Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-16-19 | Florida -6.5 v. Missouri | 23-6 | Win | 100 | 41 h 12 m | Show | |
I like this Florida team here in this game and don't feel the line drop is worthy here. The reason it's coming down is because Kelly Bryant is coming back for Missouri, but several questions are still left out there. Is he actually 100% and did this time off even help him? It's not like he was lifting it on fire when he was playing. Missouri offense have scored 21 total points the last 3 games. Florida D will chew them up here. |
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11-16-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech +3 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 41 h 10 m | Show | |
This is one of the worst spots you can ask for here. TCU I had them last week in a losing effort but was totally the right side as they blew that game against Baylor and lost in triple OT. TCU has to be deflated from that showing and am shocked they are actually favored given the spot. Texas Tech is still bowl hungry and are coming off a great showing on the road last week @ West Virginia and think they win this one outright |
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11-16-19 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +15 | 37-21 | Loss | -115 | 41 h 2 m | Show | |
I don't think Nebraska and company under Frost will be throwing in the towel this season and now with them coming off the bye I think we are going to see a huge effort here in order to get the win. Wisconsin knows they just need to win the game and that's it period. I know the Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS but clearly no one wants them, but I think this spot you need to back them |
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11-16-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan -13.5 | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 41 h 58 m | Show | |
Sparty is flat out horrible and I don't see how they can recover from last weeks meltdown vs Illinois as they completely imploded that game. Yes, I realize now this is Michigan St super bowl, but quite frankly I don't think this team has anything that Michigan is scared of. Harbaugh will also have no problem here running the score up either even if it does get ugly. Michigan's defense is solid and I expect them to create several turnovers and even a defensive TD |
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11-09-19 | Iowa State +14.5 v. Oklahoma | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
Iowa St really laid an egg last game vs Oklahoma St losing as a 10.5 point favorite. Now, they are getting 14.5? This seems like a major and unnecessary adjustment to this line. Iowa St to me is still the 2nd best in the league as they have a solid defense. The difference here will come down to whether or not Purdy will take care of the ball. I know people will argue that Oklahoma will be pissed and prime for a let down after the Kansas St loss, but that is also a dream crusher for them as they are eliminated from the playoffs in my opinion. Iowa St can score enough here to keep this close |
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11-09-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -1 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Odds makers are saying here that Tennessee is better than Kentucky on a neutral field and I'm not buying it at all. The Vols have played much better as of late and have 3 of their last 4 games. However, those games were all at home. They need to prove it for me to back them. Kentucky is coming off their bye and had a lot of momentum going into it with a nice win over Missouri as a 9 point dog. This is one they will be up for again here and a nice revenge angle |
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11-09-19 | Iowa v. Wisconsin -8.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 49 m | Show | |
I like the Badgers here in this game. A few weeks ago this Wisconsin team was being mentioned in the playoff mix as they really looked the part. Well, an ugly loss to Illinois followed up by a loss to Ohio St which was actually a close game half way through the third. Both teams are off the bye week and and Wisky knows they can still play for the Big Ten Title which is what they had hoped for. The Iowa offense is beyond pathetic and with a stellar Badger defense I think they will get after Stanley and company and make it very hard for them to move the ball. |
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11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 46-41 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 24 m | Show |
I love Bama here in this matchup. All I have heard all week is LSU this and that. This is the best LSU team in the last decade and Burrough is the front runner for Heisman, Bama hasn't played anyone. Everyone and I mean everyone is all over LSU here. When that happens it makes me love the favorite even more. Bama has Tua back and I think he is at full strength. This Bama team will be out to prove something and I think all this talk has motivated them even more. Bama rolls here |
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11-09-19 | Kansas State v. Texas -7 | 24-27 | Loss | -104 | 47 h 3 m | Show | |
This game here is another public dog of the week. The world will love Kansas here as they are coming off one of the biggest wins of all college football season in beating Oklahoma as a 24.5 point underdog two weeks ago. I think those are the types of wins though that really empty the tank. Texas is catching them at the right time with the Longhorns coming off a loss and a bye I think they still believe they can play for the conference title so the focus will still be there |
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11-09-19 | Purdue v. Northwestern -2 | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 43 m | Show | |
Purdue last week poured a lot into that game in beating Nebraska and that seemed to be their defining season moment. Northwestern is a bad team I get, but this is a great spot for them here as Purdue clearly isn't a powerhouse. Northwestern has struggled big time on offense but I believe they can score some points here in this game. Purdue is still fighting a ton of injuries here. |
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11-09-19 | Baylor v. TCU +3 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 46 m | Show |
I really like TCU you in this game. Baylor in my opinion is very overrated as they are coming in with an 8-0 record. They have had a very favorable schedule here so far and were very lucky @ Oklahoma St. TCU will be looking forward to ruining their perfect season. TCU has the weapons here and you know this will also be a sharp vs square side |
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11-02-19 | BYU +3.5 v. Utah State | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 58 h 1 m | Show | |
BYU saved their season before the bye week last game as they upset Boise St at a 7 point home dog and I think we get another big effort given the fact this is a rivalry game. BYU has played a much tougher schedule and now its getting easier for them. Utah St coming off an ugly performance @ Air Force and I think their defense has been exposed. I think this line comes down |
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11-02-19 | Oregon v. USC +5 | 56-24 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 15 m | Show | |
I like the Trojans here in this game as they control their own destiny here in the Pac 12 south. This will now be the third straight game where Oregon has to bring it and I'm not sure they can be trusted. Throw in the fact I don't trust their coach in close games and especially on the road. USC will move the ball in the air as we saw Wazzu do last week against them. I like USC for the upset here |
