Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-29-20 | Sabres v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 104 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - JONAS JOHANSSON, ARIZONA - DARCY KUEMPER Buffalo is allowing 3.4 gpg on the road this season, and should provide a Vegas side that does not do alot of consistent scoring to have an above average night offensively which will aid in this game going over the set total. Buffalo in their L/5 games have averaged 5 goals per game and now out of a play off race are not being as stringent defensively as they would be if these games meant more to them. Value to the over. Play over |
|||||||
02-28-20 | Cavs v. Pelicans UNDER 237 | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The public loves to bet Zion and company overs, and the lines-makers are offering them an option to do what they love to do and that is bet the over at what I feel is a slightly bloated number ( 1 possession -3). This reminds me of a saying from the Late Jimmy the Greek, The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. Which leads me into my contrarian wager here as a I recommend we take the under. It must be noted that the Cavaliers are off a huge win at home last time out as underdogs vs the Sixers and will now Im betting be in a letdown situation. Which brings into play this trend that shows CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Teams like the Cavaliers are 1-18 UNDER L/19 on the road off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had at least 10 more turnovers than their opponent with the average combined score of 183.2 ppg scored.The Cavaliers are also 0-15 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with the average combined score of those tilts ringing at 201.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 33-12 UNDER UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Arizona v. USC UNDER 139 | 48-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Kings v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Sacramentos last two road games both wins have featured top tier defensive efforts, holding the Clippers to just 103 points and the Warriors to 94 points. Their successes will have them continue to concentrate on playing top tier D, and this Im betting contributes to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated number. OKLAHOMA CITY in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. The Thunder are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 133 | 74-66 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-26-20 | Celtics v. Jazz UNDER 219 | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to make a concerted effort at turning this into a physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored. The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-26-20 | Wolves v. Heat OVER 228.5 | 129-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NBA The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-26-20 | East Carolina v. South Florida UNDER 128 | 68-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-25-20 | Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The New Jersey Devils and Detroit Red Wings both occupy the basement of their respective divisions in the Eastern Conference. NJ has won 2 straight games, with tight defensive efforts by 2-1 and 3-2 counts while the Red Wings, who have dropped 16 of 19 (3-15-1) and scored more than three goals only once in that span. Im expecting the Devils to continue this type of hockey as its been success-full lately and for Motown to continue to struggle to score which will result in lower scoring affair. Under is 6-0-1 in Red Wings last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 overall.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-1-2 in Red Wings last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 home games. Under is 8-0-1 in Devils last 9 games as a favorite. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-25-20 | Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 | 70-78 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-24-20 | Alcorn State v. Alabama State OVER 135.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-24-20 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 145.5 | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-24-20 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 240.5 | 137-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings clicking in at 268 ppg. Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board. The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 225.5 | 112-114 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Two top tier teams one from the West and one from the East do battle this afternoon in LA as the Lakers host the Celtics .Its an early start and Im leaning on an under here in what should be a chippy post season type affair. The Lakers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency in the league 6th in ppg per game allowed behind the 12th ranked pace, while the Celtics ranked 3rd in ppg allowed and operate fairly slowly behind the 17th rank pace. The time of the game, the metrics and also my projections estimate the total should be closer to 221 thus giving us more than 1 possession of value on this number. Under is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-9 in Celtics last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 41-18 in Lakers last 59 games as a home favorite. BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board. The Lakers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/12 off a 10+ win in a home game when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after with a combined average score of 183.2 ppg scored. The Celtics are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they are off two games in which they had more than 25 fouls with a combined average of 186.3 ppg scored.
Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Bucknell v. Lehigh OVER 139 | 60-69 | Loss | -119 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Bucknell won as fav in their L/2 games, and when this has happened in the recent past they have gone over in 11 straight times in the followup with a combined average of 161.5 ppg going on the board with each tilt in the subset easily eclipsing this number. Look for Bucknell now with confidence to set the pace of this tilt and to come out here with some offensive aggressiveness which will result in the home team coming out of their shell, with some minor fireworks of their own which will help this combined score go over the number. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BUCKNELL) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-38 OVER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Cal-Irvine v. CS-Northridge UNDER 149.5 | 87-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
UCI plays a grinding physical type of basketball behind a slow pace and half court defense. Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge runs and guns with wreck-less abandon and was evident in a 110-98 loss to UC Davis last time out, which has added numbers to this total. With the way UCI s opus operandi works, and what I expect to be natural regression offensively by Northridge after their last one way offensive battle, Im betting we have value with an under wager here this evening. UC-IRVINE is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Gonzaga v. BYU OVER 158 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
These two teams BYU and Gonzaga can light it up with some of the best teams in the nation.Gonzaga has gone over the total in 22 of their 28 games have eclipsed the total in their L/11 away games while BYU has gone over in 16 of their 28 tilts. Gonzaga offensive efficiency is remarkable on alot of fronts but on the road they play a no prisoners type of offense, that also seems to have team having to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court, as is evident by allowing their opposition to put up a a boat load of shots ( average 62, ranking 323rd in the nation). What this tells me is , that if you want to be Gonzaga hyou have outscore them. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Kings v. Clippers OVER 230 | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Celtics v. Wolves OVER 226 | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. NBA Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 212.5 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly to the under. The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2 ppg scored. The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 235.5 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own. NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 14-0-1 OVER L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored. The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 133 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Dartmouth has allowed 60.1 ppg at home this season, and their system is predicated oin playing tough defensive ball and nothing changes tonight on their own home court. When these teams played earlier this season, they took part in a 54-46 affair that Penn won, and this is a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch. PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 UNDER after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.5 ppg scored. DARTMOUTH is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after a win by 15 points or more with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored.DARTMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER after playing a home game this season with a 119.7 ppg scored. (Dartmouth beat Cornell 75-53 at home last time out) Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Hornets v. Bulls UNDER 211 | 103-93 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Chicago was playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Columbus plays a conservative disciplined brand of defensive hockey, and they consistently find a way to keep games chippy and physical while taking teams out of their offensive flow. Rinse and repeat here tonight vs Philadelphia as they will be very stringent after suffering a 5-1 loss to the Flyers in the first part of this home and home series. COLUMBUS is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 2.3 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 15-2 UNDER in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 224.5 | 126-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
analysis to follow- thank you for your patience |
|||||||
02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 135 | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rutgers because of their strong defensive play have really stepped up their ability to compete in the Big 10. Here at home the Scarlet Knights are especially tough to play against allowing just 57.5 ppg in 17 games. Tonight at the RAC the Scarlet Knights have revenge on board for a loss to Michigan on the road earlier this season by 69-63 count, and in the past when they have been in redemption mode , playing extremely tough D, has been their modus operandi , under HC Pickell especially this season , as they have seen a combined average of 126.2 ppg scored in the 8 tilts that fit revenge perimeters. Meanwhile, Michigan is off a big 89 point offensive output last time vs Indiana, thanks to some explosive beyond the arc conversion rates ( 57.4%) and Im betting they will have natural regression here tonight. Note: MICHIGAN is 8-1 UNDER after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored. Im betting on a scrappy physical game and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-17-20 | North Carolina Central v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 134.5 | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
North Carolina Central plays a slow grinding type of defensive basketball. On the road they have only averaged 61.4 ppg in offence, so its imperative they continue to grind it out and thanks to a defence that has been solid on a consistent basis this season, allowing just 66.1 ppg , Im betting on more of the same action here which will influence to this total the under. NC Carolina A&T off a loss a favorite are 0-9 UNDER with the average ppg diff clicking in at 116.2 ppg going on the board. ( They lost last time out at Florida A&M) NC CENTRAL is 12-3 UNDER L/15 in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or ,less of their attempts with a combined average of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (NC CENTRAL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games are 30-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-16-20 | All Star LeBron v. All Star Giannis OVER 303.5 | 157-155 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate Play OVER |
|||||||
