T.M. Selection: Patriots.

This game is going to come right down to the wire. These teams are evenly matched on both sides of the ball. But with a record 80% of the bets and money on Seattle, my strategy for the Super Bowl this season is to essentially go contrarian. I've waited as long as possible before releasing this pick to get the best line possible; go Patriots!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 New England.

T.M. Selection: LA Rams.

LA won the first game 21-19, while Seattle won the second game by a score of 38-37 in OT during the regular season. LA and Matt Stafford enter with the No. 1 offense, while Sam Darnold and the Hawks enter with the No. 1 defense. For me, this pick comes down to the experience at the most important position in this moment, and that advantage falls to Stafford and the Rams. Each team is equally as adept on both sides of the ball, but the difference in the end will come down to experience in big games and to overcome the magnitude of this moment; while I feel the outright win is the most likely outcome for LA, my official call is to grab as many points as you can.

T.M. Prediction: 27-19 LA.

T.M. Selection: Rams.

The Rams have the experience at quarterback and I think that'll be the difference-maker in tonight's outcome. Matt Stafford is fine in the snow despite his win/loss record in such instances throughout his career, so I think that stat is completely overblown. The Bears struggle against good defenses and I think Stafford will get the better of Caleb Wilson. Lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 28-21 LA.

T.M. Selection: 49ers.

These teams have split their season series and I'm fully expecting another battle here in the grudge match. Seattle's offense has fallen way off, the 49ers have a legit shot at stealing this one outright if the Hawks' defense doesn't step up here. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Seattle.

T.M. Selection: Texans moneyline.

CJ Stroud is going to be able to pick apart this suspect Pittsburgh secondary. The Texans' defense is legit and I expect it to be the difference-maker int  this one - lay the price!

T.M. Prediction: 28-12 Houston.

T.M. Selection: Chargers.

I smell a serious letdown for the Patriots here. LA didn't bother playing its starters in its Week 18 loss at Denver. Justin Herbert will have fairly decent weather as well here. I think that experience really does matter in the playoffs. What Drake Maye and the Patriots have done this year has been fantastic, but I like LA to, at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the handful of points, but that said, the outright win is the most likely outcome in my opinion!

T.M. Prediction: 27-19 LA. 

T.M. Selection: Packers moneyline.

These teams split their regular-season matchups, but I think that the Packers' Jordan Love has the upper hand here over his counterpart Caleb Williams, who makes his first Playoff start ever. The Packers' aggressive pass rush is going to keep Williams off-balance in this one in my opinion. Let's bypass the spread option, though, and instead just take the Packers to win outright on the reasonable moneyline option!

T.M. Prediction: 25-19 Green Bay.

T.M. Selection: Steelers.

I don't trust Lamar Jackson in this one, I think that Aaron Rodgers at home in this situation is definitely the correct call. Pittsburgh already beat the Ravens 27-22 in Baltimore last month and I predict a similar outcome here as well. Their numbers are very similar, but the home field advantage in a crucial spot like this is going to prove paramount for the Steelers in my opinion. While I believe the outright win is the most likely outcome for Pittsburgh tonight, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can!

T.M. Prediction: 23-17 Pittsburgh.

T.M. Selection: 49ers.

San Fran beat Seattle 17-13 in Week 1 and I'm predicting a similar outcome here in Week 18 back at home. This one really does have the feel of whichever team that has its hands on the ball last is going to win and because of that, I'm grabbing the points (the outright win is the most likely outcome I think, so you may want to consider sprinkling a little on the moneyline as well).

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 San Francisco.

T.M. Selection: Falcons.

The Falcons have won two straight as veteran QB Kirk Cousins continues to fly under the radar. He was 21 of 35 for 197 yards and two TD's in last week's 26-19 win at Arizona. LA is coming off the 38-37 OT loss at Seattle and is primed for a letdown. No outright, but much closer than expected so grab as many points as you can!

T.M. Prediction: 27-25 LA.

T.M. Selection: 49ers.

With the Packers loss on Saturday, Chicago has now clinched the NFC North. While the Bears still have a shot at the overall NFC title and a first round bye on the line, the 49ers still come in as the much more motivated team here as they fight tooth and nail with the Rams and Seahawks for the division title. For me, this pick comes down to the more motivated side and that's the 49ers in my opinion. Look for Chicago to come in flat after winning the division and for San Francisco to risk life and limb to not only pull off a victory, but to do so in comfortable fashion; lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 30-21 San Francisco.

T.M. Selection: San Francisco. 

The 49ers have won four straight, and need a victory here to try and keep pace in the competitive NFC West. The Colts have lost four straight and while Phili Rivers looked decent in Seattle last week, the 49ers' aggressive defense is poised to dominate the veteran in my opinion. Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey will prove too much for the home side defense, so I'm laying the points and expecting a rout.

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 San Fran.

T.M. Selection: Ravens moneyline.

The bottom line here is that I feel the Pats are now primed for a letdown after their epic collapse at home to the Bills last weekend. Drake Maye is going to be rattled and the more desperate home side absolutely needs to win this game to keep pace. Give me the ex-MVP Lamar Jackson at home in this pivotal contest to deliver the goods!

T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Packers.

The Bears are 5-1 at home, but Green Bay is 4-2 on the road. The Packers defeated Chicago by a score of 28-21 at home two weeks ago, and I like Jordan Love and company to once again get the better of Caleb Williams. Green Bay's superior defense, and being able to get into the backfield to disrupt Williams rhythm will once again be too much for Chicago to overcome on Saturday. I think Green Bay wins outright, but let's grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Green Bay.

T.M. Selection: Rams.

LA is 5-2 SU/ATS on the road this year, while Seattle is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS at home. LA already beat Seattle at home by a score of 21-19, and I'm expecting a similar result here now in the rematch here in the PNW. Sam Darnold has a tough time vs. elite defenses and I expect that again to be the case here in Seattle on Thursday. The outright win is the most likely outcome in my opinion, but let's grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 26-17 LA.

T.M. Selection: Dolphins.

Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers were OK in their upset win over the shaky Ravens last weekend, but we expect them to have their hands full here today with Tua and the Fish, who enter having won four straight. This is a "coin toss" for sure, as Miami's defense has improved so dramatically over the last month. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is on Miami!

T.M. Prediction: 27-25 Miami.

T.M. Selection: Vikes/Cowboys UNDER.

The Vikes are coming off a big 31-0 win over Washington to keep their hopes alive, and I think they'll keep that defensive momentum rolling over here into Week 15 in this important contest. The Cowboys can score, but they can't defend. Their defense catches a break this week though facing JJ McCarthy, who will be called upon to simply manage this game again. It all sets up to be a much more defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion; the play is on the under.

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Dallas.

T.M. Selection: Buccaneers.

The Falcons are just 2-5 ATS on the road. After last week's loss to the Saints, I don't see Baker Mayfield and company dropping another one here at home to Kirk Cousins and Atlanta. The only thing the Falcons have left to play for right now is the role of spoiler, but I don't think that'll be enough motivation here to get it over the hump. Tampa has another tough divisional game against Carolina next week, making this a must win game essentially. The short week favors Tampa; lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Tampa.

T.M. Selection: Chargers.

The Eagles' defense isn't going to be able to contain Justin Herbert on this Chargers' offense at home in my opinion. The Eagles aren't getting any production in their run game and Jalen Hurts is now extremely one-dimensional. The Eagles are playing terrible, off two straight losses and I think Harbourgh and the Chargers will find a way to win this game outright!

T.M. Prediction: 24-17 LA.

T.M. Selection: Chiefs.

It's do or die essentially for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, who were one of the favorites at the start of the year to advance to another Super Bowl. But, now here we are, as KC needs to basically win every game and get outside help to even make the wildcard. One game at a time, starting here with the Texans. Houston is just 2-4 ATS on the road this year and after four straight victories, I feel a letdown is imminent against the desperate home side; lay the points with confidence! 

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 KC.

T.M. Selection: Cowboys.

The Cowboys have won three straight and while their defense has been their weak point, they catch a bit of a break here against the Lions, who have been very inconsistent over the last two months, trading wins and losses over their last eight games. Dak Prescott's offense is firing on all cylinders and I feel that the Cowboys have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. In the end, I'm grabbing the points though!

T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Dallas.

T.M. Selection: Giants.

The Patriots are, clearly, the better team here, but I think after nine straight victories and with their bye week next week, that they'll get caught "looking ahead" and take the foot off the gas. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but the 2-10 Giants are still hungry to get into the winner's circle on the road, as they enter 0-7. New York has been putting points on the board and was super competitive in last week's 34-27 OT loss at the Lions and I believe it'll be competitive here on Monday night as well.

T.M. Prediction: 24-23 New England.

T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh.

I think Pittsburgh, and Aaron Rodgers, will win this game outright. But, let's grab the points as the official play. Buffalo is 2-3 SU/ATS on the road and is coming off a loss at Houston as a road favorite. And in its previous road game it lost outright at Miami as a favorite as well. Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU/ATS at home; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Pittsburgh.

T.M. Selection: Bengals/Ravens over.

This is the first of two games between the teams. Last year both games flew well over the number, with Joe Burrow going for over 850 yards passing in two games, and Lamar Jackson throwing for 8 touchdowns. Expect another explosive offensive affair in their first game here this season, with each team pushing the pace on the National stage; the play is on the over!

T.M. Prediction: 37-33 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Panthers.

I think Bryce Young and the Panthers have much more than just a "punchers chance" against this suspect 49ers defense. Yes, San Francisco looks pretty good offensively, but its defense leaves everything to be desired right now. Young and the Panthers are 4-2 ATS on the road this year, and 7-3 ATS overall. 

Carolina is playing well on both sides of the ball and I see this one coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last; I'm grabbing the points!

T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Carolina.

T.M. Selection: Bucs/Rams over.

This game features two fantastic offenses and I'm expecting the Baker Mayfield and the visitors to push Matthew Stafford and the home side to the brink. LA is 8-2 and it's getting the job done right now on both sides of the ball, but with the visitors opening things up offensively like I'm anticipating, look for the "over" to hit sooner, rather than later!

T.M. Prediction: 32-24 LA.

T.M. Selection: Bills.

Buffalo is 3-1 in its last four, both SU and ATS and off a 44-32 win at home over Tampa Bay, I just can't see Davis Mills and the Texans keeping pace with this offense on the short week. Mills has been decent, but this is a difficult task for him to keep up to, despite how good his defense is. I say Buffalo's relentless offensive pressure will get the better of the Texans No. 1-ranked defense; lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 30-14 Buffalo.

T.M. Selection: Dallas/Las Vegas under (5% NON-CONF TOTAL OF YEAR)

Las Vegas has a decent defense, and its ranked 16th against the pass. Dak Prescott and the Cowboys' offense is running on fumes in my estimation having to play from behind all year. The Cowboys defense has been atrocious once again, but that unit catches a huge break here facing the Raiders' putrid offense that only averages 15.4 PPG. This number is way too high in my opinion; the play is on the "under!"

T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Dallas.

T.M. Selection: Browns.

Dillon Gabriel and the Browns haven't thrown in the towel yet and they'll be looking to play spoiler here against the division rival. The Ravens are off three straight wins, but they're still just 2-2 ATS on the road this year. I don't think Cleveland will win, but I do think it'll keep it interesting, so grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 21-19 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Hawks.

This is the first of two meetings between the teams and it's an important game as far as the division is concerned. These teams are evenly matched across the board, but Seattle's "big play" explosiveness makes it a true "live dog" in my opinion; grab the points though!

T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Seattle.

T.M. Selection: Cardinals.

The 49ers never ending carousel at starting quarterback continues with the return of Brock Purdy again. This is "do or die" for the Cards though, as a win would keep them in the conversation. I like Murray at home to win outright, but let's grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Arizona.

T.M. Selection: Eagles/Packers over.

In my opinion, everything points to Jalen Hurts and Jordan Love taking center stage in this one. The Packers are off the 16-13 home loss to Carolina as well, and note that looking back Green Bay has, in fact, seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a 10.5-points or greater favorite. With each side opening up the offense like I'm anticipating, we can expect this total to fly well over the number before the final whistle sounds. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Green Bay.

T.M. Selection: 49ers.

San Francisco won this game 26-23 in OT at LA in early October, and I believe they have much more than just a "puncher's chance" here at home as well. LA is coming off three straight wins, but all over suspect teams that were going through monumental issues during their matchups, facing Baltimore, Jacksonville and in last week's 34-10 win at home over New Orleans. Now facing their division rival, and with a home game against Seattle next week, I think it's the visiting side that's overvalued in this one; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 27-23 San Francisco.

T.M. Selection: Raiders.

With the majority going one way, I'm going the other way on this one. Denver may be 4-0 SU at home, but it's just 2-2 ATS. The Raiders went for the two-point conversion in extra time, but came up short at home in a 30-29 OT loss to a competitive Jaguars side. I think Geno Smith and company will come to play this week though, despite their playoff chances now likely done this year. The Broncos get caught looking ahead to their Titanic matchup at home against the Chiefs and look for the Raiders to earn the comfortable cover.

T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Denver.

T.M. Selection: Cardinals.

I think Kyler Murray and the Cardinals have the offense to keep pace with Dak Prescott and the home side, but Arizona has the advantage defensively. It has a decent pass rush and I think that'll be the difference-maker in this one. While the outright win is the most likely outcome, my official call is to grab as many points as you can with the undervalued Cardinals!

T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Arizona.

T.M. Selection: Bills.

KC is 5-3, but only 1-2 SU/ATS on the road. The Bills re 5-2 overall, including 3-1 SU at home. They're only 1-3 ATS, but we're getting points here and I think that Buffalo should in fact be favored. KC has three straight wins, but gets caught content and flat-footed here, while Buffalo just snapped a two-game slide with a convincing 40-9 win over Carolina. The outright win is the most likely outcome in my estimation, but let's grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 28-25 Buffalo.

T.M. Selection: Ravens/Dolphins over.

This is a great "situational" play. Both teams are coming off big wins and they'll need another win this week, or they'll essentially have to start planning for next year. The Ravens are just 2-5, while the Fish are only 2-6. Tua looked good for Miami last week though and Lamar Jackson is back under center for the Ravens, hence why they're favored by so much here on the road. Look for these two capable starting quarterbacks to "duel" it out and as such, expect this total to fly well "over" the number before the final whistle sounds!

T.M. Prediction: 34-27 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Commanders.

The Chiefs will take the foot off the gas in the second half as they prepare for a tough matchup in Buffalo next week. Mariota has the team's two top receivers returning today, including Deebo Samuel. Look for the desperate visiting side to keep it competitive down the stretch.

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 KC.

T.M. Selection: Titans.

I like the Titans to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Colts look great, but I think get caught "looking ahead" to their game at Pittsburgh next week; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Colts.

T.M. Selection: Broncos.

I think the Broncos' defense at home will be more than enough to slow down Dak Prescott, who has looked great, but now draws a difficult road venue. Off the thrilling 33-32 win over the Giants in which they scored 33 points in the fourth quarter, look for Denver to keep the momentum rolling here in this important game!

T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Denver.

T.M. Selection: Saints.

The Saints certainly won't be rolling over here, despite being 1-6. The Bucs' injury issues finally caught up to them in Detroit last week, as they fell 24-9. Look for a tight battle to come down to whichever tam has its hands on the ball last. And in a situation like that, I'll grab the points every time; the play is on New Orleans.

T.M. Prediction: 24-23 Tampa.

T.M. Selection: Texans/Hawks over.

The Texans own the league's No. 1 defense, but they're just 1-2 on the road and they've also scored 70 points combined over their last two victories. That'll continue here against a Seahawks defense, that when it last played here in Seattle two weeks ago, gave up 38 points to a banged up Buccaneers offense. CJ Stroud and Sam Darnold are primed to take center stage in this one; this number is low, so the play is on the "over."

T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Seattle.

T.M. Selection: 49ers moneyline.

The Falcons are 3-2, going 1-1 on the road. They've won two straight over Washington and Buffalo, but an imminent letdown, feels...imminent! San Francisco is 4-2 and off the 30-19 loss at Tampa Bay, I like Mac Jones and company to bounce back here at home. I'm going to lay the price and just take San Fran to win outright. It's Atlanta that's overvalued here in my opinion; the play is San Francisco on the moneyline!

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 San Fran.

T.M. Selection: Cardinals.

Green Bay is 3-2. Its two losses though have been on the road. The Cardinals are now 2-4 after four straight losses. A win is needed here for Kyler Murray and company to keep any playoff hopes alive, and a loss pretty much puts the proverbial final nail in the coffin for those dreams. Arizona's defense collapsed late last week on the road, but I don't expect that to happen here at home; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Arizona.

T.M. Selection: Chargers moneyline.

The Chargers bounced back with a much-needed 29-27 win at Miami last weekend, although they did not cover the spread. I'm going to suggest to bypass the spread here and instead take Justin Herbert and the home side on the reasonable moneyline option. The Colts are 5-1 after their 31-27 win over the Cardinals, unable to cover the large ten-point spread. I like LA at home in this matchup and feel it offers tremendous value to win this game outright.

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 LA.

T.M. Selection: Steelers/Bengals over.

It's do or die essentially for the Bengals sitting at 2-4. They brought in Flacco and while they came up short last week, the veteran QB looked stronger as the game progressed and he should take another big step here at home as well. Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers have a golden opportunity here and I look for them to push the pace against a tired Bengals' secondary; this number is low, the play is on the "over!" 

T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Pittsburgh.

T.M. Selection: Bears/Commanders under.

Both teams feature "under the radar" defenses and two capable, but young starting QB's. Look for this nationally televised affair to be much tighter, and lower-scoring once it's all said and done. Field position and the men in the trenches will decide this one. This number is a bit too high in my opinion, so the play is on the under!

T.M. Prediction: 24-17 Washington.

T.M. Selection: Chiefs moneyline.

I like the Chiefs to bounce back from their 31-28 loss at Jacksonville last week. Detroit has now won four straight after last week's 37-24 win at the Bengals, but note that KC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a conference road loss as a favorite. Let's bypass the spread and take the home side on the reasonable moneyline option!

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 KC.

T.M. Selection: Raiders.

The Titans are now 1-4 after finally "getting off the schneid" with a 22-21 upset win at Arizona last time out, but I feel a letdown is imminent. Geno Smith and the Raiders are also 1-4, but they've lost four straight. This is a do or die game for all intents and purposes for Pete Carroll and the home side and I expect them to play like it; lay the points!

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 Las Vegas.

T.M. Selection: Browns.

I think Pittsburgh has a small mental lapse this week after its win across the pond last week. The Browns' season is essentially on the line here and the move to Dillon Gabriel was the correct one at this point. Maybe no outright, but it's going to be tight; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Pittsburgh.

T.M. Selection: Eagles.

The Eagles are going to be angry here after letting the Broncos steal one from them at home. The Giants fell apart on the road at the Saints and I can't see Jaxson Dart keeping pace with Jalen Hurts. Look for the rookie to get a rough ride here facing this Philly defense; lay the points!

T.M. Prediction: 27-13 Philadelphia.

T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Jags under.

Both quarterbacks have been inconsistent this year, while each team has been above average defensively. The last thing that T-Lawrence and the home side want to do is to turn this into a shootout with Mahomes. KC is coming off a big win over the Ravens, but their defense is horrible and we have to take that offensive performance with a "grain of salt." Previous to that the offense was struggling, and so was the offensive line. Look for a tight and competitive battle to also be very low-scoring on Monday night.

T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Kansas City.

T.M. Selection: Patriots/Bills under.

I'm expecting a much more defensive battle here between these division rivals than what the oddsmakers are suggesting. Buffalo is 4-0 SU and is off the 31-19 win over the Saints here last weekend. I'm expecting a similar defensive effort here from the home side this week as well. New England has been trading good games with poor ones since the start of the season and off a 42-13 victory over Carolina at home, I'm expecting Drake Maye and company to take a small step back again on the road this weekend. When you add it all up, this O/U line is way too high in my opinion!

T.M. Prediction: 19-11 Buffalo.

T.M. Selection: Chargers moneyline.

I'm going to lay the price here and take LA on the moneyline option. The Chargers came up flat in their 21-18 loss at the Giants, but that was a do or die game for New York. Washington's issues at QB come back to "bite it" here and LA rebounds with a big win at home; lay the price with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 28-19 LA.

T.M. Selection: Seahawks.

The Bucs are completely banged up on both sides of the ball. The Hawks have gotten progressively better each week, especially their defense, which has yet to concede more than 17 points. Tampa fell short against the Eagles and it's going to stumble here as well; lay the points!

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Seattle.

T.M. Selection: Bengals.

While I smell a big upset brewing in Denver, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. This is going to be a dog fight between two hungry teams and in a contest that I envision being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing all these points. I just don't see much of a difference here between Bengals' backup quarterback Jake Browning and Broncos' starter Bo Nix; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Cincinnati.

T.M. Selection: Packers.

My succinct thoughts on this game: Green Bay is 2-1 and Dallas is 1-2. The Packers stumbled in Cleveland against a desperate Browns team with an underrated defense. Dallas is coming off a terrible 31-14 loss at Chicago and is struggling with consistency on both sides of the ball, as well as injury as we head into this contest. Lay the points and expect a rout!

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Green Bay.

T.M. Selection: Jaguars.

My succinct thoughts on this game: The quarterback carousel in San Francisco is going to finally come back to bite the 49ers and their backers this weekend in my opinion. Jacksonville, meanwhile, enters 2-1 and off a quality 17-10 win at home over Houston. I think an outright win is a possibility but my official call is to grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 25-21 Jacksonville.

T.M. Selection: Vikings/Steelers over.

My concise thoughts on this game: International games tend to be lower-scoring for a variety of reasons, but with two veteran quarterbacks facing off in Carson Wentz for the Vikes and Aaron Rodgers for the Steelers, I'm predicting a classic "shootout." 

T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Minnesota.

T.M. Selection: Cardinals.

In their only division game this year, the Seahawks lost 17-13 at home to the 49ers. And that's the same thing for the Cardinals, who lost 16-15 to San Francisco last week for their first setback of the season. I'm giving the upper-hand to the Arizona defense at home and I think that Kyler Murray will do just enough to earn his team the slim win and cover on the short week here on Thursday night.

T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Arizona.

T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens.

The Lions got destroyed on the road in Week 1 at Green Bay and I think Goff will struggle again here vs. this aggressive Ravens' defense (which finished second in sacks last year and first the year before that). Look for Baltimore to take advantage of and lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 34-19 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Giants OVER.

I base my picks on many different things. This particular one I'm basing on the presumption that each of these teams will be pushing the pace offensively as it tries to avoid the 0-3 hole. The Giants just lost 40-37 in OT at Dallas, so look for that offensive momentum to get carried over here. With each side pushing the pace like I anticipate, everything points to this total flying well "over" the number before the final whistle sounds!

T.M. Prediction: 33-27 KC.

T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals.

San Francisco's issues at QB will be an issue for it here facing Arizona, whose defense is completely underrated in my opinion. So far they've conceded a total of 35 points over their two wins. San Fran is off consecutive road wins to open the season, but everything points to a classic "letdown" here in its home opener in my opinion. Grab the points, but expect the outright!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Arizona.

T.M. Selection: Dolphins/Bills under.

The Bills have played to a couple of high-scoring games, but I'm anticipating a very low-scoring defensive battle here on Thursday night. Expect these offenses to take a step back on the short week. Miami is desperate to avoid a three-game slide to open the season, and it'll be looking to keep Josh Allen off the field as much and as long as possible, whenever possible. While the rest of the World goes one way, I'm going the other; the play is on the "under!"

T.M. Prediction: 27-13 Buffalo.

T.M. Selection: Raiders.

The Las Vegas Raiders are poised to cover the spread here, driven by situational advantages at Allegiant Stadium. If history is any precedence, then Las Vegas has to be loving its chances tonight, as looking back finds it 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 Monday games. The Chargers, off an emotional Week 1 upset over the Chiefs on the road in Brazil, face a letdown risk. Vegas’ rest advantage (10 days since Week 1) fuels sharper execution, while LA’s travel fatigue post-Brazil tilts the edge. Look for an intensely competitive battle to lead to a possible upset, but for sure a very tight outcome and grab the points with the Raiders!

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Raiders.

T.M. Selection: Falcons/Vikings OVER.

Atlanta will be looking to pull off the outright upset here and to build off positives in their 23-20 Week 1 home loss to Tampa Bay. Michael Penix Jr. will continue to progress though in my estimation. And JJ McCarthy and the Vikes scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to come from behind to knock off the Bears in Week 1 and I anticipate them carrying that momentum over into this one. With each side opening things up offensively like I predict, I'm on the over for sure!

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Minnesota.

T.M. Selection: Saints.

No need to over think this one. Keep It Simple Stupid. I don't respect Mac Jones whatsoever and think he'll be terrible. I'm not a big Spencer Rattler fan, but I think New Orleans is primed to pull off an outright upset. That said, I'm grabbing the points!

T.M. Prediction: 23-17 New Orleans.

T.M. Selection: Browns/Ravens OVER.

Cleveland came up short in its 17-6 loss to the Bengals, but veteran QB Joe Flacco looked pretty good. The Ravens defense looked terrible in their crushing loss to the Bills, but that'll just make Lamar Jackson and company that much more motivated here in Week 2. This number is low in my opinion.

T.M. Prediction: 34-24 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Dolphins.

Daniel Jones and the Colts surprised Tua and the Dolphins on the road, but now back at home I expect the dynamic Miami pivot to return to form. New England looked terrible in its 20-13 home loss to Las Vegas and I don't anticipate things getting any easier for the Pats here in this difficult road venue. I'm laying the price on the moneyline.

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 Miami.

T.M. Selection: Washington Commanders.

While I absolutely feel that Washington can win this game outright, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Both teams won, but Green Bay is now banged up on the defensive end. Getting after Jared Goff is one thing, he can barely move, while trying to contain Jaden Daniels is quite another. Note that the Commanders were held back last week by a ridiculous 12 penalties. Don't expect that to happen two weeks in a row. Washington also averaged 7 yards per play in the victory and it looked great defensively. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points!

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Washington.

T.M. Selection: Vikes/Bears OVER.

There have been plenty of low-scoring games so far in Week 1, but I'm anticipating more of a "shootout" here in Chicago between two hungry division rivals on Monday night, so I'm taking the "over" in this one. JJ McCarthy is going to have some opportunities here to move the ball against a revamped Bears defense. Caleb Williams has a new offensive-minded head-coach who was the offensive coordinator for the Lions over the last three years. I think these guys will dominate the headlines about this game tomorrow, so from everything I'm looking at, the "over" becomes the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

T.M. Prediction: 27-25 Chicago.

T.M. Selection: Ravens.

The Baltimore Ravens are going to dominate the Buffalo Bills in their Week 1 Sunday Night Football clash at Highmark Stadium in my opinion. Lamar Jackson is a difference-maker and he's coming off a stellar 2024 season with 4,172 passing yards and 41 touchdowns. Paired with Derrick Henry’s punishing 1,921-yard rushing attack, Baltimore’s league-leading offense (424.9 yards per game) will exploit Buffalo’s depleted defensive front. The Ravens’ bolstered secondary, featuring Jaire Alexander and Malaki Starks, will contain Josh Allen’s passing game. Baltimore’s superior two-way play gets the job done in Week 1; play Baltimore on the moneyline.

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Baltimore.

T.M. Selection: Jets.

The New York Jets will cover with the spread, if not win outright, against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1. Their revamped defense under Aaron Glenn, led by Sauce Gardner, will pressure Aaron Rodgers, while Justin Fields exploits Pittsburgh’s aging defense. Breece Hall’s versatility and home-field advantage seal a tight victory.

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 New York.

T.M. Selection: Commanders.

The Washington Commanders will dominate the New York Giants in Week 1 at home due to their explosive offense, led by Jayden Daniels and new additions like Deebo Samuel. Their strong 2024 performance (12-5) and home advantage contrast with the Giants' rebuilding phase and tough schedule, ensuring a decisive victory.

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Washington.

T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Bucs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will dominate the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1, leveraging their superior offensive line, led by Tristan Wirfs, and Baker Mayfield’s precision passing. Atlanta’s weak pass rush and secondary will crumble against Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, ensuring a decisive victory by at least two touchdowns.

T.M. Prediction: 26-21 Tampa.

T.M. Selection: Chargers.

The Los Angeles Chargers are going to, at the very least, cover against the Kansas City Chiefs in Brazil on September 5, 2025, due to their revitalized roster and defensive prowess. Under Jim Harbaugh’s leadership, the Chargers posted an 11-6 record in 2024, with a league-leading defense allowing just 17.7 points per game. Justin Herbert’s improved efficiency and emerging receiver Ladd McConkey bolster the offense, despite losing key defenders. The Chiefs, coming off a Super Bowl loss, face offensive line concerns and a humid, neutral-site challenge. The Chargers are the correct call here and while I do think the outright is most likely outcome, the official call is to grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 LA.

T.M. Selection: Eagles.

The Cowboys were brutal on both sides of the ball last year. They should be improved offensively, but now even worse on the defensive end with Micah Parsons gone. Saquan Barkley and Jalen Hurts dominated this matchup last years, as Philadelphia outscored the Cowboys by a combined 75-13 over two victories. Expect more of the same here on Opening Night!

T.M. Prediction: 34-13 Philadelphia

T.M. Selection: EAGLES - ATS

1) Small line here but I will take the +1.5 points with the Eagles in case they lose a heartbreaker by a single point. The underdog is on an incredible 17-6 ATS run in the last 23 Super Bowls.

2) The Chiefs offense has not been as strong all season long and they face a top-ranked Eagles defense here. This match-up favors Philadelphia when Kansas City has the ball.   

3) The Kansas City defense has not been as strong against the pass and that is where Philadelphia should take advantage. Saquon Barkley gives the Eagles an edge on the ground and with KC having to focus on him, Jalen Hurts will get plenty of opportunity in the passing game. Off a huge win over Washington in the NFC Championship Game, the offense of the Eagles flourishes again here. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 EAGLES

Line: +1.5 

T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs - Moneyline

1) I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game handily against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, January 26th. The line is in the -1.5 to -2 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -125 range.

2) The Bills end up disappointing their fans every year and it happens again here. They are known for strong regular seasons but then just not quite being able to do enough to get to the big game. Last week they were at home and yet still got outgained heavily in yardage against the Ravens. Truthfully Buffalo was lucky to win that game and it was at home and now they are on the road and facing a very tough Chiefs defense. This looks like another playoff exit for Buffalo.   

3) The Chiefs just keep on finding ways to win and they have not even had that game where they truly put it all together on both sides of the ball. One knows that is coming and it likely happens right here as they take advantage of a Bills team having to travel again and Allen's numbers not as strong on the road and Mahomes outduels him here. Buffalo also has a mental block about getting over the hump and finally getting to a Super Bowl as they have not been in 31 years and come up short in the post-season consistently in the Josh Allen era. Confidence with the home team here and they know what it takes to execute in the biggest of games like this. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-20 Kansas City

Line: -125

T.M. Selection: Ravens / Bills - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens game on Sunday, January 19th. Of course it will be cold here but both teams are use to cold weather games. Also the snow, if any, is expected to be minimal. Additionally, the winds are expected to be very moderate for this one and likely just in the 10 mph range at the most. These are two incredible offensive units and I expect the points to fly. Unbelievably Josh Allen has a 30-6 ratio and that is not even the top mark among these two QBs! Lamar Jackson has a ridiculous 43-4 ratio! These are incredible numbers plus both teams have solid run games too. There is just not enough defense on either side to slow down these powerful units. Bills are averaging 34 ppg when at home this season. Ravens have won 5 straight and averaged 31 ppg during this run. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-30 Baltimore. 

Line: O/U 50 

Line Parameter: play until 53.5...

T.M. Selection: Commanders / Lions - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders game on Saturday, January 18th. Detroit has scored an average of 40 ppg in the last 7 games on their home field! This Lions offense is a machine and particularly when at home! At the same time, prior to the 31-9 win over Minnesota in their regular season finale, the Lions had allowed 30 ppg in the 5 games before that. This Washington team comes in hot and with a dual-threat QB and the Commanders offense will give this Detroit D problems. However, I just don't see Washington getting many stops either. This one has shootout tendency written all over it. The Commanders have averaged scoring 28 ppg last 6 games including last week's playoff win. Washington has the offense to keep up here and hang around but I still see the Lions prevailing by near to what the line is in this one and that should put this one in the mid-60s as high-scoring games in Detroit continue to be the trend! Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-28 Detroit. 

Line: O/U 55.5 

Line Parameter: play until 58.5...

T.M. Selection: Vikings / Rams - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams game on Monday, January 13th. The Vikings QB Darnold should be much better here after the disaster at Detroit last week. His numbers over the course of the season tell the full story so don't let the result against Detroit lead you astray here. Minnesota is going to score plenty here but the issue is, can they stop the Rams? I highly doubt that. The Rams averaged 24 ppg in their 9 home games this season. Even though this one is at Arizona due to the fires in LA, it is a home game for the Rams and they are used to games here because of facing division foe Arizona here once a year. Rams put 30 when they hosted Minnesota this season. Now it is post-season time and the Vikings averaged 29 ppg in the most recent 7 games (part of a 9-game winning run) prior to the bad defeat at Detroit. Both teams can get to the upper 20s here and that puts this one into the mid-50s. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Minnesota. 

Line: O/U 47.5 

Line Parameter: play until 49.5...

T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Moneyline

1) I like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win this game against the Washington Commanders on Sunday, January 12th. The line is in the -3 to -3.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -150 to -160 range.

2) The Buccaneers passing attack, led by QB Mayfield, has been picking up steam as they ended the season on a surge. They other key is that the Tampa Bay defense was much better as the season got into the latter stages. As for the offense, there was never much question about that and they continue to roll.  

3) The Commanders gave up 25 ppg in their final 8 games this season. The Buccaneers allowed 17 ppg in their final 7 games this season. Big home field edge for Tampa Bay too and they already beat Washington by 17 here earlier this season. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-19 Tampa Bay.

Line: -150 to -160 

T.M. Selection: Steelers / Ravens - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens game on Saturday, January 11th. The Ravens allowed only 15.4 ppg their last 7 games of this season and that included holding Pittsburgh under 20 points in both meetings. The Steelers allowed 20 or less points in 10 of 17 games this season. This included the 18-16 win over the Ravens a couple months ago. Historically the Steelers defense is known for giving the Baltimore offense trouble. At the same time, the Pittsburgh offense enters this game on a very bad run of results and I don't see that changing here. The Ravens defense was at its best during the stretch run to the season and they should continue to be the story here in this one. But the Steelers D shows up strong again here and this one plays out similar to the first meeting this season which totaled only 34 points. The difference this time is the Ravens should come out on top and win this by 10 points but it will be a grind of a game. The Steelers have averaged only 14.3 ppg in their current 4-game losing streak. 

Give me the UNDER. 

T.M. Prediction: 23-13 Baltimore. 

Line: O/U 44 

Line Parameter: play until 41.5...

T.M. Selection: VIKINGS - ATS 1) I like the Vikings to get the solid road dog cover in this game against the Lions on Sunday, January 5th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team laying only 2.5 or 3 points even though they are a perfect 5-0 in divisional games this season and this is a huge battle for the NFC North as well as the top NFC seed for the post-season. As for the trap line, I am not falling for it! 2) Detroit has been ravaged by injuries on defense and they will not be able to stop the Vikings. The Lions have still been winning games, thanks to a potent offense, but their defense against the pass will let them down again here. Minnesota's passing attack has been on a strong performance streak and that continues here. 3) Minnesota has thrown for nearly 300 yards passing on average last 4 games while the Lions have allowed an average of over 320 yards passing last 4 games. The Vikings allowing only 18 ppg in their 9-game winning streak. The Lions allowing 32.5 ppg last 4 games. With stats like that, you can clearly see why I am confident in this investment Thursday. Upset alert! T.M. Prediction: 31-24 VIKINGS Line: +3

T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals - Moneyline

1) I like the Cincinnati Bengals to win this game handily against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Saturday, January 4th. The line is in the -2.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -135 range.

2) The Bengals are red hot with 4 straight wins while the slumping Steelers have lost 3 in a row. Also, Pittsburgh has averaged only 13 ppg last 3 games. Cincinnati has scored at least 24 points in 8 straight games. Two teams heading in opposite directions and I just don't see this Steelers offense as being able to keep up with the Bengals in this one.   

3) Though Pittsburgh will likely have some motivation here (playoff positioning) even though Ravens likely clinch AFC North before this game takes place, the Bengals are loaded with motivation. They must win to stay alive for a playoff spot. So look for Cincinnati to pull out all the stops here and they should end up pulling away as this games goes on. The Bengals D has been better in their winning streak and the Steelers offense struggling in their losing streak. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-20 Cincinnati.

Line: -135

T.M. Selection: LIONS - ATS

1) I like the Lions to get the solid blowout win in this game against the 49ers on Monday, December 30th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching a little more than a FG in a match-up featuring a team (Detroit) that is so banged up in the injury department. However, I am not falling for it!

2) The 49ers have had a lost season and Lions still ultra hungry for the win as they look to keep pace with Vikings at top of NFC North. Even with injuries, Detroit continues to win. I look for that pattern to continue here. Last season the Lions led by 17 at the half in the playoffs yet San Francisco rallied and got the win. That means Detroit will surely be relentless here.   

3) The Lions have still scored 37 ppg last 3 games and remain one of the best teams in league, even while dealing with injuries. The Niners have lost 5 of 6 games and scored an average of only 12 points per game in the 5 losses. This one will be all Lions and Detroit rolls on the road. Line value here because the game is in SF and I am not even batting an eyelash as I pull the trigger with Detroit on the road here.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 LIONS

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: DOLPHINS - ATS

1) I like the Dolphins to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Browns on Sunday, December 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching a FG in a match-up featuring a team that likely will be without its starting QB and I am not falling for it!

2) Even though Tagovailoa has been downgraded to doubtful for this game, Huntley will still be the best QB on the field as the Browns QB situation has been a disaster in what has been another rough season for Cleveland. The Browns expected to again go with Dorian Thompson-Robinson here even though he is off a very rough performance against a horrible Bengals defense.   

3) Miami's defense will be a much tougher test for the struggling Browns offense than the Cincinnati D was. That said, with the Dolphins having playoff chances, though slim, I do not foresee any quit in this Miami team Sunday. Dolphins known for struggling in cold weather but they got a break with mild weather conditions for this one Sunday and their defense has been solid and the Browns just won't have enough offense to keep up in this low-scoring battle.     

T.M. Prediction: 24-10 DOLPHINS

Line: -3

T.M. Selection: BEARS - ATS

1) I like the Bears to get the solid home dog cover in this game against the Seahawks on Thursday, December 26th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team laying only 4.5 or 4 points even though they are visiting a team that has been in a freefall whereas they themselves are still battling for the post-season. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Seattle struggles with their ground game on offense and their rush defense on the other side of the ball. The Seahawks have lost B2B games and are allowing 24 ppg in the last 4 games. The Bears defense has struggled recently but they are capable of stepping up here in their home finale and remember that they are 4-4 at home this season. 

3) Chicago has been awful on the road this season but, as you can see with the 4-4 record, they are very capable of stepping up at home here. Seattle has only 3 wins by more than 5 points in their last 12 games! With stats like that, you can clearly see why I am confident in this investment Thursday. Upset alert!

T.M. Prediction: 23-20 BEARS

Line: +4.5 

T.M. Selection: Packers vs Saints - UNDER

I am on the UNDER in the New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers game on Monday. 3 of last 4 Saints road games have totaled 39 points or less. Overall, in all games, the Saints have had 3 straight games total 39 points or less. A cold night in Green Bay won't help in achieving a lot of points either. The Saints allowing just 16.6 ppg last 5 games but their offense also will struggle against the Packers at Lambeau. Green Bay has won 4 of 5 games and allowed just 14.8 ppg in those 4 wins. This will be a fierce defensive battle as all signs certainly pointing that way. The Saints defense allowing under 325 ypg last 3 games and Packers allowing under 300 ypg in home games this season. New Orleans still without starting QB Carr and plus tons of injury issues at RB and WR also. Tough game here for both offenses. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-10 Green Bay

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: Patriots vs Bills - OVER I am on the OVER in the New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. The weather will be cold but light winds and little to no snow means both teams should be able to score well here. The Bills defense has struggled last two games and the Patriots have enough on offense to make those struggles continue. The key here is the offense of the Bills is rolling and also known for being even stronger at home than on the road. I see this one featuring very little punting as both teams should move the ball well. Buffalo has scored 36 ppg last 8 games and is on an 8-1 run as they continue to steamroll teams on offense. On the defensive side, the Bills have allowed 31 ppg in 5 of their last 6 games as only 1 outlier (strong game versus 49ers) was in that stretch. The Patriots have averaged 20 ppg last 6 games but have allowed 29 ppg last 4 games and now face the highest scoring team in the league. The Bills will not let up here but Patriots, at 3-11, can also play with a "nothing to lose" attitude. T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Buffalo Line: O/U 46.5

T.M. Selection: BRONCOS - ATS

1) I like the Broncos to get the solid road dog cover in this game against the Chargers on Thursday, December 19th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team laying only 2.5 or 3 points even though they are hosting a team they already beat handily earlier this season (had 23-0 lead before letting up and Chargers scored final 16 pionts). As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Chargers have been struggling on both sides of the ball recently as their pass defense has started to let them down. On offense they have averaged less than 250 yards of offense last four games.    

3) The Broncos have a great pass rush and this should further disrupt an already struggling Chargers offense. Denver has won 8 of 11 games and has scored an average of 27 points last 9 games. Los Angeles has been held to 27 or less in 13 of 14 games this season! With stats like that, you can clearly see why I am confident in this investment Thursday. Upset alert!

T.M. Prediction: 23-20 BRONCOS

Line: +3 -125

T.M. Selection: Bears vs Vikings - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings game on Monday. The Vikings won the last meeting 30-27 in OT and scored 27 points in regulation time in that match-up. I expect the rematch to finish with a similar high-scoring result. This Minnesota team is flying high right now and scoring plenty of points. The Vikes have won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 29 ppg in their last 4 games. The teams combined for 850 yards in the prior match-up and the Bears contributed well to that with nearly 400 yards of offense. So don't count them out in this rematch either as this one likely turns into a back and forth battle! The Bears are enduring a rough season but have scored an average of 20 ppg last 4 games. Chicago has allowed 29 ppg last 3 games. The Vikings are averaging 29 ppg at home in US Bank Stadium this season. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Minnesota 

Line: O/U 43.5

T.M. Selection: Los Angeles Chargers - Moneyline

1) I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, December 15th. The line is in the -3 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -142 to -150 range.

2) The Bucs have won 3 straight games so the consensus is that they are back on track. I am not convinced that they can go on the road and beat a high-quality team here. Prior to the 3 TB wins, they lost 4 straight games! Also, the 3 recent wins for Tampa Bay are against teams that are all last placed teams in their divisions and have a combined record of 7-32 this season. Now the Bucs are on the road facing an 8-5 Chargers team with one of the best defenses in the league!  

3) The Chargers, like the Bucs, certainly also have some wins over weaker teams too but they also have tight losses to strong teams and they just lost by 2 points to a 12-1 Kansas City team. LA is 3-0 this season in their next game after losing a game by a margin of a TD or less. The Chargers should respond strong here. Looks like WR McConkey is back for LA this week and note that QB Herbert has only 1 INT on the season while also throwing for 14 TDs and his yardage numbers are bigger the last 9 weeks than the first 4 as he is averaging 243 yards passing last 9 games! LA offense will take advantage of a bad Bucs pass defense and the Chargers defense also is elite enough to slow this Buccaneers team down. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-17 LA Chargers.

Line: -142 

T.M. Selection: Rams vs 49ers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers game on Thursday. The Rams and Niners both off very high-scoring wins so this total has been getting pumped upwards. The fact that LA was averaging roughly 20 ppg this season prior to last week's win over the Bills seems to be forgotten. Also, the Rams had allowed (w/o inclusion of OT points) 24 points or less in 9 of last 10 games also seems to be overlooked by most here. The Niners, before the big win over Chicago, had scored only 18 ppg last 6 games. On the season, SF is allowing only 21 ppg in their home games. When I look at all the numbers and the situational facts I would not be surprised to see the winning team in the 20 point range or maybe 24 maximum based on the above numbers. That being said, this total seems far too high given this being a division rivalry game as well. Under it is! 

T.M. Prediction: 20-17 San Francisco. 

Line: O/U 49.5

T.M. Selection: Bengals vs Cowboys - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys game on Monday. The Cowboys defense is getting healthier again and they have a great pass rush. The Bengals offense has been strong this season with Burrow having an amazing season at QB. However, this total has been driven up by the markets and I am seeing value on the under now with this one all the way past the 49 mark. Cincinnati, though chances are very slim, is still alive in the wild card race and Dallas is very much alive in the wild card race in the NFC East. What I am saying with this is that both defenses will be ready for a strong effort. The Bengals defense has been struggling badly but gets a much better chance at redemption here against a Cowboys team still without Dak Prescott at QB. Cooper Rush is more of a game manager QB. Dallas has averaged 19 ppg last 7 games even with B2B big wins over the Commanders and Giants. Too much of the pricing on this total is related to Cincinnati's numbers and not enough to the Cowboys. They will be ready at home here and this one will have a playoff feel to it given the importance of this game to each team that is desperately trying to hang on in the playoff races. The pass rush of Dallas causes the Bengals offense problems and QB Rush leads a clock management style of game as the Cowboys want to keep the Cincinnati offense off the field. 

T.M. Prediction: 21-16 Cincinnati. 

Line: O/U 49.5

T.M. Selection: Seahawks vs Cardinals - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Neither defense is great and Seattle's rush D is worse than their pass D while Arizona's pass D is worse than their rush D. That meshes well, if you like offense, with what the strength of each team is on the other side of the ball. For the Seahawks that has been the passing attack while for the Cardinals it has been the rushing attack. Line value is big here because these teams just had a low-scoring battle at Seattle a few weeks ago. That is keeping this total well below where it should be. Other than the 16-6 loss in the last meeting between these teams, Arizona has scored an average of 27.5 ppg in their other 4 games since late October. Seattle has scored 26.4 ppg this season in road games. The games in Arizona are indoors of course and so conditions are ideal for both offenses to dominate in this game. The last 4 times these teams have met here the game have averaged 58 points apiece in these climate-controlled match-ups. The match-up of offensive strength on defensive weakness also a key here. This one should develop into a back and forth shootout because of these key factors spelled out above. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Arizona. 

Line: O/U 44.5

T.M. Selection: PACKERS - ATS

1) I like the Packers to get the solid road dog cover in this game against the Lions on Thursday, December 5th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team laying only 3.5 points even though they are 11-1 and hosting a 9-3 team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Lions are now 11-1 this season but only 1 of their 3 divisional games was a win by more than 3 points so look for the Packers to be in this one all the way! Also, that lone bigger divisional win was against Green Bay but Detroit actually lost the yardage battle by 150 yards in that deceiving final score of 24-14.    

3) The Packers offense is surging plus QB Jordan Love has done a great job of limiting turnovers. Green Bay's only loss by more than 2 points in the last 11 games was that deceiving 10-point home loss to the Lions. GB allowing only 19 ppg last 8 games. Again, another reason to expect this one to be a very tight game with the points a huge value to have on your side! Upset alert! 

T.M. Prediction: 28-24 PACKERS

Line: +3.5

T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos - ATS

1) I like the Broncos to get the solid win in this game against the Browns on Monday, December 2nd. This is an interesting line considering Denver is a sizable favorite even though Cleveland just knocked off a strong Pittsburgh team and appears to be improving with Winston under center. The line looks like an invitation to grab the road dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line. 

2) The Browns are only 3-8 this season and the 3 wins have included only 1 road win and that was against a Jacksonville team that is now 2-10 this season! 6 of Cleveland's 8 losses this season have been by at least 6 points so I am comfortable laying this number here. Denver is 7-3 last 10 games and the only home loss was to a Chargers team that is now 8-4 this season.    

3) As you can see, Denver is taking care of business against teams with a losing record and Cleveland has not shown an ability to go on the road and beat a good team. 6 of the 7 Broncos wins in their 7-3 run have been by 10+ points! Looking at season-long stats, Denver has the better offense and also has the much better defense. Lay the points here with confidence!  

T.M. Prediction: 28-14 Denver 

Line: -5.5

T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - ATS

1) I like the Buccaneers to get the solid win in this game against the Panthers on Sunday, December 1st. This is an interesting line considering Tampa Bay is a sizable favorite even though this game is taking place in Carolina! The line looks like an invitation to grab the home dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line as the Bucs recent 4-game losing streak, prior to beating the Giants, featured a slate of quality teams and that makes all the difference here. 

2) The Panthers are only 3-8 this season and the 3 wins are against all bad teams - combined 8-27 record! Carolina is highly unlikely to be able to score enough to keep up with a Bucs team that has been surging on offense. Tampa Bay has scored 30.6 ppg last 8 games! The Buccaneers went 3-5 in those games but 2 of the losses in OT and 3 of the losses were against division leaders and another one against an 8-4 Ravens team!      

3) Carolina off a tight loss to Chiefs which was a surprise but Young averaged just 148.5 passing yards in the 2 wins prior to that loss. The Panthers, other than the game in Germany versus Giants, are allowing 32.3 ppg this season. Carolina will not be able to stop TB and the Bucs off that win over NYG in which they allowed only 7 points! They are confident and ready to dominate here against a Carolina team that is now over-valued in this spot. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Tampa Bay 

Line: -5.5