The Kansas City Royals head into their series finale against the St. Louis Cardinals on a four game losing streak. Starter Michael Wacha has been brilliant on the young season, but is coming off a season high of eight hits allowed. He has also pitched six innings or more in four straight outings. Tail St. Louis to do enough damage to sweep the Royals for the first time this season at home.

The Baltimore Orioles were a popular wager yesterday to end the Twins win streak, but instead were swept in a shutout loss. They are now just 2-9 over their last eleven games, and will look for a fresh start in their new series against the Washington Nationals. Struggling starter Cade Povich will had his best outing against Washington on April 24th. Take the Orioles to get the best of McKenzie Gore for the second time in a three week span.

On a light Thursday MLB schedule we have just two games remaining for the night cap. Houston’s Hunter Brown looks to maintain his MLB best six wins on the season, against veteran Jacob Degrom. Degrom is coming off a season high ten strikeouts over the Detroit Tigers, and has allowed two runs or less in each of his last five starts. Yet, I’ll value the road team here with the success Houston has had in Brown’s starts. Tail the Astros as the slight underdog.

It’s been an ugly week for the Milwaukee Brewers who have lost four out of their last five games. Today, should be an opportunity to bounce back from being shut out in yesterday’s opener against the Cleveland Guardians. Logan Allen has struggled in the hits and walks department, and also is not pitching deep into games. Take the Brewers as the slight road underdog.

The Kansas City Royals had their seven game winning streak snapped on Saturday against the Red Sox. In both weekend games they managed just two combined runs. Furthermore, they have scored two runs or less in four out of five games. Although Houston did not manage a run against Michael Wacha on April 26th, look for the Royals inefficiency at the plate to cost them their third loss in a row.

I’ve been on the record stating how the Diamondbacks success at home against the Dodgers has been devalued. It’s been a long term success for Arizona, and I see it continuing to close out their series against the Dodgers. Zac Gallen is off his best consecutive outings this year, against the potent Mets. LA is also off a rare shutout in yesterday’s defeat. Take Arizona to win the series over the Dodgers. 

The Baltimore Orioles are once again are a steep priced favorites on the road against the LA Angels, despite being 6-15 on the road. Look for the fortune of Angels starter Tyler Anderson to subside, as the Angels have won six out of his seven starts. That’s six of the Angels sixteen wins on the year. Not sustainable, whether it’s via Anderson’s arm or the Angels bullpen. Tail the road favored Orioles.

One of the worst pitchers in MLB in conceding home runs is on the mound tonight in Bowden Francis of the Blue Jays. Along with his home run issues, Francis has struggled on the road with an 0-3 record and a 4.60 ERA. Yet his best outing of the season was against the Mariners on April 18th, in which he gave up just one run through six innings. Take the Blue Jays to win game two over Seattle.

The Kansas City Royals come into today’s matchup against the Red Sox with an MLB best seven game winning streak. Five of those wins the opposition has scored one run or less, including the Red Sox in yesterday’s opener with one run. Saturday’s starter Cole Ragans has not pitched beyond five innings in each of his last three starts. The Red Sox also got to him last season with two home runs. Back the Red Sox to end the Royals win streak.

Jose Quintana’s had his first rough outing in his last start against the Chicago Cubs. He gave up six runs total with three via the home run. Look for the veteran to bounce back tonight against the Tampa Bay Rays. Tampa just has not been able to find winning ways at home, where they have dropped seven straight overall. Tail Milwaukee as the proper slight road favorites.

The Cincinnati Reds failures at the plate continue to plague them as they have now lost four games in a row. Over their last three games they have scored one run or fewer. Hunter Greene has typically been the answer to Cincinnati’s problems as they have won four out of his last five starts, but with the Reds woes look for Atlanta to win this in the final innings. Tail the home team here in Atlanta.

Currently, the Arizona Diamondbacks are a team that their bullpen puts a huge question mark into backing them for a full game. Tonight, I’ll sidestep that as they face a New York Mets team they had success last week in New York. That included getting a great performance from Zac Gallen who gave up just two hits. This is the start he settles in from a 6.41 home ERA. Back the Dbacks.

The Houston Astros have burned backers over the last week, losing three out of four to the White Sox, and dropping game one yesterday to Milwaukee. Pitching has been their main issue during their mini slump, but Hayden Wesneski has been consistent on the young season. In five starts he has allowed three runs or less in all. Back the Astros to even their series against the Brewers.

The Oakland As lead MLB in road wins, but at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento they are below .500. On top of their home struggles the As are traveling in from a seven game road trip that ended Sunday in Miami. In game one look for the As to override their home issues, as Luis Severino finally gets his first home win of the season. Back the value priced As at home.

Sunday, The Cincinnati Reds will aim to win their three-game series over the Washington Nationals. To begin the season the Reds were 0-5 in games with starter Nick Martinez on the mound, that changed in a 3-1 victory over St. Louis on Monday. Strikeout leader MacKenzie Gore also had his shortest outing last season against the Reds when he lasted just two innings. Back the home team here with Cincinnati.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have had an impressive ability to stay in games. Over their last six games, five have been decided by two runs or less. Today seems like the perfect spot for the Diamondbacks bats to break out and give their pitching staff a cushion to work with. Ketel Marte returned from nearly a full month on the IL, in last night’s one run loss. Additionally,  Aaron Nola at this stage of his career has a tough time building off a quality start. Tail the road team here in the Dbacks.

After a two series road trip the Boston Red Sox return home for the first time since April 24th. The first home game back can be tough especially with the way the Red Sox lost their last two games to the Blue Jays. An extra inning loss on Wednesday, and the bullpen blowing the game in the eighth inning yesterday. Still, the Twins have the fewest road wins in the American League and are coming off three straight one run losses. Take the Red Sox to bounce back in game today.

Look for the Minnesota Twins to get back in the win column on Wednesday. They had their four game winning streak snapped, by a walk off home run by Kyle Manzardo, but their pitching has been excellent. In their last four games the opponent has scored two runs or less. Look for the offense to do enough against shaky starter Luis Ortiz, as the Twins get back in the win column. 

The San Diego Padres injuries with Luis Arraez, Jake Cronenworth, and Jackson Merrill took their toll, as the Padres were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays. After an off day look for the Padres to regroup behind ace Nick Pivetta. Additionally, Logan Webb gave up a season high ten hits to the Padres last year not once but twice in 2024. Take the Padres even if they continue to struggle at the plate in a 2-1, 3-2 type of victory.

Monday, the Detroit Tigers head to Houston after delivering a home sweep this past weekend over the Baltimore Orioles. Their long term success has featured wins in eight out of ten games. Last week I noted their strong ability on winning game ones in series, which they have now done eight straight times. This is where I step in and go against the trend. As great as Jack Flaherty’s numbers are, Detroit has not scored a run in each of his last two starts. Take the home price reduction here on the Astros.

The Tampa Bay Rays go into Sunday’s series finale against the San Diego Padres on a four game winning streak. San Diego began the series 12-1 at home on the year, and have already doubled their home losses on the year. The losses have been attributed to the Padres struggles at the plate where they have totaled just one run over their last three games. Take the Rays to finally win with Zack Little on the mound as a slight road underdog.

Kansas City Royals starting pitcher in Seth Lugo has had issues withstanding beyond four innings this season. His last two starts the opponent has hit four total home runs in the fifth inning for a combined six runs. Although Lugo was phenomenal against the Astros last season, his current form even at home is too troublesome to bypass. Take the Astros as the slight road favorites.

The Tampa Bay Rays pulled out an extra inning win yesterday against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Now they will see a familiar pitcher from last season in Corbin Barnes who made three starts against the Rays last season. In four starts this year opponents are averaging 6.75 runs, as the bullpen has not backed him up. After yesterday’s extra inning game look for that to be an issue with the Diamondbacks bullpen arms. Take Tampa Bay.

Thursday, the Baltimore Orioles will look to avoid being swept for the first time this season. They’ve lost four of five games, and really have struggled at the plate with three runs or less in all four losses. A positive for the Orioles is they did generate ten hits in Wednesday’s loss, but were 1 for 12 with runners in scoring position.  Look for better success today as MacKenzie Gore has given up five hits or more in three out of his last four starts. Take the Orioles

A price point that has come down is the Orioles road price today against the Washington Nationals. I believe that is the wrong move considering Orioles starter Dean Kremer settled in his last outing. Mitchell Parker of the Nationals has been outstanding to start the season, and pitched well against the Orioles last year. He gave up just two runs but the Nationals lost in extra innings. Expect a similar outcome with the Orioles outlasting the Nationals once Parker exits. Take Baltimore

The Detroit Tigers won have won six out of their past seven series, and took yesterday’s opener against the Padres. Early in the season San Diego has had road flaws where they are below .500 with a 4-6 record. Yet, the Padres had runners on base consistently yesterday against the Tigers. Jack Flaherty has yet to pitch six innings or more this season, leaving the door open for the Padres late. Take San Diego to bounce back from yesterday’s game one loss. 

