3* Oddsmakers Error on Sacramento Kings +

The Denver Nuggets are one of the most inconsistent road teams in the league. They have not won three road games in a row all season long. They beat Charlotte and Portland in their last two road games but they are playing a back to back after facing Atlanta on their home court last night.

The Sacramento Kings are a well rested team that have won two of their last three games. Playing on their home court against a team that is not rested at all and giving the Kings points makes them a strong value play. Denver is allowing 104 points per game on the road and Sacramento has been scoring 102.7 per game on their home court.

Denver has two wins over Sacramento this season, but the Kings are 12-2 ATS when revenging two straight losses of 10 points or more against an opponent over the last two seasons. Sacramento is 11-7 at home since Dec. 5 and with Denver sitting on a 13-19 road record it appears the oddsmakers may have made an error on this line.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Virginia Tech +

The oddsmakers are giving Duke a little too much credit for Ryan Kelly being back in the lineup. He had a great game against Miami but the Blue Devils still won that game by a mere 3 points. The fact is, Duke does not really dominate anyone at home which is why they have a 7-8 ATS record at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Virginia Tech will be playing with a big revenge factor in this game after Duke embarrassed them on their home court earlier this season. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Virginia Tech when they are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more. This system is 457-330 (58.1%) over the last 5 seasons.

A game against a top ranked team like Duke is the closest thing to a post season the Hokies are going to see. That should have them motivated to come out and play some of their best basketball. Virginia Tech is 9-2 ATS in road games versus good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. With the Blue Devils having North Carolina on deck they are in a situation to look past the Hokies which could make this a close game.

3* No Doubt Rout on Central Michigan -

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are the kind of team that needs to force turnovers to win games. Central Michigan averages 13 turnovers per game which is not enough for the Eagles to get an advantage. Eastern Michigan is 6-16 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game over the last 3 seasons.

The Central Michigan Chippewas may not be a dominating team on their home court, but the Eagles are 2-11 on the road this season. This is also a revenge game for Central Michigan who lost by 6 points to the Eagles back in January. The change in venue should be more than enough to change the outcome of this matchup.

The Eagles are averaging 52.2 points per game on the road while the Chippewas are scoring 68.3 per game at home. In a game that could be close it is always better to take the good free throw shooting team. Central Michigan is shooting 73% from the line compared to 67.8% from Eastern Michigan.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Toronto Raptors +

Golden State is playing in one of the toughest stretches they will see this season. They just finished five consecutive road games and get only one day of rest before playing against Toronto tonight. You should always play against favorites like Golden State when they have had 4 or more consecutive losses and they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days. This system is 41-16 (71.9%) since 1996.

The Raptors play well against good teams and they do not get a lot of respect from the oddsmakers in the process. Toronto is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games. They are 6-2 ATS on the road overall and 5-2 in their last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Golden State is 1-5 in their last 5 games overall and 2-7 ATS following a loss. When the Warriors allow 100 points or more in their last game they are 2-6 ATS. The Golden State defense has been horrible allowing 101.5 points per game. They are an overrated team whose scoring average of 100.9 points is actually less than their points allowed.

3* High Roller on Portland -

The Portland Trailblazers are playing on a lot more rest than the Charlotte Bobcats. Portland is on their 3rd game in the last 8 days while Charlotte is playing their 4th consecutive road game in the last 7 days. This is also a back to back game for the Bobcats. They received a 36 point beat down from Sacramento last night.

Portland tough place to play which is why the Trailblazers are 19-10 on their home court and 4-1 ATS at home in their last 5 games. The Bobcats are a bad road team, allowing 103.5 points per game while scoring only 90.4 and sitting on an 0-5 ATS record their last 5 road games.

The Trailblazers are the hot team coming into this game winning 2 of their last 3 games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. Charlotte has lost six consecutive games straight up and ATS. This is their final game on a four game road stretch and they are playing like they can

5* Big Sky Game of the Year on Southern Utah +

Montana is not a team that scores a lot of points. They run a slow down offense and do not get into a lot of fast breaks or bad shot attempts. That style of play does not always work and it fits perfectly into Southern Utah

3* No Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavs +

The Cavaliers are a young team that has been improving all season. They have now won four of their last six games and six of their last seven ATS. The Knicks appear to be moving in the opposite direction losing five of their last eight and they are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Cleveland will have Kyrie Irving back for this game which should help provide them with an immediate boost in production. Cleveland is 14-3 ATS against Eastern Conference teams and an even more impressive 4-0 ATS against the Atlantic division. The Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against Eastern Conference teams and 0-5-1 in their last 6 games coming off a straight up loss.

The Knicks are barely a .500 team on the road and they are below .500 ATS. The recent success for Cleveland has been in large part because of their ability to prevent their opponent from getting a rebound advantage. With the exception of their loss to the Clippers, the Cavaliers have held their last seven opponents to an average of less than 45 rebounds per game. The Cavaliers also own the head to head advantage on games played at Cleveland with a 5-0 ATS record.

5* Total NO BRAINER on Pacers/Bulls UNDER

You should always play the under when one team allowed 40 points or less in the first half in two straight games like the Chicago Bulls have done. This system is 126-75 (62.7%) to the under over the last five seasons. The Bulls defense is playing well right now and they have gone under the total in four of their last six games. The Pacers defense has been solid all season allowing a mere 88.8 points per game at home.

Chicago is 32-12 to the under when they are revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. That number tightens up to 15-2 to the under when they are revenging a road loss of 10 points or more. Both of these teams had uncharacteristic performances in the last meeting with each team allowing over 100 points. That should have both teams making defensive adjustments for today

3* No Doubt Rout on Pacers -

The last time these teams met the Pacers crushed the Bulls with a 111-101 final score. The Bulls are 2-2 in their last four games and they have been struggling since the start of February with a 6-8 record. The Pacers on the other hand have really turned things on winning 11 of their last 14 games. Indiana is 17-10 ATS when playing at home giving them one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA.

It has been an inconsistent season for Chicago this year which explains why they are 8-17 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Pacers are 25-12 ATS as a favorite this season and 11-3 ATS in home games after playing on the road.

This game may not be the shootout it was last month when these teams met, but the end result should be about the same with the Pacers getting a big win over Chicago. The Bulls struggles in the second half of the season make Indiana the smart play in this matchup.

3* No Doubt Rout on Michigan -

Michigan may have lost to Penn State in their last game, but it is not a sign that the sky is falling. The Wolverines almost certainly had their eyes on this game against Michigan State and looked past the Nittany Lions. Now they get their chance to get revenge from the 23 point blowout they suffered the first time these teams played.

Sometimes getting too much rest can actually be a setback for a team. Too much time to prepare for a big opponent can have coaches over analyzing film and doing things they otherwise wouldn't do. This is why you should play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Michigan State when they are winning between 60-80% of their games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest against a team with a winning record. This system is 133-82 (61.9%) over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Thunder +

The oddsmakers may have the wrong team favored in this matchup but we will take the points on the thunder. You should play against home favorites like the Clippers when they are playing a double revenge game against an opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite. This system is 73-35 (67.6%) over the last five seasons.

You should play on road teams like Oklahoma City where the line is +3 to -1 after a road game where both teams scored 100 points or more and they are a well-rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days. This system is 31-9 (77.5%) over the last five seasons.

The last time these teams played in Oklahoma City the Thunder dominated the Clippers by 12 points. The Thunder shot 52.6% against a soft Clippers defense. A change in venue is not enough to change the end results as the Thunder should roll in this game.

5* Total NO BRAINER on Clippers/Thunder UNDER

Well rested teams play better defense and both the Clippers and Thunder have played 6 or less games over the last two weeks. You should always play the under when the total is 200 or more and the home team has a winning record and is a well-rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days playing another team with a winning record. This system is 201-136 (59.6%) to the under over the last five seasons.

You should also play the under when the road team, Oklahoma City, is off an upset loss as a road favorite and they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team. This system is 62-25 (71.3%) since 1996.

Since the Clippers were blown out in the last game against the Thunder they will come into this game with a defense oriented game plan. They cannot allow the Thunder to score 109 points again if they want to win this game.

4* HEAVY HITTER on Fairfield

The Fairfield Stags are coming off a poor offensive performance against Manhattan so they will certainly come into this game trying to score points quickly. That should be easy to do against a Marist team that is 9-20 on the season a 5-7 on their home court. Their defense has allowed 71.1 points per game which is exactly what Fairfield needs after the slow game last Friday.

You should always play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Marist after they covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against the spread and they are a bad team winning between 20-40% of their games on the season. This system is 71-38 (65.1%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on road teams as a favorite or pick like Fairfield when they are an average free throw shooting team playing against a poor free throw shooting team after a game they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less. This system is 40-19 (67.8% since 1997.

3* Total Dominator Knicks/Heat UNDER

This game falls into a system to play the under when a team like Miami is revenging two consecutive straight up losses to an opponent as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. This system is 120-72 (62.5%) since 1996. Without a doubt the Miami Heat will be coming into this game with a plan of attack that prevents the Knicks from turning this game into a shootout.

The Heat are allowing 95.4 points per game on the road this season while the Knicks have allowed 94.9 points per game at home. Neither team gets into foul trouble which means there will be very few points put on the board with the clock stopped. The Knicks are not shooting well right now at 41.5% in their last five games.

The Under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven games following an ATS win and 8-3-1 in the Heat

3* No Doubt Rout on Portland State -

This is a revenge game for the Portland State Vikings. They suffered an embarrassing loss back in January playing on the road at Northern Colorado. The Vikings would like nothing more than to put a big beating on the Bears. Northern Colorado is 3-12 on the road this season and Portland State is the hot team having won three of their last four games coming into this matchup.

3* Bailout Blowout on Sacramento State -

Sacramento State has scored less than 65 points in their last four games which has forced the oddsmakers to overcompensate on this line creating value on the Hornets. The Hornets are an experienced team returning all five starters from last season so a scoring drought should not have much of an impact on this team. You should always play on teams scoring 65 points or less in three straight games when they have all five starters returning from last seasons. This system is 126-84 (60%) over the last five seasons. When that team is a favorite the system tightens up to 70-39 (64.2%) during that same time period.

5* Vegas Insider on Montana State +

The Montana State Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams winning 60% or more of their road games. Montana on the other hand is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games against a team winning 60% or more of their home games.

This is the fourth consecutive road game for Montana and they appear to be tiring. In their last game against Davidson they gave up 49.2% shooting and forced only 8 turnovers. The Grizzlies are a good shooting team, but so are the Bobcats. Montana State is 7-1 ATS playing teams shooting 45% or better this season.

This is a revenge game for Montana State. The Bobcats played the Grizzlies back in January and lost by six points on the road. The Change in venue should easily make up the 2 point difference between those results and today

4* No Brainer on Arizona +

You should always play on road teams as an underdog or pick like Arizona when they are revenging a 10 point or more home loss against and coming off a road loss. This system is 228-157 (59.2%) over the last five seasons. The Wildcats are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games.

UCLA has been giving up a lot of rebounds. Playing teams like USC and Arizona State they are able to walk away. Those teams shoot 40% or less from the field. That will not be the case against a top tier team like Arizona. If UCLA allows Arizona to get 45+ rebounds like they did against Arizona State they will be in trouble because the Wildcats shoot over 45% from the field.

Arizona

3* No Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Bucks -

Toronto is 1-4 ATS in their last five games. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Toronto when they coming off a home loss and are revenging a home loss to their opponent. This system is 124-66 (65.3%) over the last five seasons.

In the last 11 head to head meetings between these teams the Bucks are 9-2 ATS. Milwaukee is 32-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last three seasons. It seems as though they will easily improve that number when they face a Toronto team that has allowed 102 points per game on the road while scoring only 96.5 what they are away from home.

The Raptors are playing without any rest. They traveled from Indiana to Milwaukee and will start a four game road stretch with this game against the Bucks. Milwaukee is playing on two days of rest and coming off solid back to back performances against Houston and Dallas. Milwaukee is the hot team, the well-rested team and the smart play laying such a small number on their home court.

4* Heavy Hitter on Texas Arlington -

Utah State is 6-17 ATS the last 23 times they have been on the road coming off a road loss against a conference rival. These teams played back in January and Texas-Arlington won straight up on the road at Utah State. The Mavericks have now won six of their last seven games coming into this rematch and eight of their last ten games since playing the Aggies.

Utah State has struggled defensively lately. They allowed 50% shooting from Louisiana Tech and have forced an average of just 8.5 turnovers per game in their last five games. The offense has not been much better shooting 35.7% in their last game. They now face a Texas-Arlington team that has held opponents to under 30% from beyond the three point line at home and has allowed 37.6% from the field this season. The Mavericks 59.7 points per game allowed at home ranks them among some of the best in college basketball.

4* No Brainer on Southern Illinois +

This is a revenge game for Southern Illinois as the Salukis suffered a five point loss to Drake back in January. You should always play on a team like Southern Illinois when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog over a conference rival. This system is 307-216 (58.7%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having won four of their last five games in a matchup where the road underdog is winning 40-49% of their games and playing a team that also has a losing record. This system is 27-9 ATS (75%) the last 38 times this situation has occurred. It makes sense to take the hot team in a matchup involving two bad teams. Drake clearly has little to no advantage playing on their home court. They have a 6-6 ATS record at home and have allowed 71.9 points per game and almost 44% shooting.

3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota -

Both teams are coming off big wins. Minnesota knocked off Indiana and Penn State beat Michigan. The win for Minnesota was nothing to celebrate. The Golden Gophers are a good team with a 19-9 record. For 9-19 Penn State, a win over Michigan is something you celebrate all week. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS their last 7 games against teams with a losing record and 5-1-1 ATS their last 7 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their road games. Penn State got a great win over Michigan on their home court. That does nothing to improve their 56.3 point average and 1-10 record when playing on the road.

3* Oddsmakers Error on West Virginia +

You should always play against favorites of 10 or more points when their defense allows 63 or less points per game playing a team that also has a good defense allowing 63-67 points per game and that favorite is coming off a performance scoring 85 or more points. This system is 53-16 (76.8%) over the last five seasons. This young Kansas team is mentally fragile. They suffered three consecutive losses earlier this season. They have received a lot of attention this week because of some controversial calls in their game with Iowa State. That media attention is not good for a team whose Head Coach said this is one of the worst Kansas teams in years.

4* No Limit on Central Florida +

The Central Florida Knights play well against strong competition. They are 4-1 ATS against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Memphis has played a weak schedule so their record is a little inflated in comparison to the level of talent they actually have. Central Florida is a solid 19-9 this season and they are playing for revenge after getting embarrassed by Memphis on February 13th.

Memphis is 12-25 ATS after a non-conference game over the last three seasons and they are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. Central Florida on the other hand is 11-3 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last two seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last three seasons.

Central Florida is not only doing a good job handling the ball, they are also performing well on the defensive end of the court. The Knights held Georgia SW to 27.8% shooting in their last game and have forced an average of 17 turnovers per game in their last three games. Memphis has been struggling to force turnovers averaging 11.3 in their last three games which has earned them a 1-2 record ATS.

3* Main Event on Jacksonville State +

Always play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Jacksonville State when they are off an upset win as a road underdog and revenging a home loss against an opponent. This system is 55-24 (69.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Jacksonville State is 11-0 ATS against teams averaging 16 or more assists per game after 15+ games. The Gamecocks have done a great job of controlling their turnovers and forcing them from their opponents. Belmont won the first matchup between these teams by 11 points. A change in venue is not enough to make up the additional points to cover such a large number.

5* FRIDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR on Fairfield -

The Manhattan Jaspers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Jaspers offense averages 59.2 points per game ranking them 328th among division one teams. They are also a poor rebounding team pulling in 32.5 boards per game. They are in serious trouble tonight because they face a Fairfield team that has one of the best defenses in college basketball. The Stags are allowing 60.1 points per game ranking them 36th among division one teams.

You should always play against home teams as an underdog or pick like Manhattan when they are a poor passing team averaging 12 or less assists per game in March games. This system is 40-15 (72.7%) over the last 5 seasons. You should also play on road teams as a favorite or pick that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game in March games. This situation is 60-28 (68.2%) over the last five seasons.

This is a revenge game for Fairfield who suffered an embarrassing loss to Manhattan just over two weeks ago. That game was played at Fairfield and postponed twice due to weather. The Stags did not have a chance to prepare for Manhattan which resulted in a lopsided loss. Fairfield is the better team and and they have had time to prepare for this round two showdown. The Stags should have no problem getting their revenge against the Jaspers tonight.

5* NBA TOTAL NO BRAINER on Kings/Spurs OVER

The Kings run a lazy defense, and they average over 20 fouls per game when playing on the road. Sacramento is 20-7 to the over when playing against good free throw shooting teams that are making 76% or more of their attempts this season. It seems like the Kings have stopped playing defense all together, going over the total in eight of their last nine games. In head to head matchups between these teams the over is 4-1 the last 5 games being played at San Antonio. Head coach Keith Smart is 27-13 to the over when playing with double revenge after 2 straight losses against an opponent as the coach of Sacramento.

The Kings are allowing 104.8 points per game when playing on the road and the Spurs are scoring 105 points per game at home. Sacramento is averaging over 111 points per game in their last five games so it is safe to say their offense is hot right now. The Spurs just finished a 9 game run on the road to come home and give up 105 points to the Phoenix Suns. They have had only one day of rest and now face a Sacramento team that is putting points on the board with ease. This game should have no problem going over the total.

4* NBA TOTAL DOMINATOR on Raptors/Pacers UNDER

Indiana is 17-8 to the under when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Some teams make adjustments to the offense and others to the defense when they are not playing well. The Raptors are a team that makes defensive adjustments which explains why they are 30-16 to the under after failing to cover two of their last three games against the spread over the last two seasons. The Raptors lost as a favorite against Golden State and as a favorite against the Clippers. Head coach Dwane Casey will certainly have a plan to slow down the Pacers which will help us on the under.

Indiana is allowing 89.6 points per game and scoring only 89.2 points per game when playing on the road. Toronto has allowed 95.4 points at home, but the Pacers are one of the worst road teams in the league when it comes to scoring so they should be able to perform much better than their statistical average. Neither team has problems with foul trouble which is good for an under because it keeps the clock running.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Chicago Bulls -7

Both of these teams have been plagued by key injuries this season. Rose and Bynum are still out and both Chicago and Philadelphia are in desperate need of a win. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Philadelphia when they are trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent that is off a home loss. This system is 123-66 (65.1%) over the last five seasons.

The 76ers are 26-43 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons and 5-15 ATS in road games against teams winning 51-60% of their games over the last three seasons. Philadelphia has lost six consecutive games coming into this matchup and their defense has allowed over 50% shooting in two of their last three games.

The Bulls got the wake-up call they needed when they lost to Cleveland straight up going into that game favored by 8.5 points. Chicago should be motivated for this matchup against a struggling team from Philadelphia. Laying the points is the smart play for this game.

3* HIGH ROLLER on San Jose State +

This game falls into a system to play against a favorite like Texas Arlington when they are allowing 40% or less shooting from the field, playing against another great defense allowing 40-42.5% shooting, and the favorite is an average ball handling team with 14.5-17.5 turnovers against a good ball handling team that averages less than 14.5 turnovers. This system is 136-85 (61.5%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on underdogs of 10 or more points that have a losing record when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent. This system is 513-394 (56.6%) over the last five seasons. The fact that San Jose State has a losing record is actually what creates value on the Spartans. A losing team will get more points than a winning team and 11.5 is just too many for Arlington to cover.

The Texas-Arlington Mavericks have one of the worst offenses in college basketball. They average 63 points per game ranking them 276th among division one teams. They are also a very poor shooting team ranking 299th. The Mavericks have been able to win based on their defense but even those numbers are trending in the wrong direction. Texas-Arlington gave up 51.9% shooting from the field to UC Irvine.

3* UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG on Tennessee Martin +

Murray State

5* CBB NO BRAINER on UT-Chattanooga +

You should always play on a team revenging a home loss against an opponent when they are off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. This system is 306-212 (58.6%) over the last five seasons. When that team is revenging a home loss as an underdog the system tightens up to 47-17 (73.4%) over the last five seasons.

Western Carolina has not been shooting well recently. They have shot below 40% from the field in three of their last four games. The Catamounts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record.

The Western Carolina defense ranks 257th among division one teams allowing 69.8 points per game and allowing 43.7% shooting from the field. They are also a poor rebounding team ranking 185th with 34.4 boards per game. This could be a lopsided match up considering UT-Chattanooga ranks 34th in the nation with 38.3 rebounds per game.

4* LATE NIGHT BAILOUT on Arizona State +

Arizona State is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games coming off an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their games at home. This is a fearless Sun Devils team that will not be intimidated by UCLA and their fans. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams winning 60% or more of their games.

The Sun Devils have won two of their last three games and they are a mere two games back from 1st in the conference with Arizona scheduled as the last game of the season. If Arizona State can win out to finish the season they have a very realistic chance of playing in the PAC-12 championship. UCLA has Arizona on deck so they may be in a situation where they are looking past the Sun Devils.

3* VEGAS INSIDER on Utah Jazz -

The Jazz have the best home court advantage in the NBA and they are coming off a home loss to the Celtics so they should be motivated to pick up a win against the Hawks. Utah is 21-7 at home and 17-11 ATS. Atlanta

3* SEC SLAM DUNK on Georgia +

When teams are covered the number by a lot of points the oddsmakers are forced to increase the line in that teams next game. This seems to be the case with Vanderbilt as the line seems a bit inflated for their matchup with Georgia. Always play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Vanderbilt after beating the spread by 24 or more points in their last three games when they are playing against an opponent that has gone over the total by 18 or more points in their last three games. This trend is 92-47 (66.2%) ATS since 1997.

Georgia has also covered the spread in their last three games but they have been in much closer games getting a 1 point cover against Ole Miss and a 1 point cover against South Carolina. You should also play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered the spread in 4 of their last five games and playing their third game in a week. This trend is 58-30 (65.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.

4* NO DOUBT ROUT on San Antonio Spurs -

The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games and 0-4 ATS when playing on 0 days of rest. They are one of the worst teams in the league and have been horrible on the road. They now face a Spurs team that is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days of rest and 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the road.

The Spurs are 30-13-3 ATS against teams with a losing record and the favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these teams. San Antonio is 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 games at home and with the Suns playing in a back to back and coming off a game that went to overtime last night we have a perfect setup for a blowout.

3* HIGH ROLLER on New York Knicks -

The Warriors are in a tough travel spot going from Indiana to New York for back to back games. There was a fight late in the game against the Pacers and the worry of potential suspensions has to be hanging over the Warriors heads. Golden State is 7-21 ATS against teams making 36% or more of their three point attempts in the second half of the season over the last three seasons.

There is a big sign that the Warriors are one of the most overrated teams in the NBA this year. They have a winning record, but they are not outscoring their opponents. Golden State has allowed 104.6 points per game on the road while scoring a mere 100.5 of their own. Teams that are not outscoring their opponents but have an overall winning record are generally teams that are overrated and struggle against good teams. The Knicks are definitely a good team and they have had two days of rest coming into this game.

4* BIG 12 BLOWOUT on West Virginia +

Baylor is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less and they have a 19-32 ATS record against conference opponents over the last three seasons. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a home win percentage at 60% or more. Both of these teams have similar conference records with Baylor at 7-7 and West Virginia a game behind at 6-8.

The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games coming off an ATS loss and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a double digit loss at home. West Virginia should rebound from that performance against Oklahoma State since they are on their home court playing a Baylor team that has been a big disappointment this season. West Virginia is 8-4 straight up in Morgantown. Baylor is 5-7 on the road this season and they have struggled getting turnovers and steals playing away from home.

3* HIGH ROLLER on Southern Illinois +

Southern Illinois is 5-0 ATS in their last five against Missouri Valley teams. They have won four of their last six games and the hot team at home getting points is never a bad thing. Northern Iowa is 5-9 on the road and 5-8 ATS. They average 60.9 points per game on offense and have done a horrible job getting rebounds with 29 per game. The Panthers are not a team that travels well.

Southern Illinois may be sitting in last place in their conference, but it is not because they haven

4* HEAVY HITTER on Toronto Raptors -

The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games and 14-3 ATS against teams with a win percentage at 40% or less. Cleveland played last night in Chicago and got an upset victory over the Bulls. They are in a spot for a letdown performance tonight against Toronto.

Kyrie Irving did not play last night due to a knee injury and he is doubtful for tonight

5* NBA TOTAL NO BRAINER on Kings/Magic OVER

You should play on the over when the game involves two average offensive teams scoring 92-98 points per game after one of those teams allowed 105 points or more in three straight games. In this matchup that team would be Sacramento and this system is 42-18 (70%) over the last five seasons.

Sacramento has had a lot of foul trouble this season. When a team has a lot of fouls it makes sense that the game would go over the total. The clock is stopped and points are getting put on the board. Sacramento is 19-7 to the over vs. good free throw shooting teams that are making 76% or more of their attempts this season. Orlando is 15-4 to the over against up-temp teams that are averaging 83 or more shots per game in the send half of the season over the last three seasons.

Both of these teams struggle defensively. Sacramento is allowing 105 points per game on the road while Orlando is allowing over 100 points per game at home. With both teams making a lot of shot attempts and neither team having very good numbers defensively the over is the no brainer in this game.

5* CBB NO BRAINER on George Washington +

The George Washington defense has been great this season. They are holding opponents to 63.4 points per game and allowing 40.9% shooting from the field. The Colonials are pulling in 38 rebounds per game on the road with 11 coming on the offensive end while allowing their opponents only 33 rebounds per game. Richmond is 1-10 ATS versus good defensive teams that allow a shooting percentage of 42% or less this season.

The Spiders are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games when playing teams with a losing road record and 1-4 ATS in their last five against Atlantic 10 opponents. Richmond may have the better overall record but both of these teams share a 6-6 conference record which is a lot more meaningful when it comes to assessing a team

4* Vegas Insider on Wyoming +

Wyoming has one of the top defenses in college basketball. They have held opponents to an average of 56.5 points per game ranking them 11th among division one teams. Air Force is giving up 67.5 points per game. The Falcons soft defense has allowed their opponents to shoot 44.8% from the field and 31.6% from the free throw line.

These two teams respond to losses in completely different ways. Air Force is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss while the Wyoming Cowboys are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home.

The Cowboys are a very disciplined team. They average 12 turnovers and 15 fouls per game when playing on the road. Wyoming has the advantage on defense and since the Falcons struggle to pull in rebounds, averaging only 6 offensive boards per game, they should not be able to pull away far enough to cover the number.

5* Total No Brainer Mavs/Bucks UNDER

Both teams are coming off home losses with Milwaukee losing to Atlanta as a -4.5 favorite and Dallas losing to the Lakers as a -3 point favorite. You should play the under in a game where the total is over 200 and both teams are off an upset loss as a favorite and at least one of those losses came as a home favorite. This system is 86-52 (62.3%) the last 138 times the situation has occurred.

The under is 5-0-1 in Milwaukee

3* No Doubt Rout on Youngstown State +

College basketball is a very streaky sport. Teams that are winning games inevitably hit a losing streak and teams that are shooting well will eventually get cold. This is why you should always play against favorites of 10 or more points like Valparaiso when they are a hot shooting team that has played four straight games making 47% or more of their shots. This trend is 141-86 (62.1%) over the last 5 seasons.

You should also play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Youngstown State when they are an excellent ball handling team that is committing 12 or less turnovers per game playing in February. This trend is 85-52 (62%) the last 137 times this situation has occurred.

Valparaiso is not a great rebounding team. They average 33 boards per game with only 8 offensive rebounds on average. The Crusaders rank 236th among division one teams in rebounds and without those second chance shots they will not be able to cover the number against a Youngstown State team that averages 72 points per game.

4* No Limit on Orlando +

You should always play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Philadelphia when they are off a loss against a division rival, with a win percentage between 40-49% on the season. This situation is 30-13 (69.8%) over the last five seasons. Losing teams like Philadelphia should not be big favorites against any team.

You should also play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Orlando after 5 or more consecutive losses in the second half of the season. This situation is 46-22 (67.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The 76ers have also lost five consecutive games in the second half of the season so to be listed as such a heavy favorite makes Orlando the value play.

The Magic are 9-4 ATS coming off a double digit loss at home and playing on two days of rest compared to one day for Philadelphia. This late in the season taking the points on a team that has more rest in a game involving two equally bad teams is the smart move.

3* Main Event on Utah -

This will be the fifth road game in the last seven days for the Celtics who are playing a back to back game coming from Portland. Boston has lost three out of four on this road stretch and things will not get any easier when they face a Utah team that has the best home court advantage in the league. The Jazz are 17-10 ATS when playing at home and 21-6 straight up. They average 100.9 points per game and 46.4% shooting from the field at Energy Solutions Arena.

The Jazz have been hot lately winning three of their last four games. Playing on an extra day of rest over the Celtics should allow them to bounce back from their off night against the Clippers. Utah is 23-10 ATS over the last two seasons when they are playing in a home game and coming off a game they failed to cover the spread. They are also 10-2 ATS in home games after playing as a road underdog this season.

The Celtics got hot after Rondo went out with an injury but teams have adjusted their game plan against Boston and they are really struggling right now losing three of their last five games. Any road game in the NBA is tough, but with the Celtics playing in their now fifth consecutive game on the road and playing in a back to back situation, things have lined up for the Jazz to get an easy win on their home court.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Iowa State +

The Cyclones are a solid 15-0 straight up on their home court. They are also 7-3 ATS their last 10 when playing at Hilton and have a history of playing the Jayhawks in some tough games. Iowa State is 8-2 ATS versus teams allowing 64 points per game or less 15+ games this season.

The Jayhawks have also struggled on the road against good three point shooting teams. They are 0-7 ATS in road games vs. teams making 8 or more three point shots per game over the last three seasons. The Cyclones average 10 of 26 (38.3%) from beyond the three point line on their home court.

We already know this Kansas team has struggled on offense in tough conference games. They had a three game losing streak to start the month and their head coach announced this was the worst Kansas basketball team he has seen in years. The inconsistent offense for Kansas could be big trouble tonight since the Cyclones average 83.5 points per game on their home court.

This is also a revenge game for the Cyclones. Iowa State had a chance to beat Kansas in Lawrence until a last second three put the game into overtime and the Cyclones could not hold on. A change in venue should also give us a change in outcome with the Cyclones picking up a big win tonight.

4* TOTAL DOMINATOR on Bulls/Thunder UNDER

You should play the under on a game where one team, Chicago, has allowed 90 points or less in three straight games is playing against an opponent, Oklahoma City, scoring 100 points or more in three straight games. This trend is 28-8 (77.8%) over the last 5 seasons. Chicago is also 23-11 to the under versus good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3+ points per game over the last 2 seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Portland -

The Celtics are 9-17 on the road and play a Portland team that is 17-9 on their home court. Boston is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning home record. They are also 6-13 in their last 19 games on the road.

This is the fourth road game in six days for Boston. The Trailblazers are a well-rested team playing their third game in the last seven days. In the second half of the season those extra days of rest can be huge difference makers for teams.

The Portland defense has been improving forcing 16.5 turnovers in their last two games while scoring 102.5 points per game in that same span. The home team laying such a small number is the value play in this matchup.

3* No Doubt Rout on Cleveland +

Cleveland has played well against Southeast division opponents with a 10-1 ATS record in their last 11. The Cavaliers are also 18-8 ATS over the last two seasons in the second leg of back to back road games and this young team is improving every night as the season progresses.

The Cavaliers are playing well right now having won two of their last three games. The loss in that span came by one point against San Antonio in a great game. Their recent success is due in large part to the lack of turnovers. They have averaged 9.3 turnovers per game in their last three outings.

Miami has played well recently, but they are trending in the wrong direction statistically and it may catch up with them tonight. They average just 41 rebounds per game and had 17 turnovers in their game against Chicago last Thursday. Miami is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Central division opponents and they are laying too many points tonight.

5* NO BRAINER on Cleveland/Miami UNDER

Always play the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 points in a game involving a team like Miami that is outscoring their opponents by 3+ points per game and playing against an opponent coming off a blowout win by 15 points or more. This system is 58-30 (65.9%) over the last 5 seasons. Miami is also 13-4 to the under in home games when playing their third game in four days over the last two seasons.

3* CBB No Doubt Rout on Virginia Tech +

Virginia Tech is a great ball handling team averaging just 12 turnovers per game on their home court. The Florida State Seminoles have struggled against good ball handling teams and they are 1-7 ATS against teams committing less than 14 turnovers per game after the 15 game mark in the season.

There is no doubt that Florida State is the biggest flop in the ACC. The Seminoles do not play the kind of physical basketball it takes to rank among the top teams in the conference. They average 32 rebounds per game when playing on the road and only 7 of those rebounds come on the offensive end of the court.

It is surprising to see Virginia Tech listed as the underdog in this matchup considering how bad Florida State has looked on the road this season. The Seminoles have averaged 60.7 points per game in conference play which will not be enough to compete with a Virginia Tech team scoring 71.9 points per game on their home court. In head to head history between these teams the underdog is 4-1 the last 5 meetings.

3* CBB Main Event on Pittsburgh -

Pittsburgh is coming off back to back losses against Marquette and Notre Dame. The Panthers should respond with a big game against St John

3* BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Milwaukee -

The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Central division teams and 1-4 in their last five against teams in the Eastern Conference. They average just 9 offensive rebounds per game when playing on the road and have done a horrible job of forcing turnovers. Their free throw shooting has been abysmal, averaging just 70.6% when playing away from home.

Atlanta has not done well against teams that attempt a lot of three point shots. They are 11-21 ATS against teams attempting 18 or more from beyond the three point line and they have allowed 39.8% of those shots to go in when playing on the road. Their soft defense against the three ball provides a great opportunity for Milwaukee to pick up a big win on their home court tonight.

3* Main Event on Citadel +

You should always play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Presbyterian after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games when they are winning between 20-40% of their games and playing another team with a losing record. This system is 67-37 (64.4%) over the last five seasons.

This matchup also falls into a system to play on road teams as an underdog or pick that are winning between 20-40% of their games and coming off an upset win as an underdog. This trend is 186-117 (61.4%) over the last five seasons. That number tightens up to 92-46 (66.7%) when that upset win came as a road underdog.

4* NO BRAINER on Cleveland +

Cleveland is not getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers right now. The Cavs have covered the number in five of their last seven games and now face an Orlando team that has been beat up with injuries this season.

The Cavaliers are a young team that is improving as the season progresses. They are 15-12 ATS on the road compared to Orlando who is 8-19 ATS on their home court. The Magic are allowing 99.4 points per game and have struggled on the boards, particularly on the offensive end, which is a big contributing factor to their failure of a season.

Cleveland has played Southeast division teams well and it has earned them a 9-1 ATS record in the process. Orlando has lost 15 of their last 16 games and Cleveland has been heating up winning 7 of their last 12 games coming into this matchup. The Cavaliers are also playing on two days rest while Orlando is coming off a road came at Memphis last night.

3* No Doubt Rout on Oregon State +

The Oregon State Beavers are 8-2 ATS coming off a loss against a conference rival this season and 6-0 ATS when coming off 2 straight conference losses. Their record may not reflect it, but the Beavers have been putting up a lot of points in home games. They average 75.2 per game and the defense has done a remarkable job holding opponents to 40.8% shooting from the field.

California has struggled on offense averaging 66.4 points per game and the Golden Bears have a bad habit of playing down to their level of competition. They are 1-3-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. In head to head history between these teams California is 3-7 ATS.

These teams played back on January 31st and the Beavers were within three points on California

4* HEAVY HITTER on Central Florida -

Central Florida is 11-3 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last two seasons. Their defense on the home court has held all opponents to an average of 63.4 points per game while the offense has been scoring over 70 points per game. Tulsa is sitting on a 6-6 conference record and with only four games left in the season they do not have much to play for at this point. Central Florida on the other hand is realistically within reach of second place in conference play.

Tulsa is 4-13 ATS their last 17 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Their defense has been very sloppy on the road which is why they average 22 personal fouls per game and only pair six steals per game with that number.

Central Florida outmatches Tulsa in almost every measurable area. They are winning the turnover and rebounding margins, their offense is scoring more points and their defense is holding opponents to lower scores. They are the better team and it will show in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Eastern Illinois +

The Eastern Illinois Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with a losing record at home. They are also 3-1-1 ATS against Mid-American Conference teams. The Northern Illinois Huskies have lost their last five consecutive games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

The competition Eastern Illinois has faced in the Ohio Valley Conference is far superior to that of any team in the Mid-American Conference. The Huskies defense gives up 64 points per game which may seem pretty good when compared to the statistical averages of other division one teams, but the offense is scoring a mere 54.5 points per game on their home court.

While neither of these teams is great, Eastern Illinois has played a much tougher schedule to earn a record almost twice as good as Northern Illinois. We will take the points, but it seems like the oddsmakers have made an error favoring the Huskies.

3* No Doubt Rout on St. Peter's +

St Peters is 12-3 ATS in road games against poor three point shooting teams that average 31% or less after 15+ games in the season. Their success doesn't end against poor three point shooting teams either. They are 47-25 ATS against teams making 42% or less of their field goal attempts after 15+ games in the season.

Hampton averages 36.8% shooting from the field and 28.4% shooting from beyond the three point line on their home court. They are 5-5 at home so there is little to no home court advantage. The Peacocks have always played well late in the season and that has a lot to do with coaching. John Dunne is 19-8 ATS in road games in February games as the coach of St Peter

3* No Doubt Rout on Oklahoma City Thunder -

The Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against teams from the Northwest division. They are allowing opponents over 100 points per game in division games and giving up almost 50% shooting from the field when playing on the road.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games overall. The Thunder are coming off three consecutive straight up and ATS losses and they should take out those frustrations on this horrible Timberwolves team.

Head Coach Scott Brooks is 40-21 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of the Thunder. Minnesota has not been the same since they lost Kevin Love and this game should be ugly when the Timberwolves face one of the best teams in the league.

3* Main Event on Brooklyn Nets -

Brooklyn is the hot team coming into this game with a four game win streak. The Nets are 13-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins and will try to keep that momentum alive against the Houston Rockets today. Deron Williams is playing well coming off a 23 point performance with eight assists to help the Nets come back from 15 points down against Milwaukee.

Houston

3* Oddsmakers Error on Charlotte Bobcats +

The Bulls have not performed well against Southeast division teams. They have a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 games against the Southeast and a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 vs a team with a losing record.

It is best to play against a team like Chicago when they are off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points. This trend is 112-72 (60.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. When that team is playing on the road in their next game the trend tightest up to 62-33 (65.3%) over that same time span.

The Bulls are 3-14 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and they seem to be in some kind of a funk right now. They have lost five of their last seven games and have played eight of their last 10 games on the road. That much travel in a short span of time appears to be taking its toll on Chicago making the Bobcats the value play in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Butler -

The Butler Bulldogs are 13-1 at home and in second place in the Atlantic 10 conference. They have all the motivation they need when they face the team that is first in the conference, Saint Louis. Butler plays well against teams that are not very physical like the Billikens. St Louis does not average many fouls and they are not good at rebounding which are both key indicators of a team that does not play physical basketball. Butler is 10-2 ATS against teams who are called for 17 or less fouls per game this season.

St Louis is a poor rebounding team averaging 32 total boards per game with only 7 coming on the offensive end. Offensive rebounds are one of the most important statistics in college basketball because points off of second chance attempts are usually some of the easiest points scored in a game. Butler averages 37 rebounds and 10 of those are on the offensive end so they have a big advantage over St Louis.

This is a revenge game for Butler. The Bulldogs lost back on January 31st in a game that was not very close. That poor performance has created a lot of value on the line in today

3* NO DOUBT ROUT on BYU +

BYU is coming off a pair of nice wins over Portland and Utah State and they are just two games back from second in the West Coast Conference behind St Mary

3* TOTAL NO BRAINER on Heat/Bulls UNDER

Always play the under when there is an extremely well rested team like Chicago who is winning 51-60% of their games and playing 3 or less games in 10 days and facing a winning team. This system has gone under the total in 30 of the last 41 games during the last five seasons.

Chicago is 8-0 to the under in home games against good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game this season. They are also 21-6 favoring the under in games against Southeast division teams over the last two seasons.

The Bulls defense has been remarkable at home holding opponents to 88.9 points per game and only 41.1% shooting. The offense shoots only 42.8% in home games and with those to factors combined all signs point to a low scoring game tonight.

5* NO BRAINER on Tennessee Martin +

The road team is getting too many points in a game that features two evenly matched teams. Tennessee-Martin is coming off a bad loss to SE Missouri State and the oddsmakers have over adjusted based on the result of that game. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 or more points like Tennessee-Martin after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in February games. This system is 97-54 (64.2%) since 1997.

The wear and tear of a road game is much harder on some teams than it is others. Tennessee Tech is one of those teams that has had trouble handling the travel and extra energy involved with coming off a stretch on the road. They are 4-13 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last three seasons.

In a game involving two teams that are evenly matched statistically we have to take the road team. Tennessee-Martin is a better free throw shooting team, and getting this many points when there are no key injuries is just too many to pass up.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Cincinnati +

It appears the oddsmakers have the wrong team favored in this match up. Connecticut has a tough stretch to end their season with three out of five games being played on the road and one of their home games coming against #11 ranked Georgetown. This is a situation where the Huskies may not be fully prepared to take on the Bearcats as they try to get ready for that final stretch of games.

Cincinnati is the more experienced team returning three starters from last season compared to just one from Connecticut. This late in the season that experience is going to be a big difference maker. You should always play on a road team after scoring 60 points or less in their last game, that is returning two or more starters from last season than their opponent. This system is 256-184 (58.2%) over the last five seasons.

The Bearcats are a team that really steps up there game against solid competition and they are 8-1 ATS in road games when playing teams with a winning record this season. They are also 14-3 ATS on road games after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last two seasons.

5* HEAVY HITTER on Santa Clara +

This game falls into a system to play against favorites of 10 points or more after 6 or more consecutive wins when playing in a February game. The system is 107-65 (62.2%) over the last five seasons. If you look at Gonzaga

3* Main Event on Los Angeles Lakers -

This is game two of a five game road stretch for the Celtics. If their game against Denver is any indicator this could be an ugly run for Boston fans. Boston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss while the Lakers are 5-1 in their last six following a loss of more than 10 points.

Boston is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games and playing in Los Angeles is going to be tough. The Lakers are playing on five days of rest compared to the Celtics who just played on the road in Denver last night. This late in the season teams are starting to get tired and traveling for back to back road games will take its toll on the Celtics in this matchup.

3* Bailout Blowout on Dallas Mavericks -

The Magic are a team that relies on turnovers to play in close games. With a 15-38 record this season it is obvious they lack the talent it takes to win without forcing turnovers. Orlando is 6-17 ATS versus good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game this season.

The Mavericks are the hot team right now as they attempt to make a late season rally towards the playoffs. They have won three of their last four games and the offense is averaging 111.25 points per game in that span.

The Magic have lost eight consecutive games on the road and their defense has been horrible. They gave up 119 points against Cleveland, 107 points against Milwaukee and were beat by 17 points against Philadelphia in their last three road games. The Mavericks are hungry for a playoff berth and should have no problem handling Orlando tonight.

4* TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Thunder UNDER

The value in this game is on the under as the oddsmakers have set this total a little too high. Always play the under when there is an extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days like Houston, and they are winning between 51-60% of their games in a matchup against another winning team. This system is 153-103 ATS for the last five seasons.

Oklahoma City is 19-9 to the under off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons while Houston is 33-14 to the under in home games after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games since 1996. With Houston playing as a well rested team and being on their home court they should be able to control the tempo of this game. The Rockets know if they get into a shootout with the Thunder they will have no chance to win this game. Houston should be able to slow things down at least long enough to make the under the value play in this matchup.

3* Total Dominator on Heat/Hawks UNDER

The under is 18-7 in Miami's last 25 games and 17-6 in Atlanta

3* NO DOUBT ROUT Illinois-Chicago -

Wisconsin Milwaukee is a bad team. They average 62.2 points per game while allowing 70.8 points on the defensive end of the court. Always play against home underdogs when they are a poor offensive team scoring 64 or less PPG and coming off a game with a combined score of 155 points or more. This situation is 127-77 ATS record since 1997.

Wisconsin Milwaukee is below .500 on their home court and they are one of the worst teams in the Horizon League conference. The Panthers are 1-9 ATS when playing their 3rd game in a week this season. They are coming off losses to Youngstown State and Cleveland State on the road and at this point they have to be to be ready to throw in the towel on their season. Illinois Chicago laying the points is the smart play.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Vanderbilt +

Kentucky had high hopes of a late season rally to win their conference and potentially make a run in the NCAA tournament. Those hopes were thrown out the window when Nerlens Noel went out with an injury and the Wildcats do not look like they will be able to recover.

After the 17 point loss to Florida, the Wildcats were crushed by a mediocre Tennessee team by 30 points. With Noel out this team is playing like they have given up on the season. This matchup falls into a system to play on road underdogs of 10 or more points like Vanderbilt after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less. It is 183-121 ATS over the last 5 seasons

While Vanderbilt certainly has a lot of areas they can improve, they are a solid rebounding team. You should play on road underdogs of 10 or more points when they are giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds per game on the season and playing in a February game. This system is 355-247 ATS since 1997 and with Noel out it is going to be tough for the Wildcats to have a strong rebounding performance today.

3* Main Event on Evansville +

Illinois State is coming off a tough one point loss on their home court to Wichita State. You should always play on home teams as an underdog or pick like Evansville when they are revenging a road loss vs an opponent when that opponent is off a home loss by 3 points or less. Over the last five seasons this system is 61-26 ATS.

Evansville is 10-1 ATS vs. teams making 72% of their free throw attempts after 15 games over the least two seasons. Good free throw shooting teams rely on those easy points from the line and teams can't get to the line against Evansville because of their ability to stay out of foul trouble. The Aces average only 16 fouls per game and should be able to avoid getting into any trouble against Illinois State.

The head to head history between these teams is also favorable for Evansville. They are 4-0 ATS over the last three seasons and that number should improve tonight.

3* Total No Brainer Bobcats/Pistons OVER

The Detroit Pistons are 25-13 to the over against teams being outscored by their opponents by 3 or more points per game over the last two seasons. That tightens up to 26-10 to the over when their opponent is outscored by 6 or more points per game. The over is also 4-0 in the Pistons last 4 games against a team with a losing record. It is the same story for Charlotte at 4-0 to the over against teams with a losing record.

The Bobcats and Pistons have gone over the total four of the last five times these teams played in Charlotte. The Bobcats have allowed 102 points per game at home and they have allowed opponents to shoot 38.1% from beyond the three point line. They do not run a tight defense and they give up a lot of easy points. The Piston

4* NO BRAINER on DePaul +

The Hoyas are coming off a hard fought road battle against Cincinnati and are in a spot for a letdown performance against DePaul. It is smart to play against favorites of 10 or more points like Georgetown when they are off a win against a conference rival and playing in February. This situation is 420-307 ATS over the last five seasons.

The DePaul Blue Demons may not have a great overall record on the season, but they can certainly perform well when they get enough rest. DePaul is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.

John Thompson III is 1-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games as the coach of Georgetown. Georgetown is a defense oriented team. The offense averages only 64 points per game at home so 14 points is a large number to cover for the style of basketball they play. DePaul is coming off a confidence boosting win over Rutgers and they should be able to keep this game close enough to cover such a large number.

4* TOTAL DOMINATOR South Florida/St. John's UNDER

South Florida has gone under in five of the last six games a total was set. The Red Storm have gone under the total in four of their last five games following a straight up loss. St John's is playing on almost a week of rest and that should have them prepared enough to avoid foul trouble and play a solid defensive game against South Florida. They allow a mere 63.2 points per game at home and have held opponents under 40% from the field and under 30% from beyond the three point line. With the extra rest they should be able to perform better than their averages on the season.

South Florida has allowed 62.2 points per game on the road and held opponents to 28.9% from beyond the three point line. They have done a great job of avoiding turnovers allowing their opponents to average just 5 steals per game so St John's will not be able to get those fast break points. Without those easy points off of turnovers this should be a very low scoring game.

3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota Golden Gophers +

The Buckeyes have lost three of their last four games straight up and three consecutive games against the spread. In their last seven games Ohio State is forcing less than 10 turnovers per game on average. To win in the Big Ten you need points off of turnovers and the Buckeyes are not getting it done right now.

Both of these teams are not performing well in conference play lately, but Minnesota is a team that plays better when they have an active schedule. They are 10-1 ATS when playing their third game in a week over the last two seasons.

The Golden Gophers have not had a good shooting performance in their last few conference games, but they face a Buckeyes team that has given up over 50% shooting in two of their last three games and over 45% shooting in their last four games combined. Minnesota should be able to turn their shooting troubles around against a struggling Ohio State defense.

3* BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Portland -

The extra rest from the all-star break is exactly what this Portland team needed. They had a poor finish to the first half of the season losing their last five games, but they should bounce back strong against a bad team tonight.

The Suns are not a team that gets revenge from prior losses. Phoenix is 9-18 ATS when revenging a loss against an opponent this season and they are 24-43 ATS when revenging a same season loss over the last 3 seasons.

Portland has played well at home this season with a 17-8 straight up record. Phoenix is 5-23 on the road. With the better team getting some much needed rest this game should be an easy home win for Portland.

5* CBB NO DOUBT ROUT on BYU -

The BYU Cougars are 34-18 ATS in home games against teams who average 6 or less steals per game. Utah State is a slowdown team attempting less than 50 or less shots per game on the road. The combination of a slow offense and a defense that can

3* TOTAL NO BRAINER Chicago/New Orleans UNDER

It is better to play the under in a game involving a team averaging 92-98 points per game like Chicago against an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game after 42 or more games and coming off a performance where they allowed 75 points or less. This trend is 93-49 since 1996.

New Orleans plays better on defense when they are facing a team with a winning record on their home court and they are 22-11 to the under in that situation over the last two seasons. The Bulls are a team that gets a lot of their points off of turnovers and New Orleans averages just 13 turnovers per game at home this season.

The Bulls are 60-38 to the under against good ball handling teams like New Orleans in the 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons and with both teams having some extra rest from the NBA all-star break this game should be a defensive battle.

3* ODDSMAKER ERROR on Missouri St +

The Northern Iowa Panthers are a team that plays down to their level of competition. They are 8-23 ATS when playing against teams winning between 20% to 40% of their games after the 15 game mark in the season.

The Panthers also struggle when they fail to control the pace of the game. They like to run the ball up and down the court to ware their opponents out. Missouri State on the other hand, likes to slow things down and setup their offence. Northern Iowa is 2-10 ATS in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots per game over the last 3 seasons.

For an 8-19 team the Missouri State Bears are hot right now. They beat Indiana State by two points and played a close game on the road against Southern Illinois. Missouri State is 7-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival this season.

3* MAIN EVENT on Memphis -

The Memphis Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference opponents while the Detroit Pistons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference teams. The Pistons are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Pistons are barely over .500 on their home court and have a losing ATS record when playing in Detroit. They are a poor free throw shooting team making 68.9% of their attempts at home.

Memphis has been hot on offense averaging 104 PPG in their last three grams and 98.8 PPG in their last five. This matchup falls into a system to play on a road favorite like Memphis after they have gone over the total by 42 points or more in their last five games and they have a winning record on the season. This system is 102-57 ATS over the last five seasons.

4* TOTAL DOMINATOR Charlotte/Orlando OVER

This matchup falls into a system to play on the over where the total is between 190-199.5 points in a game involving two poor defensive teams that allow 45.5-47.5% shooting and two average rebounding teams after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 208-140 since 1996.

This game also falls into a system to play the over when one of the teams is off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival when the opponent is off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points. Both Charlotte and Orlando scored less than 80 points in their last game and suffered embarrassing losses with Charlotte losing to Indiana and Orlando losing to Atlanta. This system is 31-5 ATS since 1996.

The Magic are not a team that gets to the foul line very often and the Bobcats are 13-5 to the over versus teams attempting 21 or less free throws per game this season. The Bobcats average 20 fouls per game on the road so they are obviously giving up a lot of easy baskets. Orlando is 22-11 to the over versus teams who average 21 or less fouls per game this season.

4* NO DOUBT ROUT on Bucknell +

The better team in this matchup is the road team as Bucknell and Lehigh battle it out for 1st in the Patriot League Conference. Lehigh is coming off a road loss against 10-17 Colgate, and now they face a Bucknell team that ranks 24th among division one teams in points allowed and 11th in shooting percentage allowed from the field.

This is a revenge game for the Bison. Lehigh won by three points back on January 23rd and this is Bucknell

4* PAC-12 POUNDING on Arizona -9

The way these teams match up presents a favorable advantage for the Wildcats. Utah is a slow-down team that likes to setup their offense on each trip down the court rather than trying to get on a fast break. They are also a team that is not overly aggressive on defense. ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons and 43-26 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.

The Wildcats offense did not have a strong performance against Colorado in their last outing. That should have them motivated when they face Utah and they are 26-13 ATS after scoring 60 points or less since 1997. Arizona has played some tough competition on the road and generally teams will struggle defensively in those games. Not this Wildcats team. They have held opponents to 60.4 points per game and allow a mere 39.7 percent shooting.

Head coach Sean Miller should have his team motivated to play this mediocre Utah team. The Wildcats are coming off back to back losses against California at home and Colorado on the road. Miller is 22-8 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival in all games he has coached since 1997.

3* on Portland/BYU UNDER

The Portland Pilots offense will never be confused with a top tier team. They average 55.2 points per game on the road shooting 37.9% from the field and 28% from beyond the three point line. The defense manages to hold their own keeping opponents at 67.2 points and averaging 4 blocks per game.

The Pilots are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. This is a key indicator that they can

3* on Southern Illinois -

This matchup falls into a system to play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that returned 4 starters from last season when they are revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. This system is 102-65 ATS over the last five seasons.

The loss to Missouri State from earlier this season happened on the tail end of a three game road stretch. The Salukis are now revenging that game on their home court where they recently pulled off impressive wins over Wichita State and Evansville.

Missouri State is 1-10 on the road this season and they have been struggling lately dropping 7 of their last 10 games in conference play. Against common opponents both of these teams performed about the same statistically. However, Southern Illinois has a favorable advantage when it comes to forcing turnovers from their opponents. They managed to get 15.1 turnovers per game in the 13 games played against common opponents compared to just 9.8 turnovers forced by Missouri State.

3* on Kansas State -

The Baylor Bears are coming off a 20 point win West Virginia and their performance in that game has earned them more credit than they deserve from the oddsmakers. This matchup falls into a system to play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Baylor when they are scoring between 74-78 points per game and coming off a win by 15 points or more playing against an average offensive team scoring 67-74 points per game. This system is 108-58 ATS since 1997.

The Kansas State offense is not flashy and they are certainly not going to get into a shootout with many teams. However, they do a great job of avoiding turnovers and pulling in rebounds. Their defense has held opponents to 55.2 points per game when they are on their home court and they take 17 turnovers while committing only 12 of their own. Points scored off turnover margin should be enough to cover such a small number for Kansas State.

4* Total DOMINATOR on Duke/Maryland UNDER

When this Duke team is playing well and winning games it is usually related to some solid defensive performances. Duke is 10-2 to the under after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games over the last 3 seasons and as they site on a 22-2 record it is safe to say they are playing well.

Maryland

4* HEAVY HITTER on Ball State -

Eastern Michigan has not performed well away from home as they sit on a 0-10 road record. It does not appear things will get much easier when they face Ball State in round two of a Mid-American West Conference showdown. The Cardinals have already handed Eastern Michigan a two point loss in Ypsilanti, MI and now they have the luxury of facing the Eagles on their home court in Muncie, IN.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles average a mere 52 points per game on the road and have shot 34.5% from the field. You could say the Eagles have been heating up as they are up to 38.4% shooting in their last five games overall, but that number is still horrible. They rank 338th among division one teams in points scored.

The Ball State Cardinals do well against teams that shoot three pointers poorly. They are 12-2 ATS when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals should have no problem holding the Eagles to under 60 points in this game, especially considering the Eagles average of 52 points on the road includes some very soft defensive opponents. Ball State is 16-6 ATS when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

3* on Virginia Tech +

This is a lot of points for Virginia Tech to receive considering the Wolfpack have lost three of their last four games and are quickly working their way into the bottom of the ACC standings. Virginia Tech is coming off an embarrassing loss to in-state rival Virginia and that has them poised for a rebound game against NC State.

This matchup falls into a system to play on a road team like Virginia Tech when both teams are average defensively, allowing 67-74 points per game after completing 15 or more games in the season, when that road team is coming off a loss of 15 points or more. This system is 141-83 over the last five seasons.

You also want to play against home favorites of 10 or more points like NC State when they are coming off a win against a conference rival, in February games. This system is 345-239 over the last 5 seasons.

3* on Bradley +

It seems as though the wrong team is favored in this game. Bradley is revenging a loss against Indiana State from earlier this season and they have the luxury of doing it from their home court. Bradley is 46-25 ATS revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more since 1997.

The Indiana State Sycamores have lost five of their last six games on the road and seven of their 9 losses on the season have come away from their home court. They manage only 30.9% shooting from beyond the three point line and get only six steals while turning the ball over 14 times per game on the road.

The Bradley Braves are 11-3 straight up and 8-4 ATS on their home court. The smart money in this game is on the home team revenging a same season loss against an Indiana State team that has been horrible on the road.

5* Total NO BRAINER on Wisconsin Green Bay UNDER

Wisconsin Green Bay

5* NO DOUBT ROUT on Portland State -

The Portland State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record dating back to last season. The Vikings have to be looking forward to this home game against a weak Southern Utah team after completing a two game road stretch last Saturday. All five of the Vikings wins have come on their home court so they are definitely a more comfortable team in front of their own fan base.

Southern Utah averages just 64.2 points per game on the road, which is 9.8 per game less than the Vikings are scoring on their home court. The Thunderbirds are averaging a disgusting 19 turnovers per game on the road, 25 personal fouls and getting only 4 steals. Their defense is allowing 78.1 points on the road and 48% shooting from the field.

The Vikings are out for revenge in this game after getting beat in Southern Utah back on January 24th. This game should turn out quite a bit different since the Vikings play well at home and the Thunderbirds have been horrible on the road.

4* CBB NO BRAINER on Portland +

Both Portland and San Francisco are average teams so it is surprising to see the Pilots getting so many points here. This matchup falls into a system to play on road underdogs in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) and average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) when that road dog is playing against a team that forces less than 14.5 turnovers. This system is 133-86 over the last 5 seasons.

The Pilots have managed to get off to some great starts defensively when playing on the road holding teams to 32.5 points at the half. They do not give up many rebounds allowing teams only 8 offensive rebounds and 32 total for the game, a feat with ranks them 78th among the 347 division one college basketball teams.

Against common opponents these teams share a similar record with the Pilots at 2-8 and the Dons at 3-7. These teams played in Portland on January 24th in a battle that could have gone either way. San Francisco ended up edging out the Pilots by three points, but this game should play similar to the last one.

3* on Seattle +

Seattle is getting too many points in this game considering all three of Louisiana Tech