(3 Unit Play on Celtics) The Boston Celtics have looked really bad in the last couple games. The Philadelphia 76ers have outplayed them badly. Boston hosts Game 7, and I like their chances of turning things around in the all important finale. 

There are multiple strong angles supporting home favorites coming off a blowout loss in the NBA playoffs. One system is this- a team with a 64% win rate or higher on the season that lost last game by 11 points or more- backing that team is 94-57 ATS (62.3% Wins) dating back to 2005.

The Celtics are a proud franchise and they are the deeper team of these two. Philadelphia has been inconsistent all season. 

Lay the points.

Back Boston. 

(3 Unit Play on Spurs) The San Antonio Spurs are on a back to back, but that isn't necessarily a bad thing. They are 7-3 ATS on no rest this season. This is a really deep team that is playing some great basketball right now. This is the Spurs last game before the All Star Break. I expect a max effort out of them to go into the break on a high note.

The Warriors are so shorthanded right now. They have played hard and hung around against decent teams, but the Spurs are playing like a top two or three team in the NBA right now. I don't think the Warriors have what it takes to stick around with the Spurs.

Typically going into the break, the best teams in the NBA go all out and take care of business. 

We're on San Antonio.

(3 Unit Play on Miami Heat) The Phoenix Suns will be without Devin Booker here. They fell apart late in the game against Atlanta when he was hurt toward the end of the third quarter. They clearly are a much different and weaker team without their go to guy. Booker is a better defender than most realize too.

Phoenix is coming home here after a long road trip, and this is a tough situational spot for them. The Suns return home in what has long term been a good fade spot. Add in that they are without their top player. 

The Heat are playing a back to back, but they are 6-3 ATS in the second game of back to back situations so far this season.

We're on the underdog (Miami) here. 

(3 Unit Play on Pacers) A rematch of the NBA Finals from last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder are having a spectacular season, while the Indiana Pacers are having a season to forget. The Pacers have been impacted significantly by injuries, but they also have played bad basketball.

Oklahoma City is in a tough spot here. The Thunder are in their first game back home after a four game road trip. Teams have done poorly ATS overall in the NBA in this spot. 

I also believe that the Pacers are likely to care more in this spot than the average spot. This is the team they lost a hard fought series to at the end of last year. Their effort should be higher in this game than an average one.

Grab the points on the underdog. 

(3 Unit Play on Utah) NBA players usually have some pride after an absolute embarrassment of a performance. Utah was beaten 150-95 at home by the Hornets last game. Lauri Markannen didn't play in that game, and he is expected to play here. 

Utah had actually been playing pretty well before last game. Cleveland has been burning money all season long. The Cavs are 10-23 ATS as a favorite this season.

Utah is 14-10 ATS after a loss this season. 

Take the Jazz.

(3 Unit Play on Heat) The Miami Heat have lost five games in a row. They need a pick me up in a big way right now. The Brooklyn Nets are a good team to be up against to try to get things turned around. Brooklyn is 7-18 on the year, and they are just 3-10 at home. 

Miami is the much more talented team, and I highly respect the Miami coaching staff. They had a couple days off to get ready for this, and I think we see a much better effort from them here.

Take Miami and lay the points.