The Detroit Tigers will host a San Diego Padres team that is coming off a Sunday night win. Still, they are below .500 on the year on the road with a 4-5 record. Detroit on the other hand after an 0-3 start to the season has won five out of their last six series. Each opener of those six series they have won with an average run production of 7.3 runs. Take Detroit.

Toronto Blue Jays starter Easton Lucas is coming off a rough outing against the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta had three home runs off of Lucas, who also struggled with four total walks. This combined with the Mariners handling the Blue Jays ace in Jose Berrios Saturday, creates an over valued position in my opinion on Seattle. Take Toronto who wins the series over Seattle with two of three victories. 

Early in the season the Milwaukee Brewers have been one of the more predictable teams in MLB. They’ve had three win streaks and two losing streaks, and were able to take advantage in game one yesterday against the Oakland As. It was the first time this season Oakland had played in a second straight road series. Expect for Oakland to be the first team to get after Brewers starter Chad Patrick. Take the As.

The Toronto Blue Jays Bowden Francis has been excellent on the season on minimizing runs. He has allowed three runs or less in each of his first three starts, and three of his four home runs allowed on the season have been solo shots. Expect the Blue Jays to keep his work load around five innings, to avoid the sixth inning troubles his has shown. Additionally, the Mariners are coming off an extra inning game yesterday against the Reds. Take Toronto.

Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen is off to a stellar start to the season. He has a .60 ERA, in which he has allowed just one run in fifteen innings of work. The problem for the Rays is the extended use of their bullpen when Rasmussen starts. This has led to consecutive starts of Tampa Bay blowing leads when Rasmussen exits. The Yankees showcased Thursday how potent they can be at George Steinbrenner Field. They’ll overcome any issues Carlos Rodon has on the mound. Take the Yankees.

The Detroit Tigers find themselves as sizable home favorites today against their division rivals in the Kansas City Royals. The Royals have lost there straight games, while Detroit is looking to generate some runs. They’ve scored a run or less in three out of their last four games. This should be a tight game, but look for the decision to give Reese Olson an extra day rest and skip his start yesterday to pay off. Take the Tigers. 

The Seattle Mariners picked up their first road win of the season in yesterday’s victory over the Cincinnati Reds. Today, Emerson Hancock will get his second start of the season after a disaster outing on March 31st, in which he gave up six runs on seven hits. Expect Hancock to settle in today at least the first time through the order, and for the Mariners to be ready with early use of the bullpen. Take the Mariners to get their first road win streak of the season.

Monday’s are a great day in baseball to attack value angles off of Sunday series. The Atlanta Braves continue to under perform where they are now 1-9 in road games. They also lost Sunday with their lead ace Chris Sale on the mound to the Tampa Bay Rays. Traveling to Toronto oddsmakers have not swayed their beliefs on the Braves for game one against Toronto. Starter Easton Lucas has been brilliant in two starts but has not went beyond 5 1/3 innings yet. Look for the Braves to possibly rattle him for an inning and finish the job against the Blue Jays pen. Take Atlanta.

The Seattle Mariners have enjoyed a home friendly schedule, as they go into their 13th home game out of 16 games on the season. Their bats have taken off with a surge in run production of three straight games of five runs or more. Today, look for the Rangers Nathan Eovaldi to cool their bats off, and what should be a low scoring game. Take the Rangers to outlast the Mariners on a moneyline that has ballooned Seattle’s side.

Two early season stats that I don’t expect to uphold today are the Atlanta Braves 0-8 road record, and Rays starter Drew Rasmussen’s .90 ERA. Atlanta’s bats started to pick it up a bit in their last series against the Phillies, in particular in the latter innings. Look for Atlanta to have success early against Rasmussen, and take on the necessary runs when he exits after five innings. Take the Braves to end their 0-8 record on the road.

The Minnesota Twins got their first shutout victory of the season yesterday against the Kansas City Royals. Thursday they aim to split their road series against a Royals team, that has just six total runs thus far in the series. This can aide struggling Twins starter Bailey Ober to work around trouble, and possibly settle in after a shaky early inning. Back the Twins to finish of their road series with the Royals with a victory.

The Tampa Bay Rays are in desperate need of a win to end a five game losing streak. They go into today’s matchup with the starting pitching edge in Ryan Pepiot, but when you are losing there are always curveballs to keep the slide going. Yesterday it was the Rays bullpen that faltered late. Look for the Angels to continue to capitalize on opportunities and hand the Rays their sixth straight loss.

The Houston Astros lost a heartbreaker yesterday to the Seattle Mariners, after allowing a two out two run hit in the bottom of the eighth. Now the Astros are just 2-5 over their last seven games. Tonight, I believe they settle in after traveling in from Minnesota Sunday. Take the value on the Astros as they will have their bullpen back at full strength after Josh Hader was unavailable yesterday.

Paul Skenes had an exceptional rookie year, but the one team that was able to get to him was St. Louis. Two of his three losses on the season came against the Cardinals. A big reason for that was the lack of runs as Pittsburgh scored just three runs in those three starts. Probably a better option to wait in game but St. Louis steals another with Skenes on the mound.

A market that was a on the decline last season despite being a strong home pitcher was Zac Gallen. One could consistently get cheap underdog prices on the away team, and that has carried over to this season. Despite shutting down the Yankees his last time out, Gallen has not been consistent enough to trust in back to back spots against potent lineups. That worry grows even more so with the Diamondbacks bullpen to close out a game. Take the Orioles as the small road underdog +105. 

Prime time Sunday night baseball can be a fade spot for a team’s next series on Monday. The Boston Red Sox won their fifth straight game and did so producing eighteen runs. Overall they’ve won five straight games in which they are averaging 9.4 runs. In a cold weather game with rain in the forecast, look for the conditions to effect the home team in the Red Sox. Take the Blue Jays as the underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds ended their two runs or less four game drought in a big way Saturday with eleven runs. In the win their opponent in the Brewers also got their quiet bats going with seven runs. This could be another hit parade where I would give the edge to the home team in the Brewers. Carson Spiers was hit hard in all three appearances against the Brewers last season, including four combined home runs allowed in two August appearances. Take the Brewers on the moneyline.

On a light day for baseball, the Minnesota Twins will look to continue their reversal off an 0-4 start. They’ve won consecutive games where their bats have finally come to life with fourteen combined runs. Houston will be playing their first road series of the season, and Hunter Brown struggled last year against the Twins. He gave up his most hits on the season with twelve and seven runs. Back the Twins.

Stealing a game in baseball in the late innings typically can carry over into the next game. Arizona, overcame a critical error to produce a grand slam with two outs in the eighth inning. As potent as New York continues to be at the plate, they were quiet from the fifth inning on yesterday. After a lead off walk in the fifth, the next fourteen batters were retired in order. Additionally, Ketel Marte had a double and home run off of Carlos Rodon in last season’s matchup. Take the DBacks.

The Detroit Tigers after an 0-3 start to the season against the LA Dodgers, have quickly gained two wins in their current series over the Seattle Mariners. They’ve produced thirteen runs in the two victories, and I expect the momentum to continue even in an early start. A problem for Seattle when Luis Castillo is on the mound is providing run support, as was showcased with zero runs in his first start against the As. Grab the Tigers for the road sweep.

The New York Yankees are the talk throughout MLB as they have an MLB best fifteen home runs with their torpedo bats. Corbin Burnes has been sharp his last three starts against the Yankees, allowing two runs or fewer. He may have his moments today, but look for the Diamondbacks to provide run support for Burnes. Take the Dbacks on the right side money line move.

The New York Mets surpassed their run production of the first three games of the season, with their fifth inning performance Monday against the Miami Marlins. They scored seven runs surpassing the five they scored in their first three games against the Astros. This comes as no surprise as the Mets were one of the top run producing teams on turf last year, were they averaged 4.9 runs per game. Additionally, expect the Marlins to be cautious with starter Sandy Alcantara who will pitch in consecutive starts for the first time since August 2023. Take the over.

Traveling on the road Sunday to Monday is often one of the most difficult spots for an MLB team. Early in the season though it’s not going to have as much of an impact. San Francisco’s starting pitcher Jordan Hicks will be returning home where he grew up in Houston, Texas. Expect the family support to be a boost for Hicks getting his first start for the Giants. Grab San Francisco as the slight road underdog to cash for a second day in a row.

The San Francisco Giants get the early start today in Cincinnati, and then will travel tomorrow for another road series in Houston. At the plate look for the Giants to bounce back after just two runs in yesterday’s game two loss to the Reds. The Giants have intel on today’s starting pitcher for the Reds in Nick Martinez who spent two years in 2022 and 2023 pitching in their division for the Padres. Take the Giants as the slight road favorites on the moneyline.

Pressure is on Padres starter Dylan Cease, after the Padres won decisively 7-4 over the Braves yesterday. Cease going into his second season with the Braves, failed to get the win in his first two starts last season. He also lasted just four innings against the Braves last May. Grab the underdog here with the Atlanta Braves.

For the third straight season the Baltimore Orioles opened the season by scoring double digit runs. A great sign for the Orioles season but also not to overreact heading into their second game. Kevin Gausman limited the Orioles in eight innings of work on August 8th, and also look for the Bluejays bats to provide better run support today. Tail the home team in Toronto.

One of the big knowns in the Arizona community is how heavy of a presence Chicago transplants are. It can create a non home environment for Arizona sports teams, including the Diamondbacks. Yet, I expect the Dbacks bats to bail out any pitching issues Zac Gallen has tonight. This may be a sweat of an early 2-0, 3-0 deficit, but tail the DBacks as a good priced home team.

The World Series is the ultimate matchup between the LA Dodgers and New York Yankees. As masterful as manager Dave Roberts decisions have been in the postseason, things may unravel quickly against this Yankees lineup. Electing to start Jack Flaherty I expect to get the Dodgers behind right off the bat in game one. Flaherty has given up three runs or more in five of his last six starts, including a season worst eight runs to the Padres on October 18th. Additionally, the Yankees have been clutch in the postseason against opposing bullpens. Take the Yankees in game one.

It’s a pricey spot in game one of the ALCS on the Yankees side. Cleveland is coming off a thrilling game five victory over the Detroit Tigers. Look for the Yankees to use that to their advantage, even if Carlos Rodon struggles similar to his game two performance against the Royals. Cleveland maximized their bullpen to win games four and five over the Tigers, and arms will be tested as Alex Cobb may only go four to five innings. Take the Yankees.

Success twice in a postseason series as a starting pitcher is so tough to replicate. I expect that to be the case tonight for San Diego Padres starter Yu Darvish. Darvish has also had issues in close out postseason games where he is 0-2 in his career. Losses in 2017 in game seven of the World Series, and two seasons ago in the NLDS to the Philadelphia Phillies. Take the Dodgers to win a tight one, and advance to the NLCS. 

In any postseason sport involving a series, leaving the door open usually comes back to bite a team. That is the case for the New York Mets who unraveled in the eighth inning yesterday. Now the Brewers have Tobias Myers on the mound who is fresh. Over his last two regular season starts he threw just 49 and 56 pitches. Take the Brewers to close out the Mets and advance to the NLDS.

Sometimes the most dangerous postseason teams at least for a round are the teams that stumbled down the stretch. Over their final thirteen games Kansas City went just 4-9 overall. Yet, they have new life now and in Cole Ragans lone trip to Baltimore this season he gave up just one hit through six and a third innings. Additionally, Baltimore has not won a postseason game since 2014. Take the Royals as the underdog in game one.

The Texas Rangers had a woeful season that has them missing out on the playoffs. On the road to end their year I still expect a prideful finish. Nathan Eovaldi is going to want to finish out the season on a positive note after faltering his last start against the Oakland As. Additionally, Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz has consecutive strong outings but they were against the Chicago White Sox. Take the Rangers as the steep road favorites.

At stake in the regular season finale between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays is reaching .500. Both have a current record of 80-81, and it’s the Rays who have took the first two games over the Red Sox. Just two weeks ago Rays starter Ryan Pepiot had a season high twelve strikeouts against the Red Sox, but the Ray still lost. More runs today but tail the Red Sox to avoid the sweep.

Tristan Beck will get the start today for Blake Snell and the San Francisco Giants. As a team look for the Giants to respond off of yesterday’s series opening loss to St. Louis. They had opportunities to extend a 3-2 lead with runners on and no outs but generated nothing. St. Louis remains undefeated on the season against San Francisco. Take the Giants to play with some pride and get their first win of the season against St. Louis.

Just two starts ago Nick Pivetta faced the Tampa Bay Rays in Tampa. The outing was going well until the fifth inning where Pivetta got into trouble and ended up getting pulled. Overall, Pivetta matched a season high with three home runs allowed. Take Tampa here as the slight road underdog.

Two pitchers that have been excellent are on the mound tonight. Zack Littel has not allowed a run over his last three starts, and Keider Montero has a fourteen innings scoreless streak going at home. Yet, in his last outing he gave up a season high four home runs. Look for the Rays to cool off a hot Tigers team tonight. Grab Tampa on the money line. 

Tuesday, the San Diego Padres begin their final regular season series against the LA Dodgers. This has been a lopsided series in the states this year, where San Diego has won all three series with a 6-2 record. Michael King will look to cool off the Dodgers who are averaging 9 runs over their last eight games, but saw the Marlins and Rockies staffs the past two series. Look for the Padres to carry over momentum after winning eight of their last nine games.

Sunday, the San Francisco Giants once again find themselves at a discount with Blake Snell on the mound. The price may be proper with the game being more meaningful to the Royals and their wild card chances, but Kansas City is on a six game losing streak. San Francisco continues to play spoiler and sweeps the Royals on the road. Grab the Giants as the slight road favorites.

The New York Mets set a franchise record yesterday with three straight games of double digit runs. I expect that to finally cool off as we get Christopher Sanchez on the mound for the Phillies, and David Peterson for the Mets. This was the pitching matchup this past Sunday that produced three combined runs, the lowest output through eleven games in the series this season. Take the under here.

The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to face the Milwaukee Brewers after facing them at home last week. It was an eventful series that saw the Diamondbacks win the finale in extra innings, and also have high success against the Brewers bullpen. Today, look for Dbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt to respond off an abnormal outing against the Brewers in which he gave up eight runs in 1.2 innings.

Thursday, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to face divisional rival in the New York Mets. In last week’s three-game home series the Phillies took two of three, and now will turn to Taijuan Walker. Walker pitched three innings without allowing a run on Saturday versus the Mets, and is under valued in the market in his first start since August 28th. Take the Phillies.

The Tampa Bay Rays had a strong comeback in yesterday’s win over the Boston Red Sox. Down 2-0, they chased Nick Pivetta out and tacked on three additional runs for a 5-2 lead. Look for that momentum to carry over as the bullpen protects Ryan Pepiot even if they are extended. Take the Rays at home on a favorable price. 

The Baltimore Orioles have now dropped seven of their last nine games. They’ll look for a big response today after losing 10-0 in Tuesday’s opener to the San Francisco Giants. Expect the bats to break out against Giants rookie pitcher Hayden Birdsong. Birdsong has not pitched beyond five innings since July 21st, and the Giants have lost seven straight starts by Birdsong. Take Baltimore.

The Arizona Diamondbacks turn to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez today. He had a terrific outing his last appearance against the Milwaukee Brewers, spoiled by a two run shot by Rhys Hoskins. That ended up being the difference in a 2-1 Diamondbacks loss. Today look for the Dbacks to bounce back after a rough performance in Tuesday’s 8-2 loss to the Rockies. Take Arizona. 

The San Francisco Giants travel across the country for a road series against the Baltimore Orioles. Although they are on a four-game losing streak they have consistently been a money making team when Blake Snell is pitching. With Snell starting they have won eight out of his last nine starts. Take the Giants as the Orioles have lost six of eight, where they are averaging 2.25 runs.

We’ve seen the money line dip slightly today on the Philadelphia Phillies. Milwaukee is a strong team at home but are returning from a two series West Coast road trip. Over their last two games against the Diamondbacks the bullpen has conceded fourteen runs. Not the recipe you want facing a Phillies team that is the first to ninety wins and has won five of six. Additionally, the Brewers have been a subpar team this season statistically against lefties. Take the Phillies.

Today’s total offering between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox is high considering Gerrit Cole has only been charged five runs in his last six outings. Yet, there is a different element when the Yankees face the Red Sox. On July 6th Cole gave up four runs and lasted just 4 1/3 innings. Look for enough runs on both sides here for the total to sneak over the full game offering.

It’s tough to go against the Arizona Diamondbacks right now. They are finally healthy with both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker back in the lineup, and had Thursday off unlike the Brewers. Yet, Eduardo Rodriguez has been extremely predictable over his last three starts the Mets, Dodgers, and Astros have hit him hard. Take the Brewers to be the latest to get to Rodriguez. Back the Brewers.

Thursday I’ll lay the price with the home team in the Cleveland Guardians. On the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays is Ryan Pepiot who has solid numbers on the season with a 3.66 ERA. Yet, he tends to get into trouble in the fourth and fifth inning. The Guardians still have the most home wins on the season in the American League, take the Guardians on the money line.

A rookie pitcher that gets his chance to shine in September can be tricky to evaluate. For the Cincinnati Reds, Rhett Lowder is coming off a gem performance against the Houston Astros, where he went 6 1/3 and did not allow a run. In fact, through ten innings of work he has allowed just one run. Yet on the other side, Andre Pallante has two of his six wins on the season against the Reds. Take the Cardinals here in a close game.

New York Mets left handed pitcher David Peterson has been lights out post All Star break. In nine of ten starts he has allowed two runs or fewer. That’s led to the Mets winning his last six outings, and ten out of his last twelve. At this stage of the season Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt is a pitcher that you know is going to have runners on frequently, but he has the ability to reduce damage. In his last outing the Phillies had ten hits but just three runs. Grab the under.

The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees meet for their series finale Sunday. I’m on the under as Gerrit Cole’s stats show the Cole of old, but his last start to me he looked like himself. He put on a clinic against the Texas Rangers, and the Cubs are such a streaky team at the plate. I’ll root for the cold side today from the Cubs bats, and Jameson Taillon to produce his normal damage but not enough to topple the total.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost consecutive games, and are just 4-7 over their last eleven. I’m not expecting a shutout loss like Friday for the Dbacks, but there are high concerns with Eduardo Rodriguez. The Mets got to him for five runs two starts ago, and his last start he went just four innings against the Dodgers. Grab Houston to get to the Diamondbacks pen early, and get another win over Arizona.

Friday, Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies travel on the road to face the Miami Marlins. In five of Wheeler’s last six starts the under has cashed on Philadelphia games. On the other side for the Marlins the under has cashed in three straight outings with starter Edward Cabrera. Take the under in this spot.

For the second time in a span of thirteen days the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Brewers in extra innings with yesterday’s, 7-4 victory. Wednesday, St. Louis may need a big night at the plate once again as Sonny Gray has struggled on the road with a 5.62 ERA. Expect runs on the Cardinals side as Colin Rea has conceded four home runs or more in his last two outings. Back the Cardinals in the series finale.

Toronto and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet for an interleague series. The Blue Jays as a whole have ranked fourth in MLB over the last thirty days in team ERA, at 3.18. Starter Chris Bassitt is coming off his best start in four outings, and had nine strikeouts against the Red Sox. Additionally, he has allowed five hits or fewer in three straight starts. Tail the under here which is 4-1 over the Bluejays last five games.

The New York Yankees travel on the road to Texas for Labor Day, after conceding twenty runs to the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend. Expect runs to continue to be the theme with Gerrit Cole on the mound today for the Yankees. He gave up two runs his last start to the Nationals, and in his August 10th start against the Rangers the bullpen gave up eight runs. Take the over in this spot.

Luis Severino gets a home start today against the Boston Red Sox, after four of his last five starts on the road. That’s a big angle today to help Severino adjust to being so poor on the season against American League opponents. Look for Severino to work out of some jams, or for the bats to pick him up at the plate. Take the Mets. 

The Cleveland Guardians are coming off a rare home shutout loss in yesterday’s game against the Pirates. For the entire game the team had just two total hits. We have seen the low end of hitting issues for this Guardians team recently, as they are just 4-7 over their last eleven games. Take the under as Mitch Keller and Alex Cobb deliver solid outings before turning it over to the bullpen.

Even with two potent teams today in the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies, I’ll attack the under. Prior to this series beginning the Phillies had scored three runs or less in the prior five matchups against Atlanta. Additionally, this series went 3-0 to the under just over a week ago. Play the under with two aces on the mound in Max Fried and Zack Wheeler. 

The LA Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks may be the most important series so far in the month of August. Thanks to the Diamondbacks winning ways post All Star break they are just four games back of the Dodgers. Look for tonight to be a trouble spot for Zac Gallen who has had issues in his last three matchups against the Dodgers. Both regular season matchups last season he conceded five runs or more, and on July 4th he lasted just four innings on 85 pitches. Take the Dodgers.

Tuesday, Arizona had their six game winning streak snapped by the New York Mets. It was a tough spot coming off a road trip with having Monday off. Expect the Diamondbacks to regroup on Tuesday with Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound. Arizona is 3-0 in his starts where opponents have scored three runs or less in all. Take the Diamondbacks.

Wednesday, in an AL East matchup I’ll attack the under on the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays. Chris Bassit has been susceptible to big innings recently, including giving up four runs to the Angels in one inning in his last start. Yet, he has been able to recover and has pitched well against Boston this season. In two June starts he allowed just two runs in both and pitched deep into the games. Take the under on a high total with room to spare.

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter today’s series against the New York Mets riding a six game winning streak, and wins in twelve out of their last fifteen games. Returning home can be a disruption, as the Diamondbacks ended a nine game road trip. It’s also just the fourth start of the season for Eduardo Rodriguez. Take the Mets as they get to Rodriguez and the Diamondbacks pitching staff.

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off an impressive weekend with back to back games of eleven runs. Look for success Monday as they will face Ronel Blanco who is coming off his shortest outing since May. He also struggles with walks ranking seventh worst in MLB. Additionally, a nice trend exists in Zack Wheelers’ last five home starts where the over is 5-0. Play the over.

The New York Mets have had success against the San Diego Padres this season. In the current series they had lopsided victories in both Thursday and Saturday’s wins. Go back to June they swept the Padres at home. Jose Quintana limited the Padres to two hits and one run. Play the Mets.

Sunday, I’ll attack the under on the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates. Luis Ortiz is coming off matching a season high seven strikeouts in his last start against the Texas Rangers. The other instance occurred against the Reds on June 26th, where he limited them to one run. Look for Nick Martinez to bounce back from consecutive sub par outings. Take the under in this spot.

The Philadelphia Phillies get Ranger Suarez back on the mound after a month on the injured list. Suarez should immediately help the Phillies who have lost consecutive games, and four of their last five. On the other side Brady Singer is eleventh in MlB in ERA, but has been vulnerable in three of his last four starts. Take the Phillies to break out enough at the plate to get the win Saturday.

A team can be ignited with a sudden change. For Seattle they showed that immediately in yesterday’s first game with former manager Scott Servais fired. They came back from a 5-1 deficit to beat the Giants in extra innings. As great as Blake Snell has been he has been provided just one run over his last two starts. Take Seattle to start building some momentum with another victory.

We are starting to see the money rise on the Minnesota Twins for today’s matchup against St. Louis. The Cardinals come in off of two consecutive wins, but both were controversial against the Brewers. Prior to those victories the Cardinals had dropped seven of eight games. Look for the tough road element against the Twins to be to much of a challenge for the Cardinal. Back the Twins.

We are finally starting to see a shift in daily odds on the Texas Rangers. The defending World Series champions, are ten games below .500 and far off where expectations had them. Today though is a value spot against a Guardians team that is coming off consecutive poor performances against the Yankees. They managed just one hit in yesterday’s loss. Take the Rangers to hand the Guardians their third straight loss. 

Friday, the Toronto Blue Jays and LA Angels will play their fifth game this month. Three of the first four matchups have went under the total. Look for that trend to end today as Chris Bassitt continues to be susceptible in the home run department. In fact, in his last home start he gave up six runs in the first inning to the Oakland As. Take the over in this spot.

It’s extremely rare to see the Baltimore Orioles not the favorite at home. After all they have the second most wins in MLB with 74 wins. Currently though, they are facing an Astros team that is playing above their season record. They have won seven of their last ten games including yesterday’s series opener shutout victory over the Orioles. Take the Astros in game two of the series.