Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-24-24 | Phillies v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Reds. We base our picks on many different things. We're giving this one the old "eye test" here, as we don't feel there's any need to overthink it. We're expecting a classic "duel" here between two starters that enter on top form, and because of that, we're going to recommend a play on the "under" here. The Phillies hand the ball to Spencer Turnbull (2-0, 1.23 ERA), while the home side counters with Nick Lodolo (2-0, 0.75.) Regression will happen at some point obviously, but everything points to a classic "duel" here in our opinion. Look for these two starters to "take center stage" and to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-23-24 | Mets v. Giants -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing well of late. Each starter has done well to to open the season, but we're expecting Luis Severino to finally take a step back here on the road. Severino is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA this year, but this is his first road game. The Mets have won five straight series, but they dropped the opener of this one last night, and we like San Fran to build off that victory with Logan Webb (2-1, 2.93 ERA) on the hill. Webb has the clear advantage throwing at home here, so much so in our opinion, that it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BIG-CHALK) Two teams that are surging collide here. Two starting pitchers that have gotten out to decent starts as well go head-to-head. Despite that though, we still feel that the 12-10 Blue Jays are the ones getting a little TOO much respect here on the road vs. the 13-9 Royals. Each team is doing well on the mound, and at the plate, but we just can't understate how important we feel that the home-field advantage will prove for Brady Singer (2-0, 1.54 ERA vs. his counterpart today in Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 2.08.) Toronto just had its win streak snapped in last night's 5-3 loss at San Diego and we say this is a "letdown" spot here now in the opener of this AL series in this difficult road venue; lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs with the Royals on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-21-24 | Rangers +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* Rangers runline (ASSASSIN) After two straight losses to open this series, we like the Rangers to, at the very least, take the finale "right down to the wire," meaning that the "runline option" becomes the savvy call in our opinion. Michael Lorenzen is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after shutting out the Tigers over five innings in his last outing. He's off a career-high 153 innings last year. The Braves counter with Darius Vines, who is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA after allowing one run over four innings in a win over Houston. He's filling in for Spencer Strider for at least one more start, and regression feels/seems imminent to us now moving forward. Look for the revenge-minded visiting side to fight tooth and nail; the play is Texas on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-20-24 | Brewers v. Cardinals -119 | Top | 12-5 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (TOP REVENGE PLAY) We like the Cards to break their two-game slide and to avenge yesterday's series-opening loss. DL Hall (0-1, 7.11 ERA) goes for Milwaukee and he most recently allowed five runs off eight hits including three dingers over just three innings in a fortunate no-decision. The home side counters with Miles Mikolas (1-2, 5.82), who will hope to get some run support here finally after his team has scored a total of four runs in three of his four starts. Mikolas is 9-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 career appearances vs. Milwaukee; look for St. Louis to figure out a way to bounce back here as we think Mikolas at home at this price in this matchup is fantastic! AAA sports |
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04-19-24 | Tigers v. Twins -143 | 5-4 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
8* Twins (MISMATCH) After four straight losses, we like the Twins to dig deep here and to find a way to deliver vs. their division rival here at home. These teams split four games in Detroit last week. The Tigers go with Joe Flaherty (0-1, 4.91 ERA), while the home side counters with Joe Ryan (0-1, 2.60.) Flaherty is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two career starts vs. the Twins, while Ryan is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Tigers. At this price, Ryan and the Twins are the correct call here at home! AAA Sports |
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04-18-24 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Angels/Rays (ASSASSIN) These two teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including the first two of this series which they've split, but all signs finally point to a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion, as each side will be leaning on these capable starters to go deep. Neither has looked great to open the season, but with a couple of awkward games under their belts, we're looking for each to settle down here. The Angels turn to Griffin Canning, who is 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA, while the home side counters with Ryan Pepiot, who is 1-2, with a 5.40 ERA. Canning is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four career games vs. the Rays, who has had one good start and two pedestrian ones. He's never faced the Angels. However, when taking into account the overall situational factors listed above, and also noting that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these two hungry starters to battle into the latter frames and then also look for this total to stay well "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-17-24 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Angels/Rays (AL NON-DIV TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating a much lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday. LA goes with Reid Detmers, who is 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, while the home side counters with Zach Littell, who is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with each game going well "over" the posted total, but with these two red hot hurlers squaring off and throwing deep into the latter frames against each other like we envision, the correct call as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-17-24 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10* Blue Jays runline (AL EAST GOM) *Note, we also like Toronto on the moneyline. We have an important early season divisional American League East getaway game North of the border between the Yanks and the Jays and despite the slow start for Kevin Gausman so far this season, we think the veteran will finally settle down here and we actually think that the value in this game is on the Blue Jays. Divisional games are always the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Toronto has taken the first two games of this series and now we look for the Jays to comoplete the sweep. Kevin Gausman hasn't suddenly forgot how to pitch and his first two starts are just outliers in our opinion (Gausman is 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA and 1.93 WHIP.) But Gausman has been one of the league's top 5 pitchers the last two years. He did lose to the Yanks in his opening start, and then in his last start he got roughed up by the Rockies. But the public saw that and has seen him struggle to start overall, but we're in the camp that believe's that there's a big overreaction now and the value has swung the other way (remember, Gausman had a 3.08 ERA at home last year. We're not taking anything away from Marcus Stroman on the Yanks (he's facing his former team in the Jays here again) as he's 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA. The bottom line here though is that we just think the public is too quick to back the Yankees still after their quick start and we're also not going to OVERREACT to Gausman's shaky start; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-16-24 | Reds v. Mariners -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams are in need of a win, but Seattle more so. The Reds wins this year have come against sub-par teams. They swept the White Sox over the weekend, then fell 9-3 in last night's opener. That victory snapped a two-game slide for the hungry Mariners, who will look to keep the momentum rolling here with what we feel is for sure a starting pitching mismatch that works in their favor. The Reds go with Hunter Greene (0-1, 4.86 ERA), while the Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert (0-0, 2.66). At this price, we feel that BEST OF THE BEST call here as far as a side is concerned, is for sure on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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04-16-24 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/D-Backs. These two teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a slug-fest here on Tuesday finally in our opinion. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in four straight after last night's 3-2 win here to open the series. Note that Arizona has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The D-Backs have now seen the total dip "under" in three straight, but note that Arizona has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Kyle Hendricks is 0-2 with a 12.08 ERA for Chicago, while Tommy Henry is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA for the D-Backs. Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-15-24 | Reds v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Reds/Mariners (IL TOW) We're expecting some offensive fireworks here between the Reds and Mariners on Monday night. Cincinnati goes with Frankie Montas, while Seattle counters with George Kirby. We like each starter and aren't reading too much into either's early results. That said, the overall situation points to a slug-fest in our opinion. Seattle has now seen the total go "under" in six straight after its second straight loss to the Cubs last night. Despite that though, note that the Mariners have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Will be a nice night in the PNW and we're finally expecting these talented hitting line-ups to take center stage; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-15-24 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -107 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Jays (ASSASSIN) The Jays are 8-8 and the Yanks are 12-4. Chris Bassitt (1-2, 5.06 ERA) gets the call for Toronto and he'll be opposed by Luis Gil (0-0, 3.00.) The Yanks are off an 8-7 loss at Cleveland we think they'll stumble again here vs. the Jays, who took two of three from Colorado over the weekend, including yesterday's matchup by a score of 5-0. New York is primed for a letdown here, so give us Bassitt at home to continue to settle down and find his stride; the play is indeed on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-14-24 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (DUEL) These teams have been involved in a few high-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to more of a "duel" here in our opinion on Sunday in the finale of this divisional three-game series from Houston. Texas is 8-6 and Houston is 4-11. The first two games of this series have gone "over" the number, but note that Houston has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. The Astros did finally break their four-game slide with yesterday's victory. Two starters that are sizzling hot to open the new season go head-to-head and we're expecting them to take center stage here for this one and duel deep into the latter frames. Nate Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 1.45 ERA for the Rangers, while Christian Javier is 1-0 with a 1.10 ERA for the Astros. Everything finally points to a "duel;" the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-14-24 | Giants -118 v. Rays | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
10* Giants (IL GOW) Blake Snell and the Giants are going to find a way to get the job done here in Tampa in our opinion. San Francisco bounced back from it series-opening 2-1 loss here to win 11-2 yesterday and we expect the visitors to keep that offensive momentum rolling hee to close it out. Snell is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing three runs over three innings in an 8-1 loss to the Nationals in his team debut on Monday. Perhaps he got caught looking ahead to this one? Who knows. Either way, Snell will be fine. Last year he faced the Rays with the Padres and he allowed two hits with 12 K's over six shutout frames. Shawn Armstrong (0-1, 5.68) counters for the home side, and he'll quickly make way for Tyler Alexander (0-0, 8.68.) Look for Snell to bounce back in familiar surroundings, as this is a major mismatch on the mound; lay the short price with confidence, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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04-14-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies (BLOWOUT) We had a play on the "over" in the Phillies' 4-3 win and while that pick came up short, we're now finally expecting a "slug-fest" here on Sunday. Philly has now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. But that fact has only helped in driving today's O/U line a little bit lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Pittsburgh's now seen the total go "under" in four straight. Mitch Keller is an unremarkable 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA for the Pirates. Philly will look to take advantage here and plate some runs for starter Zach Wheeler, who is 0-2 with a 1.89 ERA so far. Regardless, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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04-13-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies. These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much higher-scoring shootout here finally between the Pirates and the Phillies on Saturday afternoon. The Pirates have seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, including in their 5-2 win here yesterday (Philadelphia won the opener by a score of 5-1.) The Phillies have now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. All of these "unders" has helped in pushing this O/ line a bit lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Marco Gonzales is 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA for the Pirates. Gonzales has allowed just three runs over 11 innings of work, but regression seems imminent finally here in our opinion for the veteran. The Phillies counter with Spencer Turnbull, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He's coming off a no-decision vs. the Cards. In our opinion though, each starter is poised to "get the hook early" here, and that'll lead to these bullpens exploding and this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-13-24 | Yankees v. Guardians +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
10* Guardians runline Game 1 (ASSASSIN) Overall we're getting great value on the home side on the runline option here. Public perception about the Yanks has driven this line out of whack in our opinion. New York is 10-3, while Cleveland is 9-3. Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 4.66 ERA) gets the call for the Yankees and he's allowed five runs off 13 hits over nine innings this year. He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco (0-0, 4.50), who has conceded four runs over eight innings. We like Carrasco here at home, as we feel Scmidt will struggle in this difficult road venue. While we clearly feel an outright victory is possible, in the end we're laying this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-12-24 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | Top | 12-8 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
10* Astros (ASSASSIN) The Rangers' Dane Dunning is 1-1, while Houston's JP France is 0-1. Texas has lost four of its last five, including a 1-0 loss to the A's yesterday. Dunning has a 4.15 ERA over 13 innings. The Astros' starting rotation is ravaged with injury, which has led to their 4-9 start to the season. France has a 4.76 ERA over his first two starts, striking out nine over 11.1 innings of work. These teams have already faced each other, which gives France the upper hand now here at home. The Rangers are tanking big time and we expect the hungry home side to finally bounce back in this favorable spot; lay the price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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04-11-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies. Both teams, especially the Phillies, have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here in the opener of this one. Pittsburgh is 9-3, while Philly is 6-6. The Pirates just had their three-game win streak snapped in the 5-3 home loss to Detroit two nights ago. They've been alternating overs with unders over their last eight games, and off the low-scoring loss just last night, we're absolutely expecting this pattern to continue. This is the start of four straight here in Philly. The PHililes have been alternating wins/losses over their last five games. Off a 4-3 win at ST. Louis yesterday, they'll be eager to break that pattern here at home in the opener of this one. Regardless, the Phillies have seen the total go "under" in seven straight now. But now we definitely feel the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. This is an ACTION play, meaning whoever gets the start for either team, this play will be valid. Pittsburgh goes with Jared Jones (1-1, 3.86 ERA), while Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez (1-0, 4.09.) Can't fault either guy, as they've been decent so far, but the overall situation, combined with the trends definitely point to this one being a "slug-fest" finally in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-10-24 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/Rangers (AL WEST TOY) We have two really good starters going head-to-head here and we believe they'll battle each other DEEP into the latter innings, alleviating the pressure off the bullpens. Ross Stripling is 0-2 with a 3.75 ERA for the Athletics. He's been great in his first two starts, last time out he gave up one run over seven innings, striking out three and walking none in an unfortunate loss to the Red Sox. The A's offense was shutout in that one for the second time in its previous three games. That offense will find it difficult again today facing Rangers' starter Cody Bradford, who is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.47 WHIP. With each of these starters taking "center stage" like we suspect in this one, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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04-09-24 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER White Sox/Guardians (AL CENTRAL TOY) These two teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating a bit of a "slug-fest" here on Tuesday. Chicago has lost five straight, and the last four have all gone "under." That includes yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss here. Note though that despite this being a new season, it's still significant to note that the ChiSox have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a shutout divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Chicago is just 1-9, but Cleveland is 8-2. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Guardians have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starters are decent, with Mike Soroka (0-1, 4.91 ERA) going for the visitors, and Logan Allen (2-0, 2.31) going for the home side, but despite who gets the start here, the overall situation, combined with the above listed trends, finally point to this total fying "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-08-24 | Nationals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Nationals/Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head to open this series, we're anticipating a bit of a slug-fest and for this total to ultimately eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Nationals are just 3-6, while the Giants are only 4-6. The Nats are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Trevor Williams is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA for the Nationals, while Blake Snell is making his season debut here. He's looked good in Spring, but the overall situation points to this total sneaking "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. San Francisco went 2-1 in its series vs. the Padres here over the weekend and all three games went "under" the number, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Giants have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is indeed low in our opinion, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-07-24 | Mariners v. Brewers -113 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
10* Brewers (NON-CONF BOB) Each team has won one game so far in this series, but here in the finale we feel the value swings to the home side to deliver the goods. The Mariners are 4-5 on the season, while the Brewers are 5-2. The Mariners got the 5-3 win yesterday, but they're still hitting just .211 collectively. Emerson Hancock gets the call for the Mariners and he's 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA after allowing three runs over five innings. The Brewers have a batting average of .267, which currently ranks eighth overall. Colin Rea is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA for the home side, and we feel he'll be the difference-maker here at home. Overall a really great price and spot for Milwaukee to bounce back in! AAA Sports |
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04-06-24 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NL GOM) Brandon Pfaadt is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA after his first start for the D-Backs, wihle Max Fried is 0-0 with a 40.50 ERA for the Braves. Fried couldn't get out of the first inning in his first start, but he's still considered to be one of the best pitchers in the World. That said, we're fully expecting Pfaadt to match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a contest like that, the value invariably swings to the undervauled underdog. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the talented visting side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-04-24 | Marlins +1.5 v. Cardinals | 5-8 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Marlins (RUNLINE DOMINATION) Let's not overreact to early results, for either players, or teams. That said, at 0-7 the Marlins will be looking to snap the slide here and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we'll recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Lance Lynn is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after throwing four scoreless innings vs. the Dodgers on Saturday. Lynn's start was cut short by rain. He's a pedestrian 4-3 with a 5.48 ERA in ten appearances vs. the Fish though. Miami counters with Ryan Weathers, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, forced into the rotation out of necessity. He most recentlh allowed three run over four innings in a 9-3 loss to the red hot Pirates on Saturday. In two career appearances vs. the Cards though he's given up two runs over five innings. We look for the desperate and winless Marlins to, at they very least, keep this one a one run ball game and cover with the spread option; the play is Miami on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-03-24 | Reds v. Phillies -182 | 4-1 | Loss | -182 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT) We feel that Philadelphia is worth the price of admission in this spot. The Phillies got a huge game out of Bryce Harper yesterday, as he hit a grand slam and drove in a career-best six runs in the 9-4 victory. Zach Wheeler is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after receiving an unfortunate no-decision after throwing six scoreless on Opening Day. He's 1-1 with a 3.22 ERA in six career starts vs. the Reds. Frankie Montas is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after also throwing six scoreless in a win over the Nationals. He's 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start vs. Philly though. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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04-03-24 | Royals v. Orioles -158 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (MISMATCH) The Orioles are 3-2 after yesterday's 4-1 loss here to KC, but we think that Baltimore will bounce back and deliver the goods in the getaway game. After this Baltimore has a day off before a lengthy road trip. KC is 2-3 and we think it gets caught looking ahead here to a four-game home series vs. the White Sox starting tomorrow. Cole Ragans is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA for the Royals, while Corbin Burnes is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA for the Orioles. Ragans sports a 1.33 WHIP, Burnes a 0.17. Give the nod to Burnes and Baltimore here and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-02-24 | Yankees v. Diamondbacks -111 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (REVENGE BEST OF BEST) The Yankees are 5-0 to open the season after last night's 5-2 series opening win. Other than their 7-1 Game 2 win at Houston, every game they've won has been tight. Nestor Cortes Jr. (0-0, 7.20 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Zac Gallen (1-0, 1.80 ERA) counters for the home side. Gallen is the correct call here in this revenge-scenario and at this price at home. Clearly Cortes Jr. has only one way to go after his poor opening performance, but we still feel the value is clearly on the home side in this particular situation; lay the short price with confidence, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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04-02-24 | Royals v. Orioles -162 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Orioles (ASSASSIN) The Royals are 1-3, and the Orioles are 3-1 after last night's 6-4 series-opening victory. We like Baltimore to find a way to deliver the goods here as well and think it's worth the price of admission in this matchup. Alec Marsh finished 3-9 with a 5.69 ERA in 17 games last year for the Royals. He was 0-2 with a 3.57 ERA in Spring. The home side counters with Cole Irvin, who was 1-4 with 4.42 ERA last year. He's 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA in five career starts vs. the Royals. Give us the surging home side and the superior starter to dominate from start to finish; the play is indeed on Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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04-01-24 | Tigers v. Mets -130 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Mets (IL GOM) The Tigers are 3-0 after sweeping the White Sox. Now they hit the road to play this interleague contest facing an 0-3 Mets side that lost three straight to Milwaukee over the weekend to open the 2024 season. It's a new season, but it's still significant to note that the Mets are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. At this price, we really like New York to bounce back finally. Reese Olson was 5-7 with a 3.99 ERA in 2023 for the Tigers, while Sean Manaea was 7-5 with a 4.44 ERA in 2023, making his Mets debut here. We like Manaea to deliver the goods and for New York to finally "get off the schneid!" AAA Sports |
