Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-24-20 | Rockies +100 v. Rangers | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn the Rangers starter is fast ball pitcher with. pinpoint control, but the top half of the Rockies batting order crushed these kind of pitchers last year, and Im betting at least for today that will be the case again. With that said, Im betting the Rangers are over rated here against a Colorado pitcher in Marquez who was 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 road starts last season. Advantage Colorado. Play on Colorado to win on the ML |
|||||||
07-24-20 | Marlins +173 v. Phillies | 5-2 | Win | 173 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Sandy Alcantara is one of baseballs under rated hurlers . Alcantara made 32 starts last season and posted a 3.88 ERA / 1.32 WHIP. . In his four career starts against the Phillies, the Marlins are 3-1 (2.80 ERA) with 2 wins coming last season, and Im betting he matches up well here again. Meanwhile, the Phillies starting pitcher Nola is 3-6 with a 3.28 ERA in 13 career outings against the Marlins.NOLA is 3-8 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies are also winless in Nola’s last seven starts dating back to August 25, when he lost to todays opponents the Miami Marlins. Value, Value and more Value here with the Marlins . Play on Miami to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Astros -105 v. Nationals | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive bats of the Astros do some real damage vs Washingtons Patrick Corbin (6.91 ERA) tonight and even this series at 2-2 games a piece. HOUSTON is 43-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 51-13 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or more) over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 44-14 in their last 58 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-13 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 Saturday games.Astros are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. National League East.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Astros -135 v. Nationals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston is in desperation mode here tonight after a travel day yesterday, and luckily for them they have the guns on offence to get the job done and notch a win, and subsequently get back into this series. Note: Since the 2005 campaign , visiting favorites are 12-9 on the ML in the World Series. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 8-16 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) over the last 2 seasons. Greinke the Astros starter takes to the hill in his first World Series start after allowing one run, three hits and four walks with five strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in Houston's 8-3 win versus New York in Game 4 of the ALCS . My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest that the veteran hurler has an edge vs this type of lineup. GREINKE is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.27 and a WHIP of 0.830. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Yankees v. Astros -140 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
L Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 The Yankees likely will open Game 6 with Chad Green, JA Happ two hurlers that my power rankings suggest the Astros matchup very well against. Overall this a bullpen day, and from a statistical matchup , yes the Yanks look to have an edge if using regular season stats, but from a tactical standpoint the use of key Astros pitchers Im betting will be the difference maker. Also Urquidy a hurler who has rebounded well from Tommy John surgery is a guy that has the ability to go long here as is evident by a 40:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 33 MLB innings of work. This Astros hurler has some nasty stuff that the Yanks have not seen , which is an obvious advantage. HOUSTON is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Note: Since the 2005 season MLB playoff series (games 5-7), home teams have an edge, going 45-36 (55.6%). MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games are 52-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-15-19 | Astros -154 v. Yankees | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Astros starter Gerrit Cole (20-5 2.50 ERA, 326 SO) is coming off an ALDS for the ages -- he beat the Rays twice, including in the winner-take-all Game 5, allowing just one run in 15 2/3 innings with a DS-record 25 strikeouts. Cole has 10-plus strikeouts in 11 consecutive starts and needless to say after watching him dominate is my choice here tonight vs the Yankees in game 3. Astros are 7-0 in Coles last 7 road starts.Astros are 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts vs. American League East.Astros are 4-0 in Coles last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. COLE is 29-9 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) Astros are 9-0 in their last 9 games with umpire Nelson behind home plate. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-14-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals -125 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32 ERA, 251 SO)hung in after a pair of early homers to give the Nats six solid innings in their comeback win in the winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS. He now has a 1.32 postseason ERA in six career games, and has struck out 45 in 34 innings and gets my support here again today. STRASBURG is 19-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 17-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. ST LOUIS is 3-10 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 68-17 L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win vs the ML |
|||||||
10-08-19 | Astros v. Rays +210 | 1-4 | Win | 210 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - HOU leads 2-1 Rays manager Kevin Cash announced after the Monday win that Game 4 would be a "bullpen day" for his club, starting with right-hander Diego Castillo (0-0). Rays start off with Diego Castillo but It’s all hands on deck for the Rays. Castillo opened six games during the second half. Castillo tossed 1 2/3 scoreless innings against Houston in Game 2. Was that fear I saw in the eyes of the Astros yesterday in a lopsided loss. There is still some fight in the Rays and at times this season Houston has looked vulnerable. To much value to pass on this one. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 223-394 for a lowly 36% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-07-19 | Braves v. Cardinals -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Cards starter Dakota Hudson(16-7, 3.35 ERA, 136 SO)Hudson led rookie starters in wins (16) this season and he had a 9-2 record and a stingy 2.75 ERA at Busch Stadium compared to a 4.13 ERA on the road. He faced the Braves once this season, allowing two runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision on May 25 and gets my support in this spot. Cardinals are 5-0 in Hudsons last 5 starts vs. National League East. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), after a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games are 17-41 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Dodgers -130 v. Nationals | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Ryu was in the running for the NL Cy Young award after having recorded a stingy 1.45 ERA before a few non quality starts, but he finished the season with three consecutive top tier trips to the hill and comes into this play off game with plenty of momentum. Im betting on him buoying the Dodgers to a win here today. |
|||||||
10-02-19 | Rays v. A's -134 | 5-1 | Loss | -134 | 37 h 30 m | Show | |
AL Wild Card Game CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L) Two solid pitchers and bullpens go head to head here as TB and Oakland go head to head in the wildcard game. However, Im betting the difference maker will be home field advantage for the Athletics where they are 52-27 this season. Note: Rays are 31-66 in their last 97 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff games. MORTON the Rays starter is 5-13 against the money line vs. Lower tier speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MANAEA the As starter is 20-5 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 10-3 in their last 13 games following an off day.Athletics are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. American League East.Athletics are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
|||||||
10-01-19 | Brewers +165 v. Nationals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Im betting the Brewers experience in last seasons play offs will aid them here tonight.Milwaukee went 20-7 in September and almost caught the Cards and enter this Wild Card game with momentum and confidence.The Brewers according to my projections match up well against the Nationals as was evident when they took 4 of 6 meetings this year. SCHERZER the Nats starter is 1-7 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Max Scherzer is 3-10 SU in postseason play, dating back to 2011, losing four games in a row and all three of his starts with the Nationals. Nationals are 2-5 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Nationals are 1-8 in Scherzers last 9 starts during game 1 of a series. MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. WOODRUFF the Brewers starter is 12-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 16-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 9-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)Brewers are 4-0 in Woodruffs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Reds v. Pirates +111 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Reds starter Tyler Mahle (2-12, 5.34 ERA, 124 SO ) has made five career starts vs. the Pirates, posting an 0-3 record with a 4.61 ERA. Its been a tough campaign for Mahle and Im betting nothing changes here this afternoon in this finale. Reds are 2-14 in Mahles last 16 road starts.Reds are 1-8 in Mahles last 9 starts vs. National League Central.Reds are 0-7 in Mahles last 7 Sunday starts. Meanwhile,Trevor Williams (7-8, 5.52 ERA, 108 SO)is capable of ending the Pirates' disappointing season on a high note as he starts the finale at PNC Park. He's coming off a solid start, as he held the Brewers to two runs on three hits (two homers) in five efficient innings his last time out and has momentum entering this tilt. Pirates are 14-2 in Williams' last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 20-7 in Williams' last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 9-4 in Williams' last 13 home starts Pirates are 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts vs. Reds.Pirates are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 home starts vs. Reds. Reds are 0-5 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. Pirates. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-28-19 | A's v. Mariners +164 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Marco Gonzales (16-12, 4.09 ERA, 143 SO) has posted career highs in wins (16), starts (33) and innings (196). The 27-year-old lefty closes out his season against the A's team that he beat in Tokyo on Opening Day in March. Gonzales is 3-1 with a 4.00 ERA in four starts vs. Oakland this year and gets my support on a value line here tonight.the Mariners snapped a four-game losing streak yesterday by upsetting the As, a side that could be looking ahead to their wildcard game next week. As for the Mariners their still playing hard . QUOTE:"Our guys have a lot to play for, too, trying to prove themselves," Seattle manager Scott Servais said. "It's nice for those guys to get the results like that." END QUOTE. Athletics are 1-6 in their starters Andersons last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 6-1 in Gonzales' last 7 home starts. MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 116-75 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Braves +103 v. Mets | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Braves starting hurler has been top form of late and was brilliant on Sept. 20 against San Francisco, allowing three hits in eight shutout innings as the Braves clinched the NL East. Foltynewicz is now 6-0 with a 2.35 ERA with opposition batting orders hitting just .211 against him in nine starts since being recalled on Aug. 6. The righty hurler owns a a 1.49 ERA in his last seven starts and gets my support here today. Note: Mets starter Matz has seen his team lose his L/4 start vs the Braves.MATZ is 1-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Mets are 0-6 in Matzs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. FOLTYNEWICZ is 9-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) and is 8-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-27-19 | Indians v. Nationals -139 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Nats starter Austin Voth (1-1, 3.35 ERA, 39 SO)No young player in the Nats’ organization took a bigger step forward this season than Voth, who will likely enter the team’s postseason bullpen. In four games since coming off the injured list, Voth picked up where he left off, with a 2.12 ERA and 19 K's in 17 innings and he gets my support here today vs the Indians. Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Indians are 18-46 in their last 64 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-27-19 | Reds v. Pirates +140 | 5-6 | Win | 140 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Cincinnati right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (9-9, 3.84 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (4-6, 5.07 ERA).Against Cincinnati, Pittsburghs starter Brault is 4-0 with a 1.01 ERA in nine career games, three of them starts, and he carries a scoreless streak of 19 2/3 innings.The Reds are 0-9 on the Money line when Anthony DeSclafani starts when their opponent is averaging more than seven strike outs a game and they won his last start. In 12 career starts against Pittsburgh, he is 2-6 with a 4.27 ERA. CINCINNATI is 7-14 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Cincinnati (73-85) has lost four in a row and five of six and Pittsburgh (68-91) have won three straight, a sweep against the Cubs and get my support here today with momentum on their sides. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-25-19 | A's v. Angels +205 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Heaney is off a bad start last time but it must be noted that the Angels are 8-0 on the ML when Andrew Heaney starts at home and they lost in his last start. Meanwhile, As starterMontas was having a breakout season, going 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 15 starts, before he was suspended 80 games on June 21 for violating major league baseball's drug policy after testing positive for a performance-enhancing substance. Im betting he comes back a little rusty and gives the Angels a solid chance at us cashing a underdog ticket in this spot. Note: The Athletics are 0-4 SU as a 150-plus favorite off a road game in which their bullpen did not allow a run which was the case yesterday. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 213-371 L/5 seasons for lowly 36% conversion rate. Play on the LAAngels to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-25-19 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks +117 | 7-9 | Win | 117 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
DBacks starter Merrill Kelly ( 12-14, 4.31 ERA, 151 SO) comes into the game riding a 15-inning scoreless streak. He tossed seven shutout innings in each of his previous two starts, against the Padres and Reds. Over his last four starts, he has a 1.00 ERA.Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Kellys last 4 home starts and gets my support here this afternoon at home. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wacha has looked a little fatigued of late, and has been on a short leash in September, pitching 15 innings in his four starts this month. The Cardinals (90-68) eliminated the Diamondbacks (81-77) from playoff contention with their win Monday and now its payback in the spoilers role this afternoon for Arizona. ARIZONA is 12-3 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. LOVULLO is 36-25 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher as the manager of ARIZONA. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-24-19 | Orioles +105 v. Blue Jays | 11-4 | Win | 105 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
Baltimores starter Bundy is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays this season and gets my support here tonight in Toronto against the Blue Jays. Yesterday the Os won a 11-10 game, but teams in this situation in the followup have not been a profitable venture as the following trend illustrates.MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - after scoring 10 runs or more against opponent after scoring 9 runs or more are 52-74 L/5 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors.TORONTO is also just 8-21 against the money line in home games after a win this season. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-23-19 | Cardinals -135 v. Diamondbacks | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Wainwright the Cards starter tonight has allowed just two runs in his L/ 27 innings . The Cards have also won 12 of his last 14 starts including a mid July victory against Arizona, in seven scoreless innings of top tier work. The Cards hurler owns a 9-4 record along with a solid 2.56 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks and gets my support again here tonight in the desert. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Young has given up eight runs along with 10 hits with six walks in his last 7 2/3 innings of work in his L/2 sub par starts and looking like fade material vs a Cardinals team looking for momentum as they enter the post season . WAINWRIGHT is 12-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks. Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Youngs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Giants +137 v. Braves | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Giants starter Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 6 SO)gets his third start of the season for the Giants when he faces the Braves. He has not given up a run in 10 innings pitched, while opponents are batting .129 against him in two starts and gets my support here tonight vs the Braves. Meanwhile, The Braves nailed down their 19th division championship with a 6-0 win over the Giants on Friday, and now will be vulnerable in an emotional letdown spot. Note: Max Fried the Braves starter has allowed five earned runs in three of his past five starts . Giants are 6-2 in Cuetos last 8 road starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts on grass. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Red Sox +195 v. Rays | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Boston Red Sox starter Travis Lakins will make his second career start as the Red Sox opt for a bullpen game against the Rays. The 25-year-old righty held the Yankees hitless over two frames during his first start on Sept. 7 and he and his bullpen crew gets my support here today in the spoilers role . Note: Rays starter Glasgow is 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Boston is 5-2 in Tampa Bay this season. The Red Sox are 6-0 L/6 on the ML as a road 170-plus dog off a road game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 82-40 in their last 122 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 games on astroturf. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 57-29 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the BoSox to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-20-19 | Mariners -110 v. Orioles | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Mariners are heading to Baltimore riding a five-game winning streak after a 6-5 win vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday afternoon and have momentum on their sides . With Felix Hernandez a long standing hurler with Seattle dating back 14 seasons probably making his last start with the Mariners before becoming a free agent in the off season Im expecting a motivated and big effort from him which has me backing this veteran hurler. He is coming off a strong seven-inning outing in which he allowed just one run on five hits vs. the White Sox. Baltimore has lost four straight, including a 8-4 loss to Toronto on Thursday night. The Orioles are now 49-104 for the season, and showing little fight as they go through the motions of getting to the end of this nightmare season. Seattle has also had a dismal season, but they thrive against sides like Baltimore going 14-2 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. Meanwhile,Baltimore has been the poster boys for futility when going against teams like Seattle.BALTIMORE is 6-31 against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. Play on Seattle to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-19-19 | Angels +230 v. Yankees | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Yankees' Thursday starter, right-hander Masahiro Tanaka (10-8, 4.60 ERA), is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his past three starts. He gave up four runs on eight hits in five innings last Friday during New York's 6-5 loss at Toronto and currently looks vulnerable. Meanwhile, Heaney despite of some recent struggles has shown flashes of brilliance, as he went 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in four starts in August. Heaney is 1-1 with a 1.47 ERA in three career starts against New York, one outing in 2015 and the other two last year. Angels are 5-1 in Heaneys last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Angels are 4-1 in Heaneys last 5 road starts. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games with umpire Whitson behind home plate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG at least .265) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-18-19 | Angels +250 v. Yankees | 3-2 | Win | 250 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Veteran hurler CC Sabathia is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in his last eight starts. He is banged up and showing his age right now and is fade material in his current form. It must be noted that the Yankees took the first game of this series, 8-0 yesterday by have proven futile in a follow up under the following perimeters. The Yankees are 0-5 L/5 on the ML in the second game of a series as a 200+ favorite when they shut out their opponent in the series opener.LA ANGELS are 11-6 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more this season and are 33-17 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-18-19 | Mets v. Rockies +138 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Noah Syndergaard has never made a start at Coors Filed but gets his chance today in the launching pad. Im betting it will be an unpleasant experience despite of the team granting his wish of having Rene Rivera or Tomas Nido as his catcher instead of Wilson Ramos despite of his managers reluctance to do so. Syndergaard has a 5.20 ERA. In 11 combined starts with Ramos and with Nido (10) and Rivera, he has a 2.22 ERA. However, today, they are giving him his wish in the worst possible place . Ummm makes you wonder if the Mets brass are trying to prove a point here. Anyhow the bottom line here is Im betting against Syndergard and the Mets, and backing Colorado on the value line at home. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher like Hoffman whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 21-42 L/22 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-17-19 | Padres v. Brewers -132 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Brewers Brandon Woodruff (11-3, 3.75 ERA, 136 SO)The All-Star right-hander will be on a limited pitch count in his first start since he strained his left oblique pitching at Arizona on July 21. Veteran left-hander Gio Gonzalez will follow. Im betting on Woodruff and Gonzalez having the edge over what has looked like a fatigued Padres pitcher in Paddock who is expected to be shut down following Tuesday's start. He has already thrown 45 2/3 more innings than he did last season between Class-A and Double-A. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.Padres are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Brewers are 12-1 in Woodruffs last 13 home starts.Brewers are 8-1 in Woodruffs last 9 starts during game 2 of a seriesBrewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Brewers are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.WOODRUFF is 10-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 10-0 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-16-19 | Reds +159 v. Cubs | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Cubs left-hander Cole Hamels (7-7, 3.89 ERA) has suffered three consecutive losses, including a 4-0 defeat in his last outing Wednesday against the San Diego Padres. Hamels has a 7.58 ERA (25 earned runs in 29 2/3 innings) in his last seven starts and is fade material in his current form. HAMELS is 1-7 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record ) After the Cubs took part in a 16-6 slugfest yesterday that they won , Im betting they are in a letdown spot here. Note: MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 8 runs or more are 41-22 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.CHICAGO CUBS are also 1-7 against the money line after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games this season. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-15-19 | White Sox +110 v. Mariners | 10-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Ivan Nova(10-12, 4.69 ERA, 103 SO)won for the 10th time on Tuesday against the Royals, marking the fifth season he has recorded double-digit wins. The victory also ended a stretch of three straight losses for Nova after a 5-0 run. Im betting on him getting us to the promised land here today in Seattle vs the lowly Mariners. NOVA is 15-8 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 4-0 on the ML in franchise history as a dog with Ivan Nova when they scored more than six runs in his last start and they won. Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 games on grass.Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win.Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-14-19 | A's v. Rangers +114 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Mike Minor (13-8, 3.08 ERA, 183 SO) is 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA in August and is one win away from setting a new career high for one season. He owns a 3.18 ERA in three starts against the Athletics over the past two seasons. In 13 starts at home, he is 5-3 this year with a 3.70 ERA and gets my support in the underdog role tonight. Meanwhile, As starter Mike Fiers(14-4, 3.97 ERA, 116 SO) looked rattled last time out in his shortest outing of his career, when he surrendered nine runs and a career-high five homers, recording only three outs vs. the Astros. He was charged with his first loss since May 1 and could still be suffering a sort of PTSD syndrome after that nasty performance. Its never easy to have your confidence shaken like that and could be in a fragile state vs a Texas team that can bang out some offence. The Rangers have won 6 of their L/8 and are looking strong of late, and must be respected in their ability to pull off a underdog win here this evening. The Rangers lost the first game of this series last night 14-9, but are 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game ad 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Braves +108 v. Nationals | 10-1 | Win | 108 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Foltynewicz the Braves starter this afternoon vs the Nationals has pitched well since returning from the minors. This will be his eighth start since returning and he's gone 4-0 with a 2.95 ERA in 39 2/3 innings. In two starts in September, Foltynewicz is 2-0 and has allowed only one run over 12 innings. Note:The Braves are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Mike Foltynewicz as a road underdog when they won his last four starts. Braves are 10-1 in Foltynewiczs last 11 starts. Braves are 6-0 in Foltynewiczs last 6 road starts. FOLTYNEWICZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 8-15 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Meanwhile,Austin Voth (1-1, 4.00 ERA, 30 SO)is filling in for the injured Joe Ross, Voth allowed two runs over four innings in a loss to the Braves last time out and Im betting he will be on the wrong side of the scoreboard yet again this afternoon. Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East.Nationals are 1-4 in Voths last 5 starts. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-13-19 | Brewers +117 v. Cardinals | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Adrian Houser (6-5, 3.59 ERA, 99 SO) faced the Cardinals in consecutive outings toward the end of August, giving up a combined four runs (two earned) over 10 1/3 innings. His last win came in that first start on Aug. 21 at Busch Stadium and gets my support here tonight vs the Cards as the Brewers extend their current red hot 7 game winning streak. MILWAUKEE is 28-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - after a game where they hit 5 or more home runs, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 20-35 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-13-19 | Dodgers -126 v. Mets | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Clayton Kershaw( LHP13-5, 3.06 ERA, 171 SO ) Kershaw takes the bump to open the weekend series in New York. The southpaw has gone more than six innings just once in his last four outings, seeing his ERA rise above 3.00 for the first time since July 15 in the process, but Im betting he bounces back here as he has been showing alot of crankiness about his lack luster efforts and his egos on the line here tonight so expect a big effort from the super star hurler. Dodgers are perfect 6-0 L/6 as visitors vs Mets. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 141-49 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LADodgers to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-13-19 | Braves +146 v. Nationals | 5-0 | Win | 146 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer(10-5, 2.56 ERA, 216 SO)Dave Martinez said Scherzer threw a bullpen on Tuesday and reported feeling good, setting up the right-hander to start Friday at home against Atlanta. Scherzer has been easing his way back to full strength after a back injury and still not 100% so we have value here fading him against what can be an explosive Atlanta batting order. Meanwhile, Saroka the Braves starter always gives his team a chance at victory and has consistently gotten stronger as a game progresses. Note: If Soroka can get out of the first inning, he's hard to hit. He gave up two runs before retiring a batter against Washington in his last start. He has a 4.15 ERA in the first inning and a 2.46 ERA in the second inning or later. The two previous times he has allowed more than one run in the first inning, he hasn't given up another run. WASHINGTON is 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) - good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season, in September games are 49-31 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-12-19 | Nationals -124 v. Twins | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
LH Starter Patrick Corbin 11-7, 3.16 ERA, 210 SOwill make his first career start against the Twins. He has been excellent all season for the Nationals, but especially in his past 15 starts when he has posted a 2.29 ERA with 116 strikeouts and 31 walks in 94 1/3 innings and get the nod here today vs the Twins. Note:Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-9 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Gibson his pitching opponent from the Twins will be rusty after a long lay off. Gibson had a 7.18 ERA in his last five starts before going on the injured list.GIBSON is 4-13 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 3.000. Nationals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-12-19 | Cubs -137 v. Padres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
A 4-0 loss to the Padres on Wednesday dropped the Cubs into a tie with the Milwaukee Brewers for the final NL playoff berth and they will now be primed for a bounce back effort as losses are unacceptable at this juncture of their campaign. SAN DIEGO is 4-14 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more this season Padres starter LAMET is 0-7 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres are 0-9 in Lamets last 9 home starts. Cubs are 35-16 in their last 52 during game 4 of a series. Meanwhile, Cubs starter Yu Darvish(5-6, 4.12 ERA, 190 SO)After missing one turn (right forearm tightness), he returned Saturday with five shutout innings vs. Milwaukee. He struck out seven and walked one in a no-decision. Darvish has a 2.96 ERA with 85 strikeouts and four walks in his last 11 starts and gets my support here this afternoon in a West coast tilt. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-10-19 | Cardinals -139 v. Rockies | 1-2 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Gonzalez (0-6, 7.29 ERA) made his only career start against the Cardinals on Aug. 24, a 6-0 win by St. Louis. He allowed five runs on three hits over 4 1/3 innings and took the loss and is fade material here tonight. Meanwhile, The Cardinals have recieved steady performances from their rotation while the Rockies' inconsistent staff has posted a 5.97 ERA this year, which ranks last in the majors. The Cardinals are 13-0 on the ML when their starter Michael Wacha starts as a favorite and he went fewer than five innings in his last start. ST LOUIS is 17-4 against the money line vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season.ST LOUIS is 40-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. COLORADO is 16-44 against the money line in the second half of the season this season Cardinals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 6-0 in Wachas last 6 Tuesday starts.Cardinals are 8-2 in Wachas last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 9-3 in Wachas last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 21-8 in Wachas last 29 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 28-85 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-10-19 | A's v. Astros -155 | 21-7 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Miley has a 3.41 ERA in 14 starts since his last loss and provides top tier stability for the Astros pitching rotation.Miley, owns a 7-0 record in 14 starts since his last loss, and has been strong against Oakland over three starts this season. He is 1-1 with a 1.83 ERA and has allowed just 12 hits and four runs in 19 2/3 innings.Miley holds a 5-2 record along with a stingy 1.71 ERA in eight career starts against the A's, allowing just 37 hits and 10 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings and once again gets my support ere tonight. MILEY is 10-1 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) MILEY is 18-4 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 20-2 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) this season.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more in a win over a division rival since 1997.HINCH is 25-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game as the manager of HOUSTON. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-10-19 | Dodgers v. Orioles +294 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Blach the Os starting pitcher faces a familiar opponent in the Dodgers, the team he famously blanked for five innings on Opening Day 2018 as a member of the Giants. Now in Baltimore, he gets another start after defeating the Rays in his last trip to the hill. BLACH is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.045. Im betting on a value line upset here in their interleague battle. LA DODGERS are 9-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 1-12 this season! Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-09-19 | Cubs v. Padres +136 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Quantrill the Padres starter has been in a funk over his last couple of starts but was 4-1 with a 1.31 ERA during a six-game stretch, before his current 3 game losing streak. Also Quantrill according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Cubs as was evident when he gave up just two hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings this last July 21 . The young Stanford product has also performed well at home where he is 4-2 with a 4.17 ERA this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 12-26 (against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. Note the Cubs are on a 3 game losing streak and have a hard luck pitcher on the hill of late Hendricks who has better home splits than away . The righty is 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA on the road this year, compared to 5-2 with a 1.77 ERA at home. HENDRICKS is 0-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cubs are 0-4 in Hendricks' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record . Cubs are 2-6 in Hendricks' last 8 road starts.Cubs are 2-7 in Hendricks' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 game are 83-41 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-09-19 | A's +173 v. Astros | 0-15 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Todays starter for the Astros Greinke has surrendered nine earned runs on 14 hits over 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts, with the Astros losing both of those contests. Meanwhile, Athletics starter Fiers is 12-0 with a 2.59 ERA over his last 21 starts, a streak that began with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7. He has allowed a .639 OPS during his winning streak, with the Athletics going 17-4 in those starts. Oakland has won Fiers' previous two starts against the Astros and gets my support tonight on a value line. FIERS is 16-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 23-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. MLB road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record, in September games are 39-24 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Blue Jays +186 v. Rays | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
Blue Jays starter Jacob Waguespack (4-3, 3.97 ERA, 46 SO)shut out the Rays on four hits over six innings back on Aug. 5, and is ready to send the Blue Jays home on a high note. Waguespack has a 2.92 ERA in six road starts this season and gives us a viable underdog opportunity here this Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile, TBs starter Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 1.86 ERA, 55 SO)Glasnow will be making his first start since sustaining a mild forearm strain in his throwing arm on May 10 against the Yankees and will take time to stretch out, so he wont be 100%, giving further credence to back the Jays on a value line. Rays are 0-4 in Glasnows last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays. Rays are 6-2 in Glasnows last 8 starts.Rays are 3-7 in Glasnows last 10 starts vs. American League East.Rays are 2-6 in Glasnows last 8 starts on astroturf.Rays are 1-4 in Glasnows last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Rockies v. Padres -150 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Padres starter Joey Lucchesi(9-7, 4.00 ERA, 135 SO)In six August starts, Lucchesi posted a 3.58 ERA, and he was one of the Padres' most reliable starters and is a very viable pitcher to back in this spot play. COLORADO is 8-26 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.COLORADO is 16-42 against the money line in the second half of the season this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 55-8 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-06-19 | Angels v. White Sox -144 | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
White Sox ace Lucas Giolito(14-8, 3.30 ERA, 210 SO)The chance for 20 wins all but disappeared for Giolito with a tough loss to the Braves on Sunday. But he continues to finish strong during this All-Star season, with 90 strikeouts in his last 63 2/3 innings and gets my backing here tonight. Giolito is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against Los Angeles. Note:LA ANGELS are 12-35 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Rays last 10 starts. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-06-19 | Diamondbacks -113 v. Reds | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Arizona southpaw starter Robbie Ray (12-7, 3.97 ERA, 199 SO) has picked up a win in each of his last two starts. Last time out against the Dodgers, he allowed four runs over five innings in a 6-5 D-backs win and enters this contest offering stability and a viable ml option for his supporters tonight. Ray went 3-0 in August with a 4.30 ERA as the Diamondbacks averaged 7.8 runs in his five starts.RAY is 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Mahle (2-10, 4.72 ERA) his Reds pitching opponent is looking for his first win since May 31, having gone 0-5 with a 5.32 ERA in his past nine starts.MAHLE is 1-11 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MAHLE is 1-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) Arizona is finding ways to win and have won 9 of their L/10 overall and must be respected in their current form. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-06-19 | Yankees -118 v. Red Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
German, the Yankees starter tonight faced the Red Sox just last month, earning the victory by allowing two runs over seven innings against the club on Aug. 3. For his career, he's 2-0 with a 3.98 ERA in five games (four starts) versus Boston. GERMAN is 13-1 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) and s 12-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) and also 9-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GERMAN is 11-0 against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) |
|||||||
09-05-19 | Twins +135 v. Red Sox | 2-1 | Win | 135 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Twins starter Martin Perez (9-6, 4.89 ERA, 120 SO)had a off game last time out as he was shelled by the Tigers for eight runs in 2 2/3 innings on Saturday and felt that his cutter was moving too much, which he hoped to address in bullpen work between starts. He had allowed four runs in 11 frames over his previous two outings and is more than capable of bouncing back here tonight vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile,Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 6.23 ERA, 46 SO)is not yet fully stretched out since returning to the rotation, and could easily end up as cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota batting order averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season. The linesmakers are expecting a high scoring game but it must be noted that the Twins excel in these situations. MINNESOTA is 16-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher this season. BALDELLI is 41-18 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of MINNESOTA. BALDELLI is 14-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, in September games are 89-45 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-05-19 | Cubs -114 v. Brewers | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana (12-8, 3.90) will start against Milwaukee for the second straight time and is 8-1 with a 3.08 ERA in his last 11 starts. He opposed Anderson last week and tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings when he allowed three runs or less for the 21st time.Quintana is 8-4 with 2.65 ERA in 16 career starts against the Brewers. Cubs are 7-0 in Quintanas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in Quintanas last 11 starts.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 road starts vs. Brewers. Meanwhile,Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.58 ERA) will start against Chicago for the second straight time. He allowed five runs on seven hits, including two homers to Castellanos, in four innings of a 7-1 loss Friday afternoon at Wrigley and is fade material here tonight.Anderson is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his three outings against Chicago this season. Brewers are 0-5 in Andersons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. MADDON is 60-27 against the money line when playing on Thursday as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 28-84 L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-04-19 | Angels v. A's -151 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
