Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 221 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under 1H. The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix to win the Finals. The Milwaukee Bucks finished with the best record in the Eastern Conference in both 2019 & 2020, but each of those seasons ended with post-season disappointment. Are they really any better this year than they were the last two years... or have they just been fortunate that James Harden, Kyrie Irving and Tre Young all got hit by injuries? Their luck may have run out here in the Finals, facing a healthy Phoenix team that finished with the second best record in the NBA this season. Giannis might play, but it's highly unlikely that he will be anywhere near 100 percent. Even when healthy, he's had plenty of struggles, especially at the free throw line. The Suns have won five of their last six versus Milwaukee, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the Bucks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks | 118-107 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog, and the Hawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. I expect Atlanta to make the necessary adjustments, and Game 6 should look a lot like Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -132 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks are reeling after losing Giannis to a knee injury in Game 4, but after seeing the Hawks dominate from start to finish with Trae Young on the bench, it's up to the Bucks to respond in similar fashion. Mike Budenholzer didn't have the troops prepared for Game 4, but I expect him to get his house in order for a must win game at home. Remember the last game in Milwaukee was a blowout, with the Bucks winning by 34 points. Jrue Holiday scored 22 points on 9-of-14 shooting, and the Bucks shot over 52 percent from the field. They will miss Giannis, but if everyone else does their job... they can do this. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-21 | Suns -103 v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHX. The Clippers caught a break in Game 5, in fact they caught quite a few breaks. Paul George scored 41 points on 15-of-20 shooting, Reggie Jackson and Markus Morris also scored 20+, both shooting for an extremely high percentage. The Suns came out flat, with low energy and Chris Paul was 0-of-6 from beyond the arc. So can LA count on all those things going right in Game 6? I seriously doubt it ... The Suns should come out with a killer instinct here, and prove they are still the better team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Suns. The Clippers have had an impressive run since Kawhi Leonard went down, but it could all be over in Phoenix tonight. Chris Paul told reporters after Game 4 that he isn't taking anything for granted with a 3-1 series lead. He's seen how quickly a series can turn around, and he's focused on punching his ticket to the finals right here and now. The Suns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. They opened up a nine point lead in the first quarter of Game 4, and extended the lead to 14 by halftime. We should expect another fast start for the home team in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 113-102 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks were downright awful in Game 2 in Milwaukee, but I expect to see a different team at home in Atlanta tonight. The Bucks might be liking their own smell after they blew the doors off in Game 2, and they could get caught flat footed early on the road here. The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five coming off an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-21 | Suns -113 v. Clippers | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Phoenix. The Suns came into Game 3, flying high with a 2-0 series lead. Chris Paul was back, and they were selling "Suns in Four" T-shirts in Phoenix. Well after shooting just 38.8 percent from the field, and 10-of-32 from three-point range, they are in danger of heading home with the series tied at 2-2. Paul George put up big numbers in Game 3, and he even made a half-court shot. He didn't shoot that well though, hitting just 3-of-11 from three-point range. In fact if he didn't miss a pair of free throws in the dying seconds of Game 2, the Clippers might be leading this series. Chances are that we will see a better performance from Chris Paul and Devin Booker in Game 4, but it's tough to ask for more from Paul George. The Suns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Milwaukee. |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +101 | 92-106 | Win | 101 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. So the Clippers are down 0-2 heading in to Game 3 in LA, exactly the same situation they faced against Utah and Dallas. They actually looked better in the first two games in Phoenix than they did in the first two game of their previous series. Paul George scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting and was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in Game 1. History favors the home team as the Suns are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles, and they are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings. I like LA to come out like gangbusters in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Bucks host the Hawks in the East Finals, and I expect this to be a short series. Atlanta found a way to get past a banged up Sixers team that had it's fair share of problems. The Bucks are whole different animal. This is a team that has been favorites to come out of the East for a few years now, and it looks like they may have exercised their demons in Game 7 versus Brooklyn. The Hawks have lost four straight at Milwaukee, and they were a double digit underdog in all four of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Clippers pushed Phoenix to the brink in Game 1, and Paul George played out of his mind. Playoff P scored 34 points on 10-of-26 shooting, and he was 7-of-15 from beyond the arc. So does that mean they are in good shape moving forward? I don't think so! They had a chance to take advantage of a team coming off a long layoff, and they couldn't get it done. They can't count on Paul George to deliver night in, night out. I expect Game 2 to be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Atlanta. I had Atlanta in the last game, and they came up short. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta." Philly hasn't played well enough to justify a big point spread here in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -111 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -111 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Brooklyn. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." I still don't think Brooklyn is in great shape as far as winning the championship, but KD is still the best player in this series, and James Harden has improved with each game back. Home court, and a healthier Harden might be too much for the Bucks in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +111 | 119-131 | Win | 111 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LA. I had Utah in Game 5, and here is what I said before tipoff:"This series has been dominated by the home team, and there's no reason to expect that to change here in Game 5. The Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a road underdog. The Jazz had the best record in the NBA during the regular season, and they were 31-5 in Utah. The Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah." After coming up short in a must win game, I have no faith in Utah, and I'll go with the Clippers in LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +135 | 104-99 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Sixers are the better team, there's no doubt about that. They just can't seem to finish a game though, and after blowing a big lead in each of the last two games in this series, it could be all over here in Atlanta. The 76ers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -136 | 119-111 | Loss | -136 | 36 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jazz. This series has been dominated by the home team, and there's no reason to expect that to change here in Game 5. The Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a road underdog. The Jazz had the best record in the NBA during the regular season, and they were 31-5 in Utah. The azz are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-21 | Bucks -147 v. Nets | 108-114 | Loss | -147 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucks. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." There is still no guarantee that Brooklyn won't pull off a miracle, but at this point that's what it's going to take. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -195 | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2.5 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Bucks. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -184 | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Clippers. This isn't the first time the Clippers have been down 2-0 in a series in these playoffs, and I think they still believe they can beat Utah. With the series shifting to LA for Game 3, we should see a better performance from the favorites. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -118 | 116-102 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. The Nuggets are coming off a brutal loss in Game 2 in Phoenix, losing by 25 points. Denver's head coach Mike Malone told the media that his team quit, and that's not going to sit well in the locker room. The Nuggets are desperate to get back into this series, and I expect them to get off to a much better start in Game 3 as the series shifts to Denver. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver, and the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Denver appears to be undervalued in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +111 | 127-111 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Hawks jumped all over the Sixers in Game 1 in Philly, and I expect them to get off to a good start in Game 3 as the series shifts to Atlanta. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win, and they are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings in Atlanta. The Hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 meetings versus Philly. The 76ers are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 road games versus a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +2.5 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 58 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Sixers managed to get past Washington in five games, even as Joel Embiid sat on the bench in Game 5. Embiid is officially listed as day to day, but a torn meniscus is expected to keep him out of Game 1. Philly won 77 percent of their games with Joel Embiid in the lineup this season, but had a losing record (10-11) in games that he missed. The Hawks won their first rounds series versus New York in five games, winning twice on the road. They closed out the series with a 103-89 win at The Garden in Game 5. The Hawks are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Without Embiid there is no doubt that Tre Young is going to be the best player on the floor in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -115 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. The Nuggets were brutal in Game 4, losing 115-95 despite Damian Lillard only shooting 1-of-10 from the field. Norm Powell picked up the slack, scoring a game high 29 points. Depending on Powell to do that again in Game 5 might not be a winning formula for the Blazers. I expect Denver to be much better at home here than they were in Portland in Game 4. The Nuggets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight Conference Quarterfinals games. The Trail Blazers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Joker is the MVP, and I expect him to play like it tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-21 | Clippers -135 v. Mavs | Top | 106-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. I bet on the Clippers to win the West, so needless to say I didn't expect them to be down 0-2 in this series versus Dallas. So now I have to figure out where I went wrong? Well there are two things that stand out, one that I should have considered, and another woud have been impossible to predict. I noted that Paul George really looked like he was on top of his game heading into the playoffs, but the fact is that this isn't the first time we've seen him struggle in the post-season. He's forcing up some pretty questionable shots for a guy that currently can't hit the broadside of a barn. The Mavs three-point shooting (roughly 50 percent in the series so far) isn't something that anyone could have predicted. They can't maintain that percentage forever, and eventually those shots will stat rimming out and falling short. Paul George simply needs to be realistic about who he is, and try to be more like Ben Simmons and less like Michael Jordan. At the end of the day, I still think Kawhi is the best player in this series, and I expect LA to run the table now that they have seized the momentum. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 95-115 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. I had Denver in Game 2, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Blazers won big in Game 1 of this series, and we have to decide if that's a preview of what to expect moving forward in this series, or if it was an outlier. I am inclined to say it's likely the later. Portland made 19-of-40 three-point shots in Game 1, and they made 18-of-19 at the free throw line. Denver only made eight free thrown attempts in Game 1, and we should not expect such a disparity here moving forward. The Joker scored a solid 34 points on 14-of-27 shooting in Game 1, and he is likely to have an even better performance in Game 2." The Nuggets come rolling into Portland as an underdog, but they have all the momentum. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-28-21 | Clippers -132 v. Mavs | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clippers. I bet on the Clippers to win the West, so needless to say I didn't expect them to be down 0-2 in this series versus Dallas. So now I have to figure out where I went wrong? Well there are two things that stand out, one that I should have considered, and another woud have been impossible to predict. I noted that Paul George really looked like he was on top of his game heading into the playoffs, but the fact is that this isn't the first time we've seen him struggle in the post-season. He's forcing up some pretty questionable shots for a guy that currently can't hit the broadside of a barn. The Mavs three-point shooting (roughly 50 percent in the series so far) isn't something that anyone could have predicted. They can't maintain that percentage forever, and eventually those shots will stat rimming out and falling short. Paul George simply needs to be realistic about who he is, and try to be more like Ben Simmons and less like Michael Jordan. At the end of the day, I still think Kawhi is the best player in this series, and I expect him to prove that in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. I had Denver in Game 2, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Blazers won big in Game 1 of this series, and we have to decide if that's a preview of what to expect moving forward in this series, or if it was an outlier. I am inclined to say it's likely the later. Portland made 19-of-40 three-point shots in Game 1, and they made 18-of-19 at the free throw line. Denver only made eight free thrown attempts in Game 1, and we should not expect such a disparity here moving forward. The Joker scored a solid 34 points on 14-of-27 shooting in Game 1, and he is likely to have an even better performance in Game 2." The Nuggets come rolling into Portland as an underdog, but they have all the momentum. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229 | 95-120 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Washington Wizards went on a tear in the second half of the season to sneak into the playoffs, but strong and responsible play on defense didn't have much to do with their success. They finished the regular season ranking dead last in scoring defense, allowing over 120 points per game. They didn't look great defensively in Game 1, and they were actually quite fortunate that Philly didn't have a particularly good game shooting the ball. The Sixers made 10 three-pointers in Game 1, and I expect them to improve on that number in Game 2. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and they have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | 127-121 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
8* |
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05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -114 | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Denver. The Blazers won big in Game 1 of this series, and we have to decide if that's a preview of what to expect moving forward in this series, or if it was an outlier. I am inclined to say it's likely the later. Portland made 19-of-40 three-point shots in Game 1, and they made 18-of-19 at the free throw line. Denver only made eight free thrown attempts in Game 1, and we should not expect such a disparity here moving forward. The Joker scored a solid 34 points on 14-of-27 shooting in Game 1, and he is likely to have an even better performance in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sixers. Despite finishing first in the East during the regular season, the Sixers aren't getting a lot of respect from bookmakers. They will play the Wizards in the first round, and this should be a fairly easy series for them. Washington played incredible down the stretch, but Russell Westbrook gave us a preview of what to expect in the playoffs when he laid an egg in the first play-in game. The Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games, and they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Western Conference is wide open heading into the playoffs. The defending champion LA Lakers are still the favorite, despite facing a play-in situation versus the red hot Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry has played at an MVP caliber all season long, while LeBron has been in and out of the lineup, and doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy. The Utah Jazz finished first in the standings, and the Phoenix Suns were only one game back. Neither of those teams is getting much respect from bookmakers, who give them the third and fourth best chance to win the West. The media was buzzing when LeBron James was quoted a few weeks ago as saying: "I don't think i'll ever get back to 100% in my career." While I believe that was mostly clickbait, I do think he's already looking for an excuse if he fails to get out of the first round, or gets bounced by the Warriors in the play-in. The Clippers are guilty of tanking in their final few games, a strategic move to avoid facing the Lakers until the Western Conference Final. Kawhi Leonard has had a pretty quiet season, but he has a history of elevating his game in the playoffs. He's also been perhaps the only player in the league to get the better of LeBron James. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -162 | 117-112 | Loss | -162 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors host the Grizzlies in a winner takes all elimination game, and it's hard to imagine Golden State coming up short at home here. They looked great against the Lakers, especially in the first half. Steph Curry scored 37 points, and shot 6-of-9 from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies played well down the stretch, putting themselves in position to get to a play-in. The did lose 113-101 at Golden State in their final game of the regular season. They had no answer for Curry, who scored 46 points and hit nine three-pointers in the win. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall, and they have covered in six straight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-21 | Warriors +5 v. Lakers | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 43 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GSW. The Western Conference is wide open heading into the playoffs. The defending champion LA Lakers are still the favorite, despite facing a play-in situation versus the red hot Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry has played at an MVP caliber all season long, while LeBron has been in and out of the lineup, and doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy. The Utah Jazz finished first in the standings, and the Phoenix Suns were only one game back. Neither of those teams is getting much respect from bookmakers, who give them the third and fourth best chance to win the West. The media was buzzing when LeBron James was quoted a few weeks ago as saying: "I don't think i'll ever get back to 100% in my career." While I believe that was mostly clickbait, I do think he's already looking for an excuse if he fails to get out of the first round, or gets bounced by the Warriors in the play-in. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-21 | Knicks v. Lakers -5.5 | 99-101 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on LA Lakers. The Lakers were the best team in the NBA, and defending world champions before LeBron and AD suffered nagging injuries. While they have slipped all the way to seventh in the Western Conference, it would be naive to think that they are anything but the favorite to repeat. The Knicks are one of the hottest teams in the league, but I think they are biting off more than they can chew here on the road at LA with LeBron and AD both expected to play. Davis is coming off a 42 point performance in a win over Phoenix on Sunday. The Knicks won by a score of 111-96 at home against LA last month, but neither AD or LeBron played in that game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-21 | Wizards +144 v. Bucks | 134-135 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Wizards. Washington might be the hottest team in the league, and Russ Westbrook could be the hottest player in the NBA at the moment. The Wizards catch the Bucks coming off back to back wins over Brooklyn, in the second game of a back to back. This is a situational spot that can not be ignored, and I like the underdog to win outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 242.5 | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Nets have lost back to back games, giving up 128 points versus Portland, and surrendering 117 points in a loss to Milwaukee. Neither of those games went over 240 combined points, and it seems reasonable to expect a better effort on defense here as they look to get off the schneid. The under is 8-3 in the Nets last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The under is 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-21 | Nets v. Raptors -134 | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Nets are coming off an impressive win at New Orleans, with both James Harden and Kevin Durant sidelined by injuries. That sets them up for a let down here on the road versus the Raptors in the second game of a back to back. Kyrie Irving played 38 minutes last night, scoring 32 points. It might be irresponsible for him to play heavy minutes here in tonight's game. The Raptors are as healthy as they have been all season, and they are coming off three straight home wins. The Raptors have covered in four of their last five versus the Nets. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-21 | Magic v. Raptors -130 | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Raptors. Two last place teams face off when the Raptors host the Magic tonight. Neither of these teams have much left to play for, but both teams are coming off a win. The Magic won on the road in Chicago, and Toronto won at home versus the Spurs. Toronto will have leading scorer Fred VanVleet back in the lineup tonight. The Raptors have owned Orlando, covering the spread in eight straight head to head meetings. Toronto is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against the Magic. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs -119 | 135-115 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The Raptors are in Cleveland tonight, and they will rest their starters in the first game of a back to back. This has been a theme for Toronto this year, letting the young players get some experience. The results have been as expected, as they sit dead last in the Atlantic Division. They have lost nine straight on the road, and they have failed to cover in seven straight away from home (not really home). Cleveland is coming off back to back wins, and their young stars have been playing well. The Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-21 | Grizzlies -120 v. Knicks | 129-133 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies. Memphis is on a roll, coming into New York as winners of three straight on this road trip. Wins came at Philly, Miami and Atlanta. They are now just two games out of first place in the Southwest Division. The Knicks have lost five of their last six overall, and they have slid all the way to fourth in the Atlantic Division. The Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite, and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings versus the Knicks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -189 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LA Clippers. The Suns are coming off an OT win at home over Utah, setting them up for a big let down here in LA in the second game of a back to back. The Clippers are coming off back to back wins over the Lakers and the Blazers. The Clippers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home games. LA is also getting healthier, with Patrick Beverly back, and the addition of DeMarcus Cousins. The Suns are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 head to head meetings, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine at LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-21 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Bulls and the Pacers sit in second and third place respectively in the Central Division, and with both teams battling for a playoff berth we should see a highly competitive game here in Indiana tonight. The total for tonight's game is higher than in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and nine of those 10 games saw fewer than 225 total points scored in regulation. The under is 10-3 in the Bulls last 13 overall, and the under is 13-6-1 in the Bulls last 20 games as a road favorite. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | Mavs -6.5 v. Wizards | 109-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. The Mavs are 5-2 in their last seven overall, and four of those five wins came by a double digit margin. They are in Washington, and the Wizards are coming off back to back double digit losses. The Mavericks are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 Saturday games, and they have covered in four of their last five road games. The Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on 1 days rest. History favors Dallas, the Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-21 | Bulls +13.5 v. Jazz | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulls. Chicago is coming off a 121-116 loss at Phoenix, their seventh loss in their last eight overall. They easily covered in what was a very close game, and now they are double digit underdog at Utah. The Jazz have won seven straight, and after suffering a near death experience when their plane was forced to make an emergency landing, we could expect them to suffer a bit of a let down. The Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog, and the Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-21 | Bucks v. Clippers -1 | Top | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Clippers have won five straight home games, and Kawhi Leonard scored 28 points in a 122-112 win over the Sixers Saturday. The Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and Giannis has been struggling with a knee injury. The "Greek Freak" had failed to score 20 points in his last two starts, and did not play in Saturday's loss to New York. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | 76ers v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | 112-122 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 220.5. The Clippers were shorthanded in their last game, beating the Spurs by a score of 98-85. Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka are out, while Kawhi Leonard and Marcus Morris are questionable. LA has help opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game over their last five overall. The Sixers have also been bringing the defense, allowing just 102 points per game in their last five. The under is 5-1 in 76ers last six overall, and they have gone under in four straight on the road. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Look for another low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-21 | Hawks -143 v. Kings | 108-110 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Hawks eight game winning streak ended on the road in LA, falling to the Clippers by a score of 119-110 on Monday. I like them to bounce back tonight in Sacramento. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on 1 days rest. The Kings are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-21 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 225.5 | 113-131 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 225.5. The Knicks have the NBA's top ranked defense, and one of the league's worst offenses. The Knicks are coming off a 101-100 home loss to Philly, but the under is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Wizards are coming off a 113-106 loss at Brooklyn, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. The under is 11-4 in the Wizards last 15 road games, and the Wizards have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a loss. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-21 | Mavs v. Blazers +1.5 | 132-92 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. The Blazers have won four of their last five overall, and star guard CJ McCollum is back from injury. McCollum scored just 21 points in his first two games against New Orleans, but in his third game back he went off for 32 points against Dallas. The Trail Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and I gotta take Portland getting points at home here in the second game of this set versus the Mavs. The Blazers are 14-7 at home, and they have won five of their last seven games against Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-21 | Raptors -130 v. Pistons | 112-116 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Raptors have lost five straight, and they have sorely missed the likes of Siakam, Van Fleet and head coach Nick Nurse. Everyone was back at practice this week, and Siakam could return as soon as tonight. Nick Nurse is back behind the bench, and we should expect Toronto to be all business here in Detroit. The Raptors losing streak started against the Pistons, and Detroit was 20-of-41 from beyond the arc in their victory. It's highly unlikely they will be as fortunate here tonight. The Raptors are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 228 | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jazz are coming off three straight road losses, and they should be highly motivated to get back on track here in Boston. The Celtics have won five of their last six overall, and they have played solid defense during that span. The return of Marcus Smart certainly won't hurt either. The under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games as a home underdog, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. There is also a strong under trend in Utah's recent games at The Garden. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston. Tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-21 | Heat -6.5 v. Magic | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. I bet on the Heat one oft their most recent games, a decisive win over Orlando. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The defending Eastern Conference champs have had their struggles in the first half of the season, but they went into the All Star break as winners of six of their last seven. Jimmy Butler scored 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting in his return to action versus New Orleans last week. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and rumors are swirling about possible trades involving their top players. Orlando appears ready to sell off talent and concentrate on rebuilding with a lottery pick." GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-21 | Pacers v. Suns -6.5 | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns are one of the league's hottest teams, winning eight of their last nine overall. They host the Indiana Pacers tonight, and the Pacers are coming off a loss to the Lakers in LA last night. The Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six straight when coming off a loss. The Suns are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Caris Levert is expected to return tonight, but he likely will be on a minutes restriction. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-21 | Rockets v. Jazz -14.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Utah. This game appears to be a setup for a beat down of epic proportions. The Jazz have the best record in the NBA, but they lost three of four heading into the All Star break. They host Houston on the back end of a back to back, coming off a 20 point loss at Sacramento. PJ Tucker has left the team, and Victor Oladipo is surely on his way out the door. The Jazz are hungry to get back on track, while the Rockets are mailing it in. The Jazz are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games, and the Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-21 | Magic v. Spurs -7 | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Spurs. Orlando is coming off a loss at Miami, and they head to Texas to play the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Magic have lost six straight, and they are rumored to be shopping leading scorer Nikola Vucevic. The Spurs have been up and down, but they still hold a slim lead at the top of the Southwest. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, while the Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Neither of these teams are great, but at least the Spurs still have something to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Rockets v. Kings -4.5 | 105-125 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings went into the All Star break winning two of their last four games. While that might not sound impressive, it's a lot better than Houston that has lost 13 in a row. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. The Kings are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. DeAaron Fox scored 32 points on 12-of-26 shooting and had a dozen assists against Portland in his last start. The Kings have a lot more talent to work with, and should get a "W" at home versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Magic v. Heat -6.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. The defending Eastern Conference champs have had their struggles in the first half of the season, but they went into the All Star break as winners of six of their last seven. Jimmy Butler scored 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting in his return to action versus New Orleans last week. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and rumors are swirling about possible trades involving their top players. Orlando appears ready to sell off talent and concentrate on rebuilding with a lottery pick. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -148 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-04-21 | Pistons v. Knicks -4.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New York. The Knicks are legit contender to make the playoffs in the East, while the only thing Detroit has a chance of winning is a lottery pick. The Pistons won last night against a group of second and third stringers in a 129-105 win over the Raptors. Playing the second game of a back to back in New York, they should be due for a let down. The Pistons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double digit win. The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 225 | 115-112 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Atlanta Hawks have a new head coach, and they won their first game under Nate McMillan by a score of 94-80 at Miami. If that game is any indication of the style they intend to play moving forward, we could see them involved in more low scoring games. Holding the Heat to just 80 points in impressive, but also worth noting that Trey Young attempted just 12 shots, scoring 18 points on 5-of-12 shooting. The under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games as a road favorite, and the under is 37-17 in the last 54 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 224.5 | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 218 | 124-109 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Cavs v. 76ers -10 | 112-109 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
free play |
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02-25-21 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 222.5 | 121-140 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-21 | Pistons v. Magic -141 | 105-93 | Loss | -141 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Orlando. The Pistons lost in Orlando on Sunday, and often when a team loses the first game of a back to back set you would expect them to have a better showing in Game 2. For a team that has just two road wins all year, that might not be the case. Here is what I said prior to Sunday's game: "The Magic are coming off a home win over Golden State, and they face a Pistons team that rarely wins on the road. Detroit is 2-13 overall on the road this season, so it seems odd that this game is close to a pickem. The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and with a win tonight they would have a .500 home record." GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Pistons v. Magic -120 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Orlando. The Magic are coming off a home win over Golden State, and they face a Pistons team that rarely wins on the road. Detroit is 2-13 overall on the road this season, so it seems odd that this game is close to a pickem. The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and with a win tonight they would have a .500 home record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Suns -148 v. Grizzlies | 128-97 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Suns are the hottest team in the NBA dating back to the bubble this summer. They have won 10 of their last 12 overall, and they are just a slight favorite in tonight's game at Memphis. Both teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but superior talent should make the difference for the visitors. The Suns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and the Grizzlies aren't strong at home. Memphis is 3-3 in their last six home games, with wins coming against the likes of Detroit, OKC and Charlotte. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +105 | 112-116 | Win | 105 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. Breaking news suggests Kawhi and PG are going to suit up for the Clippers. This sets up a classic revenge spot for LA, after losing at home by double digits to Utah on Wednesday. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. This is also a natural let down spot for Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-21 | Nets v. Lakers -137 | 109-98 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lakers. |
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02-17-21 | Jazz -129 v. Clippers | 114-96 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz. The Lakers and the Clippers are each looking up at the Utah Jazz, who sit in the top spot in the Western Conference. The Clippers have done well to keep pace with the Lakers and the Jazz, sitting just 2.5 games out of first. They are a bit banged up though, with Paul George, Kawhi Leonard and Nick Batum all dealing with injuries. The Jazz are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They have covered in eight of their last 10 road games against the Clippers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-21 | Nets v. Suns -148 | 128-124 | Loss | -148 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHX. Two of the league's hottest teams will meet in Phoenix tonight, but this won't be an ideal situation for the visitors. Brooklyn is 9-4 in their last 13, but they won't have the services of Kevin Durant, and playing the second game of a back to back they might want to limit the minutes for stars James Harden and Kyrie Irving. The Suns have won nine of their last 10 overall, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. The Nets have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 when playing the second game of a back to back, and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-21 | Cavs v. Warriors -8 | 98-129 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. I bet against the Cavs last night, and they got clobbered by a shorthanded Clippers team. They play their second game of a back to back with Andre Drummond benched, and I think they lose by double digits again in California. Here is what I said last night: "The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA." GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -10 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns +1 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Suns. Phoenix was the biggest surprise team in the bubble this summer, but they got off to a slow start to the 2020-2021 regular season. They come into this afternoon's game on a roll though, winners of seven of their last eight overall and five straight at home. They host the Sixers, who aren't that strong on the road. The 76ers are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven versus the Suns. Phoenix has covered in five straight home games, and the Suns are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs -124 | 130-143 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. I had the Mavs in their last game, a come from behind win over Atlanta. Here is what I said prior to Tip Off: "It's been a slow start to the season for a Dallas team that came in with such high expectations. Luca Doncic has averaged 27 points per game, but he hasn't lived up to the hype after an outstanding season a year ago. The Mavs may be turning the corner though, coming into tonight's game as winners of three of their last four. They host Atlanta, and the Hawks are coming off a four game home stand that saw them lose three of four. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, and they lost by double digits in their last two visits to Dallas." GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-21 | Raptors v. Celtics -157 | 106-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. The Raptors have won five of their last six games, but they are at the end of a road trip playing the second game of a back to back. Playing the Celtics in Boston isn't quite the same as beating up on the likes of the Wizards, Magic and Memphis. The Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Under normal circumstances we would expect a close game between these teams, but this situation heavily favors the Celtics. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-21 | Hawks v. Mavs -165 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. It's been a slow start to the season for a Dallas team that came in with such high expectations. Luca Doncic has averaged 27 points per game, but he hasn't lived up to the hype after an outstanding season a year ago. The Mavs may be turning the corner though, coming into tonight's game as winners of three of their last four. They host Atlanta, and the Hawks are coming off a four game home stand that saw them lose three of four. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, and they lost by double digits in their last two visits to Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-21 | Cavs v. Suns -7 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Suns. Phoenix has won five of their last six overall and three straight at home, and they are finally starting to look like the team that took the bubble by storm this summer. They host the Cavs, who had a bit of a solid run despite low expectations early this season. Cleveland is coming off three straight home losses, and they have lost seven of 10 on the road. The Cavs have failed to cover in six straight overall, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven as a road underdog. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Phoenix. It looks like the home team should win this one by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-21 | Wizards v. Heat -6.5 | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Heat. Miami has really suffered an NBA Finals hangover, and they come into tonight's home game against the Wizards as losers of seven of eight. The Wizards upset the Heat 103-100 on Wednesday, but Washington has only won three of their last eight overall. Both previous wins during that span have been followed by double digit losses. This being a revenge game for Miami, it could very well be a blowout. The Wizards are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 225 | 136-106 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-21 | Pistons v. Warriors -5.5 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Pistons are coming off a big home win over the Lakers, but that was a situational advantage for Detroit. Don't expect them to go on a run now, they haven't won back to back games all season. Only one of their five wins have come on the road, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games playing on 1 days rest. The Warriors have covered in five straight home games against teams with a losing record. Each of the last four wins for Golden State came by a double digit margin, and I just don't think 5.5 points will be enough for the Pistons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +4.5 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Spurs. The Spurs have been playing pretty solid, winning four of six with losses coming to the Warriors and Mavericks. They find themselves catching a handful of points as a home dog versus a Denver team at the end of a road trip. The Nuggets have won five straight, two of those wins coming in overtime. The Spurs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog, and the home team has won outright in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | 115-129 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and that might have them tighten up the defense here against the Hawks. The Hawks have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games as an underdog. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-21 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 227 | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Nets new Big Three made their debut in Cleveland on Wednesday, and things didn't go as planned. Kyrie Irving scored 37 points on 15-of-28 shooting, but his defensive assignment (Colin Sexton) went off for a career high 42 points and helped Cleveland win in overtime by a score of 147-135. The Cavs held Brooklyn to 113 points in regulation, well below their season average of 120 ppg. Cleveland has been one of the best in the league on defense, allowing just 106 points per game. Unfortunately for the Cavs their offense only averages 102.9 ppg (29th). The under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-21 | Heat v. Raptors -165 | 111-102 | Loss | -165 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. After a brutal start to the season the 2019 NBA Champion Toronto Raptors have won three straight. They host the Miami Heat tonight, but it looks like Miami will be shorthanded for this game. Jimmy Butler and a handful of others are expected to miss the game due to health and safety protocols. The Heat are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six road games. Despite their struggles, Toronto has a respectable home record of 4-2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-21 | Wolves v. Hawks -7.5 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Minnesota Timbewolves are 3-8 overall, and six of their eight losses have come by double digits. Karl Anthony Towns has only played four games, and they are 2-2 when he plays. He's tested positive for Covid-19 and will not play Monday in Atlanta. The Timberwolves are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the Hawks. Atlanta won it's last home game by a score of 112-94 versus Philly. They should be able to lay a similar beating on a short-handed T-Wolves team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-21 | Hornets v. Raptors -7.5 | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Raptors are sitting dead last in the Atlantic Division with a record of 2-8 overall. They have lost back to back games by a single point, but they have a home game against Charlotte tonight. This should give the struggling Raptors a chance to get a W, and make a statement with a double digit home win. Charlotte is playing on back to back nights after losing 104-93 at home to Dallas Wednesday. The Hornets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. Gordon Hayward leads the Hornets in scoring averaging 22 points per game, and he left last night's game with a hip injury. His status for tonight is in doubt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-21 | Pacers v. Warriors -125 | 104-95 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Warriors. The Warriors are 4-2 since Draymond Green returned to the lineup, and tonight they catch the Pacers playing on back to back nights after a loss in Sacramento. The Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on 0 days rest. The Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. Steph Curry is averaging over 28 points per game so far, and he's scored over 30 in three of his last five games. He's proving he's still capable of carrying this team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-21 | Raptors v. Blazers -180 | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. I bet against the Raptors last night, and here is what I said prior to their loss at Golden State: "The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points." The Raptors are 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings versus Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-21 | Raptors v. Warriors +2 | 105-106 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Warriors. The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Steph Curry and Draymond Green likely still have a bitter taste in their mouth after watching Toronto celebrate a Championship win in their building. The Dubs aren't going to let up here against Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-21 | Nuggets -4.5 v. 76ers | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nuggets. Philly will be forced to fave the Nuggets with just nine players available after several players have been sidelined by health and safety protocols. Ben Simmons won't play because of a knee injury, and starting and backup PG Seth Curry and Shake Milton are also out Saturday. This looks like a situation where Philly will be waiving the white flag. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -5.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. Boston has won five of their last six games, and they host the Washington Wizards on Friday. Washington is just 2-6 to start the season, and they haven't had much success in recent trips to Boston. They are 2-11-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Boston. The Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Bradley Beal scored a whopping 60 points in his last start, but the Wizards lost nevertheless. After coming back from 21-points down at Philly, they went on to lose 141-136. This could set them up for a let down on the road here in Boston. GL, Jesse Schule |