5* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month on Providence -

I really like this spot for Providence at home against the Musketeers. Xavier lost point guard Edmond Summer to a season ending injury at the end of January and now are expected to be without Trevon Bluiett tonight against the Friars. That's the Musketeer's two best players not available. That's just too much to overcome on the road against a hungry Providence team that has been playing much better of late. While the Friars are just 4-4 in their last 8, they are 7-1 against the spread during this stretch. They also come in with a 12-3 record at home and fresh off an impressive 71-65 home win over Butler as 3-point dog.

I don't see Providence overlooking Xavier given the injury situation, as they will be out for revenge from an ugly 56-82 loss at Xavier back on 12/28. Note that Bluiett and Summer combined for 35 points 11 assists and 13 rebounds. Friars are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Providence!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Boise State +

I'm backing the Broncos as a short road dog against the Lobos tonight. This might seem like a mistake by the books, as New Mexico already went on the road and beat Boise State 81-70 back on 1/17. Nothing went right for the Broncos, who shot just 38% from the field, while allowing the Lobos to shoot 50% from the field and behind the 3-point line. That was an uncharacteristic performance from Boise State, who is only allowing opponents to shoot 41.8% from the field on the season. 

A big difference this time around is New Mexico will be minus one of their best players in Tim Williams, who is averaging 17.9 ppg and 7.0 rpg. It's a huge loss the only other player averaging more than 7 ppg is Elijah Brown (18.8 ppg). Boise is going to consistently double-team Brown and force these other guys beat him. Note that Williams had a game-high 19 points in the Lobos win over the Broncos earlier this season.

Broncos are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a loss as a home favorite, 14-4 ATS in their last 18  with a line of +3 to -3 and 24-12 in their last 36 road games. Take Boise State!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bulls OVER

There's a lot of moving parts going on around this game, as the Raptors just made a trade for Serge Ibaka and the Bulls are expected to be without starters Wade and Butler, as well as reserves Mirotic and Zipser. All of this has this game feeling a bit like an exhibition game and I just don't see either team playing much defense in this one.

Chicago certainly hasn't been playing any of late. The Bulls have allowed 100 or more points in 9 straight games and given up 115 or more in each of their last 3. Given what Chicago has to work with and the Raptors ability to light it up offensively (109.1 ppg), I think Toronto is going to continue that streak. Not having Butler and Wade might seem like a huge loss for Chicago's offense, but it allows them to play at a little faster pace and gets some more 3-point shooters on the floor. You also have to take into consideration that Toronto will have a difficult time taking the Bulls seriously without their star players, so it's unlikely they are coming into this one looking to lock down defensively. OVER is 8-0 in the Bulls last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nuggets +

I like the value here with the Nuggets catching double-digits against the Warriors tonight. I just don't see Golden State being mentally all that interested in this contest. They played at Memphis on Friday, in a game where they had double-revenge from losing the first two against the Grizzlies this season, then they had the highly anticipated showdown against the Thunder on Saturday, which was Durant's first game back in OKC. Even with yesterday off, I see them coming out flate in what's their final road game before the All-Star break.

Denver on the other hand is going to treat this like it's the biggest game of their season. I'm not expecting them to win, but I'm confident they can keep it competitive. Warriors are just 3-12 ATS this season after 3 straight games where they hit 47% or more of their field goal attempts. Take Denver!

5* NBA Southeast Game of the Month on Magic/Heat OVER

I'm expecting a shootout in Miami when the Heat host the Magic tonight. Miami had their 13-game winning streak snapped in a 109-117 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. It's exactly difficult to keep the momentum going from a long winning streak after it's snapped. On top of that, the Heat are returning home from a 4-game road trip. I just don't see the effort being their on the defensive side of the ball, especially against a bad team like the Magic.

Offensively the Heat should be able to continue to their recent surge. Miami has scored 100+ points in 12 straight games and are facing a Orlando defense that has allowed 112 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 109 ppg on the road this season. OVER is 8-1 in the Magic's last 9 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 12-4 in their last 16 after giving up 60+ points at the half of their last game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Louisville/Syracuse UNDER

I like the value here on the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. These two teams are both capable of shutting down the opposition with their defense. Louisville comes in allowing just 63.7 ppg on the road and the Orange are giving up only 64.1 ppg at home. I know both offenses average over 75+ ppg, but these two have a history of low-scoring games when they meet up at Syracuse. In fact, 5 of the last 6 the Orange have hosted in the series have gone UNDER the total.

UNDER is 8-2 in Louisville's last 10 games when playing in one of these rare Monday matchups and 9-3 in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in their last game. UNDER is also 20-6-3 in Syracuse's last 29 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 40-18-1 in their last 59 games on Monday. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on Washington St +

I like the value here with the Cougars as double-digit road dog. Washington State comes in having lost 3 straight and I believe it's playing into this line. The thing is, the Cougars last 3 games have been back-to-back at home against UCLA and USC, followed by a road game at Utah. Those are 3 of the better teams in the Pac-12 and Washington State was competitive in thos games. I know the Cougars aren't a great team, but they have won on the road at both Washington and Arizona State.

Colorado is a solid team and come in having won 4 of 5, but the schedule has been favorable. What is getting overlooked here is that the Cougars already beat Colorado at home 91-89 back on 1/21 as a 7-point dog. I'm not saying they win on the road, but I think there's a good chance this game is close until the end and Washington State covers. Colorado is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 off a win and the Cougars are 22-10 ATS after 3 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or better. Take Washington State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Raptors -

I like the Raptors to not only win but to win big at home against the Pistons. Toronto has gone just 4-9 in their last 13 games, which is an uncharacteristic run for what most consider one of the elite teams in the east. The thing is, Toronto played a number of those games without one of their best players in DeRozan and the majority came on the road. The Raptors come into this contest as healthy as they have been in a while and fresh off 3 days of rest.

I look for Toronto to come out looking to make a statement here and the Pistons are definitely a team they can beat by double-digits. In fact, they already beat them by 18 at home earlier this season. Detroit is only 9-18 SU and 10-17 ATS on the road. Pistons are also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 60 or more points in the 1st half of their last game and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their last game against a team from the west. Take Toronto!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northern Iowa +1.5

I really like the value here with the Panthers at basically a pick'em on the road against Missouri State. UNI is playing their best basketball of the season right now. After starting out 0-5 in conference play, the Panthers have won 7 of 8. They will be out for revenge here from a 4-point loss at home to the Bears back in UNI's dreadful start to the MVC. Note that Missouri State only won by 4 points, despite jumping out to a 32-8 lead in the 1st half, which included a 19-0 run.

The Bears win over UNI came during a 6-1 stretch. This time they enter having lost 4 of their last 5 and fresh off a ugly 18-point loss at Wichita State. Missouri State is only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games after going over the total in their previous game and 4-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a day stretch. Panthers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 65 or less points in 5 straight games. Take UNI! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Oregon/USC UNDER

I really like the value here with this one going under the total set by the books. These two teams played at Oregon back in late December and combined for fewer than the total here. That was with the Ducks putting up 84 points at home. I just don't see that same kind of offensive outburst here for Oregon, who is primed for a letdown after playing their last two against the league's two best teams in Arizona and UCLA. Even more so with just 1-day of rest after blowing a big lead against the Bruins.

USC comes in having won 5 straight and I expect them to really get after it defensively here. Not only to get a huge win at home, but to get revenge from that ugly 23-point loss to the Ducks in December. UNDER 15-5 in Oregon's last 20 games when playing for 2nd time in just a 3 day span. UNDER is also 11-2 this season after a game where the Ducks covered the spread and 4-0 in USC last 5 games as a home underdog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Jazz -

I like the value here with the Jazz laying what I feel is a short number given how bad a spot this is for the Celtics. Boston is playing their 3rd straight road game on the west coast in a span of just 4 days. They started out with a loss at Sacramento then had to rally for a win at Portland. I just don't see them having enough left in the tank to keep up with the Jazz in the thin air of Utah.

Celtics beat the Blazers 120-111 in their last game and that's important to note, as Boston is a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game. The Jazz are 35-19 ATS in their last 54 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 205 or more and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Dominator on Oklahoma/Iowa St OVER

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game this afternoon between the Cyclones and Sooners. These two teams played already this season and combined for 179. I know that came in OT, but the flow of the game was exactly what we look for when backing the over. Keep in mind that neither team shot the ball well and they still put up a ton of points. ISU was only 42.7% from the field and Oklahoma was a mere 40.3% from the field. It was also the 4th straight meeting in the series that saw at least 155 points.

I don't normally pay a ton of attention to the day of the week when it comes to trends, but this one is hard to ignore. OVER is 7-1 in the Sooners last 8 games played on Saturday and a perfect 6-0 in the Cyclones last 6 games on Saturday. OVER is also 4-0 in Oklahoma's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 5-1 in ISU's last 6 off a SU loss. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer on Michigan St -

I really like the value her with the Spartans at home, as Michigan State is going to be locked in after getting annihilated in their last game on the road against Michigan. I know the Spartans aren't on the same level as they have been in previous years, but this is still a well-coached team that isn't going to lay down. I expect one of Michigan State's best game to take place today.

It helps that they are catching the Hawkeyes in a terrible spot. Iowa has had their road woes as it is in Big Ten play and now have to play their 2nd straight on the road after a crushing double-overtime loss at Minnesota last time out. With just two days between games, I just don't think that's enough time for the Hawkeyes to recover. Iowa is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 or more points and the Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite. Take Michigan State!

4* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout on Hornets -

I really like this spot for the Hornets at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles is just 3-7 since Chris Paul tore a ligament in his thumb and their only two wins have come against the likes of the Suns and Knicks. Now I now Charlotte hasn't been playing great of late, but the schedule hasn't done them in any favors. This is a great spot for them to turn things around. LA can't have a whole lot left in the tank here, as they are playing their 4th straight on the road, all on the east coast.

The Hornets are a respectable 16-11 at home this season and LA is a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Clippers are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the Eastern Conference and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after a combined score of 205 or more in 3 straight games. Take Charlotte!

5* Big Ten Game of the Month on Maryland -

This might seem like a big number for the Terrapins to be laying at home against an Ohio State team that has won 2 straight, but I really like this spot for Maryland and for them to win here in a blowout. We know we are going to get a max effort here from the Terrapins, as they come in off a back-to-back losses.

The bigger key here is that Ohio State will be without the services of point guard JaQuan Lyle. That's a big time loss as Lyle is 3rd in scoring at 11.4 ppg and leads the team with a solid 5.0 apg. Losing a point guard is tough to overcome, especially on the road. I think it's even more of a problem for a team like the Buckeyes who aren't a great offensive team to start with.

Ohio State is a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games on Saturday and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Terrapins are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Maryland!

4* NCAAB Afternoon ATS Heavy Hitter on Illinois -

I really like the value here with the Fighting Illini as a relatively short home favorite against the Nittany Lions. This is a prime spot for Illinois to get back on track at home, where they are a very respectable 10-4 this season. We also catch the Illini fresh off a upset win at Northwestern. Penn State is also off a win, but it was a big one, as they upset Maryland on their home floor. I believe that puts the Nittany Lions in a prime letdown spot with this game being on the road. Penn State is just 4-7 away from home with their only road win coming against bottom feeder Rutgers.

The Fighting Illini are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Take Illinois!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Hawks -

I like the value here with the Hawks as a short road favorite against the Kings. Atlanta comes in off a 117-106 win over the Nuggets and are playing the much better basketball. The Hawks have actually been rock solid on the road, where they are 15-11 on the season. Sacramento on the other hand is just 10-15 at home and are primed for a letdown after a 108-92 blowout win over the Celtics. A win that came with Cousins. While he will be back for this one, Atlanta has someone who can matchup with him in Howard.

Kings come in shooting the ball well, but are 0-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 3 straight games where they shot 47% or better from the field. Sacramento is also just 5-14 ATS this season off a win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win by more than 10 points. Hawks are 10-4 ATS last 14 road games and 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Atlanta!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Pelicans +

I expect the public to be all over the Timberwolves in this one, but I think the Pelicans are the play. Minnesota is still trying to figure out how to cope with the loss of Zach LaVine and incorporate their new addition of Lance Stephenson. The Timberwolves were able to knock off the Raptors 112-109 in their last game, but had lost 4 straight prior to that and continue to struggle on the defensive end. Minnesota has allowed 100+ points in 12 straight games.

New Orleans is primed for a big time effort here after an ugly 33-point loss to the Jazz at home and while they are just 1-5 in their last 6, the schedule has been brutal of late. Note that these two teams played earlier this season and the Pelicans cruised to a 117-96 win, shooting over 54% from the field, while the Wolves were under 40%. Minnesota is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game and a mere 8-17 ATS as a favorite this season. Take New Orleans!

5* NBA No Limit Heavy Hitter Top Play on Wizards -

I like the value here with the Wizards laying a relatively short number at home against the Pacers. Washington was on an absolute roll before losing in OT to the Cavs at home. No surprise, they didn't play their best game after that crushing loss, but they still managed to win at Brooklyn. I look for Washington to return to form here against the Pacers, who are primed for a letdown after a crushing 117-132 loss at home to Cleveland, which snapped their 7-game winning streak.

Indiana hasn't exactly been great on the road this season, as the Pacers are just 9-16 away from home. Washington on the other hand has been lights out at home. They had won 17 straight prior to the loss to the Cavs and are 22-7 at home on the season.

Pacers are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game, while the Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Take Washington!

5* NBA Late Night Vegas Insider Top Play on Celtics +

Boston laid an egg in Sacramento last night, losing 82-108 as a 8.5-point favorite against a Kings team that was minus their best player in Boogie Cousins. Those performances are going to happen over an NBA season. The key here is that elite teams like the Celtics almost always bounce back after an ugly showing like that. I expect a completely different Boston team to show up tonight, especially with this game being a nationally televised contest on TNT.

This year's Blazers team still gets respect for how good they were a year ago, especially when playing at home, but the truth is they just aren't very good. Portland is only 14-11 SU at home on the season, which is the exact same record the Celtics have on the road. No rest for the Celtics has been no problem, as they are 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also 9-3-2 ATS last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +

I really like the value here with the Cornhuskers catching a decent amount of points at home against the Badgers. It's not been the season Nebraska was hoping for in Big Ten play, but this team has found a way to compete with some of the top teams in the conference. The Cornhuskers have road wins at both Indiana and Maryland, as well as a win at home against Purdue. I don't know that they can knock off the Badgers, but I wouldn't be surprised if they did.

Either way I'm expecting an all out effort here from Nebraska at home against a Top 10 team and wouldn't be shocked if Wisconsin struggled to match that intensity. Badgers have won 7 straight, but are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6. Cornhuskers are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 home games off 2 straight conference losses and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 as a home dog of 7 to 12.5 points. Take Nebraska!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on West Virginia -

This might seem like a big number for the Mountaineers to be laying on the road, but I think this is a prime spot for West Virginia to lay it on the Sooners. The Mountaineers are going to be 100% locked in for this game. Not only are they looking to bounce back from a 75-82 home loss to Oklahoma State, but they also want revenge against the Sooners, who beat them at home 89-87 back on 1/18. It just so happens that was the last win for Oklahoma, who has dropped 5 straight. Sooners are a great home team, just 5-6 on the season and recently lost by 34 at home to Florida.

Oklahoma is a mere 8-20 ATS over the last 2 seasons when playing a good team that's won between 60% to 80% of their games. They are also a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's forcing 18 or more turnovers after 15+ games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against good passing teams that are averaging 16 or more assists/game. Take West Virginia!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Heat/Bucks OVER

I think this total is a good 10-points lower than what it should be. The Heat are playing at a different level right now than they were just a few weeks ago. Miami only averages 100.7 ppg on the season, but have scored 100 or more in 9 straight games, eclipsing 115 points in each of their last 3. That trend doesn't figure to come to an end against a Bucks team that has allowed 100+ in 17 straight games and is mixing up the rotation with three new faces tonight.

While Miami figures to have no problem surpassing the 100-point mark, I think the Bucks could really light up the scoreboard here. The Heat are not the same team defensively on the road and the Bucks are locked in offensively right now. After putting up 117 at Denver, the hung 137 on the Suns the next night. These two played in Miami on 1/13 and combined for 224 points and I think we will see a similar type of output tonight. Take the OVER!

5* NCAAB Missouri Valley Game of the Month on Southern Illinois +

I really like the value here with the Salukis on the road against the Panthers. UNI has won 6 of their last 7, but most of those have come against the bottom half of the Missouri Valley. They do have a 58-57 win at Southern Illinois during this stretch, but I think that only adds to the value here with the Salukis in a big time revenge spot. Note that Southern Illinois only lost by 1-point and shot a mere 38.2% from the field, while UNI hit an uncharacteristic 47% (only shoot 40.7% on the season).

