Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-24 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Detroit PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Florida is the better team, but we think the undervalued underdog can keep it interesting and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to suggest grabbing the visitors on the PUCKLINE option. Detroit is 22-16-5-0 overall, including 11-9-1-0 on the road. Florida is 27-13-2-1 overall and 13-6-1-0 at home. The Wings though are 14-7 on the puckline on the road, while the Panthers are just 7-13 on the puckline at home. Right away that tell us that the Wings have consistently been undervalued on the road this year and have been extremely competitive. Florida has looked susceptible of late as well; it beat LA 3-2 in overtime, but it's since lost two straight, falling 4-1 to New Jersey and then 5-4 in Overtime to the Ducks. Detroit is trending the other way; it lost 3-2 in overtime to Edmonton, but it's since bounced back with two straight victories, beating the Kings 5-3 and then a convincing 4-2 victory at Toronto as a +182 underdog. We're going to have a good old fashioned battle here in Florida on Wednesday night, and the best option we see is to grab the Wings on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Lamar v. McNeese State -12 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* McNeese State (SOUTHLAND GOY) This one sets up really well for the home side. We're expecting the 14-2 McNeese State Cowboys to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys have in fact dropped three straight ATS, but note that McNeese State has responded incredibly well for bettors in this spot by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Cowboys actually lost this game 70-63 as ten-point favorites last time out, so there's no way their going to look past the 9-7 Lamar Cardinals this time around, especially with back-to-back road contests after this. Lamar has won four straight SU/ATS, including a 78-76 OT win at Nichols State as a 3.5-point dog last time out. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence; the play is indeed on McNeese State! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 44 m | Show |
10* Rams (WC GOY) There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Kings +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 142-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* Kings (ASSASSIN) While we do feel the outright in is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in what we expect to be a very competitive affair. Milwaukee is 18-4 at home, but after B2B high-profile home victories over Boston and Golden State, and with a few days off after this before an extended road trip, everything points to this being a classic "trap" for the home side as it gets caught "looking ahead." This is a great situational play. Sacramento started off its road trip with two wins, but stumbled 112-93 last time out at Philadelphia a 1-point favorite. Note though that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Everything points to this one "coming down to wire," so let's grab the points with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Lakers -1 v. Jazz | Top | 125-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 20-20, but we love the way this one sets up for the visitors. LA's two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 127-109 loss at home to Phoenix. Utah has won four straight, but after last night's big 145-113 home win over Toronto, we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here. That's four straight upset wins for the Jazz, and alls signs point to a predictable letdown. Lay the short points, the play is the LA! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +10.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Detroit Mercy (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Outright win? If so, it would be the 0-17 Detroit Mercy's first outright victory of the season. We don't see that happening, but we do definitely see the door being left wide open for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the favorite, we are definitely going full on contrarian here. NKU has lost two straight games in OT, but is still 3-0 ATS its last three. However, note that the Norse are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. Milwaukee up next, we say the visitors take the foot off the gas down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers -1 | Top | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) As primarily "situational" handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." Sacramento is 10-7 on the road, while Philly is 13-6 at home. The Kings are off B2B road victories over Detroit and Charlotte, but note they face a determined 76ers side that's dropped three in a row SU/ATS. Note though that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's an important three game stretch now for the 76ers, with Houston and Denver coming to town next. But with a game at Milwaukee upcoming, we also believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Lay the short points, the play is indeed on Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Wizards +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 104-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. Indiana is 12-8 at home and it's won seven of its last eight. That includes an upset 133-131 win here at home over Boston last time out. With an upcoming six-game road trip after this starting at ATL, everything points to the home side getting caught "looking ahead" here as well. Letdown + lookahead = "trap game!" This is a trap for the Pacers. No such luxury for the Wizards though who have lost five straight (but that's signficicant for us as bettors to take note of, as Washington has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more straight SU losses in a row.) No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* Northeastern (CAA GOY) We love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, and while we obviously feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see likely being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Northeastern is 5-9 and Monmouth is 8-6. With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going full-on contrarian for this one. The Huskies have faced some stiff competition this year and done well, including a 56-54 road setback at Virgina as a 16.5-point dog. Monmouth's numbers are a bit skewed here. Look for the hungry visting side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Northeastern! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM) Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Maryland +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* Maryland (BIG TEN GOY) We think that the Terps have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright obviously, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Maryland is 9-5, while Minnesota is 11-3. It's 10-1 at home, while the Terps are just 1-2 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Gophers though, we're definitely going full on contrarian here and going the other way. Minnesota has won six straight. It's won eight straight ATS. Fans are now quick to back Minnesota, especially after its 73-71 upset win at Michigan as a 5.5-point dog last time out. But what most people won't bother taking note of here right now is that the Gophers are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. This is a great situational play in our opinion on the hungrier team, against a home side that's primed for a major mental letdown; grab the points, the play is Maryland! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texans (AFC GOW) Houston is 9-7 straight up and third in the AFC South, while Indianapolis is 9-7 as well and second in the AFC South after holding the tie-breaker with Houston when the Colts won 31-20 on the road at the start of the season back on September 17th. The winner gets into the playoffs and the loser goes home empty handed. This one is for ALL THE MARBLES! So where does the value lie here? The oddsmakers are at least trying their best to lead us to believe that these teams are evenly matched with a spread like this, and obviously, they really are. Their offensive and defensive numbers are similar and their win/loss records are identical. But all that said, we think this one sets up well for the Texans to exact a little revenge, as note that they're 3-1 against the spread in their last four in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Texans have also won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents and they have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents as well. The Colts on the other hand have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win. We're going with Houston to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. New York is 3-0 SU/ATS in its last three after last night's 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as a 5.5-point dog, but note that the Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 95 or fewer points in. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. We think a small mental letdown is inevitable here in the second game of the back-to-back and off the big upset victory; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Hurricanes v. Capitals +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Capitals (PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION) We're going to lay the price with confidence here for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time. Carolina is 21-13, but it's just 11-10 on the road. After four straight wins and with a home game vs. the Blues at home tomorrow night, we feel this a letdown/lookahead/trap-game for the visitors. Washington is 18-12, but it's lost five of its last six. We see the home side risking life and limb to try and snap the slide here; lay the price, the play is Washington on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* Butler (BIG EAST GOY) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The UConn Huskies are 12-2, while the Butler Bulldogs are 10-4. What's been the one "achilles heel" for the Huskies this season? Their play on the road where they are 0-2 SU/ATS. And what's been the strength of the Bulldogs?! It's been their play at home, where they are 8-0 SU and 4-3 ATS. Butler is off back-to-back conference road losses as a sizeable dog, so it won't be taking anything for granted here as it look to snap the slide. After this UConn is at Xavier, so we also see the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Look for the hungry and determined home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bulldogs! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | Top | 130-127 | Push | 0 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) Denver has won four of its last five. It beat Golden State 120-114 at home on X-Mas Day, unable to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. We think the Nuggets will get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Magic tomorrow. Golden State snapped a three-game slide with a quality 121-115 victory over Orlando and with a winnable game at home vs. Detroit tomorrow, we're expecting Golden State to step up here and take advantage of the scheduling; grab the points, the play is indeed on Golden State! AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Leafs puckline (ASSASSIN) Toronto is off a 3-0 win over LA just last night. Typically we would not play on a team on the second game of a B2B scenario, but we anticipate the Leafs taking advantage of this matchup. The Ducks are just 6-14 at home and just lost here 7-2 to the Oilers. Toronto will end its trip with a game at the Sharks, so this is a stretch of games that it'll be focussed on taking advantage of. Expect that to not only translate into a victory today, but a completely lop-sided one; the play is the Leafs on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +2 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Hawks (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) This one sets up unbelievably well for Atlanta. OKC is 23-9 and 9-4 on the road, but after five straight SU/ATS wins in a row, including an upset 127-123 home win over Boston just last night, can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Also note that the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Atlanta just snapped a four-game slide with a 130-126 win over Washington to move to 13-19. That was three nights ago though. The Hawks are well rested and the play with revenge after falling 126-117 as one-point favorites in OKC back on November 6th, and note that ATL is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. A great situational play on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (NON-CONF GOW) Of course we're not calling for the outright victory or anything, but all signs point to a much tighter affair than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. The Hornets have won three of their last five, but they're off a 111-93 loss at Denver. But we say they fly in "under the radar" here vs. the Kings, who will get caught "looking ahead" to their much more high-profile game the following night here vs. the Magic. After back-to-back SU road wins, all signs point to the Kings having a small mental letdown here at home tonight; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Charlotte +8.5 v. SMU | Top | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (AAC GOM) Outright win?! We're not predicting that. But we do think that 9-3 SMU is going to get caught "looking past" 6-6 Charlotte to its much more high-profile game vs. Memphis this weekend. SMU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but that's signficant for us to take note of as the Mustangs are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five more ATS victories in a row. Charlotte is 0-3 SU/ATS on the road, but that fact has only made the general betting public quick to back the favored home side here. But now the value has finally swung the other way here. We're not going to try and convince that the 49ers are a better team than the Mustangs, because that's definitely not the case. But as primiarly situational handicappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 333 h 60 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (BOWL GOY) Wisconsin finished 7-5, while LSU was 9-3. We're not calling for an outright win or anything, but all signs definitely point to a much more competitive bowl game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Badgers won 28-14 at Minnesota as 2.5-point favorites in their final regular season game. LSU fell 42-28 at Alabama on November 4th, but then rattled off three straight wins to close out the year, including 42-30 over Texas A&M. LSU averaged 46.4 PPG, which was No. 1 in the country. It also had 14 turnovers on the year, which ranked third. The offense had to be good though, as the defense was pretty terrible allowing 27.8 PPG. With many players transfering into the portal, LSU will have plenty of holes to fill on both sides of the ball. The Badgers only averaged 22.8 PPG, but they didn't usually have to be fantastic offensively, with the defense conceding just 18.9 PPG. Look for the longer lay off to throw a further "monkey wrench" into LSU's normally efficient offense; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Badgers! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ASSASSIN) We think that home field advantage at this time of year will be the difference-maker for the Vikes today. Both teams are 7-8. Minnesota comes in as the "hungrier" team though after back-to-back competitive losses at the Bengals and to the Lions last week, who clinched the division on their home field. Clearly, they won't be happy about that at all. They beat Green Bay on the road 24-10 at the start of the year, and we're predicting a similar final score here as well. The Packers broke a two-game slide to save their season with a come from behind 33-30 win at lowly Carolina last weekend, but everything points to a predictable letdown here now in Minnesota. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but we like the Vikes to finally settle down here at home and get handle on their recent turnover issue; lay the short points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (AFC GOW) Clearly, this is a big game for both teams, but a lot more so for Kansas City, which has lost five of its last eight, including a 20-14 setback here last weekend to the Raiders as 11-point favorites. Note though that the Chiefs are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS home loss as a double-digit favorite. They barely squeaked by the Bengals 23-20 in last year's Playoffs, covering the 2-point spread, but now they face a Cincinnati team without Joe Burrow and off a poor 34-11 loss at Pittsburgh as a three-point favorite. Look for Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to come out with a game-plan here to get back on track vs. this toothless Bengals' team; lay the points with confidence, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Raiders v. Colts -4 | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* Colts (BLOOD-BATH) We think that home field advantage will be the difference-maker in this one. Las Vegas is 7-8, including only 2-5 on the road, while the Colts are 8-7, including 3-4 at home. Off back-to-back wins, a predictable letdown is now expected in our opinion for Las Vegas, especially after beating the Chiefs 20-14 last weekend on the road. The Colts have been trading wins/losses over their last four games, and off the 29-10 loss at the Falcons, all signs point to this pattern continuing. With the majority of the public money on the visiting side as well, we'll go full contrarian and go the other way; lay the points, the play is Indianapolis! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | CS-Fullerton +9.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
10* CSU Fullerton (BIG WEST GOY) We think that the Warriors get caught a little flat-footed here and that the Titans will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample amount of points that they've been afforded. Fullerton is just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three after an 81-71 loss to LBSU last time out, but note that the Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They won this game 62-60 last year at home. Hawaii enters off two straight losses, falling to Georgia Tech and TCU and it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four overall. The Warriors are getting WAY too much respect here in our opinion. No outright, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Titans! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOOD-BATH) Despite just clinching the NFC North, we're not expecting the Lions to take anything for granted here and taking into account the current form of the Cowboys, we feel that the visitors do in fact have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Cowboys are 7-0 at home, but it's been against really weak competition, or teams dealing with major issues at the time. It's a "Fugazi" that home record. The time to play your best football of the year is right now and of course the Cowboys are regressing right on cue after back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Miami. The Lions are off back-to-back wins, including a 30-24 victory at Minnesota last weekend and they have even bigger plans for the rest of the regular season; as stated off the top, we feel an outright victory is a very real possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +4 v. Penn State | Top | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 284 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (BOWL GOM) This is the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl between Ole Miss and Penn State. Ole Miss finished 10-2, while PSU finished 10-2 as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. These teams are hoping to take the next step in their respective conferences next season. James Franklin and Penn State won 11 games last year, but we don't expect "lightning to strike twice" this time around. Ole Miss though is looking for its first 11-win season in school history. SEC QB Jaxson Dart is a difference-maker here, as his stats were among the best in the SEC. Penn State is extremely talented defensively, but the Ole Miss offense is extremely efficient. It's a battle of strength vs. strength and while the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BLOCKBUSTER) The knock against Ohio State here is that it's down to its second string QB, which is true, but we in fact think that helps the Buckeyes here. The Tigers are missing two key defensive players in Ennis Rakestraw and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, and when those two players were missing earlier in the year, Missouri allowed 267 yards rushing. Which doesn't bode well facing this Ohio State offense and QB Devin Brown, who was in a battle for the No. 1 spot with Kyle McCord before the season started and before he got injured. Brown was 12 of 22 for 197 yards, two TD's and an INT this year, but he'll know that this is a "try-out" for him to be the No. 1 guy next year, as McCord has already left. The Buckeyes only allow 260 yards per game. Look for the Buckeyes to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* WILDCATS (BOWL WINNER) Arizona is 9-3 and the Sooners are 10-2. Oklahoma will be without start QB Dillon Gabriel though, as well as their offensive coordinator and a slew of other offensive starters. Because of this fact, and this fact alone, we're going to take the Wildcats here. They have a great QB in Noah Fiftia, who had to step in for an injured Jay de Laura. The Wildcats losses were all close. This is a good, motivated and well-coached team that we're expecting to take advantage of the situation presented to them; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans -8 | Top | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is based on the "revenge" factor, which we'll admit, is completely overhyped at times. But not at all times, and definitely not in this case in our opinion. Utah is just 5-13 on the road, but after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a predictable letdown here, as note that the Jazz are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They beat the Pels 114-112 at home as a 6.5-point dog on November 27th, but note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After back-to-back SU/ATS losses in a row, we're expecting the home side to come out fired up and completely focussed on the task at hand; lay the points with confidence, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
10* Texas A&M (BLOCKBUSTER) Texas A&M finished 7-5, while Oklahoma State was 9-4. Both teams have plenty of transfers and opt outs for this one, and it really does level the playing field here. This one is going to come down to the wire and whichever team has it hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Texas A&M turns to Jaylen Henderson under center and he averaged 234.7 yards per game over his final three games and had two TD's. The Aggies have a great defense as well that allows just 21.3 PPG. Oklahoma State has seven players opting out. The Cowboys rank dead last in the Big 12 on the defensive end, allowing 441.5 yards per game; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kings v. Blazers +8 | Top | 113-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* Portland (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but we defintely expect this to be competitive until the final moments. The Kings are 17-11, but they're just 6-6 on the road. Off a 110-98 home loss to the Wolves, note that the Kings are in fact just 1-3 ATS in their last four off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Portland comes in under the radar here. It's off B2B losses, falling 126-106 at Golden State, but with a few days off to prepare, we're expecting the Blazers to be competitive here, just as they were in a 121-118 OT loss at Sacramento in early November; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNLV (ROUT) UNLV is one of the bigger dogs during the entire Bowl season, but we think this spread is a little TOO large. Kansas finished 8-4, while UNLV was 9-4, finishing in a tie for first place in the MWC. The Jayhawks beat Cincinnati 49-16 back on November 25th. Jason Bean replaced Jaylon Daniels at QB during the season and threw for 1,681 yards and a 12:4 TD:INT. Overall the Jayhawks finished averaging 33.6 PPG, while conceding 25.8. UNLV is lead by QB Jayden Maiava, who finished with 2,794 passing yards and a 14:8 TD:INT. The Rebels averaged 34.3 PPG, while conceding 27. The Rebels are also 6-0 ATS on the road this year and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this contest being MUCH more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Texas State -3.5 v. Rice | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* Texas State (ROUT) We think the 7-5 Texas State Bobcat's up-tempo offense will be too much for the 6-6 Rice Owls to keep up with. This is a big game for Texas State, making its first ever bowl appearance, and it won't be taking anything for granted. CJ Kinne has transformed the Bobcats into a good team. QB TJ Finley, wh ohas experience at LSU and Auburn is a difference-maker in this one. The Owls aren't the best at creating take-aways on defense and we have a hard time seeing their QB AJ Padgett keeping pace. Look for Texas State to push the pace behind Finley and for Kinne to continue this great overall season and turnaround for Texas State! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Celtics v. Lakers +3 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) The Celtics opened up their West-coast swing with a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State, but they've since won B2B away games, handling Sacramento 144-119 and the Clippers here two nights ago 145-108. But with three nights off after this, we feel that the temptation to get caught "looking ahead" will be there for the visiting side now. No such luxury for LA though, which just snapped a four-game slide with a convincing 129-120 win at OKC. Look for the Lakers to carry that momentum over here and while the outright is obviously very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with LA! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* Eagles (NFC EAST GOW) We base our picks on many different things, but this particular one is based on some very strong ATS trends that support our overall theory that Philadelphia is going to have no mercy on its overmatched opponent today. Philadelphia is 10-4, but it's lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That however is significant for us to take note of here, as the Eagles are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. This is the first meeting of the year between the division foes. Philly then has a home game here next week vs. the Cards, followed by the regular season finale at the Giants. Clearly, there's no reason Philly can't now end the season on a three-game win streak, and that's what we're expecting, starting with a convincing blowout here at home; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +7 v. Broncos | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC NON-DIV GOM) We're expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting, as we look for New England to try and do everything it can to play "spoiler" here. The Pats are 3-11 and the Broncos are 7-7. The Pats beat the Steelers, then promptly lost 27-17 to a desperate Chiefs team last week. QB Bailey Zapp was 23 of 31 for 180 yards and a TD and we feel he can be effective here today as well. New England still concedes only 21.4 PPG. The Broncos are off a 42-17 loss to the Lions and have struggled with consistency from game-to-game all season long. Russell Wilson is the better QB here for sure in this matchup, but we think that Bill Belichick and his defense will be "hanging around late;" grab the points, the play is indeed on New England! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii +6 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is going to "come down to the wire," in our opinion, and because of that we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TCU is 9-2 and Hawaii is 8-3. Hawaii looks to rebound here off the 73-68 loss to Georgia Tech as a two-point fav (but note that the Warriors have in fact responded incredibly well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset home loss as a favorite.) TCU is off an 88-75 loss to Nevada, and with Conference schedule looming after the X-Mas break, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10* Titans (ASSASSIN) We're not expecting Tennessee to just roll over here and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Seattle is 7-7 and third in the NFC West, while Tennessee is 5-9, and looking to play spoiler and salvage pride after having already been eliminated. The Hawks are 20th in total offense and 28th in total defense. Seattle is really banged up coming into this game as well, including to QB Geno Smith. The Titans average 293.7 YPG, while allowing 339.3. Injuries have also been a concern for the Titans all year. Obviously its "next man up" for both teams. But Tennessee and its coaches are playing for their jobs and everything points to this one "coming down to the wire." As such, we're grabbing the points; the play is on Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Missouri State +15 v. St. Mary's | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MID-MAJOR ROUT) Missouri State won't be rolling over here in its final game before the XMas break. The Bears are 8-4 and they'll look to close out their non-conference schedule strong. Missouri State has won two of its last three and we think it catches Saint Mary's, which is 8-5 overall, but which has won five straight. The Gaels concede just 58.7 PPG. The Bears average 74.6 PPG, while allowing 67.6. We think the Gaels will win this game, but Missouri State's efficient offense will keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bears! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Nuggets v. Hornets +9 | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up fantastically from a "situational" stand point. We say that Denver FOR SURE gets caught "looking ahead" to its X-Mas home game vs. Golden State. Charlotte has lost six straight SU and three straight ATS, but that's important for us to take note of us as the Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We're just expecting Denver to take the foot off the gas in the second half, as it prepares for its Nationally televised affair; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (AFC NORTH GOY) They say that divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side, and that's definitely the case here in our opinion, and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can with the Steelers. The Bengals are 8-6 and the Steelers are 7-7. The Bengals have won three straight with Jake Browning, but note that Cincinnati is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten in after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mason Rudolph to snap the three-game slide. With nearly 75% of the public money on the visitors, we're going the other way here and expecting Rudolph to step up and deliver the goods in this spot; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Steelers! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Fresno State +11.5 v. San Francisco | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
8* Fresno State (MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION) Fresno State is 6-4 SU, while San Fran is 9-4. It's also 6-0 at home. We think the home side though takes the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the hungry visiting side more than enough room to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Fresno State is off a 75-72 OT home loss to Portland State as a 3.5-point favorite, which is significant to take note of here as the Bulldogs are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite. The Dons have been great and it's difficult to point out to many faults, but we say everything points to a minor mental letdown here before the X-Mas break; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Raptors +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-121 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) We like Toronto to comfortably cover and sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 114-109 here back on November 2nd, and note that the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss vs. an opponent. Philly's been playing great, but off a big win over the red hot Wolves, and with their X-Mas Day game at Miami up next, all signs point to this being a classic "trap game" for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Lakers +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I lost with the Lakers last night in Chicago, but I think LA will risk life and limb here to try and snap out of its recent cold spell which has seen it lost three in a row. LA has now also lost five straight ATS, which is important here for this pick for us, as the Lakers have responded well in this position for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Minnesota's three-game win streak came to an end last night in Philly and we believe the Wolves will come out flat here now returning home (especially with two road games sandwiched around X-Mas right after this!) Both teams will have to deal with fatigue, but the overall situation and the above listed trends do indeed make LA the correc call in this contest! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Saints +4 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) With nearly 80% of the public money on the Rams, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way. This is an important game for both 7-7 teams. The Saints have won two straight, while LA has won four of its last five. New Orleans is now tied for the lead in the NFC South. The bottom line here is the Saints' defense is legit, allowing just 248 total yards per game over their last two games and 19.1 PPG overall this season. They have 30 INT's and 30 sacks already, which is fifth in each category. The offense hasn't been shabby either, Derek Carr averaging 26 PPG over their last two, and 22.1 overall. The Rams have allowed just 21.2 PPG over thier last five games. Overall LA averages 23.4 PPG this season. Both teams enter with momentum. Last year the Saints won this game by a score of 27-20 at home. While we feel an outright is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Manhattan +11 v. Monmouth | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
10* Manhattan (MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT) We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything definitely points to much more of a competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Manhattan comes in "under the radar" here after B2B losses. Most recently it was a 76-71 home loss to FDU. Monmouth has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and coming off a 77-71 win over Rider, we're expecting this trend to continue here. That said, we're not expecting the outright upset, but rather we just don't see the Hawks covering this large spread. As stated off the top, DO NOT sprinkle anything on the moneyline in this one, but do DEFINITELY grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Manhattan! AAA Sports |
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12-20-23 | Lakers -4 v. Bulls | Top | 108-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* Lakers (NON-CONF GOY) Here's a great spot for the 16-12 Lakers to bounce back in for bettors. LA has lost three of its last four. It's also now lost four straight ATS after a 114-109 home loss to New York (note though that the Lakers are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.) And with a game at Minnesota tomorrow, the Lakers won't want to leave anything to chance here. Chicago has been trading wins/losses over its last ofur games and off a 108-104 upset win at Philadelphia as a 10.5-point dog last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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12-20-23 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +8.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (BIG EAST GOM) UConn is 10-1 and Seton Hall is 7-4. Dan Hurley coached UConn to a title last year, and so far the Huskies look great this season as well. We just think they're now a bit overvalued here, as we're expecting the Pirates to risk life and limb to secure a victory here. Seton Hall has won two straight and it's faced some stiff competition this season already in USC, Iowa, Baylor and Rutgers. This is a big Big East matchup and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Seton Hall! AAA Sports |
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12-19-23 | Wild v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Bruins puckline (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. After three straight victories, the Wild came up short in last night's 4-3 loss at Pittsburgh last night. We believe fatigue will play a major factor in Minnesota's effort here tonight. The Wild have two nights off after this before a game with the Habs, so this sets up as a natural letdown/look-ahead spot. The Bruins will look to take advantage and to shake out of small sluggish slump, as they've been trading wins/losses over their last six games and are off the 2-1 OT loss here to the Rangers two nights ago. And with an upcoming road trip over X-Mas, that puts added emphasis onto this game for the Bruins. We're expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do it in blowout fashion; lay the goals and take the Bruins on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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12-19-23 | Florida -2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida is 7-3 and Michigan is 6-5. This is the opener of the Jumpman Invitational. The Gators come in riding a three-game win streak, most recently beating ECU 70-65. Michigan is 1-1 in Big Ten play, losing 78-75 to Indiana, and then bouncing back with a 90-80 win over Iowa. Michigan's defense has been sub-par though, ranked 126th in defensive efficiency. Florida has four guards averaging over 9.7 points per game and we're expecting this difficult backcourt to lead their team to a solid win and cover here; lay the points, the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is a big game for each team, but more so for the home side we'll argue. While we clearly feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Eagles are 10-3 and the Seahawks are 6-7. Philly is 5-2 away from friendly confines, but we think the Eagles are ripe for the picking after B2B losses, including a humbling 33-13 setback at division rival Dallas last weekend. With nearly 70% of the early public money on the visitors as well, we're natually going to gravitate towards the underdog anyways. But this is it for the Hawks essentially, almost in a "do or die" situation here. As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the desperate home side; grab the points the play is indeed on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +9.5 v. Marist | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10* Maryland-Eastern Shore (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We think the Maryland-Eastern Short Hawks will fly in "under the radar" here and, at the very least, post a comfortable cover with what we feel is a very large spread that's been afforded to it here in this matchup. Yes, the Hawks have lost four straight on the road, but they've faced some stiff competition in Notre Dame, Liberty, East Carolina and NC State. Marist is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but note that the Red Foxes are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS victories in a row. No outright here, but much closer than expected; a great situational play on Maryland-Eastern Shore! AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | Top | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (NFC WEST GOY) Are we suggesting an outright victory?! Of course not! But in a contest that we see a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to recommend to grab the points. San Francisco is 10-3, including 5-2 on the road, but with a home date vs. the Ravens on X-Mas Day, there's no question that this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. But how could it also not be a "letdown" spot after five straight SU wins? That includes an important win over Seattle last week. Can anyone say "Trap game?!" Arizona snapped a two-game slide with a spirited 24-10 road win at Pittsburgh last weekend and there's no reason not to think that the team won't bring that same "spoiler mentality" to this one as well. Outright win?! As we stated off the top, we're not calling for that, but the overall situation, numbers and trends are all pointing to this one being a "nail-biter;" grab the points, the play is Arizona. AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | Oregon v. Syracuse +4.5 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (WINNER) Oregon is 7-2 and Syracuse is 6-3. Oregon is on a three-game win streak. Overall the Ducks have allowed just 52 PPG, but their level of competition needs to be taken into account. Overall Oregon is averaging 81.2 PPG. The Orange lost their conference opener to UVA, but then they bounced back with two wins last week. Overall Syracuse is averaging 77.2 PPG, while conceding just 70.8. Oregon has some injury issues at center and Syracuse's offense has been incredibly efficient of late. This one has "uspet" written all over, meaning that grabbing the points is definitely the correct call in our opinion; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | California +3.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* Cal (BLOWOUT) Both teams enter the Independence Bowl at 6-6 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. This game features plenty of absences via the transfer portal and opt outs, and because of that, these teams are more evenly matched than ever in our estimation. Cal goes with QB Fernand Mendoza under center, while Texas Tech QB Behren Morton. The Bears though have overall looked more solid offense down the stretch and Texas Tech has already struggled in this spot this season, going just 1-3 SU/ATS as a road favorite. Granted, this is a neutral site game, but it doesn't matter. While we feel the outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Cal! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 78 h 43 m | Show |
10* Lions (NON-CONF GOW) Denver is 7-6 now, including 3-3 on the road, while Detroit is 9-4 overall, including 4-2 at home. The Broncos got back on track last week with a 24-7 win over the Chargers, but that was without Justin Herbert in the line-up. Detroit comes in as the hungrier team here after dropping two of its last three, including a listless 28-13 setback at Chicago as a three-point favorite last weekend (note though that the Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road loss as favorites.) With two of their next three to close out the year on the road, this puts added emphasis onto this game for Detroit as well. The overall situation, and also the trends all points to Detroit as the correct call here on Saturday night! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Pistons +17.5 v. Bucks | Top | 114-146 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
10* Pistons (ASSASSIN) This is a great "situational" play in our opinion. Clearly, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything crazy like that, but we do think the hungry Pistons will be able to keep it close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Detroit is just 2-23 and 1-11 on the road after last night's 124-92 loss at Philadelphia. That's now five straight ATS losses in a row for Detroit, which is in fact important for us to take note of here, as the Pistons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row. Not surprisingly, the Pistons play with revenge after a competitive 120-118 loss here at the start of the year. Milwaukee just posted the 140-126 win here over the Pacers, but with high-flying Houston coming to town tomorrow, we expect the home side to get caught "looking ahead;" grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Georgetown +5.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (SUPER BLOWOUT) We like the 6-4 Hoyas to battle tough and to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS cover. The Hoyas snapped a two-game slide with a win over Coppin State last tmie out. Notre Dame on the other hnad is 4-5 and it comes in with zero momentum after a loss at Marquette on the road. Georgetown is averaging 77.8 PPG, while allowing 73.7, while ND is averaging 64.2 PPG, while conceding 67.3. Of course, the level of competition for both sides to this point needs to be taken into account, but regardless of that fact, we still feel that the visitors are getting "overlooked" by the oddsmakers in this one; lay the points, the play is Georgetown! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Georgia Southern -3 v. Ohio | 21-41 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Georgia Southern (BLOWOUT) Ohio finished 9-3, while Georgia Southern finished 6-6. So why are the Eagles favored in this one? Ohio sees QB Kurtis Rourke enter the transfer portal, well its backup QB CJ Harris has been sidelined with injury. Parker Navarro will make the start here for the Bobcats and we're predicting that he predictably stumbles here in this difficult situation. The Eagles are led by second year head coach Clay Helton, who makes his second straight bowl appearance. Georgia Southern is 5-3 ATS as a favorite this season and we think its defense will be able to set up its offense in this one; lay the points, the play is indeed on Georgia Southern! AAA Sports |
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12-15-23 | Northern Colorado +21.5 v. Colorado | Top | 68-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (SUPER SHOCKER) Here's a great "spot" wager. Northern Colorado is 4-5 overall, while Colorado is 7-2. The Bears are winless on the road, while the Buffs are undefeated at home. Off an upset 90-63 neutral court win over Miami last time out as a two-point dog though, we believe that Colorado will indeed suffer a minor mental letdown here facing their lowly in-state rival. The Buffs break starts soon with conference play looming vs. Washington just after X-Mas. Last year the Buffs won this game 88-77 here, unable to cover the 15.5-point spread. Everything points to a similar final discrepancy here as well; so grab the points, as this is indeed a great situational play on Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
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12-12-23 | Warriors v. Suns -3 | Top | 116-119 | Push | 0 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* Suns (PACIFIC DIVISION GOY) After going just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five, we like the Suns to dig deep here and not only win this game, but also to do it in blowout fashion. They beat Golden State here 123-115 back in November and we're predicting a similar final outcome here as well. Both teams have had a few days off, but the Suns have hit a favorable part of their schedule, with three more very winnable home games after this. We're expecting Phoenix to shake off its recent slump. The Warriors were last in action four days ago as well, but they fell 138-136 in OT to the Thunder. KD is supposed to play here, but whether he does or not, this one sets up great situationally for Phoenix in our opinion; lay the short points, the play is indeed on the Suns! AAA Sports |
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12-12-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +24 v. Minnesota | Top | 65-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (ATS SUPER SHOCKER) Are we suggesting that IUPUI will win this game outright?! Of course not. We just love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, as we anticipate that Minnesota will take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the 3-7 Jaguars more than enough room to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Gophers have gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS over their last four, but with the X-Mas break on the horizon, we feel they'll get caught looking past their lowly opponent here. Minnesota is 7-1 at home and is 9-1 ATS overall this year. But now it's for sure the Gophers who are overvalued here. Looking at the offensive and defensive numbers doesn't tell the whole story here. The situational factors working in favor of the visiting side tip the scales in the Jaguars favor; grab the points, the play is indeed on IUPUI! AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Blazers +13.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) We love the way this one sets up for the Blazers from a situational stand-point. Portland is 6-15 overall, including only 4-9 on the road, but they're 8-5 ATS away from friendly confines. The Clippers are 11-10 overall, including 7-3 SU at home, but they're just 5-5 ATS in LA. Portland is coming off three straight SU losses, but that's significant to note as the Blazers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge after a 123-111 loss as a 9.5 point dog here back in October as well, and note that Portland is in fact 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Clippers have won three in a row, but with the Kings coming to town tomorrow night, this one sets up as a potential "trap" game with the "letdown/look-ahead" factors both in full effect; grab the points, the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Titans +14 v. Dolphins | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
8* Titans. The Titans are off a 31-28 OT loss at home to Indianapolis, while Miami cruised to a 45-15 win over the Commanders. The Titans looked decent offensively last week, and defensively they're still conceding just 21.3 PPG. Miami has won three straight, but with a home divisional contest vs. the Jets, followed by a game vs. the Cowboys and Ravens, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the home side in our opinion. No outright, but look for Tennessee to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is the Titans! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Bills +2 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 72 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) While clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, in the end our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Buffalo is 6-6 and KC is 8-4. The Bills are off the 37-34 OT loss at Philadelphia, but had the last week off to regroup and prepare for this one. It was a back-and-forth start for the Bills, but the bye week came at a great time. KC has been playing terribly in losing two of its last three, including a 27-17 setback at Green Bay as a six-point favorite last week. No one is fearing this Chiefs' offense right now, and now the defense also looks shaky. As stated off the top, we firmly believe the outright upset is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 21 m | Show |
10* Jets (ASSASSIN) Houston appears to be the "flavor of the week" right now and we think it's now getting a little TOO much repsect here from the oddsmakers on the road. The Jets have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as NY has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Houston has won four of its last five, including a 22-17 victory at home over Denver. The Texans are just 2-3 SU on the road though. With a game at division rival Tennessee the following week, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there for the visiting side; we love how this one sets up for New York! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Cal-Irvine v. San Diego State -9.5 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
10* SDSU (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is a great "situational" play in our opinion. And it's also backed up by a couple of rock solid ATS stats to support our theory here. UC Irvine is 6-3 this year, but just 1-3 on the road. SDSU is 7-2 this season, including 3-0 at home. The Aztecs won't be taking anything for granted here after their six-game win streak was snapped in a 79-73 loss at Grand Canyon as 2.5-point favorites last time out. SDSU has lost five straight ATS, but note that the Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Anteaters have zero momentum off B2B losses and they'll get no respite here either; lay the points, the play is SDSU! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Charlotte v. Duke -15.5 | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
8* Duke (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams enter 5-3 SU. Charlotte is 5-3 ATS, while Duke is 3-5 ATS. This will be the 49ers first true road game of the year and we feel they're going to stumble. The Blue Devils are 4-1 at home this year, but they're off the 72-68 road loss at Georgia Tech in their first conference action, as 12.5-point favs in that one. Duke has lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Charlottes off the rocking chair 85-62 win over Stetson, but everything points to a predictable letdown in our opinion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Blue Devils! AAA Sports |
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12-08-23 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOM) Atlanta is 9-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Philadelphia is 13-7 overall, including 7-3 at home. ATL has lost two straight, and five straight ATS, but that's significant to note as the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Hawks play with revenge here as well after a 126-116 loss at home back in mid-November, and that's also important to note here as Atlanta is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Hard to say anything negative about Philly, but this is just a bad spot for the home side; grab the points the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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12-08-23 | Army v. Harvard -13.5 | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Harvard (BLOOD-BATH) Harvard's up-tempo pace will prove to be too much for Army to keep up to down the stretch in this one. The Black Knights are just 2-7, while the Crimson are 6-3. Army is 0-4 SU on the road, while Harvard is 3-0 at home. The Crimson are 0-3 ATS in their last three, but that's significant to note as they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We believe that the numbers/trends all overwhelmingly point the Crimson as the correct call as far as the side is concerned in this matchup; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
10* Steelers (AFC GOW) New England is 2-10, while Pittsburgh is 7-5. Pittsburgh has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and off the listless 24-10 loss at home to Arizona, we're expecting this pattern to continue. New England is just in shambles and the issues are greater than just the players on the field or the "X's" and "O's." With the loss of RB Rhamondre Stevenson, the Pats offense is a complete bust. Over their last three games the Pats have scored a combined 13 points, getting shutout twice already this season. Mitch Trubisky is the best player on the field of play in this one, so just take that into consideration. Either way, Pittsburgh's defense, which concedes 19.1 PPG, will be able to deliver the victory here in our opinion; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +5.5 v. Eastern Illinois | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We base our picks on many different things. We've always believed that being flexible with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term, rather than following just one single handicapping methodology/strategy. And so with that in mind, we think this one sets up really well for IUPUI from a "situational" standpoint. The Jaguars are 3-6, while Eastern Illinois is 4-5. The Jaguars have faced a few good teams. One of their three wins came as an underdog a Valparaiso at the start of the year. The other two came over lower-tiered competition. In every loss they've been the underdog, and they've faced some good teams. Eastern Illinois has also faced some stiff competition, but ultimately we feel these teams are extremely evenly matched. So in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is IUPUI! AAA Sports |
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12-06-23 | DePaul +19.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 64-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* DePaul (ASSASSIN) We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we just like the way this one sets up for the now desperate visiting side to keep it close enough to cover with the points. The Blue Demons are 1-6, and the Aggies are 6-2. Texas A&M is ranked 21st, but it's now lost two of its last three, including a 59-47 loss to Virginia last time out. DePaul isn't a great team and we're not trying to make excuses for it as it's lost four in a row. But it was an underdog in three of those games. The Aggies are kind of a one man team. Henry Coleman III had 16 points and 14 rebounds in their most recent loss, but the rest of the team combined to go just 9 of 42 from the floor (which is just 21.4 percent.) This is the Blue Demons first true road game of the year, which can't be a bad thing considering how terrible the start of the season has been. In the 99-80 loss to Iowa State, Jeremiah Oden made six of seven from three-point range and finished with 25 points. As stated off the top, we're not going to call for an outright upset here or anything, but we think the Blue Demons have been improving of late, while the Aggies are going in reverse. Grab the points, the play is DePaul! AAA Sports |
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12-06-23 | Jazz v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 97-147 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* Dallas (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM) Dallas is 11-8, including 5-4 at home, while Utah is 7-13, including 1-9 on the road. Dallas has lost three of its last four, so it won't be taking anything for granted here. It hits the road for two straight after this as well, putting added importance onto this contest for Luka and company to get things turned around here at home tonight. Utah broke a two-game slide with a 118-113 OT win over Portland, but everything points to another letdown here in our opinion vs. this well-rested and focused home side; lay the points, the play is on the Mavericks! AAA Sports |
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12-05-23 | Seton Hall +11.5 v. Baylor | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (NON-CONF GOY) Outright victory?! We're definitely not calling for that, but we do also definitely believe that this is WAY too many points for the home side to be giving up, as this one sets up well from a situational stand point for the visitors in our opinion. Seton Hall is 5-2, while Baylor is 8-0. The Pirates are off the 88-75 win over Northeastern, stopping a two-game slide which came against USC and Iowa in tournament action. Note that while Seton Hall is 0-3 ATS in its last three, the Pirates are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 ATS for bettors after three or more ATS losses in a row. Baylor is rolling, but with big upcoming games vs. Michigan State and Duke before X-Mas, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas here in the second half. The overall situation, combined with the above supporting O/U ATS trends does indeed make Seton Hall our CBB NON-CONFERENCE GOY! AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals are 5-7 and they come to town with Jake Browning under center. Are we calling for an outright upset?! No, we're not. But we do think the Bengals won't smiply "roll over" here. Instead, we're expecting this team to give its best shot over four quarters and to give the home side everything it can handle. Jacksonville is back on track at 8-3 and B2B victories, but note that Trevor Lawrence and company are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine after three or more ATS victories in a row. We're not counting out the Bengals quite yet. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
10* Packers (NON-CONF GOM) The Chiefs are 8-3, including 4-1 on the road. Green Bay is 5-6, including 3-2 at home. We think that the Chiefs will have their hands full and while we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, in a contest that we see coming down to the wire, we're grabbing the points. The Chiefs offense is going in reverse, as they've averaged just 19.5 PPG over their last five games. The Chiefs have been held together by their tough defense which concedes just 16.5 PPG. Green Bay though has looked great of late, winning three of its last four, behind some great offensive play from QB Jordan Love. The defense has been sharp too, allowing just 20.4 PPG this year. With a home game vs. the Bills up next, look for the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" here as well; grab the points, the play is Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota is 5-2 and Ohio State is 6-1. The Gophers are off the 97-64 win over New Orleans, while the Buckeyes beat CMU by a score of 88-61 in their most recent action. This is the first of two meetings between the schools and we think that Ohio State will take full advantage of the home court. Both teams have looked good to this point, but now the real competition gets underway. The Gophers have had a lot of turnover though from last year's team that won this game outright 70-67 as 14-point dogs. Ohio State's depth and incredible defensive play turns out to be the difference this year though; lay the points, the play is the Buckeyes! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee -2.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* Tulane (AAC GOM) Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Furman +8 v. Princeton | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH) The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | Fresno State +15.5 v. BYU | Top | 56-85 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | Knicks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOM) This is the first game of the season between these Atlantic Division foes, and we think the hungry visiting side is the correct call in this matchup tonight. New York is 11-7, including 5-4 on the road, while Toronto is 9-10, including 6-4 at home. The Raptors just snapped a three-game slide with a win over Phoenix and after this game it has five nights off before a home game vs. the Heat. New York is off back-to-back wins, including a 118-112 victory at home over Detroit last night. The Knicks have a few days off after this before a home game vs. the Bucks. New York is a bad matchup for the Raptors and we expect it to draw "first blood" in the season series; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 38 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM) The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Bucks v. Bulls +8.5 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* BULLS (CENTRAL DIV GOW) Clearly, the Bulls have issues this year. They're just 5-14. The Bucks haven't been perfect either, but they've looked great overall at 13-5. Chicago is clearly the more desperate team in this fight, as they've lost five straight SU/ATS. Chicago though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Bulls catch Milwaukee off three straight victories, and all signs finally point to a bit of a letdown here on the road in our estimation. Situationally this one definitely sets up well for the home side and that's primarily what we're basing this pick off. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Illinois State +6.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) In what we feel is an evenly matched contest, we're going to grab the points. Illinois State is 3-3 SU, while UIC is 5-2. The Redbirds have been competitive for the most part, but now returning to conference play here, everything points to a "nail-biter" in our opinion. UIC is 7-0 ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving this spread a little higher than it normally would/should be. We're seeing a lot of the early public money on the home side here, but when comparing these teams numbers, we're expecting a dog-fight until the end (Illinois State won the last matchup 68-62 in OT last season.) Grab the points, the play is Illinois State! AAA Sports |
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11-29-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Tulane -13.5 | Top | 77-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BLOOD-BATH) Prairie View A&M is 4-2 overall and 5-0 against the spread, so that now tells us two things looking at these numbers: the Panthers are a pretty good team. They're No. 1 overall in the SWAC and they're coming off three straight road victories as an underdog (and really BIG underdogs in every one of them, most recently they were an 11.5-point dog vs. Eastern Kentucky on the road and won 76-64.) Obviously Prairie View A&M is a pretty good team, not to be overlooked, but at 5-0 against the spread, that now tells us that they're likely going to be really overvalued here moving forward. Tulane is similar in that it's a really good team as well. It's 4-1 in a tough AAC conference and it's also coming in off a big win..beating Cal 84-81. But unlike their opponent today, the Green Wave UP UNTIL THIS POINT have been the overvalued team as they're just 1-4 against the spread. But now the situation has flip-flopped for these teams, and the value now swings the other way. We think Tulane, which now returns home where its already 3-0 this season after two straight Tournament games, is where the value lies; lay the points, the play is Tulane! AAA Sports |
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11-28-23 | Missouri +6 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Missouri (NON-CONF GOW) Missouri is 5-2 SU, while Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU. The Tigers though are an unrealistic 0-7 ATS, while the Panthers are an unrealistic 5-1 ATS. Look for these lop-sided trends/numbers to start correcting themselves here immediately tonight. Outright win?! With a smaller spread like this, clearly, anything is possible. But in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. On the season Missouri is averaging 75.1 PPG, while allowing 67, while Pittsburgh is averaging 88.2, while conceding 63.2. Of course, the level of competition for each side has to be called into question at this point. Missouri shoots the ball well from three and is going to be able to stretch this Pittsburgh defense; grab the points, the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOY on New Orleans. Here's a great "spot" wager, one so strong that it's qualified as our No. 1 WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR. New Orleans is 9-8 after a 105-100 loss here two nights ago. Note though that the Pels have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Utah is just 5-11. That victory snapped a four-game slide. But with an upcoming road trip starting at Memphis, not only is this a letdown spot for the home side, but also a look-ahead. And when you add up those two factors together, you get TRAP GAME. This is now a trap for the contented home side, well all signs point to New Orleans keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this revenge-scenario; lay the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
10* Bears (NFC NORTH GOY) The Bears play with revenge here after falling 19-13 at home back in Week 6. They were a 3-point dog in that one, and they're a 3-point dog here. But now they catch the Vikes at the exact correct time in our estimation. Note that the Bears are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent as well. The Bears lost 31-26 at Detroit last weekend, but covered with the 7.5-point spread. Minnesota is coming off a close-but-no-cigar 21-20 loss at Denver and we think it's ripe for an upset here; that said, let's grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Manhattan v. Fordham -11.5 | Top | 61-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Fordham (MID-MAJOR MAULING) The MAAC takes on the A-10 here. Manhattan got smashed 90-60 on the road by No. 5 UConn last time out and we think the Jaspers will once again have their hands full here vs. the Rams, who are looking to rebound themselves after a competitive 79-72 loss to Kent State. Overall Manhattan is averaging 65.6 PPG, while allowing 75.6, while Fordham is averaging 67 PPG, while allowing 68.8. Of course, both team's numbers are skewed because of the early competition. That said, Fordham's defes is definitely on another level here and we just can't see the offensively-challenged Jaspers keeping pace down the stretch; lay the points with confidence, the play is Fordham! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ASSASSIN) Baltimore is 8-3, but we think it'll have its hands full here with this now desperate 4-6 LA side. The Ravens are off the 34-20 win over the Bengals, but with their bye week next week, all signs point to this team getting caught "looking ahead" in our opinion, as that's then followed by a fairly easy home game vs. the hapless Rams. the Chargers are for sure desperate here after two straight losses, but we think they catch the Ravens at a great time here, a late night West Coast game on the national stage and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | College of Charleston +7.5 v. Kent State | Top | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Charleston (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Charleston is 2-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS. We're expecting the Cougars to battle tough here and, at the very least, post the solid ATS cover this time around. Kent State is 4-2. Charleston is off the 80-72 win over Coastal Carolina, whole the Golden Flashes are off a 79-72 win over Fordham. So far in the early going Charleston is averaging 69.4 PPG, while allowing 74.2. Kent State has averaged 83.6 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Cougars have only played one true home game. They're battle-tested here and we think completely undervalued in this matchup. We really respect Kent State, but we don't see the Flashes covering this larger number; so grab the points, the play is Charleston! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Jacksonville is 7-3 SU/ATS, including 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Houston is 6-4 SU, including 4-1 SU at home. It's 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but while we'll still be grabbing the points, we're expecting the home side to in fact find a way to win this one outright. Jacksonville bounced back with a 34-14 win over Tennessee at home last week after falling 34-3 at home to the 49ers. While only 1-2 ATS in its last three, Houston though is 3-0 SU. That includes an impressive win on the road at the Bengals as a dog. It's Houston which is still flying under the radar here, as we expect the Jags to finally take a step back on the road this season; grab the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Devils | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) Both teams played just last night. The Devils have taken a big step back in the early going after a great year last season, as they're just 8-9 after last night's 2-1 loss here to Columbus. Buffalo though won its second straight in a 3-2 home win over the Penguins. The Sabres are now 9-9 and they play with revenge after a 5-4 loss here at the end of October. In what we anticipate will be another competitive affair, we're going to lay the price with Buffalo here on the puckline option and grab those extra 1.5 goals in the process! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Tulsa v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
10* UALR (MAULING) It's the AAC traveling to take on the Ohio Valley Conference. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0, while the Trojans are 1-4. In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire" though, we're grabbing the points with the desperate home side here. Tulsa is off the 90-70 win over South Carolina State. The Trojans blew a 17-point lead in their last game and lost 93-90 to Georgia State in overtime. We like the Trojans to bounce back here after that disaster, as they just had a mental-lapse. Look for the tempo the home side sets to be too much for the Golden Hurricane to handle today, and while I do think an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with UALR! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Northern Illinois -19 v. Kent State | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
10* Northern Illinois FIRST HALF (MAC GOW) If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like NIU for the entire game. This is a great "situational" play in our opinion, and at this time of year, we're basing our picks off of "situations" in College Football. There's no need to overthink this one. The primary reason we like NIU is that we expect it to risk life and limb here to secure its sixth victory of the season, and thus become "eligible." Kent State is just 1-10 and a complete disaster. It won't win this game and we're not expecting the Flashes to put up any sort of fight whatsoever. We expect NIU to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF, but as we said off the top, if you can't find a FIRST HALF line, we also like the HUSKIES for the FULL GAME! AAA Sports |