Kansas will be too much for TCU. Lay the points with confidence. Play KU

Wrong team favored. I had Seattle at -4. Redhawks win this game. Play Seattle

This line has come down creating excellent value on the favorite. Texas Southern is superior in all areas and will win this game by 10 or more. Lay the points. Gl .. Tim 

A much stronger team on its own home floor, Seattle gets payback for earlier loss at Corvallis. Lay the points with the Redhawks. 

T.M. Selection: Pacers.

Indiana comes in off four straight losses. It plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well following a tight 114-113 loss at home to the Knicks back in December. Note that Indiana is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. With a game at Philadelphia tomorrow night, look for the home side to get caught looking ahead, leaving the back door open for the desperate visitors; grab the points with the Pacers and expect a competitive battle until the end!

T.M. Prediction: 114-110 New York.

T.M. Selection: Oregon.

The Ducks are eager to snap a 9-game losing streak. They were competitive last time out though, falling 68-64 at Purdue as 18.5-point underdogs, and now I believe they're undervalued here as well vs. the Hoosiers. Indiana barely held on for the 78-77 OT home win over Wisconsin as a 3.5-point favorite last time out, and with a game at 20-4 Illinois up next, not only does this set up as a letdown spot, but also a potential "look ahead" position as well. When you add those two situational factors together (letdown + look-ahead), you get "trap game!" A great "situational" play here; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 74-68 Indiana.

T.M. Selection: Dayton.

Dayton is 10-2 at home, while St. Bonaventure is 3-3 on the road. The Bonnies are off a 77-73 loss at home to George Mason and I believe they'll have difficulty in this matchup, because the Flyers come in determined to snap a four-game slide. The Flyers still average 76.5 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while the Bonnies average 77.4 PPG, while allowing 74.3. Look for home floor to be the difference-maker in the end and lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 86-60 Dayton.

T.M. Selection: Syracuse.

With an upcoming game against Duke, I predict UNC taking the foot off the gas in the second half of this one as it gets caught looking ahead. Syracuse lost this game 88-82 in a competitive battle last season and all signs point to another "nail-biter" in my opinion this year as well; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 80-77 UNC.

T.M. Selection: Lakers.

LA is 17-10 on the road, while New York is 19-6 at home. This is the first game of the year between the clubs. LA, though, comes in off a 142-111 victory at Washington and I see it carrying that momentum over here as well. The Knicks have won and covered in five straight, but I think they'll have their hands full with Luka and company tonight; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 116-114 LA.

T.M. Selection: San Diego.

San Diego is just 9-12 overall, while Santa Clara is 16-5 overall. However, the Toreros are 8-4 SU and 8-2-2 ATS at home, while the Broncos are a more pedestrian 3-2 SU/ATS on the road. San Diego plays with revenge following a 98-70 loss at Santa Clara in early January, and note that the Toreros are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. I think the Broncos get caught looking ahead to their game at home against 13-8 San Francisco early next week; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Santa Clara.

T.M. Selection: Youngstown State.

The Penguins haven't been playing well late, but here's a matchup that they can dominate in. Green Bay is just 3-6 on the road, while Youngstown State is  still 6-3 at home. Look for the hungry home side to keep the proverbial foot on the gas pedal from start to finish and to not only win, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Youngstown State.

T.M. Selection: Rockets.

Houston lost this game at OKC by a score of 125-124 in OT and I believe the team that has its hands on the ball last tonight will also come out on top. Houston just snapped a three-game slide and I love the Rockets here at home in this revenge spot; grab the points! 

T.M. Prediction: 113-110 Houston.

T.M. Selection: Pacers.

The Pacers have won three in a row and they play with revenge following a 97-95 loss at Toronto back in November. The Raptors are off a lacklustre 115-102 loss at home to Philly and I believe they'll have trouble on the road here as well and while the outright victory is the most likely outcome for the home side, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is on the Pacers!

T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Indiana.

T.M. Selection: Nets.

