T.M. Selection: Ravens vs Chargers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers game Monday. The Chargers are unlikely to catch the Chiefs in the AFC West but they do have the Broncos on their heels! The Ravens also saw a door open with Pittsburgh's loss at Cleveland Thursday. Baltimore can close ground on the AFC North leading Steelers with a win here. The point is that each of these teams enter this game very likely to dial up the defensive intensity in a game that is so important for each team. The Chargers defense, last week an exception, has been great this season. Los Angeles allowed 13 ppg in their first 9 games before last week's struggles in the high-scoring win versus Cincinnati. I expect LA to be better defensively here but also the Ravens defense has proven better than what their early season struggles suggested they would be this season. Baltimore also had a recent high-scoring win over the Bengals but in their other two recent games the Ravens have allowed an average of only 14 points! Baltimore has been strong against the run this season and the Chargers passing attack has had ups and downs. This is why LA may not perform well here on offense but their defense resumes its solid season. Under here! 

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Ravens. 

Line: O/U 50.5

T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders game on Sunday. The Raiders offense looks like it would be a concern here against the Denver defense but I am confident Las Vegas is going to score well here. This is their first home game in nearly a month and the Raiders will make the most of it. Las Vegas has scored at least 20 in 3 of their 4 home games this season. The Raiders are scoring 21 points per game last 3 games but this D can't stop teams. LV has allowed 31.7 ppg last 6 games. The Broncos come into this one running hot as Denver has won 6 of 9 games and they are favored here by nearly a TD. That is worthy of note as the Broncos have scored 28 ppg in their 6 victories this season. They should get into that range again here as they take advantage of a bad defense. 4 of last 5 Broncos games have totaled more than 41 points. 7 of last 9 Raiders games have totaled more than 41 points. Over is my bet here! Great value on this O/U! 

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Denver. 

T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins - ATS

1) I like the Dolphins to get the solid home win in this game against the Patriots on Sunday, November 24th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog (currently 7 to 7.5) considering Miami has only one more win than New England. I am not falling for it!

2) Miami has been a different team since QB Tagovailoa has come back and this offense is humming again. The Patriots defense has regressed this season and the offense does not have enough firepower to keep with Tua and the Dolphins in this one! 

3) The Dolphins have won B2B games plus scored 28 ppg last 4 games! The Patriots have lost 8 of 10 games since their season opening win and their victories this season are against teams with an 11-21 record. One can argue the Dolphins record is not good either but again they were without Tagovailoa much of the season. They are back to being the Miami of old again and they crush the Patriots down in south Florida for this one! Big home edge and the line could easily be double digits here. I am grabbing the value.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-16 Dolphins.

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: PIT vs CLE - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns game Thursday. Bad weather expected in Cleveland for this one and the Browns are off a 2nd half collapse last week on defense that will lead to a very strong effort from the Browns defensively in this one. The Steelers are off a big win over the Ravens but could not even score a touchdown. They also have a history of struggling in games at Cleveland. With rainy and windy conditions expected in Cleveland for this one, the set-up is perfect for another ugly AFC North battle here. The Steelers have been struggling in the red zone with Russell Wilson at the controls. The Browns also have had a QB mess all season long with their situation with Watson and now it is Winston under center. He threw for a lot of yardage last week but Cleveland still managed only 14 points and this followed a very rough 3 INT performance in Winston's most recent home start. This is going to be an ugly game dominated by the weather and the defenses! 

T.M. Prediction: 16-13 Steelers. 

Line: O/U 37 

T.M. Selection: Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys game on Sunday. The Cowboys offense was horrible last week but that was first game without Prescott at QB and they faced a tough Eagles defense. Dallas will surely be stronger on offense in this game! As for Houston, they are off B2B losses after winning 4 of 5 games and scoring 26 ppg during that stretch. The Texans offense should punish a Cowboys defense allowing 34.5 ppg in their 4-game losing streak. On the other side of the ball, however, the Houston defense has not been great either with allowing 23.3 ppg last 8 games. Texans have given up at least 20 points in 9 of 10 games this season and are favored by a TD on the road in this one. I expect upper 40s at least when you consider this season and the recent points allowed totals of each team. Overall, 6 of last 7 Texans game have totaled at least 43 points! The Cowboys have allowed 38 ppg in 4 home games this season. This one should easily go over the short total and it was 43.5 and has come down to 41 and the value makes this a best bet for me. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Houston. 

T.M. Selection: 49ERS - ATS

1) I like the 49ers to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Seahawks on Sunday, November 17th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching nearly a full TD in a match-up featuring teams battling it out for positioning in the NFC West and I am not falling for it!

2) The Seahawks are off a bye week but they need more help than just that! The Seahawks have lost 4 of 5 games and now are on the road facing a 49ers team that is on the upswing again. San Francisco has won 4 of 6 games and did have a bye the week before last so it is not as if Seattle has a big rest edge here.    

3) San Francisco has the much better rushing attack on offense so, while both teams have strong passing attacks, the ground game edge is with the home team here. That is key in a divisional game too! On the other side of the ball, SF has an edge on defense as they are better against the pass and much stronger than Seattle in terms of rushing defense as well. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 49ERS

Line: -6.5

T.M. Selection: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. The Lions off the hard-fought (and somewhat fortunate) win at Houston and now face a Jaguars team that is counting on being stronger defensively due to the issues on offense. I trust their defense here as they just allowed only 12 points in the loss to Minnesota last week. The Jaguars will go all out here, without question, as they do have a bye week on deck. The Lions off B2B big road wins by knocking off the division rival Packers and then the Texans and now they have a tougher opponent than the Jags on deck as next week the Lions are at Indianapolis. Jaguars, in 10 games this season, have only 2 losses by more than 5 points! Over-reaction to Lions winning ways here! This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Lions. 

Line: +14

T.M. Selection: EAGLES - ATS

1) I like the Eagles to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Commanders on Thursday, November 14th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching more than a FG in a match-up featuring teams with nearly identical records battling it out at the top of the division and I am not falling for it!

2) Hard to believe...but true...the Eagles have allowed an average of LESS THAN 200 yards over the last 4 games. Their defense has been spectacular. This includes run defense which is a weakness of the Commanders and I expect Philadelphia to run all over Washington in this match-up.    

3) Philadelphia has won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and with a line of 3.5 on this game, any Eagles SU win is quite likely to also be an ATS win. The Commanders are having a solid season but have lost a few games recently and also had a crazy last-second win over Chicago. The Eagles, on the other hand, have won 5 straight games and are one of the hottest teams in the league. I am laying the points with confidence on this one.     

T.M. Prediction: 30-17 EAGLES

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams game on Monday. The Rams have been giving up big passing yardage but surviving week by week during this current run as they have put together a winning streak. But LA is truly winning with turnovers on defense and strong offensive play now that Cupp and Nacua are back to solidify the WR position. The Rams offense should move the ball well again here at home but the Dolphins also have a surging offense. Even if Hill does not play (only 11 catches last 3 games anyway), Miami will get it done again here as their offense looks great now that QB Tagovailoa is back under center. The Dolphins will turn this one into a shootout at LA and the over is the bet here. Miami's last two games totaled 55+ points and the Rams have scored 24 ppg when at home this season and scored 30 against a solid Vikings defense in most recent game in Los Angeles. Shootout here between Stafford and Tua! 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Los Angeles Rams. 

Line: O/U 48.5

T.M. Selection: New York Jets vs Arizona Cardinals - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Many expect a high-scoring game here and this total has been going up in the marketplace and this is giving under players extra value here. The Jets notched 8 sacks last week and the Cardinals had 6 sacks last week. The defenses are being undervalued here. New York did not move the ball last week and were fortunate to beat an injury-impacted Texans team. The Cardinals D will take advantage of a Jets team that is averaging less than 300 yards of offense in road games this season. These two defenses both rank as two of the best in the league against the pass and this is going to force both teams to rely more on their running game. Of course all the rushing attempts also generally lead to running clock and I just don't see this one getting out of the 30s. Cardinals had one high-scoring loss at home this season but have only allowed 13.5 ppg in their other 4 home losses! 

T.M. Prediction: 17-16 New York Jets. 

Line: O/U 46.5

T.M. Selection: GIANTS - ATS

1) I like the Giants to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Panthers on Sunday, November 10th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching nearly a full TD in a match-up featuring teams with identical 2-7 records and I am not falling for it!

2) Giants are favored heavily here in this neutral site game even though Carolina is off a win because the Panthers were outgained by a huge margin in that game and were very fortunate to beat the Saints! New York has some solid weapons on offense and that will be the difference in this one as the Panthers just don't have enough playmakers on offense plus the Carolina defense has regressed as the season has gone on.   

3) The Giants offense has not been great this season but they are better than Carolina's especially now that New York is a little healthier on that side of the ball. The Panthers defense has fallen to the bottom of the NFL while New York is respectable ranking in the middle of the pack. Last but not least the Giants do a great job of getting to the opposing QB while Carolina is one of the worst in the NFL for sacking the QB. This will also play a key role and the Giants pass defense has been strong this season as well. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 27-13 GIANTS

Line: -6.5

T.M. Selection: CHIEFS - ATS

1) I like the Chiefs to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Bucs on Monday, November 4th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching more than a full TD as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Tampa Bay has a strong offense but now faces a top-notch defense here. That will stop the Bucs in their tracks in this one and the problem is the Buccaneers defense is a major liability which Kansas City will exploit!  

3) The Chiefs have not looked as dominant this season on offense so some will see the value in the big points here for TB. However, the Bucs defense has been so bad that the Chiefs offense is highly likely to have a huge game here at home in Monday night action. Tampa has allowed 32.3 ppg last 4 games (sans OT points of course). Kansas City, on other hand, has not allowed more than 25 points in a game this season. Other than allowing 25 points, KC allowed 20 or less in all 6 of their other games and an average of only 16.3 ppg in those 6 games. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 CHIEFS

Line: -9

T.M. Selection: Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. The Bears off the heartbreaking Hail Mary loss at Washington last week. Chicago's normally stout defense also gave up big yardage in that game. The defense will most certainly come into this game with a chip on its shoulder as a result. That Chicago D, when it is dialed in, has been among the best in the league this season. The Bears should hold Arizona in check for much of this game as a result. The Cardinals offense is a respectable one but they have not been consistent this season. The Bears offense has not been strong and, in particular, if looking at yardage numbers Chicago has one of the weaker offenses in the NFL. Also, after the way Chicago lost last week they will want to play a conservative style this week on the road. The Bears will look to establish their ground game on offense and shorten the game with plenty of running plays and let their defense win this game for them. This is why this total has dropped from upper 40s to mid 40s and I agree strongly with this move. Under is the play here. Cards averaging only 14.7 ppg last 3 home games! Bears also scoring just 14.7 ppg in true road games (not including neutral site like London). Also, 5 of 7 Chicago games have totaled 42 points or less this season.  

T.M. Prediction: 17-16 Arizona. 

Line: O/U 45

T.M. Selection: Atlanta Falcons - Moneyline

1) I like the Atlanta Falcons to win this game against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday, November 3rd. The line is in the -3 to -3.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -165 to -170 range.

2) The Falcons have won 4 of 5 games and the Cowboys come in off B2B losses. Atlanta has been piling up yardage in recent weeks and is averaging over 430 yards per game in their last 4 games. The Falcons passing attack, led by QB Cousins, has been picking up steam and is facing a struggling Cowboys pass defense. 

3)The Dallas rush defense also has issues too as they just got run all over by the 49ers last week. Atlanta has a pair of solid RB and a pair of solid WR too and this team is surging while the Cowboys have a losing record this season. On the other side of the ball, Dallas does not run the ball well at all and this means the Falcons can focus on shutting down the passing attack. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Atlanta.

Line: -165 to -170 

T.M. Selection: NY Jets vs Houston Texans - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the New York Jets vs Houston Texans game on Thursday. The Texans have injuries at WR which will impact their offensive production here. Also, Houston QB Stroud has lesser numbers on the road compared to at home. The Jets defense is a strength and has been better of late than what the points allowed totals show. The yardage allowed numbers show the real story and this Jets defense has been solid. The offense is another story however though as they continue to struggle week in an week out. Rodgers at QB simply has not been the answer. Firing their head coach and changing play-calling duties has not helped the offense either. All these factors add up to a solid spot here with the under. The Jets defense has been particularly strong in home games this season (not including London game of course). The Texans defense, similar to the Jets, is also undervalued based on their points allowed numbers compared to yardage allowed numbers. So this is truly a match-up of two of the top defenses in the NFL and this is a bargain with this total set too high and I will take advantage Thursday.  

T.M. Prediction: 17-14 New York Jets. 

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: NY Giants @ Pittsburgh - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers game on Monday. The Steelers are a different offense with veteran Russell Wilson at the controls. The Giants are a better offense with Malik Nabers back at WR and he will likely be even stronger in his 2nd game back after the injury. Last week was below his typical results but he will be back in top form again now after working the rust off. The Steelers have scored 26 ppg last 5 games! The Giants have scored 23 ppg in their 3 road games this season. This total is only in the mid-30s and with stats like this for these teams you can see why I am backing the over in a strong way here! New York allowing 21 ppg this season and the Steelers have allowed 19 ppg last 4 games and this included games against struggling offenses like the Jets and Raiders. Those teams are each now 2-6 on the season. The Giants can score well here but the Steelers are favored by a TD and are expected to outscore them by that margin. With New York averaging 23 on the road and never scoring less than 18, expecting at least 20 here is well within reason and I have this one projected for upper 40s as final tally. This is a bargain with this total set so low and I will take advantage on Monday.  

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Pittsburgh. 

Line: O/U 36.5

T.M. Selection: Chicago - ML 

1) Washington might have Daniels at QB but he is still dealing with a rib injury and even if he starts he may not last long and Mariota will come in. 

2) Chicago is off a bye week after hammering Jacksonville in London and the Bears have plenty of momentum with 3 straight wins. In true road games (not neutral site like London) the Bears are 0-2 this season. Washington is 3-0 in home games. That being said, how is it that Chicago is favored at Washington for this one? I know what this means and I am pounding the Bears here for a huge play. 

3) The Commanders are 0-2 this season against teams that currently have a winning record this season. Washington is 5-0 against teams that currently have a losing record this season and those 5 teams are a combined 10-25 this season! You see my point and the Bears are clearly undervalued in this spot and taking them just to win this game is a strong play for me Sunday! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Bears. 

Line: -118

T.M. Selection: JAGUARS - ATS

1) I like the Jaguars to get the solid home dog cover in this game against the Packers on Sunday, October 27th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team laying only 4 points even though they are 5-2 and taking on a 2-5 team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Packers are now 5-2 this season but only 2 of their 7 games have been wins by more than 6 points so look for the Jaguars to be in this one all the way! Also, Green Bay is tied for 2nd in the NFC North because the Lions are #1 in the division with a 5-1 record. Guess who the Packers have on deck? Yes, Detroit is up next for GB so this is a classic lookahead situation!   

3) The Jaguars have not looked great this season but they are starting to turn the corner with wins in 2 of their last 3 games. Also, only 2 of their 7 games this season have been losses by more than a 5-point margin. Again, another reason to expect this one to be a very tight game with the points a huge value to have on your side! Upset alert! 

T.M. Prediction: 26-23 JAGUARS

Line: +4

T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers game on Monday. Both teams off B2B high-scoring games but this has elevated this total. Now you have a match-up of two top teams in the NFL that each sit at 4-2 on the season and they respect each other here. That means part of the game plan will be running the ball plenty on offense or going with short middle routes and quick dump off passes (effectively also running plays) as these teams want to keep the clock running. Why play this way? They each fear the others offense. So the emphasis will be ball control and clock management on offense to churn up clock in hopes of not allowing the opponent's offense too much time on the field here. Of course something will have to give but the point is that this is likely to be more of a tighter low-scoring game than many are expecting. Ravens lean on RB Henry on offense plus the Bucs ran 35 times in their big win over the Saints. Both teams have solid running games and solid run defenses so watch this battle unfold in the trenches. Don't make the mistake of just looking at point totals these teams have produced this season, think of how the game planning will impact this battle of strong teams. Easy under here! 

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Baltimore. 

Line: O/U 50 

T.M. Selection: San Francisco - ML 

I like the San Francisco 49ers to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, October 20th. The 49ers are at home and the line has moved toward Kansas City which is giving us excellent value here on San Francisco. The Niners are such a small favorite now that we can get the money line at nearly a "pick" price and that is the way to go here. The Chiefs are undefeated this season yet were installed as an underdog here. This is a triple revenge spot for the 49ers as they lost the most recent regular season meeting and, more importantly, also lost TWICE in the Super Bowl to KC over the past 5 years. The Niners are getting healthier now too while the Chiefs are still down some key players on offense and this has led to Mahomes and this KC offense not looking as sharp so far this season. The defense has carried KC but the Niners have the most balanced offense in the NFL and have some of the top numbers in the league. The 49ers are much better than their 3-3 record shows you and the odds makers are aware of this and that is why this line was set how it was for this game. I like San Francisco here and feel they were properly favored to begin with when they were in the -2.5 range here and now our value is even more after the line movement. I will not hesitate to back this one strongly.  

T.M. Prediction: 30-17 49ers. 

Line: -125

T.M. Selection: BILLS - ATS

1) I like the Bills to get the solid win in this game against the Titans on Sunday, October 20th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching more than a full TD as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Tennessee is 1-4 this season and their most recent game against a team that currently has a winning record was at home versus Green Bay. The Packers are now 4-2 this season (same record as Bills) and GB blasted the Titans by 16 points!  

3) The Bills have not looked great this season but they also have played a road-heavy schedule. Now they are home in Buffalo where they are 2-0 this season and have scored 40.5 points per game. I just don't see the Titans being able to keep up with Buffalo in this game! Tennessee has been held to 17 points or less in all 4 losses. The Bills have averaged scoring 34 ppg in their 4 wins this season. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 BILLS

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos - Moneyline

1) I like the Denver Broncos to win this game against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday, October 17th. The line is in the -3 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -148 range.

2) The line is begging you to take home dog New Orleans but I am not falling for it. The Saints are loaded with injuries here including QB Derek Carr doubtful and WR Chris Olave out for this game. Rookie QB Spencer Rattler likely to get the start here and the Saints offensive line is struggling and the Broncos defense is piling up sacks this season. 

3) Big match-up edge for Denver and the Broncos are the healthier team and the Saints just allowed 51 points and have lost 4 straight games. Denver had won 3 straight games prior to yesterday's loss. Great situation here and excellent value line for us!

T.M. Prediction: 23-13 Denver Broncos.

Line: -148 

T.M. Selection: Los Angeles Chargers - Moneyline

1) I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the Denver Broncos on Sunday, October 13th. The line is in the -3 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -152 range.

2) The Chargers are off B2B losses and then a bye. They are rested and ready plus should have some key players back this week. They are healthier and will be better prepared both physically and mentally here after the week off. 

3) The Broncos are playing their 6th straight week. They are shockingly off 3 straight wins yet are a home dog here to a team they have played well against. The line is begging you to take home dog Denver but I am not falling for it. The Broncos won last week by double digits but were outgained and this was against a bad Raiders team. Great situation here and value line for us!

T.M. Prediction: 23-13 Los Angeles Chargers.

Line: -152 

T.M. Selection: Indianapolis @ Tennessee - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans game on Sunday. The Colts have scored well in 4 of 5 games this season. Indianapolis averaged 27 ppg in those 4 games. However, they have also allowed 24.4 ppg this season and face a tough match-up here. Tennessee got some confidence back on offense with a 31-12 win over Miami last week. However, the Titans entered that game allowing 26 ppg this season so I do not trust their defense either. If you look at the stats on these two teams, the Colts have a decent offense but their defense is horrible. Statistically the Titans defense looks strong in terms of yardage against numbers. However, Tennessee has faced a lot of bad offenses like the Dolphins, Jets and Bears. This is a bargain with this total set so low and I will take advantage on Sunday.  

T.M. Prediction: 28-24 Tennessee. 

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: Saints @ Chiefs - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Monday.  The Saints have a strong ground attack on offense. That will open things up for QB Carr and this New Orleans offense to also attack through the air here. The Chiefs and Saints both have poor pass defense numbers this season so expect QB Mahomes to also have a big game for KC here as well as Carr for NO. Even with the injury at WR to Rice this Chiefs team still has plenty of weapons. It is no accident that they are already 4-0 this season. As for the 2-2 Saints, they are averaging 34 ppg in their 2 road games this season. Chiefs scored at least 26 points in each home game this season. The O/U number moved down here because of the injury situation but the weather looks great in KC for this one and I am anticipating big games from both Carr and Mahomes and look for the points to pile up in this one.  

T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 43

T.M. Selection: PACKERS - Moneyline 

I look for the Green Bay Packers to win this game against the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, October 6th. Without both Cooper Krupp and Puka Nakua the LA passing game is really struggling. Overall this Rams teams continues to be plagued by injury issues and, in my opinion, Cupp is arguably the best wide receiver in the league and if he isn't, he's definitely top 5 when healthy. The Rams also had been relying heavily on Nakua, who truly from BYU came out of nowhere in terms of being so important in the LA passing game. With both guys out and the Packers surging with the return of QB Jordan Love, I expect the road team to roll in this one. With the Rams at home in this game, we get a reasonable enough money line price on the Packers to get involved in a big way here! Two teams going opposite directions right now and once Love got back in rhythm by the 2nd half last week, the Packers offense looked like its old self again. They should roll here!  

T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Packers. 

Line: -160 

Line Parameter: play until -200

T.M. Selection: Colts @ Jaguars - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars game on Sunday.  The Colts offense actually looked much better once Flacco took over for the injured Richardson and this was against a solid Steelers defense. That said, I am expecting Flacco to help lead the Colts to another strong showing on offense here as they take advantage of a struggling Jaguars defense. On that note, the Colts defense is nothing special either and Lawrence and this Jacksonville offense should get rolling here. For overall defense (not scoring defense) both these teams rank in the very bottom of the league. So both teams should move the ball very well here. Clearly Jacksonville's offense has underperformed so far this season but at home and desperate for a win and able to take advantage of a weak defense, the Jags will finally get things going here. But Flacco and the Colts are ready to trade scored with this team and I sense a shootout is on the way in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Jaguars. 

Line: O/U 45

T.M. Selection: Atlanta - ML 

I like the Atlanta Falcons to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday, October 3rd. The Falcons are at home and the line has moved toward Tampa Bay which is giving us excellent value here on Atlanta. The Falcons are such a small favorite now that we can get the money line at nearly a "pick" price and that is the way to go here. The Buccaneers run defense has some issues and once the Falcons ground attack is underway it will also allow Cousins to attack more through the air. The TB pass defense has not been great either and Cousins confidence is up after he engineered that game-winning drive versus the Eagles in primetime two weeks ago. The Bucs have the better record on the season and have won 6 of 8 in recent years' match-ups with the Falcons. I like Atlanta here and feel they were properly favored to begin with here and now our value is even more after the line movement. I will not hesitate to back this one strongly.  

T.M. Prediction: 26-19 Falcons. 

Line: -125

T.M. Selection: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. Seattle is 3-0 SU this season and while one could argue their schedule has been weak, they faced a Dolphins team that is expected to be in the playoffs plus a Broncos team that is 2-1 in its 3 games not against the Seahawks. I believe Seattle is a bit undervalued here and remember that Detroit was very fortunate in their OT win over the Rams in Week 1. Then in Week 2 they lost to the Bucs. Then in Week 3 the Lions did defeat the Cardinals but Arizona is now 1-3 this season. If you look at the cumulative score of the Lions 3 games at the end of regulation this season they have only a net 3 point edge or 1 point edge per game. Getting more than the key number of 4 here is definitely generous based on early season returns. The Seahawks did get the money in 4 of the 6 games they were a road dog last year and I expect that again here! This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Seahawks. 

Line: +4.5

T.M. Selection: RAVENS - ATS

1) I like the Ravens to get the solid win in this game against the Bills on Sunday, September 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching points as an underdog despite being 3-0 on the season and facing a 1-2 team. I am not falling for it!

2) Why grab 1-2 Baltimore against a 3-0 Buffalo team? The Bills beat the Cardinals (now 1-2) at home and then beat a Miami team (now 1-2) that is showing they are not at the level expected this season. The other win was against a still winless 0-3 Jacksonville team!   

3) Baltimore has played the much tougher schedule with games against the Chiefs and Cowboys included. We get line value here because of the slow start to the season for the Ravens (tight losses) and the fact the final score was 28-25 last week against Dallas. Remember they did lead in that game 28-3 before Cowboys scored late TDs to make a game of it by late 4th quarter. Ravens will certainly be ready to go the full sixty minutes after that near-disaster finish at Dallas.      

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 RAVENS

Line: -2.5

T.M. Selection: CARDINALS - ATS

1) I like the Cardinals to get the solid win in this game against the Commanders on Sunday, September 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching more than a full FG as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Washington is 2-1 this season but the Commanders have played the Giants, Buccaneers and Bengals. The first win was over the Giants and Washington did not even score a TD in that game. The second win was over Cincinnati last week but the Bengals are now 0-3 on the season and Washington was outgained in that game.  

3) Washington is on a short week and having to travel practically coast to coast here so this also favors the Cardinals. At home, Arizona was handed a loss last week by the Lions. The Cardinals will be ready to respond off the home loss and have already responded off their other loss this season as they blasted the Rams here after a tight loss to Buffalo in Week 1.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 CARDINALS

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: BENGALS - ATS

1) I like the Bengals to get the solid win in this game against the Commanders on Monday, September 23rd. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching a full TD as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Washington is 1-1 this season but the Commanders have played the Giants and Buccaneers. The win was over the Giants and Washington did not even score a TD in that game. Cincinnati did lose to the Patriots in Week 1 but New England does have a tough defense. The Bengals then very nearly upset the Chiefs at Kansas City last week. 

3) With Burrow getting going finally at QB last week for the Bengals I look for a big game from him here. Cincinnati is at home and desperate after their 0-2 start to the season. Out of 32 NFL teams only Jacksonville and Tennessee also remain winless. The odds favor the Bengals finally notching that first win.    

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 BENGALS

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: Lions @ Cardinals - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Even though Detroit did not score well last week they had over 450 yards of offense so their final score was not indicative of how they moved the ball. The Cardinals also moved the ball extremely well in their blowout win over the Rams as they had nearly 500 yards of offense! This followed a strong showing at Buffalo in Week 1 also. Murray coming off a huge game for this Arizona offense last week! Remember the Lions were fortunate to beat the Rams in Week 1 and I am not sold on their defense. This Cardinals team playing with confidence right now on offense but I am sure that Goff is going to bounce back after all the INTs last week. This is an indoor stadium so ideal conditions for both teams as Detroit is an indoor team also. Fast track here with no weather worries also translates to plenty of points in this one. 4 of last 6 Lions road games, including playoffs, have totaled at least 54 points. Great set up for another one of those here after Cardinals had a rare strong defensive game against a division rival whose offense was hurt by injuries. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Lions. 

Line: O/U 51.5 

T.M. Selection: Indianapolis - ML 

I like the Indianapolis Colts to win this game against the Chicago Bears on Sunday, September 22nd. The Colts are at home and desperate for a win after a tough 0-2 start to the season! Not only that, they are hosting a Bears team with a horrible offense that is lucky to be 1-1 on the season. Yes the Colts defense has struggled some this season but this is a chance to get right as the Bears offense just can not get going this season. Also, the money line is reasonable enough here to go with that option and simply look for a SU win for the Colts in this one! Both QB's, Richardson and Williams, are coming off tough games for their teams with turnovers being an issue. The difference is Williams still is unproven at the NFL level and does not look comfortable. Look for Richardson to bounce back at home and Indianapolis gets the home victory. The Bears on a 6-21 SU run in road games including 3-15 last 18 away from Chicago! 

T.M. Prediction: 26-19 Colts. 

Line: -120

T.M. Selection: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. The Jets have some problems defensively early this season including a couple of key players now out. The Patriots defense has been a great strength early this season.  I also like the fact that NE is off a loss and NY is off a win.  Look for the Patriots to respond here and they have a solid ground game on offense too and the Jets run defense has not been good.  This is a lot of points for a questionable Jets team to be laying.  They don't have the offensive prowess to command this much respect at home.  Rodgers is still getting this team to all be on the same page offensively and the defense is just not there yet.  Also, the Patriots have owned this series with SU wins in 7 of the last.  Getting almost a full TD here is definitely generous based on early season returns.  This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Patriots. 

Line: +6.5

T.M. Selection: Falcons @ Eagles - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles game on Monday. The Eagles are without WR AJ Brown but they still have plenty of options in the receiving corps plus the Falcons are without a starting linebacker here. Atlanta did not fare well offensively against Pittsburgh last week but QB Cousins was under a lot of pressure. I am not convinced the Eagles can get the same pressure. Also, the Philly defense was burned for big plays by the Packers and that translates to a good shot at the Falcons getting quick scoring strikes in this one as well. The Eagles offense did look strong and Barkley looked great at RB and Hurts rounded into form at QB as the game went on. It all translates to another high-scoring Philadelphia game similar to what we saw in Brazil! 

T.M. Prediction: 31-26 Eagles. 

Line: O/U 45.5 

T.M. Selection: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. The Cowboys off the big win at Cleveland but wow how bad is that Browns team when your leader is QB Deshaun Watson? Awful! Saints, on the other hand, have Derek Carr at QB and a solid team around him that is going to be tough for the Cowboys to pull away from. Also, the Dallas win over the Browns on the scoreboard but the yardage was nearly equal! Over-reaction to Cowboys here! This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-23 Saints. 

Line: +6

T.M. Selection: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - ATS 

This is just too much value to pass up on in this match-up. The Vikings off the big win but against a Giants team in a state of flux. Minnesota now facing a perennial Super Bowl contender and also the Niners have revenge from losing here last season. Even though Christian McCaffrey is out, the 49ers have Jordan Mason to pick up the slack and he proved last week he is a solid option. Keep in mind that was a Jets team that is expected to be very strong this season and yet the Niners completely dominated in that game. Now they get their road revenge this week as well as the Vikings are a little over-hyped here and the line move going down has given great value to the road favorite here. Lay the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 49ers. 

Line: -4.5

T.M. Selection: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - ATS 

This is just too much value to pass up on in this match-up. The Seahawks are a much more complete team on both sides of the ball. The Patriots defense was great last week but so too is Seattle's. Also, coming off the road upset at Cincinnati makes it tough to duplicate such an effort in B2B weeks. The Seahawks won by 6 versus Denver last week but the Broncos scored a late TD after Seattle was already up 13. We get the better team at a great number here as the Seahawks have the better offense and I can't trust Brissett at QB for New England. Look for the more balanced team to pull away in the 2nd half of this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-14 Seahawks. 

Line: -2.5

T.M. Selection: Bills @ Dolphins - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins game on Thursday. The Bills won 21-14 here last year but there should have been a lot more points. Buffalo had 475 yards of offense in that game. The Bills are off a home win last week versus Arizona and, though they won, the Cardinals put up big points on the board. This Dolphins team should be even stronger on offense in Week 2 after getting off to a slow start early in their win over the Jaguars last week. The passing attack of Miami is a potent one and the Bills have a new-look secondary. On the other side of the ball, Josh Allen is off a 4-TD performance last week and the Buffalo QB will attack this Miami team just he has in other recent meetings as the Bills have dominated this series. I think the Dolphins offense is even better this season so I don't trust the side in this match-up but the points absolutely should be plentiful in this shootout!

T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Dolphins. 

Line: O/U 48.5 

T.M. Selection: San Francisco - ATS 

I like the San Francisco 49ers to win this game by a margin against the New York Jets on Monday, September 9th. The 49ers have been so strong at home for years and the Jets have been so weak on the road for years. I know the Jets are supposed to be improved but I do feel there are a lot of new pieces, including Rodgers after basically missing all of 2023, and these guys are going to have to get use to playing with one another on the field. I just don't expect them to hit the ground running and here they are on the road and facing a team that has either been in, or was a near miss for, the Super Bowl in 4 of the past 5 seasons. I feel there is too much hype around Rodgers and the Jets. If they do even live up to the hype I don't expect it to be right out of the gate. The Niners are a tough team that also will be tough in the trenches here and I expect them to pull away in the 2nd half of this game.  

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 49ers. 

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: LV @ LAC - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers game on Sunday. These are two teams going through a lot of transition and I don't see either defense being at their best early this season. Antonio Pierce now the head coach in Vegas and Jim Harbaugh the new head coach in LA with the Chargers. Think we'll see some big plays here as both defenses get caught missing some assignments and LA has a solid QB in Hebert while Minshew gets the call at QB in LV and has quite a bit of NFL experience even though he is a journeyman. I am expecting more success than most in terms of offensive production here as remember both these defenses had issues last season. This total has dropped to a 39.5 and the over is the way to go here. Being divisional rivals these teams meet twice a season so the last 5 years they have met 10 times and all 10 games totaled more than 40 points! I like this 10-0 stat to make this run 11 in a row here and that would make this a winning ticket for us with this very low total!

T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Chargers. 

Line: O/U 40

T.M. Selection: Houston - ML 

I like the Houston Texans to win this game against the  Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, September 8th. The Colts are getting some attention as a home dog here but it has been about a decade since Indianapolis last won a season opener! Not only that, the Colts have covered only 3 of last 12 divisional home games. The Texans have covered 8 of last 12 overall in divisional games. The addition of WR Diggs to this roster plus the fact they have up and coming potential star Stroud at QB and got some playoff experience last year has put me firmly on the Texans here. The money line is reasonable enough here to go with that option and simply look for a SU win for Houston here! 

T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Texans. 

Line: -155 

T.M. Selection: Chicago - ATS 

I like the Chicago Bears to win this game by a margin against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, September 8th. The Titans have a lot of new personnel on defense and also a new defensive coordinator. There is going to be an adjustment period for the Tennessee defense. Also, the Titans of course have a new head coach and this is another adjustment for this team. The Bears look solid with QB Williams getting to make his debut at home and they added solid receiving talent to help him. The Tennessee secondary has 3 new guys and the Titans covered ATS only 2 times in 8 road games last season! The Titans allowed nearly 4 sacks per game last season and this Bears defense will be all over Tennessee QB Levis in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Bears. 

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: PHI vs GB - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers game in Brazil on Friday. This is unfamiliar territory for each team as well as the NFL. I don't expect either offense to be too comfortable in this one, especially early on. The Eagles will be looking to establish the run with Saquon Barkley. At the same time, Philly was so disappointing in the way they finished last season that I am certain that the Eagles D is going to be looking for redemption immediately this season. Hungry and attacking on defense for Philadelphia and also Green Bay allowed only about 21 ppg last season. Also, the Packers will be all about the defense here too with their new defensive coordinator. Points will be hard to come by here in a hard-fought battle and I like fading the big number here and going with the under in this one. I think both offenses are going to face some tough blitzing challenges from what I am reading here and the run game for each will be key on offense. 

T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Eagles. 

Line: O/U 49.5 

T.M. Selection: BALT @ KC - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Thursday. These are two strong defenses but the dynamic playmaking ability of Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson means expect plenty of big plays in this game. The Ravens scored only 10 points when these teams met in the post-season but turnovers were the problem for Baltimore. The Ravens moved the ball, especially through air, but just kept shooting themselves in the foot. Also, now they have former Titans RB Henry and I expect the added element of a solid ground game plus having the dangerous legs of Jackson at QB to combine to make the Ravens offense particularly tough to defend. Of course Kansas City at home is going to get their points in this one and all signs point to a shootout on Thursday night the way I see it. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 46.5 

T.M. Selection: SF - ML 

I like the San Francisco 49ers to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Saturday, February 10th. Ever since Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce became a thing, people around the world have been becoming football fans. Not only that, but they've became Chiefs fans. Well, as good as the Chiefs have been in these playoffs, let's not forget who they are up against. This 49ers team is absolutely stacked from top to bottom. It's going to be a war, but I think I'd rather the better roster in the Super Bowl. Call this revenge from SBLIV. Hammer SF. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Niners. 

Line: -125 

Line Parameter: play until -150.. 

T.M. Selection: KC - ATS

I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, January 28th. Even though Baltimore is the home team and had the better record this season, I believe that the Chiefs bring in all of the momentum into this game. They are coming off a massive road win against Buffalo and proved everyone that they can win on the road. This will be their 6th straight AFC Championship game. Expect a legacy game for Mahomes and slowly gets closer to the G.O.A.T debate. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-17 Chiefs. 

Line: +4.5 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: KC - ML 

I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, January 21st. We all remember the playoff game a few seasons ago between these two teams. It was an epic battle and the Chiefs came away with the win. Even though it hasn't been all that pretty this season for KC, they sure looked good in the WildCard round against the Dolphins. I expect them to carry that momentum into this game against a Bills team that's not known for it's playoff success. Hammer the Chiefs on Sunday. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-26 Chiefs. 

Line: +133 

Line Parameter: play until -120.. 

T.M. Selection: HOU - ATS 

I like the Houston Texans to cover the spread in this game against the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday, January 20th. Baltimore has been dominant this year and that's why they've earned the one seed. However, the story of CJ Stroud and the Texans has been nothing short of unbelievable. Stroud has put the entire league on notice and he's here to stay. Baltimore will still be without Marlon Humphrey and Mark Andrews for this game. I expect Houston to keep it close and have the chance at completing this upset. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-23 Ravens. 

Line: +10.0 

Line Parameter: play until +9.0.. 

T.M. Selection: BUF - ATS 

I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday, January 15th. Buffalo is by far the better team here. They are on a roll coming into the playoffs and Pittsburgh's lucky to even be here. I don't believe that this game will be close. Without TJ Watt, this Steelers defense will struggle to get as much pressure as they normally do. Give me Buffalo in the snowy weather. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-10 Bills. 

Line: -10.0 

Line Parameter: play until -10.0.. 

