Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-12-19 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Isles have slowed down most of their opponents this season, but Pittsburgh a team that bases their successes and failures on converting pp opportunities and attacking consistently in transition, the Isles will be forced to up their tempo and keep pace. With that said, Im betting a combined score here that eclipses this total. PITTSBURGH is 30-17 OVER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gog scored and 18-7 OVER against excellent defensive teams - allowing 2.4or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg. PITTSBURGH is 25-9 OVER after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 71. gpg scored. Over is 6-1-3 in Penguins last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play OVER |
|||||||
04-12-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
DAVID HESS (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) Red sox Starter left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez has struggled out of the gate this season, but Im betting he will right his ship here against the Baltimore Orioles tonight a team my power ranking suggest he matches up well against. Red Sox are 0-16 under with Eduardo Rodriguez when their opponent is averaging more than 7.6 strike outs a game and they lost in his last start with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOSTON is 22-9 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 17-6 UNDER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 116-59 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-11-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 This is the second year in a row that the Leafs and Bruins will meet in Round 1 of the NHL Playoffs. Boston won last season 4 games to 3, despite of relinquishing a 3-1 lead. Boston’s successes and failures are based on playing a top tier brand of defence.. The boys from Beantown are near the top of the league allowing scoring chances and shot attempts and are never easy to score on. Meanwhile, Torontos key to success is their offence, but at the end of the season their ability to bury the biscuit was consistently stymied, scoring 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/11 tilts. With that said, Im betting the Bruins D, against a talented but struggling offence, will stand tall here, and to try to play shut down hockey and themselves do their scoring in transition, which will make for a chippy affair, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 12-5 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. BOSTON is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-11-19 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
AARON BROOKS (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R Baltimore hasn't done much on offense the past two games, scoring a total of five runs while watching Oakland's offensive fireworks. Im betting on the Orioles offense to continue to falter, but today Im expecting their pitching to hold up enough to limit the As offence as well. Bundy the Orioles starter is 2-0 with a 3.60 career ERA in four appearances (three starts) against the A's. Note:BALTIMORE is 27-12 UNDER in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-10-19 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver can claim the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a win over Minnesota on Wednesday night. So you can bet they will play hard shutdown basketball here. Look for the banged up Minnesota Wolves to just go through the motions here, in the high altitudes of the Mile High City in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game the public might expect. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L2 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-10-19 | Blues v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Thanks in part to great goal tending from Jordan Binnington, who posted a .927 save percentage since JN 7, the Blues are one of the hottest teams in the league. Their calling card has been their defence , especially on the road where they have allowed 2.4 gpg this season while averaging 2.7 gpg on offence. Here tonight against an explosive Winnipeg offence, Im betting the Blues will be conservative and try to make this game and series a physical one that bases its aggressiveness on offence out of transition, which should relate to a lower scoring game here. When these teams played here in Winnipeg back in December the Blues took a 1-0 shutout victory , and Im betting on a similar blue print to be implemented by the visitors again. Under is 4-0 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Under is 7-1 in Blues last 8 playoff games as an underdog ST LOUIS is 14-3 UNDER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 12-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-10-19 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 15-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
A combination of a high scoring game yesterday between these teams and a couple of struggling starting pitchers, has made this Total a just a bit bloated, with value to the under making this a viable investment opportunity. HELLICKSON the Nats starter is 16-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored and is 12-2 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rg scored.HELLICKSON is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-09-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 214 | 108-118 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
After suffering a ugly 113-109 loss to the host Los Angeles Lakers the Jazz were embarrassed and their coach extremely cranky. Tonight Im betting on a rebound . Im alos betting on a more focused group that will concentrate on what has made the Jazz such a potent team down the stretch and that is the ability to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. Utah ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 2nd in in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Denver has also been playing more conservatively in transition as the season winds down, and have seen a combined average of just 210.6 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. This game has the makings of a hard fought defensive divisional affair. Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 home games.Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 14-5 in Jazz last 19 Tuesday games.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Utah.Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-08-19 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 10 | 13-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (1-0, 1.69 ERA) vs. Royals RH Homer Bailey (0-0, 5.40) I know the Royals have been giving up alot of runs in the early part of this campaign, but Brad Keller, Jakob Junis, Jorge Lopez and Homer Bailey -- have a combined ERA of 3.86. Its the bullpen that has struggled but Im betting they will eventually jump out of this slump and tonight do well enough to hold off a Seattle team that is in top form offensively . Right now because of the Royals bullpen issues we are getting value on this line to the under. Meanwhile, the Mariners starting pitchers are 8-0 and have combined for a 3.50 ERA over 64 1/3 innings. Their staff ERA is 3.83 and Im also betting on more of the same tonight in a game I have pegged to stay UNDER the total. Under is 9-3-1 in Hernandezs last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-3-1 in Royals last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-3-1 in Royals last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 road starts vs. Royals.SEATTLE is 33-18 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (SEATTLE) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 46-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 217 | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
There is still alot to play for when Denver and Portland go head to head tonight as they jockey for post season seeding. The Nuggets took a 109-100 win over the Trail Blazers on Friday in Denver and now in the rematch expect another tightly contested Defensive affair that remains on the low side of the total. Quote:"He was phenomenal," HC Malone said of the 6-foot-7 Craig. "His defense, his offense -- everything he did out there."The Nuggets were aggressive with their defense and the referees let a lot of the rough stuff go."It was very physical out there," said Portland center Enes Kanter, who scored 24 points and grabbed seven rebounds. "Their big men -- Jokic, Millsap and (Mason) Plumlee -- they were hitting me extra. But it's the NBA -- no complaining." END QUOTE Rinse and repeat here . Under is 14-2 in Nuggets last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 12-2 in Nuggets last 14 games following a straight up win.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-4 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-5 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a ATS win.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-07-19 | Nets v. Pacers OVER 219 | 108-96 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets grabbed a up a huge victory on Saturday night to boost their NBA playoff chances, and grabbing another win here would be huge for them in their chase for post season play against a team that has owned them of late . Im betting they come out here shooting darts, and push a the capable offense of the Pacers into a faster paced game. I know These teams play converging styles of basketball, but when they met earlier this season, Indiana took a 132-112 win in Indianapolis on Oct. 20 and Im betting on another fairly high scoring tilt here that eclipses this total. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored, NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play OVER |
|||||||
04-07-19 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 215 | 104-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons will host the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday in a matchup of teams still competing for a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference.With that said, Im betting on a hard fought physical affair that will focus on both teams trying to be mistake free which will make for muted affair . DETROIT is 22-11 UNDER after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of those 33 games clicking in at 210.6 ppg.The Pistons have gone under 12 straight times a as a favorite off a loss when Andre Drummond had negative plus/minus in each of their last three games with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.Hornets Borrego is 16-4 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games. are 34-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 14-8 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Cole Hamels (0-0, 9.00 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Corbin Burnes (0-0, 7.20) Hamels was really doing well last time out for the frst 3 innings, but then the wheels feel off and gave a up a grand slam. Im betting he has a better all around performance today in rebound mode. Hamels is 7-3 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 starts against the Brewers, including a 4-1 mark and a 3.67 ERA in eight outings at Miller Park. HAMELS is 20-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. HAMELS is 13-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Brewers Burnes is transitioning to a starting role after recording a 7-0 record and a 2.61 ERA in 30 appearances out of the bullpen last season. He is a very under rated hurler with alot of upside promise. I know the public likes the over here because of some obvious early seasons trends, but this particular game Im betting looks more like a sleeperfest than a slugfest. Under is 6-0 in Hamels' last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts on grass.Under is 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Hamels' last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Hamels' last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 51-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 9-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Mike Leake (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (1-0, 2.70) Despite of both these teams bats revving up with a boatload full of runs here in the early part of the season, Im betting on their being value with an under wager here according to my projections and models.
Under is 5-2 in Leakes last 7 road starts Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 16-7 in White Sox last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 35-14-2 in Estabrooks last 51 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Estabrooks last 14 games behind home plate vs. Seattle. WHITE SOX are 23-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 31-14 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 29-14 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-05-19 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 213 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Two teams with really nothing to play for go head to head tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Grizzlies own the 30th ranked pace in the league, and are ranked 30th in offence, and 9th in defensive rating and here on the road today will try to turn this into a grinding sleepfest. The Mavericks have gone under in 9 of their L/12 overall since Jan 07, 2019 as a favorite with a combined average 211 ppg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 209.6 ppg. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 86-46 UNDER L/22 seasons are 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-05-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Braves starter Gausman (10-11, 3.92 ERA in 2018) will against Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (1-0, 5.06) in the opener of a three-game set at SunTrust Park. Gausman was acquired at the trade deadline from Baltimore last summer when the Braves were looking for a veteran starter for the pennant drive. The righty hurler went 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 10 starts for Atlanta and garnered a solid 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.69 in five starts in August. GAUSMAN is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). Under is 5-0 in Gausmans last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.GAUSMAN is 40-17 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) Lopez had a quality spring. He threw 20 2/3 innings with a 0.90 ERA, ranking No.1 in the Grapefruit League, with a .149 average against and a 0.55 WHIP. Im expecting fairly low scoring affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and another under offers us solid edge on the number. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-04-19 | Cavs v. Kings OVER 228 | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento plays a one way attack orientated basketball behind the 3rd ranked pace and 10 best offensive output in the NBA and their D, remains suspect allowing an 114.9 ppg which ranks 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been playing very wide open basketball for quite a while as well, as is evident by going over in 5 straight games with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Note: The Cavaliers rank 30th in D efficiency in the league and tonight Im betting that will be exasperated in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 114-57 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER |
|||||||
04-04-19 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 128-122 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers took part in a run and gun affair last night in Atlanta that they lost130-122, and now tonight on tired legs with the likely hood of Joel Embiid not playing and Jimmy Butler possibly resting and not playing or seeing limited action Im betting the 76ers will not be ready to run and gun and instead try to figure out a way to play better defence against a top tier opponent the Bucks. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is also short handed from a bench perspective and banged up despite of Kris Middleton supposedly playing tonight and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court. No matter how much each plays , Im still expecting a more defensive orientated post season type affair that will feature more defensive postures than offensive onslaughts despite of both sides obvious abilities to put points on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more since 1996 with a combined average of 207 ppg on the scoreboard. PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in April games are 45-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 62-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-04-19 | Green Bay v. Marshall UNDER 169 | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show | |
This game is being projected to be high scoring, but Im betting the number is just to high despite of how the public views these teams and what kind of scoring output should be expected. It must be noted that MARSHALL is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 9-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 160 or more this season. WI-GREEN BAY is 22-9 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons with combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-0 in Thundering Herd last 6 home games.Under is 7-1 in Thundering Herd last 8 non-conference games.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0 in Phoenix last 5 Thursday games.Under is 4-0 in Phoenix last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 non-conference games. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-04-19 | Blue Jays v. Indians OVER 7 | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29 ERA) Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA), looked good in his opener versus Detroit. The 26-year-old right-hander owns a 1-0 mark with a 5.06 ERA in three career encounters with Cleveland. He soes go against a Cleveland team struggling on offence, but my pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest that the Tribe matches up well vs Sanchez and should do better than they generally have early this season. Meanwhile, Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29 ERA), allowed just one run and one hit while striking out nine over seven innings in a 2-1 victory at Minnesota on Saturday , but in the recent past has not faired well vs the Blue Jays as owns a 2-2 record along with a bloated 6.07 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six career appearances (five starts) against Toronto. With the Jays starting to show some offensive upside scoring 5 runs in two of their L/3, I like them to do more damage today, and help to get this score over the set total. Over is 3-1-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.Over is 11-4-1 in Blue Jays last 16 Thursday games.Over is 17-8 in Blue Jays last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-0-1 in Sanchezs last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts on grass.Over is 6-1-1 in Sanchezs last 8 road starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Sanchezs last 8 starts overall. Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games.TORONTO is 15-4 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.TORONTO is 31-14 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 34-19 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg. Toronto / Cleveland, Over |
|||||||
04-04-19 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (0-0, 6.00) Strasburg Nationals starter owns a 2.37 ERA in 10 outings at Citi Field, where he hasn’t lost since 2013. His Nets pitching opponent Syndergaard owns a 2.85 ERA in 16 career starts in March and April. Im betting on more of the same top tier pitching action here today and a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Under is 6-0 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts vs. Nationals.Under is 6-2 in Syndergaards last 8 starts vs. Nationals. STRASBURG is 11-2 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) STRASBURG is 11-1 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SYNDERGAARD is 12-3 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)MARTINEZ is 25-12 UNDER in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-03-19 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Giants LH Derek Holland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (0-0, 0.00) Dan Bellino the home plate umpire for this tilt is the type of official thats makes taking the under a viable option here tonight as the Dodgers and Giants go head to head. The under has cashed 57.1% since 2005 with Bellino calling balls and strikes. Dodgers strter STRIPLING is 15-4 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rg scored.
Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games following a loss.Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 road games. Under is 20-6-2 in Giants last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Giants last 29 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Giants last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 22-8-1 in Giants last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-14-2 in Giants last 51 vs. National League West.Under is 34-15-2 in Giants last 51 overall.Under is 34-15-2 in Giants last 51 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Hollands last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Hollands last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Hollands last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3-1 in Hollands last 16 road starts.Under is 4-1-1 in Hollands last 6 starts vs. National League West.Under is 4-1 in Hollands last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Hollands last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 18-7-1 in Hollands last 26 starts on grass.Under is 18-7-1 in Hollands last 26 starts overall. Under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-02-19 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 221 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Denver enters this game playing at a more methodical pace of late, then was the case earlier this season, with defence being the mainstay of their successes and failures which is evident by seeing 16 of their L/19 games stay under the set total. Nothing will change tonight vs the explosive Warriors, who also are now into play off preparation mode and also paying attention to their defensive game especially in transition as is evident by seeing 12 of their L/15 games stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 21-7 in Nuggets last 28 overall.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.Under is 14-5 in Warriors last 19 vs. NBA Northwest. Under is 35-17 in Warriors last 52 Tuesday games. HC Kerr of Golden State in his L/25 home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season has seen a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203 ppg. DENVER is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-02-19 | Lakers v. Thunder OVER 224 | 103-119 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being without LeBron James are showing some offensive flow and are off scoring a 130-102 road win vs New Orleans. Im betting on that attacking mode to continue here vs Oklahoma city tonight in a game Im betting goes over the beatable total. Note:Over is 10-1-1 in Lakers last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The last time the Lakers visited Oklahoma city on Jan 17 the teams took part in a 138-128 offensive slugfest and Im betting in a similar output again. Note: James also did not play in that game. NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 78-42 OVER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
|||||||
04-02-19 | Lightning v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Montreal (42-29-8, 92 points) enters Tuesday just a single point behind the Carolina Hurricanes for the final wild-card position, and two points back of Columbus for the top wild-card slot, and will depend heavily on goaltender Carey Price to find a way by the leagues most explosive side. Meanwhile, with a first-place seed already in the bag, the Lightning (60-15-4, 124 points) enter their final three games trying to stay healthy entering the play offs while practicing sound defensive hockey. Considering what both teams want to do here I am inclined to recommend we make an under wager. MONTREAL is 20-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored in those 31 games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - off a road win by 2 goals or more, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 38-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long erm 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
04-01-19 | Blazers v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | 132-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are still playing hard despite of not going to play offs this season. That was evident when they rallied from a 19-point third-quarter deficit to take out the shocked Warriors. Minnesota also trailed 38-20 after one quarter and got to within three points in the fourth quarter in a 118-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday. So tonight, Im betting they come out here shooting darts in full attack mode, and come right at the Blazers, and in turn Portland ranked 6th in offensive output will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own or face the same upset issues as Golden State did, and what Philadelphia almost experienced. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 63-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
04-01-19 | Bulls v. Knicks OVER 213 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks against the banged up Bulls Im betting will put up a boatload full of points on the scoreboard, with the Bulls chasing their opponents in wide open fashion . It's obvious by my previous statement that Im expecting this game to played loosely because of this meeting being of no importance in the NBA standings or to two teams headed for a golf vacations and not the post season. No where in tomorrows main stream media headlines describing this tilt- will "DEFENCE " be mentioned. The Bulls 25th ranked D, has struggled recently which is a good omen for this game being fairly high scoring.CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
04-01-19 | Pistons v. Pacers UNDER 205 | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Indiana owns he No.1 D, in the league, and are 23rd in pace, and at this time of year as the play offs approach even more methodical than usual. Meanwhile, the Pistons are ranked 7th and ppg allowed D, and 28th in pace, and are also methodical in their approach. Both teams dont score a prolific amount of points ranking 22nd and 23 in ppg, so a defensive minded old school pro hoops game looks like a viable out come scenario. INDIANA is 32-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.3 ppg scored. Under is 15-7 in Pistons last 22 road games. Under is 33-15-4 in Pistons last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 24-9 in Pacers last 33 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 13-5 in Pacers last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 28-11 in Pacers last 39 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-4 in Pacers last 13 overall.Under is 35-16 in Pacers last 51 home games.Under is 17-8 in Pacers last 25 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 32-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Grizzlies v. Clippers OVER 221 | 96-113 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers flew past the Cleveland Cavaliers in Los Angeles on Saturday while shooting a season-best 62.4 percent from the field, two days after their showdown at Milwaukee ended with a 128-118 defeat to the Bucks. Note: The Clippers have gone over in 7 of their L/8 and in the Clippers last 5 games they has seen a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored Meanwhile, the Grizzlies guard Mike Conley, who scored 33 points in Saturday's 120-115 victory the Suns and now look to be in a groove offensively and should be able to hang here tonight in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The Grizzlies have gone over in 6 of their L/7 overall with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. These teams have gone over in the L/5 meetings here and one more OVER Im betting is on tonights agenda. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 8-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
LeBlanc easy throwing southpaw will make his season debut against a Red Sox team he held scoreless on two hits over 7 2/3 innings with a season-high nine strikeouts last June in Seattle. He was 7-3 with a 3.95 ERA at home in 2018 and kept opponents to a .246 batting average Meanwhile, Bostons right-hander Porcello had a 3.75 ERA in three spring starts. He was also 10-3 with a 3.86 ERA on the road last year and gave up six runs over 15 1/3 innings in post season play. Under is 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. Mariners. These teams took part in a fairly high scoring affair yesterday with with a 6-5 win but Im betting on a more muted game with alot less runs! Under is 10-1-1 in LeBlancs last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 14-2-1 in LeBlancs last 17 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in LeBlancs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in LeBlancs last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 221 | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder learned Saturday night they're once again headed to the playoffs.Now today Im expecting this banged up and hobbled group to rest some of their player to extent this afternoon in a game that wont have alot of intensity attached to it. Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Oklahoma City ( Thigh ) and that will effect the Dallas offence here tonight. None of the L/L/6 meetings in this series have eclipsed the 224 point opening total and at 221 we still have value. UNDER |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky UNDER 142 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Elite 8 games have been historically played at a slower pace than the rest of the NCAA tourney. Auburns proven all season long that their offense is a strength but with key cog Okeke out or less than 100% their flow will be effected as well as their output. Meanwhile, Kentucky is now basing their successes and failures on a top tier brand of hoops and are playing at a distinctly slower pace than the pundits are expecting going under in 17 of their L/22 overall and 3 straight tourney games. Today against a Tigers side that shoots alot of 3s , Im betting the. Wildcats will be at their best as has been evident during the tournament holding opponents to 32.5% conversion rates from beyond the arc. Look for a much more stringent game than expected and a score that does not eclipse the total. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (2018: 12-7, 3.31 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Patrick Corbin (11-7, 3.15) Zack Wheeler the Mets starter today vs the Nationals was in top form to end his season in 2018 as was evident in his final 15 games , where he went 10-1 with a 2.06 ERA. Health, throwing inside more consistently and adopting a split-fingered fastball were the three keys behind Wheeler’s success and Im betting on more of the same action in this spot. Meanwhile, Nationals starter and new off season multi million dollar acquisition Patrick Corbin is coming off the best season of his career, having posted a 3.15 ERA in 33 starts with 246 strikeouts. Im expecting the new kid on the block to keep up with Wheeler and for both to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Mets last 13 games following a win.Under is 3-1-2 in Mets last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 12-3 in Nationals last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 220 | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Suns Emerging star Devon Booker scored 59 points in Monday's 125-92 road loss to the Utah Jazz and Im betting him and his team come out firing darts again and force Memphis into a faster paced game than thye might prefer. It must be noted that Memphis has really picked up their pace of late, and have been taking part in some more wide open games and that will be the case again tonight. In the Grizzlies L/5 games a combined average of 228.4 ppg have gone on the board and int their L/8 overall have allowed an average of 125 ppg. Over is 3-0-1 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games following a straight up losNBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 67-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia UNDER 126.5 | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting on Virginia implementing a physical battle as they prepare to take advantage of their rebound efficiency advantage (51st-highest defensive rebounding rate) . Im also betting they will be prepared to really slow this game down behind the slowest pace in College Hoops and control the flow because as we know the Cavs prefer not to take part in run and gun affairs if possible. We all know Virginias key to success or failure is based on D, and is evident by holding their forst 3 opponents in this tourney to 56, 51 and 49 points respectively. Meanwhile, Purdues key to success has been their downtown shooting, and against the nations 2nd rank perimeter D that allows opponents to shoot 28.2% from beyond the arc, the Boilermakers offensive output would and could easily be thwarted. This above combination will result in a combined score that remains on the low side if the Total. Note: Bennett is 21-9 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 122.5 ppg scored. PURDUE is 11-2 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 22-8 UNDER on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 106 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Dakota Hudson (2018: 4-1, 2.63 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (2018: 3-0, 3.61) Hudson the Cards starter today had a very strong spring spring training, recording a 2-0 record along with a stellar 1.25 ERA in six appearances (four starts), including 12 consecutive scoreless innings. Meanwhile, Woodruff is off great September last season garnering (16 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings, 0.73 ERA in seven relief appearances) and during play offs posted (17, 9 1/3, 2.89). The righty kept rolling and spring training as is evident by a 2-0 record along with a solid 2.55 ERA while mowing down 26 batters in 17 2/3 innings of top sheld work. Today I expect these two hurlers to keep rolling here and for this combined score to stay on a low side of the total behind what at this point in the campaign looks like solid bullpens. Under is 38-18-2 in Cardinals last 58 during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-1 in Woodruffs last 7 home starts.Under is 5-2 in Woodruffs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Woodruffs last 13 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in umpire Johnsons last 7 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.Under is 7-2-1 in umpire Johnsons last 10 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 50-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga OVER 139.5 | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show | |
TexasTech has a strong defence, but they are no slouches on offence and should be pushed a bit here by the highest scoring team in the nation Gonzaga. The Raiders when forced to score can light it up as was the case against Iowa State, Kansas , Baylor, West Virginia and TCU scoring more than 80 points in those games, and prior to their game against Michigan in the Sweet 16 averaged almost 8- points per game over a 10 game conference span. With that said, look for a much higher scoring game then the lines-makers might expect. TEXAS TECH is 6-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or less turnovers this season with a combined average for a 149.1 ppg. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-29-19 | Hornets v. Lakers OVER 227 | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Charlotte has been playing run and gun basketball for most of this season behind the 22nd ranked defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers a team that is also defensively in the lower tier of the NBA ranked 24th in ppg allowed. Tonight Im betting on a Charlotte team chasing a play off spot to come out here with their hair on fire and to force the Lakers into firing away with some offensive fireworks of their own which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair. CHARLOTTE is 8-0 OVER in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE is 27-8 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 13-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 230.1 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 125-68 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), on Friday nights are 48-22 OVER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-29-19 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 219 | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Denver looked exhausted last night in Houston losing by DDs, and scoring only 85 points and in their previous two games scored 88 and 95 points. Im betting their scoring deficiencies on wobbly legs will manifest themselves again in what Im betting will be a much lower scoring game here in Oklahoma City than the lines- makers expect. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season iwht a combined average of 211 ppg scored.DENVER is 11-2 UNDER in March games this season with a combined average of 212.3 ppg gong on the board. Donovan is 32-18 UNDER (+12.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina OVER 162 | 97-80 | Win | 100 | 84 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO We all know North Carolina runs their offence at a very fast pace, and Im betting Auburn will feed into this energy and that we will have a back forth pro style game played with plenty of points going on the board. Auburn averages just under 80 ppg on the season and N.Carolina averages 86 ppg. AUBURN is 20-7 L/27 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games . Play OVER |
|||||||
03-29-19 | LSU v. Michigan State UNDER 149.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 129 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC Michigan State an extremely capable team will be prepared to play lock down defence against a explosive LSU offence here today. Im sure Tom Izzos game plan will be to take the flow away for the Tigers, which will result in much lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers expect. Michigan State in their L/4 games have allowed, 55,60, 65,50 points respectively. LSU is 9-1 UNDER when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament since 1997. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
|
|||||||
03-29-19 | Tigers v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 0-6 | Win | 101 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
LH Matthew Boyd (2018: 9-13, 4.39 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Matt Shoemaker (2018: 2-2, 4.94) The Motown Tigers took a 2-0 win yesterday against the Jays in both teams opener, and Im betting on a score that does not eclipse the total here today. This Fridays pitching matchup features former Blue Jay and todays starter for Detroit Matt Boyd, who was just 9-13 last season, and struggled a bit in preseason play this year. Despite of a rocky exhibition run he is still a quality hurler, and was still hard to hit against in 2018 as is evident from a 1.16 WHIP to 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings ratio. Meanwhile, injuries have limited Shoemaker his pitching opponent from the Jays, to 21 starts in the majors over the last two seasons. However, you would never know it by his performances in spring training as he allowed just 12 hits while striking out 20 in 18 innings of top tier work. In his career Shoemaker has loved pitching against this Detroit Franchise posting a 0.83 ERA in five career starts against the Tigers, allowing just 21 hits and no HRs - in 32 2/3 innings of sparking work. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays. Under is 13-6 in Tigers last 19 vs. American League East.Under is 15-7-2 in Tigers last 24 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Boyds last 4 starts on astroturfUnder is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. American League East. Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 home games.Under is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-4-2 in Blue Jays last 19 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 on astroturf. Play on UNDER |
|||||||
03-29-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
The Celtics rank 8th in ppg allowed, and will go against a Indiana team that ranks 1st in ppg allowed and 23rd in pace, and 22nd in offensive output. Indiana has been struggling of late having lost 9 straight road games, which Im betting makes them even more conservative and methodical in their approach to this game, which will help keep the combined score on the low side of the total. Note: INDIANA is 7-0 UNDER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. INDIANA is 15-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-7 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 210.9 ppg going on the board. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-2 in Pacers last 11 overall.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 24-7-1 in Pacers last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 24-8 in Pacers last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 36-15 in Pacers last 51 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 26-12 in Pacers last 38 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-5 in Celtics last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 home games.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Green Bay UNDER 156 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals My own projections make this total closer to 152 which gives us value on a least a 2 possession number. WI-GREEN BAY is 9-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 11-2 UNDER in home games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more since 1997 CS-BAKERSFIELD is 7-1 UNDER after playing a game as a road underdog this season. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 211-138 UNDER L/22 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams against the total (WI-GREEN BAY) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are . 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Oregon v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY These teams run two the slowest most deliberate paces in all of College Hoops, and in a game as important as this Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse the total as physical grinding action should be key. Virginia allows just 55 points per game, and Oregon just 62.5 ppg. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more defence. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 119.5 or less (OREGON/VIRGINIA) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better ) after 15+ games are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan UNDER 126.5 | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 62 h 5 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Honda Center - Anaheim, CA Texas TEch and Michigan both play at a methodical pace, and both base their entire success or failures on playing a top tier brand of defence. The Red Raiders have allowed an average of 59.2 ppg while Michigan has allowed 58.2 ppg. Look for this matchup to be a grinding physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. MICHIGAN is 15-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. TEXAS TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 50 points or less against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 75-35 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Houston hosts Denver tonight , needing a victory to clinch the season series and home-court advantage in case of these teams being tied at the end of the season. With that said,Im expecting a hard fought physical affair with both teams knowing the importance of this game. Recently the Rockets have been really been paying better attention to defence, and as a result have gone under in 11 of their L/13 games in March with a combined average score of 212.5 ppg scored. Denver their opposition has also been playing more conservatively as have gone under in 10 of their 12 games in March with a combined average score of 213.7 ppg scored. DENVER is also 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Raptors v. Knicks OVER 216 | 117-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
New York has an atrocious defence, especially of late as is evident by allowing 124.6 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. The explosive Raptors now come in ready to run and gun and keep their offensive flow going as the play offs approach, which will see them put a boatload full of points on the board here vs a team that could best be described as being in tank mode. I dont expect for their to be much defence on display tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. TORONTO is 26-16 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. TORONTO is 14-4 OVER after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 11-2 OVER in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Mavs v. Heat OVER 210.5 | 99-105 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
The Mavericks don't have anything left to play for, while, the Heat are in a chase for a play off spot. I don't think the Mavs will give the Heat a pass here, and will try to play spoilers in this spot, while the Heat will take no chances and put the pedal to the metal and will be ready to deliver a conclusive win and I don't think there will be any coasting to the finish line , if they get up, which Im betting results in this score being eclipsed. Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga UNDER 147.5 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is often looked at for their explosive offence, but they are ranked 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and have held their opposition to 43% FG which ranks them 6th in the nation. Meanwhile athletic Florida State owns the 10th best adjusted defensive efficiency and have the ability to put alot of pressure on the Bulldogs attack . Im betting on this game staying under the total. When these teams met last year (March 22) the Seminoles took a 75-60 win, and Im betting on a similar combined output in the rematch. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GONZAGA) - red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more ) are 68-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 232 | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
In the frustrating 21-point loss at Orlando on Monday, the Sixers went nearly 12 minutes during one stretch without a field goal and there have been a few of those stretches lately, which could be signalling an ominous flash sign of a imminent scoring slump. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off a 148-144 OT loss, to Portland last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot that would see them revert back closer to their season offensive road average of 110 ppg or less in Philadelphia against a 76ers team that has allowed 109 ppg at home. Note: BROOKLYN is 15-5 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average score of 215.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
03-28-19 | Magic v. Pistons UNDER 207 | 98-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 12 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the total behind a 24th ranked pace and a D that ranks 5th in the league in ppg allowed and a offence that ranks 25th . Meanwhile, Detroit ranks 28th in pace and 7th in defence and a offence ranked 23rd. With that said , despite of the new NBA featuring alot of offence, we are at a juncture in the season when teams like this vying for a play off spot are very stringent with their D, especially if all their successes and failures hinge on top tier defence like these combatants. ORLANDO is 19-7 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 205.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road win are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-27-19 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 138.5 | 55-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
NIT - Quarterfinals Texas outside their conference in their recent NIT games have looked alot more offensively cohesive, scoring 79 and 78 points in back to back games thanks in part to the emergence of Courtney Ramey a young man that shows alot of talent and leadership abilities . Tonight the the Longhorns will go against a Colorado team, that can light it up when need be, as was evident in a recent battle with UCLA popping 93 points on the board. When I look at both teams weaknesses and strengths it becomes obvious to me that their will be alot more scoring here than the lines-makers anticipate. Boyle is 16-7 OVER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 144.5 ppg scored. Boyle is 6-0 OVER in road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of COLORADO with a combined average of 160 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-27-19 | Blazers v. Bulls UNDER 216 | 118-98 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago is expected to be without guard Zach LaVine (thigh) and forward Otto Porter Jr. (shoulder) tonight after playing Tuesday's game without them losing by a 112-103 score on the road.( If they do play they wil see limited time )The Bulls banged up and short handed will not be in any condition to run and gun and will instead try to formulate a more conservative game plan against a better team in Portland that is also playing without key guard CJ McCoullm which Im betting will result in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. CHICAGO is 22-13 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 201.5 ppg.
NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 37-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-27-19 | Coastal Carolina v. DePaul OVER 162.5 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
DePaul averages 80.4 ppg in offence at home this season, while Coastal Carolina allows just under 80 ppg on D overall . Meanwhile,Coastal Carolina is off of scoring more than 100 points against West Virginia in their last game and are flowing with the basketball as they enter this game, and will be up to the task of running and gunning with their exploisve opponents tonight in what Im betting will be a back and forth event. DEPAUL is 7-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 168 ppg going on the board.DEPAUL is 6-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-26-19 | Wizards v. Lakers OVER 233.5 | 106-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
The Wizards play a one way type of offensive basketball ranking 8th in scoring and 29th in ppg allowed, and are well rested entering this game and will once again been in sprint mode vs a Lakers team that is ranked 24th in ppg allowed and ranks 3rd in pace. This one has all the makings of a back and forth offensive slugfest that will eclipse this number. WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 240 ppg scored. Also Washington was upset at home last time out, and when this has accorued recently the Wizards have blasted off on a torrid back forth pace in their followup, Note: WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite this season with a combined average score of 242.3 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-21 OVER L/22seasons for a 72 % conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-26-19 | Pistons v. Nuggets UNDER 211.5 | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Detroit are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road in game in the last 8 days. Needless to say that up here in the thin air of the Mile High city , they will be in no shape or form ready to run the floor, and instead will be conservative in their approach to this tilt which will directly effect the total output of this game. Considering that Denver owns the 26th ranked pace, it will be an easy decision to recommend a under wager. Under is 12-4 in Pistons last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-8-1 in Pistons last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. DETROIT is 25-13 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. DETROIT is 27-7 UNDER (when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg going on the board.DETROIT is 14-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. DETROIT is 13-2 UNDER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 205.2 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 overall. DENVER is 16-3 UNDER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season with a combine average of 210 ppg scored. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 156-85 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-26-19 | Rockets v. Bucks UNDER 225 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
When the teams met earlier this season Milwaukee took a 116-109 in Houston on Jan. 9. Now as the season starts to wind down and the play offs approach I look for a more defensive style game, that will help see this total stay under the set total. Note: HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 217.6 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 9-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 47-13 UNDER L/ 22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 37-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-26-19 | Hawks v. Pelicans OVER 241 | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
In the new NBA where high scoring affairs are very normal, a high total like this does not hold as much value as it once did for sharp under bettors. Now the smart money recognizes the long term value of crushing totals like this based on obvious data observations. Tonight with Atlanta a team with the worst ppg defence in the league behind the 2nd fastest pace, we have a situation that bodes well for a very high scoring game. With both these teams New Orleans and Atlanta playing for very little other than padding personal stats, Im really expecting an all star game type output . The Pelicans rank 3rd in ppg offence and 27th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and will more than ready to run and gun here with the visitors. There will be no call for defence, defence , defence in this one. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-26-19 | Wichita State v. Indiana UNDER 138 | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
NIT Tournament - Quarterfinals India star Langford has missed Indiana’s first two NIT games after experiencing a back issue at the Big Ten Tournament and if he plays he will be limited, which in turn will continue to hinder the Hoosiers flow which is a thick a oil anyway. Indiana’s struggles from outside as three-pointers, which ranks No. 299 in the try in three-point rate, and the Hoosiers make just 31.2 percent of them, the No. 314 mark in the country, so rounding up points in bunches is not an option. Indiana has been able to compete because of a defense that ranks No. 29 on KenPom , and in their two NIT victories, the Hoosiers D kept both St. Francis (0.98) and Arkansas (0.90) under one point per possession and Im betting on more of the same here vs Wichita State. Meanwhile, WSU’s defense, which has done well limiting shots at the rim (33 percent, No. 93 nationally) and also defending shots at the rim (55.4 percent, No. 42 nationally) will be behemouth keeping a Indiana team that scores most of its points in close to struggle which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 9-2 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined 128.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 109-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. |
|||||||
03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount UNDER 139 | 63-81 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals Its never easy for a team like Brown travelling for East to West, and their internal clocks should be effected , which should effect their offensive flow. This Brown team bases its successes and failures on their ability to play strong D, so that wont be effected here, but will directly make for a much slower paced conservative game plan, which in turn Im betting will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BROWN is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick this season.BROWN is 13-1 UNDER in road lined games this season. It must also be noted that Loyola Marymount is also playing some strong defence, and is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 55 points or less this season whichwas the case last time out. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-25-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Southern Utah OVER 146.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Southern Utah average almost 80 ppg at home this season, and Im betting they hit that plateau here again, while CS Bakersfield does all they can to keep pace behind a offence tha taverages 71.2 ppg this season. CS Bakersfield averages 37.5 rebounds a game with Southern Utah averaging 36.8 rebound per game. Note: SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-4 OVER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg. SOUTHERN UTAH is 7-0 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons something they have just achieved with a combine average of 161.5 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-25-19 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 219 | 103-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 30th in pace in the NBA , 30th in ppg on offence and 2nd in ppg allowed . Their home scoring out put on the season at home clicks in at 103 ppg and have allowed 102 ppg at as hosts during the current campaign. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is ranked 4th in defensive efficiency in the league, and of late have been trying to pay alot more attention to defence as the play offs approach. With that said, Im betting these two teams current state of hoops operation gives us an edge with an under wager in this spot play. MEMPHIS is 32-19 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season with a combined average of 203.1 ppg. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons and 13-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 16-3 UNDER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with a combined average of 202 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 34-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Kings v. Lakers OVER 232 | 106-111 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
I was waiting to see if LeBron James was going to play tonight for the Lakers and now that he is probable Ill pull the trigger on a over bet. Sacramento and LAL both are both fast paced teams with the Lakers ranking 4th and the Kings ranking 1st. With that said, Im betting on these sides coming at each other with a full head of steam and combine for total score that eclipses this number. The Lakers beat the Kings 121-114 here on Dec 30 this season.SACRAMENTO is 12-4 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 239 ppg scored. In the two most recent meetings in this series this season these teams scored an average of 234 ppg. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Pistons v. Warriors OVER 219 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Detroit HC Dwane Casey exhausted his starters in a game that started late last night. The Pistons then had to make the 90-minute flight into the San Francisco Bay Area, finally getting settled well into the morning on a day in which they're scheduled for an early (5:30 p.m. Pacific) start. The Pistons now on tired legs and dealing with unfortunate scheduling just wont be up to playing the physical brand of D, thye need to to be able to slow the Warriors down. Im betting on Golden State off a ugly 91 point output last time out to really rev things up here and to put a boatload full of points on the board in a game I have pegged to go over the total. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. with a combined average o f223.9 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten game are 122-80 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Oklahoma v. Virginia UNDER 127 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC Teams like Oklahoma and Virginia that play at a pace of 65 or less have gone under the total 61%+ of the time since the 2005 season. OKLAHOMA is 12-4 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. Neutral court teams against the total (OKLAHOMA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after a combined score of 165 points or more are 73-34 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech UNDER 125.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA These teams played each other earlier this season with VTEch winning and both know what to expect. HC McKay of Liberty is a former Virginia assistant, and implements UVa’s Pack Line defense. Also heres a hint at what I expect as quoted from a Liberty players: QUOTE: “We’ll just try to play our style of basketball and not get lured into playing their style, … try not to get into more of an uptempo game,” END QUOTE: Flames guard Lovell Cabbil Jr. said. The Hokies focus defensively on keeping teams out of the paint and forcing foes to beat them from 3-point range and thats not easy, thus I can see this game staying on the lower side of the number. My projections based on both teams systems suggests a score that fails to eclipse this total. LIBERTY is 7-1 UNDER after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 UNDER in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons VIRGINIA TECH is 83-59 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game since 1997. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | UCF v. Duke OVER 143 | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC We all know the elite transition offence that Duke has lead by Zion Williamson. Also Duke has been a power house all season long from inside the arc, accumulating the 21st highest 2 point scoring conversion rate in the nation at 55.7% , and even with 7 "6 Taco Fall in the paint Im betting will still do a fair amount of damage offensively. On the flip side, the Blue Devils have have struggled in a 2 point defensive conversion rates allowing the 14th highest 2 [point scoring rate in the nation at 55.1%. Both these teams can play D, and both have similar length, but Im betting that the line is still just a tad to low and offers value to the over at up to 145. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCF) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or less), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 50-23 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 209 | 88-124 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pacers are leagues No.1 team in ppg allowed at 104.2 and own the 23rd ranked pace and just 22nd in offence and base all their successes and failures on their D and nothing will change tonight against a Denver team that is extremely tired as they play their 3rd road game in 4 days. Im betting on the Pacers defensive prowess and the Nuggets tired legs to contribute a muted total score that fails to eclipse this total. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 154-83 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 105-127 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable for tonight and if he plays could see limited time thanks to some less than serious nagging ankle issues.The Bucks suffered another setback Saturday night with reports that center Pau Gasol will miss the rest of the regular season with an injured left ankle. This could take away from the Bucks flow tonight which will directly effect overall offensive output, which in turn will help keep this score at the lower end of the spectrum. Also considering that the Bucks own the leagues No.1 defensive efficiency rate , a Cleveland team that ranks 29th in pace and and 29th in offensive output could easily find themselves dragging along here in a sleeper game than many expect. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 11-1 UNDER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Washington v. North Carolina OVER 148 | 59-81 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Alot of the public perceives the Washington Huskies as a slower paced defensive team, but when pushed as was the case against Utah State last time out, they can really rev up their pace. TodayIm expecting North Carolina to have a lot of offensive possessions thanks to their superior offensive rebounding ( Huskies rank 345th in the nation in O rebounding) .With that said look for the Huskies to have to run and gun to keep up here in a game the linesmakers expect will be a white wash favouring N.Carolina. WASHINGTON is 10-2 L/12 OVER in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average score of 158.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-23-19 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 216 | 112-99 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games and it began with a 108-106 victory over Minnesota on Feb. 5. Note: MINNESOTA is 12-1 OVER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.With that said, Im betting the Wolves come here and force, and push the Grizzlies into a back and forth scoring fest , which the Grizzlies have looked comfortable in of late with their last four games seeing a combined 249.7 ppg scored with all four easily going over the set total. Over is 13-5 in Timberwolves last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 17-7 in Timberwolves last 24 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 17-7 in Timberwolves last 24 road games.Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Memphis.Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-23-19 | Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 218.5 | 114-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Utah ranks 2nd in defensive rating in the NBA and just 19th in offensive output, thus making playing defensive hoops a priority. The Jazz have kept 4 of their L/7 opponents under the 98 point plateau and Im betting will be ready to once again play some staunch defensive hoops in this spot vs the Bulls. Considering the Bulls are ranked 27th in offence in the league this season behind the 20th ranked pace , I wont be surprised if their output is limited, which in turn will help keep this score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 21-12 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 69-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-23-19 | Florida v. Michigan OVER 120 | 49-64 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Wells Fargo Arena - Des Moines, IA I know these teams play stringent defensive ball, but Im betting on them eclipsing this total based on my projections which estimate both will hit the 60 point plateau in a back and forth affair. Beilein is 90-59 OVER after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of MICHIGAN. MICHIGAN is 12-4 OVER (after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 2 season. CBB teams where the total is 119.5 or less (MICHIGAN/FLORIDA) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (69-73%) are 60-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-23-19 | Islanders v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
The Islanders have been shutout in back to back games and are having problems burying the biscuit. NYI plays a very deliberate transition style game anyway, and when they are struggling to score they are in trouble. Add to that their on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 days and 4th in 7th days, Im expecting a very conservative effort in this early afternoon game vs division rival Philadelphia, a side that has lit them up in recent meetings by scores of 4-1 and 5-2. NY ISLANDERS are 28-7 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. NY ISLANDERS are 11-3 UNDER revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals this season. NY ISLANDERS are 16-5 UNDER L/21 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-23-19 | Maryland v. LSU UNDER 146.5 | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL Tigers can score, but their a below average team from beyond the arc. LSU shoots just 32.1 percent from downtown, which ranks No. 286 out of 353 Division I teams. With that said, Im betting Maryland slows down the explosive Tigers by derailing their transition game , and holding down their opponents from beyond the arc, which will translate into a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are expecting. MARYLAND is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 129.9 ppg scored. MARYLAND is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with a combined average of 127.7 ppg going on the board. MARYLAND is 8-2 UNDER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 128.7 ppg scored. Turgeon is 7-0 UNDER after a game forcing opponent to commit 5 or less turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND with a combined average of 127.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARYLAND) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 237-161 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Nets v. Lakers UNDER 229 | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
It looks like LeBron James will play tonight for the struggling Lakers, but even with him on the floor the team does not look motivated or very fluent offensively . It must be noted the Lakers failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 3 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off a tenacious DD come from behind victory vs Sacramento last time out for a win and will be in a natural letdown spot and on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game. LA LAKERS are 21-5 UNDER after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with a combined average of 219.3 ppg going on the board. BROOKLYN is 14-4 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored. ( Prior to those games the Nets looked tired and failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in their first two road games of this trip) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 71-31 UNDER L22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU OVER 126.5 | 73-58 | Win | 100 | 60 h 24 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC UCF finished sixth in the conference in scoring (72.1 points) but were first in field-goal percentage (46.3) on 75.4 shooting from the floor behind college hoops super star Tacko Fall. I know VCU is a strong defensive side, but UCF can force anyone into a faster paced game then they like because of their ability to consistently convert and hold a lead. Score and chase is the call here and a combined score that goes over the set total. Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UCF is 9-1 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 139.3 ppg. UCF HC Rhoades is 27-9 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VA COMMONWEALTH) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), on Friday nights are 32-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Drake v. Southern Utah OVER 150 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - First Round
Southern Utah average just under 80 points at home this season, while Drake has averaged 75.5 ppg. Im betting on those averages getting upheld here tonight and for this score to eclipse the total. SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-1 OVER in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Simon is 22-7 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 in all games he has coached since 1997 833 Southern Utah .Drake OVER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Oregon v. Wisconsin UNDER 118 | 72-54 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 43 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA Wisconsin has been a defence first team all season long, but have been even more staunch defensively of late, allowing 59.6 ppg in their L/5 while scoring just 64 ppg on average. Im betting they once again force their pace on the Ducks and will drag their opponent into a ugly affair that will stay on the low side of the total. Oregon has allowed just 64.2 ppg on the road this season, and will have no problem elbowing their way through this tilt. WISCONSIN is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114 ppg scored. Neutral court teams where the total is 119.5 or less (OREGON) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 31-7 UNDER L22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Gardner-Webb v. Virginia OVER 129 | 56-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Virginia were upset by Florida State by a 69-59 count in last week's ACC tournament semifinals. Now with a full week to rest and prepare and very healthy Im betting they come out like their hair is on fire and pound away with all guns blazing, which all by themselves will help this combined score go over the set total. Gardner Webb in turn will do just enough damage to get us to the promised land. Note:GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season with a combined average of 162.8 ppg scored . CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (GARDNER WEBB) - after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 23-4 OVER L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134,1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (VIRGINIA) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, on Friday nights are 38-7 OVER L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Colgate v. Tennessee UNDER 150 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 93 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Colgate score just 57 points in a DD loss to Syracuse in their non conferenc schedule, and Im betting they will have issues scoring here vs Tennessee. My projections estimate a total combined score in the mid 140 range, this giving us value on the under. COLGATE is 9-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored.Langel is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better as the coach of COLGATE with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored. TENNESSEE is 10-2 UNDER in the first round of the NCAA tournament with a combined average of 138.5 ppg. TENNESSEE is 6-0 UNDER after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 137 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (COLGATE) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in March games are 66-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Cal-Irvine v. Kansas State OVER 118 | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Kansas State can play a top tier of hoops but they will be tested by a UC Irvine team that can put points up in a hurry. In 3 of their L/5 fames thye had outputs of 110, 86, 92 points and could easily force Kansas State out of their comfort zone and into a faster paced game they would like, KANSAS ST is 6-0 OVER as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 155.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (KANSAS ST) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Friday are 26-4 OVER L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-21-19 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 | 89-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
It's no secret that Indianas successes and failures on their ability-to play a top tier brand of the hoops. The Pacers rank 1 in ppg allowed in the NBA 24th and pace and 22nd in offence. Tonight against the explosive Warriors their D, and conservative transitional game Im betting will be on full display. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 211.2 ppg. INDIANA is 23-7 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg. As the Warriors prepare for the play offs Defence, has become very important as is evident by GOLDEN STATE going 8-0 UNDER L/8 in March games this season and 20-8 UNDER (after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. The Warriors are 1-17 on the UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game. The Pacers are 0-10 L/10 UNDER as a road dog off a loss when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 69-31 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 106-53 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% long term conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-21-19 | St. Mary's v. Villanova OVER 129.5 | 57-61 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - XL Center - Hartford, CT St.Marys might of shutdown Gonzaga last time out , for a huge 60-47 win, but Im betting they wont be able to the same thing to Villanova. Its one thing to play a tough defensive game in their own conference, against a team they were built to compete against, but limiting this Wildcats group will be more challenging and Im betting the Gaels will be forced to have to open up or get completely blown off the floor. I know the Gaels are a trendy pick here by public bettors after the above mentioned upset of Gonzaga, and that their defensive play is a key to this total being this low, but all of that will go out the window, vs a Villanova side that can knock treys down at a 35%+ clip against much stiffer competition in the Big East and that brain bang you with multiple looks. VILLANOVA is 11-4 OVER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 146.1 ppg. VILLANOVA is 13-4 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-21-19 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5 | 0-4 | Win | 112 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
New York has been one of the NHL's best defensive teams this season and tonight Im betting they hold down, a Montreal team that has scored just 15 goals over their last eight games. Note: Islanders Goalie tonight Greiss owned a .959 save percentage, 1.25 goals against average, and a 3-1-0 record over four game earlier this Month. Meanwhile, the Isles are not exactly offensive juggernauts either, and Im betting they will also struggle to score in a game that will see this combined score stay on the low side of the number. NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season. is 11-3 UNDER in home games against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 2 seasons. The last times these teams played last week the Habs lost to the Isles and by a 2-1 count and now have revenge on board. Note:NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win are 280-189 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate ! Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-21-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Charleston Southern OVER 141.5 | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - First Round These teams are trending under on a base line total that does not project properly according to a team system vs system matchup power rankings system that I use. The lines-makers know how the public perceives these types of team Totals trends and plays to public sentiment. 'Ill take a contrarian view based on my own estimations which lean to this Total being eclipsed. FLA ATLANTIC is 10-2 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 143.9 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-20-19 | Jets v. Ducks UNDER 6 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played the Jets smashed the Ducks by a 9-3 count, shortly after that HC Randy Carlyle was fired. Now Im betting the Ducks in revenge mode will be primed to play much better D, and base this game on responsible transitional hockey. This Im betting will result in a tilt that stays on the low side of the total.
|
|||||||
03-20-19 | Wizards v. Bulls UNDER 233.5 | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
The Bulls put up a nice defensive effort vs Phoenix last time out in a 116-111 win and Im betting they will continue to pay attention in transition, and force the run and gun Wizards out of their comfort zone with a more precise pace. This will result in a score that remains on the low side of the total. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a favorite with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 201 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 11-5-1 in Wizards last 17 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 5-0 in Wizards last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with a combined average of 214.4 ppg. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games after a non-conference game this season with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored.The Bulls are 4-20-1 UNDER L/25 as a dog with rest off a win in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with non of the games eclipsing this total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (47% or more ) after 42+ games, in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 26-4 UNDER L/22seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-20-19 | Norfolk State v. Alabama OVER 143 | 80-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round Alabama is a team that averages nearly 72 points per game , and against this level of opponent Im projecting they will breach that total number in around the 77+ range. Meanwhile the Norfolk State Spartans are one of the top three points teams in the country from a conversion rate perspective, shooting 39.3 percent from 3-point range over the L/22 games (184-of-468). Another important factor for a over wager here is 551 free throws and 771 attempts are the second most in the D-I era and Im projecting them to score in the mid to upper 60s which translates to a total according to my estimations of a 145.5 or more giving us value with a over wager. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-20-19 | North Carolina Central v. North Dakota State UNDER 135 | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 39 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH These teams play a controlled type of game, and if they were boxers they would be considered counter punchers. Im expecting a medium paced game especially in transition which will equate to a total combined score that remains on the low side of the total. NC CENTRAL is 17-6 UNDER in all neutral court games with a combined average of 125.6 ppg scored. NC CENTRAL in their L/25 in all tournament games have seen a combined average of 128.1 ppg scored.Moton is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of NC CENTRAL. with a combined average of 126.3 ppg scored.Moton is 16-4 UNDER off a win against a conference rival as the coach of NC CENTRAL with a combined average of 128.3 ppg. N DAKOTA ST is 8-0 UNDER L/8as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points with a combined average of 121.5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (N DAKOTA ST) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 24-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple UNDER 155.5 | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Buy in games with a total of 130 or over have gone under 72% of the time in th history of the NCAA tournament. Its a do or die-situation so teams have a tendency of being conservative and this one sets up for a closely contested lower scoring affair. BELMONT is 13-4 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.8 ppg scored.BELMONT is 9-1 UNDER after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. TEMPLE is 8-1 UNDER after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 127.5 ppg scored. ( They lost their reg season finale 74-80) Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-19-19 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Isles and the Bruins are two solid defensive teams. NYI has allowed 2 goals or less in 5 of their L/6, while, Boston has allowed 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/12. The Bruins rank 3rd in the NHL in GAA and the Islanders are ranked No.1 in GAA. Im betting on Defence and more defence in a game I project to stay under the set total. NY ISLANDERS are 15-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season.NY ISLANDERS are 21-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BOSTON is 18-7 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. These teams have gone under in 6 of the L/7 meetings. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 225 | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Sixers took out the Milwaukee Bucks in a 130-125 offensive slugfest yesterday , and will now be in a natural letdown spot, and less than ready to run and gun vs a Charlotte side that is off a 93-75 loss at Miami on Sunday .The Hornets are 7-28 L/35 UNDER with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had more turnovers than assists wth a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored. Im now expecting the Sixers a team that HC Brown has said needs to pay more attention to the defensive end as the play offs come closer to practice stringent defence in transition . It must also be noted that the 76ers are 8-1 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average 218 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the combined average score of 205.3 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average of 205.5 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 41-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-19-19 | Campbell v. NC-Greensboro OVER 143.5 | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round Campbell has seen 4 of their L/5 games entering the NIT go over the total, with the combined score of those tilts ringing in at 149.2 ppg. UNC Greensboro has been explosive offensively at home this season averaging 78.6 ppg and from a matchup systems power rankings system I use for totals projections should be ready to pour down points again, with Campbell capably chasing which Im betting results in a higher scoring game then the lines makers are expecting. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CAMPBELL) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games are 69-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. OVER |
|||||||
03-18-19 | Pacers v. Blazers UNDER 213.5 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers' starting lineup will be missing a key cog Monday night when the Indiana Pacers come into Oregon.The Blazers will be without starting shooting guard CJ McCollum( knee injury) which will effect the flow of this game for the Blazers offensively. The guard averages 21.3 ppg . This will in turn directly effect the total offensive output of this tilt vs a defensive minded eastern conference team in the Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 22-6 UNDER ( versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.4 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 197.7 ppg scored. Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6-1 in Pacers last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 10-3 in Pacers last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 22-8 in Pacers last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 37-17 in Pacers last 54 games following a ATS win.Under is 64-30-1 in Pacers last 95 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 47-23 in Pacers last 70 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Trailblazers are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a loss in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored The Trailblazers are 4-21 UNDER L/25 as a home favorite off a loss in a road game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-18-19 | Bulls v. Suns UNDER 229 | 116-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
This is Chicagos fourth game in week and their on tired legs , while, this is the Suns 3rd game in 4 nights, with their last game going into OT on the road. Fatigue here at this juncture of the season, as well as past trends in matchups like this give us value with a under wager. The Suns are 0-8 OU L/9 at home off a game as a dog in which they had overtime with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored and is 8-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-12 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 211 ppg going on the board.The Bulls are 6-26 UNDER L/32 when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored. NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a road win by 3 points or less, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 94-53 UNDER L/64% L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March games and are 105-52 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-18-19 | Heat v. Thunder OVER 211.5 | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami beat Charlotte at home Sunday, holding the Hornets to a season-low 75 points. Tonight however, on tired legs that kind of effort Im betting wont come close to happening, as the Thunder will bring out the big guns behind the 3rd ranked pace in an effort not to play to the Heats preferred method of hoops which right now seems methodical ranking 25th in pace behind an offence that ranks 25th in offensive output.Note: Oklahoma City won the first meeting between the teams, 118-102, on Feb. 1 in Miami, and Im betting on a similar output here tonight. The Thunder are 12-1 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Southeast. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
03-18-19 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 225 | 105-111 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Im betting on a big time back and forth offensive battle here tonight with the total being eclipsed. Both these teams have played decent defence of late, but this will will morph out of control just because of the kind of energy that will be exerted here and the fact that after getting clobbered by Golden State 141-102 in an earlier meeting the Spurs will come out here with all guns blazing in ok coral revenge style hoops . GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 OVER after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons which happened last time out vs Oklahoma City l, with the combined average score of those follow up games Clicking in at 236.7 ppg. The Warriors are also 9-0 L/9 OVER as a road favorite off a road win in which Stephen Curry attempted more three pointers than two pointers with a combined average of 244.8 ppg scored. Over is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-18-19 | Nuggets v. Celtics UNDER 221.5 | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
These are two of the top teams in the NBA , and at this time of the season, play off bound sides like this like to play a top tier brand of defence, knowing that that will be key to any successes or failures they have in a quest for a championship ring. With that said, Im recommending a under wager in this spot. Under is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games.Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-1 in Nuggets last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 overall.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games following a ATS loss. The Nuggets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. DENVER is 21-10 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with the combined average score clicking in at 219 ppg. The Celtics are 3-21 UNDER L/24 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board with only 1 of the 24 games eclipsing this total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 62-25 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |