Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-06-19 | Baylor v. Texas UNDER 134.5 | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-06-19 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -2 | 51-49 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-03-19 | Thunder +3 v. Celtics | 129-134 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder come rolling into Boston as winners of seven straight, and they will look to take advantage of a Celtics team that could be distracted by the drama surrounding Kyrie Irving. The infamous "Flat Earther" is rumored to be interested in leaving Boston, and either joining LeBron in LA or KD in New York. The Thunder have covered the spread in four straight road games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus Eastern Conference teams. Oklahoma City has covered in four of their last five at Boston, and the road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. I'll take the points and ride those trends today. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-19 | Lakers v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Lakers got LeBron James back from injury on Thursday, and they managed to beat the Clippers in overtime. There are still plenty of rumors swirling around the team, and it remains to be seen if players like Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma and Brandon Ingram will be part of the future in LA. Anthony Davis has issued a public demand to be traded, and he's looking to become a Laker. Lonzo Ball says if he get's traded to New Orleans he won't play for the Pelicans. It sounds like a hot mess to me. The Warriors won 11 straight before losing at home to the Clippers on Thursday. Perhaps they were looking ahead to this game against LeBron and the Lakers. Golden State has covered in four of it's last five when coming off a loss, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus the Lakers. I think they'll jump all over LA in the first half, and cover easily. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-19 | TCU v. Baylor -3.5 | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. I had Baylor as an underdog in their last game, and they won outright by a whopping 30 points at Oklahoma. Here is what I said before the game: "The Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of four straight, and two of those wins came on the road at Oklahoma State and West Virginia. They are a significant underdog here against the Sooners, despite the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings outright, and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Oklahoma has won just three of it's last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home meetings versus Baylor. The Sooners beat Baylor 98-96 at home last year, and prior to that they were just 2-2 straight up in their previous four home games against the Bears." They are hosting a TCU team tonight that has lost four of five road games so far. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover in seven of their last nine versus Baylor, and the Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 versus teams with a losing road record. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-19 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island UNDER 133 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SLU@URI to go Under the total. |
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01-31-19 | Lakers v. Clippers -5 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Lakers are a mess at the moment, coming into tonight's game against the Clippers as losers of four of their last five. LeBron James is still recovering from a groin injury, and isn't expected to return tonight. Lonzo Ball is also sidelined by and injury, leaving LA extremely shorthanded. Anthony Davis has been fined by the league for publicly demanding a trade to the Lakers. Lonzo Ball has already gone on record saying he won't play for the Pelicans if he's included in such a trade. The Clippers had won three straight before suffering a home loss to Atlanta. That was the second game of a back to back and a third game in four nights. They should be ready to bounce back here against the struggling Lakers. The Clippers have won six of the last seven meetings, and they've covered the spread in six of the last eight meetings. The Lakers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings at Staples Center. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-19 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne +2 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-29-19 | Kansas v. Texas OVER 139 | 63-73 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KU@TEX to go Over the total. The Jayhawks barely beat Texas at home earlier this month, winning by a score of 80-78. Kansas won both meetings last season, and both of those games saw at least 150 combined points. The total for tonight's game in Texas seems a little low when you consider that the Longhorns have gone over in five of their last seven home games. Texas has gone over the total in four of their last five games overall, and during that span they have averaged 71.2 points on 44 percent shooting. Kansas has won 10 straight meetings versus Texas dating back to 2014, and they have averaged almost 80 points in those games. I like their chances of scoring their share here in Texas tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-19 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma | 77-47 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. The Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of four straight, and two of those wins came on the road at Oklahoma State and West Virginia. They are a significant underdog here against the Sooners, despite the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings outright, and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Oklahoma has won just three of it's last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home meetings versus Baylor. The Sooners beat Baylor 98-96 at home last year, and prior to that they were just 2-2 straight up in their previous four home games against the Bears. Take BAYLOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-19 | Michigan State v. Purdue +1.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Purdue. The Michigan State Spartans bring a 9-0 record into Sunday's game at Purdue, where the Boilermakers own a 9-0 home record. Something has to give here, and I like the home dog to avenge a 77-59 loss at East Lansing earlier this season. The home team is 6-1 straight up over the last seven head to head meetings, and the Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Carsen Edwards really struggled in the loss at Michigan State, scoring 11 points on 3-of-16 shooting. He followed up that poor performance by score 36 points on 10-of-26 shooting in a win over Wisconsin. He's scored 20 ore more points in three of Purdue's last four games, and the Boilermakers have won four straight since the loss to the Spartans. I'll take the points with the home team here. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-19 | Kansas v. Kentucky OVER 144 | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KU@UK to go Over the total. I bet on the over in the Jayhawks win over Iowa State on Monday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The #7 ranked Kansas Jayhawks are coming off a 65-64 loss on the road at West Virginia, but I expect a much higher score here in Ksnsas tonight. The Jayhawks are 10-0 at home, and they have averaged 81.2 points on 49.5 points in those games. Their most recent home game was an 80-78 win over Texas." The Over is 12-3-1 in the Jayhawks last 16 non-conference games, and 20-9-2 in their last 31 overall. I like both teams to pile on the points here in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-19 | VCU v. Duquesne +3.5 | Top | 80-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The VCU Rams have won six straight meetings versus the Dukes dating back to 2013, but they come into today's game trailing Duquesne in the A-10 standings. The Dukes are 5-1 on conference play, and their last win came at home against first place Saint Louis. The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I like Duquesne to get off to a good start as a home dog here today. The Dukes have averaged 78.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting in their last five games, more than 11 points more than the Rams have averaged during that span. Of course the Rams are better defensively, but they were able to overcome stifling defense in their last game against the Bilikens. I'll take the points here. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-19 | Raptors -1 v. Rockets | Top | 119-121 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Rockets haven't won back to back games since the beginning of January, and coming off a close win over the Knicks, I expect them to have trouble at home tonight versus the Toronto Raptors. They are just 5-5 over their last 10 games, and four of those five wins came against teams with a losing record. Only Golden State has a better road record than the Raptors, who have won their last two games at Houston. Kawhi Leonard sat out the last two games for what the Raptors claim was simply rest. He's expected to return to action here in Houston. The Rockets are still extremely thin with Cint Capela and Chris Paul both sidelined by injuries. James Harden has averaged over 52 points per game in his last five starts, and he's going to need to score at least 50 to give the Rockets at chance tonight. It's only a matter of time before he runs out of gas, and the Raptors aren't going to make life easy for him. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-24-19 | Wolves -120 v. Lakers | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota T-Wolves. Already without LeBron James, the Lakers will be without Lonzo Ball in their home game against Minnesota Thursday. The Wolves are one of the weaker road teams in the Western Conference, but they should still have the Lakers out-gunned here tonight. Minnesota is coming off back to back wins in a home and home series versus Phoenix, and tonight's game against a banged up Lakers team might be similar to their last game on the road in Arizona. The Lakers have lost six of their last seven games against Minnesota, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. The Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games, and I think they come up short tonight against a Minnesota team that is just 1.5 games back in the standings. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-19 | William & Mary v. NC-Wilmington | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC Wilmington. There was a time when these were two of the top teams in the CAA, but William and Mary and UNC Wilmington are both struggling so far this season. The Tribe are coming off three straight home losses, including a 76-71 loss to bottom feeders Elon in their last game. The Seahawks are coming off back to back road losses, but they won their last home game by a score of 97-83 over Drexel. The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. There is no doubt that UNC Wilmington has the better shooters, and given home court advantage I think they should be the favorite to get a "W" tonight. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz -150 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Denver Nuggets can forget about first place. The Warriors are back, and they aren't going anywhere. Now the they need to concentrate on finishing the season strong and securing home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. It's not going to be easy, as every night is a battle in the Western Conference. They face a stiff challenge tonight in Utah, where they have lost their last four games. The Jazz have won six of their last seven overall, and they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. The Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-19 | St. Louis v. Duquesne UNDER 135 | 73-77 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SLU@DUQ to go Under the total. The Saint Louis Bilikens are still undefeated in the A-10, with a 5-0 record heading into tonight's game at Duquesne. They don't score a lot of points, averaging just 67.2 points per game on 41.6 percent shooting. They are brutal at the free throw line, hitting just 57 percent in their last five games. What makes them so successful is their lock down defense, holding the opposition to less than 60 points per game. They have gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 22-10-1 in their last 33 road games. These two teams have gone over in each of the last five head to head meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-19 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky OVER 144 | 55-76 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISST@UK to go Over the total. The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off an 82-80 win at Auburn, and they have won seven of their last eight overall. They host Mississippi State Tuesday, and the Bulldogs have won back to back games against Florida and Vanderbilt. Both these teams have been on a tear offensively of late, and one significant stat is that they have both hit over 75 percent of their free throws over their last five games. That could make a huge difference when it comes to the total, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone over the number. Kentucky has gone over in 10 of it's last 13 SEC games, and Mississippi State has gone over in six straight at Kentucky. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-19 | Iowa State v. Kansas OVER 145.5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU@KU to go Over the total. The #7 ranked Kansas Jayhawks are coming off a 65-64 loss on the road at West Virginia, but I expect a much higher score here in Ksnsas tonight. The Jayhawks are 10-0 at home, and they have averaged 81.2 points on 49.5 points in those games. Their most recent home game was an 80-78 win over Texas. They have gone over in four of their last five home games versus the Cyclones, and the most recent home game against Iowa State was an 83-78 win last January. The over is 16-6-2 in the Jayhawks last 24 home games, and 17-4 in their last 21 home games against the Cyclones. The total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the majority of those previous encounters. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-19 | Virginia v. Duke OVER 138.5 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UVA@DUKE to go Over the total. The Virginia Cavs might be catching Duke at a good time, with the Blue Devils coming off a 95-91 home loss to Syracuse. Remember the Cavs beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium last January by a score of 65-63. Virginia comes in averaging 78.4 points on 50.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Blue Devils have allowed opponents to average over 72 points in their last five games. There are plenty of shooters on both these teams, and both teams hit for a high percentage from the free throw line. Virginia has been on fire from beyond the arc, hitting 45.9 percent over their last five games. I expect both teams to score over 70 points here tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin OVER 126 | 54-64 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MICH@WIS to go Over the total. The Wolverines bring a perfect 17-0 record into Wisconsin, and the Badgers have lost four of their last five. Michigan won 83-72 at Wisconsin in the last meeting between these teams, and I think the total for this game is far too low. The Badgers have averaged over 80 points on better than 50 percent shooting at home, and while their defense has been solid they face a Michigan team that has scored 75 points per game in their last five overall. The over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Wisconsin. The over is 8-3-2 in the Wolverines last 13 versus the Big Ten. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-19 | Ohio v. Toledo -8.5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toledo Rockets. The Ohio Bobcats have struggled since the start of conference play, losing three of four games. They are on the road at Toledo tonight, and they have been nothing short of brutal on the road. The Bobcats are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. They have really been hurt by poor free throw shooting, hitting just 52.3 percent from the line in their last five overall. The Rockets are hitting 71.9 percent over their last five games, and they are hitting over 80 percent from the line at home this season. The Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 versus Toledo. I like the Rockets to win by double digits. Take TOL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-19 | Houston v. SMU OVER 136 | 69-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@SMU to go Over the total. The SMU Mustangs have gone under in five straight games, but Houston has gone over in four of their last five. Both teams have been shooting the ball well of late. Houston has scored 78.4 points on 43.7 percent shooting, while the Mustangs have averaged 75.6 points on 42.5 percent shooting over their last five games. Both teams are shooting out the lights at the free throw line, hitting 79.4 percent and 72.9 percent respectively over their last five games. The Cougars have gone over in three of their last four visits to Dallas. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-19 | Raptors +2 v. Celtics | 108-117 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors, The Raptors and Celtics were supposed to be battling for top spot in the Eastern Conference this season, but Boston has been a major disappointment. The Celtics are seven games back of the first place Raptors in the standings. The home team has won nine straight meetings since the Raptors won 101-94 at The Garden in 2016. This is an opportunity for Toronto to make a statement, and the last time they faced such a challenge they beat the Bucks by a score of 123-116 in Milwaukee. They did that without Kyle Lowry, who is no back at full speed. The Celtics are banged up, with Kyrie Irving and Marcus Spart missing the last game. Toronto has been the better bet in this series, going 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 228 | 142-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@DEN to go under the total. The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-19 | Rutgers v. Purdue OVER 140 | 54-89 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5. The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-19 | Pistons v. Jazz -8 | 94-100 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Pistons won 109-104 at LA on Saturday, and Blake Griffin scored 44 points against his former team. This sets up Detroit (and Griffin) for a let down here on the road at Utah. Detroit rarely wins on the road, with a record of 7-13. The Jazz have won five of six, and four straight at home. History certainly favors the home team, as Utah has won five straigh versus Detroit. The Jazz also covered the spread in all five of those victories. The Jazz are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Pistons are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have a long history of losing to Utah. Going back more than a decade, the Pistons are 8-21 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-19 | TCU v. Oklahoma UNDER 148.5 | 74-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-12-19 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia UNDER 145 | Top | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKST@WVU to go Under the total. The Cowboys have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight games. I bet the under in their last game, a 61-58 win over Texas. Here is what I said prior to tipoff: "an Oklahoma State team tonight that really struggles to do anything on offense, and I like Texas to remain undefeated in the BIG12. The Cowboys have lost both their games against BIG12 teams, and that includes a home loss to Iowa State. If there is one thing the Cowboys do well, it's strong play on defense. They have held opponents to 63.7 points per game in Stillwater." I will go against another high total here as they play at West Virginia. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-19 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 137 | 84-80 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PUR@WIS to go Under the total. The last time Wisconsin played Purdue neither team scored 60 points. They lost by a score of 57-53 in Madison. The Boilermakers come into tonight's game at Wisconsin with an 0-4 road record, and they have scored just 64 points per game in those losses. Wisconsin is 6-1 at home, and has allowed just 61 points per game in those wins. Wisconsin has failed to reach the total in six of it's last 10 games versus BIG10 teams, while Purdue has gone under in four of their last five road games. Six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone under. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 221.5 | 105-122 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors are coming off a 104-101 win over the Hawks, in a game that they trailed for most of the first three quarters. They played a similar game against the Nets in Brooklyn a few weeks ago, and they ended up losing in OT by score of 106-105. The Nets have been rolling lately, winning four of their last five. They have played solid defense, allowing 100 points or less in each of their last three wins. Four of the last six head to head meetings between these teams have come up short of the total. Brooklyn hasn't seen 220 combined points in any of their last four games. I expect another low scoring game in Toronto tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 223.5 | Top | 147-154 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go Under the total. One of the biggest stories of the first half of the season has been an increase in scoring league wide. While the numbers are up this year from years past, one trend has held true for as long as I can remember. When the playoffs get closer, the defensive intensity always increases. This appears to be the case for the Spurs, who have been steadily impoving on defense. Their last home game was a 108-88 win over the Grizzlies. They come into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six, and they have allowed just 103 points per game during that span. The Thunder rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and 4-1 in the last five at San Antonio. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | SMU v. Connecticut UNDER 146.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SMU@UCONN to go Under the total. The Mustangs bring a 10-4 overall record, and a 2-0 road record into Connecticut Thursday. These two teams have a history of playing close games, and SMU has won and covered in four of the last five meetings. Three of those games went over the total, but only one of those games saw more than 140 points. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous meetings. The Huskies have held opponents to 66.6 points per game over their last five overall, and the Mustangs have been even stingier during that span. This total appears to be grossly inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +1.5 | 72-43 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCG. Remember when Wofford upset the Tar Heels last season? Bettors certainly remember, and they love backing a memorable underdog. I think Wofford is a little overrated here, coming into this game at UNCG as a road favorite. The Spartans are 14-2 overall and 7-0 at home. They have held opponents to under 60 points on less than 40 percent shooting in their home games so far. The home team has covered in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Terriers might be fan favorites, but they have lost five straight meetings versus UNCG. I'll take the home dog. Take UNCG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-19 | Massachusetts v. St. Louis UNDER 138 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MASS@SLU to go Under the total. The Saint Louis Bilikens have been a defensive juggernaut this season, and they have been particularly stingy at home. They are allowing just 58.7 points on 37.8 percent shooting while winning all nine of their home games so far. They host an inferior opponent tonight, and the Minutemen scored just 47 points in a loss to the Bilikens in the last head to head meeting. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of the last four head to head meetings. The Bilikens have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 14 home games, and I see no reason why that trend won't hold true here in what appears to be a complete mismatch. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech UNDER 132 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKLA@TTU to go Under the total. I bet against Oklahoma in their loss to Kansas, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "Oklahoma is 11-0 versus unranked teams, but in their one game versus a Top 25 team, they were crushed by a score of 78-58 in a loss to Wisconsin. Kansas isn't just a Top 25 team, the Jayhawks are ranked in the Top 5. They are still unbeaten at home, and they beat Oklahoma by 30 points at home last year. The Sooners have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 versus the BIG12, and they are likely coming into this game a little overrated after covering in nine of their last 10 versus non-conference opposition. While the Sooners have been impresssive, they haven't proven a lot based on a lack of quality wins." They ended up getting a back door cover in that game, after trailing by 15 at halftime. I don't like their chances against a Texas Tech team that has allowed just 48.1 points per game while winning all nine of their home games. I like Texas Tech to shut down Oklahoma's offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. I bet against Oklahoma in their loss to Kansas, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "Oklahoma is 11-0 versus unranked teams, but in their one game versus a Top 25 team, they were crushed by a score of 78-58 in a loss to Wisconsin. Kansas isn't just a Top 25 team, the Jayhawks are ranked in the Top 5. They are still unbeaten at home, and they beat Oklahoma by 30 points at home last year. The Sooners have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 versus the BIG12, and they are likely coming into this game a little overrated after covering in nine of their last 10 versus non-conference opposition. While the Sooners have been impresssive, they haven't proven a lot based on a lack of quality wins." They ended up getting a back door cover in that game, after trailing by 15 at halftime. I don't like their chances against a Texas Tech team that has allowed just 48.1 points per game while winning all nine of their home games. I like Texas Tech to shut down Oklahoma's offense. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina UNDER 149 | 82-87 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISST@SOCAR to go Under the total. It's been a tough start for the South Carolina Gamecocks, who come into tonight's home game versus Mississippi State with a losing record. They simply can't seem to score, averaging just 66.6 points on 40.5 percent shooting over their last five games. They might not fancy their chances of scoring tonight against a Bulldogs team that won it's only road game by a score of 65-58 at Dayton. Previous meetings between these two teams have gone over more often than not, but the total was listed under 140 in each of the last four meetings. With a total more than 10 points higher than it was the last four times these teams met, I'll roll the dice with a play on the under. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Texas v. Oklahoma State UNDER 133 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TEX@OKST to go Under the total. Texas has won back to back games to start conference play, including a 20 point win on the road at Kansas State. They face an Oklahoma State team tonight that really struggles to do anything on offense, and I like Texas to remain undefeated in the BIG12. The Cowboys have lost both their games against BIG12 teams, and that includes a home loss to Iowa State. If there is one thing the Cowboys do well, it's strong play on defense. They have held opponents to 63.7 points per game in Stillwater. That might not be good enough against a Texas team that has allowed just 57 points per game in their last five overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Texas -3 v. Oklahoma State | 58-61 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas has won back to back games to start conference play, including a 20 point win on the road at Kansas State. They face an Oklahoma State team tonight that really struggles to do anything on offense, and I like Texas to remain undefeated in the BIG12. The Cowboys have lost both their games against BIG12 teams, and that includes a home loss to Iowa State. If there is one thing the Cowboys do well, it's strong play on defense. They have held opponents to 63.7 points per game in Stillwater. That might not be good enough against a Texas team that has allowed just 57 points per game in their last five overall. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-19 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 147 | Top | 77-90 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 41 m | Show |
10* |
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01-05-19 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma UNDER 144 | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKST@OKLA to go Under the total. I bet on the under in the Cowboy's last game, a home loss to Iowa State by a score of 69-63. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been terrible this season, especially on offense. They have averaged just 66 points per game over their last five overall, and that includes games against Houston and Nebraska that they scored 53 points and 59 points. The good news is that they have been pretty tough on defense, particularly at home. They are allowing just 62.6 points per game on 37.9 percent shooting at home. They have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 games overall. The under is 35-17-1 in their last 53 home games. The under is 10-4 in the Cyclones last 14 overall. This will be the first game of conference play for both teams, and I don't think either team is going to give up many easy buckets." Oklahoma is better defensively than the Cyclones, so I can't see this game being very high scoring. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Maryland -3.5 v. Rutgers | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Maryland Terrapins. Rutgers has come crashing back to reality after an encouraging start. The Scarlet Knights won five of their first six games, and then they faced tough opponents from the BIG10. What followed was consecutive losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin. They host Maryland today, a team that they have lost six straight to, only covering the spread twice in those games. The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, while the Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. I'll take the road favorite here to win outright. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio -3 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio Bobcats. Ohio is 7-0 at home so far, and the Bobcats have won four straight head to head meetings versus Northern Illinois. They have won all three home games during that span by a double-digit margin. The Huskies have lost four of their five road games so far, and they have allowed opponents to average over 81 points in those games. The Bobcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus MAC teams. This Northern Illinois team finished dead last in the MAC last year, and they were 1-13 on the road. They should be a far bigger underdog here in Ohio. Take OHIO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. After watching Russell Westbrook shoot 3-for-20 from the field, and still celebrate by doing an "air guitar solo" for Lance Stephenson in a win over the Lakers, I can't help but think the Thunder are due for a let down. They will play at Portland tonight, where the Blazers are 14-6. Portland has owned the Thunder, winning the last six head to head meetings and covering the spread in all six of those games. Coming off a possible night out in LA after the win over the Lakers, you might expect Russ and PG to be a little hung over (maybe a metaphor, maybe not). The Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 versus the NBA Northwest, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six visits to Portland. I'll take the home team as a pickem all day long. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-19 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco -2.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Dons are off to a great start, coming into tonight's home game with a 12-2 overall record. They are 8-0 at home, and they won their last home game versus St. Mary's by a score of 70-63. The Gaels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games versus teams with a winning home record. They have covered only once in their last seven games against teams from the WCC. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true here tonight. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-19 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 152.5 | 70-86 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IOWA@PUR to go Under the total. The Iowa Hawkeyes are ranked #20, but they are a big underdog on the road versus unranked Purdue. That's because these Boilermakers are a monster at home. Purdue has won all six home games, and allowed an average of 61.2 points in those games. The home team is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings, and the under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Purdue. The under is 15-6-1 in Boilermakers last 22 versus BIG10 teams, and both their previous two games versus BIG10 teams this season went way under. They beat Maryland 62-60 and lost 76-57 at Michigan. I think the total here appears to be a little too high. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-19 | NC State v. Miami-FL UNDER 157.5 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@MIA to go Under the total. The last time these two teams played, it was a blowout with Miami winning 86-81 on the road. The last time the Hurricanes played NC State at home, they won by a score of 81-63. In fact, the Wolfpack have averaged just 62.5 points per game in their last four visits to Miami, and none of those games saw more than 152 total points. Miami is 6-1 at home, and they have allowed an average of just 62.4 points in those games. The Canes have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall, and the under is 37-18-1 in Miami's last 56 home games. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade the inflated number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State UNDER 147 | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU@OKST to go Under the total. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been terrible this season, especially on offense. They have averaged just 66 points per game over their last five overall, and that includes games against Houston and Nebraska that they scored 53 points and 59 points. The good news is that they have been pretty tough on defense, particularly at home. They are allowing just 62.6 points per game on 37.9 percent shooting at home. They have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 games overall. The under is 35-17-1 in their last 53 home games. The under is 10-4 in the Cyclones last 14 overall. This will be the first game of conference play for both teams, and I don't think either team is going to give up many easy buckets. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors UNDER 210 | 116-122 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@TOR to go Under the total. The Utah Jazz are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 5th overall in opponent's scoring average. They face a Raptors team that has really struggled offensively without PG Kyle Lowry. Toronto has averaged just over 97 points per game while going 2-2 in their last four games. They shot just 37 percent from the field against the Bulls, and just over 34 percent from the field in a loss to Orlando. The Jazz have gone under in seven straight when coming off a win, and the under is 8-1 in their last nine overall. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. I think this number is far higher than it should be. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Spurs v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Spurs were blown out in the first half in Denver last night, and while they rallied to make it close in the fourth quarter, they ultimately came up short. That is nothing new for San Antonio, a team that has been terrible on the road this season. The Spurs are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 road games, and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing the second game of a back to back. While both teams played last night, the Clippers don't have to travel after beating the Lakers at the Staples Center. LA is one of the hottest teams in the league, winning four of their last five overall and ranking 3rd in the NBA in points scored. The Clippers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight when playing on back to back nights. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | St. John's v. Seton Hall -3.5 | 74-76 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates. The 12-0 St. John's Red Storm haven't yet faced any tough opponents, but playing on the road at the Prudential Center will allow us to find out just how good this team really is. The Pirates are 9-3 overall and just 4-2 at home, but they have had a far tougher schedule than St. John's. High profile wins have come against the likes of Kentucky and Miami, while high profile losses came against the likes of Louisville and Nebraska. Home court has been key in this series, and the home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Pirates have won four of the last five head to head meetings, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +1.5 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Louisville. Kentucky is coming off an 80-72 win over North Carolina at the United Center, but I think this sets them up for a let down in their first true road game at Louisville. The Cardinals are 8-0 at home, and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Louisville has been impressive on defense holding opponents to just 61.2 points on 37.8 percent shooting in their last five games. The Cardinal beat Michigan State 82-78 at home earlier this season, and they won that game at the free throw line. They hit 30-of-41 attempts and hit six of eight attempts in the final 30 seconds of overtime. Home court has been key in this series, and I'll take Louisville as a home dog here today. Take LOU. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-28-18 | Clippers -5 v. Lakers | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAC. The Lakers were shorthanded last night when they lost a heartbreaker on the road at Sacramento. Not only is LeBron out with a groin injury, veteran PG Rajon Rondo is sidelined with a finger injury. The young Lakers play their second game in as many nights at the Staples Center against the Clippers. LA's other team has won 24 of the last 28 meetings versus the Lakers, and they have covered the spread in three of the last four meetings. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, and this looks like a good spot for the Clippers to take advantage of a young Lakers team without their veterans. Patrick Beverly owned his matchup versus Lonzo Ball last year, and that will be an interesting matchup here tonight. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | Top | 77-92 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on INDPU@NKU to go Under the total. The Norse are a strong team on defense, allowing just 65 points per game this season, and allowing just over 62 points per game at home. Northern Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six home games, and tonight's number is far higher than it was in most of those previous contests.These teams have played in each of the last two seasons, playing low scoring games with INDPU failing to reach 60 points in both games. INPU has failed to reach the total in four straight versus teams from the Horizon, while Northern Kentucky has gone under in 13 of it's last 16 as a home favorite. This total appears to be 5-6 points higher than it should be. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-26-18 | Raptors -3.5 v. Heat | 106-104 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Heat have won five of six games since Goran Dragic last played. The veteran PG had a right knee scope last week, and there is no initial timetable for a return. While the Heat have played well at times, they have a losing record at home. They host the Toronto Raptors tonight, and the Raptors have the best record in the NBA. Toronto comes in with a 12-6 road record. While Kyle Lowry might not play tonight, the Raptors are expected to have Kahwi Leonard and Serge Ibaka back. Neither player was in the lineup when the Raptors lost at Philly before Christmas. Fred Van Fleet has been solid filling in for Kyle Lowry, in his last start he scored 14 points on 6-of-10 shooting with five rebounds and eight assists in a win at Cleveland. The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and I'll take the visitors as a small favorite. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | 101-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. This looks like a let down spot for the Raptors, who have already missed Kyle Lowry and Danny Green due to injuries. Playing on the road on the second leg of a back to back in Philly, Nick Nurse says he plans to rest Kawhi Leonard tonight. The Sixers are 15-3 at home, and Jimmy Butler is back from a groin injury. The home team has won four straight in this series, and I don't like the Raptors chances of breaking that trend here tonight as they appear to be severely shorthanded. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNC Tar Heels.
Two of the top teams in the country will face off in Chicago on Saturday, and I like the ACC team here against the big dog from the SEC. Kentucky got crushed by Duke in their season opener, and has since lost to unranked Seton Hall. The Tar Heels last loss came on the road at #7 ranked Michigan, but two of their last three wins have come against ranked teams (UCLA and Gonzaga). Kentucky is 3-9-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. North Carolina has had little trouble with SEC teams, going 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 versus the SEC. The Tar Heels scored 103 points in a double digit win over #4 ranked Gonzaga last Saturday, and they beat #17 ranked UCLA by 16 points at the end of November. Senior guard Cameron Johnson has scored 45 points on 15-of-26 shooting in his last two starts, and I expect him to have a big game here against the Wildcats. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | Clemson v. South Carolina UNDER 145 | 78-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLEM@USC to go Under the total. The 8-3 Clemson Tigers will be a slight favorite on the road at South Carolina on Saturday. The 4-6 Gamecocks are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Clemson beat the Gamecocks in each of the last two seasons and the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight versus SEC teams. The trend that I think is even more significant is that these two teams have failed to reach the total in nine straight meetings. Now given the history, it certainly seems odd that tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous nine meetings. Clemson has failed to reach the total in 22 of it's last 30 versus SEC teams, and the Gamecocks have gone under in nine of their last 11 versus ACC teams. South Carolina has gone under in nine straight versus teams with a winning record.
Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-18 | Northern Illinois v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 149 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on NIU@NKU to go Under. This will be the second meeting between Northern Kentucky and Northern Illinois, and the first meeting was tied at 65-65 at the end of regulation. They went on to play double overtime, with the Norse winning by a score of 88-85. We should expect a far lower score here tonight (barring overtime). The Norse are a strong team on defense, allowing just 65 points per game this season, and allowing just over 62 points per game at home. Northern Kentucky has failed to reach the total in four of it's last five home games, and tonight's number is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. They should shut down the Huskies here at home, and I think this number is grossly inflated, perhaps because of the high score in the last meeting. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-18 | Texas Tech +10 v. Duke | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The #2 ranked Blue Devils have only lost once this season (89-87 vs Gonzaga), and they played a close game in a 78-72 win over Auburn. They opened as a 7.5 point favorite for tonight's neutral site game versus Texas Tech and MSG, but they have since been bet up to a double digit favorite. The Red Raiders come undefeated at 10-0, and while they haven't played any ranked teams, they do have an experienced squad with two seniors in the starting five. Texas Tech made it to the Elite Eight in last year's NCAA Tournament, beating the likes of Purdue and Florida before losing to Villanova. The Red Raiders rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average as well as opponent's field goal percentage. They could make life tough for Duke's talented freshman. I'll take the points. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-18 | Auburn v. NC State -108 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the North Carolina State Wolfpack. The #7 ranked Auburn Tigers will play their first road game of the season tonight, and it's not going to be easy. The NC State Wolfpack are 9-1, and 7-0 at home. They have beaten the likes of Vanderbilt (by 15) and Penn State (by 11). Auburn has failed to cover in three straight, and the Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Last year the Wolfpack finished sixth in the ACC, behind five teams ranked in the Top 25 (Duke, UNC, Clemson, UVA and MIA). They were 16-3 at home, which included a 96-85 win over #2 ranked Duke. I'll take the Wolfpack here at home against a ranked team from the inferior SEC. Take NCST. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-18-18 | North Texas v. New Mexico -155 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos.
The North Texas Mean Green come into New Mexico with a 9-1 record, but they haven't been tested by many quality teams. They are 2-1 on the road, but the one loss came by a 16-point margin at unranked Oklahoma. The Lobos don't have a very impressive record, 5-4 overall and just 3-2 at home. Their losses though have came against tough teams the likes of New Mexico State, St. Mary's and Colorado. While they lost 78-75 at home to the Buffaloes, they led by nine points at halftime in that game. They followed up that game with a double-digit home win over UNC Ashville. Tonight they host a North Texas team that has failed to cover in four of their last five overall, and in four straight when coming off a win. The Mean Green have built a strong record by winning close games against lesser opponents, and they should be overmatched here in New Mexico. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-18 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 210 | 93-110 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MEM@GSW to go Over. The Warriors are back at full strength, with Draymond and Steph back from injuries. While they have won five of their last six, they haven't exactly looked that sharp. They lost a revenge game to the Raptors at home by a score of 113-93, and they needed to rally from behind to beat Sacramento. Their defense hasn't been very good, allowing and average of 110 points per game in their last six. The trends suggest that these teams have gone under more often than over, but the last two meetings both went way over the total. The Warriors scored 117, and 141 points in those games. I expect to see a high scoring first half here in Oakland. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons are coming off a home win over the Celtics, snapping a six game losing streak. Detroit is still a solid 10-6 at home while Milwaukee is just .500 (6-6) on the road. The home team has won six straigh meetings straight up, and Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Milwaukee. "We haven't done anything," Pistons coach Dwane Casey said during his postgame press conference. "We've got some momentum now but we still have a tough team coming in Monday night. It doesn't get any easier. I told the guys to enjoy it until midnight and think about the things we can do better." The Bucks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma State UNDER 142.5 | Top | 79-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NEB@OKST to go Under the total. When the Cornhuskers take on the Cowboys in Sioux Falls, SD on Sunday, I expect to see a defensive battle. Both these teams have played strong defense so far, but Nebraska has been really impressive only allowing 59.6 points per game. Previous head to head meetings have been really low scoring, going under in each of the last three. Oklahoma State won by a score of 53-52 in the most recent head to head meeting. Low scoring games are nothing new for the Cowboys, the under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 overall. They have also gone under in seven of their last eight neutral site games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Gonzaga v. North Carolina -2 | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The public loves Gonzaga in this spot, they have a better record than the Tar Heels and the are ranked in the Top 5. If you look at their last two games (a loss to Tennessee and a 2-point win over the unranked Washington Huskies) they haven't looked like a team that should be expected to win at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are undefeated at home, and they have won 16 of their last 19 home games dating back to last year. That's pretty impressive when you consider they play the likes of Duke and Virginia. The Bulldogs haven't had a lot of success against ACC teams, failing to cover in six of their last seven. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Penn State v. NC State -3.5 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NC State Wolfpack. The Wolfpack come into Atlantic City with an 8-1 record, and their only loss came in a close game on the road at #22 ranked Wisconsin. Penn State has lost four of it's last seven overall, and they appear to be overmatched here against a competitive ACC team. These two teams have played three times since 2000, and the Wolfpack won and covered in all three meetings. Both these teams have been solid defensively, but while the Nittany Lions average just 69.6 points per game, the Wolfpack come in averaging over 88 points per game. They shoot the ball better from the field, from beyond the arc as well as the free throw line. They Wolfpack also appear to have the edge in rebounds per game. This looks like a mismatch. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Purdue -4.5 v. Notre Dame | 80-88 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
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12-12-18 | Raptors v. Warriors -6.5 | 113-93 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. The Raptors needed overtime and 37 points from Kawhi Leonard to beat a banged up Warriors team at home at the end of November, and the media went nuts. All the talk in Toronto was that this was almost certainly a preview of the NBA Finals. Not so fast my friend! Steph Curry is back, and the Warriors have won four straight by double digits. That includes a 105-95 win over the Milwaukee Bucks in a very similar "Revenge Spot". This is the second game of a back to back for a Toronto team that hasn't played it's best basketball over the past few weeks. I like the Warriors to win big. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-18 | LSU v. Houston -170 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars. The LSU Tigers are coming off back to back blowout wins at home over inferior teams, but they face a tough test in their first road game of the season at Houston. The Cougars are 8-0, coming off a road win at Oklahoma State. The Cowboys had previously won by double digits in a neutral site game in Orlando. This is a spot where the Tigers have had trouble in the past, losing three of their last four at Houston. The Tigers are 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, while the Cougars are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -155 | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizz are still one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking 3rd in the league in opponent's scoring average. Coming off back to back losses, they should be focused on getting back on track at home against a Blazers team on the back end of a back to back. Portland came up just short in a 111-104 loss at Houston last night, and might not have the same energy here in Memphis tonight. Portland isn't great on the road at the best of times, failing to cover in six straight road games. The Grizzlies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-18 | Jacksonville State v. Wichita State -8 | 65-69 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. The Shockers have failed to impress so far this season, and they are coming off a devestating loss at Oklahoma. After losing 80-48 to the Sooners in Oklahoma City, they should be looking forward to a home game against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The Gamecocks lost their first three games of the season on the road, and two of those three losses came in games decided by 15 or more points. The Shockers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, while the Gamecocks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-18 | Celtics -146 v. Wizards | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are banged up, but they look to extend a six game winning streak in Washington tonight against a struggling Wizards team that might be without John Wall and Otto Porter Jr. The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus Washington, and the road team has won three of the last four in this series. Kyrie Irving didn't play in Boston's win over New Orleans on Monday, but he is expected to return tonight. Marcus Morris scored 31 against the Pelicans, and Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum combined for 40 points. Superior depth should bode well for Boston here given the injuries to both teams. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | 123-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@LAC to go Under the total. The Toronto Raptors are still the best team in the NBA, or at least they still have the best record. They come into LA off back to back losses to Milwaukee and Brooklyn, and they struggled to score in both of those games. Kyle Lowry is just 1-for-13 from the field in his last two starts, and he's just 3-for-25 from three point range in his last four starts. The total for tonight's game in LA looks a little inflated, in fact the number is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 12 of the last 15 in NBA. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight games, and they should be locked in defensively tonight as they look to avoid a third straight loss. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-11-18 | Denver v. Wyoming -7.5 | 90-87 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wyoming Cowboys. The Cowboys are coming off an inspiring home win over the South Carolina Gamecocks, and they will be a sizeable favorite at home versus Denver tonight. The history between these two teams is pretty clear, as the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings. All but one of those games was decided by a double a digit margin. Only once in the last eight head to head meetings did the home team fail to cover. Denver is 0-4 on the road, and hasn't covered the spread in any of it's last eight overall. Denver has also failed to cover in four straight trips to Laramie. Take WYO. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 230 | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go Under the total. The Bucks are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, scoring a season low 95 points. This is the highest scoring team in the NBA, and they still average over 120 points per game. Playing on the road against one of the league's top defensive teams in Toronto, and their DPOY candidate Kahwi Leonard isn't a good spot for the Bucks. The Raptors are coming off an overtime loss a Brooklyn, suffering a let down after beating the Sixers at home by a score of 113-102. Kyle Lowry was just 1-of-8 from the field in the loss, and he's 4-of-23 from the field in his last three starts. These two teams have gone over in six of the last 10 meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. In fact, nine of those 10 games saw a total at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the East, and easy buckets should be few and far between. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-09-18 | Oregon State v. St. Louis UNDER 134.5 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORST@SLU to go Under the total. The Saint Louis Bilikens are off to a solid 6-2 start, and they are 5-0 at home. All of their success has been achieved as a result of their strong defensive play. They are holding opponents to just 58.8 points per game at home, and during that span that includes a 64-52 win over Butler. Oregon State is no stranger to playing defense as well, holding opponents to 65 points per game his season. Last year the Beavers won 63-60 at home versus the Bilikens. Saint Louis has failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight overall, and five straight at home. The Under is 15-7 in the Beavers last 22 Sunday games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-18 | Dayton v. Auburn UNDER 140.5 | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DAY@AUB to go Under the total. Two of the best defensive teams in the country will face each other when #6 ranked Auburn hosts Dayton on Saturday . The Tigers will be a 15 point favorite, and they are 5-0 at home so far. Perhaps more impressive is that Auburn is only allowing 53.5 points per game at home. Neither of these teams are particularly good at shooting free throws, but hitting around 65 percent from the charity stripe. The Tigers have gone under in six of their last eight at home, and eight of their last 11 overall. All three head to head meetings (in the last decade) went under. Dayton has gone under in four of their last five road games, and in four straight versus SEC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-08-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -120 | 111-88 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizzlies are coming off a huge upset win on the road at New Orleans, and they held Anthony Davis to just 25 points. That's well below his season average of 29 points per game at home. The Grizz are still one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking second in the league in opponent's scoring average. They host the Lakers tonight, and LA is coming off a loss at San Antonio. LeBron scored 35 points in 37 minutes, and he continues to pile up the milage on his 33 year old body. Tonight's game figures to be a good spot to limit his minutes (if possible). In two games against Memphis last year LeBron averaged 26 points, and in one game versus Memphis two seasons ago he scored just 23 points. The Grizz have covered in seven of their last 8 home games versus teams with a losing road record, and they are 4-1 ATS in their las five home games versus LA. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-18 | Georgetown v. Syracuse UNDER 145.5 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GTWN@SYR to go Under the total. The Syracuse Orange will be a double digit home favorite in today's game against Georgetown, and the reason they are expected to cover such a big number here is because they are so strong defensively. The Orange are 5-0 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average just 52.8 points per game during that span. Historically these teams have played low scoring games, going under in six of the last nine meetings, yet the bookmakers have listed a total higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Syracuse has gone under in four straight against non-conference opponents, and the under is 4-1 in their last five at home. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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12-07-18 | Nevada -7.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada is off to a hot start, coming into Friday's game versus Arizona State ranked sixth in the AP Poll. It's not just that the Wolfpack are 8-0, it's that all eight wins came by double-digits. Their closest game so far was a 96-86 win over Tulsa, in a game that they led by 11 at the half. The Sun Devils are also undefeated, and ranked in the Top 25. Their 7-0 start hasn't been quite as impressive, winning close games over teams like Utah State and Cal State Fullerton. They have only faced one ranked team, beating Mississippi State by a score of 72-67 in Las Vegas. Their last game was far from impressive, turning the ball over 19 times and shooting just 13-of-25 (52%) from the free throw line in a home win over Texas Southern. If they play like that here at the Staples Center, another double-digit win for Nevada will likely be the result. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-18 | Warriors +1 v. Bucks | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. Without Draymond Green and Steph Curry, the Warriors have had more than their share of losses this season. One of those losses came against the Bucks, and that sets up a revenge spot here in Milwaukee tonight. This time around it's the Bucks that may be shorthanded, potentially missing second leading scorer Kris Middleton (personal issues) and Ersan Ilyasova. While Draymond remains out with a toe injury, Curry is back and he cooked up 42 points in a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, with the road team covering in 20 of the last 27 meetings. The Warriors have won three of their last four at Milwaukee. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-18 | Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 156 | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WAS@GONZ to go Over the total. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the top ranked team in the country with an 8-0 record. They are averaging 98.4 points per game, second to only The Citadel who average 100 points per game. The Bulldogs are coming off back to back games with over 100 points, and a home game against Washington might see them put up another ridiculous number. They beat Washington 97-70 last year, and 98-71 the year before. So given the history you might expect the total for tonight's game to be over 160. Even though these teams hsve gone over in five of the last six meetings, tonights total is far lower than it was in all of those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-18 | Michigan -4.5 v. Northwestern | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-03-18 | Iowa v. Michigan State UNDER 158 | 68-90 | Push | 0 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IOWA@MSU to go Under the total. Iowa got off to a good start, winning six straight non-conference games to start the season, but they lost to Wisconsin by a score of 72-66 in their first game in the BIG10. They play on the road at East Lansing tonight, and the Spartans are a double digit favorite. The last time these teams met, they played a high scoring game going well over the total. Prior to that they went under in five of eight meetings. Tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of those games, and all of those games went under the listed number for tonight's contest. Michigan State can really play defense, and that has translated into going under in four of their last five home games, and six of their last eight BIG10 games. They have also gone under in 11 of their last 13 when coming off a win. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are 8-2 at home, and one of those two losses came in a game that Anthony Davis sat out. The haven't had a lot of success against the Wizards though, losing seven straight and 13 of the last 14 meetings. This isn't the same Wizards team though, as Washington is close to completely blowing things up and starting a rebuild. The Wizards are 2-7 on the road, and ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Wizards are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games versus teams with a winning record. I like the home team in a revenge game, and I expect a big first half from the Pelicans. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-18 | Indiana v. Duke OVER 155 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@DUKE to go Over the total. The Blue Devils will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they take on Indiana at home Tuesday night. Last year the Blue Devils won 91-81 at Indiana, and in the only other meeting in the past decade (2015) they won at home by a score of 94-74. The total for tonight's game is significantly lower than it was in the Hoosiers last trip to Cameron Indoor Stadium. In fact it's the lowest total the Blue Devils have seen all season. They come in averaging 91.8 points per game, but on defense they are allowing opponents to average 71.2 points per game. I guess that's what you get will a roster full of talented freshman. Indiana is lighting up the scoreboard as well, shooting 55.1 percent from the field and averaging 84.3 points per game. The over is 4-1 in Duke's last five games against BIG10 teams, and I woudn't be surprised to see another barn burner here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -170 | 104-100 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Blazers. Portland and the Clippers are each sitting on 12 wins, but the Blazers are 7-2 at home while the Clippers are 4-5 on the road. This looks like a good sport for the Blazers to get back on track after a tough loss to the Warriors in Oakland on Friday. Portland has won all four meetings with the Clippers in 2018, two at home and two on the road. They covered the spread in all four games, and the average margin over victory in the two home games was in double digits. I'll take the home favorite to pick up the "W". Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-18 | Houston v. BYU OVER 148.5 | 76-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@BYU to go Over the total. Both Houston and BYU have got off to a good start this season, and both teams appear to be clicking offensively. The 5-1 Cougars come in averaging 84.7 points per game on 45.9 percent shooting, while the 3-0 Cougars (Houston) are averaging 87.3 points per game on 50.7 percent shooting. BYU has a history of playing high scoring games in Provo, the over is is 16-5-1 in the Cougars (BYU) last 22 home games. BYU has also gone over in 11 of their last 16 overall, and nine of their last 11 when coming off a win. If you can get a total under 150, I like the over here. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-18 | Nuggets v. Wolves -125 | 103-101 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-20-18 | Washington v. Texas A&M UNDER 148.5 | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TAM@WAS to go Under the total. I took the under in Sunday's game between the Aggies and Minnesota in Vancouver, and it cashed easily. Here is what I said prior to tipoff: "Both these teams have played high scoring games early in the season, and because of that we see an inflated total for tonight's game. The Aggies are far from a run and gun team, despite averaging over 80 points per game so far. The majority of their points came in a 98-83 win over Savannah in their season opener. The have shot just over 22 percent from beyond the arc, and 66 percent from the free throw line. Minnesota scored 104 points against a Nebraska Omaha team that can't even think about playing defense, but then won by a score of 78-69 over Utah in their last game." The Aggies scored 64 points on 41 percent shooting, and they hit just 20 percent of their three-point attempts. Now they play a Huskies team that has allowed fewer than 70 points in all three of their wins this season. I expect another low scoring game here at this venue. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-18 | Texas A&M v. Minnesota UNDER 151.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MINN@TAM to go Under the total. |
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11-17-18 | St. Louis v. Seton Hall UNDER 137.5 | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SLU@HALL to go Under the total. The Seton Hall Pirates lost a lot of their star players from last season, and they were humbled in an 80-57 loss at Nebraska their last time out. They shot just 35.6 percent from the field and 2-of-16 from beyond the arc in the loss. They will likely lean on strong defensive play as they hope to bounce back at home tonight against Saint Louis. They held Wagner to 49 points on 32 percent shooting in their home opener. Saint Louis comes in averaging just 68 points per game, and they've shot just 56.5 percent from the free throw line this season. The under is 19-6-1 in the Bilikens last 26 home games, and that's a trend I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-18 | Nets v. Wizards -7 | 115-104 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. Washington couldn't do anything right at the beginning of the season, but the Wizards come into tonight's game as winners of three straight. They host Brooklyn, and the Nets first game since the Caris LaVert injury went as expected. They fell behind by 20 early in the first half, and went on to lose by a score of 120-113. History certainly favors the home team, the hosts have won the last four head to head meetings. The Nets are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington. The home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Nets are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Take WAS. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-15-18 | Oregon -4 v. Iowa | 69-77 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are coming into New York averaging over 80 points per game, but perhaps more impressive than their offense has been the fact that they have held opponents to just 52 points per game. They will face an experienced Iowa team at MSG tonight, and Iowa brings back it's top three scorers from last year. The Hawkeyes were one of the worst teams in the BIG10 last season though, only Rutgers had fewer wins. Iowa comes in with a pair of wins in close games against inferior opponents. They gave up 82 points in a win over Green Bay in their last game. The Hawkeyes have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 versus teams with a winning record. I like Oregon to win big here in New York. Take ORE. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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11-14-18 | Heat -124 v. Nets | Top | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Heat. The Brooklyn Nets are a young and exciting team, that has been quite competitive early this year. Losing their leading scorer Caris LaVert to a gruesome injury is sure to take some of the wind out of their sails. They play their first game since the injury, at home versus Miami tonight. The Heat are looking to snap a three game losing skid, and they have lost three straight versus Brooklyn. Goran Dragic sat out two games last week with a sore knee, and he was 0-for-7 for no points in 21 minutes in his first game back. He's coming off a 22-point game against Philly, shooting 8-of-15 from the field. History is certainly on the side of Dragic and the Heat. Miami is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings versus the Nets, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 at Brooklyn. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-13-18 | Georgia Tech v. Tennessee OVER 139.5 | 53-66 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GT@TENN to go Over the total. Both the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Tennessee Volunteers come into tonight's game averaging over 80 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting. The Vols will be the favorite, and they won 77-70 at Georgia Tech last season. The total for tonight's game is set below 140, and that's a little too low in my opinion. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have come up short of the total, however the number for all three of those games was set above 140. Georgia Tech has gone over in four of it's last five road games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five non conference games. I don't expect either of these two teams to be dialed in on defense so early in the season. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |