Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This has been a homer series so far with the host team winning all five tilts. However, the discrepancy in scores has been more tilted to towards the Nuggets in their home wins while the Suns home victories have been much closer and hard fought. My won feelings and analysis suggest the Nuggets are the superior side overall , and deserve respects as underdogs in this key spot play. DENVER is 20-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 18-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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05-11-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
With the backs up against the proverbial wall, Im betting on a huge bounce back effort from the Celtics in classic zig zag theory mode. They played lousy D, and inconsistent offense and will easily uptrend in their return to the court. Don't count the never say die Celtics out is my moto for tonight. Remember last season when the Celtics won Game 6 on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks and then captured the series in seven games. Quote: "If you're not willing to pretty much get dirty, if you're not willing to bleed, if you're not willing to break something, willing to tear something going hard, then you shouldn't be on that court, because that's what it is," Marcus Smart said. "That's what the playoffs are about. Hopefully you stay safe, but that's the mentality. You gotta go, you gotta be willing to risk it all for these games. end Quote BOSTON is 20-7 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more. BOSTON is 15-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a home loss are 51-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -6.5 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
The senior laden Lakers are probably pretty tired right now, after playing all out hoops in 4 straight games, and will have a hard time here against Golden State that plays their best hoops at home as is evident by their 36-10 home record this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS ( in home games off a loss against a division rival this season Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.LA LAKERS are 8-20 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons.MLB team (GOLDEN STATE) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 55-22 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 113-173 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The Knicks have their backs up against the proverbial wall , as Miami will try to close out this series tonight. Im betting that will be delayed by a desperate side. The Knicks pulled down an average of 46.6 rebounds per game during the regular season, tied for second-most in the NBA, and out-rebounded foes by 4.5 per game and tonight Im betting we see them at their best and very physical as they leave everything on the court. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season. NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Suns, thanks to the red hot shooting of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant, tied the series with a 129-124 win in Game 4 on Sunday . The Suns really had to have everything going for them to get that win, but now here in the Mile High city Im betting on immediate regression from the Suns vs a side that is fired up after their star forward Nikola Jokic was called on a technical and fined for nudging Suns owner court-side. This will ignite the Nuggets . Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. DENVER is 33-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 17-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.DENVER is 21-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Malone is 66-45 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Play on Denver to cover |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7.5 | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
After losing in OT in the road last time out, Im betting the Boston Celtics will regain control of their Eastern Conference semifinal playoff series vs the Philadelphia 76ers in a pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday night. When the going gets tough my money rides with the Celtics. BOSTON is 17-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 17-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHILADELPHIA is 15-30 ATS) versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. 76ers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Play on Boston to cover |
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05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
The long and winding road has not been kind to the Warriors this season as they have just 13 wins in 46 road games . I im betting the this talented by aging Lakers group understands the importance of a win now situation, as this is this groups last chance at a championship ie (James and Davis in particularly). Look for the old fellas to leave everything on the floor tonight and for the Lakers to bring home the cash. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. GOLDEN STATE is 3-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Conference Semifinals games.Warriors are 17-39-1 ATS in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATSin home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. NBA Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Devin Booker and Kevin Durant combined for 86 points in Game 3 as the Phoenix Suns got back into the Western Conference semifinals, but now Im betting on some immediate regression against a resilient group of Nuggets. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nuggets coach Michael Malone was not pleased with his defenders and said his defense better be prepared to improve on Sunday. The primary focus will be on defending Booker, who is averaging 36.9 points per game this postseason. Malone has is his team fired up and ready to play. Malone is 46-25 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Malone is 33-16 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER. DENVER is 15-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season. DENVER is 14-6 ATS against Pacific division opponents this season. NBA team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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05-07-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | 115-116 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is a top tier side, but the Celtics are an elite team with just to many weapons to contain. Yes, the Celtics have off nights, but their consistency and hunger for victory is something that makes them viable betting options, on a value line. The Celtics have also proven they matchup well vs the Sixers which Im sure is frustrating for the 76ers . That frustration manifests into mistakes, and that is when the Celtics are at their best. With Joel Embiid at less than 100% or not able to play today the Sixers are in trouble. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia. BOSTON is 17-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. BOSTON is 26-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games BOSTON is 15-5 ATSwhen the line is +3 to -3 this season. BOSTON is 17-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Rivers is 5-16 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Its well documented how the Warriors have struggled on the road this season, garnering an ugly 13-32 record . they have recently come up big in a couple of road opportunities but, tonight their lack of mojo on the road Im betting will be evident vs a veteran laden side that knows how to win when the chips are down . Its crunch games like this that the aging King James shows us glimpses of what made him a super star in this league. Note: Los Angeles won the series opener on the road vs Memphis like they did against Golden State , lost Game 2 just like they did against the Grizzlies and then came home to take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a pair of victories. Rinse and repeat in play today. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Warriors are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. LA LAKERS are 25-9 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS as a road underdog this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-15 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 104-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227.5 | 97-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Golden State will allow 115+ points here tonight. GOLDEN STATE is 25-6 OVER when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. Meanwhile, the LA LAKERS are 13-4 OVER when they score 115 to 120 points in a game this season with a combined average of 237 ppg going on the board. Advantage over. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up win.Over is 38-15 in Warriors last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 37-17-2 in Warriors last 56 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 OVER in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored..GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 OVER )on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Ham is 41-26 OVER sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 236.5 ppg scored. Over is 11-2 in Lakers last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play over |
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05-06-23 | Knicks v. Heat -3.5 | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
All season long the pundits wondered what was wrong with the Heat, as they flailed away playing inconsistent basketball more often than not. It seems the Heat saved their best hoops for the play offs and are now in top form, as was evident when the defeated the defending Milwaukee Bucks in the opening round of the play offs.. With that said, Im now betting after a hard fought loss in game 2 of this series, that they bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode, and deliver a win vs a Knicks at their own home court. I know Jimmy butler is listed as questionable, but this is to important of a game for him to miss with a lower grade ankle issue. Even if butler cannot take to the court I believe this Heat team is deep enough to compete and grab the victory. MIAMI is 18-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons .MIAMI is 18-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Spoelstra is 28-13 ATS in the second round of the playoffs as the coach of MIAMI. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. MIAMI is 28-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Heat has covered 5 straight games. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Play on Miami to cover |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Down two games to zero the Suns have their backs up against the proverbial wall and will come out firing bullets tonight . DENVER is 4-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Malone is 4-16 ATS in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. Advantage Phoenix. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season. NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 16-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover ( Late Steam) |
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05-05-23 | Celtics -1.5 v. 76ers | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
With 76ers star Embiid still dealing with a knee injury and less than 100% or not playing at all the home side is at a disadvantage vs a Celtics side that now looks wide awake after a DD win last time out vs the Sixers. Advantage Celtics . BOSTON is 16-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.BOSTON is 14-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 8-31 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
The Warriors succumbed to the Lakers in game 1 of this series, but in classic zig zag theory Im betting the Warriors rebound in a big way here this evening.Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Warriors are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games. LA LAKERS are 9-21 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 36-16 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Kerr is 22-3 ATS revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.( Lakers won the last reg season meeting at home and than took out the Warriors in Game 1 of this series) NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a home loss are 99-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBAHome favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 30-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
I am betting the Celtics will bounce back here with a top tier brand of defense, something that alluded them in game 1 of this series as they lost 119-115 to the 76ers. Boston ranks 5th in ppg allowed in the NBA and own the top SRS mark with a 6.38. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BOSTON is 19-7 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more points. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 5-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 42-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
With Miamis top player Butler unable to finish Game 1 because an ankle issue, and New York's star forward Julius Randle unable to start game 1 it due to a sprained left ankle both sides maybe without their top players. Looking at the depth of the rosters has me now leaning on the Knicks to bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode. It must also be noted that the Heat are 9-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. (Miami upset the Heat in Game 1 of this series)
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 20-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 17-3 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 79-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBAUnderdogs (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 16-48 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYK to cover |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Sixers super star Embiid sustained a sprained LCL in his right knee during Game 3 of Philadelphia's first-round series against the Brooklyn Nets and did not play when the 76ers clinched the series with a win in Game 4. If he plays here tonight he will be less than 100% which will directly effect the flow of this the Sixers. Embiid scored 52 points in Philadelphia's lone victory over Boston, a 103-101 outcome in April and without his presence or lack their off involvement in this tilt are at an extreme disadvantage. So asking DDs is not as extreme as many may expect.PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Golden States starting five have matched up well against the Kings in this this series as is evident by a +19.4 rating and are +6.2 with Curry on the floor. As we get into the gritty tough part of this series I expect coach Kerr to have his top men on the court for a good portion of this game and for the Warriors to have an edge in a bounce back situation after a down effort at home last time out. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 pointsKings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Heat just shocked the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks and took a series hardly any of the pundits predicted. They finished of ftheir series with a explosive 128-126 victory and will now be in a emotional letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the MY Knicks. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following a ATS win.MIAMI is 8-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Meanwhile, the Knicks thanks to a top tier brand of defensive ball took out the Cleveland Cavaliers 4 games to 1 and now enter this tilt with momentum on their own home court. Advantage Knicks.
NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifiers on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 49-14 ATS L/5 seasons for. a72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks OVER 207.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
This matchup according to my projections estimate a combined score that eclipses this totals offering and should be closer to 211. Thanks to the Knicks top tier defensive play against another defensive minded team the Cleveland Cavs in their last series this total is now a little tainted in my opinion and offers value for over bettors even if key offensive cog- Randle misses this game for the Knicks.
NEW YORK is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 3 straight games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The Suns are favored to win the series and reach the NBA Finals, but projections don't quite see it that way as my power rankings suggest the Nuggets matchup well vs the Suns especially here at home in the Mile High city. Quote: "We like our chances," Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon said. "I feel like we've continued to take care of ourselves on and off the floor to give ourselves an opportunity to be healthy and get a chance to get our legs back against Phoenix." End quote. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record DENVER is 17-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 31-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 26-10 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a sub par road team all season long, and are fade material here against a senior laden Lakers team that knows how to win in clutch situations especially when they have home court advantage on this sides. I know the Grizzlies grabbed the win last time out, but thats not a good omen considering they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 1-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Warriors have won the last two games in this series vs the Kings and now come home, where they play their best basketball as is evident by a 35-8 SU record at home that has seen them cover 29 of those games. I'll follow the Warriors momentum for a cover. Warriors are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
We are getting into clutch time in this series, and Im now betting we begin to see a more physical type of basketball that leans on the conservative side. My own projections make this game closer to a 231 which gives us almost two full possessions value on this line offering from the books to the under. Under is 20-8-1 in Kings last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 home games.SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combine average of 230.5 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 41-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 71-28 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Hawks thanks to the great work of Trae Young have now gotten the full attention of the Celtics and response Im betting we now see the Boston play a complete game . When they take a lead this time which Im betting they do , they wont let up. Full steam ahead. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. BOSTON is 16-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.( Atlanta shocked the Celtics with a late comeback win last time out by a 119-117 score) NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 41-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-34 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -1.5 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Kings emerging super star Fox, is listed as doubtful, tonight . He has averaged 31.5 points, 7.0 assists and 6.0 rebounds in the series and has been a major catalyst for the Warriors. Golden State now has an edge. SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 14-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bucks have Giannis Antetokounmpo ready to go tonight and will primed to really get back their mojo against a Miami side that has been highly inconsistent all season long. Im not going to be lured into their current run of good luck in. a key game like this . Heat are 8-28-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS win.Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. MIAMI is 1-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in road games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons here at home. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in April games are 6-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a upset loss as a favorite are 51-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 23-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
I know these sides have eclipsed the total in 7 straight meetings and there are a ton of over trends. However, Im betting that the Heat will be in bubble mode tonight and will be conservative in transition knowing that the Bucks will come at them with everything they have. That in itself bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. The Heat are 2nd in ppg allowed and 29th in pace in the league and 30th in ppg production and we will see why these stats had been established this season, MIAMI is 14-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI/MILWAUKEE ) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average score of those 34 tilts clicking in at 202.4 ppg. Play under |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have played their best hoops at home this season garnering a powerful 37-6 SU record, and tonight Im betting with their backs up against the wall we see them at their best. MEMPHIS is 29-13 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 109-170 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MEMPHIS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 41-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Down 3 games to 1 to the Knicks it's do or die tonight for the Cavaliers. Im betting they come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and get the job done in desperation mode. Cavaliers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 25-16 ATSas a home favorite this season CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -12 | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
After an inconsistent season, the Suns are finally starting to find their legs and flow, and have now won 3 games in row in this series and are set to eliminate a Clippers side playing without two of leagues top players Leonard and George. You can literally feel the proverbial air coming out of the Clippers tires. Im betting its lights out on the Clippers season and that it happens in convincing fashion at the hands of the Suns . PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in home games off a road win this season. Williams is 15-3 ATS after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached since 1996. Suns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 4-18 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota was able to stave off elimination in game 4 of this series, despite of relinquishing a late lead and having to go into OT. Now after leaving everything on the floor last time out and now having to travel to the Mile High City Im betting their season will come to an end in DD fashion at the hands of what is the superior side. DENVER is 15-7 ATS off a road loss this season. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -13 | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Celtics will be on a mission to eliminate the Atlanta Hawks when their Eastern Conference first-round series shifts back to Boston for Game 5 on Tuesday night. Im betting on the superior side coming out here with all guns blazing and to finish the job in this key situation. ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 16-2 ATS versus defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games off a home loss this season. BOSTON is 14-3 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Celtics to cover |
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04-24-23 | Bucks -5.5 v. Heat | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami finally woke up last time out and played a good game and upset the Bucks. However, Miami has not been consistent this season at all, especially after a victory ,while the Bucks have proved to be resilient off a upset loss. Advantage Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. MIAMI is 6-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rare for bettors. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Minnesota sometimes seems to have to many internal conflicts to be able to deal with the business of fighting hard against their opposition. The Wolves have talent but no sense of unity or chemistry, while the opposite holds true for a cohesive group of Nuggets. Advantage Denver. MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS in home games after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent like the Nuggets. MINNESOTA is 18-44 ATS in home games off a home loss against a division rival. DENVER is 16-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings in Minnesota and have covered 4 straight vs the Wolves.Play on Nuggets to cover |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Boston was upset in game 3 of this series by a 130-122 count, as the Hawks played a top tier offense brand of hoops. The Celtics however, are a super talented well coached team that are resilient and Im betting they bounce back here in a big way vs a Hawks side that is ready for immediate regression. Note:Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Celtics are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. BOSTON is 15-2 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% - or more 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off an upset loss as a favorite are 70-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (ATLANTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 106-169 ATS L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 206.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Afternoon pro basketball can sometimes be a little bit slower and low scoring as it takes time for bodies that are used to playing most of their games in the evening to get acclimated to early starts . However, this total is just a little bit over done to the low side according to my estimates even though these two sides have taken part in 3 lower scoring affairs . ( My totals projection took into consideration that NEW YORK is 20-10 OVER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored and that in Cleveland last 14 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Also Bickerstaff in 8 road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. Play over |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have dominated at home this season, but on the road they have shown themselves to highly inconsistent, garnering wins in just 16 of their 41 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Lakers have played a strong brand of hoops at the Staples center, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here tonight. Advantage Lakers. MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 71-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. ( Grizzlies won the last game by 103-93 count) Lakers to cover |
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04-22-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Heat | 99-121 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Even if Antetokounmpo is forced to miss this game tonight , the Bucks have proven they can compete without their super star and matchup well vs the Heat behind a deep talented side. Advantage goes to the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 45-19 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-22-23 | Suns -7.5 v. Clippers | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Suns have a big time advantage vs a side playing without George and Leonard. Right now the Clippers look like a defeated team, while on the flip-side the Suns are playing their best basketball of the season. PHOENIX is 33-18 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. \ Play on Phoenix to cover |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -1.5 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
The mismatch continues today as Im betting the Sixers take care of business again vs Brooklyn. BROOKLYN is 4-19 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 0-10 ATS in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA underdogs (BROOKLYN) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. LATE STEAM- Play on Philadelphia |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Wolves | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have proven to me that they mtchup very well against the Wolves, and more of the same advantages they were able to garner in game 1 and 2 will continue here. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. DENVER is 15-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 23-7-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Minnesota.Play on Nuggets to cover |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -1 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
The fifth-seeded Knicks went 3-1 in the regular season against the fourth-seeded Cavaliers and then stole home-court advantage with the Game 1 win and according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs the visitors. NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Thibodeau is 19-7 ATS in April games as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons NEW YORK is 14-2 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. CLEVELAND is 6-14 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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04-21-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Hawks | 122-130 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
The Hawks usually explosive offense that averaged 118.7 points per game during the regular season, have been limited to a total of 205 points in their two playoff games by a tenacious Celtics D. Atlanta has shot 40.7 percent from the field in those two games and Trae Young the Hawks star has also been limited and I cant see things changing much here.BOSTON is 15-1 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more - 2nd half of the season this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons. Mazzulla is 23-9 ATS (off a home win as the coach of BOSTON. Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Celtics are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 Conference Quarterfinals games. ATLANTA is 6-14 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-20-23 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | 129-124 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Suns matchup well vs the Clippers, and are more than capable of pulling off the victory here on the road in game 3 of this series. The Suns took game 2 of this series, 123-109 and deserve respect here as short road chalk. Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS in home games off a road loss this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-15 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on the Suns to cover |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
The Warriors lost the first two games of this series on the road at Sacramento but have played their best hoops at home this season where they have garnered a 33-8 record and are more than capable of a bounce back performance. GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 35-11 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. GOLDEN STATE is 6-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons at home. Play on Warriors to cover |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 235 which gives us close to 2 full possession advantage to the under. SACRAMENTO is 13-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored . GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with combined average off 228 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season with s combined 216 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 UNDER after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 219 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 54-16 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion. Play on the under |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6 | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to miss this game and thats why we are getting such a good line to back the home favs in this classic bounce back theory rebounder. ( Miami won game of this series 130-117) The Bucks are a deep team and have the ability to tie this series tonight at home. Meanwhile, with key Heat cog Herro is out with a broken hand and that will effect the flow of the visitors. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.Heat are 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS win.Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.MIAMI is 6-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate) Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers took out the Suns in game 1 but now Im betting on the zig zag theory taking hold, and for the Suns to mount a comeback in game 2. PHOENIX is 34-17 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 28-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more are 13-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. . Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
Cleveland lost 101-97 in game 1 of this series , and now in classic zig zag theory fashion Im betting on a huge bounce back here vs the visiting Knicks and game two of this series. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight game are 45-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 24-1 L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.8 which eawsily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia poured down 121 points in game 1 for the hefty DD win. The Nets will now have to become more aggressive offensively, while the Sixers will have not problem obliging them with a full blown offensive attack in response. BROOKLYN is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 28-9 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this seasons with combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 77-36 OVER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 56-25 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Denver enters this play off game having lost 5 of their L/7 and look wobbly at the wrong time of the season. Meanwhile, Minnesota continues to play competitive hoops and have covered 5 straight games and will not be easily man handled .The Wolves also have a big time revenge scenario on their minds after suffering a blowout loss to the Nuggets back on Feb here in Denver. Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 13-25 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Timberwolves are 24-7 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Denver.Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on Wolves to cover |
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04-16-23 | Clippers +8 v. Suns | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My power rankings make the Clippers viable underdogs on what Im betting is a over blown home fav line for the Suns. PHOENIX is 9-33 ATS off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1996. (The Clippers just beat the Suns last week 119-114 and I wont be surprised by a repeat situation manifesting itself here today) LA CLIPPERS are 15-3 ATSin road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Clippers are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Lakers are an older team but along with that comes alot of experience and the ability to perform under pressure. I know the Grizzlies are a strong side, with alot of young talent but their lack of experience in pressure situations makes them vulnerable.Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-126 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 37 m | Show | |
Warriors have a great deal of play off experience on their sides, and that Im betting will be their edge here in game 1 of an expected close game. Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. GOLDEN STATE is 33-15 ATS in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. I know the Warriors have not been great on the road this season, but Kings are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. SACRAMENTO is 6-17 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 4 m | Show | |
Entering the play offs Atlanta s offense is hitting on all cylinders averaging 123.6 ppg in their L/5 trips the court, and Im betting they will for the most part keep up that tiop tier offensive pace tonight in Boston . We know Boston is a solid defensive side, but when pressured can turn up their offense, and thats what Im betting the Celtics will be forced into doing today. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combine average of 244.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 15-3 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 242.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-15-23 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nets have built chemistry since the deadline trades sent away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. They have been fr from easy outs on most nights since Mikal Bridges and Spencer Dinwiddie have come on board and they have alot of confidence heading into this series and here game 1 Im betting they are being under rated. BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days . BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. Vaughn is 35-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots in all games he has coached.Vaughn is 30-15 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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04-14-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Wolves | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota defeated the Thunder back on Dec 16th by a 112-110 final score. Now in revenge mode in a key play off play in game Im betting Oklahoma City will be ready to play and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Wolves as was the case the last time they met. Daigneault is 8-0 ATS in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season.MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS as a home favorite this season. From a SRS perspective the Thunder rank 15th in the league at 0.26 while the SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | 91-102 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Chicago upset Toronto as underdogs last time out and well positioned to pull off another win as pups. Meanwhile, the Heat are off a 116-105 loss and just have not looked like a play off team for much of this season and do not deserve to be this big a fav in this tilt vs a Bulls side that has won 11 of their L17 tilts overall. Chicago has won the L/3 most recent meetings and deserve respect here as road dogs. MIAMI is 9-24 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.MIAMI is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.MIAMI is 5-14 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MIAMI is 9-22 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on the Bulls to cover |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat OVER 208 | 91-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Chicago has won 3 straight in this series, with all those games eclipsing this offered total. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 home games. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, second half of the season are 41-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami. Play on the over |
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04-12-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Pelicans | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City and New Orleans rank nearly identically in most major statistical categories which makes taking points here a viable wagering option. From a SRS perspective the Pelicans have a small edge even when factoring in home court advantage. New Orleans owns a 1.63 SRS while Oklahoma City has registered 0.96 SRS. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Oklahoma City has covered their L/4 visits to New Orleans winning 3 of those games SU. NEW ORLEANS is 7-15 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season. Play on Oklahoma city Thunder to cover |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers OVER 231 | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score that reaches the mid 230s plus here. With the Wolves defensive stalwart Rudy Gobert out because of suspension, Im betting the now healthy Lakers really push this pace and force a capable and willing Wolves group into a run and gun affair. The Lakers ranked 3rd in pace in the NBA this season and 6th in ppg offense and 20th in ppg allowed. (Lakers have gone over in 8 straight games) The Wolves ranked 18th in ppg allowed and 8th in pace in the NBA and were in the top half of the league in scoring offense. MINNESOTA is 7-0 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 247.9 ppg scored. (Lakers beat the Wolves 123-111 L/week) MINNESOTA is 31-19 OVER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 30-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-09-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +17 | 157-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Warriors mission will be to stay as healthy as possible entering the play offs and I wont be at all surprised if they rest alot of key players as this game proceeds giving us an edge with the home dog. GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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04-09-23 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 105-121 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
The Bucks will be resting almost the entire core of their team, and Im betting that they will instead concentrate on playing a conservative defensive minded game behind a coaching staff that recognizes the importance of being disciplined in transition entering post season play. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. Also with a depleted lineup last time out the Bucks allowed the Grizzlies to pound down 137 points, they will be more aware here defensively in this spot play vs the Toronto Raptors who could also rest a big portion of their team.Under is 10-4 in Bucks last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 11-3 in Raptors last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Play UNDER |
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04-08-23 | Wolves v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | 151-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Minnesota has been off since Tuesday, and will have plenty of energy to run and gun here tonight vs what is usually a poor Spurs defense ranked last in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The Spurs are off 129-127 win vs Portland last time out and run the 2nd ranked pace in the NBA and Im betting on more wide hoops tonight against a fresh Wolves side. Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 35-16 in Timberwolves last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-4 in Spurs last 14 games following a straight up win. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in San Antonio. Play on the over |
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04-07-23 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 225.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won a season-high seven straight games entering this meeting against the Lakers, and Im betting will push the home team hard today in a tilt I have pegged to be a back forth event that will see aggressive offensive action. With this being a back to back situation for the Suns Im sure they wont get physical and their defense positioning will suffer. I do also expect the Lakers James and Anthony to suit up despite of being questionable . The Lakers are trying to avoid playing play in game so all decks should be on the agenda tonight. the most recent meeting in this series sae a combined 233 points scored. Rinse and repeat . Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games. Play over |
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04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 225 ppg giving us almost a two two full possession edge on an under wager cashing. DALLAS is 12-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. NBA team (DALLAS/CHICAGO) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 28-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DALLAS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 36-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | 129-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
As Philadelphia prepares for a play off run, they have begun to hone their defensive skills and are not not running and gunning like they were during their mid season portion of their so far successful campaign. Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the NBA in ppg allowed. the last time the 76ers played the Heat back on March 1st the held the Heat to just 96 points. MIAMI is 10-2 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210.3 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Heat have gone Under in 4 straight road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games. Im betting on another lower scoring affair in this spot play. Spoelstra in 280 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI has seen a combined average score of 202.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this Totals offering. The L/4 meetings in this series have also seen one of these teams not eclipse the 100 point plateau. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), in April games are 94-50 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-05-23 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | 131-138 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Pelicans played last night, and Im betting dont have the legs to get the cover here vs a Memphis side that is being under rated on this line offering. NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Pelicans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 40-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-05-23 | Nets -10.5 v. Pistons | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Detroits season has been abysmal as is evident by a 16-62 SU record and have now lost 9 straight . Their biggest problem has been a lack of shooting consistency as they convert just 45.4% from the floor, which is 30th in the league. Tonight against Brooklyn Im betting the tanking Pistons are in trouble. Note: Pistons are 1-8 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Brooklyn lost 107-102 to Minnesota last night, as it snapped a three-game home winning streak , but now need to rebound quickly as they stay in the hunt for play in spot into the post season. Full effort here tonight is the prognosis against a proverbial dead corpse Pistons side playing with no emotion. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-05-23 | Knicks v. Pacers +8.5 | 138-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Indiana has nothing to play for but pride, since their play off hopes are gone. However it must be noted the the Pacers are 15-8-1 ATS home dog this season . On the flip -iside NYK has played top tier basketball of late, but Im betting missing star Julius Randle will eventually effect their flow. With that said, I expect a well rested Pacers group that are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest will be primed to compete. NYK have covered only 3 of their L/8 overall. Pacers have covered 2 straight. Pacers to cover |
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04-04-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -3.5 | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
The Bulls (38-40) are four games ahead of their closest rival for the final spot in the play-in, but are not yet officially part of the field. Chicago can get into the play offs withj one more victory or one Orlando Magic loss.A victory vs the Hawks would be an important one though, as the Bulls would secure the season-series tiebreaker over the Hawks . With Hawks star Trae Young dealing with an illness the Hawks are at a disadvantage vs a motivated side playing at home. Note: The Hawks have not win back to back games since early March ( they coincidentally won last time out) Hawks are 18-41 ATS in their last 59 games following a straight up win. Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Chicago beat Atlanta at home back in January by a 111-100 count. Play on Chicago to cover |
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04-04-23 | Celtics +2.5 v. 76ers | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Celtics won the first two head-to-head meetings by nine and seven points, respectively and matchup very well vs the Sixers .Mazzulla is 14-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 24-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Celtics are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON is 24-9 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 16-5 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-04-23 | Wolves v. Nets +1 | 107-102 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota has lost 3 straight while /Brooklyn has won 3 straight. Both teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Ill ride with the hotter team on their own home court. Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS in non-conference games this season. Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 2-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-04-23 | Bucks -12.5 v. Wizards | 140-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington is expected to be without leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis ( 23.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game) and Bradley Beal who averages 23.2 points per game. With little left to play. for the wizards I will not be surprised by a big double digit win by the Bucks here against a short handed side. MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at+13.5 ppg. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 which easily qualifies on this current ATS offering. |
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04-04-23 | Cavs v. Magic +5 | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
The Magic come into this tonights meeting with the Cavaliers in top form, as is evident by winning five of six since March 21, and six of eight since March 18. Cleveland has proven to be a top tier team this season, but the Magic must not be disrespected as home dogs. ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Orlando is the Eastern Conference's sole team outside of the top 10 not yet eliminated from the play-in race so Im betting they play all out hoops tonight. ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. I know the Cavs have won both meetings in this series this season with the last back in December , but it must be noted that NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Orlando is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings at home in this series. Play on Orlando to cover |
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04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Its never easy playing in the high altitudes of the the Mile High city, but for a poor traveling side like Golden State a house of horrors could easily await them. The Nuggets according to my projections also matchup very well against the Warriors as was the case the last time these teams met back on Feb 2nd when the Nuggets procured a 134-117 victory. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. I know Denver looked lethargic last time out in a loss but they are a resilient group and playing a top tier group of Warriors should have them motivated to get redemptionDENVER is 10-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3. GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATSin road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the average ppg diff registering at -8.9. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff registering at -10.2. GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 45-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 15-41 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS . MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on Pacers to cover |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on March 13 Oklahoma City grabbed a 124-120 win, but Im betting we do not reach the combined plateau in this tilt. It must be noted that the Suns are currently playing a top tier brand of defensive basketball, as is evident by allowing 105, 103, 100, and 93 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood and will now not deviate from that strong transitional posture, making for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. It must also be noted that PHOENIX is 21-9 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 16-5 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 46-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Atlanta took out Dallas 130-122 last time they met in Jan on the 18th. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Mavs will in the rematch will not try to run and gun again against the Hawks, and Im betting will instead be more conservative in transition. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS/ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 26-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Both Dallas and Miami are in a funk right now despite of having talented rosters. The Heat has lost 3 straight while, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6. Both are desperate for wins , but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker in this head to head tilt. DALLAS is 6-18 ATS in non-conference games this season. Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-4 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
You have heard of slugfest , well this tilt Im betting wont be one of them. Get ready for a Sleepfest instead between to team with nothing left to play for other than a strong draft choice. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Pistons last 7 road games. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 lower tier teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 27-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DETROIT) - in a game involving two lower tier defensive teams (118 PPG or more) are 64-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Knicks will be without key offensive cog Randle as they look to officially clinch a playoff spot Friday night. Im betting the Knicks clinching a play off spot tonight will be derailed for now vs a Cleveland side that matches up well against them according to my current power rankings. The Cavs rank 2nd in the NBA in SRS with a 5.52 mark, while NYK are ranked 7th with a 2.93 . Factoring in home court advantage the Cavs according to my projections should be -6 point favs giving us decent value laying 4 points or less. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season/4th in defensive efficiency and rank 18th in pace, while the Bucks rank 3rd in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams can score in bunches but in this type of affair between two of the top teams in the NBA a more conservative defensive minded approach must be expected especially with the play offs around the corner. Also the Bucks played last night in run gun fashion posting 149-136 win so instant offensive regression and tired legs vs a strong defensive side will effect their aggressiveness here and overall output giving us an edge on a under wager. Under is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 games playing with no rest. Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. MILWAUKEE in 57 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 18 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored. Under is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON in 18 road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams are 31-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Im not a big believer in the tank mode concept but the Spurs are exhibiting a lack of competitive spirit of late losing 4 straight by DDs, and not eclipsing the 94 point plateau on offense in 3 of those games. I know Utah has also lost 4 straight, but now in desperation mode as they seek a play in spot against a side that they have the added incentive of revenge against Im betting the Jazz have a break out game and notch a win as road favs. (Note: San Antonio beat Utah 102-94 as road dogs back in Feb 28th) SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more this season SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 13-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Clippers always seem to play a more aggressive offensive style on the road, and Im betting nothing changes tonight against their hosts their explosive hosts the Memphis Grizzlies. Over is 21-8 in Clippers last 29 road games. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.(Beat the Bulls 124-112 last time out) Over is 18-7-1 in Grizzlies last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 overall. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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03-29-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Knicks | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Knicks and Heat are both put looking for a top-six finish in the Eastern Conference in their final regular-season meeting between the longtime rivals . With that said Im expecting a hard fought battle with the away dog giving us a golden opportunity to cash a ticket. Note: Jimmy butler is expected to play tonight after taking the last game off with a sore neck. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York. Play on Miami to cover |
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03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Golden State had a 3 game win streak abruptly end last time out at home in a rare home loss to the up trending Minnesota wolves last time out. Now Im betting the Warriors will be wide awake and primed for a bounce back vs a Pelicans side that has found a way into the win column in 4 straight tilts( 3 of those wins came against bottom feeders Houston, Charlotte and San Antonio .That illustrates that their run may not be that impressive and a more subjective deeper look has me backing the home fav. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pelicans are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4. Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Warriors are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 7-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are just 10-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. (Golden State beat the Pelicans 108-99 here in this same venue on March 3). Play on Warriors |
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03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are 32-5 at home this season with the average margin ppf diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg . Memphis is also on a 6 game win streak and gaining momentum as they heads towards the play offs. There will not be a letdown here down the stretch. I know the Magic are playing well , but that will have the Grizzlies even more focused. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder -9 | 137-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Bringing down the hammer on lower tier sides is something the Thunder do well especially when playing as hosts. Thunder are currently secured victories in nine of their last 13 games, and HC Dort's defense has been a big reason for Oklahoma City's recent success. Nothing changes tonight especially if key star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unable to play because of a sore ankle. OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 . Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Kings will be have an advantage vs a Minnesota side that played a hard fought game on the road against the Golden State Warriors last night grabbing narrow 99-96 victory. The Wolves victory was a grueling physical event and now on tired legs in a back to back situation their hosts the Sacramento Kings off since Friday have the advantage.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an excellent offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-8 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-27-23 | 76ers +6 v. Nuggets | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
After a 7 game win streak the Sixers have hit a road bump losing 3 of their L/4, but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a winning side that should have them motivated in ready to compete- if not even pull off the outright upset. I know Embiid and Harden are not 100% but at least one of them is expected to play tonight and even if they don't Im betting the 76ers are still deep enough to step up and compete. Note: 76ers are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Denver. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. DENVER is 5-16 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home win, in March games are 39-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more 2 straight games are 38-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons +15.5 | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Detroits has not got alot to play for other than pride at this point in the season, and tonight against the defending champs their egos will be on the line, as they are rated as 15 point plus home dogs. The advantage that the Pistons have here at least on this line, is that Milwaukee is on tired legs, as this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and could also be over looking an inferior opponent. Advantage goes to the fresher legs of the Pistons playing at home. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Casey is 34-18 ATS L/52 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached . NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 5-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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03-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -6.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Home sweet home is where Golden state plays their best basketball as their 30-7 SU record would indicate with the average ppg diff margin clicking in at just under +8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering . The Warriors have 3 straight wins and took out a top tier Philadelphia squad here at home last time out, by a 120-112 count and Im betting on the momentum of their current run to extend into todays tilt against the visiting Wolves, who despite of two consecutive wins have been highly inconsistent this season. Golden State is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. GOLDEN STATE is 22-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better assists/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% SU conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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03-26-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +9.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
After 3 straight hard fought tilts against the LA Clippers( back to back meetings) and a their recent loss to the Lakers, Im betting the Thunder may not be as viable a favorite as the lines-makers expect even though the Blazers are missing Lillard and some other not as important starters. Im betting on the Blazers support staff will step things up a notch off the bench as they look to make an impression that will further their careers. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. (The Thunder beat the 138-129 back in Feb 10 here in Portland) Play on Portland to cover |
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03-26-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
The Lakers continue to play hard to try to get themselves in a play off spot, but now play against a side in top form. Chicago is off smashing Portland 124-96 on Friday to open a three-game road trip while grabbing its sixth victory in eight games and must be respected in this spot play vs a aging Lakers group. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Bulls won both meetings last season and viable underdogs in this spot play. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is off a huge DD win vs the Jazz last night in Salt Lake City scoring 144 points. Now Im expecting immediate regression by a Bucks side playing back to back games on tired legs in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Advantage Denver. MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATSas an underdog over the last 3 seasons DENVER is 11-2 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
The Jazz consistently bring their A game to tilts against top tier sides like visiting Milwaukee . Note: Jazz are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.The Jazz have also been particularly tough to play against at home when they are underdogs as is evident by their 10-0 ATS record as a home underdog this season. The edge goes to the Salt Lake city crew in this spot play. UTAH is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - sub par defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Bucks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Play on Utah to cover |