UNI failed to cover in their last game and are a mere 3-10 ATS in their last 13 after a game where they failed to cover the number and only 2-11 ATS in their last 13 against a team with a winning record. Salukis are also 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games after allowing 30 points or less in the first half of 2 straight games.Take Southern Illinois!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Vanderbilt +

The Commodores are showing some great value here as a short road dog against the Razorbacks. Arkansas comes in with the better record, but I just don't think they are all that great. I see two very evenly matched teams with a huge motivational edge to Vanderbilt, who hasn't forgot about a heartbreaking 70-71 loss at home to the Razorbacks on 1/24. Since that win Arkansas has lost by 28 at Oklahoma State and were just upset by SEC bottom feeder Missouri.

Vanderbilt has really played well on the road, especially in the SEC. Their last two on the highway resulted in big time wins at Florida and Texas A&M. The Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a winning record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a wining home record. Take Vanderbilt!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Magic/Rockets OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for tonight's showdown between the Rockets and Magic. On one side you have one the most dynamic and efficient offenses in the league in the Rockets and on the other you have one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA in the Magic, Houston is averaging 114.8 ppg at home and the Magic are giving up 108.2 ppg on the road. The Rockets should score close to 120-125 on their own, which means we just need an average offense night from the Magic to push this over the total.

I believe we will get at least that from Orlando and maybe some more. Given how bad the Magic have been this year and are playing at the moment, this isn't a game where the Rockets are going to choose to use up a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball. OVER is 6-2 in the Rockets last 8 games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-0 in the Magic's last 7 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +

The Demon Deacons are showing some great value here as a pretty good sized dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 overall. I look for their struggles to continue here against a talented Wake Forest team that is playing with confidence off back-to-back wins. The Deacons are also a solid 5-2 ATS in their last 7.

Notre Dame held Georgia Tech to 69 points in their last game, but had allowed 79 or more in each of their previous 7. Wake Forest comes in averaging 81.6 ppg on the season and aren't far off at 80.2 ppg in conference play. The Deacons ability to score is going to make it hard for the Irish to turn this into a blowout and leaves open the possibility of an outright upset. Note that the Demon Deacons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game at least 15 games into the season and Notre Dame is only 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games with a high total of 150 to 159.5. Take Wake Forest!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Lakers/Knicks OVER

These two teams played back in December and combined for 230 points in a 118-112 Knicks win. I think we are going to see a similar scoring output here. Both of these teams have the ability to put up a lot of points and each rank in the top half of the league in pace. Each also come into this game in good form. Lakers have scored at least 107 in each of their last 3 and the Knicks are averaging 109.8 ppg over their last 5.

The big key here is that neither of these teams play much defense. In fact, both rank in the bottom 7 of the league in defensive efficiency. Lakers have allowed 113 or more in each of their last 3 games and the Knicks have allowed 100+ in 11 of their last 12. Add in this being a game played on Monday, where players just aren't always locked in and I think there's going to be zero defense played in this one. OVER is 13-4 in the Lakers last 17 road games when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Thunder on Monday. Indiana is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 straight and are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. On top of that they are one of the best in the league at home, where they are 19-6 on the season.

OKC continues to get a lot of respect from the books because of all the attention that's been given to Westbrook, but this is a pretty average team that I think is starting to wear down. This is definitely a tough spot for the Thunder, who will be playing on no rest and 3rd in the last 4 overall. OKC is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against the Central division. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month on Cavs/Wizards UNDER

I really like the value here with the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. This is a big time game. Cleveland is the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and the Wizards are playing as well as anyone right now. Washington is 14-2 over their last 16 and have won 17 straight at home. The Cavs are well aware of this and I expect them to try a send a massage to the Wizards, especially with this being a nationally televised prime time game on TNT.

The defensive numbers for Cleveland aren't great, but this is a team that can get after it on that side of the ball when they want to. They also have been playing much better on that side of the ball of late, allowing just 99.0 ppg over their last 4. Washington's defense has also been solid of late, giving up just 96.0 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 14-4 in Cleveland's last 18 as a road dog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Clippers +

I like the value here with Los Angeles as a decently priced road dog against the Celtics on Super Bowl Sunday. The Clippers are a bit undervalued right now, as they have had to play two of their last 3 against the Warriors. LA was competitive in either game against Golden State, but that's to be expected without Chris Paul. Boston is another quality team, but no where close to the level of the Warriors.

I think we get a motivated and desperate Clippers team this afternoon. Not only do they want to get back to winning, but anytime their head coach goes up against his former team it means a little something extra. Note that Los Angeles is 5-1 in the series since Rivers left Boston for LA with the only loss by 5-points. Clippers are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 after a double-digit loss at home, while Boston is only 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Take Los Angeles!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Notre Dame/UNC UNDER

I think the value here is with the UNDER on the total. This game was suppose to take place yesterday on North Carolina's home floor, but had to be moved and is now being played 50 miles out to the Greensboro Coliseum. The quick change in venue is big, as it keeps the Tar Heels off their home court and will likely have a negative impact on the scoring output of both teams. This is also a big time game and I expect both to bring the defensive intensity here. Notre Dame is only giving up 68.1 ppg and the Tar Heels aren't too far behind at 71.4 ppg.

North Carolina wants to protect their home court and are catching the Irish at the right time, as they have lost 3 straight. On the flip side of this, Notre Dame will come out and lay it all on the line here to not only snap the losing streak, but to get some revenge from losing to UNC in the East Regional Final of last year's NCAA Tournament. UNDER is 8-2 in the Tar Heels last 10 when playing a team that's won between 60% to 80% of their games and 12-3 in the Irish's last 15 off a conference loss. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Kings +

I think the value here is clearly with the Kings as a massive home dog against the Warriors. Golden State is the best team in the league, but I just don't see them being all the interested in this one, as they get to return home an enjoy a 3-day break after this contest. Sacramento is going to treat this one like a Game 7 at home and are certainly capable of keeping it close. The Warriors really don't have an answer inside for Cousins. Look for him to have a big game here and for the Kings to keep this closer than people expect.

Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games, while the Warriors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing record and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Pistons/Pacers UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here on the UNDER in the total for tonight's game between the Pistons and Pacers. Both teams are coming off a win last night where they scored 100+ points. The thing is, the offense figures to be down a notch for both sides playing on no rest, and this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. On top of that, we have two division rivals, who are both playing well at the moment and desperately want a win here.

UNDER is 31-17 in the Pistons last 48 road games after playing their previous game against a team from the western conference. UNDER is also 29-9 in the Pacers last 38 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 20-9 in their last 29 at home after a game where they covered the spread. Take the UNDER!

5* NCAAB SEC Total of the Year on Arkansas/Missouri OVER

Get ready for a shootout in Missouri this afternoon when the Tigers host the Razorbacks. These two teams played back on 1/14 in Arkansas and combined for 165 points in a 92-73 win by the Razorbacks. That was the fourth straight meeting between these two schools where they combined for at least 150 points and I don't see that trend coming to an end here.

Both of these teams are struggling to stop their opponents. Arkansas is allowing 77.4 ppg in conference play and the Tigers are giving up 79.6 ppg. I expect another strong showing offensively from the Razorbacks against this Missouri defense and for the Tigers to provide a little more punch offensively playing at home this time around.

OVER is 19-9 in Missouri's last 28 when revenging a loss and 9-1 when revenging a road loss of 10 or more points. OVER is also a perfect 6-0 this season in Tigers' games against an opponent that is shooting 45% or better from the field. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +

I like the value here with the Cowboys catching double-digits on the road against the Mountaineers. These two teams played in Oklahoma State to open up Big 12 play and West Virginia embarrassed the Cowboys 92-75. I know that loss was aback on 12/30, but I can assure you Oklahoma State hasn't forgot about it and will be out for revenge here. The Cowboys come in having won 4 straight and have really been competitive in every Big 12 game since that loss to West Virginia.

The Mountaineers won't find it as easy to get motivated for Oklahoma State, given how easily they beat them on the road, plus they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves off 3 straight wins, including a 85-72 blowout win at ISU. I don't know that the Cowboys pull off the upset, but I expect this one to be a lot closer than the oddsmakers are suggesting. Take Oklahoma State!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Shocker on UCF -

I really like the value here with the Knights as a short home favorite against the Tigers. UCF is way undervalued right now, due to having lost 4 straight. The thing is, three of those came on the road and the other was a mere 5-point loss at home to SMU. The Tigers are a quality team, but not on the same level as SMU. Adding extra incentive here is the fact that UCF will be out for revenge from a 65-70 loss at Memphis just a few weeks back.

It's also worth noting that the Knights are a rock solid 10-2 at home this season and are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games on Saturday. Memphis on the other hand is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 as a dog of 6.5 or less points and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take UCF!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Total Top Play on Mavs/Blazers OVER

I believe the books have set the bar way too low for tonight's total between the Blazers and Mavericks. A big reason for the small total is the fact that the Mavericks are one of the worst offensive teams statistically at just 97.4 ppg. However, those numbers don't reflect how Dallas is playing right now. The Mavs are averaging 104.6 ppg over their last 5 and fresh off a 113-pt outburst against the 76ers.

Portland is a dynamic offensive team that comes in averaging 107.8 ppg on the season and is even better than that right now, putting up 114.0 ppg over their last 5. Defense has been the problem for the Blazers, as they are allowing 110.0 ppg. I see both teams easily eclipsing the 100-point mark and see this one finishing around the 215-210 range. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Suns +

I like the value here with Phoenix as a road dog against the Kings. Sacramento will be playing for the first time since finishing up a grueling 8-game road trip that spanned just 12 days. So while they have had 2 days off since losing 83-105 at Houston, I look for them to be dealing with jetlag and a lack of motivation against a bad Phoenix team. Especially given they have a much bigger home game on deck against the Warriors tomorrow.

The Suns have lost 5 straight, but I like what I have seen from this team in those losses and think they are a great bet going forward. This is also a great matchup for Phoenix, as the Kings have struggled to guard the perimeter and that's clearly the strength of the Suns on the offensive side of the ball. Suns are also 31-19 ATS in their last 50 off a loss by 10 or more and the Kings are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take Phoenix!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

Indiana is finally playing like the team everyone expected to see to start the season and I look for them to have no problem blowing out the Nets on the road tonight. The Pacers have won 4 straight and are 11-4 in their last 15 overall. Brooklyn on the other hand is playing horrible basketball right now. The Nets have lost 7 straight and are 1-18 over their last 19 overall. Of those 18 defeats, 15 came by 7 or more points.

Indiana did lose at Brooklyn back in October, but haven't messed around in the two meetings since, beating the Nets 118-97 and 121-109. I see a very similar type of score here, as Brooklyn is a tired team and haven't performed in this situation. The Nets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when playing 8 or more games in a 14 day stretch. Take Indiana!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Stanford -

I really like the value here with the Cardinal laying a short number at home against the Buffaloes. I see this as a great spot to fade Colorado, who comes in off a surprising 74-65 win at home over Oregon as a 6.5-point dog. The thing is that wasn't a great spot for the Ducks, who had just played in the thin air of Utah and had to turn around and face a hungry Buffaloes squad. Colorado is also not nearly the same team on the road, where they are just 3-7 on the season.

Stanford isn't a top notch team by any means, but they are every bit as good as the Buffaloes and are a strong 7-3 at home. It's also worth pointing out that 5 of their 6 conference losses have come @ Oregon, @ Cal, @UCLA, @ USC and at home to Arizona. Colorado is 1-7 ATS off a home win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off 2 or more wins. Take Stanford!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Oregon State +

I really like the value here on Oregon State as a massive home dog against Arizona. No secret here that the Wildcats are the better team, but this is all about the situation. The Beavers are going to give us a max effort at home against a Top 5 team. On the flip side of this, is extremely hard for Arizona to get up for this game, especially with a big road game at Oregon on deck. Arizona is 9-0 in the Pac-12 and the Ducks are right behind at 8-1. It's also the only regular season meeting, which only magnifies the game.

I think we get a not so focused Wildcats team and the Beavers do enough here to keep this competitive. Note that Oregon State has played well at home against some quality teams in the Pac-12. They lost by just 7 at home to USC, by only 13 at home to UCLA and by 11 to Cal. Arizona is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. Take Oregon State! 

5* NBA Prime Time  (TNT) Game of the Week on Rockets -

I know this look like a big number to lay on Houston, but I think the Rockets are poised to blowout the Hawks at home. Atlanta hasn't been playing well of late. They are just 2-3 in their last 5 and could easily be on 5-game skid, as they stole a 119-114 win at Chicago (trailed by double-digits with like 3 mins to go) and escaped with a 4-OT win at home over a struggling Knicks team 142-139. Atlanta also comes in on no rest after a 93-116 loss at Miami last night and I just don't think this team has the legs or confidence to keep pace with the Rockets.

Houston will be out to make a statement here. One because they want to send a message to Dwight Howard and the other to get revenge from an ugly 97-112 loss at Atlanta in November. Rockets are 15-6 when revenging a loss to an opponent this season and 16-6 ATS after playing their previous game at home. Take Houston!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on USC -

I like the value here with the Trojans laying a short number here on the road against the Huskies. USC is 18-4 and fresh off an impressive 84-76 win over UCLA. The big key here is they have had time to let that win sink in, as it came last Wednesday. I look for the Trojans to carry over that momentum here against a Washington team that I think is overvalued because of star freshman Markelle Fultz, who many think will be the No. 1 overall pick. It's very similar to last year with LSU and Ben Simmons.

One NBA prospect doesn't make a team. Washington is just 9-13 overall and 2-7 in Pac-12 play. Not to mention the two conference wins are against Oregon State and Colorado. The Beavers haven't won a Pac-12 game to this point and the Buffs are just 2-7. Huskies are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 off a road cover where they lost the game outright as an underdog and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 off 2 or more consecutive road losses. Take USC!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Mavericks -

I believe this is going to be a tough spot for the 76ers, who will once again be without their best player in Embiid. While Philadelphia has played well without him on the floor, they are no where close to the same team, especially on the road. The 76ers are only 6-14 at home on the season and in their last road game (without Embiid) they lost by 13 to a Bulls team that was on a free fall.

Dallas has been playing much better of late and I see no reason why not to ride their hot play. The Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 and are 7-3 in their last 10. They just recently won at San Antonio and then beat Cleveland at home in back-to-back games. I don't see any letdown here from the Mavs. Take Dallas!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Celtics -

I really like the value here with Boston at home against the Raptors. This is a key game for these two division rivals and right now just 1/2-game separates them. The key here is this is a really bad spot for the Raptors. Toronto is playing on no rest after a grueling 108-106 overtime game last night against the Pelicans, which saw Kyle Lowry log 45 minutes and all 5 starters with 30+. On top of that, they are short-handed right now with DeMar DeRozan sidelined.

Boston isn't going to care who the Raptors are paying, as they will be out for revenge. Toronto has already beat the Celtics twice this season, including a 101-94 win at Boston. I don't see that happening here, as the Celtics are playing very well right now, as they have won 4 straight and will be the much fresher team after a day off and no travel. Celtics are 31-16 ATS in their last 47 after a game where they made 12 or more 3-pointers and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after a win by 6 or less. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Drake +

I like the value here with the Bulldogs as a massive home dog against Wichita State. Drake isn't a great team, but have been playing much better of late. The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 with the only two non-covers coming against in-state rival Northern Iowa. Drake just recently only lost by 14-points at Illinois State, who sits on top the MVC at 10-0. Speaking of the Redbirds, they are a key part to why I'm going against the Shockers.

Next up for Wichita State is a massive home game against Illinois State. The Shockers lost 62-76 on the road to the Redbirds, which is their only conference loss. If they want to win the MVC, they have to win that next game at home against Illinois State. That's going to make it that much harder for Wichita State to take this game seriously, especially given they already beat the Bulldogs by 25 at home. I think the Shockers come out flat an allow the Bulldogs to hang around and get the cover. Take Drake!

4* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error on NC State +

I really like the value here with the Wolfpack at basically a pick'em at home against Syracuse. On one side we have a NC State team that's going to be motivated to bounce back from an ugly 60-85 loss at No. 13 Louisville. On the other side, we have an Orange team primed for a letdown after a 82-72 win at home over then No. 6 Florida State. The other big key here is the home/away splits of these two teams. Syracuse is 0-7 SU and 0-7 ATS on the road, while the Wolfpack are 11-2 at home.

Another thing here is that I think this is a great matchup for NC State. Syracuse's zone can be challenging for teams that don't have great guard play to penetrate and get the Orange out of position. The Wolfpack have one of the elite point guards in the country in Dennis Smith Jr., who is averaging 19.0 ppg and 6.5 apg. Take NC State!

4* NBA Late Night Total No Brainer on Hornets/Blazers OVER

I think we are getting some great value on the total going over the mark in tonight's matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. Portland likes to get up and down the floor and should be able to dictate the tempo at home, where they are averaging 108.9 ppg and allowing 107.8 ppg. I don't see Charlotte having any problem playing at the Blazers pace, as the Hornets come in off 2 days of rest and are putting up 104.8 ppg on the road this season. Charlotte's defensive woes are a big reason they are 23-25 and they come in allowing 106.0 ppg on the road. I see both teams easily getting past the 100-point mark and believe it will end up somewhere in the 220's.

OVER is 22-8 in the Hornets last 30 road games after playing their previous game at home, 14-6 in the Blazers last 20 after going under the total in their last game and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Auburn Pick'em

I like the value here with the Tigers at a pick'em at home against the Volunteers. This line is low due to the fact that Tennessee comes in off 3 straight impressive wins. They defeated Miss State 91-74, then had the huge upset over Kentucky 82-80 as a 10.5-point dog and then this past Saturday defeated K-State 70-58 at home. The key is all 3 of those games came at home and I believe the Volunteers are now primed for a big time letdown on the road, where they are just 4-6 on the season and most recently lost by 11 at Ole Miss.

Auburn is a talented young team that is also playing well right now. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 4 and are 4-2 ATS in their last 6. Last time out they went on the road and beat TCU 88-80 as a 10-point dog. Auburn is also a strong 8-2 at home and are going to be excited about this one given the embarrassing 59-97 loss to the Volunteers in last year's SEC Tournament. Tennessee is just 10-26 ATS in their last 36 as a favorite and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 off an upset win as an underdog. Take Auburn!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Iowa State +

I really like the value here with the Cyclones catching points at home in a primetime matchup against No. 7 West Virginia in a nationally televised game on ESPN2. Iowa State is one of the more difficult places to play in the country, especially in this type of an environment with a Top 10 team coming to down.

It's been an up and down season for the Cyclones, who just lost at Vanderbilt. ISU is 8-2 at home and the Mountaineers are just 5-3 on the road despite their 17-4 overall record. West Virginia also comes in off a 81-77 win over Texas A&M as a massive 15-point favorite and are now just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. This team has already lost at Texas Tech and Kansas State in Big 12 play and were lucky to escape with a 74-72 win at Texas. Cyclones are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs the Big 12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Kings/Rockets OVER

This might seem like a high total for tonight's matchup between the Kings and Rockets, but I don't see either team putting forth much effort on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Sacramento is playing on no rest, their 4th game in 5 nights and 8th straight on the road in a 12-day span. While the Rockets had yesterday off, they are dealing with jetlag after just returning home from a 5-game east coast trip.

On top of that, these two teams aren't exactly known for their defense and each is giving up a lot here of late. In fact, the Kings are allowing 111.8 ppg over their last 5 and the Rockets are allowing 116.0 ppg. At the same time, both offenses are scoring at will. Sacramento is averaging 112.8 ppg over their last 5 and Houston is even better at 113.2 ppg. Note that the Rockets average 115.3 ppg at home. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles catching a decent number at home against the Demon Deacons. Boston College has been undervalued for quite some time and it's resulted in them going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. They continued to be undervalued because of the fact that they have lost 5 straight and are 1-7 in their last 8 overall. The thing is, during this stretch, 5 of the losses are on the road and two were at home against elite teams in UNC and Virginia.

Wake Forest is a quality team, but certainly are not elite and I think they are getting way to much respect here, especially given the Demon Deacons have lost their last two and are coming off a crushing 83-85 loss at home to Duke. On top of that, the Eagles have revenge on their mind from a 66-79 loss at Wake Forest earlier this season. Eagles are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 when revenging a loss. Take Boston College!

4* NBA Late Night Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Suns OVER

I really like the value here with the total in Monday's matchup between the Suns and Grizzlies. The game is being played in Phoenix and I look for the Suns to dictate the tempo here against a Memphis team that has to be tired, playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights.

The Grizzlies are thought of as a great defensive team, but I don't see the effort being there tonight and they are giving up 104.4 ppg on the road this season. Offensively, Memphis is better than people think and have scored 100+ in 7 of their last 8. Phoenix has scored and allowed at least 100 points in 10 straight games. Only once in those 10 games did they fail to combine for at least 210 points. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Nets +

I really like the value here with the Nets as a near double-digit dog against the Heat. I know Miami has won 7 straight, which includes a 109-106 win at Brooklyn, where they covered as a 2.5-point favorite. The thing is, the Nets blew an 18-point lead in that game. I'm just not buying the Heat being a team that deserves to be laying this many points against any team. Add in that last meeting against Brooklyn was just last week, revenge is going to be fresh in the minds of the Nets. Too much value to pass up on the Nets in this one. Take Brooklyn!

4* Duke/Notre Dame NCAAB ATS Annihilator on Notre Dame -

I like the value here with the Fighting Irish at basically a pick'em at home against the Blue Devils. Duke was able to win on the road at Wake Forest, but by a final of just 85-83. Now the Blue Devils have to turn around and go to Notre Dame on just 1-day of rest and face a pissed off Irish team that has lost two straight. This Irish team has not been intimidated by Duke, as they have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Given how much respect Duke gets and how the public loves to bet them, these small lines are typically ones where the books are trying to entice the public to back the Blue Devils. In fact, Duke is 0-7 ATS over the last 2 seasons in games with a line of +3 to -3. Take Notre Dame!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Bulls -

There's been a lot of negative with the Bulls of late, but the team held a players meeting on Friday to straighten things out. I'm expecting one of Chicago's best performances of the season tonight against the 76ers. Philadelphia has been playing lights out of late, but will be without their heart and soul in Embiid. On top of that, the 76ers are running on fumes right now. This will be their 6th games in the last 10 days and they have to turn around and play against to tomorrow.

76ers are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 road games after playing their previous game at home and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 20 or more. Bulls are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games after allowing 100 or more in 2 straight games. Take Chicago!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Northwestern -

I like the Wildcats to win and cover at home over Indiana tonight. Northwestern is playing lights out at the moment, as they come in having won 5 straight and are now 6-2 in Big Ten play. There's no letdown for this team, as they are trying to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history. I expect another big time effort here at home against Indiana, who gets a lot of respect for being a great team, but is just 14-7 with a miserable 2-5 record away from home. Northwestern on the other hand is 17-4 and has a 11-1 record on their home floor, where they our outscoring teams 79.1 to 62.4.

Wildcats are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 off a home win, 9-2 ATS this season when listed as a favorite and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a SU win. Take Northwestern!

5* NCAAB Vegas No Limit Top Play on Michigan State -

I'm backing the Spartans as a short home favorite against in-state rival Michigan. This clearly isn't the same caliber of Michigan State team as years past, but it's still a Tom Izzo coached squad and they always keep improving as the season goes along. After a disappointing 73-84 home loss to Purdue, which was their 3rd in a row, we are going to get a max effort here from the Spartans. Michigan is going to come to play given the rivalry, but I don't trust them on the road. The Wolverines are just 2-5 away from home on the season, while Michigan State is 9-2 at home.

Michigan is also just 2-9 aTS in their last 11 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week and an 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after 2 or more conference wins. Spartans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home game after losing 4 of their last 5. Take Michigan State!

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT on Colorado +

I'm going to jump on the points with the Buffaloes at home against the Ducks. I know Oregon is the better team and coming off an impressive win at Utah, but I just think the books are begging for you to take the Ducks here. Colorado defeated Oregon State in their last game, but had lost 7 straight prior to that. Needless to say this isn't a team the public will trust in this spot.

The thing is, we know we are going to get a max effort from the Buffaloes here against Oregon. On the flip side of this, the Ducks could struggle to match that intensity. That's because they are playing their second road game in just 3 days and both road games are in the thin air of Utah and Colorado. Take the Buffaloes!

4* NBA Heavy Hitter ATS Blowout on Suns -

I really like the value here with Phoenix as a short home favorite against the Nuggets. These two teams just played on Thursday in Denver, which the Nuggets squeaked out 127-120. That has the Suns in prime position to get revenge with this meeting coming on their home court. At the same time, the Nuggets will be without a key player here, as Jokic was injured in that win over the Suns and won't be available. Denver also figures to be without Mudiay for this one.

Suns are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 home games off a SU loss and 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Take Phoenix!

4* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Week on Iowa -

The Hawkeyes have been an up and down team, as you would expect given all the freshman they are playing. Iowa has hit a minor bump of late with 3 straight losses and I think it has them primed for a big time performance at home, where they are a completely different team. Ohio State has won 3 of their last 4, but this isn't an elite team by any means and are vulnerable on the road.

In fact, the Buckeyes are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games on Saturday. Ohio State is also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Iowa!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Kings/Hornets UNDER

My money is on the Kings and Hornets to go under the mark set by the books on Saturday. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace here. The Kings have to be running on fumes right now. Sacramento is playing their 6th straight road game in a span of just 9 days and this one comes on no rest after an overtime loss at Indiana last night. The Hornets haven't had to deal with as much travel, but are also playing for the 6th time in 9 days and on no rest after an ugly loss last night at New York. I look for both teams to come out flat and both offenses to struggle to score enough to push this over the mark.

UNDER is 4-1 in the Kings last 5 when playing on no rest, 6-2 in their last 8 after a SU loss and 11-5 in their last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 off a SU loss and 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Minnesota -

I'm backing the Golden Gophers at home against the Terrapins. Some might wonder why Minnesota is this big of a favorite against a Maryland team that is 18-2 overall and 6-1 in the conference, especially with the Gophers coming in having lost 4 straight and just 3-5 in the Big 10. The thing is, Maryland isn't quite as good as their record would lead on, as they have been very fortunate in close games. Minnesota on the other hand is much better than their recent skid would suggest and this has the feeling of a must-win game for the Gophers at home. I just don't see Maryland being able to match that intensity.

Terrapins are just 12-25 ATS in their last 37 road games after covering as a double-digit favorite and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Take Minnesota!

5* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Month on Kansas State +

I really like the value here with the Wildcats getting points against the Volunteers. Tennessee is getting a lot of love here after their shocking 82-80 win at home over Kentucky as a 10.5-point dog. For whatever reason the Vols have had Kentucky's number of late. The thing is, this is still a mediocre team and I look for them to suffer a letdown here against K-State.

The Wildcats are in good shape to make the NCAA Tournament, but are far from a lock and could really use this road win to boost that resume. I don't think that will be a problem for K-State, who has played very well on the road against some good teams and hungry for a win off a loss to ISU. Volunteers are 2-14 ATS in their last 14 off an upset win as an underdog and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when off an upset win against a conference opponent. Tennessee is also 6-21 ATS in their last 27 as a home favorite or pick and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 vs the Big 12. Take Kansas State!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Providence +

I think we are getting some great value here with the Friars catching a big number on the road against the Golden Eagles. Marquette is ripe for a letdown after their improbable 74-72 win at home over No. 1 Villanova, which they erased a 17-point deficit. Providence on the other hand is primed for a big time effort here, as they look to avoid a 3rd straight loss and bounce back from a disappointing home loss to St. John's. I think the Friars keep this close throughout and wouldn't be shocked if they pulled of the upset.

Marquette is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite of 7-12.5 points. Friars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take Providence!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Nets/Cavs OVER

I'm expecting a lot of points on the scoreboard in this one. Cleveland failed to win after LeBron called out ownership, losing in overtime at home to the Kings. The problem was the defense and I just don't see the Cavs being locked in on that side of the ball here. Cleveland is playing on fumes right now and aren't going to waste up their energy with a much bigger home game on deck Sunday against the Thunder.

Cleveland hasn't had any problem scoring of late, as they ahve put up 112 or more in each of their last 4 games. There's a good chance that trend continues against the Nets, who are allowing a ridiculous 117.3 ppg on the road this season. Brooklyn likes to play at a fast pace and that should allow them to take advantage of this tired Cleveland defense and do enough here to push it over the mark. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Situational Vegas Insider Top Play on Hornets -

I look for the Hornets to take care of the Knicks tonight. Charlotte comes in off back-to-back losses. The last one was a hard fought defeat at home to the Warriors. The other was against the Wizards, who are playing as well as anyone right now. I believe it has the Hornets in a prime bounce back spot against a Knicks team that has lost its way.

New York has gone 4-14 over their last 18 games and the trade rumors with Melo aren't going to help turn this around. That's more of a sign that the team is throwing in the towel on this season. New York is just 13-26 ATS in their last 39 as a home underdog of 6 or less and the road team has gone 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in the series. Take Charlotte! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana as a short home favorite against the Kings. The Pacers snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 109-103 win at Minnesota last night and I look for them to carry over that momentum tonight at home where they are 16-6 on the season. These two teams recently met in Sacramento and the Pacers turned a 19-point deficit into a 6-point victory. I just don't think the Kings will have much of an answer here, as they are primed for a letdown after that improbably overtime win at Cleveland, plus this is now their 5th straight game on the road.

Kings are just 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games when revenging a home loss, 3-12 in their last 15 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win. Take Indiana!

5* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah -

I really like the value here with the Utes laying a short number at home against the Ducks. Oregon comes in ranked No. 10 and have won 16 straight, so the public is going to be all over them against an unranked Utah team. That's even with the Ducks best player in Dillon Brooks questionable to play. This Utah team has been playing exceptional basketball and I firmly believe they are one of the 15 best teams in the country right now. They are 7-2 in their last 9 with their two losses being a 10-point defeat at Arizona and 1-point loss at home to UCLA. Oregon is due for a bad game and Utah is not an easy place to play. I think the Utes take control of this game and win here going away.

Utah is 15-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons in conference home games, 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less, 11-2 in their last 13 home games after 2 straight wins by 20 or more points and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games after a game where they made 50% or more of their 3-point shots. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +

I really like the value here with the Cornhuskers as a near double-digit dog against the Wildcats. Nebraska comes in having lost 4 straight, but have really given away their last two. The Cornhuskers could very easily be 5-2 in the Big 10 instead of 3-4. Keep in mind this is a team that has beat the likes of Maryland and Indiana on the road. Northwestern did win 74-66 at Nebraska back on 1/8, but that came was very competitive throughout. It wouldn't surprise me at all for the Cornhuskers to return the favor and come away with a win. Northwestern is primed for a letdown, having already beat Nebraska and the fact that they have won 4 straight and fresh off a huge win at Ohio State with a much bigger home game on deck against Indiana.

Cornhuskers are 25-14 under Miles when they come into a game having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games and 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. Take Nebraska!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Mavs/Thunder UNDER

I'm expecting a low-scoring game here when the Thunder host the Mavericks tonight. Both of these teams are running on fumes right now. Dallas will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and will have to so without several key pieces. Wesley Matthews, Deron Williams, Dirk Nowitzki and Jose Barea are all out for this contest. As for the Thunder, they too are playing on no rest, plus are going to be dealing with some jetlag after just wrapping up a lengthy 6-game road trip. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace here and the shots from long distance won't be falling like they normally would. Not to mention, Dallas knows they can't run up and down the floor with OKC and will really try to slow this game to a snails pace.

UNDER is 10-1 in the Mavericks last 11 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game, 12-3 in their last 15 games on Thursday and 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 6-2 in OKC's last 8 after a win and 12-3 in their last 15 home games when playing 4 or less games in days. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on OVER

I'm expecting a much-higher scoring game than what most will anticipate tonight when the Mavericks host the Knicks. Dallas is known as a team that is limited offensively and likes to play at a slow pace. While that's true to an extent, you have to look at who they are playing and the current form.

While the Mavs are averaging just 96.6 ppg on the season, they come in scoring 104.2 ppg over their last 5, shooting just under 47% from the field as a team. Good chance they keep it rolling against a Knicks team that is allowing 107.4 ppg over their last 5 and 110.3 ppg on the road. Knicks are more than capable of keeping pace offensively, as they average 105.6 ppg on the season and are scoring 109.6 ppg over their last 5.

OVER is 42-18 in the Mavs last 60 home games off a home win by 20 or more points and a perfect 7-0 in the Knicks last 7 off a road win. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bucks -

The 76ers added to their incredible run of late with a 121-110 win at home over the Clippers last night, spoiling the return of Blake Griffin. That's now 9 wins in 12 games for Philadelphia. While I think this will continue to be a good team to back going forward, this spot is not one of them. The 76ers are playing on no rest, plus it will be their 4th game in the last 6 days overall. They won't have Joel Embiid for this contest and Jahlil Okafor is questionable. It reminds me a lot of their last road game, where they got crushed by 17 at Atlanta.

Milwaukee isn't going to take the 76ers lightly, as they come into this game 1-5 over their last 6. Though they did get a big win last time out in a 127-114 win at home over the Rockets. That's the kind of win you can build on. Another reason the Bucks won't overlook Philadelphia, is they just lost at home to the 76ers 104-113 back on 1/16. Keep in mind they were only a 8.5-favorite that time, so the books see this as a much bigger mismatch. 76ers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a contest where both teams scored 100+ and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when playing on 0 days rest. Take Milwaukee!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Texas Tech +

I really like the value here with the Red Raiders as a near double-digit dog on the road against Baylor. The Bears come in at 18-1 and ranked No. 5 in the country. While Baylor is a talent team, I think they are bit overvalued right now. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for the Bears off 3 straight wins by 9 or more with a big 2-game road trip coming up, where they go out of conference to take on Ole Miss Saturday and then quickly turn around and play at Kansas.

Texas Tech on the other hand is a team that I believe is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder tonight. The Red Raiders were embarrassed in their last game at home, losing 64-83 to Oklahoma State, who at the time had yet to win a Big 12 game. This Tech team is certainly capable of putting up a fight here and let's not forget they won 84-66 at Baylor as a 10.5-point dog last year. The Bears are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games off a conference win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after playing 2 straight games as a favorite. Take Texas Tech!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Cavs -

Whenever LeBron James makes a public statement bashing the play of his team, chances are I'm going to be on them the next time out. Cleveland has clearly not played well of late, but I believe the bleeding stops here, at least for this game. James is going to be sure to back up his words with a strong showing and the rest of the team is going to play their hearts out here.

That should be more than enough for the Cavs to turn this into a blowout against the Kings. Sacramento is as inconsistent as they come and figure to be running on fumes right now. This is the Kings 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 6 days. They made their trip to Cleveland around the same time last year and lost by 20 and that was without James calling out his teammates. It's also worth noting the Cavs won at Sacramento 120-108 back on 1/13 and the Kings are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games when revenging a home loss. Take the Cleveland!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on UCF +

I like the value here with the Knights catching points at home against the Mustangs. SMU is 17-4 and the more recognized program, but this UCF team is more than capable of beating them at home. The Knights are just 1-game back in the loss column in the American Athletic and are 10-1 at home this season. SMU is also not nearly as efficient on the road as they are at home. The Mustangs average 73.2 ppg, but are scoring just 67.7 ppg on the road. They allow a mere 59.4 ppg on the season, but are giving up 65.0 ppg on the road. UCF is scoring 72.0 ppg and allowing just 55.8 ppg at home.

Great system back the Knights in this one as well. Home underdogs off a conference road loss against an opponent off a home win where they scored 85 or more points are 67-34 (66.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take UCF!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Heavy Hitter on Wolves +

I like the value here with the Timberwolves as a short road favorite here. Minnesota has had their way with the Suns in each of the first two meetings this season. They won by 13 at Phoenix on 11/25 and 7 at home on 12/19. The Suns come into this one off back-to-back wins over the Knicks and Raptors and I think it has them getting a little bit too much love here against a team they clearly don't matchup well with.

Everyone knows the Timberwolves are a talented young team, but haven't been able to play up to their potential. I think they are starting to get it figured out under Thibs and they come in ahving gone 5-2 SU in their last 7 and have covered the number in 6 of their last 8 games. Minnesota is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games after a combined score of 215 or more and the Suns are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take Minnesota!

5* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones as a short home favorite against the Wildcats. Iowa State is tough to beat on their home court and after falling to Kansas in their last home game, I expect a huge effort here by the Cyclones. Iowa State is 7-2 at home on the season and are 51-20 ATS in their last 71 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. They are also 30-16 ATS in their last 46 home games off a conference win.

Kansas State is getting a lot of respect here off their big win at home over West Virginia, but I actually think that has them primed for a letdown here on the road. The Wildcats are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a game where they covered the spread. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Wizards +

If you follow the NBA closely, you know these two teams don't like each other. So while the Wizards are going to be playing on no rest after last night's 109-99 win at Charlotte, I don't think it's going have a negative impact on their play here. Especially given that Washington will be out for revenge from a 108-117 loss at Boston back on 1/11. Keep in mind the Wizards won the first meeting this year 118-93 at home.

Washington comes into this one having won 10 straight at home and have covered the spread in 6 straight games. That's a sign of a team that's not getting the respect it deserves and for the Wizards it's because of how bad they started out this season. The Celtics aren't exactly in prime form, as they come in having lost 2 straight at home and will be without a key piece in Avery Bradley.

Celtics are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game, while Washington is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home with a total of 210 or more and 10-2 in their last 12 at home when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more. Take Washington!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Pittsburgh +

I like the value here with the Panthers catching a decent number here at home against the Cardinals. Pittsburgh will be out for revenge in this one, as they lost at Louisville earlier this year in a game where they nearly had a remarkable comeback. The Panthers were down 21 at the half and were within a possession of tying the game. The big turnaround came from Pitt switching to a 1-3-1 zone. I expect to see a lot of that tonight and this time the catch Louisville without starting point guard Quentin Snider.

This also has the feeling of a must-win game for Pittsburgh, who has lost 4 straight come in. Big thing to keep in mind, is 3 of those came on the road and the Panthers are 9-2 at home. Most will be quick to back Louisville off a loss, but I think that game against FSU took a lot out of this team and I think the Panthers have an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Take Pittsburgh!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Auburn +

I like the value here with the Tigers as a near double-digit road dog against the Gamecocks. Auburn comes in having won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss come at Kentucky. Last time out they destroyed Alabama by 20-points at home. This Tigers team is young and talented and starting to figure it out.

I believe they are catching South Carolina at the right time. The Gamecocks just had their 5-game winning streak snapped in a 69-85 loss at Kentucky. SC could also be missing a key piece, as PJ Dozier is questionable after sitting out the previous game with bask spasms. For him to not play against Kentucky, makes me think it's a little more serious and even if he does suit up, he won't be 100%.

Gamecocks are just 18-34 ATS in their last 52 home games off a loss by 10 or more, while the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Take Auburn!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Heat +

All the talk is on the Warriors and their recent run, but I think Golden State struggles to blowout the Heat tonight. The Warriors will be playing on no rest and their 3rd game in the last 4 nights overall. Sure they won by 20 over the Magic yesterday, but they couldn't miss from long-distance. They made 19 threes and shot 45.2% from behind the 3-point line. Not to mention the Magic are a mess right now.

Miami comes in having won 3 straight and none more impressive during this stretch than a 109-103 win at home over the Rockets as a 7-point dog. The Heat held the high-powered Rockets to just 40% shooting. I'm not expecting an outright win here for Miami, but I think this line is inflated to the point that there's simply too much value on the Heat to pass up. Take Miami!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Spurs/Nets OVER

I don't think the books have set the bar high enough for tonight's total between the Spurs and Nets. Brooklyn is a bad team, but their ability to put up points combined with their inability to play defense, makes them a great team to back on the OVER. The Nets come in averaging 106.2 ppg , while allowing 114.9 ppg. The Spurs can make great defenses look average and should have no problem scoring at will here against Brooklyn. San Antonio is averaging 108.1 ppg on the road this season and scored 130 on the Nets in the first meeting this season.

OVER is 12-4 in the Spurs last 16 after 3 or more consecutive wins  and 13-3 in their last 16 after shooting 50% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games. OVER is 13-4 in the Nets Last 17 non-conference games and 23-9 in their last 32 when they come in having failed to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Small Conference ATS Annihilator on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching double-digits against the Gaels. Iona has the better overall record, but the two teams are both sitting at 5-4 in the MAAC. Not to mention Quinnipiac just beat the Gaels at home 97-91. Iona might get their revenge here, but I'm expecting a close game throughout and for the Bobcats to keep it well within the number here.

There's also a strong system in play here. Road underdogs off 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against an opponent off a game where they scored 85 or more points are 51-25 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Iona is also just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 when revenging a loss as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after 2 or more wins. Take Quinnipiac!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Timberwolves -

I really like the value here with Minnesota laying a short number at home against the Nuggets. The Timberwolves are slowing starting to turn the corner and have been a covering machine here of late. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and 14-6 ATS in their last 20.

The Nuggets have also been playing well, but are getting a little too much respect here after a blowout win at home over the Clippers, who are minus their two best players. The big key here is that Denver is now playing on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 nights overall.

The Timberwolves will be out for double-revenge here. They lost 99-102 at home on 11/3 and then 103-105 at Denver on 12/28. I don't see them losing another close and I think this could get ugly. Take Minnesota!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on VCU -

I think we are getting some decent value here with VCU at laying less than double-digits at home against La Salle. We should get a max effort from the Rams after back-to-back losses to Davidson and Fordham. It's not like they played bad in either game, losing by 6 at Davidson and 2 at Fordham. Now they return home where they are 8-1 on the season and last time they played at home they annihilated George Washington 85-55.

VCU comes in averaging 80.4 ppg at home, while only giving up 62.8 ppg at home. While La Salle comes in averaging 82.3 ppg, I don't see them hitting that mark against a stingy and motiveated VCU defense. On the flip side of this, the Rams should score at will here, as La Salle is giving up 78.7 ppg on the season and a staggering 84.9 ppg on the road. Rams are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games against a team with a losing road record and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 against the A-10. Take VCU!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Bucks +

I know Milwaukee is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but I just feel the books have over-adjusted on this line. I look for the Bucks to have no problem here against a Heat team that is a mere 13-30 overall this season. The big key here is Miami could have a hard time getting up for this one, as they are set to host the Warriors on Monday. It's also worth pointing out that the Bucks are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series.

We also find a strong system in play backing the Bucks. Road underdogs that have allowed 105 or more in 3 straight games against an opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 33-4 (89%) against the spread over the last 5 seasons. Take Milwaukee!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Blazers/Celtics OVER

I like the value here with the total, as I'm expecting a shootout in Boston tonight. The Celtics have been scoring at will on the offensive end of late, as they have scored 100+ in 16 straight games. Hard to image that streak coming to an end against Portland. The Blazers are giving up 112.0 ppg on the road this season. Boston also figures to push the pace here coming off a 2-day break. I think the Celtics are going to hit 220 or more and the Blazers should be able to get at least 100. Boston has allowed 100 or more in 14 of their last 15 games.

OVER is 22-13 in the Blazers last 35 with a total of 210 or more and 16-5 in the Celtics last 21 home games after a game where both teams scored 105 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Minnesota +

I think we are getting some big time value here with the Gophers catching points at home against the Badgers. Wisconsin is an elite team, but winning on the road in the Big 10 is no easy task, especially against a pissed off an highly motivated Minnesota team that comes in off back-to-back road losses. While the Gophers are just 3-3 in the Big Ten, two of those losses have come by a combined 3-points and they have played 4 of their 6 conference games on the road. I expect an all out effort here from Minnesota and I think it will be tough for Wisconsin to match that intensity.

One of the Badgers strengths is rebounding and the Gophers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 7 or more rebounds/game. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against teams who commit 14 or fewer turnovers/game and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when facing an elite team that has won 80% or more of their games. Take Minnesota!

5* NCAAB No Limit ACC Game of the Week on Florida State -

I really like the value here with the Seminoles laying just 3-points at home against the Cardinals. Florida State has failed to cover their last two, but it's not like they haven't played well. Last time out they won 83-80 at home over a very good Notre Dame team as a 5.5-point favorite. On the flip side, Louisville is getting all kind of love, as they have won 4 straight and gone 3-1 ATS during the stretch.

The big key here is this is the first real test for the Cardinals away from home since they played at Notre Dame, which was their last loss (70-77). FSU has already beat the likes of Duke, Virginia Tech and Florida at home and I just don't think the majority of people realize just how good this team is. Seminoles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games off a win and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games after playing their previous game at home. Take Florida State!

4* NCAAB Early Bird Undervalued Underdog on Penn St +

I really like the value here with the Nittany Lions as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. Penn State is a feisty team that really gets after you defensively and is very patient on the offensive end. We have already see them knock off the likes of Michigan State and Minnesota, with close 3-point losses to both Michigan and Indiana. I don't think they can win here, but I expect this one to be a lot closer than the books are calling for. I see an inflated line with Purdue off that big blowout 91-68 win at home over Illinois.

Great system in play backing the Nittany Lions. Road underdogs of 10 or more points off a conference home loss against an opponent off a home win by 10 or more are 92-47 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Penn State!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana laying a short number on the road against the Lakers. These two teams are headed in completely different directions. The Pacers are finally starting to play up to their potential, as they are 7-1 in their last 8. The only loss coming in their game in London. Last time out they erased a 20+ point deficit in a 106-100 win at Sacramento and that's the kind of win that you can build off of.

As for the Lakers, they have lost 5 straight and are a mere 5-21 in their last 26, which came after their surprising 10-10 start to the season. Indiana is the more talented team and playing the better basketball and we know we will get a big effort from the Pacers with this game being televised on ESPN. Indiana's road record on the season isn't great, but the Lakers are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Game of the Month on Raptors +1.5

I like the value here with the Raptors as a small road dog against the Hornets. Toronto is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after ending their 4-game winning streak with a 89-94 loss at Philadelphia. Charlotte on the other hand is getting a lot of love here after a 107-85 blowout win over the Blazers at home. Beating Portland by 20+ at home isn't anything to get overly excited about with the way the Blazers have struggled on the road this season. Let's not forget this Hornets team had lost their previous 5 games.

Toronto has lost consecutive games just 4 times this season. The common factor in all 4 is the second loss came when the Raptors were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. That's not the case here tonight and I look for Toronto to find a way to win this one. Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Toronto!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on 76ers +2

I like the value here with Philadelphia as a small home dog against the Blazers. Philadelphia is starting to turn things around behind the outstanding play of big man Joel Embidd. The 76ers have won 2 straight and 7 of their last 9 overall. The only losses comes at Boston and Washington. Last time out they knocked off the Raptors 94-89 at home. Most just point to that being a bad game for Toronto, but a lot of it has to do with how this Philadelphia team is playing. For the first time in a long time, they believe they can win.

The things is the books are going to be slow to adjust their lines, as it's going to take the public more than just a 9-game stretch to start trusting this team. I like their chances of winning here at home against a Blazers team that is playing with zero confidence and have struggled to the tune of a 7-17 record on the road.

76ers are 23-14 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall. Take Philadelphia!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Clemson +

I like the value here with the Tigers as a decent priced road dog against the Cardinals. Clemson comes in way undervalued due to having lost 4 straight. The thing is this Tigers team is more talented than their 4-game losing streak would lead on and we can expect a max effort here against Louisville.

As for the Cardinals, they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves after winning three straight. The most recent being a 9-point win at home against Duke. Keep in mind, prior to that big game against the Blue Devils, they only beat Pitt at home by 5-points. I believe we see a similar type of letdown here.

Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Take Clemson!

5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Knicks +

I like the value here with New York as a home dog against the Wizards. New York is coming off their best game in quite some time, as they went on the road an upset the Celtics 117-106 as a 8.5-point dog last night. The thing is, this team is still getting zero respect because of how bad they have been of late (3-11 L14). Washington also come in off a win last night over Memphis and have won 3 straight overall, but all 3 wins came at home. I look for the Wizards to struggle here in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road, especially when you factor in that Washington is just 4-13 away from home on the season.

Wizards are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 off a close win by 3 points or less, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games after a division game last time out. Take New York!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Connecticut +

I like the value here with the Huskies catching a big number on the road against the Mustangs. UConn hasn't been as good as people expected, but have started to turn the corner of late, winning 2 of their last 3 and covering all 3. Last time out they lost by just 3-points as a 7.5-point dog at Georgetown and I look for them to take this one right down to the wire against SMU.

The Mustangs are getting a lot of love due to their perfect 11-0 record and home and fresh off a 16-point win at Tulane. I think SMU has some trouble here getting up for UConn and turning this into a blowout. The Huskies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 as a dog of 7 to 12.5 points and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 following a cover in their last game. Take UConn!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Kings -

I like the value here with the Kings laying a short number at home against the Pacers. Sacramento is just 1-5 in their last 6, but are primed for a big effort here and will finally have some fresh legs playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days.

The big key here is the Pacers just aren't a good road team. Indiana has a winning overall record at 21-19, but are a mere 5-14 on the road and this is a long way from Indiana. Not to mention the Pacers are probably still filling the hangover effect from their trip to London last week.

Pacers are a mere 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after a SU win, while the Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after playing a game as a home dog and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 off a SU loss. Take Sacramento!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Nebraska -

I really like the value here with the Cornhuskers laying a short number at home against the Buckeyes. Nebraska got off to that surprising 3-0 start in Big Ten play, which included wins at Indiana and Maryland. However, they have since lost 2 straight and are once again not getting the respect they deserve. This is a talented team and one of the best coached teams in the league and are going to lay it all the line in this one.

Ohio State is a middle of the pack team in the Big 10 and are getting way to much respect here off a 72-67 win at home over Michigan State. Prior to that they had started out 0-4 in Big Ten play, which included 3 losses on the road. The Buckeyes have had all kind of struggles away from home, as they are just 1-5 in road games this season.

Ohio State is 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against a team with a winning home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 as a road dog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a win. Nebraska is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite of 6.5 or less and 26-12 in their last 38 when listed as a home favorite of 3 points or less. Take Nebraska!