CFL Saturday 10* Top Play BC Lions +4.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6:30 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way. Everyone feels it will once again be Toronto and Winnipeg battling it out for the Grey Cup again this season. However, there is a reason the Blue Bombers are priced as a much smaller home favorite in comparison with the Argonauts today. This is the one with the upset potential right here and I am expecting that but we grab the points just in case. The fact this line is up to a 4.5 is a great value with turning the key numbers of 3 and 4 into winning numbers for us. This Lions team really believes. They are well coached and much is made of this team in terms of being unable to win this big game on the road outdoors since they are use to playing indoors at BC Place in Vancouver. However, this Lions team absolutely can do it! BC has taken it to another level this season even if their record does not show it. There is a different feel about this team and while the Blue Bombers are already thinking ahead to their rematch in the Grey Cup and a chance to get revenge on the Argos, the Lions are fully focused on the task at hand here. Watch everyone step up for this BC team and the effort and focus is going to be with the hungry road dogs! Also, by mid-November standards, the weather in Winnipeg will not be bad for this game. That is also an edge for the indoor-based Lions. 10* BC +4.5

CFL Saturday OVER 49.5 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 6:30 ET - We get a rather low total here because it is the playoffs now but Calgary piled up points in the recent meeting with the Lions in BC but now the rematch will see the hosts scoring much better in this one too. BC is so potent on offense but their defense faded a bit as the season when on and the Stamps could surprise here. But this BC offense is so tough at home and they will be ready to go here after Calgary embarrassed them in the most recent meeting. Remember the Stampeders lost here last season however in the post-season and they will be out for revenge. I see Calgary, better than their record shows, moving the ball quite well here again as they have confidence against the Lions. But, again, they can not stop this potent offense which will be clicking at home for the post-season. The play here is 50+ points in this one! OVER 49.5 in BC Lions

CFL Saturday Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 3 ET - Something funny with this line as Montreal is at home with the better record and on a long winning streak versus Hamilton yet the line opened up at just -3 which is the normal shading toward a home team. So these teams are equal in the eyes of the betting market? No, and that is why we step in and take advantage as now this line is a high as a 4.5 and the Ti-Cats, including a preseason loss, have actually lost 7 straight games to the Alouettes. The final two meetings in the regular season, the post-season game, then a preseason game this year, then all 3 regular season meetings this year. Don't let the line fool you here as it is priced this way for a reason and I sense an upset as the Tiger-Cats get their revenge in Montreal but we will grab the points as added insurance. 10* HAMILTON +4.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +3 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - The playoff positioning is set already. This is a rather meaningless game for each team. But it carries more weight with the home team that has a little more to prove. The Stampeders are hungrier. Winnipeg already has a been there, done that mentality and this is purely a tune-up game for the Blue Bombers. The Stamps, on the other hand, will be a little more motivated here and will want to defend their home turf and go into the post-season off a win. So the home team and as an underdog too makes this a a great value. 10* CALGARY +3

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +9.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 4 ET - Certainly it has been a rough run for the Roughriders but they need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive and force Calgary to win next week's game. That said, I am not saying they will win this week's game but I am saying Saskatchewan will at least keep this a one score game. This game means nothing for the Argonauts. They have already wrapped up the East division. Sure they want to stay tuned up for the post-season but they also do not want to risk injury here either. I would not be surprised to see quite a few back ups for the Argos in this one. That said, there is a ton of value here with the Riders as a home dog catching nearly a dozen points. Of course if you look at YTD records and YTD stats this line seems about right. But again, this one is all about the situation! The Argos will struggle to win this game, let alone cover, against a very determined home side that is playing for their post-season life here! 10* SASKATCHEWAN +9.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders (+) @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - This game is much more important to Calgary - an 8.5 dog as of early game day morning - than it is to BC. Yes, the Lions still have some motivation to win but they know it is a longshot that they can catch Winnipeg for the top spot out West. That said, the Stampeders are going to be the more motivated team. With a win here they can still control their own destiny in terms of earning a post-season spot. The Stamps also have "triple revenge" here, if you will. Calgary has been hammered by BC in both regular season games this year plus they lost in the post-season to the Lions last year! This is a great spot for a respectable Stampeders team that is better than their record shows. Adding to the solid edges here is the fact that a key WR, Begelton, has been practicing all week and is expected to be back on the field for this one as well. When a team has a solid shot at an outright upset and is the more motivated team and yet they are an underdog by more than a 1-score margin, that is something worthy of elevating a play to a strong one every time. Now certainly this is not a trap line or phony line either because BC is at home and has the much better record and has dominated this series of late. So the odds makers have set the "right number" from that perspective but, from a situational perspective, the Stamps are the very strong value here the way I see it! 10* CALGARY (+) 

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders (+) @ Calgary Stampeders @ 9:30 ET - Current line on this one is 3.5 points as of early gameday morning. Both teams have struggled but the Stampeders are going to be without their leading WR and leading rusher for this game. Also, I like the fact Saskatchewan is off an ugly home loss to a surging Hamilton team. That has led to line value here. The Roughriders had some meetings heading into this week's contest and the veteran leadership on this team is stepping up for this game. This is a revenge game too. Both match-ups this season have been tight but the Roughriders lost the most recent one at home by 2 points. This will be payback here. Both teams motivated to win as Calgary must win to keep their playoff hopes alive but it is the Riders who can secure a playoff berth with victory here. Even if Saskatchewan falls short of the outright win here, look for the loss to be by 3 or less points. This one could go down to the wire but, in the end, the couple of key guys being out for this game for the Stamps are going to be the difference maker. 10* SASKATCHEWAN + points

CFL Monday Ottawa Redblacks (+) @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Rivalry game. Great value here with the big points on Thanksgiving Day in Canada. Ottawa just lost badly to Montreal at home last week but look at the stats from that game and you will quickly realize the loss was a turnover-fueled defeat. The Redblacks actually outgained the Alouettes by a substantial margin in that game. Also, Ottawa still has hopes of a post-season berth so they will still being going hard here. The Als already clinched their post-season berth and are only in a battle now with Hamilton for positioning but that is not a key motivator. I believe the road dog will prove to be the much hungrier team and will be out for revenge after the embarrassing loss in last week's meeting at home. Payback time here and an outright upset would not surprise me in the last. Current line as of 6 hours before kickoff is in the 6.5 range and that is a great value. OTTAWA (+)

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+) @ BC Lions @ 10 PM ET - If you took the home team in Winnipeg's last 8 games you are a PERFECT 8-0 ATS! So why am I taking the road team here? Well, for starters I am a contrarian. However, the big key here is that I like the way the Winnipeg defense has played as the season has worn on compared to the Lions defense. The BC defense started the season strong but has faded. Also, the Blue Bombers have a fantastic offensive line. So Winnipeg should be able to get their strong ground game going here which opens up the passing attack on offense. Also, the Bombers defense is a strength so, even though BC certainly has a solid offense, Winnipeg can get enough stops here to win this game on the road. There is a reason that a revenge-minded home favorite is practically a pick here (current line of 2 or 2.5 at best here) even though the host has lost only 1 game at home this season and the road team has gone just 4-3 SU away from home this season. Don't let the line fool you. That 8-0 ATS run I mentioned above comes to an end here. This is a battle for first place in the division and we are nearing the post-season so this game is critical. Grab any points you can with the road dog here! 10* WINNIPEG (+)

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers -7.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 8 ET - The Blue Bombers are 3-0 this season when off a loss and they also enter this game off a bye week! Also, all 3 of those wins after a loss were by at least 14 points. So this is a situation that is PERFECT on the season. Winnipeg off a loss is 3-0 with all 3 wins by at least 14 points and the line here is 7.5 and also note that the Argos have won 6 in a row and they also started the season 6-0 and then lost their next game by 13. So, from that aspect, this is also testing a perfect situation that should become a perfect 2-0 here. This Blue Bombers lost the Grey Cup to the Argos in November so this is finally their chance at revenge and they are at home and Toronto is on short rest while Winnipeg has extra rest coming off a bye week. Situations just do not get much better than this! We take advantage and look for a blowout home win by double digits here. Look for the Blue Bombers to improve to 4-0 ATS on the season when in this situation which again, is absolutely ideal for a win by 14 or more again! 10* WINNIPEG -7.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +1.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 4 ET - This is a great spot for a home dog because the Stampeders are not only off a bye week, it was preceded by an ugly loss at Edmonton in which they had a disastrous 4th quarter and gave up 18 points unanswered in the loss. That means the Stamps can't wait to get back on the field make up for that loss to the Elks and they have extra energy - physical and mental - as they have been off for two weeks leading into this. Montreal has lost 4 straight and their win before this losing streak was by just a 1-point margin. Stampeders having a rough season too but this set-up is perfect for payback. 10* CALGARY +1.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +6.5 vs BC Lions @ 9:30 ET - Great spot for the Elks as a home dog. Both teams off comeback wins last week but the Lions win was particularly improbable. The BC defense has not been what it was earlier this season and the Elks grind the ball on the ground more than the Lions do. I feel they can grind out a win here but, of course, am grabbing the points. Edmonton has been playing better for quite awhile now and have won 4 of 5 and the only loss was by 4 points! As for BC, the Lions have beaten Edmonton by a combined score of 49-0 in the first two games so you know this one has been circled on the Elks calendar. Edmonton wants this game. Keep in mind, the Lions are just 3-3 SU last 6 and one of those wins was by only 4 points. This one goes to the wire and an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. 10* EDMONTON +6.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks (+) @ BC Lions @ 7 ET - This line available as high as a 10 as of overnight hours heading into Saturday. Love this spot for a road dog cover. Yes, the Redblacks are on a losing streak but they have been very competitive and will not back down from the Lions here. Yes, BC is a strong team and at home with rest but if you look at their stats in recent weeks they have not been impressive. The Lions have shown some issues, particularly on defense, and I expect this scrappy Ottawa bunch to hang around in this one. The Redblacks have played 12 games this season and, though they have lost 6 straight and 9 of 12, look at home competitive they have been. Only two of their games have been losses by more than 10 points and those featured margins of defeat of just 11 and 13 points. Take out a 19 point win that Ottawa had and look at the average margin of their other 11 games (including all 9 losses) and you will come to an average of 5.8 ppg. Again, this line is just too much in a game likely to be decided by a TD or less. BC was dominating earlier this season but they are just 2-3 SU last 5 games and one of those wins was by a single digit margin. This one goes to the wire! 10* OTTAWA (+) points

CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 46.5 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks @ 9:30 ET - Good weather here and I love the fact that Edmonton has been winning some games and their confidence is up. Saskatchewan just got rocked 51 to 6 at Winnipeg. I am sure the Roughriders will bring a much better effort here and score plenty of points but I certainly can not trust their defense. The way the Elks are going they will move the ball here. Edmonton has scored an average of 28 points in their last 5 games! As for the Riders, they have averaged 31 points in their last 4 home games. This total is a bargain in the mid-40s with good weather expected here also. 10* OVER 46.5 in Saskatchewan

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders + points @ Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - Yesterday I successfully went again Ottawa as they were winless in their divisional games this season but laying 4 points. Today I do the same with going against Edmonton as the Elks are winless in their divisional games but are laying 2.5 points here. Note that the Elks do have right back revenge in play here as they lost at Calgary in a high-scoring tight game last week but revenge tends to be an over-played angle. The fact is that the Stamps are the stronger overall team and, with another win, they can keep their playoff hopes still very much alive even after a sluggish period within this season. As mentioned yesterday "Note the Elks are the only West Division team without a SU divisional win. Similarly, the Redblacks are the only East Division team without a SU divisional win. Edmonton is 0-7 in divisional games and Ottawa is 0-5 in divisional games"... and now Redblacks are 0-6 SU this season. Similarly, yes this is a divisional game for Edmonton and we are fading this 0-7 spot for the Elks and we are even getting a few points to work with. I'll take it! Look for this play-against angle to improve to 8-0 but we'll also grab the points for added insurance. 10* CALGARY +

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4 @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - Yes, the Ti-Cats failed to cover in their home loss to Toronto last week. However, the yardage in that loss by a double digit margin actually had Hamilton with a slight edge! The week before they had won big at BC over the Lions. This Ti-Cats team is stronger than their record. There is line value here because the Redblacks are coming off their bye week and they are at home and everyone sees the final score of the Argonauts win over this Hamilton team last week. That is causing an over-reaction toward the Ottawa side here. Lets not forget this Redblacks team lost to West Division cellar dweller Edmonton the prior week in a non-divisional battle. Note the Elks are the only West Division team without a SU divisional win. Similarly, the Redblacks are the only East Division team without a SU divisional win. Edmonton is 0-7 in divisional games and Ottawa is 0-5 in divisional games. Yes this is a divisional game and we are fading this 0-5 spot for the Redblacks and we are even getting a handful of points to work with. I'll take it! Look for this play-against angle to improve to 6-0 but we'll also grab the points for added insurance. 10* HAMILTON +4 

CFL Monday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders - points vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - This is a great set-up for a play on the home team. The line was up near a 6 and is now down to a 4 at the time of this posting. Also, the Stampeders are off 3 straight losses but this followed a win over the defending champ Argonauts that had Calgary sitting at a still ugly, yet more reasonable, 3-5 on the season. Now, after 3 straight losses, I feel certain the Stampeders are going to get going again here. They catch the Elks off B2B wins but Edmonton was 0-9 this season before that. Now they are just a 4 point dog here even though the Stamps are at home? This line is basically saying these teams are equal on a neutral field. I am not buying that as it was not that long ago the Stampeders were 3-5 and the Elks were 0-9! Another thing favoring the hosts here is they have a rest edge over the visitors in this one. So while I do respect Edmonton and I know they are improving, they are still 0-6 SU in divisional games this season and I look for the Stamps to come out with a chip on their shoulders in this one and roll to a huge win! 10* CALGARY - points

CFL Monday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats + points vs Toronto Argonauts @ 3:30 ET - This is a double revenge spot for Hamilton as they have lost both meetings with Toronto this season. I like the fact the Tiger-Cats are back on track after a win last week and are a big home dog here catching more than a TD as the current line is 7.5 points at the time of this posting. Hamilton will take advantage of an Argonauts secondary dealing with some injuries. As for the Toronto offense, I know they have been rolling overall but their most recent road game saw them score only 7 points. This is a tough match-up against a Ti-Cats team that is better than their record shows. Look for this one to go down to the wire which means getting more than a TD is a huge value here. 10* HAMILTON + points

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +7.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - Blue Bombers won big at Saskatchewan 45-27 early this season but the yardage was about equal in that one so the final score was deceiving. Now look at the Bombers road games since then. Winnipeg scored 17 points in next road win then lost roadie in OT then beat league-worst Elks at Edmonton, then won by 1 at Calgary. The point is that, with those types of road results, the Blue Bombers are truly over-priced here the way I see it. Note that Winnipeg is also entering this game off a huge win last week versus Montreal while the Riders got to enjoy a nice bye week last week. The Roughriders have won 3 of last 4 homes games since the home loss to Blue Bombers and the Riders only loss in that stretch was by 2 points. A lot of home dog value here! 10* SASKATCHEWAN +7.5

CFL Saturday BC Lions (-) points @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Both teams off bad losses but if you look at the stats from those games, the Lions were about even statistically while the Als were outgained by a huge margin. Don't let this line, currently BC -3.5 at time of this write-up, fool you. Montreal is heading the wrong way right now and BC is the stronger team right now and more likely to respond big here with a huge win. The Lions are favored by more than a field goal here on the road but it is for a reason. This is the point. Two teams looking to bounce back off a loss but I trust this BC team much more than the Alouettes in this spot. 10* BC Lions

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - The hosts are off their first win of the season. However, this team has also lost 22 straight home games! Edmonton will have some extra confidence from getting that first win of the season and they are getting better QB play of late and can take advantage of a Redblacks team that is struggling against the pass. However, it is no accident that the Elks have lost so many in a row at home and they will struggle to stop an Ottawa team that is fired up after a 1-point loss last week. The Redblacks have post-season hopes too and every win is critical and they should move the ball well here. Nice weather is expected in Edmonton for this one and both teams can really open up the passing attacks here. This one should work into a back and forth battle with plenty of points. The Elks have averaged 26.5 points per game the last two weeks. The Redblacks last 3 games have averaged 58 points and all 3 games totaled more than the number on this game. This one gets there for us! 10* OVER 45.5 in Edmonton

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER 46.5 in BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7 ET - The Tiger-Cats started this season 0-3. While their offense is still struggling often, their defense has been better overall in their last 6 games and they have allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg in these 6 games. The problem for Hamilton is their offense is struggling and now they are at BC and the Lions are off a loss. So you know the BC defense is going to come to play here. If you look at the Ti-Cats last 8 games and eliminate the one outlier, a game in which they scored big at Edmonton, note that the Tiger-Cats scored an average of only 14.6 ppg in the other 7 games. They are about a 10 point dog here and you can see, per the above, why I am anticipating a 24-14 type game here. Amazingly, the Lions have allowed an average of only 9 points in their 4 home games this season! Coming off a loss last week, Hamilton's defense also has plenty of motivation here after giving up 24 points to an Edmonton team that was winless on the season. So look for both defenses to be the story in this one. 10* UNDER 46.5 in BC Lions

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary +10.5 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7:30 ET - Revenge is overplayed. Yes, this is a revenge game for the Argos after losing at Calgary a few weeks ago. However, even if the Argonauts get revenge it does not mean it will come via a blowout. The Argos are off a bye week but they probably did not even want it. This bye followed a huge 44-31 win and Toronto would have liked to have had a chance to build off the momentum. As for the Stamps, the 20-7 win over the Argos was no fluke. They outgained Toronto by about 100 yards and the Calgary defense was great in that game. Now the Stampeders have lost B2B games since then including losing by just a single point last week so you know they will be fired up to get back on track here. That may not happen but I also do not see them getting blown out in this game either. Take advantage of an over-reaction on this line and grab the big point with the road dog here. 10* CALGARY +10.5

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes + points at Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - This line is as high as a 9.5 as of game day morning and I love the big points in this spot. Yes Collaros is back for the Blue Bombers at QB but Fajardo is back for the Alouettes. Also, consider what Evans did at QB in the late comeback win at Ottawa last week. Additionally, the Montreal defense has been solid and though the Bombers getting so much attention for being a hot team, the Als have been really hot too. When these teams met in Montreal earlier this season, Winnipeg won 17 to 3 but the yardage in that game was about equal. To me, given all of the above, this is just too many points to give the Alouettes as they are solid defensively and their offense has a boost with the Evans performance and with Fajardo coming back. 10* MONTREAL + points

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +10.5 vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - I am aware of the injury situations here. Here are the keys I like in this match-up. The Roughriders off an ugly loss and the Lions are off a blowout win. When these teams met earlier this season at BC, the Riders outgained the Lions but lost the game by a 10 point margin. Additionally, Saskatchewan rarely gets blown out at home and the only time they did this season, versus Winnipeg, they actually outgained the Blue Bombers. So the point is that we have a lot of line value here with a big dog that has proven they can compete with anyone this season yet they have some deceiving final scores on their resume. That said, the additional value from a situational perspective is what has me betting this big home dog with confidence and yes I know that QB Fine is out for this one but just watch what happens in this game ladies and gentlemen! 10* SASKATCHEWAN +10.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - The Redblacks defense was scorched in a 44-31 loss last week and they are dealing with a lot of injuries on that side of the ball entering this contest. Not only that, the Alouettes are off a win in which they scored 41 points last week plus now they get QB Fajardo and RB Stanback returning for this game Saturday. The Als will score plenty of points again but I do expect Ottawa to also light up the scoreboard well at home in this one. Keep in mind, they also scored 24 points on the road the week before last. The Redblacks are happy to be back home and their offense should atone for a 12 point effort the last time they were here. They have not forgotten that home loss. Speaking of losses not forgotten, the Redblacks lost their season opener at Montreal so they will be eyeing payback here. However, Ottawa's defense simply can not be trusted. I also like the fact the Alouettes defense might overlook the Redblacks as Montreal has a big game on deck versus league-leading Winnipeg coming up. That is the same Blue Bombers team that the Als would have met for the Grey Cup last season if they had not lost to Toronto the game before the Argos won it all. Considering injury and situational factors and the Redblacks ready to explode at home (but with a leaky defense too), this one should soar over the total. Looks like winds will be rather insignificant by gametime of this one also. 10* OVER 47.5 in Ottawa

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - Bombers QB Collaros is dealing with a neck injury. If he plays he is not 100% and he may not even play here. That makes this a tough road game for Winnipeg. Even with the line having been adjusted down some it is still not enough. This line has been kept high because the Blue Bombers are 7-2 this season and 5-1 in the division and Calgary is just 1-3 at home and 1-4 in divisional games this season. Given numbers like that, it is not a surprise that many are not backing the Stampeders here...but, we will! The Stamps should roll at home here. They are hungry after getting obliterated on the road at BC last week and I expect a huge effort from them here this week now that they are back in Alberta. 10* CALGARY +4.5

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +5.5 @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7:30 ET - The Elks are 0-9 this season but opened up as 4.5 dogs in this one on the road. If you consider most teams are given about a 3 point edge in football when at home that means the opening line on this game had it priced in a way that it would imply the teams are about equal on a neutral field. All of that and yet Edmonton is 0-9 this season...exactly! Do not let this line fool you. Was an open invitation to take the Ti-Cats and, sure enough, people are doing just that. This line has risen. I am taking the other side and fading the move as per usual. Note that Hamilton is a bit banged up in the trenches and I also like the fact the Elks had the Blue Bombers beat last week until a late turn of events there after a key big play against them turned the tide. I feel this will have Edmonton even more hell-bent and determined on getting into the win column this week finally. Even if they do fall short of an outright win, look for the points to be enough for the all-important cover. 10* EDMONTON +5.5

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +10 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - The Argos are off their first loss of the season last week so everyone will expect them to bounce right back here. However, QB Kelly may not be 100% even though he is expected to play here. Also, Toronto was off a very lucky win the week before their loss last week. The point is that this has been coming for awhile and the Argonauts drop-off should continue this week. I am not saying they won't bounce back and manage to get a win here but I am saying that it would be a hard-fought win if they do get it. I certainly am not expecting it would be decided by double digits! Ottawa's average point differential on the season is a 1 point loss. The Redblacks have played 8 games and their point differential is -8 points. Ottawa has only one loss this season by more than 8 points and that was a defeat by only an 11-point margin! That is why I feel we have such strong line value here. This is a divisional match-up and the Redblacks will be battling hard after a tight 2-point loss last week. 10* OTTAWA +10

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - The Stamps are off the huge 20-7 win over the previously undefeated Argos. That was at home too and so it would not be a surprise to see the defense struggle here as they come up flat on the road after that huge performance at home. Also, the Lions will have Vernon Adams back at QB for this one and they are back home after getting drilled 50 to 14 last week. BC is known for piling up points at home and should do the same here. However, I can't trust the defense after the way they got lit up last week and now they face a confident Stampeders offense that saw their QB complete 24 of 26 passes last week. Calgary will keep the roll going on offense here but will not be able to stop the Lions offense which will be aggressive here with Adams back. 10* OVER 45.5 in BC Lions

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +5.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - This is a ton of line value on the Riders. 5 of their 8 games this season have been decided by a margin of 4 or less points. Those 5 games had an average margin of just 2.4 points! Also, one of their few blowout losses was 2 weeks ago against Toronto but they deserved better as they dominated the Argonauts statistically in that one. We continue to use the flawed market perception about Saskatchewan to our advantage. I used the Riders last week successfully against Ottawa and will now use them again against another non-divisional foe. Remember that week prior to beating the Redblacks they really did statistically dominate another non-divisional foe when they had strong numbers against the Argos. Montreal is a respectable team but they are nothing special and this is just too many points for them to be laying here. The Alouettes are off a divisional win and have another divisional game on deck and I could see the Als being a little flat here. Give me the points! 10* SASKATCHEWAN +5.5

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +12 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - So this is a double perfect spot but I am not playing it in the way you think I would! Edmonton is 0-8 this season! Also, the Elks were 0-9 in home games this season! That means they have no chance of winning this game, right? Well, actually those are SU trends but I still feel strongly that there is a possibility of an outright upset here but most definitely I feel confident about a big dog cover. This is just too many points and the hapless Elks made some changes during the bye week and will look to hit the reset button here at home and get things going back the right direction. Maybe Winnipeg does just enough for the SU win here but I do not see some big road blowout here. The fact is the Blue Bombers just knocked off BC in a huge game and they could be flat here. Winnipeg also has a tougher game at Calgary on deck. They could look right past an Edmonton team that is winless plus just lost to that same BC team 27-0 in Alberta the week before their bye week! Don't be surprised if the Elks bring a much different effort here and this is a great spot for a tight game decided by just a single score margin the way I see it! 10* EDMONTON +12

CFL Sunday Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - Remember when we used Calgary over Toronto Friday and got a very easy win? Part of the analytics there including the Argonauts getting statistically dominated by a 426 to 200 count in yardage by these Roughriders last week! Indeed, Saskatchewan deserved much better than a 31-13 loss last week. Now, just like how the Argos were overvalued Friday, the Riders are likewise undervalued Sunday. As for Ottawa, they lost by only 4 points last week but they were outgained by about 100 yards and that was against a Hamilton team that is struggling. Now the Redblacks are on the road and last week statistically the Roughriders were +200 and the RedBlacks were -100 and you can see why the home dog should prove very dangerous here. SASKATCHEWAN +2.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - We get line value here because Hamilton QB Bo Levi-Mitchell is out again with injury. The fact is they have an adequate back-up option at quarterback plus they got good production out of their wide receivers last week. Also, their secondary looked much better than the secondary of the Alouettes last week which, by the way, is dealing with injury issues too. In terms of pass protection, the Ti-Cats also rate an edge over the Als. Factoring all this in plus the home field edge and the revenge factor, this looks like a great spot to back the Tiger-Cats. Note that Montreal crushed them here at Hamilton earlier this season so payback is on their minds here. This is a key game in the East Division race and I feel the home team is vastly under-valued here because of the Mitchell injury. Their defense will come to play just as I predicted the Stampeders defense would show up at home against the undefeated Argonauts last night and they did just that in the 20-7 win. This is truly another great home dog situation. 10* HAMILTON +3

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +8.5/9/9.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 9 ET - This is just too many points. I know Toronto is undefeated this season and they are the defending champs. Of course this also means they have a target on their backs right now. The Stampeders are still seeking their first home win of the season. When you consider those factors you have a great set up for a monumental upset here. Even if we don't get that huge upset I look for the points to be enough for the cover here as I just do not see the Argonauts winning this game by more than a 1-score margin on the road. Calgary has played in only 2 games this season that resulted in the Stampeders losing by a margin of more than 7 points and one of those was way back in Week One! Also, the Argos were dominated statistically by Saskatchewan last week and that game was at Toronto. The Riders outgained them by a 2 to 1 ratio. We have great line value here as a result and the Stamps are going to have their ears pinned back for this one! 10* CALGARY + points

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play BC Lions +6 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - On one hand, this is a revenge game for Blue Bombers after losing badly to the Lions earlier this season. However, in last year's post-season, BC lost at Winnipeg and they have not forgotten this. Winnipeg ended up going to the Grey Cup as a result of winning that game and they hosted it because they won the West Division. Right now, the Lions are 1 game in front of the Bombers for 1st place in the West. This is a huge game as a result and BC is dead set on winning the division this season. The year has a long way to go yet but opening up an early 2-game lead would be huge for the Lions. They are a perfect 5-0 in the division this season and I like the way Dane Evans played last week at QB as BC piled up a lot of offense. Granted, it was at Edmonton, but this Lions team is playing very well this season and has been ultra strong this year on the defensive side of the ball. That said, I like the generous points being offered here and would not be surprised if we see an outright upset and the Lions improving to 6-0 SU in divisional games this season. We'll grab the points as added insurance. 10* BC Lions +6

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Montreal vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - This is Week 8 of the CFL season and is the final of 4 match-ups this week. The first 3 games this week have all remained under. There has NOT been a single week this season out of the 8 weeks so far that we did not see at least ONE over in the CFL. Look for that streak to remain intact as both teams are off high-scoring games (Montreal's was before bye week last week). So both teams off high-scoring losses and this is a non-divisional match-up. This is the perfect set-up for these teams to turn this into an offensive-minded shootout. Nice set up for an over and we get a rather low number to work with. The Alouettes last two games have each totaled at least 54 points and the Stampeders last two games have each totaled at least 64 points! Also, warm weather conditions for this one without any concern for any significant winds. As a result, expect plenty of points here. 10* OVER 47.5 in Montreal

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +8 vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - With Vernon Adams expected to miss this game as he still deals with an injury, the Lions are going with Dane Evans at QB as the starter and Dominique Davis as the back-up. Evans is coming off a mediocre season in which he had as many interceptions as touchdowns and that is why he was not the starter in the first place. Making this match-up a little tougher for him is that WR Dominique Rhymes is expected to miss this game and that is one less target for Evans. Also, BC is facing a desperate home dog here as the Elks are still seeking their first win of the new season. That makes things even tougher for the traveling Lions here and the Elks have been competitive in a number of their losses this season and that should be the case again here. Upset alert as the Elks bring an A game effort here and, if they fall short of the outright win, look for this game to be decided by just a one score margin as the Elks are so hungry for a home win and will be the more amped up team here. BC could overlook them and who could blame them for this really? That makes them a very dangerous dog here. 10* EDMONTON +8

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2 @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - Ottawa is off B2B wins but is on short rest here compared to Hamilton. Also the Redblacks game last week was out west at Calgary while the Ti-Cats were at home for their game. Definite scheduling edge for the Tiger-Cats plus Ottawa is 0-2 in divisional games so far this season. The Redblacks want revenge here for the loss at Hamilton a few weeks ago but the road team catching them at the perfect time to get another win over their East Division foes. Ottawa is now 3-9 in divisional games the past two seasons combined and, lets not forget they went 0-9 at home last season. 10* HAMILTON +2

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - This is Week 7 of the CFL season and is the final of 4 match-ups this week. The first 3 games this week have all remained under. There has NOT been a single week this season out of the 7 weeks so far that we did not see at least ONE over in the CFL. Look for that streak to remain intact as both teams are off wins. Both were high-scoring wins and this is a non-divisional match-up. This is the perfect set-up for these teams to perhaps lose some defensive edginess. It is a non-divisional battle and both teams did win their games last week despite each allowing a ton of points. Nice set up for an over and we get a low number to work with. Also, warm weather conditions for this one without any concern for any significant winds. As a result, expect plenty of points here. 10* OVER 44.5 in Calgary

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughridgers +10 @ BC Lions @ 7 ET - As lines continue to rise there will be big dog value to latch onto quite frequently. I know it did not work out last night with Hamilton falling just short of the cover but those yardage starts were nearly equal in that game. Also, this followed a big dog cover with Edmonton at Winnipeg Thursday. Now here is another case where a favorite is getting into the over-valued territory in my assessment. BC is a strong club but the yardage was nearly equal to their opponents in their most recent win and that followed a Lions loss in which they allowed 45 points. So, the point is, this BC team continues to be overvalued and I like the fact that Riders QB Mason Fine - very successful at North Texas in college football - got some valuable CFL experience last year. He will be ready to go again here with QB Trevor Harris having gotten hurt and having to undergo surgery. Fine was 6 of 8 with two touchdown passes in last week's 2-point loss to Calgary. Speaking of the two point margin, the Roughriders have been known for tight games this season. This should be another one. 5 games for Riders so far and 4 were decided by an average margin of just 2.5 points! Happy to grab the big points here. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +10

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +9.5 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7:30 ET - Hamilton lost the first meeting 32-14 but the Tiger-Cats actually outgained the Argonauts in that one and the game was at Toronto! Yes, I am aware of the QB situation for the Ti-Cats here but I am confident that Taylor Powell, former Eastern Michigan QB, is going to give them a strong performance here. Powell himself is confident and this is still a talented Hamilton club that is capable of the upset here. The Argos are 4-0 this season but coming off a huge win over Montreal last week. Even if the Ti-Cats fall short, look for the points to prove to be too much here in this one. Grab the generous point spread offered in this one and look for a tight game here. 10* HAMILTON +9.5

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +15 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers at 8:30 ET - A lot of line value here the way I see it. Yes, Edmonton is 0-6 on the season but they have often been very competitive. Also, their defense has actually allowed a total of only FOUR touchdowns in THREE road games this season! I think the Elks remain hungry and will put forth another competitive effort on the road here as they look to pull off the shocker. Winnipeg is a quality team but they just allowed that huge Redblacks comeback against them from a huge deficit in Ottawa. The point is that the Blue Bombers will be angry and looking to bounce back here but their defense also has proven susceptible. Winnipeg should hang on for the win here but the Blue Bombers defense will again be susceptible to late points. That means a backdoor cover, if even needed, is also a distinct possibility here given that this line is above the two TD mark. Grab the big points. 10* EDMONTON +15

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +1.5 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Going very short on CFL write-ups today. The Stamps are on the road and 1-3 this season and facing a Riders team that is 3-1 this season and known for playing tough at home. All that and yet this line is as low as a pick'em in some spots. The point is that this line is set this way for a reason so don't let the number scare you away. Saskatchewan barely snuck by Calgary in the first meeting this season so this is a payback revenge spot. Also the Roughriders other two wins were against Edmonton and the Elks are now 0-6 on the season! So Saskatchewan is 3-1 this season but absolutely over-rated and the Stampeders other two losses this season were to BC and Winnipeg and those two teams are each 4-1 on the season now. Undervalued road team here will surprise many.  10* CALGARY +1.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +10 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4 ET - Going very short on CFL write-ups today. This is just too many points. Going to take this home team and challenge the huge road favorite to win by double digits away from home. Just can not see that happening here and note that Ottawa has only 1 loss by more than 8 points in its 4 games this season and that was a loss by just 11 points. The Redblacks defense has been respectable and their offense will step up at home here too. 10* OTTAWA +10

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts -5.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Argonauts as they are off a bye week after thrashing BC two weeks ago. That is the same Lions team that the Alouettes just visited last week and got thrashed by them in Vancouver. That performance for each team against BC shows you the difference between these teams. Also, the Als now have the difficulty of having just had a cross country trip for their game last week and it was on Sunday. Montreal did not even practice Monday or Tuesday after that game was over 2,000 miles away. The Argos, having been off last week, and having faced the Lions at home in Toronto the week before, have a large scheduling edge here. Also, they are undefeated this season and are the defending champs. We saw last night, with Edmonton's loss, that this seems to be a continuation this season of a pattern in which the zig-zag theory is just not working. Good teams rolling and bad teams struggling week after week. Hamilton and Ottawa entered this week 1-3 on the season and those are the only two teams that the Als have beaten. When they have stepped up in class they have lost every game and this looks like another loss and I see the Argos improving to 4-0 on the season with a dominating road win. 10* TORONTO -5.5

CFL Thursday Edmonton Elks +1.5 vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 9 ET - The Elks were a 2.5 dog and are actually moving close to as low as a pick'em in some spots. Consider that fact plus the fact that Edmonton is 0-5 this season with their overall record plus went 0-9 at home last season. In other words, how is it possible that this line is almost a pick'em? Exactly! But note that Hamilton is off their first win of the season. This is a tough spot for the Tiger-Cats the way I see it. They finally won a game plus they are on short rest here. Hamilton played on Saturday last week while the Elks played on Thursday. Not only does that give the hosts the rest edge here, also note that they lost last week's game by a single points. The home team is going to be very determined this week to finally get into the win column after coming so close last week and their defense has been playing better. EDMONTON +1.5

CFL Sunday OVER 45.5 in BC vs Montreal @ 7 ET - Historically BC is particularly strong at home and they score a lot of points here. That should be the case again in this one! Even in last week's road loss the Lions scored 24 points but the problem was they allowed 45 points. Now they face a Montreal club that scored just 3 points last week at home! After that embarrassing home loss, I am certain the Alouettes will bounce back with much bigger scoring on the road here but the problem is that they will struggle to stop a BC team determined to bounce back off a loss! The Als did average scoring 28.5 points the first two games. The Lions are averaging 25 points scored per game. This one will be a wild back and forth high-scoring affair the way I see it and we will finally see an over in the final of 4 games on this week's slate. In the first 4 weeks of this season, there has never been a week that did not feature at least one over or one under. I don't expect that to change in week 5 either because the set up here is perfect! OVER 45.5 in BC

CFL Saturday OVER 44 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - Look for plenty of points here. I expect the 0-3 Ti-Cats to respond at home and finally get something going here but I also expect their struggles on defense to continue here. Note that Hamilton has allowed 37 ppg this season! The Tiger-Cats should score well here though too. They had scored an average of 22.5 ppg in first two games before struggling in the game before last week's bye week. As for Ottawa, their confidence is up after scoring 26 points last week and notching their first win of the season. Hamilton did score 31 points in their season-opener and now, 0-3 and coming off a bye, they will be ready to go in a big way here. 4 of last 5 CFL games have gone under and this is starting to drive totals lower than they should be. We step in here and take advantage as the situation is right for a high-scoring battle here. OVER 44 in Hamilton

CFL Thursday OVER 43.5 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks @ 9 ET - The Roughriders are off a bye week preceded by averaging scoring 26 points in their prior two games. However, they also allowed 35.5 points in those two games. The fact these teams met in week one and it was only a 17-13 Saskatchewan win helps to give us some line value here. I look for this one to be much different. The Elks are off a game in which they were held to just 7 points. I know Edmonton has had a slow start to the season but this is the week they get their offense going and yet this is a team that has allowed 27 ppg this season so look for the Riders to score well also. OVER 43.5 in Saskatchewan

CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - The Argos are off a very high-scoring game and they have been piling up points early this season. However, BC has been strong offensively too and the much better defense as well. The way I see this one playing out however is that the Lions D will finally struggled here as this Argos offense is the real deal. At the same time, just do not see Toronto shutting down the red hot BC offense. The Argonauts averaging 37.5 ppg this season and the Lions averaging 26 ppg this season. A pair of undefeated teams meeting in this one and the offenses will rule the night on an evening with pleasant weather in Toronto. 10* OVER 47.5 in Toronto

CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 41.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - Two winless teams and something has to give here. While I am not comfortable with the side in this one I do like the total for a strong play. Both teams could struggle defensively in this one. Edmonton is allowing 27.3 ppg so far this season. Ottawa allowing 22.5 ppg so far this season plus allowed 26.5 ppg last season and went 0-9 in home games last season. In other words, the Redblacks are known for giving up bigger points at home and struggling to win games. But couple that with the fact they are facing an Edmonton team struggling to stop anyone and you have the perfect set-up for points in this one. 10* OVER 41.5 in Ottawa

CFL Sunday Edmonton Elks +6.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Great spot for an underdog win here. An outright win here would not surprise me in the least while at least a home dog cover should be the minimum result here. Toronto is 1-0 on the season but they played a Hamilton team that has been a disaster so far and absolutely the worst team in the league thus far. The Tiger-Cats are now 0-3 on the season and have allowed an average of 37 points per game! The Elks, though 0-2 on the season, have allowed only 19.5 ppg this season. Edmonton is at home and off a shutout loss on the road which is certainly rare. But the two teams they have faced this season are a combined 5-1 on the season. I think the Elks are improved this season even though the results have not yet shown that and I expect them to come up big here on Sunday at home. It is just one of those great contrarian spots I love where you have a unique situation. The Elks are on a long home losing streak and hosting the defending champs yet the champion Argonauts are laying less than a TD. The betting masses likely fooled on this one and will grab the Argos but the ugly home dog should prove to be the play here. EDMONTON +6.5

CFL Saturday OVER 45.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Not going to write a ton here. This is a bit of a contrarian play but both these teams capable of putting up solid points. Calgary scored 26 points last week and Saskatchewan scored 27. The Riders did allow big point totals though too however, and I expect a repeat this week. Calgary's first home game this season was a disappointment but was because they faced a Lions team that has been the best defense in the league so far this season. The Stamps will look to make up for it here and will take advantage of facing a lesser foe this week. Calgary will have a breakout game on offense but the Riders, as they proved last week too, can match them score for score here. That is the reason the line is only in the -3 range on this one too. This will be a close game and should be high-scoring back and forth battle. I am aware of some injuries on offense but there are injuries on defense too and that goes for both of these teams. OVER 45.5 in Calgary

CFL Friday OVER 43.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Hamilton has been giving up a ton of points this season. But they should score well here at home in this one. Couple that with the fact Montreal has played only one game so far and certainly should have fresh legs here, you have the perfect situation for plenty of points and we will take advantage of a low total here. Hamilton's first two games this season have averaged 60 points. Montreal's offense was not great in their first game but they also settled for field goals instead of touchdowns on 4 of 5 drives. So the point total could have been bigger and I have not liked what I have seen from the Ti-Cats defense so far this season. I do expect their offense to have a big game here at home though and we should see plenty of points in this one. OVER 43.5 in Hamilton

CFL Thursday BC Lions +6 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - BC and Winnipeg both undefeated this season and I like the fact that the Lions defense has been so strong. Additionally, they have revenge from losing to the Blue Bombers last season in the semi-finals of the post-season. BC is out for revenge here and Winnipeg has been strong but also faced a Hamilton team that is now 0-2 on the season and, while both teams faced Edmonton (0-2 this season), at least the Lions have a win over Calgary and the Stampeders are 1-1 this season. The point is that, while the Blue Bombers are still a solid team, they are a little over-valued here. This is a big number considering the situation and the hot start to the season for BC. Also, Winnipeg was on the road last week while Lions were at home. BC +6

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -2 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - This has been a very strange start to this CFL season. Usually the odds makers have it right when it comes to setting win totals before a season starts. So far this season has played out in very unusual fashion as we come to the final game of week 2. Even though there were big changes for many teams heading into this season, it is as if last season never ended! Not kidding. Edmonton and Ottawa supposed to be vastly improved yet they are both 0-2 on the season and both suffered double digit losses this week. Winnipeg was supposed to take a step back and BC was expected to have some issues (adjustment time) with the QB (and other personnel) changes yet both those clubs are 2-0 on the season and off blowout wins. Montreal is 1-0 in the east already after being expected to struggle out of the gate. Now you have defending Grey Cup champions Toronto in their season opener at home and an underdog to a Hamilton team off an ugly loss at Winnipeg week 1. Why are the Argonauts and underdog here? Exactly! Well, if the odds makers finally get one right and we finally see a preseason fade actually end up fading in an early-season game, the Argos are going to lose this one. There is a reason this game is priced this way and the Tiger-Cats are a high-quality team that will be ready to respond in this rivalry match-up after last week's embarrassing loss. 10* HAMILTON -2

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +7 @ BC Lions @ 7 ET - This is a great spot to face BC. The Lions are off a win against Calgary last week and have a huge game against Winnipeg on deck. Last season BC and the Stampeders and the Blue Bombers finished with a combined 39-15 regular season record. This is considered the Big 3 in the west while Saskatchewan and Edmonton finished a combined 10-26 last season. That said, the Lions could overlook the Elks here and that could be dangerous. Only a goal line stand from the Roughriders prevented Edmonton from notching a win in Week 1. This Elks team is improved and ready to compete this season. I am not saying they win this game outright but that certainly would not shock me. I feel strongly that the Lions are going to be in a real battle here just to win this game let alone cover the spread. The Elks were 4-5 SU on the road last season and the Lions get caught in a sandwich spot here in terms of the scheduling. Keep in mind, BC's game at Winnipeg is coming up Thursday while Edmonton does not play again until Sunday and that is a non-conference home game for the Elks.  10* EDMONTON +7

CFL Friday Saskatchewan Roughriders +7 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - We get line value here because Riders QB Trevor Harris is listed as questionable for his game. Even if he does not go I would expect Mason Fine to get the start here. He has some CFL experience already and looked solid in this preseason. At North Texas in College Football, Fine had 85 TD passes in his final 3 seasons and had a combined ratio of 54 to 12 over his last two seasons there as his TD to INT ratio was fantastic. I like the fact that the Roughriders were the much better team defensively in their week one win. They held a improved Edmonton team to just 13 points and had a big late-game goal-line stand for the win. Though the Blue Bombers have been so strong in recent seasons, I like the fact that they got the win last week. That was a big game against a Hamilton club that they have faced in 2 of the last 3 Grey Cups. Big home win for Winnipeg and that could leave them a little flat here on the road and this is a tough venue to play at. After Blue Bombers got the big home win in Week 1 plus now having another big home game on deck with BC, don't be surprised if Winnipeg struggles just to win this game let alone cover the big spread. SASKATCHEWAN +7

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +6.5 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7:30 ET - Like the home dog here. First off, coming into this season, the projected win total for Calgary was 9.5 after winning 12 games last season while Ottawa's projected win total was 7.5 after winning just 4 games last season. Don't let the week 1 loss to Montreal completely take you off the Redblacks here. The fact is Ottawa was strong defensively, much stronger than the Stampeders, and I look for Calgary to be in a war to win this road game - let alone to cover the spread. We are catching 6.5 points here with a live home dog that allowed about 200 yards less than the Stamps last week. Also, still looking for a home win after not getting one all season last year, I know Ottawa is going to be very hungry here. The Redblacks are stronger in the trenches this season and on defense and, even still without new acquisition at QB (Jeremiah Masoli), they are still the live dog here at home. The home opener for Redblacks after going 0-9 here last season, this one means something extra to say the least! Stamps still a solid team but they have taken a step back this year and gave up a ton of yardage last week. More of the same here. 10* OTTAWA +6.5

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks -135 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - This is a RARE money line favorite for me in a spread sport. Though I sometimes play money line dogs in ATS sports, I rarely play favorites. But the key here is the value and the situation I am testing. As it pertains to the value, the dominant number on this game is -2.5 -110 for Edmonton. For just 25 cents more (-135 price) we can make sure that a 1 or even 2 point win for the Elks is also a win for us in terms of our bet and remember CFL has the ability for scoring singles (NOT just in the form of extra points) so there are extra chances for games decided by 1 or 2 point margins! Secondly, in terms of SU betting situation, I love the fact that Edmonton is on an 0-17 SU run in their last 17 home games. That is the run I am putting to the test here and it is a SU run, not an ATS run. So let's lay the -135 here. Why? Because why do you think the odds makers would have the Elks favored in a spot like this given that 0-17 SU run? Exactly! Lay it! Edmonton actually looks improved on both sides of the ball and is so hungry for a home win. Also, the Roughriders are without a key WR and a couple of key guys on defense too. They also have a new QB here as Harris came over from Montreal. Look for the Elks to be the hungrier team in this one and look for Saskatchewan to be a little shaky out of the gate in this one based on injuries impacting them a bit on each side of the ball plus Harris still getting acclimated here with the Riders. 10* EDMONTON -135

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks Money Line +130 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - The Redblacks 4-5 SU record on the road last season was equal to the Alouettes 4-5 SU record at home last season. Overall though, Ottawa had a tough season while Montreal made the post-season last year. I have had my eyes on this match-up ever since the lines came out for Week 1 and I have no hesitation in grabbing the money line here as feel we will not even need the points. Even though QB Masoli is out for Ottawa, Arbuckle will be stepping in and he is comfortable in this offense. As for Montreal, they have a new QB in Cody Fajardo and they could struggle out of the gate this season. Not only is Fajardo getting worked into a new system, they also have a very young receiving group. Trust me, there is a reason that an Als team that is at home and went to the post-season last year is such a small favorite against a Redblacks team that went 4-14 last season. Don't let the line fool you! 10* OTTAWA +130

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +180 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Hamilton is going to surprise this season and is on their way back up. The odds makers know this too and it is why the Blue Bombers (league best 8-1 at home last season) are barely a 2 to 1 money line favorite over the Tiger-Cats (league worst 2-7 on the road last season). I know we could get about 5 points with the Ti-Cats here but I really do not think we'll need it. This one should be an upset as Bo Levi Mitchell fits so well into this offense and this defense will be much improved this season. Winnipeg had the best record in the league last season but is expected to take a step back this season. The Bombers are certainly still a good team but Hamilton was in the Grey Cup each of the past two seasons prior to last year. It was 2022 that Winnipeg lost to Toronto by a point. But in the two Grey Cup title games immediately preceding that one, the Blue Bombers defeated these Tiger-Cats each time including in overtime in the most recent one. You can bet the Ti-Cats have not forgotten and this is a huge East-West rivalry as a result. Payback time here. No points needed. 10* HAMILTON +180

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -3 vs BC Lions @ 9 ET - Revenge game for the Stamps. They were knocked out of the post-season by the Lions last fall. Both rosters have made some significant changes heading into this season. Early season games can be tough to call but what I like here about Calgary is the focus and drive of this team entering this season after the disappointing way last season ended. The Stampeders should get a huge game from QB Jake Maier here after the tough playoff game against BC. In looking at the Lions, note that QB Rourke was a big part of the BC offense and he is now in Jacksonville in the NFL with the Jaguars. Also, WR Burnham who was a star for the Lions has now retired. So this is a team that has lost some key pieces from the one that knocked off Calgary in the post-season last year.  Although Vernon Adams, Jr could surprise at QB, he is a little difficult to trust stepping into this new situation. I am expecting the Stampeders to take the playoff rematch here to open up the season the right way and they should cover the short number along the way as well. The Stamps have the right mix of veteran guys and young hungry talent to make some noise again this season and they get it done at home here to open up the season. 10* CALGARY -3

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +6 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET in Saskatchewan - A lot of things have to go right to win the Grey Cup. Then, to win two in a row, the odds are even slimmer. As for getting a trifecta of Grey Cup Championship titles the odds are even slimmer yet. All the pressure is on Winnipeg here as the Blue Bombers are going for the 3-peat after winning it all in 2019 and 2021 - there was no 2020 season due to covid. That said, underdog Toronto is not really being given a chance here by most pundits. That is the part of the reason the line has moved toward Winnipeg also. I have a strong feeling the Argonauts get the shocking upset here but I will grab the points as added insurance. Toronto was 6-3 in road games this season and the Blue Bombers were 7-2 away from home. This game is being played at Mosaic Stadium in Regina SK so it is a neutral site game. Granted Regina much closer to Winnipeg than it is to Toronto but you can bank on Riders fans being in attendance for this one and so plenty of fans will be cheering AGAINST the Blue Bombers in this one. History buffs will be glad to know that Toronto has won the Grey Cup EACH of the last SIX times they have reached the big game. The loss before that was by just 2 points and that was preceded by a 1-point win. Excellent line value here and there are many intangibles for liking the underdog Argos including RB Andrew Harris, a sure Hall of Famer, going against his former team and ready to show he still "has it" on the biggest of stages in the CFL. There are also still some questions about how healthy Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros is here as well. 10* TORONTO +6

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play BC Lions +4 or +4.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4:30 ET - It will be very cold in Winnipeg - as you would expect for November - and so there is a lot of talk of whether or not the Lions can handle that. BC plays their home games in a dome. However, it is not as if their roster is loaded with players who have not played cold weather football. It is also not as if Winnipeg has played a ton of cold weather football this season either. It is just now getting cold in Canada and both teams will be prepared for it. That aside, I feel all the pressure is on Winnipeg here. The Blue Bombers are trying to make it a 3-peat. They have won the Grey Cup each of the last two seasons so certainly they have post-season experience and know how to handle all the various playoff pressure scenarios. However, they had a bye last week and also had a bye right before the final game of the regular season for them which was also essentially a bye because it was a meaningless game for both the Bombers and the Lions when they met in Week 21. So, considering all these factors, I like the fact that BC has played more meaningful football recently as they just faced Calgary last week to open up the post-season in a win or go home game! Now the Lions have an "us and against the world" mentality and they know they are the big dogs here and everyone expects Winnipeg to advance for another Grey Cup. Don't be surprised when this one turns into an upset. Lions now have Rourke back under center and they are a high quality team even without WR Whitehead. They beat a great Calgary team last week and keep the momentum going here. I look for the Lions to advance to their first Grey Cup since, ironically, they beat the Blue Bombers to win it all about a decade ago in 2011! Grab the points here. 10* BC +4 or +4.5

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4:30 ET - BC will have Bryan Burnham available for this game at WR. They also welcomed back star QB Nathan Rourke late in the season. Remember this team is a different animal on offense when he is under center as he had a breakout season for the Lions. The thing is, Calgary can put up huge points too. I look for this one to turn into a back and forth shootout. I know it is playoff football time but these two offenses are just too good. The Stampeders averaged 31 points per game this season. The Lions averaged 29 points per game this season and that was even with Rourke out injured for a significant number of games. I am expecting this to be a 31-28 type game at a minimum and the fact it is at BC Place in Vancouver means we have no weather concerns with this one either as the roof will be closed. Look for a ton of offense in this one. 10* OVER 50 in BC Lions

CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Montreal has the home field edge here but there is a reason this line is practically a pick'em even though Hamilton was 2-7 SU on the road this season! Keep in mind the Ti-Cats are loaded with experience from key playoff runs in recent seasons plus they were the hotter team down the stretch this season. Montreal faded a bit late in terms of level of play and I am taking the team that is peaking at the right time to get the job done Sunday in the opener of the post-season. 10* HAMILTON +1.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs BC Lions @ 8:30 ET - Rourke is back for BC at QB. They want to get him into rhythm before the playoffs start. This is the regular season finale. It really carries no meaning and I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity because of that key factor. Both teams are going to the playoffs and are hosting playoff games in the coming weeks. That means this game is all about staying in rhythm on offense. The weather is going to be nice in Winnipeg too by late October standards. Both offenses can air it out in this one. The Blue Bombers and Lions are both averaging 30 points per game. Don't be surprised if, based on that fact as well as the spread for this game, we see a 34-31 type game. Winnipeg has averaged 39 points per game last 5 games. BC has averaged 31 points per game last 4 games and now Rourke is back and he was phenomenal early this season before getting hurt. 10* OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - Yes the Roughriders have been slumping but they are at home and off a bye week and, before the bye week, they fought hard at Hamilton in a tight loss. Calgary saw BC win last night to end their hopes of hosting the Lions in the playoffs. The Stampeders really do not have anything to play for here now. They just want to stay healthy as they are effectively locked into their playoff seeding. That said, even though Saskatchewan has struggled they are the play here. They are making a QB switch and they have the motivational edges and the home field edge and I just can't see Calgary putting up much of a fight in this one given the situation. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +2.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +7 vs BC Lions @ 9:30 ET - BC is off big win versus Winnipeg last week. But the Lions scored 40 points on only 266 yards of offense! The key was 2 Blue Bombers interceptions and they also turned the ball over once on downs. BC clinched a playoff spot with that win but they actually were outgained by over 100 yards in that game. The Lions are still motivated to win this game because of playoff hosting scenarios, etc. But the Elks have not won at home all season long and this is their season finale. Edmonton really wants this game badly after falling just short when they hosted Toronto last week. The yardage was roughly equal in that game and the Elks are even hungrier this week as a result of falling just short against the Argonauts. Perhaps the hosts will indeed finish the season with an 0-9 record at home but I do see them getting at least a cover here and certainly would not be surprised to see the outright upset given the situation as the Lions are over-rated here plus could be a little flat in this game after knocking off the top team in the league last week. 10* EDMONTON +7

CFL Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 49.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - I know both teams are coming off high-scoring games last week but it is going to be windy in Hamilton for this one. Also, this game has huge playoff implications. Though Ottawa's chances of making the post-season are extremely slim, they can at least keep hopes alive for one more day with a win here. As for Hamilton, they need a win too as the bigger battle is between the Tiger-Cats and Saskatchewan for that final playoff berth. That said, both teams will play this game with playoff intensity plus it is a division rivalry plus the weather should help us. 10* UNDER 49.5 in Hamilton

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 50.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Decent weather in this one in Edmonton with light winds and cool, but not cold, temperatures. That means both offenses are fully functional for this one. I feel certain the Elks, still winless at home this season, are going to do everything they can to win this game. However, that will mean reliance on offense and QB Taylor Cornelius had been playing better for Edmonton before a tough game against the league-best Blue Bombers last week. That said, Cornelius and Company should bounce back big here at home but the issue will be stopping the Argonauts. That is an issue the Elks just can't seem to solve. They are allowing an average of 34 points per game on the season! Toronto is favored by 5 in this game. Assuming the line is right then that would put this game finishing in a range of 34-29 Argos! That would total 63 and we are dealing with a total a dozen points below that. I love the value here as a game finishing in that range would not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER 50.5 in Edmonton

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +7.5 @ Calgary Stampeders @ 9:30 ET - Just too many points here. Yes, this game holds importance for the Stampeders too but the Tiger-Cats are fighting for their playoff lives. They are chasing Saskatchewan who is idle this week and Hamilton can tie them up in the standings with a win here. The Roughriders also have the tougher end to their season with their final 2 games in comparison with the Ti-Cats. Now, I am not saying that means Hamilton wins this game outright but I am saying they are going hard for it and they are healthier than they have been in quite some time. I look for them to give Calgary all they can handle here and this game will end up being decided by just a one-score margin in my opinion. Yes the Stamps are off a bye week that was preceded by a 29-2 win over Toronto but that final score in the victory over the Argonauts did not correlate to the boxscore so don't let the final score fool you. We are getting line value here because of that final score and this one will go down to the wire in my opinion so huge value with the points. QB Dane Evans off a bad game for the Tiger-Cats but yet they still got the comeback win over the Riders last week so that says a lot too. Evans had been playing better so I look for a big bounce back here. 10* HAMILTON +7.5

CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 47 or 47.5 in Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 1 ET - First off both teams get their top running backs for this game. Establishing the run will open up the passing game. Secondly, there have been a lot of points when these teams have met. Thirdly, Ottawa just fired their head coach after the loss to BC. The Redblacks will be highly motivated here but the Alouettes also can clinch a home playoff game by getting a victory here. So this rivalry game will have even more energy than usual on this Thanksgiving Monday in Canada. The Redblacks just threw for a pile of yards last week. The passing attack for the Als has thrived against Ottawa's defense this season. It will be cool in Montreal today for this one but not cold. Temperatures right around 50 degrees Fahrenheit and light winds. Nice conditions for both offenses to open things up. With this total also dropping down after opening up near 50, I feel we have excellent line value here. 10* OVER 47 or 47.5 in Montreal

Rickenbach CFL 10* OVER 50.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - Winnipeg has the best record in the league but they only have 3 regular season games left (including this one) and they still have not locked up the division just yet let alone the best league record. So the point is that the Blue Bombers still have plenty of motivation here. They are favored by two touchdowns for a reason here. They will not stop scoring in this one. The Bombers can do some damage here against a bad Elks defense. Additionally, Edmonton will score some points here. I know they just lost leading WR Kenny Lawler to season-ending surgery. However, Dillion Mitchell is off a big game and fully capable of big games. Also, Derel Walker off a quiet game but he has been solid this season too. That means QB Taylor Cornelius still has plenty of talent to work with and he had been playing well prior to throwing 2 picks last week. The Elks will move the ball some in this game and score decently but Winnipeg will be scoring like a machine. I am looking for at least a 35-21 game and that gets past the current total sitting in the 50 range and again I am looking for mid-50s at the very least here. Elks allowing 33 points per game this season but they are 4-4 on the road this season so they actually have been better away from home. They are winless at home this season but playing .500 ball on the road. Edmonton, prior to last week's low-scoring loss, had averaged 24 points per game last 6 games. But again Elks can't stop Blue Bombers and there you have it. 38-24 sounds about right here on second though and that would be double digit cover on this total. 10* OVER 50.5 in Winnipeg

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -2 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - The Tiger-Cats are off a bye week. That was preceded by a loss at Montreal but they outgained the Alouettes in that game but turned the ball over twice - once on downs and once on a fumble. Prior to that loss they had a big home win over a strong Winnipeg team. That victory brought Hamilton to 4-1 last 5 home games. Conversely, this Roughriders team is on a 4-game losing streak. I know Saskatchewan is trying to make the playoffs but the Ti-Cats still have hope too and the Riders are known for being a bad road team. We have solid line value here with the home team at a short number and I am looking for another strong game from Tiger-Cats QB Dane Evans as he has been in fine form recently. 10* HAMILTON -2

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +3.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 4 ET - The Elks should win this outright but I am grabbing the value of the 3.5 points here. However, the fact is that Edmonton is hungry for their first home win of the season and this is the perfect spot to get it. The Elks catch Montreal off a big home win over Hamilton. That divisional win could leave them a little flat here plus Edmonton has the rest edge since they are off a bye week. Additionally, Edmonton has been playing better of late. Getting solid QB play from Cornelius and now they get a top WR back from injury this week too. Montreal, on the other hand, will still be without their star RB Stanback here. On defense the Elks also are fired up off a huge performance piling up sacks versus Saskatchewan two weeks ago. Now fresher legs off the bye and note the Als are 2-4 on the road this season while the hosts here have a sweet 3-1 record versus East Division teams this season. Lot to like with the home team in a great spot here. 10* EDMONTON +3.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +7 @ BC Lions @ 10:30 ET - Surprisingly, the Redblacks are 3-3 SU on the road this season which is nearly as good as the 4-3 home record that BC has. Both teams off bad losses last week but I think we have excellent value here with the big points with Ottawa. The Redblacks had 5 interceptions in last week's ugly home loss to Toronto so they managed to lose by 30 points despite having a yardage edge of 80 in the game! Unheard of variance between the scoreboard and the statsheet. That said, another key is that of course BC has been a different team since their star QB Nathan Rourke got hurt. This week they will be without one of their best wide receivers too as Bryan Burnham is out. He had been strong for the Lions in recent weeks so this certainly will further hurt a passing game that is not the same without Rourke at the controls. BC barely snuck by the Redblacks when these teams met in Ottawa and I am forecasting another tight game here which means the points are ultra-valuable in this one! 10* OTTAWA +7 

CFL Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 8 ET - Both teams coming off a bye week preceded by a loss. Winnipeg allowed a ridiculous 48 points in their loss at Hamilton. Speaking of ridiculous, it was only 3 weeks ago that Winnipeg embarrassed the Roughriders by hanging 54 on them right here. That said, I feel both defenses are going to come to play here. Saskatchewan off a home loss to Edmonton and the D will want to respond after the 54-point debacle the last time here. As for the Blue Bombers, their defense also has had two weeks to think about the debacle at Hamilton as Tiger-Cats QB Dane Evans had a career day against them there. Don't expect a repeat of that here for sure as the Riders offensive line was a big reason they allowed 8 sacks in the loss to the Elks and the Blue Bombers should be getting QB pressure for sure. That is why I feel this one could finish as more of a defensive battle than most are envisioning. Also, the Blue Bombers can lock up a home field playoff game with a win here so their defense has some extra motivation because of that as well. 10* UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +1 @ BC Lions @ 10 PM ET - Yes the Lions managed to sneak past the Stampeders last week but it was in OT and BC still has not won a game in regulation time since week 11 and we are now in week 15. Calgary is 5-2 on the road this season and the only two losses away from home were at Winnipeg. Of course the Blue Bombers have been the best team in the league this season so no shame in those two defeats and one of the losses was by just a 2-point margin. The Stamps QB Maier had 3 touchdown passes last week while the Lions Adams did not have a single one. Yes, BC is a quality football team but they are not the same team without Rourke at QB. He was lost to a season-ending injury about a month ago and the Lions have struggled since then. After the Lions clawed their way to a tight OT victory last week at Calgary, look for the Stampeders to return the favor at BC! Note that the Stamps are 8-0 this season against teams not named Winnipeg or BC. The Lions have beaten them twice but by a total of just 3 points. There is a reason this game is priced at nearly a pick'em even though the Stampeders are on the road. This time the Stamps get over the hump and beat BC as I liked what I saw last week despite them falling just short on the scoreboard. Payback time in a key game for the visitors here. 10* CALGARY +1

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 46.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - These teams are off a bye week last week and had met the week before. The bye week means fresh legs here and the offenses will push the pace. The meeting the week prior staying under the total despite both teams putting up very impressive yardage numbers means line value here. The game two weeks ago should have easily gone over the total and yet ended up an under. The result is we have a total lower than it should be here and we have false perception in the marketplace. We'll take advantage. This one flies over the total as both offenses move the ball very well again and, this time, the points scored are commensurate with the yardage being piled up! 10* OVER 46.5 in Ottawa

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Look for Hamilton to build off their big upset win last week at home versus the Blue Bombers. Of course Winnipeg the best team in the CFL this season so the Tiger-Cats upsetting them is nothing to sneeze at. The fact is this Ti-Cats team is much better than their record shows. Lets not forget they have been a threat for the Grey Cup title each of the past two seasons. Now Hamilton is still looking up in the standings at Montreal but can equal them with a win here and improve their playoff chances. Look for the Ti-Cats to do just that as they also have a revenge from a tight 1-point loss in the last meeting between these teams and they want payback against the Als. I  know Montreal is off a bye week but the Alouettes had allowed 31 points per game in 8 games before a 31-10 win over a badly wounded BC team before their bye week last week. I just do not trust the Als defense and feel the Ti-Cats unit is the better unit even though some of their recent points allowed totals would not lead you to believe that. There is a reason that a Tiger-Cats team that is 0-6 SU on the road this season is catching such a small number here. Don't let the line fool you. The road team is the play here and I look for them to get revenge and finally get a road win! Grab the points just in case. 10* HAMILTON +2.5

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +7.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4 ET - The Blue Bombers have the best record in the CFL but the Tiger-Cats are getting healthier and coming off a bye week. This sets up well for home underdog to give the highly touted visitor all they can handle in this one. Perhaps Winnipeg gets caught looking ahead to their upcoming bye week or still relishing their home blowout win over Saskatchewan last week. Either way, these Ti-Cats are much better than their record shows. I know they have a bad record but they entered this season 23-9 the past two seasons and they are not that bad of a football team. They will be excited here about exacting revenge too as Winnipeg has won each of the last two Grey Cup titles at the expense of Hamilton. When these teams met earlier this season, the Tiger-Cats lost by a two TD margin and they want payback here at home. They may not get that full revenge, though it would not surprise me, but they should at least get the ATS cover here which, of course, is our concern! 10* HAMILTON +7.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks @ 9:30 ET - Good weather expected in Regina for this one. The Elks offense has been looking better the way Taylor Cornelius has played recently. That means Edmonton should score plenty of points here. The Roughriders and Elks each gave up a bunch of points in their games last week. Yes, the Riders defense can be tougher when at home but, again, really like what I saw from Elks offense last week and that was against a solid Stampeders defense. Yes, the Saskatchewan offense struggled last week but the faced the best team in the league and it was a road game at Winnipeg. Compared to facing the Blue Bombers on the road, Saskatchewan will enjoy a lot more success here hosting an Elks team with horrible defense. On the season, Edmonton has allowed 34 points per game. If the oddsmakers are also correct about the 7 points spread here, that puts this game at 34-27 and totaling 61 points. Given all of the above as well as the situational value here the way Cornelius has been playing, I like the over here. Little side note here that QB Cody Fajardo's wife gave birth to a son on Tuesday. Everyone is doing well and Fajardo was back at practice yesterday and feeling good. He and the Riders offense will be able to exploit a struggling Elks defense Friday. 10* OVER 50 in Saskatchewan

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 8 ET - Spectacular weather expected in Edmonton for this one and both teams will be airing it out. I realize last week's game between these teams in Calgary totaled only 44 points. However, turnovers were the story. That kept points off the board and I do no expect a repeat here. As Elks were turning it over on downs, etc. but will be stronger here at home. At the same time, they are not going to be able to shut down this Stampeders offense. The end result is this one flies over the total as Elks so hungry for that first home win of the season but their defense is always a concern. Edmonton scores well here but just can't keep Calgary from doing the same and I expect a high-scoring shootout on a day more like summer than autumn in the province of Alberta this evening. 10* OVER 49.5 in Edmonton

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +7.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 5 ET - The Riders actually outgained the Bombers by about 100 yards last week! Saskatchewan lost the game by only 2 points and got the cover but one could argue, and correctly by the way, that the Rough Riders should have won the game outright! Not saying they will this week as it will be tougher with this one being at Winnipeg but still do think it is going to be again be tough for the Blue Bombers to cover. This one now is at 7.5 points and it offers huge value to the hungry underdog as Winnipeg continues to have a target on their backs courtesy of their torrid start this season. This is also a rivalry game and just too much value with the points here. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +7.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +3.5 vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - Love the angles here. BC is just not the same team now without Rourke at QB. He will be out for a bit after surgery on his foot. As for QB O'Connor, he is just not at the same level. So BC went out and got Adams from Montreal and he might play some here immediately against his former team. Guess who knows QB Adams and his tendencies very, very well? The Alouettes of course. That said, this is a tough match-up for the Lions even though they are off a bye week. The QB position is a major question mark for BC while Montreal is very much settled on Harris at QB and he beat out Adams for the top spot with the Als for a reason. The Alouettes had recent key wins over Hamilton and also handed Winnipeg their only loss of the season but then lost last week at home so you know Montreal is going to be ready to roll here. This is a great situational spot for them as Lions make their longest road trip of the season across the country too. Again, I know that BC is off a bye week but this is still not a great spot for them. Also, note that Lions have played only 4 road games so far this season while others have played as many as 7 games. The home dog plus the points gets it done here. 10* MONTREAL +3.5

CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 4:30 ET - This line dropped because the top receiver for Edmonton is out. However, Calgary does allow the most passing yardage of any team in the league. That said, the Elks may still get some yardage through the air. They still have a veteran WR and young dynamic talented WR that they even use out of backfield packages and for trick plays. They find a way to get the ball in his hands and he makes things happen. We get some line value here because the total is being held lower due to the injury situation for Edmonton at WR. I like the fact that some defensive injuries are getting less attention from the markets and note that Elks have been horrible against the run. So the Stampeders will get their run game going plus had a huge game through the air in their most recent game. Once you establish the run the passing game becomes more and more wide open. Hence that is why the Elks are so bad this season. They can't stop teams on the ground and then they get burned through the air. That is why I expect Stamps, coming off a loss, to have a huge game here and put up a ton of a points. But I am not comfortable laying double digits with Calgary as I am a contrarian by nature. I fully expect the Elks to surprise some people by moving the ball better than most expect here. That turns this one into a shootout. 10* OVER 49.5 in Calgary

CFL Monday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats Pick -110 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 1 ET - The standings show Toronto 5-5 and Hamilton 3-8 on the season. This is after Argonauts beat the Tiger-Cats 37-20 last week. However, the Ti-Cats are 3-2 this season at home while the Argos are 1-2 on the road this season. Also, in last week's game at Toronto, Hamilton actually won the yardage battle 452 to 301. The reality is the Tiger-Cats dominated statistically but yet lost by 17 points due to turnovers. That sets this one up absolutely beautifully and we get extra line value here too. The Ti-Cats are much better than their current record shows and Toronto is a bit over-rated plus has been helped by playing 70% of its games at home so far this season. 10* HAMILTON -110

CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +3.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET - Home dog is getting much healthier now and also has the added confidence of a road win at BC last week under their belts. The Roughriders handed the Lions just their 2nd loss of the season and now they can do the same to the Blue Bombers this week. Winnipeg had a target on their backs off their unbeaten start and now they are off an OT loss and a very tight 2-point win the past two weeks! This is going to be another very tough battle for the Bombers because they are on the road and Saskatchewan is not an easy place to play. Also, the Riders confidence is starting to grow as they have won 2 of 3 since a much needed bye week 4 weeks ago. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +3.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes -4 vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - Montreal has a huge situational edge here as they were off last week. So Alouettes enter off a bye week while Ottawa played in the final game of last week's schedule and it was out west at Edmonton. The Alouettes already defeated the Redblacks this season and that game was at Ottawa. Now they get this rivalry match-up at home and they have the rest edge. Additionally, Redblacks win last week was a bit fortunate as they were outgained by Edmonton in that one but the Elks turned the ball over 5 times - 1 fumble, 1 interception, and 3 times on downs. I like the value here with laying the low number on the home team that should dominate in this one. The Als bye week was preceded by B2B wins and their confidence is growing as they are in the mix for the East Division title for sure. 10* MONTREAL -4

CFL Saturday 10* Ottawa +3.5 @ 7 ET - It is the match-up everyone in the CFL has been patiently waiting for all weekend. All kidding aside, this is a match-up of the last place teams from the respective divisions and will have few eyes on it. But, for our purposes, this one is actually a gem. Ottawa got hammered last week at home by the Elks on the scoreboard courtesy of a bad 2nd half. However, the yardage for the game was nearly equal! Now we get line value backing the Redblacks on the road at Edmonton catching a field goal plus the hook. This is a revenge special and the road dog will be dialed in after what happened last week in Ontario. 10* OTTAWA +3.5

CFL Friday 10* Top Play BC Lions -4 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 10:30 ET - Yes, the Lions lost QB Nathan Rourke to injury but Michael O'Connor relieved him and went 5 for 5 and he has some CFL experience and had preparation time to now get ready for this start. The Rourke injury is what has the full attention of the marketplace. But the Roughriders are loaded with injuries. Multiple receivers including top guys and also their top running back all out for this game. I feel Saskatchewan is highly over-valued here because they are going to have trouble completing passes downfield without their usual receivers out there. This is a cluster injury situation and even their RB caught 4 targets last week too. The Riders hurting without guys and Lions have been so strong this season and are so tough at home. Feel we have excellent line value with the short home favorite that is a high quality team and back-up QB O'Connor is surrounded by one of the most talented teams in the league. This makes a difference too of course. BC won 28-10 at Saskatchewan last week and I fully understand the loss of Rourke to injury is big but the Lions just far too undervalued here. With a win they are within one win of Winnipeg for the top spot in the division. Look for the Lions to get it. 10* BC -4

CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7:30 ET - This is a bitter rivalry but the defensive intensity sure has not resulted in many stops. Both of these teams have moved the ball well in the first two meetings this season and they scored 54 in the first one and 61 in the 2nd one. I know the weather may not be ideal tonight but I do think it will be decent enough and we get this game into the 50s the way these teams have been able to move the ball against each other. Take advantage of a rather low total here. Keep in mind, Hamilton has scored 26.5 points per game last 4 games and the Argonauts have scored 27 or more points in 4 of last 5 games. 10* OVER 48.5 in Toronto

CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +6 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Winnipeg will suffer unbeaten letdown here. The Blue Bombers are off a bye week which followed a loss in Week 10 in OT versus Montreal. It was Winnipeg's first loss of the season after opening the year 9-0. Now the Bombers will feel the pressure of trying to get right back into the win column and they are facing the wrong team at the wrong time. Calgary is one of the top teams in the league and the Stampeders only have 3 losses on the season. One was by just a single point to another very strong team, BC, a few weeks ago. The other two losses were by just 7 points apiece and both were to this Blue Bombers team. The Stamps actually led Winnipeg heading to the 4th quarter of the most recent game but fell just short. Getting a full 6 points here and I really like the QB battle going on between Maier and Mitchell right now with Calgary. Maier getting the nod here and this will spark the team just like it did in their win last week when the switch was made. The world will back Blue Bombers here thinking they must bounce back off the loss but this Stamps team is extremely good, very focused, solid defensively, force turnovers, solid pass protection, and ready for payback here. Love the value of having the 6 points here should the Stampeders fall short of the upset win. We'll take it. 10* CALGARY +6

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -130 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Toronto is off a loss at Hamilton last week. The Tiger-Cats are their biggest rival. They will get caught looking ahead to their game hosting the Ti-Cats next week. That said, the Argos could be in trouble here against the Stampeders. I know Calgary has first place Winnipeg on deck but the Blue Bombers only have 1 loss on the season and the Stamps have 3 already. Calgary is focused on the task at hand here and is a perfect 3-0 SU this season against teams from the East Division. Overall, we have seen the West dominate the East throughout this season. The West is 17-4 SU this season in games with the East and I look for Calgary to improve their part of that record to 4-0 on the year. I will also recommend the money line here because we are seeing it as low as -130 in some places and that is a great value compared to laying 2.5 points. 10* CALGARY -130

CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes -125 vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 4 ET - This one is all about the big situational edges here. Montreal catches Hamilton off huge rivalry win over Argonauts and with another big game against them at Toronto on deck. That is a major rivalry. Arguably the biggest in the CFL. That said, this is a great spot for the Alouettes to pick up a home win. The Tiger-Cats are 0-4 SU on the road this season and the money line is available in the -125 range on this game so I will lay it rather than risk laying any points here. 10* MONTREAL -125

CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 52 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs BC Lions @ 10 ET - These teams met a few weeks ago and the game landed on 49 and pushed the total. There is good reason this total is a full 3 points higher. This BC offense is simply a well-oiled machine right now. It is very unlikely they will be slowing down anytime soon. Saskatchewan just allowed a bunch of yardage in their win at Edmonton last week so don't be surprised if the Lions pile up big numbers here. BC has averaged 40 points per game last 3 games and is averaging 37 points per game this season! Lions are 3-0 on the road this season thanks in part to averaging 36 points per game away from home on the year. The Riders offense is different when they are at home and they were averaging 30 points per game in home games before being slowed down a bit the first time hosting the Lions this season. They will be better in round two here and that helps push this one over the total because I just do not see this BC offense being stopped the way it is flying so high right now. 10* OVER 52 in Saskatchewan

CFL Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +4.5 @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - Situational edge for Redblacks coming off bye week and Elks playing final game on last week's schedule. Still I can not see Ottawa as being worthy of being a 4.5 point favorite here. Yes, Edmonton just lost at home to Saskatchewan but they actually outgained the Roughriders 365 to 261 in that game. The Elks had a fumble lost and threw an interception in the game and turned it over on downs once also. That was the difference in the game and now we are getting line value this week as a result. Keep in, both Edmonton's win this season have come on the road. In fact the road team is now 6-3 SU in Elks games this season. Edmonton is perfect 2-0 SU against East Division teams this season. Redblacks are 0-5 SU this season against West Division teams and also 0-4 SU this season in home games. As you can see, that makes this a triple perfect spot in favor of the Elks. Given the above being all SU stats we may not even need the points here but I will grab them as added insurance. 10* EDMONTON +4.5