I want to get this one out now as the line is jumping.

I am taking Michigan State to destroy Illinois today. This one shouldnt even be close.

I am taking Portland at home tonight over Phoenix. A lot of love out there tonight for the Suns but Portland has been in lock down mode on their home court. Portlands defense at home is #1 in the NBA and that is the deciding factor in this pick tonight. At in the revenge factor for a 5 point loss in Phoenix you have your ingredients for a home court cover.

Need to get this one in before the deadline but I am taking Louisville on the road tonight in Miami. Line is heading in the right direction with heavy money on Miami at home. We are going to follow the money tonight.

I see some love out there today for Creighton but I just do not see it. Creighton is 1-9 in their last 10 and lost by 15 to Georgetown in Georgetown earlier in the month. I believe Georgetown will win straight up and I do not see this only being a 1 point game. Looking at common opponents Georgetown beat Villanova by 20 and Creighton lost to Nova by 21. Creighton lost to Marquette and Georgetown beat them by 10 with both teams playing Marquette at Marquette.

I see Georgetown winning by at least 5 in this one.

Torornto has struggled against the spread as of late but I think they can cover the 3 tonight in Indiana. Toronto beat Indiana by 12 in Toronto and have outscored the Pacers by 10 points per game. I believe the linesmakers put this at 3 for people to believe its a trap and to bet the Pacers. The Raptors dominate Indiana in every category except defensive rebounds so you have to give a very strong edge to the Raptors. Toronto is heathy and with other Eastern Powerhouses struggling, they know this is their year to make a run.

I am backing Green Bay to make this a great game this afternoon. I believe they can win this game so I think 8.5 is a gift.

I am putting out my Game of the week today on Iowa State. Iowa State has outscored their opponents by over 12 points a game and being at home over Kansas is a huge deal. Iowa State has actually been playing better on the road then at home so I see them putting in maximum effort today in front of the home town faithful. This should be a great game.

Been watching this one all day and its time to make our move. I think this one is about to pop with heavy sharp money coming in on the Wiz.  

I am going to take Milwaukee in this Thursday afternoon affair. The NY Knicks continue to be in sad shape even with the man they wanted in the front office running the show. Basically everyone but Amare on the trading and block so why show up today? The Knicks are 13-26 ATS and have been outscored by 9 points per game. Milwaukee Just beat the Knicks by 13 on their home court so they should be able to cover the 6 today at home.

Call me crazy because I know Philly is brutal but they have been playing a lot better as of late. Philly has been losing by an average of 12.6 points per game and only lost to Atlanta by 18 the other night. Yes its sad saying only lost by 18 but that is actually not bad against the Hawks as bad as they have played this year. Im taking a shot at this one tonight with even money.

Golden State enters Utah tonight with the highest scoring offense in the league. Golden State has outscored their opponents by an average of 11 points per game and I see them beating up on Utah tonight. Golden State has outscored Utah by 13 points per game this season and actually beat them by 13 the first time out at home to cover the 12 point spread. Golden State dominates Utah in almost every statistical category and is just the better team. 

I am backing VCU on the road over Road Island. Line is going in the right direction on this one.

Backing the Lakers at home tonight over Orlando.

Wanted to see if this would jump to 3 before I made my play. Knew LSU was the wrong play last night and had to bail so really needed to see that push to 3 in our favor.

I love this LSU team and I love them in Missouri tonight. Missouri has struggled in conference and I think 2 points is to little for this LSU team that has outscored their opponents by over 10 points a game this season.

Taking Memphis tonight to cover.

I am taking Buffalo tonight -6

I am taking Detroit to cover tonight in San Antonio.

Taking Denver tonight over Dallas. Write Up Shortly

I am taking Michigan State to romp Indiana tonight at home

I liked BYU in this one all day but I was waiting to see what the line would do. BYU on the road is the play over SF for the late game on Saturday night.

Taking Washington

Taking Dallas over Boston tonight.

Taking UCLA

I am taking Oregon State to beat UC-SB tonight.

Takinbg Green Bay at home by a TD

Taking Carolina and their defense

Taking San Diego and the points

Taking Atlanta

Revenge game in ful effect in ths one. I like Georgia Tech straight up but I will take the points in this one as Dayton cant cover a spread

I am taking New England -9 Over the Jets

I am taking West Virginia on the road Over NC State

Taking South Alabama tonight

I will be backing Houston today. Lots of stuff today so I will limit the write ups.

I am taking Pacific at home tonight over Nevada.

Write up later

I have to back Dallas tonight on the road over Detroit. I know there is a lot of love for this Detroit team tonight but I cant figure out why. Dallas has outscored their opponents by 7.3 PPG and average 17 PPG more then Detroit. Detroit is also 8-17 ATS on the season. I see an absolute blow out in this one tonight and I will be backing Dallas. 

I am going to be backing Cleveland at home tonight over Atlanta. Both teams are playing really well right now with Cleveland winning 9 of their last 11 and Atlanta 10 of their last 11. This should be a very good Eastern Division matchup that Cleveland needs to win. Cleveland needs to get better in the rebound category as they are the third worst team in the league. 

Lets get this one tonight

I am taking MTSU and the points tonight. I had circled this game and now im watching the line move as well. The play on this One is MTSU 

I am going to take South Alabama and the points. I just do not see Pepperdine 11 points better, even with South Alabama traveling west. South Alabama has had trouble covering on the road but they are playing much better of late. Line is already moving on this one so sharp money is definately on South Alabama.

I am taking The Kicks at home and the points

I am taking Indy over Houson by a Touchdown

A lot of love out there for Buffalo today but im not buying it.

I am taking Sacramento over Detroit at home. 

I am backing Nebraska tonight over Cincinatti.

I am taking Kansas at Home over Utah

I am taking Houston tonight on the road against Sacramento. Sacramento has come back down to earth after their hot start. Sacramento has lost 6 of their last 8 while Houston has won 4 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10 on the road. Houston is a top road team and has owned Sacramento winning 12 of their last 16 in Sacramento.

Really liking this Houston team tonight.  

I have absolutely no idea why Davidson is the dog in this game but we will find out soon enough. Both teams have outstanding defenses giving up 67 and 69 PPG but the offensive numbers are not even close. Davidon has the number 1 3 point shooting team in the country hitting 12 a game. Davidson also outscores Montana by 19 PPG. Mabe vegas doesnt see them traveling well but Davidson should roll on the road in this one.

Arkansas State is in for a very rude awakening at Purdue tonight. Their last 2 games were at Belhaven and Central Arkansas and now travel to face the Boilermakers. Purdue is 7-2 on the year and 3-1 ATS at home. Arkansas State has only played 4 games so far this season and are 2-2. Their 2 losses they kept close but they were not playing a Purdue. Purdue will win this one by 20. 

I am taking UTEP tonight on the road over Nex Mexico State. UTEP is a very good road team going 2-0 ATS and 9-3 SU in their last 12. New Mexico has struggled over the years with UTEP going 8-15 in their last 23.

Taking Butler at home today over Northwestern.

Dallas in another game where I wanted to watch the line and its beginning to pop to 6 at some books. Dallas is the highest scoring team in the NBA and I am really looking at the point differential in this one. Dallas has outscored their opponents by an average of 8 points and I have to add another 3 to that for home court tonight. Phoenix playing as well as they have being a 6 poin dog tells me the play is Dallas.

Should have taking this at 6 but wanted to see what the line would do when Howard was ruled out. Houston has the numer 1 defense in the NBA and Minnesota has the second worst dense in the NBA. When both teams average within 1 point of each other. Its a no brainer to see Houston is the play. Houston is also the numer 1 3 point shooting team so far this season averaging 12.1 threes per game. Minnesota is the second worst in 3 pointers in the league and going up against this defense, they wi9ll have a tough time staying in this one.

Houston should walk away with a double digit win in this one. 

I am putting out a top play on Virginia tonight on the road in Maryland. Two 7-0 teams facing off in this primetime game. This should be a really good team but #8 Virginia should cover this with ease. Virginia has the second best defense in the league holding opponents to 43.6 PPG. They also hold their opponents to the third worst field gola % at 30.1% PG. Virginia also has a 23.3 Point Differential per game. Maryland can score but they havnt faces a defense like this one all season. Virginia is 4-1 ATS and 2-0 ATS on the road. Maryland is 1-3-1 ATS at home this season.

I missed this one when it was 3 and I hope it doesnt come back and bite us. Need to get this one out now

I am going to roll with 6-0 Northern Iowa at home this afternoon against 2-2 Richmond. I have this game capped at 10 so we have great value here.

I am going to ride with the Skins today with Colt Mccoy. 

I am going to take the juice and get Balty at -6. Baltimore at home vs a decimated San Diego team on the road. This one should be very lopsided.

Major revenge after last year win for Alabama.  I think this one will be an absolute blow out as Alabama must win and must put on a showcase for the voters. 

Goling to play New Orleans and the points tonight

Wisconsin is on a mission and I do not see the Golden Gophers slowing down this offensive attack this afternoon.

I am going to take Umass and the points. I dont see this spread being as high as 7 so I have to take the live road dog in this spot.

I am taking Troy and the points at home.

I just do not see Ole Miss making this one a game.

Full Write up later

Taking Charlotte plus the points in this one.

Taking San Fran

Taking Detroit -7 in the early game

I want to get this one in before it goes to -7/-7.5. Memphis right now is one of the best teams in the NBA. They have absolutely dismantled teams this season as they have one of the best defenses in the NBA. Kobe s going to need 50 tonight to keep this close. Memphis is absolutely rolling right now winning by an average of 8 PPG. LA on the other hand is brutal losing by almost 10 PPG. LA looked like they were making progress then they got blown out by Dallas and lost to Denver. 

Memphis is by far the better team and LA is 1-6 at home so I do noy see home court mattering much.

I am coming right back with Iowa State today over Maryland. Iowa State beat a decent Alabama club yesterday by 10 points, while Maryland covered against ASU. I just dont see anyone slowing down this ISU team that is averaging 86 points per game and were the big 12 champs a year ago. Maryland has played some weak opponents so far this season while ISU has beat some very good teams early in the season. I think this game should be -8 but since Maryland is 4-0, they are way over valued right now. 

I am putting out a top play today on the Pelicans at home over the Kings. Both of these teams have similar numbers and I knoe people with say the Kings have the revnge factor but this game isnt in Sacramento. New Orleans went out there 10 days ago and beat them by 6 on their home floor. New Orleans is 4-1 at home and I do not see them struggling to cover this spread tonight.

I am going to play #14 Iowa State at home to cover the spread over Alabama. Both teams are undefeated to start the year but this is the first test for both teams. Iowa State is a very good scoring team averaging 89 PPG. Iowa State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 and Alabama is 2-6 in their last 8 vs the big 12. I think this will be close for a while but Iowa State will pull away in the end.

I am going to take Phoenix +5 in Toronto tonight

I am taking Texas A&M over New Mexico today. Cullen Neal is out for New Mexico which will have a tremendous effect on that team.

I am going to take Tampa Bay and the points vs a bad Chicago team that already given up

Taking Minnesota +9 at home this afternoon

I am going to jump on this one now as it has already climbed a point and I see it going to 11. San Antonio at home is a very very good team and Brooklyn isnt very good and on the road they are even worse. San Antonios defense is going to lockthem down and make them shoot from the outside where Brooklyn really struggles. The Nets are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 meetings.

I am taking Cleveland tonight over Toronto. Toronto is 10-2 and they are a dog at a 5-6 Cleveland team? This is telling me that Cleveland is expected to win this game tonight.  Cleveland has lost their last 3 games and Toronto has won 8 of their last 9. No reason for the Cavs to be favorites in this spot. Vegas isnt rich from bad lines so I am going to ride with Cleveland.

Ole Miss needs this game to show they really belong up top after the loss last week to Alabama. Arkansas is flying high after their big win so this is definately a let down spot for them.

I will be taking Kansas State tonight over Long Beach State

Im going to keep this one very simple. What do you do when you have 2 awful teams that cant play defense? Take the home team. Charlotte is coming back home after playing 5 of their last 6 on the road. They got beaten soundly out west but lost by 2 and puched in Indiana. Charlotte is definately the better team and I see them covering the 4 at home tonight. 

One early hoops action for me today as I take Seton Hall to dismantle Nevada. Seton Hall beat up on a decent Mercer team the oter night covering the 11.5 with ease. Seton Hall plays an in your face up tempo defense which I absolutely love with Angel Delgado crashing the boards. Nevada has played both games at home so far and they did not look good Vs Adams State last time out. If they can only beat that School by 5 at home after being up 11 at the half, they will have difficulties with Seton Hall tonight.

I am going to take UAB at home tonight over South Florida. I just have to go with my number here and I have UAB as a 5 point favorite. My numbers have been good so far this season so I need to continue following them. South Florida is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as well. There are a lot of useless trends people use but when a team has an issue covering the spread and they are playing on the road it comes in very useful.  How many thought we were cooked last night when Utah State went down 18-3 quickly. Its all about the numbers and if we keep solid numbers,we will come out on top. 

We are going to go against the public play on UC Davis and take Eastern Illinois at home. UC Davis is 3-10-1 in their last 14 road games. EIU leads in every statistical category between these 2 teams on paper and they have the better bench. I expect OLivier to go off tonight so I have to back EIU in this spot.

I am taking this one as I have this line way higher then was released. I have this game set at -17 so this line is giving us very good value. Cleveland State is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27. JV State has been blown out in their first 2 games and is averaging 47 points a game while giving up over 80. I do not see any area where JV State is equal or better the Cleveland here. This line will definately climb so lets get on this one now.

I am taking Florida State tonight at home over Northeastern. I have this game tonight capped at around 13 so I see us getting great value. Northeastern struggled their first time out on a neutral floor against BU and didnt cover the spread. I do not see the fairing well at Florida State with the Seminoles high powered offense. They had their top 5 guys all in double figures against Manhattan.  

I will be following the money and taking Sacramento State plus the points

On of the syndicates I watch just hit this one very heavy.

I know this is a very public pick but I am still seeing value. I have this game capped at -28. Both of these teams are good defensive teams and I think that is why the line is this low. Arizona  State isnt Division 2 Trinity College who Bethune beat up on. Last time out Arizona State held Chicago State to 50 points and they are division 1. I just cant see BC traveling out their and competing in this one. Its all up to Mikel Trapp for BC, if Arizona shuts him down this will be a 30 point win. 

This is another one I think is to low as I have Ill-Chicago -7 at home over Western Illinois. Western Illinois is just a very bad team. Dont get me wrong neither one of these teams are power houses but Western Illinois just lost to a very bad Pacific team at home while Ill-Chicago went to Depaul and only lost by one point. Western Illinois is 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games. Where I really see a big difference in that first game in FT% Western Illinois hit 55% while UIC hit 83%. That is a stat that I must watch tonight. 

I am burying this one right now. Hope I do not get caught by this line being low for a reason. I do not see how the Hornets can score points to keep up with this Mavs team. Dallas averages 13 more points a game then Charlotte with basically the same defensive numbers for both teams. Dallas is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Charlotte. I have to back the stronger Western Conference in this one.

No Comment

I dont usually take huge favs but I have this one set at -27. I dont see any reason why Cal wont roll over this team and the money and line movement is showing me the same thing. 

I love this spot for Missouri. Valpo getting a lot of love after their win the other night.

I am going to take the points on this one. Pacific has won 7 out of the last 10 meetings between these 2 Schools. I just cant see UCI winning by 17 points in this one. I have it at -12 and I have watched this line go from -13.5 to -16.5. No way I am following the money on this one. Maybe a dumb move but I just dont see it.

Taking Charlotte now that F Willie Clayton is playing. They are superior to Elon.

No comment

I will be taking Denver -8.5 now that the Rams have been hammered. I do not see this going down to -8 so this is where we are going to play it. Heavy money coming in on the Rams at home but I am not buying the hype. Denver rolls. 

I will be taking UTEP tonight over North Texas. UTEP at home is a much better team. Aaron Jones is probably for UTEP and that is what I was waiting for before pulling the trigger on this one. I do not see this game at -7 but -10. This is giving us great value on this game.

I am taking Florida State Over Miami.

I am taking SE Missouri State + the points