NFL & NCAA Football Premium Picks & Packages

Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-12-14	Detroit Pistons v. Phoenix Suns OVER 203	Top	105-103	Win	100	11 h 50 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Pistons/Suns Over 203 The Key: When these teams met in Detroit last month, we saw just 174 total points scored, but they combined for only 33 points from beyond the arc and only 23 points from the free throw line. Keep in mind these teams average 54 points combined per game on three-pointers and 33 points on free throws. In other words, they are averaging 31 more points per game in these areas than we saw in the first meeting. Add those 31 points to the total score of the first meeting, and we get 205. So we are getting a good number here. Plus, we can also take into consideration that neither team is defending well. The Pistons have allowed 103.6 points over their last eight games, and the Suns are allowing 106.7 points over their last nine games. Phoenix is 8-1 over this season versus teams that give up 99.0 ppg or more, and we have seen an average of 219.9 total points scored in these contests. The Suns are 9-1 over the last two season when playing against teams with a win percentage of 25% or worse, and we have seen 213.2 total points scored in these games. Take the over.
12-11-14	Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings OVER 196		113-109	Win	100	11 h 47 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Rockets/Kings Over 196 The Key: We saw just 191 total points scored when these teams met in Houston last month. The Kings went to DeMarcus Cousins in the post a lot in that game, but they'll be looking to run more without him in the lineup. The Rockets just played last night, and the Kings are playing for the third time in four days. Neither team has fresh legs, and defense is the first thing to go when that's the case. Houston is 18-4 over off a road loss over the last two seasons, and we have seen an average of 212.7 total points scored in these contests. Also, the over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento.
11-30-14	Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 195		97-85	Win	100	7 h 44 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Grizzlies/Kings Under 195 The Key: The Grizzlies combined with Portland for 211 points in their last game. The Kings combined with San Antonio for 216. And, these teams combined for 221 points in the season's first meeting. It appears odds makers are begging for action on the over, but we won't bite. Memphis has been at its best defensively on the road where it is giving up only 89.9 ppg. It is also worth noting that the Grizzlies haven't been nearly as good offensively on the road, averaging just 94.5 ppg. The Kings have been a far better defensive team at home where they are holding opponents to 97.2 ppg. Prior to this season's meeting, these teams had combined for 188 points or less in four straight matchups. The under is 6-0 in the Kings' last six home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 3-0-1 in the Grizzlies' last four games following a win of more than 10 points and 3-0-1 in their last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Memphis is 18-3 under as a road favorite under coach Joerger, and we have seen just 182.3 total points scored on average in these games.
11-25-14	Sacramento Kings v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 203.5	Top	99-89	Win	100	10 h 57 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Kings/Pelicans Under 203.5 The Key: We saw 206 total points scored when these teams faced off in Sacramento last Tuesday. However, we saw just 185 and 199 total points scored in the previous two meetings. Both teams will benefit from two days of rest and game prep and the fact they just faced each other. I just don't see the offenses being as efficient here. The Under is 14-5-1 in the Kings' last 20 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 4-0 in the Pelicans' last four home games versus a team with a winning road record. When the total is 200.0 to 209.5 in November games, you want to play the under on all teams (Sacramento in this case) with a winning percentage of 60-75%. Doing so has produced a 64-31 mark the last five seasons. We've seen an average total of 204.5 points in this situation but only 199.1 total points scored on average. Take the Under.
11-13-14	Chicago Bulls v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 197	Top	100-93	Win	100	9 h 12 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Raptors Under 197 The Key: Hard-fought defensive battles have been the norm in this series recently, and I expect no different tonight. We are getting a great number here because both teams have been overs machines early on, but the reality is these teams haven't combined for more than 186 points in their last five meetings. We have seen just 177.4 total points scored on average during this span. The Bulls jumped out to a big lead in their last game against Detroit with a 60-point first-half performance. That bodes well for us as Chicago is 8-0 under the last three seasons after scoring 60 points or more in the first half of their last game. We have seen only 173.3 total points scored on average in this spot. Take the under.
11-06-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets OVER 199.5		81-98	Loss	-102	11 h 50 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Rockets Over 199.5 The Key: The Spurs have finished under the number in each of their first three games. The Rockets have come in below the number in each of their first five games. We are getting a very favorable number here as a result. Houston has looked good defensively in the early going, but it has played a very weak schedule to this point. It takes a big step up in competition here. Six of the last eight matchups between these teams have gone over this number with an average of 213.9 total points scored. The over is 14-4 in the Rockets' last 18 home games. The over is also 26-11 in Houston's games against teams with a win percentage of 60-70% under coach McHale.
06-08-14	Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 199	Top	98-96	Win	100	56 h 57 m	Show
7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 199 The Key: Game 1 went over the total by only 5.5 points according to the line (199.5) I had despite the teams combining to shoot 52.7 percent from the field overall and 25 of 54 (46.3%) from three-point territory. In other words, the pace greatly favored the under. Miami knows it must play much better defense if it's going to steal away the home court advantage, and I fully expect it to do so. Plus, the law of averages is heavily stacked against the teams going off from three the way they did in Game 1. They combined to make eight more threes than they average. That's 24 extra points. If they would have made what they average, we would have seen just 181 total points scored. Factoring in free throw discrepancies (Miami made eight fewer free throws than it averages and San Antonio made one more than in averages), we still would have seen just 188 total points scored if they made their averages from the foul line. With Miami tightening the screws defensively and the law of averages ready to swing back in our favor, this one should come in under the number easily.
06-05-14	Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 199.5	Top	95-110	Loss	-123	12 h 45 m	Show
7* NBA Finals Game 1 "Total" Annihilator Heat/Spurs Under 199.5 The Key: Because this is a rematch of last year's NBA Finals, I expect the defensive intensity to be high from the jump. The Spurs feel like they let one slip away last year and will be extremely focused for Game 1 as a result. Miami found itself in a hole after losing Game 1 of last year's Finals, and it will be out to make sure that doesn't happen again. At the end of regulation, 7 of the last 10 games these teams have played have finished at 198 total points or less. We've seen an average of 193.6 total points scored during this 10-game sample so we are getting a really good number. Both teams looked to set the tone with defense in last year's Finals, and we saw 180 points in Game 1 and 187 points in Game 2 as a result. The "under" is 5-0 in the Spurs' last five games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. San Antonio is 24-9 "under" in home games versus slow-tempo teams that average 76 shots per game or less since 1996. The "under" is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these two in San Antonio. Lastly, plays "under" when the total is between 190.0 and 199.5 points on teams like Miami that led by 15 or more points at the half of their last game are 36-13 since 1996 provided their opponent has scored 105 points or more in its last two games. Take the under.
05-28-14	Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185	Top	90-93	Win	100	12 h 3 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Heat/Pacers Under 185 The Key: Indiana picked up its defense in Game 4 after allowing the Heat to shoot above 50% in each of the previous three games. It held Miami to 46.4% shooting, but we saw yet another "over" in the series because it sent Miami to the foul line 34 times. The Pacers were the top defensive team in the NBA during the regular-season, and I expect them to put forth their best defensive effort of the series in the face of elimination. Miami would love to close out this series so it can get some extra rest prior to the Finals so it will be lacking no defensive effort either. With all that's at stake, we should see a defensive battle that comes in "under" the number. The "under" is 4-0 in the Pacers' last four after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Indiana is 34-15 "under" when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. The "under" is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Indiana.
05-21-14	Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 211	Top	77-112	Win	100	9 h 57 m	Show
7* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Thunder/Spurs Under 211 The Key: The Thunder thought they could go small and outscore the Spurs in Game 1, but that decision left them exposed on the defensive end. Protecting the paint will be a priority for Oklahoma City tonight, and that means we can expect to see a bigger lineup, likely one that has Steven Adams and Nick Collison playing side by side for extended minutes. Playing this duo worked against the Clippers, and I expect Scott Brooks to go back to it here. Collison and Adams are blue collar competitors, who I believe will respond after getting punked in Game 1. The pace actually favored the under in Game 1, but both teams shot the ball well. With more effort and a strategy change from the Thunder, the Spurs shouldn't shoot anywhere near the 57.5% they shot in the first game. Despite the 227 total points we saw in Game 1, these two teams have combined to average just 207.6 total points in this season's five meetings. The Thunder are 4-1 "under" in their last five games after giving up 100 points or more last game, 4-1 "under" in their last five when playing on one day of rest and 5-2 "under" in their last seven following a defeat of more than 10 points. The Spurs are 14-6 "under" in their 20 when their opponent scored 100 points or more last game. Take the Under.
05-20-14	Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185	Top	87-83	Win	100	12 h 50 m	Show
7* Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Pacers Under 185 The Key: Prior to Game 1, six of the previous seven meetings had finished below the posted number for this game. The Game 1 pace wasn't fast, but both teams shot better than 51% from the field. I expect that to change tonight. Miami knows it has to tighten the screws defensively if it is going to even the series. Indiana was arguably the best defensive team in the NBA this season, and it has held Miami to an average of 43.7% shooting over the last seven matchups. The Pacers are 33-13 "under" this season when the total is between 180.0 and 189.5 points, and we've seen an average of only 180.9 total points scored in these games. According to simulations based on statistics, there is a probability of both teams scoring 92 points or less in this game. This is worth noting because the "under" is 59-0 the last three seasons in Indiana games when both teams score 92 points or less. The "under" is 32-0 in Miami games the last three seasons when both teams score 92 points or less. Take the under.
05-14-14	BROOKLYN GM5 v. MIAMI GM5 UNDER 189	Top	94-96	Loss	-110	10 h 27 m	Show
7* NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs Total of the Week on Nets/Heat Under 189 The Key: The last two games of this series have finished over the total, largely due to hot shooting by Brooklyn in Game 3 and hot shooting by Miami in Game 4. I don't expect either team to shoot well tonight. With the Nets fighting to stay alive and the Heat trying to close them out, defense will take center stage. The Heat are on a 4-0 "under" run in games following two consecutive overs. The Nets are also 4-0 "under" in their last four games following two consecutive overs. Brooklyn is 20-5 "under" as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9.0 points over the last three seasons. Miami has been taking exceptional care of the basketball in these playoffs and is on a 13-3 "under" run since 1996 in home games after three straight games of committing 11 turnovers or fewer. The "under" is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams in Miami, including 6-1 in the last seven. We have seen just 182.0 total points scored on average in these 10 games. Take the Under.
05-13-14	WASHINGTON GM5 v. INDIANA GM5 UNDER 181	Top	102-79	Push	0	8 h 16 m	Show
7* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Wizards/Pacers Under 181 The Key: The Pacers know they are fortunate to be up 3-1 in the series as they needed to come back from 19 down in the second half Sunday night. They can't be at all pleased with their performance on the defensive end (especially in the first half) as they gave up 18 fast-break points, 42 points in the paint and allowed the Wizards to shoot 45.6% for the game. I expect them to tighten the screws defensively from the jump tonight as they look to close out the series. Washington knows it must do a better job defensive if it's going to live to see another day. After holding Indiana to 42.3% shooting through the first three games of the series, it allowed the Pacers to shoot 45.2% from the floor in Game 4. The Pacers are 31-12 "under" this season when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points, including 17-6 "under" at home in this range. Indiana is also 9-1 "under" the last two seasons after three straight games where both it and its opponent scored 95 points or fewer. We have seen just 173.3 total points on average scored in these 10 instances. You also want to play the "under" on road teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 in a matchup of teams with winning records if they are off two or more consecutive upset defeats. Doing so has produced a 40-16 mark since 1996. Take the Under.
05-12-14	SAN ANTONIO GM4 v. PORTLAND GM4 UNDER 211	Top	92-103	Win	100	13 h 53 m	Show
7* 2nd Round Western Conference Playoffs Total of the Year on Spurs/Trail Blazers Under 211 The Key: You want to play the "Under" when the total is 210.0 or higher on all teams like Portland that have allowed 110 points or more in three straight games when they are matched up against a team that scored 105 points or more last game. Doing so has produced a 32-12 ATS mark the last five seasons. You also want to play the "Under" when the total is 200.0 or higher on home teams like Portland that are seeking revenge for two straight double-digit losses to an opponent when the opponent is off a road win where it scored 110 points or more. Doing so has produced a 32-9 ATS mark since 1996, a 13-2 ATS mark the last five seasons and a perfect 2-0 ATS record the last three seasons. Game 3 closed with Portland favored by a single point, and that sets up another strong system. You want to play the "Under" when the total is 210.0 or higher on all home teams like Portland that are seeking revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 points or more if their opponent is off a double-digit upset win. Doing so has produced a 30-7 ATS mark since 1996. We saw 208 total points scored in Game 1 and 211 total points scored in Game 2 so we are getting a good line, especially since I expect this to be the most intense game of the series on the defensive end. With Portland fighting to stay alive and San Antonio looking to close out the series, defense should take center stage. Take the Under.
05-11-14	INDIANA GM4 v. WASHINGTON GM4 OVER 180	Top	95-92	Win	100	33 h 47 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Total of the Year on Pacers/Wizards Over 180 The Key: Washington has allowed Indiana to control the tempo the last two games. It lost both as a result, and both finished way under the total. The Wizards have managed just nine fast-break points the past two games, and they know that is unacceptable. I expect them to make an effort to get out and run in Game 4, like they did in Game 1 when they had 14 fast-break points and 198 total points were scored in the game. The Wizards did an excellent job of controlling the tempo versus the Bulls. They played fast and four of the five games finished above the number with an average of 184.6 total points scored in these five games. If you get rid of the low-scoring Game 5, there was an average of 194.8 total points scored between the teams. The "Over" is 5-0-1 in the Wizard's last 6 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game and 15-5-1 in their last 21 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Take the Over.
05-04-14	Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 198.5	Top	96-119	Loss	-110	8 h 48 m	Show
7* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Mavs/Spurs Under 198.5 The Key: With the stakes raised and a place in the Western Conference Semis on the line, I expect to see these teams play a little tight. Every single possession means a little bit more in a Game 7, and the pace should slow as a result. Neither team wants to do the other any favors by taking a bad shot early in the shot clock or turning the ball over. Plus, we should see outstanding effort on the defensive end from both teams. When the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, you want to play the "Under" on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more if they are matched up against an opponent that has allowed 100 points or more in two straight games. Doing so has produced a 33-9 mark the last five seasons. We've seen an average of only 188.5 total points scored in this situation. Take the Under.
05-03-14	MEMPHIS GM7 v. OKLAHOMA CITY GM7 UNDER 186	Top	109-120	Loss	-110	32 h 57 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs "Total" Annihilator on Grizzlies/Thunder Under 186 The Key: Four of the six games played in this series have finished at or under 186 total points in regulation, and I expect this trend to continue. We have seen an average of 180.3 total points scored in regulation in this series and only 174.5 in regulation over the last four games so we are getting an excellent number. We only saw 188 total points scored in Game 6 despite OKC hitting 49.3% from the field and going 23 of 25 from the free throw line. Prior to that game, Memphis had held the Thunder below 40% shooting in four straight games. I expect another strong defensive effort from the Grizzlies here. The Thunder are at their best when they are getting out in transition, but Memphis has done an excellent job of controlling the tempo. Even in Game 6, the Thunder only attempted 75 shots - eight less than their season average. When the total is between 180.0-189.5 points, you want to play the "Under" on all teams like the Thunder who are off a win of 20 points or more, provided they average 99.0 ppg or more. Doing so has produced a 109-63 mark since 1996. We have seen just 182.4 total points scored on average in this situation. It is also worth noting that Memphis is 11-2 "Under" the last three seasons following a double-digit loss at home. We have seen only 179.3 total points scored in this spot. Take the Under.
04-29-14	Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 184		75-69	Win	100	10 h 51 m	Show
6* NBA Playoffs "Total" Annihilator on Wizards/Bulls Under 184 The Key: Staring elimination in the face, the Bulls will put forth the kind of defensive effort that made them arguably the most-feared defensive team in the NBA during the regular season. It also plays in our favor that Chicago is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Each game of the series has gone over the total so far, and we are catching a good number in Chicago as a result. You want to take the "Under" on any team that is off three or more consecutive overs when they are matched up against a team that is off four or more consecutive overs. Doing so has produced a 69-33 mark the last five seasons. In addition, Chicago is 18-7 "Under" this season in home games when the total is between 180.0 and 189.5. We have seen just 179.5 total points scored on average in these games. The Bulls are 10-1 "Under" in home games after failing to cover the spread in six or seven of their last eight games under coach Thibodeau. We have seen just 175.3 total points scored on average in these games. Take the Under.
04-28-14	San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 203.5		93-89	Win	100	12 h 4 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Spurs/Mavericks Under 203.5 The Key: After allowing Dallas to shoot an average of 50.1% from the field in back-to-back defeats, the Spurs will pick up the intensity on the defensive end. With them doing so, the "Under" becomes a strong play tonight. When the total is 200.0 to 209.5, you want to take the "Under" on all teams playing with double revenge if they have a winning record and are playing a team with a winning record. Doing so has produced a 97-60 mark the last five seasons. In addition, you want to take the "Under" when the line is 200.0 or higher on teams that are seeking revenge for an upset loss if the matchup features teams with winning percentages of 60% to 75%. Doing so has produced a 33-11 mark the last five seasons. These systems speak to the way teams tighten the screws defensively in revenge spots. Take the Under.
04-27-14	Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192		87-79	Win	100	9 h 2 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Raptors/Nets Under 192 The Key: These teams combined for 200 points in Game 3, but the pace was very slow. Both teams attempted just 67 shots. Despite the slow pace, the game finished over the total because both teams shot a high percentage from the field. Expect another slow grind it out game, and expect the shooting to suffer as the defenses pick up the intensity. You want to take the "Under" on all teams when the total is 190.0 to 199.5 in the fourth game of a first round playoff series. That's because doing so has produced a 44-14 (76%) mark since 1996. Take the Under.
04-25-14	Houston Rockets v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 216		121-116	Loss	-110	13 h 52 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Bailout on Rockets/Trail Blazers Under 216.0 The Key: You want to take the "Under" on any team that is off two or more consecutive overs and is playing a team off five or more consecutive overs. Doing so has produced a 42-14 mark the last three seasons. You also want to play the "Under" on all teams in the third game of a playoff series if the total line is 200.0 or greater. Doing so has produced a 66-28 mark since 1996. If the game takes place in the first round of the playoffs, this system explodes to 42-12. When the total is 200.0 or higher, you want to take the "Under" on all teams like Houston that are seeking revenge for an upset loss, provided both teams have winning percentages of 60%-75%. Doing so has produced a 33-9 mark the last five seasons. The last nine meetings between these teams have finished over the number. However, Game 1 would have finished under had it not gone to OT. Plus, these teams have finished over this number just two times in Portland since 2000. Take the Under.
04-25-14	Chicago Bulls v. Washington Wizards UNDER 183.5		100-97	Loss	-110	10 h 29 m	Show
7* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Bulls/Wizards Under 183.5 The Key: The Bulls have found out that they don't have the offensive firepower to outscore Washington. They know the only way they can get back in the series is to ramp it up on the defensive end. I'm confident they'll do just that tonight. Chicago is 13-3 "Under" when seeking revenge for two straight losses where its opponent scored 100 points or more under coach Thibodeau. You want to play the "Under" on road teams when the total is between 180.0 and 189.5 points if they are off two or more consecutive upset losses, provided they have a winning record and are playing another winning team. Doing so has produced a 39-15 mark since 1996. We have seen an average total line of 185.2 for these contests but an average total score of just 180.3. Chicago is 31-17 "Under" when the total is between 180.0 and 189.5 points this season. It is also 21-10 "Under" after two or more consecutive overs over the last two seasons. Washington is 9-1 "Under" as a home favorite of 3.0 points or less over the last two seasons while Chicago is 18-7 "Under" as a road underdog of 3.0 points or less under coach Thibodeau. The "Under" is 17-5-1 in the last 23 meetings between these teams in Washington. Take the Under.
04-24-14	Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 215.5		98-96	Win	100	14 h 36 m	Show
7* NBA Western Conference Playoffs Total of the Year on Clippers/Warriors Under 215.5 The Key: Taking the Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 200 in the 3rd game of a playoff series has produced a 66-28 mark since 1996. If it is the first round of the playoffs, this system explodes to 40-12. In addition, taking the Under on all teams when the total is 200 or higher that are off a blowout win of 15 points or more and up against a team off a blowout loss of 15 points or more has produced a 74-38 mark the last five seasons. It is also worth noting that taking the Under on all teams when the total is 210 or higher that are seeking revenge for a loss to an opponent and are off a road loss of 20 points or more has produced an 80-43 mark since 1996. We'll follow these time-tested systems to another big totals winner. Take the Under.
04-22-14	Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187.5		85-101	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Pacers/Hawks Under 187.5 The Key: I'm taking the Under tonight because I'm confident the Pacers will show up defensively after giving up 101 points in Game 1. Indiana is 24-9 Under this season when the total is between 180.0 and 189.5, including 14-4 Under at home in this set. The Pacers are 11-2 this season in home games when the total is between 185.0 and 189.5, and we have seen just 176.1 total points scored on average in these contests. You also want to play the Under on any team (Atlanta in this case) that is off two or more consecutive overs when they are matched up against a team that is off five or more consecutive overs. Doing so has produced a 39-14 mark the last three seasons. Indiana isn't in good form offensively (which plays right into our hands), but it is more than capable of shutting down Atlanta on the defensive end. I expect a ferocious defensive effort from the Pacers in this highly motivated spot. Take the Under.
04-21-14	Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 212.5		98-138	Loss	-110	12 h 42 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Clippers/Warriors Under 212.5 The Key: There is some overwhelming history supporting this play on the UNDER. First off, You want to play the UNDER on any team that has gone over the total in 3 consecutive games or more when they are matched up against an opponent that has gone over in 4 or more consecutive games. Doing so has produced a 67-29 mark the last five seasons. If the total is set at 200 or higher, the above system tightens up to 39-16. In addition, you want to take the UNDER on any team when the total is 200 or higher that is seeking revenge for an upset defeat if the matchup features teams with winning percentages of 60% to 75%. Doing so has produced a 33-7 mark the last five seasons. Lastly, playing the UNDER on home teams when the total is 210 or higher that have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games, provided they have a winning record and are playing a winning team, has produced a 45-18 mark the last five seasons. These teams combined for 214 points in Game 1, but we've seen 209 total points or less in six of their seven previous meetings. Take the Under.
04-20-14	Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 206.5		85-90	Win	100	5 h 25 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Mavs/Spurs Under 206.5 The Key: In four regular-season meetings between these two, we've seen total scores of 223, 202, 218 and 209. That's good for an average total score of 213 points. However, we are getting a number much lower than that here. Clearly, odds makers are begging for the money to come in on the OVER, but we won't oblige them. Dallas lost all four regular-season matchups, and its three-point defense was a big reason why. It allowed the Spurs to connect on 42 of 97 three-point attempts and were minus 54 points from beyond the arc. Head coach Rick Carlisle knows his team must do a much better job defending the three to have a shot in this series, and that is what I expect from the start. You want to play the UNDER on all teams like Dallas that are playing four games or less in 10 days, provided they have a win percentage of 51% to 60% and are playing a winning team. Doing so has produced a 75-31 mark the last five seasons. The UNDER is 11-4 in the Spurs' last 15 games overall, 5-2 in their last seven home games, 8-3 in the last 11 home games versus Dallas and 6-2 in their last eight first round NBA playoff contests. Take the Under.
04-10-14	Denver Nuggets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 214.5		100-99	Win	100	12 h 11 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Nuggets/Warriors Under 214.5 The Key: The Nuggets combined with the Rockets for 239 points last night. The Warriors combined with the Jazz for 234 points in their last game. And, the Nuggets and Warriors combined for 239 points on this floor the last time they met. Despite the recent efforts of these teams, and the result of their last matchup, we are seeing a number of only 214.5. This tells me the books want the money on the Over. Golden State has quietly been locking down opponents on its home floor, holding the last five visitors to an average of 90.4 points. Having had three days of rest prior to this game, I expect a fresh Golden State squad to be strong defensively again, and it will only help their cause that Denver used a lot of energy in last night's win. Even with a 130-point outburst against Utah in their last home game, the Warriors are averaging only 101.2 points over their last five at home. The Under is 38-15 in the Warriors' last 53 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 37-15-1 in their last 53 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 19-7-1 in the Warriors' last 27 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and 12-5 in their last 17 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 16-7-1 in Golden State's last 24 overall and 13-6-1 in its last 20 home games. Take the Under.
04-08-14	Detroit Pistons v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 209.5		102-95	Win	100	8 h 23 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Pistons/Hawks Under 209.5 The Key: The Hawks fit into a strong "Under" system here. You want to play the "Under" when the total is 200.0 or higher on teams like Atlanta that are off 3 consecutive Overs if they are matched up against an opponent that's off 4 or more consecutive Overs. Doing so has produced a 38-16 mark the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average total line of 209.4 in these games but just 205.5 total points scored on average. Atlanta really tightened the screws defensively in its last two games against Cleveland and Indiana, and I expect it to continue its inspired play at the defensive end as it tries to hang on to the final playoff spot in the East. Detroit doesn't have anything left to play for other than pride, and I expect to see it get up for this game as it tries to end a 10-game skid in Atlanta. The Pistons should also benefit at the defensive end from having had the last two days off. Take the Under.
04-01-14	Houston Rockets v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 210	Top	96-105	Win	100	9 h 58 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Rockets/Nets Under 210 The Key: You want to play the UNDER on any team (Houston) after two or more consecutive OVERS if they are matched up against a team off five or more consecutive OVERS. Doing so has produced a 59-27 record the last five seasons. You also want to take the UNDER on home teams when the total is 200 or higher if they've gone OVER the total by 36 points or more in their last five games and if they have a win percentage between 51-60%. Doing so has produced a 76-36 record the last five seasons. Houston is 8-1 UNDER this season after a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight games. Brooklyn is 10-1 UNDER in home games since 1996 after scoring 105 points or more in three straight games. Take the UNDER.
11-14-13	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 207		115-116	Loss	-110	11 h 31 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Thunder/Warriors Under 207 The Key: You want to play the under on all teams with a winning record playing another winning team in the first half of the season when the total is 200 to 209.5. Doing so has produced an amazing 93-36 (72.1%) mark the last 5 seasons. We've seen just 197.0 total points scored on average in this situation. We have seen 217 and 213 total points scored the last two times these teams have met, and yet we're seeing a line of 207.0? Clearly, odds makers expect Golden State's stingy defense to be more of a factor this time around. The Warriors rank 4th in field goal percentage defense and first in 3-point field goal percentage defense. The Thunder haven't been too shabby defensively either, ranking 9th in field goal percentage defense and 11th in 3-point field goal percentage defense. Take the under.
06-20-13	San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 189		88-95	Win	100	12 h 60 m	Show
6* NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Heat Under 189 The Key: It's hard for teams to play loose in Game 7 of the NBA Finals knowing what's at stake. We've seen a recent trend of teams struggling at the offensive end as a result. Some of the struggles can also be attributed to teams playing at a higher level on defense. We've seen only 174, 155 and 162 total points scored in the last three NBA Finals Game 7's. Playing the Under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points has produced a 50-18 mark since 1996. We've seen just 180.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Take the Under.
06-16-13	Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 188	Top	104-114	Loss	-110	55 h 50 m	Show
7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 188 The Key: I'm confident both teams will bring the "D" in this all-important Game 5. San Antonio knows it's not going to beat the Heat if it allows them to shoot 52.9% like it did in Game 4. The Spurs will tighten the screws defensively. I also expect them to do a much better job of taking care of the rock. San Antonio had 18 turnovers in Game 4. Those turnovers led to a lot of easy opportunities for Miami. If the Spurs cut down on the giveaways, they can keep the Heat out of transition offense. The Spurs hit 8 3-pointers in Game 4, but Miami did a much better job of chasing shooters off the 3-point line. I expect it to do an even better job in Game 5. The Heat made just 4 3-point shots in Game 4 and took just 12. I believe it will look to attack the basket again in Game 5, which bodes well for us because the 3-point shot can spoil the under. There is also a great amount of history on our side. Plays on the under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 50-16 since 1996. In addition, plays under on all #1 seeds in the NBA Finals (Miami in this case) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 24-5 since 1996. The defensive intensity of both teams will be at its height in Game 5, and this one should come in under the total as a result. Take the Under.
05-30-13	Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat UNDER 185.5	Top	79-90	Win	100	11 h 8 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs "Total" Annihilator on Pacers/Heat Under 185.5 The Key: We saw 191 total points scored in Game 4, and these teams have combined for at least 190 points in each of the last 6 meetings. And yet oddsmakers have come up with a number of 185.5? The books are begging for the money to come in on the over, but we won't oblige them. The defensive intensity of this series will be at an all-time high tonight, and this one should find its way under the number as a result. Both teams have played to the over in their last 5 games. However, plays "under" on any team after 5 or more consecutive overs, provided it is a good team that outscores opponents by 3.0 points per game or more, are 156-96 since 1996. This system, which applies to both teams, is 10-5 this season. Also, plays "under" on all teams when total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a playoff series that is tied are 104-64 since 1996. We've seen an average posted total of 184.5 in these games but have seen just 181.3 total points scored on average. Take the Under.
05-28-13	Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185.5	Top	92-99	Loss	-110	11 h 12 m	Show
7* Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Pacers UNDER 185.5 The Key: Indiana knows it must play better defensively if it's going to win this series. After allowing the Heat to shoot 54.5% from the field in Game 3, expect the best defensive team in the NBA to tighten the screws tonight. The Pacers have allowed just 90.1 ppg at home on 41.4% shooting on the season. The Heat are on a 73-43 Unders run in road games versus teams that allow 91 points or less per game. It is also worth noting that Indiana is on a 56-24 Unders run when out for revenge for a home loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. Miami is on a 59-33 Unders run in games following a blowout win of 15 points or more. Bet the Under.
05-18-13	New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers OVER 178.5		99-106	Win	100	13 h 35 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Knicks/Pacers Over 178.5 The Key: Plays on the over on all teams that check in off a road loss of 10 points or more and are playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 82-38 since 1996 when the total 179.5 points or less. This system is a perfect 5-0 the last 3 seasons. The over is also 11-2 in the Pacers' last 13 games following a loss and 6-2 in their last 8 home games. We saw 160 total points in Game 5, but Indiana was 19 of 33 from the free throw line and made just 6 3-point shots. It has made at least 8 3's in each of the first 4 games of the series. While I expect Indiana to shoot better at home, I also expect the Knicks to continue the offensive improvement they showed in Game 5. They know they need to push the ball to be successful. The pace should be faster tonight than it was in the previous two games in Indiana. Take the Over.
05-14-13	Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 194.5		91-109	Win	100	12 h 57 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Warriors/Spurs Over 194.5 The Key: These teams have finished under the total in 3 consecutive games as each has shot below 40% twice during this stretch. I don't see the cold shooting continuing. Offensively, Golden State has been just as good on the road this season. It averages 101.7 ppg on the road, which is what it averages on the season. However, it isn't nearly as good defensively on the road where it has allowed 103.5 ppg. The Spurs are much better offensively at home where they average 104.5 ppg on 49.1% shooting. 13 of the last 15 meetings between these teams in San Antonio have gone over the posted total for this game. Take the Over.
05-13-13	Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187		88-65	Win	100	10 h 60 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/Bulls Under 187 The Key: The Bulls hang their hat on defense so they are not at all happy with the fact they have allowed Miami to shoot 60% and 50% the last two games. Having had two days to rest and prepare, and knowing they need a win here to have a chance at winning the series, I expect a tremendous defensive effort from the Bulls. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls' last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Chicago is also 9-1 under the last two seasons off a home loss by 10 points or more. It's also worth noting that the Bulls are on a 31-15 unders run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 100 points or more on them. The extra rest should help Miami's defense too. The under is 7-1 in the Heat's last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Plus, Miami won't be able to keep up its hot shooting. It's on a 34-16 unders run following 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Take the Under.
05-08-13	Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 204.5	Top	100-91	Win	100	13 h 40 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Year on Warriors/Spurs Under 204.5 The Key: 212 total points were scored in regulation in Game 1, but I'm confident these teams won't come close to that tonight. The Spurs allowed Golden State to shoot 51% from the field, a figure that is completely unacceptable in their book. Prior to Game 1, these two hadn't exceeded 197 total points in their previous three meetings in San Antonio while the Spurs held the Warriors to 46.2% shooting or worse in each. It is also worth noting that these two combined for 24 3-point makes in Game 1. That's 8 more than they average combined. The Spurs are 7-2 Under in their last 9 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. They are also 12-2 Under this season in home games after scoring 105 points or more. Lastly, plays Under on home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 that have gone over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 43-12 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total for these games has been 204.1, but the teams fitting into this situation have combined for only 197.5 points on average. This system is 8-1 this season. Take the Under.
05-04-13	CHICAGO GM7 v. BROOKLYN GM7 UNDER 181.5	Top	99-93	Loss	-103	13 h 54 m	Show
7* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Bulls/Nets Under 181.5 The Key: Expect a defensive battle to come in under the number in this win-and-advance Game 7. Consider that plays "under" on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a playoff series that is tied, provided it is a matchup of two teams with winning records, are 34-14 (70.8%) the last 5 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Bulls are 54-31 "under" when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent under coach Thibodeau. While I expect Chicago to bring the "D", it will be challenged offensively. Leading scorer Luol Deng is expected to miss with an illness, and Kirk Hinrich, who leads the team with 5.2 assists per game, is listed as questionable with a calf injury. The Bulls know they don't stand a chance if the game turns into a track meet so I expect them to take the air out of the ball nearly every possession. That's how they won Game 2 in Brooklyn when just 172 total points were scored. Bet the Under.
05-02-13	Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 184	Top	95-92	Loss	-110	10 h 14 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Nets/Bulls Under 184 The Key: The Bulls hang their hat on defense. This is a team that ranked 29th in scoring with 93.2 ppg during the regular season but third in scoring defense with 92.9 ppg allowed. After holding the Nets around 35% shooting in Games 2 and 3, the Bulls have allowed them to shoot around 50% in Games 4 and 5. They especially can't be happy with the Game 5 performance because they had an opportunity to close out the series. Rest assured, Chicago will tighten the screws with an opportunity to win the series in front of their home fans. Coach Tom Thibodeau is known as a defensive guru, and the Bulls are 17-4 Under when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent under his watch. They are also 11-2 Under since coach Thibs took over after allowing 100 points or more in 2 straight games. Bet the Under.
04-27-13	INDIANA GM3 v. ATLANTA GM3 UNDER 190.5		69-90	Win	100	27 h 24 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Pacers/Hawks Under 190.5 The Key: The first two games of this series have gone way over. We saw 197 points in Game 1 and 211 in Game 2. In fact, we have seen at least 194 total points scored between these teams in five straight meetings. Judging by the number, the books clearly want the action on the over. I'm not going to oblige them. The matchups in Atlanta have been much lower scoring. These two have combined for 184 points or fewer in 4 of the last 6 meetings in Atlanta. Indiana is 55-37 under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is on a 27-9 unders run in home playoff games and a 19-6 unders run in first round in home playoff games. The Hawks are also on a 22-8 unders run in home games following 2 consecutive road losses of 10 points or more. Additionally, playing the under on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, provided they are playing 4 games or fewer in a 10-day span, carry a win percentage of 60-75% and are playing against a team that has a winning record, are 144-84 since 1996. This system is a perfect 6-0 this season. Bet the under.
04-25-13	Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 180		82-94	Win	100	13 h 35 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Clippers/Grizzlies Under 180 The Key: The first two games of the series have gone over the total as Memphis allowed the Clippers to shoot 55.4% and 47.4% from the field. The Grizzlies can't be happy with those defensive performances. We're talking about a team that finished the regular season ranked No. 1 in scoring defense (89.3 ppg allowed), No. 2 in 3-point field goal percentage defense (33.8%) and No. 3 in overall field goal percentage defense (43.5%). Rest assured, the Grizzlies will pick up the "D" at home and this one will find its way under as a result. The Memphis defense has been awesome at home where it had held opponents to an average of 87.0 points on 42.7% shooting. Losing has certainly perpetuated better defensive play for Memphis as it is 15-5 under the last 2 seasons after 2 or more consecutive losses. Revenge is another angle that has jump started the "D". Consider that Memphis is 11-2 under in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Lastly, the Grizzlies have been at their best defensively when rested. They are 12-1 under this season when playing just 4 or less games in 10 days. They have held their opponents to just 82.6 points on average in this spot. The under is 4-0 in the Grizzlies' last 4 home games and 17-5 in their last 22 versus the Western Conference. Take the Under.
04-24-13	Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187		98-113	Loss	-109	11 h 52 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Hawks/Pacers Under 187 The Key: We've seen at least 194 total points scored in each of the past 4 meetings between these two and oddsmakers have come up with a total of 187. They clearly expect a defensive battle tonight, and I completely agree. We saw 197 total points scored in Game 1, but Game 1 had several aberrations. For starters, Atlanta shot 50% from the field against the NBA's top field goal percentage defense. The Pacers limited foes to 42% shooting during the regular season. I don't expect the Hawks to shoot that well again. I also don't expect the Pacers to go 30 of 34 from the free throw line. They average just 18 makes on 24 attempts from the charity stripe per game. If Indiana just makes it average in Game 1, we would have seen just 185 total points scored. Playing the under when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points on teams that are well rested (3 or less games in 10 days), provided they have a winning record and are playing another winning teams, are 34-13 the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average posted total of 186.0, but teams have combined to score just 183.6 points on average in this situation. Also, the under is 6-2 in the Hawks' last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 6-2 in the Pacers' last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the Under.
04-22-13	Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 181.5		91-93	Loss	-105	13 h 8 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Bailout on Grizzlies/Clippers Under 181.5 The Key: Memphis allowed the Clippers to shoot 55.4% from the field in Game 1, but I fully expect it to tighten the screws here. The Grizzlies finished the regular season ranked 3rd in the NBA in field goal percentage defense, allowing only 43.5% shooting, and they had held the Clippers to 46.2% shooting or worse in each of the previous three meetings. Each of those 3 came in under this number as a result. In fact, prior to Game 1, 6 of the previous 7 meetings between these two had come in under the posted total. Home teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points if they average 99.0 points or more per game and are coming off a blowout win of 20 points or more are 54-23 under since 1996. This system is 14-3 under the last 3 seasons and a perfect 3-0 under this season. Also, the Grizzlies are 13-4 under the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. Take the Under.
04-22-13	Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 183.5		90-82	Win	100	10 h 23 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Bulls/Nets Under 183.5 The Key: The Bulls allowed Brooklyn to shoot 55.8% from the field in Game 1. That was an uncharacteristic performance to say the least considering the Bulls entered the playoffs ranked 9th in the NBA in field goal percentage defense, holding its foes to 44.3%. I expect a much better defensive effort from Chicago tonight and for this one to finish under as a result. The Bulls are 16-4 under the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. Chicago is also 19-6 under the last 3 seasons after allowing 105 points or more in their last game. Prior to Game 1, these two had combined to finish under the current total in 5 straight. Take the Under.
04-11-13	New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191		111-118	Loss	-103	11 h 33 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Knicks/Bulls Under 191 The Key: Oddsmakers consistently and purposefully set the bar too high for these Thursday TNT contests because of the amount of betting attention they receive. That's why the Knicks have played to the under in 5 of their last 6 Thursday nighters and the Bulls are on a 40-19-2 Thursday night unders run. The Bulls have played to the under in 25 of 39 home games this season, which comes as no surprise because they have been excellent defensively at the United Center, holding opponents to 90.3 ppg on 43.3% shooting. It bodes well for us that the Bulls lost their last home game as they tend to pick up the "D" following a loss. They are 8-1 under this season in home games off a home loss, and we have seen only 174.4 total points scored on average in this situation. The Knicks have been hitting on all cylinders offensively and have gone over the number in their last two as a result. However, New York is 11-2 under the last 2 seasons in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs. The Knicks have lost all 3 meetings with the Bulls this season and gave up 110 and 108 points to them in the last 2 so I expect them to tighten the screws defensively as well. We saw just 178 total points scored when these 2 met in Chicago earlier this season, and I'm expecting another low-scoring affair here.
02-07-13	Chicago Bulls v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 196.5	Top	96-128	Loss	-110	11 h 19 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Nuggets Under 196.5 The Key: With Hinrich out, Belinelli doubtful and Noah questionable, the Bulls could be down a few key players tonight. They know they can't afford to get into a track meet with Denver so I expect them to take the air out of the ball every chance they get. Plus, Chicago is one of the best defensive teams in the league but didn't look like it last time out when it gave up 111 points to Indiana. That poor performance should fuel a strong defensive effort tonight. Consider that the Bulls are 15-4 UNDER since Thibodeau took over after allowing 105 points or more in their last game. The Nuggets can put up points in bunches, but the Bulls are also 17-5 UNDER under coach Thibs versus explosive offensive teams that score 103+ points/game. Take the UNDER as fresh Chicago team that has had 2 days of rest really gets after it on "D" tonight.
01-31-13	Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 191.5	Top	89-106	Loss	-110	11 h 43 m	Show
7* TNT Total of the Month on Grizzlies/Thunder Under 191.5 The Key: We saw 204 total points scored when these two last met back in November in Oklahoma City, but I don't see the Thunder giving up 107 points to the Grizzlies on their home floor again, especially since Memphis will be without leading scorer Rudy Gay (traded) and likely won't have its new acquisitions available. Gay went for 28 in the first meeting so not having him on the floor will be a blow to the offense in the short term. The Thunder will tighten the screws defensively tonight after giving up 105 points to the Lakers last game. Memphis always brings the "D" and it knows it must be especially good on the defensive end tonight if it's going to hang with the defending Western Conference champs. The Grizzlies lead the NBA in scoring defense with 89.5 points allowed per game and are 19-7-1 Under in their last 27 games as a result. The Under is 37-18-1 in the Grizzlies' last 56 road games and 22-7 in their last 29 road games versus teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Thunder have had 3 days off so we can expect maximum effort from them on the defensive end. They have played to the under in 7 of their last 9 games when taking the floor on 3 days rest or more. Bet the Under.
01-22-13	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 201		109-97	Loss	-105	13 h 39 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Dominator on Thunder/Clippers Under 201 The Key: With neither of these teams wanting to drop a second straight game, I'm expecting a very hotly contested defensive battle this evening. It is significant that the Thunder check in off an upset loss at Denver as they are 17-6 Under following an upset loss over the last 2 seasons. We have seen just 196.1 total points scored in these games on average. Also, plays Under on road teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 that are off an upset loss on the road, provided they have a winning record and are playing another winning team, are 62-24 since 1996. This system is 15-3 the last 3 seasons and 5-1 this season. Bet the Under.
01-14-13	Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 184		99-73	Win	100	10 h 25 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" CA$H COW on Clippers/Grizzlies Under 184 The Key: It is significant that Memphis is checks in off a 104-83 upset loss at Dallas. That's because it is 8-0 Under following an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. We have seen just 179.1 total points scored on average in these games. The Grizzlies are also 7-0 Under after scoring 85 points or less this season. We have seen only 175.7 total points scored in these contests. We saw these teams combine for 193 points in the season's first meeting. However, they didn't score more than 178 total points in any of the 3 previous matchups. Bet the Under.
01-13-13	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 199.5		87-83	Win	100	12 h 25 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Trailblazers Under 199.5 The Key: Plays "under" on any top-caliber team that outscores its opponents by 9 points or more per game, after a blowout win by 15 points or more, are 70-41 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 189.3 total points scored in this situation. The under is 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 overall and 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Trailblazers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games. We only saw 198 total points scored in the season's first meeting when Oklahoma City shot 51.3% from the field. I don't see them lighting up the hoop like that in Portland where the Blazers are a much better defensive team. Bet the Under.
05-18-12	Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 174	Top	83-92	Loss	-109	11 h 3 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Year on Celtics/76ers Under 174 The Key: Plays Under on all teams when the total is 179.5 or less (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record - are 69-33 since 1996, including a perfect 2-0 the last 3 seasons. We've seen an average posted total of 174.9 but have only seen average of 169.6 total points scored in this situation. I'm expecting the lowest scoring game of the series tonight as both teams clamp down defensively. Take the Under and best of luck.
05-05-12	Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 187		86-87	Win	100	10 h 9 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Grizzlies/Clippers Under 187 The Key: Playing the "Under" on all playoff teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MEMPHIS), given the series is tied and the team sports a winning record, has produced a 35-9 mark the last 5 seasons. This system can't be ignored, especially since teams fitting into it are only combining for 180.2 points. Take the Under.
06-12-11	Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat UNDER 187.5	Top	105-95	Loss	-110	10 h 60 m	Show
7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Mavs/Heat Under 187.5 The Key: Prior to an offensive explosion in Game 5, the Mavs and Heat had been under the number in the first 4 games of the series. Expect the unders trend to continue as Miami tightens the screws defensively in hopes of extending this series. The Under is 8-1 in Miami's last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Under.
05-21-11	Dallas Mavericks v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 201	Top	93-87	Win	100	10 h 26 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Mavericks/Thunder Under 201 The Key: We've seen back-to-back high-scoring contests in Dallas but I expect that to change in OKC tonight, where these 2 teams have played to the Under in 7 of their last 8. Plus, plays on the Under on road teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 (DALLAS), if that team is looking to avenge an upset loss to an opponent, and if that team has won between 60 and 75% of its games on the season, are 36-15 the last 5 seasons. We have only seen an average of 197.6 total points scored in this situation. Bet the Under.
05-11-11	Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 181	Top	87-97	Loss	-105	5 h 15 m	Show
7* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Celtics/Heat Under 181 The Key: The Under is 19-8-1 in the Celtics' last 28 overall, 11-5-1 in their last 17 games following a S.U. loss and 14-4 in their last 18 games playing on 1 days' rest. The Under is 8-3 in the Heat's last 11 games following a S.U. win and 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Under.
05-10-11	Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 181	Top	83-95	Win	100	7 h 44 m	Show
7* NBA 2nd Round Total of the Year on Hawks/Bulls UNDER 181 The Key: The Under is 5-1 in the Bulls' last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 5-0 in the Hawks' last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. After a poor defensive effort from Chicago in Game 4, expect the Bulls to really dig in at the defensive end on their home floor tonight. This one should come in well under the number as a result.
05-08-11	Chicago Bulls v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 179		88-100	Loss	-105	9 h 14 m	Show
6* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Bulls/Hawks UNDER 179 The Key: Plays Under on any team in the 4th game of a playoff series are 108-54 the last 5 seasons, including 14-2 this season. Also, Atlanta is 19-5 UNDER as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and we have only seen an average of 175.9 total points scored in these games.
05-07-11	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 200.5		93-101	Win	100	7 h 39 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator (ESPN) on Thunder/Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 The Key: The Under is 4-1-1 in the Thunder's last 6 games as a road underdog and 8-3 in the Grizzlies' last 11 games as a home favorite. Take the Under.
05-03-11	Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 197.5		102-111	Loss	-105	8 h 59 m	Show
6* Grizzlies/Thunder UNDER 197.5 The Key: The Under is 5-2 in the Grizzlies' last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Thunder's last 5 overall and 9-4-1 in their last 14 games playing on 1 days' rest. Take the Under.
05-03-11	Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 182.5	Top	91-102	Loss	-110	5 h 28 m	Show
7* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Celtics/Heat UNDER 182.5 The Key: The Under is 7-1-1 in Miami's last 9 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 6-1 in its last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is 19-7-1 in Boston's last 27 overall, 11-4-1 in its last 16 on the road and 14-2 in its last 16 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Take the Under.
04-29-11	San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189	Top	91-99	Loss	-110	8 h 41 m	Show
7* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 189 The Key: The Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these teams in Memphis. The Under is 9-3-1 in the Spurs' last 13 playoff games as an underdog, 8-3 in the Grizzlies' last 11 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite. Expect defense to take center stage tonight as the Spurs fight to stay alive and the Grizzlies try to close it out.
04-28-11	Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 184		98-80	Win	100	7 h 9 m	Show
6* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 184 The Key: The Under is 42-19 in the Lakers' last 61 games when playing with a day of rest. The Under is also 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 road games and 10-3 in the Hornets' last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Under.
04-27-11	Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 204.5	Top	97-100	Win	100	8 h 12 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Nuggets/Thunder UNDER 204.5 The Key: The Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The Under is 7-1-2 in the Nuggets' last 10 road games. Denver is also 8-1 Under when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the 2nd half of the season this season. We are only seeing an average of 194.7 total points scored in these games. Pound the Under.
04-26-11	Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls OVER 187		89-116	Win	100	9 h 4 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator (TNT) on Pacers/Bulls OVER 187 The Key: Plays Over on any team (INDIANA) after a game in which both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less, provided its opponent also scored 35 points or less in the first half of its last game, are 42-17 the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have combined with their opponent to score an average of 190.1 points. Take the Over.
04-25-11	San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 188.5		86-104	Win	100	10 h 39 m	Show
6* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Grizzlies OVER 188.5 The Key: Plays Over on home teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MEMPHIS) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival and well rested (playing only their 2nd game in 5 days) - are 35-8 since 1996. We have seen an average of 195.9 total points scored with this system. Also, this system is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Over.
04-24-11	Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 189		82-86	Win	100	10 h 2 m	Show
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/76ers UNDER 189 The Key: The Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings in this matchup and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. The Under is 5-1 in the Heat's last 6 overall and 8-1 in the 76ers' last 9 overall. It is also 5-0 in Miami's last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 in the 76ers last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Under.
04-23-11	San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 191		88-91	Loss	-110	12 h 6 m	Show
6* NBA 'Over the Total' Shootout on Spurs/Grizzlies OVER 191 The Key: Both meetings in Memphis this season went over 200 total points and I fully expect this trend to continue. The Spurs are not the same lock-down defensive team they once were and the Grizzlies' inside game has given them plenty of problems. San Antonio is 11-3 OVER as a road underdog of 3 points or less this season and Memphis 8-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less this season. Both of these situations are seeing more than 200 total points scored on average.
04-22-11	Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 184	Top	100-86	Loss	-105	12 h 29 m	Show
7* NBA Playoff HEAVY HITTER on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 184 The Key: The Lakers are 8-0 UNDER in road games in the 2nd half of this season versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts. We are only seeing an average of 181.6 total points scored in these contests. The Lakers have the third-best 3-point shooting defense in the NBA. They do a great job of contesting shots and their length bothers perimeter shooters. Limiting the number of 3-pointers made bodes well for the Under. We'll take the Under in this one.
04-21-11	Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 186	Top	100-94	Win	100	7 h 16 m	Show
7* NBA Playoff HEAVY HITTER on Heat/76ers OVER 186 The Key: Miami is 7-0 OVER after a game in which it made 20% of its 3 point shots or worse this season. We are seeing an average of 211.5 total points scored in this situation. The Over is also 5-1 in the 76ers' last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Pound the Over.
04-20-11	New Orleans Hornets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 188	Top	78-87	Win	100	9 h 56 m	Show
7* NBA Playoff Total of the Week on Hornets/Lakers UNDER 188 The Key: After holding the Hornets to an average of 91.0 points during the regular season, the Lakers gave up 109 points to them in Game 1. I'm extremely confident they'll put the clamps on Chris Paul tonight to keep this one under the number. The Under is 25-10-1 in the Lakers' last 36 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more and 36-16 in their last 52 games playing on 2 days rest. Bet the Under.
01-09-11	New York Knicks v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 212		87-109	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
6* NBA Over/Under HEAVY HITTER on Lakers UNDER 212 The Key: The Under is 19-7 in the Lakers' last 26 overall, and I feel great about this one finishing Under tonight, considering Amare Stoudemire has been held to an average of just 15.1 points in 11 career regular season road games against the Lakers. The Under is 8-3 in the Lakers' last 11 home games and 12-2 in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. The Under is also 4-1 in the Knicks' last 5 games following a S.U. win of more than 10 points. Pound the Under.
12-29-10	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 197.5		92-101	Loss	-110	5 h 53 m	Show
6* NBA Total Annihilator on Cavs/Bobcats OVER 197.5 The Key: Odds makers are yet to adjust their line to reflect Charlotte's new uptempo style of play. The Bobcats combined with Detroit to score 205 Monday and I expect the Cavs and Bobcats to take this one over 200 as well. The Over is 8-3 in the Bobcats; last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Over.
12-27-10	Detroit Pistons v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 193		100-105	Win	100	5 h 26 m	Show
6* NBA Total of the Week on Pistons/Bobcats OVER 193 The Key: With Larry Brown out, the Bobcats are expected to play a much more offensive-minded game. In this style they'll score a lot more points and they'll also give up a lot more points. This number is too low for a team that is expected to run and gun under Silas. It is also worth noting that the Over is 7-3 in the Bobcats' last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Making the struggling Bobcats this big of a favorite tells us the books are expecting them to score some points. Bet the Over.
12-25-10	Miami Heat v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 195.5		96-80	Win	100	25 h 42 m	Show
6* NBA Total of the Week (ABC) on Heat/Lakers UNDER 195.5 The Key: The Under is 5-0 in the Heat's last 5 road games. The Under is 14-4 in the Lakers' last 18 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 9-0 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Under.
12-17-10	Miami Heat v. New York Knicks UNDER 211	Top	113-91	Win	100	4 h 24 m	Show
7* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year (ESPN) on Heat/Knicks UNDER 211 The Key: Odds makers have set the bar way too high here in an attempt to trap the public, who is piling on after seeing the high-scoring game New York played with Boston Wednesday. The Under is 6-0 in the Heat's last 6 after they score 100 points or more in their previous game - further evidence that the books try to trap bettors on previous game results. Take the Under tonight.
05-10-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 207	Top	111-96	Push	0	13 h 15 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Total of the Year on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 207 While the first 3 games of this series have found their way over the number, the Under is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah. The Lakers are 13-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season, and we are only seeing 189.3 points scored in these games on average. In other words, when odds makers have projected a close game for LA, they have almost all been low-scoring. With this being a closeout opportunity for the Lakers, and the Jazz fighting to stay alive, I expect both teams to step it up on the defensive end tonight. Bet the Under.
05-04-10	Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 199	Top	103-111	Loss	-110	10 h 53 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs HEAVY HITTER on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 199 Line analysis tells the story here as the Lakers are 8-1 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season, and we are only seeing an average of 187.2 total points scored in these games. 7 of the last 8 in this series have gone Under and I expect this trend to continue. Bet the Under.
04-22-10	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 193	Top	106-108	Loss	-110	5 h 15 m	Show
7* NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Cavs/Bulls UNDER 193 Play Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 25-4 the last 5 seasons, 15-2 the last 3 seasons and 2-0 this season. And, we are only seeing 184.7 points scored on average in this situation. I expect Game 3 to be a highly intense defensive battle and we should see this one come in Under the number as a result.
04-05-10	Butler v. Duke UNDER 129		59-61	Win	100	9 h 37 m	Show
6* NCAA Championship Game "Total" Dominator on Butler/Duke UNDER 129 Plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (BUTLER) after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games, are 54-27 since 1997. Teams in this situation have only combined for an average of 121 ppg. Butler has played to the Under in 4 straight and 10 of its last 13 because of how well it defends and because of its slow pace on offense. As a result, this one should also come in Under the number.
04-01-10	North Carolina v. Dayton UNDER 139.5		68-79	Loss	-110	5 h 21 m	Show
6* NIT "Total" Dominator on UNC/Dayton UNDER 139.5 Plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (N CAROLINA) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, and up against an opponent that has covered the number in 3 or more consecutive games, are 52-26 the last 5 years. The Under is also 20-7 in the Tar Heels' last 27 overall and 8-2 in the Flyers' last 10 non-conference games. We'll bet the Under behind this strong system.
03-16-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 208	Top	106-99	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Kings UNDER 208 Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, are 94-58 since 1996, including 40-21 the last 3 seasons. Since we are only seeing an average of 202 total points scored in these games, the Under is showing exceptional value tonight. Pound it!
03-12-10	Utah Jazz v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 197		87-95	Win	100	6 h 39 m	Show
6* NBA Total of the Week on Jazz/Bucks UNDER 197 The Under is 4-1 in the Jazz's last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 5-0 in the Bucks' last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The public is all over the Over here, but they are falling right into the bookmakers' trap. Consider that plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 64-32 since 1996 and 34-13 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.
03-03-10	Duke v. Maryland UNDER 148	Top	72-79	Loss	-110	6 h 17 m	Show
7* ACC Total of the Year on Duke/Maryland UNDER 148 In the last 5 meetings between these two teams we have not seen more than 145 points scored. This total is too high tonight, largely because Maryland just played a game that totaled 204 points, but Duke has played to the Under in 6 of its last 7 due to sensational defense. Here's the key: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DUKE) after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games, against an opponent that has scored 75 points or more 3 straight games, are 26-5 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.
02-26-10	Dallas Mavericks v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 194.5		111-103	Loss	-110	5 h 38 m	Show
6* NBA Total of the Night (ESPN) on Mavs/Hawks UNDER 194.5 Dallas is 9-1 UNDER in road games when revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. We'll bet the Under.
02-23-10	Phoenix Suns v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 204	Top	104-102	Loss	-110	5 h 17 m	Show
7* NBA HEAVY HITTER on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204 System Play: Plays Under on teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (Phoenix Suns) - a team winning between 51 to 60% of its games, playing a winning team, in February games, are a perfect 15-0 this season. With Nash not in the lineup tonight, the Suns' offense takes a big hit. We'll bet the Under here.
02-16-10	Boston Celtics v. Sacramento Kings OVER 199	Top	95-92	Loss	-115	8 h 55 m	Show
7* Tuesday Night NBA HEAVY HITTER on Celtics/Kings OVER 199 Here's the key: Plays Over on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games, are 43-14 since 1996. This situation is already 5-1 this season. Pound the Over.
02-09-10	Atlanta Hawks v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 199.5	Top	108-94	Loss	-106	6 h 47 m	Show
7* Tuesday NBA HEAVY HITTER on Hawks/Grizzlies UNDER 199.5 Play Under on Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 11-1 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under.
02-01-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 205.5	Top	93-95	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
7* Monday Night NBA HEAVY HITTER on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 205.5 With this being the last game of a long road trip, LA's only chance to survive is to slow the game down, and that's precisely what they'll do. The Lakers are 15-5 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 194.9 points scored in these spots. Take the Under.
01-29-10	Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 203	Top	84-101	Win	100	6 h 15 m	Show
7* Friday Night NBA HEAVY HITTER on Nuggets/Thunder UNDER 203 It doesn't get much better than this. Denver is 14-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 197.6 total points scored in these games. We'll take the Under as this one stays Under 200 total points.
01-28-10	Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 190	Top	94-96	Push	0	7 h 43 m	Show
7* Eastern Conference Total of the Year on Celtics/Magic UNDER 190 These two teams have played to the Under in 6 straight and I don't expect that trend to come to an end just yet, especially since Boston is 11-1 Under in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average combined score of 177.8 points in these games. Pound the Under.
01-27-10	Notre Dame v. Villanova UNDER 167	Top	72-90	Win	100	7 h 14 m	Show
7* Big East Total of the Year on Notre Dame/Villanova UNDER 167 Odds makers have set the bar way too high in this one. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 42-14 the last 5 seasons. Pound the Under.
01-22-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. New York Knicks UNDER 201.5		115-105	Loss	-105	10 h 21 m	Show
6* ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Knicks UNDER 201.5 The Under is 40-19 in the Knicks' last 59 overall, including 10-2 in their last 12 home games. The Knicks are also a Perfect 10-0 Under after playing a game as a home favorite this season. The Under is 5-1 in the Lakers' last 6 overall as well. We saw these two teams combine for just 190 points in the season's first meeting and I expect them to stay under the century mark again here.
01-21-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 194.5	Top	87-93	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
7* 2010 NBA Total of the Year (TNT) on Lakers/Cavs UNDER 194.5 We've seen 5 straight games in this series go Under the number and 7 of the last 8. We've also seen the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Cleveland go Under the number. The Lakers are only allowing 96.4 ppg and the Cavs are only giving up 94.6 ppg on the season. The Lakers will be extremely motivated to "D" up tonight after giving up 102 points to the Cavs in a loss on Christmas Day and they will have the energy to do so as the Under is 25-10 in the Lakers' last 35 games playing on 2 day's rest. The Under is 6-0 in the Lakers' last 6 games as an underdog and 5-0 in the Cavaliers' last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet the Under tonight.
01-15-10	San Antonio Spurs v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 189	Top	76-92	Win	100	3 h 23 m	Show
7* Vegas Line Mistake on Spurs/Bobcats UNDER 189 In the last 11 meetings between the Spurs and Bobcats, none of those games have exceeded this number with only 2 of those games tying it. As a result, this line is showing exceptional value tonight. Take the Under.
01-12-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 192	Top	85-105	Loss	-110	6 h 53 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Spurs OVER 192 The Lakers are a perfect 13-0 Over this season when both teams score 98 or more points in a game. This should be a given tonight when you consider that San Antonio is averaging 104.6 ppg at home and the Lakers are scoring 100.8 ppg on the road. The last two games in San Antonio went Over easy and we'll ride the Over again here.
01-08-10	Los Angeles Lakers v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 194.5	Top	98-107	Loss	-110	6 h 59 m	Show
7* NBA Total of the Week on Lakers/Blazers UNDER 194.5 The Lakers are 16-4 UNDER off a road loss over the last 2 seasons and the 19-4 UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Expect a defensive battle as both teams try to bounce back tonight.
01-05-10	Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 199.5		79-88	Win	100	11 h 2 m	Show
6* NBA Top Flight Total on Rockets/Lakers UNDER 199. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings overall. The Under is 4-0 in the Rockets' last 4 road games and 27-11 in their last 38 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Under is also 5-1 in the Lakers' last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet the Under.
12-30-09	Milwaukee Bucks v. Orlando Magic UNDER 195		92-117	Loss	-110	8 h 51 m	Show
6* NBA Total of the Night on Bucks/Magic UNDER 195 The Magic are 4-0-1 to the Under in their last 5 and 6-1-1 to the Under in their last 8. The Under is 20-6 in the Magic's last 26 games following an ATS loss and 16-5 in their last 21 games following a S.U. loss. The Under is also 4-0 in the Bucks' last 4 road games. I expect a dominant defensive performance by the Magic tonight to keep this one Under.
12-29-09	New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 194		104-87	Win	100	6 h 48 m	Show
6* NBA Total of the Night on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 194 NY has played 7 straight to the Under and it is 10-0 Under this season versus poor 3 point shooting teams making <=33% of their attempts this season. Expect this trend to reach 11-0 as Detroit is only shooting 25.7% from 3 at home this season, scoring only 91.1 ppg. Bet the Under.

Premium Picks

Odds