Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Oklahoma City Thunder -2 | Top | 135-131 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2 |
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04-01-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 |
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03-31-15 | San Antonio Spurs -7 v. Miami Heat | 95-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Spurs/Heat NBA on TNT *CA$H COW* on San Antonio -7 |
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03-30-15 | Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 88-101 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 |
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03-29-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Indiana Pacers -1.5 | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Indiana Pacers -1.5 |
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03-28-15 | Atlanta Hawks -3 v. Charlotte Hornets | 100-115 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Hawks -3 |
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03-27-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns +1 | 87-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Blazers/Suns NBA Friday Night 'Bailout' on Phoenix +1 |
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03-27-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 | 119-98 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 |
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03-25-15 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 203 | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/Celtics UNDER 203 |
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03-25-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Charlotte Hornets UNDER 197.5 | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Nets/Hornets UNDER 197.5 |
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03-24-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Portland Trail Blazers +7 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE MONTH on Portland Trail Blazers +7 |
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03-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Brooklyn Nets -4 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets -4 |
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03-22-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Phoenix Suns +4 | 92-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns +4 |
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03-21-15 | Utah Jazz v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 194.5 | 91-106 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Jazz/Warriors Western Conference *BAILOUT* on UNDER 194.5 |
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03-20-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Brooklyn Nets -3 | 127-129 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Brooklyn Nets -3 |
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03-18-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 189 | 86-103 | Push | 0 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 189 |
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03-17-15 | Orlando Magic v. Houston Rockets OVER 203 | 94-107 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Magic/Rockets OVER 203 |
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03-16-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Utah Jazz UNDER 179.5 | 66-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Hornets/Jazz UNDER 179.5 |
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03-16-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Washington Wizards -2 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Wizards -2 |
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03-15-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | 97-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5 |
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03-14-15 | Sacramento Kings +9 v. Washington Wizards | 97-113 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +9 |
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03-13-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Portland Trail Blazers -8.5 | 99-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Pistons/Blazers NBA "BAILOUT" on Portland -8.5 |
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03-11-15 | Houston Rockets v. Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Blazers Western Conference "BAILOUT" on Portland -2.5 |
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03-10-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 200 | Top | 127-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cavaliers/Mavericks OVER 200 |
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03-09-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 |
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03-08-15 | Utah Jazz v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 187.5 | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Nets UNDER 187.5 |
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03-07-15 | Phoenix Suns +11 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 79-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +11 |
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03-06-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers -6 | Top | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers -6 |
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03-05-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 199.5 | 105-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Thunder/Bulls TNT "Total" Annihilator on UNDER 199.5 |
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03-04-15 | New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 190 | 82-105 | Win | 100 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Knicks/Pacers UNDER 190 |
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03-03-15 | Washington Wizards -1 v. Chicago Bulls | 92-97 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards -1 |
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03-02-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets +6 | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn Nets +6 |
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02-27-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +4 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE MONTH on Indiana Pacers +4 |
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02-26-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Cavaliers TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -3.5 |
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02-25-15 | Phoenix Suns -6 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix Suns -6 |
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02-24-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 | Top | 92-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
7* Pacers/Thunder Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City -6.5 |
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02-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Phoenix Suns -7.5 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns -7.5 |
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02-22-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 196 | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Hawks/Bucks UNDER 196 |
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02-20-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 194 | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Bulls/Pistons UNDER 194 |
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02-20-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Orlando Magic +5.5 | Top | 84-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +5.5 |
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02-19-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
7* Mavericks/Thunder TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City -4.5 |
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02-11-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 198 | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Grizzlies/Thunder UNDER 198 |
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02-10-15 | Sacramento Kings v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 197.5 | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Kings/Bulls UNDER 197.5 |
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02-09-15 | Orlando Magic +9 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 80-96 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Orlando Magic +9 |
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02-08-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Memphis Grizzlies -2 | Top | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis Grizzlies -2 |
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02-07-15 | Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 195.5 | 93-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Celtics/Bucks UNDER 195.5 |
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02-06-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic -4 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic -4 |
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02-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings +3 | 101-78 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +3 |
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02-04-15 | Orlando Magic v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 203 | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Magic/Spurs OVER 203 |
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02-03-15 | Utah Jazz v. Portland Trail Blazers -8 | Top | 102-103 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Portland Trail Blazers -8 |
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02-02-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Washington Wizards UNDER 188.5 | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Hornets/Wizards UNDER 188.5 |
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02-01-15 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics OVER 187 | 83-75 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/Celtics Over 187 The Key: Boston is off a six-point loss to Houston, and that is very significant because it is 7-0 "over" this season in home games following a loss of six points or less. We have seen an average of 212.1 total points scored in this spot. In addition, when the line is 180.0 to 189.5, playing the "over" on Sunday road teams that average 6.0 made three-point shots per game or more has produced a 46-18 mark the last five seasons. These teams have combined with their opponent for an average of 192.0 total points in this situation. Take the over. |
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01-30-15 | Houston Rockets v. Boston Celtics +7.5 | Top | 93-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +7.5 The Key: Off Wednesday's big win over Dallas, Houston will have a tough time getting up for the lowly Celtics. Fading Friday night favorites off a home win over a division rival has resulted in a 53-21 (72%) ATS mark the last five seasons. After going 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS versus the likes of the Clippers, Blazers, Nuggets, Warriors and Jazz, Boston was crushed by the miserable T-wolves. You can bet that loss isn't setting well. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss of more than 10 points and 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus Western Conference foes. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take the points. |
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01-29-15 | New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -8 | 82-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers -8 The Key: Expect a letdown from the Knicks following last night's big upset win over the Thunder. They are just 3-20 on the road and 1-10 in the second game of a back-to-back. They are 0-7 in their last seven in Indiana and have lost these by an average of 14.9 points. Lay the points. |
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01-28-15 | Dallas Mavericks +4 v. Houston Rockets | 94-99 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Mavericks +4 The Key: Dallas fits into a strong situation. You want to play underdogs that are seeking revenge for an upset loss to an opponent when their opponent checks in off two or more consecutive road wins. Doing so has produced a 34-13 ATS mark the last five seasons. In addition, the Mavericks are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a loss, 64-30 ATS in their last 94 road games and 43-19 ATS in their last 62 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Take the points. |
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01-25-15 | Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls OVER 186 | 96-84 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/Bulls Over 186 The Key: The Heat have finished under the total in 10 straight games, and we are getting a good number here as a result. Miami is 22-11 "over" the last two seasons when the total is 180-189.5. The Bulls are 21-8 "over" in their last 29 home games, including 10-1 this season when they check in with two wins in a three-game span. When the total is 180-189.5 for a Sunday game, playing the "over" on road teams that average six three-point makes per game or more has produced a 46-17 mark the last five seasons. It is also worth noting that the Bulls are 15-6 "over" this season in home games versus teams that average six made three-pointers per game or more. We have seen an average of 206.4 total points scored in these 21 contests. |
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01-24-15 | New York Knicks v. Charlotte Hornets UNDER 185.5 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Knicks/Hornets Under 185.5 The Key: Each of the season's first three meetings between these teams have gone over the number with at least 189 scored in each. The Knicks combined with Orlando for 219 points last night, and the Hornets combined with the Cavs for 219 as well. And we're getting a line of just 185.5? Clearly, the books want the money on the over, but we won't oblige them. Prior to last night, the Hornets had held 10 straight foes to 45% shooting or worse with 8 of them making just 39.8% of their shots or fewer. Now that's some serious defense, and I expect a strong defensive effort tonight against a New York team that has really struggled offensively this season. The Knicks were kicked at home by the Hornets Jan. 10 so they'll be looking for revenge here. They know the best way to get it is too shore things up defensively, which is what they had done before last night. They got the win, but allowing the Magic to shoot over 50% serves as a reminder of their last game against Charlotte when they allowed the Hornets to shoot 50% and lost by 28. The Hornets aren't a good offensive team and are in poor offensive form, shooting just 37.6% from the field over their last five games. I expect the struggles to continue as the Knicks turn up the heat. Charlotte is 19-8 under in home games the last 3 seasons after playing a game with a combined score of 205 points or more. |
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01-23-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 | Top | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Year on Raptors/76ers Over 194 The Key: The Raptors have finished under the total in each of their last five games with just 178 total points scored in their last game at Memphis. The 76ers have come in under the number in nine of their last 10 with just 189 total points scored in their last game against the Knicks. Plus, we saw only 184 total points scored when these two teams met in Toronto last week. Given these recent outcomes, odds makers are clearly begging for action on the under. We won't give in. The last meeting between these teams was an aberration. Prior to it, these two had combined for at least 199 points in six straight meetings. When the total is 190.0-199.5, you want to play the over on teams like Toronto that have gone under the total by 42 points or more in their last five games when they are matched up against an opponent that has gone under the total by 42 points or more in their last seven games. Doing so has produced a 39-17 (70%) mark the last five seasons. The average line for these games is 194.0, but we have seen an average of 198.7 total points scored. Take the over. |
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01-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls +6 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
6* NBA National TV *CA$H COW* on Bulls +6 The Key: The Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a Chicago team that I believe will be playing with a sense of desperation tonight. The Bulls have lost six of eight, a stretch that caused Derrick Rose to call out the team. I expect them to respond knowing that anything less than an all-out effort won't be good enough tonight. Chicago's biggest issues of late have been on the defensive side of the court, and that's something that can be corrected with better effort. We are now over the halfway point of the season, which bodes well for us tonight as the Bulls are 15-4 ATS in the second half of the season against teams with a win percentage of 60-70% under coach Thibodea. They have won these contests by an average score of 95.8 to 91.5. Take the points. |
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01-21-15 | Indiana Pacers +11.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 91-110 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers +11.5 The Key: Atlanta is being overvalued here because it has won 13 straight while covering the spread in the last 12. The fact the Pacers have lost five straight and have failed to cover the spread in their last seven is adding to the value. Consider that road underdogs of 10 points or more that have lost four or five of their last six games and are matched up against a team that has won eight or more of their last 10 games are 79-43 (65%) ATS the last five seasons. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Atlanta. Take the points. |
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01-20-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets +8.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +8.5 The Key: Denver was completely embarrassed at Golden State last night and will come out focused and hungry as a result. The Nuggets have been a strong play at home even against good road teams and are 31-11 ATS in their last 42 home games versus a team with a winning road record. It is also worth noting that the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a winning home record. San Antonio is off a convincing win over Utah but is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win of more than 10 points. Take the points. |
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01-19-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 198.5 | 92-89 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Raptors/Bucks Over 198.5 The Key: The over is showing value in tonight's Raptors/Bucks battle. The Bucks have finished under the total in 11 straight games, and odds makers have been forced to over adjust the line as a result of all the action coming in on the under for Milwaukee games. Toronto is off a bad upset loss at home to New Orleans, but that is to our benefit. The Raptors are 8-0 "over" the last two seasons in road games following an upset loss at home, and we've seen an average of 218.2 total points scored in these games. The "over" is 5-0 in Toronto's last five versus Central division foes and 4-0 in its last four versus Milwaukee. We have seen 210, 200, 210 and 207 total points scored in those four. Take the over. |
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01-18-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic UNDER 211 | 127-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
6* NBA Total of the Week on Magic/Thunder Under 211.0 The Key: The under is showing some nice value in Sunday's Thunder vs. Magic matchup. You want to play the "under" on January road teams that went over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game if the posted total is 210.0 or greater. Doing so has produced an impressive 31-9 (78%) mark since 1996. The Thunder combined with Golden State for 242 points last game, but they won't get the same kind of help from an Orlando team that averages only 94.9 ppg. Oklahoma City's over/under results have directly correlated with its level of competition. It is 13-3 "under" when playing against teams with a losing record this season, and we have seen just 190.1 total points scored on average in these games. Take the under. |
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01-16-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | Top | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Thunder +2.5 The Key: This is one of the most motivated spots of the season for the Thunder, who have lost three of four. They were hit hard in the first quarter by Houston last night and played catch up the rest of the way. They will come out a lot more focused and energized from the tip tonight as a result. Fatigue shouldn't be an issue as they had five days off prior to last night's game. Adding to the motivation is the fact that Golden State has won each of the season's first three meetings. The Thunder were embarrassed at Golden State earlier this month and will be out for some serious revenge. The Warriors haven't been quite the same team on the road where they have lost three of their last four. They've also had a rough go in Oklahoma City where they are 1-10 in their last 11. The Thunder are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the Thunder. |
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01-16-15 | Brooklyn Nets +10 v. Washington Wizards | 102-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
6* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Nets +10 The Key: Washington is being overvalued following back-to-back impressive wins over the Spurs and Bulls. It knew it had to be on top of its game to get those two, but now it takes a step down in competition and the tendency will be to lose focus. The Wizards are a weak 19-31 ATS as a home favorite since the start of last season and 5-15 ATS during this span in home games after a stretch of covers in four or five or their last six games. Brooklyn will be highly motivated tonight as it looks to end a seven-game skid. Despite the losing streak, it has been pretty competitive as the losses have come by an average of just 7.4 points. The Nets are a better team than they've shown lately, and I expect a strong effort here. Brooklyn is 11-2 ATS after two straight double-digit losses over the last three seasons. It is 9-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in six or seven of their last eight games going back to the beginning of last season. The Nets are also 21-5 ATS the last three seasons in road games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. Take the points. |
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01-15-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 v. Houston Rockets | 101-112 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Thunder +1.5 The Key: The Thunder have the edge tonight against a Houston team that is playing its second game in as many nights, its third in four days and 9th in 14 days. The Thunder haven't played since last Friday and will undoubtedly be the fresher and more prepared side. OKC lost the season's first meeting but didn't have Durant or Westbrook for that one. When the line is +3 to -3, you want to back road teams that are seeking revenge for a home loss to an opponent if they are playing for just the third time or less in a 10-day span. Doing so has produced a 39-13 ATS mark since 1996. Take the Thunder. |
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01-14-15 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls -5.5 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bulls -5.5 The Key: This is a tough spot for Washington, which is off a big win over the defending champion Spurs last night. It's asking too much of the Wizards to keep this one close against a more rested and hungry Chicago squad. Not only will the Bulls be fueled by an upset loss to lowly Orlando but also by an embarrassing loss in Washington last week. In a matchup of teams with win percentages of 60% to 75%, you want to back a team off an upset loss in a game in which it was favored by 10 points or more. Doing so has produced a 34-11 (76%) ATS mark since 1996. You also want to back favorites that are seeking revenge for a loss to an opponent when they check in off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite. Doing so has produced a 60-30 (67%) ATS mark since 1996. The Bulls are 13-4 ATS the last two seasons when seeking revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more and have won by an average of 8.5 points in this situation. Lay the points. |
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01-13-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Washington Wizards -1.5 | Top | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Wizards -1.5 The Key: This is a great spot to back the Wizards. They will be extremely hungry following an embarrassing loss in Atlanta last game. They'll also be motivated by a recent loss to the Spurs in San Antonio. Home court has been good to the Wizards as they are 16-4 at home on the season. They are also an outstanding 25-11 ATS the last two seasons when seeking revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 points or more. Lay the points. |
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01-12-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Boston Celtics +5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +5 The Key: New Orleans has struggled on the road where it is 6-13 on the season, including 0-4 in its last four. It is also 0-6 on the season in road games against the East. The Pelicans are off a big 11-point win over Southwest division co-leader Memphis, but they are on a 3-20 ATS slide in road following a win of 10 points or more over a division opponent. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the points. |
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01-11-15 | Miami Heat +10 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Heat +10 The Key: The Heat have had two days to rest up and prepare for this contest after taking it on the chin in Portland, and they will be lacking no motivation as they try to avenge a November 17-point home loss to the Clippers. LA is off a dominant performance against Dallas yesterday, but fatigue should be an issue as the regulars logged considerable playing time. The Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing without a day of rest and 0-5 ATS in their last five games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. You want to fade favorite of 10 points or more that have won three of their last four games if they carry win percentage of 60-75% and are playing a team with a win percentage of 40-49%. Doing so has produced a 78-42 ATS mark since 1996. It is also worth noting that Miami is 10-1 ATS the last two seasons after a stretch where it fails to cover the spread six or seven times in an eight-game span. Take the points. |
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01-09-15 | Phoenix Suns v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | Top | 95-100 | Push | 0 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk of the Week on Spurs -5 The Key: This is a great spot for the Spurs who have had the last two days off. In fact, they've had two days off after each of their last three games so they should be fresh here. The Suns, on the other hand, are playing their third road game in four days. Not only will San Antonio be fresher, it will be hungrier following a home loss to Detroit in which it blew an 18 point lead. Adding fuel to the fire is a five-point loss at Phoenix in the season's first meeting. The Spurs don't like losing at home and are 18-6 ATS off a home loss the last three seasons and have won by an average of 9.9 points in this situation. They are also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games versus teams with a winning road record. Lay the points. |
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01-08-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Toronto Raptors -12 | 103-95 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Raptors -12 The Key: Charlotte is playing its best basketball of the season, but it runs into a buzz saw tonight. This will be the second game in as many nights for the Hornets, their third in four days and fifth in seven days. They won't have enough left in the tank to content with a Toronto team that has had the last three days off. The Hornets are 23-48 ATS in their last 71 games when playing without a day of rest while the Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games playing on three days of rest or more. The Raptors will also be highly motivated because they have lost their last three with the last two losses being ugly. They are on a 13-3 ATS run at home following two straight losses of 15 points or more. Charlotte is 15-29 ATS the last three seasons as an underdog of 10 points or more. Lay the points. |
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01-07-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194.5 | 97-77 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Bucks/76ers Over 194.5 The Key: Milwaukee has been an unders machine, finishing under the number in each of its last seven, and we are getting a favorable number as a result. It is also to our benefit that Milwaukee is playing the second game of a back-to-back and an eighth game in 13 days as defense is the first thing to suffer for fatigued teams. The Bucks are 21-9 "over" the last two seasons when playing at least eight games in a 14-day span, and we have seen an average of 204.3 total points scored in this situation. It is also worth noting that the 76ers are on a 36-17 run the last three seasons in home games following an under, and we have seen an average of 202.3 total points scored in this situation. Take the over. |
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01-05-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 209 | 110-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Nuggets/Timberwolves Over 209 The Key: We saw 208 total points scored when these teams played the day after Christmas, and we saw this amount despite very poor shooting from both teams. In fact, they combined to shoot barely 40% overall and just 17.6% from 3-point range. The pace of the game was very fast, which has been the norm when these teams get together. That's why we've seen an average of 226.4 total points scored in the last five meetings. The "over" is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Minnesota. With a fast pace and both teams shooting the ball just a little bit better, this one should find its way over the total. |
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01-04-15 | Sacramento Kings +4 v. Detroit Pistons | 95-114 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +4 The Key: The Kings are showing value catching points against a Detroit team that is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Kings were a terrible investment in December but are now showing great value here as odds makers have overadjusted their lines. You want to take underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games when they are taking on an opponent that has covered the spread in four or five of their last six games. Doing so has produced a 77-37 ATS mark since 1996. Take the points. |
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01-02-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Orlando Magic +1.5 | 100-98 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Magic +1.5 The Key: Brooklyn is primed for a letdown as it has won five of six and is coming off a big win over Chicago. It also has a revenge game against Miami on deck so it will likely be looking ahead to that matchup rather than focusing on a team it defeated by eight points earlier this season. The home team has had a significant edge in this series as it is 6-0 in the last six meetings with an average winning margin of 12.2 points. Take Orlando. |
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12-30-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194.5 | Top | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Spurs/Grizzlies Under 194.5 The Key: Odds makers are well off the mark here. The total was set at 191.0 the last time these teams met. They tallied 233 total points in that game but needed triple-OT to do so. They combined for just 184 points at the end of regulation so this number should have went the other way if anything. The Spurs are 8-1 "under" this season in road games after playing a home game, and we have seen just 187.0 total points scored on average in these contests. Take the under. |
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12-29-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 204.5 | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Kings/Nets Under 204.5 The Key: You want to play the "under" on teams like Brooklyn that are off two or more consecutive overs when they are matched up against an opponent that is off five or more consecutive overs. Doing so has produced a 60-25 mark the last five seasons. The under is 9-1 in the Nets' last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 6-0 in their last six versus the Western Conference and 4-0 in their last four games following an ATS loss. Take the under. |
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12-28-14 | Houston Rockets v. San Antonio Spurs +1 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs +1 The Key: Even if Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard doubtful, I like the Spurs at home in what should be a highly motivated spot. The Spurs have lost their last two and were routed in the season's first meeting with Houston so they will be out for payback. The Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. When the line is +3 to -3, you want to fade road teams that went over the total by 18 points or more in their previous game if they have a win percentage of .600 to .750 and are playing a team with a winning record. Doing so has produced a 31-7 ATS mark the last five seasons. |
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12-26-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons +2.5 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pistons +2.5 The Key: The Pacers have been a terrible investment when coming off a win as they are on a 12-26-1 ATS slide following victory. Indiana is coming off a nice upset win at home over New Orleans but is a pathetic 2-12 ATS following an upset win at home under coach Vogel. It has lost by an average score of 96.0 to 87.6 in this situation. The Pistons have had the last four days off and spent that time focusing on defense. I expect a strong defensive effort here. I also expect the offense to be much more efficient after getting rid of Josh Smith, who led the team in field-goal attempts despite shooting just 39.1 percent. Take the points. |
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12-25-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat +5.5 | Top | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat +5.5 The Key: The Cavs are being overvalued here on the road where they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Cleveland has been inconsistent defensively this season and is 0-5 ATS in its last five games after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. The Cavaliers are also 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Heat got caught looking ahead to this matchup and lost to lowly Philadelphia as a result. They'll be even more focused and motivated here because of that defeat. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Miami will be looking to send a message to LeBron James that he made the wrong decision. Take the points. |
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12-23-14 | Charlotte Hornets v. Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bucks -5.5 The Key: This is a bad spot for the Hornets, who are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. Milwaukee will be the much fresher side as it has had the last two days off. The Hornets are 21-47 ATS in their last 68 games when playing without a day of rest. The Bucks should also be the hungrier side as they have lost six straight to Charlotte, including a two-point loss in their season opener. The Bucks are 15-6 ATS this season when seeking revenge for a loss to an opponent. Milwaukee has taken care of business against weaker competition as it is 11-2 ATS versus teams with losing records this season. It has also bounced back nicely at 11-2 ATS following a loss on the season. You want to fade underdogs that beat the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game if that have a win percentage of just .250 to .400 on the season. Doing so has produced a 26-4 ATS mark the last five seasons. |
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12-22-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -3.5 | Top | 95-110 | Win | 102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Rockets -3.5 The Key: This is a bad spot for Portland. The Trail Blazers are playing their third road game in three days, and this stretch started with a triple-overtime contest. Houston, which has been at home and has had a day of rest in between each of its last two games, will be the fresher side. It will also be the hungrier side. Not only will the Rockets be out to end a two-game skid, they'll be out for revenge for last season's playoff loss to Portland. The Rockets are 20-8 ATS at against teams with winning percentages above 70% under McHale. The Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points. |
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12-21-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings -7 | 101-108 | Push | 0 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NBA Annihilator on Kings -7 The Key: Motivated by five consecutive defeats and out for revenge for a three-point setback in L.A. Dec. 9, the Kings will be hungry. Recent history suggests this is great spot to back the Kings as well as a great spot to fade the Lakers. Consider that Sacramento is 10-1 ATS the last three seasons following five or more consecutive defeats. In addition, the Lakers are 3-12 ATS the last two seasons after covering the number in three of their last four games. Lay the points. |
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12-20-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 211.5 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Total of the Week on Bucks/Clippers Under 211.5 The Key: Milwaukee combined with Sacramento for 215 points in its last game. The Clippers combined with Denver for 215 points in their last game. And, the Bucks and Clippers combined for 217 points when they met Dec. 13. With a number set well below these point totals, it appears odds makers are begging for action on the under. We won't bite. The LA's defense wasn't very good last night. It allowed Denver to shoot 47.5% for the game and make 11 three-point attempts. That poor defensive effort will remind the Clippers of an even worse defensive performance they had recently against the Bucks. They lost in Milwaukee while allowing the Bucks to shoot 56.6% from the field and 63.6% from three-point range. I expect a much better defensive effort tonight in a bounce-back, revenge spot. When the total is 200 or higher, you want to play the "under" on teams like Milwaukee that have covered the spread in four or five of their last six games and are playing a fourth road game in seven days. Doing so has produced a 55-25 (69%) mark the last five seasons. The Bucks are also on a 28-13 "unders" run in road games when the total is 210 or higher. Take the under. |
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12-19-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Detroit Pistons +8 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +8 The Key: The Pistons hold major motivational edges in this game. They will be highly motivated tonight as they try to snap an ugly 11-game losing streak at home. They'll also be fueled by a three-game losing streak to the Raptors. Toronto will have a tough time getting up for the lowly Pistons on the road. We saw this in its most recent road game when it defeated the Knicks by only five points. Toronto is off a 105-89 win over Brooklyn but is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a win of more than 10 points. In addition, fading Friday night favorites off a home win over a division rival has resulted in a 52-20 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points. |
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12-17-14 | Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets +1.5 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets +1.5 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a 108-96 loss in Houston Dec. 13, the Nuggets will bounce back strong at home where they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven. The Nuggets are 45-22-1 ATS in their last 68 home games versus teams with a winning road record and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Home court has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 in the last six meetings with an average winning margin of 10.2 points. The Rockets are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four visits to the Mile High City. Take Denver. |
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12-16-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7.5 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Kings +7.5 The Key: The Thunder have been rolling since the return of Durant and Westbrook, but this is a tough situation for them. They are playing their fourth game in six and have a big one at Golden State on deck. The Kings have had the last two days off so they will be the fresher side. I also expect maximum effort in the wake of Michael Malone's firing. Fading favorites off two straight double digits wins in a matchup of teams with +/- 3.0 ppg differentials has resulted in a 37-11 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points. |
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12-15-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Indiana Pacers -6 | 91-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pacers -6 The Key: This is a tough situation for the Lakers, who are playing their second road game in as many days and third in four days. Indiana has been at home and had Sunday off so it should be the fresher side. The Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on one days' rest. The Pacers should also be the hungrier side as they try to snap an eight-game slide. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing record and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The Pacers are 5-0 in the last five meetings, winning them by an average of 8.4 points. Lay the points. |
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12-14-14 | Phoenix Suns +6.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 88-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +6.5 The Key: OKC is being overvalued at home following a five-game win streak that has coincided with the return of its two stars. The Suns have given the Thunder problems, winning the last two meetings. The Suns are in the midst of a four-game slide but none of the losses have come by more than six points. Phoenix is on a 24-11 ATS run as a road underdog and is 9-1 ATS in road games following a loss of six points or less the last two seasons. Take the points. |
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12-12-14 | Detroit Pistons v. Phoenix Suns OVER 203 | Top | 105-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Week on Pistons/Suns Over 203 The Key: When these teams met in Detroit last month, we saw just 174 total points scored, but they combined for only 33 points from beyond the arc and only 23 points from the free throw line. Keep in mind these teams average 54 points combined per game on three-pointers and 33 points on free throws. In other words, they are averaging 31 more points per game in these areas than we saw in the first meeting. Add those 31 points to the total score of the first meeting, and we get 205. So we are getting a good number here. Plus, we can also take into consideration that neither team is defending well. The Pistons have allowed 103.6 points over their last eight games, and the Suns are allowing 106.7 points over their last nine games. Phoenix is 8-1 over this season versus teams that give up 99.0 ppg or more, and we have seen an average of 219.9 total points scored in these contests. The Suns are 9-1 over the last two season when playing against teams with a win percentage of 25% or worse, and we have seen 213.2 total points scored in these games. Take the over. |
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12-11-14 | Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings OVER 196 | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Rockets/Kings Over 196 The Key: We saw just 191 total points scored when these teams met in Houston last month. The Kings went to DeMarcus Cousins in the post a lot in that game, but they'll be looking to run more without him in the lineup. The Rockets just played last night, and the Kings are playing for the third time in four days. Neither team has fresh legs, and defense is the first thing to go when that's the case. Houston is 18-4 over off a road loss over the last two seasons, and we have seen an average of 212.7 total points scored in these contests. Also, the over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento. |
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12-10-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Indiana Pacers +7 | 103-96 | Push | 0 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
6* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Pacers +7 The Key: The Pacers are extremely disappointed with how they performed last game. They returned home following an 0-4 road trip looking to get back on track but were hit in the mouth by Atlanta instead. I expect an inspired performance in the wake of that loss. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home, 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Wednesday games and 4-0 ATS in their last four games when playing on one day of rest. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Central division opponents. Take the points. |
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12-10-14 | Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets -2.5 | Top | 87-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Hornets -2.5 The Key: This is a superior spot for Charlotte, which has had the last four days off to get healthy and to get prepared for this matchup. Boston is playing its third game in four days with the last one going to double overtime. The Hornets will have the fresher legs. Boston has been playing uptempo basketball, trying to outscore its opponents, but Charlotte has done an excellent job controlling the tempo against such teams and is on a 27-14 ATS run versus up-tempo teams that average 83 shots per game or more. Lay the points. |
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12-09-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 | 95-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NBA Bailout on Lakers -2.5 The Key: Motivated by three consecutive blowout losses, the Lakers should take care of business against a Sacramento team that hasn't been the same since the loss of DeMarcus Cousins. The Lakers should also benefit from fresher legs. Sacramento played last night while L.A. had the night off. The Lakers have had plenty of success against the Kings and are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings overall and 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings at home. Lay the points. |
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12-09-14 | Miami Heat +5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Heat +5 The Key: This is a bad spot for Phoenix, which will be playing a second game in as many nights and a fourth in five days. To make matters worse, last night's game with the Clippers went to overtime so I don't see the Suns having enough left in the tank to cover this number. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing without a day of rest and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Heat are 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings, including 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings in Phoenix. Take the points. |
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12-08-14 | Phoenix Suns +7.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 120-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
6* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Suns +7.5 The Key: This line is inflated due to LA's run of five consecutive covers. Consider that the Clippers are just 22-43 ATS since 1996 after covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. The Clippers are also 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus teams with a winning road record. The Suns are coming off a loss in Houston but are an impressive 29-11-1 ATS in their last 41 games following an ATS loss. That game, however, was Phoenix's second in as many days. While playing three games in four days is no picnic, the Suns have thrived in such spots under Hornacek, going 22-10 ATS and winning by an average score of 105.7 to 101.9. They are also 44-20-1 ATS in their last 65 games when playing on one day of rest. The Suns are 31-16 ATS as a dog under Hornacek and 23-11 ATS as a road underdog under their current coach. You want to take road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more that trailed by 15 points or more at halftime of the previous game. Doing so has produced an 81-36 ATS mark since 1996. Take the points. |
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12-07-14 | Denver Nuggets +5.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | 84-96 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +5.5 The Key: Atlanta is 12-6 but wouldn't be if it played in the much stronger Western Conference. The Hawks are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 versus the West and 0-6 ATS in their last six versus the NBA Northwest division. The Nuggets are off a bad loss at Washington where they couldn't throw it in the ocean, but the performance was an outlier because they had been played exceptional in their previous nine games. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on one day of rest. You want to back road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more that trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half. Doing so has produced an 81-35 ATS mark since 1996. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is just 11-23 ATS the last three seasons versus teams that average 103.0 ppg or more. |
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12-06-14 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons -9 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Pistons -9 The Key: The Pistons have been a major disappointment thus far, but this is a fantastic spot for them. Not only will Detroit be motivated by a 10-game slide, but it will also be fueled by an embarrassing 25-point loss the last time it faced the 76ers. The Pistons have had two days to regroup and are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest. The 76ers have covered the spread in six of their last seven and are starting to lose value as a result. This is the second game of a back-to-back for them, a spot that hasn't treated the well. They are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games when playing without a day of rest. They are also 17-32 ATS the last two seasons as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lay the number. |
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12-05-14 | Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves +7 | Top | 114-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA Game of the Week on Timberwolves +7 The Key: Off a big win over Memphis and with a matchup against Phoenix tomorrow night, Houston won't give Minnesota its full attention. The Rockets have a 12-point win over Minnesota this season in Mexico City so it will be easy for them to look right past the Timberwolves here. I expect the T-Wolves to be extremely motivated after losing to the then 0-17 76ers. That's the type of embarrassing loss that gets a teams attention. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Also, you want to fade Friday night favorites that are off a home win against a division rival as doing so has produced a 50-20 (71%) ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points. |