Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-12-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards +6.5 I cashed in the Wizards +8.5 in their first meeting with the Hawks on Monday in a 124-125 loss. I stated that this line would be closer to a pick 'em with Bradley Beal, and that the line was adjusted too much for his absence. It's still adjusted too much today. The Wizards come back as 6.5-point underdogs in the rematch. They will be the more motivated team for revenge and with a lot to play for trying to clinch a playoff spot and move up in the play-in standings. Washington is now 15-6 SU in its last 21 games overall with amazingly 5 of those losses coming by 3 points or less. So they are 20-1 ATS in their last 21 games with a line of +3.5 or higher. Enough said. Roll with the Wizards Wednesday. |
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05-11-21 | Mavs -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 104-133 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Dallas Mavericks -2 The Dallas Mavericks would be the 5th seed in the West if they win out. That would be huge because they would then likely take on the Denver Nuggets, who are without Jamaal Murray and the easiest target of the Top 4 contenders. The Mavericks have been fighting hard here down the stretch for weeks. They are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall with wins over the likes of the Heat, Nets, Warriors and Lakers (twice). Now they are in the preferred spot here as they had yesterday off and are rested and ready to go. Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after barely surviving in a 115-110 victory over the Pelicans last night, who were missing Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson and Steven Adams. The Grizzlies will now be playing their 5th game in 7 days, their 8th game in 12 days and their 11th game in 17 days. They haven't had two days off in a row since the All-Star Break. The Mavericks are 3-0 SU in their last three meetings with the Grizzlies winning those three games by a combined 36 points. Dallas is 8-1 ATS in road games off a road win this season. The Mavericks are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 games as road favorites. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a SU win. Bet the Mavericks Tuesday. |
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05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls +5 | 115-107 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +5 Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic returned three games ago just in time for the Bulls to make one final playoff push. They have put together their best three-game stretch of the entire season and are ready to take down the Brooklyn Nets tonight. The Bulls are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with a 21-point win at Charlotte, a 22-point home win over Boston and a 12-point road win at Detroit. Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets are struggling here down the stretch. They are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win coming after erasing a double-digit deficit to beat the short-handed Nuggets. The Bulls upset the Nets 115-107 at home in their lone meeting this season. Brooklyn is 2-10 ATS when revenging a loss as a favorite this season. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last six Tuesday games. Take the Bulls Tuesday. |
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05-10-21 | Rockets v. Blazers -14.5 | Top | 129-140 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Portland Trail Blazers -14.5 The Portland Trail Blazers are playing their best basketball of the season right now as they try and earn a Top 6 seed in the Western Conference so they avoid the play-in round. They are one game ahead of the Lakers for that 6th spot and will be highly motivated to finish the season strong because of it. The Blazers are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only loss coming on the road in the 2nd of a back-to-back situation at Atlanta where they were also playing their 5th road game in 7 days. Six of the seven wins came by double-digits, and the seven wins came by an average of 19.1 points per game. Now they take on the Houston Rockets, who might be the worst team in the NBA right now if it's not the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Rockets are 5-42 SU & 14-33 ATS in their last 47 games overall. Now they will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and are playing short-handed without Wall, Gordon, Bradley, Wilson, Porter Jr. and Brown. Christian Wood and Kelly Olynyk are both questionable tonight. The Rockets are 15-41 ATS in their last 56 games playing on one days' rest. The Blazers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a losing record. Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home meetings with Houston. Bet the Blazers Monday. |
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05-10-21 | Wizards +8.5 v. Hawks | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +8.5 The Washington Wizards are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games overall with three losses coming by 3 points or less. So they are 18-1 ATS in their last 19 games if they were a +3.5 dog or higher. And now they are catching 8.5 points against the Atlanta Hawks tonight. There should be an adjustment for Bradley Beal being out, but it should not be this big. If he was playing this line would be much closer to a pick 'em. He's not worth this many points even thought he has been tremendous for them. For one game at least, Russell Westbrook can rally the troops and keep the Wizards competitive tonight. The Wizards are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Washington is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight road games. The Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Wizards Monday. |
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05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers -5 | Top | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Portland Trail Blazers -5 The Portland Trail Blazers are surging right now in going 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. Their only loss came on the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 9th game in 14 days at Atlanta. Their six wins have come by an average of 18.7 points per game as they are playing their best basketball of the season. Both the Blazers and Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight. The difference is that the Blazers don't have to travel as they get to stay home after beating the Lakers last night. Meanwhile, the Spurs have to travel after beating the Kings in Sacramento last night. This is already a very tired Spurs team as almost nobody has played a tougher schedule rest-wise since the All-Star Break. In fact, they haven't had two days off in a row since the All-Star Break in early March. It's no wonder the Spurs are just 1-5 SU in their last six games and 10-18 SU in their last 28 games overall. They'll be playing in their 8th different city in their last nine games as well so there has been a ton of travel involved. The Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a losing record. Portland is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet the Blazers Saturday. |
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05-08-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. 76ers | 104-118 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +10.5 The Philadelphia 76ers are overvalued right now after winning seven straight games with five blowout wins among them. It's time to 'sell high' on the 76ers in what will be a very tough spot for them tonight. The 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. It will also be the 11th game in 18 days. They were in a dog fight with the Pelicans last night in a 109-107 victory, which forced their starters to play big minutes. All five starters played more than 31 minutes last night and they could choose to rest some of them. Detroit had yesterday off and will be the fresher team. The Pistons have remained competitive here down the stretch only losing one of their last six games by more than 10 points. They followed up a 3-point loss to the Hornets with an upset win over the Grizzlies by 14 points as 9-point dogs in their last two games coming in. The Pistons are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS against the 76ers in two meetings this season. They lost by 4 as 8.5-point home dogs and pulled the upset by 15 points as 5-point home dogs in their most recent meetings. Philadelphia is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games following four or more consecutive wins. Detroit is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the Pistons Saturday. |
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05-07-21 | Lakers v. Blazers -8 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
20* Lakers/Blazers ESPN No-Brainer on Portland -8 The Portland Trail Blazers are surging right now and living up to their potential at the end of the season. They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by double-digits and by an average of 21.4 points per game. It wasn't against soft competition either with all five wins coming on the road against the Pacers, Grizzlies, Nets, Celtics & Cavs. Their only loss was in the 2nd of a back-to-back situation at Atlanta. Now the Blazers take on the reeling Los Angeles Lakers who just can't catch a break in the health department. The Lakers are 2-7 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. They are back to being without LeBron James and Dennis Shroeder. Anthony Davis had to leave last night's game with a back injury and is questionable to play tonight. The Lakers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days here. They won't have much left in the tank for the Blazers, and they definitely don't have enough talented bodies to be able to stay with them with the way they are playing right now. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as favorites. Take the Blazers Friday. |
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05-07-21 | Rockets v. Bucks -16.5 | 133-141 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Bucks -16.5 The Milwaukee Bucks are surging right now in going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with wins over the Nets (twice), Wizards and Bulls. They are now just 0.5 games behind the Nets for 2nd place in the East and it is big for them to get home-court advantage because they will likely meet up in the 2nd round. That's why I'm not concerned about the Bucks taking the Rockets lightly tonight. Plus, the Rockets don't have enough talented bodies on the floor right now to even be competitive against Milwaukee's B-squad. The thing is the Bucks are fully healthy right now and not expected to sit anyone with what's at stake with the regular season coming to an end soon. The Rockets are without Wall, Gordon, Bradley, Wilson, House, Brown and Porter Jr. Plus Wood, Olynyk and Augustin are all questionable. It's no wonder the Rockets are just 5-40 SU & 12-33 ATS in their last 45 games overall. That includes three straight blowout losses to the Warriors by 26, the Knicks by 25 and the 76ers by 20. It should be more of the same tonight against the Bucks. Houston is 1-10 ATS following three straight losses by 10 points or more this season. The Rockets are 14-41 ATS in their last 55 games playing on one days' rest. Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games. Another reason the Bucks won't take the Rockets lightly is because they just lost to them on April 29th just over a week ago, so they will be out for revenge as well. Roll with the Bucks Friday. |
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05-06-21 | Thunder +14.5 v. Warriors | 97-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +14.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are getting healthy and playing for pride here down the stretch. They have covered the spread in each of their last two games with a 3-point loss to the Suns as 15.5-point underdogs and a 4-point loss to the Kings as 5.5-point dogs. And they should stay within 14.5 points of the Golden State Warriors tonight. The Warriors are just a middle-of-the-pack NBA team and they shouldn't be laying 14.5 points to anyone. They are without Wiseman and Paschall and could be without Oubre Jr., who is questionable tonight. Steph Curry is scoring a ton of points and putting up huge numbers because he has to with this team that is lacking overall talent. The Warriors just aren't that good, and Curry gets too many headlines giving them more respect than they deserve. Oklahoma City is 34-17 ATS in its last 51 games as a road underdog. Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a favorite. Take the Thunder Thursday. |
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05-06-21 | Bulls -2 v. Hornets | Top | 120-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -2 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Bulls. They have battled through injuries and are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall against a brutal schedule with losses to the Knicks, Bucks, Hawks and 76ers. Now the Bulls get a break in the schedule here as they come in on two days' rest, so they will be fresh and ready to go. They will get their best player back in Zach LaVine from quarantine tonight and are as healthy as they have been all season with Nikola Vucevic also probable. They still have an outside shot to make the playoffs with a big finish and will fight for it. The Bulls take a step down in competition here against the Charlotte Hornets, who are 5-9 SU & 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Hornets are banged up right now as they are missing Gordon Hayward, Miles Bridges, Devonte Graham and Cody Martin. They won't fare well against the rested Bulls without those guys tonight. The Bulls are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against the Hornets this season with two blowout victories by 13 points on the road and by 17 points at home. It should be more of the same tonight. Chicago is 7-0 ATS after losing six or seven of its last eight games this season. Bet the Bulls Thursday. |
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05-05-21 | Spurs +6.5 v. Jazz | 94-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +6.5 I love the spot for the San Antonio Spurs tonight. They are highly motivated for a victory as they sit in 10th place in the West and currently in the playoffs if the season were to end today. They lead the Pelicans by 2 games for that final playoff spot. Now the Spurs want revenge from a 99-110 loss at Utah on Monday in what was a terrible spot for them. The Spurs were coming off three straight losses by 5 points or less, were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 13 days. They had nothing left to give and still made that game competitive. Now the Spurs come back as 6.5-point dogs in the rematch and had yesterday off to finally rest. They should be able to put their best foot forward tonight, and that will be good enough to hang with and possibly beat a Utah Jazz team that just isn't as good without both Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley. The Jazz have been held to 112 or fewer points in seven of their last eight games overall. That's a big reason they are just 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. San Antonio is 25-5 ATS in its last 30 games when revenging a road loss by 10 points or more. The Spurs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. San Antonio is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games overall. Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games. Take the Spurs Wednesday. |
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05-05-21 | Wizards +5 v. Bucks | Top | 134-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Wizards +5 The Washington Wizards are surging right now as they try and make the playoffs. They have gone 13-3 SU in their last 16 games overall with two of those losses coming by a combined 4 points. Now they are catching 5 points from the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. This is an awful spot for the Bucks, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, their 5th game in 7 days, and their 8th game in 13 days. And they are coming off two straight wins over the Brooklyn Nets, so this is a huge letdown spot for them as well. Not to mention they won't have anything left in the tank for the Wizards, who play at a break-neck pace and will test those tired legs. Washington is 10-1 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. The Wizards are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games. Bet the Wizards Wednesday. |
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05-05-21 | 76ers -13.5 v. Rockets | 135-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -13.5 The Philadelphia 76ers are determined to get the top seed in the Eastern Conference as they sit 1.5 games ahead of the Nets for 1st place. They are playing like it as they have gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with those five wins coming by an average of 22.2 points per game. Now they should make easy work of the Houston Rockets, who are just 5-39 SU & 12-32 ATS in their last 44 games overall. That includes two straight blowout home losses to the Warriors by 26 and the Knicks by 25 coming in. The Rockets just can't even be competitive right now because they are missing so many key players like Gordon, Wall, House, Wilson and Brown. Christian Wood will try to play through a knee injury, while DJ Augustin is questionable tonight. Houston is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games after trailing in its previous game by 15 points or more at halftime. Philadelphia is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite. The Rockets are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games as home underdogs. Philadelphia won't take Houston lightly tonight due to its current standing in the Eastern Conference. Roll with the 76ers Wednesday. |
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05-05-21 | Blazers -11 v. Cavs | Top | 141-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Portland Trail Blazers -11 The Portland Trail Blazers are starting to finally live up to their potential. They have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last four games overall with all four of those victories coming by double-digits and by an average of 17.8 points per game. The four wins came against Indiana, Memphis, Brooklyn and Boston so it's not like they are beating up against a soft schedule. Their only loss came on the road at Atlanta in a very tough situation as they were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th road game in 7 days. But now the Blazers are rested having yesterday off. The same cannot be said for the Cavaliers, who are in an awful spot tonight playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after an overtime loss to the Phoenix Suns last night. They are already missing several key players and they could rest some more starters after all five starters played at least 33 minutes last night. The Cavaliers are now 1-10 SU & 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall with those 10 losses coming by an average of 13.0 points per game. The Cavaliers are 1-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games this season. Portland beat Cleveland 129-110 at home in their lone meeting earlier this season. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the Blazers Wednesday. |
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05-04-21 | Raptors +9.5 v. Clippers | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
15* Raptors/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto +9.5 The Toronto Raptors are fighting to stay alive in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They have played three straight competitive road games against three of the best teams in the Western Conference in the Nuggets (10-point loss), Jazz (4-point loss) and Lakers (7-point outright win as 10.5-point dogs). Now they face another of the top teams in the West in the Clippers and are catching too many points once again. Asking the Clippers to win by double-digits to cover this spread with the way they are playing right now is asking too much. The Clippers are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. They lost outright to both the Pelicans and Nuggets as favorites, lost by 8 at Phoenix, and only beat Houston by 5 as 9-point favorites. They seem to be just going through the motions right now just waiting for the playoffs to get here. The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as favorites. Toronto is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 road games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% of their shots or better. Take the Raptors Tuesday. |
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05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Pelicans -2 The New Orleans Pelicans will be out for revenge after laying an egg last night against the Golden State Warriors. They trailed by 20 points in the 1st quarter and never recovered, losing 108-123 as 2-point favorites. Look for them to put forth a much better showing with their season on the line tonight. The Warriors shot 53.4% as a team while the Pelicans shot just 43.3%. The Pelicans also shot just 5-of-25 from 3-point range for 20%, while the Warriors shot 17-of-44 for 38.6%. It's unlikely their will be that big of a disparity again from 3-point range. The Warriors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games when playing on zero rest. Golden State is 3-11 ATS after two or more consecutive wins this season. The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and should get back to playing how they were prior to this aberration of a game. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss by more than 10 points. Bet the Pelicans Tuesday. |
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05-03-21 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 The Memphis Grizzlies will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing three of their last four games coming in. This is a great time to 'buy low' on them as only 2.5-point home favorites over the New York Knicks tonight. It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Knicks, who have gone 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall and are finally starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers. It's also a terrible spot for the Knicks playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a road win at Houston on Sunday. They had to travel all the way to Memphis overnight. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies had yesterday off and come into this game as healthy as they have been all season. They will also be motivated for revenge from a 129-133 road loss at New York less than a month ago on April 9th. They blew a big 4th quarter lead in that game and eventually lost in OT. They have not forgotten. Plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (New York) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, against an opponent that went under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 27-8 (77.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. Memphis is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games. The Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Memphis. Take the Grizzlies Monday. |
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05-03-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
20* Warriors/Pelicans ESPN No-Brainer on New Orleans -2 The New Orleans Pelicans (29-35) are in must-win mode. They are in 11th place in the West and the top 10 teams make the playoffs. One of the teams they are trailing for that final spot is the Golden State Warriors (32-32). Knowing they have a chance to gain some ground here assures that they will be max motivated. The Pelicans have come up clutch here of late with the pressure on. They have played their best basketball of the season in going 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their only loss coming by 2 at Denver as 3.5-point dogs. They crushed the Clippers by 17 in their lone home game during this stretch, while also beating Oklahoma City by 14 and Minnesota by 4 on the road. The Warriors are 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with their two wins coming against non-playoff contenders in the Kings and Rockets. They also lost by 12 at Minnesota and by 30 at home to Dallas. Now they will be without Kelly Oubre Jr. tonight, plus Andrew Wiggins is questionable. The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. Golden State is 16-33-2 ATS in its last 51 games following a win by more than 10 points. New Orleans is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 Monday games. Bet the Pelicans Monday. |
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05-02-21 | Kings +7 v. Mavs | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +7 This is an awful spot for the Dallas Mavericks. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a hard fought 125-124 victory over the Washington Wizards last night. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Mavericks and the 8th game in 12 days. Luka Doncic played 39 minutes last night and Dorian-Finney Smith played 40 minutes. Both of those guys played through injury, as did Maxi Kleber. Kristaps Porzingis sat out with a knee injury. There's a good chance one or more of these players sit Sunday in this awful spot. The Kings have remained competitive here down the stretch in going 4-3 SU in their last seven games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games. They have two upset wins over the Mavericks during this stretch already by 14 and 7 points. And they just upset the Lakers as double-digit dogs. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. The Kings are 20-6-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven trips to Dallas. Roll with the Kings Sunday. |
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05-02-21 | Blazers +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 129-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
20* Blazers/Celtics NBA TV No-Brainer on Portland +2.5 The Portland Trail Blazers are finally healthy and playing up to their potential. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their three games overall with three straight blowout road wins over the Pacers by 21, the Grizzlies by 21 and the Nets by 19. And now they are underdogs to the Celtics today when they shouldn't be. The Blazers want revenge from a 115-116 home loss to the Celtics on April 13th just three weeks ago. They will get their revenge this time around against a Celtics team that is just 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Their only two victories during this stretch came against Charlotte and San Antonio at home. They were upset as 8-point favorites by Charlotte and as 11-point favorites against Oklahoma City during this stretch. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as underdogs. Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games. Boston is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games following a win. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as favorites. Boston will be without Kemba Walker today. Bet the Blazers Sunday. |
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05-02-21 | Nets v. Bucks -2 | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
15* Nets/Bucks ABC ANNIHILATOR on Milwaukee -2 The Milwaukee Bucks will be highly motivated for a victory today when they host the Brooklyn Nets. They have a chance to close the gap on the Nets today and move their way up in the Eastern Conference standings to try and get home-court advantage. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Nets, who are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They are still without James Harden and are dealing with a handful of injuries. The Bucks are playing well in going 4-2 SU in their last six games with all four wins coming by 7 points or more. They won their last two home games in dominant fashion over the 76ers by a combined 45 points. The Bucks want revenge from a 2-point road loss at Brooklyn in their lone meeting this season. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. The Bucks are 27-11-1 ATS in the last 39 meetings. Take the Bucks Sunday. |
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05-01-21 | Wizards +6 v. Mavs | Top | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +6 The Washington Wizards are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games overall and playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall. And now they are getting no respect here as 6-point underdogs to the Dallas Mavericks. The oddsmakers are factoring in the back-to-back situation for the Wizards too much here. But they blew out the Cavaliers 122-93 last night, which meant they could rest their starters for much of the 2nd half. Bradly Beal played just 26 minutes last night and Russell Westbrook 31 while no other starter played more than 22 minutes. The Wizards will still have plenty left in the tank tonight. It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Mavericks after going 5-1 SU in their last six games overall against a very soft schedule. Maxi Kleber, Kristaps Porzingis and Dorian Finney-Smith are all questionable for the Mavericks tonight while Luka Doncic will try and play through his elbow injury. They shouldn't be favored by 6 here when they aren't close to full strength. The Wizards are 9-0 ATS after winning three of their last four games this season. Washington is 9-1 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. Dallas is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 home games after a road win. Washington is 25-10 ATS in its last 35 games playing on zero rest. The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Wizards Saturday. |
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05-01-21 | Pacers v. Thunder +6.5 | 152-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 The Indiana Pacers cannot be trusted to go on the road and lay 6.5 points to anyone in their current state. They are banged up and coming off two straight blowout losses to Portland by 21 and Brooklyn by 17. The injury report is ugly for the Pacers right now with Sabonis, Brodgon, Lamb and Sumner all questionable while Turner, Warren and Sampson are all out. The Thunder are a lot healthier now than they were during their recent 14-game losing streak that just ended with an upset win over the Boston Celtics as double-digit road dogs. Indiana is 0-7 ATS after allowing 130 points or more this season. Oklahoma City is 27-13 ATS revenging a same-season loss over the last two seasons. They only lost 116-122 at Indiana on April 21st less than two weeks ago. They will be out for revenge here at home this time around. Roll with the Thunder Saturday. |
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04-30-21 | Jazz v. Suns -4 | Top | 100-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Phoenix Suns -4 The Phoenix Suns are just one game behind the Utah Jazz for the top seed in the Western Conference. So there will be no letdown here off their huge win over the Clippers on Thursday. Look for the Suns to make easy work of the short-handed Jazz tonight. The Jazz are getting too much respect off their blowout win at Sacramento last time out. But remember they were upset as double-digit favorites by the Timberwolves in their two games prior. And they are faltering of late in going just 6-10 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The reason for this slide by the Jazz is simple. They are overvalued due to having the best record in the West, and now they are playing without two of their best players in Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley. They stand little chance of even being competitive with the Suns without those two. Phoenix is a sensational 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Utah is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz are 0-7 ATS in their last seven Friday games. The Suns are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 home games. Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the Suns Friday. |
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04-30-21 | Blazers v. Nets | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Portland Trail Blazers PK It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Portland Trail Blazers right now. They recently went 1-7 over an eight-game stretch where they lost a ton of close games. But they have since finally lived up to their potential after getting healthy in their last two games, blowing out Indiana by 21 and Memphis by 21 on the road. Now is a great time to 'sell high' on the Brooklyn Nets, who are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. But the Nets have all kinds of injury problems right now. They will be without James Harden, Kevin Durant is doubtful, and Kyrie Irving is questionable. Bruce Brown is also questionable for the Nets. Look for the Nets to likely play this cautiously with their stars because they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, and they have a huge double-header coming up on deck against the Milwaukee Bucks that they want to be fully healthy for. Durant played 36 minutes against the Pacers last night and will almost certainly sit with Harden. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Portland) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against an opponent that has scored 105 points or more in four straight games are 29-5 (85.3%) ATS since 1996. The Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on zero rest. Bet the Blazers Friday. |
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04-29-21 | Pelicans v. Thunder +9.5 | 109-95 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are getting healthier here for the stretch run. They can put their 14-game losing streak behind them and look to play for pride here with this young team that has a lot to prove. They are coming off an upset win as 11-point dogs at Boston last time out. Now the Thunder are rested after having yesterday off. The same cannot be said for the Pelicans, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a tough 112-114 loss in the altitude in Denver last night. It will also be the 3rd game in 4 days for the Pelicans and 17th game in 29 days in April as they haven't had two days off in a row since the end of March. It's no wonder the Pelicans are just 2-6 SU In their last eight games overall. They are also just 10-19 SU on the road this season. Asking them to go on the road in this difficult rest spot and win by double-digits to cover this 9.5-point spread is asking too much tonight. Oklahoma City is 22-9 ATS in its last 31 games after playing two consecutive road games. The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites. New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last six meetings with Oklahoma City. Take the Thunder Thursday. |
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04-29-21 | Raptors +3 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-121 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors +3 This is a very tough spot for the Denver Nuggets. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a narrow 114-112 win over the New Orleans Pelicans last night. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Nuggets. Compounding matters is that the Nuggets are without three of their best players in Jamal Murray, Monte Morris and Will Barton. Playing a close game last night meant their starters had to play big minutes with Porter Jr playing over 39 minutes, Jokic over 36 and Campazzo over 36. Being short-handed makes this spot even more difficult, and the Nuggets won't have much left in the tank tonight. They face a rested, healthy Raptors team that had yesterday off and is highly motivated to make the playoffs. The Raptors sit two games out of the playoffs with 10 games left, so they need wins like blood here down the stretch. This is one they should get given the tough spot for the Nuggets. Toronto is playing some of its best basketball of the season right now in going 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall. The Raptors are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in the last two meetings, including their 135-111 home win over the Nuggets in their first meeting this season. Denver is 4-12 ATS when revenging a loss this season. Toronto is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% or better. Bet the Raptors Thursday. |
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04-28-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 83-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 It's a rare opportunity to 'buy low' on the Philadelphia 76ers. They had lost four straight before blasting Oklahoma City by 31. And now they are only 7.5-point home favorites over the depleted Atlanta Hawks tonight. The Hawks will be without Trae Young, Cam Reddish, De'Andre Hunter, Tony Snell and Kevin Huerter tonight. They just lost outright to the Pistons by 14 last time out without Young and most of those guys, and they don't stand much of a chance to stay competitive here against a 76ers team that is basically at full strength now. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. The 76ers are 23-7 at home this season and have been one of the best home teams in the NBA over the past couple seasons. Philadelphia is 35-22 ATS in all home games over the last two seasons. The 76ers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after failing to cover four or five of their last six games. Atlanta is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Bet the 76ers Wednesday. |
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04-27-21 | Mavs v. Warriors -2.5 | Top | 133-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
20* Mavs/Warriors TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -2.5 The Golden State Warriors are surging right now to try and make the playoffs behind a historic month from Stephen Curry shooting 3-pointers. The Warriors are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only losses coming at Boston by 5 and at Washington by 4. They have two upset wins over Denver during this stretch. Now the Warriors are rested after having yesterday off and take on a tired Dallas Mavericks team that will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They just lost 106-113 in Sacramento last night and won't have much left in the tank for the Warriors. Plus, Kristaps Porzingis and Josh Richardson are both questionable to play tonight, and don't be surprised if Luka Doncic is a late scratch after showing up on the injury report prior to yesterday's game. Doncic played nearly 38 minutes last night in that loss to the Kings. Dallas is 6-16 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. Dallas is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a loss. Golden State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a home favorite. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Bet the Warriors Tuesday. |
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04-27-21 | Nets v. Raptors +6 | 116-103 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Raptors +6 The Toronto Raptors have gotten healthy here down the stretch and are fighting hard to make the playoffs. They currently sit in a tie for 11th place in the East just one game behind the Wizards for that 10th spot, and the top 10 teams make the playoffs this year. They need this game like blood. The Raptors are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and are coming off an 18-point win over Cleveland last night. So they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but the situation is eased because none of their starters played big minutes last night due to the blowout. They will have no problem finding the energy to get up to face the Brooklyn Nets tonight. Toronto just beat Brooklyn 114-103 at home on April 21st less than a week ago. Granted, they didn't have to face Kevin Durant in that game, but he won't make a big enough difference here. The Raptors go from being a 4.5-point favorite in that first meeting to a 6-point underdog in the rematch, a 10.5-point adjustment which is too much for this situation. The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as road favorites. The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Toronto is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in this series. Take the Raptors Tuesday. |
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04-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +3 | 118-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks +3 What more do the New York Knicks have to do to get some respect from oddsmakers? They have gone 10-2 SU & 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games overall with their only two losses both coming by exactly 2 points on the road to Brooklyn and Boston. They have won and covered nine straight since those defeats with six wins by double-digits. Now the Knicks are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and ready to extend their winning streak to 10 games. They take on a tired Phoenix Suns team that is playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 119-128 shootout loss at Brooklyn yesterday. The Suns won't have enough left in the tank to match the energy level of the Knicks tonight. New York is 16-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Suns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Take the Knicks Monday. |
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04-26-21 | Hawks v. Pistons +5 | Top | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +5 The Detroit Pistons have remained competitive despite being out of playoff contention. And they are basically as healthy as they have been all season now with their best player in Jerami Grant (22.6 PPG) back in the lineup. While the Pistons are rested after having yesterday off, the Atlanta Hawks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days tonight. This is also a huge letdown spot for the Hawks after two straight upset home victories over the Heat and Bucks their past two games. They managed to win those games without Trae Young, Tony Snell, De'Andre Hunter and Cameron Reddish. And all four will remain out tonight. So being short-handed in this 5 in 7 days spot will make it even that much more difficult. All five starters played at least 29 minutes for the Hawks last night. Detroit is 20-5 ATS following an ATS loss this season. The Pistons are 11-3 ATS after three or more consecutive losses this season. The Hawks are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games playing on zero rest. Bet the Pistons Monday. |
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04-25-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -4 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
25* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Portland Trail Blazers -4 The Portland Trail Blazers are already highly motivated for a win Sunday after dropping four straight and six of their last seven all by single-digits. They have four losses by a combined 5 points during this stretch. That includes their 128-130 home loss to the Grizzlies on Friday. Now the Blazers don't have to wait long for revenge as they host the Grizzlies again here two days later. They will be the more motivated team, and that will lead to an easy win and cover as identical 4-point favorites that they were in the first meeting. The Grizzlies are likely to be without Jonas Valanciunas again, and now they will also be without Jaren Jackson Jr., who has averaged 19.0 PPG since returning from injury. He had 23 points in just under 25 minutes against the Blazers on Friday as they had no answer for him. HIs loss is a big one. Plays against underdogs (Memphis) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 91-54 (62.8%) ATS since 1996. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Portland) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, while also off two or more consecutive home losses are 80-45 (64%) ATS since 1996. Portland is 8-2 ATS following two or more consecutive losses this season. The home team is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Bet the Blazers Sunday. |
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04-25-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Nets | 119-128 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
15* Suns/Nets ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Phoenix +2.5 The Phoenix Suns are coming off a loss to the Boston Celtics on the 2nd of a back-to-back. They have since had two days off to rest and get ready for this game with Brooklyn. And the Suns haven't lost two in a row since late-January. Phoenix is a perfect 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in its last nine games following a loss. While the Suns are almost fully healthy, the Nets will be without James Harden once again. They should have Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, but that won't be enough to take down the Suns. And it's also a much tougher rest spot for the Nets who will be playing their 8th game in 13 days. Phoenix also wants revenge from blowing a 21-point halftime lead in their first meeting this season to the Nets. The Suns are 9-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last two seasons. Brooklyn is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 home games after two consecutive division games. The Suns are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss. Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as road underdogs. Roll with the Suns Sunday. |
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04-24-21 | Wolves +13.5 v. Jazz | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Minnesota Timberwolves +13.5 You're paying a tax to back the Utah Jazz at this point due to having the best record in the NBA at 44-15. That tax has made it a profitable move to fade the Jazz here down the stretch as they are just 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Now the Jazz shouldn't be laying 13.5 points against almost anyone because they are without their best player in Donovan Mitchell (26.4 PPG, 5.2 APG). They are good enough to still win this game, but asking them to win by 14-plus points to beat us is asking too much. The Timberwolves are playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch. They have recent upset wins over the Heat by 8 as 7-point dogs and the Kings by 14 as 3.5-point dogs. The trio of Karl-Anthony Towns, De'Angelo Russell and Anthony Edwards are showing what they are capable of playing together and having a lot of fun despite being eliminated from the playoffs. They will relish this opportunity to try and take down the 'best' team in the NBA. The Timberwolves are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss. Minnesota is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 9-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season. Take the Timberwolves Saturday. |
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04-24-21 | Spurs v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 110-108 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Pelicans -2 The New Orleans Pelicans are sitting in 11th place in the Western Conference. They are 3.5 games behind the Spurs for the 10th and final playoff spot. It's safe to say this is a must-win for them, and they will be playing their most inspired basketball of the season tonight because of it. It should be enough to get the win and cover against the Spurs are mere 2-point home favorites here tonight. The Pelicans are coming off one of their best performances of the season in a 135-100 road win over the Magic to end a four-game losing streak in which they were in every game but just couldn't pull it out late. Nobody has played a tougher schedule rest-wise than the Spurs since the All-Star Break. THey haven't had two days off in a row since the break. They will be playing their 25th game in 42 days here. It's no wonder the Spurs are just 7-13 SU in their last 20 games overall. The home team has won both meetings this season. The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win by more than 10 points. Stan Van Gundy is 40-19 ATS in home games after having lost four of his last five games as a head coach. This is a great 'buy low' spot on the inspired Pelicans tonight. Bet the Pelicans Saturday. |
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04-23-21 | Nuggets v. Warriors +2.5 | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
15* Nuggets/Warriors ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +2.5 The Denver Nuggets have managed to go 4-0 SU in their four games since losing Jamal Murray to injury. But their luck runs out tonight after winning their last two games over Memphis and Portland by a combined 3 points. The Warriors simply need wins more right now as they are fighting to make the playoffs. And they have come up very clutch here down the stretch with the pressure on. The Warriors are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with their only losses both coming on the road to Boston by 5 and Washington by 4, two teams that are playing very well right now. One of those wins during this stretch came 116-107 at home over Denver as 5-point dogs. Steph Curry scored 53 points as the Nuggets had no answer for him. And he is playing as well as he ever has right now, plus he is getting some help from Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre Jr that he didn't have before. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Nuggets. Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games. The Warriors are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Golden State. The Nuggets are 0-8 ATS in road games when revenging a road loss this season. Roll with the Warriors Friday. |
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04-23-21 | Heat -5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami Heat -5 The Miami Heat have finally gotten healthy and are starting to play like the team that made it all the way to the NBA Finals last year. They are currently the 7th seed in the East and want to avoid the play-in at all costs. They trail the Celtics for the 6th seed by just one game, and the Top 6 teams don't have to play in the play-in games. The Heat have made a statement here of late by going 9-4 SU in their last 13 games, including 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three with an upset win over the Nets as 5-point dogs, a 22-point home win over the Rockets and a 20-point road win over the Spurs. Now the Heat take on a depleted Atlanta Hawks team that will be missing their best player in Trae Young (25.3 PPG, 9.6 APG). He left the Knicks' game last time out and they blew a big lead and went on to lose in overtime. The Hawks will also be without DeAndre Hunter, Cam Reddish, Danilo Gallinari and Tony Snell. They could be without Clint Capela, who is questionable. Plays against home underdogs (Atlanta) - after covering four or five of their last six ATS, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 42-15 (73.7%) ATS since 1996. The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Heat Friday. |
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04-22-21 | 76ers v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
20* 76ers/Bucks TNT No-Brainer on Milwaukee -5.5 The Milwaukee Bucks will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. After winning three straight road games by a combined 73 points, the Bucks have come back and lost their last two home games in upset fashion to the Grizzlies and Suns, two teams playing some great basketball right now. The Bucks are fully healthy and rested and primed for a big effort tonight. They come in on two days' rest having last played Phoenix on Monday. Meanwhile, the 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a tough 113-116 home loss to the Phoenix Suns last night. Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris and Seth Curry all sat out last night and are questionable to return tonight with various injuries and illnesses. Now Joel Embiid is questionable with a knee injury and could sit on this 2nd of a back-to-back after playing nearly 33 minutes and scoring 38 points against the Suns last night. The Bucks have owned the 76ers in going 9-4 SU in the last 13 meetings eight of those nine wins coming by 6 points or more. The 76ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as road underdogs. Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last six home meetings with Philadelphia. Bet the Bucks Thursday. |
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04-21-21 | Grizzlies +2 v. Clippers | Top | 105-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Memphis Grizzlies +2 The Memphis Grizzlies have quietly gone 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall. They have been underrated for over a month now. They beat the Bulls by 11 and the Bucks by 13 in in their last two road games before losing in double-overtime at Denver despite leading basically the entire way. Now the Grizzlies come in rested after having yesterday off. The same cannot be said for the Clippers, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-112 win over the Blazers without Damian Lillard in Portland last night. They will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days and their 9th game in 14 days here. The Clippers won't have Kawhi Leonard, Serge Ibaka or Patrick Beverly again tonight. Paul George played 36 minutes last night and it wouldn't be surprising if he rests either. Either way, being short-handed already makes this spot even more difficult for the Clippers tonight. Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA Clippers) - a good team outscoring opponents by 6-plus points per game, after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games are 43-16 (72.9%) ATS since 1996. The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 6-0 ATS in their last six games as underdogs. Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday. |
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04-21-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. Mavs | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +10.5 The Dallas Mavericks aren't playing well enough right now to be laying double-digits to the Detroit Pistons. The Mavericks are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall which includes upset home losses to the Kings as 8.5-point favorites, the Knicks as 6.5-point favorites and the Spurs as 6-point favorites. They also lost by 18 at home to the 76ers and their lone victory came by a single point at Memphis on a buzzer-beater. The Detroit Pistons continue to play prideful basketball despite basically being eliminated from playoff contention. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall which includes two narrow defeats to one of the best teams in the NBA in the Clippers by 7 points on the road and by 2 points at home. Now the Pistons get a big boost tonight as their best player in Jerami Grant is expected to return from a hamstring injury. He has only played in two of their last seven games overall. He averages 22.4 points per game and is one of the most improved players in the NBA. Also, Cory Joseph (7.5 PPG, 3.2 APG) is expected to return from Bronchitis. Plays against home favorites of 10 or more points (Dallas) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 35-13 (72.9%) ATS since 1996. Dallas is 1-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (25% to 40%) this season. The Mavericks are 1-9 ATS after having lost four or five of their last six games this season. Take the Pistons Wednesday. |
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04-20-21 | Magic +12.5 v. Hawks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +12.5 The Orlando Magic are showing great value today as double-digit underdogs to the Atlanta Hawks. It's time to 'buy low' on the Magic, who have gone just 1-8 SU in their last nine games overall. But the Magic have been competitive of late with an upset win over the Bulls, an 11-point loss to the Raptors and a 4-point loss to the Rockets. They still have some good talent in Wendell Carter Jr., Gary Harris, Cole Anthony and company to keep them competitive the rest the way. It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Atlanta Hawks after going 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Atlanta has only been a double-digit favorite once all season to this point, and that was a 10.5-point favorite over Detroit in their third game of the season. Atlanta is 1-3 ATS as a favorite of -7.5 or more this season. The Hawks haven't won any of their past 14 meetings with the Magic by more than 8 points. That makes for a 14-0 system backing the Magic pertaining to this 12.5-point spread. Bet the Magic Tuesday. |
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04-20-21 | Nets v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 134-129 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Pelicans -3 The New Orleans Pelicans will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost three straight games coming in including the last two by 2 points and in OT to the Knicks. They will get back on track here against the short-handed Brooklyn Nets. The Nets will be without both James Harden and Kevin Durant tonight. Kyrie Irving isn't good enough to carry the load without both of those guys. While the Pelicans are fighting to make the playoffs and have more to play for at this point, the Nets are just trying to get healthy going into the postseason. Plays on home teams (New Orleans) - revenging a loss by 10 points or more who are also off two consecutive upset losses as road favorites are 24-5 (82.8%) ATS since 1996. Take the Pelicans Tuesday. |
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04-19-21 | Grizzlies +8 v. Nuggets | 137-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis Grizzlies +8 The Memphis Grizzlies have been grossly undervalued for weeks. They are playing their best basketball of the season right now and should not be catching 8 points against the Denver Nuggets. The Grizzlies are 11-6 SU & 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. In those 17 games, they have lost by more than 7 points just once, making for a 16-1 system favoring them today pertaining to this 8-point spread. If Denver was at full strength then maybe they could be close to an 8-point favorite here. But the fact that they are without their top two point guards in Jamal Murray and Monte Morris makes it obvious that they should not be 8-point favorites. Denver is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after two straight wins by 10 points or more. Memphis is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Roll with the Grizzlies Monday. |
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04-19-21 | Suns v. Bucks -2 | 128-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
15* Suns/Bucks Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Milwaukee -2 The Milwaukee Bucks are back to being fully healthy and are one of the best teams in the NBA when they are. We are getting them at a great value today as only 2-point home favorites over the Phoenix Suns. The Bucks will be motivated to try and catch the Nets and 76ers for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a loss and facing a Suns team that has the second-best record in the Western Conference, so they will have no problem getting motivated to face them. The Suns are finally starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers here late in the season due to that record after being undervalued pretty much all the way up until this point. They have failed to cover their last two games with an 8-point win over the Kings as 12.5-point favorites and a 26-point outright loss to the Spurs as 12.5-point favorites. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The Bucks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following an upset loss by 10 points or more. Milwaukee wants revenge from a one-point loss in Phoenix as 4-point favorites in their first meeting this season. Now they are just 2-point home favorites in the rematch, so you can see the line value. The home team is 4-0 SU in the last four meetings. Take the Bucks Monday. |
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04-17-21 | Jazz v. Lakers +6.5 | Top | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 This is a tough spot for the Utah Jazz. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a big comeback win over the Indiana Pacers yesterday. And now they will likely be without their best player in Donovan Mitchell, who had to have X-Rays on his foot after the game yesterday. You're definitely paying a tax to back the Jazz at this point due to having the best record in the NBA, and that has shown of late as they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Jazz. It's also a good time to 'buy low' on the Lakers. They are coming off a loss to the Celtics and have been great off a loss. The Lakers are a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss. Bet the Lakers Saturday. |
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04-16-21 | Blazers -2 v. Spurs | 107-106 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Portland Trail Blazers -2 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Portland Trail Blazers after going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The four losses came to the Clippers, Jazz, Heat and Celtics. Now they are highly motivated for a victory and take a big step down in class here against the San Antonio Spurs. The Blazers are also rested playing on two days' rest since their one-point loss to the Celtics on Tuesday. Meanwhile, it's a terrible spot for the Spurs as they play their first home game following a five-game road trip. I always like fading teams in their first home game back from an extended road trip because there are so many distractions they have to deal with. And the Spurs are simply a tired team right now playing their 20th game in 37 days. It's no wonder they are just 4-11 SU in their last 15 games overall. San Antonio is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. Portland is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a losing record. The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Blazers Friday. |
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04-16-21 | Pelicans v. Wizards +2 | Top | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards +2 The Washington Wizards are trying desperately to make the playoffs. They have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and have gone 4-1 SU in their last five games overall. That includes upset road wins over the Warriors and Jazz. Now the Wizards are back home here hosting the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans have won three of their last four, but two of those were narrow wins over the Kings and Cavaliers. They also lost by 10 to the Knicks last time out. Having Bradley Beal back has made all the difference for the Wizards. They are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five games in which Beal has played with their only loss coming by 2 points. He leads the NBA in scoring at 31.0 points per game. He and Russell Westbrook are forming a nice chemistry now, and the Wizards are as healthy as they have been all season. The Pelicans are 10-26-2 ATS in their last 38 Friday games. New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last five games playing on one days' rest. The Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a win by more than 10 points. New Orleans is 0-4 ATS in its last four trips to Washington. Bet the Wizards Friday. |
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04-15-21 | Warriors v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers are not just playing out the string. They have gotten healthy here down the stretch and are playing some of their best basketball of the season. They are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with double-digit wins over the Spurs by 24, the Thunder by 27 and the Hornets by 13. They also nearly upset the Pelicans in a game they led most the way before faltering late. The Warriors come in getting too much respect from the books after going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. Asking them to win by 9-plus points to cover this number on the road is simply asking too much. This is a much worse spot for the Warriors than it is for the Cavaliers. The Warriors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They are already short-handed without three of their top six scorers in Wiseman, Paschall and Oubre Jr. The Cavaliers will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but they had two days off prior to beating the Hornets last night, so they should still be fresh. Only one player played more than 31 minutes for them last night. And they could possibly get Collin Sexton back from injury after he sat out last night as he is listed as questionable. The Warriors are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games playing on zero rest. Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games. Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a losing record. Roll with the Cavaliers Thursday. |
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04-14-21 | Warriors v. Thunder +11.5 | 147-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +11.5 I've been fading the Oklahoma City Thunder with a lot of success because they were without five of their top six scorers for most of this stretch that has seen them go 1-10 SU & 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall with seven straight blowout losses by double-digits coming in. But now it's time to 'buy low' on the Thunder tonight. They just got two of those scorers back two games ago in Dort (13.3 PPG) and Bazley (11.9 PPG). Dort went off for 42 points last night against the Jazz in a 10-point loss as 16.5-point dogs. He was the only Thunder play to play more than 28 minutes last night, so they should still be reasonably fresh, especially since they had two days off prior to that game. It will be just their 2nd game in 4 days. The injury report for the Golden State Warriors right now doesn't warrant them being double-digit road favorites over the Thunder tonight. They are without three of their top six scorers in Kelly Oubre Jr. (15.3 PPG, 6.0 RPG), James Wiseman (11.5 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and Eric Paschall (9.5 PPG). The Warriors are just 4-8 SU & 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games overall with only two wins by double-digits. Golden State is 1-9 ATS following two or more consecutive wins this season. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. Oklahoma City is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games. Roll with the Thunder Wednesday. |
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04-14-21 | Clippers v. Pistons +9 | Top | 100-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Detroit Pistons +9 I absolutely love the spot for the Detroit Pistons tonight. They come in on two days' rest after losing to the Clippers 124-131 as 13-point road dogs on Sunday. Now they will be out for revenge as they get to host the Clippers this time around as 9-point home dogs. The Clippers trailed by 5 points in that game entering the 4th quarter before outscoring the Pistons by 12 in the final period. And Detroit's best player in Jerami Grant (22.5 PPG) didn't even play in that game and has been out since April 6th. But Grant is expected to make his return to the lineup tonight as he has been listed as probable. This is an awful spot for the Clippers, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days tonight after a 126-115 win in Indiana last night. They will be without Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka and there's a good chance Kawhi Leonard sits tonight as he is listed as questionable. Paul George played 38 minutes last night and could rest as well. Either way, this is a tired team that won't be all that motivated to beat the Pistons for the 2nd time in 4 days. Detroit is 9-1 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 39% or better this season. The Pistons are 12-2 ATS vs. good teams that outscored their opponents by 3-plus points per game this season. Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games playing on two days' rest. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Detroit is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games following a SU loss. Take the Pistons Wednesday. |
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04-13-21 | Celtics v. Blazers -1 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Blazers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland -1 The Portland Trail Blazers come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three of their last four games. But two of those losses came on the road to two of the best teams in the NBA in the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Clippers. The other was on the 2nd of a back-to-back against the Miami Heat. Now the Blazers are rested after having yesterday off and should get back on track here against the Boston Celtics at home. It's time to 'buy low' on the Blazers, who needed a few games to get Norman Powell and CJ McCollum implemented into the offense. They also just got Jusuf Nurkic back from injury and are as healthy as they have been all season. They will be a dangerous team moving forward. The Celtics are getting too much respect from oddsmakers after winning three straight games coming in. But two of those wins came at home over New York (by 2) and Minnesota (in OT). The other was a road win over the short-handed Denver Nuggets who were playing without Jamal Murray. This will be their stiffest challenge since a 10-point home loss to the 76ers prior to their winning streak. The Celtics are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win by more than 10 points. Boston is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win. Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following an ATS loss. The Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Celtics are just 11-16 SU on the road this season. Bet the Blazers Tuesday. |
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04-13-21 | Lakers v. Hornets -1.5 | Top | 101-93 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -1.5 The Charlotte Hornets have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA all season as they are 27-25 SU through their first 52 games this season. They have been especially underrated of late since some injuries have popped up as they have shown off their depth in going 7-4 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Now the Hornets are in a much more favorable spot than the Lakers tonight. They had yesterday off following a 101-105 home loss to Atlanta on Sunday. That was a tough spot for them as it was their first game back home following a six-game road trip. Now the Hornets are rested, refocused and ready to go tonight playing just their 4th game in 9 days. Meanwhile, the Lakers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th straight road games tonight after a 96-111 road loss to the Knicks last night. They remain short-handed without LeBron James and Anthony Davis and have really struggled offensively without these two. The Lakers are just 5-8 SU & 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games overall since losing LeBron. Charlotte is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games following a loss by 6 points or less. Los Angeles is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Hornets are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss. Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Take the Hornets Tuesday. |
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04-13-21 | Clippers v. Pacers +3 | 126-115 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
15* Clippers/Pacers TNT ANNIHILATOR on Indiana +3 The Indiana Pacers are playing their best basketball of the season right now and it's due to being as healthy as they have been basically all season. They have gone 4-1 SU in their last five games overall with road wins over the Spurs, Magic and Grizzlies. Having Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis healthy has made all the difference for them. Now the Pacers should be able to take down a Los Angeles Clippers team that is short-handed and getting too much respect from the books after winning five straight games coming in. Well, now they won't have their best player in Kawhi Leonard tonight, and they remain without both Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka. They aren't good enough without those three to beat the Pacers with the way Indiana is playing right now. Plays against road favorites (LA Clippers) - after four or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing against a team with a losing record are 60-25 (70.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Pacers Tuesday. |
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04-12-21 | Kings +2.5 v. Pelicans | 110-117 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Sacramento Kings +2.5 The New Orleans Pelicans are in a terrible spot tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, their 5th game in 7 days and their 8th game in 12 days tonight. They struggled with the Cavaliers last night and needed a late comeback to win 116-109 as 9-pint favorites. They showed the fatigue against the Cavaliers last night, and it's going to be even worse tonight against the Kings. Five different players played at least 31 minutes for the Pelicans last night, including 35 from Brandon Ingram and 36 from Zion Williamson. Don't be surprised if Stan Van Gundy rests one or both tonight. The Kings will test those tired legs because they like to push the tempo, playing at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA this season. They are rested and ready to go playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. And it's a great time to 'buy low' on them off six straight losses against a very tough schedule. The Kings have the Pelicans' number in going 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings. New Orleans is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games as a home favorite. The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record. New Orleans is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games after scoring 115 points or more. The Pelicans are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. New Orleans is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 46% shooting or higher in the 2nd half of the season. Roll with the Kings Monday. |
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04-12-21 | Wizards +11.5 v. Jazz | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +11.5 You're definitely paying a tax on the Utah Jazz at this point in the season due to having the best record in the NBA at 40-13. Now they are laying double-digits to the Washington Wizards despite being without two of their best players in Mike Conley and Jordan Clarkson. Meanwhile, the Washington Wizards are basically fully healthy right now and that hasn't been the case for much of the season. Bradley Beal (30.9 PPG) was out from March 27th through April 7th. He returned for two games against Orland and Golden State, and the Wizards won 131-116 over the Magic and upset the Warriors 110-107. He sat out the 106-134 loss to Phoenix on the 2nd of a back-to-back, but he is expected back in the lineup tonight. Washington hasn't lost any of its last four meetings with Utah by more than 11 points. In fact, the Wizards pulled the 131-122 upset as 10.5-point dogs on March 18th in their first meeting this season. Beal had 43 points in that game while Westbrook had 35 points, 15 rebounds and 13 assists. With these two healthy the Wizards can hang with the Jazz again tongiht. Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (Utah) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against an opponent that scored 55 points or more in the first half of two straight games are 38-12 (76%) ATS over the last five seasons. Take the Wizards Monday. |
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04-10-21 | 76ers -11 v. Thunder | Top | 117-93 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -11 The Oklahoma City Thunder have been playing without five of their top six scorers in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Al Horford, Luguentz Dort and Mike Muscala. It's no wonder they have gone just 1-8 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall with all eight losses by 9 points or more and seven by 11 points or more. The last five games have been really ugly for the Thunder as they have lost by 37, 48, 24, 11 and 27 points. That's an average loss of 29.4 points per game, which is why I have no problem laying the big number with the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. The 76ers shouldn't even be considering a letdown here after getting upset by the New Orleans Pelicans last night. And I'm not concerned about them playing the 2nd of a back-to-back either because they had two days off prior to that game against the Pelicans, so they should still be fresh enough to put away the overmatched Thunder. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. Philadelphia is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games as a road favorite. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs. Bet the 76ers Saturday. |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +13.5 v. Clippers | 109-126 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston Rockets +13.5 The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a massive win over the Phoenix Suns last night in a battle to win the Pacific Division. This is the perfect letdown spot for them, and I'll gladly fade them in this spot laying 13.5 points to the Houston Rockets. The Clippers will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. Kawhi Leonard played 37 minutes last night and Paul George 34 minutes. Don't be surprised to see one or both of them rest tonight. Either way, they won't be nearly as motivated against the Rockets as they were against the Suns last night, and they definitely won't be as fresh. The Rockets have been much more competitive since getting their best player in Christian Wood back healthy. They are 2-0 ATS in their last two games, taking the Suns to the wire in a 130-133 loss as 14-point dogs and actually upsetting the Mavericks 102-93 as 10-point dogs. They had yesterday off and will be fresh for this game. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Houston is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles. Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (LA Clippers) - after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 36-13 (73.5%) ATS since 1996. Roll with the Rockets Friday. |
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04-09-21 | Spurs +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 It's time to 'buy low' on the San Antonio Spurs. They have gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall coming in. But they were a tired team with a lot of games recently. They had yesterday off and I love the spot for the Spurs. San Antonio will be out for revenge from a 96-106 road loss at Denver on Wednesday. This is a double-header so they will be playing in Denver again tonight. I expect them to be the more motivated team for revenge. It's time to 'sell high' on the Nuggets after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. After already beating the Spurs by double-digits just two days ago, they won't bring the kind of intensity it's going to take to beat the Spurs by 8-plus points tonight. San Antonio is 22-5 ATS in its last 27 games when revenging a road loss by 10 points or more. The Spurs are 64-34 ATS in their last 88 games when revenging a loss. San Antonio is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games as a road underdog. Take the Spurs Friday. |
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04-09-21 | Grizzlies v. Knicks +2 | Top | 129-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New York Knicks +2 The New York Knicks will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing five of their last six games coming in. Those losses came to the Heat, Mavericks, Nets, Celtics and Timberwolves with three of them coming by 2 points or less. So they have played a tough schedule during this run and they have been competitive. While it's time to 'buy low' on the Knicks, it's definitely time to 'sell high' on the Grizzlies. They have gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. But they have played a pretty weak schedule during this stretch with their only impressive win coming on the road at Miami. This will be the 4th road game in 6 days for the Grizzlies. While the Knicks are as healthy as they have been all season, the Grizzlies will be without Clarke, Winslow and Melton. Ja Morant is battling through a back injury as well, though he is expected to play tonight. The Knicks are 10-1 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 this season. New York is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games following a SU loss. The Knicks are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. Bet the Knicks Friday. |
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04-08-21 | Blazers +6.5 v. Jazz | 103-122 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 This is a great spot for the Portland Trail Blazers and a terrible one for the Utah Jazz. The Blazers will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, so they are rested and ready to go. And they have been playing great since getting CJ McCollum back from injury and trading for Norman Powell from the Raptors. They are 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall with their only losses coming to the Bucks and Clippers. The Jazz will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days tonight. Making matters worse is that they are coming off a 113-117 (OT) loss to the Phoenix Suns last night. Donovan Mitchell played over 40 minutes, Rudy Gobert over 36, Bogdanovic over 39 and Conley over 35. The Jazz simply won't have much left in the tank for the Blazers tonight. Portland is 12-4 ATS in road games vs. teams that score 110 or more points per game this season. The Blazers are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as favorites. They should not be 6.5-point favorites tonight given the terrible spot for them and the great one for Portland. Take the Blazers Thursday. |
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04-08-21 | Cavs -3.5 v. Thunder | Top | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a mess right now. They have gone 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall with all seven losses by 9 points or more. The last four losses have come by an average of 30 points per game. They are struggling because they are playing without five of their top six scorers in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Al Horford, Luguentz Dort and Mike Muscala. Making matters worse tonight is that they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days for a team that is already short-handed. The Cleveland Cavaliers continue to battle and are coming off an impressive 125-101 upset win at San Antonio as 8-point underdogs. Now they've had the last two days off, so they will be rested and ready to go. They should have no problem handing the tired Thunder yet another blowout defeat tonight. Cleveland is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games when playing against a bad team that wins between 25% and 40% of their games. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest. Bet the Cavaliers Thursday. |
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04-07-21 | Knicks +4 v. Celtics | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on New York Knicks +4 The New York Knicks are highly motivated for a victory after losing four of their last five games coming in. Three of the losses were to three of the best teams in the NBA in the Nets, Heat and Mavericks. They had yesterday off to regroup, and they are as healthy as they have been in a long time and nearly pulled the upset in a 112-114 loss to the Nets last time out. Now the Knicks face a tired Boston Celtics team that will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 96-106 loss to Philadelphia last night. Both Evan Fournier and Kemba Walker will sit tonight, and Jayson Tatum (35 minutes), Marcus Smart (36) and Jaylen Brown (33) will still be tired after playing big minutes last night. It will also be the 14th game in 23 days for the Celtics. The Knicks went on the road and crushed the Celtics 105-75 as 7-point dogs in their first meeting this season. New York is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after playing two consecutive road games. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. New York is 17-8-1 ATS in its last 26 games overall and remains undervalued tonight given the tough spot for the Celtics. Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games playing on zero rest. Bet the Knicks Wednesday. |
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04-07-21 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Nets | 111-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
15* Pelicans/Nets ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans +9.5 The Brooklyn Nets are overvalued after going 21-4 SU in their last 25 games overall that has them sitting in a tie for 1st place in the Eastern Conference. But I've been 'selling high' on them for weeks and cashing in, and I'll continue to do so tonight. Despite their SU success the Nets are just 3-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Eight of their last 10 wins have come by 9 points or fewer, and asking them to beat the Pelicans by double-digits to cover this spread is asking too much. That's especially the case with James Harden, Landry Shamet and Tyler Johnson all out tonight. I know Kevin Durant makes his much anticipated return tonight, but there's no doubt he will be on a minutes restriction and they will be careful with him. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Pelicans after going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall. They are coming off a 107-123 loss to the Hawks last night in which the Hawks made 11-of-11 3-pointers in the 3rd quarter to pull away. The blowout nature of the defeat allowed the Pelicans to rest their starters late, and they should still be relatively fresh for this game against the Nets. Zion Williamson and Lonzo Ball just returned to the lineup, and there's a chance they get Brandon Ingram back tonight. The Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games. The Nets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites. Brooklyn is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a losing record. Take the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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04-06-21 | Pistons +14 v. Nuggets | 119-134 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +14 The Detroit Pistons just blew out the Oklahoma City Thunder 132-108 on the road last night. It was their third blowout victory in five games as they also beat the Raptors by 14 and the Wizards by 29 recently. They have no quietly gone 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games overall and have been a very profitable team to back of late. The fact that they blew out the Thunder last night actually makes this 2nd of a back-to-back situation a lot easier on them tonight. None of their starters played more than 23 minutes last night, and nobody on their entire team played more than 25 minutes. They will still be fresh tonight, and this back-to-back situation is being factored into this line too much. I think the Nuggets are starting to get bored. That showed last time out as they trailed the Magic by 18 at halftime before coming back to win by 10. That was an awful Magic team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a loss in Utah the night before. If the Magic could stay within 10 in that spot, the Pistons can certainly do the same. The Nuggets are finding it harder to get motivated after winning five straight coming in, and it's time to 'sell high' on them. Detroit is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. They have been great at playing up to their level of competition this season. The Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games playing on zero rest. Denver is 8-18-1 ATS in its last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, so they have had a tendency of playing down to their level of competition. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Roll with the Pistons Tuesday. |
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04-06-21 | Bulls +1 v. Pacers | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Chicago Bulls +1 The Chicago Bulls just got both Zach LaVine and Coby White back from injury two games ago. After a game effort without those two in a 5-point loss at Phoenix as 8.5-point dogs, they also took the Jazz to the wire in a 7-point road loss as 11-point dogs. Then they came back and upset the Nets by 8 as 2.5-point dogs. So the Bulls just showed they could hang with three of the best teams in the NBA in the Suns, Jazz and Nets. And now I expect them to take down the Indiana Pacers tonight. Nikola Vucevic is getting more and more comfortable with his new team, and the Bulls are definitely a 'buy on' team moving forward. The Pacers just can't seem to stay healthy and it's a big reason they are just 7-12 SU & 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. T.J. Warren remains out, and Domantas Sabonis, Malcolm Brogdon and Jeremy Lamb are all questionable tonight. The good news is I like the Bulls to win this game whether or not those three play. If any of them sits it's an added bonus. The Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games playing on one days' rest. Indiana is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 120 points in their previous game. Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games playing on two days' rest. Chicago is 16-6 ATS in all road games this season. Take the Bulls Tuesday. |
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04-05-21 | Knicks +5.5 v. Nets | Top | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
20* Knicks/Nets NBA TV No-Brainer on New York +5.5 The Brooklyn Nets have been money burners for weeks. They are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They continue to be overvalued due to going 20-4 SU in their last 24 games overall. But most of their wins have been close of late, and getting 5.5 points with the Knicks tonight is too much. This is a terrible spot for the Nets as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 107-115 loss in Chicago last night. They are already without Kevin Durant, and James Harden is questionable with a hamstring injury after sitting out last night. Tyler Johnson is doubtful and Landry Shamet is questionable. Irving (38 minutes), Harris (34) and Brown (30) all had to play big minutes last night against the Bulls. The Knicks had yesterday off following their 125-81 blowout win at Detroit on Saturday. They will be the fresher team, and they'll be highly motivated for revenge after losing their first two meetings this season with the Nets by 7 and 5 points. They can stay within 5.5 in the 3rd meeting and possibly pull the upset given the favorable spot for them and the tough one for the Nets. New York is 30-12 ATS in its last 42 games when revenging a same-season loss. The Knicks are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season. New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Brooklyn is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite. New York is 6-1 ATS in its last seven trips to Brooklyn. Bet the Knicks Monday. |
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04-05-21 | Jazz v. Mavs +6 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Dallas Mavericks +6 The Utah Jazz are getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers right now due to having the best record in the Western Conference at 38-11 this season. It's time to 'sell high' on them tonight as 6-point road favorites over the Dallas Mavericks. What seems to be going unnoticed is how well the Mavericks are playing of late when Luka Doncic has been healthy and in the lineup. Indeed, the Mavericks are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six games in which Doncic has played. They beat the Blazers by 40, the Timberwolves by 20, the Thunder by 21, the Celtics by 5, the Knicks by 13 and the Wizards by 22. The Mavericks will be highly motivated for a win tonight to get revenge from two road losses at Utah in their first two meetings this season. The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Utah is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 trips to Dallas. Roll with the Mavericks Monday. |
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04-04-21 | Hornets +9 v. Celtics | 86-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Hornets +9 The Charlotte Hornets are missing some players like Gordon Hayward, LaMelo Ball and Malik Monk. But these injuries are being factored into this line too much, and asking the Boston Celtics to beat them by double-digits to cover this 9-point spread is asking too much. The Hornets have proven they can still play well without Ball by going 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. And they lost Hayward early in the game last time out and still went on the road and beat the Pacers 114-97 on the 2nd of a back-to-back. They are a deep team that can handle these losses better than most teams. The Celtics just aren't playing well enough to be getting this kind of respect from oddsmakers. They are 4-7 SU & 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games overall with three of those wins coming against the lowly Magic, Thunder and Rockets. It's worth noting the Celtics could also be without Jaylen Brown, who left last game with a knee injury and is questionable tonight. The Hornets are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a losing record. Charlotte is 7-1 ATS in its last eight Sunday games. The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Celtics are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win. Boston is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS win. The Celtics are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a win by more than 10 points. Take the Hornets Sunday. |
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04-04-21 | Nets v. Bulls +3.5 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls +3.5 The Chicago Bulls will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost six straight games coming in, but covered in their last two in a 5-point loss at Phoenix as 8.5-point dogs and a 7-point loss at Utah as 11-point dogs. If they can hang with both Utah and Phoenix, the two teams with the best records in the Western Conference, they can certainly beat the Brooklyn Nets tonight. It's worth noting that the Bulls just got both Zach LaVine and Coby White back from injury for the Jazz game after they both sat out the Suns game. And Nikola Vucevic is getting comfortable in their offense now. The Bulls can certainly beat a Brooklyn Nets team that will be missing their two best players in James Harden and Kevin Durant. The Nets were able to beat the Hornets without these two last time out, but they won't be able to beat the Bulls without them. Especially not a Bulls team that is this motivated for a win and playing with a chip on their shoulder. Plays against road favorites (Brooklyn) - after four or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 58-25 (69.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as favorites. Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 Sunday games. Bet the Bulls Sunday. |
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04-03-21 | Magic +16 v. Jazz | Top | 91-137 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Orlando Magic +16 The Orlando Magic have been an undervalued commodity since trading away three of their best players in Aaron Gordon, Nikola Vucevic and Evan Fournier. They clearly weren't going anywhere with those three, so it was time to move on. And the roster that is left over isn't as bad as it is perceived to be, and these guys are playing with huge chips on their shoulders. Indeed, the Magic have gone 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. They pulled the upset over the Suns as 9.5-point dogs, upset the Clippers as 11-point dogs and upset the Pelicans as 5-point dogs. They also only lost by 3 as 7-point dogs to the Lakers and by 7 as 9.5-point dogs to the Blazers. They got Wendell Carter Jr. and Otto Porter Jr. from the Bulls, and they've had several players step up that were already on the roster. Now the Magic are catching a whopping 16 points against the Utah Jazz, who are overvalued due to having the best record in the Western Conference. I faded the Jazz yesterday with success and cashed in the Bulls +13.5 in a 7-point loss, and I'll fade the Jazz again today in this awful spot. Utah will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 6th game in 9 days here. Don't be surprised if they elect to rest some starters after all five starters played more than 30 minutes last night. Either way, this is too many points. Bet the Magic Saturday. |
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04-02-21 | Bulls +13.5 v. Jazz | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls +13.5 It's time to 'sell high' on the Utah Jazz. They have won seven straight games coming in with several in blowout fashion. But they did have three wins by 4 points or less during this stretch as well, and they could be without their best player in Donovan Mitchell (25.7 PPG, 5.5 APG), who sat out last game for personal reasons and is questionable again tonight. Conversely, it's time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Bulls off five straight losses. They have been battling through injury and chemistry issues but could get both Zach LaVine and Coby White back tonight as they have both been upgraded to questionable. The Bulls showed last time out that they could compete on the road with a team as good as the Phoenix Suns in a 116-121 loss as 8.5-point dogs despite not having both White and LaVine. Nikola Vucevic is getting more comfortable in the system after getting traded from Orlando. And the Bulls want revenge from a 95-120 home loss to the Jazz that started this losing streak on March 22nd, but that was the 2nd of a back-to-back for them, while the Jazz were on two days' rest coming into that game. The Bulls are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games, including 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as road underdogs. Chicago is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 road games after a non-conference game. Plays on any team (Chicago) - revenging a loss by 10 points or more, off three or more consecutive road losses are 58-27 (68.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Bulls Friday. |
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04-01-21 | Hornets +3.5 v. Nets | 89-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
15* Hornets/Nets TNT ANNIHILATOR on Charlotte +3.5 The Brooklyn Nets are overvalued right now due to going 19-3 SU in their last 22 games overall. I've been selling high on them for a few weeks now, and I'll continue to 'sell high' on them tonight as 3.5-point favorites against the Charlotte Hornets. The Nets are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They only beat the Pistons by 5 as 11-point home favorites, beat the Knicks by 5 as 8.5-point home favorites, lost outright to the Magic by 8 as 10.5-point road favorites, beat the Wizards by 7 as 9-point favorites, lost to the Jazz by 30 as 13-point dogs, only beat the Pistons by 2 as 6.5-point road favorites, only beat the Timberwolves by 5 as 10.5-point favorites and beat the Rockets by 12 as 12.5-point favorites in their eight non-covers during this stretch. As you can see, the Nets aren't blowing anyone out, and they haven't won any of their last 11 games by more than 12 points. They trailed by 11 late in the 3rd quarter last night against the Rockets, so they used a lot of energy to come back from that deficit to win that game. They did it all without James Harden, who left with a hamstring injury. He is almost certainly going to be out tonight, and without him and Kevin Durant, this team is just not very good. The Nets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They won't have much left in the tank after that comeback against the Rockets last night. Now they face a Charlotte Hornets team that is playing some of their best basketball of the season. The Hornets are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming to the Phoenix Suns in overtime. They have been way undervalued due to playing without LaMelo Ball, but they have the depth at the guard positions with Graham and Rozier to make up for his absence. Charlotte pulled the 106-104 upset as 11-point dogs to a healthy Nets team in their last meeting this season. Brooklyn is 1-9 ATS when revenging a loss as a favorite this season. Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last five games playing on one days' rest. The Nets are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as favorites. Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS in its last five home games. The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. These five trends combine for a 31-1 system backing Charlotte. Take the Hornets Thursday. |
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03-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE MONTH on Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 I love the spot for the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. They will be highly motivated for revenge after losing to the Jazz in back-to-back games on March 26th and 27th. They lost by 3 on the 26th and by 16 on the 27th. Now they get to face them just four days later and at home this time around. The Grizzlies have been playing well now that they are healthy. They have gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The biggest difference here from those first two meetings is that they won't have to face Utah leading scorer Donovan Mitchell (25.7 PPG, 5.5 APG), who had 35 points in each of those two meetings with Memphis. He's irreplaceable for this team. It's mind-blowing that the Jazz are still 5.5-point favorites here without Mitchell. It just goes to show how overvalued they really are right now due to having the best record in the Western Conference at 35-11, plus going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. It's time to 'sell high' on Utah. It's also worth noting the Jazz' plane had to turn around last night after hitting a pack of pigeons and having smoke coming out of the engine. That's definitely a distraction heading into this game, and I just don't think they are going to be all that motivated to beat the Grizzlies a 3rd time in less than a week. The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Memphis is 4-0 ATS in its last four games playing on one days' rest. Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games. Memphis is 38-15 ATS in its last 53 home games following a road win by 10 points or more. Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday. |
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03-31-21 | Rockets +13 v. Nets | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Houston Rockets +13 The Brooklyn Nets are overvalued right now due to going 18-3 SU in their last 21 games overall. I've been selling high on them for a few weeks now, and I'll continue to 'sell high' on them tonight as massive 13-point favorites over the Houston Rockets. The Nets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. They only beat the Pistons by 5 as 11-point home favorites, beat the Knicks by 5 as 8.5-point home favorites, lost outright to the Magic by 8 as 10.5-point road favorites, beat the Wizards by 7 as 9-point favorites, lost to the Jazz by 30 as 13-point dogs, only beat the Pistons by 2 as 6.5-point road favorites, and only beat the Timberwolves by 5 as 10.5-point favorites in their seven non-covers during this stretch. As you can see, the Nets aren't blowing anyone out, and they haven't won any of their last 10 games by more than 12 points. That makes for a 10-0 system backing the Rockets catching 13 points tonight. And this is a Rockets team that is improving now that they are getting healthy, mainly getting their best player in Christian Wood back from injury. The Rockets have only lost one of their last five games by more than 10 points. They upset the Raptors by 18 as 8.5-point dogs and upset the Timberwolves by 22 as 4.5-point dogs. They also only lost to the Grizzlies by 10 and the Timberwolves by 6 in a game they should have won after giving up a big lead late in the 4th. The Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as favorites. Brooklyn is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games. The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Brooklyn is simply just going through the motions of late, especially against bad teams. They won't be all that excited to face the Rockets either, while Houston will relish this opportunity to try and upset the Nets. Roll with the Rockets Wednesday. |
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03-30-21 | Magic +11.5 v. Clippers | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Orlando Magic +11.5 This is a terrible spot for the Los Angeles Clippers tonight. They are coming off back-to-back wins and covers over Philadelphia and Milwaukee, and they have huge games on deck against both the Nuggets and Lakers in their next two games. This is the letdown spot where they don't show up tonight against the Orlando Magic, which is going to make it very difficult to cover this 11.5-point spread. That's not the only reason its a terrible spot for the Clippers, either. They are a tired team right now playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their win over the Bucks last night. They will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days tonight, which is about as tough a spot as there is in the NBA today. Paul George sat out last night and is questionable tonight. Serge Ibaka, Patrick Beverly and Rajon Rondo are all questionable. And don't be surprised if they sit Kawhi Leonard to rest after he played more than 36 minutes last night. The Magic are about as undervalued a team as you will find right now. They just traded away three of their best players in Vucevic, Gordon and Fournier. But they have gone 1-2 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. They upset the Suns as 9.5-point dogs, only lost to the Blazers by 7 as 9.5-point dogs, and only lost to the Lakers by 3 as 7-point dogs. They have some good new players in Wendell Carter Jr. and Otto Porter Jr. from the Bulls, and they are expected to get Terrance Ross back in the lineup tonight from a knee injury. This team is playing with a chip on their shoulder right now after all these trades and will relish this opportunity to try and beat the Clippers. Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (LA Clippers) - after a home game where both teams scored 100 points or more, playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 35-11 (76.1%) ATS since 1996. The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning record. They just played the Suns, Blazers and Lakers all tough, so they can certainly hang with the Clippers, too. Take the Magic Tuesday. |
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03-29-21 | Cavs +16 v. Jazz | 75-114 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Cavaliers +16 The Utah Jazz are way overvalued right now due to having the best record in the Western Conference at 34-11 and winning five straight games coming in, including three in blowout fashion. It's definitely time to 'sell high' on the Jazz now in their second-largest favorite role of the entire season. The last time they were this big of a favorite they failed to cover as 19-point favorites in a 15-point win over Houston, which was mired in a 20-plus game losing streak. The Cavaliers are much better than the Rockets, and they will give the Jazz more of a battle than they are prepared for. Cleveland is 3-4 SU but 4-3 ATS in its last seven games overall with upset wins over Boston as 7.5-point dogs, Toronto as 7.5-point dogs and Chicago as 7.5-point dogs. They also covered in a 2-point loss to Sacramento as 9-point dogs. Leading scorer Collin Sexton (24.0 PPG, 4.3 APG) returned from a hamstring injury and scored 26 points against the Kings. Having him healthy makes all the difference for this team. He had 36 points in the upset of Toronto and 29 in the upset of Boston. Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (Utah) - a good team with a +7 PPG or better scoring margin against a bad team with a -7 PPG or worse scoring margin on the season after 42-plus game, after a game where both teams scored 105 or more points are 23-5 (82.1%) ATS since 1996. I think the Jazz take the Cavaliers lightly tonight as well, which will help them get the cover. Roll with the Cavaliers Monday. |
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03-29-21 | Wolves +11.5 v. Nets | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 Lines on the Brooklyn Nets have gotten out of hand recently due to their current 17-3 SU run. I've been 'selling high' on them for weeks, and I'll continue to do so tonight as they are 11.5-point favorites here against the Minnesota Timberwolves now. The Nets are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall despite going 6-2 SU during this stretch. They beat Detroit by 2 as 6.5-point favorites, lost to the Jazz by 30 as 13-point dogs, only beat the Wizards by 7 as 9-point home favorites, lost outright to the Magic by 8 as 10.5-point favorites, only beat the Knicks by 5 as 8.5-point favorites and also beat the Pistons by 5 as 11-point favorites. The Timberwolves have been much more competitive since returning from the All-Star Break. They have gone 4-6 SU & 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games overall with upset wins over the Pelicans by 30 as 8-point dogs, by 2 over the Blazers as 5.5-point dogs and by 4 over the Suns as 11-point dogs. They just got second-leading scorer Malik Beasley (20.3 PPG) back from a 12-game suspension on Saturday and will be an even more dangerous team with him back in the lineup moving forward. Plays on underdogs (Minnesota) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 44-19 (69.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. They aren't that tired as they had yesterday off, and they'll have no problem getting motivated to face the Nets after they weren't motivated against the Rockets on Saturday after beating them Friday. The Timberwolves are 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings. The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as favorites. Bet the Timberwolves Monday. |
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03-27-21 | Celtics v. Thunder +9.5 | Top | 111-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 The Boston Celtics are in a terrible spot tonight. Asking them to go on the road and beat the Oklahoma City by double-digits to beat us is simply asking too much given the difficulty of the spot for them. The Celtics will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They will be playing their fourth straight road game as well, so there has been a lot of travel involved. And it will also be the 8th game in 12 days for the Celtics here. It's no wonder the Celtics have gone just 2-5 SU & 3-4 ATS in their last seven games overall given how tired they are. And now they find themselves in a letdown spot off a shocking upset of the Bucks last night. There's no way they'll be able to get up emotionally for the Thunder like they were against the Bucks last night. Oklahoma City has been grossly undervalued all season, especially of late. They have gone 5-5 SU in their last 10 games overall. They have played many of those games without their best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and they will be without him again, which is why this line is so high. But it's a great spot for the Thunder as they come in on two days' rest, so they will be able to adjust without him. The Celtics are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. Boston is 0-6 ATS in its last six games playing on zero rest. The Celtics are 3-11 ATS as road favorites this season. Oklahoma City is 51-33 ATS in its last 84 games as an underdog. Bet the Thunder Saturday. |
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03-27-21 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Jazz | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 I cashed in the Grizzlies last night as 10-point underdogs against the Utah Jazz in their 114-117 loss. I'm certainly back on them again today as they will be the team out for revenge, and they already proved they could hang with the Jazz. There's no way they should be double-digit dogs again here. The Jazz remain overvalued here due to having the best record in the Western Conference at 33-11. It's time to 'sell high' on them, especially after two straight blowout wins over the Bulls by 25 and Nets by 30 coming into this double-header with Memphis. But both of those teams were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and were short-handed. This double-header against the Grizzlies is clearly a step up in class for the Jazz. The Grizzlies are playing their best basketball of the season right now due to being fully healthy. Memphis had won three straight prior to yesterday and is now 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games overall. Yet, the Grizzlies continue to get zero respect from oddsmakers tonight as double-digit dogs again. Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (Utah) - after a home games where both teams scored 100 or more points, when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 35-11 (76.1%) ATS since 1996. Memphis is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when its opponent scored 100 points or more in their previous game. The Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight trips to Salt Lake City. Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS win. The Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Bet the Grizzlies Saturday. |
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03-27-21 | Knicks +9.5 v. Bucks | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on New York Knicks +9.5 The New York Knicks have been grossly undervalued all season, especially of late. They are 23-2 SU & 26-18-1 ATS this season, including 8-5 SU & 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. And each of their last three losses all came by 5 points or fewer. Their last blowout loss came at Milwaukee 101-134 on March 11th, and now they will be looking to get revenge from that defeat. Given the tough spot for the Bucks tonight, I like the Knicks' chances of staying within single-digits or possibly pulling off the upset to cover this spread in the rematch. The Bucks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing 114-122 to the Celtics last night. And it's a great time to sell high on the Bucks, who have gone 13-2 SU in their last 15 games overall and are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers because of it. And keep in mind the Knicks did beat the Bucks 130-110 as 13-point dogs in their first meeting this season. New York is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when revenging a road blowout loss by 20 points or more. Milwaukee is 6-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. New York is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 Saturday games. Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a SU loss. Take the Knicks Saturday. |
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03-26-21 | Cavs +4 v. Lakers | 86-100 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
15* Cavs/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Cleveland +4 Life without Lebron James and Anthony Davis has been hard for the Lakers. They have gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games without them while losing those four games by an average of 11.8 points per game. It's not going to get any easier tonight as now the Lakers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days while being short-handed. Kyle Kuzma played over 41 minutes, Dennis Schroeder over 38, Harrell over 32 and Caldwell-Pop over 30 for the Lakers in last night's 101-109 loss to the 76ers. They won't have much left in the tank tonight. There's no way the Lakers should be 4-point favorites over the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight given the tough spot for them. This is a Cleveland team that has been a lot more competitive in recent weeks in going 7-6 SU & 8-5 ATS in their last 13 games overall. This is definitely a game they can win outright as they have recent upset wins over the Hawks, 76ers, Celtics, Raptors and Bulls during this stretch. They even upset the Bulls without Collin Sexton, and there's a chance he returns tonight as he is listed as questionable. Plays on road underdogs (Cleveland) off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-22 (70.3%) ATS over the last five seasons. Los Angeles is 1-8 ATS in home games vs. teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game this season. Bet the Cavaliers Friday. |
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03-26-21 | Grizzlies +10 v. Jazz | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies +10 The Utah Jazz are overvalued right now due to having the best record in the Western Conference at 32-11. It's time to 'sell high' on them, especially off two straight blowout wins over the Bulls by 25 and the Nets by 30. But both of those teams were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and both were short-handed. Now the Jazz take a step up in class here against a Memphis Grizzlies team that has been playing some of their best basketball of the season now that they are finally healthy. Indeed, the Grizzlies have won three straight games and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Yet, they are getting zero respect from oddsmakers tonight as double-digit underdogs. The Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games playing on one days' rest. Memphis is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when its opponent scored 100 points or more in their previous game. The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win. Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last seven trips to Salt Lake City. Roll with the Grizzlies Friday. |
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03-26-21 | Suns v. Raptors +4.5 | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Toronto Raptors +4.5 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Toronto Raptors. They have gone just 1-9 SU in their last 10 games overall. But they were missing three of their best players during most of that run, and they are back now in VanVleet, Siakam and Powell. And now they have the trade deadline behind them so there shouldn't be any more distractions. The Raptors came out and made a statement to management and ended their nine-game losing streak on Wednesday with an emphatic 135-111 win over the Denver Nuggets. Now I look for them to build off that win and upset the Phoenix Suns tonight as 4.5-point home underdogs. It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Suns after overachieving in the first half of the season with the second-best record in the Western Conference at 29-14. But they have come back down to reality of late with recent upset losses to the Pacers as 7-point favorites, the Timberwolves as 11-point favorites and the Magic as 9.5-point favorites. Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last seven meetings with Phoenix. The Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning record. Toronto is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games playing on zero rest. Take the Raptors Friday. |
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03-26-21 | Nets v. Pistons +5.5 | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Pistons +5.5 The Brooklyn Nets are getting way too much respect from the books here of late after a recent stretch in which they went 14-1 SU. But they aren't that team any more with all the injuries, and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Nets are a tired team as well playing their 5th road game in the last six contests and their 3rd game in 4 days after a trip to Portland and Salt Lake City on Tuesday and Wednesday. Now they have to make the trek to Detroit and won't have either Kevin Durant or Kyrie Irving, plus they could be without James Harden, who is questionable. We saw how poor they played without those three in their 30-point loss at Utah. The trade deadline is over and the Pistons can refocus. They also get Diallo (11.9 PPG, 5.2 RPG) back from injury tonight. The Pistons have been undervalued for a few weeks now as they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. They've lost just twice by more than 5 points in that seven-game stretch. Detroit wants revenge from a 95-100 loss at Brooklyn on March 13th less than two weeks ago. They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, and the Pistons are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games when playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Detroit is 10-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 3-plus points per game so they have been good at playing up to their level of competition. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above. 600 as well. The Nets have been the opposite, going 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Roll with the Pistons Friday. |
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03-25-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 98-85 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on San Antonio Spurs +6.5 The San Antonio Spurs will be out for revenge from a 101-134 home loss to the Los Angeles Clippers last night. The Clippers shot 55.7% as a team and 17-of-33 (51.5%) from 3-point range. That's not going to happen again. The blowout nature of the loss allowed the Spurs to rest their starters with eight minutes remaining in the 4th quarter. Look for them to regroup here, plus they are expected to get both Lonnie Walker IV (11.5 PPG) and Rudy Gay (10.9 PPG) back in the lineup tonight after both sat out last night. The Clippers will be without Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka again tonight. Behind short-handed doesn't help them in this back-to-back spot. Both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George played over 32 minutes late night. Don't be surprised if one or both sits this game and we see a big line adjustment. The Spurs are 14-2 ATS when revenging a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last three seasons. They are coming back to win by nearly 10 points per game on average in this spot. San Antonio is 63-32 ATS in its last 95 games when revenging any loss. The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as road favorites. The Spurs are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games as underdogs. Bet the Spurs Thursday. |
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03-24-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6 | 134-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +6 The San Antonio Spurs are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with three road wins and only a 7-point road loss to the Bucks as 11.5-point dogs on the 2nd of a back-to-back. They came back and lost by 3 to the Hornets in their first game back home following a five-game road trip, which is always a tough spot for NBA teams. Now they should be refocused coming off two straight losses and put their best foot forward here against the Clippers, which should be good enough to cover this 6-point spread. The Clippers are coming off two straight home wins over the Hornets and Hawks, and I think this is a great time to step in front of them now that they are back on the road. The Clippers are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. They will be without Patrick Beverly tonight and likely without Serge Ibaka as well. The Spurs are 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings with the Clippers with only one loss by more than 3 points. They upset the Clippers 116-113 as 7.5-point road dogs in their lone meeting this season. Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a SU win. San Antonio is 19-9 ATS in its last 28 games as an underdog. The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. San Antonio is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games after two or more consecutive losses. Roll with the Spurs Wednesday. |
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03-24-21 | Nuggets v. Raptors +1 | Top | 111-135 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Toronto Raptors +1 The Toronto Raptors will be highly motivated for a win Wednesday. It's a great time to 'buy low' on them after losing nine straight games coming into this game with the Denver Nuggets. But five of their last six losses have come on the road. In their only home game during this stretch, they blew a 5-point lead with just over a minute to play against the Jazz and lost by 3 but still covered. Now they are back home and just recently got three key players back from injury or COVID. Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby are all back healthy now. Those three combine to average nearly 54 points per game, so it's no wonder they struggled without them. Now the Raptors face a Nuggets team that will be in a very tough spot Wednesday. The Nuggets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a game in Orlando on Tuesday. They will also be playing their 8th game in 13 days since returning from the All-Star Break. Jokic played 36 minutes, Murray 37, Barton 36 and Porter Jr. 32 last night. They won't have much left in the tank for the motivated, rested Raptors tonight. Denver is 8-17-1 ATS in its last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. They always have a way of playing to their competition. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record, so they have the same tendency. Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on one days' rest. The Nuggets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a win by more than 10 points. Nick Nurse is 34-17 ATS after failing to cover four or five of their last six ATS as the coach of Toronto. Bet the Raptors Wednesday. |
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03-23-21 | Nets v. Blazers -3.5 | 116-112 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 The Portland Trail Blazers just got CJ McCollum back in the lineup and are playing their best basketball of the season. The Blazers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games overall with their only losses coming to the Suns, and then the Timberwolves and Mavericks in double-headers after beating them the game before, so they were clearly letdown spots. Now the Blazers will certainly be refocused here with the Brooklyn Nets coming to town. That's especially the case after their worst loss of the season by 40 points to the Mavericks last time out. They had just beaten the Mavericks 125-119 two games prior, and they were probably looking ahead to this game against the Nets. Everyone is looking ahead to this Nets team that has gone 15-2 SU in their last 17 games overall. So it's a good time to 'sell high' on them, and I've been doing it with success of late as the Nets have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. And now they are going to not only be without both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving tonight, but James Harden is also listed as questionable. Even if Harden plays they don't have enough firepower to hang with the Blazers. Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss by more than 10 points. Roll with the Blazers Tuesday. |
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03-23-21 | Suns v. Heat +2 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
20* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Miami Heat +2 The Miami Heat will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing three straight games coming in, including two by 4 points or fewer. They had gone 11-1 SU in their previous 12 games prior to this three-game skid. And I think it's now time to 'buy low' on them as home underdogs to the Phoenix Suns knowing they will be max motivated tonight. It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Suns after going 20-5 SU & 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games overall. But the Suns are coming off a very weak schedule with their last five games all coming at home against the Pacers, Grizzlies, Timberwolves (twice) and Lakers (without Lebron and Davis). They even lost to the Timberwolves as 11-point favorites and the Pacers as 7-point favorites. Miami simply owns Phoenix, going 17-3 SU & 16-4 ATS in the last 20 meetings. The Heat are also 21-6 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Miami is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games off a close loss by 3 points or less. Bet the Heat Tuesday. |
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03-23-21 | Nuggets v. Magic +7.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +7.5 It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Orlando Magic after going 1-10 SU in their last 11 games overall. With all the injuries they've had, it's no surprise they are on this run. But they just recently got Evan Fournier and Aaron Gordon back, and those two alongside Vucevic give them a chance to beat anyone in the NBA. The return of these two has coincided with the Magic being a lot more competitive of late. They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with a 5-point loss to the Heat as 7.5-point dogs, a 1-point loss to the Knicks as 4.5-point dogs, and an outright win by 8 over the Nets as 10.5-point dogs. They went on to have a letdown against the Celtics in their next game after beating the Nets. They'll be refocused tonight with the Nuggets coming to town. It's also a good time to 'sell high' on the Nuggets, who have gone 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall. They were fortunate to beat the Bulls twice in games that went down to the wire. They also only beat the Grizzlies by 1. And they lost outright to the Pelicans last time out. They are still without Monte Morris and Gary Harris right now and should not be favored by 7.5 on the road against the Magic tonight. The Nuggets are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record. Orlando is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four home games. Denver is 12-24 ATS in its last 36 games after having won six or seven of its last eight games coming in. Take the Magic Tuesday. |
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03-22-21 | Celtics v. Grizzlies -1 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -1 The Memphis Grizzlies are finally healthy and it's starting to show. The Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They had yesterday off and will be fresh and ready to go tonight against the Boston Celtics. The Celtics will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. This is one of the toughest situations in the NBA. They are expected to be without starting PG Kemba Walker due to rest and could be without Tristan Thompson as well. The Celtics aren't playing well as it is, going 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall. Their two wins came against Houston, which is now 0-20 SU in its last 20 games, and Orlando, which was in a letdown spot off an upset win over the Nets. The Magic are also 1-10 SU in their last 11 games. The Celtics lost to the Nets by 11, the Jazz by 8, were upset by the Cavs by 7 as 7.5-point favorites and upset by the Kings by 11 as 7-point favorites in their four losses during this stretch. Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last five games playing on zero rest. The Celtics are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. Boston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU win. The Celtics are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games. The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites. Bet the Grizzlies Monday. |
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03-22-21 | Thunder v. Wolves -2 | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
15* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota Timberwolves -2 The Minnesota Timberwolves have come out of the All-Star Break a rejuvenated team. They have gone 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall against all playoff contenders. They beat the Pelicans by 30 as 8-point dogs, the Blazers by 2 as 5.5-point dogs and the Suns by 4 as 11-point dogs. Now the Timberwolves come in rested and ready to go on two days' rest. They finally take on a non-playoff contender here in the Thunder, who they should handle. The Thunder are short-handed right now missing Darius Bazley (11.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG) and George Hill (11.8 PPG). They could be without their best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (23.5 PPG, 6.0 APG) along with Al Horford (14.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG), who are both questionable. That's four of their top five scorers. Gilgeous-Alexander and Horford both sat out Sunday's 114-112 win over Houston. But that's a Rockets team that is now 0-20 SU in its last 20 games overall and the worst team in the NBA. Now the Thunder will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, and whether or not those two return this is still a very difficult situation for them playing a Timberwolves team that is on two days' rest. The Thunder are at a huge disadvantage here. Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Minnesota) - an up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots per game against an opponent that has gone five straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or higher are 40-15 (72.7%) ATS over the last five seasons. Minnesota plays at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA and will definitely test Oklahoma City's tired legs. The Thunder are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on zero rest. The Timberwolves are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings with OKC. Roll with the Timberwolves Monday. |
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03-22-21 | Kings -3.5 v. Cavs | 119-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Sacramento Kings -3.5 The Sacramento Kings are starting to play a lot better basketball here of late. They are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games overall with three losses by 6 points or fewer. The only games they were blown out were on the 2nd of a back-to-back at Philadelphia and at Atlanta, which has won eight straight games. Sacramento now comes in rested after having yesterday off. They take a big step down in competition here against Cleveland, which will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after an upset win over the Raptors last night. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Cavaliers, who are already short-handed right now due to all their injuries. They won't have much left in the tank here for the Kings, who play at a frantic pace and will test those tired legs more than most teams would. The Kings are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Cavaliers, winning by 13, 19 and 14 points. They are also 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Cleveland. Cleveland is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games overall. The Cavaliers are 3-15 ATS when playing six or more games in 10 days this season, losing by an average of 14.0 points per game in this spot. Take the Kings Monday. |
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03-21-21 | Wizards +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Wizards +8.5 It's definitely a great time to 'sell high' on the Brooklyn Nets after going 14-2 SU in their last 16 games overall. That has been evident here of late as they are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with narrow victories over the Knicks, Pistons and Pacers and an outright loss to the Magic as double-digit dogs. Now I'll gladly take the 8.5-points here with the Washington Wizards. It's a great time to 'buy low' on them after going 1-5 SU in their last six games overall. But that lone victory came last time out in an upset win over the Jazz as 11-point dogs. And now they've had two days' rest and will be fresh and ready to go against the Nets tonight. The Wizards are already 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in their two meetings with the Nets this season, winning outright as 7-point road dogs and 5.5-point home dogs. So there's no reason they should be 8.5-point dogs here, especially since they are healthier now than they were in those two previous meetings. And Kevin Durant played in each of those first two meetings, but they are without him now. The Wizards are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs. Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning home record. Brooklyn is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bet the Wizards Sunday. |
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03-21-21 | Raptors -7.5 v. Cavs | 105-116 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -7.5 It's time to 'buy low' on the Toronto Raptors after going 0-7 SU in their last seven games overall. But they just got VanVleet, Siakam and Onunoby back from COVID and nearly upset the Jazz in a 112-115 loss as 5.5-point dogs last time out. They are highly motivated to end this skid and should be able to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers by double-digits tonight. The Cavaliers are 1-5 SU in their last five games overall with three losses coming by 15 points or more to the Pelicans by 34, the Hawks by 18 and the Heat by 15. While the Raptors are finally fully healthy, the Cavaliers are missing four or five key players right now. That's why they have struggled so much of late to even be competitive. The Raptors are 6-1 SU in their last seven meetings with the Cavaliers with five of those wins coming by double-digits. Toronto is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games playing on one days' rest. Cleveland is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games following an ATS loss. The Cavaliers are 21-45-1 ATS in their last 67 games playing on one days' rest. Roll with the Raptors Sunday. |
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03-20-21 | Warriors v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 The Memphis Grizzlies took the Golden State Warriors lightly yesterday because they were without Stephen Curry. They paid for it in a 103-116 upset loss as 7-point favorites. They won't make the same mistake again in the rematch Saturday. Now it's time to 'buy low' on the Grizzlies, who will be the more motivated team here and who we are getting at a better number than yesterday. Oddsmakers have adjusted this line down from -7 to -5.5 in favor of the Grizzlies. I love the value here knowing we are getting the more motivated team. The Warriors are likely to be without Curry (29.0 PPG), Wiseman (11.8 PPG, and Paschall (9.5 PPG) again tonight. So the 2nd of a back-to-back hurts them more knowing they are already short-handed, while the Grizzlies are fully healthy and should have all hands on deck. Andrew Wiggins isn't scoring 40 points and going 14-of-24 from the field and 6-of-11 from 3-point range again. The Grizzlies will make the proper adjustments to stop him, and the rest of this Warriors roster isn't good enough to beat them. Golden State is 1-8 ATS after two or more consecutive wins this season. The Warriors are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on zero rest. Golden State is 11-23-1 ATS in its last 35 games following a win by more than 10 points. The Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite. Roll with the Grizzlies Saturday. |
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03-19-21 | Jazz v. Raptors +5.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Toronto Raptors +5.5 The Toronto Raptors have been playing without Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby for a couple weeks now. That's 54 points per game of production they have been missing. It's not wonder they have gone just 1-8 SU in their last nine games overall. But all three are back now, and it's time to 'buy low' on this team as 5.5-point home underdogs to the Utah Jazz tonight. The Raptors will be fresh and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. They will be playing with a sense of urgency to try and end their six-game losing streak, and I think they have a great shot to win this game outright, let alone cover the 5.5-point spread. The Jazz have come back down to the reality of late in going 3-5 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Their only three wins have come against the Magic, Rockets and Celtics. They just lost outright to the Wizards as double-digit favorites last night. All five starters played more than 30 minutes in trying to come back to win that game, so they will now be on tired legs playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th road game in 6 days. The Jazz are 8-17-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record. Toronto is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on one days' rest. The Raptors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings with the Jazz, including 6-1 ATS in their last seven home meetings. Utah is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games fater trailing in its previous game by 15 points or more at halftime. Toronto is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games coming in. Roll with the Raptors Friday. |
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03-18-21 | Magic +5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 93-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +5.5 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Orlando Magic tonight off eight straight losses. They have battled through injuries and continue to show up every night, which showed in their 97-102 loss as 7.5-point dogs to Miami last time out. They also covered in an 8-point loss to the Heat a few games prior. They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Now the Magic have had the last three days off to rest up and get healthier. Both Evan Fournier and Aaron Gordon returned to practice finally and could play tonight. Terrance Ross is also questionable and could play. The Magic are more than capable of beating the Knicks without these guys given how rested and ready they are, but getting them back would be an added bonus. This is an awful spot for the Knicks. They return home following a four-game road trip that saw them lose to Milwaukee, Brooklyn and Philadelphia. They lost by 5 to the Nets and by 3 to the 76ers in their last two games in heartbreaking fashion. I think they suffer a hangover from those defeats, and I always like fading teams in their first game back home from a long road trip. Not to mention, the Knicks are far from full strength with Mitchell Robinson, Derrick Rose, Austin Rivers and Elfrid Payton out plus star rookie Immanuel Quickley is questionable with an ankle injury. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Orlando) - a cold team having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against an opponent that has lost four or five of their last six games are 45-17 (72.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Orlando is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 road games after a division game. Bet the Magic Thursday. |