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04-01-24 | Braves v. White Sox +205 | 9-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
8* White Sox (MLB MONEY) The bottom line here is, despite Charlie Morton's success vs. the White Sox in the past, we feel that Atlanta is severely overvalued here on the road, coming off a loss in Philadelphia and facing an 0-3 White Sox side. Morton shutout the White Sox in one start in 2023 over seven innings. But that was then, and this is now. Chris Flexen makes his debut for the White Sox. Flexen opened his career with a great 3.66 ERA in Seattle, but regressed last season after bouncing around to the Rockies. Look for Flexen to at least match his counterpart here today though, who served up two home runs in his final Spring tune-up. This is the very definition of "great line value" in our opinion; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-31-24 | Yankees v. Astros -111 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
10* Astros (ASSASSIN) We think the Astros dig deep here and find a way to avoid the sweep, especially with the Jays coming to town tomorrow. New York is 3-0 to open this series, but with an interleague matchup at Arizona tomorrow, we think they get caught looking ahead and take the foot off the gas here. The visitors hand the ball to Clarke Scmidt (9-9, 4.64 ERA in 2023), while the home side counters with JP France (11-6, 3.83.) The advantage goes to the desperate and revenge-minded home side; lay the price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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03-30-24 | Yankees v. Astros -128 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Astros (AL GOM) After dropping the first two games of this four-game series, we like Houston to finally respond here in the third. Marcus Stroman was 10-9 with a 3.95 ERA in 2023. He didn't win over his final seven starts last year, going 0-3 with an 11.00 ERA. Hunter Brown was 11-13 with a 5.09 ERA last year. Brown struggled down the stretch last year as well, going 1-4 with an 8.74 ERA over six games. But Brown enters on top form, posting a stellar 12:3 K:BB over 12.1 Spring Innings and we're expecting that to be the difference-maker here; lay the short price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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03-30-24 | Braves v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 12-4 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (NL GOM) The Phillies looked decent over the first half of yesterday's contest, but then fell apart once the bullpen took over. With Aaron Nola on the hill today though, we like Philadelphia to, at the very least, keep this one tight/close enough to cover with the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Braves won yesterday's series opener 9-3, but we like the home side to respond here on Saturday. Fried was 8-1 witha 2.55 ERA last year, but he's 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 19 career games vs. Philadelphia. Nola was 12-9 wth a 4.46 ERA last year and he's 15-10 with a 3.40 ERA in 33 career starts vs. Atlanta. Nola just signed a new massive contract in the off-season and we're expecting him to deliver the goods here; lay the reasonable mid-sized price, the play is Philly on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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03-29-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays/Rays UNDER (AL EAST TOM) For a number of different reasons we're expecting this one to fall "under" the posted number once it's all said and done. Toronto and Tampa went "over" the number in yesterday's Season Opener, but we're anticipating a much tighter "duel" here on Friday night. Chris Bassitt looked great in his final Spring tune-up for Toronto, striking out nine over 5.1 innings and giving up just one run vs. the Padres. Overall he posted a 14:1 K:BB over 14 Spring innings and there's no reason not to think he won't keep that momentum rolling here. Aaron Civale was 3-2 with a 2.59 ERA over the first half last year and we're anticipating another hot start this year. So look for these two starters to take center stage and for this total to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Red Sox v. Mariners -164 | 6-4 | Loss | -164 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
8* play on the Mariners. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. Both teams are trying to get back into the playoffs. The visitors go with Bryan Bello (12-11, 4.24 ERA last year), while the home side counters with Luis Catillo (14-9, 3.34.) Each played better at home last year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage really will be in this one; lay the price, the play is on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Cubs v. Rangers -113 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
8* play on the Rangers. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. The Rangers are looking to defend their World Series title and they hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who was 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA last year during the regular seqason and 5-0 with a 2.95 ERA in six outings in the playoffs. The Cubs turn to Justin Steele, who was 16-5 with a 3.05 ERA last year. We just like the champs to ride the wave of emotion here and think at this price, that it's simply TOO GOOD to turn down; lay the price, the play is indeed on Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Angels v. Orioles -176 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
8* play on Baltimore. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. The Angels have to move on from Shohei Ohtani, while the Orioles welcome a new ace in Corbin Burnes, who gets the Opening Day start. He allowed one unearned run over six innings in his final spring tune-up. Patrick Sandoval finished with a 7-13 mark with a 4.11 ERA last year. We think he'll struggle on the road, so lay the price with confidence on the Orioles! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ALCS TOW) Game 1 went "under" the number, but since then the last five games have all flown "over" the number. Note that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row, while Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in the same position. We have two great experienced starters going for each side, with Max Scherzer getting the call for the Ranges, and the home side countering with Christian Javier; everything points to Game 7 staying "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) This series has seen some high-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here in this important Game 6. Texas won the first two games here, while Houston then responded with three straight wins in Texas. Now with their backs against the wall, Texas hands the ball to its best "in form" starter in Nate Eovaldi, who is so far 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the playoffs. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez, who has uncharacteristically struggled so far in the postseason, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP. But we're expecting Valdez to return to form here at home. He has the experience and pedigree to match pace with his counterpart and while we have indeed seen some higher-scoring affairs to open this series, everything now sets up from a number of different angles to finally be a lower-scoring "duel" here in Houston on Sunday in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NLCS GOY) If you're watching this game, then you know the story lines of each team to this point, as well as the cast of characters on each side. Zach Wheeler has been better than Zach Gallen so far in the post-season, but honetly it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starters to come out on top in this pressure packed situation. Gallen definitely benefits from throwing at home. Wheeler has experience, but we say this starting pitching matchup (for all intents and purposes), is a "wash." Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in the playoffs and it's one that we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line at times. Arizona has definitely wrestled back the momentum in this series after going down 0-2 in Philadelphia to start and to get an extra 1.5 runs of insurance at this price is just too good to to turn down in the end; so that's the play, Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ALCS TOY) The last three games in this series have flown "over" the number, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, and Texas has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten in the same position (also in five of its last seven in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Honestly it would not be very difficult to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game either, but these strong O/U trends do definitely tip the scales in favor of the men on the mound in this ALCS matchup. The Astros go with Justin Verlander (1-1, 1.42 ERA), while the home side counters with Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.08.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/D-Backs (TOP TOTAL) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in our opinion now that the venue has shifted. The D-Backs essentially have their backs against the wall here being down 2-0. Ranger Suarez (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.58 WHIP) gets the call for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86, 1.43.) It's interesting to note as well that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The overall situation here finally points to a more of a defensive "duel" in the NLCS; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ASSASSIN) Texas has the 2-0 series lead and is on the proverbial driver's seat in this series now back at home for three straight. One game went "over" and one game went "under." But now here in Game 3, we think this number is a bit TOO high, so we're going to recommend a play on the "under." And for us, it all comes down to the starting pitchers, who we're expecting will battle deep into this one. Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his first start for Texas since Spetember 12th after injuring himself. He's thrown a bullpen session and has been given the green light. Overall Scherzer is 5-2 with a 3.84 ERA in ten career regular-season starts vs. Houston. He's also 7-7 with 3.58 ERA in 27 career playoff appearances. The Rangers bullpen has been elite throughout the playoffs as well. He'll be opposed by the red hot Cristian Javier (1-0, 0.00) who hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. He's also 5-1 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. All signs point to a classic "duel" here in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Arizona on the runline yesterday and where that play came up short, we're expecting this Game 2 contest to now deliver the goods in "rocking chair" fashion. We won't rule out an outright victory here obviously either, but at this decent mid-sized price, getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance is just too good to turn down in our opinion. The D-Backs go with Merrill Kelly (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (2-0, 1.42, 0.87.) Very evenly matched teams and clubs and in a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extras, we're indeed laying the price for Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLCS GOW) If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly know the story line for each club up to this point, so there's no reason to give you a breakdown of how each club got to this point. You likely also already know the cast of characters for each side, the coaches and the players and also each team's strengths and weaknesses. We're just here to tell you why we think that the D-Backs can pull off the upset here, or at the very least, keep it close enough to cover on the runline option. And it's simple, the starting pitching matchup is very even, but we definitely think that Zac Gallen (2-0, 3.18 ERA) will be able to easily match his counterpart Zach Wheeler (1-0, 2.08) inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value invariably swings to the undervalued underdog; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (BLOWOUT) We're expecting a "duel" here in the opener of the ALCS, and you don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers to know why. These teams are very familiar with each other of course, but in the end we're expecting the men on the mound to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. Texas hands the ball to Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 3.27 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00.) These two veterans are coming off solid regular seasons and have so far been great in the playoffs. All signs point to a classic "duel" as we stated off the top; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS BOB) Arizona has a shot at eliminating the Dodgers here and we're expecting that to happen. That said, for this price, we can't turn down the home side on the runline option. Arizona has scored nine first-inning runs so far in this series, and we're expecting this very real momentum that it's created to be carried over here. Often we've found that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying in factors like "momentum" into a line, and that's definitely the case here with Arizona, which is clearly "firing on all cylinders" right now. LA hands the ball to Lance Lynn, while the home side counters with Brandon Pfaadt. Each has struggled, but Arizona's home field advantage, its bullpen and its offense has been "on point" of late and because of that, we're going to play Arizona on the runline option here in Game 3 of this NLDS! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Twins (ASSASSIN) Here's a great "situational" play, as the first two games of this series went "over" the number, and now here with the shift in venue we're finally expecting more of a "duel." Houston hands the ball to Christian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA), who is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 14 playoff games. In his World Series start last year he threw six shutout innings in a win over the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79), who threw five scorless innings in a win over the Jays in the wildcard. Look for these two "studs" to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS GOW) Arizona is rolling, and dangerous and we think it's once again undervalued in this matchup. After steamrolling the Brewers in two games, the D-Backs smoked the Dodgers 11-2 in Game 1. Now with the superior starter on the hill (in our opinion anyways), we feel that Arizona has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. However, in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The visitors hand the ball to ace Zac Gallen (1-0, 3.00 ERA) has had difficulties with the Dodgers this year, but he's off the great start vs. the Brewers and this is a case of "that was then, and this is now!" The Dodgers' bullpen was taxed in Game 1 and now they turn to Bobby Miller (11-4, 3.76,) who has been great in his rookie year, but who clearly is in unchartered territory here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Twins v. Astros -136 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Astros (BEST OF BEST) We had a play on the Astros 6-4 series-opening win last night, and we think the home side can now smell the blood in the water. As predicted, Minnesota suffered a letdown on the road after their win over the Jays to snap a super long playoff slide. Minnesota is just terrible on the road, now 40-42 away from friendly confines this year. Houston struggled at home uncharacteristically this year, and enters are 40-42. But that said, now that the playoffs are finally here, we just can't understate how important we feel the home-field advantage will play here. Pablo Lopez (11-8, 3.66 ERA) gets the call here for the Twins and while he had a decent year, and a good showing against the Jays in the Wildcard, regression seems imminent here in our opinion in this difficult road venue. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45), who is 7-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 13 career postseason starts. He's also 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in seven career appearances vs. Minnesota. Overall we feel we're getting a great price here on Houston at home with the superior starter on the hill; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Twins v. Astros -143 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
10* Astros (ALDS GOY) The Twins not only won a playoff game for the first time since 2004, but they also won their wildcard series at home over the Blue Jays in two straight, but we're now expecting a predictable letdown here in the opener of this ALDS. The Astros are the king of the AL, winning four of the last six years. They earned a few days rest and look primed for another deep run. Minnesota has got zero rest and partied big after beating the Jays. This one has "letdown" spot written all over it; lay the price the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
10* Orioles (ASSASSIN) The Rangers rolled over Tampa Bay, but now we believe they'll stumble here in the opener of this ALDS. The Orioles are expected to start Kyle Bradish, while the visitors are expected to start Dane Dunning. We love the way this one sets up for Baltimore though regardless. The Rangers did well against the Orioles in the regular season, but Baltimore was 49-32 at home this year, while the Rangers were just 42-41 on the road. Look for the home side to figure out a way to come out on top here in Game 1 and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Phillies (WC GOY) We had a play on the Phillies yesterday, and we like the home side to now finish off this series and get ready for the Divisional round with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) on the hill. Nola didn't finish the season strong, but he's had plenty of time to rest up here and note that he's 6-3 with a 3.30 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season. The Fish counter with Braxton Garrett (9-7, 3.66) who has never even thrown in the Playoffs. Garrett was actually 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA on the road, but we still feel he's completely overmatched here at this difficult and unfriendly venue; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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10-03-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (SLUG-FEST.) The Phillies used "momentum" at the end of last season and rode that wave all the way until the World Series. Philadelphia caught fire like that at the end of this regular season as well, and now I expect the experienced home side to make the most of this opportunity. The difference-maker is the starting pitchers, as we feel that Zach Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) has a major advantage here. Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.48 ERA in 22 career starts vs. the Marlins. He's 1-3 with a 2.78 ERA in six playoff games. The Fish counter with Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.63), who is 3-0 with a 3.26 ERA in five career starts vs. Philadelphia, but who is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in three career playoff appearances. As stated off the top, experience in this case will prove to crucial; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Cubs -111 v. Brewers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Cubs (ASSASSIN) The Brewers have clinched, and the slumping Cubs have essentially now run out of time. It's do-or-die time for Chicago, and because of that, we're expecting Kyle Hendricks and the visiting side to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in the opener of this series. Evenly matched starters here with Hendricks (6-8, 3.66 ERA) going up against Colin Rea (6-6, 4.74,) but the intenstiy and focus in which we're expecting the Cubs to play with here will turn out to be the difference-maker. Chicago has the right man on the hill for the job; lay the price, the play is the Cubs! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yanks/Jays OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a higher-scoring slug-fest here finally in the finale of this AL East series. The Yanks are out of playoff contention, and they're looking to once again play spoiler here after taking the first two gams of this series, winning 2-0 and 6-0. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Jays have also seen the total go "over" in three of their last four in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Luke Weaver (0-0, 6.75 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.74) counters for the home side. They're both in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -154 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Mariners runline (BLOWOUT) I had the Mariners last night in their 6-2 win, breaking a four-game slide. Seattle is now just a .5 game back of the Astros for the Wildcard. They play Houston again here tonight, followed by four straight at home vs. NL West-leading Texas to end the regular season. Houston won't be rolling over here, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we feel we're getting supreme value here with the home side on the runlien option at this price. Houston turns to Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.39 ERA), while the homeside counters with Bryce Miller (8-6, 4.17.) These guys are a "wash" essentially. For all the reasons liste above, the play is Seattle on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Cubs runline (BOB) We had a play on the Cubs on the runline last night, and while we think Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning tonight's contest outright as well, in the end we can't turn the overall value we feel we're getting by grabbing the desperate visiting side on the runline option again here. Chicago is fighting for a wildcard still, while ATL is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're once again all over Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Astros v. Mariners -140 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* Mariners (ASSASSIN) These teams are locked in a mortal battle for the third and final wildcard spot. With Monday's 5-1 loss, the Mariners are now 1.5 games behind the Astros for that spot. Seattle has two games here left at home vs. the Astros, and then a four-game home stand vs. AL West leading Houston to end out the regular season. But after four straight losses, this has become the Mariners single most important game of the entire season. It's essentially a do or die scenario. We like the Mariners to bounce back here at home and this is a great price. These starters are a "wash," but the overall situation here favors the home side; lay the price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Cubs RUNLINE (BOB) The Cubs have a lot to play for here with just six games left to go in the regular season. Chicago is trying to nail down one of the NL's final two WC spots. They're in a dog fight with Arizona and Miami. Atlanta is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed, so its less urgent for them here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we think Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00 ERA) and the visitors are the correct call here on the runline option vs. Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) and the contented home side; for all the reasons listed above, the plya is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Giants (NL WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some runs to be plated here tonight in the opener of this crucial divisional series, as each side is desperately trying to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive. In fact, these teams now enter tied for third in the NL West. Their both five games back of the Cubs with six games to go. It's now or never, do or die. These two starters, Blake Snell for San Diego and Logan Webb of San Francisc, have been terrific this year, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays. Both teams have been involved in several high-scoring contests, including in the first two games of this series, with each team taking one game. However, the worm turns as far as the total is concerned here in this important divisional series finale in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, which is definitely significant to note as the Rays have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in three straight. Yusei Kikhuchi (10-6, 3.74 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Taj Bradley (5-7, 5.36.) The overall sitaution points to a duel here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (U OF THE U) A big divisional series, more so for the Jays though who are in a dog fight for the final AL Wildcard. Good news for Toronto fans though, the Jays have caught fire of late and we're fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Last night they won the opener by a score of 6-2. We're coming down the home stretch, and these types of games very much have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about them. In what we anticipate will be a very tight and competitive affair here today, we're going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; a great situational play, the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BLOWOUT) The Astros have lost three straight series and they're just 39-39 at home after salvaging the finale of its series with Baltimore with a tight 2-1 win. Houston is only a .5 game up on the Rangers in the AL West and in a tight race now for a wildcard. Now Cole Ragans (4-1, 1.69 ERA, 0.99 WHIP for his new team) and the Royals will look to play spoiler in this series. Framber Valdez (12-10, 3.20) counters for the home side. I like Ragans to easily match Valdez and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog invariably. The play is KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Blue Jays +122 v. Yankees | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Usually, we like "standing in front of trains," and predicting when a streak will end, but in this case we feel that Jose Berrios (11-10, 3.49 ERA) and Toronto offer fantastic value as a live dog here to complete the three-game sweep, despite facing Yanks' ace Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.81.) It's all about "momentum" and "motivation" at this time of year and the Jays are rolling right now. Look for Toronto to continue its push towards a wildcard, as it's now qualified as our No. 1 underdog of the month for September! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Red Sox v. Rangers -128 | Top | 5-15 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
10* Rangers (ASSASSIN) The Rangers finally broke a four-game slide with a 6-4 win last night, and we're expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas here as well in the finale. Previous to that the Rangers won four straight over the Jays in a critical series. Since then though, the Jays have been on a tear. Texas is still in the midst of a heated wildcard race, and we believe it also has the superior starter going tonight as well. The visitors hand the ball to Brayan Bello (12-9, 3.71 ERA), while the home side counters with Jon Gray (8-8, 4.05.) Note that Gray is 4-1 in all "day" games as well. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
8* Phillies RUNLINE (ROUT) The Phillies are trying their hardest to earn the top NL Wildcard. Winning this series on the road here vs. the NL-leading Braves would help for sure. The Phillies won the opener, and then the Braves responded on Tuesday. Now here in the finale, we're expecting a very competitive affair. And in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. These starters are a "wash," with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.62 ERA) goes for the visitors, and Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.50) counters for the home side. In this competitive contest, we're laying the price for the Phillies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-19-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Phillies are gunning for the TOP NL wildcard spot, and they won an important game last night in the opener of this series. In what we believe will be another tightly-contested and highly-competitive affair, the value in our opinion lies with the visitors on the "runline" option. Cristopher Sanchez (2-4, 3.40 ERA) gets the call for the Phillies, while Spencer Strider (17-5, 3.73 ERA) We'll argue that Strider is having an above average season, on a really good team. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Mets v. Marlins -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
8* MARLINS (MISMATCH) The Mets have struggled on the road, going just 30-44. The Marlins are in the thick of a playoff race and they're 43-32 at home. Braxton Garrett (9-6, 3.67 ERA) is battle-tested for the Marlins and he's been great of late here in September, posting a minuscule 0.93 ERA and striking out 11 batters over nine innings of work. He'll be opposed by Jose Butto (1-2, 3.46.) Butto has been decent, but we don't think he'll receive enough run support in this one. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Cubs (BLOWOUT) These teams are battling it out for one of the final NL wildcards. Chicago has now lost three in a row though after dropping last night's contest 6-4 here, and note that the Cubs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here though is that this one definitely favors the Cubs in the starting pitching matchup, with veteran Kyle Hendricks (6-7, 3.71 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), getting the nod here over the volatile Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81, 1.61 WHIP.) Lay the price, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Phillies -140 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Phillies (NL BLOWOUT) We like the Phillies to bounce back here after dropping four of their last five. That includes two straight at home to the Braves earlier in the week. Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.64 ERA) gets the nod here over his counterpart Zach Thompson (5-5, 4.06.) Look for Philadelphia to come in focussed and to deliver in the opener of this one! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Rays v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Orioles RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) A big divisional series here, and after yesterday's 4-3 loss in Game 1, we expect Baltimore to respond on Friday. The Orioles have now lost three straight, and note that Baltimore if 4-1 in its last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Zach Eflin (14-8, 3.53 ERA) is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here for the Rays. Jack Flaherty (8-8, 4.98) will finally get a chance to bounce back here for his new team. We expect the veteran to match his counterpart. Great overall value here in getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance - the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-14-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -146 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* Jays (ASSASSIN) Enough is enough for Toronto here, as it's lost the first three games of this four-game series by score of 10-4, 6-3 and 10-0. Note though that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. After five straight wins, we're expecting the Rangers to finally have a small letdown here. Nathan Eovaldi (11-4, 2.90 ERA) has been great for the Rangers, but we still give Kevin Gausman (11-8, 3.28) the slight nod here at home. Look for the desperate home side to deliver finally here on Thursday! AAA Sports |
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09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox -148 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* White Sox (AL BOB) The White Sox won the opener, and the Royals clawed back to win 11-10 in last night's Game 2. Now here in the finale with a chance for a rare series win, we like Mike Clevinger to seal the deal here vs. his incompetent counterpart. Clevinger (7-7, 3.64 ERA) is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA. The Royals' Steven Cruz (0-0, 7.20) is being thrown to the wolves here in this matchup. Look for Chicago to take advantage and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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09-12-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays +100 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Jays (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Two really good teams in the hunt for a playoff berth collide here in the second game of this three-game series North of the border, and in my opinion, I think the revenge-minded home side offers great value at this price to find a way to deliver on Tuesday. Texas won yesterday's opener by a score of 10-4. Toronto is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. If the Rangers have had one weakness as well, it's been their inconsistent play on the road, where they're still a just a pedestrian 34-34 this year. The Jaysa re now 38-31 at home, but we like TO to bounce back here with its ace on the mound in Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-2, 2.65 ERA), who will square off against Max Scherzer (3-2, 3.63.) Scherzer is just in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Great price and value overall on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Marlins v. Brewers -144 | Top | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Brewers (NL GOW) Both pitchers have been great here, but we give the big nod to Brandon Woodruff (4-1, 2.30 ERA, 0.79 WHIP) here at home. Woodruff will be going up against Jesus Luzardo (9-8, 3.89.) The Fish are off a 5-4 comeback win at Philly, but we say they're now primed for a classic letdown here in Milwaukee. Dating to last season Woodruff is 14-3 with a 2.36 ERA and he's 2-0 wtih a 3.00 ERA in two career outings vs. the Fish. Luzardo is just 1-3 with a poor 4.89 ERA over his las seven starts. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -141 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -141 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (AL GOW) Texas just two two of three at home over the A's, but the Rangers haven't been traveling well of late, and here they face a red hot home side that's won eight of its last ten, including sweeping the Royals here over the weekend in three straight. As good as Dane Dunning (9-6, 3.88 ERA) has been for the Rangers, we're still giving the nod to Chris Bassitt (14-7, 3.69) here at home. Look for Toronto to ride the wave of emotion and to post the convincing victory here in Game 1 of this series! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Cubs. The first three games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here this afternoon. Arizona has won four straight and the first three of this series. All three games have gone "under" the number, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Brandon Pfaddt (1-8, 6.27 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, countered by Kyle Hendricks (5-7, 3.73) for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pirates/Braves (ART OF WAR) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the opener of this series in ATL on Friday night. The Braves lost two of three to the Cards, and all three games went "over" the number. But note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really good starters going head-to-head and all signs point to a "duel" as we eluded to above, with Mitch Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) going for the Pirates, and Bryce Elder (11-4, 3.42) countering for the home side. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-07-23 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Tigers/Yanks. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting finally a "slug-fest" here on Thursday night in the Bronx. NY has won 8 of its last 9 and both games to open this series. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Eduardo Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers, and he's definitely in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. Carlos Rodon (2-4, 5.70) has struggled for New York. Everything in our opinion points to this total flying well "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here in our opinion. The Astros have won both of these games to open this series, and both have flown well "over" the number, including in their 14-1 win last night. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We have two former teammates going head-to-head here, with Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.79 ERA) getting the call for Houston, and Max Scherzer (3-1, 2.64) countering for Texas. Look for these ex-teammates to battle deep, and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Tuesday night. The Jays came from behind, and then had to hold on for the 6-5 win last night. Toronto has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. Note though that despite yesterday's high-scoring outcome, Toronto has still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.81 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Toronto all year. Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 5.92 ERA) less so for the A's, but the overall situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call for sure here today as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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09-04-23 | Twins -133 v. Guardians | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Twins (ASSASSIN) With a chance to really distance themselves from the Guardians for the division lead, and with the superior starter on the hill fr them, we like the Twins to find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this one. Pablo Lopez (9-7, 3.72 ERA) is definitely the "correct call" here as far as the starting pitching matchup is concerned in our opinion, as he'll face off against the struggling Lucas Giolito (1-5, 6.89.) We see Minnesota going up early and then we expect the bullpen to deliver the goods in the end; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (ASSASSIN) No need to overanalyze this one. After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Astros to not only win the finale here on Sunday night MLB, but to do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the correct call in our opinion. Michael King (3-5, 2.96 ERA) has been solid for New York, but we feel he's for sure in the "wrong place at the wrong time" tonight. His counterpart Christian Javier (9-2, 4.66 ERA) is the correct call; lay the 1.5 runs and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Orioles v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BOB) Arizona took the opener, and Baltimore bounced back on Saturday. Now with the suprerior starting pitcher on the hill for them here, we like the Diamondbacks to respond in the finale of this three-game series and to find a way to get the job done. And for us, it just boils down to the starting pitching, as Baltimore's Jack Flaherty (1-2, 6.41 ERA) continues to look shaky for his new team, while Zac Gallen (14-6, 3.32) here at home at this price and in this situation seems like a gift; so lay the price with confidence, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (DOMINATION) We not only expect Houston to win today, but we believe it'll do so in "blowout fashion," meaning that the runline option is definitely the savvy call in our estimation. Houston's five game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 6-2 loss, but note that the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here as well is that this is a starting pitching matchup that we definitely believe favors the home side, with the Yanks going with the erratic Luis Severino (4-8, 6.64 ERA), and the Astros countering with Hunter Brown (10-9, 4.47.) Lay the 1.5 runs and expect a decisive blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports |
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08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Jays (ROUT) Despite last night's win, the Guardians are still just 28-35 on the road, while Toronto is still 32-28 at home. Note though that the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 3-1 in their last four in trying t avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We like Logan Allen (6-6, 3.31 ERA) of Cleveland, but we think he's overmatched here facing Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 1.89) at home; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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08-25-23 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Tigers. Both teams enter this series have been playing to higher-scoring "overs" of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-9, 3.55 ERA), while the home side counters with Matt Manning (5-4, 4.31.) Despite having played to several high-scoring affairs entering this one, all signs finally point to more of a "duel" here between these super competent starters; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Orioles (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toronto has gone 3-1 in its last four, including going 2-1 in this series. The first two games both flew "over" the posted total, while yesterday's game went "under" in the Orioles 7-0 victory. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 following a shutout road loss. We have two really competent veteran starters going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" into the latter frames, with Jose Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) getting the nod for the Jays, and Kyle Gibson (12-7, 4.97) countering for the Orioles. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Astros (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have now seen the total go "over" in five straight after losing the first two games of this series. Note though that Boston has seen the total "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. Two hungry starters collide, and we're expecting a "duel," with Chris Sale getting the nod for the Red Sox, and Jose Urquidy countering for the home side. This number is a little high in our estimation now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-22-23 | Dodgers v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Guardians (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA just went 2-1 at home to Miami this weekend, and the final two games both went "under" the number. Cleveland enters the series having played to six straight "unders." Despite that though, note that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in arow. Cleveland is desperate to snap a horrible stretch, having lost four of its last five. LA goes with Bobby Miller (7-2, 3.70 ERA) who we feel is just in the wrong place at the wrong time, as we expect the home side to finally plate some runs tonight. Miller though will still be feeling confident here going up against confirmed "gas can" Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 5.06.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |