Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-19-24 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
4% PATS/JETS T.N.F. TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Jets' defense has underperformed compared to projections, but this could be a good opportunity to bounce back against a New England Patriots team averaging a paltry 4.8 yards per play. The Pats rely heavily on their rushing attack to move the ball, which, even when successful, drains a lot of clock. The Patriots' defense has looked solid, as expected. Through the first two weeks of the season, they have allowed the fifth-fewest points per game (16.5). They've struggled somewhat against the pass, but Aaron Rodgers has yet to surpass 200 passing yards with the Jets. I'll gladly take the under in this feisty Thursday night rivalry game. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-15-24 | Rams +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 61 h 33 m | Show |
5% NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET I like the LA Rams to bounce back this week after an overtime loss in Detroit. Matthew Stafford threw for 317 yards, and now he’ll face an Arizona defense that might be the worst in the NFL. The Cardinals scored 28 points in their Week 1 matchup with the Bills but gave up 34 in the loss. I believe the Rams have the edge on both sides of the ball, and they’ve dominated the Cardinals in recent seasons. 5% PLAY ON THE RAMS. |
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09-15-24 | Jets v. Titans +4 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
5% AFC GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Tennessee Titans went into halftime of their Week 1 matchup against the Bears in Chicago with a 17-3 lead, only to be outscored 21-0 in the second half. Now, in their first home game of the season, I expect a solid full-game performance from the Titans against a Jets team that was outplayed by the Niners on Monday night. Not only are the Jets playing on a short week, but they’re also on the road for the second straight week. Tough spot against a scrappy opponent, and I would not be surprised if the home team wins this one outright. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. |
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09-15-24 | Colts v. Packers UNDER 40.5 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a 34-29 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Brazil. Jordan Love suffered a sprained MCL in his left knee late in the game and is expected to miss this Week 2 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts. Malik Willis is expected to start under center instead for the Packers, and while he's made three NFL starts, note that Willis did not throw for 100 yards in any of those games. The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a 29-27 loss against the Houston Texans, but I expect a lower-scoring and short game today as both teams are likely to rely on their running game to move the football. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-12-24 | Bills v. Dolphins -136 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
4% BILLS/DOLPHINS T.N.F. TOP PLAY Both teams won but failed to cover the spread in their opening game of the season, but I was more impressed with Miami's win over Jacksonville in which Tua Tagovailoa put up 338 passing yards, the most of all NFL quarterbacks in Week 1. Bills' QB Josh Allen meanwhile got banged up in their 36-28 home win over Arizona. Allen threw for two touchdowns and ran for two more, and is pretty much their whole offense. 4% PLAY ON THE DOLPHINS. |
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09-09-24 | Jets v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 19-32 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
4% JETS/NINERS M.N.F. TOP PLAY One must wonder how Jets veteran QB Aaron Rodgers will perform in his first start in over a year and a half, after going down with a season-ending Achilles injury in the opening series of last season. He certainly could have hoped for an easier opponent to make his comeback against, but the Jets also have one of the best defensive units in the NFL, which makes me think this will be a low-scoring game. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-08-24 | Cowboys v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 47 m | Show |
5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The game features two of the league's top defenses, and the Browns will be without key players, including running back Nick Chubb. Cleveland's quarterback Deshaun Watson has yet to return to his previous form, and offensive chemistry may be an issue early in the season. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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09-06-24 | Packers +3 v. Eagles | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -117 | 83 h 27 m | Show |
5% PACKERS/EAGLES NFC GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles are listed as the home team, but they'll have no home-field advantage as this game will take place in Sao Paulo, Brazil. The Green Bay Packers, and especially QB Jordan Love, finished last season on a high note, and Philadelphia’s secondary was one of the worst in the league last season. Additionally, Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is usually money against the spread as an underdog. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. |
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09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
4% RAVENS/CHIEFS TNF TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs defense is never getting enough credit, IMO, and the Ravens will, as always, be run-heavy with their dual-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson and especially now with the addition of Derrick Henry in the backfield. Additionally, early-season scores tend to be low as offenses work out the kinks with fresh faces and new schemes. The Chiefs defeated the Ravens 17-10 in the AFC title game last season and I think this will be another low-scoring game. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS SIDE TOP PLAY I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game. 4* PLAY ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 51 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 41 h 39 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Detroit Lions are coming off a 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are 12-7 to the over on the season. Sure, here they'll face a much better defense, but even so, the Niners D has not been quite as dominant as in previous seasons. Detroit has a lot more upside with the ball in their hands than on defense, and I like the over in this game even with this total which is on the higher side, especially for a playoff game. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR I think it's an absolute no-brainer to take the points on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. They were not quite as dominant as we've gotten used to during the regular season, but have as expected stepped up their game again in the postseason. Much respect for the season Baltimore has put together, but don't sleep on the Chiefs who have all the playoff experience you could ask for, much unlike the Ravens... Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS as underdogs with Mahomes on the field. 5* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 128 h 56 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* BUCS/LIONS NFL DIV ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR I find it absolutely ridiculous that the Detroit Lions are asked to cover just under a touchdown against this Tampa Bay team that demolished the Eagles in the Wild Card round. The Lions meanwhile were outgained by almost 100 yards in their 24-23 win over the Rams. Sure, you're never as good as your best game and never as bad as your worst, but I am more than happy to take the points on the Bucs in this game. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* GB/SF DIV PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Green Bay Packers put up 48 points against the Cowboys in Dallas in the Wild Card round, but they'll face a much tougher defense here against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Playoffs. The Niners have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL holding opponents to 17.5 points per game, and I think they'll be able to take an early lead and then start to bleed clock. I would lean to the 49ers to cover the spread as long as it's under 10, but I'm worried about the backdoor cover and feel that the under is a much better play. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles finished the regular season 11-6 SU but only 6-8-3 ATS while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS. I think the Eagles are overvalued by the betting market once again when they visit the Bucs in the Wild Card round on Monday. Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET Sure, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 37.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium and the Green Bay Packers have looked much better than expected with Jordan Love as the starting QB, but I think this total is way too high for a postseason game. Both teams have played quite well on the defensive side of the ball in recent games and the under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs have had a subpar season by their standards, but this is still an experienced team that I expect to start playing up to their potential again here in the playoffs. There will be a hostile environment and cold weather at Arrowhead, not ideal for the Dolphins who are flying in from South Florida. Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff home games. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. |
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01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers OVER 45 | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* BEARS/PACKERS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Chicago Bears are coming off a 37-17 win over Atlanta. They have scored 27 points or more in three of their last four games, the exception a 17-point outing against a Cleveland Browns team that boasts the best defense in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers have scored 33 points in back-to-back games and 20 points or more in each of their last seven games. Over is 12-2 in Packers last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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01-07-24 | Rams +4 v. 49ers | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAMS/NINERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams have already qualified for postseason football, and they've both announced that they'll rest starters. This will add more variance, making the underdog even more attractive from a betting perspective and the Rams typically match up very well against the Niners. Additionally, while the Niners are coming off a 27-10 rout of Washington, note that the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 4* PLAY ON THE RAMS. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* TEXANS/COLTS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Indianapolis Colts are 11-5 to the over while the Houston Texans are 10-6 to the under. The Colts won 31-20 when they clashed with Houston back in September, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair as I expect both teams to be relatively conservative as they're playing for the AFC South title. Houston rookie QB CJ Stroud has been stealing most of the headlines from the rest of the team (and deservedly so), but the Texans defense has been sneaky good. The Texans limited the Titans to three points last week; the under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 32 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* STEELERS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH I love the Baltimore Ravens as an underdog against Pittsburgh this Saturday. Sure, the Ravens have announced that they'll rest players as they are already locked in as the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they're all professionals and John Harbaugh always coaches to win. Harbaugh can't even stand the idea of losing a pre-season game, so why would he lay down here against a hated AFC North rival? 5* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 2 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* PACKERS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are in the hunt for a wild card, and both teams have found their groove when on the ball. The Packers have scored 20 points or more in six straight games and the Vikes have proven to be surprisingly competitive with Nick Mullens under center. The over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in December and 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in December. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* LIONS/COWBOYS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Buffalo and Miami. The Cowboys have been destroying teams home at AT&T Stadium and here they'll face a Detroit team that clinched the NFC North last week. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 5* PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens +5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 108 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAVENS/NINERS NFL XMAS DAY TOP PLAY The San Francisco 49ers have been steamrolling their opponents in recent games, but here they'll face a Baltimore team that has been almost equally hot. The Ravens are usually money as underdogs (19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog), and I think the Niners will find it difficult to get separation. 4* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins UNDER 50 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: COWBOYS/DOLPHINS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Both teams are 8-6 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a low-scoring affair relative to the posted total. While the two teams' offenses usually get the headlines, note that they're both top 6 for total defense. The under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games and 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +12.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 60 h 4 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -2 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 83 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* COWBOYS/BILLS NFL SUNDAY TOP PLAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys following five straight wins, including a 33-13 win over their rivals the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Dallas is 10-3 on the season, but only 3-3 on the road. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Buffalo Bills are only 7-6 on the season and in second place in the division and will most likely have to win out to catch the first-place Miami Dolphins. Desperation breeds motivation and I think we'll see a hyper-focused Bills team beat Dallas. 4* PLAY ON THE BUFFALO BILLS. |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 63 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BRONCOS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a great spot to fade the Denver Broncos who have been playing over their heads lately, winning six of their last seven games outright, with three wins as underdogs. The Detroit Lions meanwhile are getting no respect following a humiliating 28-13 loss to the Bears in Chicago, but they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE LIONS. |
