4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grand Canyon +

I like the value here with the Antelopes as a double-digit dog against the Broncos. Most people haven't even heard of Grand Canyon and will just assume they aren't any good, but this is a legit threat to make the NCAA Tournament, as they are considered the team to beat in the WAC. They are off to a strong 7-2 start and are locking down teams on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 59 ppg (nearly 11 points less per game than what their opponents average). Boise is averaging 78 ppg, but that's come against teams that on average allow 75.7 ppg. I'm not saying the Antelopes will win this game outright, but it's not out of the question. Take Grand Canyon! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Ark-Little Rock +

I like the value here we are catching with the Trojans as a double-digit dog against the Braves. Arkansas-Little Rock comes in at just 2-7 while Bradley is sitting at 7-2 with a perfect 5-0 record at home. Most will just lay the points here with the Braves, but I think this is going to be a tough spot for them to play well. That's because Bradley hasn't played since 12/3 and this will be just their 3rd game in the last 18 days. It's just not the same practicing as it is playing in real games and I think we see a rusty Braves squad here, especially with the Trojans not being a team to get all that excited to play. Take Arkansas-Little Rock! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas - 

I like the value here with the Longhorns laying what I feel is a short number here at home against the Wolverines. Michigan comes in with a respectable 8-3 record, but I haven't been all that impressed with this team. Last time out they got an extremely fortunate win and cover at home against UCLA, as they overcame a 15-point deficit to beat the Bruins 78-69 as a 7-point favorite in overtime. Wolverines have played 2 true road games and neither went well, as they lost by 15 at UNC and by 9 at Ohio State. 

Texas has started out 6-2 and are a team I think is flying under the radar in 2017. The Longhorns went just 11-22 in the first year under Shaka Smart. They are a vastly improved team and we have already seen evidence of that. Texas' only two losses are neutral site games against Duke and Gonzaga, who are both ranked in the Top 15. Keep in mind they had the Blue Devils on the ropes, as they blew a 16-point lead in an overtime loss. I not only think the Longhorns win here, but I could see this turning into a blowout. Take Texas! 

4* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Wizards - 

I like the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Nets. The Wizards have played better than expected while John Wall has been sidelined and I look for them to have no problem here putting away Brooklyn. One of the reasons Washington has continued to play so well is they are shooting lights out. They finished each of their last two games hitting 50% from the field. 

While the Wizards are clicking offensively, the Nets are struggling with their shot. Brooklyn only managed 89 points on 41% shooting in their last game against the Heat and have hit 44% or worse from the field in 3 of their last 4 overall. 

Wizards are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100+ points and 4-1 in their last 5 off a SU loss. Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 off a double-digit loss at home and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take Washington! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Charleston Southern -

I really like the value here with the Bucs as a short road favorite against the Bulldogs. Charleston Southern comes in having won 4 of their last 5, including a road win at Illinois State. South Carolina State is projected to finish near the bottom of the MEAC and are off to a poor 2-9 start with their only wins coming against the likes of Morris College and Brevard College. Last time out they lost to Furman by 29 points. This is simply a much bigger mismatch than the books are suggesting with this line. Take Charleston Southern! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls +

I like the value here with Chicago catching a decent number here at home against the Celtics. The Bulls are a miserable 5-20 on the season and it's no surprise given the rebuild they are undergoing. The thing is, some key injuries kept them from being all that competitive early on. They have got quite a few of those guys back and are starting to form some chemistry. Chicago has won 2 straight and are playing with a ton of confidence. 

As good as Boston has been playing, it won't be easy for the Celtics to take this Bulls team all that seriously. This also isn't a great spot for Boston, who just played in Detroit last night and will be playing their 3rd straight on the road in a span of just 4 days. Keep in mind that this is a team that gets their opponents best just about every time they take the floor. Wouldn't be shocked if the Bulls took control early and the Celtics found a way to win late. At the same time, I also wouldn't be surprised if Boston lost this game outright. Take Chicago! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Mavs OVER

Books have set the bar too low for Sunday's total between the Mavs and Timberwolves. Dallas doesn't have great offensive numbers on the season, but are averaging 105.2 ppg over their last 5, which includes a 122-point outburst against the Nuggets. Minnesota's not a good defensive team, as they allow 107 ppg. The Wolves are a good offensive team and are averaging 109 ppg over their last 5. I think these two teams easily hit the 215 mark. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas -

I like this Arizona State team, but my money is on the Jayhawks to not only win but to win convincingly on Sunday. Kansas started to get a big head after their 7-0 start and simply didn't come to play in their last game, which they lost 65-74 to Washington at the Sprint Center as a 22-point favorite. I believe that loss will have the Jayhawks locked in for this one. The Sun Devils are a perfect 8-0 on the season, but have had a pretty easy schedule and the big key here is that this will be their first true road game of the season. Take Kansas!   

5* NCAAB Small Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Illinois +

I like the value here with the Leathernecks as a home dog against the Panthers. Western Illinois has been in this spot before, as they were just a 2-point home dog to IUPUI and they went onto to win that game outright 90-77. They also beat Eastern Illinois as a 4.5-point home dog. 

Milwaukee has started out 6-3, but this isn't a good team and are expected to finish near the basement of the Horizon League. Simply not the kind of team that should be laying points on the road against a quality team. 

The Leathernecks pack quite a punch offensively, as they come in averaging 76.6 ppg (83.2 at home), while shooting 51% from the field (54% at home). The Panthers haven't had a lot of success against teams like this, as they are a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 against a team that's shooting 45% or better from the field. Take Western Illinois! 

4* NBA Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Lakers +

I think the books have made a big error here with Saturday's NBA line on the Lakers and Hornets. Los Angeles shouldn't be getting this many points, as it should be much closer to a pick'em given the circumstances. The Lakers have struggled, but come in off an impressive road win over a good 76ers team and I look for them to build off that with another good showing against Charlotte. 

Hornets are a perfect team to fade here. Not only are they not playing well, but they are in a terrible scheduling spot after last night's overtime game against the Bulls. All 5 of Charlotte's starters logged big minutes and they are a deep team at the moment, as they got a few key guys banged up. I look for the Hornets to struggle to keep up with the fast pace of the Lakers and wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Michigan -

I really like the value here with the Wolverines laying a short number at home against the Bruins. UCLA comes in at 7-1 and overvalued in my opinion. They have a couple of close wins over Georgia Tech and Wisconsin, but I don't think those wins are as impressive as people think. The best team they faced was Creighton and they lost by 11. Michigan isn't an elite team, but one that I think will give these Bruins a lot of problems. Big key here is that this will be UCLA's first true road game of the season.

Wolverines are a perfect 5-0 at home, where they are outscoring their opponents by 20 ppg. I look for Michigan's defense to be the difference here. Wolverines are allowing just 63.3 ppg against teams that average nearly 77, while the Bruins are allowing 75.1 against teams that average 76. UCLA is also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a cover and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Michigan! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on USC -

I think we are getting the Trojans at a great price here in basically a pick'em against the Sooners. While this game is technically being played on a neutral court at the Staples Center in LA, I expect it to feel like a home game with how close it is to USC's campus. On top of that, I think the Trojans are the far superior team in this matchup. 

Oklahoma comes in at 6-1 and a lot of people are taking notice of this team because of the play of freshman Trae Young, who leads the nation at 28.7 ppg and is 3rd in assists at 8.7 apg. I just think the Sooners rely too much on Young and it's going to be hard for them to compete with a loaded USC team that is strong top to bottom. Not to mention the Trojans will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after losing their last two. Nothing to be ashamed about with those two defeats, as one was against Texas A&M and the other a true road game at SMU. Trojans bounce back in a big way here. Take USC! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Toronto

I like the value here with the Raptors laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Grizzlies. Toronto is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. The Raptors have won 4 straight and are 10-3 in their last 13, yet no one is talking about them. They have been especially good on offense here of late, scoring 120 or more points in 3 straight games. I just don't see the Grizzlies being able to keep pace. Memphis has scored more than 95 points just once in their last 10 games and are a mere 1-12 over their last 13. The Grizzlies deserve to be a much bigger dog here, even with this game on their home court. 

Memphis is just 13-24 ATS in their last 37 against the Eastern Conference and a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games off a loss. Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a win more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take Toronto! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Fran

I like the value here with Dons at home against a struggling Eastern Washington team. The Eagles have lost 4 of 5, with the most recent being a 19-point loss at Seattle. One of the reasons Eastern Washington is hitting a wall here is they have been on the road since they opened the season at home against Walla Walla. Since that game they have played 7 straight on the road, with 5 of those being true road games. 

San Francisco has won 4 of their last 6 and are fresh off a win over Central Arkansas at home. Unlike the Eagles, the Dons have enjoyed playing the majority of their games at home, as they have had just 1 game on the road. The Dons have been a great bet against bad teams, as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take San Francisco! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Lakers +

I'll go against the public here and back the Lakers as a decently priced dog here in Thursday's TNT showdown with the 76ers. LA has lost 5 straight, but it's been a brutal stretch where 3 of the 5 were on the road and the two home games were against the likes of the Warriors and Rockets. I think it has the Lakers way undervalued here against Philadelphia. At the same time, the public is fully on board with this 76ers team now and are now way overvalued because of it. 

These two teams played in LA about a month ago. While the 76ers won that game, it was a mere 6-point win and that was with the Lakers shooting a horrible 38.5% from the field and Philadelphia hitting on 49% of their attempts. I think that we get a big enough effort here from LA to give the 76ers a scare and keep this within the number. 

Last time out Philadelphia lost 101-115 at home to a bad Suns team and the 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take Los Angeles! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pacific  +

I love the value here with the Tigers as a decently priced dog against the Aggies. Pacific went just 11-22 last year in the first season under head coach Damon Stoudamire. This should be a much improved team in 2017 and they are off to a strong 5-4 start and come in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. 

The Tigers did lose to UC Davis at home in their second game of the season 58-62, which I think is playing into this line here. Pacific was a 4-point favorite in that game and based off that line you would only expect them to be around a 2-3 point dog on the road against the Aggies. I'll take my chances here with the Tigers getting their revenge, plus this is a great spot to fade UC Davis off their big upset win on the road over Washington State, where they won 81-67 as a 7.5-point dog.

Tigers are 32-15 ATS in their last 47 when revenging a loss as a home favorite, while the Aggies are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home non-conference games. Take Pacific! 

4* NBA Sharp Action ATS NO BRAINER on Spurs -

I'm backing San Antonio here at home against the Heat on Wednesday, as I look for the Spurs to win here by double-digits. San Antonio has gotten off to a respectable 16-8 start given they haven't played a single game with their best player in Kawhi Leonard. The big key here is the Spurs haven't missed Leonard at all on their home floor, where they are a dominant 11-2 SU and 8-4 ATS on the season. 

Miami came in with big expectations after their strong finish last year, but are just 11-12 and come in having lost 3 of their last 4. The Heat will also be without one of their best players in Hassan Whiteside. I just don't think Miami is a team that's capable of competing at less than full strength on the road against a team like the Spurs. Take San Antonio! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Providence -

The Friars should have no problem here winning in blowout fashion over Brown at home. Providence comes in at 6-2 with their only two losses coming against a very good Minnesota team at home and a good Rhode Island team on the road. The most recent was that loss to the Rams and I think that will have the Friars not looking past the Bears and coming out with one of their best efforts. 

Brown simply isn't a good team. They were picked by most experts to finish near the basement of the Ivy League and are off to a 4-4 start with their only wins coming against J&W-Providence, Quinnipiac, Long Island and Bryant. They have ugly losses to to the likes of St Francis-NY, Stony Brook and Central Connecticut State. They also lost at Rhode Island by 24, which is a pretty clear sign of how big a gap we have here from the Friars to the Bears. Take Providence! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens as a home dog against the Bulls. Delaware comes in having lost their last 2, but are 4-4 on the season. The Blue Hens have experience with 4 returning starters, while also getting big time contributions from a couple of freshman in Kevin Anderson (12.3 ppg) and Ryan Allen (11.6 ppg). They are 2 of 5 players for Delaware that are averaging in double-figures. 

Buffalo is a team that a lot of people had picked to win the MAC East and I think it has them a bit overvalued here on the road. The Bulls just lost at home to St Bonaventure by 11 as a 1-point favorite. Buffalo lost their two best players and only returned 4 starters. That lack of experience will make it tough for them to win on the road here against a balanced Blue Hens offensive attack. Take Delaware! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Detroit +

I like the value here with the Titans catching points at home against the Rockets. Detroit comes in off back-to-back losses at IUPU-Fort Wayne (82-91) and UCLA (73-106). That most recent 33 point loss to the Bruins has them way undervalued here against a pretty average Toledo team that is expected to finish near the bottom of the MAC standings. 

Playing at home is a big time advantage for the Titans, who are 2-0 at home this season, but what I really like is this teams ability to score the basketball. Detroit comes in averaging 91.1 ppg on 46% shooting from the field. They will be going up against a Toledo defense that is allowing 82.7 ppg and 53% shooting on the road. I just don't see the Rockets being able to keep pace and will call for the outright win here for the Titans. Take Detroit! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Blazers hosting the Wizards. I just feel like we are getting value here due to Washington coming off an absolutely dreadful offensive showing in a 69-116 loss at Utah. That's a Jazz team that's playing some of their best basketball and they just got back their defensive ace in big man Rudy Gobert. Simply put the Wizards didn't have it last night. I think we see a completely different team take the court tonight off that embarrassing loss. Keep in mind they had scored 100+ without John Wall in each of their previous two games against the 76ers and Pistons and will be up against a Blazers team that is giving up 109.4 ppg over their last 5. While the offense should be better, I think we get another poor showing from the Washington defense, as they play in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just let Utah shoot 57% from the field last night. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH  on Arizona +

Love the value here with Arizona catching points in Tuesday's game against Texas A&M. While this game is technically being played on a neutral site at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, it's going to feel like a home game for the Wildcats.

I believe this line is a direct result of the Wildcats struggles in the Battle 4 Atlantis, where they lost 3 straight to NC State, SMU and Purdue. They have since responded with a 30+ point win over Long Beach State and a outright win on the road against a very good UNLV team.

This is a statement game for Arizona and I think they get it done against the Aggies, who are getting a little too much respect here after their 7-0 start. The Wildcats have owned the SEC, going a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs teams from the SEC. On the flip side of this Texas A&M is a mere 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 vs the Pac-12. Take Arizona! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Central Michigan -

I like the value here with the Chippewas at basically a pick'em at home against the Bobcats. Central Michigan comes in at 6-1 and have won 5 straight. While the schedule hasn't been all that challenging for the Chippewas, they did show some of their potential in a mere 7-point loss at Michigan as a massive 22.5-point dog. Montana State is 6-3 but their two toughest games this season have come at Louisiana Tech and Fresno State and they lost both by double-digits. The Bobcats are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 against a team with a winning record, while the Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs a team with a winning record. Take Central Michigan! 

3* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Bucks +

I like the value here with Milwaukee catching a decent number here at Boston on Monday. The Celtics are a great team and playing as well as any team to start the year, I think this team is getting a little too much respect and are going to struggle here to put away a red-hot Bucks team that has won 3 straight and 8 of their last 11. Keep in mind that these two teams have already played twice this season and Milwaukee has played them tough both times, including a 108-100 win at Boston. That was back before they made a huge upgrade by trading for Eric Bledsoe. Celtics have been shooting lights out, but are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% or more of their shots. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Western Carolina +

I like the value here with the Catamounts as a home dog against the Mountaineers. Western Carolina is just 2-6 to start the year, but have played a brutal schedule with non-conference games against the likes of Clemson, Cincinnati and Minnesota (all on the road). I just don't feel this team is getting enough respect here at home against Appalachian State.

The Catamounts returned all 5 starters from last year and will be playing only their second home game of the season. Mountaineers are just 1-4 on the road, where they are giving up a staggering 90.4 ppg. App State is also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games off a home win, while the Catamounts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 at home after losing 3 of 4. Take Western Carolina! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -

I like the value here with the Buckeyes laying a short number at home against the Wolverines. This Ohio State team is flying under the radar and I'll gladly back them at basically a pick'em here against what I think is an overrated Michigan team. The Buckeyes just won outright 83-58 at Wisconsin as a 7.5-point dog, which just goes to show how undervalued they are right now. Michigan was able to knock off Indiana by 14 at home, but this is simply not as good a team as they had a year ago and I think they struggle a lot on the road this season. We already have seen them lose on a neutral floor to a pretty bad LSU team and got blown out on the road by UNC. Take Ohio State!

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Spurs +

I like the value here with San Antonio as an underdog against the Thunder. The Spurs have are quietly off to another great start and come in having won 4 straight and are 10-3 over their last 13. OKC is still trying to figure things out and I just don't think they can be trusted here against an efficient Spurs offense. The Thunder are just 5-9 SU and 3-10-1 ATS over their last 14 games. I'll take the points here, but I think we see the Spurs win outright. Take San Antonio! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arkansas -

I really like this Razorbacks team this year, as they returned 6 seniors with playing experience and brought in an excellent freshman class. Arkansas has been led by senior Jaylen Barford to start, as he's scoring 20.8 ppg. Fellow senior Daryl Macon is right behind him at 16.3 ppg and freshman Daniel Gafford is averaging 12.8 ppg and 5.7 rpg and 1.5 bpg. The only loss so far for the Razorbacks is a loss to UNC. They have impressive wins over Oklahoma (92-83) and UConn (102-67). Houston is a good team and might flirt with making the NCAA Tournament, but I don't think that playing at home is going to be enough for the Cougars to keep this one competitive. Take Arkansas! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Syracuse +

I really like the value here with the Orange catching double-digits on a neutral floor against the Jayhawks. Kansas has started out 6-0 and are the No. 2 team in the country. I think they are way overvalued here against a good team. The only legit opponent they have played is Kentucky and they were lucky to leave with a 65-61 win. Syracuse is also 6-0, but because they haven't beat anyone, they aren't getting a ton of love just yet. I think the zone of the Orange can really cause some problems for the Jayhawks and keep this much closer than expected. Take Syracuse! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hawks OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for Saturday's NBA action that has two of the league's worst going at it when the Nets host the Hawks. Neither of these teams are any good defensively and I don't see them giving a big effort on that side given the opponent. Brooklyn comes in allowing a staggering 115.4 ppg at home this season, so while the Hawks only average 102.8 ppg, look for them to eclipse that mark easily. Not that on the season the Nets are allowing teams to score close to 7 points more per game than what they average. Atlanta's defense isn't much better, as they are allowing 108.8 ppg and while the defense isn't any good for Brooklyn, this Nets team can put it in the basket, as they enter averaging 110.1 ppg on the season and a healthy 115 ppg at home. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grizzlies +

The public is going to be all over the Spurs here, as San Antonio just beat these Grizzlies 104-95 as 8-point home favorite on Wednesday, as these two play a home-and-home set. It's really hard to win back-to-back games over the same team in a short period of time and keep in mind that it took 41 points from Aldridge for the Spurs to pull away from the Grizzlies a couple days ago. 

I know Memphis is still without point guard Mike Conley, but they still have some talent and I'm confident they show up with a big time effort here at home in the rematch. It's also worth pointing out the Spurs are just 4-5 on the road compared to 10-2 at home and are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 away from home. Take Memphis! 

4* NCAAB Non-Conf ATS NO BRAINER on North Carolina -

The Tar Heels should have no problem here cruising to a win over the Wildcats in this neutral site meeting at Time Warner Cable Arena. North Carolina's only loss came to Michigan State, who is absolutely loaded this year, as they have started out 6-1 with impressive double-digit wins over the likes of UNI, Arkansas, and Michigan. 

Davidson has started out 3-2, but their 3 wins are against the likes of Charleston Southern, UNC-Wilmington and Charlotte. They lost by 13 to Nevada and had an ugly 16-point loss to Appalachian State as a 10-point favorite. I just don't see the Wildcats being able to keep this within 20. Take North Carolina! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Diego State - 

I like the value here with San Diego State against in-state rival San Diego tonight. The Aztecs are off to a respectable 5-2 start with the only two losses coming at Arizona State and a natural site defeat to Washington State. The most recent loss to the Cougars looks bad on paper, but I also think it's playing into this favorable line here against the Toreros. 

Another factor in this line being shorter than what I think it should be is the fact that San Diego has started out 5-0, but it's nothing to get too excited about given their best win is against San Jose State, who is one of the worst teams out of the MWC. The Toreros could be a surprise player in the West Coast this season, but they are simply outclassed in this non-conference matchup. Take San Diego State! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bucks OVER

With both of these teams coming off great defensive efforts in their last game, I think it's created some great value here with the total and this one going OVER the mark set by the books. Last time out the Bucks held the Kings to just 87 points, while the Blazers limited the Knicks to just 91. 

I just think there's too much offensive fire-power here. Milwaukee has scored 108 or more in each of their first 3 games on their 4-game road trip, while the Blazers have scored at least 103 in each of their last 3. 

OVER is 9-3 in the Bucks last 12 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team from the Western Conference. OVER is also 5-1 in the Blazers last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 in their last 11 against the Central Division. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pacific -

I like the value here with the Tigers, who are showing signs of improvement in year two under head coach Damon Stoudamire. While Pacific is just 3-4 to start, they have showed they can compete against some good teams, most notably a 15 point loss to a very good Nevada team. As for UC-Riverside, they just recently lost by 45 points to Michigan and are just 1-3 in their last 4 overall, which also includes a 12-point loss at home to Portland State, who I think is right on par with this Pacific squad. 

I think the difference in this one is going to come down to the Tigers being the much more efficient offensive team. Pacific comes in averaging 75.9 ppg and are shooting a blistering 47.1% from the field. The Highlanders on the other hand average just 67.4 ppg and are connecting on just 40.7% of their attempts. Note that overall I think the schedules have been pretty even between the two, so it's easy to see the value here with the Tigers laying such a short number. Take Pacific! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Missouri -

I like the value here with Missouri laying a short number on the road against the Knights. The Tigers suffered a huge blow when freshman and potential No. 1 overall pick Michael Porter Jr. was lost for the season, but I think it has them undervalued right now. While Porter Jr. was a special talent, there's still enough pieces in place for Missouri to have a decent season and they have showed they can compete without him. Last time out they only lost by 4 on a neutral court against a very good West Virginia team. 

As for UCF, there missing some key pieces too. Most notably junior guard B.J. Taylor, who led the team in scoring a season ago at 17.4 ppg and is good enough to take home the AAC Player of the Year honors. He's out indefinitely with a knee injury. The Knights started out 4-0, but have since lost 2 straight. The first coming against the same West Virginia team Missouri almost beat and UCF lost to Mountaineers by 38 points. The other was a 3-point loss to St John's who the Tigers beat by 8. These two teams simply aren't as close as this line would suggest. Take Missouri! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Spurs -

The Grizzlies are a complete mess right now. Memphis has lost 8 straight and things got so bad after their most recent loss, a 88-98 loss to the Nets at home, head coach David Fizdale was fired. With starting point guard Mike Conley, arguably their most important player to them having success on the court, still out with a Achilles injury, I just don't see Memphis putting up much of a fight here against the Spurs. 

San Antonio hasn't been as dominant to start the season as years past, as they continue to wait for Kawhi Leonard to make his debut, but are still playing really well at home. Spurs are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS at home, compared to just 4-5 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. I think this gets ugly in a hurry and the Spurs win here via a blowout. Take San Antonio! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oklahoma State -

This isn't a top tier Oklahoma State team that will be competing for a Big 12 title this season, but I've liked what I've seen from the Cowboys early on and simply put are the far superior team in this matchup. Austin Peay is a middle of the pack team out of the Ohio Valley Conference, who went just 11-19 a year ago and only returned 1 starter. They have played a couple Power 5 teams and it hasn't been pretty, losing by 19 to Vanderbilt and by 44 to Virginia. 

The Governors are simply going to struggle to keep pace with this high-powered Cowboys offense, which comes in averaging 80.2 ppg and 88.2 ppg at home. The only hope for a team like Austin Peay in this spot is to hit a lot of 3's and that's just not their strength, as they come in averaging just 4 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting just 28.6% from long distance. Adding to this is the fact that the Cowboys have owned teams that can't shoot from deep, as they are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs teams who are hitting 31% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Take Oklahoma State! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina - 

I like the value here with the Chanticleers laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Terriers. While the competition hasn't been great, Coastal Carolina has absolutely dominated their opponents at home this season winning by 52 and 36. They also have a 14 point win over UTSA as a short 3-point favorite and also beat Iona by 5 as a 4-point dog. 

Wofford is 3-4 on the season and have really struggled on the road. The most recent being a 65-85 loss at UNC-Asheville in a game that didn't even have a line. They also lost by 23 at Texas Tech and 14 at Cal. While CC isn't quite on the level of the Red Raiders and Bears, they should have no problem here winning by double-digits in this one. Chanticleers also fall into a great spot, as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games off a home win. Take Coastal Carolina! 

3* NBA Late Night Total DOMINATOR on Jazz OVER

I like the value here with the total and it going OVER the mark set by the books in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Nuggets. Utah simply isn't the same top tier defensive team without big man Rudy Gobert, who is out with a Tibia injury. At the same time, the Jazz have found a new spark plug offensively in rookie Donovan Mitchell. He's a big reason why Utah is putting up 109.8 ppg over their last 5. 

Denver is an ideal team for a high-scoring game, as they like to get up and down the floor and come in averaging 107.8 ppg on the season and 113.6 ppg over their last 5. At the same time, the Nuggets are not a great defensive team. They are allowing 106.5 ppg overall and 110.2 ppg on the road. 

OVER is 12-3 in Utah's last 15 games over a home win by 10 or more and 15-4 in the Nuggets last 19 road games with a line of +3 to -3. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on San Fran -

I really like the value here with the Dons as a short home favorite against UC-Santa Barbara. San Francisco was one of the great stories from last year that no one talked about. In his first year as the head coach, Kyle Smith guided the Dons to a 20-13 record with a make-shift roster that only had one senior. San Francisco should be even stronger in year two under Smith and I just don't see them losing at home here against the Gauchos. Santa Barbara returned 4 starters and should be improved, but this is also a team that went just 6-22 a year ago. Gauchos won last time out, but are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a win. They are also just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs a team with a winning road record. Take San Francisco! 

5* LATE INFO INSIDER 

No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERS 

4* NCAAB Money Line VEGAS INSIDER on Northwestern

I'm taking the Wildcats here on the money line in Tuesday's game at Georgia Tech. While the Yellow Jackets have started out 3-1, the 3 wins have come against bad teams, two of which didn't even have lines. Georgia Tech will be a good team and should finish near the top of the ACC standings, but aren't that team right now, as they continue to play without their best player in sophomore Josh Okogie. 

Northwestern hasn't had the start some expected, but there two losses have come against a couple of quality teams in Creighton and Texas Tech. The big key here is the Wildcats have the veterans to  go on the road and win  in a tough venue like this. Look for seniors Bryant McIntosh and Scottie Lindsey to carry the load and guide the Wildcats to victory. Take Northwestern! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Davidson -

I really like this spot for the Wildcats, who I think are way undervalued here on the road against the 49ers. Charlotte is just 3-2 to start the year, with their 3 wins over the likes of Methodist, Presbyterian and High Point and two of those they won by just single digits. They also lost by 9 at home to College of Charleston. 

Davidson enters off back-to-back losses, as they fell 68-81 at Nevada and 62-78 at Appalachian State. This is still a talented Wildcats team and we are catching them laying a shorter number than they should due to their recent struggles. Note that these two teams played last year and the Wildcats won by 22, as they held the 49ers to just 28% shooting from the field. 

49ers are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Davidson! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Baylor OVER

I think we see Xavier and Baylor fly over the total here. The Musketeers feature one of the most explosive offenses in the country. Xavier comes in averaging 91.2 ppg, scoring on average nearly 16.5 ppg more than what their opponents give up. The fewest the Musketeers have scored in any single game is 80 and that was on the road against a good Wisconsin defense.

So while the Bears come in allowing just 59 ppg, I look for Xavier to continue to keep rolling on offense, especially with this game at home. As for the Baylor offense, they are putting up 78 ppg and should be able to hit that mark here against an Xavier defense that gave up 70 to the Badgers and 102 to Arizona State in their only two teams against good competition. 

OVER is 41-22 (65%) in Xavier's last 63 home games with a total of 140 to 149.5 and 33-14 in Baylor's last 47 as a road dog of 6 points or less. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Lakers UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's total between the Lakers and Clippers. These two teams don't like each other and we can expect a big time effort from both sides on the defensive side of the ball. That was certainly the case in the first meeting between these two teams this season, as they combined for an even 200 with a total of 219.5. While the books have adjusted the number quite a bit from that contest, I still think it's way too high. 

The Clippers have really struggled offensively of late. In their last 4 games they have scored fewer than 100 points 3 times, twice failing to reach 90. The lone exception was against a horrible Hawks team, where they had 116. Lakers are giving up 107.1 ppg, but have shown flashes of being a decent defensive team and are currently 6th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. 

UNDER is 17-5 in the Clippers last 22 home games off a road win and 10-2 in their last 12 vs a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Lakers last 5 on the road and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in the series. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida International +

I like the value here with FIU catching a big number at home against the Gamecocks. South Carolina has started out 4-1, but I've not been all that impressed with what I have seen. The lone loss was a 65-69 defeat to Illinois State on a neutral court where they shot just 29.5% from the field. Keep in mind that the Gamecocks are going to be down from last year, as they lost 3 starters, who all averaged double-digits, including one of the best players in the country in Sindarius Thornwell.

Now I know this FIU team isn't anything to get excited about, but this is a ton of points for the Gamecocks to be laying on the road. The Panthers have a couple of guys who score the basketball, as junior Erick Lockett is averaging 16 ppg and sophomore Trejon Jacob is putting in 15.8 ppg. Keep in mind no one on South Carolina is averaging more than 12 ppg.

Gamecocks are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, while the Panthers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take FIU! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS SHOCKER on UC Davis +

I like the value here with the Aggies on Sunday against the Huskies. UC Davis has started out 3-1 and are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their 3 lined games this season. Washington is improved over last year's disastrous 9-22 campaign, but are far from a NCAA Tournament caliber team. They are 3-2 to start the season, which includes an ugly 24-point loss to Virginia Tech. They have also struggled against lessor competition, as they only beat Eastern Washington by 10 and most recently only beat Seattle by 5 at home in a game they were expected to dominate so much that their wasn't even a line posted. Huskies are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team that has a winning record, while the Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take UC-Davis! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Nets UNDER 

I like the value here with this high total for Sunday's NBA action that has the Grizzlies hosting the Nets. The UNDER has been a great bet with Memphis at home, as it's 8-2 so far this season. A big reason for that is the Grizzlies aren't a great offensive team and even when going up against a bad defense like Brooklyn tend to struggle to score. Memphis is also a great defensive team at home, as they are only giving up 99.3 ppg. The Nets are averaging nearly 4-points less on the road than they are for the season and I look for them to struggle here. 

UNDER is 13-3 in Brooklyn's last 16 games when they come in having scored 105 or more points in 3 straight games. UNDER is also 23-11 in the Grizzlies last 34 as a home favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU loss. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Jazz UNDER

The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's non-conference clash between the Bucks and Jazz. Both of these teams are strong defensively and the biggest key here is that neither of these teams like to push the pace. Utah ranks 26th in pace of play and the Bucks are right behind them at 27th. Milwaukee comes in averaging just 97.8 ppg over their last 5 and will be facing a Jazz defense that is only giving up 95.3 ppg at home this season. 

UNDER is 9-2 in the Bucks last 11 against a team with a losing record and 12-4-1 in their last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 5-0 in Utah's last 5 when playing a team with a winning record and 9-3 in their last 12 off a straight up win. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -

I like the value here with OKC laying a short number on the road against the Mavs. It's only a matter of time before the Thunder get this thing figured out with Westbrook, George and Anthony. We a glimpse of their potential earlier this week when they absolutely laid it on the Warriors 108-91. They weren't able to follow it up, losing last night at home to the Pistons 98-99, but I think that puts them in a great spot here to make easy work of a bad Mavericks team. 

These two teams played earlier this month and the Thunder won easily 112-99. Dallas is just 2-11 ATS this season when revenging a loss and 0-7 when revenging a loss where they allowed more than 110 points. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on East Tennessee State

I think we are getting some great value here with the Buccaneers laying this short number at home against Fort Wayne. ETSU is one of the top teams out of the Southern Conference and should have no problem here winning and covering against the Mastodons, who have had all kinds of trouble away from home. Fort Wayne is just 3-14 ATS over the last 2 seasons and just 1-8 in their last 9 road games after playing their previous game on the road. ETSU was upset in their last game, but are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 off an upset loss as a favorite and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take East Tennessee St! 

4* NBA Situational HEAVY HITTER on Raptors -

I like the value here with Toronto on the money line against the Pacers Friday. The Raptors lost last time out at New York 100-108, snapping a streak of 4 straight wins and covers. I look for them to get right back to their winning ways against Indiana. The Pacers have been playing well, as they come in having won and covered each of their last 4, but are now paying the price with this line at basically a pick'em. Indiana simply isn't on the same level as Toronto and while they likely keep it close, the Raptors should pull away for the win late. Note that each of the Pacers last two wins have come on the road as an underdog and that puts them in a bad spot, as they are just 1-12 ATS in their last 13 off 2 or more upset wins as a road dog. Take Toronto! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oakland +

I like the value here with the Grizzlies catching a big number against the Jayhawks on Friday. Oakland is the clear-cut favorite to win the Horizon League, as they return 4 starters from last year's 25-9 team. No denying that Kansas is an elite team, but they are young and still learning how to play together. I just question how motivated the Jayhawks will be for this game during Thanksgiving break, while there's no question the Grizzlies are going to lay it all on the line against the No. 3 ranked team in the country. Kansas gets the win, but it's a lot closer than expected. Note that the Grizzlies are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Oakland! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Virginia -

I like the value here with the Cavaliers against the Commodores. Vanderbilt has already dropped two games in the early going and the most recent was a crushing 89-93 overtime loss at home. The Commodores are a team that relies a lot on the outside shot and that's just not a good recipe for success against Virginia, who plays as good a defense as any team in the country. The Cavaliers are holding teams nearly 20 points below their season average and teams are shooting just 37.5% against them overall and just 26.2% from behind the 3-point line. Vanderbilt doesn't provide near the threat defensively and that has this one likely turning into a blowout. Take Virginia! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Iowa +

I think we are getting some great value here with UNI as a decently priced dog against SMU. The Mustangs have started out 4-0, but that's no surprise given the cupcake schedule they have had. Only one of their games even had a line and they were favored by 17.5 in that one. I believe SMU's strong start combined with the fact that they are coming off a 30-win season, has them overvalued here against a good Panthers team. Keep in mind that the Mustangs lost 3 players who were either drafted or signed by NBA teams, including last year's AAC Player of the Year in Semi Ojeleye. 

UNI isn't going to wow you with their roster, but Ben Jacobson knows how to get the best out of his team and the Panthers have plenty of talent coming back to finish in the top 4 of the Missouri Valley for a 10th straight season. They showed a lot of that potential in their opener, when they competed in a 17-point loss at UNC. I not only think they can cover the number here, but I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright. Take Northern Iowa! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs UNDER

No team in the NBA plays at a slower pace than San Antonio and when you combine that with how efficient the Spurs are on the defensive side of the ball, you have a perfect recipe for low-scoring games.

The key here is we are getting value with this total due to the Pelicans struggles defensively, as they come in giving up 110.4 ppg. However, New Orleans has been much better defensively against division opponents, as they are only giving up 98.5 ppg. At the same time, the Spurs aren't a great offensive team right now, as they continue to play without Leonard and Parker and come in averaging a lousy 94.6 ppg on the road. 

UNDER is 8-2 in the Pelicans last 10 vs a division opponent and 8-3-1 in their last 12 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 28-15 in the Spurs last 33 road games off a home win. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Atlantic Division GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto -

The Raptors are a team that I think is flying under the radar early on this season and they come into this game red-hot having won 4 straight and are 6-1 over their last 7 with the only loss a 1-point defeat to the Celtics. They have covered each of their last 4 games and I look for them to make it 5 in a row here tonight against a Knicks team they manhandled in a 107-84 win at home last Friday. 

New York is playing better than expected so far this season, as they are 9-7 through their first 16 games. However, none of their wins are all that impressive, as they have beat up on a lot of bad teams at home during this stretch. I still think this team has a long way to go to compete with the top tier teams like the Raptors. I just feel they are getting way too much respect right now and it's only a matter of time before they return to their losing ways. 

Toronto has been a covering machine on the road, going 6-3 ATS in their 9 road games this season. The Raptors also seem to save their best for division opponents, as they are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 vs teams from the Atlantic Division. NY on the other hand is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs team that's won more than 60% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 division games. Take Toronto! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's total between the Knicks and Raptors. These two teams just played last Friday and combined for just 191 points with a total of 217. While the books have adjusted the total for the rematch, I don't think it's near enough, as I think the two teams struggle to get to 200 points. 

Toronto is locked in right now on the defensive side of the ball, as they have held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 42% or worse shooting. They also don't mess around when facing a division opponent, as they have held their Atlantic rivals to just 91 ppg this season. New York isn't a great defensive team, but better than they get credit for and are clicking on that side of the ball right now, as they are giving up just 97.6 ppg over their last 5. 

UNDER is 7-3 in the Raptors last 10 division games and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on 2 days of rest. UNDER is also 20-7-1 in New York's last 28 against a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-1 in their last 5 vs at team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Syracuse -

I like the value here with the Orange laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Rockets. Toledo has opened up 3-0, but all 3 have come at home and against sub-par competition. This is a team that's expected to finish in the middle of the pack in the MAC and simply have no business here against Syracuse. 

The Orange have started out 4-0 and are fresh off an easy win and cover in a 74-50 win over Oakland as a mere 9-point favorite. Syracuse is really getting after it defensively, as they are holding their opponents nearly 16 points under their season average. That defensive intensity will simply be too much for Toledo to overcome, as the Rockets are a team that wants to try and outscore their opponents. Look for the big athletic guards of the Orange to be the difference in this one, as I see the home team winning here by 20+ points. Take Syracuse! 

3* NCAAB Late Night Bailout BLOWOUT on Davidson +

I like the value here with Davidson catching what I feel is a big number in a game I think they have a great shot at winning outright. The Wildcats lost the A-10's leading scorer in Jack Gibbs, but have the pieces in place to replace him. Senior forward Peyton Aldridge averaged 20.5 ppg and 8.2 rpg a year ago and is one of the best players in the A-10. He's off to a great start, averaging 27.5 ppg to start the year, but he's not the only Davidson player lighting it up, as freshman Kellan Grady is averaging 23.5 ppg and sophomore Jon Axel Gudmundsson is putting in 21.5 ppg.

The Wildcats are shooting light-outs as a team from long distance, as they come in hitting 45.3% from long-distance with an average of 19 made 3-pointers per game. Nevada is a good team and one of the best in the MWC, but I think they have their hands full here against the Wildcats. Take Davidson!  

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Southern Illinois +

I like the value here with the Salukis catching a big number against Louisville. The Cardinals haven't looked the same without Rick Pitino. While they are 2-0, they failed to cover each of their first two games, beating Georgia Mason by 11 as a 19-point favorite and Nebraska-Omaha by just 9 as a massive 27.5-point favorite. 

Southern Illinois is a team that has a chance to compete for the top spot in the Missouri Valley now that Wichita State is no longer around and this is a great measuring stick for this program early on. Look for the Salukis to be the more motivated team here and do enough to keep this within the number. Take Southern Illinois! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Dallas +

I like the value here with the Mavericks catching a big number at home against the Celtics. Boston comes in having won 15 straight and just about everyone is going to be on them here against Dallas, but the longer this streak goes the harder it gets for the Celtics, as the target on their back gets bigger and bigger as each team they play wants to be the ones responsible for ending the streak. Dallas is going to give everything they got here and they should be playing with a ton of confidence after their best showing of the season in a 111-79 win at home over the Bucks as a 6-point dog. Take Dallas! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Oklahoma State +

I like the value here with the Cowboys catching a decent number here against the Aggies in Monday's non-conference clash at the Legends Classic in Brooklyn. Both teams have yet to lose this season, but Texas A&M is getting a lot of love for their early blowout win over West Virginia. Oklahoma State doesn't get the same respect, but they have been equally impressive going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS with 3 blowout wins to start the season. I actually think the Cowboys have an excellent shot at winning this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points for a little extra insurance. Take Oklahoma State! 

4* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Wolves -

I like the value here with the Timberwolves as a short home favorite against the Pistons. After a slow start Minnesota has caught fire and are 8-2 in their last 10. Detroit has played well, as they are 10-3 on the season, but they have lost 2 straight and are playing their 3rd straight on the road. I just don't see the Pistons coming out with a great effort here, plus the Timberwolves are simply the better team. T-wolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home, 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 when playing on 1 day of rest. Take Minnesota!

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Virginia -

Look for the Cavaliers to make easy work of the Hawks on Sunday. Virginia has come out sharp to start the season and are fresh off an impressive road win and over VCU as a 6.5-point favorite. Monmouth is 2-1, but that lone loss is a double-digit defeat to Seton Hall. I look for the Hawks to struggle to keep this any where close to the number, as this is a clear NCAA Tournament team in Virginia, plus we have a great system in play backing a play on the Cavaliers. Underdogs (MONMOUTH) - good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are a mere 15-38 (28%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Virginia!

3* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -12.5)

I like the value here with the Blazers at home, even as a big favorite. These two teams just played last night in Sacramento with the Kings pulling out the win 86-82 as a 7-point dog. Revenge is best served in the NBA on short notice and I look for Portland to lay a beating on the Kings Saturday at home after a lackluster showing Friday. 

This has not only been a great spot to back the Kings, but also a great spot to fade Sacramento. The Blazers are 7-2-1 AT in their last 10 when playing on 0 days of rest, while the Kings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 when playing on 0 days of rest. Sacramento is also just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Portland! 

3* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR (St. Joe's -2.5)

I like the value here with the Hawks laying a short number against the the Tigers. Princeton is way overvalued coming into the season after winning 23 game last year. The Tigers lost and failed to cover their opener at Butler and then lost by 9 as a 3.5-poing favorite against BYU at home. 

The Hawks won and covered their last game 86-82 over Illinois Chicago as a 2-point dog and that's important to note, as St Joseph's is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 after scoring 80 or more point in their last game. They are also 10-1 ATS in their last 11 against the Ivy League and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take St Joe's 

3* NCAAB Late Night ENFORCER on Oregon -

I'm not sure why the books even set a line on this game, but I'll take advantage as I don't think it's going to be close at all. Oregon is a legit NCAA Tournament team and it just seems like they are flying under the radar. yes they lost a lot from last year's 33-win team, but Dana Altman is now 187-70 in 7 years in Eugene. He reloads with the best of them and has done so again, both with the incoming freshman class, as well as some nice grad transfers. 

They won their last game by 33 over Prairie View A&M and I expect an even bigger blowout here against the Bulldogs, who have already lost by 28 to Mississippi State, 34 to Iowa and 31 to South Dakota State. Take Oregon! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on UNLV -

I like the value here with the Rebels laying what I feel is a short number against an inferior team. The big reason we are seeing a low price here on UNLV, is the fact that Eastern Washington comes in off a 67-61 win at Stanford as a 16.5-point underdog. That's a nice win, but that's also a bottom-tier Pac-12 team. The previous game they lost by 10 against Washington, who also isn't anything special. Don't let the fact that the Rebels only won 11 games last year fool you. Head coach Marvin Menzies landed a big time recruiting class, headlined by 6'11 forward Brandon McCoy, who was a Top 10 talent in this year's freshmen class. 

Rebels are 10-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons in November, 10-2 in their last 12 non-conference home games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home off a game where they were listed as a home favorite. Take UNLV! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs UNDER

The books have set the total too high for Friday's showdown between the Spurs and Thunder. Without Kawhi Leonard the Spurs aren't the same efficient offense that we have grown accustomed to and OKC is still in the process of trying to figure out to play together. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency and I just think given how big a game this is, that both teams will bring it defensively. 

Note that the Thunder have scored 94 or fewer points in 5 of their last 7 games and the Spurs only give up 98.9 ppg on the season. San Antonio has failed to reach 100 in 3 of their last 4 and twice failed to reach 90 points in this stretch. OKC is giving up just 97.1 ppg on the season and a mere 96.3 ppg on the road. 

UNDER is 13-3 in Thunder's last 16 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 off a SU win. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Spurs last 5 vs the West and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in San Antonio. Take the UNDER!

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Kentucky -

I like the value here with the Wildcats, as I don't think the books have set this anywhere close to enough for East Tennessee State to get the cover. Kentucky had their hands full in their first two games against experienced teams in Utah Valley and Vermont and failed to cover both. They then lost the big showdown against Kansas on a neutral court and either covered by a 1/2-point or pushed.

I think the perception is down a bit on this team and they are going to struggle against teams who have experience, as they don't have any with 5 freshmen in the starting lineup. The Wildcats also aren't a great 3-point shooting team, which is a big reason why they struggled early. They aren't going to need the 3-point shot, as the Bucs don't have the experience (only 1 returning starter) or talent to keep Kentucky from doing whatever they want. This is the ideal spot off a loss for the Wildcats to lay a beating and we will lay the big number here. Take Kentucky! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on South Alabama +

I like the value here with the Jaguars catching a big number here against the Explorers. South Alabama should be a much improved team this year, as they addressed their biggest weakness by adding in Pitt transfer Rozelle Nix, who will help sure up a team that struggled to protect the rim a year ago. This team already went on the road and were more competitive than people expected in a 25-point loss and cover against Texas Tech. 

La Salle is a team that the Jaguars can keep it close against. While the Explorers like to play at a frantic pace, they aren't known for playing a lot of defense. Last year they ranked 274th in the country, giving up 76.6 ppg. I also think we could see a less than 100% focused La Salle team here, as they have some big games coming up against Northern and Miami on neutral sites. Look for the Jaguars to keep this one closer than expected. Take South Alabama! 

3* NCAAB Afternoon ATS BLOWOUT on Boise State -

I really like the value here with the Broncos laying a short number on a neutral court in the Puerto Rico Tip-Off. Boise State is known for being a small conference football power, but they are quietly having some great success on the hardwood. The Broncos have won 20 or more games in each of the past 5 seasons and this might be the best team yet for head coach Leon Rice, who is in year 7 with the program. Boise has 3 starters back and are led by a legit NBA-talent in 6'7 senior guard Chandler Hutchison. 

UTEP needed to go on a 13-4 run in C-USA play to close out the season, yet still finished the year at 15-17. With 4 starters back the Miners should be improved, but I just think they are getting way too much respect here against a legit NCAA Tournament team. Take Boise State!

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Nevada -

I like the value here with the Wolf Pack laying a short number on the road against the Broncos. Nevada went 28-7 last year, taking home both the MWC regular-season and tournament titles. The Wolf Pack lost some key pieces like Cameron Oliver, Marcus Marshall and D.J. Fenner, but are loaded with talent. They have two of the MWC's best players in Lindsey Drew and Jordan Caroline, plus add in four transfers from Power 5 programs. Two of those being twins Caleb and Cody Martin, who have been huge impacts early, as Caleb leads the team at 25 ppg and Cody is 3rd with 14 ppg. 

Santa Clara is a quality team and have a couple of nice players in K.J. Feagin and Matt Hauser, but the overall depth isn't that great and this is a team that went just 17-16 last year (4th in the WCC). Even with this game at home, I don't think the Broncos have the talent to keep this one competitive against a NCAA Tournament caliber team in the Wolf Pack. Take Nevada! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cavs 

I like the value here with Cleveland, as I feel the Cavs are being way undervalued right now due to their slow start. It's only a matter of time before LeBron James has this team playing like one of the elite teams in the league and the latest epic 4th quarter comeback over the Knicks could be just what this team needed to get things going. 

Charlotte is getting a lot of love here and I'm not sure why, as the Hornets are just 5-7 overall and have lost 4 straight. They do come in off a lengthy 4-day break, but I'm not buying that as a big positive at this point in the season. Charlotte is also just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 against fellow teams from the east. Take Cleveland! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERS 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hawks -

This is a great spot to jump on Atlanta at home, as the Hawks are up against an equally bad team in the Kings. Atlanta should also be highly motivated here, as they try to get their first home win of the season. Keep in mind that while the Hawks are 2-12, they have only got to play 4 home games as the schedule hasn't been kind early. 

Kings are the perfect team to get that first home win against. Sacramento has lost 7 straight on the road and most of them haven't been close. Kings are getting outscored by more than 14 ppg on the road, as they are averaging a mere 92.2 ppg away from home, while giving up 106.4. Adding to this, the Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Atlanta! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona State +

It's been a couple of tough years for head coach Bobby Hurley at Arizona State, but all signs point to year 3 being a breakout season for the Sun Devils. Arizona State brings back two big time scorers on the perimeter in senior guards Tra Holder (16.2 ppg) and Shannon Evans (15.0 ppg). It's one of the best backcourts in the Pac-12.

Last year they just didn't have the size inside and had to play 4 guards, which really hurt the defense. That's no longer an issue, as Hurley's Top 25 recruiting class addressed the issue. Freshmen Vitaliy Shibel and juco transfer De'Quon Lake are going to make a big difference this season for the Sun Devils. Lake had 24 points, 8 boards and 3 blocks in the opener, while Shibel only scored 4, he had 8 boards and 4 assists. 

San Diego State has quite a history as Steve Fisher really turned this program into a mid-major power over the years. Unfortunately for the Aztecs Fisher retired and while there's some nice talent on the roster, I think it's asking a lot for this team to go on the road and get a win here. Take Arizona State! 

4* NBA Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Mavs +

I like the value here with Dallas as a home dog against the Spurs on Tuesday. There's no denying the Mavs are a bad team, as they come in at just 2-12, but there's a lot in this team and while they are just 1-6 at home, they have been a lot more competitive at American Airlines Center. I think we get a big time effort here and cover against the Spurs. 

San Antonio is going to be one of the elite teams in the league, but not until Kawhi Leonard returns from injury. He's still out, as is starting point guard Tony Parker. The Spurs could also be without sharpshooter Danny Green, who is questionable with a hamstring injury. San Antonio has won 4 of 5, including a drubbing of the Bulls in their last game, but all of those were at home and they are just 2-3 on the road this season and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 away from home overall. Take Dallas! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

 No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERS 

3* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Wright State -

I like the value here with the Raiders laying a short numbers against the RedHawks. Wright State lost their opener on the road against a very good Loyola (Chicago) team 80-84, easily covering as a 12.5-point dog. The Raiders have two double-digit scorers back from last year's 20-win season, plus some nice new additions that should have them in contention in the Horizon League. 

Miami (OH) won their opener 55-54 at Fordham, but I believe this team is going to be outmatched here. The RedHawks bring back 4 starters, but los their best player in Michael Weathers, who won MAC Freshman of the Year honors a season ago. They are also in the first year under a new head coach and picked by many to finish near the basement of the MAC this season. 

Great system in play backing a fade of the RedHawks, as home teams as an underdog or pick'em that are off a win by 6 or less against an opponent that is off a loss by 6 or less are just 28-67 (29.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Wright State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Charleston +

Wichita State is getting all kinds of love coming into the season. The Shockers are ranked in the Top 10, which is a big deal for a non-power 5 team. Wichita St looked impressive in their opener, but that was against Missouri-Kansas City. Most will look to back the Shockers here against Charleston, but this is far from another pushover. The Cougars are the clear favorite to win the CAA and are loaded with experience, returning all 5 starters from last year's 25-win team. I don't think the Cougars have enough to pull off the upset, but I see them easily keeping this within the number. Take Charleston! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Oklahoma State -

I think we are catching the Cowboys at a great price here at home against an under matched Charlotte team. Oklahoma State lost Jawun Evans to the NBA, along with two other starters. They also have decided to sit leading returning scorer Jeffrey Carroll due to investigations. All of that and this team went out and rolled Pepperdine 78-47 in their opener at home, as the Cowboys used a balanced attack. Charlotte won their opener 116-76 over Methodist, but that was to be expected. It sets up the 49ers in a great spot to fade, as they are just 9-22 ATS in their last 31 off a win by 20 or more and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when listed as a dog of 10 or more. Take Oklahoma State! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cavs -

I believe all the negative talk early with Cleveland has the Cavs showing great value right now and I really like them here as a short road favorite against the Knicks. While Cleveland is just 3-2 in their last 5, they are painfully close to having a 5-game winning streak, as both losses came by 4-points or less and one of those was at red-hot Houston. New York has been playing well here of late, but most of that has come against bad teams. Everyone knows LeBron loves playing at the Garden and there's extra incentive here for the Cavs after that ugly 95-114 loss at home to these Knicks in the most recent meeting. Look for them to make a statement here. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Kings +

I like the value here with Sacramento as a double-digit dog against the Wizards on Monday. While Sacramento got annihilated in their last game at the Knicks, they have been playing better lately, securing wins over both the Thunder and 76ers in their last 3 games. I don't think they have enough here to knock off Washington, but I think the Wizards are going to have a tough time getting up for this one against an inferior team with a big division home-and-home series against the Heat on deck. Wizards are also just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 at home and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a win. Take Sacramento! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Browns -

I cashed in on Quinnipiac in their opener at home against Dartmouth, but I'm going to go against the Bobcats here at home against Brown. The Bobcats were lucky to escape with a win over the Big Green, escaping with a 78-77 win. This is also a spot in which Quinnipiac has not performed well in the past, as they are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games as a dog of 6 points or less. It's also worth pointing out that Brown has 3 returning starters to the Bobcats 2 and the Bears won the head-to-head meeting a season ago. Take Brown! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Pacific +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching a big number against the Cardinal. I believe this Pacific team is flying under the radar this season, as they enter year two under former NBA point guard Damion Stoudamire. The Tigers are going to play an up-tempo small-ball/position less basketball that you are seeing in the NBA. While they lost a lot from last year, they will be debuting 3 transfers who should make a big impact in Oregon's Kendall Small, St. Louis' Miles Reynolds and Dugquesne's Tyson Powell. 

I believe they have enough fire-power here to keep this well within the number against a Stanford team that only won by 16 against Cal-Poly in their opener. Note that Cal-Poly is expected to finish in the bottom 3 of the Big West this year, so that's not exactly a great team. It's also worth mentioning that the Tigers have thrived in the role of a big dog, as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when listed as a road dog of 18.5 to 24 points. Take Pacific! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Eastern Washington

I like the value here with the Eagles catching double-digits against in-state foe Washington on Sunday. The Huskies are in a bit of a transition year here under first year head coach Mike Hopkins, who was a long-time assistant at Syracuse under Jim Boeheim and will bring that same zone attack to Washington. I just think it's going to take some time before they can play the zone at the level needed for it to be effective.

The defense certainly wasn't sharp in their opener, as they gave up 82 points and allowed Belmont to shoot 49% from the field. Eastern Washington won 22 games last year and have 3 returning starters, including a big time scorer in senior Bogdan Bliznyuk, who averaged 20.6 ppg last season. I think the Eagles can not only score enough to keep this close, but wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Take Eastern Washington! 

3* NCAAB UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG  on Arkansas Pine Bluff

I like the value here with the Golden Lions catching a big number against the Trojans. Arkansas-Pine Bluff went just 7-25 last year, but I like the direction of this team in 2017 under long-time head coach George Ivy. While they lost their opener to Hawaii, they lost by just 12 as an 18-point dog and did so despite shooting just 37% from the field, while the Warriors connected on 49%. I look for a much better shooting effort here from the Lions. 

Troy is a team that is coming off a 22-15 campaign, but I believe it has them overvalued early and it certainly looked to be the case in their opener, as they lost outright to North Dakota as a 7-point favorite. The Trojans likely bounce back with a win here, but I think it's a lot more competitive than the number would suggest. Take Arkansas-Pine Bluff! 

3* NBA Oddsmakers ERROR on Pistons -

I like the value here with Detroit laying a short number at home against the Heat. Miami comes in having won 2 straight and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5, but were fortunate to get a win in their last game at Utah, as the Jazz scored just 7-points in the 3rd quarter and a mere 25 in the entire 2nd half of a 84-74 win (Utah led by double-digits at the half). 

More than anything, we are going against the Heat in a really tough spot, as Miami will be playing it's 6th and final game of their lengthy 6-game road trip that started back on Nov. 3. I think they are going to be looking more forward to returning home and getting two days off than actually playing this game. Detroit on the other hand is rolling. The Pistons have won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8, which includes 5 straight wins on their home floor. Take Detroit! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB Opening Weekend GAME OF THE MONTH on La Salle -

I really like the value here with the Explorers laying single digits at home against the Peacocks. La Salle has two of the best players in the A-10 conference in junior Pookie Powell (13.7 ppg) and senior B.J. Johnson (17.6 ppg). They also bring back experience at the point with senior starter Amor Stukes (4.3 apg). If they can get some solid productions from their bigs, I really think this is a sleeper team to watch out for in the A-10 this year. As for St. Peter's they closed out last year by winning the CIT, but the Peacocks lost 3 starters from their 23-win squad, including their top two scorers in Trevis Wyche and Quadir Welton. Take La Salle!

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats at basically a pick'em at home against Dartmouth. I believe that Quinnipiac's program is headed in the right direction under new head coach Baker Dunleavy, who is the son of former NBA player and current Tulane head coach Mike Dunleavy Sr. Bobcats big man Chaise Daniels should be the best player on the floor in this one, as the there's really not a lot to like with the Big Green, who went just 3-10 outside of Ivy League play a year ago and are expected to finish in the bottom half of the league again this year. Also, Dartmouth will be without one of their best players in junior forward Evan Boudreaux, who led the team with 17.5 ppg and 9.5 rpg, as he's not eligible to play. Take Quinnipiac! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Buffalo -

I like the value here with the Bulls laying single digits at home against the Golden Griffins. Buffalo is one of the best teams out of the MAC and have a great mix of returning talent, as well as some big time new pieces.

The Bulls return one of their top scorers in C.J. Massinburg, as well as last year's MAC Defensive Player of the Year in Dontay Caruthers. They also added in one of the top juco players in the country in Jeremy Harris. Nate Oats has really done a fine job here and this should be his breakout season with the Bulls.

Canisius has some nice pieces, but are expected to finish in the bottom half of the MEAAC this year. Take Buffalo! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Southern Utah +

I think we are getting some great value here with the Thunderbirds as a massive dog in Friday's late night action against Oregon State. While the Beavers should be improved, they still got a ways to go after last year's 5-27 campaign. Simply put, this team should not be laying this big of a number here, even against one of the lower teams in the Big Sky. Take Southern Utah! 

4* NCAAB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Colorado State -

Larry Eustachy did a remarkable job with this Colorado State team a year ago, guiding the Rams to a 24-12 record despite being short-handed with just 7 scholarship players. He rightfully received MWC Coach of the Year honors. While Colorado St loses two big pieces in Gian Clavell and Emmanuel Omogbo, there's a nice nucleus coming back and some help in the form of junior college transfers. Sacramento State was expected to be a middle of the pack team in the Big Sky, but now are likely headed towards the basement with the loss of one of their best players in Marcus Graves. Just not enough talent left for the Hornets to keep this one respectable. Take Colorado State! 

3* NBA Situational ANNIHILATOR on Spurs -

I'll gladly back the Spurs here as a short home favorite against the Bucks. San Antonio continues to be undervalued by the books with both Leonard and Parker sidelined. It doesn't matter who is on the floor for Popovich, the Spurs are going to play at a high level, especially at home, where they are 5-1 on the season. 

Milwaukee is a good young team that is getting a lot of love from the books, but aren't playing up to their potential. The Bucks are just 3-5 ATS, with an 0-3-1 ATS mark over their last 4 games. While Milwaukee is expected to have Eric Bledsoe in action, that's likely going to throw off the chemistry, as it will take a few games for Bledsoe to get accustomed to his role with his new team. 

Spurs are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that doesn't have a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games overall. Bucks are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs the Western Conference. Take San Antonio! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on St Bonny -

I'll back the Bonnies here to win by at least 10 at home against the Purple Eagles. St. Bonaventure returns their two backcourt stars in seniors Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who are a big reason why the Bonnies are coming off their first back-to-back 20-wins seasons since the late 70's. This team is a legit threat to win A-10. Even though Adams isn't expected to play here because of an ankle injury, I believe there's a big enough gap here in talent for the Bonnies to turn this into a blowout at home. Take St. Bonaventure!

3* NBA Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Celtics -

Even with Boston expected to be without Horford and Tatum, I see a ton of value here with the Celtics laying a short number at home against the Hornets. Kyrie Irving is playing at an MVP level and there's more than enough talent available for Boston to win at home against Charlotte. 

The Hornets aren't exactly playing well, as they have lost 3 straight and are also a miserable 1-5 on the road, which includes a loss at NY in their most recent game, where they allowed the Knicks to shoot a ridiculous 60% from the field. 

Celtics are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record and the Hornets are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Boston!