Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-01-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 13-2 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (4-7, 4.52 ERA) vs. Padres LH Logan Allen (2-0, 1.38) Samardzija has struggled of late but owns a 2.44 ERA in nine career games (eight starts) at Petco Park . Meanwhile, Padres starter Allen threw seven scoreless innings while allowing just three hits in his debut in the majors June 18 against Milwaukee and followed that up with six innings of two-run ball in a win at Baltimore on Tuesday vs the Orioles and is a strong conadidate again to limit the light hitting Giants here tonight. SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan UNDER 52.5 | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 34 h 38 m | Show | |
The Argos allowed 64 points in week one , and now Im betting they will be very focused on slowing Saskatchewan down, and playing a much better defensive game which wont be hard. Meanwhile, the Argos offence has absolutely no flow, and I expect nothing will change here on Canada Day vs the Saskatchewan Roughriders who are looking to bounce back after giving up 44 points in a 44-41 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks on June 20. In 2018, the Riders’ defence gave up 40 points only once — a Week 2, 40-17 loss to Ottawa. It looks like the linesmakers are not being swayed by the recency of these teams total points outputs and are sticking to a lower total, and now Im betting their number is not low enough. TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival with a combined average of 44 ppg scored.TORONTO is 28-6 UNDER when playing with 8 days rest with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (TORONTO) - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 107-64 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 153 | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The reigning WNBA champs have shown alot of grit despite being without stars Breanna Stewart (Achilles), Sue Bird (knee), coach and Dan Hughes. Hardcore D has been their signature style of play and has resulted in 10 of 12 games staying under the total. Nothing changes tonight against a visiting Mercury team that has averaged just 69.4 ppg on the road this season. DEFENSE, DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENCE. Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games. Under is 5-0 in Storm last 5 Sunday games.Under is 9-1-2 in Storm last 12 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 overall.Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Sky v. Sparks UNDER 157 | 69-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Chicagos D continues to improve and LA has been a defence first team at home for quite a while now and tonight Im betting on combined score that fails to eclipse this total. The last three times these teams have played in LA the scores have all stayed below the total, and nothing changes here today. LA ranks 8th out of 12 teams in offence this season. Under is 3-1-1 in Sky last 5 vs. Western Conference Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Chavez the Rangers starter is in top form and has allowed one earned run over 14 1/3 innings in his past three appearances. During that stretch, he's struck out 14 batters without a walk.He's 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA in nine career appearances (one start) against the Rays and is more than capable of slowing the Rays struggling offence here today. Meanwhile, Snell the Rays starter despite of being a quality hurler, has slumped of late, but going against the Rangers may help Snell regain his form. He's 2-0 with a 0.79 ERA in two career starts versus Texas, both coming last year. With that said, Im betting on this combined score staying on the low side of the total. SNELL is 17-3 UNDER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 15-3 UNDER in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 7-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season.CASH is 26-13 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span as the manager of TAMPA BAY. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Fever v. Aces UNDER 158.5 | 97-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score that combines to stay on the low side of this total. LAS VEGAS is 12-3 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite which was the case last time out at LA vs the Sparks. Under is 6-1-1 in Aces last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Las Vegas. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | BC v. Calgary UNDER 53.5 | 32-36 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams are going to have viable defences this season, according to my early assessments. In the past both these teams have taken part in lower scoring defensive affairs as is evident by the under cashing 5 straight times with the average combined score clicking in at 41 points per game with no score going past the 47 point plateau. Im betting for a conservative rinse and repeat type game here. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 22-8 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored.CALGARY is 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 48.5 ppg. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after playing a game at home, when playing on a Saturday are 41-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 10.5 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The market has moved enough on this total to make it a value under situation. The Orioles believe their starter today Cashner is over the blister problems he dealt with during the middle weeks of June, after the right-hander completed six innings last time out without issue. Meanwhile, Tribe starter Plesac will look to win his third consecutive start on Saturday in Baltimore and has momentum on his side . Th right-hander got off to a slow start Sunday vs. the Tigers, but settled in to toss seven solid frames, allowing one run (a solo HR) on just five hits. Today Im expecting and betting both these hurlers to go long and strong and to help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-8-1 in Indians last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in Cashners last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.Under is 9-2-1 in Orioles last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. CLEVELAND in 39 games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season have seen a combined average score of 8.2 rpg go on the board.CLEVELAND is 21-10 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season of 7.6 rpg scored. BALTIMORE in their L/187 games when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score 9.4 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Baltimore. Play UNDER |
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06-28-19 | Fever v. Mercury UNDER 155 | 69-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
According to my projections and the lack of efficiency we have in the WNBA market Im betting we have a value you total to bet into here in Phoenix tonight favoring and under wager on what is a bloated line in my estimations. Note: Key offensive Threat for the Mercury future HOF Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Back ). Under is 7-3 in Fever last 10 games playing on 2 days restUnder is 4-0-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS winUnder is 9-4 in Mercury last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix. Play UNDER |
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06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 58.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Im betting we have a slightly bloated total here because of the recency bias attached to the Ti Cats 64 point offensive explosion vs the hapless defence of the Toronto Argos. This week I expect the Ti Cats to have a natural regression in their output, while Montreal with a back up QB at the helm (Adams Jr) will struggle to score. With that said Im expecting this total score to fail to eclipse this number. HAMILTON is 10-1 UNDER after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game since 1996.HAMILTON is 16-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 50.7 ppg. MONTREAL is 19-4 UNDER in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 44.6 ppg scored. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.9 ppg scored.MONTREAL is 12-3 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996wth a combined average of 42.9 ppg scored. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 25-5 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-28-19 | Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Elieser Hernandez of the Marlins is making his fourth start since joining the rotation, He's pitched better than the results show, striking out 19 and walking four with a 1.18 WHIP in 18 2/3 innings this season. Meanwhile,Vince Velasquez the Phillies starter allowed one run and one hit in five innings Saturday against the Marlins, and his performance secured another shot to remain in the rotation. Velasquez is 4-2 with 2.90 ERA in 12 career starts against the Marlins. This year he is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts against Miami. Current Marlins are just 19-for-125 (.164) with three homers and 34 strikeouts against Velasquez. VELASQUEZ is 11-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) .Im betting on both these starting pitchers going long and strong tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 12-2 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 Under is 12-2 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in Hernandezs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 starts vs. National League East. Play UNDER |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 58.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Eskimos offence has been rolling, but their defence has been very efficient as well, as was evident when the unit got to BC Lions quarterback Mike Reilly seven times last week. On the other side of the ball, Winnipeg is well rested and off a bye, and will be ready to have their revamped D, do some work in the trenches this week and cool off the Eskimos attack. My projections make this total a little bloated and with that said, Im recommending we take and under stance here. EDMONTON is 9-1 L/10 UNDER in road games in June games with the combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 27-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a combined average of 49 ppg going on the board. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 48-22 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-26-19 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 149 | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Connecticut (9-2) had its seven-game winning streak suddenly snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago, as they looked exhausted. This team has had problems in the recent past controlling their run and gun ways, and exhaustion has caught with them. The Sun now playing their 2nd straight road game and 3rd game over in the L/5 days Im betting their tired legs wont allow them to run with wreck-less abandon against a Dallas team that is both offensively challenged and defensively aware of making sure they don't get involved in a shoot out. This combination Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimations might indicate. I know Dallas looked defensively hapless and helpless last time out allowing 86 points in a 86-68 loss. However it must be noted that Agler is 21-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997 with a . combined average score of 144.5 ppg.Agler is 24-8 UNDER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-26-19 | Mystics v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
I think there are alot of numbers here that might scream over to the public but as usual the public over reacts to recency trends which is gives us value on what my own projections estimate to be a slightly bloated total giving us value with an under wager. WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 games are 71-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 42-17 . UNDER 22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-24-19 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Matz struggled against the Braves in his last outing, allowing five or more runs for the third time this season. He failed to reach the sixth inning for the first time in his last six outings and my projections today suggest the the Phillies will score 6+ runs which makes this total vulnerable based on the Phillies output alone. Matz is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA in seven starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile, Eflin the Phillies starter is 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets, and I look for the Mets to enough damage to help us breach this number to the upside . Mets are 10-2-1 OVER L/13. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-2 in Mets last 8 games following a loss.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 overall.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 road games.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 on grass.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 18-7-4 in Mets last 29 during game 1 of a series. Play OVER |
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06-23-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a low scoring 2-0 affair yesterday, but Im betting on a much higher scoring game here this afternoon with Plesac and Norris on the hill for the Tribe and Tigers respectively. Both of these hurlers according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well , which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair. Over is 8-2 in Norris' last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-1-2 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 11-3-1 in Norris' last 15 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 20-9-4 in Indians last 33 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.Over is 4-0 in Norris' last 4 starts with Johnson behind home plate. Over is 13-3 in Johnsons last 16 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. The Tigers are 8-0 OVER in franchise history as a road dog with Daniel Norris when he went six-plus innings in his last start, going over by an average of 5.45 runs per game. Play on the OVER |
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06-23-19 | Mystics v. Dream UNDER 157.5 | 89-73 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Afternoon games have a tendency of being a little slower paced and Im betting that will be the case here this afternoon. WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-3 UNDER in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 56 | 23-39 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
CJ Gable had a big game in debut in Week 1 for the Edmonton Eskimos, putting up the second highest total rushing yards in his time in Edmonton. He amassed 20 carries and Im betting after that success the Eskimos will look to the ground game consistently in effort to set up their aerial attack. However, Im estimating BCs top tier secondary will clamp down here and hold the Eskies offence to limited production. Also from my perspective I believe the Eskimos secondary will be ready for their former QB Reilly and will formulate some strong defensive schemes that will slow him down. Overall I expect a hard fought battle between long time rivals and a score that stays on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-14 UNDER in road games after allowing 200 or less passing yards in their last game with a combined average score in those 46 games clicking in at 46.6 ppg. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (EDMONTON) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse and are 39-14 UNDER L/22 seasons fora 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-21-19 | Fever v. Sky UNDER 164 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
When these two teams played last week, the total was set at 166 and the under cashed with only 134 total points going on the board. Im betting the same kind of pace, and shooting is once again going to play out in a total score that once again fails to eclipse the number. I know the The Sky's three-guard combo of Courtney Vandersloot, Allie Quigley, and Diamond DeShields looked explosive and combined for 50 points in their 91-83 win at New York on Wednesday night, but the Fever, know this will be primed to play a tough brand of D, and Im also betting on a regression shooting out put by the Sky here in a game that will be much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. INDIANA is 14-5 UNDER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 156 ppg. INDIANA is 10-2 UNDER after a game attempting 80 or more shots with a combined average of 153.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 26-13 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 149.9 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 51-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-21-19 | Mets v. Cubs OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
The NYM send left-handed Vargas (3-3, 3.74 ERA) to the hill against the right-handed Cubs pitcher Darvish (2-3, 4.65 ERA) in the second game of a four-game series. Both these pitchers have been inconsistent, but what makes this total vulnerable, is the Mets bullpen and the Cubs sometimes explosive offence. Note: Entering Thursday the Mets owned the 11th-worst ERA in the majors (4.67) and the third-worst bullpen ERA (5.38). Over is 7-2-1 in Vargas' last 10 road starts.Over is 6-2-3 in Vargas' last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Chicago. Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a loss.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 overall.Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 on grass.Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 Friday games.Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. National League Central.Over is 7-2 in Mets last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Play OVER |
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06-20-19 | Mercury v. Wings UNDER 145 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Mercury have struggled mightily out of the gate this season without all star Diana Taurasi who is also expected to miss this game. The Mercury's flow is way off and Dallas also has offensive issues. These are two slowest paced teams in the league and low total is not low enough according to my projections. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in all games this season.Agler has gone under in 19 of his L/25 in home games after 4 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached . Play UNDER |
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06-19-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Jon Gray (6-5, 4.38 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (8-2, 2.65) The Colorado Rockies were part of the highest-scoring four-game series in modern history over the weekend, but because of this we have a total that is inflated considering the pitching matchup. DBacks ace Zack Greinke (8-2, 2.65 ERA) had a no-hitter through six innings in his last start against the Nats. He ended up allowing two hits in 7 2/3 innings. Greinke was only removed because of a one-hour, three-minute rain delay.Note: GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average combined score clicking in at 5 rpg.For his career, Greinke is 12-6 with a 3.71 ERA in 32 appearances (31 starts) against Colorado and Im betting is in top form here again today. Meanwhile, Jon Gray according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well s the DBacks offence, and should limit their offence in this tilt, helping us stay on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games following a loss.Under is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 96-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-19-19 | Sky v. Liberty UNDER 165 | 91-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Liberty after being in a game with a combined score of 190 points has the linemakers tweaking this line upwards, thus giving us value on a regression type score here vs the Chicago Sky. These teams have combined to go under in 7 of their L/10 combined games, and Im betting on another under here. Under is 4-1-1 in Sky last 6 overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Sky last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1 in Liberty last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 8-2 in Liberty last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-4-1 in Liberty last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-2 in Liberty last 7 Wednesday games. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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06-19-19 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Left-hander Matt Strahm (2-6, 4.66 ERA) will start for the Padres against Milwaukee right-hander Zach Davies (7-1, 2.60).Davies has allowed 28 runs (23 earned) on 78 hits and 22 walks with 50 strikeouts in 79 2/3 innings this year. He has a 1.26 WHIP and a .262 opponents' batting average. Under is 4-0 in Davies' last 4 starts vs. Padres. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter after a fast start has struggled with sore ribs, but is now close to 100% and has a high probability of returning to quality work, which Im helping keep this score on the low side of the total. DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. Under is 15-5-1 in Brewers last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 16-7-3 in Brewers last 26 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Davies' last 4 starts vs. National League West.Under is 8-1-1 in Davies' last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Davies' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Davies' last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Davies' last 5 Wednesday starts.Under is 16-5-1 in Davies' last 22 road starts.Under is 15-5-1 in Davies' last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-3 in Davies' last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 34-15-3 in Davies' last 52 starts overall.Under is 33-15-3 in Davies' last 51 starts on grass.Under is 20-6-1 in Brewers last 27 during game 3 of a series.Under is 8-2-1 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Play UNDER |
