Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 46.5 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show | |
These long time rivals Washington and Dallas saw alot of yards get accumulated in their week 1 games. The Redskins combined for 834 combined yards, and the Cowboys combined for a whopping 964 combined yards. Im betting on more of the same non stop action this week when these teams go Helmut to Helmut. Note:These teams in their L/7 meetings have seen a combined average of 51.4 ppg go on the board with 6 of the 7 games eclipsing the total. Gruden is 7-0 OVER after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 54 ppg going on the scoreboard. All game 2 NFL road favorites who scored 35 or more pts in Game One like Dallas have gone a perfect 7-0 OVER dating back 10 seasons! NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (WASHINGTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt, in conference games are 45-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, in the first month of the season are 68-34 OVER L/36 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-14-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 101 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Lyles recorded a very good start at St.Louis earlier this season when he was with the Pirates allowing one run on one hit over six innings on May 11 at Busch Stadium and Im betting on another strong performance here. Lyles has in top form since coming to the Brewers from the Pittsburgh Pirates in late July, posting a 5-1 record with a 2.51 ERA in eight starts. Meanwhile, Card starter Jack Flaherty (10-7, 2.99 ERA, 196 SO) lowered his ERA to below 3.00 after his last dominant start, which included eight scoreless innings of five-hit ball, along with 10 strikeouts. The 23-year-old has an MLB-best 0.76 ERA since the All-Star break. Im betting on both these hurlers and the bullpens when called upon to supply us with top quality work, which Im betting results in . lower scoring affair. FLAHERTY is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FLAHERTY is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) This is a big game as St.Louis and Milwaukee continue to search for a playoff birth. With that said, Im betting on these two divisional rivals to play hard, and conservatively in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Brewers last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 37-15-1 in Brewers last 53 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-0-1 in Flahertys last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 10-1-2 in Flahertys last 13 starts on grass.Under is 10-1-2 in Flahertys last 13 starts overallUnder is 21-8 in Cardinals last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 13-5 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 26-10-1 in Cardinals last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-16-1 in Cardinals last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-10 in Cardinals last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 18-7-1 in Tichenors last 26 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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09-14-19 | Georgia State v. Western Michigan OVER 69 | 10-57 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Last week, Georgia State trailed 20-3 to Furman of the FCS in the second quarter, but quarterback Dan Ellington and the Panther offense exploded with a 48-42 victory. Im expecting Ellington and company to keep trucking here today. Meanwhile, the Western Michigan Broncos defense was completely destroyed by a usually impotent Mich State Spartan offense last week allowing just under 200 yards receiving and rushing to two individual players. Since last season new DC Lou Esposito has allowed opponent to score six touchdowns in 4 of 6 games. Everything points to his being a block buster affair with crap defence as the feature. Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 7-0-1 in Broncos last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games overall.Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games on fieldturf.Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. S-Belt.Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Over is 15-5 in Broncos last 20 home games.Over is 34-12-1 in Broncos last 47 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 road games.Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games on fieldturf. Play OVER |
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09-14-19 | Georgia Southern v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5 | 32-35 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting Georgia Southern option attack will grind this clock down quickly, while Minnesota behind their running game and big Oline will do the same. Under is 9-3 in Eagles last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 non-conference games.Under is 13-6 in Eagles last 19 games following a straight up win. Under is 12-3 in Eagles last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games in September. Under is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games overall.Under is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games on fieldturf.Under is 4-1 in Golden Gophers last 5 non-conference games.Under is 5-2 in Golden Gophers last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Golden Gophers last 7 home games Play UNDER |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State v. Mississippi State UNDER 51 | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas State comes into Starkville with a top 10 defense and wont be easily intimidated . On offence the Wildcats are a run first type of team, and because of this alot of clock time will be eaten up and quickly. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than many might think on what has become a bloated total since being released. KANSAS ST is 8-1 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.6 ppg scored. MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 UNDER after playing a game at home over the last 2 season with a combined average of 31.5 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS ST) - excellent rushing team (230 or more RY/G) against a team with a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/game), after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game are 39-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston UNDER 74 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
The Cougars used to be a fast paced team (No. 1 in seconds per play last season) but now under new coach Dana Holgorsen the pace has slowed alot .Houston ranks 100th of 130 FBS teams in plays per second at 28.4 and bleeding the clock Im betting will be on full display for Houston tonight. I know Washington State can score in bunches behind a strong passing game, but Houston has shown flashes of brilliance in their secondary already thiss season and are capable of slowing down the visitors attack tonight in a game I pegged to stay on the low side of what is a bloated total based on past assumptions . HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 62.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (WASH ST/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed) are 46-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Both these teams lost their opening games, but it must be noted that during the L/6 seasons the UNDER is 9-1 in all Game 2s with home favorites of 3 or more points when both sides are coming off a SU loss . Note: Both teams we blasted for 31 and 30 points respectively which makes for a recency bias on this total. Note: During the 2018 campaign, the UNDER was dominant cashing 12 of 13 times when both teams gave up m 30 or more pts in their previous game, when the Total is within the parameters of 42 to 53 points. Carolina is also 3-21 under L/24 as division home chalk and have gone under 3 straight times after allowing 30 or more points. TB has gone under in 9 of their L/11 as 6 or more point dogs. t must be noted that Bruce AriansTB QB guru is getting set to help out his talented QB Winston cut down on turnovers and realize his potential as the No. 1 overall pick from the 2015 draft by running the ball more effectively.With second-year pro Ronald Jones II leading the way, Tampa Bay rushed for 121 yards in last week's loss and will once again be utilized to make this into a grinding type affair vs a Carolina team that has proven itself less than explosive over the last few seasons. These two teams have gone under 5 of the L/6 times they have met . Average Totals line: 49. The Average combined points per game clicked in at 39.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-11-19 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 10 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Royals starter Sparkman owns a 3.24 ERA in three starts against the White Sox this season, which includes a one-inning outing on May 29 at Guaranteed Rate Field where he was ejected. Meanwhile, White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez . (9-12, 5.17 ERA, 149 SO)is off a top tier effort vs a Cleveland team where he allowed one hit and threw the first complete game of his career. In two of Lopez’s past three starts, he has allowed one or no hits and Im betting on him being tough on his opponents tonight, which will help this combined score stay under the total. LOPEZ is 12-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 13-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home after a game in which their opponent scored first and it is not a series opener. Play UNDER |
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09-09-19 | Texans v. Saints OVER 52 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This might seem like a public leaning total , but according to my projections this combined score here this Monday night between the Texans and their hosts the explosive Saints should breach this number. Note: Brees has thrown 37 scoring passes in 17 career Kickoff Weekend games, the most of any quarterback. I expect the Saints to light the scoreboard up here tonight and for the Texans to have no choice but to open things up behind quarterback Deshaun Watson, the first player to throw for at least 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns while rushing for 500 yards and five scores in a season and respond with some fireworks of their own in a tilt that Im betting eclipses this total. The Saints are 4-0-1 OVER L/5 games on turf on Monday night dating back 5 seasons with a combined average score eclipsing the total by more than 10 ppg. Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games in Week 1. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | 49ers v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -120 | 101 h 35 m | Show | |
Bucs defense allowed 29 ppg last season and Im not expecting a miraculous bounce back season even though Bruce Arians is now on board. The lousy pass rush wont be able to challenge ,Jimmy Garoppolo and Im betting the now healthy QB will smash a still susceptible secondary. Meanwhile, James Winston despite of being highly inconsistent is a very capable passer, and he will be up the challenge here on the road this week, behind a speedy group of wide receivers. Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games in September.Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games in September. TB 8-2 OVER as fav/dog 3 or less. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers OVER 43.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 128 h 45 m | Show | |
No Andrew Luck at QB for the Indianapolis Colts, no problem. With a revamped offence engineered by offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni, and a offensive line that is uptrending, the interim QBs should do just fine and points production should not be the problem many pundits might anticipate. Players like RB Marlon Mack who rushed for 900 yards and nine touchdowns last season and , T.Y. Hilton who produced 1,200 receiving yards in 14 games, and tight end Eric Ebron led all NFL tight ends with 13 touchdowns is an explosive group who can do lots of damage and quickly. The Colts D, is still a work in progress, so they may also allow a fair amount of points and will need to be a pedal to the metal type offensive side to be competitive. Meanwhile, Chargers star QB Phillip Rivers will continue to put points on the board, especially with targets like receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams in the fold. Today against a susceptible Colts secondary this Im betting will become obvious, and will overall help us see a combined score that goes over the total. Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games in Week 1Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in September.Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in Week 1. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Bengals v. Seahawks OVER 44 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 35 m | Show | |
The Seahawks were the NFL’s top rushing team last season, averaging 160 yards a contest and Im betting they will just explosive this season which will set up their passing game behind the arm of Russell Wilson and an over all increase in ppg production. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals were smashed for 137.8 rushing yards a game last season, and I expect there will be no immediate fixes for their defensive issues be a broken damn. The Bengals only saving grace will be the big red machine QB Andy Dalton who can be dangerous when in a groove. Im expecting Dalton to be very impactful here in new HC Taylor new offensive schemes. Over is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games in September. Over is 4-1-1 in Bengals last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games in Week 1. Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games overall.Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 home games.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Carroll is 27-11 OVER in non-conference games as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 48.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 52.5 | 40-26 | Loss | -109 | 169 h 3 m | Show | |
The high octane offence of the KC Chiefs behind phenom Patrick Mahomes comes into the heat and humidity of Jacksonville this Sunday in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of a public leaning total. Im betting Jacksonville has had sufficient time to study this explosive group, and behind a top tier D, will slow the Chiefs here ( at least enough to keep their Chiefs output to reasonable levels). Meanwhile, Im also betting it will take time for the Jags, to jell offensively, thanks to their new parts, (QB Nick Foles) and for the Chiefs D, to be much improved over last seasons hands off version. ( Changed form a 3-4 to 4-3 scheme) Add to that a muggy Sunday environment we have a more methodical game than many might expect and a lower combined score than the public is counting on. The Jags L/13 home games since the 2017 season, have seen them allow an average of just 12.7 points per game and their offence has average just 19.9 points per game. Reid is 12-4 UNDER against AFC South division opponents as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 43 ppg going on the board.Reid in 74 games as a favorite as the coach of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average score of 45.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall.Under is 16-7 in Jaguars last 23 vs. AFC. Play on the UNDER |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers UNDER 50 | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
The Panthers have gone UNDER in their in their last 7 opening games of a NFL season going under the number by 14 ppg and we all know how conservative this team is out of the gate and overall general terms. I know they will face an explosive offence here today, but last season the Rams played much more conservatively on the road then at home, going under in their L/5 road games, and Im betting that trend continues here today as they make the long arduous trip from the west coast to the east coast. It must be noted that week one none division road chalk of -2 or more are 4-24-1 UNDER dating back 20 seasons . These teams have gone under in 5 of their L/6 meetings with a combined average of 30.2 ppg going on the board and another lower scoring game will be on todays agenda according to my projections . The Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 away with a 50 or more point total. The rams have the Saints up next week ( 0-7 UNDER L/7before the Saints). Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 as road favs -2 or more. Panthers have gone under in 6 of their L/7 with a total of 48 or more. Play UNDER |
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09-07-19 | BYU v. Tennessee OVER 52.5 | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
The Vols 38-30 loss to a Georgia State team picked to finish last in the Sun Belt Conference was as shocking to say the least, and had the added bonus of showing me how bad their defence was going to be this season.Defensively, the Vols struggled against Georgia States option attack as quarterback Dan Ellington made the Vols look less than mortal. Im betting BYU quarterback Zach Wilson who is also mobile will do the same , which will inflict more damage on a injury plagued and struggling Vols defensive line. Needless to say Im betting BYU lights up the board here, while Tennessee will fire back with wreck-less abandon as they look for some kind spark from their offence. This Im also betting will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 13-3 in Cougars last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. . Play OVER |
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09-07-19 | Ohio v. Pittsburgh OVER 53 | 10-20 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
Pitts young OL vs UVA last week was struggling, as 4 new starters gave up 4 sacks and Panthers gained only 263 total yards, but somehow still found a way to put 14 points on the board vs a very tough Virginia squad . This week Im betting the Panthers find ways to do some offensive damage this week, vs a Ohio HC Solich side that does not have a reputation for staunch defences. Yes the secondary is experienced but, its not like they have shown much in the recent past. Meanwhile, Ohio is an explosive offensive group, behind the lethal Nathan Rourke who remains one of the most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Im betting the power run game of the Bobcats vs the weakness of the rush D of Pitt opens up this game for the pass game and mucho points go on the board in a tilt that Im betting eclipses the total. Note: Ohios FCS opponent Rhode Island put 21 points on the board last week and Pitt is more than capable of eclipsing that number. NFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (PITTSBURGH) - in non-conference games, in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games are 85-43 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 47 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public seems to love this game to go over , but the public has a tendency to not delve to deeply into statistical data and trends. In preseason the Packers did not play their star QB Rodgers as well as two other key offensive weapons Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams so Im betting it will take some time for the Packers to become cohesive offensively here tonight , especially considering they will be facing a Chicago Bears team that was first in weighted D last season, ranking first in pass efficiency and 2nd and run efficiency. Meanwhile, the Packers Defence, was upgraded in the off season, using their first two round picks to pick up linebacker Rashan Gary and safety Darnell Savage, and then also acquiring free-agent linebackers Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith to bolster a tough hard nosed group. Im expecting barring injuries for the Packers D to be stringent this season and tonight. Considering Bears QB Trubisky is getting a reputation for being sloppy with the ball , his play calling maybe limited by the coaches, and a more conservative game 1 plan could be in the cards. Note: The Bears offence ranked 30th in the league in pace last season, so "slow as she goes" could once be the mantra here tonight. Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games on a natural surface.Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 vs. NFC. Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games overall dating back to las season.Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games on grass.Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 vs. NFC.The L/10 times these teams have met the average combined score has in clicked in at 44.9 ppg. Bears home games have gone under 58% of the time since the 2016 campaign. Nagy in 6 games versus division opponents as the coach of CHICAGO has seen a combined average score of 43.7 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CHICAGO) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game, in conference games are 53-22 UNDER since 1983 for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Todays starters TBs Pruitt is 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in eight career appearances (one start) against the Blue Jays. Thornton the Jays starter is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA in three starts against the Rays and Im betting both get lit up tonight according to my offence vs pitching projections. THORNTON is 11-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. TORONTO is 10-2 OVER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Blue Jays are 13-0 OVER L/13 in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TB/TORONTO) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 47-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville UNDER 55 | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show | |
Scott Satterfield new era at Louisville will be tested when he steps onto the field against Notre Dame with the most talented team overall he’s had in his coaching career. Admittedly Louisville . is a broken football program, that self disintegrated over the last few seasons and now has to be cautious moving forward. That Im betting is the game plan today vs a explosive Notre Dame fighting Irish team. The Cardinal have been a mistake prone team lacking discipline , but that is something the new head coach wont tolerate. Quote:“I can’t stand sloppy play. I can’t stand it,” Satterfield said during Monday’s press conference with the media. Im also betting that Louisville wont turn over the ball as much here , after ranking 126th in the nation last season. All and all Im backing the idea that Satterfilelds group keeps it simple , which Im betting makes for more of snail pace than many might believe is possible, which gives credence to my under wager recommendation here tonight. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 non-conference gamesUnder is 7-3 in Fighting Irish last 10 games on fieldturf. Play on the UNDER |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 80.5 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
These teams met in the 2016 opener, and No. 15 Houston pulled a 33-23 stunner over the third-ranked Sooners. Oklahoma eventually won the Big 12 and beat Auburn in the Sugar Bowl, but the Sooners missed out on the playoff for the only time in the past four seasons. Tonight in a game the public has pegged as a super shoot out, Im betting we have value with the under. Both offenses will once again be explosive. However, I am expecting the Sooners off season hiring of Alex Grinch from Ohio State to help the Sooners D immensely .It must be noted that when he was with the Washington State Cougars of the PAC12 he knew very well how to handle that pass heavy conference. Meanwhile, Houston despite of still having a a capable attack, will still see a head coach Dana Holgorsen who in the past used pocket passers to move the ball efficiently. None of his previous QBS however were like D’Eriq King behind the 2nd adjusted pace. At W.Virginia they had a adjusted pace of 48th so there is a difference here that the Sooners new D could take advantage of, and subsequently slow down as this game progresses behind what will be a more aggressive pressure defence. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OKLAHOMA) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, with 8 defensive starters returning are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (HOUSTON) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 40-13 UNDER UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-01-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-3 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Dodgers Ross Stripling (4-4, 3.64 ERA, 76 SO)Stripling will be activated from the injured list to make his first start since July 24. The right-hander is expected to pitch only two or three innings before the Dodgers turn to righty Dustin May, who made four starts in August and Im betting he has his hands full with the suddenly hot Arizona team on a 6 game win streak and output of 22 runs in their L/3 games. Meanwhile, Young the Dbacks starter had his shortest start of the season at Dodger Stadium on Aug. 10, giving up four runs and five hits in 3 1/3 innings of a 4-0 loss. Note: The Dodgers have scored 29 runs in their L/5 games and Im betting continue their ferocious hot hitting in their quest for a play off spot here this afternoon. Over is 20-6-1 in Dodgers last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State v. USC UNDER 52.5 | 23-31 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Im betting Fresno States D, remains their strong point, and that their 25 game streak of holding opponents to 30 points or less remains intact. Meanwhile, look for USCs core of 4 and 5 star recruits on D, to stand tall and limit Fresno States offence to a minimal output . Early on in the season Defences have an edge on offences and that gives me credence in my under projection here in game 1 for both teams in this non conference battle. FRESNO ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg going on the board. FRESNO ST is 6-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. USC is 18-6 L/24 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 with a combined average of 47.9 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-30-19 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 10.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Astros starter Miley is 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his last 11 starts, and in the top five in ERA in the American League at 3.13. Opponents are hitting .233 against him. Im betting he will slow down this young Blue Jays offence that has scored and average of just 2.6 rpg in their L/10 overall and limit their output today. The Astros have allowed an average of 2.8 rpg in their L/10 tilts overall. MILEY is 15-7 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those 22 games clicking in at 8.4 rpg. Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts vs. American League East.Under is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Thorton his pitching opponent form the Blue Jays continues to flash glimpses of brilliance, and despite of inconsistencies is a capable hurler that can slow down this Astros offence. Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games following an off day.Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games. Play UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Raiders v. Seahawks UNDER 33.5 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 58 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all abut staying healthy. Look for most backups to see action in a tilt Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. Gruden in his L/9 after playing a Thursday game in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 27.7 ppg scored. Carroll is 12-3 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 32.7 ppg scored. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 29-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE/OAKLAND) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record in the preseason playing another winning team are 22-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. PLAY UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 32.5 | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 41 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all about staying healthy. Look for mostly backups to see action in a tilt which Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. The L/2 preseason meetings in this series, have seen scores of 13-7, and 17-6 go on the board and Im betting on a similar ouput in this battle. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 Thursday games. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. NFLX team against the total (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent off 3 or more consecutive unders are 23-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Berrios the Twins starter is 0-2 along with an 8.44 ERA in four starts this month after giving up five runs and 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit tigers this past The Twins righty has allowed six homers in his last four trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Cease (3-6, 5.76) the Pale Hose starting thrower today, has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts, allowing nine runs and 12 hits and once again looks like cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota offence averaging 6.2 rpg on the road this season. Everything points to a high scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Berrios' last 6 starts overall.MINNESOTA is 34-18 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-28-19 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Yankees' James "Big Maple" Paxton (10-6, 4.43 ERA), who spent his first six seasons in Seattle, will go up against the Mariners' Justus Sheffield (0-0, 6.43), who will be making his second major league start. Im betting both offences do enough damage here this afternoon to help us eclipse this total. The Yankees won yesterday 7-0 but in the past this has been an omen for a fairly high scoring game as SERVAIS in his L/31 after getting shut out as the manager of SEATTLE has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. PAXTON is 10-2 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg going on the board. PAXTON is 8-0 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.2 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 20-9 OVER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.9 rog scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. The Yankees have gone over 14 straight times and its not the first game of a series as a road chalk vs a team that has lost at least their last two games with the average combined score of 14.15 rpg scored with no game seeing less than a combined 11 runs scored. Play OVER |
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08-25-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Kershaw has made three starts against the Yankees in his career. While the Dodgers' left-hander does not have a decision against the Yankees, he has an ERA of a minuscule 0.90 in 20 innings. Meanwhile Yankees will lean on major league wins leader Domingo German (16-3, 4.15), who is second in baseball in win percentage behind ... Kershaw. The 27 year old did get knocked around last time, but his consistency is unmatched and Im betting he bounces back here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay under the total. LA DODGERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 20-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 22-11 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. ( Dodgers won a 2-1 game yesterday) Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games following a loss.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague road gamesUnder is 20-6-1 in Yankees last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Play UNDER |
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08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii UNDER 74 | 38-45 | Loss | -112 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
The weather forecast in Hawaii is calling for hefty winds that are being estimated at 14 mph for the entire course of the game with nasty Gusts 30 mph expected. It must also be noted that despite of having star QB at the helm of the Hawaii offence, in Junior QB Cole McDonald , the coordinators do not run a speed formation, and it is methodical in nature. Meanwhile, Arizona with Khalil Tate back at QB, and J.J. Taylor returning at RB after a 1,434-yard season that ranked 6th nationally will once again focus on their ground attack to move the chains which will eat up precious clock time. Im liking the under here in this Paradise Island game between a PAC 12 opponent and MWC foe. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARIZONA) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, with 8 defensive starters returning are 35-11 L/seasons for a 76% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER |
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08-24-19 | Saints v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show | |
I know the Saints run and gun reputation proceeds them, but right now HC Payton just wants he key offensive weapons to stay healthy, and for the goal of improving the defence this season to be key here tonight. Meanwhile, the Jets remain a team dedicated to playing strong D, and here in week 3 against a explosive opponent Im expecting a conservative effort and a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Bowles is 13-5 UNDER in all games as the coach of NY JETS with average combined score of 34.6 ppg scored. Week 3-4 NFLX totals above the 40 point threshold have gone 91-62-3 UNDER for a 60% conversion rate since the 2004 season. NFLX team against the total (NY Jets/NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win are 67-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-24-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 8 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Wheeler the NY Mets starter is struggling mightily in his most recent two outings, where he allowed eight earned runs and an opponents’ batting average of .372 in only 10 innings pitched.With that said, Im betting on him continuing to be lit up as fatigue late in the season is rearing its ugly head. Meanwhile, Fried the Braves starter managed to complete five innings after nearly getting the hook during the first inning of Sunday's start against the Dodgers. The southpaw has seen opponents hit .271 against him in his last four starts. I do epect he will bounce back here this week, but that is his overall form, is downtrending , and he should also end up taking on some more damage from the Mets offence this week in what Im betting will br a high scoring affair. Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 road games.Over is 7-1-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. The Braves are 18-0 OVER L/18 on the road off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2.00 and an ERA of less than five, their opponent is less than .640 and they are not a 130-plus dog. Play OVER |
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08-23-19 | Nationals v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 9-3 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Today 12-14 mph winds blowing in at Wrigley made could make for a type of pitchers’ duel, and for a limited amount of offence, making this a value Totals selection to the under. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are 49-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 2 runs or less are 36-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-22-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Braves starter Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.41 ERA, 107 SO) has limited the Marlins to three runs ( one earned) over 22 innings this year. He exited Friday's start against the Dodgers one out shy of what would have been his fourth straight seven-inning effort. Im expecting a stellar effort from him today vs a light hitting Miami side that has averaged just 3.4 rpg in offensive production on the road this season. Meanwhile, Marlins starting hurler Sandy Alcantara (4-11, 4.35 ERA, 101 SO)was excellent in a seven-inning start at Coors Field last Friday, giving up just two runs on three hits in Miami’s 3-0 loss. In August, he has a 3.20 ERA, and in his current form a hard guy to face for opposition batting orders. Under is 8-3 in Alcantaras last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Considering the pitching matcup here today, Im betting on these teams to convert on the UNDER for the 7th straight time here in Atlanta this season. MIAMI is 20-9 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.MIAMI is 21-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-21-19 | Nationals v. Pirates OVER 9 | 11-1 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Musgrove In his last 11 starts, owns a 4.22 ERA in 59 2/3 innings and Im betting the Nationals sometimes explosive batting order will light him today. Meanwhile, Patrick Corbin despite of being a left hander, which Pittsburgh has struggled against this season, has not been very consistent on the road where he owns a 5.12 ERA in 13 road outings. CORBIN in his career is 20-8 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) with an average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Corbins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 20-6 in Pirates last 26 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 starts vs. National League East. PITTSBURGH is 27-8 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH in 33 games against left-handed starters this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-16-19 | Liberty v. Wings UNDER 153 | 77-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Liberty are on a 6 game losing streak, and what stands out during their current negative run is their inability to score with consistency, only once scoring more than 79 points. Meanwhile, Dallas during this entire season, has had problems putting points on the board, averaging just 70.3 ppg, behind the leagues slowest pace, and D ppg allowed ranking 2nd in the league ( 74.9 ppg). Look for this two converging trends of play to see a game that is much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. I know the Wings have had two consecutive decent offensive efforts, the last against a stunned Sparks team, but now a reversion to the mean is my prediction and a total that stays on the low side of the number. Under is 3-1-1 in Liberty last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 16-4-1 in Wings last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Friday games.Under is 8-3-2 in Wings last 13 home games.Under is 18-7-2 in Wings last 27 overall.Under is 11-5-2 in Wings last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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08-16-19 | Bears v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 13-32 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Bears look like they are going to try to stay healthy for the regular season by not playing their key starters during the preseason. With the Bears offensive depth a concerns and their defensive depth looking strong I expect conservative game plans offensively and top tier defensive efforts in a competitive environment which will limit their output and limit the opponents output. Meanwhile, Giants backup QB Daniel Jones despite of scoring on his first set of downs in last weeks preseason , might have Giants pundits dreaming of replacing Manning, but all reports out of camp suggest Jones despite of having no problems going deep, still lacks in his short term and intermediate game, which makes him susceptible tonight vs a explosive Bears D. Everything points to a lower scoring affair here tonight according to my projections. key injuries to WRs also have been taken into consideration: Golden Tate (suspension) and Sterling Shepard (fractured thumb) and Corey Coleman (torn ACL) is out for the season. NFL Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (NY GIANTS) - off a upset win as an underdog, with a winning record in the preseason. are 34-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-15-19 | BC v. Winnipeg UNDER 52.5 | 16-32 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
BC played their hearts out last time out, and still found a way to lose, 35-34 to Hamilton, and now will be in a complete letdown scenario against a Winnipeg team that is allowing just 16.7 ppg at home this season. Prior to scoring 34 points last week the Lions scored, 18,6,25,18 and now revert back into that range here which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 UNDER in August games over the last 3 seasons. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, good offensive team - scoring 29 or more points/game are 62-28 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-15-19 | Eagles v. Jaguars UNDER 35 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
QB Nick Foles is not expected to play for the Jaguars this week, and QB Carson Wentz is also not expected to see action for the Eagles. Last season the Jaguars scored and allowed fewer points in Weeks 2 and 3 than in their opener last preseason. After losing 29-0 to Baltimore last week, Im expecting a staunch defensive effort , but their offence as the big zero showed last week , is definitely a project that needs honing. Meanwhile, Philadelphia lost 27-10 to the Tennessee Titans in Week 1, and as their output indicates they suffered in their attempts at vertical football and Im also betting their offence will suffer again this week. PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER L/22 preseason games after a loss by 10 or more points with a combined average of 32.7 ppg scored in those 22 tilts. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - after playing their last game on the road are 114-65 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders are 129-80 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-14-19 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Hamels the Cubs starter is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 19 starts this season. He strained an oblique in late June and missed more than a month. Hamels struggled a bit in his last start , but now should be getting the rust off and ready to go deeper and be fresher.In the southpaws seven previous starts, he was phenomenal , producing a minuscule 1.07 ERA.HAMELS is 18-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Meanwhile, the Phillies will hand the ball Wednesday to right-hander Aaron Nola (10-3, 3.67 ERA). NOLA is 9-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. The Cubs have gone under 13 straight games as a road dog off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher with the average combined sore of 4.9 rpg scored with no one game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. Play UNDER |
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08-14-19 | Red Sox v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Bieber beat the Red Sox on May 29 despite getting smacked around for six runs on eight hits, three of which were home runs, in a sub par five innings. He's 2-1 with an 8.44 ERA in three games (two starts) lifetime versus Boston and Im betting he gets lit up here today by a now desperate Boston Red Sox teams that needs wins badly. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter Johnson will make his fourth straight start for Boston, having been crunched for three runs in 2 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels his last time out. He's pitched more than three innings once in nine appearances this season and once again looks like cannon fodder in this spot. Over is 9-2 in Johnsons last 11 starts overallOver is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 20-7 in Red Sox last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-2 in Indians last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 12-3-3 in the last 18 meetings. Over is 5-1 in umpire Barretts last 6 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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08-12-19 | Reds v. Nationals UNDER 10.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani( 7-6, 4.20 ERA, 120 SO) has faced the Nationals seven times over his career, with four of them starts. He's 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA, nine walks and 21 strikeouts over 29 innings against them. Meanwhile, Nats starter Erick Fedde (2-2, 4.20 ERA, 32 SO)is coming off his best start of the season and one of the best in his young career: six shutout innings with a pair of strikeouts against the Giants on Monday. This will be his third start filling in for Max Scherzer in the Nats' rotation. According to my pitcher vs batting order projections these two pitchers should be able to go fairly deep and limit offensive output vs their respective opposition. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. CINCINNATI in 24 games on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.5 this season have seen a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 74 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Leake gave up 11 hits and three runs (two earned) while receiving no-decision in his Arizona debut, an 8-4 victory over Philadelphia on Tuesday, but he dealt with alot of traffic in that game, and now today Im betting he feels the brunt of the Dodgers offensive attack in this spot, which will help this score get over the set total. I know Ryu the dodgers lefty hurler is in top form, but Im betting the dbacks do just enough damage to get us over the set total. Note: ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER in road games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 10 (LA DODGERS) - after shutting out a division rival, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 36-13 OVER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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08-11-19 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lucas Giolito had a decent outing last time out , but in July was struggling, and in his L/3 overall starts owns a bloated 5.50 ERA and at home this season record a 4.10 ERA . Im betting that the As do some damage against him today. Over is 4-1 in Giolitos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Pale Hose offence has come to life of late , averaging 5.7 rpg in their L/7 games, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the As starter Bassit who owns a a 4.32 ERA in three outings vs the White Sox . Over is 5-1 in Bassitts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 OVER in home games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.( Yesterday the White Sox upset the As 3-2) Over is 10-4-1 in Bassitts last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 90-48 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 115-63 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-10-19 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 36.5 | 17-38 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The public loves anything to do with a Chiefs over. But Andy Reid does not need to prove his offence is explosive, but does have a need to make the sure the D is staunch, if his team hopes to progress to the next and final level. The Chiefs are expected to improve defensively this season with the off season upgrades and that will be the Chiefs focus here in game 1 not offence. Also me and many others off I have spoken with expect the Bengals D to also be better this season, and with that said, Im betting on an under wager to be a viable investment opportunity here in this preseason game. Play UNDER |
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08-10-19 | BC v. Hamilton UNDER 51.5 | 34-35 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
BC continues to showcase a struggling O line and despite of some changes expected this week Im betting they will have problems generating offence vs a stingy Hamilton D that is allowing an average of 16.2 ppg at home this season.With star linebacker Simoni Lawrence back after a 2 game suspension the Lions are in trouble. I know the Lions D, has also had issues but the Ti Cats offensive cohesiveness has been challenged of late, which will result in a total combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-0 UNDER in August games over the last 3 seasons with a . combined average of 47.3 ppg scored.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 18-7 UNDER after gaining 5 or less yards/play in their previous game with a combined average of 46.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-10-19 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 151.5 | 82-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dream shot just 33% last time out in a loss which marked the 8th straight time Atlanta shot below 40 percent. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of finding ways to post some wins this season, are still ranked 10th in pace, and 7th in ppg, so according to the projection possibilities that I hqve calculated, a lower scoring game must be expected. Under is 5-0-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Wings last 4 road games.Under is 20-6-2 in Wings last 28 overall.Under is 19-6-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Under is 3-1-2 in Wings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 15-5-1 in Wings last 21 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-1-1 in Wings last 5 Saturday games. Under is 6-0 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Mercury last 5 Saturday games.Over is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play UNDER |
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08-09-19 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 154 | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Minnesota's defence looks solid in a win vs Atlanta 85-69 on Tuesday to snap a four-game slide, and Im betting on more top tier defence here today, against a Connecticut team that can offensively explosive but that has also averaged 4.1 ppg on the road less than at home. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE is on tonights agenda for the host Lynx which will lead to a grinding lower scoring game than the lines-makes expect. Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 14-6 in Lynx last 20 games following a straight up win. Play UNDER |
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08-09-19 | Bucs v. Steelers OVER 37 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay new head coach Bruce Arians, had put together and mentored three top-10 scoring offenses (2007 Steelers, 2015 and 2016 Cardinals) in 14 years as an NFL coach and offensive coordinator and has the talent to make this an explosive version of the Buccaneers again. Look for some points to go on the board here tonight Arians opens this offence up quickly and gets it moving in the right direction. On the flip side the Bucs run D, remains a shambles, as it was last season, and tonight I expect the run happy Steelers to pound away , and do some damage in a game that promises to be fairly high scoring. Play OVER |
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08-08-19 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 152.5 | 74-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The two meetings in this series between LA and Phoenix this season, have seen scores of 82-72 and 85-68 . Both teams had missing components in those meetings, and now both are mostly healthy and with the play offs around the corner and both being play off candidates Im betting a physical post season type affair as both prepare for a WNBA championship run which will make for a fairly lower scoring affair. LOS ANGELES is 17-3 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.7 ppg going on the board. LOS ANGELES is 16-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. LOS ANGELES is 21-5 UNDER in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Mercury last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games.Under is 13-5 in Mercury last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games.Under is 35-16-1 in Sparks last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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08-07-19 | Liberty v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that this contest will remain on the low side of the total. Recency bias also suggest this total is skewed to the upside thus giving us value with a under wager. CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season. CHICAGO is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 8-2 UNDER in home games this season. (all of the above combined scores were all under this set total) NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-07-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Brendan McKay(2-1, 4.38 ERA, 25 SO) will be making his sixth career start at the big league level and his first against the Blue Jays. The left-hander is 1-1 with a 5.65 ERA in three home starts this season and and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could be in trouble today vs a hot hitting Blue Jays team, Meanwhile, Jays starter Wilmer Font after being converted to a starter by the New York Mets after he was acquired from Tampa Bay in May went 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in three turns and according to my projections could easily get hammered here today vs a team with top notch scouting report on him. Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games following a win.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on astroturf.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3-1 in Rays last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-2 in Rays last 7 home games. Play OVER |
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08-06-19 | Angels v. Reds UNDER 10 | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani (6-6, 4.07 ERA, 115 SO) has one win to show for his past five starts despite allowing only 10 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings, for a 3.25 ERA. He has racked up 31 strikeouts in those starts and is the type of hurler that can really slow down a struggling offence like the Angels own at this time. Meanwhile, Suarez the Halos starter, despite of some inconsistent starts this season in limited action, actually matches up well vs the light hitting Reds according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. The Angels have scored 3 or less runs in 5 of their L/6 and as a teaming are hitting just .221 over a 7 game span. Meanwhile, the Reds have not seen more than 10 combined runs scored in 7 of their L/9 games. CINCINNATI is 18-3 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with the combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board. A ANGELS are 11-3 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with an average of 8.1 rpg scored. Under is 11-2 in Angels last 13 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Angels last 14 vs. National League Central.Under is 33-15-4 in Angels last 52 interleague games.Under is 15-7-1 in Angels last 23 interleague road games. Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 14-4-1 in Reds last 19 interleague games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 Tuesday games.Under is 19-7-1 in Reds last 27 vs. American League West.Under is 24-9 in Reds last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 interleague home games.Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 27-13-2 in Reds last 42 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in DeSclafanis last 7 home starts. Under is 14-6 in umpire Tumpanes last 20 interleague games behind home plate and 4 of his L/5 overall. Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (LA ANGELS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-06-19 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 10 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Tuesday, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.73 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15) in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total.Brault has been on the injured list since July 6 because of a left shoulder strain but is expected to be activated for the start with rust being the main concern that could easily see him get roughed up which will result in Milwaukee scoring a projected 1.5 runs more than expected by the linesmakers according to my estimates. These teams have gone over in 7 of the L/8 meetings here in Pittsburgh and Im betting on nothing changing tonight. MILWAUKEE is 20-7 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. COUNSELL is 26-12 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more as the manager of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-5 OVER in home games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.PITTSBURGH is 25-6 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.9 rpg going on the score board. HURDLE is 15-4 OVER in home games after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. Pittsburgh has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and in their L/7 games an average of 13.1 rpg have scored. Play OVER |
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08-06-19 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 148 | 85-69 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Two struggling teams go head to head today in Atlanta . The Dream, are last in the league in scoring and shooting percentage while being the only team connecting below 30 percent from 3-point range and Im betting on their scoring woes continuing here today vs the Minnesota Lynx. Meanwhile, Minnesota has not scored more than 79 points in 8 straight games, while their defence has been fairly decent , allowing more than 79 points just twice during the above mentioned 8 game run that has seen 6 of those game stay under the total. Everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 26-7 in Lynx last 33 road games.Under is 6-2 in Lynx last 8 overall. Under is 20-7 in Dream last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7-1 in Dream last 27 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 overall.Under is 23-10 in Dream last 33 home games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-04-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 10 | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
David Price(7-4, 3.86 ERA, 123 SO)Price has struggled since the All-Star break, going 0-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four starts. The lefty won at Yankee Stadium on June 2, holding the Yankees to two runs over 6 1/3 innings ad now primed fora bounce back effort I look for Price to limit the pinstripes offence tonight. Meanwhile,J.A. Happ(8-6, 5.19 ERA, 89 SO) returns from the paternity list for his 22nd start of the season. He took the loss his last time out, though he logged a quality start by holding the D-backs to three runs and eight hits over six innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order lineup matches up well vs the BoSox offence.He is 9-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 23 career appearances (22 starts) against Boston. Under is 6-1 in Prices last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-03-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Bauer the Reds newly acquired starter is leading the majors in innings pitched (156 2/3) and ranks fifth in strikeouts (185). The Reds are hopeful that Bauer can bolster a starting rotation that already ranks third in the National League in ERA. Bauer did have a bad outing last time out, but however overall comes in hot, having allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his past 10 starts. Meanwhile, Keuchel the Braves starter a former Cy Young Award winner has allowed a season-high four earned runs in two of his past three starts, but those Im betting are anomalies, and today against a top tier hurler should have his juices flowing and ready to perform, which Im betting helps this total stay on the low side of the number.
KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 22-6 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER against NL East opponents this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 17-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 22-6 in Reds last 28 vs. National League East.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 Saturday games.Under is 24-8 in Reds last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 20-7 in Reds last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 45-18-1 in Reds last 64 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Reds last 25 games following a win.Under is 38-16-1 in Reds last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 52-24-4 in Reds last 80 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 on grass.Under is 40-19-1 in Reds last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Grays last 10 road starts. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 9-1-1 in Braves last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 15-2 in Braves last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3-1 in Braves last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 on grass.Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 home games.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Braves last 13 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts on grass.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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08-03-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 11.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Sale faced the Yankees last Sunday, striking out seven and allowing six runs (two homers) in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park and was very unhappy after that effort and now with immense talent to back him Im betting he rebounds to limit the Red Sox offence here . Meanwhile,Domingo German(13-2, 4.08 ERA, 107 SO) "was on a mission" in his last outing, according to catcher Austin Romine, as he halted the Yanks' slide by limiting the Red Sox to three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park. German tied his season high with nine strikeouts and is capable of limiting the Red Sox offence again. Im expecting a pitchers duel, and not a shootout, and score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-1-1 in Sales last 10 road starts. Under is 7-0 in Germans last 7 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Germans last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Five of the L/6 games here in NY have gone under. Under is 47-23-4 in umpire Estabrooks last 74 games behind home plate and 7-1 UNDER in his L/8 in Yankee games. Play UNDER @ 10 or more |
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08-02-19 | Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA, 160 SO) has pitched at least six innings in 17 straight starts, going 11-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He has pitched 113 innings in that stretch, striking out 136 and walking just 25 and Im betting he remains on track here limits the Tigers offensive production in this spot. Meanwhile, tigers southpaw starter Tyler Alexander(0-1, 3.86 ERA, 14 SO)After a couple of solid outings to open his Major League career, the rookie was roughed up a bit in his third career start, getting clipped for four runs on eight hits and one walk in 4 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Saturday. However despite of the regression Alexander still showed his prowess with nine strikeouts and has the ability to limit damage here in this spot , which Im betting will help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 9-2-1 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games. Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 Friday starts.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Lynns last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Lynns last 13 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Lynns last 12 starts on grass.Under is 7-3 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 17-5 in Rangers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 23-9 in Rangers last 32 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-02-19 | Ottawa v. Montreal UNDER 53 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
Montreal after a slow start to their current campaign has held its last three opponents to 58 total points 1,177 total yards. Meanwhile, Ottawa their opponents have not scored 20 or more points in any game during its currentfour-game losing streak, and last time out had just 13 first downs in the loss to the Stampeders. Im betting on the Red Blacks continuing to struggle offensively and for Montreal D to continue to stand tall, and for this tilt to be a very physical affair that stays under the set total. These teams have a history of low scoring affairs, with only one of the L/7 meetings seeing more than 52 combined points scored. All three of the most recent meetings here in Montreal have gone under with the average combined score of 48 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 15-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus division opponents since 1996 with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 31-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-01-19 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Trent Thornton (3-7, 5.45 ERA) gets the start for the Jays in Thursday's game. He is coming off of the injured list (elbow inflammation) and could be rusty today and in the process allow this underrated Baltimore offence to unload on him offensively. In his last three starts Thornton garnered a bloated 7.34 ERA .Thornton owns a 1.54 WHIP and .270 batting average against in 21 starts this season.Meanwhile, Os starter Wojciechowski despite of two recent quality starts, was 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in his first four games (three starts) with Baltimore after he was acquired from the Cleveland organization July 1 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this sometimes explosive Toronto offence that is loaded full of young top tier talent. Over is 5-0 in Thorntons last 5 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall. MLB team (TORONTO) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 220-132 OVER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-01-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 154 | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
As we come closer to the WNBA play offs teams become more aware of their defensive responsibilities and play also gets more physical. These two teams are strong candidates for a run at a WNBA championship and Im betting play a hard core competitive game here today that will end up on the low side of the total. CONNECTICUT is 11-2 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.4 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-8 UNDER in road games after 5 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers for a combined average of 158.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, on Thursday nights are 41-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals are 34-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 59-22 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-31-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 10 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez(6-6, 3.63 ERA, 87 SO)will make his fourth start this season against the Braves, after spending last season with Atlanta, and he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his first three outings against them. He has won six straight decisions since May 29. Meanwhile, Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.44 ERA, 91 SO)was cruising against the Phillies on Friday before his night ended early thanks to a 37-pitch fifth inning in which he recorded only two outs. Still, he allowed just one run over 4 2/3 innings and is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA on the road. The recency of yesterday high scoring game that saw these teams combined for 19 runs, had a bloated line attached to this tilt. Note: WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. SANCHEZ is 21-8 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 12-4 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.8 rpg. WASHINGTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Wednesday games.Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Nationals last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 overall.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 on grass.Under is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Sanchezs last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Sanchezs last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 6-2 in Sorokas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Sorokas last 8 road starts. Play on the UNDER |
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07-30-19 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA, 62 SO) allowed career highs of 10 hits and three homers vs. the Cubs last time out, surrendering four runs in 5 2/3 innings and looks unstable entering this game and could easily get lit up vs a batting order Im betting he does matchup well against. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA, 60 ) despite a decent effort in his debut with his new team, has still been very inconsistent this season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well against the Giants batting order. Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 11-2-2 in Giants last 15 games following an off day.Over is 15-3 in Giants last 18 Tuesday games.Over is 9-2-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 7-2-1 in Giants last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Giants last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-5-1 in Giants last 19 road games.Over is 18-7-4 in Giants last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 vs. National League West. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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07-29-19 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 10 | 7-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Toronto's Thomas Pannone(2-4, 6.39 ERA, 43 SO) is being promoted for Monday's start and return to a full five-man rotation. The lefty allowed four runs over 4 1/3 innings against Boston his last time out, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could easily give up alot of production the Royals in this spot. Meanwhile, Brad Keller is currently throwing hard, but the Jays are a explosive fast ball hitting team, that I have projected for a positive output . Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-6 in Blue Jays last 19 during game 1 of a series.Over is 17-8-1 in Blue Jays last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East. KANSAS CITY is 12-3 OVER at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Over |
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07-29-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Nats starter Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) has enjoyed plenty of success against the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) in his career against Atlanta. He gave up two runs on eight hits in five innings on July 19 at SunTrust Park. Corbin's 1.68 ERA at Nationals Park is the second-best home ERA in the Majors.CORBIN is 10-1 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Braves starter Keuchel is coming off a dominant 12-strikeout performance Tuesday against the Royals. The heavy dose of strikeouts were one shy of his career high and his most in a game since Sept. 6, 2015 the year he went on to win the AL Cy Young Award with Houston.KEUCHEL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Im expecting a pitcher duel here today. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52 | 45-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
When these teams played on July 20 the Saskatchewan Roughriders came out of that game with a 38-25 win, and Im betting on a offensive similar output here this week in a game I have slated to eclipse the total. I know there has been alot of frustration in BC so far this season, but this is still a talented overall team, that Im betting can be explosive if they cant protect star QB Reilly. With that said Im betting the Lions will provide protection for Quarterback Mike Reilly tonight even though previous to this game he’s been sacked a league-high 21 times this season.Head Coach DeVone Claybrooks has confidence in his squad, telling the media earlier this week, “I have all the ingredients for this soup and I’m just trying to season it to get the right taste.” END QUOTE. It must also be noted that the Riders defence has shown some lapses this season, especially in their two road games and are currently allowing 33.5 ppg . Meanwhile, BC has allowed 33 or more points in 5 of their first 6 games, and despite of me expecting a uptick in offensive production it is their defence that really looks weak. Over is 4-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in Roughriders last 7 road games.Over is 5-2-1 in Roughriders last 8 Saturday games. Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 vs. West.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games overall. Play on the OVER |
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07-25-19 | Toronto v. Edmonton UNDER 53 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show | |
Scoring has been an issue for the Toronto offence so far this season, averaging 15 ppg . Meanwhile, Edmonton is proving staunch on D, and are allowing an average of 20.4 ppg. Even if Toronto has a defensive breakdown, which is not uncommon, and Eskimos explode on them, Im still betting the combined total output by both teams will not eclipse this slightly bloated number. These teams met twice last season, taking part in 16-15 and 20-17 affairs in a home and away series. Im betting on more of the same here this Thursday night. Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Eskimos last 5 games in July. Play UNDER |
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07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 10 | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Sampson the Rangers starter today 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA versus the Mariners in 2019, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Mariners inconsistent offence. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Gonzales allowed three runs or less in six straight starts before he was reached for six runs in six frames of a loss at Oakland on Tuesday, but Im betting he bounces back today and gets back to his usual consistent form. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games. Under is 13-3 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-4 in Rangers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-6-1 in Rangers last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. TEXAS is 17-5 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MLB eams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 45-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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07-22-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Homer Bailey (8-6, 4.69 ERA, 87 SO) was sharp in his A’s debut, allowing just two runs over six innings in a win against the Mariners. The right-hander returns to his home state of Texas for a matchup with the Astros, whom he’s 4-0 against with a 1.46 ERA in eight career starts. Meanwhile, Astros starter Gerrit Cole (10-5, 3.12 ERA, 194 SO)has put himself in the American League Cy Young race, going 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last 10 starts. He has struck out 94 batters in 64 innings in that span. Cole leads the Majors with 194 strikeouts and 13.47 strikeouts per nine innings. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season for a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average 8.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 21-9 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Athletics last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 road games.Under is 10-4 in Athletics last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a win.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 home games.Under is 39-17-2 in Astros last 58 Monday games. Under is 4-1 in Coles last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Play UNDER |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 11 | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers have not faired overly well vs current batting orders. Washingtons batting order has gone 33-for-100 (.333) versus the Braves starter Gausman and Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) Nats starter against Ross. Gausman's splits are better overall, but all in all both pitchers in tandem should support this total going over the total. GAUSMAN is 8-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. We have a high total attached to this game , but rightly so. It must be noted that the last six Sunday Night Baseball games with an over/under of 10 or higher have seen the OVER cash 6 straight times season eclipsing the number by 3.3 rpg. (dating back 13 seasons) Play on the OVER |
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07-21-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 0-9 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a 34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence . |
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07-19-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Hyun-Jin Ryu 10-2, 1.78 ERA, 105 SOthe Dodgers starter tonight has bounced back nicely from his rocky June 28 outing at Coors Field, allowing just two earned runs over 13 innings in his last two starts (1.38 ERA). Aside from allowing seven runs to the Rockies, Ryu has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his 17 other starts. . The Marlins will counter with right-hander Zac Gallen (0-1, 4.24), who will be making his fifth career start. The rookie has never faced the Dodgers and is coming off an outing Saturday against the New York Mets when he gave up two runs on four hits over five innings in a no-decision and capable of slowing this Dodgers offence that is not acquainted with his decent stuff. Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 overall.Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 home starts.Under is 16-5-2 in Ryus last 23 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-8-3 in Ryus last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Ryus last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.
Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Aces v. Storm UNDER 157.5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The No.1 ranked D of the Seattle Storm, in the WNBA and 8th ranked pace, and 9th ranked offence take on the No.1 pace , and No 2 offense in the league of the Las Vegas Aces. When these teams played back on June 25 in Nevada the final score clicked in a 60-56 and was very physical. While these teams may not have the small of output this time , Im still expecting a tight game that does not exceed this total. Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 Friday games.Under is 13-3-2 in Storm last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 16-4-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2-1 in Storm last 11 games following a ATS win.Under is 19-9-2 in Storm last 30 overall. Under is 4-0 in Aces last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 road games. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 53 | 1-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Efficiency on offence and a little luck have seen Winnipeg go 4-0 SU/ATS so far this season. However it must be noted that QB Matt Nichols despite of leading the CFL with 10 passing touchdowns and only one interception, still only has 855 passing yards and attempted only 98 passes in four games. So unloading here vs a decent RedBlack secondary wont come that easily. Meanwhile, Ottawa is currently struggling mightily , and are 0-2 L/2 as their offense has become stagnant, not scoring a offensive TD in those tilts with QB Davis under center. Even though they expect to replace injured QB Davis with Jennings the offensive line has shown weakness and Im doubting their attack will suddenly become more efficient. My power rankings suggest both teams strengths are based on solid defences and a hard nosed blue collar mind set . This will Im betting be on full display this week in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. WINNIPEG is 16-4 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1996 with a combined average 45.4 ppg scored.WINNIPEG is 6-0 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.8 ppg going on the board. OTTAWA is 13-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 47.7 ppg going on the board. Under is 9-2 in RedBlacks last 11 games in July.Under is 13-6 in RedBlacks last 19 road games.Under is 21-10 in RedBlacks last 31 games following a ATS loss. CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (WINNIPEG) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 43-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OTTAWA) - after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnoversUnder is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 home games are 64-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Wainwright the Cards starter tonight against the Reds despite of pitching well of late has struggled mightily in eight road starts, garnering a 1-5 record along with a highly bloated 6.20 ERA and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs the Reds. Meanwhile,Tyler Mahle the Red Starter (2-10, 4.82 ERA, 101 SO) took the loss in his last start as he allowed a season-high-tying six earned runs against the Rockies in 4 1/3 innings of work . He did not look right in that game, and Im betting that effort extends into this tilt. In his L/7 starts he is 0-5 with a 5.80 ERA. WAINWRIGHT is 16-4 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Over is 16-7-1 in Wainwrights last 24 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Reds. MAHLE is 9-1 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Play OVER |
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07-18-19 | Toronto v. Calgary UNDER 53 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 38 h 49 m | Show | |
Rain is in the forecast in Calgary, with a predicted 60 percent chance of precipitation . The Argos own the worst scoring offence, averaging 14.8 points per game this season and I doubt they will eclipse that amount here this week vs a staunch Calgary D. Meanwhile, the Stamps allowed 4 sacks last week, and showed weakness on their offensive line, which Im betting going forward will hinder back up QB Arbuckle, who replaces the injured Bo Levi Jr. Arkbuckle was sacked 4 times last week. Im expecting the Stamps to be in a letdown mode after their loss to Hamilton last week 30-22 and for them to start slowly on offense vs a 0-4 Argos side that Im betting they are not motivated to face. With that said, bet on a total combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Argonauts last 5 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Stampeders last 5 games in July.Under is 6-2 in Stampeders last 8 games overall. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Calgary. Play on the UNDER |
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07-17-19 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Indians starter Mike Clevinger(2-2, 3.99 ERA, 46 SO)After a slow start coming off the injured list, Clevinger said he has felt more like himself on the mound in his past two outings. In that span, he's pitched to a 0.82 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 11 innings and in his current form will be a nightmare for Tigers hitters. Meanwhile,Spencer Turnbull(3-8, 3.59 ERA, 85 SO)Turnbull’s return from the injured list on Friday in Kansas City showed a rejuvenated arm , and is more than capable of at least slowing the Tribes offence here today to some extent , which Im betting translates into a combined score that remains on the low side of this total.TURNBULL is 10-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. TURNBULL is 11-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 21-11 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 23-10-5 in Tigers last 38 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Turnbulls last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Turnbulls last 9 road starts.Under is 3-1-1 in Turnbulls last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts overall.Under is 21-8-2 in Clevingers last 31 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 23-9-2 in Clevingers last 34 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 7-2-1 in Indians last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 39-15-2 in Indians last 56 Wednesday games.Under is 7-3 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 35-16-1 in Indians last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games. Play UNDER |
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07-17-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh's Chris Archer (3-6, 5.42 ERA) is scheduled to face St. Louis' Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 1.99) in a battle of right-handers. Archer the Pirates starter had his best stuff in his second-half debut on Friday vs. the Cubs. He leaned on his four-seamer and slider to strike out a season-high 10 batters and comes into this tilt with momentum.Archer is 0-0 with a 2.20 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon gets another opportunity after allowing one run in 6 2/3 innings in an emergency start Friday against the D-backs. Note: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. National League Central.Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 11-3 in Cardinals last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 21-6-1 in Cardinals last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 games following a loss.Under is 20-7 in Cardinals last 27 home games.Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 35-15-2 in Cardinals last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 55-25-3 in Cardinals last 83 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Ponce de Leons last 5 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Ponce de Leons last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts on grass.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Ponce de Leons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 16-7 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. ST LOUIS is 30-17 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 18-6 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Play under |
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07-15-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 10 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Norris is in the midst of a 10-game winless stretch after giving up six runs on eight hits and three walks over five innings in a 7-5 loss at the Chicago White Sox on July 3. My power rankings suggest he will once again struggle against a up trending Tribe offence. Meanwhile, Plutko the Indians starter has gone three starts without a decision and did not complete five innings in any of them and also looks like cannon fodder in a game that Im betting goes over the set total. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 road games.Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. American League Central.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a win.Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 overall.Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 on grass.Over is 9-3-1 in Tigers last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-4-3 in Tigers last 17 during game 1 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Tigers last 18 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-1 in Norris' last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 36-14-2 in the last 52 meetings in Cleveland. DETROIT is 16-7 OVER as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season with the combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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07-14-19 | Liberty v. Storm UNDER 154.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Seattle is ranked No.1 in the WNBA in defence, 8th in pace and 10th in offensive rating, and are more than capable of controlling the action here today in a very precise manner, which Im betting leads to a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Liberty last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-4 in Liberty last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 7-1-1 in Storm last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 12-2-2 in Storm last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 15-5-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-3 in Storm last 10 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Storm last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Play UNDER |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings UNDER 153.5 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago had a huge offensive output last game out for a win but today I expect a more muted effort that will see them regress offensively. However, I also like the way their defence matches up against Dallas, as was evident when they held them to 66 points in last week 78-66 home win vs the Wings. With that said, Im expecting this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Sky last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Sky last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-0 in Wings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Wings last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 7-1 in Wings last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Wings last 7 Sunday games.Under is 17-5 in Wings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 10-3 in Wings last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Wings last 26 overall. Play UNDER |
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07-14-19 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 10 | 8-3 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
SF Giants starter Beede is coming off the best start of his nascent career after firing seven innings of one-run ball against the Padres on July 2 and Im betting he holds down the Brewers to limited production this afternoon. CHACIN the Brewers starter is 31-19 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 24-12 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored during that 50 game sample size. Under is 7-0 in Chacins last 7 starts vs. National League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Calgary is a defence first team and has gone below the total in each of its last four road games, including last week’s 37-10 beatdown of the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Against this explosive run and shoot Hamilton offence Im expecting they drag out their offensive plays, and slow the game down, and on defence show their formidable presence by limiting the Ti Cats production in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: HAMILTON is 12-2 L/14 UNDER in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 6.0 or less yards/play with a combined average of 46.4 ppg going on the board. CALGARY is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 28-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing low scoring games with 5 of the L/6 staying on the low side of the number, and 3 straight here in Montreal. None of the L/6 meetings have seen more than 46 points scored and the average combined score of those tilts has clicked in at 38.8 ppg and Im expecting another low scoring tilt this week. The Alouettes hav gone under in 10 of their previous 13 games away from Montreal, and are 41-17-1 to the under in their past 59 games against divisional rivals. Meanwhile, the the RedBlacks are 4-13 to the UNDER in their previous 17 outings against the East. OTTAWA is 10-2 UNDER versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.8 ppg. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER in July games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg going on board. Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starting hurler Lyles surrendered season highs of seven runs, 10 hits and three homers against the Cubs in his final start before the break on July 4 in Pittsburgh. That ballooned his ERA from 3.71 to 4.36 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs.LYLES is 18-7 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored in those 25 games. Meanwhile, Lester lasted only two innings vs. the Pirates on April 8 due to injury and in my power rankings also suggest the Pirates matchup well against him.LESTER is 17-7 OVER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.LESTER is 24-11 OVER (+12.0 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored in those 35 games. Over is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-5 in Pirates last 26 games following a loss. Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 overall.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 on grass.Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 during game 2 of a series. Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Over is 12-3-1 in Lesters last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts on grass.Over is 18-6-2 in Lesters last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts.Over is 20-7 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 2 of a series. Play OVER |
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07-12-19 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 51.5 | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Getting up for the 0-3 Argos will be difficult for the 3-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and Im betting they're offence start slow as motivation becomes a key factor. This will effect the the total combined score to the under. WINNIPEG is 16-3 UNDER L/19 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread with the average combined score clicking in at 44.1 ppg. TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER L/30 versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing 4.25 or less rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 home games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall. Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 153.5 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting their season on fire and failing to pace themselves the Connecticut Sun now look to be exhausted as is evident by a 5 game losing streak that has seen them score an average of just 70.6 ppg. Meanwhile, Phoenix is off an explosive two way performance last time out beating Washington by a 91-68 count. Im betting on an offensive regression here today by the Mercury even if super star Diana Taurasi plays , and for a D that has held 5 of their L/7 opponents to 70 point or less to continue their top tier stopping modus operandi. This combination of expected projections makes for a score that will be lower than the linesmakers and public expect. Both teams have gone under in 3 of their last 4 trips to the court. Under is 6-1-1 in Mercury last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 road games. Under is 11-3 in Sun last 14 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sun last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western ConferenceUnder is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up loss.Play UNDER |
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07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 11.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn ,11-4, 3.91 ERA, 123 SOLynn is 9-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in his last 13 starts. He is averaging 4.73 strikeouts per walk, which ranks eighth best in the American League. He lost his only start against the Astros this season, but he is 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in seven career starts against them and Im betting will limit the Astros offensive output here tonight. LYNN is 26-6 UNDER in July games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Lynns last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. American League West.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Lynns last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, Framber Valdez goes to the hill for the Astros. He has been less than effecient this season, but Texas has had issues with LHP as is evident by their .226 BA vs southpaws, and could easily find the sledding tough , which Im also betting limits their output vs projection estimates. HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 65-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public is all over the over here , which is not a surprise, considering last years all star game saw 14 runs go on the board. However, my projections estimate a much lower score than many might anticipate as these top tier hurlers from both the AL/NL matchup up very well vs each other star batting orders. The so called juiced ball myth goes down in flames here this Tuesday night.(At least for now) Nine of the last 11 MLB all star games have gone under 8.5 runs. The L/11 all star games have seen an average of 6.8 rpg scored. Pitchers: AL: Astros' Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.86 ERA) and Gerrit Cole (AL No.1- 161 strikeouts), Chicago's Lucas Giolito (11-2, 2.72 ERA) Rangers' Mike Minor (8-4, 2.40 ERA). NL:major-league ERA leader Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-2, 1.83), . Clayton Kershaw (eighth All-Star appearance), Walker Buehler (8-1, 104 strikeouts) and 2018 Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom most probably coming out of the bullpen. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-19 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies starter has been on a roll as of late. He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings in his last three starts, striking out 28 and walking five and Im betting on the more of the same here today vs the NY Mets. Meanwhile, Wheeler the Mets starter has been his team’s most significant hurler of late as he owns a 1.86 ERA his last three starts. Im betting on both these throwers going long and strong and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. (Wheeler owns a 2.95 ERA in 13 career starts against the Phillies. Nola has garnered a 3.48 ERA in 11 starts against the Mets.) Under is 4-0-1 in Wheelers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. NOLA is 21-9 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. )NOLA is 16-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.NOLA is 13-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. NY METS are 31-14 UNDER in home games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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07-06-19 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51 | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections based on both these teams style of play estimates a total of closer to 48.5 to 49 thus giving us an edge on a under wager here this evening. Under is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 games overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. West. CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SASKATCHEWAN) - after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 70 or more total yards 2 consecutive games are 28-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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07-05-19 | Dream v. Storm UNDER 147 | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My line for this game was set around 144, so we have value to the under here at this number. The Seattle Storm are averaging 74.2 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.7 points on 42.6 percent shooting and are deliberate team with a conservative defensive mindset. Meanwhile, The Atlanta Dream are averaging 69.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting and once again depend on a slower pace to try to stay close here, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails toe eclipse this total. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 Friday games.Under is 12-3-1 in Storm last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa UNDER 53.5 | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Im betting the Redblacks offence rusty and off a bye week will have a tough challenge, as Winnipeg has allowed just one offensive touchdown in two games this season. Im also expecting Ottawa to be punting alot today, but are in good hands in that department, behind Richie Leone who is averaging 53.6 yards to lead the CFL in punting average, putting him on a record pace thus far. With that said, field position should help the Red Black out defensively as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER after a playing a game where 63 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 44-41win vs Sask last time out. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 26-5 L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-05-19 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The NY Yankees explosive offence is averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season, with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored in those 40 games and Im betting on them unloading here vs a rookie hurler in McKay. Meanwhile, Yankees hurler Tanaka lasted just two-thirds of an inning in his start in London, allowing six runs and has not been consistent this season, and Im betting he looks vulnerable entering game and susceptible to being lit up. Note: The Yankees are 9-0 L/9 OVER when Masahiro Tanaka starts as a road favorite when they scored first in his last start in a Yankees victory, going over by an average of 6.05 runs per game. NY YANKEES are 22-5 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 13-2 OVER in road games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 11-3 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. All 3 games in TB have gone over this season, and thats what Im betting on here tonight. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 3-0-2 in Rays last 5 home games.Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.Over is 8-1-2 in Rays last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1-1 in umpire Lentzs last 7 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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07-03-19 | Twins v. A's OVER 9.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Kyle Gibson RHP8-4, 4.21 ERA, 88 SOGibson was scheduled to start Sunday's series finale against the White Sox but was pushed back because he was needed for an inning of relief in Thursday's 18-inning game against the Rays. He allowed four runs in seven frames in his last start and does not matchup well vs this AS batting order according to my advanced data power ranking listings. Oakland has scored 7 or more runs in 3 of their L/4 and look to be heating up offensively and could do some series damage today. Meanwhile, Minnesota remains a dangerous offensive team averaging 6.3 rpg and no matter who goes to the hill today will be able to rspond in game with some fireworks of their own .With that said Im recommending we take the over. GIBSON is 40-19 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 21-10 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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07-03-19 | Indians v. Royals OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) Clevinger the Tribes starter knows he has to play catch-up after missing two months of the season with an upper back strain. In his last start (his first since being reactivated off the IL from a left ankle sprain), he allowed a career-high seven runs in 1 2/3 innings and im betting he is still not 100% and susceptible to being lit up.Over is 6-0 in Clevingers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Meanwhile, Danny Duffy gave up three runs over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to the Blue Jays on Friday. He allowed a game-tying two-run shot to Lourdes Gurriel in the sixth before Eric Sogard slugged a go-ahead solo blast in the seventh. It was obviously a disappointing way to end it. Duffy fanned eight and walked just one in taking the loss. He remains winless since way back on May 19 and does matchup well vs the Tribe according to my pitcher vs batting order power rnakings. Over is 11-3 in Duffys last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2-1 in Duffys last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2 in Duffys last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-4 in Duffys last 15 Wednesday starts.Over is 10-4-1 in Duffys last 15 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 7-3-1 in Duffys last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-4 in Duffys last 13 home starts. . CLEVELAND is 25-12 OVER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 21-11 OVER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. Play OVER |
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07-03-19 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 10 | 0-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.60 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sonny Gray (4-5, 3.94) Gray the Reds starter continued to uptrend by improving to 4-1 in his last seven starts after yielding two runs on four hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-3 win versus the Chicago Cubs last time out. The Cinncy tighty owns a 1-0 record along with a very stable 2.76 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Chacin the Brewer starter is also pitching better, and getting more out of his slider, and poses a matchup issue for the Reds batting oder. CHACIN is 16-6 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 12-2 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 33-13 UNDER)vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central. Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 22-8-1 in Brewers last 31 during game 3 of a series.Under is 21-9-1 in Brewers last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Chacins last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3 in Chacins last 16 road starts.Under is 8-2 in Chacins last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Chacins last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Chacins last 7 Wednesday starts.Under is 20-8 in Chacins last 28 starts on grass.Under is 20-8 in Chacins last 28 starts overall. Under is 12-3-1 in Reds last 16 Wednesday games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 games following a win.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 home games.Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 14-5 in Reds last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-5-1 in Reds last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 42-19-3 in Reds last 64 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 66-31-3 in Reds last 100 overall.Under is 66-31-3 in Reds last 100 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Grays last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-2-1 in Grays last 8 starts vs. National League Central. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. Under is 6-0-1 in Estabrooks last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.Under is 7-1 in Estabrooks last 8 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.Under is 43-21-4 in Estabrooks last 68 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Giants had their biggest offensive output in 9 games yesterday putting 10 runs on the board, but today I expect the light hitting Giants revert back to their usual ways, and come closer to their 3.4 rpg game out vs LHP which the Fathers starter Strahm just so happens to be. Meanwhile, the Padres despite of playing decently this season are still only averaging 3.9 rpg at home , with their saving grace being that they also only allow 4 runs per game which makes for a 7.9 rpg average here at Petco. Im betting on more of the same low scoring action today. Four of the 5 meetings in this series here in Petco have all stayed under the total. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) -NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 36-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 10-6 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
For the second straight start, Price will be on six days of rest. It worked for Price last time, as he held the White Sox to two earned runs in six innings in a win. Lifetime against the Blue Jays, Price has dazzled, going 22-3 with a 2.37 ERA. I know the Blue Jays have been hammering these juice balls around of late, but today Im betting their offensive output will be curtailed against a top tier hurler who has a recent record of success against them. Meanwhile,Thornton the Jay starter will open Toronto’s three-game series against the Red Sox after holding Boston to two runs over 6 1/3 innings when he last faced the reigning World Series champions on June 21 and should also help limit the Red sox in what I project is a favorable lineup for him to face. With that said Im betting on a total score that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated total that is based on recency bias. TORONTO is 30-13 UNDER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. PRICE is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Sky v. Aces UNDER 160 | 82-90 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
The recency of Chicago allowing 94 points last time out, and the Aces taking part in a back and forth high scoring affair in their last game, have put this total in the beatable category to the under. Tonight Im betting on the Sky playing more conservatively and paying strict attention to D, while the Aces regression on tired legs after that last scoring fest they took part in is to be expected. Play UNDER |