T.M. Selection: CLE - ML 

I like the Cleveland Browns to win this game against the Houston Texans on Saturday, January 13th. Both of these two teams deserve all the credit in the world for making the playoffs when no one expected it. However I believe that the run of Houston will come to an end on Saturday. When these teams met just a few weeks ago, Flacco and the Browns absolutely torched this Houston defense. Cleveland is strong defensively and Stroud will not have all of his top weapons available for this game. Houston has had an unbelievable story and how they've been amazing offensively, but expect the Browns to come out victorious this weekend. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-21 Browns. 

Line: -130 

Line Parameter: play until -170.. 

T.M. Selection: Phildelphia Eagles - ATS 

I like the Philadelphia Eagles to win this game against the New York Giants on Sunday, January 7th. Even though the Eagles have clinched, they can still win the division with some help. Therefore, I expect them to play their best in this divisional matchup to finish the year. NYG have struggled to score all season long and I don't believe that they'll start now. Give me Philly by more than a touchdown. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 Eagles. 

Line: -4.5 

Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. 

T.M. Selection: NO - ML 

I like the New Orleans Saints to win this game against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, January 7th. With a trip to the postseason on the line, this game is huge. Having said that, I believe that the Saints are the better side and they've got the home crowd to cheer them on in the final week of the regular season. Expect Kamara to have a monster game and for the Saints to win this game and have a shot at glory. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-17 Saints. 

Line: -157 

Line Parameter: play until -185.. 

T.M. Selection: CIN @ KC - OVER 

I am on the OVER on the Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Sunday, December 31st. This rivalry started a few years ago when Cincinnati dominated KC in this very stadium. In recent times, the Chiefs have came bay victorious. Even though the Bengals won't have Burrow, I expect Ja'Marr Chase to play. He's questionable but he should be able to play with the season on the line. But, they've been capable of scoring without him and should be able to again in this big game. It may be a slower paced game, but I expect drives to end in touchdowns leading it to go OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-24 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 43.5 

Line Parameter: play until 44.5.. 

T.M. Selection: BAL @ SF - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Baltimore Raves @ San Francisco 49ers game on Monday, December 25th. Knowing how good these defenses can play, it's hard to take the OVER in this game. But, these offenses are just as explosive if not better than their respective defensive cores. This very well could be a Super Bowl preview (I expect it to be) and I think we should expect nothing but fireworks on Xmas Night MNF. I'm grabbing the OVER at this number. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-26 Niners. 

Line: O/U 46.0 

Line Parameter: play until 46.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Philly - ATS 

I like the Philadelphia Eagles to win this game against the New York Giants on Monday, December 25th. Coming into this divisional showdown on Christmas, the Eagles have surprisingly lost three games in a row. They aren't in a spot where they would miss the playoffs if they kept losing, but it's important for them to get back on track and what better way to do it than to dominate your divisional opponent on Xmas. It's a good spot for the Eagles and the Giants have had troubles all year. I've got Philly crushing the NYG on Dec 25. 

T.M. Prediction: 33-13 Eagles. 

Line: -13.0 

Line Parameter: play until -14.0.. 

T.M. Selection: LV @ KC - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Monday, December 25th. After the first game had a combined total of 48 points, you might expect another high scoring game. But, as I look further into this game I believe that the UNDER is the better play. The Chiefs are allowing just 17.5 points per game this season which ranks the 3rd in the NFL. The Raiders have struggled to score this season even after their 63pt performance last week. Give me the UNDER in Xmas Day morning. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-10 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 40.5 

Line Parameter: play until 40.0.. 

T.M. Selection: New England - ATS 

I like the New England Patriots to win this game against the Denver Broncos on Sunday, December 24th. It's Sunday Night Football and I'm backing arguably the best coach of all time to cover the spread. Even though NE has been dreadful, they are still a solid football team. With a defense like this in a primetime game, I don't see them losing by more than a touchdown. I've got them winning outright. Don't sleep on the Pats in week 16. 

T.M. Prediction: 20-16 New England. 

Line: +7.0  

Line Parameter: play until +7.0.. 

T.M. Selection: JAX @ TAM - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers game on Sunday, December 24th. Tampa By a showed last week that they are more than capable of scoring points. They might not score as much as Jacksonville does, but they can make a game interesting, that's for sure. Both teams need this win and both teams should be fully motivated on offense. Give me the OVER in this huge game on Sunday afternoon. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-21 Jaguars. 

Line: O/U 43.0 

Line Parameter: play until 43.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Jacksonville - ATS 

I like the Jacksonville Jaguars to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, December 24th. Jacksoville looked bad last week. They've now lost three straight and this has become a massive game for them. Even though it's big for Tampa as well, this is a game that the Jags fans would have counted as a winner not many weeks ago. With Lawrence back healthy it looks like, I think that they can still count it as a winner. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-21 Jaguars. 

Line: -1.0 

Line Parameter: play until -2.5.. 

T.M. Selection: NO - ATS 

I like the New Orleans Saints to win this game against the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday, December 21st. This is a humongous game for both of these teams as we head down the stretch. Both are fighting for their lives to try and grab a playoff spot and a win here would be gigantic. The Saints have won back to back now and their defense looks great. LAR is coming off a win themselves, but have struggled a bit defensively this season. In a matchup that still haunts the Saints from 2019 and that awful call, I expect them to rally and win this game on TNF. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Saints. 

Line: +4.0 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Los Angeles Rams - ATS 

I like the Los Angeles Rams to win this game against the Washington Commanders on Sunday, December 17th. With the season coming closer to an end, the Rams are still in the hunt. They've been playing much better over the past few weeks and are looking to try and sneak into the playoffs. With the Vikings loss on Saturday, the race just became that much more intense. A win here would go a long way and LAR fans know it. Washington is in shambles right now and I wouldn't be shocked if they lose out. I've got the Rams in a crushing performance on Sunday. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 Rams. 

Line: -6.5 

Line Parameter: play until -7.0.. 

T.M. Selection: TB @ GB - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers game on Sunday, December 17th. Both of these teams can put up points and I believe that we'll see that here this weekend. Green Bay is coming off a poor offensive performance against the Giants and the Bucs are looking to hang onto their slim lead for the NFC South lead. Both teams need this win badly, so expect a higher scoring affair to take place. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Packers. 

Line: O/U 42.5 

Line Parameter: play until 43.0.. 

T.M. Selection: KC- ATS 

I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 17th. The Chiefs are now off back to back losses and they are slipping down in the ranks. This has turned into a huge game for them as they do not want to fall further and let the Broncos take the lead for the division. The Patriots have not been very good this season and shouldn't be this week. Expect Mahomes and Kelce to dominate and for the Chiefs to cruise to an easy victory on Sunday afternoon. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-9 Chiefs. 

Line: -7.5 

Line Parameter: play until -11.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals - moneyline 

I like the Cincinnati Bengals to win this game against the Minnesota Vikings on Saturday, December 16th. Jake Browning has found his groove and the Bengals look to be back in business. Minnesota won last week, but they only scored 3pts in what was an epic defensive battle against the Raiders. If those offensive struggles continue this week, they have no chance in winning. Even with a slight improvement, I've got Cinci at home. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-20 Bengals. 

Line: -155 

Line Parameter: play until -180.. 

T.M. Selection: MIA - ATS 

I like the Miami Dolphins to win this game against the Tennessee Titans on Monday, December 11th. Miami has shown week after week that they don't care how many points their opponents drop, it's about them and them only. They will blow you out if you cannot score and match them. It's just a way too explosive offense for the Titans and I don't believe that they'll be able to keep up. Hammer Miami here. 

T.M. Prediction: 35-13 Miami. 

Line: -13.5 

Line Parameter: play until -14.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Buffalo - ATS 

I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, December 10th. I know this game is played at Arrowhead. I know that the Bills have struggled this season. I know that the Chiefs could win the Super Bowl again this season. Nobody believes in this Bills team still. But, I do. Buffalo needs to win this game. They've dug themselves into a hole and they have to win games down the stretch. It's a difficult schedule, but they are talented enough to beat any team in the NFL. I think Josh Allen and co. get the job done @KC on Sunday in week 14. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Bills. 

Line: +1.5 

Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) 

T.M. Selection: SEA - ATS 

I like the Seattle Seahawks to cover the spread against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, December 10th. After the Thanksgiving disaster, the Seahawks seek revenge here on the road. The Niners are coming off a huge blowout win against the Eagles and might be full of themselves for this divisional matchup. Seattle is better than people think and I believe that they are in for another playoff appearance. I'll gladly take them to stay within double digits and possibly upset here. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-26 Niners. 

Line: +11 

Line Parameter: play until +10.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Minnesota - moneyline 

I like the Minnesota Vikings to win this game against the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, December 10th. Both of these teams are coming off their bye week so both should be fresh. Everyone is patiently waiting for the highly anticipated return of Justin Jefferson, and all signs are pointing towards him being back for this game. Though I believe he will play, and he's expected to, I believe that the Vikings are the stronger side either way. Dobbs will be stronger than ever after another week with this new team, and Hockenson has quietly turned into one of the league's best TE's. Las Vegas still isn't finding much success as they've lost back to back. I'll take the Vikes here. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Vikings. 

Line: -150 

Line Parameter: play until -200.. 

T.M. Selection: Kansas City - ATS 

I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, December 3rd. Even though the forecast and temperatures for this game might favor the home team, I believe that the Chiefs are the far better side. They are coming off a big win and could use this win going into next weeks game against Buffalo. Expect KC to get the job done on SNF. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-13 Chiefs. 

Line: -5.5 

Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Carolina - ATS

I like the Carolina Panthers to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, December 3rd. Although Carolina hasn't had much success this year, they are still learning. Without their 1st round pick this year, losing games does nothing except for make the Bears better. I think that we'll see a very strong stretch from this Panthers team as they look to make their pick less important. A win here would go a long way. I expect them to cover the three and a half. 

T.M. Prediction: 20-14 Panthers. 

Line: +4.5 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Los Angeles - Moneyline 

I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 3rd. Coming off yet another loss, the Chargers season is in deep trouble. A win here would go a very long way as they've got tough game after tough game ahead. Expect them to dominate on the road and get back in the winning column on Sunday. Hammer LAC. 

T.M. Prediction: 35-10 Chargers. 

Line: -4.5 

Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. 

T.M. Selection: LAR @ ARI - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday, November 26th. Kyler Murray has been very strong since returning from injury. He's giving these Cardinals a chance to win in every game. Both defenses haven't been great this year and I believe that these offenses will be hunting for points early and often in this game. I like the OVER on Sunday. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-24 LAR. 

Line: 45.0 

Line Parameter: play until 45.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Jacksonville - ATS 

I like the Jacksonvile Jaguars to in this game against the Houston Texans on Sunday, November 26th. The Texans have shocked everybody with how good they've played this year. Stroud has been amazing and this team is a playoff contender right now. But, I believe that the Jags are the better team and should be able to take advantage of the inexperience here. JAX will have much better defense than Houston's seen over the past few weeks and should go on to win. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Jags. 

Line: -1.0 

Line Parameter: play until -1.5.. 

T.M. Selection: SF @ SEA - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the San Fransisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks game on Thursday, November 23rd. Last year's playoff game between these two teams featured 64 points. Now, I'm not expecting that many points again, but I am expecting another high scoring game. The Niners just lost one of their best defensive players for the season in Talanoa Hufanga. That should open up some lanes for the Seahawks to exploit. Hammer the “over” and cheer for points on Thanksgiving Thursday evening. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-26 Niners. 

Line: O/U 43.5 

Line Parameter: play until 44.5.. 

T.M. Selection: WSH - ATS 

I like the Washington Commanders to cover the spread in this game against the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday, November 23rd. To some, it was a shocking defeat last week for the Commanders in their loss against the Giants. To others, including me, it was no surprise whatsoever. It was a bad spot for WSH as they were looking ahead to this game. Now, I believe that they'll be ready for this game. Dallas aways seems to look good against the bad teams, but fail to rise to the occasion in the big ones. Washington is in must win territory and should be able to keep this div rivalry game close even if they don't win. Hammer them to cover the double digit spread. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-23 Cowboys. 

Line: +13.5 

Line Parameter: play until +12.0.. 

T.M. Selection: BUF - ATS 

I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the New York Jets on Sunday, November 19th. It's now or never for a Bills team that everybody had high hopes for this season. They are currently 5-5 and need wins if they want to get back in the playoff hunt. With the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, and Chargers over the next four weeks, this is practically a must-win for this Bills team. Buffalo has shown that they can look like the best team in the league this season but not all that often. I think they'll break out here with a statement win against a Jets team that's already beaten them this season in week 1. Hammer Buffalo in this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Bills. 

Line: -7.5 

Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. 

T.M. Selection: NYG - ATS 

I like the New York Giants to cover the spread in this game against the Washington Commanders on Sunday, November 19th. The Giants have been bad this year but I don't think they'll be as bad as we think in this game. They still have the talent to compete and I love this divisional matchup for them. I'm expecting a big Saquon day as he leads his team to a possible upset. 

T.M. Prediction: 19-17 WSH. 

Line: +9.0 

Line Parameter: play until +8.5..