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Alex Smart Soccer Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
12-09-20 Atalanta v. Ajax Amsterdam UNDER 3.5 1-0 Win 100 7 h 48 m Show

 Coming into this tilt vs Ajax there have been two goals or less scored in Atalanta’s last five matches (six of its last seven overall) from all competitions including a shutout vs Liverpool at Anfield. I know the Ajax has had some defensive deficiencies lately , but at expected 6.6 expected goals against,  which breaks down to in a +1.3 xGDiff and +0.26 xGDiff/90 minutes. With that said,  Im betting the Son of God dial up a tougher tone on the pitch today, and help keep this game on the low side of the number vs a staunch defensive side. 

 Play UNDER

11-24-20 Los Angeles FC v. Seattle Sounders FC +116 1-3 Win 116 13 h 27 m Show

LAFC are just -2-7-1 road  and now are flooded with positive COVID-19 positive tests,  . They will now be without Diego Rossi, Brian Rodriguez, Jose Cifuentes and Diego Palacios  because of the rona. They still have their top flight pedigree, but here away from home vs a Seattle side, that played their best football as hosts garnering a xG 2.23 per tilt output and xGA 1.18 Im betting we have value with the underdog. 

Play on Seattle to win 

08-05-20 Portland +151 v. Philadelphia 2-1 Win 151 14 h 60 m Show

The Timbers have won the last four meetings   in this series with Philadelphia and from a matchup standpoint have more offensive weapons giving them the edge here today. 

Play on Portland to win 

08-05-20 Getafe CF v. Inter Milan OVER 2 0-2 Push 0 4 h 12 m Show

 High-scoring  Inter Milan look very formidable here from a production standpoint ,   Since  the restart  an average of 3.4 goals over 13 matches involving the Nerazzurri give credence to more goals here today.  Considering Inter Milan play three at the back Im betting Getafe gets alot of scoring chances and converts at least once in a tilt I see eclipsing the total.

Play on the OVER 

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