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Jack Jones MLB Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-29-25 Marlins v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 Top 6-4 Win 100 16 h 29 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Marlins/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Marlins beat the Diamondbacks 9-8 in Game 1 for 17 combined runs and 8-7 in Game 2 for 15 combined runs. The Marlins and Diamondbacks have now combined for at least 10 runs in six of their last eight meetings.  It should be another slug fest today given that these are two of the worst starters in baseball.

Cal Quantrill is 3-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 15 starts for the Marlins this season.  Quantrill is 0-3 with a 6.46 ERA in six career starts against Arizona, allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  When he departs, he is backed by the 9th-worst bullpen in baseball as the Marlins have a 4.41 ERA as a team.

The Diamondbacks have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.22 ERA.  Eduardo Rodrizuez is 3-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 13 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He is 2-1 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in three career starts against the Marlins, allowing 10 earned runs and 25 hits in 15 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-29-25 Nationals v. Angels OVER 9.5 7-4 Win 100 16 h 15 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Angels OVER 9.5

The Nationals beat the Angels 15-9 in Game 1 of this series for 24 combined runs.  The Angels came back with an 8-2 victory in Game 2 and 10 combined runs.  It should be another high-scoring affair in Game 3 today in a game that features two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball.

Mitchell Parker is 5-8 with a 4.59 ERA in 16 starts for the Nationals this season with just 59 K's in 86 1/3 innings, and pitching to contact clearly isn't working out for him.  Parker has allowed 10 earned runs, 5 homers and 25 base runners in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He will be backed by a Washington bullpen that is the worst in baseball with a 5.93 ERA on the season.

Jack Kochanowicz is 3-8 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 16 starts for the Angels this season.  He has just 59 K's in 82 innings and pitching to contact isn't working out for him, either.  He is backed by the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball as the Angels have a 5.17 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-29-25 Cubs v. Astros OVER 7.5 0-2 Loss -113 14 h 18 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Astros OVER 7.5

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.46 runs per game.  This total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving the Cubs right now.  The Astros won 7-4 in Game 1 for 11 combined runs while the Cubs came back with a 12-3 victory in Game 2 for 15 combined runs.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 today.

Framber Valdez is one of the most overrated starters in baseball in my opinion.  Valdez allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 innings to the Cubs in his last start against them, and I expect this potent Chicago lineup to have their way with him again.

Jameson Taillon has been rocked for 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts for a 14.63 ERA during this stretch.  Taillon has allowed 5 earned runs and 17 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Houston.  

The Cubs and Astros have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-28-25 Nationals v. Angels OVER 9 Top 2-8 Win 100 11 h 46 m Show

20* Nationals/Angels MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Nationals beat the Angels 15-9 in Game 1 of this series yesterday for 24 combined runs.  It should be another high-scoring affair in Game 2 tonight in a game that features two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball.

Mike Soroka is 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA in 10 starts for the Nationals this season.  Soroka has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He will be backed by a Washington bullpen that is the 2nd-worst in baseball with a 5.74 ERA on the season.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season with the Cubs last year.  Somehow the Angels keep throwing him out there this season as he is 5-6 with a 4.83 ERA in 15 starts for his new team.  Hendricks allowed 4 earned runs and 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Angels.  He is backed by the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball as the Angels have a 5.21 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-28-25 Phillies v. Braves OVER 8 1-6 Loss -105 9 h 37 m Show

15* Phillies/Braves NL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  They did all of the work yesterday in a 13-0 victory over the Braves.  I expect both offenses to have success today against these two starting pitchers given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 80's and almost zero wind.

Jesus Luzardo has a 9.64 ERA in his last five starts while allowing a whopping 25 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings.  He has also allowed 6 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Braves.  No question Atlanta gets its bats going tonight.

Spencer Schwellenbach has come back down to earth here of late.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in his last four starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday

06-28-25 Cubs v. Astros OVER 8 Top 12-3 Win 100 8 h 24 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Astros OVER 8

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.38 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Cubs right now.  The Astros won 7-4 in Game 1 yesterday for 11 combined runs.  It should be more of the same in Game 2 today.

Colin Rea has been battered for 25 earned runs and 9 homers in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 8.54 ERA.  Rea allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Astros in his last start against them.

Lance McCullers is working his way back from injury for the Astros.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 5 innings to the White Sox in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-28-25 Marlins v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 8-7 Win 100 6 h 34 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Marlins beat the Diamondbacks 9-8 yesterday for 17 combined runs in Game 1 of this series.  The Marlins and Diamondbacks have now combined for at least 10 runs in five of their last seven meetings.  It should be another slug fest today given that these are two of the worst starters in baseball.

Sandy Alcantara is 4-8 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 15 starts for the Marlins this season.  Alcantara allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, in 6 innings in his last start against Arizona.  When he departs, he is backed by the 8th-worst bullpen in baseball as the Marlins have a 4.41 ERA as a team.

Brandon Pfaadt is 8-5 in spite of a 5.49 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Pfaadt has allowed 22 earned runs in 18 innings in his last five starts for an 11.00 ERA.  He is also 2-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in three career starts against Miami, allowing 11 earned runs in 16 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-28-25 Rays v. Orioles OVER 9.5 11-3 Win 100 5 h 22 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Orioles OVER 9.5

The Orioles beat the Rays 22-8 in Game 1 yesterday for 30 combined runs.  It should be another slug fest in Game 2 today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's and light winds blowing out to left-center.

Zach Eflin is 6-4 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 11 starts for the Orioles this season.  Eflin has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs, 5 homers and 26 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts.  One of those starts came against the Rays on June 16th when he allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings to fall to 1-3 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in four career starts against them.

The Rays are capable of covering this total on their own against Efflin and this Baltimore bullpen that has a 4.46 ERA on the season.  But the Orioles should also put up some runs against Zack Littell, who has a allowed 8 homers in his last 5 starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-27-25 Padres v. Reds OVER 9 Top 1-8 Push 0 20 h 36 m Show

20* NL Non-Divisional TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Reds OVER 9

Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  That will especially be the case tonight in Game 1 of this series between the Padres and Reds given the forecast.  It will be 90 degrees at game time with temps in the 89's for the majority of the game, so the ball should be flying out.

Both lineups are very healthy right now and two of the most potent lineups in baseball when that's the case.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 10 or more combined runs three times.  

Dylan Cease is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He has gone 3-6 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Cease has really struggled away from the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park, going 0-4 with a 6.26 ERA in eight road starts this season while allowing 29 earned runs in 41 2/3 innings away from home.

Nick Martinez is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 4.40 ERA in 15 starts and two relief appearances for the Reds.  Martinez has allowed 17 earned runs and a whopping 8 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 8.19 ERA.  Martinez is 0-3 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.60 WHIP In three career starts against the Padres, allowing 12 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings with just 9 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-26-25 Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 9 Top 3-0 Loss -110 5 h 56 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket in Game 4 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the upper-90's with light winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.43 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.72 runs per game.

Shota Imanaga will be making his first start back from injury since May 4th and will certainly be on a pitch count.  Imanaga allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 hits in 6 2/3 innings in his last start against St. Louis.

Andrew Pallante is 5-3 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 15 starts for the Cardinals this season with just 58 K's in 82 1/3 innings.  Pitching to contact will not go well for him today.  Pallante has allowed 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 5.13 ERA during this stretch.  He has a 1.73 WHIP in his last three starts against Chicago while allowing 23 base runners in 13 1/3 innings with just 8 K's.

It has been a similar forecast the last couple days with the Cardinals and Cubs combining for 10 runs in Game 1, 15 runs in Game 2 and 8 runs through 4 1/2 innings in Game 3, which was a bad beat to stay under 8.5.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-26-25 Rays v. Royals OVER 10 4-0 Loss -108 3 h 25 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Royals OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Rays and Royals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Kansas City this afternoon.  The Rays rank 6th in baseball scoring 4.74 runs per game and have been hitting the cover off the ball over the last month.

The Rays will stay hot at the plate against Michael Lorenzen, who is 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 15 starts for the Royals this season.  Lorenzen has really struggled of late, allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 25 innings for a 7.20 ERA during this stretch.

Shane Baz has been a major disappointment for the Rays as well.  He has a 4.79 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 44 earned runs and 14 homers in 82 2/3 innings.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Royals on May 1st when he allowed 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-26-25 Blue Jays v. Guardians OVER 7.5 6-0 Loss -113 2 h 16 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Guardians OVER 7.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 18-6 OVER in their last 24 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 21 of those 24 games and 9 or more in 18 of them.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Blue Jays right now.

Kevin Gausman is really struggling of late.  He has allowed 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts.  Tanner Bibee hasn't been much better, posting a 4.40 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 30 1/3 innings.  

The Blue Jays and Guardians have combined for at least 8 runs in each of their last nine meetings, making for a 9-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 7.5-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-25-25 Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 8-0 Loss -115 9 h 50 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket in Game 3 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis tonight.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.39 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 6th scoring 4.78 runs per game.

Matthew Boyd is a major regression candidate for the Cubs, and Erick Fedde does not enjoy facing the Cubs.  Fedde is 0-1 with a 6.33 ERA in four career starts against Chicago, allowing 15 earned runs and a whopping 7 homers in 21 1/3 innings.

It has been a similar forecast the last couple days with the Cardinals and Cubs combining for 10 runs in Game 1 and 15 runs in Game 2.  The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-25-25 Yankees v. Reds OVER 9 7-1 Loss -110 8 h 15 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Reds OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's at game time with almost zero wind.  The ball should be flying out of what is already one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park.

Max Fried has finally come back down to reality in his last five starts with a 3.77 ERA as regression was inevitable.  Fried has allowed 6 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Brady Singer, who is 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in six career starts against New York.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees, which both came last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-25-25 Braves v. Mets OVER 9 3-7 Win 100 8 h 9 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Mets OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field.  The Braves have one of the most potent lineups in baseball when they are as healthy as they are right now, and the Mets have one of the most talented lineups in baseball as well.

Didier Fuentes will be making his 2nd career start for the Braves tonight.  He was rocked for 4 earned runs in 5 innings by the lowly Marlins in his first start.  Clay Holmes was rocked for 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Braves, which came in his last start on June 19th.  Getting to see him for a 2nd time in a week is a huge advantage for these Atlanta hitters.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-24-25 Nationals v. Padres OVER 8.5 3-4 Loss -110 11 h 50 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Nationals/Padres OVER 8.5

The OVER is 4-0 in Nationals last four games overall with 10, 11, 20 and 16 combined runs.  They are really a dead nuts OVER team with a terrible pitching staff that ranks 27th in baseball allowing 5.16 runs per game.  They also have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.95 ERA.

The Padres should hang a big number on Trevor Williams, who is 3-8 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 15 starts for the Nationals this season.  Williams allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against San Diego.  The Padres have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  

Rookie Ryan Bergert will be making just his 5th starts off the season for the Padres.  Bergert hasn't lasted more than 5 1/3 innings or 90 pitches in any of his previous four starts, so the Padres will have to use their bullpen early after getting taxed last night allowing 10 runs to the Nationals.  Washington has scored at least 4 runs in seven of its last eight games overall.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the Nationals and Padres with 11 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-24-25 Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 11.5 9-7 Win 100 11 h 41 m Show

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Rockies OVER 11.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 47-31-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.59 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.61 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 10-3-1 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against German Marquez, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Marquez is 3-8 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  One of those starts came against the Dodgers on April 16th when he allowed 7 earned runs in 2/3 of an inning in a 8-7 loss that saw 15 combined runs.

The Dodgers will make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The OVER is 5-3-1 in the last nine meetings with 15 or more combined runs in three of the last six meetings.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Coors Field to aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-24-25 Phillies +139 v. Astros 0-1 Loss -100 9 h 27 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia Phillies +139

The Philadelphia Phillies have actually been better since losing Bryce Harper to injury.  The Phillies are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall and hitting the cover off the ball.  They have scored at least 4 runs in eight of those 11 games.

Ranger Suarez shouldn't be this big of an underdog to anyone.  Suarez is 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in nine starts for the Phillies this season.  He went 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 27 starts for the Phillies last season.

Framber Valdez is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He has faced a very easy schedule of opponents especially of late as his last three starts came against the A's, White Sox and Pirates.  Five of his last 10 starts have come against teams ranked in the bottom 5 in baseball in runs per game.  He will struggle tonight against this hot Philadelphia lineup.  Bet the Phillies Tuesday.

06-24-25 Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 9 Top 7-8 Win 100 10 h 45 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket in Game 2 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left center in St. Louis tonight.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.37 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.73 runs per game.

Jameson Taillon is coming off one of his worst starts of the season for the Cubs.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings to the Brewers.  Michael McGreevy will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Cardinals, and I don't expect it to go well for him.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-24-25 Rays v. Royals OVER 8.5 5-1 Loss -108 9 h 5 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Royals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rays and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left-center at Kauffman Stadium at game time.  These are two offenses that are heating up with the weather, especially the Rays.

The Rays have scored at least 7 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  The OVER is 7-3 in those 10 games.  The Royals have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last six games coming in.

Taj Bradley is likely to get rocked for the Rays.  He has allowed a whopping 19 runs, 13 earned, and 3 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Kris Bubic has come back down to earth in his last two starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-23-25 Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 2-8 Win 100 8 h 25 m Show

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket in Game 1 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left center in St. Louis tonight.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.42 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 9th scoring 4.69 runs per game.

Ben Brown has had a rough go of it in his 2nd season in the big leagues.  Brown is 4-5 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 13 starts and two relief appearances for the Cubs.  He has allowed 46 earned runs in 74 1/3 innings.

Matthew Liberatore is 4-6 with a 4.08 ERA in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season.  Liberatore has really struggled of late, allowing 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts for a 8.10 ERA during this stretch.  He has allowed 8 runs, 4 earned, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in two career starts against Chicago.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

06-23-25 Braves v. Mets OVER 8.5 3-2 Loss -115 8 h 56 m Show

15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game in their last 10 games and are as potent as anyone when they are as healthy as they are right now.  The Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game on the season and capable of much more with all their talent.

Spencer Schwellenbach just faced the Mets in his last start allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 7 innings of a 5-4 win.  Getting to face him again for the 2nd time in less than a week is a huge advantage to these New York hitters.

Paul Blackburn will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Mets.  His last actually came against the Braves on June 18th.  He allowed 4 runs, 3 earned and 6 base runners in 3 2/3 innings.  Again, the advantage goes to Atlanta's hitters getting to see Blackburn for the 2nd time in less than a week.  Blackburn is 22-29 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 441 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

06-23-25 Yankees v. Reds OVER 10 1-6 Loss -110 8 h 34 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Reds OVER 10

Great American Ball Park is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between two of the best lineups in the majors.  Temps will be in the 90's today in Cincinnati so the ball should be flying out.  

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.13 runs per game while the Reds rank 11th at 4.62 runs per game.  The Yankees have scored 23 runs in their last four games for an average of 5.75 runs per game.  The Reds have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games.  The OVER is 7-3 in Reds last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games.

Allan Winans will be making his 1st start of the season for the Yankees tonight.  He is 1-4 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in eight career starts in the big leagues, allowing 32 earned runs and 8 homers in 40 innings.

Nick Lodolo is 20-19 with a 4.31 ERA in 62 career starts, including 5-5 with a 3.71 ERA in 15 starts this season.  Lodolo comes in struggling allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 6.46 ERA.  Bet the OVER In this game Monday.

06-22-25 Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 Top 7-13 Win 100 5 h 7 m Show

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 46-31-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 9-3-1 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Michael Soroka, who is 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA in nine starts for the Nationals this season.  Soroka allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Dodgers.

Shohei Ohtani will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Dodgers.  He went just one inning in his first start, and he won't last long in this one either before turning it over to this suspect Los Angeles bullpen.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Nationals and Dodgers with 10 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-22-25 Astros v. Angels OVER 9 8-7 Win 100 5 h 58 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros/Angels OVER 9

Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  These two starters will both get rocked.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season in Chicago last year.  He hasn't been much better for the Angels, going 5-6 with a 4.79 ERA in 14 starts this season.  Hendricks allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings to the Astros in his lone start against them this season.

Ryan Gusto is 4-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts and six relief appearances for the Astros this season.  Gusto allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings in his lone start against the Angels this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-22-25 Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12.5 2-4 Loss -115 4 h 9 m Show

15* NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 12.5

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It will be exaggerated even more today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center today.  It was a similar forecast last night when the Diamondbacks beat the Rockies 14-8 for 22 combined runs in Game 1.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.2 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.31 ERA.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.69 ERA.

The Diamondbacks should tee off on Antonio Senzatela, who is 2-10 with a 6.72 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 14 starts for the Rockies this season.  The Rockies should tee off on Brandon Pfaadt, who is 8-4 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 15 starts this season and one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-22-25 Mariners v. Cubs OVER 11.5 Top 14-6 Win 100 3 h 9 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mariners/Cubs OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the Mariners and Cubs today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  It was a similar forecast for the first two games of this series when these teams combined for 13 runs in Game 1 and 17 runs in Game 2.

Logan Gilbert is making his 2nd start back from injury and only threw 84 pitches in his first start.  He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is really struggling of late.  Rae has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts.  Rae has allowed 10 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-22-25 Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 Top 4-1 Loss -115 3 h 16 m Show

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Reds and Cardinals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Cardinals ranking 7th at 4.74 runs per game and the Reds ranking 10th at 4.62 runs per game.

The Reds should tee off on Miles Mikolas, who is 4-4 with a 4.35 ERA in 14 starts this season.  Mikolas has allowed 15 earned runs in 21 innings in his last four starts.  Mikolas has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati.  He is 3-3 with a 5.66 ERA in his last six starts agianst Cincinnati, and 1-2 with an 8.83 ERA in his last three home starts against the Reds.

Andrew Abbott is 3-2 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in six career starts against St. Louis.  He has come back down to early recently giving up 5 runs in two of his last three starts and 4 homers in those two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-21-25 Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 9 Top 7-3 Win 100 12 h 1 m Show

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 45-31-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 8-3-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Jake Irvin, who is 5-3 with a 4.23 ERA in 15 starts this season with only 59 K's in 89 1/3 innings.  Irvin has allowed 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 20 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers.

Dustin May is 4-4 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 13 starts for the Dodgers this season.  May has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all four.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-21-25 Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rockies 5-3 Win 100 11 h 59 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-136)

The Arizona Diamondbacks crushed the Colorado Rockies 14-8 yesterday with a similar forecast with temps in the 90's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  With the opportunity for more runs being scored, I'll gladly back the Diamondbacks on the Run Line today.

Arizona ranks 3rd in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.71 ERA.  The Diamondbacks have a big advantage on the mound tonight.

Carson Palmquist is 0-4 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings.  One of those starts came against Arizona on May 16th when Palmquist allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings.

Merrill Kelly is 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Kelly has owned the Rockies, going 5-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last seven starts against them, allowing just 8 earned runs in 44 2/3 innings.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Saturday.

06-21-25 Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12 5-3 Loss -105 11 h 57 m Show

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 12

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It will be exaggerated even more today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight.  It was a similar forecast last night when the Diamondbacks beat the Rockies 14-8 for 22 combined runs.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.2 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.37 ERA.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.71 ERA.

Merrill Kelly is coming off one of his worst starts of the season allowing 4 earned runs in 5 innings to the Padres.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in three of his last five starts.  

Carson Palmquist is 0-4 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings.  One of those starts came against Arizona on May 16th when Palmquist allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-21-25 Mariners v. Cubs OVER 12 Top 7-10 Win 100 4 h 20 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mariners/Cubs OVER 12

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 12 ticket between the Mariners and Cubs today.  Temps will be in the 90's with over 20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Mariners beat the Cubs 9-4 for 13 combined runs.

Emerson Hancock is 3-2 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 12 starts for the Mariners this season.  Rookie Cade Horton is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA in six starts and one relief appearance for the Cubs this season.  I expect both youngsters to get rocked given the forecast today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-21-25 Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 5-6 Win 100 4 h 40 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Reds/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Reds and Cardinals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Cardinals ranking 8th at 4.72 runs per game and the Reds ranking 10th at 4.62 runs per game.

The Reds will make this a bullpen game starting with Brent Suter, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Sonny Gray is coming off one of his worst starts of the season allowing 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Brewers.  Gray has allowed 13 runs, 10 earned, and 3 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Cincinnati.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-21-25 Brewers v. Twins OVER 9.5 9-0 Loss -100 4 h 47 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Twins OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Brewers and Twins today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left at Target Field.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Brewers blasted the Twins 17-6 for 23 combined runs.

Jose Quintana has a 5.47 ERA in his last five stats while allowing 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 24 2/3 innings.  Simeon Woods-Richardson is 2-3 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in nine starts and one relief appearances for the Twins this season.  Both starters get rocked today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-20-25 Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 14-8 Win 100 12 h 20 m Show

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 11.5

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It will be exaggerated even more today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight.  This has the makings of one of the highest-scoring games of the season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.42 ERA.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.1 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.62 ERA.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 5.19 ERA in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Austin Gomber is 35-40 with a 4.82 ERA in 653 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Gomber has a 6.00 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his last six starts against the Diamodnbacks, allowing 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 30 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-20-25 Reds v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 1-6 Loss -128 11 h 55 m Show

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Reds/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Reds and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Cardinals ranking 7th at 4.71 runs per game and the Reds ranking 8th at 4.67 runs per game.

The OVER is 6-1 in Reds last seven games overall with 11 or more combined runs in six of those seven games.  They have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games, and they should stay hot at the plate today.

Andrew Pallante is 4-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season with just 54 K's in 76 1/3 innings.  Brady Singer is 7-4 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 14 starts for the Reds this season.  Both offenses will have their way with these below-average starting pitchers with a hitter-friendly forecast tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-20-25 Mariners v. Cubs OVER 9 Top 9-4 Win 100 6 h 0 m Show

20* Mariners/Cubs MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Mariners and Cubs today.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  They should tee off on George Kirby, who is 1-3 with a 5.96 ERA in five starts this season while working his way back from injury.

Matthew Boyd is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball considering he has a 4.68 ERA for his career in nearly 1,000 innings compared to a 2.79 ERA this season.  Boyd is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in four career home starts against the Mariners, allowing 14 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-19-25 Padres v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 Top 5-3 Loss -123 23 h 16 m Show

20* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 44-30-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 7-2-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against rookie Ryan Bergert, who will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Padres.  Bergert hasn't lasted past 5 1/3 innings and 90 pitches in any of his three starts thus far, so the Dodgers should get into their bullpen early.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is going through his worst stretch of the season for the Dodgers.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 29 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Yamamoto is 1-1 with an 8.36 ERA in four career starts against the Padres, allowing 13 earned runs in 14 innings.

The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-19-25 Orioles v. Rays OVER 8.5 4-1 Loss -110 21 h 38 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Rays OVER 8.5

George M. Steinbrenner Field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's always hot, and the wind is almost always blowing out to center.  It will be hot again today with temps in the 80's, and these two hot lineups should have their way with these two starters tonight.  The Rays have scored 7 runs or more in seven of their last 11 games, while the Orioles are scoring 6.2 runs per game in their last five.

The Rays should stay hot at the plate against Charlie Morton, who is 3-7 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 61 innings for the Orioles this season.  Drew Rasmussen is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings to the Mets.  Rasmussen allowed 3 earned runs in one inning in his last start against the Orioles.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-19-25 Diamondbacks v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 Top 9-5 Win 100 16 h 5 m Show

20* Interleague Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.0 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-3 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 18 games.

Ryne Nelson has had a rough go of it in the big leagues.  He has a 4.51 ERA in 363 innings in his career, including a 4.14 ERA in 50 innings this season.  He'll be opposed by Kevin Gausman, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts to fall to 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 14 starts this season.

The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-19-25 Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 3-7 Win 100 14 h 10 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Angels/Yankees OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Yankees this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium today.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Tyler Anderson, who has a 7.30 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 20 earned runs in 24 2/3 innings.  But the Angels should also have success against Carlos Rodon, who has allowed 8 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Rodon has a 6.75 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in three career home starts against the Angels.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-19-25 Rockies v. Nationals OVER 9 Top 3-4 Loss -119 14 h 17 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockies/Nationals OVER 9

Two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball square off today in Game 4 of this series between the Rockies and Nationals.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket today with temps in the 90's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Washington this afternoon.

Chase Dollander is 2-7 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 11 starts for the Rockies this season.  Dollander allowed 9 runs, 6 earned, and 4 homers in a 12-11 loss to the Nationals on April 19th in his lone career start against them.  When he departs, he will be backed by a Colorado bullpen that is the 5th-worst in baseball with a 4.69 ERA.

Trevor Williams is 3-8 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 14 starts for the Nationals this season.  Williams is 3-2 with a 5.14 ERA in six career starts against the Rockies.  When he departs, he will be backed by the 2nd-worst bullpen in baseball as the Nationals have a 5.90 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-18-25 Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 Top 3-4 Loss -103 12 h 51 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 44-29-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 7-1-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Stephen Kolek, who is 6-2 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  This is his first season as a starter and he will be making his 9th start of the season.  He has never faced the Dodgers, so this will be his toughest test yet.

Emmet Sheehan will be making his first start since 2023 for the Dodgers tonight.  He has posted a 4.92 ERA while allowing 33 earned runs and 11 homers in 60 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-18-25 Astros v. A's OVER 9 11-4 Win 100 12 h 32 m Show

15* AL Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Astros/A's OVER 9

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has been one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball this season.  It's always hot and the wind is usually blowing out, and that's the case again tonight with temps in the 90's and light winds blowing out to center.  The A's are 23-14 OVER in all home games this season.

The Astros have scored at least 10 runs in three of their last six games and are heating up at the plate.  They should stay hot tonight against Luis Severino, who has been a victim of Sutter Health Park this season.  Indeed, Severino is 0-6 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in nine home starts this season, allowing 41 earned runs in 52 innings.  He is 1-3 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six career home starts against Houston.

Framber Valdez is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between the A's and Astros with 9 or more combined runs in six of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-18-25 Rockies v. Nationals OVER 9 3-1 Loss -120 10 h 11 m Show

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Nationals OVER 9

Two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball square off tonight in Game 3 of this series between the Rockies and Nationals.  I expect both offenses to have their way with these staffs again tonight after combining for 10 runs in Game 1 and 16 runs in Game 2.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center so the ball should be flying out.

German Marquez is 2-8 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 14 starts for the Rockies this season.  Marquez has allowed 16 earned runs in 16 innings for a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts against Washington, and 2-4 with an 8.29 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in seven career starts against the Nationals.  When he departs, he will be backed by a Colorado bullpen that is the 5th-worst in baseball with a 4.69 ERA.

Mitchell Parker is 4-7 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 14 starts for the Nationals this season with just 50 K's in 74 1/3 innings.  When he departs, he will be backed by the 2nd-worst bullpen in baseball as the Nationals have a 5.90 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-18-25 Royals v. Rangers OVER 8 6-3 Win 100 10 h 32 m Show

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Rangers OVER 8

No game started by Patrick Corbin should have a total of 8 or lower.  Corbin posted a 5.20 ERA or worse while making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  He is a huge regression candidate with how much he pitches to contact in his first season with the Rangers.  He has just 49 K's in 66 1/3 innings this season.

Speaking of regression, Kris Bubic finally came back down to earth in his last start.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings to the Yankees.  Bubic allowed 7 runs, 4 earned, and 12 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against Texas.  Corbin has allowed 10 earned runs and 18 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Kansas City.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-18-25 Orioles v. Rays OVER 9 8-12 Win 100 9 h 2 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Rays OVER 9

George M. Steinbrenner Field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's always hot, and the wind is almost always blowing out to center.  It will be hot again today with temps in the 80's, and these two hot lineups should have their way with these two starters tonight.  The Rays have scored 7 runs or more in six of their last 10 games, while the Orioles are scoring 5.8 runs per game in their last four.

Trevor Rogers will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Orioles.  Rogers is 15-34 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 85 career starts in the big leagues.  He'll be opposed by Taj Bradley, who is 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four career starts against Baltimore, allowing 14 earned runs and 7 homers in 19 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-18-25 Diamondbacks v. Blue Jays OVER 9 Top 1-8 Push 0 9 h 47 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-3 OVER in their last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 17 games.

Eduardo Rodriquez has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-3 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 31 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Toronto.

Eric Lauer will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Blue Jays.  He hasn't lasted more than 4 1/3 innings in any of those three starts, allowing 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 2/3 innings.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-18-25 Phillies v. Marlins OVER 7.5 4-2 Loss -125 8 h 21 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Marlins OVER 7.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 73-37 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs seven times, and 11 or more combined runs in six of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.3 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

They will feast on Adam Mazur, who is 1-3 with a 7.49 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in eight career starts in the big leagues.  He won't last long, and then the Phillies will get into this Miami bullpen that is the 6th-worst in baseball with a 4.58 ERA on the season.

Ranger Suarez has been solid this season for the Phillies, but he does not enjoy facing the Marlins.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Miami.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-17-25 Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 6-8 Win 100 11 h 54 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 43-29-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.5 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 6-1-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Randy Vasquez, who is very fortunate to have a 3.57 ERA despite a 1.40 WHIP and just 41 K's in 68 innings.  He is one of the biggest regression candidates in all of baseball this season.

The Dodgers will make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  They will face a hot and healthy San Diego lineup that has scored at least 7 runs in four of its last seven games overall.

The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-17-25 Diamondbacks v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 Top 4-5 Win 100 8 h 44 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-3 OVER in their last 16 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 16 games.

Brandon Pfaadt is 8-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  He has allowed 43 earned runs and 14 homers in 70 1/3 innings.

Chris Bassitt has really struggled of late for the Blue Jays.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 23 innings in his last four starts for a 5.87 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-17-25 Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 4-0 Loss -113 8 h 49 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Yankees OVER 9

The New York Yankees are 3rd in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  They have been held in check during their current four-game losing streak, but I expect them to break out in a big way tonight and come close to covering this total on their own.

They will feast on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season in Chicago last year.  Hendricks hasn't been any better in Los Angeles, going 4-6 with a 5.20 ERA in 13 starts for the Angels this season.

The Angels should do their part against Will Warren, who has allowed 11 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 8.03 ERA.  He has also thrown 84 or fewer pitches in five consecutive starts, so the Angels should get into this New York bullpen early.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-17-25 Angels v. Yankees -1.5 4-0 Loss -115 8 h 49 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory following a season-high four-game losing streak.  Look for them to take out their frustration on the Los Angeles Angels tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.

The Yankees will feast on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season in Chicago last year.  Hendricks hasn't been any better in Los Angeles, going 4-6 with a 5.20 ERA in 13 starts for the Angels this season.

Will Warren is 4-3 with a 4.86 ERA in 14 starts for the Yankees this season.  The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game while the Angels rank 21st scoring 4.1 runs per game.  The Angels have the 3rd-worst bullpen in the majors with a 5.47 ERA on the season.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-17-25 Phillies v. Marlins OVER 8 Top 3-8 Win 100 7 h 9 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 72-37 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs six times, and 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

Cal Quantrill is 3-7 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 13 starts for the Marlins this season.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Phillies on April 19th when he allowed 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in a 11-10 defeat that saw 21 combined runs.

Jesus Luzardo has really struggled of late for the Phillies.  He has allowed 21 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts for a 16.20 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-16-25 Phillies -106 v. Marlins 5-2 Win 100 6 h 16 m Show

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -106

The Philadelphia Phillies have won four consecutive games while scoring a total of 29 runs in those four wins for an average of 7.3 runs per game.  They will stay hot at the plate against Sandy Alcantara tonight.

Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies on April 18th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings.

Rookie Mick Abel has held his own for the Phillies this season.  He is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in three starts.  The Phillies need to be much bigger favorites over the Marlins tonight given their big advantages at the plate and on the mound.

This is also a tough spot for the Marlins.  They concluded their 9-game road trip by sweeping the lowly Nationals over the weekend.  Now they return home from that 9-game trip, and I like fading teams who return home following extended trips because there are a lot of distractions back home for their to deal with.  I also think the Marlins are fat and happy off that sweep.  Bet the Phillies Monday.

06-16-25 Phillies v. Marlins OVER 8.5 Top 5-2 Loss -110 7 h 38 m Show

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 72-36 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs in all six games, and 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own against Sandy Alcantara tonight.

Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies on April 18th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings.

Rookie Mick Abel makes his 4th career start for the Phillies tonight.  He allowed 3 homers to the Cubs in 4 innings in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

06-15-25 Giants v. Dodgers OVER 9 Top 4-5 Push 0 20 h 22 m Show

20* Giants/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The Giants have an improved offense this season ranking in the middle of the pack.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Giants and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.

Kyle Harrison will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Giants.  Harrison allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-5 win over the Padres in his last start.  Harrison allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against the Dodgers as well.

Dustin May has allowed 32 earned runs and 8 homers in 48 2/3 innings in his last nine starts for a 5.92 ERA.  The OVER is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between the Giants and Dodgers.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-15-25 Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 Top 8-2 Win 100 17 h 22 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.13 runs per game while also ranking 27th allowing 5.11 runs per game.  The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 meetings.

Arizona won a wild 8-7 game over San Diego yesterday by scoring 5 runs in the 9th.  Both bullpens are now taxed.  The Padres used four relievers while the Diamondbacks used three of their best relievers.  Arizona has the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.14 ERA.

Nick Pivetta comes in scuffling for the Padres.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts.  Pivetta has allowed 6 earned runs and 18 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Arizona as well.

Merrill Kelly does not enjoy facing the Padres.  He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in his last three starts against San Diego, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 16 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-15-25 Cardinals v. Brewers OVER 8 2-3 Loss -118 15 h 21 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Brewers OVER 8

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 10th scoring 4.59 runs per game.  The Brewers also rank in the top half of the majors at 13th scoring 4.35 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too low for these two lineups up against these two struggling starting pitchers.

Regression has hit Miles Mikolas hard of late as he has allowed 13 earned runs and 26 hits in 15 innings in his last three starts for a 7.80 ERA.  Mikolas is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in his last five starts against Milwaukee, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 2/3 innings.

Quinn Priester is 4-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 61 2/3 innings this season.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Cardinals on April 26th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-5 loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-14-25 Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 3-4 Loss -100 9 h 15 m Show

15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-4-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Red Sox and Yankees with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 11 meetings.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  Boston ranks 5th scoring 4.89 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers tonight.

Carlos Rodon will be facing Boston for a 2nd time in a week.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 11-7 loss to the Red Sox on June 8th.  He has now allowed 5 homers in his last three starts against Boston.

Hunter Dobbins has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.27 ERA.  One of those starts came opposite Rodon on June 8th when he allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of that 11-7 win over the Yankees.  It should be another slug fest favoring the offenses in the mound rematch today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-14-25 Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 Top 7-8 Win 100 9 h 24 m Show

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9

Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.09 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings.

Rookie Ryan Bergert will be making his 3rd career start for the Padres.  This will be by far a much tougher test for him than his first two starts at San Francisco and at Milwaukee.  I expect Arizona to touch him up today.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA in 14 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Gallen has allowed 19 earned runs and 8 homers in 29 1/3 innings in his last five stats for a 6.14 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-14-25 Rockies v. Braves -1.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 7 h 31 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-153)

The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-56 on the season, scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.33 runs per game, getting outscored by over 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  That was the case last night when they crushed the Rockies 12-4 by scoring most of their runs against this awful Colorado bullpen, which is the 6th-worst in baseball with a 4.74 ERA.

Spencer Strider looks more and more back to full strength with each start.  This has the potential to be his best start yet.  Strider is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado, allowing one earned run and 9 base runners in 12 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Chase Dollander is 2-6 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 10 starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs, 12 homers and 22 walks in 44 2/3 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

06-14-25 White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 4-5 Loss -135 6 h 11 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135)

The Texas Rangers are finally heating up at the plate during their 5-1 run over their last six games where all five wins came by 2 runs or more.  They have scored a total of 46 runs in those six games for an average of 7.7 runs per game.

The Chicago White Sox are 23-47 on the season while ranking 27th in baseball scoring just 3.47 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Jacob DeGrom, who clearly looks back to full strength.

DeGrom is 6-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has posted a 1.29 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs in 14 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Rookie Mike Vasil will make his 2nd career start for the White Sox today and I don't expect it to go well for him.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

06-14-25 Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 8.5 2-3 Loss -103 6 h 59 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.  Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last eight games and 10 of its last 14 games overall.  The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.64 runs per game.

The Phillies should crush Bowden Francis, who is 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He has allowed 41 earned runs and a whopping 19 homers in 60 1/3 innings this season.  Francis has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 2/3 innings in two career starts against Philadelphia.

Christopher Sanchez is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 13 starts for the Phillies this season.  He allowed 8 base runners in 6 innings to the Blue Jays opposite Francis on June 3 in a 8-3 victory.  I like the fact that these offenses get to see these two starting pitchers for the 2nd time in less than two weeks because it will be to their advantage.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-13-25 Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 Top 1-5 Loss -100 12 h 26 m Show

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5

Two of the worst starters in baseball square off against two of the best lineups in baseball tonight in what should be a slug fest between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks.  Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.15 runs per game.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  It should be more of the same in this series, starting in Game 1 tonight.

Stephen Kolek has allowed 14 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 4.55 ERA.  He'll be opposed by Ryne Nelson, who is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in 45 innings this season.  Nelson allowed 7 earned runs in 3 innings of a 13-1 loss to the Reds in his last start coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-13-25 Rockies v. Braves -1.5 4-12 Win 100 10 h 1 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-145)

The Atlanta Braves have the rest advantage over the Colorado Rockies for Game 1 of this series Friday.  While the Braves had yesterday off, the Rockies were completing a 5-run comeback to beat the Giants 8-7 at Coors Field Thursday.  They are taxed and their bullpen is taxed as well.

The Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-55 on the season, scoring just 3.29 runs per game and allowing 6.25 runs per game, getting outscored by nearly 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  Bryce Elder is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.17 WHIP In 10 starts for the Braves this season.  Elder has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  Elder is 3-0 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP In three career starts against Colorado with the Braves winning those three starts by 3, 8 and 10 runs.

German Marquez is 2-8 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 13 starts this season as he has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Marquez is 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five career starts against Atlanta, allowing 23 earned runs in 27 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

06-13-25 Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 1-2 Loss -100 10 h 57 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Red Sox and Yankees with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.

This is a rematch from a 10-7 victory by Boston on June 7th that saw 17 combined runs.  Ryan Yarbrough allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings in that game.  Yarbrough has now allowed a whopping 15 earned runs in 6 innings in his last two starts against Boston.

Garrett Crochet had one of his worst starts of the season against the Yankees opposite Yarbrough on June 7th.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Yankees, who rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.46 runs per game.  Boston ranks 5th scoring 4.93 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-13-25 Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 8 0-8 Push 0 10 h 32 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 13 games.  Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last seven games and 10 of its last 13 games overall.  The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game.

The Phillies should tee off on Kevin Gausman, who is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA in 13 starts this season.  Gausman allowed 7 runs, 5 earned, and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Phillies in his last start against them.

Ranger Suarez is getting too much respect from the books here and is due some regression, and this will be a tough matchup for him against this hot Toronto lineup.  The Blue Jays are hitting .299 in their 15 games against left-handed starters and scoring 5.5 runs per game in those 15 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-12-25 Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 2-3 Loss -100 8 h 40 m Show

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+112)

The Chicago Cubs have big advantages at the plate and on the mound today over the Pittsburgh Pirates that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.53 runs per game while the Pirates rank 29th scoring 3.26 runs per game.

Jameson Taillon is 6-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 13 starts for the Cubs this season.  Taillon has been dominant in his last four starts, allowing just 5 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings for a 1.69 ERA during this stretch. Taillon fired 7 shutout innings in his last start against the Pirates.

Andrew Heaney is 3-4 with a 3.24 ERA in 13 starts for the Pirates this season with just 52 K's in 72 1/3 innings.  He's one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball given how much he pitches to contact.  Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 8 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cubs this season that resulted in a 9-0 loss on April 29th.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Thursday.

06-12-25 Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 7-8 Win 100 3 h 1 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Rockies OVER 11

Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It's really deadly to pitchers when the forecast is like it's going to be today.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Colorado this afternoon.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings including 17 combined runs yesterday in a 10-7 victory by the Giants, and it should be more of the same today.

No question Hayden Birdsong has been solid this season, but this may be his toughest test of the season yet given the forecast.  But what I'm really expecting is the Giants to do the bulk of the scoring on their own like they did in scoring 10 runs yesterday.

They will tee off against Antonio Senzatela again today.  Senzatela has been the worst starter for the Rockies, going 1-10 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in seven consecutive starts.  That includes 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season, which came on the road.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

06-12-25 Giants -1.5 v. Rockies Top 7-8 Loss -133 3 h 1 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-133)

The San Francisco Giants are one of the more underrated teams in baseball this season sitting at 40-28.  The Colorado Rockies have been the worst team in baseball by a mile.  The Rockies are 12-55 on the season scoring just 3.22 runs per game and allowing 6.24 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.02 runs per game.

The Giants have owned the Rockies this season going 5-0 in their last five meetings with four wins by 3 runs or more.  They will get to bat at least 9 innings today being the road team, and I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs today given their big advantage on the mound.

Hayden Birdsong is 3-1 with a 2.55 ERA in four starts and 11 relief appearances this season.  Birdsong held the Rockies to 2 earned runs in 6 innings with 12 K's in his lone career start against them.  He is backed by a bullpen that ranks 1st in baseball with a 2.42 ERA on the season.

The Giants scored 10 runs on the Rockies yesterday.  They will tee off against Antonio Senzatela again today.  Senzatela has been the worst starter for the Rockies, going 1-10 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in seven consecutive starts.  That includes 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season, which came on the road.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Thursday.

06-11-25 Yankees v. Royals OVER 8.5 6-3 Win 100 9 h 34 m Show

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Royals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Yankees and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at game time.  It was a similar forecast last night when the Yankees beat the Royals 10-2 with ace Max Fried on the mound for New York.

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.52 runs per game.  They will give Kris Bubic a dose of regression just as they did against Noah Cameron yesterday.  Cameron has allowed just 3 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings in his first five career starts before allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings to the Yankees yesterday.  Bubic is 0-1 with a 4.96 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees, allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings.

Clarke Schmidt is 2-3 with a 4.04 ERA in nine starts for the Yankees this season.  Schmidt is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in four career starts against the Royals, allowing 10 earned runs in 20 innings with just 11 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-11-25 Dodgers v. Padres OVER 9.5 Top 5-2 Loss -110 5 h 57 m Show

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Dodgers/Padres OVER 9.5

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.53 runs per game while also ranking 22nd allowing 4.57 runs per game.  The OVER is 40-28 in all Dodgers games this season as they really profile as a dead nuts OVER team.

The Dodgers are likely to make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  They made it a bullpen game yesterday as well and allowed 11 runs to the Padres.  Their bullpen is taxed, and their rotation is in shambles due to injuries.  The Padres will hang a big number on them again.

No question the Dodgers are going to hang a big number on one of the worst starters in baseball in Randy Vasquez as well.  Vasquez is 3-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 13 starts for the Padres this season with just 37 K's in 63 1/3 innings.  He went 4-7 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 20 starts for the Padres last season and is clearly due some regression in the ERA department this season.

The OVER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between the Dodgers and Padres.  They have combined for 11 or more runs in five of their last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-11-25 A's v. Angels OVER 9.5 5-6 Win 100 5 h 58 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Angels OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the A's and Angels today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.  But we won't need any aid from the forecast considering how poor these two starting pitchers are.

JP Sears is 5-5 with a 5.21 ERA in 13 starts for the A's this season while allowing 39 earned runs and 15 homers in 67 1/3 innings.  Sears has allowed a whopping 25 earned runs and 10 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 10.07 ERA.  One of those starts came against the Angels on May 21st when he allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 innings of a 10-5 loss.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season in Chicago last year.  The Angels took a shot on him, and he hasn't been any better for them this season.  Hendricks is 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA in 12 starts this season, allowing 39 earned runs and 11 homers in 65 innings.  Hendricks allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-5 win over the A's in his last start against them on May 20th.

Not only are these two starters poor, but these are two of the top 3 worst bullpens in the majors.  The A's rank dead last with a 5.96 ERA this season while the Angels rank 3rd-worst with a 5.54 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-11-25 Mariners v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 2-5 Loss -105 5 h 31 m Show

15* Interleague Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Mariners/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks really profile as an OVER team this season.  They rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.09 runs per game and 26th allowing 5.19 runs per game.  They have the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.27 ERA on the season.  

Seattle has been much better offensively this season scoring 4.38 runs per game which ranks 12th.  But the Mariners' staff has regressed largely due to injuries, allowing 4.55 runs per game which ranks 21st.  Their bullpen has been below average with a 4.02 ERA as well.

Bryan Woo has struggled in his last three starts allowing 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 23 base runners in 18 2/3 innings.  Woo allowed 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone career start against Arizona.  This will be one of his toughest tests of the season today.

The Mariners should hang a big number on Eduardo Rodriquez, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Rodriquez is 1-3 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has allowed 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts against Seattle.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-11-25 Blue Jays v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 5-2 Loss -108 4 h 3 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games.  This total is very low for a game involving the Blue Jays right now, especially when you consider the forecast which is calling for temps in the upper-80's with light winds blowing out to center this afternoon in St. Louis.

Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in five of its last six games and nine of its last 12 games overall.  The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Matthew Liberatore, who has regressed mightily of late.  Liberatore has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts for an 11.00 ERA.

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 7th scoring 4.69 runs per game this season.  They should get to Eric Lauer, who can't be expected to go very deep into this game as he has primarily worked out of the bullpen.  Lauer has allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 11 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his two starts this season.  Lauer has allowed 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts against Toronto.

The OVER is 10-3 in Cardinals last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-11-25 Cubs v. Phillies OVER 8.5 2-7 Win 100 2 h 10 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR On Cubs/Phillies OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia this afternoon.  The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.58 runs per game while the Phillies rank 9th at 4.55 runs per game.

We might not need any aid from the forecast considering how much these two starters are struggling right now.  Ben Brown has allowed 16 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts for a 9.00 ERA.  Brown allowed 6 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-4 loss to the Phillies in his lone career start against them, which came on April 26th earlier this season.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a whopping 20 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last two starts for an absurd 31.75 ERA.  This total of 8.5 is too low today given the forecast, how good these two offenses are and the poor current form of both starting pitchers.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

06-10-25 Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 Top 1-11 Win 100 10 h 43 m Show

20* Dodgers/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

This is a pretty low total for a game involving the Los Angeles Dodgers.  The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game while also ranking 22nd allowing 4.48 runs per game.  The OVER is 39-28 in all Dodgers games this season.

The Dodgers are likely to make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The Padres will go with Dylan Cease, who is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.

Cease is 1-5 with a 4.72 ERA in 13 starts for the Padres this season.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in four consecutive starts coming in.  Cease does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last five starts against them, allowing 14 earned runs in 21 innings.  Worse yet, Cease has allowed 11 earned runs in 10 innings in his last three starts against them for a 9.90 ERA.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 8 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-10-25 Blue Jays v. Cardinals OVER 8 Top 10-9 Win 100 8 h 31 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Cardinals OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games.  This total is very low for a game involving the Blue Jays right now, especially when you consider the forecast which is calling for temps in the 80's that should have the ball flying out tonight.

The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Miles Mikolas, who has regressed in recent starts.  Mikolas has allowed 7 earned runs and 17 hits in 10 innings in his last two starts.  He has not fared well against the Blue Jays, allowing 7 earned runs and 13 hits in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them for a 7.56 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 7th scoring 4.62 runs per game this season.  They should get to Chris Bassitt, who has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 16 innings in his last three starts.  Bassitt has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cardinals.

The OVER is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-10-25 Rangers v. Twins OVER 8.5 16-4 Win 100 8 h 31 m Show

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Twins OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rangers and Twins tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left-center at Target Field.  The Twins are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

Tyler Mahle has regressed in recent starts for the Rangers and it was clearly coming.  Mahle has allowed 7 earned runs and 22 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Mahle has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 12 innings in his last three starts against the Twins for a 8.25 ERA.

Simeon Woods-Richardson is 7-8 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 181 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Woods-Richardson is 2-2 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in seven starts and one relief appearance for the Twins in 2025.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 37 2/3 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-10-25 Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9 1-3 Loss -118 7 h 4 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Red Sox OVER 9

The Rays beat the Red Sox 10-8 in 11 innings yesterday to tax both of these bullpens.  I expect both offenses to have their way with these starting pitchers and bullpens again tonight at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

Ryan Pepiot's worst start of the season came against the Red Sox on April 15th earlier this season allowing 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 6 innings of a 7-4 loss.  Pepiot allowed 2 homers in his last start against the Rangers as well.

Lucas Giolito has been an absolute gas can this season for the Red Sox.  He is 1-1 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven starts, allowing 24 earned runs in 33 2/3 innings.  Giolito has allowed 8 earned runs, 4 homers and 25 base runners in 19 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Tampa Bay.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-10-25 Marlins v. Pirates OVER 8 3-2 Loss -115 7 h 43 m Show

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Pirates OVER 8

The Marlins and Pirates combined for 13 runs yesterday.  It's a favorable forecast for runs again tonight with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight.  Plus, these two starting pitchers are not very good.

Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-7 with a 7.89 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Mitch Keller is coming off one of his worst starts of the season.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings to the Astros last time out.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

06-09-25 Blue Jays v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 5-4 Win 100 8 h 39 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 10 games.  This total is very low for a game involving the Blue Jays right now, especially when you consider the forecast which is calling for temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.

The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Andre Pallante, who has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts for a 7.47 ERA.  Pallante allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings of a 10-3 loss to the Blue Jays in his lone career start against them.

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 7th scoring 4.63 runs per game this season.  They should get to Jose Berrios, who is a huge regression candidate.  Berrios is 2-2 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  

The OVER is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

06-08-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 11-7 Win 100 10 h 15 m Show

15* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.43 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 6th scoring 4.83 runs per game.  This figures to be a slug fest between AL East rivals in Game 3 of this series again after combining for 15 runs in Game 1 and 13 runs in Game 2.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against rookie Hunter Dobbins, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Carlos Rodon is due some serious regression for the Yankees.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox.  

The OVER is 5-3-1 in the last eight meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings, and 9 or more combined runs in six of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-08-25 Orioles v. A's OVER 10.5 1-5 Loss -115 7 h 23 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/A's OVER 10.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center Sunday.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank dead last (30th) in the majors allowing 6.11 runs per game.  The A's are 13-4-1 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 15 of those 18 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 13 of them.

The Orioles rank 26th allowing 5.24 runs per game.  Both teams have terrible bullpens as the A's rank dead last (30th) with a 6.11 ERA while the Orioles are 5th-worst with a 4.91 ERA.  And both of these starting pitchers are likely to get rocked today.

Tomoyuki Sugano has already allowed 12 homers in his 12 starts this season.  Jacob Lopez has been much worse, going 0-4 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in three starts and four relief appearances this season.  He allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 1 2/3 innings to the Blue Jays in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-08-25 Dodgers v. Cardinals OVER 9 Top 7-3 Win 100 6 h 39 m Show

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 9

After two low-scoring games to open this series, Game 3 should be a slug fest today for a number of reasons.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center, so the ball should be flying out.

These are two of the better offenses in baseball.  The Dodgers rank 2nd scoring 5.54 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.66 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers today.

Clayton Kershaw is 0-0 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 26 base runners in 15 2/3 innings with only 8 K's.  Michael McGreevy will be making his first start of the season for the Cardinals, and I do not expect it to go well for him.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-08-25 Blue Jays v. Twins OVER 8 Top 3-6 Win 100 6 h 37 m Show

20* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Twins OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Target Field in Minnesota.  The Twins and Blue Jays combined for 9 and 10 runs in the first two games of this series, and they should easily top 8 combined runs in Game 3.

The Blue Jays are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of those nine games.  They should stay hot against Joe Ryan, who allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings to the A's in his last start.

Bowden Francis is 2-7 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 37 earned runs and a whopping 17 homers in 57 innings.  That's bad news for him with the wind blowing out today, so the Twins should hang a big number on him as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-08-25 Diamondbacks v. Reds OVER 9.5 2-4 Loss -105 5 h 46 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Reds OVER 9.5

Two Top 10 offenses square off today inside one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball in Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.  The Diamondbacks rank 4th scoring 5.02 runs per game while the Reds rank 9th scoring 4.57 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way against these two suspect starting pitchers today considering the forecast with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Cincinnati.

Zac Gallen is 4-7 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 13 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Gallen has allowed 20 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 6.35 ERA.

Brady Singer is 6-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 12 starts for the Reds this season.  Singer has allowed 21 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings in his last six starts for a 6.23 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

06-07-25 Orioles v. A's OVER 10.5 7-4 Win 100 12 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Orioles/A's OVER 10.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center tonight.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank dead last (30th) in the majors allowing 6.09 runs per game.  The A's are 12-4-1 OVER in their last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 17 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 12 of them.

The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.26 runs per game.  Both teams have terrible bullpens as the A's rank dead last (30th) with a 6.15 ERA while the Orioles are 5th-worst with a 5.06 ERA.  And both of these starting pitchers are likely to get rocked today.

Charlie Morton is 2-7 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.58 WHIP while allowing 37 earned runs and 10 homers in 53 2/3 innings.  Luis Severino is 0-5 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in eight home starts this season, allowing 36 earned runs in 46 1/3 innings.  Severino has allowed a whopping 16 earned runs in 6 innings in his last two starts against Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-07-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 7.5 10-7 Win 100 9 h 56 m Show

15* Red Sox/Yankees AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 6th scoring 4.75 runs per game.  This figures to be a slug fest between AL East rivals in Game 2 of this series after combining for 15 runs in Game 1 last night.

Garrett Crochet is getting too much respect from the books here.  He has never faced the Yankees, and this will be one of the toughest tests of his career tonight.

Ryan Yarbrough is due some regression after allowing four solo homers in his last four starts but getting away pretty clean otherwise.  He'll have his hands full against Boston.  Yarbrough is 2-3 with a 7.69 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in nine career starts against the Red Sox, allowing 37 earned runs and 9 homers in 43 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-07-25 Royals -129 v. White Sox Top 1-4 Loss -129 6 h 52 m Show

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -129

After dropping Game 1 of this series to the lowly Chicago White Sox, I fully expect the Kansas City Royals to come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 2.  They should be bigger favorites today considering their big advantage on the mound.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Wacha went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts for the Red Sox in 2022, 14-4 with a 4.22 ERA in 24 starts for the Padres in 2023, 13-8 with a 3.35 ERA in 29 starts for the Royals in 2024, and he is 3-4 with a 2.88 ERA in 12 starts for the Royals in 2025.

Wacha has owned the White Sox, going 5-1 with a minuscule 0.88 ERA in his last six starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 41 innings.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Houser, who is 33-40 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 627 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Houser has allowed 5 earned runs and 16 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against Kansas City.  Bet the Royals Saturday.

06-07-25 Phillies -145 v. Pirates 1-2 Loss -145 6 h 47 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -145

The Philadelphia Phillies will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have lost three in a row and seven of their last eight games overall, including a 5-4 walk off loss to the Pirates in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  Look for them to bounce back in Game 2 due to their big advantage on the mound.

Ranger Suarez is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in six starts for the Phillies this season.  Suarez has allowed just one earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Suarez has allowed just 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 13 innings in his last two starts against Pittsburgh.  He is 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in five career starts against the Pirates.

The Phillies rank 8th in baseball scoring 4.68 runs per game while the Pirates rank 29th scoring just 3.19 runs per game.  Andrew Heaney has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in three career starts against Philadelphia.  Bet the Phillies Saturday.

06-07-25 Diamondbacks v. Reds OVER 9.5 1-13 Win 100 4 h 54 m Show

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Reds OVER 9.5

Two Top 10 offenses square off today inside one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball in Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.  The Diamondbacks rank 4th scoring 5.11 runs per game while the Reds rank 10th scoring 4.44 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way against these two suspect starting pitchers today.

Ryne Nelson is 21-16 with a 4.44 ERA in 355 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He has worked mostly out of the bullpen this season after failing as a starter last season.  He'll be backed by a Arizona bullpen that is the 4th-worst in baseball with a 5.25 ERA on the season.

The Diamondbacks should hang a big number on Nick Martinez, who is 3-6 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts this season with just 47 K's in 69 1/3 innings.  Temps will be in the 80's this afternoon and favorable hitting weather.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

06-06-25 Mariners -128 v. Angels 4-5 Loss -128 10 h 56 m Show

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle Mariners -128

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 130 2/3 innings in his final season in Chicago last year.  Hendricks hasn't been any better for the Angels, going 2-6 with a 5.34 ERA in 11 starts while allowing 35 earned runs and 11 homers in 59 innings with only 39 K's.  I'll gladly fade Hendricks with the Mariners as short favorites tonight.

Bryce Miller has struggled this season only due to injury.  He will be making his 2nd start back from injury here, and I expect him to be much sharper moving forward and get back to being the starter that earned him all the hype.

Miller is 22-19 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 65 career starts for the Mariners.  Miller owns the Angels, going 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five career starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 27 2/3 innings.  Bet the Mariners Friday.

06-06-25 Dodgers v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 0-5 Loss -103 10 h 2 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a dead nuts OVER team going 37-26 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.7 runs per game and allowing 4.5 runs per game.  The St. Louis Cardinals are 34-26-2 OVER in all games with one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.

The Dodgers are making this a bullpen game starting Justin Wrobleski, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The Cardinals have a taxed bullpen after playing a double-header with the Royals yesterday that saw Game 1 going to extra innings.  Sonny Gray tends to have a high pitch count every start and I don't expect him to have much success against the Dodgers tonight.  

The OVER is 5-3-1 in the last nine meetings between the Dodgers and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in six of those nine meetings.  The OVER is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.  The OVER is 7-1 in Cardinals last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-06-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 6-9 Win 102 8 h 48 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 9

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.34 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 6th scoring 4.73 runs per game.  This figures to be a slug fest between AL East rivals in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against Walker Buehler, who is 4-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in nine starts for the Red Sox this season.  Buehler allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings to the Braves in his last start.

Will Warren is coming off his worst start of the season for the Yankees.  He allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 1 1/3 innings of a 18-2 loss to the Dodgers.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-06-25 Cubs v. Tigers OVER 7 1-3 Loss -105 7 h 19 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Tigers OVER 7

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.74 runs per game this season.  The Detroit Tigers have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 5th scoring 4.95 runs per game.  This total of 7 is too short for a game involving two Top 5 offenses.

The Tigers are capable of covering this total on their own against Ben Brown, who is 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 10 starts and two relief appearances for the Cubs this season.  Brown has been awful in his last two starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 9 innings to the Marlins and Reds.

The reason this total is so low is because 2024 AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal is going for the Tigers.  But Skubal has never had success against the Cubs, allowing 8 earned runs and 16 base runners in 12 innings in two career starts against them for a 6.00 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-06-25 Rangers v. Nationals OVER 9 Top 0-2 Loss -110 7 h 55 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rangers/Nationals OVER 9

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and Nationals tonight.  But we won't need the aid considering these are two of the worst starters in baseball going at it tonight.

Patrick Corbin faces his former team after posting a 5.20 ERA or worse and making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  Corbin is 3-4 with a 3.71 ERA in 10 starts for the Rangers this season and is due some serious regression.

Michael Soroka is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA in six starts for the Nationals this season while allowing 20 earned runs in 31 innings.  He is backed by the 2nd-worst bullpen in the majors as the Nationals ahve a 5.93 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

06-05-25 Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 0-4 Win 100 7 h 8 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (-128)

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory after a 4-0 loss to the Cleveland Guardians yesterday.  I fully expect them to win this game by multiple runs due to their big advantages both on the mound and at the plate.  The Yankees are scoring 5.37 runs per game while the Guardians are scoring 4.02 runs per game this season.

Max Fried is among the AL Cy Young favorites after starting 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Fried allowed 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Guardians.

Slade Cecconi is 3-9 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 119 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Secconi is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three starts this season.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings to the lowly Angels in his last start.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

06-05-25 Cubs v. Nationals OVER 9.5 7-1 Loss -110 7 h 55 m Show

15* NL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Nationals OVER 9.5

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.72 runs per game.  They are 33-22-6 OVER in all games this season.  The Washington Nationals have scored 9 runs or more in four of their last seven games overall, so they are as hot as anyone at the plate right now.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center as well to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.

The Cubs should hang a big number on Jake Irvin, who is 18-22 with a 4.38 ERA in 69 career starts in the big leagues.  Irvin allowed 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings to the Diamondbacks in his last start.  Worse yet, Irvin has allowed a whopping 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs for a 12.46 ERA.

Drew Pomeranz is nothing more than an opener for the Cubs.  So this will be a bullpen game for them, and I like backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Pomeranz has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

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