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12-14-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* CHARGERS/RAIDERS NFL TOP PLAY The Chargers will have to do without injured starting QB Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, but I think the rest of the team will rally behind QB Easton Stick who will make his first NFL start despite five seasons with the team. The Raiders have QB issues of their own as they've averaged just 11.5 points over their last four games with rookie Aidan O'Connell quarterbacking the team. We might see Jimmy Garoppolo back under center for Vegas here, but I still think the Chargers can keep this close. The Chargers are 40-18-4 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 4* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants UNDER 37 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACKERS/GIANTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Giants are 9-3 to the under on the season. They are averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game (31st) and an NFL-worst 258.7 yards of total offense per game. The Packers have scored 23, 29, and 27 points through a three-game winning streak, but note that the under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 Monday night games and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in Giants last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Seahawks +13.5 v. 49ers | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* SEAHAWKS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a potential flat spot for the San Francisco 49ers who are riding a four-game winning streak and defeated the Eagles 42-19 in Philadelphia last week. I would not be surprised if they struggle to bring full focus for this game, especially after winning 31-13 in Seattle on Nov 23, and even if they do, this is a lot of points to cover. The Niners have all but clinched the division while Seattle's season is on the line. 5* PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Detroit Lions are averaging 27.2 points per game overall, but that number drops a bit when they're playing on the road. The Bears rank 2nd in total defense home at Soldier Field with an average of only 261.6 yards allowed per game. The Chicago Bears offense has been anemic all season, and they've been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. Detroit won the first meeting of the season 31-26 back on Nov 19, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring game this time around. The under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -3 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NINERS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles will play an elite opponent for a fourth straight game following wins over Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo. Now they'll run into a San Francisco team that has answered a three-game losing streak with three wins. I think the Eagles are due for a letdown game, and you can't play anything but your absolute best to keep up with this Niners team. The 49ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 49ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. 5* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. |
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12-03-23 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 42.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* COLTS/TITANS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Tennessee Titans have scored more than 17 points in only one of their last seven games. The Indianapolis Colts defense has come around following a poor start to the year and has held opponents to 13, 6, and 20 points through their last three games. Offensively, the Colts will be without the 2021 NFL rushing champion Jonathan Taylor who underwent thumb surgery earlier this week. The under is 6-0 in Colts' last 6 games as a road favorite and 31-14 in their last 45 games in December. The under is 18-6 in Titans' last 24 home games and, 6-2 in Titans last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 6-2 in Titans last 8 games in December. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -9 | Top | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SEAHAWKS/COWBOYS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Cowboys have won three straight games in blowout fashion since a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in Philly on Nov 15. Since then, they've defeated the Giants 49-17, the Panthers 33-10, and most recently the Commanders 45-10 on Thanksgiving. Tonight they'll face a Seattle team that took a 31-13 loss to the Niners at home last Sunday. There's no need to overthink this. Give me the scorching hot Cowboys on extra rest. 4* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* M.N.F. TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings are 8-3 to the under on the season and the under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The Chicago Bears had scored 13, 17 and 16 points in their past three games before putting up 26 points in a loss at Detroit last week. They looked a lot better with Justin Fields back under center, but this is still a bad Bears offense and the Vikes are allowing only 320.6 yards per game (12th). The Bears have more success running the ball than throwing, but stopping the run is the Vikes strength on D, so this is an unfavorable matchup for Chicago. As for the Vikings offense, Kirk Cousins is done for the year, and star wideout Justin Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring injury. He's been reported as "unlikely to play", and I fully expect him to sit as their bye week is coming up. There's no reason for them to gamble and not let Jefferson heal up completely. The Vikings won 19-13 when these two teams clashed in Chicago back in October. I would not be surprised if we see a similar scoreline tonight. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BILLS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Buffalo Bills can not be too pleased about their 6-5 record, but they're coming off a 32-6 win over the Jets and I think everyone would agree that they are a better team than their record would suggest. The Philadelphia Eagles are in a potential letdown spot after defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead Monday night. They're riding a four-game winning streak which includes marquee wins over Miami, Dallas, and the aforementioned Kansas City, but it's really difficult to sustain that level of play extended amount of time, even for a top team. They're due to come out flat eventually, and I'll gladly take the points on the Bills in this game. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. 5* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS. |
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11-26-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 43.5 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under. The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games. The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | Top | 29-22 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* PACKERS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Green Bay Packers are coming off an upset win over the Chargers, but I think they'll lose big here in Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Packers are far from healthy, and they'll face a Lions team that is on a roll with seven wins while going 6-2 ATS in its last eight games, including a 34-20 win at Lambeau Field back in late September. The Lions did not cover in last week's 31-26 win over the Bears but note that the Lions are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. 5* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* EAGLES/CHIEFS M.N.F. TOTAL TOP PLAY I've said it before and I'll say it again; the Kansas City Chiefs' defense just might be one of the most underrated units in the NFL. That might seem like a weird statement about a team that just won the Super Bowl, but they rarely get the headlines despite ranking 4th in total defense while allowing only 15.9 points per game which ranks 2nd in the NFL. The Chiefs are 7-2 to the under on the season and since the beginning of last season, they are 9-4 to the under against teams with a win percentage of 50% or more. The Eagles' offense is flying high, but I think the Chiefs will dictate the tempo of this game and make it a low-scoring affair. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams -127 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I think the Los Angeles Rams are due for a strong outing here following their bye week and back-to-back road losses at Dallas and Pittsburgh. In their last game (on Nov 5), the Rams took a 20-3 loss at Lambeau Field, but they should be able to put more points on the board here as QB Matthew Stafford is expected to be back on the field after missing the last game due to injury. If Stafford can't go, the Rams now have a more than capable backup in Carson Wentz. The Seahawks are allowing 283.3 passing yards per game (22nd), so this looks like a favorable matchup for the Rams. The Seahawks are 3-1 SU in their last four games but 0-4-1 ATS in their last five. 5* PLAY ON THE RAMS. |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals v. Texans OVER 48 | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Arizona Cardinals picked up their second win of the season when they defeated Atlanta 25-23 last week. That was QB Kyler Murray's first game since suffering an ACL injury in December last year, and we should see a more effective Arizona offense now in the second half of the season. The Houston Texans are coming off a 30-27 win at Cincinnati and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud keeps impressing under center. I think this will be a shootout as I expect solid play from both quarterbacks while both teams rank in the bottom third for total defense. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BENGALS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 30-27 loss to Houston, but that did not come as a surprise to me who predicted that they would have a letdown game following four straight wins SU and ATS. I expect the Bengals to come out fully focused again for this divisional matchup against Baltimore who also saw a four-game winning streak end last week, with a 33-31 loss to Cleveland. These are two very evenly matched teams in my opinion, and I would not be surprised to see this game come down to a last-drive field goal. Let's take the points on the underdog. 5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 39 | Top | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run. As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on. As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points. This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -2.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 144 h 19 m | Show |
5* MAX BET: MIKE'S DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from a humbling 24-9 loss at Denver. They had won six consecutive games before that setback, and here they'll get the opportunity to showcase their talent to a whole new crowd at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany. The Miami Dolphins are 6-2 straight up and against the spread, but they were completely outmatched the two times they faced quality opponents in Buffalo and Philadelphia. The Chiefs are the reigning champs, and still the team to beat IMO. Since the start of last season, the Chiefs are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS off an ATS loss and 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS off a straight up loss. 5* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
5* GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S BENGALS/NINERS NFL BEST BET The San Francisco 49ers have hit a bit of a slump, coming off back-to-back road losses at Cleveland and Minnesota. QB Brock Purdy is doubtful and missed practice on Wednesday while in the NFL's concussion protocol. There's a significant drop off to backup QB Sam Darnold, and here the Niners will face a Bengals team that is coming off its bye week and has played a lot better as Joe Burrows is getting close to full health. I have the Niners as the better team, but the spot favors Cincy, and we're spotted more than a field goal. 5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league. Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 41 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season, but this is a team that usually struggles to cover. Over the last three seasons, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and the Chargers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog last three seasons. The Chargers are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season and that is one reason why the betting market is undervaluing the Chargers in this spot. 4* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts UNDER 41 | Top | 39-38 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - COWBOYS/CHARGERS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER The Chargers have one of the best QBs in the league in Justin Herbert, but they do not pose much of a threat on the ground and here they'll run into one of the best pass defenses in the league. I also expect the Dallas defense to come out extra motivated after giving up 42 points to the Niners last week. While the Chargers will come out fresh from their bye, I think Dallas will do its best to slow down the pace, and offensively, the Cowboys have mustered a total of only 26 points through its last two road games. On the season on the season, Monday and Thursday games are a combined 9-4 to the under and all games with a closing total of 50 or higher are 5-2 to the under. 4* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -109 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S COLTS/JAGS GAME OF THE WEEK The Jacksonville Jaguars return home from two weeks across the pond and off an upset win over the Bills. The travel could become an issue for Jacksonville against a Colts team that has won three of its last four games outright. Gardner Minshew will quarterback Indianapolis, but I'm not sure he's that much of a downgrade from injured Anthony Richardson. Over the last three seasons, the Colts are 14-10 ATS as an underdog while the Jags are 3-7 ATS as favorites (0-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 7 points). 4* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 50 | Top | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 81 h 26 m | Show |
5* BEST BET - Mike's Broncos/Chiefs NFL Total of the Month The Broncos' defense is almost historically bad so this could get ugly in a hurry, but I still like the under as KC can go into time management mode and churn clock with long drives after jumping out to a big lead. The Broncos have looked decent when on the ball in recent weeks, but here they'll face a Chiefs defense that may not get a lot of headlines, but certainly can hold its own. Since the start of last season, Chiefs games with a total closing at 50 points or higher are 11-4 to the under. 5* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Packers/Raiders M.N.F. Total BEST BET 'The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results. Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game. Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. I like the under even more though. Green Bay ranks 29th in total offense and 24th in yards per play. Vegas ranks 28th in total offense and 22nd in yards per play. Vegas has not scored more than 18 points in any games this season, but its defense ranks around average. The over/under is 1-3 in Vegas' games this season. 4* play on UNDER. |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings OVER 52.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
4* BIG BET - Mike's Chiefs/Vikings NFL Total of the Week The Minnesota Vikings are 3-1-1 to the under on the season as they average only 22.5 points per game (25th) despite averaging 370.8 yards per game (9th) and 6.4 yards per play (3rd). Untimely turnovers have cost them, but I think we'll see a locked-in Vikes offense here against a KC defense that might not be quite as good as the numbers would suggest. KC is allowing only 15.0 points per game, but its last three opponents have been Jacksonville, Chicago, and the NY Jets. As for the Chiefs offense, you never have to worry about them putting up points. I expect to see this one go over the total. 4* play on OVER. |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 104 h 34 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - Mike's Ravens/Steelers NFL Game of the Week This looks like a great spot to back the Steelers to bounce back from a disappointing 30-6 loss as a 3-point favorite at Houston. The Steelers are not good as favorites, but Mike Tomlin knows how to get his squad fired up as underdogs, especially when it comes to divisional games. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Steelers are 6-3 ATS as underdogs against division opponents. The Ravens meanwhile are in a potential flat spot following a 28-3 rout of the Browns in Cleveland. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Ravens are 9-17 ATS as favorites and 1-4 ATS off a win against a divisional rival. 4* play on the Steelers. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants -120 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -120 | 154 h 6 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Seahawks/Giants MNF TOP PLAY The Seahawks are coming off back-to-back wins against Detroit and Carolina, but I think they'll come up short here against a Giants team that is finally back home following a pair of road games. The Giants got shut out by Dallas in a 40-0 loss on primetime in their home opener of the season, which should make them even more amped up for this primetime home game. There is a chance that Giants RB Saquon Barkley will take the field for the first time of the season, which would be a huge boost for their offense. With or without Barkley though, I expect to see a focused Giants team getting the win. 4* TOP PLAY on the Giants. |
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10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 28-3 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 56 m | Show |
5* NFL MAX BET - Mike's Ravens/Browns Game of the Month The Ravens took a 22-19 OT loss to the Colts last week, and they're heading to Cleveland with a banged-up squad. Here they'll face a Cleveland team boasting arguably the best defense in the league. The Browns have only allowed six points in their two home wins this season, and while I'm not completely sold on their QB Deshaun Watson, the team is very good at moving the ball on the ground (4th in rushing yards per game). 5* MAX BET on the Browns. |
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10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears OVER 46.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
4* BIG BET - Mike's Broncos/Bears NFL Total of the Week The Denver Broncos came into the season with a supposedly strong defense but question marks whether veteran QB Russell Wilson still got what it takes. Instead, Denver ranks dead last in total defense and yards allowed per play. while offensively, the Broncos rank 15th in total offense and 5th in yards per play. The Bears defense ranks 30th in total defense and yards allowed per play. I think this will be a high-scoring affair. 4* play on OVER. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | Top | 25-11 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - Mike's 5* Eagles/Bucs NFL Game of the Month The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have proven to be a lot harder to defeat than most predicted. They've opened the season with wins over Minnesota and Chicago, and while tonight's opponent will be a much tougher test, I still like the Bucs to keep it within the number. The Eagles have defeated the Pats by five points and Minnesota by six points, but they have allowed 326 passing yards per game and 5.7 yards per play overall (29th). Bucs QB Baker Mayfield is playing with a lot of confidence and averages 7.2passing yards per attempt. 5* MAX BET on the Bucs. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | Top | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 16 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Patriots/Jets NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY The Patriots are in big need of a win following home losses in one-score affairs against Philadelphia and Miami, and I like the Pats here against a Jets team they've dominated in recent seasons. The Jets were supposed to be the better team this year, but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center, not Zach Wilson. Bill Belichick won't start the season 0-3, and if the Pats win they're more likely than not to cover the spread. We can also note that the Pats are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less over the last three seasons, while the Jets are 12-18 ATS as an underdog. 4* TOP PLAY on the Patriots. |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers -10.5 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 39 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Giants/Niners T.N.F. TOP PLAY The Giants got stomped by Dallas in Week 1, and they needed a 17-0 fourth quarter to scrape by a weak Arizona team in Week 2. Here they'll have to do without star RB Saquon Barkley who left the win against Arizona early with an ankle injury, and I just don't see how the Giants will be able to keep up with a Niners team that is superior on both sides of the ball. The Niners are 2-0 on the season after winning 30-7 at Pittsburgh in Week 1 and 30-23 at LA Rams in Week 2. Two dominant performances, and their Week 2 win could've/should've been bigger. I expect the 49ers to rout their opponent here in their home opener. Bet this TOP PLAY on the 49ers with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs UNDER 41.5 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 25 m | Show |
Mike's Bears/Bucs NFL Total BOOKIE BLA$TER The Bears took a 38-20 loss to Green Bay in Week 1 while Tampa Bay recorded a 20-17 upset win at Minnesota. I think the Bears' defense will do a lot better here against a Tampa Bay team that will struggle to move the ball this season, but I don't think points will come easy for Chicago either. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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09-17-23 | Ravens +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Ravens/Bengals NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY The Bengals were held to three points and 142 yards of total offense in their Week 1 matchup with Cleveland. QB Joe Burrow suffered a calf injury during training camp that made him miss one month of the preseason, and he looked completely off. Here he'll face a solid Baltimore team that is coming off a 25-9 win over the Texans. Since the start of the 2019 season, the Ravens are 13-3-1 ATS as underdogs. Bet this TOP PLAY on the RAVENS with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | Top | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Vikings/Eagles ATS TOP PLAY of the Day The Vikings do not have the defense to compete with Philly, but they have the weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Turnovers and penalties hurt them badly in Week 1 against the Bucs, but I think we'll see a much better Vikings offense in this one. The Vikings will also have a chip on their shoulder after losing to Tampa Bay as a big favorite, and divisional matchups are never a gimme. Additionally, the Eagles have been hit with injuries on defense. Bet this TOP PLAY on the Vikings with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-10-23 | Eagles v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 25-20 | Push | 0 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Eagles/Patriots NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY Teams coming off a loss in the Super Bowl tend to start the next season slow and with the Pats, you just know that Bill Belichick will have a great plan on the defensive side of the ball. The Eagles held opponents to an NFL-best 292.8 yards per game last season. The Pats ranked 26th in total offense and they're coming into this game with a banged up offensive line. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles OVER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
10* CHIEFS/EAGLES SUPER BOWL TOTAL MAX BET The over in the Super Bowl is a public bet pretty much every year, but the public is not always wrong. While the Chiefs defense turned up the heat late in the season, they're still allowing 21.7 ppg and they allowed 20 points in both the divisional round and the conference championship game. The Eagles have been dominant on both sides of the ball all season and they've scored 38 and 31 points in their two playoff games. I see a 28-27. 30-28 win for either team. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs +105 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 105 | 84 h 44 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* AFC PLAYOFFS BEST BET The move from the opening line to this number suggests that the market is concerned about the health of Patrick Mahomes (high ankle sprain), but I am not worried. He'll play, and he'll be efficient, as always. We won with Cincinnati last week, and while they looked terrific in their dismantling of the Bills, this number is also an overreaction due to that performance. Don't get me wrong, the Bengals are a very talented team ... just not quite as good as KC. 10* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
NINERS/EAGLES 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY The Niners and the Eagles are top two for total defense this season, with both sides allowing only just over 300 yards per game. San Fracncisco's third-string quarterback Brock Purdy has been putting up strong numbers, but now he'll face an Eagles team that held Daniel Jones to 135 passing yards in the divisional round. The Niners should have decent success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock. Under is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 playoff road games. Under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals +6 v. Bills | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* BENGALS/BILLS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY Buffalo might be the best team in the AFC, but this is a lot of points to give to a team as talented as the Bengals. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has been inconsistent lately. Sure, he has thrown 12 touchdown passes over the last four games, but also five interceptions in the last three. For the season, the Bills rank 31st in the NFL with 1.8 giveaways per game while Cincy ranks 8th with 1.5 takeaways per game. Bengals are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs UNDER 53 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* JAGS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The line total has gone up a couple of points since the opener, but I like the under here. Sure, Jacksonville's wild Wild Card win over the Chergers was a shootout, but do you expect Trevor Lawrence to throw four picks and four touchdown passes again? Jacksonville's defense has played a lot better doown the stretch than it did at the beginning of the season and KS's defense is somewhat underrated, with the offense stealing all the headlines. Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Kansas City won 27-17 when the two teams clashed back in November. I would not be surprised to see a similar scoreline today. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers -115 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -115 | 84 h 10 m | Show |
10* CHARGERS/JAGUARS NFL WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET I really like the Chargers here in Jacksonville Saturday night. The Jags have struggled against the pass all season long (28th) and here they'll face a Chargers team that averages 269.6 passing yards per game (3rd). The Chargers had won four on the bounce before losing at Denver in the regular season finale, after knowing they had already secured a wild-card spot. Jacksonville surged down the stretch as well after opening the season 2-6, but I have the Chargers as the much better team. Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* PLAY ON LA CHARGERS. |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers OVER 49 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* LIONS/PACKERS MAX BET The Lions are 10-6 to the over on the season and over is 13-6 in Lions last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Packers are coming off a 41-17 win over Minnesota, and their offense has been heating up at exactly the right time. Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games in January. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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01-08-23 | Rams +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - RAMS/SEAHAWKS MAX BET The Rams are banged up but still battling. They have lost eight of their last 10 games straight up, but they are 4-2 ATS in their last six and I think we'll get an honest effort from them here against a Seattle team that needs a win to maintain their hopes earning a wild-card spot. Seattle is not fully healthy either, and its top three running backs all missed practice time this week. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Seahawks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up win. 10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. |
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01-01-23 | Browns v. Commanders -2.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 35 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BIG BET ALERT Deshaun Watson's return from suspension has not had nearly the positive impact that the Browns would've hoped for. They've been held to 10, 13, and 10 points over their last three games and here they'll face a Washington team that ranks fourth in the NFL for total defense. Washington gave up 37 points at the Niners last week, but they were only marginally outgained. The Browns are eliminated from the playoffs while the Commanders must win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I don't care whether Taylor Heinicke or Carson Wentz quarterbacks the Commanders, their defense, and their running game should get them the win and cover. 10* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. |
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12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals UNDER 40.5 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
NFC TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* BUCS/CARDINALS BEST BET I expect the Bucs defense to step up in a big way after giving up 30+ points in back-to-back weeks. Arizona is already eliminated from postseason contention and will be starting third-string quarterback Trace McSorley. As fort the Bucs offense, they've not looked right all season and under is 8-1 in Buccaneers last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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12-24-22 | Giants +4 v. Vikings | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - GIANTS/VIKES BEST BET Last week, Minnesota came back from a 33-0 deficit to beat the Colts and win yet another one-score game. The Giants are coming off a 20-12 win at Washington and are coming into this game holding the No. 6 spot in the NFC. The Vikes have clinched a playoff spot, and while they might find a way to win this one outright, I like the Giants to cover. Giants are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC. 10* PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | Top | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 53 h 6 m | Show |
10* COWBOYS/JAGS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a potential flat spot for the Cowboys following four straight wins and with the Eagles on deck next week. The Jags are only 5-8 on the season but can still win the division. so they'll show up. The Cowboys are relying on their running game to move the ball rather than their passing game but the Jags run defense is decent and I think they'll keep this close. 10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* NON CONFERENCE BEST BET ATS The Vikings are 10-3 on the season, but they've been fairly lucky being on the right side in several one-score games and here they'll face Colts team that will be looking to pick up the pieces following a 54-19 loss at Dallas two weeks ago. They kept it close until getting outscored 33-0 in the final period, and they've had extra time to prepare for this one. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Vikings are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 10* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers +4 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 41 h 12 m | Show |
10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH ATS - PANTHERS/SEAHAWKS BEST BET The Seahawks are 0-3 ATS in their last three games and failed to cover the last two as favorites. They won by only four points against the extremely banged up LA Rams and now they'll face a Panthers team that has been playing well lately, going 5-1 ATS in their last six games. The Panthers defense has been playing at a very high level, and I do not see the Seahawks pulling away. 10* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams +6.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
10* RAIDERS/RAMS T.N.F. TOP PLAY The Rams will need to keep relying on their backups at many positions as the injuries are mounting up. Still, that was the case last week as well when they lost by only four points as a seven-point underdog to Seattle last week, and I think they can keep it close here as well against a Raiders team that is in a potential flat spot following three straight wins, two as underdogs. Raiders are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. |
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12-04-22 | Browns v. Texans OVER 46.5 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/TEXANS BEST BET We should see fireworks here as Deshaun Watson returns to Houston, but this time quarterbacking the Cleveland Browns instead of the Texans. The Browns have averaged a respectable 23.9 points per game (11th) even without Watson and he'll no doubt be fired up for this one. Houston is not exactly known for putting points on the board, but expect the offense to bring it here to keep up with Watson. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions -110 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* JAGS/LIONS BEST BET ATS I expect a letdown game for the Jags following their upset win against Baltimore last week. The Jaguars are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win, 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Lions are on a 4-0 run ATS and they've had extra time to prepare since taking on Buffalo on Thanksgiving. The Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
BILLS/PATS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and here they'll face a Pats team that has played well in recent weeks. The Patriots have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they look to avenge last a 47-17 loss to the Bills in last season's playoffs. The Pats are not putting up a ton of points, but they are well coached and their defense rarely lets them down. 10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. |
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11-28-22 | Steelers +3 v. Colts | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
STEELERS/COLTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Steelers took a 37-30 loss as a 3.5-point home underdog against Cincinnati last week. They rarely fail to cover the spread two games in a row though. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Colts are having a tough season and they are 1-4 in their last five games. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. 10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. |
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11-27-22 | Ravens -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NFL ATS GAME OF THE MONTH - RAVENS/JAGS 10* BEST BET The Ravens are on a roll, coming into this game on a four-game winning streak and 7-3 over their last 10 games. They held Carolina to three points and just over 200 yards last week and they sacked Carolina quarterback Baker Mayfield four times. Now, they'll face a Jacksonville team that has been limited to 17 points in three of its last four games. The Jags have had extra time to prepare as they're coming off their bye week, but I think they'll find it extremely hard to put up points against this Ravens D. 10* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings UNDER 42.5 | Top | 26-33 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Total Game of the Month - Pats/Vikes 10* BEST BET The Vikes took a 40-3 home loss to Dallas last week. I expect a much better performance from their defense here, but their offense might struggle again against a Pats defense that held the Jets to three points and 103 yards of total offense in a 10-3 win last week. Under is 14-3 in Patriots last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
Top-rated 10* 49ers/Cardinals M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER The Niners may not be built to blow teams out of the water, but I think they match up well against the Cardinals. Arizona QB Kyler Murray missed last week's game with a hamstring injury, and if he takes the field here he'll be running for his life against the best defense in the NFL. Murray was a limited participant in practice this week, as was backup QB Colt McCoy who led the team to an upset win against the Rams last week. Following that win, I would not be surprised to see the Cards come out flat tonight. 49ers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Monday games. Cardinals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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11-20-22 | Raiders v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 33 m | Show |
NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* RAIDERS/BRONCOS BEST BET The Broncos and the Raiders might be two of the most disappointing teams this season. The Broncos took a 17-10 loss at Tennesee last week but they are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Raiders are 0-5 SU on the road this season and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record (Denver is 2-2 at home). 10* PLAY ON DENVER BRONCOS. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills UNDER 49.5 | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 25 m | Show |
NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/BILLS BEST BET The Bills put up 30 points on Minnesota last week but still lost the game. It was an uncharacteristically poor performance defensively from the Bills who are 7-2 to the under on the season while holding opponents to 16.8 ppg. The Browns have been held to 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-17-22 | Titans +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TITANS/PACKERS T.N.F. TOP PLAY The Packers came from behind to beat Dallas last week, but I'm still not sold on this team at all. While the Packers have been overvalued for most of the season, the betting market has been undervaluing the Titans all season long and they have covered the spread in seven straight games, winning six of those outright. The Packers are awful against the run, and the Titans have the second-leading rusher in the league in Derrick Henry. 10* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS |
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11-13-22 | Chargers v. 49ers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
CHARGERS/NINERS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK The Niners are coming off their bye week. The under is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games following a bye week and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Chargers put up only 20 points on a below-average Atlanta defense last week, and now they'll face one of the best defensive units in the league. It's also worth noting that the Niners are one of the slowest teams in the league at 29.7 seconds per play, and I expect them to hold the ball for the majority of the game. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys -5 v. Packers | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 59 m | Show |
NFC GAME OF THE YEAR ATS - 10* MAJOR WAGER The Packers are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak. They're extremely banged up and here they'll face a Dallas team that is coming out of their bye week and put up 49 points on Chicago last time out. The Packers have struggled to stop the run all season long and Dallas is averaging a respectable 4.7 yards per carry (13th) and 28.1 rushing attempts per game (10th). 10* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +110 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
RAVENS/SAINTS M.N.F. 10* TOP PLAY This looks like a good spot to back the Saints to build on a dominant 24-0 win against Vegas last week. They're at home for a second straight week while Baltimore will play on the road for a second straight week after winning at Tampa Bay on October 27. Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Ravens are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. 10* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS. |
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11-06-22 | Titans v. Chiefs UNDER 46 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
TITANS/CHIEFS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK The Titans are 5-2 to the under on the season and they've allowed 10 points in each of their last two games. The Chiefs beat the Niners 44-23 on October 23, but the under is 12-3-1 in Chiefs last 16 games following a bye week. The Titans held Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs to three points when they faced off last season. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill missed Thursday's practice and was limited on Friday. He was listed as questionable on the Friday injury report. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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11-06-22 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 9-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* PACKERS/LIONS TOP PLAY The Lions are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak, but the Packers are in almost equally rough shape coming off four straight losses. This is the Packers' third straight game away from home while the Lions have remained home in Detroit since a 31-27 home loss to Miami last week. Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings. 10* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. |
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11-03-22 | Eagles -13.5 v. Texans | Top | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* EAGLES/TEXANS T.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER I'm still not 100% sold on the Eagles, but they are looking more and more like the real deal. They are running the ball very well, and this could get ugly for the Texans who rank dead last against the run. Additionally, the Texans are beat up on defense and their offense is just terrible. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games. 10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA EAGLES. |