Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47 | Top | 22-25 | Push | 0 | 329 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER. So based on the overall body of work in the regular season, you would have to say that San Francisco has been the better team. Go back to the final few weeks of the regular season and the playoffs, and you can't say that. San Francisco was lucky in both playoff games against Green Bay and Detroit. Jared Goff and Jordan Love both had big games at San Francisco, and now the Niners defense faces the most dynamic duo in playoff history in a dome at a neutral site. Andy Reid off a bye week should have a full bag of tricks at his disposal, and the Chiefs should get their share of points. The Buffalo Bills ran all over the Chiefs in the divisional round, totaling 182 yards and two TDs on the ground. Expect San Francisco to have success in the running game. Prop bets include: Mahomes most passing yards -155 Kelce most receiving yards +280 Kelce anytime TD +100 CMC over 87.5 rush yards -130 CMC to win MVP +475 CMC 2+ TDs +260 Mahomes over 25.5 rush yards -125 49ers over 1.5 rushing TDs +170 MVP QBvsField = Field +200 |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 44 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Chiefs offense was humming in a bad weather game in Buffalo last week, albeit against a banged up Buffalo defense. That being said, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce appear to have their swagger back. The Chiefs defense had no answers for Josh Allen and the Bills offense, and if it wasn't for a few bad drops by Bills receivers, Buffalo likely wins that game. After Josh Allen ran for 72 yards and two TDs, you would expect Lamar Jackson to run all over this banged up Kansas City defense. These teams have scored 48+ combined points in each of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 103 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The easiest way to lose a fortune betting the NFL is to bet based on last week's results. We just saw the Packers go into Dallas and run all over the Cowboys. The bad news for Green Bay is that Mike McCarthy isn't coaching the 49ers, and they aren't getting anything for free here. The 49ers held opponents to 17 points per game during the regular season, and opponents averaged less than 90 yards per game on the ground. Coming off a bye, we should see San Francisco cause all sorts of problems for Jordan Love. The Packers have their hands full with CMC, and when on offense I expect the 49ers to burn up plenty of clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans OVER 44 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 126 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Browns offense is a different animal since Joe Flacco arrived. He's thrown for over 1600 yards and 13 touchdowns in just five games. Not only does Flacco have a Super Bowl ring, he also has a Super Bowl MVP Trophy in his collection. The Browns have gone over in seven straight road games, and they have gone over four of five with Flacco as the starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams OVER 50 | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Commanders are in last place in the NFC East, and they rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense allowing over 30 points per game. They have allowed an NFL high 266 passing yards per game. The Rams have scored 30+ points in three straight games, and Matthew Stafford threw 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. The over is 5-1 in the Commanders last six overall, and the Rams have gone over in four of their last six. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions OVER 46 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 128 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Lions have allowed an average of 30 points per game in their last five overall, going 3-2 in those games. Jared Goff struggled on the road last week, but he's back home in the dome where he's played much better. The Broncos come in as winners of six of their last seven overall, and they are finally getting their money's worth from Russell Wilson. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings. The Lions have gone over the number in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | 13-33 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Eagles had been getting it done with smoke and mirrors for weeks, but the bubble burst in a home loss to San Francisco on Sunday. Now they head to Dallas to face a well rested Cowboys team that has been firing on all cylinders. Dak Prescott has averaged well over 300 yards per passing per game over his last five. The Eagles rank 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing over 260 yards per game. This is a mismatch, and a bad spot for the Eagles. These teams have gone over in six straight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 48.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There are those who will insist that the Bills are better than their record indicates. They certainly deserved better in a loss at Philly in their last game, but this isn't exactly a good spot on the road at Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Green Bay on Sunday night, and they are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 overall. The Bills may be distracted by off the field issues, and playing in a tough spot on the road this week isn't ideal. The over is 3-2 in the last five meetings, but the number was at least six points higher in all five of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders OVER 40 | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The under is 6-1 in the Raiders last seven home games. It's not like they have faced offensive juggernauts though. Their four home wins came against the Jets, the Patriots, the Giants and the Packers. Their last home game was a 31-17 loss to Kansas City. Minnesota is expecting Justin Jefferson back, and the Vikes have gone over in five straight in the month of December. These teams have gone over the number in four straight meetings, and the total for this game is far lower than it was in those previous meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers UNDER 44 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Chargers look like one of the best teams in the NFL on paper, but their coach leaves a lot of points on the table and it often ends up costing them in close games. Scoring on the road in Green Bay might be a challenge. The Packers quietly rank 11th overall in scoring defense. The problem for Green Bay is that their offense stinks, and they have a ton of injuries at skill positions. Look for another low score here at Lambeau. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 155 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. San Francisco comes out of the bye week looking to get back on track. The defense should be in good shape with Chase Young making his debut. They have allowed just 16.5 points per game on the road this season. The offense is still a question with a pair of starters out on the offensive line. Brock Purdy has thrown five picks in his last three starts, and the Niners scored 17 in all three of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-23 | Jets v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 137 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So the Cowboys defense shut out the Giants in New York in Week 1, and the Jets made Josh Allen look like Ryan Leaf. With Zach Wilson taking over at QB for the Jets, we expect them to be quite conservative on offense. The Cowboys are looking to ride Tony Pollard and their defense, so we could see a low scoring defensive battle here in this one. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 50 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 321 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Under. Both the Conference Championship Games fell well short of the listed total, and there are plenty of signs we should expect a low score in the Super Bowl. The Eagles defense knocked out Brock Purdy early in the game, and held the 49ers to just seven points. Their offense was a run heavy attack, and we haven't seen much in the passing game since Jalen Hurts came back from a shoulder injury. The Chiefs defense sacked Joe Burrow five times, and picked him off twice. They held the Bengals to just 71 yards on the ground, and they rank 6th in the NFL in opponent rushing TDs. Patrick Mahomes was limited due to a high ankle sprain, and he might be less than 100 percent here even after two weeks. GL, Jesse Schule SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There is no doubt in my mind that Patrick Mahomes is going to play, but the question is how effective is he going to be. He wasn't too bad playing hurt last week, throwing for 195 yards and two TDs on 22-of-30 passing. He may not be able to extend plays with his legs, and that might result in a more conservative game plan from Andy Reid. This is a revenge spot for the Chiefs, after getting eliminated by the Bengals in a 27-24 OT home loss last January. There are a lot of trends pointing towards the under. The under is 26-10-3 in the Bengals last 39 road games, and the under is 12-3 in their last 15 games in January. These teams have gone under in five of the last six at Arrowhead. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 46 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 149 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 45.5. The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. The last time these teams played, San Francisco won 17-11 it Philly is September of last season. The under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games, and the under is 12-3-1 in Eagles last 16 playoff home games. This should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Despite five turnovers against the Chargers last week, the Jags scored 31 points and erased a 27-0 deficit. Trevor Lawrence threw for 288 yards and four TDs on 28-of-47 passing in the comeback. He has his work cut out for him if he wants to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 1st in the NFL in passing (298 yds per game) and #1 in scoring averaging over 29 points per game. Kansas City doesn't have much of a running game, so we should see both teams air it out here. The over is 8-3 in Jaguars last 11 road games, and the Chiefs have gone over in 10 of their last 13 in the month of January. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs UNDER 45.5 | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I can't take a side here, there's no way I trust either of these quarterbacks. Tom Brady has looked his age lately, throwing six INTs in his last four meaningful games. We won't count a meaningless game against Atlanta in the season finale. Dak Prescott has thrown eight picks in his last five starts, and his last game was a complete disaster. He threw for just 128 yards on 14-of-37 passing with a TD and an INT in a 26-6 loss to Washington. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect both coaches to be quite conservative, especially in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars OVER 47.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and three TDs on 28-of-39 passing in a 38-10 win over the Chargers in LA in Week 3, but don't read too much into the fact that the Chargers were blown out in that game. Justin Herbert had broken ribs, and Keenan Allen didn't play. Despite all the injuries and dealing with adversity, Herbert still threw for almost 5,000 yards and 25 TDs this season. The Chargers boast the NFL's #3 ranked passing offense. Jacksonville won their final five games in the regular season, scoring an average of more than 29 points in those contests. The over is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and the Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Jacksonville. I expect both teams to score their share here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 47 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The line has moved significantly due to the injury to Jalen Hurts. I am not convinced that the Eagles are much worse off with Minshew Mania at the helm. Gardner Minshew has completed over 63 percent of his passes for 41 TDs and a dozen INTs in his NFL career. Most of his playing time came with the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. Now he steps in behind an elite offensive line, on the best team in the NFL. There is every reason to expect him to be successful, as least moving the ball and putting points on the scoreboard. These teams have gone over in four straight, and three straight in Dallas. The total came down several points after the news that Hurts wouldn't play, and I still expect the Eagles to score enough to get the total over the number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-22 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 49 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on over. The Vikings defense has given up 70 points in their last two games. Last week they trailed the Colts 33-0 at halftime, and came all the way back to win 39-36. They have now gone over the total in six of their last seven home games, and it would be no surprise to see another high score here against the Giants. The Vikings have allowed an average of 28 points in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Lions are 5-7, and yet they are favorite here at home against a 10-2 Minnesota team. Both these teams are playing their best football of late, each winnimng four of their last five games. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 402 yards per game. Right behind them are the Vikings allowing 398 yards per game. The Lions lost 28-24 at Minnesota earlier this season, and last December they won 29-27 at Ford Field. The over is 11-5 in the Vikings last 16 road games, and the Lions have gone over in six of their last eight home games. The over is 4-1 in the Vikings last five at Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams OVER 43.5 | 16-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Heading into the season we thought the duo of Derek Carr and Davante Adams would put up huge numbers. They got off to a slow start, but over the last five games Adams is averaging over 132 receiving yards per game. He also has seven TDs during that span. The Raiders come into LA as winners of three in a row, and they face a Rams defense decimated by injuries. Geno Smith threw for 367 yards and three TDs in LA on Sunday. Despite a lost season for the Rams, they were still competitive against Seattle. These games may just be an opportunity for players like Cam Akers and Van Jefferson to pad their stats. The Raiders 26th ranked defense allows 25 points per game, so there should be opportunities. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The last game played at Gillette Stadium saw the Patriots score just three points up until the final five seconds of regulation. They were quite fortunate that they held the Jets to just three points on just 103 yards of offense. They were even luckier to return a punt for a touchdown to walk the game off for the win. They host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night, and both these teams boast Top 5 scoring defenses each allowing just 18 points per game. The weatherman says it's going to be cold with rain and wind (if you can trust the forecast several days out). The Pats have held opponents to three points or less in three of their last four games. I think 21 points will be enough to win this game GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers UNDER 44 | 28-31 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This is the last stand for the Packers this season. If they are going to save the season it has to happen here against Dallas. They get a home game in bad weather, normally an ideal spot for this team. I expect them to bring a ton of intensity on defense and lean on their running game. It's not clear if Aaron Rodgers can do anything with this receiving corps. The Cowboys have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall, and the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games in November. The under is 6-1 in the Packers last seven games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots UNDER 40.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Patriots welcome back Mac Jones on Monday night at home against the Bears, despite the fact that their offense looked a lot better with Bailey Zappe under center. Jones has thrown for 786 yards, 2 TDs and 5 INTs on 66 percent passing this season. This isn't exactly a favorable matchup as the Bears rank among the best in the NFL against the pass allowing just over 170 yards per game. The good news for New England is that Chicago can't stop the run, allowing over 160 yards per game on the ground. This should prompt Belicheck to pound the rock, burning the clock and slowing the game down. History favors the under, as the Patriots have gone under in six of their last seven MNF games, while the Bears have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight on Monday night. The under is 11-2 in the Bears last 13 games in October. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-22 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 50.5 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. It's not Josh Allen who leads the NFL in passing after two weeks, but Tua Tagovailoa. He threw for 469 yards and six TDs in last week's 42-38 win over the Ravens. He's got has hands full this week against the Buffalo Bills who lead the league in scoring. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, as the over is 10-4 in the last 14 head to head meetings. It sure looks like the dynamic duo of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill has turned the Dolphins into an offensive juggernaut. We should expect both these teams to get their share of points, and this total appears to be a bit on the low side. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-22 | Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 160 h 30 m | Show |
This is play on Under. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys UNDER 50.5 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play Under. The teams played a high scoring game in Week 1 last year, but I am not expecting a repeat performance. Tom Brady is 45 years old and didn't practice for most of the pre-season. The Bucs lost their starting center, but they are still in far better shape than the Cowboys who will really miss Tyron Smith. Dak Prescott won't have Amari Cooper, and Ezekiel Elliott is trending in the wrong direction. The under is 9-3 in the Cowboys last 12 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Tampa Bay. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-22 | Eagles v. Lions OVER 48 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 279 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There is some optimism that the Lions will be better this year, particularly on offense. There is still plenty of reason to be skeptical of their defense. The Eagles come in with plenty of weapons, and they are projected to have the best offensive line in football. They should get their points. The Eagles scored 44 points at Detroit last year, and these two teams have gone over in eight straight head to head meetings. The over is 16-7 in Lions last 23 home games, and they have gone over in 16 of their last 21 season openers. You know they say that History Repeats Itself! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 27-24 | Loss | -111 | 91 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bengals managed to win on the road at Tennessee last week despite QB Joe Burrow getting sacked nine times. They will have no hope here in Kansas City if they fail to protect Burrow, despite the fact that they beat the Chiefs 34-31 in Cincinnati just a few weeks ago. The Chiefs had a 28-17 lead at halftime in that game, and we could see both teams score their share of points here in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 782 yards and eight TDs on 76 percent passing in the Playoffs so far. The Chiefs are 11-1 in their last 12 overall, and they have gone over the total in seven straight overall. Don't be surprised if Kansas City wins this one in a blowout 42-24. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 63 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on Under. The Cowboys have looked like Super Bowl favorites at times, but they haven't been at their best lately. Don't be fooled by their big win over the Eagles, in a game that Philly rested all their starters. Perhaps a more accurate indicator would be their home loss to Arizona a week earlier. They host a San Francisco team that poses a similar challenge. The Niners are going to try to punch the Cowboys in the mouth. What that means is, they will look to run the ball and control the clock, keeping the ball out of the hands of Dak Prescott. The Niners have failed to reach the total in five of their last six playoff games. The under is 8-3 in the Cowboys last 11 games overall, and Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games. The total for this contest is higher than it had been in each of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals UNDER 49 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans UNDER 44 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Titans offense has struggled since losing Derrick Henry, averaging fewer than 15 points in their last four games overall. Their defense has continued to play well, allowing fewer than 20 points in those games. They rank 2nd in the NFL versus the run, allowing just 86.9 rushing yards per game. The Titans have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight home games, and with all the injuries points could be hard to come by here against the 49ers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 45.5 | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Seahawks and the Rams are relatively lucky to come into this game with most of their players healthy. A couple extra days have allowed the Rams to get several players back from the Covid list. Both these QBs come in hot, with Russell Wilson throwing for six TDs and just one INT in his last three starts, and Mathew Stafford throwing for nine TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. Seattle still ranks dead last in total defense allowing almost 400 yards per game. When these teams played earlier this season the total was set at 53.5, and now in LA we see a much lower number. Expect Russell Wilson to score enough to keep this game interesting and push the total over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 43 | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Cold winter nights at Lambeau Field are not an ideal setting for quarterbacks to pad the stats in the passing game. Justin Fields rarely tosses the ball around the yard at the best of times. He's only bettered this number twice this season, and in a home loss to the Packers he threw for 174 yards with a TD and an INT on 16-of-27 passing. Fields is coming back from a rib injury, and while he's healthy enough to start this game, there's no guarantee he will finish it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. All of a sudden the Denver Broncos have won three of their last four and they rank 1st in the NFL in scoring defense. The Chiefs have won four straight, and their defense has allowed just 12 points per gane during that span. They have been a lot more focused on their running game, and they ran for 126 yards and two TDs in a win over the Cowboys two weeks ago. Patrick Mahomes didn't throw a TD pass in that game, and he's only had one multi TD game in his last five starts. The under is 23-11 in the Broncos last 34 games in December, and the under is 4-1-1 in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team OVER 46.5 | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs will be a double digit favorite at home on Monday Night Football versus the Giants, but they have lost back to back games to Washington and New Orleans. While both those losses came on the road, the fact is that a pair of mediocre teams scored a total of 65 points in those games. Injuries in the secondary are hurting the Bucs, and without Vita Vea their run defense is suffering as well. Both these teams have offensive starters coming back from injury, and they have a history of playing high scoring games. The over is 6-0 in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-21 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Rams are most people's favorite to win the Super Bowl, and they doubled down with the moves to add Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. They lost last week to the Titans, and that sets them up for a "get right" game here in San Francisco. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. LA has the better QB, and the better coach. The Niners drafted Trey Lance because they didn't trust Jimmy G. Kyle Shanahan might not be the answer either, and he should be on the hot seat. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-21 | Bills v. Jets OVER 48 | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Jets are a double digit dog at home versus Buffalo, but they might not be as bad as you think. There are 2-1 at home this season, and there is no denying that when Mike White steps in at QB they make things interesting. White has played in three games, completing 73 percent of his passes for 702 yards and five TDs. The Jets have gone over in five straight, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. This might be a get right game for the Bills, but I expect Mike White to put some points on the board for the Jets. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-21 | Packers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 101 h 0 m | Show | |
8 |
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11-07-21 | Vikings v. Ravens OVER 49.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Vikings know they need to be more agressive moving forward. Assistant coach Andre Patterson told reporters this week: "Instead of trying not to lose games, we need to go out and try to win". Being too conservative might explain why the Vikings offense ranks near the top of the league in total yards, but not in points scored. It's only a matter of time before those numbers even out. The over is 10-2 in the Vikings last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have gone over in five straight road games. These two teams have gone over in five straight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts OVER 45.5 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Last week the Jets totaled 511 yards and upset the Bengals winning 34-31. Nobody saw it coming, but perhaps we should have been more optimistic about Mike "Effin" White. After all he did step in the previous week and immediately New York's offense started moving the ball. The Colts have been far from perfect, and they have gone over in four of their last five overall. These teams have gone over in seven of the laat 10 head to head meetings, and with Mike "Effin" White under center the Jets offense could make some noise here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 55 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 100 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Cowboys will make a decision on Dak Prescott before kickofff, but whether or not he plays it seems clear that he's not going to be 100 percent. The game plan here should be focused on a heavy dose of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott. Only Cleveland has averaged more rushing yards per game than the Cowboys this season. The Cowboys have lost five of their last six at Minnesota, and the Vikings are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games versus a team with a winning road record. At 3-3 the Vikings appear to be flying under the radar, and this looks like a good spot for the home team. The under is 4-1 in the Vikes last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans OVER 55.5 | 3-27 | Loss | -105 | 134 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Titans win over the Bills on Monday Night Football was quite impressive, but their defense was shredded by Josh Allen. It won't get any easier this week against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The last two meetings between these teams have gone over the total, even a high number such as 58 (the current number at some books). Kansas City ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring defense, and second in the NFL passing yards. This game has "shootout" written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-21 | Seahawks v. Steelers UNDER 48 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 170 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Seahawks are bound to be a bit conservative on offense with their backup QB under center and their leading rusher on the IR. While Seattle ranks dead last in total defense, that is a little misleading. It hasn't necessarily translated into points the way you would expect. The Seahawks are allowing 25 points per game in a league where four teams are allowing 30+ points per game. The Steelers are also not the ideal team to take advantage of Seattle's defensive shortcomings. The under is 7-1 in the Seahawks last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the number in six of their last seven on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns OVER 48 | 37-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles OVER 52.5 | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs come into Philly as big favorites, and they sit near the top of everyone's power rankings. That comes no thanks to their defense though, allowing almost 25 points per game. When you rank first in the NFL in passing, and you average over 33 points per game, you don't have to have a great defense. The Eagles last home game was a 42-30 loss to Kansas City, and Jalen Hurts threw for 387 yards and two TDs in the loss. He could have another big game here against a struggling Bucs secondary, and he's going to need to if the Eagles want to stay in the game. These teams have gone over in five of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-21 | Browns v. Chargers OVER 47 | 42-47 | Win | 100 | 42 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Chargers defense ranks among the best in the NFL against the pass, but they have struggled a bit to defend the run. That could be a recipe for disaster against a Browns team that can pound the rock like no other. Cleveland leads the NFL in rushing averaging over 177 yards per game. The Browns have gone over the total in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. They will have their hands full with Justin Herbert. Both these teams are going to put points on the board, and the total looks a little low. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-21 | Packers v. Bengals OVER 50.5 | 25-22 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Packers offense comes into this game cooking, and this game in Cincinnati is expected to be a high scoring affair. Aaron Jones comes in with five total TDs in his last three games, despite being kept out of the endzone against the Steelers. I am expecting both teams to score their share of points here in Cincinnati. The over is 6-0 in the Packers last six versus a team with a winning record, and the Bengals have gone over in six of their last severn versus a teams with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-21 | Bucs v. Patriots OVER 49 | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs defense has struggled so far while winning 2-of-3 games. They have allowed an average of 29 points, and opposing QBs are averaging 338 passing yards per game. This could allow Bill Belichick to scheme up a game plan for Mac Jones that will lead to points for the Patriots. Richard Sherman is expected to play at CB today, despite not playing a game in almost a year. This gives us an idea of just how shorthanded the Bucs are in their secondary. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last five as a favorite, and they have gone over in five straight when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 55 | 37-20 | Loss | -107 | 93 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I had the under in the Falcons season opener versus Philadelphia, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Falcons will be the favorite when they host Philly in Week 1, but this team might not be as explosive as it once was. Matt Ryan is now 36 years old, and Atlanta was just 4-12 in 2020. These two teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and they failed to score 40 combined points in three of the last four meetings. This number appears to be a little inflated." The under is 11-5 in Washington's last 16 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 games in October. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Falcons UNDER 48 | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I had the under in the Falcons season opener versus Philadelphia, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Falcons will be the favorite when they host Philly in Week 1, but this team might not be as explosive as it once was. Matt Ryan is now 36 years old, and Atlanta was just 4-12 in 2020. These two teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and they failed to score 40 combined points in three of the last four meetings. This number appears to be a little inflated." The under is 11-5 in Washington's last 16 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 games in October. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bengals are coming off an impressive win in Pittsburgh, and Joe Burrow threw three TD passes against one of the league's top defenses. Most significantly he didn't get sacked once, as the Steelers 75 game streak with at least one sack was broken. A home game against the Jags looks like a good spot for Burrow to fill the stat sheet. The Jags defense has allowed over 30 points per game so far, and opposing QBs are averaging over 300 passing yards per game. Burrow threw for 300 yards a TD and an INT in a 33-25 home win over the Jags as a rookie last year. With an improved offensive line, expect another big day for Burrow. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 21-41 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans OVER 43 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Carolina is off to an impressive start, and they look good to move to 3-0 as they face the Texans in Houston on Thursday night. The Texans are 2-0 ATS so far, but they have allowed an average of 29 points per game through the first two weeks. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three TDs in a loss at Houston in Week 1. It won't get any easier with Davis Mills taking over at QB. He threw for 102 yards with a TD and an INT on 8-of-18 passing after Tyrod Taylor went down with an injury in Cleveland last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Texans are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers OVER 48.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Perhaps the biggest surprise in Week 1 was the Packers losing 38-3 to the Saints. We've been here before with Aaron Rodgers, and he's always come back with a vengeance. The Packers have lost six games in the LaFleur/Rodgers era, and they are 6-0 in each game following those losses. So it seems like the consensus opinion is that the Packers are just fine, and they will take out their frustrations on the hapless Detroit Lions on Monday night. While I wouldn't be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and the offense respond in typical fashion, I am more concerned with a defense that gave up 38 points against the Saints, making Jameis Winston look like Patrick Mahomes. The Lions have covered the spread in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The scored an average of 27 points in those games, and they didn't score less than 20 points in any of those games. Jared Goff might be a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and he's certainly not the guy who will win you a Super Bowl, but he threw for 338 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Niners. He's capable of piling on points in garbage time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 50 | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 84 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Under. I had the under in the Eagles opening game at Atlanta, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Eagles offense ranked 28th in the NFL in passing last season, averaging just 207.9 yards per game. They come into 2021 hoping that Jalen Hurts can bring their offense back to life, but that sure seems like a longshot. I can remember Hurts as the same quarterback that lost his job as the starter for Alabama. Last season he completed just 52% of his passes for 1,061 yards with six TDs and four INTs while appearing in 15 games. He isn't exactly surrounded by an all star receiving corps and the Eagles don't exactly have the most dynamic stable of running backs either." Now they went on to win 32-6, but that might say more about the Falcons defense than it does about the Eagles offense. The under is 22-8 in Eagles last 30 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders UNDER 50.5 | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46.5 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -103 | 68 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rams had the NFL's #1 ranked scoring defense last season, while the Bears ranked #1 in scoring defense back in 2018. We should expect a low score here on Sunday night. The Rams brought in Matt Stafford, and he brings high expectations of an improved offense. The Rams offense has struggled since Todd Gurley left, and their current stable of running backs looks a bit lackluster with Cam Akers out and Darrell Henderson banged up. The Bears are trotting out Andy Dalton at QB in Week 1, and that looks like a recipe for disaster against this Rams pass rush. The under is 13-5 in the Bears last 18 games as a road underdog, and the under is 14-3 in the Rams last 17 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 51.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs ranked 3rd in the NFL in scoring last year, and they come into their season opener with all their starters back and at full strength. They are a huge favorite against a Dallas team that allowed opponents to average almost 30 points last year. Dak Prescott is back, and when healthy the Cowboys offense was firing on all cylinders. Dallas averaged 33 points per game in the games Prescott played last year. The over is 8-2 in the Buccaneers last 10 games as a home favorite, and the Cowboys have gone over in four straight as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 56 | 9-31 | Loss | -105 | 259 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Chiefs continue to get off to slow starts, so don't be surprised if they do it again. They spotted Buffalo an early double digit lead in the AFC Championship Game, and last year in the Super Bowl they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to overcome a 10 point deficit. Nobody would be shocked to see this trend continue in SBLV. The over is 23-10 in the Buccaneers last 33 games overall, and they have gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. This total should probably be a little closer to 60 all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 38-9 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite it being December in the Northeast, the total for Monday's Bills versus Patriots game is higher than it has been in each of the last five meetings between these teams. The state of the New England offense under Cam Newton doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that the Patriots are going to put up a lot of points. The Bills defense looks solid, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 20 points. New England has gone under in four straight home games, and the under is 14-6 in the Patriots last 20 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers UNDER 54.5 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. At first glance, you would expect a high score between the Titans and the Green Bay Packers. Give it a little more thought though, and it might be a little optimistic to expect them to score a combined 55 points in the snow here on Sunday night. Tennessee has seen three of their last four road games fall short of that number, and Green Bay has gone under in four of their last five at Lambeau. The under is 7-0 in the Packers last seven games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 7-36 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans will go as far as Deshaun Watson can take them, and he's thrown for almost 1000 yards with six TDs and one INT while winning two of his last three starts. All three of those games went over 45 points, as the Texans have a below average defense and almost no running game. The Bears offense has been one of the league's worst, and has shown only minimal improvements since turning back to Mitch Trubisky. The over is 6-1 in the Texans last seven road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Bears last seven games following an ATS loss. Even the bad news Bears should be able to score on the Texans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions OVER 50.5 | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans defense has been downright awful this season, and only the Seattle Seahawks have allowed more passing yards than Houston. Opponents are averaging over 411 passing yards per game, and here they are in Detroit, playing in a dome against a team that can't run the ball to save their lives. Mathew Stafford wasn't sharp playing hurt against Carolina last week, but I expect him to go off here at home against the Texans. Both these teams are rather pass happy, and each should do their fair share of scoring. There is just something about the Lions on Thanksgiving. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The 3-0 Packers and the 0-3 Falcons might be more similar than they are different. They are both averaging 30 or more points per game, and they have both allowed opponents to score more than 28 points per game. The bookmakers are expecting to see another high scoring affair here in Green Bay on Monday night, but the Packers are going to be shorthanded without their two top wide receivers. This presents an opportunity for Marquez Vadles-Scantling and Aaron Jones to play a bigger role in the passing game. I am expecting both teams to get their share of points, and Valdes-Scantling and Jones to fill the stat sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 49 | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Raiders offense was firing on all cylinders in Week 1, totaling 34 points on 372 total yards. Josh Jacobs scored three TDs, running for 93 yards on 25 carries. Derek Carr had a clean game, throwing for 239 yards and a TD without turning the ball over. The Raiders won seven games last season, and five of those seven wins came at home. They were not very good defensively, and based on their performance in Week 1 their defense is still a big concern. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, and the over is 16-7 in the Saints last 23 games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 53.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 152 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans were eliminated from last year's playoffs in a 51-31 loss to the Chiefs. They opened up an early 24-0 lead, only to trail 28-21 at halftime. The Chiefs offense is as unstoppable as we have ever seen, and last year they score 40 points in Week 1. They scored 38 points in their first game of the pre-season last year, so expecting them to get off to a slow start might be misguided. The over is 5-0 in the Chiefs last five season openers, and the over is 6-1 in the Chiefs last seven games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53 | 20-31 | Loss | -115 | 329 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 53.5. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. He's capable of driving down the field and putting points on the board quite quickly. The 49ers ranked second in the NFL in scoring this season behind Baltimore, and the Chiefs have scored a combined 87 points in their wins over Tennessee and Houston. With two weeks for these coaching staffs to scheme, expect both offenses to be explosive. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs OVER 51.5 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 113 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Titans to go Over the team total. The Chiefs were down 24-0 early in the second quarter at home against the Texans, and Houston suffered the worst collapse since Atlanta's in Super Bowl 51. The Titans come in as a big underdog, and the bookmakers aren't expecting them to score a lot of points. I think that's a mistake, as this team averaged over 33 points per game in their final seven games of the regular season. They have the NFL's leading rusher, and the top ranked quarterback during that span. Kansas City on the other hand gives up a lot of points, as evidenced in their 51-31 win last week. Even if the Chiefs have a big lead, their inability to run should allow the Titans plenty of opportunity to score points of their own. Henry ran for 188 yards and two TDs in the previous matchup versus the Chiefs. He's been a beast in the playoffs, and he should get every opportunity to score here in Kansas City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47 | Top | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEN@BAL to go Under the total. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG@PHI to go Under the total. The Eagles secondary has been a glaring weakness this season, and they were exposed in a 37-31 loss to the Dolphins last week. Prior to that game though, they had held four straight opponents to fewer than 20 points. Eli Manning has been riding the pine for the majority of the season, and it's asking a lot of him to come in and compete on the road in Philly in bad weather in the middle of December. The Eagles are 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings versus New York, and the under is 7-2 in the Giants last nine visits to Philly. Another low score should be expected in the City of Brotherly Love tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@NE to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47.5 | 45-6 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@LAC to go Under the total. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SEA@SF to go Over the total. The Seahawks defense has struggled this season, and that is especially true lately. Over their last five games they have allowed 28 or more in four of five games. The 49ers defense ranks first overall in the NFL in yards allowed, but they face a Seattle quarterback that has thrown for 22 TDs and one INT so far this season. The over is 6-2 in the Seahawks last eight road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 games overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@OAK to go Over the total. The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers UNDER 48 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@SF to go Under the total. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games, and these teams have gone under in six straight head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 133 h 1 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins OVER 41 | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 50 | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have announced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better. |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51.5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 1170 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@NE to go Under the total. The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features a pair of Super Bowl contenders and a couple of aging Hall of Fame quarterbacks. You might think that these teams have lit up the scoreboard in previous meetings, but that hasn't been the case. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total dating back to 2013. The last time these teams met the Steelers won by a score of 17-10 last December. Big Ben threw for 235 yards, two TDs and a pair of INTs in the win. Brady was even more pedestrian, throwing for 279 yards, a TD and an INT in the loss. The Steelers have managed to find ways to win without LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown, but there is no denying that they aren't as talented as they once were. The Patriots will be getting used to life without Gronk, and Sony Michel should play a bigger role in this year's offense. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at Foxboro. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -109 | 353 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IND@LAC to go Under the total. The biggest story of the pre-season was Andrew Luck hanging up the cleats, and bettors have been scrambling to make sense of the Colts moving forward. The knee jerk reaction was to bet against Indianapolis, but after the line went as high as -9, the Chargers have settled as less than a TD favorite. Indy should still be competitive, as they were the last time Jacoby Brissett stepped in at quarterback. I do expect them to be more conservative though, and that should lead to a lower score. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 54 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -108 | 161 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC@SEA to go Under the total. The Seahawks return home with a bitter taste in their mouth after losing in overtime at San Francisco. They might just get back on track against a Chiefs team that appears to be vulnerable. I bet against the Chiefs last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss to LA: "The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday." Patrick Mahomes gets a lot of attention with his "no look" passes, and the rest of his "hot dog" antics. He could be in for a rough ride here in a cold weather game in the Emerald City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 56 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOY) play on PIT@NO to go Under the total. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 43.5 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -115 | 129 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@PHI to go Over the total. When I saw the total open at 43 for Monday's game between Washington and Philly, I assumed that bad weather must be in the forecast in the City of Brotherly Love. That's not the case though, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to the injury to Alex Smith. The Redskins are still tied for first place in the division, and it's not like Alex Smith was lighting it up when they were winning games. Smith averaged 206 yards per game on 62.5 percent passing, averaging 6.6 yards per pass. McCoy has completed 60 percent of his passes, and has averaged 6.4 yards per pass. On Thanksgiving Day in Dallas, he threw for 268 yards and two TDs, but was picked off three times. He matches up against a Philly team that is very thin in the secondary, and I expect him to have some success moving the ball. These teams actually have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five meetings, and four straight meetings in Philly. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade this low number. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 56 | Top | 7-48 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@NO to go Over the total. |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5 | 22-34 | Loss | -115 | 129 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total. The Lions are ... "they are who we thought they were." They have a starting quarterback with a career record of 63-70 that they have grossly overpaid for, and they are 3-5 and in last place in the NFC North. After scoring just nine points in a loss at Minnesota last week, they will be hard pressed to do any better in Chicago this week. The Bears defense has allowed a total of 19 points in back to back wins over the Bills and the Jets. The weatherman is calling for a cold and wet day in the Windy City, and the conditions might hinder the passing game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last six meetings in Chicago. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record. Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times last week, and his life isn't going to get any easier here in Chicago. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-29-18 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45 | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NE@BUF to go Under the total. |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54.5 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@MIN to go Under the total. |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 23-42 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@HOU to go Under the total.
The Texans are rolling, coming into Thursday's home game against the Dolphins as winners of four straight. Their defense is playing great, holding their last three opponents to an average of 12 points. They face a banged up Miami offense, missing several key players including starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. They have already ruled out Kenny Stills and Devante Parker for Thursday night. The Dolphins have failed to reach the total in four straight road games, and the under is 4-1 in the Texans last five home games. Houston has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 54 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -120 | 139 h 8 m | Show |
10* |
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10-21-18 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 56 | 10-45 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@KC to go Over. The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 55 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots OVER 49 | 7-38 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@NE to go Over the total. The Patriots need a win here at home against division rivals Miami. The Fish are undefeated at 3-0, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has the third best QBR in the league. The Patriots defense has been brutal so far, allowing a combined 57 points in back to back losses to Jacksonville and Detroit. You know your defense is bad when Blake Bortles lights you up for over 300 yards. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Pats have scored more than 30 points in three of the last four meetings. The Dolphins have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, while the Pats have gone over in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bengals v. Falcons OVER 51 | Top | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 135 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN@ATL to go Over the total. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 49 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@LAR to go Over. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Over. GL,
Jesse Schule |