4* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Marist +

Marist should have no problem here covering as a double-digit road dog against the Broncs. Rider is simply overvalued right now. You can easily see that by looking at their last 6 games. The Broncs are 5-1 SU, yet are 2-4 ATS. They just had a 5-game winning streak snapped with a 6-point loss at Iona, where they were favored by 2.5. 

Marist is in a prime bounce back spot after an ugly 92-78 home loss to Quinnipiac and the Red Foxes are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 when coming off a double-digit loss at home. Rider is also a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs a team that's won less than 40% of their games and 2-6 ATS last 8 games on their home floor. Take Marist! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Iona +

Easy play here on the Gaels at a pick'em against the Stags. Iona comes in off a 77-71 win and cover as a 2.5-point home dog against Rider and are 5-2 ATS last 7 overall. Gaels are also now 5-2 in conference play and that includes a 94-87 win at home over Fairfield. 

I just don't think the Stags have the talent to win this contest. Fairfield comes in having lost 4 straight. Each of the last two defeats coming at home. First it was a 5-point loss as a 3-point favorite to Canisius. Then it was a 9-point loss as a 2-point favorite against Siena, where the Stags managed just 48 points. 

Fairfield is 3-11 ATS last 14 off a conference loss, 2-6-1 ATS last 9 at home and a miserable 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take Iona! 

5* NCAAB West Coast GAME OF THE YEAR on San Francisco -

Amazing value here with the Dons at basically a pick'em on the road against the Toreros. San Francisco comes in having won 3 straight. The last two in blowout fashion, beating BYU by 19 and Portland by 22. Dons are 14-3 ATS last 17 when off a conference win by 20 or more. 

There's also a big time system in play favoring the Dons to cover. Road favorites who are a strong offensive team (74-78 ppg) against a sub-par defensive team (67-74 ppg) are 53-22 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when leading in their previous game by 15 or more at the half. Take San Francisco! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

No analysis on late plays

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Pacers -

I just think this is too good a price to pass up on the Pacers. All the Indiana players are hearing right now is how their season is over after losing Victor Oladipo to a season-ending injury. I think we are going to see a very motivated Pacers team take the floor tonight and let's not forget this team played well without Oladipo earlier in the season. 

You also have to factor in who they are playing. Memphis has lost 8 straight and are just 1-14 in their last 15 games overall. It's not like they are losing and covering the spread. The Grizzlies are just 3-19 ATS in their last 22. This team isn't having fun and really don't want to be playing. I think the injury to Oladipo and the game being in Memphis has this line a lot lower than it should be. Take Indiana! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Cornell +

Love the value here with Cornell getting this many points. These two teams played each other last time out and the Big Red pulled out a 60-59 win at home. A pretty impressive victory given they were so sloppy with the ball. Cornell had 20 turnovers, wich was their most in a game since early December. 

I think they clean up those mistakes and not only cover the spread, but win this game outright. Columbia is just 2-10 ATS last 12 at home when revenging a loss of 3-points or less.

Great system favoring a play on the Big Red. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are coming off a home win by 3-points or less and have a winning percentage between 45%-55% are 161-97 (62%) ATS since 1997. Take Cornell! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Portland +

Great value here with the Pilots as a near double-digit dog at Pacific. For starters, this series has been owned by the road team, as the home team has failed to cover 5 straight. Portland is also out for revenge here, as they lost 65-57 at home back on 1/12. Good news is the Pilots are 7-0 ATS last 3 seasons in road games when revenging a same season loss. 

We also got two big time systems in play here. One favoring a fade of the Tigers and the other a play on the Pilots. First, home favorites of 10 or more off 4 straight games where both teams scored 70+ points are a mere 18-46 (22.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Second, Underdog of 10 to 19.5 points that have lost 3 straight by 15 or more points are 53-25 (68%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Portland!

5* NCAAB Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on Drexel +

Too much value to pass up with the Dragons catching this many points on the road against the Blue Hens. Drexel comes in off back-to-back wins where they covered the spread and are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last 4.

Delaware has dropped 2 of their last 3, including a loss at home to Towson as a similarly priced 5.5-point favorite. Dragons have covered 7 of their last 10 in conference play and Drexel head coach Zach Spiker is 11-2 in road games when his team is coming off a home win. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rider -

Big time value here with the Broncs as a small road favorite against the Gaels. Rider was the preseason favorite to win the MAAC and have lived up to the hype so far.

The Broncs are a perfect 5-0 in league play, which includes a 3-0 conference road record. Rider won by 20 at Niagara as a 4.5-point favorite, by 9 at Canisius as a 2-point favorite. I expect a similar type of outcome here against Iona. 

Gaels are a miserable 4-11 ATS last 15 games, 2-8 ATS last 10 after giving up 80+ points in their previous game and 2-14 ATS in their last 16 after playing a game as a road favorite. Take Rider! 

5* NCAAB Ivy League GAME OF THE MONTH on Brown +

The Bears should have no problem covering here as a near double-digit road dog at Yale. The Bulldogs are getting way too much respect here because they are a perfect 5-0 at home, enter on a 7-game winning streak and are 3-1 ATS last 4. 

Just so happens these two teams just played each other in their last game on Saturday. Yale barely snuck out a 70-67 win. It's really tough to beat the same team twice in a short window like this, especially when you have a quality team like Brown. I actually think the Bears have a really good shot at winning this game outright. 

Either way they are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 road games off a home loss, 10-2 ATS last 12 on the road after a game where they failed to cover and 5-0 last 5 on the road overall. Take Brown! 

5* NCAAB West Coast (WCC) GAME OF THE MONTH on Loyola Marymount +

I like the Lions to win this game outright, making them an easy play here as a decently priced dog. San Diego has been overvalued here of late, as the Toreros are just 2-5 ATS last 7. Last time out they got rolled by 17 points at St Mary's. They were also upset in their most recent home game, losing 76-71 to Pepperdine as a 8-point favorite. 

Loyola-Marymount comes in off a win over Pepperdine at home, but did fail to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. That's okay, as the Lions have cashed 8 of their last 10 games when coming off a ATS loss. Lions are also 8-3 ATS last 11 road games, 7-3 ATS last 10 conference games and 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Loyola-Marymount! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Siena +

The Saints should have no problem cashing in a win here at Fairfield. Siena comes in off a win and cover at home against Niagara and won their last road game at Marist as a 3-point dog.

The Stags on the other hand have lost 3 straight and really don't have much of a home court edge. We saw that in their last game, which they lost at home 73-68 as a 3-point favorite. 

Fairfield is just 2-5-1 ATS last 8 home games and are 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Siena! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Riverside +

Great spot to back the Highlanders as a small dog against the Mustangs. UC-Riverside has covered 9 of their last 11 conference road games and are 9-1 ATS last 10 road games in the month of January. 

While neither of these teams have great records, the Highlanders are without a doubt the better team. Cal Poly is 0-3 ATS at home this season, they are 0-7 ATS last 10 off a conference loss by 10 or more, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 with a line of +3 to -3  and 0-8 ATS the last 2 seasons after 15 games when playing a team with a winning record. Take UC-Riverside! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on St. Peter's +

Love the Peacocks here. St. Peter's should have no problem winning this game, making them an easy play as a 3.5-point dog. The Purple Eagles should not be favored. These two teams have played 4 common opponents.

While the Peacocks are just 1-3, Niagara is 0-4. The defensive numbers really stand out, as St Peters only gave up 58.5 ppg in these 4, while the Purple Eagles are allowing 77 ppg. 

The Peacocks have gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning record. They are also 8-2 ATS last 10 in conference play and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a game where they failed to cover. 

Niagara has failed to cover 5 of their last 7, are a mere 2-11 ATS last 13 home games on Tuesday night and 4-18 ATS last 22 at home after playing 5 straight games as an underdog. Take St. Peter's!

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on Marist -

The Red Foxes should be a bigger favorite here given what we saw when these two teams met earlier this month. Marist crushed Manhattan 78-63. The Red Foxes shot 56% from the field, while their defense limited the Jaspers to a mere 40% from the field. 

I just don't think Manhattan has a big enough home court edge to close the gap. In fact, the Jaspers have just 1 win on their home floor this season. They just played 4 straight on the road and are just 1-5 ATS last 6 after playing 3 or more on the road. Red Foxes are also 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games and 4-1 ATS last 5 in this series. Take Marist! 

3* NBA Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Knicks +

I like the value here with New York in this one. There's no question that Oklahoma City is the more talented team, but the Thunder are not playing well as a team. Sure they come in off a 2-point win at Philadelphia, but they were just 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in their previous 6 games, which includes losses to both the Hawks and Lakers. 

Knicks are clearly aren't interested in winning a lot of games this season. New York comes in having lost 5 straight and are a mere 1-13 in their last 14 overall. These are the teams the public love to fade no matter who they are playing. Book have no choice but to inflate the line on the other side. The Knicks have covered 5 of the last 7 as a result and are also an impressive 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take New York!  

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Fullerton +

This is going to look like an easy play on Long Beach State, as they come in 6-1 at home, while CS-Fullerton is a mere 1-10 on the road. The books have set the trap. The smart money here is going to be on the Titans. 

The 49ers have been getting all the calls the last couple of games, which is worth noting. Long Beach State is a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 at home after back-to-back games where they attempted 10+ more free throws than their opponents. Titans are also a strong 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take CS-Fullerton! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Towson +

Love the value here with the Tigers at this price. Towson comes in having lost 6 straight and failed to cover the spread in all 6. It's been some bad luck for the Tigers, as all 6 losses have been respectable. The most they lost by in this stretch is 12-points. 

Delaware is coming in off a win and cover at home against James Madison. They have struggled i this spot historically, going just 39-61 ATS at home at a cover. I think the Blue Hens will really struggle to give the Tigers the respect they deserve. Wouldn't be shocked at all if Towson won this game.

Adding to this is a big time system in play on the Tigers. Underdogs who are coming off a game where they shot 33% or worse from the field are 78-34 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons in games where you have two average defensive teams that are allowing teams to shoot 42.5%-45%. Take Towson +6!

3* NCAAB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Virginia +

Forget the spread, I'm taking the Cavaliers on the money line in their huge road showdown at Duke. Don't get me wrong, I think the Blue Devils are a great team, but I think the loss of point guard Tre Jones is huge for this team. Lucky for them its not going to keep him out long. 

However, I think not having Jones really puts Duke behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to hand Virginia their first loss of the season. The Cavaliers are playing like a team possessed after being the first No. 1 seed to lose to a No. 16 seed. I really like what I have seen, as they are a much better offensive team and still play lockdown defense. I look for the Blue Devils' young studs to struggle without Jones running the show. Take Virginia! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on SMU +

Everyone is going to be on Memphis as a small home favorite and you have to think the books not only like the Mustangs to cover but win this game outright. I see it the same way. SMU is going to be extremely motivated here having lost their last two, including a rare home loss last time out against Houston. 

The big edge here for the Mustangs is their defense. SMU is only giving up 66.6 ppg on the season and have tightened up the screws even more in league play. Opponents are scoring just 64.2 ppg and shooting 39.6% from the field against the Mustangs. Memphis on the other hand is giving up 78.7 ppg in league play. Take SMU! 

3* NBA Afternoon Bookie DESTROYER on Thunder +

If this isn't the definition of a public trap, I don't know what is. The 76ers come in having won 3 straight. The last two being a 120-96 win at Indiana and a 149-107 thrashing of the Timberwolves at home. The Thunder come in off a home loss to the Lakers and are a mere 1-5 in their last 6. 

The public won't be able to bet the 76ers fast enough, which is why I'm jumping on OKC in this one. Good chances Embiid doesn't play, as he's dealing with a bad back. I think not having him against this Thunder team would be a big blow, but either way I think OKC gets back on track. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on James Madison +

Love the value here with the Dukes getting points at Drexel. The Dragons are coming in off a home win against Towson, where they held the Tigers to just 32.4% shooting. That's a rare good defensive effort for Drexel. The Dragons had allowed 10 of their last 11 opponents to shoot 48% or better. 

All of this sets up a great system to fade Drexel in this spot. Home favorites that are allowing teams to shoot 45% or better against them on the season are a mere 38-75 (33.6%) ATS after a game where they held a team to 33% or worse. Take James Madison! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wolves -

This is just too good a price to pass up on with Minnesota at basically a pick'em at home. The Spurs have been playing better of late and come in off a win at Dallas, but are just 8-14 away from home this season. Timberwolves are 15-7 SU and 14-8 ATS at home compared to 6-16 SU and 9-13 ATS on the road. 

Big time bounce back spot for Minnesota, who just got annihilated in a 149-107 loss at Philadelphia last time out. On top of that, the Timberwolves have some serious revenge in play, as they lost 124-98 at San Antonio in the most recent meeting. 

Wolves are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games in the month of January and a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games after a combined score of 215 or more in 2 straight games. Take Minnesota! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY  on Marist +

Big time value here with the Red Foxes as a road dog against the Gaels. Marist is way undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 5 of their last 6. Iona is also overvalued having won 3 of 5. Gaels covered last time out and are just 5-21 ATS in their last 26 after covering their previous game. 

Marist has had no problem cashing in a winning ticket when they visit Iona, as they are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 trips to face the Gaels. 

It's also worth pointing out that Iona comes into this game off a 88-70 road win at Canisius, which puts the Gaels into a very profitable system to fade. Favorites on Friday nights that are coming off an upset win as a road dog are a mere 18-52 (25.7%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Marist! 

4* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE WEEK on Riverside +

The Highlanders showing big time value here as a double-digit dog at Cal State-Fullerton. Riverside is 0-2 in Big West action, but have covered the spread in both games, including a cover as a double-digit dog at US-Santa Barbara last time out. 

Going back to last season the Highlanders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs conference opponents and have gone 3-0-1 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. The Titans have no business laying this many points. Last time out they lost at home by 17 as a mere 3.5-point dog to UC-Irvine. That's after losing by 11 as a 3-point dog at Hawaii. Fullerton is 2-8 ATS last 10 overall, 1-4 ATS last 5 at home and 1-6 ATS last 7 off a loss. Take UC-Riverside! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Omaha -

The Mavericks should have no problem leaving Western Illinois with a win, making them an easy play for me as a small road favorite. Nebraska-Omaha comes in with a respectable 9-8 record and are off to a 3-1 start in league play. 

The Mavericks are an offensive force to say the least. Omaha has scored at least 83 points in 7 straight games, eclipsing 90 in each of their last 2. the Leathernecks are giving up 79.6 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 51.1% from the floor in their 1-4 start to conference play. Western Illinois simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep it close. Take Nebraska-Omaha! 

3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Hornets -

Easy play here on Charlotte at basically a pick'em at home. I think we are getting big time value here with the Hornets because of the fact that the Kings come in having won and covered 3 straight, including a win and cover against these very Hornets on their home floor. 

Charlotte won at San Antonio, but finished up their 6-game road trip at 2-4. I think whenever a team struggles on a long trip, they end up showing some decent value in their first game back home. Add in the revenge angle here and I not only like the Hornets to cover, but I got them winning this game in a blowout. 

Kings are just 1-4 ATS last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record and Kings head coach Dave Joerger is a mere 44-68 ATS last 112 when working on 2 or more consecutive wins. Take Charlotte! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Manhattan +

We are getting a great price here on the Jaspers in Thursday's road slate at St. Peter's. It's been a rough go for Manhattan, who is just 3-13 on the season and 1-3 in league play, but it's not been a whole lot better for the Peacocks, who have won a mere 5 games. 

Road team has had the edge in this series, covering 4 of the last 5 and the Jaspers are a red-hot 6-1 in their last 7 trips to St. Peter's. Last year they won 68-57 as a very similarly priced 5.5-point dog. Take Manhattan! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on James Madison +

The Dukes should have no problem covering the small number here at Delaware, as I got them winning this game outright. James Madison comes in off two strong games, as they beat Towson 74-65 as a 4-point favorite and won 69-58 at home against College of Charleston as a 8.5-point dog. 

As for the Blue Hens, they just lost at College of Charleston by 13, snapping their 4-game win streak. I look for Delaware to struggle again here, as they are just 5-15 ATS last 20 at home after going 4-1 in their previous 5 games.

The Dukes are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a quality team that's won more than 60% of their games and 8-2 ATS last 10 on the road after playing 3 or more consecutive games at home. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Towson +

This series has been dominated by the road dog. The road team has covered 8 of the last 12 and the underdog has cashed in 11 of the last 17. Towson is 4-1-1 in their last 6 trips to Drexel. I not only like them to keep it within the number, but I think the Tigers win this game outright. 

Thees are two of the worst teams in the Colonial Athletic and there's just not any home court edge for a team like the Dragons. One area where Towson should have a big edge is on the boards. Tigers are outrebounding opponents by an average of 6/game. Dragons are 2-9 ATS last 11 games vs a team that averages +4 or better rebound margin and have lost these game by an average of 10 points. Take Towson! 

5* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Clippers -

I absolutely love this spot and price on the Clippers at home against the Jazz. I think this is the ideal spot to jump on Los Angeles and the perfect time to fade Utah. 

We know we are getting a big effort here from the Clippers, as they have to be looking at this game as a must win. After this they host the Warriors and then play 4 straight on the road. They come in having lost 3 straight and things can spiral out of control quickly if you aren't careful, especially in the Western Conference. 

Utah has won a season-high 4 straight games, but haven't exactly looked great doing so and the 4 wins all came at home against the likes of the Magic, Lakers, Bulls and Pistons. Jazz are still without their top 3 point guards, which has forced Donovan Mitchell to play out of position. It's resulted in some really bad offense and a bunch of turnovers here of late. 

Clippers are 17-7 ATS last 24 as a favorite. Jazz are 15-28 Last 43 as a road dog of 6 or less. Utah is also 2-6 ATS last 8 off a win and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB American Athletic GAME OF THE WEEK on SMU +

Too much value here with the Mustangs to pass up. Houston comes in with a 16-1 record and ranked in the Top 25. They started out the season 10-4 ATS and are simply way overvalued by the books right now. We have seen that inflation cost their backers in each of their 2 games, as they failed to cover in an outright loss at Temple and most recently as a 11-point home favorite against Wichita St (won by 9). 

SMU got off to a bit of a slow start, but come in having won 5 of their last 6, including an impressive 20-point win over Tulsa as a 8.5-point favorite last time out. The defense has really picked up for the Mustangs and we know we are getting their best on that side of the ball at home against a big time rival. 

Mustangs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 at home after a win and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home off a win by 15 or more points. Take SMU! 

3* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Vanderbilt -

This line tells you all you need to know. Vanderbilt is 0-3 in SEC play and is a 3.5-point favorite over South Carolina, who is 3-0 in conference action. Commodores only home game in SEC play was against Ole Miss, who at the time was playing out of their mind and I think they caught Vandy by surprise. 

That won't be the case here, as we know we are going to get the best the Commodores have to offer in this one. Even with that loss at home to the Rebels, Vanderbilt is still 8-2 at home, where they are averaging an impressive 86.1 ppg and shooting 50% from the field. 

Gamecocks are a mere 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs a team that's shooting 45% or better from the field and they are 1-4 ATS last 5 trips to face the Commodores. Take Vanderbilt! 

4* NBA Western Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Nuggets +

The betting public will be all over Golden State here, as the Warriors have started to play well and will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Denver. I just don't see that being the case. Like it or not the Nuggets aren't going anywhere this season. 

For all the star power that Golden State has, they are still not the same team on the road as they are at home and Denver comes in with a 18-3 record on their home floor and are riding a 12-game winning streak at the Pepsi Center. 

Nuggets have covered 17 of their last 22 at home against teams from the Pacific Division and are 12-1 ATS at home this season when coming off a win. Warriors are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs a team from the Western Conference and 3-7 ATS last 10 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Denver! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Akron -

Great spot to jump on the Zips at home. We can bank on a big time effort here from Akron coming off back-to-back upset losses on the road to Central Michigan and Northern Illinois. They should have no problem covering this number against an Eagles side that has been bad on the road. 

Eastern Michigan is a mere 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS away from home. The Zips on the other hand are 7-1 at home this season. The defensive numbers really stand out here with the home/away splits. Eagles are giving up 80.7 ppg and 50.6% shooting on the road. Akron is allowing just 55.9 ppg and 34.7% shooting at home. 

Big time system in play here as well. Home favorites off 2 or more consecutive losses as a road favorite are 105-58 (64%) ATS dating all the way back to 1997.  Take Akron! 

3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR  on Nets +

Forget the points, go for the bigger payday with Brooklyn as a home dog against the Celtics. The Nets have been playing like a legit playoff contender in the east, as they enter having gone 13-5 over their last 18. The big knock on Brooklyn is how they have struggled with some of the top teams. 

They just lost by 17 last time out at Toronto and recently were embarrassed in a 116-95 defeat at Boston. That recent meeting with the Celtics is a big reason why I like the Nets here, as they will be out for some big time revenge and have been playing extremely well on their home floor. 

I would expect a big effort from Boston having lost their last two, but I just don't like how this team is playing at the moment. They shot the ball poorly in each of their last two games, road losses at Miami and Orland and are not the same defensive team on the road. Take Brooklyn! 

3* NCAAB Power 5 PLAY OF THE DAY  on Pitt +

This is a great price to get the Panthers at home. This is a much improved Pitt team from a year. The Panthers were 8-24 overall and 0-18 in ACC play last season. They are off to an 11-5 start and while they are just 1-2 in league play, they have home loss to UNC and a close road loss at NC State. The win was a victory at home over Louisville as a dog. 

Florida State is a really good team, but I think it's really asking a lot for the Seminoles to go on the road here and blowout the Panthers. This is an absolutely brutal spot for FSU, who just suffered a gut-wrenching 80-78 loss to Duke at home, where the Blue Devils won the game on a last second 3-pointer. Those are the kind of losses that are difficult to bounce back from. 

I just don't think the energy will be there for the Seminoles and wouldn't be shocked at all if Pitt won this game outright. Panthers are 11-4 ATS last 15 overall, 12-3-1 ATS last 16 vs a team with a winning record and 5-0-1 ATS last 6 off a SU loss. FSU is 0-8 ATS last 8 as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road after a home game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take Pittsburgh! 

4* NBA Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Rockets -

Houston is playing too well right now to pass up playing them as a short road favorite against the Magic. Orlando comes in off an upset win at home over the Celtics on Saturday. While that win looks great, I'm expecting a big letdown playing on no rest. Magic had lost 4 straight, all by double-digits, leading up to that game. Orlando is also 7-20 ATS last 27 at home off an upset win as a dog. 

Adding to this is a great system in play on the Rockets. Road favorites of a blowout win by at least 20 points in a game involving two teams that are scoring 102+ points/game are 70-38 (64.8%) ATS her the last 5 seasons. Take Houston! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Fairfield +

Like the value here with the Stags getting points against the Bobcats. Fairfield comes in off back-to-back home wins and while they are just 3-6 SU in their last 9, they have covered 5 of their last 7.  

The Stags are 37-19 ATS last 56 road games after playing 2 straight games at home and 40-23 ATS in their last 63 road games off a win by 6 points or less. Quinnipiac has won 2 of their last 3, but are just 15-30 ATS when they come into a game having done so. 

This series has also been dominated by the road team, as the away side has covered 6 of the last 7 meetings. Stags have covered 4 straight at Quinnipiac. Take Fairfield! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Iona +

The books have the wrong team favored in this one, as my numbers show Iona should be a small favorite here. Gaels are just 4-10 overall, but are 2-1 in conference play and will have no problem picking apart a bad Golden Griffins defense that is giving up 80.6 ppg and allowing 48% shooting on their home floor. 

Canisius is 4-10 ATS last 14 games, 1-9 ATS last 10 off a SU loss and 0-8 ATS last 8 at home. 

Adding to this is a great system in play favoring a fade of the Golden Griffins. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss against an opponent off an upset loss as a favorite have covered just 32.2% (29-61) of the time since 1997. Take Iona! 

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Kings -

Easy play here for me on the Kings as a small home favorite against the Hornets. Sacramento got back on the winning track with a 112-102 win at home against the Pistons on Thursday and have really been playing solid basketball of late. While they are just 2-5 in their last 7, they have covered 3 of 4 and all 5 losses have come by 7 or less. 

Sacramento should have no problem here taking down a struggling Charlotte team that is coming off an ugly 127-96 loss at Portland last night and now faced with the difficult task of playing the 2nd leg of a back-to-back on the road. On top of that, this is their 5th straight on the road, so they have to be running on fumes. 

Thinking Charlotte is primed for a bounce back after the blowout loss last night? Hornets are 0-8 ATS last 2 seasons off a loss by 20 or more. They are also 1-6 ATS last 7 on the road and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Sacramento! 

4* NCAAB West Coast GAME OF THE WEEK on Pacific -

This is the perfect spot to jump on the Tigers as a small road favorite against the Pilots. Pacific should have no trouble winning this game, but are being undervalued by the books because they come in off an ugly 67-36 loss at Gonzaga, which was their 3rd straight overall. Note the other two were both against quality teams. 

This is also a big game for the Tigers, as they are still searching for that first conference win and while the same can be said about Portland, a lot less is expected of them. Pilots are a mere 4-10-1 ATS last 15 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games  and 1-6 ATS last 7 after a SU loss by more than 20. Tigers are 4-1 ATS last 5 after scoring 50 or less and 5-1 ATS last 6 after a SU loss by more than 20 points. Take Pacific! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on Northeastern -

The Huskies come in off a 81-70 win at Elon last time out and should have no problem securing another road win against William & Mary. The Tribe have a solid 5-3 SU record over their last 8, but are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. 

The books have tipped their hand in recent meetings between these two, as the favorite is 7-3 ATS last 10 overall. Key here will be defense or the lack of it from William & Mary. The Tribe are allowing 80 ppg, as opposing teams are shooting 47% from the field and 38% from deep against them this season.

It's also worth pointing out that the Huskies are 19-8 ATS last 27 on the road after a conference road game and a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 on the road with a line of +3 to -3. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Colonial Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH BEST BET on Towson +

The books have completely missed the mark here with the Tigers as a 5-point road dog. My numbers show this game should be a lot closer to a pick'em. James Madison has the better record, but that's simply because they played the much easier non-conference schedule. 

The Dukes won and covered their last time out, but are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 off a game where they covered. James Madison is also a mere 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team with a losing record and 0-7 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Towson! 

4* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma -

Oklahoma should have no problem covering this short number at home against TCU. The Sooners are showing some value here after starting out 1-2 in Big 12 play. They key is both losses came on the road in arguably the two toughest venues in the Big 12 at Kansas and Texas Tech. Both of which the Sooners could have easily won with a couple more breaks going their way at the end of the game. 

I look for Oklahoma to come out firing here at home against the Horned Frogs. The Sooners are a perfect 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS in their 6 home games, where they are outscoring teams 78 to 62. TCU is a quality team, but that 12-2 record has them overvalued here on the road. They just lost at Kansas last time out 77-68, failing to cover as a mere 6.5-point favorite. 

Sooners are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs a team with a winning record, while TCU is 1-5 ATS last 6 after a failed cover. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NBA Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls UNDER

The books have missed the mark here with the total in this one. People just see the Warriors and automatically assume it's going to be a high-scoring game. I don't think we see an offensive explosion in this one. The Warriors are so much better than Chicago that it's going to be extremely hard for Golden State to show up for this one. 

On the flip side of this, the Bulls are a young team that is going to play their hearts out to see how they stack up against the defending champs. Don't be fooled by the 149-124 Warriors win at Chicago earlier this season. The Bulls were missing a ton of players to injury and if anything that result will make them focus that much more on the defensive side of the ball. 

UNDER is 12-3-1 in the Warriors last 16 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 11-3 in the Bulls last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cavs/Rockets OVER

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total. Houston and Cleveland should have no problem eclipsing 220 points and there's a potential for them to fly by the number. Houston can light up the scoreboard, especially when James Harden has it going like he does now. 

Last 3 games the Cavs have allowed 140 at New Orleans, 123 to the Pacers and 133 to the Pelicans at home. Each of their last 7 opponents have eclipsed 110 points. I think Houston could easily top 130 and we should see the Cavs score at least 100. Rockets haven't allowed fewer than 100 since the middle of December and are just not the same defensive team without Chris Paul in the lineup. 

OVER is 8-2 in the Rockets last 10 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a bad team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Money Line ANNIHILATOR  on Iona +

The Gaels should have no problem here secure a win on the road against the Purple Eagles. While Iona is 4-9 overall, they are 2-0 in league play. Niagara has a much more respectable 7-8 record, but are 0-2 in league play. 

It just so happens that both have played a common opponent early in conference action. That would be Fairfield. The Gaels beat the Stags 94-87, while the Purple Eagles got annihilated by 18-points (77-59). 

I know that Iona has a mere 1-8 record in road games, but that's because the road slate was brutal in non-conference play. Niagara is just 1-5 ATS last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record and the road team has covered 6 straight in the series. Take Iona! 

3* NBA Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Clippers +

This is too good a price to pass up on the Clippers. Denver comes in with the best record in the West and are 16-3 at home. Both of which have them way overvalued right now. That's evident by the fact that the Nuggets are a mere 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. 

The Clippers won by 21 at home in a recent meeting between these two teams in late December and enter this one having won 3 straight. LA's offense has been one of the best in the league and are in prime form right now, as they are averaging 115.8 ppg and shooting 47% from the field over their last 5 games.

Denver is only giving up 105.5 ppg on the season, but are allowing 111.0 ppg in their last 5. I just don't see the Nuggets pulling away and wouldn't be shocked if the Clippers won this game outright. Take Los Angeles! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Eastern Illinois +

Easy play here on the Panthers as a big road dog against the Gamecocks of Jacksonville State. Eastern Illinois is way undervalued right now. The Panthers come in having won 3 straight and and 6 of their last 7 overall. A stretch where they have covered 5 of 7, including outright wins as road dogs of 7.5 and 13 at Western Illinois and Bradley. 

Jacksonville State is a quality team and have gone 9-2 in their last 11, but they are simply being asked to lay too many points in this one. The Gamecocks are a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games off a conference win and 0-6 ATS last 6 off back-to-back conference wins. Take Eastern Illinois! 

4* NCAAB Small Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK on St Peters

The Peacocks are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Stags. While St. Peter's comes winless away from home at 0-8, I'm confident they get their first road win of the season and at worst keep it within the number. A big reason for that is Fairfield has little to no home court edge here, as they are 1-4 at home this season. 

The Stags like to shoot it from deep, as they average 26 3-pointers a game. They area also a poor rebounding team, as they are getting beat on by an average of 5 boards/game. The Peacocks are 33-14 ATS last 47 road games (at least 15 games into the season) when facing a team that averages 21 or more 3-point attempts. They are also 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games (at least 15 games into the season) against teams who are getting outrebounded by 4+ boards/game. Take St. Peter's! 

4* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Bulls +

Love the value here with Chicago as a near double-digit road dog against the Blazers. The Bulls come in having lost 4 straight, the most recent being a non-cover in a 7-point loss at home to the Nets. However, they are a strong 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games and haven't dropped back-to-back games against the spread since the middle of December. 

Chicago is also coming in well-rested, as they have had the last 2 days off and will be playing only their 4th game in 10 days. Portland on the other hand is playing their 4th game in the last 6 days and it would be really easy for the Blazers to not take this Bulls team seriously. Chicago's got some nice young pieces and while they likely won't be able to win, I like them to keep it closer than expected. 

Blazers are just 2-5 ATS last 7 at home and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Bulls are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Chicago! 

3* NCAAB Money Line SMASH on Northridge 

I like the Matadors to go into UC Riverside and get a win tonight. CS-Northridge has been a great team to back on the road once conference play rolls around. The Matadors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games in the month of January. 

On the flip side of this, UC Riverside is just 1-9 ATS last 10 with a line of +3 to -3 and 0-8 in this spot at home. The Highlanders are also a mere 2-15 on the money line in their last 17 vs a team with a losing record. Take CS Northridge! 

4* NCAAB In-State Rivalry GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State -

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Wolfpack at home. Not a lot of people expected much out of this NC State team, but here we are in January and they are 13-1. They went on the road in their ACC opener and knocked off Miami as a slim 2.5-point favorite. 

The books have simply not made the proper adjustments on this team and it's resulted in them going an incredible 11-3 ATS. They are a perfect 10-0 at home and the only reason this line isn't bigger is because of how big a public play UNC is. 

I think this is a much more even matchup in terms of talent than people think and the home court edge is massive here. NC State is a perfect 10-0 at home, while we have already seen the Tar Heels slip up on the road to the likes of Michigan and Kentucky. 

Wolfpack are 15-6 ATS last 21 home games and 10-2 ATS last 12 at home when playing on their 2nd game in 8 days. UNC just 5-14 ATS last 19 road games after winning 3 of their previous 4 games. Take NC State! 

3* NBA Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Heat -

The books are begging the public to play the Nuggets here at basically a pick'em at Miami, which makes this an easy play for me on the Heat. A closer look and you can see why Miami is favored. 

While the Heat come in off an ugly 106-82 loss at Atlanta, that was more of them just not showing up to play against an inferior team. It happens. I'm more focused on the fact that Miami is 8-3 in their last 11 games. 

The other key here is this is just a really tough spot for the Nuggets. Denver had to play last night in Houston, which they lost 125-113. Simply playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back would be tough, but this is also the Nuggets 5th game since the calendar turned to 2019. It's also worth pointing out Denver hasn't played consecutive games in the same spot since a 4-game homestand back in early December. 

Nuggets are also 1-6 ATS last 7 road games  and 3-8 ATS last 11 off a SU loss. Miami is 5-1 ATS last 6 off a loss, 8-2 ATS last 10 vs a team from the West and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Miami! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers as a decently priced road dog against the Red Foxes. Manhattan snapped a 8-game losing streak with a 90-80 upset win at home over Niagara last time out and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. 

Marist just lost at home to Canisius as a favorite and are a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Adding to this is a great system in play that suggest a fade of the Red Foxes. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss at home to a conference opponent are a mere 32-65 (33%) ATS since 1997 when it's a match of two bad teams (win percent between 20% and 40%). Take Manhattan!

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Kings -

Big time value here with Sacramento laying a short number at home against the Magic. Kings come in having lost 4 straight, including 3 in a row at home, but those 3 home losses came against the Warriors, Nuggets and Blazers. Sacramento could have easily won all 3, as all 5 defeats were by 4-points or less. 

Despite not winning the game, I think the Kings gained a lot of confidence from their strong showing last time out against Golden State. I look for a big effort here to get back in the win column and the Magic come in having lost 7 of their last 10 and are playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set. Take Sacramento! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Niagara +

Love the value here with the Purple Eagles as a dog against the Stags. Fairfield is getting way too much credit on their home floor. The Stags are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their 4 home games this season. 

Niagara is simply the better team and my numbers say they should be the ones favored in this matchup. The Purple Eagles have covered 4 of their last 5 on the road against a team with a losing home record. Niagara is also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 6-0 ATS last 6 after two or more losses. 

On top of all that, we find a great long-term system backing the away team. Road teams of +3 to -3 that have allowed 75 or more points in 2 straight games are 66-34 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team that just allowed 85 or more. Take Niagara! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Iowa +

Easy play here for me on the Hawkeyes as a home dog against Nebraska. Iowa comes in off an ugly 16-point loss at Purdue, but this is a team that will likely struggle to win a lot of games on the road in conference play. Keep in mind Iowa lost by 22 at Michigan State earlier this season and 3 days later whooped in-state rival ISU 98-84 at home. 

The Hawkeyes are simply a different team at home and it doesn't get much bigger for this for Iowa this early in the season. The Hawkeyes have started 0-3 in Big Ten play. They have to have this game. I like the Cornhuskers, but they have lost each of their first two Big Ten road games and playing their second straight away from home, as they were at Maryland on Wednesday. Take Iowa! 

5* NCAAB American Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on Wichita 

I love the value here with the Shockers at a pick'em on their home floor. I think we are going to get a huge effort here from Wichita State coming off a couple of road losses to VCU and Memphis. Shockers didn't play up to their potential in either game. 

Temple is a quality team, but I think they are getting a little too much respect right now and this is not an easy spot for the Owls. Temple just played at UCF on Wednesday and have played a mere 1 home game since Nov. 16. 

Shockers are 5-1 at home this season and their defense has been outstanding at home. Wichita State is holding teams to 63.8 ppg and 40.1% shooting at home. I like the Shockers to not just win, but win comfortably. Take Wichita State! 

3* NBA Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Bulls +

I think Chicago is one of the more underrated teams in the NBA right now, as they are just now getting healthy and have some nice young talent on the roster. They basically played the first third of the season without 3 of their best players in Markkanen, Dunn and Portis. With Portis listed probable, that's a huge boost to the bench. 

Not only do I like this spot for Chicago to play well, but I think this is a bit of a trap game for Brooklyn. The Nets have been playing well and already beat the Bulls in Chicago earlier this season. With a game Boston tomorrow night looming, really easy for Brooklyn to come out flat, especially on the road. Take Chicago! 

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Blazers +

The Rockets have been on quite a run and the public will be inclined to fade Portland in the second game of a back-to-back. However, I think it's Houston that will have the more difficult time showing up for this game. 

Last time out the Rockets rallied from 20 down to stun the Warriors 135-134 in overtime during a nationally televised game on TNT. Six different players payed at least 30 minutes for Houston, including 40+ from Harden, Rivers and Capela. Even with a day off Friday, I just don't see the Rockets having the energy needed to win at a difficult place like Portland, especially with the Blazers highly motivated for a win off an upset loss on their home floor. Take Portland! 

4* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -

All you need to know is the No. 5 team in the country is a dog against a team that's not even ranked in the Top 25. The books don't make mistakes and while it's not a full proof system, these types of plays where the line looks way off cash the majority of the time. 

A closer look at Kansas' resume definitely suggests the Jayhawks could be overrated right now. They have been very fortunate in close games. Their only loss of the season also came in their only true road game. There's not many places tougher to play on the road than Iowa State's Hilton Coliseum.

Cyclones are a perfect 7-0 at home and their only two losses are to Arizona and Iowa. They just won at Oklahoma St, despite shooting 36.4% from the field. They also had a bunch of guys out early, which is why they are flying under the radar right now. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Alabama +

Big time value here with the Crimson Tide as a decently priced home dog against the Wildcats. No surprise here that Kentucky is being way overvalued by the books off a couple of impressive wins over North Carolina and Louisville. 

If anything, that has the Wildcats primed for a letdown. Every SEC teams lays it on the line when Kentucky comes to town and the Crimson Tide roll into this one playing their best basketball of the season. Alabama has won 4 straight with impressive wins over both Arizona and Penn State. 

Crimson Tide are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a winning road record. I see this one coming right down to the wire with a decent chance the home team pulls off the upset. Take Alabama! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Fairfield +

Easy play here on the Stags as a road dog here against the Gaels. Iona is just 3-9 on the season and have been as bad as it gets with a 1-10 ATS mark. That was with them covering in their last game. Fairfield has covered 4 straight and are a strong 6-3 ATS in their 9 road games so far this season. 

Stags have covered 7 of their last 8 road games vs a team with a losing home record, while the Gaels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-7 ATS last 8 off a SU win. Take Fairfield! 

4* NBA Pacific Div GAME OF THE WEEK on Clippers -

This is the perfect spot to jump on the Clippers. Los Angeles comes in having lost two straight and are simply undervalued here as a short road favorite to the Suns. I expect a big effort here from the Clippers and while Phoenix has been playing better, they are no match for a motivated LA side. 

Suns simply don't have a home court edge. Phoenix is 5-15 at home this season. They have also failed to cover 11 of their last 12 home games on a Friday night and are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 with a total north of 230. Clippers are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 division games and 14-4 in their last 18 played on Friday. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Loyola -

No need to overthink this one. The Lions are the better team and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Loyola-Marymount comes in at 12-2 with upset wins over UNLV, Georgetown and CS-Fullerton. 

The Waves had lost 5 of 6 before a cupcake win at home over Alabama A&M. Pepperdine is projected by many to be the worst team in the WCC. The Waves are getting way too much respect because of this game being on their home court. Pepperdine is a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and the Lions are 5-1 ATS last 6 meetings with the Waves. Take Loyola-Marymount! 

4* NCAAB West Coast Conf GAME OF THE WEEK  on San Diego -

The Toreros should have zero problem cashing in a cover here as a short road favorite against the Broncos. San Diego was expected to be one of the top teams in the WCC and so far they look the part. The Toreros have opened up 11-4. 

Santa Clara is just 8-6, despite playing a weaker schedule. This is also a big let down spot for the Broncos, who just beat Washington State as a 8-point dog. Santa Clara is just 4-10-1 ATS 15 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

Toreros have covered 11 of their last 14 trips to Santa Clara and the road team has gone a remarkable 23-4-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Take San Diego! 

5* MAAC College Hoops GAME OF THE MONTH on Canisius +

The books have completely missed the mark here. My ratings say the Golden Griffens, despite their 3-8 record, should be favored in this matchup against 5-7 Marist.

Canisius has played a brutal schedule to this point and it simply has them way undervalued here. We just saw this team win outright as a dog at Elon and cover as a 7-point dog at Holy Cross a few days later. 

These two have a common opponent in Buffalo and while both loss, the Griffens lost by just 15, where the Red Foxes lost by 27 and managed just 49 points. Last year Canisus won both meetings and have won 4 of the last 5. 

Golden Griffins are 19-7 ATS last 26 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 5-1 ATS last 6 vs the MAAC. Take Canisius! 

3* NBA Money Line MASSACRE  on Mavs +

The books are begging for you to take the Hornets here as a small home favorite. Dallas is just 2-16 SU in 18 road games and come in having lost 8 of their last 10 overall. This is the definition of a trap set by the books and I'll gladly play the money line on the Mavericks in this spot. 

If anything, Dallas is due for a win on the road and I think we get their very best here, as they know wins at Boston and Philadelphia are unlikely to close out their road trip. Charlotte hasn't been playing great of late and figure to take a big step back after losing starting center Cody Zeller to a broken hand in their last game. They also figure to be without Jeremy Lamb, who suffered a hamstring injury in the same game. 

Last time out the Mavs were embarrassed at OKC and that's a positive for us in this matchup, as Dallas is 32-12 under Rick Carlisle off a road loss by 20 or more points. Mavs have also covered 5 of their last 6 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take Dallas! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Xavier -

The Musketeers came into this season way overvalued by the books, but I think the public has caught on and the value is now back with Xavier. This is definitely a favorable price to be getting the Musketeers on their home floor, where they have gone 7-1 to start the season and the lone loss was to a really good Wisconsin team early on. 

Seton Hall comes in riding a 6-game winning streak, which is definitely keeping this line lower than it should be. What gets overlooked is 4 of the 6 wins came by 6-points or less and while they have won 6 straight they are just 2-4 ATS during this stretch. 

Pirates most recently won 76-74 at home over St. John's and that's worth noting, as Seton Hall is just 13-26 ATS in their last 39 off a conference win by 3-points or less. Musketeers enter off a 74-65 win at DePaul as a 2-point dog and are a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off an upset win as a conference dog. Take Xavier! 

4* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Maryland 

I really like what I have seen from this young Terps team. Maryland is led by junior Anthony Cowan, but the rest of the key contributors are sophomores and freshmen. The Terps are 10-3 and will be a tough place for any team in the Big Ten to get a win. 

Nebraska comes in at 11-2 and ranked No. 24 in the country, but I don't think they are any better than this Maryland squad. Cornhuskers have some nice wins, but they also lost by 18 to Texas Tech on a neutral site and by 7 as 4-point road favorite at Minnesota. 

Terps come into this game having covered 5 of their last 6 and are a dominant 11-2 ATS in home games under Mark Turgeon when they enter the contest having covered 4 of their last 5. Take Maryland! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sixers UNDER

There's simply too much value to pass up on here with the UNDER. I get the Clippers have been a part of a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 3rd game in 4 days and we should get a max effort here defensively from the 76ers after their embarrassing 34-point loss to the Blazers, where they gave up 129 points and allowed Portland to shoot 59% from the field. 

UNDER is 64-42 in the 76ers last 106 games after they allow 120 or more points and an amazing 15-4 in their last 19 road games after a blowout loss by 30 or more points. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on St. John's

The Red Storm should have no problem securing a win on their home floor. Marquette is a good team and are sitting No. 16 in the country, but winning on the road in conference play is no easy task. I also think people are sleeping on this St. John's team, who started the season 12-0 before a controversial call cost them in a 76-74 loss at Seton Hall. 

One of the reasons Marquette has started out so strong, is they have only played 1 true road game and all but 3 of their games at home. That one true road game was a 96-73 loss at Indiana. Golden Eagles are just 1-4 ATS last 5 away from home and 1-8 ATS last 9 road games after covering the spread in 2 or more games. Take St. John's! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Grizzlies UNDER

If you have watched Memphis play at all, you know that they are an ideal team to be involved in a low-scoring game. While everyone else is trying to speed it up and stretch the floor, the Grizzlies are grinding out possessions and trying to win games with their defense. 

It  hasn't worked great for them of late, as they are just 3-8 in their last 11, but they have won 2 of their last 3 and we can bank on a big effort here, as Memphis just lost at home to Houston on 12/15. 

The other key here is that the Rockets will have to play this one without Eric Gordon and they are already without Chris Paul. Gordon averages 15.7 ppg. That means the only healthy double-digit score for Houston besides James Harden is big man Clint Capela. As good as Harden is, he can't do it all and Memphis is going to make him work. 

All this should add up to a very low-scoring game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I love the value here with the Dragons as a double-digit dog against the Pride. I just think because Hofstra has the better record at 11-3, are 8-0 at home, and come in riding a 8-game winning streak, we are seeing them way overvalued in this matchup. 

Drexel is just 6-8, but they have played the tougher schedule and while they aren't as talented as the Pride, they are more than capable of keeping this close. This has also been a good time to fade Hoftra. They are are 10-22 ATS last 32 at home off a conference win by 10 or more and 1-10 ATS last 11 at home after making 10 or more 3-pointers in back-to-back games. Take Drexel! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons UNDER

This is an ideal matchup for a low-scoring grind it out type of game. Both the Magic and Pistons rank in the bottom 5 in the league in offensive efficiency. While both have struggled to score, they have played hard defensively and both are in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency. Another key here is pace and while the Pistons are 14th in pace, Orlando is 26th. 

UNDER is 10-4-1 in the Pistons last 15 games and 8-4 in Orlando's last 12. UNDER is also 20-7 in the Magic's last 27 games vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 vs the Southeast Division. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on La Tech -

This is too good a price to pass up on the Bulldogs at home in their conference opener against the Golden Eagles. Louisiana Tech comes in having won 6 straight and are a perfect 7-0 at home this season. The Bulldogs have absolutely dominated teams at home, as they are averaging an impressive 84.0 ppg, while only giving up 69.9 ppg. 

I just see no way Southern Miss can keep pace offensively. The Golden Eagles are a good defensive team, but they are only scoring 64.0 ppg away from home. Last 34 times Southern Miss has been a dog of 3.5 to 6 points they have only covered 10. Eagles are also 0-6 ATS last 6 road games vs teams who average 8 or more made 3-pointers. Take Louisiana Tech! 

4* NBA Eastern Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Hornets -

This is an easy play for me on Charlotte. These two teams just played against each other on Wednesday at Brooklyn, which the Nets won 134-132. It was Brooklyn's 9th win in their last 10 games. 

As tempting as it might be to take the points with the Nets, the team that lost the first meeting in these home-and-home matchups almost always has the edge in the second meeting. Not to mention the Hornets are a completely different team at home, where they are 12-7, compared to 4-10 on the road. Nets are also just 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road against a team with a winning home record. Take Charlotte! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Towson -

The Tigers are showing big time value here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Phoenix. Both teams have just 4-wins on the season, but Towson is playing the better basketball and have also played the tougher schedule. 

The Tigers won't be looking past Elon this time, as they were upset last year at home as a 9-point favorite by the Phoenix. Towson has covered 5 of their last 7 and are use to playing away from home, as 9 of their first 12 have been on the road. 

This one should come down to defense and the Tigers being able to get stops. Elon is giving up 82.3 ppg on their home floor. Phoenix are also just 7-16 ATS last 23 as a dog and 4-12 ATS last 16 with a line of +3 to -3. Take Towson! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Drexel +

I absolutely love the value here with the Dragons as a double-digit dog against the Huskies. Northeastern has been way overvalued by the books in 2018 and that's evident by the fact that they are just 4-7 ATS overall, including a 1-3 ATS mark at home. They come in just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9. 

Dragons can light up the scoreboard, as they come in averaging 79.5 ppg. That's worth noting, as that should allow them to keep it close and we see that Northeastern is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs teams who average 77 or more points/game. 

There's also a big time system in play. Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points, who are coming off a game where they allowed 80+ points and facing an opponent that has scored 30 or less in the 1st half of their last two are 65-29 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Drexel! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on James Madison +

The Dukes should have zero problem here covering on the road against the Tribe. James Madison comes in off an ugly 75-48 loss at Fordham as a mere 3.5-point dog and that's definitely playing into this inflated number on William & Mary. 

It's been a wise move to jump on the Dukes in this spot, as they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a loss by 20 points or more. 

We are also talking about a William & Mary team that has only won 4 games all season. Note that these two teams have played 3 common opponents. The Dukes are 1-2 vs those teams and the Tribe are 0-3. 

William & Mary is also a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning straight up record and the Dukes are a rock solid 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs a team from the CAA. Take James Madison! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Knicks +

New York is showing exceptional value here in this quick rematch from Christmas Day. The public perception will be that the Bucks just won by 14 at New York two days ago, so why wouldn't they win by more than that at home. It just doesn't work like that in the NBA. 

If anything, I think that blowout win by Milwaukee will make it hard for them to get up for this game, as they have to feel like they just need to show up to get a win. Not to mention the value we are getting at this price, simply needing the Knicks to lose by 14 or less. 

Road underdogs who are a bad team (25% to 40% win percentage) have hit 58% of the time the last 5 seasons when revenging a loss. Knicks are also 22-11 ATS last 33 when revenging a home loss. Take New York! 

3* NBA Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Hawks +

This is way too many points for the Pacers to be laying on the road against a Hawks team that is playing arguably it's best basketball of the season right now. 

Atlanta has won 3 straight, including back-to-back wins on the road over New York and Detroit. Confidence can do wonders for a young team like the Hawks and they have to be itching to get back on the court and take on a good Pacers team. 

Indiana has been playing well of late, but I just have to wonder how motivated the Pacers are going to be in their first game back, the day after Christmas, against a bad team like the Hawks. 

Note that Indiana was a 11.5-point home favorite against these Hawks back on Nov. 17th. That line suggest that had the two played in Atlanta on that day the line would have been closer to 5. 

Hawks are 7-3 ATS last 10 at home vs a team with a winning road record and the Pacers are 1-5 ATS last 6 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Atlanta! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Heat +

The books are begging for you to lay the short number here with Toronto, but the sharp money is on the red-hot Heat. A lot of people probably aren't aware of just how well Miami has been playing. They have won 5 straight and 9 of their last 12 overall. 

This team is playing with a ton of confidence and to them this is going to be one of those "measuring stick" games, where they see how they stack up against the perceived best team in the Eastern Conference right now. I just don't think the game means that much to Toronto, who is not only a little upset they weren't playing on Christmas Day, but also got a lot of guys banged up. 

Adding to this is a great system in play. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the month of December are an amazing 43-18 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when they come in having played 4 or fewer games in 10 days. 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Sixers/Celtics UNDER

I love the UNDER here in this division clash between the 76ers and Celtics. There's a ton of talent on both teams and these are two teams that are believed to have a legit shot at winning the Eastern Conference. I think both are going to be out to make a statement here and we are going to get max effort from both sides on the defensive side of the ball. 

These two played back in October and the Celtics won 105-87 for a combined total of just 193 points. That game had a total of 211.5. I get the 76ers have added Jimmy Butler since that game, but he's an elite defender and we got plenty of wiggle room here with this total north of 220. 

The average score in the 76ers last 17 division road games is 214.5. The average score in the Celtics last 15 division home games is 207.1. Take the UNDER! 

4* Bucks/Knicks Side Winner on Knicks +

I love the value here with the Knicks as a double-digit dog and this game staying well UNDER the mark on the total. 

New York is way undervalued here because of the fact that they have lost 4 straight and are just 1-9 in their last 10. They have been competitive in a lot of these losses and we know we are going to get a max effort here at home against a team like the Bucks. 

These two teams have already played twice this year and both times the Knicks have kept it within single-digits. In fact, they won outright earlier this month at home as a 8-point dog. 

That last meeting was very high-scoring, which is why we are seeing such a high total here. There's just a different defensive intensity that teams play with on Christmas Day. I also think this early start time will have both offenses struggling to get going. Take New York & UNDER! 

3* Bucks/Knicks NBA Total Winner on Knicks UNDER

I love the value here with the Knicks as a double-digit dog and this game staying well UNDER the mark on the total. 

New York is way undervalued here because of the fact that they have lost 4 straight and are just 1-9 in their last 10. They have been competitive in a lot of these losses and we know we are going to get a max effort here at home against a team like the Bucks. 

These two teams have already played twice this year and both times the Knicks have kept it within single-digits. In fact, they won outright earlier this month at home as a 8-point dog. 

That last meeting was very high-scoring, which is why we are seeing such a high total here. There's just a different defensive intensity that teams play with on Christmas Day. I also think this early start time will have both offenses struggling to get going. Take New York & UNDER!

3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Clippers +

I like the value here with the Clippers as a double-digit dog against the defending champs. This game simply means a lot more to LA than it does Golden State. There's only a few games during the regular-season that will get the juices flowing for the Warriors. 

One of those is Christmas Day, when they host LeBron James and the new-look Lakers. Even though they lost 121-116 to the Clippers in LA back on 11/12, I have a hard time believing Golden State is even the slightest bit concerned about the Clippers being the team that dethrones them in the West. 

I actually think there's a decent shot LA wins this game outright, but all we need is for them to keep it within single digits. Clippers are 15-5 ATS lats 20 vs a division opponent and 15-4 ATS last 19 road games after covering 3 of their last 4. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NBA Atlantic Div GAME OF THE WEEK on Sixers -

Philadelphia should have no problem covering the number at home in a win over the Raptors. Toronto is playing in the second game of a back-to-back set and instead of sitting Khawi Leonard against the Cavs and having him play here, he played vs Cleveland and will take tonight off. 

That has to feel like a slap in the face for the 76ers and given some of Toronto's success without Khawi in the lineup, I don't see Philadelphia taking this one lightly at all. The 76ers really need this win, as they are just 4-4 in their last 8 without a real signature win in the process. P

Philadelphia is also out for revenge from two earlier losses to the Raptors this season. Both of those were in Toronto. Note that the 76ers are 15-3 at home compared to 6-9 on the road. Take Philadelphia! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St. Mary's -

St. Mary's should have no problem here leaving with a win at Western Kentucky on Saturday. The Gaels have won 5 of their last 6 and are fres off a 85-56 thrashing of Bucknell, which is worth noting, as St Mary's has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 20 points. 

The Hilltoppers have lost 5 of their last 7. Last time they were at home we saw them lose outright 87-81 to Troy as a 9.5-point favorite. WKU is a bad defensive team. They are allowing 77.3 ppg and 47.7% shooting at home this season.

The Gaels average 78.2 ppg and are shooting 50% from the field and 40% from deep on the year. I just don't see the Hilltoppers being able to keep pace and with this number all we really need is for the Gaels to win outright. Take St. Mary's! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia +

The Yellow Jackets are getting way too much respect here at home against their in-state rivals. Georgia Tech comes in off an impressive 69-65 win as a 9-point dog at Arkansas, but are still just 2-3 in their last 5, including a 10-point home loss to Gardner Webb. 

Georgia has won 3 of their last 4 and covered all 4 during this stretch. The only loss coming by a mere 2-points to a really strong Arizona State team. I know both teams are down from last year, but keep in mind that Georgia has owned this series the last two years. The Bulldogs won 60-43 in 2016 and 80-59 a year ago. We don't even need them to win, just keep it close. 

Bulldogs are 23-12 ATS in their last 35 as an underdog, while the Yellow Jackets are a mere 1-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take Georgia! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kings - 

This is too good a price to pass up on Sacramento at home against a Grizzlies team that has lost it's mojo. Memphis was one of the big surprise teams early on, but things have quickly took a turn for the worst. 

The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight and are just 4-10 after starting the year 12-5. They just have a horrible time scoring the basketball. Memphis hasn't eclipsed 100 points in 7 straight games. While they are likely to hit that mark against the Kings given Sacramento's pace of play, I don't see them scoring near enough to have a shot at winning the game. 

Kings didn't play any defense in their 132-113 loss at home to the Thunder on Wednesday, so we should get a better effort on that side of the ball. Sacramento is also 11-3 ATS last 14 off a game where they allowed 125+. They are also 8-3 ATS last 11 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Sacramento!  

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Mercer - 

The Bears should have zero problem covering this short number at home against the Seahawks. These two teams have a common opponent, as both have played on the road against Georgia State. Mercer lost by 2, while NC-Wilmington lost by 15. I think the line here is closer to what it should be if these two were playing on a neutral court and even then it's a little low. 

The big key here is only one of these teams plays defense. Mercer is only giving up 67.4 ppg and that number drops down to 61.6 ppg at home. The Seahawks are allowing 82.3 ppg on the season, as opposing teams are shooting 47% against them. They are losing on average by 10 ppg away from home and this one should be no different. Take Mercer! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER on St. Bonny +

The Huskies are a mere 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games, as the books continue to give them way too much respect. St Bonaventure comes in with a mere 4-7 record and haven't won a game away from home, but this is a team they can easily come away with a win against. 

The Bonnies have covered 4 of their last 5 and are 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Both of these teams last played on the road against Vermont. St Bonaventure lost 83-76 and Northeastern fell 75-70. Two very similar scores, which is no surprise, as these are two very evenly matched teams. 

Keep in mind these two teams played last year about this same time and the Bonnies won 84-65, easily covering as a 8.5-point favorite. Take St. Bonaventure! 

4* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE WEEK on Pepperdine +

My projections have Pepperdine winning the game outright, so this is an easy play for me on the Waves as a decently priced dog. Pepperdine comes in at 6-6, but are undervalued due to losing 4 of their last 5 and failing to cover each of their last 4. 

Long Beach State is just 3-9 on the season and have no business being this big of a favorite. The 49ers are just 1-6 in their last 7. The play little to no defense, as Long Beach is allowing 79.2 ppg and that's a problem against a Waves team that is scoring 79.2 ppg. Take Pepperdine! 

5* NBA Western Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Jazz +

The books are absolutely begging the public to take the Warriors here as a small road favorite and they are doing exactly that (close to 70% action on Golden State). They did the same thing when these two met back in October and the Jazz covered in a painful 124-123 loss as 2.5-point dog. 

There's no doubt that Utah has been itching for this rematch after nearly knocking off the defending champs. We are going to get their best effort here. It's hard for Golden State to get up for regular-season games and I have to think they are a bit annoyed that they have this 1-game road trip to Utah before returning home for Christmas (next road game is 12/29). 

Not to mention the Warriors aren't just struggling to cover on the road, they are a mere 8-7 straight up away from Oracle Arena. Golden State is also just 2-8 ATS last 10 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take Utah! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on UCLA +

I really like the value here with the Bruins here. While Cincinnati comes in off a loss at Mississippi State, they are still 9-2 on the season and 6-2 ATS in their last 8. They are still overvalued, as this is too many points for UCLA to be catching. 

The Bearcats were only a 2.5-point dog to Mississippi State and lost by 11, shooting just 37.3% from the field. Their other loss this year is a 8-point home defeat to Ohio State as a 4.5-point favorite and they shot a mere 27.4% in that game. I just don't think this team is as good as people think, but they went 31-5 last year, so they are getting some love. Take UCLA! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Omaha +

The books have the wrong team favored in this one. Nebraska-Omaha enters with a mere 4-7 record, but they have only played 3 games on their home floor leading up to this contest. They have also played nearly half (5) of their games against Power 5 opponents. 

They were able to snap a 4-game skid with a 89-80 win at Idaho as a mere 1-point favorite in their last game and I expect a big time effort here from the Mavericks in their first home game since they hosted and annihilated Montana State 89-65 as a 8-point favorite back on Nov. 24th. 

This is a long way from home for the Gauchos and I just think it's a really tough spot for them to play well. I think given that they have won 7 of 8, they might not give the Mavs their full attention, especially given the books made them the favorite. Take Nebraska-Omaha! 

5* NBA Southeast PLAY OF THE MONTH on Hawks +

This is a great spot to jump on Atlanta as a home dog against the Wizards. Washington has been one of the most overvalued teams this season, especially on the road. The Wizards are 4-12 SU and 4-12 ATS in their 16 road games. 

I get the Hawks aren't a great team, but no way should Washington be a road favorite. The Wizards come in off what looks like an impressive 128-110 win over the Lakers, but they got a LA team that didn't show up to play on the second night of a back-to-back road set. Prior to that win they had lost 4 straight, including a 15-point loss on the road to the Cavs. 

Wizards are 0-9 ATS last 9 road games after allowing 105 or more points in 3 straight games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after a game with a combined score of 235 or more. Take Atlanta!