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06-18-19 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (8-1, 3.87 ERA) vs. Padres LH Logan Allen (NR) Brandon Woodruff the Brewers starter owns a 8-1 record along with a stable, 3.87 ERA, 96 SO. The up trending righty has quality starts in six of his last seven outings, including a duel with Astros ace Justin Verlander last time out in Houston. Woodruff has a 2.95 ERA over his last nine starts. Im betting he once again shows his metal by holding the Padres offence to limited production and helps us keep this total on the low side of the number. His pitching opponent, LHP Allen struggled a bit at the beginning of his minor league outing has improved of late, and gives the Brewers a look they have not seen which will equate to them getting limited offensive production as well. Note: Under is 14-3-1 in Brewers last 18 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home gamesUnder is 13-5-2 in Padres last 20 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 15-6-4 in Padres last 25 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 vs. National League Central.Play UNDER |
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06-18-19 | Marlins v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 103 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Yamamoto pitched seven scoreless innings in his Major League debut against the Cardinals on Wednesday. After being called up from Double-A Jacksonville, the 23-year-old scattered three hits and struck out five in the 9-0 win. Im betting this kid is on his game again and holds the Cardinals to limited offensive production in this spot. MeanwhileYamamoto (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be opposed by Cardinals right-hander Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.28 ERA) who finished 5th in national league rookie of the year voting last season. The kid has not been in top form, but according to my pitching vs batting order power rankings does matchup well vs this Marlins batting order. ( Miami has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs RHP this season) Under is 5-1 in Flahertys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-4 in Marlins last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Cardinals are 11-1 in their last 12 games with umpire Tichenor behind home plate.Under is 7-2 in Tichenors last 9 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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06-17-19 | Orioles v. A's UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Andrew Cashner (6-2, 4.73 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Mike Fiers (6-3, 4.63) Fiers has garnered a 3.02 ERA over his past nine starts. He's 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in four career starts against Baltimore. Meanwhile, , the Orioles are confident Cashner can pitch through a blister on his right middle finger that has bothered him for more than a week and forced the right-hander to miss his scheduled start on Thursday. Cashner is 6-2 with a 4.73 ERA this season. Im betting on both these under rated hurlers going long and strong and helping this combined score stay on the low side of the total. Oakland is averaging 4.1 rpg at home this season, while Baltimore is averaging 4 rpg home and away overall this season. The average score of Oakland games at home this season click in at 8.2 rpg. BALTIMORE is 25-9 UNDER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games 74-34 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 52 | 33-23 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
Both BC and Winnipeg should have viable offences this season, and some pundits expect a shootout. However, both should also be defensively staunch. The Bombers will have defensive stalwart Adam Bighill back and he is joined by the best defensive free agent signing of any team this offseason in Willie Jefferson. Meanwhile, Claybrooks the former Grey Cup champion defensive coordinator in Calgary takes over here in BC, and Im betting will have this stopping group humming with energy. Under is 5-1 in Blue Bombers last 6 vs. West.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in Week 1.Under is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games in June.Under is 5-1-2 in Lions last 8 vs. West.Under is 6-2-1 in Lions last 9 home games. Play UNDER |
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06-15-19 | Dream v. Wings OVER 145 | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Despite of both these teams shooting horribly of late, it still must be noted that Atlanta is allowing 81 ppg this season overall, and here at home despite of being banged up Im betting Dallas does some damage, and Atlanta reciprocates with some offensive fireworks of their own, which will result in a total that will be eclipsed. These teams have gone over in 11 of their L/14 meetings and 3-0 OVER here in Dallas. Play OVER |
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06-15-19 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 52 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 23 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Red Blacks offence were decimated via free agency in the off season and have a QB in Dominique Davis, who is talented but raw and will be learning on the job. So scoring consistently at least early on this season will be a problem for the RedBlack, and here today in Calgary. Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup Champion have also had big turnovers on D, but brand new defensive coordinator Brent Monson has what it takes to keep this defence operating at a very high level. The Stamps offence should remain competent , but a Campbell coached team ( Ottawa) are tough as nails and wont be easily beaten up on from the line of scrimmage. With that said Im betting a total score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games overall.Under is 21-5 in Stampeders last 26 games in June.Under is 17-5-1 in Stampeders last 23 games in Week 1.Under is 8-3 in Stampeders last 11 home games.CALGARY is 16-4 UNDER in June games since 1996. Play UNDER |
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06-14-19 | Montreal v. Edmonton UNDER 51.5 | 25-32 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 34 m | Show | |
Montreals offensive line is weak, and last season they allowed 66 sacks. I dont know if they will break that record this season, but I am betting that giving their QB protection will be a problem, and thus producing consistent offence will also be an issue. Meanwhile, their hosts The Eskimos will not be totally be focused on the Alouettes in week one with a Week 2’s match-up with former Eskimo and now BC Lion Mike Reilly looming on the western horizon. With that said, Im expecting the Als to struggle to score while, Edmonton is limited just enough to keep this combined score on the low side of the total. Montreal is 19-3 UNDER in June games since 1996 with the combined average of 44.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. Under is 5-0 in Alouettes last 5 games in Week 1.Under is 24-3 in Alouettes last 27 games in June.Under is 9-2 in Alouettes last 11 road games.Under is 13-6 in Alouettes last 19 games overall. Play UNDER |
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06-14-19 | Rangers v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Mahle the Reds starter was doing well during much of Friday's 4-2 loss to the Phillies. But he threw a curveball that Jay Bruce slugged for a critical two-run homer. He has been stable for a while, and could easily give us a quality start here. He has pitched is best at home at Great American Ball Park, garnering a 2-0 record and 2.25 ERA in three starts. .Mahle is also 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five Interleague starts in his career. Texas will go to their bullpen, but because of a lack of turns against this AL pitching staff could have problems generating offence. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg. CINCINNATI is 21-7 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. CINCINNATI is 25-8 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined score of 7 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be intense. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the linesmakers are estimating to be close. The Raptors are 2-9-2 UNDER L/11 on the road with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 Thursday games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 7-3-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less ARE 78-41 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-13-19 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Yankees LH J.A. Happ (6-3, 4.48 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Ivan Nova (3-5, 6.28) Through two June starts,Ivan Nova the Pale Hose veteran right-hander has allowed seven earned runs on 12 hits in 12 1/3 innings. Nova is allowing opponents to hit .333 and is 0-3 with a 9.39 ERA in five home starts this season. Meanwhile, AJ Happ despite of being a solid workhorse, according to my matchup power rankings does matchup well vs the White Sox lineup. Note: When Happ faced the Southsiders on April 12, he was beaten around for six runs on nine hits - one homer - in four innings to suffer the loss.Overall Happ is 4-3 with a 4.79 ERA in seven career starts against the White Sox. Im betting both these offences do some damage vs these starters and for this combined score to be eclipsed. HAPP is 8-0 OVER against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.3 rpg . HAPP is 9-1 OVER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg. NY YANKEES are 18-4 OVER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 9-0 OVER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season . with a combined average of 13.6 rpg going on the board.NY YANKEES are 13-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more this season with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-13-19 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Price the Red Sox starter, the 2012 Cy Young Award winner, is 4-1 with a 1.88 ERA over his last nine starts, and should be a stopper again tonight vs Texas. Meanwhile, Texas starter Sampson is 5-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last five outings after tossing a complete game versus Oakland on Saturday. Im betting on both these starters going long and strong here tonight and to help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. PRICE is 32-13 UNDER as a home favorite of -200 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 7.9 rpg scored. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.TEXAS is 20-7 UNDER in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 8-3-1 in Rangers last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Rangers last 14 overall.Under is 10-4 in Rangers last 14 on a natural surface. Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 10-2 in Red Sox last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1 in Prices last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-2-2 in Prices last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1-1 in Prices last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Prices last 5 home starts.Under is 8-3-1 in Prices last 12 starts on a natural surface.Under is 14-6-2 in Prices last 22 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 9-4-1 in Prices last 14 starts overall. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-12-19 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. SHAUN ANDERSON (R) Anderson allowed three runs over six innings in his last start Thursday against the Mets. He has delivered a quality start in each of his last two outings for the Giants. He has garnered a 16-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first five starts. Meanwhile, the Padres starting hurler Lucchesi finished the month of May with a 2.97 ERA and 28-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 30 1/3 innings. He did allow 4 runs last time out, early , but shut the door after that and helped his team garner a win. Im expecting these two quality hurlers to help this combined score stay on the low side of the total. Under is 11-4-2 in Giants last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record
Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 97-51 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 35 h 57 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Do or die here in game 7 tonight for both teams. Look for the officials to mostly keep their whistles on pause and for both defences and goal tenders Rask and Bennington to be at the top of their games. Im betting on a very tight affair, that bases offence on transition. The above combinations give us an edge on a under wager. Note: Only 1 goal was on the board entering the 3rd period in game 6. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season. NHL team against the total (BOSTON/St.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 144-94 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-12-19 | Reds v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-3, 4.70 ERA) vs. Indians RH Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.86) Indians starter Plesac will Im betting continue his hot start to the year against the Reds. In three starts, the 24-year-old has garnrered a 1.86 ERA with a 0.88 WHIP. Last time out, he allowed two runs on six hits through seven frames, throwing a career-high 111 pitches. Meanwhile,Cincinnati has scored just 16 runs supporting DeSclafani and this trend is being factored into my under wager here today. CINCINNATI is 13-4 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 interleague games. Under is 21-6 in Reds last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 23-7 in Reds last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Reds last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 Wednesday games.Under is 20-7-1 in Reds last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 40-15-1 in Reds last 56 road games.Under is 21-8-1 in Reds last 30 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Reds last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7-2 in Reds last 27 during game 2 of a series. Under is 33-15-3 in Reds last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 54-25-3 in Reds last 82 on grass.Under is 54-25-3 in Reds last 82 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 games following a loss.Under is 3-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 4 Wednesday starts. Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 interleague games.Under is 19-7 in Indians last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-6 in Indians last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 36-14-2 in Indians last 52 Wednesday games.Under is 7-3 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Indians last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 25-12-4 in Indians last 41 during game 2 of a series. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), in June games are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 39-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-11-19 | Mystics v. Sun OVER 166 | 75-83 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Washington comfortably leads the WNBA with 89.6 points per game and is hitting a league-best 8.8 3-pointers per contest.The Sun are averaging 87 points per game at home this season. Im betting both sides to take part in a run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Over is 5-1 in Mystics last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Sun last 6 home games.Play on the OVER |
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06-11-19 | Mets v. Yankees OVER 9 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-3, 4.61 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (3-5, 3.42) Tanaka will return from a brief paternity leave to make the start against the Mets. He's given up eight earned runs in his last 12 innings and looks vulnerable in his current form. Meanwhile, Mets starter Wheeler has yet to rediscover his second-half form from 2018. He’s allowed three or four runs allowed in each of his last four starts, garnering a 4.13 ERA over that stretch. My own projections estimate he will give up at least 4 to 6+ runs today and for this total to be eclipsed.( NYY have averaged 5.6 rpg vs RHP) Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Over is 6-2-3 in Wheelers last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. NY METS are 32-12 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 11-3 OVER after 4 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. Play OVER |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 59 h 21 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be a up North rumble. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the lines-makers are estimating to be close . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the seasons are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 .This is once in a lifetime opportunity for many of the players on the ice tonight. With a win St.Louis can bring home the Blues first ever Stanley Cup. Meanwhile, the Bruins with a win can extend this series to a decisive game 7 back in Boston. With that said, Im betting this game will be a war, and in these circumstances the officials usually put away their whistles, unless of a flagrant infraction, which will limit power plays, which will limit key scoring opportunities. Also both teams will be ultra conservative and very physical as no one wants to make a mistake in a big game like this. Im also betting on both top tier goalies Rask and Bennington to be wide awake and hard to beat making for a total score that fails to eclipse this total. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season.ST LOUIS is 18-7 UNDER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored this season. Play UNDER |
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06-09-19 | Storm v. Sky UNDER 165 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Thanks to the Chicago Sky being the worst defensive team in the league right now, the Total has been blown up past my power ranking performance indicators would suggest. Meanwhile, Seattle, a defence first team is off shooting 59.3 percent during an 84-77 win at Minnesota also added to this number but Im betting on a natural regression here to the norm that should also help this contest stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Storm last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-1-1 in Storm last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1-2 in Storm last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 overall. Play UNDER |
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06-09-19 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.64 ERA) vs. Astros LH Wade Miley (5-3, 3.39) Right-hander Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.64 ERA) takes to the hill for Baltimore on Sunday. Bundy is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA over four career appearances (three starts) against the Astros. Meanwhile,Left-hander Wade Miley (5-3, 3.39 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Astros in their series finale with Baltimore. Miley is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA over four career starts against a team he previously pitched for. Im betting on both teams do some damage offensively here this afternoon and for this total to be eclipsed. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-08-19 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. ADRIAN SAMPSON (R) Game #2 Double Header Sampson the Rangers starter has won four straight games, three of them in relief behind an opener, and has a 2.38 ERA in that stretch. He allowed one run in seven innings against the Royals on Sunday, allowing eight hits, no walks and striking out a career-high 11 SOs. Meanwhile, Bassitt the As starter will go in the second game of todays doubleheader. He has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven of eight starts this season. Under is 7-2 in Bassitts last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. These hurlers Im betting go long enough here for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 on grass.Under is 12-2 in Rangers last 14 home games.Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 11-5 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. OAKLAND is 20-9 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (TEXAS) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, playing on Saturday are 46-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-08-19 | Sparks v. Lynx UNDER 149.5 | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Minnesota (4-1) a defence first team under coach Cheryl Reeve allowed more than 71 points for the first time on the campaign with an 84-77 loss at Seattle on Tuesday. The Storm shot an amazing 59.3 percent from the floor. .The Lynx, regrouped with a vengeance , and applied their gritty slow down style of play this past Thursday's 58-56 win over Phoenix. Meanwhile,Los Angeles their opponents tonight ended Minnesota's 2018 season with a 75-68 victory in the first round of the WNBA playoffs, and their will be revenge on board for the Lynx, and a game that will be gritty and physical and that fails to eclipse this posted total. ( This will be LAs 3rd straight road game in 4 days so they will be on tired legs which Im betting adds to how methodical this game will be. Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sparks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 16-7 in Sparks last 23 games following a straight up loss.Under is 37-18-1 in Sparks last 56 Saturday games.Under is 49-24 in Sparks last 73 overall. Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 Saturday games.Under is 6-1 in Lynx last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 overall.Under is 8-3 in Lynx last 11 home games. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER |
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06-07-19 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Erick Fedde (1-0, 2.55 ERA) vs. Padres LH Nick Margevicius (2-6, 5.40) Margevicius the Fathers stater owns a 9.17 ERA in his last four outings, and despite of needing to get back on track, just does not have the weapons needed to so at this time. Im betting he gets banged around vs the Nationals, which will help this combined score over the total. WASHINGTON is 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg. Fedde the Nationals starter has seen the Over go 5-1 in his last 6 starts on a natural surface.Over is 5-1 in Feddes last 6 starts overall. Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 overall.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-0-1 in Padres last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 on grass.Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 Friday games.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League East.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games following a win.Over is 4-0 in Margevicius' last 4 starts on grass.Over is 4-0 in Margevicius' last 4 starts overall.Over is 5-0 in Margevicius' last 5 home starts.Over is 4-1 in Margevicius' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. SAN DIEGO is 11-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg. SAN DIEGO is 13-3 OVER in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. The L/3 meetings in this series have gone over this season, with 11,9, and 13 combined runs scored. Play on the OVER |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1 The Warriors uncharacteristically allowed 123 points in Game 3 of this series vs the Raptors which was just the fourth time they have allowed 120 points or more in the 2019 playoffs. In the two previous play off campaigns the Warriors allowed more than 120 points just 3 times in total, so Im betting the game 3 anomaly will not be repeated as will as a mean to the regression to the norm for the Raptors offence after shooting the lights out in game 3 ( 40% from 3 point land, 30+ assists ). With Klay Thompson returning to the floor for game 4, the dynamic of the Dubs defence will return which HC Kerr will key on in a very important game . Also Durant will be out tonight as well, for the Warriors which has diminished their offensive firepower as compared to when he plays, so D will be very important element for Golden State to even this series. When Durant plays the Dubs average 116.5 ppg on offence and when he sits they average 6.1 ppg less at 110.4 ppg. In the 48 times Durant as not played because of injury or personal issues , the Total is 30-18 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors with the staying under the total by 5.6 ppg.When Durant is not playing and Curry is in the lineup, the under is 26-15 fora 64% conversion rate for bettors staying under the total by 5.3 ppg. Note:The Raptors previous to game 3 were 1-8-2 UNDER on the road in the post season with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg scored. I keep hammering the under in this series, and I could drastically change my mind based on todays results. However, keep in mind Im not being swayed by a small game 3 sample size. So lets attack the under again. Play UNDER |
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06-07-19 | Rockies v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Senzatela goes for the NY Mets, my cross reference power rankings suggest he does not matchup well agains them.Left-handed hitters are batting .340 vs the Rockies righty. Meanwhile, the Mets starter deGrom was limited to 89 pitches Saturday due to a hip issue, and is not 100% entering this game which could easily put a dent in his effectiveness, which is never a good thing vs a sometimes explosive Colorado side. Note:The Mets have homered in 13 straight games at Citi Field, the most since it opened in 2009. Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in deGroms last 4 starts overall. NY METS are 24-13 OVER in night games this season with an average of 10.1 rpg. NY METS are 21-11 OVER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg. COLORADO is 17-8 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg. Play on the OVER |
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06-06-19 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L) This series opens Thursday night with a matchup of left-handers and the Nationals' Patrick Corbin (5-3, 3.46) against the Padres' Joey Lucchesi (4-3, 3.96). These are two pretty good hurlers, but my projections estimate a total closer to 8 to 8.5 which makes this a recommended over play. Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 road games. Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.Over is 3-0-2 in Padres last 5 games following a loss.Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League East. SAN DIEGO is 10-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 31-18 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), in June games are 87-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-06-19 | Mercury v. Lynx UNDER 156.5 | 56-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Lnyx shot 59% from the floor last time out and still lost to Seattle, and now Im betting on a huge regression here from a team short on fire power and big on playing solid defence. Note: MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.7 ppg scored. Their opposition here tonight Phoenix, continues to play without injured legendary guard Diana Taurasi, and despite of still having some offensive weapons will find the sledding sloppy here in the land of Lakes. Play on the UNDER |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 123-109 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Toronto Im betting will continue to play scrappy physical ball here on the road, against the run and gun Dubs. They practiced this in both series against the Bucks and the Sixers and nothing will change tonight in Oakland.The Raptors are 1-8-2 UNDER since Apr 03, 2019 on the road with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Golden State's D is very under rated and recently in these play offs held two explosive offences Portland and Houston to 99 and 94 points respectively here at home. More strong stopping capabilities Im betting will be on full display here in game 3. .Under is 8-2-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 home games. Play UNDER |
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06-04-19 | Lynx v. Storm UNDER 150 | 77-84 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota is a defence first team, that ranks No.1 in ppg allowed and 10th in pace in the league, with all 3 of their first 3 games staying under the set total. Meanwhile, Seattle ranks 2nd inppg allowed in the league, and 7th in pace. Considering the way both these teams modus operandi consistently plays out, a combined score on the low side of this total is a high probability outcome. Under is 24-4 in Lynx last 28 road games.Under is 13-3 in Lynx last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 20-7 in Lynx last 27 overall.Under is 19-7 in Lynx last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Play UNDER |
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06-04-19 | Marlins v. Brewers OVER 9 | 16-0 | Win | 105 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Pablo Lopez (3-5, 4.99 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Chase Anderson (3-0, 3.31) Lopez faced the Brewers once in 2018, giving up five runs in six innings at Miami on July 10. He pitched well at home this season, but on the road he has garnered a bloated 8.26 ERA with opposing batters hitting .303 along with 7 HRS. Im betting on the Brewers doing some damage today, and a for a up trending Miami offence to do enough damage vs Anderson the Brewers starter to get us over the total here today. Note: Miami has won 11 of its last 16 games after posting back-to-back 9-3 victories over San Diego. Over is 4-1 in Andersons last 5 starts vs. National League East. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. Over is 36-17-2 in Marlins last 55 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 games following an off day.Over is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Milwaukee.Over is 33-15-3 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Game 2 - NBA Finals The Raptors who have owned the best half court D in the postseason did well in game 1 by focusing their attention on Curry and Thompson and with no Durant on the floor the Raptors should continue to be effective slowing down the splash brothers again. Right now the Warriors just don't have enough outlets, and the Dubs HC Kerr know s this , and being the top tier director and game facilitator he is Im betting the ball coach will have his D prepared to play a more guarded transitional game that will help this score stay on the low side of the total. Also it is highly unlikely key Raptors players like Pascal Siakam will score anywhere near what they did in game one, and that the Dinos offensive output is also curtailed in a game that Im betting stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Sunday games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Play UNDER |
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06-02-19 | Sun v. Aces OVER 167 | 80-74 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
In last years three meetings these teams Conn and LV combined to average 182.33 ppg, with at least one team scoring 90 points or more each time and with two of the tilts seeing Connecticut score more than 100 points. Both teams remain offensively explosive this season, and an all out run and gun affair must be expected again. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-2-1 in Aces last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 214 | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors enter this game ranked 8th in points per game allowed in the league and 15th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors rank 13th in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams have a great deal of offensive talent, but both also have some gritty defensive players. During these play offs the Raptors have made teams like Milwaukee and Philadelphia look less than fluid thanks to their ability to break the flow of their opponents, and Im sure that same formula will be in place Thursday night.It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their reputation as gunslingers also have the ability to play a top tier brand of D, and that Im betting will also be on display. With that said, Im expecting a chippy physical affair here in Toronto and a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 25-10 in Warriors last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 12-5-1 in Warriors last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-30-19 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 8 | 3-14 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Tropicana Field is not a hitters park, being in a dome and having poor sight lines makes this a pitchers park, which sits well with the Rays/ With two uptrending hurlers(Martin Perez 7-1, 2.95 ERA vs. Charlie Morton 5-0, 2.54 ERA) in top form on the hill the under looks like a viable wager here ,as two strong teams go head to head in what should be a hard fought battle. Under is 5-1 in Perezs last 6 starts overall. Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall. Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 34-15-4 in Rays last 53 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Rays last 14 Thursday games.Under is 5-1 in Mortons last 6 starts overall. MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this seaso with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. .TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER against left-handed starters this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-29-19 | Storm v. Lynx UNDER 155 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
With reigning MVP Breanna Stewart (Achilles) out for the season and league legend Sue Bird (knee) sidelined indefinitely the team will focus on playing top tier defence .With superstar Maya Moore taking the 2019 season off to focus on family and her ministry work, the Lynx will also have their attack flow interrupted which Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of total. MINNESOTA is 6-0 UNDER in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-4 UNDER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-1 in Lynx last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Lynx last 6 Wednesday games.Under is 16-5 in Lynx last 21 overall.Under is 16-5 in Lynx last 21 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Lynx last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 6-2-1 in Storm last 9 vs. Western Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Storm last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 8-3-1 in Storm last 12 overall. Play UNDER |
