3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Xavier +

I like the value here with the Musketeers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. Xavier was way overvalued to start the year and that was evident by their 0-4-1 ATS start. 

While the Musketeers have won 5 of their last 6 and are a respectable 4-2 ATS during this run, they are still flying under the radar from their slow start. It's not as bad as it looks. They are 7-4, but the 4 losses have come against Wisconsin, Auburn, San Diego State and Cincinnati. 

I don't think Missouri is on the same level as those teams. WE have already seen the Tigers lose at home to Temple. They also lost by 15 to Kansas State and by 17 to ISU. Missouri is just 4-11-1 ATS last 16 non-conference games and 1-7-1 ATS last 9 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Xavier! 

4* NCAAB Situational HEAVY HITTER  on Georgetown -

I got no problem laying double-digits here with the Hoyas at home against the Mountaineers. We can bank on a big effort here from Georgetown after losing their last two, including an upset loss last time out at home against SMU. 

They should have no problem bouncing back with a big win. Appalachian State has played 6 road games and lost all 6. The Mountaineers are giving up 85 ppg on the road and the Hoyas are averaging 82.8 ppg at home. Georgetowns defense will be able to limit App St and that's where they will create the separation needed to cover. 

Mountaineers are 7-20-2 ATS last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 road games after winning 2 of their last 3. Take Georgetown! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on SIU-Edwardsville +

The Bulldogs are getting way too much respect here from the books. Drake should be able to win this game, but it's asking a lot for them to win by 14 or more.

This line is simply inflated due to the fact that the Bulldogs come in having covered 6 straight and SIU Edwardsville a mere 2-5 overall. The Cougars only lost by 5 at Valpo as an almost identical 14.5-point dog. They are 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

There's also a huge system in play favoring a fade of Drake. Home favorites that have won between 60% to 80% of their games and enter having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 are a mere 19-47 (29%) ATS when facing a bad team that's won between 20% to 40% of their games. Take SIU Edwardsville! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Bucks -

Milwaukee should have no problem covering this short number on the road against the Pistons. Detroit comes in off a upset win at home over the Celtics, but I'm just not buying it as a sign of things to come. Pistons simply had a good night shooting, as they connected on 49% of their attempts. 

I don't see the offense being able to match that hot shooting here against a good Milwaukee defense. Bucks have held 4 of their last 6 opponents under 42% from the field and been outstanding this season on that side of the ball against division opponents. Milwaukee is 6-1 in division games and have held their division rivals to just 102.4 ppg and 41.9% shooting. 

Pistons are 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and a mere 4-15 ATS last 19 vs strong rebounding teams, who are outrebounding opponents by 3 or more/game. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NBA Situational NO-BRAINER on Mavs -

This is a great price to back the Mavs at home. Sacramento is getting a lot of love for their recent game agains the Warriors, which they went toe-to-toe with the defending champs in a 130-125 loss at home.

They blew that game. They were up 10 with a little over 3 minutes to play. That's a loss that can linger for days and I just think we see a flat Kings team in this one. Dallas is also a team you don't want to be betting against right now. The Mavs have covered 11 of their last 16. They are also an amazing 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS on their home floor this season. 

There's also going to be a different kind of buzz at American Airlines Center, as Dirk Nowitizki will be taking the court for the first time at home this season. Take Dallas! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Cal-Irvine -

The Anteaters should have zero problem beating the Pioneers by the number here. UC-Irvine is sitting at 9-2 on the season with an outright win on the road against Texas A&m. Denver is 4-9 an and are simply outclassed here. 

These two team played about this time last year and the Anteaters won by 14 on the road, easily covering as a a 5-point dog. Irvine has covered 8 of their last 10 against a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team from the Summit. Pioneers are 5-16 ATS last 21 in non-conference play. Take UC-Irvine! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Virginia Tech -

The Hokies should have zero problem here covering the spread at home against the Huskies. Virginia Tech's only loss on the season is a mere 1-point defeat at Penn State. No surprise, as this is what many thought to be the 4th best team in the ACC behind Duke, UNC and Virginia. 

There was some hype with Washington, but the Huskies have struggled to come away with wins when they take a step up in competition. They have lost at Auburn and Gonzaga, as well as a neutral site game against Minnesota. 

Note that these two played on a neutral court last year and it wasn't close. The Hokies won 103-79 as a 7-point favorite. They are simply the much better team and what is normally a strong homeport advantage gets even stronger when you factor in how far the Huskies have had to travel for this one. 

Washington is 1-5 ATS last 6 vs a team that's won 60% or more of their games and 4-13 ATS last 17 vs top caliber teams who are outscoring opponents by 12+ points/game. Hokies are 13-5 ATS last 18 non-conference and 9-2 ATS last 11 after playing 3 straight games as a favorite. Take Virginia Tech! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on SMU +

The Hoyas simply are a great team to fade at home, especially as a favorite in non-conference play. Georgetown is 6-17 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite and 4-13 ATS last 17 at home in non-conference play. 

Last time out the Hoyas suffered a crushing 72-71 loss at Syracuse and are 0-5 ATS last 5 off a loss. SMU on the other hand is an impressive 56-32 ATS L88 road games and have gone 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games played on a Saturday. 

While the Mustangs are just 6-4, they have played the tougher schedule to this point. I see no reason they can't make a game of this and I think worst case they lose by 5 or less, with a really good shot they win the game outright. Take SMU! 

4* NBA Cavs/Bucks CENTRAL PLAY OF THE WEEK on Cavs +

There's no denying the Cavs are one of the worst teams in the NBA, but they do come out and play hard on a regular basis. I think that effort will be more than enough for Cleveland to keep this within double-digits at home against the Bucks. 

Milwaukee has cooled off some from their amazing start, as they are just 5-5 in their last 10 games. They lost 113-97 as a 2-point favorite last time out at Indiana and are just 5-6 on the road on the season. 

Bucks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games and are just 20-48 ATS last 68 as a favorite of 10 or more. Cavs are 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team from the east and the home team is 3-0-1 last 4 in the series. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Clippers/Spurs PLAY OF THE DAY on Clippers +

The betting public is all over San Antonio and to no surprise. The Spurs have won 4 straight and people are going to be quick to look for reasons to back this team. It's the exact opposite for the Clippers. They have been one of the best teams in the West from the start, but no one believes in them and re definitely not backing them here. LA has failed to cover 4 in a row and just lost by 24 at home to the Raptors. 

That loss to Toronto doesn't look nearly as bad after what the Raptors did to the Warriors in Golden State last night. I just think the Clippers are the more talented team and let's not overlook that prior t being a 13-point favorite against the Suns, the Spurs were a 4-point home dog to the Jazz and 1-point home dog to the Lakers. The Clippers are better than both of those teams and simply should not be a dog here. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB Small Conference HIDDEN ATS GEM on Morehead State +

The records here would suggest that Samford is the far superior team, as the Bulldogs enter with an 8-2 record and Morehead State is limping in at 3-6. That's definitely playing into this line and creating big time value here with the Eagles.

The reason the Bulldogs are 8-2 is they haven't played anybody outside of one road game against Ohio State. Morehead State's already played 3 true road games against UConn, Syracuse and Marshall and it's worth noting they were competitive in all 3, losing by just 10 the Huskies, 14 to the Orange and 8 to the Thundering Herd. 

I not only think they are are capable of covering the spread, but I like them to win outright. Eagles are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games and 8-3 in their last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Morehead State! 

4* NBA Atlantic GAME OF THE WEEK on Nets +

I like the value here with Brooklyn as a big road dog against the the 76ers. Philadelphia has gone an impressive 10-2 in their last 12 games and are off a 14-point win at home against the Pistons as a 11.5-point favorite. It has the 76ers way overvalued here at home against a Nets team that has recently turned a corner. 

Brooklyn upset Toronto at home 106-105 as a 8.5-point dog and the very next night went on the road and beat the Knicks 112-104 as a 2-point dog. Even with those back-to-back wins, the Nets are still a team that don't command a lot of respect. I just think it's hard for teams like the 76ers to emotionally get up for opponents like this and that will allow Brooklyn to hang around and keep this within the number. 

Nets are well rested here, as they haven't played since Saturday and that's worth noting, as they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Nets are also a strong 31-18 ATS as a road dog the last 2 seasons and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring at least 105 points in 3 straight games. Take Brooklyn! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Columbia +

I love the value here with the Lions as a big road dog against the Eagles. Columbia comes in with a mere 3-6 record, but it's a very misleading mark. The Lions largest margin of defeat is a mere 11-points and 3 of the 6 losses have come by 2-points or less. 

I think they are more than capable of keeping this within the number. Columbia is a great 3-point shooting team. They come in averaging 11 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting 39% as a team from long distance. BC hasn't exactly faired well against teams that can shoot from deep, as they are a mere 12-28 ATS in their last 40 home games against teams who average 8 or more 3-pointers a game. 

The Eagles are also a bit overvalued because of their hot start. they are 6-2 overall and have won 4 of their last 5. BC is 15-31 in their last 46 home games when they come in having gone 4-1 in their previous 5 games. Take Columbia! 

3* Late Info Insider on Clippers +

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn +

I like the Quakers here to at least keep this within the number. This is not the same caliber a Villanova team that we have seen the past few years. While they are 8-2 to start the year, we have seen them lose by 27 to Michigan at home as well as by 8 as a 16-point home favorite to Furman. 

Penn has had this one circled since the schedule was released and are coming in playing with a ton of confidence. They have won 4 straight with the last two being a 14-point win at home over Miami and a 18-point win on the road over LaSalle. The Quakers were embarrassed last year by the Wildcats, losing 90-62 at Villanova, so that's even more incentive for them to lay it all on the line in this one. 

Quakers are 6-1 ATS last 7 off a SU win, 5-1 ATS last 6 at home and 7-2 ATS last 9 non-conference games. Take Penn! 

5* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Magic +

I really like this spot for Orlando to cover the spread and possible win the game outright at Dallas on Monday. This is a big letdown spot for the Mavs, who are coming off a thrilling 107-104 win at home over the Rockets. 

As for the Magic, we can bank on a big effort here after back-to-back home losses to the Nuggets and Pacers. Orland has been a solid road team. They are 6-6 away from home and most importantly, 9-2 ATS on the highway. Magic have also covered 7 straight away from home when facing a team that is allowing 106+ points/game. 

Another thing is Orlando is fresh, as they have played just once in the last 4 days. Playing into that is a great system in favor of a Magic cover. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9 points who are playing just their 4th or less game in the last 10 days are 41-15 (73%) ATS in the month of December over the last 5 seasons. Take Orlando! 

3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cavs +

This is a great price to back Cleveland, as this is a really tough spot for the Bucks. Milwaukee is coming off a huge road win on Sunday at Toronto and with the quick turnaround they aren't even going to have a shoot-around before the game.

This is just one of those games where the Bucks are going to have a hard time showing up with a ton of intensity, as they have to feel like they can beat the Cavs at home in their sleep. It's a spot where they have failed to cover quite often, as Milwaukee is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games vs terrible teams that are getting outscored by 6 or more points/game. 

Bucks are also a mere 2-11 ATS in their last 13 as a favorite of 10 or more points and 3-12 ATS last 15 off an upset win as an underdog. Take Cleveland! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Texas +

This is the ideal spot to jump on the Longhorns. Since upsetting North Carolina to improve to 5-0, Texas has lost 3 straight, including back-to-back home losses to VCU and Radford as double-digit favorites. If that doesn't humble the Longhorns nothing will. 

I expect a extremely motivated and locked in Texas team to take the floor here at home against the Boilermakers. Purdue is a one-man show. Carsen Edwards averages 23.9 ppg. The only other player in double-figures is Ryan Cline at 14 ppg. I think that's a tough way to win against good teams, especially on the road and Purude has lost both of their true road games, as well as a neutral site game to Va Tech. 

Longhorns are 26-13 ATS in their last 39 as a home underdog with a very profitable 15-5 ATS mark as a home dog of 3 points or less. Take Texas! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Tennessee +

The public is coming in on the #1 ranked Bulldogs at close to a 80% clip and I'm putting my trust in the books that they have set this line to where they are confident the Vols will cash. I'm on board, as I like Tennessee to win this game outright. 

The Vols are no pushover. They are 6-1 and their only loss is a mere 6-point defeat to Kansas on a neutral field. They only lost by 6 to the Jayhawks, despite shooting just 41% from the field and Kansas was a red-hot 50%. Gonzaga has a bunch of big wins on their resume, including that upset of Duke, but they are due for a loss and they were lucky to get by Washington 81-79 at home as a 16-point favorite in their last game. 

Vols are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games when the previous two were against non-conference opponents. They are also 210-8-2 ATS in their last 30 off a SU win by more than 20 points and 8-1 ATS in their last 90 after holding their previous opponent to 25 or less 1st half points. Take Tennessee! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Lakers OVER

These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. I get the low number here with Memphis and their tendency for lower-scoring games, but I just don't think these two will be bringing the defensive intensity in this one. 

Both teams are on no rest, as the Lakers played at San Antonio last night in a shootout (lost 133-120) and the Grizzlies were in a dog fight at New Orleans (won 107-103). I think both teams easily reach the 100-point mark in this one and I wouldn't be shocked if this thing ended up a closer to 225. 

OVER is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, including 3-1-1 in the last 5 games played at Memphis. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on UNLV +

There's no reason for Illinois to be laying close to double-digits at home against the Rebels. I get the Illini have played a pretty tough schedule, but they are just 2-7 and have been way overvalued by the books in their slow start. Illinois is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. 

UNLV is 4-3 and off back-to-back losses to Valparaiso and Cincinnati, but they played both of them close and didn't shoot well in either game. Illinois has let opponents shoot 49% from the field, so good chance the Rebels get going offensively in this one. 

Rebels are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs a struggling defensive team that is giving up 77 or more points/game and are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs a team from the Big Ten. Illinois is 0-4 ATS last 4 at home and 1-4 ATS last 5 off a double-digit loss at home. Take UNLV! 

4* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall +

I really like the value here with the Pirates catching a big number on a neutral court against the Wildcats, as these two get ready to face off at Madison Square Garden. Kentucky is 7-1 with the only setback being that ugly 118-84 loss to Duke in their season opener, but I'm still not quite sold on this team. 

The Wildcats have played absolutely no one since that game against Duke and are just 3-5 ATS on the season. Set Hall has one bad loss at Nebraska and a couple of close calls against St Louis and Louisville. No question the Pirates are going to put everything they have into pulling off the upset here and this is a tough spot for Kentucky. Wildcats last played on Dec. 1 and won't play again after this one until Dec. 15. 

Pirates are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Kentucky is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games after scoring 75+ in 4 straight. Take Seton Hall! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida +

I cashed in on the Gators in their 10-point win over West Virginia and I'll gladly back them as a home dog here against the Spartans. Florida beat the Mountaineers by double-digits, despite shooting a mere 33.3% from the field. Note that game was played on a  neutral court. 

This has been a much different Florida offense at home, where they are averaging 85.3 ppg and shooting 53.1% from the field. It's not so much the offense, as it is the defense that has me liking the Gators here. Michigan State took won't have the same advantages against Florida as they did in their 22-point blowout win at home against Iowa, where they shot 52%. 

Spartans are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games after 2 or more wins and are a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games off a conference win by 10 or more points. Take Florida! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Santa Clara -

I got no problem laying the short number here with the Broncos, as I look for them to easily cover the small spread at home against the Bengals. Santa Clara got off to a brutal 0-4 start, but have rebounded to win 3 of their last 4 with the only loss during this stretch coming in a true road game at Cal. 

Idaho State is 3-3 and 2 of those wins have come against the likes of Bethesda-CA and Montana Western. Bengals are expected to finish near the bottom of the Big Sky and are simply outclassed here. Idaho State has failed to cover 4 of their last 5 vs teams from the West Coast and are 2-8 ATS last 10 off a SU win. They are also a mere 5-15 ATS last 20 road games after playing their previous game as a road dog. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cavs +

Kings are getting way too much respect here as a road favorite. As bad as Cleveland is, Sacramento should not be laying points away from home. I know the Kings just covered as 5.5-point road favorites in a 122-105 win at Phoenix, but they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 off a win by 10 or more points. 

Last time out the Cavs gave up 129 in a 14-point loss at home to the Warriors and that's worth noting as Cleveland is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after giving up 125 or more points. Cavs had covered each of their previous two games before coming up short as 11-point dogs to Golden State and I'm confident they bounce back here with a win at home. Take Cleveland! 

4* NCAAB Rivalry GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -

Iowa State should have no problem going on the road and taking down in-state rival Iowa. The line really tells you all you need to know for this one, as the Hawkeyes are ranked No. 18 and getting points at home against a Cyclones team that isn't currently in the Top 25. 

The books are telling you who is the better team, as the public will be on the ranked team getting points at home. I really like what I have seen from Iowa State in their 7-1 start. They haven't even had their full compliment of players and yet still have wins over Missouri, Illinois and San Diego State. Their lone loss being by just 5-points on a neutral court. 

Iowa looked impressive in back-to-back wins over Oregon and UConn, but they have went ice-cold from the field since those two victories. They were lucky to escape with a 69-68 win at home over Pitt, as they shot just 36.5%. They shot 39% in a 6-point loss to Wisconsin at home and 32.8% in a 22-point loss at Michigan State. 

Cyclones on the other hand come in having scored 80 or more in 4 straight games and are an impressive 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 80+ in 2 straight games. Hawkeyes are also a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team that's won more than 80% of their games. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Cal +

While the Golden Bears are one of the worst teams in the Pac-12, this is too many points for them to be catching at home against a team from the West Coast Conference. I get San Francisco is a quality team and have started out 7-1, but not a single one of those wins have come against a Power 5 opponents. 

Cal already has one win against a team from the WCC, as they defeated Santa Clara at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Now they are a 6.5-point dog against SF? I just think this number has been inflated a ton and there's just too much value to pass up. 

Note that while Cal is just 2-4 overall, they have only played 2 games at home and are 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS at home. It's also worth noting they come in off a 84-71 loss at St-Mary's, where they gave up 45 in the 1st half. Golden Bears are 24-8 ATS last 32 after giving up 45 or more in the 1st half. Dons are also 0-6 ATS last 6 road games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take California! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Long Beach State -

This line really tells you everything you need to know. Long Beach State comes in at 2-7 and riding a 4-game losing streak, yet are laying points against a Southern Utah team that is 4-1. The 49ers have played the much tougher schedule and that's easy to see as they have already logged 5 games against Power 5 opponents and have only played 2 of their 9 games at home. 

To give you an idea of how easy the schedule has been for Thunderbirds, the opponents they have faced give up on average 82.3 ppg, so don't be fooled by the 86 ppg that Southern Utah is averaging. Thunderbirds are just 4-10 ATS last 14 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and the 49ers are a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Take Long Beach State! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs +

The Cavs snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 99-97 win at Brooklyn as a 6-point dog and I really like their chances of keeping this within the number against the Warriors. Cleveland is definitely one of the worst teams in the league, but that often has them getting a few too many points from the books, as no one wants to be on this team. Cavs have covered each of their last 2 and 5 of their last 8. 

Warriors come in at 16-9, but they just don't seem to have that killer instinct in the regular-season any more. They actually have a losing record on the road at 5-7 and are just 4-8 ATS in those 12 road games. They did win and cover last time out against the Hawks, but are just 1-5 ATS off a SU win and a mere 12-25-1 ATS last 38 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Late Night Bailout BLOWOUT on Jazz -

I got no problem laying this kind of number with Utah at home against the Spurs. San Antonio is way down this year and it's just unlikely to get a lot better. Spurs are 11-12 and own a miserable 4-8 record on the road, where they are getting outscored by nearly 6 ppg. 

San Antonio does come in off a nice win at home against the Blazers, but they shot a ridiculous 60% from the field. That hot shooting covered up another bad defensive night, as the Spurs let Portland shoot 50% from the field. That's 3 straight opponents where San Antonio has allowed 50% or better shooting and they haven't held a team under 46.5% in their last 8 games. 

Jazz have the talent to be one of the top defensive teams in the league and last time out they held the Heat to just 39.6%. Their ability to get stops should allow them to pull away and win this one by double-digits. Take Utah! 

4* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State -

A lot of people wrote-off the Nittany Lions this year because they lost their star in Tony Carr. While that was a huge loss, there's plenty of talent still on board, including junior Lamar Stevens, who was the NIT's most outstanding player.

Stevens has been sensational, averaging 22.4 ppg and 8.6 rpg. He's got 3 guys around him who can all hit from deep and this team is holding opponents nearly 12 points below their season average on the defensive side. 

Indiana is a well-known program and there's a lot of hype with this year's team, but I haven't been all that impressed. They have lost both their true road games and barely held on to beat Northwestern at home, despite shooting 55.1% from the field. That's a major cause for concern, especially on the road, where it's a lot harder to score. Take Penn State! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH  on Oklahoma -

This is a no-brainer for me. I think Oklahoma is the better team and it's not even close. While both teams come into this game with a 6-1 record, the Sooners' 6-1 record has been a lot more impressive. 

Oklahoma's only loss is to a Wisconsin team that figures to finish near the top of the Big Ten. They have impressive wins over Florida and Dayton and have only played 2 true home games so far this season. Notre Dame has a 2-point win over Illinois on it's resume, but also a loss at home to Radford. Irish have also played all 7 of their games at home. 

Both teams lost a lot from last year, but I think a lot more people wrote off Oklahoma because they lost a superstar in Trae Young. While Young was the talk of CBB, the Sooners went just 4-12 down the stretch. A lot of that was it was a one-man show. This year they are playing much better team basketball and a lot better defense. I look for them to win this one going away. Take Oklahoma! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Rutgers +

Really like the value here with the Scarlet Knights as a huge underdog against the Badgers. Wisconsin comes in over a big road win against undefeated and No. 14 ranked Iowa. The Badgers were No. 22 in their win over the Hawkeyes and are now the No. 12 team in the country. 

I think it has them getting way too much respect here against a quality Rutgers team. While the Scarlet Knights failed to cover as a 8-point home dog in a 78-67 loss to Michigan State, that was a 1-point game in the 2nd half. Prior to that loss, Rutgers went on the road and beat Miami, FL 57-54 as a 11-point dog. 

Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a double-digit loss at home and 4-0 ATS last 4 games on the road. Take Rutgers! 

4* NBA East Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Wizards -

Washington should have no problem going into New York and leaving with a victory and that's all we need with this line at basically a pick'em. The Wizards come into this one off one of their best performances of the season in a 102-88 win against the Nets. 

The Wizards shot 52% from the field, while holding Brooklyn to just 37% shooting. Washington's dynamic backcourt of Wall and Beal combined for 52 points and Morris came off the bench with 20. When Wall and Beal are both clicking, this is a very difficult team to beat and with the Knicks giving up 114.6 ppg and 47.4% shooting on the season, I like their chances of staying hot. 

There's also a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Knicks. Teams who are allowing 103+ points/game and off a close win by 3-points or less are just 51-100 ATS since 1996 when the line is +3 to -3. That's a 66% system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! 

5* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Ohio State -

I got no problem laying this number here at home with the Buckeyes against the Gophers. Minnesota is going to be a trendy pick here by the pubic, as this will look like too many points for them to be catching, as they are 6-1 with wins over Utah, Texas A&M, Washington and most recently Oklahoma State.

However, their lone loss came in their only true road game against Boston College and they got rolled by 12-points and shot a miserable 29.2% from the field. Ohio State can really lock teams down defensively and were playing extremely well (won true road games at Cincinnati and Creighton) before a setback at home against a quality Syracuse team. 

Buckeyes lost to the Orange by a final score of 72-62 and that's worth noting, as they are a prefect 5-0 ATS last 5 times they have come off a double-digit home loss. Gophers on the other hand are 0-4 ATS last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 1-9 ATS last 10 off a cover. Home team has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and Gophers are 1-10 ATS last 11 trips to Columbus. Take Ohio State! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz -

Utah should have zero problem here getting a win on the road against the Heat on Sunday. The Jazz are a team that has under-performed early on, but they are starting to turn a corner. They just won by 8 as a 2-point dog at Charlotte on Friday and won by 10 at Brooklyn as a mere 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday. 

I just think this team is starting to play some of their best basketball and Miami is a team that is struggling to find their way. The Heat have only won 5 times since Oct. 29th, but are getting some love here due to the fact that they are fresh off an upset win at home over the Pelicans. 

Miami is just 3-8 ATS last 11 off a SU win and 1-6 ATS last 7 at home. Utah is 24-12 ATS last 36 when coming off back-to-back wins and are a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 trips to Miami. Take Utah! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Arizona 

I really like the Wildcats to go on the road and take down UConn. This might not be your Final 4 caliber Arizona team, but I think because they aren't quite what they have been the last couple of years they are flying under the radar. 

Arizona's only two losses this season have come against Gonzaga and Auburn and the loss to the Tigers came the day after they laid it all on the line against the Bulldogs. They had an impressive win over Iowa State and their two losses are a lot better than UConn's loss to Iowa, who I think is a bit overrated right now. 

Wildcats are 13-4 ATS last 17 road games off a home win and the Huskies are 0-7 ATS last 7 after 2 straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers. 

We also find a strong system in play backing a fade of the Huskies. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 and are coming in off 4 straight high-scoring games where 155 or more points were scored are a mere 19-45 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Wildcats covering. Take Arizona! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Rockets OVER

The Bulls and Rockets should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. A big reason for that is both teams don't figure to be exerting a lot of energy on the defensive side, as each team will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as well as their 3rd game overall in the last 4 days. 

Houston's offense has really gotten better since the start of the season and they put up 136 last night in San Antonio and are averaging 118.8 ppg over their last 5. Chicago is giving up 113.8 ppg on the road and will have no answer for Harden and company. 

Key here is that while the Bulls offense is limited, the Rockets defense has been slipping of late. Houston has allowed at least 105 in 7 straight games and I just don't see this game being close enough to where they feel they have to lock down defensively. 

OVER is a perfect 7-0 in the Rockets last 7 after scoring 100 or more points, 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-0 last 4 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Temple +

The Owls only loss this season is a mere 6-point defeat against VCU, where they shot a dreadful 32.3% from the field. I think another one of those awful shooting performances is the only thing that will keep Temple from not just covering but winning this game outright. 

Since losing to VCU, the Owls have destroyed Cal 76-59, shooting 54.4% from the field and most recently won 79-77 at Missouri on 51.6% shooting. One of the big reasons I don't think the Owls will struggle with their shot, is St. Joe's has allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field. 

Temple is 7-2 ATS last 9 off a game where they covered the spread and a perfect 7-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons in road games after a game with a combined score of 155 or more. Take Temple! 

3* NCAAB Monday Line ANNIHILATOR on San Diego State 

I'll take my chances here that the Aztecs leave Illinois State with a victory. This is a really good San Diego State team, but are off to a bit of a slow start with a 4-2 record early on. However, the two losses have both come away from home against the likes of Duke and Iowa State. While they struggled against those two Power 5 teams, they did knock off Xavier. 

Illinois State has won 4 straight, but I just think this is a big step up in class for the Redbirds, who lost by double-digits to Georgia and Belmont earlier this season. Illinois State is also a mere 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team from the MWC. 

Aztecs are 8-2 ATS last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 7-2 ATS last 9 off a SU win. Take San Diego State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Georgia Tech +

The Yellow Jackets are showing tremendous value here as a 4.5-point dog against the Red Storm. St John's is simply getting way too much respect from their 6-0 start to the season. While it's a nice way to start the year, the schedule has been very favorable. 

Georgia Tech is 4-2, but their only two losses have both come in true road games against Power 5 opponents in Tennessee and Northwestern. The big key here will the Yellow Jacket's defense, which is only giving up 59 ppg and holding opponents to 36% shooting. I look for them to slow the  Storm way down, while the offense does more than enough against a St John's defense that gives up 76.7 ppg on the road. 

Red Storm are a mere 3-11 ATS last 14 neutral site games and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after 3 or more consecutive wins. Yellow Jackets are 14-5 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days and a perfect 10-0 ATS last 10 off a cover where they lost outright as a dog. Take Georgia Tech! 

3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY  on Cavs +

The Cavs don't exactly offer much of a threat right now. Kevin Love, Sam Dekker, J.R. Smith, David Nwaba and George Hill are all out. They also just traded Kyle Korver and are coming off a 17 point loss at OKC. 

This might look like an easy spot to jump on the Celtics, who are coming off a nice win at New Orleans as a 2-point dog. I don't think that's a wise move. Boston is dealing with some injuries right now and have a much bigger game on deck at Minnesota tomorrow. Will be really hard for them to give Cleveland their full attention. 

I expect the Cavs to come out and play hard and keep this a lot closer than expected early and stick around for a cover, as Boston will likely right the ship and find a way to win at home. Simply too much value with this double-digit spread to pass up. Take Cleveland! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Dayton +

The public is going to be all over the ranked Bulldogs, but I don't think Mississippi State should be favored. I wasn't all that impressed with the Bulldogs showing in Las Vegas. They lost outright to Arizona State as a 4.5-point favorite and barely held on for a 4-point win against St. Mary's. 

Dayton on the other hand is a team I think is flying under the radar. The Flyers struggled in the first year under head coach Anthony Grant, but return 4 starters and outside of an awful 10 minutes stretch against Oklahoma, I've liked what I have seen. 

Dayton only lost by 7 on a neutral court to Virginia and shot 54.3% from the field, which is outstanding against that Cavaliers' defense. They were up decent on Oklahoma in the 2nd half, but went ice cold and scored 2 points in a 10-minute stretch. 

With the Bulldogs not quite as good as people think and this being Mississippi State's first true road game, I like Dayton to win this matchup. Flyers are 13-5 ATS L18 vs a team from the SEC, while Bulldogs are 1-11 ATS last 12 off a SU win by 20 or more (beat Alcorn St by 23 last time out). Take Dayton! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

5* NBA Central Division GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks -

I got no problem here laying the big number with Milwaukee at home against the Bulls. The Bucks come into this one off a upset loss at Charlotte as a 4.5-point favorite. Milwaukee hasn't lost back-to-back games all season and are 4-1 ATS off a SU loss. 

The Bulls are really struggling right now. Chicago has lost 3 straight and are a mere 3-12 in their last 15. Until they get some of their key guys back from injury, they are going to struggle to be competitive, especially against the elite teams. These two teams played earlier this month and the Bucks toyed with Chicago in a 123-104 win, as they led 63-45 at the half. 

Big system in play as well. Favorites who have won between 60% to 75% of their games and are off a game where they failed to cover are a dominant 39-15 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a horrible team that's won 25% or less of their games. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Maryland +

The betting public is going to be all over No. 4 ranked Virginia, as the books are begging for action on the Cavaliers as a short road favorite against the Terps. While Maryland comes into this game with an identical 6-0 record and are now ranked No. 24 in the country, I think people are sleeping on this team. 

While they are starting to get some respect, I don't think people realize just how talented and how well Maryland is playing right now. They got two experienced playmakers who can both score in bunches in Cowan and Fernando and a trio of freshmen that are playing at a high level. 

We know Virginia is going to be tough to score on, but the offense can be dreadful at times. Maryland is has shot 50% or better in each of their last 3 games and we saw the Cavaliers allow Dayton to shoot 54.3% a couple games back. Terps aren't just all offense, as they are only giving up 66 ppg, while holding teams to 39% from the field and 29% from deep. Take Maryland! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Line MISTAKE on Old Dominion -

I like the value here with Old Dominion as a short home favorite against the Rams. Jeff Jones has really turned the Monarchs into a consistent threat in C-USA and it's because of the emphasis that is put on the defensive side of the ball. ODU is once again locking down opposing teams, as they enter this game allowing just 58.3 ppg and 37.2% from the field. They get even more stingy at home, where they allow just 54.5 ppg and 32.7% shooting. 

VCU is a quality team and while Shaka Smart is no longer with he Rams, they are still a household name. I think that's playing into the number here, as I think this is a really tough spot for VCU against this caliber a defense in their first true road game of the season. Note they don't exactly come in shooting it well, as they have hit a mere 42% in each of their last 2 games. 

Rams are just 4-9 ATS last 13 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog. Clearly when the books make VCU a dog it's for good reason. Take Old Dominion. 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER  on Temple +

I really like the Owls to go into Mizzou Arena and take down the Tigers. I've just not been impressed at all with Missouri, as they can't score the basketball. Tigers come into this game averaging a mere 63.6 ppg. I get they have played Iowa State, Oregon St and Kansas St, but they only had 68 points vs Central Arkansas and a mere 55 in a 3-point win over Kennesaw State. 

Temple is a very strong defensive team, which is bad news for the Tigers. Owls had one bad offensive game against VCU where they shot 32% and scored 51 points (only loss this year). Every other game they have scored 75 or more, including 81 against the likes of Georgia. I just don't see Mizzu being able to keep pace. Take Temple! 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Loyola-Chicago +

Expectations were sky-high for Loyola-Chicago coming into this year after that Cinderella run through the NCAA Tournament a year ago. I think a lot of people are off this team though after their 4-2 start, which includes a double-digit loss to Boston College last time out. 

I still think the Ramblers are a very dangerous team, especially on their home floor and Nevada is simply getting too much respect. The Wolf Pack come in with a perfect 6-0 record and averaging 92 ppg. They aren't a bad team, but they have played a soft schedule and will get knocked off at some point. I think there's a good chance it happens tonight, as this will be their first true road game of the 2018 season. 

Ramblers are 15-6 ATS last 21 as an underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 off a loss by 10 or more points. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

3* NBA Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY  on Knicks +

I'm jump on the red-hot Knicks as a big dog against Detroit. New York comes in having won 3 straight and all 3 have been as a decently priced dog. They won 117-109 at Boston as a 14.5-point dog, 114-109 at home to the Pelicans as a 7.5-point dog and most recently 103-98 at Memphis as a 8-point dog. 

Now we see them as a similarly priced dog here against a Pistons team that I think is a notch below those teams they just beat. Detroit has won 6 of 8 and covered 5 in a row, but that's giving us the value with the Knicks. 

Hosting Atlantic Division teams hasn't been great for the Pistons of late. Detroit is a mere 5-16 in their last 21 home games against the teams from the Atlantic. Look for the Knicks to keep it close and don't be surprised if they win outright. Take New York! 

5* NBA No Limit TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Magic/Warriors UNDER

Books have completely missed the mark here. The Warriors will be without both Steph Curry and Draymond Green. Sure they still have KD and Klay Thompson, but it's just not the same without those two on the court. 

Not to mention we know the Magic are going to give max effort here on the defensive side of the ball, as everyone brings it when they get a shot at Golden State and they have to be thinking about potentially stealing a win with the Warriors short-handed. 

I think Golden State matches that defensive intensity as they have really played well on that side of the ball the last two games and this Orlando offense is limited and haven't shot it great of late. 

Look for a slower than normal pace and for this to fly under the mark set by the books. UNDER is 26-10-1 in Warriors last 37 off a game they didn't cover the spread and 4-1 in Magic's last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take UNDER! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Boston College -

It's been quite the impressive start to the season for Minnesota, who has started out 5-0 and just took home the Vancouver Showcase title with a win over Washington in the finale. They also have early victories against the likes of Utah and Texas A&M. 

I believe all that has the Gophers getting a little to much respect here on the road against a talented BC team that off to a strong 4-1 start of their one. They too are coming off an impressive win, as they took down Loyola-Chicago 78-66 as a 4-point dog. 

I also don't love the spot for Minnesota, who has to be a bit jet-lagged from their recent trip to Vancouver, plus all the distractions with Thanksgiving. Now back on the road in what figures to be a hostile environment for the ACC/Big Ten showdown. Simply put, there's just too much value with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home. Take Boston College! 

4* NBA Vegas ATS Heavy HITTER on Magic +

The Lakers are rolling right now, as they have won 9 of their last 11. However, to no surprise, they haven't exactly been a great bet during this hot streak. In fact, LA is just 5-6 ATS during this stretch. The books are simply inflating their lines to where it's really hard for them to cover. 

That's exactly what I see here. Orlando was responsible for one of those two losses, as they beat LA 130-117 at home back on Nov. 17th. It's been a part of an impressive stretch here for the Magic, as they have gone 6-1-1 ATS last 8. I fully expect Orlando to hang around here and keep this well within the number. 

Note this is also a huge bounce back spot for the Magic, who lost 112-87 at Denver in their last game. Magic are 12-4-1 ATS last 17 off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Orlando! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wizards +

I love the value here with Washington as a home dog against the Pelicans. It certainly hasn't been the start to the season the Wizards were expecting, as they sit at 6-12 thru their first 18 games. They have won 4 of their last 7 and I still have a lot of confidence in this team getting back on track. 

The even bigger key here is this being a really tough spot for New Orleans. The Pelicans had to play at New York yesterday and were at Philadelphia on Wednesday, so not only is this a back-to-back road set, but it's their 3rd game away from home in the last 4 days, which I think is only worse given it's come right around Thanksgiving. I think we saw some of the fatigue show in yesterday's loss to the Knicks as a 7.5-point favorite. 

Pelicans are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss. Take Washington! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Florida

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NBA Big Money PLAY OF THE DAY  on Celtics -

This just feels like the perfect spot and opponent for Boston to get right against. The Celtics come in having lost 3 straight and are fresh off an ugly 117-109 loss at home to the Knicks as a 14.5-point favorite. Boston is now sitting at 9-9 overall and I just think we get a big time effort here with  the possibility of going under .500. 

The Hawks haven't won a game since they squeaked out a win over the Heat at home back on Nov. 3. They just lost at home to the Raptors by 16 as a similarly priced 8-point dog. Keep in mind Toronto was kind of in the same spot as Boston when they visited Atlanta, as the Raptors had hit a bit of a lull following their hot start. 

Celtics have gone an impressive 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Boston! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Memphis +

I'lll gladly take the points here with Memphis in this neutral site showdown with Oklahoma State. There's a buzz around this Tigers team with Penny Hardaway the new head coach. He's going to turn Memphis into a powerhouse with his ability to recruit and I think they will be showing a lot of value this year. 

They already went on the road and covered against a very good LSU team, losing by just 9 as a 11.5-point dog. They did so despite a red-hot shooting night for LSU, who hit on 54% of their shots.

I think they are the better team here. Oklahoma State also has a road loss, but there's was at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite. This team is going to struggle this year, as they only returned 3 scholarship players. Take Memphis! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago -

I'll gladly back the Ramblers at this price. Loyola-Chicago should have zero problem here covering the number against the Eagles in this neutral site showdown in Fort Myers, Florida. Ramblers laid an egg out of the gates and lost at home to Furman, but have rolled off 3 straight wins, including a 82-66 victory over Richmond as a 7-point neutral site favorite. 

The Eagles are headed in the right direction and will surprise some teams in ACC play, but still got a ways to go. We already seen them lose at home to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Ramblers are 9-2 ATS last 11 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing on 1 or less days of rest. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

5* NBA Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks -

The Bucks should have no problem here winning and covering the number. Milwaukee's got away with some sloppy starts here of late, but I don't think they will be sleep-walking through the start of this one. That's because the Bucks will be out for revenge from an ugly 15-point loss at Portland earlier this month. 

Milwaukee is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home, so the books have clearly not given this team enough respect when they take the floor at the Fiserv Forum. Portland is a good team and in normal circumstances might put up a decent fight, but they have to be running on fumes. Blazers are playing their 5th straight game on the road. It's also their 3rd game in the last 4 nights and they just played last night in New York. Not to mention their next game is against the Warriors on Friday, so hard to not look ahead to that one just a little bit. Take Milwaukee! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wisconsin -

I got no problem laying this number with the Badgers against the Cardinal. Wisconsin is a team that I think was highly undervalued coming into the year. While they are starting to get some love (ranked #25), I still think there's a lot of value backing them. 

Big reason Wisconsin is undervalued is they are coming off a season in which they went just 7-11 in the Big Ten and failed to make the NCAA Tournament fro the first time in 20 years. A big reason for their struggles was injuries. They got all 5 starters back and have already won on the road over Xavier by 9-points. Stanford just lost at UNC by 18 and was lucky to keep it that close. Should be an easy double-digit win here for the Badgers. Take Wisconsin! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets/Heat UNDER

Total is too high here for this matchup. Brooklyn's not the same offensive team after losing their leading scorer in Caris LeVert and Miami's offense doesn't run the same without starting point guard Goran Dragic, who is out indefinitely with a knee injury. 

Heat have failed to score 100 points in each of their last 2, including a mere 97 last time out at home to the Lakers, who aren't exactly a top notch defensive team. Add in the familiarity with these two teams having just played each other a week ago, I look for both offenses to struggle to get going. In large part because I think Miami's defense will show up in a big way here, but the offense will continue to struggle to score without Dragic. 

UNDER 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in this series. It's also 7-2 in Miami's last 9 vs a team with a losing record and 8-2 in the Nets last 10 vs a team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bradley +

I'll take the points with the Braves in this neutral site showdown with the Mustangs. Bradley is a dangerous team in the MVC, as they bring back 4 starters from a 20-win team. They are 3-1 to start the year with the only loss coming to Illinois-Chicago by a mere 1-point. 

SMU is off a miserable 2017-18 campaign, where injuries derailed what could have been a special season. A lot of people will expect the Mustangs to bounce back, but I'm not so sure that will be the case. They lost another NBA talent in Shake Milton, their third pro in the last two years. Two of their key guys back this year are both questionable to play in Everertt Ray and Jarrey Foster.

SMU has already lost by 10 as a 9.5-point home favorite to Southern Miss and by 6 as a 10-point home favorite to Lipscomb. The Braves are better than both of those teams. Take Bradley! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arizona -

Iowa State is getting way too much love here against the Wildcats. This might not be your typically Arizona team that has the talent to be a serious national title contender, but this is still one of the most talented teams in the country. I like that they are flying under the radar coming into the year, as they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. 

Iowa State is going to be a dangerous team come March if they can get healthy, but they are playing without preseason All-Big 12 guard Lindell Wigginton, who is out with a foot injury. On top of that, returning starters Cameron Lard (suspension) and Solomon Young (Groin) are also not playing. 

I get the Cyclones have looked great so far without those key pieces, but all 3 games for them have come at home, where they have quite the home court edge. This one is being played in Hawaii at the Maui Invitational. Take Arizona! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Suns +

I really like the value here with Phoenix as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. I just think Philadelphia is bit overvalued right now with the recent trade of Jimmy Butler and them having won and covered their last two. 

The thing is, they could very easily be 0-3 with Butler. They lost his debut at Orlando, beat Utah at home by just 6 points and the Jazz shot 4 of 22 (18.2%) from deep and 56.8% from the free throw line. Then last time out they overcame a 60-point night from Kemba Walker in a 122-119 overtime win at Charlotte. 

I think that game against the Hornets really took a lot out of this team (all 5 starters played 30+ mins) and this is not as deep a team after the trade. With how bad the Suns have been, I just feel this is one of those games that the 76ers go through the motions and have to scratch out a win late. Take Phoenix! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Magic OVER

These two teams will have no problem going over the total here, as both sides don't play much defense. New York comes in allowing 116.3 ppg on the road, where opponents are shooting 48% from the field and 37.4% from deep. It's very similar in Orlando, where the Magic are giving up 111 ppg at home, while letting opponents shoot 47.5% and 39% from deep. 

Last game for the Magic they combined for 147 at home against the Lakers. Each of New York's last two have seen 130+. Over is also 10-3 in Orlando's last 13 off a win by double-digits and 21-9 in the Knicks last 30 when they enter a contest having failed to cover 4 of 5 of their last 6. Take the OVER! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets/Clippers UNDER

Books have completely missed the mark here with the total for Saturday's NBA action between the Clippers and Nets. LAC is coming off a big 3-game home stand where they went 3-0 with wins over the Bucks, Warriors and Spurs. Now they travel across the country for game against the Nets, who are without Caris LeVert and might be missing Hollis-Jefferson. 

UNDER has cashed 5 of the last 6 times that the Clippers have made the trip to Brooklyn. UNDER is also 25-12 in Brooklyn's last 37 as a home dog of 6 points or less and 10-1 in their last 11 at home off an upset win as a dog. Take the UNDER! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on William Mary +

Big time value here with the Tribe as a double-digit dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has really shot the ball poorly to start the season. They are shooting just 38.7% from the field thru three games. Last time out they went 22 of 61 (36.1%) in a 63-60 loss at home to Radford. 

Irish are a mere 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games vs a bad team that's won between 20%-40% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a game with a combined score of 125 or less. 

Tribe are 10-2 ATS last 12 road games after allowing previous two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 road games after a game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take William & Mary! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Niagara +

It's been quite the impressive start for the Purple Eagles. They opened the year with a 80-72 win at home as a dog against St. Bonaventure, then proved it was no fluke with a competitive loss and cover at Loyola-Chicago. 

I go ahead and take the points for insurance, but I like Niagara to win this game outright. Wyoming has been overvalued in each of their first three, as they haven't covered a spread yet and I think the books just haven't made the proper adjustments on this team. 

Cowboys are a mere 5-13 ATS last two seasons as a favorite. It's also worth noting that in that closer than expect loss to the Ramblers, the Purple Eagles shot a dreadful 29.2% from the field. Under head coach Chris Casey they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after a game where they shot 33% or worse. Take Niagara! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St. John’s -

The Red Storm should have no problem securing a win on the road against Rutgers. St. John's is a team to watch out for. This is now year three under head coach Chris Mullin and the team showed some promise late last year. They get back arguably the best player in the Big East in junior guard Shamorie Ponds and got a huge boost when Auburn transfer Mustapha Heron was cleared to play. Both are averaging 20+ ppg early on. 

I like the direction Rutgers is going and they won't go down without a fight a home, but I just think the Red Storm are the far superior team in this one. Rutgers just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to compete with the likes of Ponds and Heron. Take St. John's! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NCAAB No Doubt Vegas ATS BLOWOUT on Ohio State -

The value here is with Ohio State as a short favorite against the Bluejays. The Buckeyes surprised a lot of people last year and I think they are going to do it again, as a lot of people are expecting a step back after they lost their star duo of Keita Bates-Diop and Jae-Sean Tate. Not me. 

Last year's surprise run came in the first year under former Butler head coach Chris Holtmann, who is known for getting the most out of the talent he has to work with. He had to work extra hard with the talent he was able to get at Butler. Not so much at Ohio State, where they get big time recruits. This year's freshman class, mixed with some talented veterans will be tough to beat. 

We already seen them go on the road and beat Cincinnati by 8 as a 4.5-point dog and then absolutely annihilate Purdue-Ft Wayne by 46 as a 18.5-point favorite. Creighton is in a very similar spot, having lost their top two scorers and only returning 2 starters, but they don't have the talent that the Buckeyes do. Take Ohio State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play  on Niagara +

I really like the value here with the Purple Eagles as a big dog against everyone's favorite Cinderella story from last year in Loyola-Chicago. Last year the Ramblers surprised everyone all the way to the Final Four. With that success comes expectations, as well as a pretty big target on your back. 

We have already seen them stumble, as they lost their second game of the season to Furman at home as a 8.5-point favorite. Loyola shot just 37% from the field. All Niagara did in their first game is upset a St Bonaventure team at home 80-72 as a 4.5-point dog. A team that you might recall won 26 games last year. 

The biggest thing for me with the Ramblers is last year's success came in year 7 under head coach Porter Moser, so it's not like he just arrived and flip the script. It tells me last year's success was about the talent on hand and while they got some nice pieces back they lost three seniors who played big roles. I'm not saying they won't win this one, I just don't seem them winning by double-digits. Take Niagara! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls/Celtics UNDER

The Bulls have been an UNDER machine with the struggles they are having offensively combined with the effort they are giving on the defensive side of the ball. UNDER is 3-0 in Chicago's last 3, 6-1 in their last 7 and 9-3 in their last 12. 

Considering Boston comes in having lost 4 of 5 over a 5-game road trip with the only win against the Suns, I have to believe they give a big effort defensively to make sure they get back on track. As for the offense, they haven't been shooting well of late. They scored just 94 and shot 38.7% from the field last time out against the Blazers. Bulls have held 6 of their last 7 to 107 or less and if they can simply do that, this won't come close to the number set here. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets UNDER

I don't see this one coming close to the total set by the books. It's hard to explain how the Rockets went from such an offensive juggernaut to one that is headed into the middle of November ranked 28th in the NBA at 102.7 ppg. They put up 115 at home last time out against the Pacers, but had gone 4 straight games prior to that where they failed to hit 100 (scored fewer than 90 twice). 

The Nuggets are coming off a high-scoring game against Milwaukee at home, where they lost 121-114. That's now 3 straight losses for Denver after their 9-1 start. I don't think their early success was a fluke and this should be a max effort spot defensively for the Nuggets to snap their skid. 

While the offense has been a disaster for Houston the defense has been really good. The Rockets are allowing just 95.8 ppg over their last 5. They got no choice but to keep playing hard on that side of the ball as they try to dig themselves out of their poor start. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois -

I love the Illini at this price against the Hoyas. I think this Illinois team might be one of the biggest sleepers in the country. Brad Underwood had a great track record of improving teams in his first year on the job, but Illinois actually got worst in his first go of things last season. 

Underwood could have had basically the same team back, but instead got rid of the players that didn't fit his system and added in a bunch of talent (6 freshmen, 2 transfers). One of those freshman is 5-star point guard Ayo Dosunmu, who now gives them 3 playmakers in the backcourt with the return of senior Aaron Jordan and sophomore Big Ten All-Freshman guard Trent Frazier. 

Georgetown had similar struggles in the first year under head coach Patrick Ewing. I don't see the same upside with the Hoyas in year-two. Georgetown is 2-0, but only beat Maryland Eastern Shore by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite then had to hold on for a 7-point win at home against Central Connecticut. Illinois put up 99 in a 36-point win over Evansville as a mere 16-point favorite and that same Evansville team only lost by 6-points the next time out at Xavier. 

I just don't see Georgetown being able to keep pace offensively with this Illini team, especially on the road. Take Illinois! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on UMASS -

Really like the value here with the Minutemen laying a short number at home against the Crimson. I like the direction this UMass team is headed under Matt McCall. They got a legit scorer in junior Luwane Pipkins (21.2 ppg last year) and a sharp-shooting sophomore guard in Carl Pierre (47% from 3's) to lead the way. They also got a big who can dominate in Rashaan Holloway and a couple of transfers in Curtis Cobb and Jonathan Laurent who are starting. 

Harvard is a team that has high expectations this year of making the the NCAA Tournament, but we just saw them lose 81-71 at home to Northeastern. Until they get back their two studs from injury in Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns, this team will struggle to win games. Take UMass! 

4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Xavier +

I'm not buying the Badgers being a road favorite over the Musketeers. Xavier was a No. 1 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but lost head coach Chris Mack and a trio of playmakers in Trevon Blueitt, J.P. Macura and Kerem Kanter. I just think the assumption here is that the Musketeers will take a big step back this year. 

I don't think that's the case at all. Mack's assistant Travis Steele is taking over a team that not only returns a lot of talent, but added in some experienced grad transfers and solid freshmen. I get Wisconsin gets everyone back from a team that was decimated by injuries last year, but these are Bo Ryan's Badgers any more. I'm not saying Wisconsin won't be a  strong team, I just think they are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Big East power. Take Xavier! 

4* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Kings OVER

Books have missed the mark here with the total in tonight's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Kings. I just think this is a big overreaction to what we have seen of late from both teams. San Antonio lost 88-95 at Miami and then won 96-89 at home against the Rockets in their last two. Both of those extremely low scoring. Same thing with Sacramento's last game, as they combined for just 187 in a 101-86 loss at home to the Lakers. 

I  look for both teams to get back on track offensively. Kings simply had a bad night at the office against LA. Sacramento has been one of the top offenses in the league early on. They are scoring 115.3 ppg and rank in the top half of the league in both effective field goal percentage and offensive efficiency. 

While the offense has been great, they are giving up 116.8 ppg and the Spurs come in averaging 114.7 ppg on the road. San Antonio is only giving up 107.9 ppg on the season, but are allowing 112.0 ppg away from home. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Troy +

I look for the Trojans to go into Pittsburgh and give the Panthers all they can handle. Pitt has started out 2-0, but there's nothing to be excited about wins over Youngstown State and VMI. There's still a long way for these Panthers to go before they can be taken seriously.

Pitt won just 8 games all of last year, going winless (0-18) in ACC play. They fired head coach Kevin Stallings and several key players either graduated or transferred out of the program. The future figures to be bright under Jeff Capel, but this figures to be a long rebuilding season. 

Troy is one of the top teams out of the Sun Belt and showcased some of their potential in a mere 4-point loss at St Louis as a 12-point dog last time out. Trojans nearly won on the road as a double-digit dog, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. If they can hit some shots tonight, I definitely could see them winning this outright. Take Troy! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY  on Bowling Green +

I like the value here with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Rams. Bowling Green comes in at 1-1, but the lone loss is nothing to be ashamed of. The Falcons lost 84-80 at St. John's as a 18.5-point underdog. Bowling Green shot 50% against the Red Storm and if they are hitting their shots they are a very difficult team to beat. 

VCU is a program that still gets respect nationally from their success under Shaka Smart and last year the Rams missed out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010. While VCU has opened up 2-0, neither win has been all that impressive. They have beat Gardner-Webb and Hampton, each by a final score of 69-57. They failed to cover as a 14-point favorite against Garder Webb and there wasn't even a line against Hampton. 

Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Bowling Green! 

3* NBA Late Night Total DESTROYER on Lakers/Hawks UNDER

There's just too much value here on the UNDER to pass up with this ridiculously high total. I know both of these teams are scoring at a decent clip and have had their struggles defensively, but I just don't see the pace being where it needs to be to eclipse this number. 

Lakers will be in the second game of a back-to-back set, as they played at Sacramento last night. Hawks had yesterday off, but this is their first game out west and will be their 4th game in the last 6 days.

LA won 101-86 over the Kings last night, holding a red-hot Sacramento offense to just 34.8% shooting. I think they are going to be a lot stronger defensively now that they got Tyson Chandler. UNDER is 4-0-1 in Laker's last 5 off a win and 3-0-1 in their last 4 at home. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Southern Miss +

I love the value here with the Golden Eagles as a double-digit dog against the Mustangs. Southern Miss is a team you want to look out for early on this season. They are now a few years removed from the NCAA sanctions and will have basically their entire roster back from last year's 16-win team. They are a legit sleeper in C-USA and will be out to make a statement here against a quality program like SMU. 

The Mustangs won their opener at home against Northwestern State, but it wasn't pretty. SMU only won by 11-points as a massive 25.5-point favorite. They shot just 39% from the field, which is a bit concerning given the level of competition they were playing. SMU did lose their go-to-guy in Shake Milton, who led the team with 18.0 ppg). They will also be without projected starting guard Jarrey Foster. Look for Golden Eagles to hang around and maybe win this game outright. Take Southern Miss! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northern Iowa -

Really like the value here with UNI as a short favorite against UT Arlington. Both teams come in off wins against teams they were all but guarantee to beat. I just think this is a complete mismatch in terms of talent. 

The Mavericks went 21-13 last year, but fired head coach Scott Cross because the AD was upset about not making any NCAA Tournament appears. Cross had won 72 the past 3 seasons. Arlington not only will be adjusting to a new coach (Chris Ogden), but they have to replace all 5 starters, including two of the best players to ever play at the program. 

UNI went just 16-16 last year and 7-11 in the Missouri Valley. First time since 2002 that they were under .500 in conference play. They were better than their record (KenPom had them rated 3rd best team in the MWC). I like head coach Ben Jacobson and he's got the Panthers flying under the radar in 2018. Take Northern Iowa! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Columbia +

I think the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Marist might be one of the better teams in the MAAC, but that's not saying much. The Red Foxes went on the road and lost at Army in their opener, doing so despite shooting 51.9% from the field.

Columbia is a team that could surprise in the Ivy League this year. They have 4 starters back, as well as several of their top reserves. Last year a young team struggled to win away from home (1-14), but now they should start beating these teams on the road where they have the edge. Look for the Lions to pull off the minor upset. Take Columbia! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks/Raptors UNDER

I think we could see a bit of a sluggish start here for Toronto. You have an earlier start time than normal with the 3:05 EST tip. You also have the Raptors having not played since Wednesday when they concluded a 4 game road trip in Sacramento. 

I also think with some fresh legs we could see Toronto get after it a little more defensively with this being a division game and the Knicks aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut. New York has scored 108 or less in 5 of their last 6 and average just 105 ppg on the road. 

UNDER is 6-2 in Toronto's last 8 vs a team with a losing record, as well as 7-3-1 in the Knicks last 11 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Toronto. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jazz -

This is an easy play on Utah as a small home favorite against the Celtics. The Jazz really need to get on track after losing 4 of their last 5. They were able to stop the bleeding and their 4-game skid with a 15 point win over the Mavs last time out. I expect that strong play to carry over to this one. 

We know we are going to get a big effort here from Utah, as this will be the first time that long-term Jazz star Gordon Hayward returns to Utah in an opposing team's uniform. On top of that, the Jazz are catching Boston at the perfect time. The Celtics are in the midst of a 5-game road trip and playing on zero rest after rallying in the 2nd half to win in OT at Phoenix last night. Boston looked like they were already running on fumes, as they scored just 35 in the 1st half against the Suns. 

They simply aren't going to have the energy/effort to keep this game competitive. We also now know Kyrie Irving won't play and I could see some other guys minutes restricted, as this game just doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things for the Celtics. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Cal-Irvine +

I fully expect UC Irvine to a be a team people are talking about as a sleeper in the NCAA Tournament. The Anteaters are absolutely loaded in terms of experience and talent for a team of their size. Irvine gets back all 5 starters, their top 3 reserves and talented redshirt freshman Collin Welp. 

It's why the Anteaters are as short a dog as they are against a Power 5 program in Texas A&M, who has two starters back from last year's Sweet 16 team. The thing with the Aggies is they figure to be down a few notches after losing one of the best frontcourts in the country with Tyler Davis, D.J. Hogg and Robert Williams all gone. In total they lost 4 guys 6-9 or taller who averaged at least 6.7 ppg and 4.4 rpg. 

I not only think the Anteaters will keep this thing close enough to cover, but I like them to win this one outright. They already won and covered as a 15-point favorite in their season opener (shot 54% from the field). Aggies on the other hand won by just 15 as a 29-point favorite. Take UC-Irvine! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on LSU -

I got a lot of respect for the UNC-Greensboro program. I know they got 3 starters back from a team that gave Gonzaga a scare in the NCAA Tournament, but I just don't see them being able to keep this within 15 points against a very talented LSU team on the Tigers home floor. 

LSU cruised to a 94-63 win at home over SE Louisiana, easily covering as a 20.5-point favorite. it could have been even worse if the Tigers wanted. They called off the dogs on defense after taking a 45-18 lead at the half. 

As for the Spartans, they had to rally from a 1st half deficit to beat North Carolina A&T. Winning by a final score of 74-66 as a 16-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and barely won against an inferior team. That's a bad sign, as they aren't going to be shooting anywhere close to 50% on the road vs LSU. Look for the Tigers to have the cover in the bag early. Take LSU! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Bucks

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

5* NBA TNT Thursday GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Warriors UNDER

This is going to be a heavily bet game. Not just because we have a potential NBA Finals preview with the Warriors and Bucks, but this is also the last NBA game on the board and it's nationally televised on TNT. Books know the public is going to be on the OVER in this one, as they love backing the OVER with Golden State and the Bucks come in averaging 120 ppg. 

I just think it's resulted in ton of value here on the UNDER. People focus so much on the offense side of the ball with these two teams, they don't give their defenses enough respect. Bucks are No. 2 in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Warriors are 13th. Regardless of where Golden State is ranked, I think we all know that they are elite defensively when they want to be. Most nights they don't need to be. I think in this spot against the "Greek Freak" they will be ready to go. 

UNDER is 7-1 in Golden State's last 8 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Suns +

Most are going to just assume Boston will come out pissed after losing two straight and easily cover this spread against a Suns team that just lost at home to the Nets by 22 points as a 2-point dog. I just don't think it's going to play out like that. 

As good as the Celtics are, a lot of teams struggle with these long road trips, especially when they are going clear across the country like Boston has. I just think they could struggle to bring the energy here against a bad Suns team and two much bigger games on deck at Utah and Portland. 

This is also an ideal bounce back spot for Phoenix. Anytime a team gets embarrassed like the Suns did in their last game, they typically bring a little extra next time out. That should be enough for them to hang around and keep this within the number. Take Phoenix! 

3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Rockets -

Houston has now won 3 straight since their shocking 1-5 start to the season, but it's not from them lighting up the scoreboard like we saw last year. It's been outstanding defense that has got the Rockets back on track. 

I think because the offense hasn't looked great, they are still flying a bit under the radar. I certainly think they should be favored on the road over OKC. While the Thunder have won 6 straight (covered 5 in a row), they likely won't have Russell Westbrook.

Even if he plays, I still would like Houston at this line, as it's only a matter of time before the Rockets start connecting on their shots. There's too much talent on that roster for them to continue to shoot 42.4% from the field. 

Rockets are 30-18 ATS in their last 48 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 28-14 in their last 42 as   a road favorite. Take Houston! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on George Washington -

I like the value here with the Colonials. George Washington was upset in their season opener at home by Stoney Brook. That's not as bad a loss as you might think. As for Siena, they went on the road and lost by just 10 as a 19.5-point dog to Providence. 

Those results would have most tempted to take the points with the Saints in this one, but I look for the Colonials to bounce back in a big way at home. Georgia Washington really beat themselves in their game against Stoney Brook. They shot 47.3% from the field to Stony Brook's 38.6%. What killed the Colonials is that they went 16 of 34 (47.1%) from the free throw line and turned it over 17 times. Both areas I expect to see major improvement in tonight. Take George Washington!