7* Oakland/Cleveland State Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -2

The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season.  They are 18-7 SU & 16-8-1 ATS.  I cashed them in a short price yesterday as 3.5-point favorites over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  I like the short price we are getting on the Vikings again today against the Oakland Golden Grizzlies.  They already beat Oakland twice on the road in their first two matchups this year.  I see no reason anything will change here in the championship game.  The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.  The Vikings are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against teams that shoot 42% or worse and allow 45% or higher.  The Vikings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams that are outscored by 4 PPG or more on the season.  Take Cleveland State.

7* Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -3.5

The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season.  They are 17-7 SU & 15-8-1 ATS.  I like the short price we are getting with the Vikings today over the Milwaukee Panthers.  After beating Milwaukee 64-53 in their first matchup this year, the Vikings got out to a 34-23 halftime lead the next day.  They then took their foot off the gas and the Panthers came back to win 81-80.  The Vikings won't be letting up today and that was clearly a letdown spot.  Cleveland State is 7-0 ATS when attempting to avenge a loss this season.  The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.  The Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off an ATS loss.  Take Cleveland State.

7* Texas Tech/Baylor Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech +8

The Key: Baylor has only covered one of its last four gams and that was an overtime win against West Virginia.  They didn't even come close to covering against Iowa State and Kansas as they lost outright to the Jayhawks and only beat the Cyclones by 5.  And now they are laying 8 points to a Texas Tech team that has only 2 losses by more than 8 points all season.  The Red Raiders have won and covered 3 straight games with their 3 wins coming by a total of 56 points.  They are ready to give the Bears a run for their money today.  Texas Tech is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against good teams that win by 8-plus PPG on average 15 or more games into the season.  The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against good offensive teams that score 77-plus PPG 15 or more games into the season.  Texas Tech is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games road underdogs.  Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Texas Tech.

7* Illinois/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -2

The Key: Ohio State is looking to erase the sour taste of 3 consecutive defeats.  The Buckeyes got some much needed rest as they have had the last 5 days off to rest up and get healthy.  They are primed for a great showing against Illinois today.  The Fighting Illini are unlikely to have Ayo Dosunmu back today and are in a letdown spot off 3 straight wins, including the blowout victory over Michigan.  The Buckeyes will be hungry because of those 3 straight losses, plus trying to get a Top 4 seed in the Big Ten Tournament and the fact that it is Senior Day.  The Buckeyes have won 4 of the last 5 matchups in this series, including their 87-81 win at Illinois in their first matchup this year.  The Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a loss as a favorite.  Take Ohio State.

7* Georgia Tech/Wake Forest ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia Tech -9

The Key: The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They have won 5 straight games including impressive wins over Duke and Virginia Tech.  They are fighting hard to make the NCAA Tournament down the stretch and cannot afford a slip up against Wake Forest.  That shouldn't be a problem considering the Demon Deacons have already quit on their season.  They have lost 6 straight games and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Each of their last 5 losses have come by 13 points or more and by 22.8 PPG on average.  The Yellow Jackets already beat them by 16 at home in their first matchup this year.  Take Georgia Tech.

7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Boise State +6.5

The Key: The Boise State Broncos will be hungry to avenge their overtime defeat to the San Diego State Aztecs in their first matchup on February 27.  I can't believe the books have come back with the same line here as they were 6.5-point dogs in that first matchup as well.  Boise State isn't going to shoot as poorly as they did in that first matchup as they shot just 36.4% and still forced OT.  The Broncos are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games off a loss.  Take Boise State.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have won 3 straight coming in with double-digit wins over Washington and ASU as well as an upset road win at Arizona.  They are playing their best basketball of the season now that they are 4 games removed from their last COVID pause.  And now they have their sights set on avenging a 72-79 loss at Colorado in their first matchup.  The Buffaloes are just 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games.  The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 matchups.  The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home matchups with the Buffaloes.  Take Oregon.

7* Big Ten Game of the Year on Michigan State +5

The Key: The Michigan State Spartans have won 2 in a row and are making a push to make the NCAA Tournament.  Now it's time for them to avenge their 78-84 road loss at Iowa last week.  The Spartans come back as 5-point home dogs here.  That's significant when you consider Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 home matchups with the Hawkeyes.  This line is way off for a Hawkeyes team that has dropped 4 of its last 6 games coming in.  The Spartans should be the favorites in this matchup and don't be afraid to bet a percentage of your wager on the money line as well.  Take Michigan State.

7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +7.5

The Key: Wyoming will be looking to avenge its 72-74 home loss to Colorado State as identical 7.5-point dogs on Thursday.  The Cowboys blew a 38-32 halftime lead in that contest and allowed the Rams to shoot 55.1% while they shot 42.6% themselves.  Just a slight improvement will have them covering this spread again and possibly winning outright.  The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when avenging a same-season loss.  The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as underdogs.  The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups.  Take Wyoming.

7* UNLV/Nevada Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Nevada -2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Nevada.  The Wolf Pack are coming off 2 straight upset losses at Wyoming.  But each of their last 5 losses have come by 7 points or fewer.  That's how close they are to being on an 11-game winning streak.  UNLV is starting to get some respect after going 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against a very soft schedule.  They starting 1-6 this season prior to this run.  Injury news favors the Wolf Pack as well.  They will get Meeks (9.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG) back from a 3-game absence, and Cambridge Jr. (15.2 PPG) is probable.  UNLV's best player in Hamilton (18.3 PPG) is questionable with an ankle injury suffered in a loss to Utah State last time out.  He had just 2 points in 32 minutes of action against the Aggies, so it clearly affected his play.  The Wolf Pack are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after playing a road game.  The Rebels are 15-32-4 ATS in their last 51 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The Wolf Pack are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as home favorites.  Take Nevada.

7* Wisconsin/Maryland Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin -2.5

The Key: I like the situation for the Wisconsin Badgers tonight.  They are coming off an upset home loss to Ohio State.  They also were upset by this same Maryland team as 10-point home favorites back on December 28th.  Now they will avenge that defeat and they are only 2.5-point favorites this time around.  That's a 7.5-point adjustment.  Wisconsin hasn't lost 2 in a row all season.  They are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their 3 games after a loss this year.  The Badgers are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games off a SU loss.  The Terrapins are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs.  Maryland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games off a SU win.  Take Wisconsin.

7* Providence/Creighton Big East *HEAVY HITTER* on Providence +9.5

The Key: Providence wants to avenge a 65-67 loss to Creighton at home a couple weeks ago.  The Friars were only 4-point dogs in that game, and now they are 9.5-point dogs here.  The Friars haven't been getting blown out at all lately as they haven't lost any of their last 9 games by more than 10 points.  And Creighton just was upset by Butler without Marcus Zegarowski, who averages 14.1 PPG and is questionable to play tonight.  Zegarowski had 20 points against the Friars in their first matchup so he's clearly very important to the Bluejays' success.  The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when avenging a same-season loss.  They are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when avenging a loss overall.  Creighton has only won 1 of its last 7 matchups with Providence by double-digits.  Take Providence.