As starter Tanner Roark (8-8, 4.04 ERA, 135 SO)had allowed two or fewer earned runs in four starts since being traded to the A’s, until Thursday vs. the Royals. He turned in six innings, but gave up four runs on five hits in Oakland’s 6-4 loss, but today I expect a more focused effort and a victory. Roark in 3 career starts against the Angels, has garnered a 1.89 ERA.ROARK is 6-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 51-17 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Athletics are 7-0 on the ML L/7 in the second game of a series as a home 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. The As have crushed their opposition in those tilts winning all won seven games by multiple run deficits ( 5.86 rpg run). Play on the As to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-04-19 | Phillies -130 v. Reds | 5-8 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.45 ERA, 194 SO) going to the hill every five days the rest of the season. The Phillies are winless in his first two starts since making the announcement, although he has a 2.70 ERA in those games and is more than capable of helping his team get a win here vs the Reds tonight.NOLA is 13-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Reds starterTrevor Bauer (10-12, 4.53 ERA, 222 SO) enters this game in a funk as is evident by allowing a combined 14 runs (13 earned) over his past two outings, spanning just seven innings. The right-hander has an 8.40 ERA across six starts since being traded to the Reds at the end of July and is fade material in his current form. BAUER is 4-12 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-03-19 | Tigers v. Royals -130 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Tigers will send left-hander Daniel Norris (3-11, 4.66 ERA) to the mound Tuesday. Norris is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in three appearances (two starts) against the Royals in 2019. For his career, he is 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 12 appearances (11 starts) vs. Kansas City and has dropped 10 of his L/11 decisions and is once again fade material in this spot.NORRIS is 1-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 20-8 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 13-31 (against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-01-19 | Mets -106 v. Phillies | 2-5 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Mets won Saturday afternoon as Wilson Ramos had four hits to extend his hitting streak to a career-high 24 games and Todd Frazier delivered three hits and a pair of RBIs in a 6-3 win and Im betting they notch a win here tonight in prime time action. Todays pitching matchup features: the Mets Stroman who is 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Phillies and Z Eflin who is 3-4 with a 6.00 ERA in nine starts against the Mets, whom he's faced more than any other opponent. in his career. Philadelphia is also 0-8 on the ML with Eflin as a underdog and he gave up no walks in his last start. EFLIN is 0-11 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) EFLIN is 0-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) NY METS are 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 26-6 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. KAPLER is 8-20 against the money line in September games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML |
|||||||
09-01-19 | Orioles v. Royals -123 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Southpaw KC hurler Danny Duffy (5-6, 4.93 ERA, 90 SO)Duffy is expected to be activated on Sunday. He last pitched last Sunday on a rehab assignment with Double-A Northwest Arkansas and gave up one run over five innings. He likely will have a 90-pitch limit. My own projections tells me he matches up well vs this very inconsistent Os batting order and gets my support here today. Duffy won his last start against the Orioles, 15-7, on May 8, 2018 in Baltimore. He's 3-2 with a 2.17 ERA lifetime vs. Baltimore, his lowest ERA vs. any opponent (minimum three starts) in his career. These teams split the first to game of this series.. However it must be noted that the Orioles are 1-12 on the ML L/13 away when it is the last game of a three game series and they split the first two games. DUFFY is 43-22 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 6-23 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 54-18 L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Padres v. Giants -105 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Lucchesi a native of Oakland California has gone 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in two San Francisco homecomings this season and is fade material here today again. LUCCHESI is 7-18 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 3-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 32-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-30-19 | Mariners +103 v. Rangers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Marco Gonzales(14-10, 4.17 ERA, 126 SO)is his teams No. 1 starter and is 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA over his last 14 starts, including a win over the Rangers in Seattle on July 22, when he allowed two runs in seven innings. He's 2-2 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts vs. Texas on the season. He gets the nod again here tonight vs the Rangers.GONZALES is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. TEXAS is 15-30 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-30-19 | A's v. Yankees -137 | 8-2 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Senior citizen CC Sabathia looked good in his last outing at Dodger Stadium, where he permitted two runs and five hits over four innings, walking one with seven strikeouts. Sabathia has pitched seven innings in two starts since returning from a right knee injury and will be ready to go longer and stronger here tonight vs the As. The Yankees can almost always depend on him go be a stable force in their rotation, especially late in the season. Meanwhile, his Athletics pitching opponent Anderson is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA in his last six starts, and fade material here in this spot. Note: Anderson is 0-6 with a 6.86 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees. The Athletics are 0-13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest on the road off a one-run road win. NY YANKEES are 15-4 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 39-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-28-19 | Rays +195 v. Astros | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Cole despite of being in top form has not fared well vs TB as he is 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA over three career starts against the Rays, including a 4-1 loss on March 29 when he allowed four runs (one earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts over six innings in St. Petersburg, Fla. Meanwhile,Rays lefty starter Ryan Yarbrough(11-3, 3.29 ERA, 93 SO)s last start may have been cut short due to rain, but it was no less dominant. The lefty now owns a 1.48 ERA across 61 innings over his past 12 appearances, which includes a staggering 59 strikeouts compared to just four walks and must be respected on a value line no matter who the opposition is . Yes even the mighty Astros. CASH is 17-11 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY. The Rays are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a underdog of more than 160 vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not a series opener. MLB team (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 over his last 3 starts are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-27-19 | Red Sox -130 v. Rockies | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Bostons offence is built to destroy parks like Coors Field and matchup well vs the Colorado Rockies. Red Sox are 14-3 in their starters Porcellos last 17 interleague starts. Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 interleague road games.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 21-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 41-17 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 161-89 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-27-19 | Twins v. White Sox +104 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lucas Giolito (14-6, 3.20 ERA, 194 SO) termed his shutout of the Twins last Wednesday as the “best I’ve ever felt pitching in my life.” Giolito struck out 12 in that three-hitter, without issuing a walk. Giolito needs six strikeouts to reach 200 for the season and gets my support again vs a team that matches up well against. GIOLITO is 11-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox on the ML |
|||||||
08-26-19 | Diamondbacks -103 v. Giants | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede the Giants starter is 0-4 with an 8.23 ERA over his last six starts, each of which the Giants have lost and is fade material here in this spot play vs the Arizona DBacks.He is 0-3 in eight home games (seven starts) in his two-year career, and has never beaten the Diamondbacks (0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three starts).Meanwhile, Young his pitching opponent from the DBacks has pitched his best on the road this season, where he 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA so far this season. Giants are 10-21 in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Giants are 13-32 in their last 45 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 62-33 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-26-19 | Reds v. Marlins +145 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Gray the Reds starter has a mixed history against the Marlins. In three career appearances against them, he is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA. But he is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start at Marlins Park. GRAY is 4-15 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,Pablo Lopez (5-5, 4.23 ERA, 73 SO) will come off the injured list and make his first start since June 15 when he beat the Pirates, working seven innings. The 23-year-old made 14 starts before his shoulder injury. At home, he is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA. The Marlins are 4-0 L/4 on the ML as a home 140-plus underdog after a game in which they left fewer than ten men on base, which happened yesterday. CINCINNATI is 2-13 (against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 overall. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor OBP (.310or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less ) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -132 | 12-2 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The series opens with a pair of veterans as Milwaukee starts left-hander Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA) and St. Louis starts righty Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51). Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA, 53 SO)has pitched well for the Brewers since they originally acquired him last Aug. 31 from the Nationals. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of six starts since returning from a shoulder injury. Meanwhile, Card starter Adam Wainwright(9-9, 4.51 ERA, 126 SO) gave up four runs in the first inning to the Brewers in the Cardinals’ rain-shortened loss Wednesday and five runs total in his five innings. He struck out two and struggled with fastball command and according to my power rankings just does not matchup well vs the Brewers batting order. ST LOUIS is 4-18 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ST LOUIS is 2-14 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. The Cardinals are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a underdog in the first game of a series when they are off a game as a favorite and they are seeking same season revenge for a loss. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings. are 11-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-25-19 | Red Sox +107 v. Padres | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres starter Lucchesi threw a career-high 109 pitches in Philadelphia his last time out, so fatigue could rare its ugly head here, even though he is on 6 days resr. The left-hander hasn't pitched into the seventh inning since before the All-Star break and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Red Sox. Note: Lucchesi's ERA has climbed from 3.94 to 4.20 since the All-Star break. He has given up seven homers in his last eight starts. LUCCHESI has seen his team lose 13 of his L/20 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) CORA is 15-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Brian Johnson the BoSox starter despite of probably not inspiring bettors or linesmakers has shown he can get the job done as his team has won 17 of his L/24 starts and 4 of his L/5 interleague trips to the hill. Red Sox are 8-3 in Johnsons last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Red Sox are 10-4 in Johnsons last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 5-2 in Johnsons last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Red Sox are 17-7 in Johnsons last 24 starts.Red Sox are 7-3 in Johnsons last 10 road starts.Red Sox are 15-7 in Johnsons last 22 starts on grass.
SAN DIEGO is 3-19 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague road games.BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. MLBeam (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 39-22 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-25-19 | Nationals -118 v. Cubs | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Strasburg the Nats starter is coming off a strong performance in which he hurled seven scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday.In seven career starts against the Cubs, Strasburg is 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA and gets my support here today vs the Cubs at Wrigley. STRASBURG is 15-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Nationals have scored double-digit runs five times in the past 10 games, and have scored at least seven runs eight times and are dangerous against any hurler the Cubs trot out. The Nationals are 9-0 on the ML as a favorite off a road game in which they did not hit a home run which was the case yesterday. WASHINGTON is 16-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-22 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 32-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-25-19 | Rangers +122 v. White Sox | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rangers young starter Burke shined in his debut Tuesday, scattering four hits and two walks while striking out four in six scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels in a game the Rangers went on to win 3-2 in 11 innings.Only four of 17 balls put in play had an exit velocity of 95 mph or greater. The kid has alot of promise and gets my support here today on a value line. Meanwhile, Lopez ( 7-11, 5.25 ERA) his pitching opponent from the White Sox despite of a quality outing last time out , has been inconsistent this season, and according to my power rankings does matchup all that well vs the Rangers batting order. White Sox are 8-23 in Lopezs last 31 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.White Sox are 2-6 in Lopezs last 8 starts on a natural surface.White Sox are 1-4 in Lopezs last 5 home starts.White Sox are 1-5 in Lopezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 0-4 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 14-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-24-19 | Giants v. A's -138 | 10-5 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Oakland starter Chris Bassitt (9-5, 3.61 ERA, 112 SO)limited the Astros to three runs over six innings in a win last Saturday, continuing his strong run over the past month. The right-hander holds a 1.80 ERA over his past four starts and in his current form makes for a viable investment opportunity backing the As.Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter has struggled a bit of late and is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA in five lifetime starts in Oakland. With this being the Giants 8th straight road game, Im betting their gruelling schedule will effect them against a streaking squad with their eye on the post season. Giants are 10-22 in Bumgarners last 32 road starts.Giants are 2-5 in Bumgarners last 7 interleague starts.Giants are 1-7 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Bassitts last 4 home starts.Giants are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Oakland.Giants are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. OAKLAND is 37-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-24-19 | Red Sox -118 v. Padres | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Padres just look like their going through the motions right now as the season winds down. Tonight they will send a hurler in Lamet, that despite of being in decent form is still a little unstable after coming of Tommy John surgery. Here against a BoSox side that grind out at bats like no one else in the majors, Lamet could easily find himself tired and in trouble. Note: The Red Sox are averaging 6 rpg vs right handers like Lamet this season. Padres are 0-7 in Lamets last 7 home starts.Padres are 1-11 in Lamets last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.The Padres got blasted yesterday by the BoSox by an11-0 count. Note: SAN DIEGO is 3-16 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 3 seasons and is 1-7 against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more this season. SAN DIEGO is 3-18 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 40-16 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 10-1 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-23-19 | Angels +240 v. Astros | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The public loves Zach Greinke the Astros starting pitcher, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Halos matchup well vs the veteran hurler. With the Astros getting bitten by the injury bug of late, with shortstop Carlos Correa sidelined indefinitely with back discomfort and utility infielder Aledmys Diaz on the 10-day injured list the Astros are at a disadvantage. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Angels are 6-0 L/6 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest off a walk-off-loss as a dog. The Astros are 0-4 L/4 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a home 200-+ favorite after playing as a home chalk when their opponent's starting pitcher has same-season-revenge. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Yankees v. A's +102 | 3-5 | Win | 102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark(7-8, 4.01 ERA, 124 SO) went too to toe with Justin Verlander and turned in six innings of two-run ball in a win over the Astros on Friday. He's posted a 2.55 ERA in three starts since joining the A's via trade and he gets my support here tonight vs Tanaka and the banged up Yanks. This is a momentum play, the As have won 8 of 9 meetings in this series here in Oakland over the last couple of seasons , and have won two straight here, and a third Im betting on tonight agenda vs a Yanks team that has lost 3 straight and looking fatigued and short handed. OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-1 against the money line in home games in August games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 29-15 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Giants +178 v. Cubs | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Giants starter Jeff Samardzija (9-9, 3.54 ERA, 119 SO)has been one of the best starters in the NL since July 1, posting a 2.09 ERA over his last nine starts and now gets my support here this afternoon in Chicago against the Cubs. SAMARDZIJA is 5-0 ( against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) The Giants are 5-0 on the ML when Jeff Samardzija starts as a underdog when they lost in his last start against their opponent.Giants are 7-0 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts. Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games with umpire Nauert behind home plate. .The Cubs won yesterday vs the Giants in a 12-11 shoutout, but those kinds of games in the followup have not been kind to the Cubs as they are are 1-7 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 38-24 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants ( Late Steam) |
|||||||
08-21-19 | Yankees v. A's -112 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ 10-7, (5.40 ERA, 101 SO) has given the Yankees at least five innings in each of his last four starts, though he has done so with a 6.23 ERA over that span. Meanwhile, As hurler Fiers has not lost a game since May 1 at Boston. Beginning with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7, Fiers is 9-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 18 starts and deserves our support here tonight at home on a value line. FIERS is 14-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is s 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) FIERS is 9-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Athletics are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Yankees are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Oakland. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 42-84 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-21-19 | Royals v. Orioles -103 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Royals LH Mike Montgomery (3-5, 4.63 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Aaron Brooks (2-7, 6.49) Montgomery, has pitched decently of late, but has a bloated 4.91 ERA in three appearances against the Orioles and from a power ranking pitcher vs batting order perspective does not matchup all that well against the Orioles batting order. His pitching opponent Brooks is fighting for a future rotation spot either here or somewhere else and after some bad efforts will primed to respond like a cornered animal. ( No disrespect intended) KANSAS CITY is 19-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. KANSAS CITY is 32-60 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Royals are 19-64 in their last 83 during game 3 of a series. Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 20-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-21-19 | White Sox +167 v. Twins | 4-0 | Win | 167 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito (13-6, 3.41 ERA, 182 SO) delivered a quality start against the Angels on Friday, fanning 11 in six innings of two-run ball. The right-hander has reached double-digit strikeouts in each of his last two outings and gets my support here this afternoon. The White Sox are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Lucas Giolito as a 150-plus road dog when he averaged more than 3.90 pitches per batter in his last start. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - after a win by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White sox to win on the ML ( Late Steam) |
|||||||
08-20-19 | Rockies +140 v. Diamondbacks | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Colorado has been playing a little better of late winning 4 of their L/5 and now they go against a pitcher in Young who has struggled in his past two starts, losing both and giving up a total of nine earned runs in 8 1/3 innings. Thats not a good omen for Arizona backers as the team is just 5-11 (against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies offence despite of being inconsistent this season are averaging 5.2 rpg vs LHP and offer us value here tonight vs this type of hurler. Meanwhile FREELAND the Rockies stater is 13-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and gets mys upport here on a value line. Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks. Rockies are 13-5 in Freelands last 18 starts vs. National League West.MLB team (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season is 37-20 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-20-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals +102 | 4-9 | Win | 102 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Cardinals starting pitcher Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.44 ERA) has done well against the Brewers. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against them this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances against them. I know his presence will not inspire bettors, but what inspires me is not Wacha but the team that surrounds him does . The Cards are a team that finds ways to win, behind usually solid pitching and limited offence. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Gonzalez has not been able to get his team to the promised land against light hitting sides like St.Louis as the following negative trend suggests.GONZALEZ is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is is 0-8 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 16-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-20-19 | Marlins +245 v. Braves | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Braves starter Keuchel is making his 12th start of the season. He has been inconsistent since signing with the Braves as a free agent in June, and despite of being off a quality effort last time out does not inspire me in this spot, and according to my power rankings vs batting orders he does not matchup well vs the Marlins. Note: Keuchel is 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season. KEUCHEL is 4-9 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-7 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, his Marlins pitching opponent Hernandez has had seven previous outings this season , two of them starts, against Atlanta, going 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA. He looked good in his most recent start against the Braves on Aug. 8 when he threw six scoreless innings and allowed two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. MLB team (ATLANTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 77-150 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -123 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Dakota (11-6, 3.82 ERA, 97 SO)Hudson put together one of his best starts of the season Wednesday, shutting out the Royals over six innings and enters this game vs the Brewers with momentum. HUDSON is 10-0 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Brewers light throwing starter Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA, 78 SO) will return from his two-week stint on the injured list to face the Cardinals. The Brewers thought he needed rest after he allowed 18 runs (17 earned) in three starts before going on the shelf. Truth is the guy throws beach balls, and if it were not for his savvy baseball intelligence and ability o pinpoint his stuff, he would be consistent cannon fodder. I respect Davies, but Im not a fan of his overall arsenal (or lack there of), and considering my power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the batting order he is fade material in this spot. ST LOUIS is 15-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. MIKE is 12-3 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ST LOUIS. MILWAUKEE is 9-18 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 130-71 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.550 to 1.650) -NL, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 53-97 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-19-19 | Padres +151 v. Reds | 3-2 | Win | 151 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Bauer, the Reds starter vs San Diego has garnered a 7.31 ERA in his L/3 starts . He now goes up against the Fathers for the first time this season. However his experiences vs the Padres have not been good ones as he is 0-3 with a bloated 6.28 ERA in three career starts against the Padres, with batters hitting .348 against him. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Lauer In three career starts against Cincinnati, is 1-1 along with a very stingy 1.93 ERA, and Reds batters are hitting at just a .219 vs him. Padres despite of being without rookie sensation Tatis, are value bets here tonight. Note:The Padres are 4-0 l/4 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they hit at least one home run which happened Sunday. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 102-151 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Padres ML |
|||||||
08-19-19 | Royals +123 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Win | 123 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
John Means(8-8, 3.76 ERA, 84 SO)After a decent mid season run, has now started to down trend and has lost his last three starts. He pitched 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, allowing six runs to the Yankees on Aug. 13 and is fade material here today vs the KC Royals. I know Lopez his pitching opponent from the Royals may not inspire bettors, but he has a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA in one career appearance versus Baltimore. Baltimore has now has lost 12 of its last 13 games and went 0-7 on a road trip where it also took on the Yankees and while KC is not much better they do matchup well vs the Orioles and my power rankings suggest we have value on this line, making this a green light selection on the Royals. The Orioles have been a 200+ underdog in 13 straight games and are now chalk for the first time in while. It must now be noted that the Orioles are 0-11L/11 on the ML as chalk after a tilt in which they struck out at least ten times which happened last time out. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.600 to 1.700) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 25-53 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-19-19 | Nationals v. Pirates +107 | 13-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
The Nationals have a shot at a play off spot and the Pirates are playing for pride and rosters spots next season. However, it must be noted that the Nats have really racked up alot of innings on their bullpen after some exciting high scoring weekend games, and after some very explosive offensive performances a regression of their out put must be expected as well as they themselves getting lit up because of the above mentioned work placed on their relievers. I know that was a long sentence, but it was a long weekend for the Nats, and a natural letdown scenario vs a non play off side, makes them susceptible in the first game of this series. Note: WASHINGTON is less than a break even venture on the ML going 48-51 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with their betting backers down more than 14.4 units. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-18-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -102 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts. SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona on the ML |
|||||||
08-18-19 | Twins v. Rangers -128 | 6-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording 32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a 9-1 record along with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins. TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season. The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-18-19 | Dodgers +115 v. Braves | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-18-19 | Indians -127 v. Yankees | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger, has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a perfect 6-0 record along with a stingy 2.39 ERA in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase. Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts. Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran CC Sabathia who was 0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder. Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Twins v. Rangers +145 | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Twins starter Berrios (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts against Texas. He lost his only start at Globe Life Park last season when he allowed five runs on three hits, all of them home runs, in four innings of a 7-4 loss and is fade material here in this spot according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: BERRIOS is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 3-10 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 11-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-23 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -116 | 11-6 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Giants will start a rookie hurler (L.Webb) in his first ever outing in the big leagues. Im betting despite of his top tier designation as a prospect ,that being here in a unfriendly environment on the road will not serve him well in his debut. Giants are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win. The Giants are 0-10 on the ML when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a home chalk in which they held the lead.( The DBacks lost 10-9 last night) ARIZONA is 26-11 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -125 | 15-14 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA, 99 SO) is on a run mirroring the roll he went on in 2018 to help lead the Braves to a division title. Sanchez has won his last seven decisions and has a 2.93 ERA over his last 14 starts. Im betting he buoys a Nats team that has won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall to another win vs Brewers here in this spot. I know his pitching opponent from the Brewers Lyles has pitched well since his trade from the Pirates , but prior to that trade , he registered a nasty 9.57 ERA in his final nine starts and could easily get nailed her vs a side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings. Nationals are 10-4 in Sanchezs last 14 starts. rewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Cardinals v. Reds +108 | 1-6 | Win | 108 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA, 101 SO)After a consistent start to the second half, Mikolas regressed on Sunday against the Pirates, allowing five runs on seven hits in five innings. He struggled with command which is not a good omen as he exasperates fthe same problems he exhibited earlier this season. I know the Cards are playing well, and the pitching staff has looked strong, but ST LOUIS is just 1-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Cardinals are 0-6 in Mikolas' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The Cards crushed the Reds yesterday, 13-4, but in the past that kind of output has not been kind in their followup game, as they have gone 10-20 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons while scoring an average of just 3.5 rpg over that 30 game sample size. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is 11-3 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season with margin out put of 5.0 to 2.9. ST LOUIS is 7-18 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-34 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Mariners +150 v. Blue Jays | 4-3 | Win | 150 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Jays starter Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA, 110 SO) is coming off one of his best starts of the season, where he held the Yankees to just one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton's biggest problem in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 on the ML with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start. Meanwhile,Reggie McClain (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 SO)The 26-year-old rookie has risen from Class A ball to the big leagues this season and now gets his first MLB start, as the Mariners will go with a bullpen game. McClain is a converted starter who has pitched 3 games in relief since being called up and according to scouts deserves a mlb start. Blue Jays are 3-9 in Thorntons last 12 starts on astroturf. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 91-47 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-16-19 | Dodgers +108 v. Braves | 8-3 | Win | 108 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda(8-8, 4.12 ERA, 128 SO) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, when he scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a win over the D-backs last Saturday. Maeda struck out six batters and didn't issue a walk for the first time in four starts. The right handed hurler is looking confident and deserves my backing here tonight on the road vs the Braves. MAEDA is 2-0 in two outings when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.825. I know Soroka the Braves rookie hurler has looked tremendous this season, but according to my power rankings the Dodgers batting order matches up well against him. ATLANTA is 9-21 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 44-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-16-19 | Padres +117 v. Phillies | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Phillies will send right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30 ERA).Velasquez opened the season in the rotation before moving to the bullpen. He returned in June and is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA in nine starts since then. He has pitched more than 5 2/3 innings just once in that stretch and is fade material here tonight vs the under rated San Diego Padres. Meanwhile,San Diego will send 23-year-old Chris Paddack to the hill. Paddack is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and owns a devastating changeup that pitchers have been laying off on lately, but that good prove fatal as strike zone efficiency could easily increase here down the stretch for Paddock. PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and 9-28 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. SAN DIEGO is 22-14 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Astros v. A's +109 | 6-7 | Win | 109 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Oakland has an edge here tonight with top tier starter Mike Fiers (11-3, 3.30 ERA). Fiers will take the mound Thursday riding a 17-start unbeaten streak. He has gone 9-0 with a 2.12 ERA in that run. He goes against Astros starter Aaron Sanchez (5-14, 5.60 ERA allowing 74 hits in 60.1 innings ) and never inspires me, making the As my choice in this spot play. Athletics are 7-2 in Fiers' last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Fiers, own a very solid home ERA of 2.54 this season, including a 1.66 ERA since the first of May. Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. This has been a fairly grueling road trip with a couple of marathons so far for the Astros and Im sure fatigue is taking its toll in them. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 21-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Mets v. Braves -120 | 10-8 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Atlanta's starter Teheran has recorded a quality start in five of his past seven outings and has the ability to keep his team in all matchups especially here at home. Note: Teheran has been pitching at a high level for most of the season, but he has been especially tough on opposition batting orders in his last seven starts -- all in July and August. During that run, he is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA.In his latest trip to the hill this past Friday, Teheran gave up one run and struck out seven in seven innings in an 8-4 vcitory at Miami., his pitching opponent, Stroman In two starts since joining the Mets from the Jays, has a bloated 6.10 ERA. He is a quality hurler, but could easily get picked apart by one of baseballs most consistent offences. I know the Mets have been hot, but I still strongly believe they are over rated, especially offensively, and are also being over valued by the public thanks to the media , who has failed to recognize that much of their current hot run has come against losing teams. Note: Mets are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record. METS are 8-22 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Mets are 0-21 on the ML as a dog after they had 12+ hits and were not a 150-plus dog and it is not a series opener. Mets are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-13-19 | Cubs -120 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana(10-7, 4.23 ERA, 110 SO)Qu beat the A's on Wednesday at home behind seven strong innings. He struck out seven, walked none and allowed one run on two hits. The Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven starts. Quintana is 6-0 with a 3.67 ERA in that span and gets the nod here today vs their hosts the Philadelphia Phillies. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. PHILADELPHIA is 7-23 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-12-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -110 | 8-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Merrill Kelly (7-12, 4.52 ERA, 104 SO) After allowing seven runs in each of his previous two starts, allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits over six innings in a 7-3 loss to the Phillies at Chase Field and in his current form is fade material entering this tilt vs the Colorado Rockies. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Kellys last 7 starts. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 34-15 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-12-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -105 | 4-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
This young and talented Toronto team continues to be undervalued and tonight we have more the same value . The Blue Jays are 23 games below .500 but are 20-20 over their past 40 games. Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto. TEXAS is 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLV as a whole is 0-18 on the ML L/18 in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog in which their starter pitched at least eight innings. The Rangers qualify under these perimeters. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 94-150 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the ML |
|||||||
08-11-19 | Phillies v. Giants -101 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Arrieta's has bone Spurs and his ailing elbow makes it difficult to know when to pull him from a game. Thats a dangerous recipe for disaster, and I wont be surprised if he had an unhappy ending to this game here in SF tonight.The veteran has now gone six straight starts without a win, recording a 0-2 record and 4.34 ERA. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. KAPLER is 9-24 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-11-19 | Indians +140 v. Twins | 7-3 | Win | 140 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Aaron Civale(1-1, 0.75 ERA, 13 SO)will make back-to-back starts for the first time in his Major League career. He allowed one run on three hits in six innings against the Rangers on Monday. Civale threw six scoreless innings in a June 22 start in his only other big league trip to the hill and gets my support here today vs the host Twins. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jose Berrios(10-6, 3.24 ERA, 140 SO)Berrios was crushed for a first-pitch homer by Ronald Acuna Jr. on Tuesday, setting the tone for one an ugly outing in which he allowed a career-high nine earned runs and a season-high four walks in 5 2/3 frames. There were signs of control issues to which could easily signify arm fatigue here late in the season, which could easily continue to translate in excessive offensive production vs opposition batting orders and the Tribe this Sunday. Twins are 0-5 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. MINNESOTA has lost 13 of 21 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
|||||||
08-11-19 | Nationals +176 v. Mets | 7-4 | Win | 176 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
There is a battle cry being put out by the Manager of the Nats before this game vs the Mets as a post season spot is being battled for "We're fighting to get in the playoffs, they're fighting to get in the playoffs," Martinez said. "I believe in those boys in that clubhouse. People kicked us, we were down and you saw what they can do. Not by any means are we down." END QUOTE: The Mets, who were tied for 13th place in the NL and eight games out of the second wild card on July 24, have won 15 of their last 16 games to move within a half-game of the Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers, who are tied for the two wild-card spots and are now huge public favs, giving us value with a Nationals team that is 5-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. Im betting the Nats do not get swept today, and do enough damage vs DeGrom to get a win here as hefty underdogs. Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.Nationals are 22-9 in their last 31 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. DEGROM is 1-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |