road, and fading the Colonels is an easy call for a team that is 25-43 ATS against teams making 72 percent or more of their free throw attempts. Eastern Kentucky is going to lose the battle from the free throw line as well as losing in rebounding margin. With the Bruins playing at home they should easily cover such a small spread.

3* No Doubt Rout on Southern Miss -

There is no reason for the Golden Eagles to be listed as anything less than a double-digit favorite in this game. They come into this matchup with a 17-3 overall record this season, including a 4-1 record in C-USA play. They are facing an East Carolina Pirates team that has yet to win a game against a conference opponent. They have lost half of their conference games by a double-digit margin, and have yet to face a conference opponent that has won more than 11 games on the season.

Southern Miss has a very underrated scoring defense. They have held opponents whose offensive average is over 70 points per game to a mere 63.2 points per game. They are an outstanding rebounding team with a +7 figure in rebounding margin. The Golden Eagles are averaging 74 points per game on offensive, so I don't think they will have any trouble putting up a number big enough to cover this spread. The Pirates have faced some soft opponents this year. Those opponents are surrendering an average of 75.5 points per game, so I don't think East Carolina is as good as its 11-8 record would indicate.

This matchup fits into a system to fade the Pirates. You should play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like East Carolina when they are coming off a loss to a conference opponent as a favorite of six points or more, and they are playing against an opponent that is coming off a road win over a conference rival. This system has a 94-51 (65%) record against the spread.

3* Oddsmakers Error on NC Greensboro +

The Chattanooga Mocs are very overrated. They opened the season with a 4-8 record, and caught a hot streak during a very soft stretch of schedule. Things will get a lot tougher today when they face the UNC-Greensboro Spartans.

Greensboro has played a tough schedule this season. They have faced four ACC opponents and one team from the American Athletic conference. Their difficult strength of schedule should have the Spartans well prepared for an overrated team like Chattanooga. The Mocs have a soft defense that is surrendering 74.1 points per game this season.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Spartans. You should play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Greensboro when they are scoring 67-74 points per game on the season while coming off two or more consecutive overs, and they are facing a poor defensive team that is allowing 74-78 points per game after 15 or more games. This system is 29-9 (76%) against the spread.

3* Bailout Blowout on Long Beach State -

This game has blowout written all over it. The Long Beach State 49ers have a dominating advantage in rebounding and turnovers, and combined with home court advantage I think they will easily win this game by a double-digit margin. The 49ers are much better than their record would indicate because of their incredibly difficult strength of schedule.

Long Beach State has faced seven teams that were either ranked at the time of play or at some other point in the season. Their two conference losses have come against teams with a combined 25-12 record this season, and they have been two of the top three teams in the Big West conference. The 49ers have the luxury of playing host to a team that is surrendering 76.5 points per game, so I expect the 49ers to put a big number on the scoreboard.

Long Beach State is 11-2 ATS against poor defensive teams that are allowing a shooting percentage of 45 percent or more. CS-Northridge comes into this matchup with a 3-11 ATS record when coming off a road loss. The Matadors are a bad team, and the underrated 49ers should have no problem picking up a big win on their home court today.

5* Missouri Valley Game of the Month on Northern Iowa -

The Panthers are clearly the better team in this matchup, and I expect them to make easy work of the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers. The Panthers have a better record than the Ramblers, and the strength of their schedule has been a lot more difficult. Northern Iowa has faced three teams that have been ranked in the top 10 at some point in the season. The Panthers picked up an 11 point win against VCU, and took Iowa State to overtime this year.

Statistically the Northern Iowa has a huge advantage in this matchup. It is averaging 72.3 points per game to just 66.4 points per game from the Ramblers. UNI has been an excellent ball control team committing just 11 turnovers per game, and they have a defense that has held opponents to 68.4 points per game. While their scoring defense may not stand out as being above average, when you consider the schedule the Panthers have faced it is a very impressive number. Their opponents have averaged over 70 points per game prior to facing the Panthers.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing Northern Iowa. You should play on road favorites like the Panthers when they have been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points combined in their last three games, and they have won 45 to 55 percent of their games on the season. This system identifies teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 41-16 (72%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Nevada +

I expect to see the Wolf Pack play a close game with the Cowboys today. Nevada is an uptempo team averaging 59 shot attempts per game on the road. Wyoming on the other hand averages just 45 shot attempts per game. The Wolf Pack are scoring 77.5 points per game in those road games, so I like their chances to put a big number on the scoreboard today.

I think Wyoming is overrated based on what has been a pretty soft schedule for the Cowboys. They did face Nevada earlier this season, and it was a game the Wolfpack won by three points. I don't think a change in venue is enough to swing the outcome of this game by enough points for the Cowboys to cover the spread. Wyoming's home court advantage has been non-existent this season, and Nevada has a 7-2 ATS record on the road.

Nevada is 40-21 ATS in road games against poor pressure defense teams that are forcing less than 14 turnovers per game after 15 or more games on the season. They are also 19-6 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last three seasons. This game should end up with a similar outcome to the first meeting of the season between these teams. The Wolf Pack dominated the offensive glass in that matchup, and those second chance shot attempts will prove to be too much for the Cowboys to overcome.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Western Kentucky +

The wrong team appears to be favored in this Sun Belt Conference showdown. Both of these teams come into this matchup with a 12-7 overall record. Western Kentucky has the advantage in conference play with a 4-2 record, while Louisiana-Lafayette sits at 3-3. The Hilltoppers have played a much tougher schedule, so I think records alone are very misleading for these teams.

Statistically Western Kentucky should dominate this game. Its defense has surrendered a mere 63.9 points per game when playing on the road this season. LA-Lafayette comes into this matchup surrendering an average of 75.3 points per game, so I expect the Hilltoppers to score at-will on the offensive end of the court.

Western Kentucky is 32-16 ATS when playing on the road against a team that has won 60 to 80 percent of its games after 15 or more games in the season. Louisiana-Lafayette comes into this matchup with a 2-10 ATS record when playing any team with a winning record after 15 or more games. The Ragin' Cajuns are overrated and I expect Western Kentucky to put them in their place today.

5* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month on Wizards/Suns OVER 207

This total is set far too low given how well these teams have been playing on offense recently. Over their last five games the Wizards are averaging 105.2 points per game. The Suns have also been on a scoring binge averaging 113 points per game over their last five games. These teams have an 11-3 record in favor of the over in their last 14 games combined.

Both offenses are playing great right now, but both of these defenses have been horrible. Washington has surrendered 101.2 points per game over their last five games, and I think that number will only get worse against a high scoring team like the Suns. Phoenix has had a notoriously bad defense all season, but somehow they have managed to play worse than average recently allowing 105 points per game over their last five games.

The over is 13-2 in the Suns last 15 home games against opponents who attempt 18 or more three point shots per game. The over is also 13-5 when the Suns are playing against a team with a losing record this season. You should play the over when the total is 200 points or more and the road team is coming off a loss by three points or less and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. The over has a 54-23 (70%) record in this situation.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Washington Wizards +

The oddsmakers may have favored the wrong team in this matchup. Washington has won four of its last six games, with their two losses coming by small single-digit margins. The offense is rolling right now, averaging 105.2 points per game over their last five games. They should score at-will against a Suns defense that has surrendered 105 points per game over their last five games.

The Suns are coming off a big win over the Pacers, and I have them playing in a letdown situation in today's matchup with the Wizards. Phoenix has shot over 50 percent in their last two games, and that is a feat that is simply unsustainable. They have shot over 50 percent just three times in their last 19 games while shooting under 45 percent in nine of those games.

The Suns are 45-74 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more points. You should play on road teams like Washington when they average 98 to 102 points per game, and they are coming off a loss by six points or less and are facing a poor defense that is surrendering 98 to 102 points per game. This system is 45-19 (70%) ATS over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies +

The Memphis Grizzlies had a season's best win streak snapped in a three point loss against New Orleans in their last outing. I like the Grizzlies chance to get things back on track in this home-and-home series with the Houston Rockets. Houston is facing a well rested Memphis team that is playing just their second game in the past seven days. This will be the Rocket's fourth game during that seven-day stretch.

Houston is playing through a lot of injuries right now, and I expect them to struggle with this tough Memphis defense. The Grizzlies are surrendering a mere 94.6 points per game on the road this season. Over their last five games the Grizzlies have held opponents to just 90 points per game. The Rockets on the other hand have a soft defense, and I think that is what will end up costing them in this matchup. They are allowing 103.8 points per game over their last five games.

Memphis is 43-28 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, and they are 31-18 ATS against good shooting teams making over 46 percent of their shots. A big reason for their success against good teams goes back to their outstanding defensive play. The Grizzlies are not getting enough credit from the oddsmakers in this game. This matchup presents a perfect opportunity for Memphis to pull off an upset, so I like the Grizzlies chances of at least keeping this game within five or less points.

3* Main Event on Quinnipiac +

This is a lot of points for the Bobcats to be receiving in a game of such high importance. A win over the Gaels would move them into a share of first place in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. Quinnipiac is on fire right now having won five of its last six games. Their margin of victory in those five games is an impressive 11.4 points per game. The Bobcats have an 11-6 overall record, and they have been exceeding oddsmakers expectations by posting a 5-2 ATS record in their last seven games.

Iona comes into this matchup with a 6-10 record against the spread. They have been a major disappointment this season, and I think they are severely overrated by the oddsmakers in this game. The Gaels have one of the worst defenses in the country. They are surrendering 80.2 points per game this year, and they have received little to no benefit when playing at home. The last time these teams met Quinnipiac picked up a 12 point win at home, and a change in venue is not enough to swing the outcome of this game by enough points for the Gaels to cover the spread.

Iona is 5-17 ATS against good teams that are outscoring opponents by four or more points per game. The Gaels are also 11-26 ATS in home games when playing a team that has won 60 to 80 percent of its games on the season. The Bobcats have had no problem scoring points this year. They average 77.5 points per game overall and 77.3 points per game on the road. The Gaels defense is a mess, and I think it will cost them again in the second meeting of the season between these teams.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Arizona State -

I don't think Utah is as good as their 14-4 record would indicate. They have played the majority of their games at home this year, and when they have played on the road it has not looked good. The Utes are 0-3 in road games, and I expect them to struggle against an Arizona State team that is 9-1 when playing at home.

The Sun Devils come into this matchup averaging 80.1 points per game at home. While the offense has been spectacular, it is actually the defense that has been the key to their success. Arizona State is surrendering a mere 61.1 points per game at home, and they should make easy work of a Utah team that averages just 56.7 points per game when playing on the road.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Sun Devils. You should play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Arizona State when they are shooting 45-47.5 percent and they are facing a defense that has allowed less than 40 percent shooting in a game two good ball handling teams that average less than 14.5 turnovers after 15 or more games in the season. This system is 66-31 (68%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on LA Lakers +

The Lakers may not be winning a lot of games right now, but they have certainly been exceeding the oddsmaker's expectations. Los Angeles has covered the spread in five consecutive games, and they look to make it a sixth straight Thursday night against the Miami Heat. Miami comes into this matchup having lost four of their last seven games, covering the spread in just two of those games.

The Lakers offense is firing on all cylinders right now. Over their last five games they have averaged 110.2 points per game. The Heat on the other hand have been struggling on defense recently. In Miami's last five games they have surrendered an average of 100.6 points per game. The Lakers defense has certainly had their share of struggles too, but that has only created value in this matchup. Los Angeles has a 26-11 record against the spread when playing on the road after allowing 100 points or more in four straight games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Lakers. You should play on underdogs of 10 or more points when they are revenging a loss where their opponents scored 100 or more points, and when that opponent is coming off a straight up win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. This system is 47-21 (69%) against the spread over the last five seasons. You should also play against home favorites of 10 points or more like Miami when they average 103 or more points per game, and they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 27-6 (82%) against the spread.

3* No Doubt Rout on Charlotte +

This is way too many points for Charlotte to be receiving against a Louisiana Tech team that will be without its leading scorer. Raheem Appleby leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 16.1 points per game, and he is out for 6-8 weeks with an ankle injury. Appleby is one of just three players averaging double-digits in scoring, so his production will certainly be missed.

If the Bulldogs were facing a bad team they could probably get by without Appleby. However, they are facing a Charlotte 49ers team that is 12-5 on the year and currently sitting in second place in Conference USA standings. The 49ers have two wins over teams that are currently ranked, and they have won four of their last five games coming into this matchup. Their difficult schedule should have them well prepared for the Bulldogs, especially since Louisiana Tech is without its best player.

These teams are even in several key statistical categories. However, it is the 49ers that get the advantage in three-point shooting. Charlotte is making 42.1 percent of its three-point attempts on the road this season. The team averages 76.2 points per game, so staying within a double-digit margin against the Bulldogs should be an easy task to accomplish.

4* Conference USA Game of the Week on Tulane +

The Tulane Green Wave have several key advantages over the East Carolina Pirates. Tulane has played a much stronger schedule, yet they have a very similar record to East Carolina. The Green Wave's opponents have surrendered an average of 69.9 points per game this season, compared to 75.7 points per game allowed from the Pirate's opponents.

Both of these teams have put up similar defensive numbers, and giving Tulane eight points is simply too many in a matchup that could go either way. These teams have similar figures in rebounding margin and turnovers. The fact that Tulane has played a much stronger schedule tells me they are the better team. I like their chances to play a close game with East Carolina, and even have a chance to pull off an upset.

East Carolina has struggled when facing a winning team. They are 17-35 ATS when playing against a team that has won 51 to 60 percent of their games after 15 or more games in the season. The Pirates defense has been soft, and they are 9-25 ATS after three straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or less turnovers. Home court advantage is not enough to swing this game by the amount of points it would take to cover this spread. The Green Wave are every bit as good as the Pirates. This game could go either way, but it should be decided by less than eight points regardless of who comes out on top.

4* Southern Conference Game of the Week on Davidson -

After getting off to a slow start Davidson has really turned things on recently. The Wildcats have won four of their last five games, with all four of those games being won by a double-digit margin. The only loss during that stretch was a two-point loss to Elon in a game that went to overtime. The competition is much weaker tonight, so I like Davidson's chances to pick up a big road win.

The Wildcats are averaging 76.4 points per game this season. Their production is barely slowed down in road games averaging 75.7 points per game. Western Carolina may have an undefeated record at home, but they have faced several schools that are not even division one opponents. In fact, the oddsmakers have only set three lines out of the Catamounts eight home games.

Davidson has been a great team to back in conference play over the years. They are 143-109 (57%) against the spread when facing a conference opponent. The Wildcats are also 45-27 ATS when the line is less than three points. I think Western Carolina's soft schedule has them coming into this matchup very overrated, and I like the Wildcats to give them a reality check today.

3* No Doubt Rout on La Salle +

The wrong team appears to be favored in this matchup between the La Salle Explorers and St Bonaventure Bonnies. The Bonnies have lost three consecutive games, including an eight point loss at home in their last outing. They have shown no signs of being able to stop the bleeding any time soon, so I expect the Explorers to pick up their sixth consecutive win in this game.

La Salle has a very good defense, and I think they have a lot of matchup advantages on the court. The Explorers have held opponents to a mere 65.6 points per game on the road this season. That is a very impressive number considering their opponents scoring average is almost 73 points per game. Against common opponents this year La Salle has a 3-0 record, to a 1-2 record from the Bonnies. The disparity in talent is obvious so we will happily take the free points.

St Bonaventure is 1-11 ATS in home games after two straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls, and they are 6-22 ATS in home games when coming off a home loss. The Bonnies are also 5-15 ATS in home games when when coming off an upset loss as a favorite. Last season La Salle took both games over St Bonaventure, and I like the explorers to keep that trend alive this season.

5* Blowout Game of the Month on Spurs -

The Thunder have played a brutal schedule recently, and it will catch up with them today against the Spurs. Oklahoma City is playing in a back-to-back situation after making a late comeback last night against Portland. It was very obvious that the wear and tear of their recent schedule is catching up with them. The Thunder are now playing their fifth game in the past seven days. The Spurs on the other hand are coming into this matchup playing on two days of rest, and have the benefit of home court advantage.

San Antonio has won seven of their last eight games. They are one of the toughest home teams in the league, and I don't see the Thunder keeping pace with their high scoring offense in this game. The Spurs are averaging 105.3 points per game at home. They also have a very underrated defense that is surrendering 96.6 points per game this season. The Thunder take a hit in production when playing on the road. They average 2.2 points per game less, while the defense is surrendering 1.2 points per game more.

The Spurs have a 38-20 ATS record when playing only their second game in the last five days. They are also 17-6 ATS when coming off a game making 55 percent or more of their shot attempts. In head-to-head meetings between these teams the home team has also been the favorite, and they have posted a 6-1 ATS record. With the Spurs playing at home with two days of rest, and the Thunder playing in a back-to-back situation this game has blowout written all over it.

4* No Brainer on Oakland +

The Golden Grizzlies are a much better team than they get credit for, and I expect them to play a close game against WI-Green Bay. Oakland should have no problem keeping pace with the Phoenix in this matchup. They are averaging 73.6 points per game this season, exceeding their opponents defensive scoring average by over three points per game.

The oddsmakers overvalued Green Bay in their last outing, yet they still have the Phoenix listed as a double-digit favorite in this game. It is simply too many points against a Horizon League opponent, especially with the Phoenix coming off four consecutive road games. They have not played a game at home in almost three weeks, and the defense has been showing signs of weakness recently surrendering just over 70 points per game in their last five games.

Oakland is 29-11 ATS in road games when coming off two straight games against conference opponents. Green Bay on the other hand has posted a 4-16 ATS record off three straight wins against conference rivals. You should play against teams coming off three or more road wins when they have won 80 percent of more of their games on the season. This system is 26-6 (81%) ATS over the last five seasons.

5* Heavy Hitter on Northeastern +

This is way too many points for an underrated team like Northeastern to be receiving. The Huskies have played a tough schedule this season, and they have picked up some impressive wins in the process. The highlight win of the season game in a 63-56 victory over Georgetown, so I think Northeastern is a much better team than their record indicates.

The Huskies have three losses in Colonial Athletic play, and all of those losses have come by a single-digit margin. They are up against a Towson team that is very overrated thanks to a soft schedule. The Tigers are coming off back-to-back road games against conference opponents, and I have them playing in a letdown spot at home against Northeastern.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing Northeastern. You should play against home favorites like Towson when they are coming off an upset win as a road underdog and they have won 60 to 80 percent of their games on the season when they are playing against a team that has won 20 to 40 percent of their games on the year. This system has cashed in a 44-16 (73%) ATS record over the last five seasons.

5* Western Conf. Game of the Month on OKC Thunder -

The Thunder have a lot to play for in this game, and I like their chances to pick up a big win on their home court. First place in the Northwest Division is on the line, and tonight Portland will run into a red hot Thunder team and the league's leading scorer. Kevin Durant is riding seven consecutive 30-point performances as Oklahoma City tries for their fourth consecutive win.

The Trail Blazers are playing in a back-to-back situation after getting crushed by Houston last night. It was a 13-point loss for Portland, and I expect them to struggle again against this Thunder team that is 18-3 at home this season. Oklahoma City will also have the revenge factor on their side. Portland squeaked off a four point win the last time these teams met, and with a day of rest coming into this game I expect the Thunder to easily get that revenge.

The Trail Blazers are a very soft team defensively. They surrender an average of 104.2 points per game on the road this season. Oklahoma city is 53-32 against poor pressure defenses that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game. They are also 40-25 ATS when coming off a performance scoring 105 or more points in their last outing. The Thunder have dominated the head-to-head series between these teams posting a 6-3 ATS record over the last three seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings +

The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Sacramento is coming into this game playing with a day of rest, while New Orleans is playing in a back-to-back situation after a road game in Memphis last night. The Pelicans managed to pull off an upset win in that game, but they are still just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.

Rudy Gay has been a big difference maker for Sacramento. He is averaging 23 points per game in the Kings previous six games, and Sacramento is 8-3 when he scores 20 or more points. I expect Gay, along with the rest of the Kings roster, to have an easy time scoring points. New Orleans is surrendering an average of 102.9 points per game this season.

You should play on teams like Sacramento with a line of three points or less when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points in the previous meeting, and they are coming off a home loss by 10 points or more. The Kings suffered a tough loss at the hands of Oklahoma City, and I think their poor performance against a top tier team like the Thunder has actually created value for this matchup. New Orleans is nowhere near the talent level of the Thunder, so expect a much better performance from the Kings in this outing. This system identifies teams being undervalued by the oddsmakers, and it has resulted in a 107-62 (63%) record against the spread.

3* Main Event on Indiana +

This is a revenge game for the Hoosiers, and the oddsmakers have been a little too generous giving them so many points in the second meeting of the season between these teams. Indiana is coming off a loss to Northwestern, but I won't hold that game against them since they were playing in a letdown spot after handing the No. 3 Wisconsin Badgers their first loss of the season. I think that loss to the Wildcats has forced the oddsmakers to undervalue the Hoosiers.

Michigan State is playing in a big letdown situation. The Spartans have in-state rival Michigan on deck, and after beating the Hoosiers handily in the first meeting I think their is a lot of potential to look past Indiana. The Hoosiers will have a big size advantage in this game since Michigan State will be without Adreian Payne. He is second in scoring for the Spartans this year, and the senior forward is also one of the team's best players on the defensive end of the court. His production will be missed against a team with the size that Indiana has on the roster.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Hoosiers. You should play against favorites like Michigan State when they have won 80% or more of their games on the season and have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, when the are playing a good team that has won 60 to 80 percent of their games on the season. This system identifies teams that are being overvalued by the oddsmakers, and it has resulted in a 125-75 (63%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Marquette +

The wrong team appears to be favored when the Marquette Golden Eagles take on the Georgetown Hoyas. Marquette has played an incredibly difficult schedule this year. Half of the Golden Eagles losses have come against teams that are currently ranked, or have been ranked at one point in the season. The Hoyas are really having trouble in Big East play, so there is a lot of value on a good team like Marquette coming into this game as an underdog.

Georgetown has lost three of its last four games. Their only win during that stretch was a tough overtime game that they probably should have lost during regulation. The Golden Eagles have several key advantages in this matchup. First of all, they are a great foul drawing team. The Hoyas have had a lot of problems with getting into foul trouble and if the Hoyas get in trouble early, they will struggle to slow the Golden Eagles down. Marquette also has a defensive advantage in this game. The Golden Eagles have surrendered a mere 63.6 points per game this season.

Marquette is not an underdog very often, but in those rare situations like today they have been a great team to back. With Buzz Williams as head their coach the Golden Eagles are 34-19 ATS as an underdog. With Marquette coming off a road loss I expect to see them bounce back with a strong performance in Georgetown. The Golden Eagles are 11-3 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -

These teams are headed in opposite directions. The Grizzlies come into this matchup having won six of their last seven games. Meanwhile the Pelicans have dropped their last eight consecutive games, and are showing no signs of life after getting blown out at home by a double-digit margin in their last outing.

The Pelicans have been horrible defensively this season. They are allowing an average of 106.4 points per game when playing on the road. With a defense that plays so poorly, I don't think the Pelicans will be able to make enough stops to keep this game close. New Orleans should also struggle to get points on the board against this tough Grizzlies team. Memphis is surrendering just 96.6 points per game this season.

The Grizzlies should have plenty of motivation for this game. They suffered a bad loss in New Orleans the last time these teams met, so they will be playing for revenge today. Memphis is 21-9 ATS when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points. The Grizzlies are also 41-26 ATS versus good offensive teams that are scoring 99 or more points per game.

4* Vegas Insider on Brooklyn -

The Brooklyn Nets have really turned their season around since the New Year. They have won six of their last seven games both straight up and against the spread. They should easily continue their success today against the Knicks. New York has really struggled recently. In their last five games the Knicks are 2-3 and have surrendered an average of 104.4 points per game.

Brooklyn comes into this matchup playing on three days of rest. I don't expect the Knicks to get a lot of benefit from home court advantage. Its a short trip for the Nets to make their way to Madison Square Garden since it is just 20 minutes away from the Barclays Center. I think Brooklyn will be playing with more motivation in this game too. The Nets are playing for revenge after dropping a game to the Knicks last month.

The Nets are 14-4 ATS in road games when playing just their second game in the last five days. They are also 9-1 ATS in road games when playing six or less games in the last 14 days. The rest profiles are heavily in favor of the Nets for this game, and with the Knicks sitting on a 5-15 ATS record at home I think Brooklyn is an easy call.

3* No Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings +

Oklahoma City is playing in a letdown situation after coming off two big wins over Houston and Golden State. There is also a good chance they will be looking ahead to their matchup with Portland, so I expect a poor performance from the Thunder in this game. The Kings are playing well right now having won four of their last six games, and they have covered the spread in five of those six matchups.

The Kings are on a scoring binge right now. They are averaging 104 points per game over their last five games. They have also been dominating the rebounding margin with a +8 figure during that stretch. I think the fact that Oklahoma City has won back-to-back games against tough opponents has caused the oddsmakers to overvalue the Thunder in this matchup. With the Kings playing as well as they have recently, they are an easy call getting so many points in this game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Kings. You should play on road teams like Sacramento when they are averaging 98 to 102 points per game, and they are playing against a poor defensive team that surrenders 98 to 102 points per game when they are coming off a loss by six points or less. Sacramento suffered a single point loss to Memphis in their last outing. This system is 45-18 (71%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Main Event on Minnesota +

This is too many points for the Gophers to be receiving in what should prove to be a very close game. The Gophers losses this season have been very respectable. They suffered a single digit loss to a Syracuse team that is arguably the best team in the country. In conference play their losses have come against Michigan and Michigan State. The loss to the Wolverines was decided by just three points, while the Gophers took then No. 5 Michigan State to overtime in a game that was much closer than the final score.

Minnesota is coming off a confidence boosting win at home over Ohio State. I think there is a lot of potential for the Gophers to pull off an upset in this matchup with Iowa. The Hawkeyes have a road game against Michigan on deck, and after pulling off an upset over Ohio State in their last outing I think Iowa is playing in a letdown situation. Iowa's win over the Buckeyes was on the road, and after a win like that I don't think the Hawkeyes will be playing with the mentality it takes to win a game by double-digits against a tough conference opponent like Minnesota.

While the points surrendered from both of these teams may make this matchup look fairly even, I would argue the Gophers have the better defense based on their schedule. Minnesota

5* Big West Game of the Year on Long Beach State +

The 49ers have been a great team to back on the road when they are playing a team with a losing record. They have a 34-19 ATS record in those games, and that is a trend that should continue this weekend. Cal Poly has faced an incredibly soft schedule this year, yet it still sits two games below a .500 record. The Mustang

4* No Brainer on Indiana Pacers -

The Clippers have not played well on the road this year, and I expect them to struggle against a Pacers team that has a 20-1 record at home this season. Indiana is 15-6 ATS in those games. They come into this matchup playing with a day of rest, while Los Angeles is playing in a back-to-back situation after facing the Knicks last night.

A big reason for Indiana's success at home has been outstanding play on the defensive end of the court. They surrender a mere 83.3 points per game at home this season. I think the Pacers will easily put up a big number on the offensive end of the court since Los Angeles has surrendered 100.4 points per game on the road.

Indiana has been a good team to back all season, but they are a great team to back when playing as a favorite. They are 22-9 ATS as a favorite this season, and they are 3-1 ATS in head-to-head matchups with Los Angeles over the last three seasons. The Clippers have a long history of struggles against good defensive teams. They are 76-111 ATS against teams allowing 91 points per game or less. With Los Angeles playing on back-to-back nights and facing one of the best teams in the league, I think Indiana is poised to pick up a double-digit win in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Cornell +

The Cornell Big Red are coming off a much needed and confidence boosting win. Cornell has played in some very close games this season, and I don

3* No Doubt Rout on Georgia +

The Razorbacks are playing in a letdown spot after pulling off what many considered an upset over Kentucky in their last game. Arkansas has not played well on the road this season posting a 2-3 record, and they are facing a Georgia team that has protected their home court with a 7-1 record. The Bulldogs are a much better team than they are getting credit for, and with the backing of their home crowd I think there is a lot of potential for Georgia to pick up their eighth home win of the season.

Georgia has a strong defensive advantage in this matchup. Arkansas is surrendering 75.6 points per game on the road this year, while Georgia has allowing just 60.7 points per game when playing at home. I also like the Bulldogs chances to win both the turnover and rebounding margins in this matchup. Georgia is +8 in rebounding margin at home, and they average a mere 13 turnovers per game.

The Razorbacks are 4-16 ATS in road games when coming off one or more consecutive wins. They are also 2-12 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more in their previous game. Georgia is 22-9 ATS in home games after coming off a loss by 15 points or more. The Bulldogs suffered a tough road loss against Florida, but that was to be expected with such a large talent gap between those teams. In this matchup the Bulldogs will face a team of an equal talent level, and with home court advantage they should have no problem picking up a win.

4* Heavy Hitter on Tulsa -

Marshall has been one of the biggest disappointments in C-USA this season. The Thundering Herd have faced one of the softest schedules in the conference. Their opponents are surrendering an average of 75.5 points per game, compared to just 69.8 points surrendered by the Golden Hurricanes opponents. Tulsa has produced just as well on the road as they have at home, so I don

4* Western Conf. Game of the Week on Golden State +

These teams have split two meetings this season, and I think Golden State has the advantage in the third matchup of the year with Oklahoma City. The Thunder are in a back-to-back situation after playing on the road against Houston last night. The Warriors on the other hand are playing with a day of rest, and that should prove to be a big advantage with their uptempo style of play.

Even with a win over Houston last night the Thunder have lost three of their last five games. The Warriors are coming into this game having won 11 of their last 13 games. They have a winning record on the road, and a big reason for their success away from home comes from an offense averaging 102 points in those games. Golden State has been solid defensively this year, surrendering an average of 99 points per game.

The first two meetings of the year between these teams were decided by a single point. I like the Warriors to end that trend with a comfortable win against the Thunder. Golden State is 19-8 ATS when playing their second game in five days. This matchup also fits a system to play against home favorites like the Thunder when they have won two of their last three games, but are facing an opponent that has won six or more of their last eight games. This system is 132-77 (63%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Dallas Mavericks -

The Suns have been struggling recently dropping three of their last four games. A big reason for their recent slump has been poor play on the defensive end of the court. Phoenix is surrendering an average of 105.8 points over their last five games. They will be in serious trouble tonight against a Mavericks team that comes into this matchup averaging 108.2 points per game over their last five games.

Dallas has been a profitable team to back on the road this year. They have a 13-7 ATS record. The Mavericks seem to have the Suns number in recent years. Over the last three seasons Dallas is 6-3 both straight up and against the spread when facing Phoenix. Even when the Suns have come court advantage the Mavericks are 3-2 straight up and against the spread. When these teams met last month the Suns shot 50 percent on three point attempts and over 90 percent from the free throw line. Its unlikely they will be able repeat that feat, so I like the Mavericks to get some revenge tonight.

Dallas is a very good ball control team, and when they are not committing turnovers they are covering spreads. The Mavericks are 26-12 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. The Suns come into this matchup with a 4-14 ATS record at home after having lost three of their last four games. The Suns are not a team that plays well when they are forced to play a lot of closely grouped games. This will be their eighth game in the last two weeks, and Phoenix is 8-19 ATS when playing eight or more games over a 14 days span.

4* Total Annihilator on Mavericks/Suns OVER

I think the total for this game is set much lower than it should be. Dallas is coming into this matchup averaging 108.2 points per game over their last five games. They are not a team that takes a big hit in offensive production when playing on the road, and I like their chances to continue their scoring binge against this soft Phoenix defense. The Suns are surrendering 105.8 points per game over their last five games, and there scoring defense at home has actually been worse than when the Suns are playing on the road.

The Suns should also score at-will in this game. Dallas may be on a tear on the offensive end of the court, but there defense has been non-existent recently. The Mavericks have surrendered 105.2 points per game over their last five games. The Suns are a very good scoring team at home, averaging 108.1 points per game when playing in Phoenix. These teams met last month and the total was set at 208 points. They combined for a total of 231 points in that game, yet the total set by the oddsmakers has barely increased. I think that represents strong value on the over tonight.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on the over. You should take the over when the total is over 200 points, and the teams went over the total by more than 18 points in their last meeting, and one of the teams (Dallas) went over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game. This system has a 159-94 (63%) record in favor of the over.

4* Vegas Insider on Long Beach State +

There is a lot of value on Long Beach State receiving so many points against UC-Santa Barbara. The 49ers have churned out a profitable 5-3 ATS record on the road, while the Gauchos have received little to no home court advantage with their 2-2 ATS record at home. I think the 49ers difficult non-conference schedule will make Santa Barbara look like a practice squad in this game. Long Beach State has played seven games against teams that are currently ranked, or have been ranked at one point in the season.

Santa Barbara played a fairly soft non-conference schedule, and they looked completely unprepared for the better talent that comes when facing a conference opponent. They opened Big West play with a six point loss at home, and I think they will struggle to get past the 49ers who look like a completely new team with Tyler Lamb in the lineup. Lamb has played in just six games this season, but he has already proved to be one of the most talented players in the conference. Lamb has scored 16 points or more in five of his six games, and the 49ers are 4-2 as a team when he is on the court.

UC-Santa Barbara is 0-4 ATS in their last four games, and they are up against a 49ers team that is 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. The Gauchos are a team that relies heavily on their ability to force turnovers, and that is a battle they will lose against Long Beach State. The 49ers are committing just 12 turnovers per game, a number that is much better than it seems when you look at the teams they have faced this season. Santa Barbara is 30-52 ATS during the Bob Williams era against good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game after 15 or more games.

3* Main Event on OKC Thunder +

The last time these teams met the Thunder picked up a 31 point victory. A change in venue will narrow that gap, but I don't think it is enough to justify the Rockets coming into this game as the favorite. Over the last three seasons Oklahoma City has dominated the series with Houston. They have won nine of the last 14 meetings between these teams, which includes taking four of seven when playing in Houston.

The Thunder are playing with a day of rest after dropping a close game with Memphis, while the Rockets are coming off a hard fought victory in New Orleans last night. Houston is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games when coming off a win, while the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss. The Thunder are also 52-32 ATS over the last three seasons when facing a poor pressure defense that is forcing 14 turnovers or less per game like Houston.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Thunder. You should play against home teams like Houston when they are playing on back-to-back nights and they are trying to revenge a loss where their opponent scored 110 points or more. This system is 93-47 (66%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Belmont +

The oddsmakers have favored the wrong team in this game. Belmont has played a tough schedule, and they have several quality wins this season. The biggest win of the year game on the road against then ranked No. 12 North Carolina. The Bruins extremely difficult non-conference schedule has them well prepared coming into Ohio Valley Conference play. They have won three of their four conference games by a double-digit margin.

Belmont has several key statistical advantages in this matchup. They are a superb shooting team, making over 50 percent of their shot attempts from the field. The Bruins average 80.5 points per game overall, and their production is barely slowed down on the road averaging 78.9 points per game. The Colonels have been soft on defense this year surrendering an average of 69.4 points per game. That is a very poor number considering their opponents offensive average is just 69.9 points per game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing Belmont. You should play on road underdogs like the Bruins in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better on three point attempts after 15 or more games, after two straight games making 50 percent or more of their three point shots. This system is 41-13 (76%) against the spread.

3* No Doubt Rout on Dallas Mavericks +

We are getting a lot of value on the Mavericks as they seek their fourth consecutive win tonight. Dallas is playing with revenge on their side after losing a close game against the Clippers earlier this month. It was a game Dallas dominated statistically, but still ended up falling short. I like their chances to get that revenge since they are playing so well right now. Over their past five games Dallas has averaged 104.8 points per game, while surrendering just 98.8 points per game.

Even the bench players for the Mavericks are getting in on the action. They outscored the Magic reserves 42-14 on Monday. I don't think the Clippers recent run will be sustainable without Chris Paul. He is arguably the best player on the team, and against a top-tier opponent like Dallas his production will be sorely missed. When the Mavericks can avoid turnovers they are a spread covering machine. Dallas is 25-12 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last two seasons.

The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team winning 60 percent or more of their home games, and they are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games against any team with a winning record at home. Dallas is also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when playing on one day of rest. The Clippers had four days off coming into this game, and with that much rest it will be hard to play with the mentality it takes to beat a team like the Mavericks. Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on three or more days of rest.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Alabama -

I don't think Mississippi State is as good as their 11-4 record would indicate. The Bulldogs may be coming off their biggest win of the season when they beat Ole Miss, but the Rebels were without their best player in that game. They face a Crimson Tide team that has done a great job of protecting their home court with a 7-2 record in those nine games.

When you look at the Bulldogs schedule it is easy to see why they are overrated. They have not played many quality teams, and the good teams they have played have handed Mississippi State some pretty embarrassing losses. In fact, all four of the Bulldogs losses have come by a double-digit margin. In their only two traditional road games this year they were defeated by an average of 20.2 points.

The Bulldogs are 3-13 ATS over the last two seasons as an underdog of 10 points or more. They are also 1-9 ATS against good shooting teams that are making 45 percent or more of their attempts. Alabama is averaging 48.8 percent from the field at home, and defensively the Crimson Tide have surrendered just 60.9 points in those games. Mississippi State on the other hand is allowing 76.4 points per game when playing on the road. All signs point to a blowout win for Alabama.

4* MAC Game of the Week on Bowling Green -

The Falcons have lost four straight, and I think that has forced the oddsmakers to set this line much lower than it should be. All four of those losses were very close games and came against opponents that share a combined 42-26 record this season. Central Michigan comes into this game with a 3-6 record against the spread, and the Chippewas are outmatched in several key categories.

Bowling Green is a very strong team defensively. They have the 32nd ranked scoring defense in college basketball, and they have held opponents to an average of just 63 points per game. When playing at home they have been even better, surrendering just 60.4 points per game. I don't think the Falcons will have any problems getting points on the board against the Chippewas. Central Michigan's defense has allowed an average of 76.7 points per game when playing on the road.

Bowling Green is 9-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games. The Chippewas have a 3-11 ATS record against good defensive teams that are allowing a shooting percentage of 42 percent or less after 15 or more games. I think home court advantage plays a big factor in this game since Central Michigan has played so poorly on the road, and the Falcons should make easy work of the Chippewas.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Temple +

The Temple Owls are a much better team than their 5-9 record indicates. Of those nine losses only one has come by a margin greater than 10 points. The Owls took a very talented Texas team to overtime and lost by a single point, and that is just one of many close games played by Temple. The Owls are a young team, but they are very close to turning the corner and winning some of those close games.

Scoring points should not be an issue for Temple. The Owls come into this game averaging 77.5 points per game. They face a Bearcats team that is averaging 71.5 points per game, so Temple definitely has a scoring advantage in this matchup. The Owls have also been a very good ball control team. They average just 10 turnovers per game this season and that will be a big factor since Cincinnati relies heavily on their ability to force turnovers to win games.

You should play against favorites of 10 points or more like Cincinnati when they are coming off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival, and they are facing an opponent that is coming off a loss by 10 points or less to a conference rival. This system is 69-32 (68%) against the spread over the last five seasons. Temple is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that has a winning record at home, and that is a trend that should continue against Cincinnati tonight.

3* Bailout Blowout on Jazz +

We are getting a lot of value on the Jazz as an underdog at home in this matchup with Denver. I think the oddsmakers have overvalued the Nuggets based on their recent win streak. Utah is also on a nice run winning three of their last five games and covering the spread in four of their last six games. Utah should have no problem getting points on the board against Denver. The Nuggets have allowed an average of 103.5 points per game against division opponents this season.

In head-to-head matchups between these teams the Jazz have dominated the series when they are playing at home. Utah is 30-7 straight up against Denver since 1996. These teams also met last month in Denver and the Jazz picked up a 10 point win on the road. Utah is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games when coming off a double-digit loss at home, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on home underdogs like Utah when they have a losing record on the season, but are extremely well rested playing five or less games in the last 14 days. This system is 41-18 (70%) against the spread over the last five seasons. You should also play against road teams like Denver when they are coming off a home win by 10 points or more and they are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more against their opponent. This system is 161-100 (62%) against the spread.

3* Big Sky Game of the Week on Southern Utah +

We are getting a lot of value on Southern Utah at home in this matchup with Northern Arizona. The Lumberjacks have covered the spread in four of their last six games, while the Thunderbirds have a 2-9 ATS record this season. I think those records have caused the oddsmakers have severely over compensate for this game.

Statistically Northern Arizona and Southern Utah are very even. The Lumberjacks are averaging 63.9 points per game on the road while surrendering an average of 72.6 points per game in those matchups. That is very comparable to Southern Utah's 61 points scored per game and 75.5 points surrendered per game when playing at home. Both teams also average similar numbers in turnovers. It is the Thunderbirds that have an advantage from the free throw line making 82 percent of their attempts at home, while the Lumberjacks average 71.9 percent from the line when playing on the road.

Northern Arizona has not performed well on the road this season. They have a 2-8 record in their 10 road games, with both of those wins coming against teams with a losing record. The only blowout win the Lumberjacks have this season came San Diego Christian College, a weak opponent from the Golden State Athletic Conference. The only reason they are coming into this matchup with more wins than the Thunderbirds is because of their incredibly soft schedule.

Southern Utah has won the last two meetings between these teams both straight up and against the spread. This will be the first time all season that the Thunderbirds have played back-to-back home games, and I think they will get a big boost in production not having to travel between games. Northern Arizona is 2-11 ATS when coming off a home game and 12-25 ATS when they faced a conference opponent in their previous matchup. This game should be close, and I expect the Thunderbirds to be in a position to win this game in the end.

5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on the Rockets -

The Celtics are in a horrible slump right now. They have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Boston is coming off a five game road trip, and I think they will have a bad letdown performance in their first game back home. This will be Boston

3* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Grizzlies UNDER

The total on this game is set far too high considering how these teams have been playing recently. In their last five games the Atlanta Hawks have averaged a mere 90 points per game. They have played well defensively during that stretch holding opponents to just 90 points per game. They are up against a Grizzlies team that is not known for putting up big numbers on the scoreboard. Memphis averages 96.2 points per game, and I expect the Grizzlies to struggle to match that number in this matchup since the Hawks are playing so well defensively right now.

The under is a perfect 8-0 in the Grizzlies last eight home games against Southeast division opponents. It is also 29-15 when Memphis is coming off a win by six points or less. The Grizzlies squeaked by Phoenix in their last game winning by just five points. They uncharacteristically gave up 99 points, and I expect to see a much stronger defensive performance in this matchup, especially since Memphis is playing with a day of rest. The Grizzlies opponents have averaged over 101 points per game on the season, and they have held those opponents to just 97.5 points per game on the year. They are poised to improve on that number in this game since the Hawks are having so many problems scoring points right now.

This matchup fits into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190 and 199.5 points, and one of the teams (Atlanta) is coming off a game allowing 80 points or less when they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more over in four or more consecutive games. This system is 46-17 (73%) in favor of the under. The fact that Memphis has been scoring so many points has created a lot of value on the under in this matchup.

4* No Brainer on Marist +

I don't think Manhattan is as good as their 11-3 record, and they should struggle to cover such a large spread against this underrated Marist team. The Red Foxes got off to a slow start to the season, but they have really turned things around recently winning five of their last six games. The Jaspers will have to cover this number without their leading scorer George Beamon who is out with a shoulder injury. Beamon averages over 20 points per game and 6.6 rebounds per game, so his production will certainly be missed.

Marist has a very underrated defense. They are allowing 70.1 points per game, but that has come against opponents whose scoring average is over 72 points per game. The Jaspers on the other hand have allowed 71 points per game against opponents whose scoring average is only 69.8 points per game. To win by a double-digit margin you have to dominate in the key statistical categories. Manhattan has proved to be a poor rebounding team, especially when playing at home. They have a -5 figure for rebounding margin in home games which is another indicator that the Jaspers are overrated.

This matchup fits into a system to play on road underdogs of 10 points or more, like Marist, when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent, and they are playing their second road game in three days. This system is 121-72 (63%) against the spread over the last five seasons. When these teams met earlier this year the Jaspers had Beamon in the lineup and won by 11 points. Without him I don't think they will even come close to that number. In their last game against Quinnipiac, Beamon played just five minutes and Manhattan ended up losing the game straight up and against the spread. Adjusting to Beamon's absence is going to take some time before the Jaspers can get things back on track. In the mean time we will take the points with Marist.

3* Oddsmakers Error on SIU-Edwardsville +

This line is quite a bit larger than it should be for two evenly matched teams. The Cougars are averaging 71.4 points per game, which is right in line with Tennessee Tech at 73.2 points per game. The Golden Eagles have definitely faced the softer schedule with their opponents surrendering an average of 74.2 points per game on the season.

It is the same story on the defensive end of the court. Tennessee Tech's opponents have only averaged 69.6 points per game, and defensively the Golden Eagles have surrendered 69.6 points per game. The Cougars on the other hand have faced a schedule where their opponents average 74.2 points per game, and I think their stronger schedule will have them well prepared for this conference road game against the Golden Eagles.

Tennessee Tech is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games when coming off a win. I think that trend continues in this game because Edwardsville is a much better team than this line is indicating. They are evenly matched in turnovers, and when you factor in strength of schedule these teams are also even in scoring and in points surrendered this season. I think both of these teams have a legitimate chance to win the game, and getting spotted this many points is simply too good to pass up.

5* C-USA Game of the Year on Florida Int. +

This is simply too many points for the Golden Panthers to be receiving in today's matchup against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. The Panthers are averaging 73.6 points per game this season, and they should easily be able to keep pace with the Bulldogs in scoring. Defensively Louisiana Tech has been decent, but I don't think they are as good as the numbers their statistics tell thanks to a very soft schedule.

The Bulldogs offensive numbers are also artificially inflated. Their opponents have allowed an average of almost 77 points per game, which makes the Panthers one of the better defensive teams Louisiana Tech has faced this season. Florida International has played well on the road this year, and I like their chances to keep this game within single-digits against the Bulldogs.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on the Golden Panthers. You should play against favorites like Louisiana Tech when they are coming off a win by 20 points or more over a conference rival, and they have won 80 percent or more of their games on the season and are playing against a team that has won 51 to 60 percent of its games like Florida International. This system is 36-11 (77%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Knicks -

The Knicks have been on fire in the New Year, and this line is giving far too much credit to Philadelphia. New York has won four of their last five games straight up, and covered the spread in all five of those games. Philadelphia on the other hand has lost three in a row both straight up and against the spread. The 76ers are showing no signs of life, while New York does not even begin to resemble the team that lost 13 of their first 16 games this season.

The Knicks should be able to score at-will against this soft 76ers defense. Philadelphia is allowing an average of 111.2 points per game this season, and they get no benefit from home court advantage where they have surrendered 111.9 points per game. The Knicks defense on the other hand has been solid, especially recently. Over their last five games New York has held its opponents to a mere 92 points per game.

The Knicks have been a good team to back on the road recently. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games when their opponent has a losing record at home. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games when playing with a day of rest. Philadelphia is playing in a back-to-back situation after getting blown out by a double-digit margin at home last night against Detroit.

3* No Doubt Rout on Long Beach State -

The Long Beach State 49ers have played a very tough schedule, so I won't hold their 4-11 record against them. Besides, Cal Davis is not coming into this game with a record that looks any better at 5-11 on the season. The 49ers have faced six teams that are currently ranked, or have been ranked at one point this season.

The Aggies have been horrible this year. They are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall, which includes a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven road games. UC-Davis is also 0-1 in conference play, and 0-4 ATS against Big West opponents dating back to last season. The 49ers on the other hand have posted a 6-2 ATS record in their last eight games against teams winning 40 percent of their games or less.

This game should end up being a blowout in favor of Long Beach State. The UC-Davis defense has surrendered 78.7 points per game overall and 83 points per game when playing on the road. The Aggies have not done a very good job of scoring points on the road to keep those games close. They are scoring 69 points per game and have a 2-7 record in road games this season. Their average margin of defeat in those matchups is over 14 points.

4* Summit League Game of the Week on S. Dakota +

This game has blowout written all over it. The Coyotes are averaging 86 points per game at home this season and they have a 4-1 record in those games. Denver on the other hand comes into this matchup averaging a mere 62.2 points per game when playing on the road. The Pioneers also have a 3-6 record in road games this season.

South Dakota is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Summit League opponents. The Coyotes are not a small home dog very often, but when they are they have been a great team to back. South Dakota is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the Denver Pioneers have a 17-34 ATS record when playing on the road after two consecutive non-conference games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system that favors South Dakota. You should play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Denver after allowing 60 points or less when they are playing against an opponent that has scored 75 points or more two straight games. This system is a 34-12 (74%) ATS record over the last five seasons.

4* Total Dominator on Magic/Kings OVER

There should be no shortage of scoring between the Magic and Kings tonight. Orlando has been horrible defensively when playing on the road, allowing an average of 102.1 points. Meanwhile, the Kings have scored an average of 101.4 points when playing at home. The Kings are also a soft team defensively which only adds value to the over. Sacramento has surrendered an average of 105 points per game overall this season.

Over their last five games Sacramento has averaged 108.8 points. There defense has been horrible in those games, allowing an average of 112.6 points per game. The Magic have not been scoring a lot of points recently, and I think that has forced the oddsmakers to set this total much lower than it should be. Even a team like Orlando should score a lot of points against Sacramento's non-existent defense.

The Kings have gone over the total in nine of their last 10, and the oddsmakers have still not set the bar high enough in this matchup. The over is 12-4 in Sacramento's games against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls, and 24-13 against poor pressure defense teams that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game. The over is also 5-1 in Orlando's last six games against a team with a losing record and 5-1 in their last six head-to-head meetings between these teams.

3* No Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -

The Houston Rockets are going for seven consecutive wins over Atlanta tonight, and I still don't think the oddsmakers have realized the gap in talent between these teams. The last time they met, Atlanta was not even close to beating Houston losing by almost 30-points. That was back when the Hawks had center Al Horford, and Houston was without James Harden. Atlanta is struggling recently losing three of their last four games, and in this rematch they will be without Horford, while the Rockets will have Harden in the lineup.

Over their last five games Atlanta has averaged a mere 91.8 points per game. I expect them to struggle to keep up with this Houston team that is averaging 105.9 points per game on the road this season. Atlanta has not received a lot of benefit from home court advantage when these teams face off. The Rockets are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings when the Hawks are playing at home.

This game fits into a very profitable system to make a play on Houston. You should play on road teams like the Rockets when they are coming off a home win by 10 points or more, and they are a good team that has won 60 to 75 percent of their games on the season, and are facing a marginal team that was won 51 to 60% of their games. This system has a 47-20 (70%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Main Event on Fairfield +

The Stags are a much better team than their 3-12 record indicates, and I like their chances to play a close game with Iona. The Gaels have a losing record of 6-7 this year, and they have lost five of their last six coming into this game. Fairfield may not be winning games either, but they are coming off a close matchup with St. Peters and their confidence has to be high knowing they are facing an Iona team allowing over 80 points per game on the season.

Fairfield has played well defensively this season. They are holding opponents well below their scoring average, allowing just 68.9 points per game. They have allowed those opponents to shoot just 39.8 percent from the field. The Stags are holding their own on the boards, pulling in 36 rebounds per game, and that will be a big advantage over the Gaels who are pulling in a mere 32 rebounds per game and have a -7 figure in rebounding margin.

This matchup fits into a system to play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Fairfield when they have lost three of their last four games and have a win percentage of 20 percent or less on the season when they are playing a team with a losing record. This system is 29-7 (81%) against the spread. The Stags should be able to compete with the Gaels, and I think they will keep this game very close.

4* No Brainer on Marquette +

I don't think another team in the country has played as difficult of a schedule as the Marquette Golden Eagles. They may have six losses already, but those six opponents have a combined 80-10 record this season. Five of those six teams are currently ranked, or have been ranked at one point in the year. That hasn't stopped the Golden Eagles from playing in some very close games, and I expect the same result in this matchup with Xavier.

Marquette is holding opponents to 61.5 points per game this season. They are easily one of the best defensive teams in the Big East, and they should have no problem shutting down the Musketeers. Xavier is on a seven game win streak, and that has the oddsmakers giving them way too much credit. In the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams the Golden Eagles have a 4-1 ATS record.

This game fits into a very profitable system to make a play on Marquette. You should play against a favorite like Xavier when coming off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival when they have won 80 percent or more of their games on the season and they are facing a team that has won 51 to 60 percent of their games. This system identifies teams being overvalued by the oddsmakers, and it is resulted in a 94-55 (63%) ATS record over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on UL-Monroe +

Texas Arlington is coming off back-to-back upset losses as a favorite. ULM on the other hand is off an upset win as an underdog, and I think the Warhawks are the better team in this matchup. They have played a tough schedule this year facing two teams ranked in the top 10, as well as very difficult road games against LSU and Ole Miss.

ULM should have no problem getting points on the board in this game since they face on of the worst defenses in the Sun Belt Conference. The Mavericks are allowing an average of 80 points per game this season against opponents whose scoring average is only 72.8 points per game. I think ULM is a much better team than they appear statistically. The Warhawks have allowed 73.4 points per game, but their opponents offensive average is 78.2 points per game.

Texas-Arlington is 1-9 ATS in home games after playing a game at home in their previous outing. They are also 4-12 ATS after playing a game as a favorite over the last two seasons. The Warhawks on the other hand are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 6-2 ATS when coming off a performance scoring more than 90 points. Louisiana-Monroe is the better team, and they should play a good game against Texas-Arlington with a chance to pull off the upset in the end.

3* No Doubt Rout on Missouri State PICK

This is a very lopsided matchup, and I think this line is giving Bradley far too much credit for playing on their home court. At 11-3 on the season Missouri State is easily the better team in this game. They average 10 points per game more than the Braves, and I don

5* Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Pistons +

Toronto is coming off back-to-back losses against two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. Those games put an end to their win streak, and I think it will be hard for the Raptors to recover since they are playing in a back-to-back situation. Now Toronto has to face a Pistons team that is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against Atlantic division opponents.

Detroit is coming off a strong defensive performance last night, holding New York to just 89 points. If not for a rare poor shooting performance it is a game the Pistons would have won. They should have no problem bouncing back against this Toronto team that is surrendering 99.3 points per game at home this season. The Raptors are scoring a mere 91.4 points per game over their last five games, and their poor defensive play will cost them tonight. The Pistons come into this matchup scoring 99.3 points per game on the road.

This game fits into a very profitable system for a play on Detroit. You should take road underdogs like the Pistons after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, and they have won 25 to 40 percent of their games in the season. This system identifies teams the oddsmakers are undervaluing, and it has led to a 162-102 (61%) record against the spread.

4* Heavy Hitter on Providence +

The Hoyas have not lived up to the hype this season. They have three losses, and have yet to play a good game against a talented team. Their win over VCU is not that impressive since the Rams have also played a soft schedule and they have a bad loss to UNI this year. Providence on the other hand has played several close games against good teams. Their loss to Villanova was hard to swallow, but the Friars were playing in a letdown spot after dropping back-to-back games in overtime against their last two opponents.

The Friars may have five losses on the season, but those five opponents have a combined 55-16 record. They have played three ranked opponents this year, so their difficult schedule should have them well prepared to play host against the overrated Hoyas. I don

3* Oddsmakers Error on St Peter's +

This matchup has upset written all over it. Fairfield is simply put, a bad team this year. Their 3-11 record is quite embarrassing considering they have played a fairly soft schedule. The biggest problem for the Stags is a lack of scoring options. They are averaging 60.9 points per game this year, and shooting a mere 38.1 percent from the field. That is a big issue when your defense is allowing almost 70 points per game.

St Peters has several key statistical advantages in this game. The Peacocks have been a much better ball control team, averaging just 13 turnovers per game to 15 from the Stags. They are also averaging 66.5 points per game on the road with 43.1 percent shooting from the field. The biggest advantage in this game will come on the free throw line. The Stags have a very serious issue with getting into foul trouble. They average 25 personal fouls per game, and they won

4* Vegas Insider on Sacramento Kings +

Portland had an incredible run to open the season, but it seems like reality may be starting to kick in. The Blazers have lost three of their last five games straight up, and eight of their last 10 against the spread. The oddsmakers refuse to give up on Portland listing them as a five point favorite on the road against a Kings team that has shown a lot of improvement recently. Sacramento may not have a great record this year, but they have covered the spread in three of their last five games which included matchups against the Heat, Spurs and Rockets.

The Kings are a team that steps up their level of play depending on who their opponent is. A quick glance at the schedule shows that they have not only covered the spread against the three previously mentioned opponents, but also Golden State and Oklahoma City. They have been on fire recently, averaging 105.8 points per game over their last five games. That is big trouble for a Blazers team whose biggest weakness is their play on the defensive end of the court. Portland comes into this game allowing an average of 103.4 points per game over their last give games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Kings. You should play on a team like Sacramento when they are playing in a game involving two defenses that have allowed 102 points per game or more on the season when they are coming off four or more consecutive games scoring 100 points per game or more. This system is 67-34 (66%) against the spread over the last five seasons. The Kings are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against a team with a winning record, and that is a trend I expect to continue tonight.

4* Heavy Hitter on TCU +

I am not buying in to Kansas State's recent run. They have a win over Oklahoma State, but they had the luxury of playing host in that game. I think coming off a signature victory like that puts the Wildcats in a letdown spot tonight against a very underrated TCU team. The Horned Frogs have a respectable 9-4 overall record this year, and they have been a great team to back against the spread with a 5-2 record.

Kansas State is not a high scoring team, and I think they will struggle to cover this spread because of it. They have averaged just 64 points per game on the road this season, and they face a TCU team that is averaging over 74 points per game at home. The Horned Frogs defense has also been solid, allowing just 66.4 points per game against much better scoring teams than the Wildcats.

The Kansas State Wildcats have been a great team to fade on the road. They are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, and 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 road games following three or more consecutive home games. I expect them to have a very poor showing tonight without the comfort and support of their fan base. Kansas State has the worst offense in the Big 12, ranking last in overall shooting percentage and on three point attempts.

3* Total Dominator on Wizards/Bobcats UNDER

The way Washington and Charlotte matchup puts a lot of value on the under. Washington is not a high scoring team, averaging just 98.3 points per game against opposing defenses that have allowed an average over 100 points per game on the year. The Bobcats are also a low scoring team averaging just 91.7 points per game at home this season.

The under is 32-18 in Washington's last 50 games when playing against a team with a losing record. Defensively the Wizards have been decent this year. They should have no problem keeping a bad team like the Bobcats from putting up any big offensive numbers. It is the same story for Charlotte's defense. The Bobcats have held opponents to a mere 93.8 points per game at home, and they should make easy work of the Wizards tonight.

The under is 32-19 over the last two seasons when the Wizards are playing as a road underdog. It is also 25-14 when Washington is coming off a game against a non-conference opponent. The under is 8-1 in Charlotte's last nine games as a home favorite this season, and 13-4 in all their home games on the year. Neither of these teams scores a lot of points, and both are better defensively than they are getting credit for, and that makes the under the play in this game.

3* Total Annihilator on Wolves/Sixers OVER

These two teams should have no problem scoring enough points to send this game over the total. Minnesota comes into this matchup averaging 106.8 points per game. They have the luxury of facing a Philadelphia defense that is allowing 110.8 points per game at home this season. It is a similar story for the 76ers. They are averaging 104 points per game at home, but will be up against a Timberwolves defense that is allowing 103.9 points per game.

For the most part, the oddsmakers have been unable to set the bar high enough on the total for these teams. Minnesota has gone over in six of their last eight games, while Philadelphia has gone over the total in seven of their last 10 games. If not for going under in three of their last four I suspect this total would be set even higher. I don't think the 76ers recent trend is an indication of anything. They played six consecutive road games, but in this matchup they are at home and playing with a day of rest.

The over is 14-6 when Philadelphia is playing against a team with a losing record this season. It is also 15-4 in home games when playing a team making 76 percent or more of their free throw attempts. This matchup also fits into a very profitable system for a play on the over. You should play the over when a team, like Minnesota, is off a home loss against a division rival, and playing against an opponent coming off a road win by three points or less. This system has a 79-42 record in favor of the over.

4* Southern Conf. Game of the Week on Appalachian State +

The Mountaineers have Jay Canty back in the lineup, and the prolific scorer adds a lot of value on Appalachian State after the team put up poor numbers without him. He was second in scoring his first game back, and with Canty in the lineup Appalachian State has four players averaging double-digits in scoring. They face an Elon team that ranks 254th in rebounding with just 33.9 per game. The Mountaineers on the other hand rank 60th in the NCAA with 38.8 rebounds per game.

Elon comes into this matchup having lost four of their last six games. They are playing with a single day of rest coming off a road game against Western Carolina in their last outing. The Phoenix are allowing 74.1 points per game this year, and their poor defense puts them at a large disadvantage as such a large double-digit favorite. I don't see a scenario where Elon is able to win this game by 15 points with their poor defense and a large rebounding disadvantage.

I don't think Elon will get much benefit from home court advantage in this game. The Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams that have won 60 percent or more of their home games. The Phoenix come into this game with a 4-11 ATS record in their last 15 games. Elon is also 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against Southern Conference opponents. Appalachian State is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Elon, including a 4-1 ATS record when the Phoenix are at home.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Providence +

After getting off to a fast start things have begun to cool off for Villanova. They suffered a 16 point loss against Syracuse and then had to rely on overtime to squeak past Butler by three points in their last two games. It would have been the Wildcats second consecutive loss if not for an unforced turnover from the Bulldogs. It appears the oddsmakers have continued to overvalue Villanova by listing them as a double-digit favorite against a very talented Providence team. The Friars have a 10-4 record this season, and they have played some very respectable games against good opponents.

The Friars four losses have come against Maryland, Kentucky, UMass and Seton Hall. It took overtime for the latter two to get past Providence, and all four of these teams have a combined 42-14 record this season. It is the Friars defense that has afforded them so much success this year. They are holding opponents to a mere 62.7 points per game on the road, and will easily be one of the tougher defenses the Wildcats have faced. Villanova struggled in their matchup against the stingy Orange defense, and I think getting challenged by a big physical team like the Friars will make it hard for the Wildcats to win by such a large margin in this matchup.

Villanova is 14-36 ATS after playing two consecutive games on the road. This matchup also fits into a very profitable system backing the Friars. You should play against a team like Villanova that has covered the spread in six of their last eight games when they have won over 80 percent of their games on the season and they are facing a good team that has won 60 to 80 percent of their games. This system is 121-68 (64%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Total Dominator on Wizards/Warriors OVER

Golden State is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and a big reason for their success has been their unstoppable offensive play. In their last five games the Warriors are averaging 108.2 points per game. It has taken a big offensive number to win games since defensively Golden State leaves something to be desired. The Warriors have allowed an average of 100 points per game on the road this season.

The Washington Wizards have been a great team to follow with an over play. They have exceeded the oddsmaker

4* Pac-12 Game of the Week on USC +

It seems very unlikely the Bruins will be able to cover a double-digit line like this one against a conference rival like USC. The Trojans are not a bad team, and they come into this game with a 9-4 overall record. They have impressive victories over Boston College and Xavier this season, and their four losses have come against teams with a combined 37-17 record. The Bruins on the other hand have a win over Alabama in their last game, a team with a losing record on the year, and losses against every other good team they have faced from a major conference.

Keeping pace with UCLA should be a relatively easy task for the Trojans to accomplish. The Bruins are allowing a tenth of a point under 70 points per game this year. The Trojans should finish this game with more shot attempts thanks to advantages in rebounding and their ability to draw fouls. USC is +5 in rebounding margin, and they have done a great job pulling in rebounds on the offensive glass. They also average 27 free throw attempts per game, and getting the Bruins in foul trouble is a huge advantage since UCLA lacks talented depth this season. The Bruins have two players on the bench that have seen a significant number of minutes, and neither have been a big scoring threat.

The Trojans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games, and I think the oddsmakers have undervalued this team for a sixth consecutive game. The Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against a team winning over 60 percent of their games, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against any team with a winning record. The Bruins have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games, and I like that trend to continue in this matchup against a very underrated Trojans team.

5* Non-Conference Game of the Week on Northeastern +

These teams are basically identical statistically, with a few key advantages for the Huskies. Northeastern has been a better rebounding team on the offensive glass, with a +2 rebounding margin on that end of the court. The Commodores on the other hand come into this game with a -2 figure in offensive rebounding margin when playing at home. The Huskies have also been a better ball control team averaging 14 turnovers per game.

The statistical advantages are actually much better than they appear on paper. Northeastern has played a much stronger strength of schedule, so the fact that they are putting up such comparable numbers to Vanderbilt tells me the Huskies are actually the better team. Northeastern has close losses against some very good opponents, while the Commodores have been blown out by good teams and they have played in some very close games against bad teams.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Huskies. You should play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Northeastern when they are coming off a loss by six points or less, and playing against an opponent that is coming off a game with a combined score of 110 points or less. This system is 65-32 (67%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

4* Double Digit Bloodbath on Boise State -

The Broncos should have no problem picking up a big double-digit victory against their conference rival. Fresno State has been horrible defensively this season, allowing an average of 80.2 points per game when playing on the road. That is not a good sign for the Bulldogs since they are facing a Boise State team that is averaging 87.3 points per game at home this season.

Boise State has three very respectable losses this season. They were on the road against Kentucky, lost a close game to St Mary

3* No Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -

I like San Antonio's chances to cover a single digit line at home since Los Angeles is playing in the second half of a back-to-back. The Clippers will be without Chris Paul for this matchup, and Paul was a big impact player when these teams met last month. San Antonio has a chance for revenge after being handed one of their most lopsided losses of the season in that game.

The Spurs depth will give them a huge advantage over the Clippers. San Antonio leads the NBA with 46.3 points per game from from the bench. They are averaging 104.2 points per game at home this season, and the Spurs defense is allowing a mere 96.7 points per game overall. The Clippers have a 9-9 record on the road this season, and San Antonio will easily be one of the best home teams they have faced.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system that backs San Antonio. You should play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs when they are an excellent offensive team averaging 102 points per game or more, against a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game, after a combined score of 205 points or more in four straight games. This system is 45-18 (71%) against the spread.