Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Wild -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIN. In a game between two teams that have long been eliminated from the playoffs, on the last day of the regular season, we like the home team coming off back to back road wins. The Kraken have lost six of their last seven versus the Wild, and Minnesota has just enough momentum to motivate them to give a good showing on home ice in their final game this season. The Kraken have one foot on the golf course, off season plans at the top of mind. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-24 | Warriors -150 v. Kings | 94-118 | Loss | -150 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Warriors come into the play-in as winners of eight of their last 10 overall, while the Kings have struggled, failing to cover in seven of their last 10 overall. The Warriors are healthier, more talented, with better coaching. They have the playoff pedigree, and they won a Game 7 at Sacramento last April. Steph Curry scored 50 points in that game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-24 | Red Wings -164 v. Canadiens | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. |
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04-16-24 | Angels v. Rays OVER 8 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Aaron Civale will toe the slab for Tampa, and he allowed three runs on four hits in five innings in 6-4 win at LA last week. |
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04-15-24 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -190 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on DET. The Wings are still in a good spot to clinch a Wild Card spot, wrapping up the season with a home and home against Montreal. The Habs have long been eliminated from the playoffs, and their minds should be on the gold course. The Wings have won five of the last seven in this series, and the Habs have lost five of their last six overall. This should be a one-sided affair in the Motor City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-24 | Predators v. Penguins -123 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. The Pens are still alive in the Wild Card race, but they need to win out and hope Washington and or Detroit slip up. They host Nashville tonight, and the Preds have already booked their ticket to the playoffs. The Pens have won five of the last seven meetings in this series, and all three home games during that span. Sidney Crosby has turned back the clock, scoring six goals and adding five assists in his last seven games. The Pens should take care of business in Steel Town tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-24 | Angels v. Rays OVER 8 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Rays rocked Blake Snell and the Giants on Sunday, and we expect more high scoring in Game 1 versus the LA Angels tonight. Zach Eflin will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's facing the Angels for the second time in a week. He was torched for five runs on nine hits in five innings in a loss at LA last week. The Halos hand the ball to Patrick Sandoval, who allowed four runs on six hits and three walks in five innings in a loss to Tampa last week. These two teams own two of the worst bullpens in the major leagues. Tampa ranks dead last in ERA by reliever (6.23) while LA is 22nd (5.02). GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-24 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -145 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs have split the first two games of this home series versus St. Louis, and they turn to their ace in the rubber match. Zac Gallen (2-0, 2.25 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits, striking out 10 in five innings in a no decision at Coors Field his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in two home starts so far this season. The Cards hand the ball to Miles Mikolas, who is off to a shaky start. His ERA of 4.76 isn't terrible, but his WHIP of 1.47 is more concerning. Eugenio Suarez is batting .429 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Mikolas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-24 | Giants v. Rays OVER 8 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants are coming off an 11-2 win at Tampa in Game 2, and I expect another slugfest in Game 3 at The Trop. Blake Snell will toe the slab for San Francisco, and while he finished last season with an NL best 2.25 ERA and won the Cy Young, he started the season going 0-4 with a 5.48 ERA in his first five starts. He started the 2022 season going 0-5 with 5.60 ERA in his first seven starts. He missed spring training, and he allowed three runs on three hits and two walks in three innings in his season debut against Washington. The Rays are using Shawn Armstrong as an opener, and then turning the ball over to the worst bullpen in baseball. Tampa has a team ERA of 6.52 among relievers, while the Giants rank 26th with a team ERA of 5.29. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-24 | Hawks v. Pacers -14 | 115-157 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Hawks have already penciled in a date with the Chicago Bulls in the play-in, making this game absolutely meaningless. The situation is not so simple for the Pacers, who are tied with Orlando and Philly, and they need a win to ensure they don't slip into the 7th spot and a play-in game versus the 8th seed. If the Hawks starters see the court for any significant minutes, I would be shocked. This should be a one-sided affair. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Wild v. Sharks +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJS +1.5. The Sharks are not a good hockey team, but this might be a good spot for them playing their final home game against a Minnesota Wild team that has recently been eliminated for the playoffs and was blown out by a score of 7-2 in Las Vegas last night. Since Marc Andre Fleury got the start last night, we should see Filip Gustavson between the pipes tonight. He's lost four of his last five starts, and he's allowed nine goals in his last two starts. The Sharks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Canucks v. Oilers -130 | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on EDM. The Oilers still have plenty to play for here with just a few games left in the regular season. They trail both Winnipeg and Colorado by two points, and home ice advantage in the first round is up for grabs if they can catch either of those two teams. The Oilers host Vancouver, and the Canucks have been struggling. Vancouver has lost six of nine, and their #1 goaltender hasn't seen the ice since March. Thatcher Demko is rumored to be ready to return, but how sharp can he be after a long layoff. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Inter Miami v. Sporting KC OVER 2.75 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Sporting KC blew a 3-0 lead last weekend, allowing Portland to score three times in 17 minutes to earn a draw. They host Miami FC, who lead MLS in scoring. This match will not be played in their home stadium, but has been moved to the home of the Kansas City Chiefs to accommodate all the fans looking to catch a glimpse of Lionel Messi. Miami won by a score of 3-2 over Sporting KC last year, and I expect to see another high score here in Kansas City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET +1.5. The Maple Leafs are currently sitting in 5th in the East, and their chances of catching 4th place Florida are pretty slim sitting five points back. The Red Wings are still fighting for a Wild Card spot, sitting just one point back of eighth place Pittsburgh. Detroit has lost seven of their last nine overall, but the Wings are 10-1 ATS in those games. They have won three of their last four versus Toronto, and they are 4-0 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Rangers v. Astros -135 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Astros have lost four straight, and their last win came at Texas. With the same pitching matchup here in Houston today, a similar result would be no surprise. Andrew Heaney will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he got tagged for six runs on four hits and three walks in just 3 2/3 innings in a home loss to Houston last week. The Astros hand the ball to Ronel Blanco, who has been stellar so far. He's tossed 15 scoreless innings, allowing one hit and striking out 11 in two appearances. Most recently he went six scoreless at Texas. Yordy Alvarez is 7-for-17 (.412) lifetime versus Heaney. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-24 | Wild v. Golden Knights -160 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. The Golden Knights loaded up at the trade deadline in preparation for another run at the Stanley Cup. The defending champs still haven't clinched a playoff birth, and while it might be just a technicality they can make it official on home ice tonight as they host the Minnesota Wild. Minnesota has been officially eliminated from the playoffs, and that might have them thinking about the golf course. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-24 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -115 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The Cardinals come into Arizona as losers of three of four, and both these teams have a 6-7 record so far this season. Stephen Matz will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's off to a great start. Matz is 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA in two starts. Facing the D'Backs bats in Arizona appears to be a tough spot, Arizona ranks 3rd in the majors in scoring. The D'Backs hand the ball to Brandon Pfaadt, who allowed one run on five hits, fanning five in his home debut. Despite a lackluster record so far, Airzona is tied for 1st in the NL with a run differential of +17. The Cards are -5 in run differential. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-24 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 233.5 | 120-129 | Loss | -112 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. While many teams are just going through the motions with only a couple games left in the regular season, these two teams still have plenty to play for. The Cavs are only one game up on the Magic and the Pacers, who could bump them out of the 4th seed. Despite the massive playoff implications, the total for tonight's game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and they won the last meeting by a score of 108-103 at Indiana last month. While the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 overall, only one of those games saw more than 233 total points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-24 | Canadiens v. Islanders -196 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYI. The Habs are ready for the golf course, while the Islanders are looking to gear up for a playoff run. New York is far from safe however, just two points clear of the final Wild Card spot in the East. The Penguins and the Capitals are hot on their heels, making tonight's home game versus Montreal a must win. The home team has won five straight in this series, and the Isles should extend that streak tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-24 | Red Wings v. Penguins -138 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PIT. The Penguins have won four straight at home, including a 6-3 win over the Detroit Red Wings. These two teams are battling for a Wild Card spot, and Detroit has struggled down the stretch. The Wings have lost six of their last eight overall, and two of those losses came in games against the Capitals who are also fighting for one of the final two playoff spots in the East. After failing to win a must win game over the Caps at home, it's hard to trust Detroit on the road here against Sidney Crosby and the Pens. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-24 | Senators v. Lightning -197 | 3-2 | Loss | -197 | 30 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on TB. The Lightning host the Sens in a late season game in Tampa, and the Sens should have one foot on the golf course at this point in the season. Tampa Bay has already locked in a playoff spot, and while they might not be playing for seeding, it's still important to take a bit of momentum into the playoffs. Andrei Vasilevskij was on fire in the month of March, going 8-1 with a 2.39 GAA in 10 starts. He's won five of his last six home starts, and he has a historically good record in his career at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-24 | Cubs v. Padres -137 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SD. The Padres have split the first two games of this home series versus Chicago, but they appear to have a favorable matchup in the rubber match this afternoon. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's off to a solid start. Despite an 0-1 record, he owns a 3.38 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP with 13 strikeouts over 10 2/3 innings in two starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks, who has not fooled anyone so far this season. He's allowed 10 runs on 17 hits and four walks over 7 2/3 innings in two starts. Ian Happ is 1-for-14 with six strikeouts lifetime versus Cease. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-24 | Knicks -160 v. Bulls | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. So last week Josh Hart suggested that Julius Randle and OG Anunoby could be done for the season. Hart was half right, as a few days later it was announced that Randle would underdog season ending surgery. It was a surprise however to see Anunoby return, and that bodes well for a Knickerbockers team that is trying to secure home court in the first round of the playoffs. The Bucks, Cavs, Knicks and Magic are separated by just 1.5 games with all four teams fighting for seeds 2-5. The Knicks are 16-3 with Anunoby in the lineup, and they have far more to play here for than Chicago. The Bulls can't move up in the standings as they are six games back of the eight place Heat. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on UCONN. The Huskies are 36-3 and all three of their losses came on the road. They have been crushing the opposition, winning 11 straight NCAA Tournament games by double digits. Purdue on the other hand has struggled at times against Tennessee and Wisconsin in the BIG10 Tourney. Zack Edey has been dominant, but he draws a tougher matchup here against another 7-foot star in Donovan Clingan. The Huskies held San Diego State to 24 points in the first half of the Natty last year. One of these teams has championship pedigree and the other has a history of choking in big games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-24 | Diamondbacks -167 v. Rockies | 5-7 | Loss | -167 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on ARI. The D'Backs will look to snap a four game losing streak in Game 1 of this series in Colorado. Ace Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 2-0 with an 0.82 ERA so far. He's 7-1 with a 2.41 ERA in his career versus the Rockies. Colorado will hand the ball to Kyle Freeland, who has allowed 17 runs in 5 2/3 innings in two starts. He's 3-9 with a 6.04 ERA in his career versus Arizona, and the D'Backs lineup is batting .350 against him in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on COL. Dallas sits 1st in the Western Conference standings, three points clear of Colorado. The Stars are on the road for the second game of a back to back in Denver tonight, and the Avs have the best home record in the NHL. History favors the home team as Colorado is 6-1 in their last seven versus Dallas and 3-0 at home during that span. Alexandar Georgiev is 23-4 with a 2.54 GAA at home this season. This appears to be a tough spot for the road team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-24 | Astros +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Houston. The Astros have just two wins in nine games, but one of those was a no-hitter for 30 year old Ronelo Blanco. To say that Blanco came into the season off a hot spring would be understating it. He struck out 18 batters while tossing 15 2/3 innings in five appearances. You can't call it luck because he has a career ERA of 0.24 over 38 innings in spring since 2020. Dane Dunning is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.46 and 26 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Astros in his career. Jose Altuve is 6-for-12 (.500) with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Dunning. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-24 | Wizards v. Raptors -170 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors are coming off a win on the road at Milwaukee on Friday, ending a 15 game losing skid. RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickley missed most of those games, but the dynamic duo are back in action. The Raptors have an opportunity to keep the momentum going now with a home game against Washington. The Wizards are almost certainly tanking, and they should provide little resistance here north of the border. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | Oilers -165 v. Flames | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on EDM. The Battle of Alberta was once one of the most heated rivalries in sports, but it has been rather one-sided lately. The Oilers have won eight of the last 10, and they are 5-0 in their last five at the Saddledome. The Flames already have one foot on the golf course, while Edmonton is gearing up for a potential Stanley Cup run. The Oilers still have plenty to play for as they jockey for seeding in the Western Conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 162 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I had the under in the Huskies win over Illinois, and they didn't even come close to the total of 155.5. Here is what I said before tip off: "I had to rub my eyes when I saw that the total for this game opened at 155.5. I think the bookmakers came up with this number based on offensive efficiency numbers, while ignoring pace of play. Illinois may be the most efficient offense in the country, but they scored just 72 points in a low scoring battle versus Iowa State. It won't get any easier against a UCONN team that ranks 307th in pace of play averaging 68 possessions per game. UCONN hasn't seen a combined 155 points in any NCAA Tournament game in 10 years. We saw six of eight games fail to reach the total in the Sweet 16, and there is every reason to expect these teams to tighten up even more as we get closer to the Final." The Crimson Tide scored 89 points and did go over the total in their game against Clemson. That game was on pace to go under with Alabama leading 58-53 with just 8 minutes remaining, but there were 60 points scored in the final eight minutes. These teams played last Novermber, and the total for that game was 148. The Huskies won 82-67 falling well short of 161.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | Blue Jays +100 v. Yankees | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Jays won Game 1 of this series in the Bronx by a score of 3-0, and they send their ace to the mound in Game 2. Kevin Guasman allowed one run on two hits, striking out seven in 4 1/3 innings in a win over Tampa in his season debut. The Bronx Bombers hand the ball to Clark Schmidt, who allowed three runs on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings versus Houston in his first start of the season. Kevin Gausman has a 10-7 record with an ERA of 3.01 and 156 strikeouts in 31 appearances versus the Yankees in his career. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 136 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We have seen nine of the last 12 NCAA Tournament games go under the number, and another low score might be expected in a football stadium when such venues have been known to cause problems for long range shooters. Some would say that the Wolfpack have been lucky that Texas Tech, Marquette and Duke shot poorly from beyond the arc. I think it's naive not to give credit to NC State for their defense. Purdue was just 3-of-15 from beyond the arc in the Elite Eight, but with Zack Edey scoring 40 it didn't matter. The Boilermakers won 72-66 versus Tennessee, and I expect a similar score here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | Brentford v. Aston Villa -140 | Top | 3-3 | Loss | -140 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Aston Villa. Aston Villa is currently holding down a Champions League spot, sitting 4th in the Premier League table. They have a home game against Brentford, who are 3-1-11 in away matches this season. While midfielder Jacob Ramsey will be a big loss for Villa, the return of Ollie Watkins and Emi Martinez should soften the blow. Villa is 2-0-1 in their last three versus Brentford, and their last home game in this series was a 4-0 win back in 2022. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -165 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ANA +1.5. The Kraken will be a road favorite at Anaheim in a meaningless late season game between two teams that won't be going to the playoffs. These type of situations normally favor the home team, but Anaheim has lost three of their last four home games versus Seattle. A closer look reveals that the Ducks are 5-0 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last five home games versus the Kraken. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-24 | Warriors v. Mavs -5 | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DAL. The Warriors 133-110 win over Houston last night sets them up for a massive let down here in the second game of a back to back and third game in four nights. Last night's win pretty much ended any hope for Houston to catch the Warriors for the final play in spot. The Warriors beat the Mavs 104-100 at home on Tuesday, adding a revenge angle for Dallas. The Mavs still have plenty to play for, sitting just a game out of the play in and two games out of 4th in the West. Steve Kerr has been quite vocal about limiting the minutes for Steph Curry in recent weeks, this looks like a good spot for Curry to either sit out or play a limited role. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-24 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ATL. The Braves will be a massive favorite in Game 1 of this home series versus Arizona, as the pitching matchup looks rather one-sided. Spencer Strider will toe the slab for Atlanta, and the Braves ace looked sharp in a win at Philly in his debut. The D'Backs hand the ball to Tommy Henry, who got torched for five runs on six hits over four innings in a home loss to Colorado in his debut. Henry struggled this spring, allowing 13 runs on 29 hits over 22 innings in seven appearances. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-24 | Islanders -180 v. Blue Jackets | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on NYI. The Isles are in Columbus tonight, and this is a must win game as they sit one point back of the final Wild Card sport currently held by Washington. History favors the visitors, as New York has won eight of the last nine head to head and three of their last four at Columbus. The Blue Jackets have the worst record in the Eastern Conference, and any wins at the end of the season will only hurt their potential for a top pick in next year's draft. This will be a motivational mismatch with the Blue Jackets having one foot on the golf course and the Isles eyeing the playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-24 | Canucks v. Coyotes +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ARI +1.5. The Canucks have lost three straight, but they still sit comfortably in first in the Pacific five points ahead of Edmonton. They play the second game of a back to back on the road tonight in Arizona, and they got thrashed in a 6-3 loss Vegas last night. You would assume third string goalie Aturs Silvos will start in net for Vancouver tonight, and he allowed two goals on 22 shots in a 3-2 home win over Anaheim in his NHL debut over the weekend. While Vancouver has won three of the last four head to head meetings, all three wins came in games decided by one goal. Arizona has won five of their last eight, and Josh Doan (son of Coyotes legend Shane Doan) has a pair of goals and three assists in three games since being called up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-24 | Guardians v. Mariners -153 | 8-0 | Loss | -153 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners lost Game 1 of this home series versus Cleveland, but they appear to have a favorable matchup here in Game 2. George Kirby will toe the slab for Seattle, and he was dominant in his season debut. He allowed just two hits and struck out eight while tossing 6 2/3 scoreless innings in a win over Boston. Cleveland will hand the ball to Logan Allen, and he allowed three runs on six hits and two walks, giving up a pair of home runs in five innings versus Oakland in his debut. Seattle has won nine of it's last 12 versus the AL Central. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-24 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -129 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. The Canucks might have the best record in the Pacific Division, but they have cooled off as the playoffs near. Vancouver is just 4-4 in their last eight, while Vegas is 8-3 in their last 12. The Golden Knights bolstered their roster at the trade deadline in an effort to defend their title. Logan Thompson is 13-5 with a 2.17 GAA in 17 home starts for the Golden Knights. Vancouver is coming off an unimpressive 3-2 home win over Anaheim, avoiding a third straight loss with a later game winner from a guy who has spent the majority of his career in the minors (Dakota Joshua). GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-24 | Guardians +1.5 v. Mariners | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE. The Mariners are 0-5 AS A RUNLINE FAVORITE, with all three of their wins coming by just one run. We are expecting a pitcher's duel here in Seattle tonight. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he was roughed up by Boston in his season debut. He allowed four runs on six hits and two walks over just five innings. Cleveland will hand the ball to Shane Beiber, who won the Cy Young in 2020. He tossed six scoreless innings, striking out 11 in a win over Oakland in his season debut. Beiber tossed six scoreless innings in his only start versus Seattle last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-24 | Knicks v. Heat -135 | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. When I heard Josh Hart's comments following the Knicks loss to the Thunder, my jaw hit the floor. I am sure I was not alone in thinking that it was like a bomb going off. "I'm looking at it like this is the team we're going to have," Hart said "I think that's how we have to approach it, that those guys aren't coming back and obviously we'll be pleasantly surprised if they come back." He suggested that OG Anunoby and Julius Randle might not be back this season. If that's true, here is why that is a problem. The Knicks are 15-2 with Anunoby in the lineup, which means they are just 29-28 without him. Add in Julius Randle and I think it's reasonable to say that they are a sub .500 team without those two guys. Now the Heat have been banged up all year, and have been able to remain competitive no matter who plays. It looks like they will have everyone not named Tyler Hero for tonight's game. The home team has won 7 STRAIGHT MEETINGS in this series. The Knicks have lost four straight at Miami. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-24 | Guardians -103 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on CLE. Just three games into the season and there are already concerns about the Mariners offense. The team is batting below the Mendoza Line (.194) and has scored nine runs in four games. Triston McKenzie will toe the slab for Cleveland tonight, and the 26 year old posted a 3.07 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in four starts this spring. He only started four games last year, but in 2022 he was dealing, posting a sub 3.00 ERA and sub 1.00 WHIP in 31 appearances. The Mariners will hand the ball to Emerson Hancock, who was sent down after struggling this spring. He gets the call up to replace the injured Bryan Woo. Cleveland won three of four at Seattle last April. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-24 | Red Wings v. Lightning -177 | 4-2 | Loss | -177 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TB. The Lightning are holding one of the Wild Card spots in the East, a position that the Red Wings were favored to be in just a few weeks ago. Detroit has just three wins in it's last 15 games, and any hopes of making the playoffs have been dashed. This is a revenge game for Tampa, as they lost at Detroit in January. Andrei Vasilevskij appears to be in Vezina form once again, going 8-1 with a 2.39 GAA in the month of March. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Mavs v. Rockets UNDER 230.5 | 125-107 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. If the playoffs started today, the Lakers would face the Warriors in the play-in. If that is the matchup you would like to see .... "Houston, we've got a problem!" The Rockets have won 11 straight, and they are just a game back of Golden State. Houston is coming off a 101-100 win at Utah, a dominant effort defensively. They held the Mavs under 100 points the last time these teams met, and the total has gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings. The Mavs have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. The stakes are high, so expect defense to be intense in Houston tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -186 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 23-4, but they lost Game 3 by a score of 9-4. They appear to have a favorable matchup in Game 4. Brandon Bfaadt will toe the slab for Arizona, and don't be fooled by his overall numbers last season. He was one of their best pitchers down the stretch and into the playoffs, and the youngster had a solid spring. The Rockies hand the ball to Ryan Feltner, and he struggled last year. The back end of the rotation for the Rockies just isn't pretty. Feltner has faced Arizona twice, conceding 10 runs in seven innings in a pair of losses. The Rockies had the worst road record in the majors last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Chicago Fire v. Atlanta United -145 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Atlanta UTD. Atlanta finished 6th in the Eastern Conference, seven spots above 13th place Chicago last season. Chicago ranked 19th in away matches, with a -13 goal differential. Atlanta had the 7th best home record with a +21 goal differential. The home team is 3-0-2 in the last five meetings between these teams, and during that span Atlanta won both home games by a combined 6-2 margin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Ducks v. Canucks -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -163 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Canucks have lost back to back games, but the first place team in the Pacific is in a good spot here at home versus Anaheim on Sunday. The Ducks are not going to the playoffs, and they lost 6-1 in Edmonton yesterday. With the Ducks playing the second game of a back to back, this looks like a "get right" game for Vancouver. The Ducks have lost six straight in this series, and their last trip to Vancouver was a 3-1 defeat back in Novermber. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue UNDER 148 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The overs might have hit in the first round of the tournament, but seven of the last 10 NCAA Tournament games have gone under the total. Both these teams have a checkered past in the NCAA Tournament, and past failures haunt the likes of Matt Painter and Rick Barnes. The Vols will need to slow Purdue down if they want to advance, and they have been dominant defensively in this tournament. The Vols ranked #1 in the SEC allowing just 67 points per game this season, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 37 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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03-30-24 | Predators v. Avalanche -168 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Predators came into Arizona on Thursday as the hottest team in the NHL, but the bubble burst as they lost 8-4 to the Coyotes. The loss ended a streak of 19 straight games earning at least a point. It doesn't get any easier tonight in Colorado. The Avs are just three points out of first in the West, and they have the league's best home record. The Preds are 2-8 in their last 10 versus Colorado, losing all four at Denver during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-24 | Angels v. Orioles -162 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. After finishing first in the American League with 101 wins last season, Baltimore finished first in Grapefruit League play this spring. They picked up right where they left off, winning 11-3 on Opening Day. Griffin Canning will toe the slab for LA Saturday, and he was not fooling anyone this spring. He gave up 18 hits and seven walks in 16 2/3 innings in five appearances. The Orioles hand the ball to Grayson Rodriguez, who comes into this season with high expectations. He was 7-4 with a 4.35 ERA in 23 starts last season. The Angels have lost eight of the last 10 versus the Orioles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-24 | Fulham -133 v. Sheffield United | 3-3 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Fulham. Sheffield United is not just the worst team in the Premier League, they might be the worst team I have ever seen in the Premier League. They will be at home versus Fulham Saturday, and they have the worst home record in the Premier League going 2-2-10 with a -30 goal differential. While relegation is a foregone conclusion for Sheffield, Fulham still has a chance to finish in the top half of the table. Sheffield has lost it's last two home matches by a combined score of 11-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee -145 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 104 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on TENN. There aren't many teams that can shoot 3-of-25 from beyond the arc and salvage a win, but Tennessee did just that against Texas. The Vols scored 79 points per game while winning the SEC, expect them to bounce back with a better offensive performance here against Creighton. The Blue Jays also survived a close call winning in overtime after Oregon failed to win it at the free throw line in regulation. Rick Barnes past failures in the NCAA Tournament are well documented, but I wonder if that has influenced this line. The SEC champs have the horses, they have overcome some adversity, and I think it's wrong to assume past failure will haunt them forever. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-24 | Guardians -135 v. A's | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The A's picked up right where they left off in 2023, losing their home opener by a score of 8-0 to Cleveland. This was the worst team in baseball last year, and not much has changed. Logan Allen will toe the slab for Cleveland in Game 2, and he posted solid numbers on the road last season going 5-4 with a 3.64 ERA in 13 starts. The A's hand the ball to veteran Ross Stripling, who got lit up in spring training. He was 1-2 with an 8.38 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP in five appearances. Cleveland is 8-2 in their last 10 versus Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-24 | Lakers v. Pacers -145 | 90-109 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Pacers lost 150-145 at LA last week, and the post game press conference re-ignited a controversy regarding favorable calls for the Lakers. LA had a 43-16 edge in free throw attempts. Rick Carlisle was unhappy, echoing similar comments made by Steve Kerr and Darko Rajovic earlier in the season. The Lakers have now won five in a row, and they have a 2.5 game cushion between them and 10th place Golden State. This sets them up for a let down here on the road against an Indiana team motivated by revenge as well as their own playoff positioning as they are just a game up on 7th place Miami. LeBron's comments after the win over Memphis suggest he may play limited minutes or sit out games down the stretch: “I got to be smart with it,” James said Wednesday. “If I’m not healthy, or [anywhere] close to being healthy, then it’s not good for our ball club anyway. It’s not good for me.” GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-24 | Predators v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. Here is what I said prior to the Coyotes 6-2 win over Columbus: "Neither of these teams are heading to the playoffs, so who is going to be motivated here in Arizona? Well the Coyotes have been competitive at home all year long, and they do have a winning record on home ice. They may have added motivation tonight with the son of Coyotes legend Shane Doan making his NHL debut. The former collegiate player leads all rookies in the AHL with 26 goals and 46 points for the Tuscon Roadrunners. The Coyotes have won three straight head to head versus the Jackets. Columbus has lost eight of it's last 10 overall and five straight on the road." Doan scored two goals in his debut, and the Yotes should be all fired up here as he gets set to play his second career game in the NHL. I like Arizona as a home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 136.5 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 78 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. This is a rematch of last year's Natty, and UCONN won that game by a score of 76-59. The Huskies have won nine straight, and five of their last six opponents have scored 60 points or fewer. UCONN prefers to play at a slow pace, ranking 302nd nationally averaging 68 possessions per game. San Diego State averages just 69.6 possessions per game. They have played strong defense in the tournament so far, allowing an average of 61.5 points per game. We should expect a low score here, and I think the Aztecs will be held to 60 or less. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-24 | Yankees v. Astros -145 | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 75 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Astros host the Yankees on Opening Day, and New York comes into the 2024 season without their ace. It will be Nestor Cortes starting in place of Gerrit Cole on Opening Day. Over 13 2/3 innings this spring he posted an 8.10 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who was lights out in the first half of last season. Houston finished first in the AL West last year, and they were tied with AL leaders Baltimore with a +129 run differential. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-24 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 231.5 | 132-126 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The NBA would love to see LeBron James and Steph Curry face off in the play-in, but not everything is going according to script. Houston... we've got a problem! The Rockets have won nine straight and 11 of their last 12. They are now just a game back of the Warriors for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Rockets catch the Thunder playing the second game of a back to back, and with a playoff berth on the line we should see some lock down defense. Houston will try to avenge a 112-95 loss to the Thunder in the last meeting. These teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-26-24 | Blue Jackets v. Coyotes -147 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. Neither of these teams are heading to the playoffs, so who is going to be motivated here in Arizona? Well the Coyotes have been competitive at home all year long, and they do have a winning record on home ice. They may have added motivation tonight with the son of Coyotes legend Shane Doan making his NHL debut. The former collegiate player leads all rookies in the AHL with 26 goals and 46 points for the Tuscon Roadrunners. The Coyotes have won three straight head to head versus the Jackets. Columbus has lost eight of it's last 10 overall and five straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-26-24 | Lakers v. Bucks -8.5 | 128-124 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. The Lakers are coming off another controversial home win, beating Indiana by a score of 150-145. The Lakers had an edge of 43-16 in free throw attempts, which is nothing new if you have been paying attention this season. The Lakers have taken 420 more free throw attempts this season than their opponent, almost 200 more than the second-place Bucks (222) and well ahead of the third-place Celtics (218). This is the second straight season the Lakers have had, by far, the league's largest free throw disparity. We are expecting LeBron to sit out tonight's game in Milwaukee, and this looks like a let down spot for LA. The Bucks have won six straight at home, and this looks like a statement game for Giannis and company. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-24 | Nets -6.5 v. Raptors | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern v. Connecticut UNDER 136 | 58-75 | Win | 100 | 43 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Northwestern scored just 19 points in the first half of their first round game against FAU, and it was a late collapse by the Owls that saw them advance. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. They are missing their best shooter Ty Berry, who hasn't played since early February. The Huskies should completely shut them down, but given the pace of play I expect an overall low score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-24 | Cavs v. Heat -4.5 | 84-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Cavs come into Miami without Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Evan Mobely and Dean Wade. They are 4-8 in their last 12 games without Mitchell, but add in three more key players and it's tough to expect them to compete. Miami has had it's own injury woes, but Jimmy Butler is back, and the Heat have won three of their last four versus Cleveland. I like Miami to win and cover here against the shorthanded Cavs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-24 | Colorado v. Marquette -160 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MARQ. Colorado needed 102 points and 63 percent shooting from the field to get past Florida in the first round, and I don't like their chances of doing that here against Marquette. The Golden Eagles were 5th in the BIG EAST allowing 69.7 points per game, but they finished second behind only the defending champion UCONN Huskies in the conference standings. Star guard Tyler Kolek missed the last few games of the regular season, but he scored 18 points and had 11 assists in the win over Western Kentucky in the first round. While both teams have 26 wins, the Golden Eagles played a far better schedule, and their NET ranking is 11 spots higher (14) than Colorado (25). GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Duquesne v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | 63-89 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Duquesne Dukes have been dominant defensively, which is what got them here to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Dukes rank 281st nationally averaging just 68.5 possessions per game, but they have only averaged 65.8 possessions in their last three games. Their only hope here is to slow down an Illinois team that averages over 72 possessions per game. The under is 8-1 in the Dukes last nine overall, and that is a trend I expect to continue here against Illinois. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Raptors v. Wizards UNDER 232.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This total looks far too high when you consider who is going to start for both teams. The Raptors have lost nine straight, scoring an average of 104.7 points in those games. Their entire starting lineup has been out for the last two games, and it should be all backups again in the second game of a back to back. The Wizards have lost six of seven, scoring an average of 106.8 points during that span. They are coming off a 109-102 home win over the Kings on Thursday, and this is a great opportunity to earn another rare home win. Toronto has gone under in seven of their last 10, and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Real Salt Lake v. Vancouver Whitecaps -118 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VAN. Vancouver is off to a hell of a start, sitting in second place in the Western Conference with a record of 3-0-1. They have long been one of the bottom feeders of MLS, but even at the worst of times they are competitive at home. The Whitecaps have won two of their last three home matches versus Salt Lake, outscoring them by a combined 7-4 margin in those contests. The addition of former Salt Lake midfielder Damir-Kreilach makes Vancouver a better team, and also adds more motivation as he faces his former squad. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Senators v. Devils -152 | 5-2 | Loss | -152 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Devils. While the playoffs are unlikely for the Devils, they are a long lost cause for the Ottawa Senators. New Jersey still has a chance, sitting six points out of the final Wild Card with a dozen games remaining. They addressed their biggest weakness when they picked up Jake Allen via trade, the veteran netminder is 4-1 with a 2.01 GAA since joining the Devils. The Senators have lost three straight, and they have been lit up for 18 goals in those games. I'll take the Devils as a home favorite in this spot. The Sens season is over, while the Devils still have something to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -168 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UNC. Both the BIG10 and the ACC appeared to have an off year, but the Tar Heels finished with the best record in their conference and led the ACC in scoring. The Spartans struggled all season, losing early to JMU and then coming into the Tourney as losers of five of seven. Many pundits asked how this Spartans team even qualified for the Tournament. As impressive as their win over the Bulldogs was on Thursday, it was part of an overall theme of SEC teams getting rolled in the first round. The Spartans shot 50 percent from the field and 43.5 percent from beyond the arc, yet only scored 69 points. Playing the Tar Heels in Charlotte is going to be a far bigger challenge. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's UNDER 132.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -125 | 115 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gaels rank 1st in the WCC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 58.7 points per game. Grand Canyon ranks 2nd in the WAC allowing 66.9 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. Prior to the All Star break one might think these two teams would be sure to get into a shootout, but times have changed. The Warriors are battling for a play-in spot, while the Pacers are only a half game out of a play-in spot. Indiana has seemingly learned how to play defense, as eight of their last 10 have gone under the total. The under is 5-5 in the Warriors last 10 overall, but none of those games saw a total as high as tonight's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke UNDER 133 | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 111 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Duke ranks 3rd in the ACC in opponents scoring average allowing 67.4 points per game. Vermont ranks 338th in pace of play averaging 66.8 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Thunder -15 v. Raptors | 123-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKC. The Thunder are tied for the best record in the West, and they will be a big favorite in Toronto tonight. The Raptors entire starting lineup is out, and the kids got blown out in a 34 point loss to Sacramento on Wednesday. Scottie Barnes, Emanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett are all out of the lineup. The Thunder have a pair of Canadians (SGA and Dort) who might be motivated to turn in a good performance in their home country. Expect another blowout loss for an undermanned Raptors team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 141.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 104 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -140 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -140 | 92 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FAU. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. The Owls are not getting much hype for a team that went all the way to the Final Four a year ago, despite returning all their starters from that squad. They won 25 games this season, and I don't see anything stopping them from another impressive showing in the tournament. Northwestern has a few key injuries, with Ty Berry and Matt Nicholson out of the lineup. They come limping into the tournament as losers of three of their last four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights -185 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. I have bet on Vegas in their last two games, and here is what I said prior to a home loss to Tampa: "The Golden Knights are still sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the West, and desperate for some breathing room. With only a dozen games left, a home game against Tampa Bay is a good spot to back the Knights. While Tampa is also sitting in a Wild Card spot, they come off a huge win over Florida in the first game of this road trip, setting them up for a let down tonight. Perennial Vezina candidate Andrei Vasilevskij has struggled this season, posting career worst numbers in GAA and save percentage. Vegas is still pumped up after a haul at the trade deadline, and newly acquired talent will get a chance to shine tonight." The loss puts even more pressure on the Knights tonight, and it comes against lesser opposition. Should be a blowout! GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -120 | 38 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TTU. Congratulations to NC State for doing the impossible and winning five games in five days to win the ACC Tournament and sneak into the NCAA Tourney. When is that last time we saw such a thing? How about two years ago when Virginia Tech did the same thing, only to be knocked out in the first round by a BIG12 team? Yeah it was a down year in the ACC, and the Wolpack had a losing record in conference play. Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the best conference in the country. They are the best in the BIG12 from the free throw line, and right up there in three-point shooting. This is a mismatch and Cinderella is gonna turn into a pumpkin as the clock strikes midnight.... Good Night! GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State UNDER 133.5 | 65-82 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Cyclones won the BIG12 Tournament with a 69-41 win over Houston. They ranked #2 in the BIG12 allowing just 61.3 points per game. South Dakota ranks 316th nationally averaging just 67.7 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Nevada v. Dayton UNDER 136.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 86 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Dayton Flyers rank 347th nationally in pace of play, averaging 66.3 possessions per game. The Wolfpack are not much faster, ranking 274th averaging 68.7 possessions per game. Nevada ranks #2 in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average allowing 67.1 points per game, while Dayton allowed just 66.3 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina UNDER 133.5 | 87-73 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina -110 | Top | 87-73 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. While it's an impressive run for the Ducks, I think they might have peaked a little early. The Gamecocks don't get much respect from bookmakers, and even less respect from bettors. This is despite the fact that they are a highly profitable 23-10 ATS this season. Dana Altman has an impressive record at the NCAA Tournament as head coach of the Ducks, but I am not sure he has the horses this year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State UNDER 141.5 | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Neither of the first two play-in games saw a combined 140 points, and low scores have long been the trend in these elimination games in the NCAA Tournament. The under was 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament. We see teams play at a slower pace in these tournament games, and Boise comes in ranking 285th in pace of play averaging just 68.5 possessions per game. Colorado plays a bit faster, averaging 71.4 possessions per game, but they have averaged just 65.5 possessions in their last three games. This total is higher than it was in four of the Broncos last five games. i wouldn't be surprised if neither of these teams hit 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-24 | Lightning v. Golden Knights -134 | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK, The Golden Knights are still sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the West, and desperate for some breathing room. With only a dozen games left, a home game against Tampa Bay is a good spot to back the Knights. While Tampa is also sitting in a Wild Card spot, they come off a huge win over Florida in the first game of this road trip, setting them up for a let down tonight. Perennial Vezina candidate Andrei Vasilevskij has struggled this season, posting career worst numbers in GAA and save percentage. Vegas is still pumped up after a haul at the trade deadline, and newly acquired talent will get a chance to shine tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard -157 | 71-68 | Loss | -157 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Howard. The Wagner Seahawks are not supposed to be here. They rattled off three straight wins in NEC Tournament, despite finishing 6th in the conference with a losing record of 7-9. They come into this play-in game with a handful of injuries, and appear to be due for a let down. Howard was only the 3rd best team in the MAEC this season, but they finished with a 9-5 conference record and ran the table in the conference tournament. They have a 26 year old Super Senior guard in Seth Towns, while Wagner has only one senior starter and he's sidelined with a wrist injury. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Nuggets -145 v. Mavs | 105-107 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. The Nuggets have won 11 of 12, and yet they are still sitting second in the Northwestern. They have won both previous meetings versus Dallas, and they won their last visit to Dallas by a score of 98-97. Luka Doncic sat out Thursday's game against Oklahoma City with a hamstring injury, and he's listed as questionable for tonight's game. With or without Luka, the Nuggets should be the better team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Devils v. Golden Knights -162 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. Vegas is back home after losing 4-1 in Calgary on Thursday, hosting a New Jersey Devils team playing the second game of a back to back. The Devils are coming off a 4-1 loss at Arizona, and they are in a downward spiral. New Jersey has fallen all the way to 12th in the Eastern Conference after losing nine of 12. They are six points out of a playoff spot, and hopes are fading. The Vegas Golden Knights made a statement at the trade deadline, and they appear ready to go on a run. The Knights are currently occupying the final Wild Card spot in the West, and surely they have intentions to move up in the standings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149.5 | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Last year's SEC Final ended with Purdue defeating Penn State by a score of 67-65. Yesterday's game between Wisconsin and Purdue nearly ended with a similar score, but the Badgers forced overtime with a buzzer beater that tied the score at 66-66. We saw the BIG12, PAC12,BIG10, BIG EAST, ACC & A-10 tournament finals all saw scores below 140 last year. We saw 33 of the first 44 games in last year's NCAA Tournament fail to reach the total. The fact is that defensive intensity is increased in elimination games. Illinois was knocked out of the first round of last year's tournament in a 73-63 loss to Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Knicks v. Kings -160 | 98-91 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SAC. The Knicks welcomed back OG Anunoby back to the lineup, and they rattled off back to back wins over Portland and Philly. This gives them a 14-2 record with Anunoby in the lineup, and they have held opponents to 98.6 points per game during that span. To put that in perspective, that's eight points fewer than the #1 ranked Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed this season. The thing is that the Knicks just placed Anunoby on the injury report, and his status for tonight is questionable. This has me ready to fade New York, because without Anunoby at full speed, and Julius Randle still out, this isn't likely to be a competitive matchup. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 238 | 128-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Lakers host the Warriors tonight, it what should look a lot like a playoff game. These two teams sit in the 9th and 10th spot in the Western Conference, battling for a play-in spot. Steph Curry is expected to return for an ankle injury, but it remains to be seen if he will be limited in any capacity. When you think of Lakers versus Warriors you might expect a history of high scoring games. Only once in the last 10 head to head meetings have they combined to score enough points to reach tonight's total, and that was a controversial double overtime win for the Lakers in January this year. This number looks a little inflated given the high stakes here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | UAB v. South Florida -155 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USF. South Florida can't be that good! I am sure people been saying that all year, and if you been stepping in front of them they been costing you a ton of money. The Bulls are no bull! The real deal, they didn't win 16 games in the American by accident. The Bulls crushed ECU by 22 yesterday, and their next victim is a UAB team that has been hot and cold. UAB won some big games this season, but down the stretch they folded like a cheap suit. After a three game stretch where they beat FAU and North Texas, they went on a 1-3 run that included home losses to Rice and Wichita State. This game is South Florida's to win, and anything other than a double digit win here will qualify as a choke job IMO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -135 | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UNM. The Lobos split the season series versus Colorado State, and both teams have a record of 24-9. They were both 10-8 in the Mountain West, and they are both on the bubble. The Rams have failed to cover in five of their last six, while New Mexico has covered in four of five. The Lobos lead the Mountain West in scoring, averaging 82.1 points per game. Senior Guard Jalen House comes in feeling the hot hand after dropping 29 on Boise State last night. The Lobos come in off back to back double digit wins, and momentum appears to be on their side. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-24 | Magic -7 v. Raptors | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. Some things are bigger than basketball, and a recent tragedy has hit the Raptors organization. RJ Barrett is going to be out for a while, and the rest of the team is likely to be affected as well. The Magic meanwhile are sitting in first place in the SouthEast, and they need to stand on business here north of the border. Orlando has won seven of their last 10, and three of those wins came on the road. They won by double digits at Washington and at Charlotte. The Raptors probably gonna mail it in tonight ... and who could blame them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-24 | Wisconsin -160 v. Northwestern | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Whisky. The Badgers took care of business in their win over Maryland Thursday, advancing to take on a wounded Northwestern team in the BIG10 Quarter Finals on Friday. The Wildcats will be without two starters, Ty Berry and Matt Nicholson. Berry is the teams best shooter and Nicholson leads the team in blocks. The Badgers have owned this series, winning eight of the last 10 meetings and covering in all eight wins. Wisconsin ranks 22nd in NET ranking, compared to Northwestern 50th. It's asking a lot of Northwestern to compete with a top tier team in the BIG1O without two of their top players. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-24 | Colorado State v. Nevada -145 | 85-78 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Nevada. The Wolfpack have won 10 of their last 11, and finished second in the Mountain West with a record of 13-5. They host the Colorado State Rams in the Conference Tournament tonight, and the Rams lost three of their final six games. All three wins came against teams with a losing record. Nevada ranks #2 in the conference in opponent's scoring average allowing just 66.5 points per game, and they were the only team in the conference averaging in single digits in turnovers. I'll ride the hot team in a matchup of two teams trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-24 | Coyotes v. Red Wings -163 | 4-1 | Loss | -163 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DET. The Wings are currently out of the playoffs, tied with the New York Islanders with 72 points. The Isles hold the final Wild Card spot by virtue of the tie breaker. With the season hanging in the balance, they host the Arizona Coyotes in a must win game. They couldn't pick a better opponent, as the Coyotes are 5-20 in their last 25 games overall, and only two of those wins came on the road. One of those five wins was a 4-0 shutout win over Detroit, setting up a nice revenge angle here in the Motor City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati -140 v. Kansas | Top | 72-52 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN. The Jayhawks come into the Conference Tournament without their top two scorers (Hunter Dickinson and Kevin McCullar). This looks like a clear case of Bill Self waiving the white flag, as they look forward to the NCAA Tournament. Cincinnati will relish an opportunity to take down a blue blood, as the Bearcats need as many wins as they can get. Cinci only lost by five at Kansas during the regular season, and Dickinson and McCullar scored a combined 30 points in that game. Kansas has been average at best away from Lawrence all season, even when at full strength. They lost at UCF and at West Viriginia, and they might not have much fight in them here in a neutral site game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Golden Knights -138 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VGK. Vegas is serious about defending it's Stanley Cup championship, making a ton of deals at the deadline to shore up their lineup. They added Noah Hanifin, Anthony Mantha and Thomas Hertl, and Mantha and Hanifin are already in the lineup. Vegas has plenty of work to do, as they are currently sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the West. They can't afford to leave any points on the table, and this looks like a good spot to take advantage of a struggling Seattle team. The Kraken are eight points back of the final Wild Card spot, and not a serious contender to make the playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 242 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. This total opened at 236.5, and has been bet up several points. Of course this is a matchup between the Pacers #1 scoring offense and the Thunder's #3 scoring offense. But things have changed since the All Star break, and defense is no longer an after thought. The Pacers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and these teams have only gone over once in the last four head to head meetings, and that game would have fallen short in regulation, but it went to overtime. Oklahoma City has gone under in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |