Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-22-23 | Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 157 | 86-71 | Push | 0 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The Islanders are well rested and will have fresh legs here tonight against the Flyers.There has been pressure on HC Lane Lambert to be more aggressive offensively and thats what Im betting will trigger a high scoring affair than the lines-makers anticipate. Isles have allowed 4 ore more goals in 8 straight games. With the flyers currently hitting on all cylinders Im betting that current run of allowing 4 or more goals will continue and force the Isles into opening up.
Over is 4-0-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more on the open (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games against opponent after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 50-23 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more on the open (NY ISLANDERS) - sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after winning their previous game in overtime are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-22-23 | Arkansas v. Stanford UNDER 154.5 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Indiana State v. Pepperdine UNDER 159 | 90-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Michigan v. Memphis UNDER 157.5 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Colorado State v. Boston College UNDER 147.5 | 86-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Long Beach State v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 151.5 | 82-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Appalachian State v. Murray State UNDER 147 | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Toledo v. New Mexico UNDER 162 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Kansas v. Marquette UNDER 157.5 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Jazz v. Lakers OVER 235.5 | 99-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The last four meetings between the Lakers and Jazz have all eclipsed this total with a combined average of 253.25 oog going on the board. My own projections for this contest come in the high 230s to the low 240s giving us a significant edge to the over. Utah has consistently played run and gun ball with 7 of their L/9 going over the offered number and Im betting they drag the Lakers into a wide open tilt here today that goes over the digits.Hardy is 10-1 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored.Ham in 36 games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a. combined average of 237.1 ppg go on the board.UTAH in its L/57 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored.UTAH L/22 against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-21-23 | Hofstra v. Wright State UNDER 160.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Colorado v. Florida State UNDER 152 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Buffalo v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 153.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Marshall v. Oakland UNDER 149.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Binghamton v. Sacred Heart UNDER 146.5 | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-19-23 | Northern Iowa v. South Florida UNDER 145.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score to reach the high 130s which give us a solid 2 to 3 possession edge on this totals offering to the under. S FLORIDA is 14-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 119.2 ppg scored. Jacobson in 184 road games after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of N IOWA ihas seen a verage combined score of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S FLORIDA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 182-95 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 139 ppg going on the board. |
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11-19-23 | Giants v. Commanders OVER 37 | 31-19 | Win | 100 | 52 h 27 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst defenses in the NFL. Washington ranks 31 st allowing 27.4 ppg and the NY Giants are ranked 29th allowing 26.6 ppg. Washington has on occasion shown some offensive pop and Im betting they do damage this week, vs a shell shocked group of Giants, while the pedestrian offense of the giants finally gets a defense they can handle. NFL Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (NY GIANTS) - terrible offensive team - scoring 14 or less points/game, after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points are 45-19 OVER L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 125-132 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks ranked 4th in pace have for most of the season run and gun at a high octane rating and Im sure nothing will change here except their oppositions ability to slow them down and grind away with more physical type of game plan. Im looking for a much more grinding type of affair between two strong teams, and a score that remains on the low side of the offered total. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 230s giving a 2 possession plus edge on the number to the under. MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in their L/33 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-8 UNDER L/37 in home games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more with a combined average score of 202.8 ppg scored.(Beat Charlotte last time out 130-99) DALLAS in their L/33 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/ MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 223.2 ppg. NBA eams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 39-13 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score registering at 227.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score of 225.6 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 37-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 222.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Oregon v. Arizona State UNDER 55 | 49-13 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 45 m | Show | |
Arizona State has only averaged 17.7 ppg on offense this season, and will try very hard to slow the pace of this game down, via slow snap counts and their running game as they play for survival here vs an explosive foe, and that Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are projecting.
CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (ARIZONA ST) - after gaining 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-4 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 40 points per game scored. Play on the under |
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11-18-23 | Cincinnati v. West Virginia UNDER 55 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
West Virginia has allowed 18.2 ppg at home this season, and Im betting they hold the inconsistent offense of the Cincinnati Bearkats within that range today. Look for key mode of moving thte ball to be their fairly efficient run game , and slower snap counts to see them try to grind out conservative game plan. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers average 213.8 rushing yards per game, No. 7 in the country and Im sure they will pound the ball again which in turn will eat alot of clock time. Lots of rsuh action makes for what Im projecting to be a combined score that stays on the low side of this totals offeirng. Brown is 12-4 UNDER in November games as the coach of W VIRGINIA with a combined average of 47.3 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons are 43.3 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. with pf 46.4 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 10-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games with a combined average of 43.3 ppg scored.. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W VIRGINIA) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 36-8 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 44.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. La Salle UNDER 144.5 | 78-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score ranging from the high 130s to a maximum of 141 which gives us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this number. LASALLE is 9-1 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LASALLE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-17-23 | San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-16-23 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Blues have won five their last six games while outscoring opponents 27-12 and have scored 13 goals in their L/2 and Im betting on another top tier offensive output here as they are flowing well in offensive zone. Meanwhile, San Jose currently on a 0-3 run while allowing 14 combined goals in that span look vulnerable to being litup again in what Im betting will see a combined score that eclipses this offered total. ST LOUIS is 9-0 OVER after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 11-4 OVER after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play over |
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11-16-23 | College of Charleston v. Vermont UNDER 145.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Myrtle Beach Invitational - HTC Center - Conway, SC My totals projections for this game are in the low 140s giving us a one to two possession edge on this Totals offering. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 10-2 UNDER ) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 138 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VERMONT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 13+ wins in last 15 games are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 135.5 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Long Island v. UCLA UNDER 142 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 13-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCLA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 36-6 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 137.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Stony Brook v. Nebraska UNDER 141 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 137. Value to the under by 2 possessions. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.9 ppg scored. STONY BROOK is 9-2 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average 131.9 ppg. CBB - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 137 pp scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Richmond v. Boston College UNDER 142.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RICHMOND is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a blowout win by 30 points or more. RICHMOND is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 358-249 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. CBB eams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RICHMOND) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-14-23 | Iowa v. Creighton UNDER 163.5 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 156 to 159 giving us solid value by 2 plus possessions to the under on this offering. I know both these sides have shown huge offensive lower tier competition , but now when facing some decent defensive talent a quick regression must be expected. IOWA in their L/11 against Big East conference opponents have seen a combined average of 155.5 ppg scored. CREIGHTON is 16-3 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (IOWA) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 41-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (CREIGHTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 49-16 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play under |
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11-13-23 | Rider v. Nebraska UNDER 149.5 | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections have estimated a combined score in the low to mid 140s range giving us a 2 possession or more edge on this offered totals number. Baggett is 48-34 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 11-2 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 32-17 UNDER as a home favorite of 10 or more points with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 138 ppg. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Northwestern State UNDER 146.5 | 96-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the upper 130s to maximum 141 range giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NORTHWESTERN ST) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games. are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with as combined average of 135.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams against the total (NORTHWESTERN ST) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-13-23 | East Tennessee State v. Butler UNDER 147 | 47-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 13-2 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (BUTLER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average for a 79% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-12-23 | Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on tired legs and because of this Im betting we will see a less concerted effort to be physical and less determined defensive work in transition. This Im betting results in alot of scoring chances and goals.Im projecting both teams reach at leas the 3 goal plateau . Note: VANCOUVER is 33-1 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 8.7 gpg scored. MONTREAL is 26-0 OVER (+26.3 Units) when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.9 gpg scored. Over is 4-0-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Canucks last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 9-3-5 in Canucks last 17 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 35-13-4 in Canucks last 52 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 33-14-4 in Canucks last 51 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 34-15-5 in Canucks last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 32-15-7 in Canucks last 54 road games. VANCOUVER is 11-3 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg.VANCOUVER is 21-8 OVER after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gog scored. MONTREAL is 6-0 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 5-1-1 in Canadiens last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 8-2-1 in Canadiens last 11 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Montreal.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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11-12-23 | North Carolina Central v. Georgia UNDER 146 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score that hits in the low 140s, which gives us a 1 to 2 possession edge on this totals offering.
White is 20-8 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 48 h 59 m | Show | |
We know the Niners can score but after three straight losses you can bet the team will rest their prospects on a big time effort from a rested D, off a bye week. It must be noted NFL road chalk having suffered 3 or more consecutive losses have gone under 12 of the L/13 times darting back to the 2019 season. The Jags despite of a 5 game win streak Im betting will find the offensive sledding tough today but I have enough respect in the Jags D, that SF most likely will also not have any obscene production keeping this combined score from eclipsing this number. NFC road favorites of 3 points or more like the 49ers have gone under in 16 of the L/17 times vs AFC opposition like the Jags , when the offered Total is 47 or less . When both teams are off their Bye Week like these two side are the under is 0-7 when the totals offering is 46 points or less. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.3 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more last game are 63-27 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NF Lteam where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games are 102-55 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. All three games played here between these sides have stayed under the total. Play under |
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11-11-23 | Utah Tech v. Jacksonville State UNDER 144.5 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total out at 139 giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. JACKSONVILLE ST is 21-8 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average fo 130.1 ppg scored. Harper is 36-24 UNDER as a home favorite or pick as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTAH TECH) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 180-87 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the combined average of 138.5 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-10-23 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 222.5 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Lakers have lost two straight and have allowed 120 or more points in 3 of their L/4 and in 5 road games this season have allowed an average of 221.4 ppg. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged 120.3 ppg at home this season while allowing 117 ppg. After the recent negative results from the Lakers Im betting on a very aggressive take no prisoners effort from them , and for the Suns to reciprocate with some offense fireworks themselves and for this offered total to be eclipsed. The suns have gone over in 5 of their L/6 overall NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-25 over L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-10-23 | Arizona v. Duke UNDER 154.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections for this tilt estimate a combined score that will plateau in the mid to high 140s giving us a two to 3 plus possession edge on this offered total to the under. ARIZONA in their L/152 road games in non-conference games have seen a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. DUKE in their L/6 home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 144.7 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARIZONA) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 41-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined ppg clicking in at 149.1 ppg. CBB Road teams against the total (ARIZONA) - team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 101-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DUKE) - with four starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-09-23 | North Florida v. Charleston Southern UNDER 149.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low to mid 140s giving us a 2 to 3 possession edge to the under. N FLORIDA is 14-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 season with a combined average of 140.9 ppg scored. N FLORIDA is 20-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 143.6 ppg scored. CHARLESTON SO is 22-10 UNDER L/32 after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CHARLESTON SO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois v. SMU OVER 144.5 | 53-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections for this tilt between W. Illinois and SMU are closer to the 150 plateau which gives us some very viable value here with an over wager. SMU is 11-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-07-23 | Albany v. Massachusetts UNDER 146.5 | 71-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 130s, plateauing in around 141 as a expected combined offensive output. CBB Home teams against the total (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) from last year are 93-49 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 136..6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 354-222 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Central Arkansas v. Tulsa UNDER 148 | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 144 points giving us great value on a score that fails ti eclipse this totals offering. Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)Central Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)TULSA is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 . CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULSA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My projections are estimating a hard fought game between two strong sides. This Im betting results in a lower scoring tight affair that will see both teams playing physical hockey and transitional hockey. TORONTO is 40-26 UNDER in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 gog scored. TORONTO is 38-25 UNDER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with s combined average of 6.1 gpg scored. Under is 3-1-2 in Lightning last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 14-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 18 overall.Under is 9-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 12 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 7-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 10 Monday games. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) in the first half of the season are 26-5 UNDER 27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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11-06-23 | Niagara v. Notre Dame OVER 125.5 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low 130s which qualifies on this Totals offering to the over. I know Notre Dame is expected to play tough D, this season buy Im betting they do some damage offensively tonight against a under rated Niagara team that will also answer back with enough production to help us get this over bet to cash. NBA teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NOTRE DAME) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 13+ losses in last 15 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-05-23 | Devils v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Devils enter this game on very tired legs and will not be in their usual wide open offensive mode which will directly effect this total to the under. Note: Chicago has averaged just 2.1 gpg in offense so far this season. NEW JERSEY is 34-16 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NEW JERSEY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal are 23-4 L/27 seasons for a go against for a 85% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-04-23 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State OVER 45 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 6 m | Show | |
Bulldogs. Quarterback Mike Wright, who led Vanderbilt to a win against UK at Kroger Field is now playing for Mississippi State. Wright continues to be impress with his ability to make plays and can elude the pocket and make plays with his legs and Im betting he has another strong effort today and helps his team with higher offensive production totals than the linesmakers expect. On the flipside the Wildcats offense really ramped up they're aerial attack last Saturday night. Quarterback Devin Leary had a season-high 372 yards passing vs Tennessee and wide receiver Dane Key had his best game of the season and Im betting they build on that momentum in this tilt With the running game the Wildcats most efficient mode of moving the ball a complete game is not out of the realm of possibility which makes for a much bigger point production than is expected. All in all we have value with taking the over here today. My projections based on some higher edge probabilities estimates a much higher output than the linesmkaers. My projections estimate both sides will score 28+ points - Note: KENTUCKY is 51-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points since 1992. MISSISSIPPI ST is 41-2 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points since 1992. Stoops in 48 road games as the coach of KENTUCKY has seen a combined average of 49.2 ppg scored.
CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 KENTUCKY/ (MISSISSIPPI ST) - in a game involving two average passing teams (6.4-7.5 PYA) after 7+ games.are 52-16 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average score of 48.6 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers OVER 220.5 | 100-112 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Sometimes afternoon games have a tendency to see teams start slowly which effects offensive production . But according to my projections this line is still off and a tad to low. PHOENIX is 23-12 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Nurse is 57-34 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 36-23 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 42-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots 52-15 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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11-03-23 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a total combined score that will reach the low 220s which gives us at least a 1 /2 possession edge on this offered number to the under. MIAMI in their L/12 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-03-23 | Devils v. Blues OVER 6.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
The Devils play an all out aggressive offensive game, that has resulted in consistent back and forth affairs. The Blues have allowed 9 goals in their L/2 trips to the ice, and will have to be prepared to open up if they hope to be competitive tonight. This Im betting results in a combined score that eclipses this offered number. NEW JERSEY is 9-0 OVER in all games this season. ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. ST LOUIS is 10-3 OVER (+7.0 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. Over is 15-5-2 in Blues last 22 vs. Metropolitan.Over is 35-13-3 in Blues last 51 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 42-17-5 in Blues last 64 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-3 in Blues last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - off 2 consecutive road losses by 2 goals or more against opponent off a road win are 55-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (NEW JERSEY) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Friday nights are 80-41 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in St. Louis.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 228 | 109-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are having problems scoring, thanks in part the absence of Morant, Steven Adams (knee), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Luke Kennard (concussion) and Santi Aldama (ankle). The cohesiveness is just not there and that will once again hamper their point production here in Salt Lake City tonight . The Grizzlies is well aware of this and will be focused on good transitional D instead of trying to run and gun which will effect this total to the under. MEMPHIS is 15-4 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored,
MEMPHIS in their L/12 games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse, has seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored, MEMPHIS is 14-3 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-2 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer is still not 100% after returning from a shoulder injury. He pitched 4 innings in his return, allowing five earned runs in an 8-5 loss to the Astros. In his second trip to the hill there was no improvement as he only lasted 2.2 innings while giving uo four hits and two runs.Scherzer's 9.45 postseason ERA does not give me much hope for improvement vs a Texas team that has been explosive on the road in the play offs averaging 6.5 rpg in offense. Meanwhile, despite of Dbacks starter B. Pfaadt having a good post season, it still must be recognized that has a 5.23 regular season ERA overall t and a 5.29 ERA at home. Five of the 6 games between these sides went over this season and Im betting on this one eclipsing the total as well. Texas has allowed an average of 6.1 rpg in their L/7 play off games. SCHERZER is 8-1 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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10-30-23 | Wolves v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Wolves have started out their campaign exhibiting very good defensive posture in transition, and Im betting they will continue that type of play here on the road vs a team that they know like to run and gun. Minnesota has allowed 97 and 90 points in their 2 games , and are more than capable of slowing down a Atlanta side, that Im betting is on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 night and that will be in regression mode after a big upset win on the road vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. It must also be noted that the Hawks HC coach Quinn Snyder, wants to see better defense from his team and has made that clear multiple times in press conferences . With that said, Im betting on a much more defensive affair here than the linesmkaers expect. MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 17-7 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 44-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined 227.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-29-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 83-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I know both these sides have been involved in high scoring games in both times they have been on the court thus far this season, but my own projections based on coaching tendencies and the type of usual hoops implemented Im betting on a more conservative affair. Lue is 34-19 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. (Clippers lost in Utah last time out as favs118-120 ) LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home win, sub par team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 27-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-29-23 | Ravens v. Cardinals UNDER 45 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have a very hard time moving the ball behind a clunky offense. as is evident by averaging just 18.1 ppg in production and have scored 9 and 10 points respectively in their L/2 games.Key Trend: NFC Conference teams who scored 10 pts or less in each of their last two games have gone under 9 straight times. . Thats not a good omen against a Baltimore side that is allowing just 13.9 ppg this season on D (tops in the NFL). On the flipisde, the Ravens offense has been pedestrian this season to say the least , averaging just 22.3 ppg in road tilts. I know Arizonas D, has been highly inconsistent this season, probably because of the amount of time they spend on the field, but it must be noted that BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDER vs.sub par defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 36.2 ppg scored. The Ravens exhibit is a grinding style of play that eats up alot of clock time and Im betting nothing changes today. BALTIMORE is also 9-0 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 34.1 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 7-0 UNDER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 25.2 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 13-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFLbteam where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - with a poor passing D - allowing 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 69-26 L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-29-23 | Avalanche v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | 0-4 | Win | 113 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Colorado looked tired in a 4-0 loss last time out at Pittsburgh and with the team now playing their 6th road game in the 8 games they have played so far, Im betting they wont have the legs needed to get into a back forth all out attack mode game plan, and will instead concentrate on playing solid transitional hockey. Im also betting getting back to playing solid D, will be on the agenda for the Avs after allowing 4 goals in 3 straight games after starting their season, allowing 2 goals or less in their first 4 trips to the ice. I know Buffalo has looked to be an aggressive offensive team, but that will be even more of a reason for the Avs to be careful here, and that in itself has me leaning strongly in favor of a low scoring affair. Under is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 home games. Under is 4-1 in Avalanche last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 10-3-1 in Avalanche last 14 Sunday games.Under is 8-3 in Avalanche last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Avalanche last 7 road games. Under is 16-4-2 in Avalanche last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. COLORADO is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.COLORADO after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons ( 8 games) have seen a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 34-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-28-23 | Air Force v. Colorado State OVER 48 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 12 m | Show | |
Previous to their win last time out vs Navy by a 17-6 score the Air Force Cadets had scored 39,45, 49, 34 points respectively and in their opener this season jacked 42 points on the board. This Flyboys side is explosive to say the least, and here today vs a Colorado State side allowing an average of 35.8 ppg and more than 40 points per game at home , Im projecting them to eclipse the 40 point plateau while Colorado State will fire back in desperation and do just enough damage to help us cash with an over wager vs this very vulnerable number. AIR FORCE is 16-5 OVER in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with he combined average of those games clicking in at 55.3 ppg. AIR FORCE is 33-18 OVER in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game with a combined average of 61.3 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (COLORADO ST) - off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog against opponent off a double digit road win are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 60.6 ppg. CFB Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (AIR FORCE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game are 113-64 OVER L/10 seasons with a combined average of 52 ppg going on the score board . Play on the over |
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10-28-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate this total to be closer to 7 which gives us an edge to the over on the 6.5 totals offering. Florida has consistently put the puck in the net scoring 4,4, 3,3,3 goals in their L/5 and Im betting on a +3 out put tonight as they will be ready to skate after a 3 day rest. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of low overall offensive goal production have shown flashes of the offense getting untracked as they have score 7 and 5 goals in 2 of their L/4 overall and I project a 3+ production in this tilt vs a side that will be prepared to open things up tonight on fresh legs. SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg going on the board.
NHL Road teams against the total (SEATTLE) - struggling offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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10-28-23 | USC v. California UNDER 67.5 | 50-49 | Loss | -109 | 80 h 40 m | Show | |
The Bears are averaging 195.6 yards per game rushing, third-most in the Pac-12 and 19th nationally and Im betting they try to grind away here in effort to slow this game down to keep the Trojans explosive attack of the field as much as possible - which in turn will eat up alot of clock time. CALIFORNIA is 14-3 UNDER in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att with a combined average of 51.4 ppg scored. Wilcox is 8-1 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 41.7 ppg scored. Wilcox in his L/53 games against conference opponents has seen a combined average of 49.2 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (USC) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 56.7 ppg scored. |
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10-27-23 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing disciplined transitional hockey early in this campaign and Im betting nothing changes tonight. the Blues have allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of their 6 games so far. Meanwhile, the Canucks have allowed more than 3 goals in only one game. Under is 5-1-1 in Blues last 7 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Blues last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Under is 4-1-2 in Canucks last 7 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2-1 in Canucks last 8 vs. Western Conference. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - off a road win by 2 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 44-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72/5 conversion rate for bettors. Under is 19-6-3 in the last 28 meetings in Vancouver. Play under |
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10-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets UNDER 227 | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Pistons will score between 103 and 108 points. Note: CHARLOTTE is 13-0 UNDER when they allow 103 to 108 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored. Im also projecting that Charlotte will score between 109 and 114 points. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.6 ppg scored. Advantage to the under based on my projections NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - off a home win, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 22 m | Show | |
I cannot see alot of defense being played by the Suns this season with Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal running and gunning with all out wreck-less abandon. Im betting your going to need to score at a high rate to compete with the Suns, and tonight thats what Im betting the capable Golden state offense will be up to doing. My own projections estimate both these sides will score 214 or more points . Note:PHOENIX is 23-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 246.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 31-4 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 248.9 ppg scored. Golden State had an average implied point total of 120.1 last season, which is 3.1 points higher than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (117).Last season, Golden State scored more than 117 points in a game 50 times.The 116.1-point average implied total last season for Phoenix is 1.1 more points than the team’s 115-point implied total in this matchup. PHOENIX is 16-5 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky OVER 61.5 | 42-29 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Liberty can destroy opposing Ds with their offense both through the air and on the ground via some very exotic play making as the offense has averaged 36.3 per game overall and 41.3 ppg in road tilts . Meanwhile, W.Kentucky has the ability to answer back with a offense that averages 41.3 ppg on offense at home this season. On the flipside, the Hilltopers D, gives up a ton of yards on the ground and their secondary and according to my own projections and does not matchup well vs Liberty's well oiled aerial or ground assault. Meanwhile Liberty against Buffalo and Middle Tenn State allowed 27 and 35 points on the respectively this season, and have shown themselves to be vulnerable vs decent offensive groups (The Hilltoppers have far more fire power than either Buffalo or Middle Tenn State .With that said, Im betting Western Kentucky will do some offensive damage here today in a all out performance that will have huge implications on them getting a bowl invite as their record now stands at 4-3. Problem remains with the Hilltoppers D, and Liberty is a machine that wont be stopped by a pedestrian group. I know D, seems to standout in big games, but the offensive talent and the lack of defensive talent on display here will trump that trend. My projections estimate both sides will score 28+ points. Note: LIBERTY is 16-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points with the combined average of 82.8 ppg scored. Liberty projected to score 35 W.Kentucky to score 30 |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 133 h 39 m | Show | |
After being upset last time out by Cleveland in a very physical game the 49ers are banged up with key offensive components , RB Christian McCaffrey at less than 100% with an oblique injury and WR Deebo Samuels also questionable.With that said, the offense maybe more muted than usual . The good news for SF is they own the leagues best D, allowing just 14.5 ppg and Im sure they will give the inconsistent Vikings offense all they can handle. Advantage to the under. Monday Night NFL Primetime tilts have seen 7 of 8 games stay under the Total this season with a combined average of 35.9 ppg scored. Monday Night games that have the road side as chalk have gone under 17 of the L/18 times the L/3 seasons. Minnesota has only eclipsed the total one time in 6 games this season. Vikings have gone under in their L/4 MNF games. SF has gone under in 5 of their L/6 back to back road games. Five of the L/seven meetings in this series have stayed on the offered total. NFL team against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss as a favorite, when playing on Monday night are 22-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 39.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Astros starter VALDEZ is 10-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Astros left-hander Framber Valdez (0-2, 11.57 ERA this postseason) and here against a desperate group of Rangers who can light things up when under pressure Im betting he continues his futility. Meanwhile, The Rangers will respond with right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (3-0, 2.29), who limited the Astros to three runs on five hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings in Game 2. He did pitch well against them in that tilt, but this is a resilient Astros offense that adjusts well and must not be discounted in their abilities to put runs on the board in a tilt that Im betting will be a higher scoring event that eclipses this total. TEXAS is 11-1 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. BAKER is 23-9 OVER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON with a combined 12.2 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 38-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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10-22-23 | Flames v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Calgary has started their season on a 5 game road trip and enter this tilt playing their 3rd game in 4 nights . Here in the exhausting finale to their current trek Im betting they will have the legs needed to play wide open back and forth hockey and will instead revert to a more defensive mind set which is not uncommon for this team . Meanwhile, the Red Wings are in a back to back situation so they will also be on tired legs and not prepared to play speedy hockey here tonight and this combination will see a slower more type of game plan implemented by these sides which will result in a lower scoring affair that does not eclipse this total. Backup goaltender James Reimer, who recorded a shutout Monday vs the Columbus Blue jackets in his Red Wings' debut, is expected to start on Sunday. Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 14-4-1 in Flames last 19 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. CALGARY is 12-2 UNDER ( when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons Calgarys L/8 after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Under is 5-2-1 in Red Wings last 8 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings. NHL Road teams against the total (CALGARY) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 101-58 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Colorado has played lights out defensive hockey to start the season allowing 2,1,1, 0 goals in their first 4 tilts and will be ready to play another tight knit game vs an explosive Carolina side that currently leads the NHL in goal production .Meanwhile, Carolina has played alot more wide open hockey, thanks in part in their belief they have the talent to really put alot of pucks in the net However, . after losing 7-4 in their L/game vs the Kraken, you can bet there will be a more concerted effort towards being more defensive minded in nature will be key here tonight. Im expecting and projecting a grinding lower scoring affair. COLORADO is 11-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. COLORADO is 25-12 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 109-53 UNDER L29 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 47-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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10-21-23 | Duke v. Florida State OVER 49.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 37 h 26 m | Show | |
Florida State enters this tilt having eclipsed the 30 point plateau in offensive production in 12 straight games, and is currently averaging 42.2 ppg overall in offense including 48.7 ppg in 3 road games. On the flip-side Duke, is averaging 31.2 ppg on offense and scored 41 points in their lone road game and are capable of decent offensive output even against viable Ds. I know both these teams have also displayed strong defenses, but as is evident by the line that favors FSU by 14 or more points, the linesmakers are expecting the Seminoles to do some scoring and run away with this game, and in that evident you can bet that Duke will open up their attack and speed their snap count up which will result in an even more wide open type of affair than many might expect. DUKE vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 54.5 ppg scored. FLORIDA ST vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 52.4 ppg scored.FLORIDA ST in their L/116 games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game have seen a combined average of 53.1 ppg scored. CFBl teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (DUKE) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game are 67-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
The Totals line (41.5) was attacked right out of the gate and for good reasons. After sinking in the hjigh 30s it was attacked again to the upside, and thats where we enter into the frey. It must be noted that New Orleans’ last 16 NFL games have seen 15 of them stay under the total ... with a combined average of only 31.5 combined ppg scored ! Considering their recent difficulties scoring it wont be a hard decision to estimate that the Saints points production will be muted against a up-trending Jaguars D. In the flipside the Saints D has only allowed more than 20 points one time this season, so the Jags inconsistent attack should also have problems producing points. Allen in 12 games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS has seen a combined average of 35.5 ppg scored. .NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER in the first half of the season this season with a combined average of 34.2 ppg scored. NFL THURSDAY games with a Totals Line of 40.0 or less points have gone under 10 of the last 11 times in non division tilts. Also Thursday night games have seen Jacksonville go under in their L/4 dating back 5 seasons, while the Saints have gone under in 11 of their L/12 Thursday contests dating back 10 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game over the last 3 seasons. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (JACKSONVILLE/NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average passing teams (5.9-6.7 PYA). 70-28 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-19-23 | Flames v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
he Sabres, who have yet to find their offensive stride but Im betting they have the talent to uptrend in a higher scoring direction. BUFFALO is 7-0 OVER in home games after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (BUFFALO) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after winning their previous game in overtime are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play over |
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10-18-23 | Penguins v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Both these sides have looked decent defensively and both have already registered shutouts tearly on this season.The Pens have allowed just 2 goals in their L/2 games 4-0 and 5-2 wins. While Motown is off a 4-0 shutout win. Both teams have made statements in the preseason that hedge towards them trying to be more defensive orientated and tonight Im betting we see that type of mind set in their game plans become clear. Under is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-0 in Penguins last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 11-2 in Penguins last 13 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. PITTSBURGH is 16-7 UNDER in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 5.8 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 20-8 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 23-12 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average 6 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-6 UNDER in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 gpg scored. DETROIT is 33-19 UNDER after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 gog scored. Under is 11-2 in Red Wings last 13 vs. Metropolitan. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-20 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play under |
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10-17-23 | Kings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Both these teams defenses have looked less than stellar out of the gate this season with both their games eclipsing the total. The Kings have allowed 5 and 6 goals in their first two tilts (both losses at home) while the Jets have allowed 5 and 4 goals in their first two trips to the golden pond. and have gone 1-1 Note:LOS ANGELES is 6-0 OVER off a home loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg going on the score board. Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. LOS ANGELES is 13-4 OVER after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 7.3 gpg scored. ( Played Carolina last time out in 6-5 loss) Both teams offenses have also looked efficient, and tonight Im betting on more aggressive back and forth action. Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. Western Conference. Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 home games.Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 5-1-1 in Jets last 7 vs. Western Conference. Play on the OVER |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
After allowing 42 points last week on national tv vs the 49ers the Cowboys will be primed to bounce back defensively this week with what Im betting will be a chip on their shoulders. Quote: "I'm pretty sure (Moore) wants to go out there and put it on us, but you've got to put on some perspective for what we just went through on Sunday and how we're champing at the bit to get out there and get out next game, on the road, so we can kind of just get this taste out of our mouths," Dallas safety Jayron Kearse said. "We just went out there (against the 49ers) and had an all-time stinker for what this defense is about, and we're ready to go out there and play against somebody as well. So I'm pretty sure he's ready for it and we're ready for it as well." DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 34.5 ppg going on the board. Dallas has gone under in 6 of their L/7 vs AFC West. Chargers have gone under in 12 of their L/15 as home dogs of 4 point or less. NFL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more last game are 62-27 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 102 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Previous to yesterdays 2-0 loss to the Rangers Houston smashed out 30 home runs against Texas in the 13 reg season games they played against them this season including 25 in the last seven regular season matchups in this series. Im betting they bounce back here today and continue that trend against upstart Texas bullpen that ranked 24th this season in MLB. . Previous to yesterdays muted offensive effort from the Astros they crushed the ball in the post season and accumulated 10 home runs in the four-game series with Minnesota. HOUSTON is 33-18 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined 10 rpg scored. BAKER is 20-89OVER vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON. TEXAS is 11-2 OVER after shutting out their opponent this season with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. Astros starter VALDEZ is 9-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. BOCHY is 34-17 OVER (+16.4 Units) in road games after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games in all games with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. Play on the over MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TEXAS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, in October games are 48-21 OVER L/ 5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Houston smashed out 30 home runs against the Rangers in the 13 games they played against this season including 25 in the last seven matchups in this series. Im betting they continue that trend today against Montgomery and the banged up and exhausted Rangers bullpen that ranked 24th this season in MLB. . The Astros' continue to pound the ball in the post season and have accumulated 10 home runs in the four-game series with Minnesota. HOUSTON is 33-17 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined 10.5 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 37-26 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg. BAKER is 20-8 OVER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON. On the flips side, Texas ha averaged 5.3 rpg vs right handed pitchers like Verlander adn their offense has come to life recently scoring 18 runs in their L/2 games entering this tilt and must not be discounted in their ability to respond to the Astros today . TEXAS is 43-26 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Play on the over |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins UNDER 47.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 17 m | Show | |
Im betting Carolinas game plan is to really slow this game down, by running the ball a great deal while taking their time with snaps. The Panthers D, has really been beat up on of late and Im sure a concerted effort to defend aggressively was the mantra in practice this week. /note: CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 31.8 ppg scored. Meanwhile, I expect the Dolphins attack will not be as potent as usual as they deal with the injury to key RB RB Devon Achane who has 7 TDs in his first 4 games. This missing cog for the Fins makes them more one dimensional offense and easier to read. Advantage to the under NFL non-division home favorites of 8 or more points like Miami is here today have seen 19 of 22 tilts stay on the low side of the Total when the offered number is 45 or more points. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CAROLINA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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10-14-23 | BYU v. TCU OVER 52 | 11-44 | Win | 100 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
Two old Mountain West rivals go head to head today in what Im betting will be a back and forth affair. BYU is fresh off a bye week, and Im betting their top tier offense will be ready and fresh for TCU sometimes viable D. The Cougars were said to have worked on their running game with the extra prep time, and if they have made advancement it will make their already viable passing game even more tangible. Meanwhile,TCU would be all but eliminated from the Big 12 race with a loss today, so you can bet they will also be primed to perform in aggressive fashion. BYU has averaged 32.5 ppg in offense on the road while allowing 34.5 ppg. Meanwhile TCU 34.5 ppg in offense at home. Injury update:BYU wide receivers Kody Epps and Parker Kingston will play for the Cougars against TCU. Epps was one of BYU's top wide receivers in 2022. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TCU) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game are 64-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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10-14-23 | Indiana v. Michigan UNDER 46 | 7-52 | Loss | -109 | 41 h 19 m | Show | |
MICHIGAN is 8-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
We expecting sustained heavy winds tonight in KC, which Im betting hampers these offenses. Add to that the below applicable trends Reid is 13-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average 35.9 ppg. Reid is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 35.3 ppg.Reid is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6 or more yards/play as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 45.4 ppg scored.Reid is 15-4 UNDER off 2 consecutive road wins in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. Payton is 12-3 UNDER when playing on a Thursday in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 43.6 ppg scored.DENVER is 15-3 UNDER after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992 with a combined average of 39 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 37-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DENVER) - after 4 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-11-23 | Oilers v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Each one of these sides have alot of offensive talent , however in the recent pas these clubs have played fairly tight defensive tilts, as is evident by the the under going 6-1-1 in the L/ 8 meetings with the L/3 meetings in here in Vancouver has all stayed on the low side of the Totals offering. Im betting history repeats itself in this early season matchup. Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Pacific. VANCOUVER is 21-10 UNDER in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with an average of 6 gpg scored. Play on the under |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
I know these two starting pitchers LAs Lynn and Arizonas Pfaadt have some hefty ERAs, but both are still viable pitchers and have strong support from their respective bullpens. PFAADT is 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9. rpg scored. Lynn is 6-1 lifetime against the Diamondbacks with a 2.96 ERA in 14 appearances (12 starts). LA DODGERS are 11-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. ARIZONA is 14-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 22-9 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg. Arizona is 2-7-1 UNDER L/10 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 121 games (+12.35 Units / 9% ROI) MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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10-10-23 | Liberty v. Jacksonville State OVER 56.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Liberty has averaged 36.8 ppg per game on offense this season, and 46.5 ppg on the road in two tilts. Meanwhile Jacksonville State has averaged 30.5 ppg on offense and Im betting they will have to open up here against a Liberty side that can put points on the board in bunches against the best of defenses. It must be noted that Veteran coach Rich Rodriguez is well respected for his offensive prowess throughout his career and Im betting he formulates an aggressive effort here in this tilt. I know some of the current team trends might have many leaning to the under, but Im not one of them. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (LIBERTY/Jacksonville St) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), in conference games are 36-8 OVER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 70.7 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (JACKSONVILLE ST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 22-3 OVER L/31 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with a combined average of 68.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
10-04-23 | Florida International v. New Mexico State OVER 49.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 53 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score that will be in low to mid 50s, making this Totals offer vulnerable .New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI) New Mexico State solid run game should really pile up the yards against an FIU defense that ranks 98th in Stuff Rate and 53rd in Defensive Rushing Plays Explosiveness. The Aggies coming in to their last game at Hawaii were averaging 33 points per game and 4.1 Points per Opportunity , but very high winds gave their offense some problems in that tilt, but here this week back at home should be ready to roll. Meanwhile, the Panthers have recorded one-score victories over Maine, North Texas, and UConn and must not be under estimated in their ability to fire back offensively here on the road in Las Cruces. I know these teams have played a slow pace so far, but Im betting the Aggies ability to put points on the board via their run game will force the FIU to up the tempo and for total to be eclipsed. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 35-9 OVER L/30 season's for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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10-01-23 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 72 h 22 m | Show | |
After allowing 37 points in. a loss vs Houston last week you can bet this Jacksonville coaching staff went to work here to motivate their embarrassed players into having a much better and concentrated effort this Sunday. It must also be noted that after scoring just nine points in a 17-9 loss to Kansas City, Jacksonville failed to score in the first half last week and its obvious their offense is just not clicking . Thats evident by quarterback Trevor Lawrences one touchdown pass record in his last two games. Here against a Flacons side, that have been solid defensively I just cant see things getting much better from a production standpoint. On the flipside the Flacons depend greatly on their ground attack to keep the pressure of their young QB Ridder who is in his 2nd season. With that said, Im betting on alot of clock being eaten up here by the Falcons via the run game and for a much better effort from Jacksonville defensively to help us stay under the number here this week in London. Jacksonville is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Games played at WEMBLEY STADIUM have gone a perfect 6-0 UNDER in the last L/5 seasons, with an average of only 35.3 combined PPG going up on the scoreboard. Play on the under |
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09-28-23 | Temple v. Tulsa OVER 55.5 | 26-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Temple according to my power rankings is improving , and tonight I expect Owls QB Warner to light up a ugly looking Tulsa secondary for some decent production. I expect most of Qwls offense to come through the air, as their run offense has been quiet to say the least as evident by ranking 120th in the nation in rushing success . Defensively, Temple has some issues ranking 105th in Defensive Finishing Drives and 126th in Havoc .With that said Im betting on Tulsas run heavy offense to really do some damage here vs a Temple side that ranks 67th in Rushing Success Rate Allowed and 90th in Rushing PPA. Both sides should see some explosive offensve production all be it in two different ways, but the bottom line remains intact and that is a higher socring game than the linesmakers totals offering suggests. My projections estimate both sides will score more than 28 points.TEMPLE is 27-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points with the combined average score clicking in at 77.8 ppg.TULSA is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 72.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 41.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 77 h 50 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of taking part in some high scoring affairs as is evident by the L/7 meetings eclipsing the total with a combined average of 52.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. I know Carolinas offense has not looked all that explosive out of the gate this season, but they do go against a Seattle side that is off a 37-31 slugfest last time out and that also allowed 30 points in a loss to the Rams in week 1 play. With that said, my projections estimate both these sides will score 21 plus points. SEATTLE is 10-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Carroll is 31-17 OVER after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of SEATTLE NFL team against the total (SEATTLE) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 26-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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09-24-23 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 10.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 13-12 slugfest Im betting on immediate offensive regression here in a game with huge post season implications for the Reds. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 21-8 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 55-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play under |
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09-23-23 | BYU v. Kansas OVER 54.5 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
Jayhawks are the nation’s top-ranked team overall in returning production, and are currently outgunning their opponents this season by an average +231 net YPG and averaging 37 plus points per game on the season. Meanwhile, BYU in back to back games have scored 38 and 41 points and thanks to not being able to run the ball consistently have been firing away down field via their passing game. Today Im betting on a back and forth all guns blazing tilt with the combined average score eclipsing this number. My projections estimate both sides will score 28 plus points. KANSAS is 40-5 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points with a combined average of 77.5 ppg scored. .BYU is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. BYU is 9-0 OVER when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored. Leipold is 10-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached with a combined average of 76.4 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 41-16 OVER L/31 seasons. Play over |
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09-19-23 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Colorado has allowed 22 runs in their L/2 games, and with their bullpen showing exhaustion Im betting they get pummeled again vs a Padres offense that come to life of late as is evident by average 7.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Considering the Rockies bats have also looked alert in recent games averaging 7 rpg in their L/7 games Im betting we see a fairly high scoring affair. COLORADO is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. COLORADO is 24-12 OVER after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scorecd.
Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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09-18-23 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Milwaukees starter PERALTA is 16-2 OVER in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. (Peralta allowed one run on two hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 3-1 victory over the Miami Marlins last Tuesday) PERALTA is 1-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.580. Cards starter Wainwright (4-11, 7.95 ERA) picked up victory in his last out in the Cardinals' 5-2 victory over the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. However, prior to that he went 0-10 with a 10.72 ERA.MILWAUKEE is 12-1 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Wainwright with 12.5 rpg going on the board. Wainwright owns a bloated 7.95 ERA on the season, and looks to be worn out entering this game, giving credence to what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring game right out of the gate. Play over |
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09-17-23 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 45 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 51 m | Show | |
Niners had the league’s No.1 scoring defense last season allowing just 17.2 ppg and are off holding the Steelers to 7 points and a total of 239 yards on offense. On the flipsdie, the Rams, travelled to Seattle in week 1 action and slowed the Seahawks down to a crawl, as is evident by allowing just 180 total yards and only 13 points. Needless to say both the LA Rams and the SF 49ers looked very good defensively in game 1 of the season. Both did this while playing in the visitors role. Note:NFL Game2 sides playing in the their 2nd of back-to-back away tilts like the 49ers have only eclipsed the offered total just twice in 18 opportunities dating back 7 seasons. Also away sides like SF, have gone under 13 of their L/14 road games after allowing 7 pts or less on the road in their previous game. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER in road games after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. Defense, Defense and more defense today in what Im betting will be a grinding tilt. NFL Road teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 5.7 or more yards/play, versus division opponents are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 64% or better, versus division opponents are 56-23 UNDER L/5 season for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-17-23 | Lynx v. Sun OVER 158 | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Connecticut blasted Minnesota by a 90-60 count in game 1 of this series, and Im betting they light the board up again, but for the Lynx to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own in a tilt Im projecting to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER revenging a blowout loss versus opponent by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 176.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 10-3 OVER in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this season with aq combined average of 167.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Sunday games. Over is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Sun last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 13-5 in Sun last 18 home games. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 165 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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09-16-23 | East Carolina v. Appalachian State OVER 47 | 28-43 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
ECU defense ranks 99th in total defense and 104th in scoring defense and Im betting is in deep trouble vs the Mountaineers. Meanwhile, App State is top-50 in total offense, passing offense, rushing offense and scoring offense and Im betting they tee off here today on their own home field vs a side that looks vulnerable . App State D, has also been sub par and even though the Pirates have not really been rhythmic on offense so far this season they should do enough damage here to help us eclipse this beat down number. Houston is 10-0 OVER off a home loss as the coach of E CAROLINA with a combined average of 79.3 ppg scored. (E.Carolina lost last time out 31-13 to Marshall.) Play over |
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09-15-23 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
In the opener, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.79 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Johan Oviedo (8-14, 4.34). My projections estimate that the Yankees will score 5 plus runs and the Pirates 3 plus runs which gives us an edge on an over ticket cashing here today. PITTSBURGH is 11-3 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-4 OVER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 20-8 OVER vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scorec. MLB road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 44-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Padres Pedro Avila goes to the hill. The righty is 1-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Avila is 0-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers and matches up well here. Avila just pitched 6.2 scoreless innings against the PadresThe Padres pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.86), 16th in WHIP (1.29) and 4th in quality starts (66). On the flip side, G.Stone despite of not pitching well goes against, a Padres offense that is highly inconsistent, as is evident , by a offense that is ranked in 17th in runs per game (4.55), 22nd in batting average (.242). Everything points to a lower scoring affair. SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg. SAN DIEGO is 33-17 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg going on the board. SAN DIEGO is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. ROBERTS is 48-30 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 43-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play on the under |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46.5 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 107 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jets and Bills have a recent low scoring matchup history as is evident by three straight under in the last 3 meetings with 37, 37, and 32 combined points going on the scoreboard. Last season Buffalo went under the Total in 7 of 8 road games when favored, while the Jets went under in 4 of 5 games as home pups. BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 35.4 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.3 ppg scored. Also Monday night home dogs have remained on the low side of the number 13 straight times over the last couple of seasons. Considering this field is prob going to be in bad shape after the Dallas. NY Giants games on Sunday it would be fair to access that the sledding could be rough for the offenses which once again favors a lower scoring affair. NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 5.7 or more yards/play, versus division opponents are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 21-20 | Loss | -113 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
Detroit is 12-0 OVER Game 1 of the season and have gone over 4 straight vs AFC West... DETROIT is 14-1 OVER in road games against AFC West division opponents since 1992. Lions allowed 6.2 ypg on D last season dead last in the NFL. Im betting on Mahomes and company to rack up points again, and for Lions QB Jeff Goff who had 4438 yards and 29 TDs last season to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own. KC is 8-0 L/8 OVER Game 1 of the campaign... 8-0 OVER L8 vs Motown with a combined average 56 ppg scored. . Chiefs scored 44 points in the opening week win over the Arizona Cardinals in 2022, and have scored at least 33 points in every opener since 2017 and they Im betting will be the the catalysts for what Im betting will be an over cashing for us here tonight. Play over. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
FRIED is 4-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.35 and a WHIP of 0.857 and Im projecting another top tier effort from a quality pitcher in good form as is evident by a current 2.52 ERA on the season.The Braves pitching has imploded in their L/2 games, and they will be primed to right that ship today. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wainwright has gone 10-4 with a 3.42 ERA against the Braves in 21 games (16 starts) since the 2003 season and despite of some inconsistencies during this campaign is still capable of slowing . down the Braves explosive offense. ST LOUIS is 51-36 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team ( 5.0 or more runs/game) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 1.900 or more over his last 10 starts are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-01-23 | Central Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 45.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Central Michigan returns nine starters on defense .After ranking top-50 nationally in EPA/Rush Allowed and Defensive Line Yards and they should be tough to work against once again. Michigan State returns four starters on the offensive line, but its line ranked 122nd in Offensive Line Yards and 116th in Stuff Rate allowed so scoring and moving the chains could easily be problem here tonight against a formidable defense. Meanwhile, Central Michigan has to replace their starting QB and running back from last season, and they also could find the sledding tough here early this season. The Spartans return seven starters on defense and the rest of the class looks to be tough as nails, Im seeing this being their strength this season. All in all Im projecting a fairly low scoring event with this Total not being eclipsed. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (C.MICH/MICHIGAN ST) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are 42-10 UNDER L/31 seasons with a combined average of 38.6 ppg scored. Play under |