Brooklyn plays with revenge following a 137-109 loss at Houston back in October, and note that the Nets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. With a game at Dallas on Saturday, I expect the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" and to take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing a comfortable cover (at the very least), for the revenge-minded home side; the play is on Brooklyn!

T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Houston.

T.M. Selection: Maryland Eastern Shore.

UMES is only 1-7 on the road, but it's 4-3-1 ATS away from friendly confines. UVA has time off before a game against Maryland and I'm expecting it to get caught looking ahead and to take the foot off the gas. Grab the points and expect a much closer and tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; the play is on Maryland Eastern Shore!

T.M. Prediction: 74-60 UVA.

T.M. Selection: Jackson State.

Jackson State has been a sizeable underdog in every game it's played in so far due to the level of its competition. The Tigers are only 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS, but they're off a great 51-45 win at Louisiana Lafayette as 5.5-point underdogs and I like them to carry that momentum over into this one. Kennesaw State is coming off a 102-100 OT win over Florida Gulf Coast, but I believe it'll stumble to cover this large home number. No outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 83-77 Kennesaw State.

T.M. Selection: Cavaliers.

Houston is playing well, off 4 straight wins, but with a home game against conference rival and red-hot Denver at home on Friday night, I am predicting the visitors get caught "looking ahead." It's a classic "trap" game I'd say for Houston. Cleveland will look to take advantage, as its off two straight wins and everything points to another solid win and cover here as well in my opinion. The outright win is the most likely outcome, but let's grab the point/s!

T.M. Prediction: 120-113 Cleveland.

T.M. Selection: Southeast Missouri State.

Southeast Missouri State is just 1-3 overall this year. It's been an underdog in every game that it's lost, most recently an 84-72 setback to St. Thomas. The Redhawks catch a complacent Hawkeyes side off an 81-62 victory over Xavier though and I predict that they'll come out flat here at home. The Hawkeyes still have another "warm-up" here against Chicago State, before then getting into the thick of conference action. I say a letdown here is imminent and I look for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all these points; a great "situational" play here on Southeast Missouri State!

T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Iowa.

T.M. Selection: Cal.

In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Cal is 3-0 and it hits the road for the first time here, while Kansas State is 2-0. Neither team has been challenged to this point, but that changes tonight for each side. Cal's size in the pain will keep it competitive in this one though on both ends of the floor - the outright is possible, but my official call is to grab as many points as you can with Cal.

T.M. Prediction: 82-80 K-State.

T.M. Selection: Seattle.

Eastern Washington is 0-3 SU on the road, but interestingly 3-0 ATS. Now I think the Eagles are getting too much respect here in Seattle though vs. the 1-1 Redhawks. Seattle lost this game 93-86 on the road last year, but the home side has key players returning this year, while Eastern Washington is dealing with the larger turnover. Lay the points with confidence and expect a blowout!

T.M. Prediction: 85-65 Seattle.

T.M. Selection: Pelicans.

It's a great spot for New Orleans here, as the Pelicans enter having won two straight and have had two nights off, while the Spurs come in fatigued after their big win at home over the Rockets just last night. With a game at the Bulls on Monday, I think the home side comes out flat here in the second game of the back-to-back against the suddenly surging Pels; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 114-110 San Antonio.

T.M. Selection: St. Francis PA.

TCU has already been exposed and I think it'll struggle again here after falling 78-74 at home to New Orleans as a 21-point favorite. St. Francis is coming off a 102-66 loss at Oklahoma as a 32.5-point underdog. Now they're another huge dog here, but look for the Red Flash to be much more competitive this time around against a Horned Frogs offense that just allowed the Privateers to score 74 points. Everything points to a solid cover for the visitors in my opinion.

T.M. Prediction: 80-69 TCU.

T.M. Selection: Rider.

The Cavs have a new head coach this year in Ryan Odom, while Rider enters with a rebuilt line-up under longtime head coach Kevin Baggett. Baggett has plenty of new faces, but six transfers all have Division 1 experience. The Broncs are projected to finish in the middle of the pack in the conference.  Last year the Cavs finished 15-17, and while their new roster should improve, it's going to take some time in my estimation. Look for this one to be a lot closer than what this line is suggesting; grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UVA.

T.M. Selection: Heat.

The Lakers have looked decent, coming in at 4-2 SU and ATS, but after back-to-back road wins/covers, I smell a letdown here against the Heat, who after a three-game win streak, are looking to bounce back after a tough 107-101 loss at San Antonio to kick off this trip. The Spurs though are 5-0 and playing elite-level and Miami also likely got caught "looking ahead" to this one. Look for Austin Reaves and the Lakers to take a small step back here; that said, grab the points!  

T.M. Prediction: 118-116 Miami.

T.M. Selection: Kings.

The Lakers got a super-human effort out of Luka Doncic in their 128-110 win over the Wolves last time out, but now on the road for the first time, I smell regression. And with a home game against Portland tomorrow, the visitors get caught "looking ahead" as well. Sacramento lost at Phoenix on opening night, but then bounced back with a hard-fought 105-104 home win over Utah. I think the Kings will win outright, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can.

T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Sacramento.

T.M. Selection: 76ers.

Philly is off the great 117-116 road win at Boston and after it had such a slow start last year, we can expect the 76ers to really be cautious on how they approach the season and each game. That said, they looked great and I think they carry that momentum over here. Granted, Charlotte also looked decent in its 136-117 home win over Brooklyn, but now hitting the road for the first time this year, a letdown feels imminent to me; overall a great "situational" play on Philadelphia!

T.M. Prediction: 126-110 Philly.

T.M. Selection: Thunder.

What can we expect out of the Thunder this year? We already know the answer after their 125-124 OT win over the Rockets. OKC played from behind the entire game and still took the Rockets "best shot" and found a way to win. The Pacers have continued to get better each season, but I think that regression could be in order this year. I see the Pacers taking some time to get up to speed again and do truly feel that the team as a whole could take a big step back this season; lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 125-107 OKC.

T.M. Selection: Kings.

The Suns hired Jordan Ott to replace Mike Budenholzer at coach, but Ott will have his hands full once again in this transitional season. Last season the Kings made it to the play-in Tournament, but they've made several changes to their roster and will likely take a step back this year. That said, Sacramento has the pieces in place on Opening night to pull off the outright upset in my opinion, but I'm grabbing the points!

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Phoenix.

T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers.

Indiana won Game 1 and I believe it has a legit shot at winning Game 2. I had a 5% play on the Pacers in Game 1 and the analysis I posted in that pick basically also directly pertains to this Game 2 pick as well (if you haven't had a chance to read that analysis, I'll post it here now: While I'm not calling for an outright victory or anything, everything points to a a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in Game 1 of the NBA Finals in my opinion. Indiana has consistently been underrated thoughout these Playoffs, both by the oddsmakers and their opponents. That's the case here again in Game 1. Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton are going to be able to keep their team competitive late, so I'm recommending to grab as many points as you can!) Grab as many points as you can (but don't be shocked by another outright!) 

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 OKC.

T.M. Selection: Pacers.

While I'm not calling for an outright victory or anything, everything points to a a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in Game 1 of the NBA Finals in my opinion. Indiana has consistently been underrated thoughout these Playoffs, both by the oddsmakers and their opponents. That's the case here again in Game 1. Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton are going to be able to keep their team competitive late, so I'm recommending to grab as many points as you can!

T.M. Prediction: 116-114 OKC.

T.M. Selection: Knicks.

Being successful in the Playoffs is about making adjustments. Karl Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson and the rest of the Knicks have done that extremely well over the last three games. Time for another Game 7 in my estimation! For the Pacers to be successful at this level, they need to get truly gargantuan games out of both Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton. Yes, the Pacers are 29-11 at home, but they're just 21-25-1 ATS. The Knicks are 24-17 SU on the road. The League would LOVE it is somehow New York could figure out a way to come back and steal this series. It COULD happen. That said, the official call for this play is to grab up as many points as you can!

T.M. Prediction: 110-108 New York.

T.M. Selection: Wolves.

I believe that home court advantage DOES matter in this series. The Thunder rolled to two straight victories at home, but Anthony Edwards and the Wolves looked great in their 143-101 destruction in Game 3. Now getting points here in Game 4, it feels like we're getting a "gift" almost. The wrong team is favored here. The Thunder were great on the road this season, but they're just 4-6 ATS in their last ten overall, while Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last ten. I'm banking on the hungry home side to find a way to deliver the goods here in Game 4 as well. That said, grab the points!

T.M. Prediction: 119-100 Minnesota.

T.M. Selection: Minnesota.

I'm not counting out Anthony Edwards and company yet. The Wolves looked good in the first half, but were unable to continue the pressure in the second half. I think Minnesota will keep it competitive in both quarter this time around. OKC lost to Denver at home in Game 1 in the second round, so the Wolves have the blue-print on what to do. Look for Rudy Gobert to play a bigger role here in Game 2 for the Wolves and for the desperate visiting side to do more than enough to, at the very least, earn the comfortable cover with all of these points.

T.M. Prediction: 108-106 OKC.

T.M. Selection: Pacers.

These teams are evenly matched in my opinion. Both teams have been undervalued by the bookmakers throughout the playoffs, but Indiana has a legit shot at taking this game outright in my opinion. Indiana had no problem with Giannis, and it destoryed the No. 1 team in the league in Cleveland. New York's competition has been suspect, as Jason Tatum injured himself and we'll never really know if Jalen Brunson and company would have been able to pull off the series victory if the Boston star had played. Either way, in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

T.M. Prediction: 113-111 Indiana.

T.M. Selection: Wolves.

These teams were extremely competitive throughout the NBA's regular season, going 2-2 against each other. I'm expecting another competitive matchup here in Game 1, as well as this series. Minnesota rolled through its first two opponents and comes in completely rested. OKC needed 7 gruelling games to get by Denver. The Thunder have looked fantastic during these playoffs at times, but also bad in other spots. I think Game 1 will be another "bad" spot for the Thunder and while I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one coming "right down to the wire." Grab the points, Wolves are the correct call!

T.M. Prediction: 108-107 OKC.

T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City Thunder (WEST-CONF GOW)

This has been a back-and-forth series, but it appears to me as if Nikola Jokic is now running on fumes after having to once again do most of the heavy lifting for the Nuggets in this series. OKC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six, but I'm expecting Shai and the rest of the home side to keep the foot on the gas here from start to finish in Game 5. The Nuggets are still just 22-23-1 ATS on the road this season, while the Thunder are still 31-12-2 ATS at home. This one has "blowout" written all over it. Lay the points with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 121-100 OKC.

T.M. Selection: Knicks.

I really do feel that New York has a legitimate shot at winning this game outright, but in the end, I'll recommend grabbing the points. Very much like the Pacers, who took both games in Cleveland, then dropped Game 3 at home, only to then take Game 4 last night quite easily as an underdog, I'm expecting a similar thing to happen here in The Big Apple after the Knicks dropped their Game 3 matchup to the C's by a score of 115-93. Previous to that, Jalen Brunson and company had won three straight. Now I think they're going to bounce back big here. Note as well that the Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. It's now the Celtics who are completely overvalued in this spot. Grab the points, Knicks dominate!

T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Boston.

T.M. Selection: Wolves on the spread.

Favorites in the NBA Playoffs have had a difficult time this year, but now I believe that the Wolves will lay the hammer down on the Warriors in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup after Golden State shocked Minnesota in the 99-88 outright victory as a 6-point underdog. So what's the deal in Game 2? How could the Wolves possibly be favored by significantly more here in Game 2 despite getting dominated in Game 1? Easy answer: Warriors' star player Stephen Curry is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Suffice it to say, with the heart and soul of their team no longer shouldering the load and mental edge, I believe the Wolves can "smell the blood in the water." Minnesota and Anthony Edwards had an uncharacteristically poor shooting night as well, and I simply don't see that happening twice. This is a golden opportunity for Minnesota to regain control and momentum, and I expect them to do that here in Game 2, not only but winning large. Lay the points, Minnesota is the play!

T.M. Prediction: 111-80 Minnesota.

T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets with the points (WEST-CONF GOM)

While I do think that an outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the visiting side. While the Rockets are a decent 23-18-1 ATS on the road this year, Golden State is just 18-24-2 ATS at home. And now I once again feel that the Warriors are overvalued in this position. Houston's depth and perimeter defense can into play in Game 5 and I think Fred Van Vleet and company can keep that positive momentum rolling here. The Warriors are now desperate to get the job done here, but I say that Stephen Curry is "out of gas." Again, I'm not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to this one coming right down to the wire.

T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Golden State.

T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves spread

The road team is not being given enough respect here. The Timberwolves were down by double digits in the 3rd quarter of Game 4 but came all the way back for the big home win. Minnesota continues to dominate with an advantage on points scored inside the paint and they also have a ton of confidence being up 3-1 in the series and coming off the huge comeback win. The Lakers are playing in a pressure cooker right now in LA with those original hopes of Doncic and LeBron leading them to glory now quickly fading away. Now it looks like this team will not even get out of the first round. The Timberwolves won Game 4 even though their big minutes guy off the bench (DiVincenzo) and 2 of the starters (Gobert and Conley) combined to go 5 of 22 from the field! When 3 of the 6 most important players have games like that and yet the team still wins the game, that says a lot! What is also says is that the Lakers are in trouble! That is what I am counting on here and I fully expect a road upset win here but will grab the half-dozen points on offer.

T.M. Prediction: 107-102 Minnesota

T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets spread

The home team is not being given enough respect here. The Clippers were down by 20+ points during the Game 4 loss to the Nuggets and that game was in LA. The game ended up being a tight finish but that is also leading to line value here. Had that game ended a blowout like it appeared it was headed toward, the line here likely would be different. As it is we are getting line value here with the home dog Nuggets. If they get another big lead like they had in Game 4 on the road they are certainly unlikely to relinquish it in their own building. That is what I am counting on here and I fully expect a solid home win here but will grab the couple points on offer.

T.M. Prediction: 110-102 Denver

T.M. Selection: Miami Heat spread

The Heat are down 3-0 in the series but this Game 4 is about professional pride as much as anything else. Even if Miami loses this game I don't see them going down without a fight. Miami got ripped in Game 3 and that insures a huge effort here in Game 4 after it was a franchise-worst playoff loss in Game 3. Miami has a good history this season of bouncing back when off ugly low-scoring efforts. Look for the Heat to respond big here after being held under 90 points in the prior game. We have seen this time and time again from Miami when off ugly efforts and also lets not forget they finished the regular season with a very strong run in home games. One bad loss is not going to change everything and the Heat are now undervalued here in this spot. Take advantage by grabbing the generous points. 

T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Miami 

T.M. Selection: Denver spread 

These are very generous points here and I am going to challenge the Clippers to win this by more than 7 points. The Nuggets just blasted in the prior game and that is the kind of ugly loss (margin of 34 points) that will generate a big response from a high quality team in the next game. Remember the Nuggets were the World Champs just two years ago. There is a lot of pride in this franchise and we will witness their A game here after the B2B losses. 

T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Denver

T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic spread These are very generous points here and I am going to challenge the Celtics to win this by more than 4 points on the road. Yes, Boston is a fantastic team but Game 2 was a single-digit margin game most of the entire game and, of course, remember that this game was at Oklahoma City. Down 2-0 in the series and finally back home, you are going to see the best game you will see from Orlando in this series and, for my money, that is enough for the all-important cover here. Similar to what we saw with Memphis yesterday in this spot and they might have won outright had Morant not gotten hurt. So look for a similar big game performance here from the Magic at home! T.M. Prediction: 101-97 Orlando

T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies spread

This is just too many points here and I am going to challenge the Thunder to win this by double digits on the road. Yes, OKC is a fantastic team but Game 2 was a single-digit margin game very late in the 3rd before the Grizzlies had a horrible 4th quarter. Remember this game was at Oklahoma City. Down 2-0 in the series and finally back home, you are going to see the best game you will see from Memphis in this series and, for my money, that is enough for the all-important cover here. 

T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Oklahoma City

T.M. Selection: Miami Heat spread

Miami was only down 8 with 7 minutes to go in the game in the Game 1 match-up. Truly the Heat were inside the big number most of the game so I feel we have value here with a playoff-tested and battle-tested Heat group that is also very well-coached. Miami was outscored by 15 points from beyond the arc so those 5 extra made threes were the Cavs is what resulted in a 21 point win instead of a 6-point win. The zig-zag theory in NBA playoffs has shown time and time again that these things even out. I am looking for the Heat to absolutely give the Cavs all they can handle in this one. Give me the double digits here! 

T.M. Prediction: 108-104 Cleveland.

T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic spread

Orlando has some hope here as they were leading game 1 by 1 point at the half before Boston pulled away big in the 2nd half for the cover. The Celtics outscored the Magic by 18 points from 3 point land so I like the value that is giving us here as that should even out some from the 6 extra threes that Boston made in Game 1. The points is that "inside the arc" the Magic actually outscored the Celtics by 3 in Game 1. Give me the double digits here! 

T.M. Prediction: 99-98 Boston.

T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons spread

1) The Pistons looked great before a disastrous 4th quarter against the Knicks. Detroit does not have the playoff experience level that New York does but that loss will serve them well in that regard. They bounce back strong here. 

2) Detroit had turnover problems in game one but has not been the norm for the Pistons this season and they should turn it around here. That was an unusual results Saturday that is unlikely to be repeated. The Pistons led Saturday's game by as many as 9 points so getting 7 with them again here is a big value. 

3) The Knicks were only 3-3 last 6 home games prior to that huge comeback win and the value is significant here as the Pistons also had won 3 straight over the Knicks by an average margin of 8 points per game prior to the Game One loss. This is the old zig-zag theory but yes we like playing the opposite of the Game One result when the parameters all line up and this one fits the bill!

T.M. Prediction: 112-109 Detroit.

T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks spread

A lot of value with the points here as the Mavericks are undervalued. They are much healthier than they have been in awhile and have had a chance to fully adjust now to life without Doncic. Also, the Kings are without Monk and his contributions will be missed in a key game like this. Even though Sacramento won all 3 regular season meetings, of course this game is priced this way for a reason. You would think the Kings would be a bigger favorite considering the season series sweep and home court edge here. But they are a smaller favorite and that is another reason I am backing the dog here as that is where sharp money is likely headed. Don't let the line fool you on this one! I expect the Mavericks to win outright but will grab the points for added value here in the event they fall a bucket or two short. 

T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Dallas.

T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks spread

1) A lot of value with the points here as the Magic are not strong offensively. Orlando has a tendency to win a lot of low-scoring grinders.   

2) Orlando started the season strong and finished the season strong but in the middle was a brutal long-term 17-31 SU stretch. It is hard to trust a team that has a run like that. The Hawks did win 4 of their last 6 games this season and a team with Trae Young is always a dangerous underdog in a team projected to be tighter.  

3) The issue for the Magic here is they are being overvalued because they are at home here. They did win their final 2 home games of the season but this was after a 2-8 SU run. The point is that being priced for home court edge means more underdog value because the home court edge is NOT a big one for the Magic. 

T.M. Prediction: 111-106 Atlanta.

T.M. Selection: DENVER

Rough scheduling spot for Memphis here in a B2B and off a big home game versus the Timberwolves last night. They now had to travel to Denver and they are not only in B2B but 3rd game in 4 nights. Factor in also having to play in high altitude for this one and the set up is perfect for the Grizzlies to get rolled. The Nuggets are strong at home traditionally and are set up well here to dominate as they can build off a win at Sacramento which snapped their losing skid. We lay the points with confidence here.  

T.M. Prediction: 129-114 Nuggets.