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05-28-19 | Fever v. Sun OVER 161.5 | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
The 3 most recent meetings in this series between the Fever and the Suns have all been fairly high scoring with the lowest scoring tilt clicking in at 163 combined points. Im betting that both sides with one game under their belts should be ready to run and gun here this evening in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. Over is 3-1-1 in Fever last 5 overall.Over is 6-2 in Fever last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up recordOver is 6-0 in Sun last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Connecticut. Play on the OVER |
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05-28-19 | Padres v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) NYY starter Tanaka will look to finish up a strong month of May on the right foot. He has a 2.15 ERA in five starts this month, including just two combined runs allowed in his last three starts, a span of 19 innings and matches up well vs the Fathers batting order. Meanwhile, Padres starter Lauer is coming off one of his best starts in the Majors as he threw seven innings of one-run ball in a win against the D-backs with seven strikeouts and zero walks. He's now reached the 100-pitch plateau in back-to-back starts .Note:Under is 5-0-1 in Lauers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons with an average of 6.8 rpg scored.BOONE is 22-10 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored in those 32 games. Play UNDER |
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05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Both Boston and the Blues have top tier goaltending and defences, and very physical units. This Im betting will be on full display here in game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals this Monday night. Bostons super star net minder Tuukka Rask leads playoff goalies with an NHL-best 1.84 goals-against average and .942 save percentage. Blues goalie Bennington owns NHL-best 1.89 GAA, a .927 save percentage (fourth in the NHL) and five shutouts during the reg season and enters this finals series on fire stopping 75 of 77 shots (.974 save percentage) in winning the final three games vs San Jose. UNDER is 20-7 in Blues last 27 vs. Atlantic. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (BOSTON/ST.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 140-86 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-26-19 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L) After winning his first two games, Leake the As starter is 1-5 with a 5.21 ERA over his last eight. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Anderson is dealing with a neck strain and may not be 100% here. Anderson did not look good at Seattle when he opposed Leake on May 14 and served up three homers including six hits in six innings of sub par work. Today Im betting todays starting pitcher will effect a energy surge to the over as will a home plate umpire that has taken part in alot of high scoring affairs. Note:Over is 21-8-3 in Gucciones last 32 games behind home plate. The Mariners dating back to last Sept are 43-19-3 OVER with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 20-8 in Mariners last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 7-0 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 11-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season for a 12.1 rpg. SEATTLE is 15-4 OVER in day games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Over is 7-2 in Andersons last 9 starts overall.Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have made the Bucks look bad in the last two meetings on this series. It must be noted that Milwaukee has stayed UNDER 10 straight times with rest when they are off two double-digit ATS losses and the line is -3 to a pick. Overall in this series the Bucks and the Raptors have struggled offensively .In game 5 the ugliness of this series was highlighted as Toronto went 31-of-84 from the field while the Bucks were 38-of-84. The Raptors actually made seven fewer FGs, but they came out on top because they made twelve more charity stripe conversions than the Bucks. Tonight with so much on the line, I expect this to be a very physical game that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 14-6 in Bucks last 20 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-4-1 in Raptors last 14 games following a straight up win.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-24-19 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. GRIFFIN CANNING (R) Angels starter Canning is coming off the best start of his career, throwing seven scoreless innings against the Royals. He scattered just three hits and a walk while striking out five and Im betting on him going long and strong in this outing vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my power rankings. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Smyly is in two starts and one relief appearance since returning from the injured list on May 5 has held opponents to a .191 batting average and is more than capable of having a decent start here again. TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall.Under is 18-7-1 in Angels last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 34-15-2 in Angels last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 38-18-4 in Angels last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts overall. Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 during game 1 of a series Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA ANGELS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R) These two pitchers give the assumption to public bettors that this looks like and easy slam dunk for the over. Truth is the number is frothy at this number, and offers us value on the under in contrarian fashion. Angels have eclipsed the total only one time in their L/10 games. Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 Tuesday games. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 51-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while the Raptors have gone under 7 straight times in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also 0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 Its win or go home for the banged up Sharks tonight, so Im betting they will be very physical, and aggressive from the get go, but at the same time conscious of playing solid transitional hockey with alot more emphasis on being coherent defensively. Meanwhile, St.Louis despite of consistently finding ways to score timely goals, are a defence first team, with multitudes of patience , and when all else fails a goaltending phenom by the Bennington on their side. With so much on the line here in game 6 for both sides Im betting we see a hard fought low scoring game. SAN JOSE is 18-7 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.4 gpg. JOSE is 21-8 L/29 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games. NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 100-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (SAN JOSE) - after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 417-283 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-20-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) vs. Padres RH Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99) Weaver has recorded three straight quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings and has been a road warrior for the D-backs this year, going 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts away from Chase Field. In four career starts against the Padres, he is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter Paddack's ERA sits below 2, and opponents have a .146 batting average against him, the lowest mark in the Majors. The young hurler owns a 49-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 45 1/3 innings in his first eight starts. The linesmakers expect a pitchers duel and Im on board, with a key number 7 offering value to the under according to my projections. SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Paddacks last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts overall. Play on UNDER |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total. PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a 108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-18-19 | Rockies v. Phillies OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (3-2, 5.35 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.86) This contest today features a rematch of Philadelphia’s 8-5 victory on April 20 in Denver. Citizens Park in Philadelphia is also a hitters park like Coors is , and today Im expecting some offensive fireworks in a notorious hitters park .Nola has not pitched as well overall as he did last season, but thanks to an explosive offence is receiving superior run support to remain in the unbeaten column. Nola only has three quality starts in nine starts this season.NOLA is 8-1 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. . Meanwhile, Rockies stater Senzatela has pitched well overall but of late has produced a 7.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, and according to my cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against him and and project do adequate damage to get us over the set total this afternoon. Over is 5-0 in Senzatelas last 5 starts overall.Over is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Nolas last 9 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Colorado is average 5.2 rpg this season and Philadelphia is averaging 5.3 rpg at home. COLORADO is 11-1 OVER in May games this season with an average of 14.7 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors starters logged a lot of minutes last time out, in game 1 of this series vs the Bucks and were previously off a 7 game series with the Sixers . So fatigue factors come into play for the Dinos as was the case in the fourth quarter of the last game where the Raptors were rolled over by a team that they had lead by DDs at different junctures of this matchup. Contrary to belief it takes more effort and stamina to play strong physical defence than to run and gun and wide open fashion and tonight Im betting the Raptors are forced to open up in transition because of the inability to defend vs a fresher side . This is the lowest total the books have offered from the 5 games these teams have played this year, and the one with the most value for an OVER wager to cash. MILWAUKEE in 49 games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. Toronto in their L/11 after failing to cover the spread in 3 game or more have seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg scored. Note: The Raptors have gone 6-0 OVER L/6 as a pup with less than two days rest after a loss in which they were ahead by double digits at some point, going over the number by an average of 23.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 7-0 OVER L/7 with less than two days rest off a win as chalk after a victory where they were behind by double digits, going over the Total by an average of 20 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 40-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 217.5 | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State rolled to a 116-94 win vs Portland in the first game of this series, and Im betting they are just getting ramped up. Portland had issues converting from the field and despite of being on tired legs did play more efficient conservative ball like they did against Denver, but the Warriors have just to much firepower, so their efforts were muted . With that said, Im expecting this Portland Blazers team to man up here and play more aggressive offensive hoops behind their splash brothers Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum vs the explosive Dubs in a game Im betting will be much higher scoring than the first game. Over is 26-8-1 in Trail Blazers last 36 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 11-4 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up loss.Over is 19-8 in Trail Blazers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-5 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Warriors are 8-0 OVER L/8 in playoff games when they are off a home victory where they held their opposition under their season-to-date shooting percentage average by more than ten percentage points, going over by an average of +21 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight game are 130-89 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-15-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R) Right-hander Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21) will face St. Louis right-hander Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35) in the second game of the three-game series in Atlanta.Last time out, Soroka became the first MLB pitcher since earned runs became official in both leagues in 1913 to allow one or fewer earned runs as a starter in eight of his first 10 career games. Im expecting both hurlers to hold their own here against batting orders that my projections suggest they matchup well against. Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 9-4-1 in Cardinals last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Sorokas last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. ATLANTA is 20-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Portland has really piked up its defensive intensity in these play offs. That was evident vs the Denver Nuggets in this last series. Note: Since late December of 2015, the Denver Nuggets were held to under 37.1% shooting from the field at home in only two games - both were in their playoff series vs Portland. Now the Blazers will go against an explosive Golden State team that they know they wont easily compete against in a run and gun affair, and instead Im betting will focus on a more conservative physical approach here that will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 Conference Finals games Play UNDER |
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05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAN Leads 1-0 San Jose won game 1 of this series by a 6-3 count, and Im betting on more high octane work here tonight by both teams in a game Im betting eclipses the total. Considering how erratic Martin Jones San Jose goalie has been all season, its an easy decision to take an over stance here. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 road games. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-0 in Blues last 4 Conference Finals games. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 56-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I know that play off series when they go deep have a tendency of going under. However all games must be treated independently of each other. There is just to much offence on the floor here tonight in a game that I have pegged to be closely contested for this total not to breached . PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 53 games vs up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 As in all NBA play off games that have gone deep into a series the opposing sides are a bit fatigued and both sides are very accustomed to each others offensive schemes and all the necessary defensive adjustments have been accounted for thus a lower scoring affair is not out of the ordinary. Add that both sides do not want to make mistakes, and conservative hoops is the norm that makes a under wager here a viable investment option. The L/14 seasons have seen the under go 97-69 UNDER in game 6 and 7s of play off series. Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 14-5 in Nuggets last 19 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 213 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 These teams have had alot of half court games over the last few seasons, but the two games played in Houston in this series, showed some more wide open hoops. With Houston on the verge of elimination Im betting they unload here in a big way and leave everything on the court in aggressive fashion which will force the Warriors to run and gun with their desperate opponents in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. The Rockets in their L/10 games since Mar 17, 2019 as a home favorite have seen a combined average score of 220.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-2 OVER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg going on the score board. GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 OVER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 104-52 OVER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-19 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L) Chicago left-hander Jose Quintana (4-1, 3.40 ERA) will make his second start against Milwaukee this season. Quintana is 6-2 owns a 1.62 ERA vs the Brewers. Last year alone, Quintana was 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA vs Milwaukee and Im betting on him having a quality start today. Meanwhile, Gonzalez the Brewers starter has made two starts for the Brewers each against the New York Mets and he has a 2.61 ERA with no decisions in 10 1/3 innings. He has gone at least five innings in each start and has allowed nine hits, just one walk and no homers. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 home starts vs. Brewers.Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.MILWAUKEE is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons with an average of 7.2 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg. MADDON is 32-13 UNDER after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS with a combined 7.4 rpg scored. The wind is blowing in from center field today at Wrigley Field. In the recent past , the under 105-72-8 L/185 record at Wrigley when the wind is blowing in , and we once again have value on the under here today. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record and are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212.5 | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 With the way the Sixers are shooting, and their flow has been for the last couple of games Im betting they wont just suddenly come out here and light things up. Add to that when the Sixers star Embiid is off the court his team has been a wreck, and with him playing they have really not been been much better, as its obvious to me hes not 100% as rumors swirl about his fitness and possible ill health at a very inopportune time. Because the Sixers chemistry looks to be a shambles entering this game I fully expect them to have a muted offensive effort in a game that has a high probability of not eclipsing the number. Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-0-1 in Raptors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Raptors last 10 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-2-1 in Raptors last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.TORONTO is 24-7 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER (LATE STEAM) |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 | 91-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - MIL Leads 3-1 The Celtics are now in desperation mode and must get back to what made their opening game in this series a successful one. In game 1 the Celtics held the Bucks to 90 points and got a win, and since than gotten away from the type of defensive ball that has made them successful over the last few seasons. Tonight Im betting they pay very strict attention to D, knowing that they can not out score the Bucks in a fast paced game and are a big time disadvantage. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers and public might expect. BOSTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 These teams base most of their successes and failures on playing hard nosed hockey that keys on top tier defences and goalies . Also in game 7s refs usually make sure the game is not decided on border line calls, so penalties and power plays should be limited. Add to that the Vegas Knights penalty fiasco and you can make a case for the refs being very cautious with their whistles in what will be a grinding conservative affair that will be based on each sides transition game, which Im betting aides in us cashing on with a under ticket. Play UNDER |
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05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2 A combined total of 6 goals have been scored in the L/2 games of this series, and Im betting on the tight play and top tier goal tending and defence continuing here tonight. Martin Jones turned aside 21 of 22 shots on Saturday, improving his save percentage to .936 over the last eight games. Colorado G Philipp Grubauer owns 3-1 mark with a 1.69 goals-against average and .945 save percentage at Pepsi Center in the 2019 playoffs. Play UNDER |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 In game 3 of this series I expected a fairly high scoring game , and it went into OT, and we cashed on the OVER. I saw a tendency towards a faster paced set in game 2, which led me to my assessment, but now Im expecting a more conservative approach here from both teams, and a half court game which is the norm when these teams go head to head over the last few seasons. Remember both teams saw key players play an extreme amount of minutes ( Harden) and now a fatigue factor must be considered. Houston is and 0-6 UNDER by an average of more than 14 points as a favorite in the playoffs after a game with eight-plus lead changes while the Warriors are 0-8 UNDER L/8 staying below the number by more than an average 13 ppg as a road pup with less than two days rest off a road loss in which there were eight-plus lead changes. GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 215.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 77-37 UNDER L5 seasons for 68%conversion rate. Play on the UNDER . |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 221 | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 Milwaukee has imposed their offensive will on the Celtics in back to back games in this series, scoring 123 points in both tilts (wins), and now Im betting nothing changes tonight as they hit or eclipse that number, again with Boston having no choice but to open up with their own capable offence and also have a substantial output performance. The Bucks are 6-0 L/6 OVER on the road eclipsing the Total by more than 18 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 244.2 ppg.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER in road games versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.3 ppg. Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 road games.Over is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 10-2 in Bucks last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Bucks last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Bucks last 22 games following a straight up win.Over is 24-8 in Bucks last 32 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 26-9 in Bucks last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 11-4 in Bucks last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a straight up loss.Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 11-4-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings here in Boston. Play OVER |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210.5 | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played they went into extended OT, and now, so many in the public are expecting a muted offensive effort here today because of fatigue factor. But now with all the value sucked out of the total in downward fashion, Im now betting the OVER is a value wager and a game that should see both teams eclipse the 105+ plateau based on my own projections. Note:DENVER is 33-9 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 44-10 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 245.3 ppg scored. The Nuggets are 6-0 OVER (18.83 ppg) since Apr 07, 2019 as a road dog with a combined score of 232.5 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-1 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 221 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 52 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have a history of playing alot of half court games that have gone under the total. However, I noticed an interesting trend of faster paced basketball starting unfold in game 2 in Oakland as the combined score clicked in at 224 points. The Rockets for the most part were expected to wanted these games to be slower paced, while the Warriors want to run. Now here in Houston Im expecting the Rockets to be more aggressive and to push the action, and for the Warriors to have no problems reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GOLDEN STATE in their L/25 games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 215 | 137-140 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Denvers success has been predicated on their ability to play top tier defence, as is evident by their 6th overall ppg D, and their 20th ranked offensive output, which includes, a 27th ranked pace. Here on the road Im betting on a very conservative attack set of schemes from Denver, and a physical type approach that will slow down the run and gun Blazers which Im betting results in a much lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. DENVER is 15-5 UNDER in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season which was the case in game 2 of this series ( 187 total point output in a 97-90 loss) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 37-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - STL Leads 2-1 This series between St.Louis and Dallas is turning into a real hardcore battle. Both these teams successes and failures this season, have been predicated on play top tier defensive hockey and here in this crucial game 4 tilt, nothing will change. The Blues ranked 6th in gpg allowed this season, and 15th on offence. Meanwhile, Dallas , ranked 2nd in gpg defence, and 29th in offence. DALLAS is 16-5 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season and is 16-4 UNDER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. The DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 4.1 gpg. DALLAS is 20-9 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 games as an underdog. Under is 17-8-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 44-21-4 in Blues last 69 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 217 | 97-90 | Win | 103 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0 The Nuggets key to success this season, and what has gotten them this far is their defence. The Nuggets offensive output is ranked 20th in the league the defence ranked 6th in ppg allowed and they own the 27th ranked pace. I know Portland can light things up in a hurry, but Denver is built to slow teams like this down, and here in the thin air in the Mile High City are better suited for physical action which can be exhausting, and also directly effect the total combined score out come to the low side. Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7 in Nuggets last 25 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 On Sunday, the Celtics opened the series by cruising to a 112-90 victory, mostly because of how they defended Antetokounmpo Im betting they wont be able to keep the Greek Freak down in two games in a row, in a game Im betting will be played faster and the Bucks chosen pace. The Bucks own the no.1 offence and the 2nd fast pace in the league and they will be ready to run and gun tonight. The Celtics will be forced into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 30-9 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-30-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R Washington right-hander Anibal Sanchez (0-3, 6.00 ERA), has struggled this season, and it must be noted that current St. Louis hitters are 21-for-72 (.292) with four homers against Sanchez and he could find himself struggling again today.The Cardinals have won nine of 11 and exploded Monday for six runs in the top of the fifth against Corbin and won 6-3 and could get us over the total here all by themselves or at least get us close enough for Washington to do enough offensive damage of their own to help us over the proverbial fence here. ST LOUIS in their L/33 games against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.Over is 11-3-1 in Cardinals last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-4 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2-1 in Cardinals last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1-1 in Wainwrights last 6 Tuesday starts.Over is 12-3-2 in Wainwrights last 17 starts vs. National League East.Over is 6-2-1 in Wainwrights last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-3 in Wainwrights last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 14-5-1 in Wainwrights last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 13-5-2 in Wainwrights last 20 road starts. Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 Tuesday games.Over is 12-3-1 in Nationals last 16 games following a loss.Over is 18-6 in Nationals last 24 during game 2 of a series.Over is 19-7-1 in Nationals last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 20-8-1 in Nationals last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 35-15-2 in Nationals last 52 home games.Over is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. National League Central. Over is 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Nationals.Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-0-1 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. Nationals.Over is 15-6-5 in the last 26 meetings. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse ) (NL), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 58-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.Play OVER |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 220 | 94-89 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - TOR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series between the Raptors and their guests the 76ers was played at a very fast pace, but as it became obvious in the 4th quarter that the Sixers had no chance of winning the game slowed down to a crawl and both teams combined for just 30 points in the final end. In game one of this series the Raptors were in full flight with fast breaks the norm, while Philadelphia seems tentative and sat back for the most part . This time around I expect the Sixers to come out here flying , and for the Raptors to easily reciprocate in a game I have pegged to bounce over the total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 38-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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04-28-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - CAR Leads 1-0 The first game in this series featured top tier defensive work from both teams in top quality goaltending as the Canes won 1-0 in OT, and nothing will change here in game 2. Under is 5-1-3 in Hurricanes last 9 Conference Semifinals games. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-28-19 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Glasnow's breakout has been a big reason why the Rays are off to one of the best starts in baseball. He has 29 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings of work and is extremely reliable. Meanwhile, Sale the BoSoxs southpaw starter, showed some progress last time out in what was arguably his best start of the year, as he struck out 10 and allowed two runs over five innings against the Tigers. Sale's goal against Tampa Bay will be to pitch deep into a game for the first time this season and Im betting he does that. These teams took part in a 2-1 game yesterday with TB winning and similar type score is a high probability again. Note: TAMPA BAY is 20-6 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a left-handed starterUnder is 18-7-1 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 33-16-3 in Rays last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 10-3-2 in Glasnows last 15 starts overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Glasnows last 5 starts on grass.Under is 3-1-1 in Glasnows last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Glasnows last 8 starts vs. American League East.Under is 5-2-1 in Glasnows last 8 road starts. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The inexperienced Nuggets must be a little nervous here as they play a game 7, and could easily start conservatively as they make sure not to make mistakes. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a big time offensive performance and conversion rate, and Im betting they naturally regress here today. That combination Im betting should help keep this game on the low side of the total. Note: DENVER is 38-17 UNDER L/55 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 197.2 ppg. Popovich is 33-19 UNDER in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average score 189 .4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 223.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 There is a huge amount of offensive talent on the court here today for both teams. The Raptors average 114.4 ppg, while the Sixers have averaged 115.2 ppg. Im betting both teams come at each other and for this game 1 to feature some offensive fireworks. Raptors: 119.0 ORtg | 58.9% eFG | 92.9 DRtg | 43.8% eFG allowed 76ers: 123.3 ORtg | 57.7% eFG | 101.1 DRtg | 46.3% eFG allowed. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 36-10 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 I betting the Clippers will be a little fatigued here tonight, as they have played extremely hard in this series , and after going off in their last game a regression is expected by me, vs an under rated Golden State defence. That equals out to what I project will be a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. In the last 14 seasons , the under is 96-66 UNDER in Game 6 and 7s , for a almost 60% conversion rate for bettors. GOLDEN STATE in their L/23 games after allowing 120 points or more this season have seen a combined average score of 223.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Rivers is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a above average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 68-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |