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NBA Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
01-29-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. Portland Trail Blazers -2 | 104-106 | Push | 0 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Trailblazers -2
The Key: Motivated by Sunday's 13-point loss in LA to the Clippers and further fueled by an embarrassing 23-point loss in Dallas earlier this season, I expect Portland to bounce back strong tonight. First off, the Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Portland has won its last 2 at home and is a respectable 15-8 at home on the season. The Mavs, meanwhile, are 7-16 on the road. Dallas has won its last 2 on the road but those came against Orlando and Sacramento. Prior to those wins, it had lost 3 straight and 9 of 10 away from home. Lay the points. |
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01-29-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavs +1.5
The Key: The Cavs, which are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games, are playing well and find themselves in a solid situation tonight. They will be the fresher team as they will be working on 2 days' rest while the Warriors will be playing their second road game in as many nights and their fourth road game in 5 days. To make matters worse, the Warriors could be down several key pieces. Curry and Bogut are doubtful and Barnes is questionable. Because the Cavs have the advantage in terms of fresh legs, and because the Warriors are banged up, I like Cleveland here even if Kyrie Irving isn't able to go. He is currently listed as questionable with an illness. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Bet Cleveland. |
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01-28-13 | Indiana Pacers +5.5 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers +5.5
The Key: With back-to-back losses to Portland and Utah stoking the fire, and with a three-point home loss to Denver in the season's first meeting adding to their level of motivation, expect the Pacers to give the Nuggets all they want and more tonight. The Nuggets have won the last three in the series but their last two wins have come by just four and three points, respectively. Keep in mind the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pacers have typically been strong in bounce back spots as they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss and 11-3 ATS this season following a road loss. The Nuggets are a good home team and Indiana is playing below .500 ball on the road, but I believe the Nuggets are being overvalued as a result. Consider that Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Take the points. |
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01-27-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Los Angeles Clippers -7.5 | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Clippers -7.5
The Key: Off four consecutive losses, including a one-point heartbreaker in Portland last night, expect the Clippers to dig down deep here. LA is 31-18 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last two seasons and it is 13-5 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. It has won these games by an average score of 101.5 to 89.6. It is also worth noting that the Blazers are a soft 8-21 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. They have lost in this situation by an average of 9.5 points. Lay the number. |
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01-27-13 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics +4 | Top | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Celtics +4
The Key: Miami has struggled on the road where it is just 10-9 and Boston will be hungry to snap a 6-game skid. Plus, this is a game the Celtics want badly for other reasons. They were knocked out of the playoffs by Miami last season and lost the season's first meeting to the Heat in Miami. Plus, KG and company hate the fact Ray Allen bailed on them. They want to show the Heat they are still a force to be reckoned with. The Celtics have won 15 of their last 17 home games against the Heat and are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games in the series. Boston plays a lot of nationally televised games on Sunday and it has been awesome in the home ones. Consider that Boston is 12-2 ATS in home games on Sunday over the last 3 seasons and has won these by an average score of 94.7 to 83.2. Take the points. |
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01-26-13 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 | 80-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +3.5
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Bucks and further fueled by a pair of blowout defeats to the Knicks in the season's first two meetings, expect this rested 76ers squad to come alive tonight. The 76ers will no doubt be the fresher team and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Also, Philly is on an 11-2 ATS run when checking into a matchup with losses in 8 of more of its last 10 games. It has actually won by an average score of 95.8 to 89.8 in this situation. The Knicks check in off Thursday's big win at Boston but are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Take the points. |
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01-25-13 | Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers -5 | 84-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Lakers -5
The Key: Motivated by four consecutive losses and defeats in each of the season's first two meetings with Utah, I expect the Lakers to come alive at home tonight. The Lakers have been respectable on their home floor where they are 12-10. 11 of their 12 home wins have come by 5 points or more so when they win they typically win by a comfortable margin. The Jazz are just 9-15 SU and 9-14-1 ATS on the road and are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games versus teams that have a winning home record. In addition, the Lakers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. LA is sick of hearing it might not make the playoffs. It is sick of hearing that this team is a failure. I expect it to play some very desperate basketball to make a statement tonight. Lay the points. |
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01-25-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +9.5 | Top | 105-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings +9.5
The Key: The Thunder are being overvalued in Sacramento tonight. They won the season's first meeting by just 10 points at home, and they'll have a tough time posting another double-digit win over the Kings on the road. The Kings have been extremely competitive at home where they have won or lost by less than 10 points in 14 of their last 18 games. In addition, they have won or lost by less than 10 points in 7 of 8 all-time home meetings versus the OKC Thunder. It bodes well for us that Sacramento enters off a poor performance against the Suns as it is on a 28-13 ATS run off an upset loss by 10 points or more at home. It has won by an average score of 106.1 to 102.0 in this situation. Take the points. |
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01-25-13 | Houston Rockets +2.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | 100-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston Rockets +2.5
The Key: The value clearly lies with the Rockets here. Houston was a two-point favorite when it lost in New Orleans Jan. 9, and now it finds itself as a 2.5-point dog. That's two big of a line swing considering the Rockets won the season's first two meetings. The Hornets are just 7-14 at home this season so they can definitely be had at home. Houston is 8-14 on the road so it actually has a slightly better road mark than New Orleans has at home. It is significant that New Orleans played its last game on the road since it is 1-10 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season. It has lost by an average score of 96.3 to 87.1 in this situation. Also, Houston is on a 46-27 ATS run in road games when it checks in with 6 or 7 losses in its last 8 games. Take the points. |
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01-24-13 | Toronto Raptors v. Orlando Magic -3.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic -3.5
The Key: As if 3 consecutive defeats aren't enough motivation, the Magic have lost each of the season's first 3 meetings with the Raptors. They were absolutely embarrassed (123-88) at home when these two last met, and I expect them to do something about it here. It is also significant that they took it on the chin at Detroit in their last game. That's because they are 40-15-2 ATS in their last 57 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Raptors just lost an overtime game in Miami against the defending champs last night and will have a tough time getting up for this one both physically and emotionally as a result. Lay the points. |
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01-23-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Portland Trail Blazers -1 | 80-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Trailblazers -1
The Key: As if 6 consecutive losses aren't enough motivation, the Blazers have lost 3 straight to Indiana. I'll lay this small number with the home team in this highly motivated spot. Indiana has won back-to-back games which means it's time to start fading away. Consider that the Pacers are 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Also, the Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. The Trailblazers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Lay the number. |
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01-23-13 | Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz -7 | Top | 88-92 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -7
The Key: Washington has won 5 of 7 and has covered the spread in each of these 7 games and is being overvalued as a result. Utah won the season's first meeting by 7 points on the road and it won the most recent meeting in Utah by 14. It has won 5 of its last 6 at home versus the Wizards with 4 of these wins coming by at least 14 points. The Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a losing record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. It is also significant that Washington enters off a narrow win at Portland. That's because it is 0-8 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. It has lost by an average score of 113.9 to 99.0 in these games. Lay the points. |
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01-22-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 201 | 109-97 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Dominator on Thunder/Clippers Under 201
The Key: With neither of these teams wanting to drop a second straight game, I'm expecting a very hotly contested defensive battle this evening. It is significant that the Thunder check in off an upset loss at Denver as they are 17-6 Under following an upset loss over the last 2 seasons. We have seen just 196.1 total points scored in these games on average. Also, plays Under on road teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 that are off an upset loss on the road, provided they have a winning record and are playing another winning team, are 62-24 since 1996. This system is 15-3 the last 3 seasons and 5-1 this season. Bet the Under. |
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01-22-13 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bucks -6.5
The Key: It's going to be tough for Philly to turn right around and bring enough energy to the floor tonight following last night's tough loss to San Antonio. The Bucks, meanwhile, should be confident following back-to-back wins on the road and fresh as they haven't played since Saturday. The 76ers will be looking for a revenge for a 9-point loss at home in the season's first meeting but consider that plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided they check in off a cover at home in a game they lost straight up, are 23-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 6.8 points on average and have lost by an average of 11.1 points. The 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games when playing without a day of rest. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing with 2 days' rest. Lay the number. |
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01-21-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 | 90-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA on TNT *CA$H COW* on 76ers +6.5
The Key: I like the 76ers catching points at home here as they have the edge in terms of fresh legs and will be highly motivated to avenge an embarrassing loss earlier this month in San Antonio. Philly has had 2 days off since its last game. It had 2 days off prior to that game as well, 2 days off prior to the one before that and 2 days off prior to the one before that. In other words, the 76ers should be very fresh. San Antonio, on the other hand, will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days. Tim Duncan will be rested as he got Saturday off but the rest of the Spurs figure to be a step slower than the 76ers in this one. The Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The 76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The underdog is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings, and the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Take the points. |
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01-21-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Atlanta Hawks -7.5 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -7.5
The Key: Off back-to-back narrow defeats to the Nets and Spurs, and further fueled by a 5-point loss at Minnesota earlier this month, the Hawks will be extremely hungry when they hit the floor this afternoon. The T-Wolves enter off an upset win over Houston but are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Minnesota is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall and has struggled on the road where it is on a 0-4 SU and ATS slide. These 4 losses have come by an average of 16.8 points. Prior to losing to a very good Spurs team in its last home game, Atlanta had rattled off back-to-back home wins over Utah and Brooklyn by 8 and 14 points, respectively. Lay the number. |
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01-20-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets +1.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +1.5
The Key: The Nuggets were embarrassed at Oklahoma City Wednesday, and they allowed that poor performance to carry over into a 112-108 home loss to the Wizards Friday. After these disappointing efforts, I fully expect Denver to be ready to go this evening. The Nuggets are one of the best teams in the NBA at home where they are 15-3 on the season. The Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Nuggets are a rock solid 115-92 ATS under coach Karl when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. It is also significant that the Thunder enter off a 3-point OT win in Dallas as they are on a 5-15 ATS slide following a road win of 3 points or less and on a 10-23 ATS skid after a close win by 3 points or less. Bet Denver. |
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01-19-13 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Portland Trail Blazers -4 | 110-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Trailblazers -4
The Key: Having had 2 days to gear up for this game, I fully expect the Blazers to bring their 4-game skid to a screeching halt. They have been embarrassed the last two times they faced Milwaukee so this is a game they want badly. The Blazers were upset by Cleveland last time out but they are 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset loss over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 101.8 to 87.4 in this situation. The Bucks check in off a 4-point win at Phoenix but are 0-7 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season. They have lost by an average of 15.0 points in these games. Lay the points. |
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01-18-13 | Charlotte Bobcats +7.5 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +7.5
The Key: Charlotte will be the fresher team tonight as it has had one day of rest more than Orlando. It will also be the hungrier team as it looks to bounce back from Tuesday's embarrassing 27-point loss to the Pacers and goes after revenge for last month's 9-point loss to the Magic. Prior to that defeat, the Bobcats had won or played the Magic to within 7 points in 3 straight matchups. Orlando is a poor 3-13 ATS when playing the last 2 seasons when matched up against teams that have won 25% of their games or less. It has actually lost to these teams by an average of 2.5 points. The Magic are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points. |
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01-17-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +5 | Top | 90-77 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +5
The Key: The Timberwolves have lost 4 in a row but each of those came on the road. They have been a much better team at home where they are 10-5 on the season. In fact, Minnesota is 7-2 in its last 9 home games with neither of the losses coming by more than 5 points. It has a win over Oklahoma City during this stretch. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Also, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points. |
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01-16-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Atlanta Hawks -4 | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -4
The Key: Off back-to-back defeats, including an ugly 97-58 loss at Chicago in their last game, expect the Hawks to come alive tonight. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. It is also significant that Brooklyn played last night as it is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing without a day of rest. The home team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the Nets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. The Hawks have won 5 in a row versus the Nets with each of these 5 wins coming by at least 5 points. Lay the number. |
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01-16-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic +2.5 | Top | 86-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +2.5
The Key: The Magic have lost 11 of 12, but they have been very competitive. 7 of these losses have come by 4 points or less or in overtime. They have a win over the Clippers and have played the Nuggets, Blazers, Bulls, Heat and Jazz right down to the wire during this stretch. The Pacers just played last night and this will be their 4th game in 5 days. The Magic have had a days' rest and this is a game they want badly as they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Pacers last season. The Pacers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. Also, teams tend to be overvalued following a dominant performance like the one the Pacers had last night. They murdered Charlotte on the boards and only allowed them 4 offensive rebounds. However, Indiana is 0-8 ATS after a game where it gave up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. It has actually lost by an average of .2 points in this situation. Take the points. |
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01-15-13 | Toronto Raptors +7.5 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +7.5
The Key: The Raptors have lost the season's first two meetings but only by 7 and 6 points, respectively. With this in mind, I believe Brooklyn is getting a little too much respect here. The Raptors lost by 11 at home to Milwaukee their last time out but are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. It is also significant that Brooklyn enters off a big 11-point win and cover against Indiana. That's because the Nets are 4-17 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the points. |
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01-14-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 184 | 99-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" *CA$H COW* on Clippers/Grizzlies Under 184
The Key: It is significant that Memphis is checks in off a 104-83 upset loss at Dallas. That's because it is 8-0 Under following an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. We have seen just 179.1 total points scored on average in these games. The Grizzlies are also 7-0 Under after scoring 85 points or less this season. We have seen only 175.7 total points scored in these contests. We saw these teams combine for 193 points in the season's first meeting. However, they didn't score more than 178 total points in any of the 3 previous matchups. Bet the Under. |
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01-13-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 199.5 | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Trailblazers Under 199.5
The Key: Plays "under" on any top-caliber team that outscores its opponents by 9 points or more per game, after a blowout win by 15 points or more, are 70-41 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 189.3 total points scored in this situation. The under is 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 overall and 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Trailblazers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games. We only saw 198 total points scored in the season's first meeting when Oklahoma City shot 51.3% from the field. I don't see them lighting up the hoop like that in Portland where the Blazers are a much better defensive team. Bet the Under. |
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01-11-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -7 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Warriors -7
The Key: Expect a letdown from the Trail Blazers as they head out on the road following last night's come-from-behind win over the defending champs. The Warriors, meanwhile, will be very hungry following back-to-back defeats (SU and ATS). The Warriors are 19-8 ATS all-time under coach Jackson following 2 or more consecutive losses. They are 12-2 ATS under Jackson after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. The Trail Blazers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following an ATS win, 13-27-1 ATS in their last 41 games following a SU win and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. In addition, Portland is 0-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Blazers have lost by an average of 16.1 points in this situation. Lay the points. |
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01-11-13 | Utah Jazz v. Atlanta Hawks -4 | 95-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Never Lost NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -4
The Key: The Jazz can't be trusted on the road against quality competition. They are 8-18 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons and have lost these games by an average of 9.6 points. It is significant that Utah enters off a road win at Charlotte in its last game because it is 0-10 ATS all-time under coach Corbin in road games following a road win. It has lost these contests by an average of 10.6 points. Lay the number. |
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01-10-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings -2 | 117-112 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings -2
The Key: I don't expect Dallas to have enough legs in this one. It just played in L.A. last night while the Kings have had two days to rest up and prepare. You can bet this is a game the Kings want badly as they were embarrassed 119-96 at Dallas a month ago. Sacramento has won 4 of its last 5 and 6 of its last 8 at home. These wins have come against the likes of Boston, New York, Portland and Golden State so it's not as if the Kings have been playing cream puffs. Dallas has lost 4 in a row and 10 of 11. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Also, the home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points. |
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01-09-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors -1.5 | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Warriors -1.5
The Key: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided they are extremely well rest playing 3 or less games in 10 days, are 39-15 ATS since 1996. This system is a perfect 2-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Also, Golden State is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season and 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Lay the points. |
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01-09-13 | Dallas Mavericks +10.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Mavericks +10.5
The Key: Plays on road underdogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games and are up against a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 62-27 (69.7%) ATS the last 5 seasons. The Mavs are also on an impressive 43-25 ATS run as an underdog of 10 or more points. Dallas is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Take the points. |
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01-08-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 | Top | 109-89 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -1.5
The Key: The Nets, who are coming off a blowout win and cover against the Kings, are 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 games following a win of more than 10 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Nets are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The 76ers enter off a double-digit loss to San Antonio but are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Lay the points. |
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01-07-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 92-118 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +8.5
The Key: The Bulls have been overvalued at home all season and are 3-14 ATS in home games as a result. They are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season and have won these contests by only 2.5 points on average. The Bulls are also 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Also, the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points. |
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01-06-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Toronto Raptors +8 | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +8
The Key: The Raptors were embarrassed by 20 points at Oklahoma City in the season's first meeting, but they are an impressive 9-1 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more. They have won these contests by an average score of 96.4 to 84.2. The Raptors lost at home to the Kings in their last game but are also an impressive 11-2 ATS in home games following a home loss over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 98.1 to 92.6 in these spots. Take the points. |
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01-05-13 | New York Knicks v. Orlando Magic +6.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +6.5
The Key: The Magic have lost seven in a row but four of these defeats came by four points or less so they have been competitive. The Knicks are coming off a big win over the Spurs but are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a losing record. Take the points. |
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01-04-13 | Houston Rockets v. Milwaukee Bucks -110 | Top | 115-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee Bucks pk
The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind the Bucks at home in this highly motivated spot. Milwaukee has lost its last 2 but is an impressive 33-16 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Skiles. It has won these contests by an average of 5.6 points. The Rockets are just 5-8 on the road and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks. |
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01-03-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. New York Knicks | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on New York Knicks pk
The Key: I'm on the Knicks as a pk but still like them laying a point, which is currently the line at some books, because the edge they have in terms of freshness. Plays on home favorites that are well rested - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days - and are up against an extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 32-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. The "play on" team has won by an average of 12.7 points in this situation. It is also worth noting that NY is 23-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons and has won these games by an average of 6.4 points. The Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss and 30-11 ATS in their last 41 home games. The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Knicks have really made strides defensively under Woodson. As a result, they are even 8-0 ATS under his watch versus good passing teams like the Spurs that averaging 23 assists or more per game. They have defeated these teams by an average 8.7 points. Take the Knicks. |
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01-02-13 | New Orleans Hornets +10 v. Houston Rockets | 92-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +10
The Key: Oddsmakers are undervaluing the Hornets here. New Orleans lost by 9 to Atlanta last night, but it has played the Pacers, Spurs, Warriors and Thunder to within 7 points recently. Plus, it has defeated the Rockets or lost to them by 7 points or less in 11 straight meetings. Now, that's an 11-0 trend I can get behind. New Orleans is 29-15 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons and 22-9 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the points. |
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01-01-13 | Philadelphia 76ers +9 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on 76ers +9
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and an embarrassing 13-point home loss to the Lakers last month, expect the 76ers to give the Lakers all they want and more tonight. The Lakers are a poor 11-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They have won by only 3.3 points on average in these games. They are also 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win and 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win. It is also worth noting that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points. |
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01-01-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets pk
The Key: Expect LA's 17-game winning streak to come to an end in Denver where the Nuggets are 9-1 this season. The Nuggets will be the fresher team having had 2 days to gear up for this one. I also expect them to be the hungrier team as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series. The Nuggets check in off a loss at Memphis but have been terrific in bounce back spots. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams that have a winning road record. Take Denver. |
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12-31-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Indiana Pacers +2 | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have struggled on the road of late. They have lost 4 of their last 6 road contests and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. It is significant that Memphis checks in with 2 losses in its last 3 games. That's because it is 1-9 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and has lost by an average of 5.2 points in this situation. The Pacers have been playing well at home where they have won 4 in a row. They check in off a loss but are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat. Take the points. |
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12-29-12 | Boston Celtics +3.5 v. Golden State Warriors | 83-101 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Celtics +3.5
The Key: I'm expecting the Celtics to bounce back strong following Thursday's embarrassing loss to the Clippers when in managed only 77 points. Boston is 23-7 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss in which it was held to less than 80 points. It is 15-5 ATS in this situation under coach Doc Rivers and has bounced back to win these games by an average of 2.8 points. Also, plays on road teams off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 3.8 points on average but have won by an average of 2.2 points. Lastly, the underdog is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points. |
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12-29-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -6.5
The Key: The Grizzlies will be hungry tonight as they have lost their last two and each of the season's first two meetings with Denver. Besides being the more motivated side, Memphis will also be the fresher team as it has had two days off while Denver will be playing its second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS when playing against a team that has a winning record this season. It is also 30-13 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last three seasons. Lay the points. |
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12-28-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +3 | Top | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +3
The Key: The Jazz lost the season's first meeting to the Clippers at home but only by 1 point. Dating back to 1996, Utah has won 29 of 33 home games against the Clippers. 3 of these four losses came by fewer than 3 points. In other words, the Jazz have won or lost by less than 3 points in 32 of their last 33 home games against the Clipps. Now, that's a 32-1 trend I can get behind. Take the points. |
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12-27-12 | Boston Celtics +8.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 77-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +8.5
The Key: Boston has defeated the Clippers or lost to them by 5 points or less in each of the past 9 meetings. With this in mind, I'll gladly take the points. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Clippers have won 14 in a row and are being overvalued because of it. |
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12-26-12 | Miami Heat v. Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 | 105-92 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +10.5
The Key: This one has letdown written all over it for Miami, which checks in off yesterday's big win over the Thunder. Home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games, provided they are up against a team that has covered the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests, are 29-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Take the points. |
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12-25-12 | New York Knicks v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -3.5
The Key: This is a statement game for the Lakers. They have won each of their last four games and will be out to prove that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with this season. The Knicks won the first meeting at home just over 2 weeks ago, but the Lakers didn't have Steve Nash on the floor. They are a much better team with him orchestrating the offense. The home team has won each of the past three meetings by 7 points or more and covered the number in each. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Lay the points. |
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12-22-12 | Chicago Bulls v. Atlanta Hawks -3 | Top | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Hawks -3
The Key: Atlanta fits into an awesome wagering situation: home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off an upset loss, provided they and the opponent they are matched up against both carry winning percentages of 60-75%, are 53-20 ATS since 1996. Also, the Hawks have been an outstanding play in the second game when playing on back-to-back nights. They are on a 17-5 ATS run in these games and have won them by an average of 6.1 points. The Bulls are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. Lay the points. |
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12-21-12 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 | 99-89 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +3.5
The Key: The Pacers have struggled on the road, and I believe they'll have a tough time getting the job done against a Cleveland team that will be hungry to end a 5-game skid and to avenge a loss at Indiana earlier this month. The Pacers are just 6-20 ATS the last 2 seasons after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. This trend represents how oddsmakers adjust the lines on teams that are covering often. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Also, the Pacers are just 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Take the points. |
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12-20-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves +4 | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Timberwolves +4
The Key: Oddsmakers are begging for the money to roll in on the Thunder, but I'm not gonna bite. The T-Wolves have covered the spread in each of the past five meetings. Plus, they have covered the number in 5 of the last 6 home meetings in the series. Since Adelman took over as head man, the Wolves have been very competitive, even against good teams. In fact, they are 15-4 ATS under his watch versus teams that outscore the opposition by 3+ points/game. 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two in Minnesota have been decided by 4 points or less. Take the points. |
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12-19-12 | Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers +7.5
The Key: The 76ers are being undervalued here as oddsmakers have overreacted to their four-game losing streak and the fact they played last night. Philly has won or lost by 7 point or less to the Rockets in each of the last 9 meetings. The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston. It is also worth mentioning that the road team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings, and the underdog is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points. |
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12-18-12 | Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 100-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Bobcats +12
The Key: The Lakers can't be trusted laying big points as they are just 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-18-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves +9 v. Miami Heat | Top | 92-103 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +9
The Key: The Timberwolves aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, and I'll gladly grab the points as they are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-17-12 | Sacramento Kings +6 v. Phoenix Suns | 90-101 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +6
The Key: The Kings are a strong underdog play tonight with the Suns coming off a game in which they allowed less than 85 points after a combined score of 215 or more in two straight games. This situation has been very profitable for the opposing team, going 85-50 (63%) since 1996. |
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12-17-12 | Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 v. Detroit Pistons | 88-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on LA Clippers -6.5
The Key: This plays is as much against the Pistons as it is on the Clippers. NBA teams off of a poor home loss in which they scored less than 80 points have been terrible in their next game historically, going just 38-71 against the spread in similar situations. The Clippers also fall into a sweet spot having just won in blowout fashion where teams in similar situations have rolled to a 44-17 record (72.1%) since 1996. |
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12-16-12 | New Orleans Hornets +5.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
6* *NBA Cash Cow* get in on part of an awesome 30-17 ATS trend backing the Hornets tonight!
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12-16-12 | Denver Nuggets -4.5 v. Sacramento Kings | 122-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
6* NBA Ca$h Cow on Denver Nuggets -4.5
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12-15-12 | Memphis Grizzlies +2 v. Utah Jazz | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have played exceptionally well over the last two seasons against teams that score over 99 points per game, going 13-4 against the spread against those teams in that time frame. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA versus good free throw shootings teams, posting a 60-33 ATS record against them over the past three season combined. Because of their defense, this Memphis team is going to be a tough win all season. Take the points. |
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12-15-12 | Los Angeles Clippers -4 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 111-85 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Clippers -4
The Key: The Clippers play thier best against up-tempo teams, in fact, they are 16-6 against the spread versus teams averaging more than 83 shots per game over the last two seasons. They also play extremely well against poor foul-drawing teams like the Bucks (less than 24 free throw attempts per game), going 10-2 against the spread in that situation. This LA team is build on athleticism and the high tempo of this game should lead to an easy victory by the Clippers. |
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12-15-12 | Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls -5 | Top | 82-83 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -5
The Key: Play against teams off of an overtime game (the Nets), on no rest against opponents on two days of rest. This very profitable situation has gone 29-17 over the last several years ATS and is one that is worth following in the right situations. In addition to playing in back-to-back nights off of an overtime game, the Nets are also playing their 4th game in 5 days, another great situation that has gone 24-11 in recent seasons in similar situations. Take the Bulls as the best NBA bet of the day. |
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12-14-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavaliers +3
The Key: The Bucks have won 3 in a row but are on a 45-73 ATS slide after 3 or more consecutive wins. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Cavs played them to a 3-point game on the road in the first meeting, and I expect them to get the job done at home tonight. |
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12-14-12 | Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic +5.5 | 85-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +5.5
The Key: The Warriors are being overvalued following a string of 5 straight wins that included a win over the Heat. Orlando defeated the Warriors on the road earlier this month and will have at excellent shot at doing so against here. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Warriors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. |
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12-13-12 | Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 v. New York Knicks | 107-116 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers +6.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the Lakers as they head to New York off three straight losses looking to show the NBA that they ARE a contender. Kobe loves the big stage, and I fully expect him to deliver in this national TV affair. The Lakers have won or lost by less than 7 points in 17 of their last 18 games against the Knicks. I also believe coach D'Antoni will coach the heck out of this game against his former team and former assistant coach. Teams headed up by D'Antoni are 30-13 ATS lifetime in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. D'Antoni knows the Knicks and their personnel well and should be able to devise a solid game plan. Take the points. |
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12-12-12 | New Orleans Hornets +13.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +13.5
The Key: Plays on road underdogs, a cold team that has lost 8 or more of its last 10 games against a hot team that has won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Hornets are a terrific 41-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and 19-9 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Take the points. |
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12-12-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 | Top | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +8
The Key: The Clippers are being overvalued because they have won 7 in a row and are coming off a big win over the Bulls. They are on a 19-38 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and a 37-60 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Clippers covered the number by a point last night but are still only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. LA has especially been overvalued on the road versus teams that have sub .500 records at home. In fact, it is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bobcats played the Knicks to a 2-point game as an 8-point dog last Wednesday, and I like them to give the Clippers a game tonight. |
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12-11-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Detroit Pistons +5.5 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +5.5
The Key: The Pistons aren't getting the respect they deserve here considering they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against the Nuggets and considering the Nuggets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Detroit has been an outstanding home dog in recent seasons at 32-18 ATS in its last 50 games in the role. Also, the Nuggets are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Take the points. |
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12-10-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +5.5 | 134-126 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Rockets +5.5
The Key: The Rockets have been solid at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are also 3-0 in their last 3 and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against the Spurs. Also, Houston is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season. It has won by an average of 6.3 points in these games. |
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12-09-12 | Orlando Magic v. Phoenix Suns -4 | 98-90 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns -4
The Key: The Magic started off their road trip strong with a pair of wins but have since dropped their last two and I have them going down again here. The Suns got home at a good time yesterday as they played in LA in the afternoon, and they'll be very focused here knowing they have lost 4 straight to Orlando. 3 of those losses, including the last 2, were on the road so home court should make a big difference. The Suns have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the series, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This trend hasn't lost since Dec. 2008. Lay the points. |
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12-08-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Charlotte Bobcats +8.5 | Top | 132-102 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8.5
The Key: The aging Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a younger Charlotte squad that will fare better than them playing on consecutive nights. The Bobcats fell to Milwaukee both SU and ATS last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Also, the home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs won by only 4 points the last time they visited the Bobcats. The time before that they lost. The time before that they won by just 2 points. Take the points. |
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12-07-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. New Orleans Hornets +7.5 | 96-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +7.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. New Orleans is also 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 17 of their last 18 home meetings against the Grizzlies. Take the points. |
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12-07-12 | Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets -6 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Nets -6
The Key: After going down to the Heat and Thunder - last season's conference champs - in their last two games, the Nets will be primed and ready to run up the score on a lesser opponent tonight. Because Brooklyn lost to the Warriors on the road last month, it will be very hungry and focused here. The Warriors have struggled to a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 Friday games while the Nets are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. It is also worth mentioning that the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Atlantic division while the Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. the NBA Pacific division. The Nets are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and have wins of 7 and 10 points against the Knicks and Clippers during this stretch. The Nets are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Warriors. Lay the points. |
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12-06-12 | New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -7 | 112-92 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7
The Key: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have played 8 or more games in 14 days, are 61-30 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 6 points on average but have lost by an average of 9 points. With the Knicks getting taken down to the wire last night, the Heat will be the much fresher side. Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run in games when it has had 1 day of rest. Also, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Miami and have lost these 4 contests by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the points. |
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12-05-12 | Orlando Magic v. Utah Jazz -8 | 81-87 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8
The Key: The Magic are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with the Jazz, and the 4 losses have come by 9 points or more. Look for a hungry Utah squad that has lost its last three to take out its frustrations all over the Magic tonight. |
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12-05-12 | New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 | Top | 100-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8
The Key: I expect the Knicks to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown with the Miami Heat. Charlotte, meanwhile, wants this game badly. Not only is it looking to end a four-game slide, but it has been embarrassed the last two times it has faced New York. The Knicks have dropped 3 of their last 4 road games and their road struggles will continue tonight. |
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12-04-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +4.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets +4.5
The Key: The Thunder are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Brooklyn team that is 7-1 at home. The Nets are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Also, plays against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, if they have won 75% or more of their games and are playing a team that has a winning record, are 93-52 ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by 3.5 points on average but have only won by an average of 0.4. Take the points. |
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12-03-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New Orleans Hornets +4.5 | 81-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +4.5
The Key: The Hornets have been a strong play when catching this many points. In fact, they are 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won 10 straight at home against Milwaukee, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings (3 SU wins, 1 loss by just 4 points). Take the points. |
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12-01-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. New Orleans Hornets +8.5 | Top | 100-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +8.5
The Key: I expect a strong showing from New Orleans tonight following a disappointing performance versus Utah in its last home game. That 12-point loss bodes well for us here as the Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Hornets are on an awesome 46-24 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have only lost by an average of 1.3 points in these games. Take the points. |
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12-01-12 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls -6.5 | 88-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls -6.5
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were knocked out of the playoffs by the 76ers last season. It works in Chicago's favor that Philly played a tough one last night. The 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when playing without a of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Lay the points. |
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11-30-12 | Brooklyn Nets v. Orlando Magic +4.5 | Top | 98-86 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +4.5
The Key: This is a huge game for the Magic, who are out for revenge for two losses to the Nets this month and who are trying to close out their season-high 5-game homestand with a winning record. It actually bodes well for us that the Magic are coming off a double-digit defeat since they are 8-0 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 3.5 points in these spots. Also, teams coached by Avery Johnson are just 9-32 ATS all-time following a road win of 10 points or more. Take the points. |
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11-28-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic +7.5 | Top | 110-89 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic +7.5
The Key: The Magic has been solid at home where they are 4-3 this season and should be lacking no confidence after taking Boston to OT as a 5.5-point dog last game. Also, Orlando has won 3 of its last 4 home games against the Spurs with the defeat coming by just 2 points in OT. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. This is also a look ahead spot for San Antonio as it takes on the Heat tomorrow night. Take the points. |
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11-27-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 | 91-78 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +2.5
The Key: The Suns can't be trusted on the road where they are 1-5 this season. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They are also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Cavs. Take the points. |
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11-26-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz -3.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -3.5
The Key: The home team has been the play in this series lately. It has won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5. The last 2 wins by the home team have come by 19 and 20 points, respectively. Also, the Jazz have been exceptional at home for years. They are off to a 5-0 start at home this season and are 4-1 ATS in those games. 4 of these wins have come by 9 points or more. Bet Utah. |
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11-25-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers -4 | 101-104 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -4
The Key: The Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a win. They are on a 0-7 ATS slide versus teams that have a winning record and a 0-5 ATS slide after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers are 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with each of these wins coming by double digits. Also, the favorite is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points. |
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11-24-12 | Los Angeles Lakers -1 v. Dallas Mavericks | 115-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers -1
The Key: The Lakers will be hungry to tonight as they check in off back-to-back defeats. Losing the season's first meeting with Dallas back on Oct. 30 will add more fuel to the fire. Prior to that loss, the Lakers had won 4 straight in the series. They are a much better team than they were the first time these two met this season, and I fully expect them to have their revenge here. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take LA. |
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11-23-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +4.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +4.5
The Key: Oklahoma City is getting too much respect on the road this evening as it goes up against a solid Boston squad that will be hungry following back-to-back disappointing performances. Three of OKC's road contests have been close with two of them being decided by only 2 points so I'm loving Boston catching more than that here. The Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. They are constantly overvalued against East teams with the exception of Miami. Take the points. |
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11-21-12 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings +5.5 | Top | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings +5.5
The Key: The Lakers have lost their last two in Sacramento by 9 and 17 points and will have a difficult time avenging those losses considering how fatigued they are. They played last night and this will be their third game in four days. They are just 20-35 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons and have only won by an average of 2.5 points in these games. Take the points. |
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11-20-12 | Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 98-106 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +5.5
The Key: This is a big revenge game for the Raptors, who lost by 93-83 at home to the 76ers Nov. 10. Toronto is on an awesome 18-8 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. It's also worth mentioning that Philly is just 68-104 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. The Raptors are 18-5-2 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Philadelphia, and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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11-19-12 | Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +7.5
The Key: I know Memphis has been rolling and Denver has lost 3 in a row, but the Nuggets clearly aren't getting the respect they deserve here. Denver is 53-35 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 42-25 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and 30-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record. |
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11-18-12 | Brooklyn Nets v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +3.5
The Key: The Nets have really struggled in Sacramento, where they have lost or won by fewer than 3 points in 12 of the last 13 meetings. The home team is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. Also, the Nets are just 25-51-2 ATS in their last 78 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games versus a team with a losing mark at home and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Take the points. |
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11-17-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 | 94-87 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +6
The Key: Off three consecutive big wins over Miami, Oklahoma City and New York, I'm expect a letdown from Memphis. The Bobcats have played Memphis tough. In fact, they have won 5 of the last 7 meetings. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points. |
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11-16-12 | New York Knicks v. Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 95-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -5.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest. They are also on an 8-0 ATS run versus teams that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game and an 8-0 ATS run after 5 straight games of committing 14 or less turnovers. The Grizz have taken it to the Heat and Thunder - the two top teams in the NBA last season - in their last two games, and I expect them to hand the Knicks their first loss of the season tonight. |
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11-14-12 | Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors -1.5 | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Warriors -1.5
The Key: Golden State has been a quality investment in bounce back spots. It is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss. It especially works in our favor that it is coming off consecutive defeats because it is 18-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number. |
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11-13-12 | New York Knicks v. Orlando Magic +7 | Top | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +7
The Key: Plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that won 45-55% of their games last season are 38-11 ATS since 1996. These teams have won by an average of 0.9 points. This system is already off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start this season. The Magic are being undervalued here, and the above time-tested system supports this claim. Take the points. |
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11-12-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Phoenix Suns +5 | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +5
The Key: This is a big revenge spot for the Suns, who will be out to end a 6-game losing streak in the series. The Suns were pounded at Utah Saturday, but they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They were outrebounded by 23 boards by the Jazz, but they are 11-2 ATS under coach Gentry following a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or more. They have won these games by an average of 8.4 points. Lastly, the Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games versus Denver. |
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11-12-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 | Top | 92-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +6.5
The Key: The Pistons are 0-7 but have played 6 of their games on the road. Back home and hungry to notch their first win of the year, I expect them to take the Thunder down to the wire. OKC won't be as fresh as Detroit as it played yesterday. And, it will be more interested in its next opponent, Memphis, since it just defeated the Pistons by 11 Friday. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the Pistons. |
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11-11-12 | Orlando Magic +8 v. Brooklyn Nets | 74-82 | Push | 0 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +8
The Key: Orlando will be extremely motivated here after the egg they laid at home against the Nets Friday night. The Magic are on an awesome 6-0 ATS run when checking into a game following a loss of 10.0 points or more at home. Plus, the Nets are on a 0-4 ATS skid when checking into a game off a victory. Prior to Friday's victory, Brooklyn's only other win came by just 7 points at home against the Raptors. Orlando has thumped Denver and Phoenix and played the Bulls to a 6-point game. Take the points as the Magic keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think. |
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11-10-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Utah Jazz -8 | 81-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8
The Key: The Suns' only road win came against lowly Charlotte. They were blown out on the road by Orlando and Miami. The Jazz have won both of their home games by double digits and they'll be hungry tonight following last night's ugly performance in Denver. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games,1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Western Conference foes and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on no rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Lay the points. |
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11-09-12 | Indiana Pacers +2 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 94-96 | Push | 0 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points or more per game and are coming off a loss of 6 points or less are 73-33 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs by an average of 0.9 points and have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Fueled by two straight losses, expect Indiana to bounce back strong against a team it defeated by double digits in both of last season's meetings. |
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11-08-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Portland Trail Blazers +1 | 103-90 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +1
The Key: Expect the Clippers to come out flat following last night's emotional win over a San Antonio squad that had swept them in the playoffs. The Blazers are rested having not played since Monday, and they'll be the hungrier team here as they look to avenge two straight narrow defeats to the Clippers. The Blazers have won 6 of their last 7 at home in the series. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland. |
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11-07-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers +2 | 84-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Clippers +2
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Clippers who were swept by the Spurs in last season's playoffs. Following back-to-back defeats, I have no doubt the Clipps will bring passion and energy to the floor tonight. The Spurs are 4-0 but have played 3 of those at home. We went against them in their only road game and earned the cover with the Hornets. They aren't nearly the same team on the highway. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take L.A. |
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11-07-12 | Toronto Raptors +6.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5
The Key: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS in road games following a road loss under coach Casey. They have only lost these games by an average of 2.3 points. Their success in this situation has stemmed from a combination of the books overreacting to their previous loss and their resiliency. It is also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 19-42 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games under coach Carlisle. They have only won these games by an average of 2.9 points. Take the points. |