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11-02-19 | SMU v. Memphis -5.5 | 48-54 | Win | 100 | 56 h 46 m | Show | |
11-02-19 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas +7.5 | 54-24 | Loss | -106 | 53 h 6 m | Show | |
I know Arkansas is nothing special but this is crazy to me that Miss St is laying this number on the road. Arkansas has at least played two close games even though they have lost both to Texas AM and Kentucky. Miss St on the other hand has lost 4 straight all by double digits. I still think Arkansas is hungry for a conference win and there is no doubt they know they can win this one |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 38 m | Show | |
I will take Washington again here which feels like the exact same thing as a couple weeks ago vs Oregon. Washington blew that game in the final 6 minutes but now are coming off the bye and I love Coach Peterson in that role here. I think the love for Utah is now a little high for my liking and they simply don't deserve to be favored in this spot. |
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11-02-19 | Virginia Tech +17.5 v. Notre Dame | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 52 h 52 m | Show | |
Last week my top play was Michigan and they were an easy winner blowing out ND. I will fade ND again here as that is their dream crushing loss and I feel its tough to bounce back from here. Also given the fact that Va Tech is coming off a bye and have quietly turned around their season. It's so tough to know where the Irish heads are at here and laying this many I have to take the Hokies |
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11-02-19 | Nebraska -3 v. Purdue | 27-31 | Loss | -108 | 49 h 25 m | Show | |
The Huskers have failed to cover now in 5 straight games and no one wants anything to do with them now and you can't blame them. I just don't think Frost will let the guys quit on the season as they still want to at least make a bowl game. Purdue's injuries have really caught up with them and simply they are struggling to move the ball. After last weeks results it seems like Purdue has gave up. This has the feeling for a get right game here for the Huskers |
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10-26-19 | San Diego State v. UNLV +13.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 41 m | Show | |
The 6-1 Aztecs are getting way too much love here. This is a team that barely averages over 20 points per game. They have been very lucky in several games but that has inflated the number here. I think UNLV is a buy low team here for the rest of the season. Their backup QB can sling it and I believe will put points on the board. The style that SDSU plays will keep UNLV alive in this one |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan +1 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
I really love Michigan here this week. The perception is still down on Michigan that they can't win a big game with Harbaugh as their coach. I believe this game is the perfect storm here simply because Notre Dame is extremely overrated. Last time we saw Notre Dame they struggled big time against a poor USC team. I saw enough last week at Michigan isn't as bad as what the media thinks which definetly reflects what the public thinks. Michigan wins this game fairly easily |
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10-26-19 | Texas v. TCU +2 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show | |
I simply think the wrong team is favored here in this game. Yes, I know Texas has only lost to Oklahoma and LSU and that will be most of the others type of handicap in favor of Texas. I will say though do they pass the eye test and the simple answer is no. They survived two lucky scares vs Oklahoma St and Kansas and legit could have lost each of those. TCU will create some big plays against the weak Texas secondary. |
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10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State +7 | 28-7 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 10 m | Show | |
So Michigan St couldn't have looked any worse than their last two games. Well those happened to both be on the road and both against the two best teams in the conference in Wisconsin and Ohio St. Sparty is now off their bye week and will be fresh here and I think in a great spot for the outright upset. This will now be Penn's st third straight tough game following @ Iowa and Michigan last week. These are tough stretches and spot you look to play against. Give me Sparty and the points |
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10-26-19 | Wisconsin +14.5 v. Ohio State | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 50 m | Show | |
I really think this Ohio St team is something special for sure. The look ahead line here though was around 10 and now it has crossed to over two touchdowns? Yes, they lost the game, but their season still isn't lost and I don't believe they think that either. Ohio St hasn't seen a physical team like the Badgers in the trenches. There won't be as many possessions clearly with the style of play the Badgers will enforce. I think this is a great bounce back spot and a line over reaction |
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10-26-19 | Illinois v. Purdue -9 | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 26 m | Show | |
Let's noot be fooled by last weeks results. I had Illinois +31 and yes they beat Wisconsin outright, but they were outplayed in that game. In fact Illinois has been destroyed in the box scores clearly indicating this team isn't very good. Purdue has been plagued by injuries, but the fight is still there and that was evident last week @ Iowa. Purdue won't have any issues moving the ball here and expect a big coming out party for the offense |
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10-26-19 | Iowa v. Northwestern +10 | 20-0 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
Iowa shouldn't be laying double digits here in this game. With the line of last week against Purdue they are suggesting that the banged up Purdue team is better than NW and I don't believe it. NW has had Iowa's number over the years and can muck it up. This is a classic very low scoring feel to it and coming down to the last possession for someone to win. Will take the 10 |
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10-19-19 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +6.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
I was on Ole Miss last week in a win as they covered @ Missouri. I will back them again here getting 6.5 at home. This is a competitive team here that did end up scoring 31 against Bama. I also think this a good spot to go against the Aggies here. They are coming off a max effort type of game vs Bama and now sit at 3-3 in the conference. I definitely question their overall motivation here and don't think they should be favored by this much give the situation |
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10-19-19 | Tulane +4 v. Memphis | 17-47 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 1 m | Show | |
This Tulane team is one of the best kept secrets around this season. They are vastly improved and it has shown as they have outgained their opponents by 2 yards per play which is huge. Tulane just keeps winning and covering games as their only loss is to Auburn and they were competitive in that game. Memphis is more of the household name here but they have also played some easier competition. |
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10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 1 m | Show |
I love Oklahoma St here in this game. This is a rally the team type of game with them coming off the bye week. They entered the bye week with a sour taste in their mouths dropping a game @ Texas Tech. Baylor is now ranked and 6-0, but they have survived two close games beating Iowa St in the final seconds and Texas Tech last week in double OT. Both of those lucky games were at home and now this is finally a tough travel spot for Baylor here. I actually think this line will go up so grab this number now. |
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10-19-19 | Tulsa +17.5 v. Cincinnati | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 1 m | Show | |
This Tulsa team is no where near as bad as their 2-4 record. All 4 of their losses are to more than respectable teams in Michigan St, Oklahoma St, SMU, & Navy. I think the fact that their record is bad is creating some good value. Tulsa two weeks ago took SMU who has been a high powered machine down to the wire and should have won that game. This is a major overreaction here with Cincy and their 5-1 record and 5-1 ATS record. |
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10-19-19 | Oregon v. Washington +3 | 35-31 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 52 m | Show | |
I simply believe the wrong team is favored here in this game. Washington has been a tough team to read this season there is no doubt about it. Oregon has only played one true road game @ Stanford and they didn't look that great. I think the perception of both teams is a huge factor here. Also Oregon lost their stud TE who was also their best receiver in Breeland which is bigger than most would think. I like the Huskies to win outright |
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10-19-19 | Clemson v. Louisville +24.5 | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 45 m | Show | |
There is no doubt that Louisville is one of the most improved teams in the country. They will obviously be very motivated for this game with Clemson coming to town and you better believe it that they haven't forgot last years super ugly loss. Clemson is a very good team taking nothing away from them, but what is the motivation for them here in this early kick? I think Louisville can get to 17 points or so and if they do they will cover this game easily. |
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10-19-19 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +31.5 | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 40 h 35 m | Show | |
This is the ultimate sandwich/ look ahead spot you can ask for here. Wisconsin it just steam rolling teams right now and the betting public is most definitely in love with them. They are coming off another 38-0 shut out over Michigan St but they have their biggest game on deck next weekend with Ohio St. They are clearly looking forward to that game. Illnois is a improved team and while they still aren't good, we don't need them to be. They can score 13 here which I think is possible because the Badgers will be resting their key guys later in the game. |
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10-12-19 | Wyoming +4 v. San Diego State | 22-26 | Push | 0 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
Let's grab Wyoming here. Oddsmakers are saying that SDSU is little better than Wyoming on a neutral field and I simply don't buy that. This SDSU team really struggled against a bad Colorado St team last week and really didn't pull away considering they were +4 in turnovers and also a huge turnover on downs right before half that would have tied up the game. Wyoming's only loss was @ Tulsa and we saw that Tulsa team who should have beat the undefeated SMU Mustangs last week. |
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10-12-19 | Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 | 17-12 | Loss | -109 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a huge bounce back here for Iowa. I had Michigan last week as a top play and they covered against Iowa. Iowa played awful in that game and Stanley by far had his worst game of the season. Now, its the classic night time kick off in Iowa City and they are known over the years to pull some major upsets. I wouldn't be surprised to see them win this game and will take the FG + here. Iowa's defense is by far the best D Penn St has seen. I think there are a lot of question marks surrounding how good this Penn St is. Iowa bounces back |
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10-12-19 | Ole Miss +12.5 v. Missouri | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 59 m | Show | |
I can't believe this line has floated up this much. I think the average fan will see that Missouri is 4-1 playing at home and have covered 4 straight. Missouri has played a very easy schedule so far this season with their best win being South Carolina? I just think Ole Miss has the better talent. Ignore the fact they are 3-3, 2 of those came down to final minute and ended up losing both. Missouri lost their best defensive player which is a huge loss and I think Ole Miss can move the ball and wouldn't be surprised if Ole Miss won outright |
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10-12-19 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +17.5 | 47-28 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm going to take the Aggies here tomorrow. Yes, I know this isn't a night game at the 12th man, but I still think this is way too many points. This will by far be Bama's biggest test of the season and I think Jimbo will have his guys ready for this one. Bama is still very good as we all know but they just aren't the same to me my eyes anyways as years past. This is simply too many points here and will take Texas AM. Remember the Aggies were only 15 point dogs @ Clemson and covered granted that was a lucky one but that was on the road as well. They are catching more here at home against a team who I think is worse than Clemson |
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10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas +11.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 50 h 8 m | Show | |
I will take Texas here in this match up. We all know how big this match up especially for Texas here. I just trust Herman here to have his guys ready. Oklahoma has really boated raced some bad teams and now Hurts is in the Heisman talk. There is a lot of love for this Sooner team. The talent gap is not a difference here at all as both teams get big time recruits. There will be a lot of points scored here and I definitely think the back door will be open if Texas needs that |
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10-12-19 | South Carolina +25 v. Georgia | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 47 m | Show | |
This is simply too many points here for Georgia to be laying. They were extremely lucky to cover last week @ Tennessee if you were watching they needed a fumble 6 late to do that and Tennessee still had their chances. I also like the fact that South Carolina is coming off their bye week and also the week before that he looked very good against Kentucky as they dominated that game. This is a ton of points here grab the dog |
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10-12-19 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee +7 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 64 h 36 m | Show | |
This is really more of a play against Miss St as I don't feel this team should be laying more than a TD to anyone in conference play. Miss St is really down this season and their best win is at home vs Kentucky in which they caught them in a good spot. Also I think after last week this is the game where we see if Tennessee has any fight left as they have Bama on deck so they know this is really a must win game. I will take the points and trust them here with a big effort. |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -2 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 48 h 42 m | Show | |
Clearly we are having one of those weird situations here where we are seeing the road ranked team as a dog and when we see that is screams to take the home team. Miami last week lost to Va Tech as a double digit favorite but they absolutely dominated that game. The difference was though that they were 0-5 in the turnover category. Miami still has a ton of talent and there is no doubt they will be up for this prime time game |
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10-05-19 | Tulsa +13 v. SMU | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 56 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a good spot here to go against SMU. SMU is 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS and now the love is getting a little out of hand here. Tulsa is coming off their bye week and we know they have this game circled. This game has also been very close the last couple seasons. Tulsa has also played Michigan St and Oklahoma St so they have played teams better than SMU. The love is simply getting out of control here for SMU take the points with Tulsa |
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10-05-19 | Auburn v. Florida +3.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 77 h 40 m | Show | |
This Auburn team is now the public darling and I think it's time to jump off that ship. Yes, they have had some good performances and have covered every game so far which of course the public loves. I don't think they should be favored in this game. The main key here is that Florida now has several key players back from suspension. I really think their defense will cause some major problems for Nix at QB who has to see the speed that the Florida defense has to offer. Remember last week Auburn went off favored by -7.5 against Miss St @ home. Odds makers are saying that Auburn would nearly be favored by 10 over Florida @ Auburn therefore Miss St is better than Florida? Big time overreaction here take the points |
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10-05-19 | Western Michigan +2 v. Toledo | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 29 m | Show | |
No surprise this line has dropped from the opener as this is sharp money driving it down. Toledo has had the Broncos number the last couple seasons no doubt about it. I just believe this year that Western is the better team. Where they will expose Toledo is on offense. Toledo has yet to play a powerhouse offense at all and their defensive number are terrible. Western Mich is averaging nearly 500 yards per game and Toledo is giving up nearly 500 yards per game. If those both go hand in hand here no doubt WMU will walk away with a victory here |
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10-05-19 | Baylor v. Kansas State +1 | Top | 31-12 | Loss | -111 | 77 h 49 m | Show |
This seems to be a huge overreaction based on last weeks results. Baylor was a home dog to Iowa St and won outright, but blew a 20-0 lead in that game in the 4th quarter. They were also +2 in turnovers and couldn't put them away. Now they are saying if this game was played @ Baylor they would be a full TD dog. I'm not buying that considering Kansas St was less than that last week at a better Oklahoma St team. Kansas St should at least be -3.5 here in this game. They won't come out slow this week. |
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10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State -3 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 75 h 48 m | Show | |
I think this is a discount here on Iowa St and maybe I'm on the wrong side here but this team is 3 points away from being 4-0 and if they were we all know this line would be at least a TD. Iowa St knows now they simply can't afford any slip ups if they want to play for the Big 12 title and especially this game. Iowa St started off very sluggish last week and I expect Campbell and company to come out hot here. Iowa St still has the best or if not the 2nd best offense in the conference. |
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10-05-19 | Kent State +36 v. Wisconsin | 0-48 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 34 m | Show | |
This number is simply too big for the Badgers to cover. Yes, we all know how good they are but it all boils down to motivation here. What exactly is their motivation here in this game to blowout this Kent St team? The Badgers are coming off back to back good home wins over Michigan and Northwestern and have Sparty on deck as well. Kent St has been tested by by a couple power 5 teams in @ Arizona St in which they covered and @ Auburn which they failed to by just 3 points at this same number. Kent St will get a couple scores and that will be all they need in order to cover this number |
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10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 74 h 36 m | Show |
I love Michigan here in this game this weekend. People are simple overreacting here because they looked awful against Wisconsin. The game of the year line here was Michigan -14.5 and now after 4 games it has been adjusted this much? I think this is a rally the troops type of game for Big Blue and they put the hurt down. I'm also not sold on Iowa, this team was extremely lucky to have won the game @ Iowa St and failed to cover in the process. Michigan will be ready and I think that defense will rattle Stanley the QB who is vastly overrated IMO. Michigan covers this short number in a must win game fairly easily |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 39 m | Show | |
There is no doubt who the betting public will be all over here and that is Central Florida. They are a very good team, but this Cincy team is nothing to hang your head on. In UCF only true road test they lost to a bad Pitt team. I know UCF has had their way with Cincy the last couple years, but this squad is healthy and they most definitely have this game circled. |
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09-28-19 | Houston v. North Texas -7 | 46-25 | Loss | -109 | 81 h 59 m | Show | |
Coming Later |
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09-28-19 | UNLV +9.5 v. Wyoming | 17-53 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 20 m | Show | |
I think UNLV is worth a look here at this price. UNLV is coming off a bye here and I think the perception of Wyoming is a little overrated as most remember their win over Missouri in week 1. Last week they covered vs Tulsa but had no business doing so as they were dominated. UNLV has the better athletes here along with the speed. This number is way too big |
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09-28-19 | Ohio State v. Nebraska +18 | 48-7 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 51 m | Show | |
This game is to is a crazy over reaction. Yes, the Buckeyes are steam rolling people right now and you can't take that away from them. Remind you though while they blew out Cincy they were favored by 17 and sharp money took that game down. Now they are laying more on the road in a night game against a lot better opponent. I also think the betting public is off Nebraska as well especially since they laid that egg on the road @ Colorado. This is a game where obviously the Cornhuskers will be up for. Also another thing here is that the Game Of The Year line was Ohio St -7.5 and now we are seeing a huge over reaction. |
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09-28-19 | Cincinnati v. Marshall +4 | 52-14 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 39 m | Show | |
I think the wrong team is favored here. Reason is because Marshall barely won last week vs Ohio who was actually in a better spot. I just think this Marshall offense will be able to put up some points. I keep going back to that week 1 game against UCLA in which they were lucky to win and clearly this UCLA team is horrible. Marshall has been tested against a good Boise team on the road which they only lost by 7 and covered the number. I think both teams here are equal so give me the home dog. |
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09-28-19 | Iowa State -2.5 v. Baylor | 21-23 | Loss | -118 | 77 h 46 m | Show | |
This might be the public side here for sure but I just think Iowa St is the better team. They should have beat Iowa and were the better team on the field. I truly believe with them coming up a point short we are getting a discount. Baylor so far has played no one and are coming off an ugly game against a very bad Rice team. I think the Cyclones handle their own here in Waco. |
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09-28-19 | USC v. Washington -9.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 24 m | Show | |
Last Friday we saw another USC QB go down and their 3rd stringer come in and beat a good Utah team. I will say that game was a very misleading final which is creating value now with Washington. I think this will be a similar case to when USC went on the road granted a 2nd string at this time @ BYU, but they came up short. What did Washington do @ BYU last week? I had them and they blew them out. This offense is rolling right now and I think the environment will be to much for a 3rd string QB. |
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09-28-19 | Northern Illinois v. Vanderbilt -6 | 18-24 | Push | 0 | 61 h 49 m | Show | |
This has all the feeling of a let the frustration out game. No one wants a part of Vandy right now after an 0-3 start and failing to cover in every game. Well they have played the toughest schedule in the country which I don't think is being taken into consideration. While they were blown out last week vs LSU they did still manage to score 38 points. Northern Illinois is coming off a bye which does help them but they gave up a fortune to Nebraska last time out. This team is down compared to most seasons and I think Vandy lets it all out here looking for their first win |
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09-27-19 | Arizona State +5 v. California | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 53 m | Show | |
I was against Arizona St last week and they lost outright vs Colorado. I definitely see the value on them here against Cal on Friday night. I actually think both of these teams are very equal, but the fact that Cal is ranked and undefeated that betting public will love them. I like this spot for a bounce back for the Sun Devils and will take the points. I could also see Cal over look ASU here with a trip @ Oregon on deck |
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09-21-19 | Utah State -4 v. San Diego State | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 13 m | Show | |
I think SDSU is being a little over valued here since they beat an awful UCLA team and then followed that up with another road win and cover last week over a bad New Mexico St team. This Utah St has the best QB in the Mountain West in Love. Utah St nearly won @ Wake who is clearly a very good team as we saw them beat North Carolina last week. Utah St will put up points here and I don't think SDSU can keep up. This is a short number and the Aggies are off a bye as well |
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09-21-19 | Colorado +8.5 v. Arizona State | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 60 h 34 m | Show | |
Maybe this is a big time square play, but I simply can't back a team that just won a huge road over a ranked team but only scored 10 points in doing so. Mind you, the Sun Devils were a 14 point dog in that game and now favored by over a TD against Colorado. I also think another over reaction to that is since Colorado lost to Air Force last week. ASU struggles on offense with the young QB. I think the Buffs keep it close here |
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09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia -14 | 17-23 | Loss | -114 | 74 h 58 m | Show | |
Coming Later |
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09-21-19 | Georgia State v. Texas State -3 | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 71 h 42 m | Show | |
So we are seeing a 2-1 team on the road as a dog to a 0-3 team. I actually think we will see some sharp money here late on this game. So, I think we can give a pass to the Texas St in two games losing to Texas AM and last week vs SMU. Let's look at the one competitive game they lost which they lost Wyoming as a 7 point dog. They actually out played Wyoming big time in that one and was a misleading final. I think people are still remembering the fact that Georgia St went on the road and won @ Tennessee. That is creating some value with Texas St here |
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09-21-19 | Washington -6 v. BYU | 45-19 | Win | 100 | 78 h 2 m | Show | |
Pretty simple handicap here for me in this game. BYU is simply getting too much love for beating USC last week and I feel like that game was handed to them as BYU could barely escape in OT despite being +3 in turnovers. Also looking back last week odds makers are saying that on a neutral field Washington and USC are nearly equal? I'm not buying it at all. I know this is the Huskies first game on the road, but last week their offense broke open and I think this is a very good spot for Washington who won't be over looking this game |
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09-21-19 | SMU +9.5 v. TCU | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 39 m | Show | |
We have no choice but to be impressed with what SMU has done so far. They beat a very solid Arkansas St program and destroyed a good North Texas team. This game clearly means more to the Mustangs here than it does to TCU. SMU has a high powered offense going right now averaging over 40 ppg. TCU beat a down Purdue team last week, but covered in doing so giving us some value here. SMU is a better team than Purdue. I wouldn't be surprised at all if SMU pulled the upset |
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09-21-19 | Auburn v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 4 m | Show |
Really like the Aggies here in this game. I also think the betting public will be all over Auburn here. The reason they will be is because they remember the week 1 gross come back win and cover over Oregon in a game they were completely outplayed. The Aggies have a great home field advantage here in the 12th man and also this is will freshman QB Nix first true road game. Texas AM for sure has this game circled with two losses to this Auburn team. Aggies have the defense here and I think they cover this one fairly easily |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
I missed a good opener here with Tulane but will back them here in this spot. I had the Green Wave in week 1 over FIU in an easy route. Tulane is one of the most improved teams in the country and they are a tough option team to play against, but they actually have a good QB in McMillan. Houston is just in a very tough spot here coming off a game against Washington St and we all know their air raid style. Now they have one week to prepare for the total opposite in Tulane. Granted they are familiar to an extent but this is still tough to see total opposites in back to back weeks. Tulane has also played Auburn @ Auburn and held them to 24 points. Tulane has a better defense then most think and they can contain King |
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09-14-19 | Northern Illinois v. Nebraska -14 | 8-44 | Win | 100 | 94 h 41 m | Show | |
I was on Nebraska last week and they blew that game which was gross after being up 17-0 at halftime and in total control. I think this is the get right game here and just blow Northern Illinois out. I love that it's a night game as well so the players will be pumped. Frost knows the importance of the bounce back after that ugly loss. I think they are catching Northern Illinois in a good spot here with them playing a back to back road game. NIU is coming off a hard fought physical game against Utah in which they covered the 23.5 spread. I just don't see them stopping Nebraska here and while most people will be down on them I think it's a great buy low spot |
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09-14-19 | Florida State v. Virginia -7 | 24-31 | Push | 0 | 73 h 19 m | Show | |
I just don't think Odds makers have adjusted enough here for Florida St. Sure they played one good half against Boise but since then they have been just flat out terrible. A large part of that is because of their defense. Well, we know the Virginia defense is loaded and probably is 2nd best I the ACC outside of Clemson. Blackmon isn't the answer the Notes had hoped for as they should have lost to La Monroe as 23 point favorites. This is a night game in Virginia and I think they rise here and put a beat down on FSU. |
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09-14-19 | Iowa v. Iowa State +3 | Top | 18-17 | Win | 100 | 90 h 6 m | Show |
I am just really surprised here by this crazy line movement. First, the Game Of The Year lines had Iowa St -3 or -4 and the Cyclones played one game, I repeat one game this season and the line has flipped a full touchdown which is crazy and clearly a big time overreaction. Also Iowa St dropped from the rankings while Iowa is 2-0 and have covered both games and coming off a shutout. I'm not impressed by Iowa honestly and the best QB on the field is Purdy for Iowa St. The Cyclones will be hungry here to end this little Iowa streak. Iowa actually has some question marks with injuries on defense. This will be the Hawkeyes first true test and I don't think they win and the wrong team is favored. |
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09-14-19 | Arizona State v. Michigan State -14 | 10-7 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 51 m | Show | |
We have seen early so far how much the PAC 12 hasn't been quite that good. I think that is the case here with the Sun Devils as well. Their offense under a true freshman QB has been less than desirable. They have played two cupcakes in Kent St and Sacramento St and have managed a whopping 49 total points. I don't think they mustard up anything here against a very good Party defense that will be out for revenge from an ugly loss last season. True Freshman first road game won't be an easy and I expect Sparty to create a few turnovers and jump on them early |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State +8 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 94 h 7 m | Show | |
So far I'm really liking what the new coach Chris Klieman is showing at Kansas St. Now, I know they haven't played anyone that may impress you but they have taken care of business in scoring 49 and 52 points in the first two games. Also I like what the Wildcats are doing in the run game and I think they can expose Miss St there as they have gave up yards on the ground so far and have played weak teams as well. The Bulldogs lost a ton from last season and even though they are 2-0 it is showing so far. They had a very ugly win week 1 over La Layayette beating them by only 10 despite being +3 in turnovers. They were also +3 in turnovers in game 2 which ultimately lead to them covering that game. The Wildcats have had one turnover so far and I believe they control the game here and also not to mention this is a nice revenge spot for Kansas St as well |
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09-14-19 | Arkansas State +33.5 v. Georgia | 0-55 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show | |
I think this is way too many points here for Georgia. We know the Bulldogs are a very good team, but this is now their 3rd week in a row playing a lower level team even though they played Candy week 1 and I doubt their interest level is too high here. Arkansas St will sure be motivated here and are coming off a very dominate win over UNLV. Another main reason here is that Georgia has a huge look ahead with Notre Dame coming to town next week |
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09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +7.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 23 m | Show | |
This game here will easily be a sharp/square divide. Maryland is off to a great start right now but beating Howard and a bad Syracuse team isn't that great. I actually had them last week in that win over Cuse. Temple is more than a capable team here and have a defense that can contain the Terms. I also think Temple will have this game circled here now that Maryland has came on the scene an they are also coming off a bye |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -2.5 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 80 h 51 m | Show | |
I like the spot here for this Wake Forest team. Yes, UNC is riding high right now but following those those last two games and now playing their first true road game will be a tough task. Also I can't believe I'm saying this but Wake has a better offense than both South Carolina and Miami. Also UNC was extremely lucky against Miami completing that 4th and 17 or else the game is over. I think this is the perfect slip up for Wake Forest here |
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09-07-19 | Miami-FL -3.5 v. North Carolina | 25-28 | Loss | -106 | 77 h 13 m | Show | |
I didn't think we would see this line drop so much. I have to take Miami here now. So UNC beat a South Carolina that was clearly over valued. So give UNC some credit yes, but this line preseason would have been around the 10 range so clear value with Miami just based on 1 game. We saw UNC celebrating like they won the ACC and Coach Brown was even crying. I think Miami has a legit defense and Howell won't have as easy of time with this Miami team. Also worth mentioning Miami is coming off a bye as well |
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09-07-19 | Tulane +18 v. Auburn | 6-24 | Push | 0 | 76 h 49 m | Show | |
I had this Tulane team in week 1 vs FIU and it was an easy winner as they dominated from the get go. Tulane racked up nearly 500 total yards of offense. Their game is clearly played on the ground and I think they can move the ball on Auburn. We saw a lucky Auburn team come back and somehow cover that game against Oregon as they covered for in the final minute of the game. This is a major letdown here for Auburn IMO and doubt they will be really motivated here coming off that win. |
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09-07-19 | Wyoming v. Texas State +7 | 23-14 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 52 m | Show | |
So Texas St was probably in over their heads in week 1 against a very good Texas AM squad. I think this week sets up perfect for them to grab a win. Even if they don't pull the upset I think very good chance they keep within a TD. Wyoming coming off a huge win for them over Missouri but they were completely out played in that game but the ball literally bounced their way. The Cowboys weren't a team that was expected to do anything this season and now it seems like a lot of respect given their way because of that win |
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09-07-19 | North Texas +3.5 v. SMU | 27-49 | Loss | -105 | 76 h 32 m | Show | |
The wrong team is simply favored here in this game. SMU is getting a lot of credit for winning on the road at Arkansas St. Arkansas St is facing an uphill battle this season as they are dealing with the death of the coaches wife. SMU was +2 in the turnover and still only won a by a touchdown. Also I love Fine , the QB for North Texas here and while some might say revenge here, NT blew them out of the water as only 3 point favorites. I think they win this outright as well |
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09-07-19 | San Diego State v. UCLA -7 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 27 m | Show |
I think this line is pretty short here all things considered. UCLA was a 2.5-3 point dog @ Cincy a very well respected non power 5 team which means they would have been a 3 point favorite at home over them. Well based on that performance we are seeing IMO another overreaction in the line here. SDSU is only 4 point difference? UCLA had a lot of bad momentum swings in that Cincy and 2 turnovers were simply because the QB dropped the ball. I think they take care of business here and blow out this SDSU team who struggled with Weber St last week winning 6-0 |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska -3.5 v. Colorado | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 73 h 50 m | Show | |
Call me a sucker here but I will roll with Nebraska. I think this is way too much an overreaction from last week. Yes, the cornhuskers looked terrible on offense but I have to believe that part of that is because Frost didn't really want to show anything. This is also the ultimate revenge spot here with Colorado coming into Lincoln last year and winning. Colorado's defense was very poor against a bad Colorado St team. They gave up over 500 total yards of offense which has to be a concern. I think Nebraska can control the game and we see a whole different team from last week |
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09-07-19 | Syracuse v. Maryland -1.5 | 20-63 | Win | 100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
I like this Maryland team here and a large part of that is because of Va Tech transfer QB in Jackson. Maryland granted they played Howard, but they did score 79 points which is impressive. Also a thing you look at is when a road ranked team is a dog to an unranked team. If you just back that spot blindly over the years you would be extremely profitable. Cuse is clearly down from that 10 win season last year and are struggling on offense and still are getting credit from that season |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest -19 v. Rice | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
I was really impressed with Wake Forest even though I got bit buy the hook as they won by 3 over Utah St but not covering. Wake put up nearly 600 yards of offense in this game and now face a very bad Rice team. Rice were 23 point dogs to Army last week and covered only losing by 7. They are getting some respect because of that. I just think that Wake will put up big numbers and name their score here. |
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08-31-19 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. Texas | 14-45 | Loss | -102 | 34 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm not sold on this Texas team this season and think they will have their hands full here. I think people are giving them a ton of credit for beating Georgia in the bowl. The major concern is with the defense in this game only returning 3 starters from a flat out terrible defense especially against the pass. With a veteran QB in Smith for the Bulldogs I expect them to put up some points on that Texas D. This LA Tech team went on the road @ LSU last season and only lost by 17. I don't see them being caught up in the moment here @ Texas in a night game. Will take my chances with the veteran LA Tech offense vs the new Texas D. |
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08-31-19 | Virginia -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 67 h 45 m | Show | |
I think this Virginia team has high hope this season to represent the Coastal to play Clemson for the ACC Title. They have 14 starters back from a team that went 8-5 last year. They could have easily won 9 in the regular season losing the last two games both in OT. Their worst performance last season was at home vs this Pitt team and I guarantee they want that revenge. Virginia returns 8 guys on defense that was a top 20 unit. Pitt only returns 11 total starters They were an average defense last year and below average on offense. Even though they are at home I don't think Virginia's D will have any trouble shutting them down. Pitt has been so one dimensional and I think we see a step back here from a team believe it or not played for the ACC title last season |
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08-31-19 | South Carolina -10.5 v. North Carolina | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 22 m | Show | |
I will admit little bummed I missed out on a better number here but I just can't ignore what I see on paper. I think North Carolina is in for another brutal season. This team only won two games last season and have a very inexperienced from 7 on defense which I think will hurt them big time. I South Carolina is a team that I think can surprise in the SEC East this season. QB Jake Bentley is surrounded by solid weapons. Their defense will improve a Toni because they were so young last season and also now are healthy. The talent gap between these two teams are huge. I think the Gamecocks roll UNC. The Mack Brown experiment is soon to be over. |
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08-31-19 | Boise State v. Florida State -4.5 | 36-31 | Loss | -103 | 60 h 2 m | Show | |
I think FSU is due for a prime bounce back year obviously. They have Briles in @ OC now and that is a huge addition to this offense as he has had a lot of success everywhere he has been. FSU by far has the better athletes and now in year 2 of Taggart you have to expect a major step forward. Even though Boise is now a house hold name and probably the best team in the Mountain West I think they will take a step back compared to most years. They have to replace their all do everything in Rypien at QB. While I'm not saying Boise isn't going to be good I just think they are out matched here and running into a very hungry team to start the season |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -107 | 49 h 6 m | Show | |
I think Toledo is worth a look at this underdog price. The Rockets will be the best team in the MAC. They return 6 starters from an explosive offense and even though they lost some skilled players at WR, I think the return of QB Guadagni will provide the leadership to this team again. Kentucky is a team coming off a remarkable season going 11-2. They just simply can't repeat that because they have lost so much especially on defense. Their secondary is all new and they had to replace their stud LB Allen. With only 4 starters back on that side of the ball, I think Toledo can move it down the field and score some points. Also Kentucky their lost stud RB Snell to the draft as well. For a team not use to having that much talent it's very hard for them to replace. I'm not calling for the upset but I don't see Toledo getting blown out here |
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08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -108 | 45 h 46 m | Show | |
I like this Wake Forest team this season with 13 returning starters and are coming off a nice bowl win over Memphis. On offense I this team will still be solid as most people wouldn't have guessed but they finished ranked 28 total last year. Defense is where they need to improve especially right away given the fact they are healthy. I think we see a step back here from Utah St. Yes, they return their stud QB Love who is fun to watch, but he will have to carry the load the whole time and I don't see that happening as its just him with one other starter on offense. I also think they are getting a little to much love because of their year last season that they went 11-2. It's going to be an uphill battle for Utah St. |
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08-30-19 | UMass v. Rutgers -15 | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 43 h 43 m | Show | |
Rutgers won 1 game last year and it was their first and proceeded to lose 11 straight after that. They did play well at the end of the season covering 5 straight games. They return freshman QB Sitkowski who I think will make a nice step forward under 2nd year OC McNulty. Umass though I expect to be just a bad team this season. They return a total of 8 starters here and only 3 on defense that was horrible and gave up nearly 43 ppg. Rutgers will score point here and look for Rutgers to be a nice ATS team this season |
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08-29-19 | Florida International v. Tulane -3 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
While FIU is coming off a very good season going 9-3 and they do return their leader Morgan @ QB. While FIU will be good on offense I think Tulane returning 8 starters will be able to slow them down and be much improved on that side of the ball. The main key here though is that Tulane can run it down your throat. They had a top 25 rushing attack last season and will again this season. FIU only returns 3 of the front 7 and they struggled big time against the run last season and clearly they will again IMO. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama -5 v. Clemson | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 36 m | Show | |
With this number dropping I have to take Bama. I think people are quick to forget since Bama didn’t cover vs Oklahoma that they were up 28-0 and went very conservative as they had the game in wraps early. Clemson hasn’t seen a team like this Bama squad. |
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01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -113 | 655 h 47 m | Show |
Grabbed this one and really like Ohio St. First, Washington hasn't live up to expectations this year and the PAC 12 was really a down conference this season. The main factor here though is all motivation. Ohio St will want to win this one for Meyer as he is stepping down after this game. I think Ohio St gets on them early never lets up. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -6 | 27-24 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
I just think Kentucky was a fraud all season long. This team can seriously only run the ball and with a lot of time to prepare for it I think Penn St can shut it down. Penn St has the better athletes and coach. I actually think they will be motivated here for this game. I will gladly lay this number |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -6.5 | 27-22 | Loss | -112 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
I dont think Iowa has a chance in this game. When you look back at Iowa you realize they beat zero good teams. This is a total mis match IMO and Miss St will be able to shut down the very one dimensional Iowa team. Also Iowa is without their best offensive player who happens to play TE. I think Miss St puts a number on them |
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12-31-18 | NC State v. Texas A&M -7 | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 146 h 27 m | Show | |
I like the Aggies here for the sure fact that they have a ton more talent here. The Aggies finished the season by beating LSU and I think under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher they will be excited here. NC ST had a pretty easy schedule and I dont think Finley their QB is anything special at all. This could get ugly |
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12-31-18 | Northwestern +7 v. Utah | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is just too many points for a NW team who will be fired up for this game. They had a great year making to the Big Ten Championship. Utah is getting their QB back here for this game but these teams are so very similar that I dont see a blowout happening. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
All I have heard is how good MSU is in the dog role. I just think that this Oregon will be ultra motivated here with their stud QB Herbert coming back next season. Michigan St has some major issues on offense as they had scored 24,6,6,14 to finish the season. Oregon is a lot better than people actually think and with this low spread they take care of business. |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
This is just a ton of points of here. I know Bama is the real deal but I also know how they looked without a healthy Tua. Clearly Bama has more talent and is better coached no denying that, but for them to cover two touchdowns. I just think Oklahoma can get a few stops and Oklahoma with Murray will give them all they want on defense. Murray is just a special player you dont see come around often and I trust him to keep this close |
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12-29-18 | Florida +6 v. Michigan | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
I like Florida here today playing in their home state. This is just a pure motivation game. Michigan had their dreams crushed when they were blown out vs Ohio St. They had hopes of playing for a National Title, but that isn't the case now. They are missing several key starters here who are sitting out. Florida does have a defense and with some guys out on Michigan's defense I think Florida can do just enough to get bye |
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12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This game just simply means more to Iowa St who some would say this is their best bowl game ever. This program has taken a turn for the better under Campbell. Washington St on the other hand had their dreams crushed as they were alive for the Playoffs and lost to their rival Washington and now are playing here. Good bowl yes, but not what they had hoped for. Also Iowas St has faced teams like them all year long in the Big 12 with the pass happy offenses. |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 53 h 17 m | Show | |
I really like Cuse here and all the motivation clearly lies with them. They are looking to finish their on a very high note while WVU has simply no motivation as their leader and starting QB Will Grier has decided to skip the game and go pro. WVU will fold here. |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +3 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
So I think the wrong team is favored here in this game. The Badgers had a down year there is no taking that away from them, but does Miami have the motivation edge for a a bowl game played in New York? I sure dont think so at all. The fact that Hornibrook is out I actually think is better as he really hurt them based on his health. The Badgers will win this game on the ground and I wouldn't be surprised if it got ugly. |