Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-20 | East Carolina v. SMU UNDER 143 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-16-20 | Samford v. Troy State UNDER 148.5 | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-15-20 | Indiana State v. St. Louis UNDER 142 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 46 | 47-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Tonight games is supposed to be a windy affair with gusts of 20 mph and average winds clicking in at 14-17 mpg. With that said, Im betting on both sides reverting to run heavy ground games, and short passes which will eat alot of clock time and help keep this score to the low side of the total. Note: Divisional under reg/playoffs since with a total of between 44.5 to 60 since 2005 are 204-124-4 UNDER for a 62% conversion rate. CLEVELAND is 22-10 UNDER L/34 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game with a combined average of 37 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 12-3 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 42.2 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 15-6 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.2 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season 104-53 L/37 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills OVER 48 | 15-26 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has stalled in its last two games in recent weeks, but Im betting Tomlin and company will be more aggressive this week and get back to the 24 to 37 point output consistency they managed previous to those tilts. Meanwhile, Buffalo has really started to roll , scoring 44, 30,27, 34 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the gridiron and more than capable of piercing the Steelers top tier defence. The above combination will see this tilt eclipse the total. My projections estimate both sides will score 20+ points. Note: BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points this season with a combined average of 60.3 ppg scored. PITTSBURGH is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 54.7 ppg going on the board. BUFFALO is 7-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 60 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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12-13-20 | Packers v. Lions OVER 54.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
Detroit plays wide open football at home in the dome the past two years. The Lions are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 at home. DETROIT is 10-0 OVER L/10 in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 60.3 ppg scored. The Packers are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 on the road coming off a game where they allowed less than 310 total yards. Play OVER |
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12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 51.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting the Titans explosive offense will tee off on a Jaguars defense that ranks 31st in Football Outsiders DVOA. Meanwhile, on the flipside Tennesse ranks in the bottom five in DVOA and could easily get pierced by a Jacksonville side that has scored 25 or more points in 4 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. These teams have seen 60 plus points go on the board in recent meetings. Note: Titans QB Tannehill has seen 21 of his L/25 games go over the set total in a regular season game. The Titans are 11-0 OVER L/11 facing a team Derrick Henry ran for at least 75 yards against last meeting. TENNESSEE is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an average of 57 ppg going on the board in those gamesTENNESSEE is 8-1 OVER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 58.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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12-12-20 | Navy v. Army UNDER 38 | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
We have a very low total attached to this game but rightly so. Since 2005, games between two of the three service academy teams have gone 36-9-1 to the under. And the Army-Navy matchup, specifically, has gone under 14 of the L/15 times. Rinse and repeat in another grinding affair between these two rivals. Play UNDER |
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12-11-20 | Marquette v. UCLA UNDER 140.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-11-20 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon UNDER 139.5 | 77-87 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-10-20 | San Diego State v. Arizona State UNDER 146 | 80-68 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-10-20 | Long Beach State v. San Francisco OVER 148 | 62-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams OVER 44.5 | 3-24 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total to be closer to 48 which gives us alot of value here based on that projection. I perception here by the lines-makers and much of the public is that this will be a field position chess match, but I do not see it that way. Last week , the Pats put 45 points on the board, and look ready to surge offensively behind Cam Newton, while the Rams bounced off a loss in their previous week to put 38 points on the board in a win. I know both sides have shown under the total tendencies, and New Englands overall offensive numbers might look like smoke and mirrors, but Im expecting enough fire works based on my models to recommend we take the over. This game is all about flow, and both come in here surging. Note: NFL home favorites like the Rams of 3+ points on artificial surface are 29-0 OVER when they are off a double-digit vicotry as a favorite and they are going against a side that has averaged more than 7.5 rushing first downs per game as visitors with a combined average of 55.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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12-10-20 | UMKC v. Minnesota OVER 136.5 | 61-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-09-20 | Idaho v. Washington State UNDER 136 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-09-20 | Providence v. TCU OVER 128 | 79-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-09-20 | Atalanta v. Ajax Amsterdam UNDER 3.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Coming into this tilt vs Ajax there have been two goals or less scored in Atalanta’s last five matches (six of its last seven overall) from all competitions including a shutout vs Liverpool at Anfield. I know the Ajax has had some defensive deficiencies lately , but at expected 6.6 expected goals against, which breaks down to in a +1.3 xGDiff and +0.26 xGDiff/90 minutes. With that said, Im betting the Son of God dial up a tougher tone on the pitch today, and help keep this game on the low side of the number vs a staunch defensive side. Play UNDER |
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12-08-20 | Cal-Irvine v. USC OVER 135.5 | 56-91 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-08-20 | Colorado v. Tennessee OVER 136.5 | 47-56 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-07-20 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona OVER 139 | 53-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-06-20 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
HC Reid of KC likes to play teams he deems as lower tier sides alot more conservatively than might be expected. I believe Reid trys not to exert to much energy against inferior opponents especially if his team has bigger goals ahead like this version of the team he resides over which will usually translate into the positive of less injuries. This type of game plan will Im betting see a lower combined score than the linesmkaers are expecting. Reid is 12-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. Reid is 9-2 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with the average combined score clicking in at 40.1 ppg. Reid is 16-4 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. The Chiefs are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a home favorite of more than a TD when the line is more than seven points lower than last game. The Broncos are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a dog of more than three points coming off a game where they failed to cover. Broncos have gone under in their L/7 division road games. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (DENVER) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 26-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Kentucky v. Georgia Tech UNDER 141.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Eagles v. Packers OVER 48.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
The Eagles won 34-27 at Green Bay last year, which marked the Packers' only home loss and Im expecting more surprising action from a Philadelphia side that is still looking for a ;possible play off appearance. My projections estimate a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. The Packers are 14-0-2 OVER L/18 coming off a home game and playing a team below .535 on the season. Green Bay is 11-1 OVER L/12 after division home game. GREEN BAY is 21-8 OVER ( versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5 or more rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 52.1 ppg scored. Over is 30-14 in Eagles last 44 road games. Philadelphia 7-0 OVER L/7 away vs NFC North. Play OVER |
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12-06-20 | Xavier v. Cincinnati UNDER 136.5 | 77-69 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets UNDER 47 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
After losing for the 2nd straight time and being embarrassed by a 43-6 count last time out, I expect the Raiders to get back to basics and run the ball more consistently while playing a conservative game and a much better brand of defense. Today against a jets steam that struggles with offensive consistency as was evident by a 3 point output last week, Im betting we see a game that stays on the low side of the number this week. LAS VEGAS is 16-6 UNDER (L/22 in road games after allowing 35 points or more last game with a combined average score of 44.1 ppg. NFL team against the total (LAS VEGAS) - in conference games, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Villanova v. Texas OVER 132.5 | 68-64 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-05-20 | Oakland v. Oklahoma State OVER 143 | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-05-20 | Northern Illinois v. Pittsburgh UNDER 133.5 | 59-89 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-05-20 | Miami-OH v. Wright State OVER 142.5 | 47-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 64.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 102 h 0 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | Nebraska v. Purdue OVER 62.5 | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The Boilermakers have one of the most dynamic wide receiver duos in all of college football with Rondale Moore and David Bell and Im betting these two stars help put a boatload full of points on the board vs a Nebraska D, that is allowing an average of 32.6 ppg. Meanwhile, here on the road Im also betting Nebraska behind a offence that put 30 points on the board vs Penn State to open up here and reciprocate with some fireworks of their own.HC Brohm is 16-3 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 68.2 ppg scored .Brohm is 30-12 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 63 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a. combined average of with a combined average of 75.5 ppg scored. Brohm is 8-1 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less as the coach of PURDUE with a combined average of 63.9 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-04-20 | Oregon v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 | 83-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Arizona State v. California UNDER 145.5 | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Air Force v. Utah State OVER 51 | 35-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Air force will put 35+ points on the board vs a Utah State D, that has allowed an average of of 35.2 ppg . Note: UTAH ST is 20-7 L/27 OVER when they allow 35 to 41 points with the combined average score of 58.9 ppg scored.Meanwhile, Utah finally started to open up their offense , and get it flowing last time out putting 41 points on the board, and Im betting they do enough damage here to get this combined score over the total. AIR FORCE is 15-4 OVER L/19 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return with a combined average of 65.1 ppg. AIR FORCE is 10-2 OVER in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season with a combined average of 57.2 ppg going on the board.Calhoun is 31-17 OVER in road games in games played on turf as the coach of AIR FORCE with a combined average of 59.8 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UTAH ST) - with a poor rushing D - allowing 200 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 36-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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12-03-20 | Florida v. Boston College OVER 145 | 90-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-03-20 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas UNDER 66.5 | 42-31 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
Skip Holtz and LA Tech have not played since Halloween and Im betting his offence will be rusty and take time to get into a flow here. Meanwhile, North Texas despite of showing some defensive deficiencies this season, will according to my projections hold down the fort to an extent, and help keep this tilt on the low side of the slightly bloated number. Also look for The Mean Green to pound the ball on the ground against a Tech side that has had problems stopping the run whihc will eat clock time in a hurry. Note: Holtz is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 8.5 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score of 43.7 ppg going on the board. LOUISIANA TECH is 11-1 UNDER in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. NORTH TEXAS is 9-0 UNDER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 56.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (North Texas/ LOUISIANA TECH) - when playing on a Thursday are 50-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Washington v. Utah UNDER 135.5 | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Chicago State v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 140 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-02-20 | Oregon State v. Washington State UNDER 139 | 55-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-02-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis OVER 142 | 54-83 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-02-20 | Southern Illinois v. SE Missouri State UNDER 137 | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-02-20 | VCU v. Penn State UNDER 143.5 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-02-20 | Texas v. North Carolina OVER 136.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-01-20 | South Dakota v. Nebraska OVER 150 | 69-76 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-01-20 | Cleveland State v. Toledo UNDER 139 | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-01-20 | Valparaiso v. Illinois-Chicago UNDER 139.5 | 50-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-01-20 | Green Bay v. Wisconsin UNDER 149 | 42-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-30-20 | Stanford v. Alabama UNDER 148.5 | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 49 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
These teams offenses do not run a very high speeds. Seattle is ranked in the middle of league in pace with the Eagles offense ranks 25th in pace. Both these offensive lines rank 31st and 32nd in adjusted sack rate, which will Im betting makes for some stalled plays and adjusted yards that see backward movement. Philadelphia offense overall rank 30th overall and 30th in passing offense and Im betting their lack of explosiveness will also hamper the combined points basket here. Meanwhile, the Eagles D, continues to improve, and deserves respect here against Wilson and company. On the flips side I know the caveat here is the Seahawks Defense, but it is uptrending in my charts, and now that they are getting heal-their could easily continue to improve. With Seahawks Carroll recently deciding to revert back to a more run heavy attack, Im projecting a more grinding game than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 9-4 in Seahawks last 13 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-3 in Eagles last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. NFC.Under is 13-3 in Eagles last 16 games in November.T he Eagles are 0-15 UNDER L/15 at home facing a team allowing more than 21 points per game with a combined average of 35.13 ppg going on the board with none of the 15 games going over this total. Play UNDER |
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11-30-20 | Auburn v. UCF OVER 141.5 | 55-63 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-30-20 | Bowling Green v. Appalachian State OVER 149.5 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs UNDER 56.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
The Bucs are dealing with injuries along the offensive line with injuries to A.Q. Shipley, Ali Marpet and Donovan Smith and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted as they struggle to protect senior QB Tom Brady. Meanwhile, on the flipside as explosive as KC can be Im also betting they will be in tough here today vs an impressive Bucs defensive front. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-4 in Buccaneers last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NFL away teams like like the Chiefs that won more than ten games the previous regular season and are not on a four-plus game losing streak are 0-23 UNDER L/23 when they are off a away tilt, and have an average turnover margin of more than one-half, and they are now going against a side that has averaged more than 36.5 passes per game season to date. Play on the UNDER |
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11-29-20 | Richmond v. Kentucky OVER 144 | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-28-20 | TCU v. Kansas UNDER 52 | 59-23 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Im betting on TCU pounding the ball on the ground quite a bit today and eating up alot of clock time in the process. Meanwhile, the flip-side, TCU D Im betting makes life miserable for a Kansas offense that averages just 15.1 ppg to be stymied in a tilt that Im betting stays on the low side of this total. TCU is 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a favorite coming off a game as a road dog. Play UNDER |
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11-28-20 | Tulsa v. TCU OVER 125.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-28-20 | North Texas v. Arkansas UNDER 148.5 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-28-20 | Northwestern v. Michigan State UNDER 41.5 | 20-29 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Northwestern took part in a 17-7 game that they won vs Wisconsin last time out . This Saturday when the Cats meet Michigan State Im betting on more grinding slow paced action whith my projections estimated a combined score in the low 30s giving us tremendous value on this line. Northwestern has seen 10 straight road games go under the total. Michigan State was shutout by a powerful ?Indiana side last time out by a 24-0 count in another grinding slow paced game. Note:Michigan State is 0-9 UNDER L/9 times as a dog coming off a tilt where they scored less than 27 points going under by an average of -18.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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11-27-20 | Colorado v. Kansas State OVER 133.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-27-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. NC-Greensboro UNDER 143 | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-27-20 | Valparaiso v. Vanderbilt OVER 143.5 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-27-20 | Cal-Irvine v. San Diego State UNDER 133 | 58-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-27-20 | Richmond v. Morehead State OVER 142 | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-27-20 | UC-Davis v. Santa Clara OVER 145.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-27-20 | Auburn v. Gonzaga OVER 163.5 | 67-90 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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11-25-20 | UCLA v. San Diego State UNDER 133 | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
San Diego State under HC Brian Dutcher has a offensive system that is efficient, but the D, is something Im betting will be to key the teams successes this season. It must be noted that Nathan Mensah played the first 13 games last season before health problems sidelined him .When the big man played the Aztecs allowed just 56.3 points per game and when he left the ppg D, increased by more than 5 ppg. He's healthy again, and Im betting he dominates the rim and the lanes making life difficult on a slower paced defensive minded team at UCLA. At the end of last season, under Cronins tut-ledge the Bruins morphed into a defensive behemoth, and during their hot run,UCLA scored 70 points or less in five of the Bruins’ seven wins , as D was the key! Under is 5-1 in Aztecs last 6 home games.Under is 21-5 in Aztecs last 26 games as a home underdog.Under is 11-3 in Aztecs last 14 games as an underdog.Under is 6-2 in Aztecs last 8 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Bruins last 5 Wednesday games. Play UNDER |
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11-25-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 134.5 | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-25-20 | Clemson v. Mississippi State UNDER 136 | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-25-20 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Illinois UNDER 132.5 | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-25-20 | Oral Roberts v. Missouri UNDER 146.5 | 64-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-25-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine UNDER 143.5 | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-22-20 | Steelers v. Jaguars UNDER 46.5 | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
Recently the Steelers run D, has struggled and today Im betting the Jags in a move to stay close and to try to pull off the upset will attack and try to move the chains via their ground game in very conservative fashion which will help keep the clock churning. Also on the flip side experienced HC Tomlin knows his team needs to take a significant step forward after failing to go over 50 yards rushing in any of their past three game. Im expecting Tomlin to be more aggressive than usual with the ground game , as it needs to improve as we head towards the play offs which will make his team less predictable. This Im betting also helps us cash on the under in what should be a grinding affair. Pittsburgh is 0-14 UNDER L/14 when they are off a home game and visiting a team that has lost at least their last two games. The Steelers are 0-19-1 UNDER L/20 going under by more than a TD on the road coming off a home game when facing a team below .500. Jacksonville is 0-16 L/16 UNDER on a natural surface when they are off a road loss and they are facing a team that has forced at least 1.75 turnovers per game season-to-date. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (JACKSONVILLE) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 35-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 58.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Arizona and Seattle are both known for scoring and allowing a boatload full of points but the lines-makers have over compensated here according to my projections. These teams have not had a 57 or higher Total attached to their games that I can find in my data base going back over a 30 year span. It must noted that teams like Arizona that have scored 28 or more points in each of their last four tilts have gone under 16 straight times when at least three of those games went over and their opponent is not undefeated on the season. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (ARIZONA) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents are 89-48 UNDER L/37 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State OVER 58.5 | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Kent State has no problem pouring it on and showing very little empathy for their opponents as was evident last week as Juston Crump (8.8 yards per play) threw for a TD with less than 2 min left on the clock in what was already a lopsided event 62-24 event that they won. Im betting on Arkron lighting up the board again vs a Akron secondary allowed 262 yards on just 16 attempts last week. Im also betting on Akron to do just enough damage here to help this contest eclipse the total. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (KENT ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a poor team (outgained by 50-100 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 26-6 OVER L/28 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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11-17-20 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green UNDER 59 | 42-17 | Push | 0 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This Totals selection is based on my projections that estimate a total combined score of 56 points goin on the board which use pace success rate and plays per success rate . With a FG edge Im recommending we take an under hedge. HC Loeffler L/14 games in all lined games as the coach of BOWLING GREEN has seen a combined average of 55.6 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BUFFALO) - after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored are 83-39 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-15-20 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 51 | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that this Total is almost a FG higher than my number 48 - thus giving us value on a under selection. Yes, I know the Broncos, have allowed an average of 35.7 points over its last three games , but this team is much better defensively than their current run would suggest, and offensively they are extremely inconsistent scoring 18 or less points in 5 of their 9 games dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Vegas has recently found a groove in their run game churning out 209-yard day against Cleveland and followed it up with 160 yard against the Chargers and will want to keep that formula in play which in turn should churn up alot of clock time which will help us cash a under ticket. Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 22-7 in Raiders last 29 vs. AFC West. The Broncos are 0-10 UNDER coming off a road game where they scored more points than expected. Under is 10-3-1 in Broncos last 14 vs. AFC West. Under is 20-8-1 in Broncos last 29 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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11-15-20 | Chargers v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
The bad luck Chargers just cant seem to get breaks, which makes them even more dangerous from a offensive perspective , as Im betting their young up and coming super star Hubert will go balls to the walls here this week in very aggressive fashion. The Chargers have gone over 12 straight times when they are off a defeat when facing a team with at least one victory and their ATS margin has dropped in each of their last two games with the Chargers averaging more than 31 ppg. This aggressiveness Im betting will force another up and coming star Tua Tagovailoa to respond on this Sunday stage in competitive fashion, which will help get this total combined score over the number. Over is 7-1 in Chargers last 8 road games. Over is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 games overall. Over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the OVER |
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11-14-20 | USC v. Arizona UNDER 68 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
USC needed two touchdowns in the final three minutes, and a successful onside kick, to sneak past Arizona State 28-27 on Saturday in Los Angeles. The Trojans' four turnovers and three failed fourth-down tries sort of told the tale of this game, but now with a game under their belt Im betting their ability to not lose the ball will improve as will their D and overall play. Considering this is Arizonas first game, Im betting the Wildcats D, will be more acclimated to in game conditions than the offense that will exhibit rust and also solid competition to contend wit, this hindering their flow. . This Im betting results in a combined score that that stays on the low side of the total. My projections estimate that we have value with a under wager in a game I have pegged at 63 on the total. Under is 29-14-1 in Trojans last 44 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. USC is 0-11 L/11 UNDER as a favorite off a game as a favorite where they trailed at halftime. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan UNDER 58.5 | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Toledo and Western Michigan own run heavy offenses that operate at a much slower tempo than the most of the FBS.Western Michigan didn’t allow a single pass over 15 yards, in their first game, meanwhile, the Toledo defense kept Bowling Green below a single point per trip inside the 40-yard line and recorded a grade of 15th in the country in tackling and coverage. With that said, Im expecting these two MAC contenders to take part in a hard fought physical battle that sees a less combined point score than the linesmakers number suggests .Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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11-10-20 | Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 55.5 | 62-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Bowling Greens QB Matt McDonald went 8-of-30 with two interceptions in his first game of the season with his team scoring just one FG in a 38-3 loss. Bowling Green made seven incursions past the Toledo 40-yard line and could only muster 3 points and Im betting things do not get much better this week vs Kent State side that ranks second overall in the Havoc ratings and has shown a propensity not to miss many tackles. There will be some winds tonight gusting up to 23 plus miles per hr and criss crossing the field which will make moving the chains difficult for both sides. Under is 14-3 in Golden Flashes last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games as a road favorite. Under is 10-4 in Falcons last 14 conference games. Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games as an underdog.Under is 14-4 in Falcons last 18 games on fieldturf. Under is 12-4 in Falcons last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jets have not scored more than 10 points in any of their last four games and overall are ranked last in the NFL in third-down offense (28.0%) and red-zone offense (28.0%). I just dont see them suddenly eclipsing they're recent point total here this evening. Meanwhile,The Patriots rank 2nd in the NFL in the amount of times they run the ball recording a 50.1% clock consuming average and Im betting they continue to pound the ball here , even though the Jets’ strength on defense is stopping the run. Tonight Im expecting a grounding conservative game that will be played at a slow pace. This will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. These teams have gone under in 7 of the L/8 meetings. New England has gone under in 4 straight MNF tilts. NYJ have gone under in 5 straight division home games. Under is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games as an underdog. Play UNDER |