02-16-20 | Bruins v. Rangers OVER 6 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Bruins super star David Pastrnak, who became the first player to 42 goals on Saturday, has seven points in two games versus the Rangers this season and Im betting he will be a catalyst here in an above average Bruins offensive output , that will help buoy this game over the set total. Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games a home underdog.Over is 11-4-1 in Rangers last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 9-4-1 in Rangers last 14 home games.Over is 14-4-1 in Rangers last 19 games as an underdog. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-16-20 | Colgate v. Loyola Maryland OVER 148.5 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. LOYOLA-MD is 15-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season with a combined average off 155 ppg scored. LOYOLA-MD is 11-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored. Home teams against the total (LOYOLA-MD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 90-42 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-14-20 | Sharks v. Jets OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
San Jose is off two straight games where 9 and 8 combined goals were scored and tonight Im betting this tilt vs a Winnipeg team, that has scored 14 total goals in a 3 game span prior to being held to 1 goal last time out will also be fairly high scoring . Considering both sides current form and style of play Im projecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: San Jose has allowed an average of 3.5 gpg on the road this season and have allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of their L/7 games overall, while Winnipeg scores an average of 3.2 gpg in their L/5 while allowing 31.6 shots per game and taking 34.6 shot per game. Over is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. Western Conference. NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in February games are 259-175 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-14-20 | Cornell v. Harvard UNDER 137.5 | 63-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-13-20 | Oilers v. Lightning UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
With one of the leagues top scorers McDavid out of Edmonton Oilers lineup Im betting his absence will effect their offensive slow and output. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season of 4.2 gpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 8-0 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Cal-Riverside OVER 128 | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, in a tilt I have projected to eclipse this total. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (UC-IRVINE) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 26-4 OVER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | 101-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
This is the fifth game in the Heats Western road trip and they are now on tired legs and wont have their usual jump here tonight in the high altitude of Utah which Im betting directly effects their offensive output tonight which favors an under wager . The Heat are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a win facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a road game in which they had fewer than 4 times as many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189.7 ppg scored. Snyder in his L/49 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of UTAH has seen a combined average of 203.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-12-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa OVER 132 | 56-70 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Play OVER |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa OVER 139.5 | 63-71 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Play OVER |
|||||||
02-11-20 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 232 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Boston enters this game fully healthy and will be primed to play top tier defence here behind the 17th ranked pace and 2nd ranked ppg D in the league. Meanwhile, Houston since changing over to a predominant small ball lineup have shown mixed results with the most troubling aspect seeing difficulties from beyond the arc which Im betting will effect output here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. The Rockets are 9-35-5 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest with a combine average of 217.3 ppg scored. The Celtics are 0-11-1 UNDER l/12 on the road with rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-10-20 | Kings v. Bucks UNDER 228 | 111-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me. The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1 game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-10-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets' defense and goaltending are key to their run of success of late. Netminder Elvis Merzlikins has recorded five shutouts in the last nine contests, and the team's goalies have a league-high seven on the season, and Im betting another concerted effort to play tough defence will be on tonights agenda vs a offensively explosive Tampa Bay team. The Bolts in a recent game vs the Isles matched their opponents tough defensive game plan, with a similar style of play and it payed dividends in a 3-1 win, and Im betting that will be modus operandi here again tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay under the total. COLUMBUS is 24-9 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. Under is 5-0-1 in Lightning last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 6-2-1 in Lightning last 9 road games. Under is 10-4-1 in Lightning last 15 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-0 in Blue Jackets last 5 games as a home underdog. Under is 8-1 in Blue Jackets last 9 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 vs. Atlantic. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-09-20 | Blackhawks v. Jets OVER 6 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams have seen 6 gpg average in their games this season, and this one set up to eclipse those averages according to my projections. Over is 13-3 in Blackhawks last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. CHICAGO is 24-8 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an AVERAGE OF 7.3 gog scored. WINNIPEG is 15-4 OVER L/19 after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games with a combined average of 7 gpg going on the scoreboard. NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game are 31-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-09-20 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-09-20 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 226.5 | 135-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Knicks are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
02-08-20 | Bucks v. Magic UNDER 220.5 | 112-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under. The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-07-20 | Rockets v. Suns UNDER 234 | 91-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The new look Rockets, on tired legs get set to play the second of a road back-to-back set Friday night against the Phoenix Suns . Im betting some of their trades screw with the offensive flow of the team at least for tonight, and because of their uptempo win vs the Lakers last night will now be in an emotional letdown spot in regression stage. This Im betting will effect the total to the low side here this evening. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 187.6 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-16-2 UNDER L/18 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 213.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Suns are 1-17-1 UNDER L/19 as a home dog with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 212.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 42-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 | 117-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run . Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Sharks v. Oilers OVER 6 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: SAN JOSE - AARON DELL, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN Edmonton (8-1-2) L/11 has scored at least four goals in each of the wins before absorbing a 3-0 defeat to the Coyotes, the team's first shutout loss since Oct. 22. Today I expect a big bounce back and alot more offensive output. Note:Edmonton's top-ranked power play is converting on 28.9 percent of its chances. Meanwhile, San Jose has allowed 25 goals in their L/7 games and are deficient defensively, and this will be a key here to us getting an over bet to cash on this tilt. EDMONTON is 13-6 OVER in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 15-4 OVER off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with an average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 228.5 | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins OVER 6 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Vancouver is on tired legs as they enter this tilt playing their 4th straight road game in less than a week, and Im betting will find it difficult tonight vs a Bruins team that is off a 6-1 win last time out and on a couple of days rest. The Canucks have been finding ways to win, this season, much to the surprise of the pundits thanks to a better than advertised offence, but lately despite of scoring their D is showing some chinks in their proverbial arm-our and a a result they have gone over in 3 straight games. On the road the Canucks allow an average of 3.4 gpg , and Im betting their season average as visitors will be eclipsed here, and their own ability to bury the biscuit will help this score go over the total. VANCOUVER is 7-1 OVER in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season with an average of 7.7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 50-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-03-20 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored. HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg. The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 6 m | Show | |
Super Bowl LIV - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL I know most bettors who look at this Super Bowl matchup see a back and forth see saw offensive affair taking place. However, after watching how extraordinarily tough the 49ers D is and how this team plays (run baby run ball) whether behind or ahead it gives me pause in my assessment of this total and its value to the under . I also dont see alot of penalties called here today by the officiating crew, which will result in less first downs and offensive flow and that will directly effect output. Note: KC HC Reid is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached since 1992 with the combined average score of those games , clicking in at 39 ppg. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 37-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-02-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, MONTREAL - CHARLIE LINDGREN Price is 1-1-0 against the Jackets this season, allowing seven goals. Over his career against Columbus, he is 10-5-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average. COLUMBUS is 8-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with the combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER (+13.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season, with a combined average of 4.7 gpg . NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MONTREAL) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 108-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-02-20 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231 | 108-129 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort. Teams like the Bucks are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. The Suns are 1-13 UNDER as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-02-20 | Illinois v. Iowa OVER 146 | 65-72 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 151 points . Play OVER |
|||||||
02-01-20 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 242.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under. Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 241 | 111-139 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-30-20 | Oregon State v. Stanford UNDER 129.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 221.5 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of 226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5 +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total. TORONTO is 8-1 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams like the Raptors are 22-2 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-29-20 | Predators v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Nashville upset Washington by a 6-5 count the last time they played on Oct 10, and now with revenge on board Im betting on the Capitals will be coming at the Preds with everything but the kitchen sink, knowing that he scores last will most probably be the victors here. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER revenging a road loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 25-9 OVER vs team defense that allow their - opponents to average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
01-28-20 | Wizards v. Bucks UNDER 244.5 | 131-151 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has been playing some excellent defence of late, and as a result of this have gone under the set total in 5 of their L/6 trips to the hardwood. We all know Washington loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but after a huge back and forth tilt last time out vs Atlanta ( 133-152) regression to the mean is expected which puts this tilt closer to the 234 range, which according to my own projections gives us value on an under. MILWAUKEE is 24-13 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.6 ppg scored. The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 at home with rest off a 10+ win in a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 194.2 ppg with none of the games in this subset going over this total. NBA Teams like the Wizards are 5-25 UNDER L/30 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which a game in which their points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER L/23 seasons seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-26-20 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 132 | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.1 ppg scored.NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. (Which was the case last time out at home vs Minnesota) OHIO ST is 9-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with the combined average 125.6 ppg. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 37-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 223 | 110-106 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-24-20 | Clippers v. Heat UNDER 222 | 122-117 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami, has won its last two home games in overtime and could easily find themselves on tired legs here tonight in a game that Im betting will be slow paced as compared to some of their more recent efforts. The Clippers their opponents tonight are 8-23 UNDER since Nov 08, 2018 as a road dog and have recently gone under 4 straight times as road dogs with the combined average score of 209.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season The Heat 0-7-2 UNDER L9 vs the LA Clippers. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-9 L 23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 23-5 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-24-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 155 | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. KENT ST is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games Home teams against the total (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (76 or more PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 59-27 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate fro bettors. UNDER |
|||||||
01-23-20 | Montana v. Idaho State OVER 132 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
OVER |
|||||||
01-23-20 | Lakers v. Nets UNDER 227 | 128-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
The Lakers defence rebounded nicely from allowing 139 points on Monday in a blowout loss at Boston by recording a 100-92 road victory over the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Im betting on more of the same hardcore defensive action tonight against the Brooklyn Nets in a game I have projected to stay under this slightly bloated total. Quote:"They're an elite defense," Nets coach Kenny Atkinson said of the Lakers. "(JaVale) McGee and (Dwight) Howard are absolutely playing, really protecting the rim. They obviously have elite perimeter defenders with LeBron and Danny Green and all those guys.END QUOTE. The Lakers have gone under 10 of 11 games as favs with no rest. The Nets have gone under 8 of their L/10 times at home vs a side playing the 2nd of back to backs. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-22-20 | Grizzlies v. Celtics UNDER 232 | 95-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter off a 139-107 rout of the Western Conference-leading Los Angeles Lakers on Monday vs an explosive Memphis side with a less than average defence. Thanks to this we have a bloated total to bet into here favoring the under. Memphis thanks to bloated total lines involcving them have seen 4 straight games stay under the total. Stevens in the L/21 games after a combined score of 245 points or more as the coach of BOSTON has seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 11-3 UNDER after allowing 120 points or more this season which waws the case last time out. ( the combined average score of these games was 219.3 ppg. NBA MEMPHIS is 23-8 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 40-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-20-20 | Winthrop v. Radford OVER 145 | 61-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RADFORD) - after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are 35-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-20-20 | Red Wings v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD, COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER Detroit is scoring just 2 gpg on average on the road this season, and know they cannot compete offensively here vs an explosive Colorado side Im betting they approach this tilt very conservatively as they look to avoid bring embarrassed. This Im betting results in a total score that remains on the low side of the total. NHL team against the total (DETROIT) - cold team - having lost 20 or more of their last 25 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 54-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rare for bettors. NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, in January games are 32-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 31-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-19-20 | Heat v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 102-107 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
The two teams played Wednesday in Miami, with the Heat producing a 106-100 victory. However, Im betting on a much faster pace being set here as the Spurs on their own home floor will play at fast out of transition. Last time out the Spurs took part in a 121-120 loss to Atlanta, and in the recent past SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 235.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER in non-conference games this season with the average combined score of 230.9 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-18-20 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 223.5 | 101-123 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Utah's 10-game winning streak ended Thursday when the Jazz suffered a 138-132 overtime loss to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Their defence was the culprit last time out, but now in rebound mode Im looking for the Jazz to go into shut down mode which will see a score that fails to eclipse this total. SACRAMENTO is 8-0 UNDER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 215.4 ppg going on the board. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 plus PPG), after scoring 130 points or more are 70-40 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
|||||||
01-18-20 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | 106-119 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
The Blazers are off a loss last night and now playing a back-to-back, will be on tired legs this evening vs Oklahoma City. Things would be worse without the production from point guard Damian Lillard who as usual even in a loss lead the way for the Blazers Note:The Blazers are 0-18 UNDER as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Lilliard scored 30 points or more which was the case last night. Donovan is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 39-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-18-20 | Louisville v. Duke OVER 137.5 | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-17-20 | Heat v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
While the Heat are 28-12 and second in the Eastern Conference, they have struggled away from home.The Heat are just 10-11 on the road, scoring 7.5 points per game fewer away from AmericanAirlines Arena scoring an average of 108 ppg behind the 25th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City rank 19th in ppg, behind the 24th ranked pace, entering this game after a wild game against the Raptors last time out (130-121), Im expecting an offensive regression and a return to their usual staunch defensive ways.Donovan is 70-39 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 84-53 UNDER in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-17-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State UNDER 131 | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Wisconsin’s deliberate and excruciating slow modus operandi has seen them last six games. not eclipse the 118 point plateau in five of their L/6 games. This type of game plan will continue tonight against the most explosive offensive team in the Big 10 here tonight, in what Im betting will continue a tradition of low scoring battles between these teams dating back to the 2010 season. These team when the total has bee set at 131, the under has cashed 13 times and pushed once . More of the same brutal on the eyes hard core action Im betting is on tap tonight. WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118 ppg scored. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-16-20 | CS Sacramento v. Northern Colorado OVER 124.5 | 52-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-16-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 224.5 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Bucks took 128-102 win against the New York Knicks on Tuesday with the comfortable margin of victory allowing them to limit the minutes of their starters. Im betting they will be very fresh here and ready to really bring some heat on the Celtics offensively . That in part is why the books laid such a big side number on this game, also factoring in the Celtics fatigue factor with this being a back to back situation for them, and also taking into consideration that HC Stevens left alot of the starters in for more minutes than expected. While the side, is to inflated to have me on the Bucks I do expect their motivation to really see them show no mercy tonight and for the proud Celtics to fire back with some offensive fire works of their own in chase mode which Im betting sees a score that eclipses this total. |
|||||||
01-16-20 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS Both theses teams play a similar tight forechecking type of defensive hockey, that results in consistent low scoring outputs, both from themselves and their opponents. For example Columbus has won back to back games by 3-0 nothing scores, while, Carolina has shut out 2 of their L/3 opponents but scored just 5 goals in in total in thier L/3 trips to the frozen pond. Im betting on more of the same tight defensive play and top tier goaltending when both sides meet tonight. CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.(Columbus won both meetings this season, by one goal counts) COLUMBUS is 9-1 UNDER in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 71-29 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-15-20 | Blazers v. Rockets UNDER 236.5 | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Houston played last night and are now on tired legs and may not be as ready to push the action as usual as we get into the nitty gritty middle of a grueling season. With the Blazers knowing they are entering the proverbial dragons den, you can bet they will be ready to play hard core defence. PORTLAND is 11-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 16-4 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg were scored. The linesmakers have more often then not over compensated on Houston totals when they are set at 230+ or more with 46- of the L/65 games staying under the total . D'Antoni is 23-9 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite as the coach of HOUSTON. ( Memphis upset them last night) the average combined score of those follow up games clicks in at 218.7 ppg. The Trailblazers are 3-18 UNDER L/21 on the road off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with none of the games in that subset eclipsing this total with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202.5 ppg going on the board with none of those totals going over this offered number. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-15-20 | Incarnate Word v. McNeese State OVER 147.5 | 56-72 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
When these teams played last season they combined for a 165 points and Im betting on a output that could easily mimic that offensive production according to my projections . MCNeese has scored 88 and 85 points in back to back games and are in a positive offensive flow and Im betting they will drag Incarnate Word into a more wide open game then the lines-makers are anticipating. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MCNEESE ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 25-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 158.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-15-20 | Virginia v. Florida State OVER 114 | 50-54 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
CBB teams where the total is 119.5 or less (VIRGINIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 29-10 OVER L/23 seasons fort a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-14-20 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 223 | 124-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Golden State enters this game in a big time funk, especially from a offensive standpoint ranking 29th in the league in offensive efficiency. Because of their lack of scoring the Warriors take a very conservative approach to their tilts, with the pace numbers decreasing drastically since the start of the season. Today against the explosive Mavs A team that has put 142 , and 141 points on the board against them in their L/2 meetings this will once again be the case and help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 211.2 ppg. The Warriors are 0-13 UNDER L/13 off a loss as a road dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 200.6 ppg.The Warriors are 0-16-1 UNDER L/17 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 192.2 ppg going on the board.The Warriors are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had 20+ turnovers with a combined average of 192.5 ppg. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-14-20 | Suns v. Hawks UNDER 231 | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Over the last two games the Suns have allowed 94 and 92 points, the first time they've won consecutive games while allowing 94 or fewer since 2015. Considering this is now a recipe for success Im betting they will be paying special attention to being cogent in transition which Im betting sees this game played at slower pace than expected which will result in a combined score that stays on the low side of this total. Phoenix did beat Atlanta 128-112 when the clubs met in Phoenix on Nov. 14, but Atlanta in the past has been vigilant defensively in revenge situations as they are 11-2 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of just 212.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Suns are 2-16-2 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202.6 ppg scored. The Hawks are 3-30 UNDER L/33 at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 186.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-14-20 | Duke v. Clemson OVER 133 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Dukes offence is averaging 83.3 ppg this season and Im betting they dictate the pace here tonight and push Clemson into chasing with more wide open action than they may like. DUKE is 7-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season have seen a combined score of 142 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-14-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M OVER 128.5 | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. LSU is 6-0 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.3 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with as combined average of 163.24ppg scored. Wade is 11-1 OVER L/12 in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games he has coached since 1997. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-13-20 | Bulls v. Celtics OVER 215.5 | 101-113 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Boston scored 140 points for the second time this season last time out and has reached triple digits in five of its past seven games and my projections estimate the Celtics a team that averages +115 ppg at home this season should score in the +112 point range here tonight at home vs the Bulls that despite of a good defensive performance last time out . Previous to that game the Bulls allowed 111, 118, 123, 116 points respectively . Note: BOSTON is 13-4 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 11-3 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. The Bulls are 13-1-1 OVER L/15 as a road dog with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average of 231.9 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Celtics and Bulls are 15-1-1 OVER L/17 with rest after they had a field goal percentage of at least 50 a free throw percentage of at least 85 with a combined average of 232.5 ppg . NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 225.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -116 | 105 h 14 m | Show | |
I know the public sees a shootout when they look at the starting QB situation, but what I see is two defences, that will be prepared to grind it out today in the cold tundra air of Northern Wisconsin. For long stretches this season, the Packers have struggled to score consistently, despite the reputation of their stud Qb Rodgers who has by the way according the metrics, not performed as well as he did earlier on his career, as is evident by a almost a full yard regression , 8.2 yard per play output in the first decade of his career , and a 7.3 ypp output in recent seasons. Meanwhile, Colin Wilson the Seattle star QB , is dealing with injuries on his offensive line, with his top center and left tackle injured, which has tempered his teams offensive output of late as was evident when they scored only 17 points last weeks win vs Philadelphia to advance and their 13 and 21 point respective output in their two previous tilts. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored.GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games this season with a combined average 36.2 ppg scored.GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER after a 2 game road trip over the last 3 season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. SEATTLE L/13 in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Penguins v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Arizona has been shutout in back to back games and are obviously struggling offensively. With this being Pittsburgh final game of a 3 game west coast road trip Im betting they are on tired legs after two 4-3 wins , and will be more tempered in their approach to this game against what they know is hungry team. What Arizona continues to do despite of their recent scoring woes, is play strong defence, and today against a upper echelon side, that defensive vigilance Im betting will be on full display. ARIZONA is 8-1 UNDER in home games against excellent starting goalies - saving 93% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg. ARIZONA is 24-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. NHL road teams where the total is 5.5 (PITTSBURGH) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 46-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 229 | 86-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Atlanta is pretty banged up with Trae Young just added to the injury report due to left hamstring pain. He and De'Andre Hunter (foot) are questionable. Bruno Fernando (personal) remains away from the team. It must be noted young had 86 points combined in this L/2 games vs Brooklyn, and with him banged up his offence out-put Im betting will be curtailed if he plays. With Brooklyns Kyrie Irving returning to the floor, it looks like this total has been adjusted upward of where my line projections set at 224, which is a two possession discrepancy. There are just to many injuries for the Hawks to have flow here tonight and Irving despite of a huge emotional lift for his team, will still be restricted minute wise and will take time to blend in again and provide his team with positive offensive flow . ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season are a combined average of 214 ppg. Note: the Hawks are 0-21 UNDER L/21 after at least 1 day rest and having held their previous opponent to less than 40% field goals and 20 fast break points and the Hawks having at least two steals in that game(which was the case vs free wheeling Washington offence last time out) The Nets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 211.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | 31-51 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 26 m | Show | |
AFC Divisional Playoffs Bottom line here today is that Arrowhead at the best times is a tough place to play in for both the home side and visitors. Here at home since Andy Reid came to town to coach the Chiefs t have gone under at a 36-22-1 clip including playoffs for a 20.9% Return on Investment. Part of that is the difference in their offensive output at home as compared to their offensive production away from Arrowhead. Dating back 6 seasons, the Chiefs have scored about a FG less at home, which has resulted in a combined 43.4 ppg output on average, as compared to more than 51 combined points in away games. Thats a huge difference . Add to that Outdoor NFL play off games games have been going under more often than not notching a 75-56-4 UNDER record for a close to 11% return on investment and you can see which way Im leaning here as I go directly against media and public perceptions. HOUSTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 38 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 8-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 38.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-12-20 | Siena v. Manhattan UNDER 130.5 | 69-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The last three meetings in this series have seen scores of 51-49 , 53-40, and 51-47(dating back to the 2018 campaign). History has a way of repeating itself, and considering both teams projected style of play and defensive perimeters as adjusted to offensive output, a low scoring tilt that stays on the low side of the total is more likely than not. SIENA is 14-2 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 122.5 ppg scored. MANHATTAN is 10-1 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 season with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored.MANHATTAN is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 season with a combined average of 115.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY Columbus enters this game playing a tremendous brand of tight defensive hockey that bases their own scoring chances out of transition. In the Blue Jackets last 13 games they have allowed an average of just 2 GPG and the combined average of those tilts clicks in at 5 gpg. Vegas has been taking part in some high scoring back and forth games of late, but their HC Gallant has not been happy with the teams play, and wants to get back what has made the Knights so hard to play against since their inception into the NHL. tonight he has a prime opportunity to get back to basics vs a team that will be in a fore checking mode from the get go. COLUMBUS is 17-7 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. NHLHome teams against the total (VEGAS) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (score 2.9 or more goals/G) vs an average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) are 84-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the total (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 93-54 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Pelicans v. Celtics OVER 224 | 105-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Celtics had a losing streak reach three games for the first time when they fell 109-98 to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Boston has dropped each of its last two games by double-digit margins, including a 15-point loss to the San Antonio Spurs its last time at home and are now in desperation mode here at home again tonight. With that said, I expect the Green Clovers to come right at the Pelicans and to obliterate their porous D, that ranks 28th in ppg allowed with an all out assault and for the Pelicans to answer back behind their 8th ranked offensive output (113.3 ppg) and 3rd ranked pace and for this total to be obliterated. New Orleans has gone over 7 straight times. NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 20-4 OVER L/24 on the road when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 54-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Drexel v. James Madison UNDER 153.5 | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-11-20 | James Madison v. North Dakota State UNDER 52 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
Two top tier football programs with hardcore discipline go head to head in the FCS championship game. This game sees North Dakota States 33-1 SU play off record on the line . ( interestingly enough the only loss came against James Madison). Bottom line is Im betting the total is a better investment option than what my projections estimate is a coin flip game. I cannot see either quarterback carving up the others secondary, and I also expect for both running games to falter against staunch front 7s. Im betting both sides have moderate grinding success moving the ball between the 30s but when it comes to finishing drives we will see what hardcore defence is all about. Both these sides are tough as nails and rarely make mistakes, which bolsters my under wager . Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 230.5 | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 10th in offence, and 27 in ppg allowed on defence, behind a 3rd ranked pace. Meanwhile. San Antonio ranks 6th in ppg on offence, and 25th in pgg allowed on D, behind the 12 ranked pace. Needless to say the odds are suggesting a fairly high scoring affair here. Question is how many combined points can both teams accumulate here. My answer and projections estimate north of 230 . Note:SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined average of 239 ppg scoredAN ANTONIO is 23-9 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.The Grizzlies are 12-1 OVE$R L/12 facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average 236.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-10-20 | Manhattan v. Fairfield UNDER 116 | 60-68 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-09-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State OVER 140 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
|||||||
01-08-20 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 220.5 | 129-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Kemba vWalker might be out for the Celtics but they are still capable of getting offensive production from their bench vs a Spurs side that has been defensively challenged this season. Im betting tonight the Celtics will have no choice but to do some running and gunning vs a Spurs side , starting to heat up , and are off a win vs mighty Milwaukee last time out, by a 126-104 count thanks to an uptick in their beyond the arc shooting . SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average 232 ppg scored. The Spurs are 13-0 OVER as a dog for the second straight game with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-08-20 | Mississippi State v. Alabama UNDER 153.5 | 69-90 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play under |