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11-08-20 | Steelers v. Cowboys UNDER 42 | 24-19 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 50 m | Show | |
Dallas has not scored more than 10 points in the three straight games and against this top tier Pittsburgh D, point production will be at a premium again for the Cowboys. Meanwhile, with Pittsburgh off a big win vs Baltimore last week, should be in a hang over mode and highly likely to start slowly which will contribute to this contest staying on the low side of the total. Steelers are 0-20-2 L/22 UNDER when they threw for less than 205 yards last game. The Steelers are 0-19-1 UNDER L/20 on the road facing a team below .500. Play UNDER |
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11-07-20 | Vanderbilt v. Mississippi State OVER 44 | 17-24 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
True freshman quarterback Ken Seals is the real deal and uptrending after hitting on 67 percent of his passes so far. The kid had a big game against Ole Miss, passing 31-of-40 for 319 yards for an efficiency 155.9 and now against a much better defence will have the needed reps to get some more positive work in and bolster the confidence of the offense. Meanwhile, the Commodores Defense is ranked 108th in the country in total defense, giving up 499.0 yards per game. So Im betting they do some damage but also give up a boatload full of points. So despite of Miss States inconsistent offence Im betting they finally pound away today with non stop attack as the pent up demand for scores is unleashed. The above combination will result in a fairly high scoring affair as compared to the totals number being offered. Vanderbilt is 14-0 OVER L/14 as a dog coming off a game as a dog where they lost by at least 14 points with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored with none of the games in this subset failing to eclipse this totals number. Play OVER |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State OVER 61.5 | 51-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
BYU QB Wilson has completed 74.6 percent of his passes this season including 2,152 passing yards and 19 touchdowns against just two interceptions. Meanwhile, Boise State rank top-10 nationally in Finishing Drives, red zone efficiency, completion percentage and interception rate. Boise State has averaged 45.5 points (third in the nation) and 454.5 yards (22nd) during its two first games, while BYU is averaging 44.4 points (seventh) and 527.7 yards (sixth). Everything points to a high scoring back and forth affair on the speedy Blue turf. Play OVER |
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11-06-20 | San Jose State v. San Diego State UNDER 48 | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Both these teams have started slowly offensively in their games this season, and Im betting that trend continues here tonight which will contribute to a lower scoring game the linesmakers number suggests. Both these sides have shown decent offense but its the defenses that have shined..Both defenses rank top-10 in Finishing Drives. San Jose State has allowed 6 and 21 points respectively in their two tilts and San Diego State has allowed just 6 and 7 points respectively. The Aztecs defense is ranked No.1 in the country in defending expected points through the air and rank first in the nation in defensive Havoc and third-place rank in opponent passing Success Rate. San Diego State defense ranks top-10 in Passing Success Rate, Finishing Drives, and PFF coverage grade. San Jose State has allowed their opposition to score a minuscule 1.8 points per trip inside the 40-yard line. From a offensive perspective and considering SD State has called 65% rushing plays with a pace of 78th in FBS it wont be surprised if they use a run heavy option here tonight. On the flip side with San Jose State Im betting their success rate moving the ball will be limited via the ground game as they rank second-to-last in Rushing Success Rate and Explosiveness and through the air they take on hard core secondary. So the above combination has me leaning heavily on a low scoring tilt. Under is 36-17-1 in Aztecs last 54 home games.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State OVER 52.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
The Rams defense looked very vulnerable last week , especially against the pass. Fresno State QB Jake Haener carved up the Colorado State secondary, throwing for 311 yards and three scores while averaging 14.1 yards per completion and Im betting they get torched again this week by a Wyoming offense that is off scoring 25 points in the 2nd half of their last game and up-trending with flow. Meanwhile, Colorado State after starting slowly in their first game in the season vs Fresno State will be primed to bounce back here vs a D that maybe a little over rated considering the accolades they are getting for stuffing a revamped Hawaii offense that was playing the 2nd end of back to back road trips. The kids from Hawaii looked tired. Tonight with the weather looking perfect for fall football , no rain or snow expected , light winds and comfortable temps this game looks set to eclipse the total. Play OVER |
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11-05-20 | Utah State v. Nevada OVER 56 | 9-34 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
The Aggies are off to a 0-2 start and cant afford to go 0-3 and really have to open things up in liberal fashion and cant afford to just play a conservative game. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack behind a offense that averages, 37 ppg, and ranking 13th in FBS in total offense, averaging 496 yards per game for 7.47 yards per play should be able to eclipse that mark vs a Aggies D, that has allowed an average of 40 points per game thus far while ranking 98th in FBS in total defense, allowing 510 yards per game, and 6.94 yards per play. My projections estimate the Wolfpack should eclipse the 45 point plateau while Utah State fires back in wide open fashion, as they play for their proverbial play off lives . |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants UNDER 45 | 25-23 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Bucs are the obvious superior team here, and Im betting they take a early lead and keep grinding away to notch the victory. There will no need to open up and considering how dominating the Bucs defense is Im betting the Giants do very little scoring tonight which will help this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. Note: Home dogs of eight points or more are 19-55-1 to the UNDER over the L/8 seasons. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (TAMPA BAY) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers. are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER
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11-01-20 | Colts v. Lions UNDER 50 | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
The Colts consider themselves a run first side , but are averaging an NFL-low 3.6 yards per carry. "No question, this is our identity. We are committed to the run," Colts head coach Frank Reich said. "Now, we have not been committed to the run as much as we would've liked to. That's who we want to be. We want to run the football. So after a week of rest, Im betting we see the Colts getting down and dirty and pounding the ball alot more which Im betting shortens the game and helps us stay under the number. Teams are 0-18 UNDER L/18 coming off a win where the total was under 53 where Philip Rivers threw more than 35 passes with the average combined score clicking in at 35.39 ppg with no combined score exceeding 44 points. NFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (DETROIT) - with a poor passing D - allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 33-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-31-20 | Kansas State v. West Virginia OVER 45.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Kansas State is 11-0-1 OVER as a dog coming off a home game where they covered by 14+ points. |
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10-30-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa UNDER 62 | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Tulsa is proving that their defense is of the top notch variety at all three levels and Im betting the visiting Pirates have a hard time putting points on the board here today. The Canes have already held Oklahoma State and USF to 13 and 16 points respectively. Tulsa is 83rd in FBS with 65.7 ppg and run their offense at a lower than average pace. What Im betting on here is for Tulsa to grind away on E.Carolina to roll to a victory, but in more conservative fashion than the lines-makers expect as compared to what my projections say is a bloated total. Play UNDER |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers OVER 51 | 25-17 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams played earlier this season, with the final score clicking in at 23-16 . That was a low scoring affair that should have been much higher scoring thanks to both sides finishing a combined 1-4 in the red zone. Now this week in the rematch Im betting both offenses tee off on each others below average defenses as is evident by the following numbers that show the Atlanta Falcons ranking 25th in defensive DVOA while the Carolina Panthers ranking 21st. My projections estimate that both sides will score 27+ points. Note:CAROLINA is 11-0 OVER ( when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 57.1 ppg.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with the average of 13 games clicking in at 58.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 45 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 36 h 18 m | Show | |
The Rams rank 19th in red-zone offense and tonight against Chicago’s No. 2 red zone defense scoring will come at a premium. On the flip-side the Bears are averaging just 4.8 yards per play, tied for fourth-worst in the NFL which is not a good omen vs Rams D, that allows the second-fewest yards per game to opposing wide receivers, Remember the Bears offense without Allen Robinson looks lost. Also Bears Trubisky( 56.4) and Foles (49.9) QB rating also tells a story of futility. The only place I see vulnerabilities and offensive flow is with the Rams run defense but with the Bears ranking 28th in rush offense that also draws up a lack of vertical movement which will also translate into muted offensive output. Everything points to this. being a lower scoring affair.These two teams combined for an average 22.5 points per game total the last two meetings. Bears are 0-13-1 UNDER L/14 off a game as a dog where they rushed for less than 87 yards with a combined average of 33.57 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 55 | 34-37 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Cardinals behind young QB Murray are a short passing conservative team overall, and despite of the accolades from the media are not yet a prolific offensive squad. Believe me this team Cards team knows its limitations and here vs a Seattle team that can put points on the board in a hurry I expect them to implement a slower pace in an effort to keep the Seahawks offense off the field as much as possible, thus limiting overall point production in this tilt. Remember they ran for 261 yards last Monday night in their win vs Dallas and will primed to pound the ball again which will eat alot of clock time. Add to that my power ranking suggest the Arizona D, is very under rated and much better than the lines-makers estimate and we have an under edge here on this line. None of the Cards games have seen more than 52 combined points scored so this line seems bloated as compared to trends. Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in Week 7.Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in October.Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 games as a road favorite.Under is 3-1-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games overall.Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games on grass.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 vs. NFC.Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games in Week 7.Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games in October.Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games. The Cardinals are 0-12 L/12 UNDER at home facing a team over .500 when they are off a game as a favorite. Play UNDER |
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10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 8 | 4-2 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Glasnow was smacked around for six runs on three hits over 4 1/3 innings, walking six and striking out eight in game 1 of this series, and Im betting the Dodgers tee off on him again today. Meanwhile, Kershaw will go to the hill again . He looked strong for a win in game 1 but when he came out of the Rays bats started to get fluid . The final score of that tilt was 8-3 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat higher scoring game than the consistent totals outputs from the lines-makers suggest. There has been no adjustment in this series and as a result we get another edge for a over wager cashing. Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings. Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play OVER |
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10-25-20 | Steelers v. Titans OVER 50.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
Both the Steelers and the Titans are among the scoring leaders in the NFL. The Titans have averaged 32.8 points per game while the Steelers have averaged 31.2 ppg .In quarterback Ryan Tannehill’s( (13 touchdowns, 113.5 passer rating) 15 regular-season starts with the Titans, the over has hit 13 of 15 times and Im betting today that we see another over. the Titans have the best red zone unit in the league, getting points on 78 percent of their possessions and can make the best of Defensces look average. Meanwhile Pittsburgh veteran QB Roethlisberger is performing at a high level season so far, completing nearly 70 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns, one interception, and a 109 passer rating (sixth in NFL). Im betting the old guy has a field day ,against the Titans 28th ranked D in total passing yards allowed (1,364) and 30th in touchdown passes (13). Play OVER |
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10-25-20 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team OVER 44.5 | 3-25 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
10-24-20 | Texas State v. BYU UNDER 60.5 | 14-52 | Loss | -109 | 38 h 17 m | Show | |
The Cougars are averaging 3.2 sacks per game, which is 15th-best in the nation. They have 16 sacks through five games. Im betting Texas States offense ill have issues flowing in this tilt. BYU’s defense is allowing 14 points per game. Meanwhile, after annihilating Houston on the road last week Im betting this will be a game where alot of starters get rested as they game progresses, as bigger fish are on deck. This Im betting results in a more muted effort offensively from the Cougars in a game that they will use like a week off. TEXAS ST is 8-1 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg going on the board. TEXAS ST is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season with a combined average of 50.2 ppg. TEXAS ST is 8-1 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 48.9 ppg going on the board. BYU is 0-13-1 UNDER as a favorite coming off a game where they covered by at least five points with the highest combined score total coming in at 59 points and. the overall combined average score clicking in at 41.9 ppg.BYU is 7-0 UNDER off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-24-20 | Tulane v. Central Florida OVER 70 | 34-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knights behind the big arm of quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who became the first UCF signal-caller to throw for over 500 yards last Saturday against Memphis Im betting will once again be ready to explode on offense vs a suspect Tulane D. Meanwhile, Tulane also has a top tier dual threat QB in Michael Pratt who Im betting will also tee off on a UCF D that ranks 74th in total defense out of 77 FBS teams. Play on the OVER |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa v. South Florida UNDER 50.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulsa’s showing us a strong defensive structure this season . Ranking third in Havoc ratings lead by Linebacker Zaven Collins who has owned the opposition with three sacks, three hurries and a top-10 tackles for loss On the flipside, the Canes offense has been below average ranking in the bottom 10 in Success Rate with a Finishing Drives rank of 63rd. .Meanwhile, USF while trying to move at an accelerated pace offense , still have huge problems as their Offensive Finishing Drives rank a lowly 75th. Thats not a good omen for Bulls fluidity against a Tulsa defense that allows just three points per trip in past the 40-yard line. All in all my projections estimate a total closer to 46 whihc gives us great value on a under wager. |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
According to my projections this total should be closer to 9. Thus giving us value on an over wager. Dodgers starter Gonsolin has made two shaky outings in the postseason so far, giving up seven runs in 6 1/3 innings for a 9.95 playoff ERA and Im betting the Rays tee off on his here. Meanwhile, the Dodgers explosive bats Im betting will also tee off on Snell, Over is 6-2-3 in Dodgers last 11 interleague games as a favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. American League East. Over is 10-1 in Rays last 11 vs. National League West. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |