Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-03-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
NBA TNT Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jaylen Brown is out for this game with a sprained ankle. The Grizzlies are currently riding a very special run from a very special player Ja Morant! Memphis has won 11 of 14 games and 6 of last 7 on the road. Boston is off a major comeback win versus the Hawks but will not be able to do the same against a streaking Grizzlies team playing with a ton of confidence right now. Before rallying from a double digit halftime deficit to defeat Atlanta, the Celtics were on a 1-3 ATS run. The road team pulls away as this one goes on as Morant and Company prove to be too much against a Celtics team that will really miss Brown in this game. 10* MEMPHIS -2.5 |
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03-03-22 | Cincinnati v. SMU OVER 140.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
CBB AAC Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 140.5 in SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - This is a chance for both teams to have huge breakout games offensively after each team was stifled in their most recent game because they faced league-leading Houston. Keep in mind, the Bearcats are still on a 6-3 run to the over which included a recent 5 game stretch in which they scored an average of 75.4 points per game. After a string of match-ups that were defensive-minded grinders this one will be a much more wide-open affair. SMU is a high-quality team hungry to bounce back after the disappointing result versus the Cougars. The Mustangs have scored an average of 78.8 points per game at home this season and they are favored by 7.5 here. That put this game at a 79 to 72 estimated final which totals 10 points above the current posted total on this game. I feel we have good value with both teams coming off games in which they were held to 61 or less points. 10* OVER 140.5 in SMU |
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03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers OVER 221.5 | Top | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have been piling up points since James Harden hit the floor with Joel Embiid and now it will be his debut in front of the home fans for the first time. It will be a raucous atmosphere and I am expecting a fast-paced contest with a ton of scoring in this rematch with the Knicks after these teams met in New York Sunday. The over is on a 10-3 run in Knicks games. The over is on a 4-0 run in 76ers games. More of the same here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-02-22 | Fordham v. Massachusetts OVER 141.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
CBB A-10 Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 141.5 in Massachusetts Minutemen vs Fordham Rams @ 7 ET - This match-up flew over the total Sunday even though Darius Quisenberry, star guard for Fordham, returned to action with a surprisingly poor shooting performance. Look for him to be much stronger in his second game back. Quisenberry is the leading scorer for the Rams but he scored just 8 points in Sunday's win and the rest of the team piled up 77 on UMass. Now this is the home finale for UMass and I love the fact they scored 73 points in Sunday's loss even though they shot a putrid 6 of 29 from three point land. The Minutemen will be much better on their home floor this evening but again will struggle to stop a Rams team rejuvenated by the return of Quisenberry. Look for good pace to this contest just like we saw in Sunday's game. 10* OVER 141.5 in Massachusetts |
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03-01-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -2.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Tourney Topper Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -2.5 @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 8 ET - We are getting line value here because this game is at UW-Milw even though UIC had the better record in the Horizon League regular season. So the higher-rated Flames are being hosted by the Panthers and the result is a much lower line on the much better team in my opinion. Coming into this season big things were expected from the Panthers because of Bradley, Jr (considered an NBA prospect) and Vin Baker (Boston College transfer who had to sit out last season.). However, Bradley ended up injury prone and has been shut down for the season and Bradley just not materialize into the big contributor he was expected to be. Conversely, the Flames hopes were riding on a number of transfers and those hopes did materialize for them. Of course I am not saying UIC is a great team but they have exceeded expectations and are certainly a better team that the Panthers. Already 2-0 against them this season and UIC had big turnover edges in the match-ups this season plus a big rebounding edge in the 2nd meeting and overall had 28 more field goal attempts combined in the two games. Couple all that with only having to lay a small number here and you have solid value in my opinion. Look for Flames to advance to 2nd round of Horizon League tourney in convincing fashion. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -2.5 |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 @ Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - The Mavericks are off a loss by 5 points at Utah in a game in which the Mavericks had 14 more field goal attempts! Yes, it was a bit of a phony final as the Jazz shot 54% from the field. Now the Mavs are only getting about 4 points against Warriors team that is 26-6 at home while Dallas is only about a .500 team on the road. If you look up the definition of "trap line" in a bettors dictionary they could use this game as an example. Looks so easy to lay a short number with the Warriors on their home floor, especially off a huge win. However, that big win came against a very short-handed Blazers team and note Golden State had lost 4 of 5 heading into that game. Dallas is a fantastic 6-1 the last 7 times they were off a loss. Also, the Mavs lone loss in those 7 games came in OT. The Mavericks have shown a propensity for responding off losses and I expect that to continue here. Adding fuel to the fire for Dallas here is the fact that Golden State destroyed the Mavericks by 38 points last month. Payback time is here and now. 10* DALLAS +4 |
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02-27-22 | St. John's -125 v. DePaul | Top | 94-99 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm Money Line -115 @ DePaul Blue Demons @ 5 ET - I like grabbing Red Storm off a home loss here. St John's is on a 4-0 ATS run when off a home loss. The Red Storm are on a 4-1 SU run in road games and have covered 5 in a row away from home. The Blue Demons are a respectable team but they are still just 4-13 SU in Big East games this season. DePaul is off a win at Georgetown but this was on the heels of a 2-8 SU stretch and one of those two wins was also against those same Hoyas. Keep in mind Georgetown is on a 17-game losing streak. So, when facing teams other than the Hoyas, the Blue Demons are on a 1-8 SU run and just 2-13 SU against Big East teams not named Georgetown. This line is in the -1.5 range but I feel we get even more value here by playing the money line which is in the -115 to -125 range. Look for the Red Storm to continue their strong road play here. 10* ST JOHN'S -115 |
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02-26-22 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 224 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month Saturday 10* OVER 224 in Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors in 2nd game of a back to back and scored only 93 points at Charlotte last night. Toronto is on a 3-0 run to the over when playing 2nd game of back to back this month. The Hawks are off a low-scoring loss at Chicago Thursday and should bounce back big here. The over is on a 4-0 run in Atlanta's last 4 home games. All 4 of those Hawks total at least 239 points and the average points scored was 245. In other words, we have excellent line value with this total posted in the mid-220s. Yes the Raptors have not scored well of late but Hawks will force an up-tempo game here and Toronto did score 125 when these teams met 3 weeks ago. More of the same expected here and we take advantage of the extra line value here with both teams coming off low-scoring losses heading into this one. 10* OVER 224 in Atlanta |
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02-26-22 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame OVER 137.5 | Top | 56-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 5 ET - The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams. Notre Dame enters this game on a 4-0 run to the over. Look for a free-flowing game here as one of the best teams in the ACC takes on one of the worst. The Yellow Jackets susceptible to allowing a ton of points in this one but look for them to score well as Notre Dame has no reason to be overly intense on defense here. By the way, the Irish have scored an average of 79 points last 4 games and that does not include OT points. At the same time, the Fighting Irish have allowed 78 points last 3 games and again this is not including overtime points. Notre Dame has won 16 of 19 games and can roll to another easy win here and I expect a good pace as neither team has anything to lose really. Georgia Tech is muddling near the bottom of the ACC and the Fighting Irish don't need to play lockdown D here to roll to a comfortable win. The hosts are a double digit favorite for a reason. Given all of the above stats and the situation an 80-70 final sounds about right in this one and that puts it well above the posted total. 10* OVER 137.5 in Notre Dame |
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02-25-22 | Akron +8 v. Ohio | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Akron Zips +8 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - The Zips Bryan Trimble Jr was recently placed on a leave of absence. Akron had just wrapped up a 3-game losing streak - all losses by 4 or less points - and the Zips have responded with back to back wins by an average margin of 16.5 points per victory. Granted, the wins were against weaker teams in the MAC but the point is that this team has banded together and is better off without Trimble. Team chemistry is so important and these guys are really working hard now for each other and working well together and playing solid defense and crashing the boards. I don't see them getting blown out here at Ohio. Yes the Bobcats are a very strong team and they did win the first meeting by 6 points at Akron. However, Ohio shot 50% from the field in that game while the Zips had a rare 9 for 17 shooting performance from the free throw line in that one. All that and yet Akron sill lost by only 6 points. This Zips team is starting to jell at the right time and I look for them to be very tough on the Bobcats in this one and it goes down to the wire. 10* AKRON |
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02-24-22 | Maryland v. Indiana -6 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -6 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Hoosiers have lost 5 straight games and are off a crazy OT loss at Ohio State where they failed to cover as underdog. That was a nice break (seems rare but always do admit it) for me as the Buckeyes -6.5 were my play there. Now I come back with a fired up Indiana team off that tough loss from earlier this week. The Hoosiers have faced 4 ranked teams during this 5-game losing streak. In other words, they have simply faced a murderers row of opponents and have paid for that. Now they get a chance against a lesser team plus they are at home. I like the fact that Maryland is on a 2-game winning streak but faced a Penn State team that is below .500 on the season and a Nebraska team that is the worst in the Big Ten. Also, Fatts Russell had huge games against both the Nittany Lions and Cornhuskers but the Hoosiers held him to a rough performance when they faced the Terrapins earlier this season. As Russell goes, so go the Terps and because of that key factor and the situational edges here I am fully expecting a home blowout here. 10* INDIANA |
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02-23-22 | Xavier +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Wednesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ 7 ET - If you look up "trap line" in a "dictionary for bettors" and it gave you examples this one would be a perfect fit. The Friars are at home, they are a ranked team and they are hosting an unranked team they already beat on the road this season and have beaten 3 of last 4 times overall and also 6 of last 8 times when hosting. Consider all that and then consider the fact this line opened up at very nearly a pick'em even though the Musketeers come into this game having lost 4 of 5 games and Providence comes into this game winners of 9 of 10. This game has "trap" written all over it in my opinion and sure enough the betting markets are already falling for it! The line is up to a 2.5 and I would not be surprised if it climbs even higher. Either way though, I am pulling the trigger now early this morning and taking advantage of the added line value. This one all the way up to a 2.5 as of early morning Wednesday. Grab the points with the road dog but I am expecting an outright upset. 10* XAVIER +2.5 |
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02-22-22 | Yale -2.5 v. Dartmouth | Top | 66-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play Yale Bulldogs -2.5 @ Dartmouth Big Green @ 6 ET - The Bulldogs laying a short number here on the road. I understand the low line as Dartmouth has the home court edge plus revenge factor in their favor here. However, the Big Green just 4-7 in conference games and has a poor overall record on the season. Yale, on the other hand, has a 9-2 record in Ivy League action plus a solid overall record on the season. What I especially like about this game is having the Bulldogs off a loss. Yale just lost to Princeton in what was a battle for first place. However, there will be no sulking and hanging of heads here for Yale. In fact, now it is more important than ever for the Bulldogs to win out and they have a pair of weaker foes on deck after this clash with Dartmouth. For an understanding of how much value we have here, note that Yale lost to Princeton by just 6 points plus had beaten them by 6 points earlier this season. Conversely, the Big Green lost at home to the Tigers by 4 and also got blasted at Princeton by 45 points. As noted above, the Bulldogs only have 2 conference losses this season. The other one was to Pennsylvania and the Quakers are another strong team that also beat Dartmouth by double digits. The points is that catching Yale off a loss is a great situation for laying a short price away from home as other results this season also show that the Bulldogs, comparatively with the Big Green, are the better team. 10* YALE -2.5 |
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02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7 ET - The Buckeyes are off a loss Saturday versus Iowa. Also, Ohio State lost at Indiana by 16 points early last month. In other words, the set up here is perfect for a revenge win by a large margin. Adding to the value is the fact that the Buckeyes are a PERFECT 6-0 this SEASON when off a loss. When facing a Big Ten team and Ohio State is coming off a loss they have won all 4 games and by an average margin of 10 points! I am looking for a win here by a double digit margin as Indiana's slump continues. The Hoosiers have lost 4 straight both SU and ATS. Also, the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in meetings between these teams. Going further back and looking at meetings in Columbus, the Buckeyes are a rock solid 13-6 both SU and ATS when hosting Indiana. Before their loss to Iowa Saturday, Ohio State was on a 6-1 ATS run. As for the Hoosiers, they are 2-6 ATS in road games this season. Look for these trends to continue here as the Buckeyes get big-time revenge payback. 10* OHIO STATE -6.5 |
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02-20-22 | Marquette v. Creighton OVER 141 | Top | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Creighton Bluejays vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 3 ET - The Bluejays averaging 76 points last 4 games against Marquette. The Golden Eagles enter this game on a 3-1 run to the over with their last 4 games averaging 78 points per game. Given these numbers you can see why I would not be surprised to see this one get into the 150s and I am expecting at least 140s in this game. Creighton is building confidence right with 3 straight wins and scoring an average of 80 points per game in those contests. Look for an entertaining affair between these teams Sunday afternoon as both teams are okay with an uptempo game and the pacing and scoring confidence of these teams (based on recent trending) indicates a high-scoring game is likely here. 10* OVER 141 in Creighton |
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02-19-22 | Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 142.5 | Top | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The over is 3-0 in last 3 meetings between these teams. Villanova games have gone over the total in 5 straight entering this one and it is the perfect situation for an over. The Wildcats are off a big win over a ranked Providence team and have a ranked Connecticut team on deck. The Cats will probably be willing to simply "run and gun" here with a Georgetown team that can't beat anybody these days. The Hoyas are on a horrific losing streak and it has a lot to do with a lack of attention to defense! Georgetown allowing 81 points last 6 games. Villanova allowing 75.4 points last 5 games. This one should play out a very entertaining pace and hot shooting for the Wildcats at home continues. 10* OVER 142.5 in Villanova |
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02-18-22 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit OVER 135 | Top | 52-60 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Situational Slaughter CBB 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - This total has dropped from the 140 range to the 135 range and I love the value here with the over. Detroit is finally back home where they have averaged 86.6 points per game this season. Northern Kentucky enters this game on a run of 5-1 to the over and they have scored an average of 76 points per game last 6 games. The Titans have hardly played any home games this season so this is huge for them and they have scored so well at home. From a situational standpoint, the Titans off a road loss in which they scored just 59 points and now being back home sets this one up perfectly for a high-scoring affair. 10* OVER 135 in Detroit |
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02-17-22 | Wizards v. Nets OVER 214.5 | Top | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Rickenbach NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - I don't expect much defense here. Brooklyn expended a lot of energy last night as they held the Knicks to 41 second half points in rallying back from a 21 point half-time deficit for a big comeback road win. As for Washington, they fell just short at Indiana last night and will be pushing hard to get the road win tonight. The Wizards have allowed 112 points or more in 4 of last 5 and 8 of last 11. Neither team has been that impressive on the defensive end in recent weeks until Brooklyn came up stronger last two games. Here they run out of gas in that regard and this one turns into a bit of a run and gun high-scoring affair for that reason. I also love the fact the total has dropped from the 220 range to the 215 range and will take advantage of the added line value here. 10* OVER 214.5 in Brooklyn |
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02-17-22 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington OVER 135.5 | Top | 79-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 135.5 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs Towson Tigers @ 6 ET - Towson blew a double digit lead when they hosted NC-Wilmington earlier this season and that ended up forcing overtime and the Tigers went on to lose to the Seahawks in the extra session. That said, we have excellent line value here with this low total. Towson is the best team in the CAA but still are behind NC-Wilmington in the standings. That is why the Tigers are favored on the road here. What I love about the value here is that Towson will be relentless in this game no matter the score. In other words, if they get up big again (which I do expect) they will keep their foot on the gas and not let the game slip away from them late again. This is going to lead to a higher-scoring game here in my opinion. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams went over the total. The Seahawks are on a 7-3 run to the over last 10 games. 10* OVER 135.5 in NC Wilmington |
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02-17-22 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 9* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 @ Penn State Nittany Lions @ 4 ET - Yes the Golden Gophers have been struggling but this spot sets up very well. The Nittany Lions are off a huge comeback win over Michigan State. Minnesota is off a game in which they got thoroughly embarrassed and scored just 45 points at Ohio State. Minny has struggled like I said but they did beat Penn State on Saturday. PSU also, prior to the win over the Spartans Tuesday, had lost 6 of last 7 games. The Nittany Lions are the much better rebounding team but the Golden Gophers the better team in terms of not turning the ball over. Grab the points here in a game with upset potential. 9* MINNESOTA +6.5 |
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02-16-22 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 225.5 | Top | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 225.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - The last time Washington played they burned us with the over courtesy of a 4th quarter in which the Wizards and their opponent each totaled only 16 points. Here we get payback! Washington is visiting Indiana and the Wizards had gone over in 3 straight before Monday's ridiculous finish. As for the Pacers they have gone over in 11 of last 12 games. Also, Indiana's last 6 games against the Wizards have ALL been overs. Here is number 7 in a row. 10* OVER 225.5 in Indiana |
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02-16-22 | George Mason v. St. Joe's OVER 139.5 | Top | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
CBB A10 Total of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in St Joseph's Hawks vs George Mason Patriots @ 7 ET - Some key statistical edges in this one point to this total being too low. First off, the Hawks are averaging 73 points per game this season. Note that the Patriots opened up as a 2 point road favorite here for a reason. In other words the projection here would be 75-73 final based on those numbers and that puts this total in the 148 range. Also, George Mason is knocking down 38.5% of threes on the road this season and St Joseph's hitting 36.8% of threes at home this season. The Hawks have scored more than 70 in 9 of last 11 home games. They consistently get to at least the 70 mark when they are hosting and, again, Patriots are favored here so you can see why I am expecting 140s here. Additionally, the over is 6-3 last 9 George Mason games as they have been allowing a ton of points. Also, the Hawks have allowed 69 points or more in 5 of last 6 games with the lone exception being an OT game which was 60-60 at end of regulation. This one flies over the total. 10* OVER 139.5 in St Joseph's |
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02-15-22 | Cavs v. Hawks OVER 219.5 | Top | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - This total has been dropping this morning and it makes sense because each team is off an ugly, low-scoring loss. However, I love coming back with overs when teams are off duds. This is particularly true when a team has shown a knack in terms of bouncing back with strong efforts when off a low-scoring clunker. The last 3 times the Hawks were off a game in which they were held to 100 points or less, they have scored an average of 125 points in their next game. The Cavs have averaged a respectable 108 points the last 3 times they were off a game in which they were held to 95 or less points. The Hawks will dictate the tempo here on their home floor and the over was on a 4-1 run in Atlanta's games prior to the ugly loss at Boston. All 4 of those Hawks games totaled at least 239 points. While we won't see that many points here, we should see this one at least get into the 220s and the 230s would not be a big surprise to me either. 10* OVER 219.5 in Atlanta |
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02-15-22 | Akron v. Western Michigan OVER 128 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
CBB MAC Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Western Michigan Broncos vs Akron Zips @ 6 ET - This total has dropped about 3 points from its opener and, while I do understand the line move, it has led to more value here for us with the over. Yes, these are two slower-paced teams. However, this also is a game comprised of two teams with rather sub-par defenses. The Broncos allowing 76 points per game this season. The Zips allowing 36% from three point land on the season. Western Michigan finally ended a long losing streak with a 77-63 win over Central Michigan Saturday and I look for that to give the Broncos a boost of confidence heading into this match-up with Akron. The Zips have averaged 69.4 points per game last 5 games and 4 of those 5 games totaled 130 points or more. Look for this to reach at least that mark as well. 10* OVER 128 in Western Michigan |
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02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -4.5 vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - Can you imagine how high this line would be if Zach LaVine was not out for the Bulls? Exactly! The point is we are getting a ton of line value here on a very good Chicago team that also is playing this game with triple revenge! Indeed the Bulls lost both games versus Spurs last season plus lost at San Antonio earlier this season. In that match-up however, SA shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and outscored the Bulls by 24 points from beyond the arc. Of course this was the difference in the game and the Spurs aren't going to be hitting a ridiculous 16 threes in the rematch on the road. Also, Chicago is off a non-covering SU win versus OKC Saturday and the Bulls are 4-0 ATS the last 4 times they have entered a game off an ATS loss. The Spurs are off B2B wins and have not won 3 straight games since right around Christmas. From a situational standpoint, I love the value with the home team as a small favorite in this one. 10* CHICAGO -4.5 |
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02-14-22 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 218 | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 218 in Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards have gone over the total in 3 straight games and allowed 119 points on average in these 3. The Pistons have gone over the total in 2 straight games and allowed 122 points on average in last 4 games. Each of last two meetings between these teams totaled more than this total. This one flies over the total as both these teams continue to pay little attention on the defensive end! 9* OVER 218 in Washington |
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02-14-22 | St. Louis +2.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CBSSN Blowout Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens +2.5 @ St Bonaventure @ 5 ET - The Billikens are off a loss that followed a 6-game winning streak. St Louis is a perfect 4-0 SU the last 4 times they entered game off a loss. The Bonnies are off B2B wins but this followed losses in 6 of 10 games and St Bonaventure has not won 3 straight games since early December. The set up is perfect for a road win here especially when you consider this is a revenge game as the Bonnies won at St Louis Friday. Payback time here for the Billikens as they return the favor by winning at St Bonaventure. 10* ST LOUIS +2.5 |
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02-14-22 | William & Mary v. NC-Wilmington OVER 140 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 9* Top Play OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs William & Mary Tribe @ 2 ET - Neither one of these teams is very good defensively as evidenced by their field goal percentage defense both inside and outside the arc. Also, William & Mary has allowed 80 points per game game last 4 games. NC-Wilmington has allowed 75 points per game last 4 games. I know the teams shot ridiculously high percentages when they met a little over a week ago and that is why the game totaled 162 points. However, even with lesser shooting percentages but a good pace in this one, it should get well into the 140s and I will grab the value here as neither team has impressed defensively of late. 9* OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington |
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02-13-22 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado State Rams +2.5 @ Boise State Broncos @ 4 ET - The Rams are the better team offensively. Statistically these teams are nearly equal on the defensive end but the shooting edge of Colorado State is the key here. Boise State is favored but that is only because they are at home. I love taking short dogs in college hoops. The Rams are about a 3 point dog here but have the offensive firepower to pull off the upset here because they can get key buckets when they need. They are the type of team that can thrive on the road and yet we get line value here because of the home court factored in for the Broncos. The Rams are 7-2 SU on the road and Boise State does have a pair of road losses already this season. 10* COLORADO STATE +2.5 |
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02-13-22 | Hawks +7 v. Celtics | Top | 95-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Trae Young is probable for the Hawks in this one. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Boston SU and is on an overall 6-2 ATS run last 8 meetings. I know the Celtics have won 7 straight games overall but their two most recent home wins each by 6 points and I love the value with the Hawks here off a loss. Atlanta had won 9 of 12 games before losing at home versus San Antonio Friday. Also, the Hawks are 3-1 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I would not be surprised at all to see an upset here but am grabbing the points for added insurance in this one and, yes, I am aware of the John Collins injury. 10* ATLANTA +7 |
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02-13-22 | Maryland v. Purdue OVER 147 | Top | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 147 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Maryland Terrapins @ 1 ET - The Terrapins are off a 110 to 82 loss and that was even at home! Now Maryland is on the road and facing a Purdue team that is angry off an 82-56 loss at Michigan. The Boilermakers will bounce back and pile up the points here as they also have revenge from a loss at Maryland last season. The Terrapins are 7-2 to the over in road games this season and the Boilermakers were on a 10-2 run to the over before their game against the Wolverines stayed under the total. 9* OVER 147 in Purdue |
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02-12-22 | Cavs +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Both teams off wins and both teams in 2nd game of back to back but I feel it will be much tougher on the 76ers than the Cavaliers. Keep in mind the Sixers lost Curry in the trade for Harden and they still don't have Harden available yet. Also, this is the 2nd game of a back to back and Embiid might be limited or possibly even miss the contest. You never know for sure these days but he could end up being in street clothes with it being 2nd game of a B2B and he is so injury-prone. In any event I like Cleveland taking on a team that is without a key outside shooter and they did struggle overall with the 3-ball yesterday and the Cavs are not the Thunder! OKC was missing a ton of personnel for yesterday's game but the red hot Cavaliers will present a much stiffer challenge. The Cavs have won 13 of 16 games! 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
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02-12-22 | Knicks v. Blazers OVER 216.5 | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Portland Trailblazers vs New York Knicks @ 5 ET - The Knicks are 6-2 to over last 8 games. They have allowed 118 points last 5 games. New York has scored average of 111 points last 7 games. Neither of those numbers include any OT points. I know the Blazers have been trending under but Portland has allowed 114 per game last 7 home games and is off a SU win and ATS cover and is 3-1 to the over the last 4 times off an ATS win. 9* OVER 216.5 in Portland |
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02-12-22 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 122.5 | Top | 53-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 122.5 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 4 ET - One can understand the low total posted here when you consider the long-term with Virginia basketball. However, a big key to the Cavaliers having won 3 straight and 5 of 7 has been their offensive production and the over is on a 6-1 run L7 Cavs games. Virginia has scored an average of 66.4 ppg in this 7-game stretch. The Yellow Jackets have allowed an average of 75.3 ppg their last 8 games against Division I opponents. Georgia Tech has averaged scoring 70.5 points last 4 road games. Don't be surprised when this one gets into the 130s. The Yellow Jackets don't have good defensive numbers and the Cavaliers are allowing higher shooting percentages than usual this season. Yes, the Cavs like to play a slow-tempo game but the way these two teams are going right now I fully expect another over in this one. 10* OVER 122.5 in Virginia |
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02-12-22 | Temple +4.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Philly Insider Saturday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 2 ET - Even though Jake Forrester is likely to miss again, Jeremiah Williams and Damian Dunn are both expected to play in this one. Also, Temple is 8-0 SU at Tulane since the Green Wave joined the AAC beginning in 2014. We also get the Owls angry off a loss here as they lost at South Florida on a buzzer beater. Getting points with an angry road dog that should be healthier here is something I won't pass up on. Look for the Owls to make it 9 in a row SU in games played as a visitor against Tulane but we'll grab the points for added insurance here. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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02-11-22 | Thunder v. 76ers -12.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7 ET - Even if James Harden does not play tonight, Philly is bolstered by the huge trade that got rid of the toxic Ben Simmons and brought in a superstar. The Sixers will be bolstered by this trade no matter who is on the floor tonight and Philadelphia is hungry to bounce back after the home loss to Phoenix Tuesday. With two days off between games, the 76ers will have fresh legs here and they can run and gun their way to victory past a Thunder team that just does not have the horses to keep up. Oklahoma City is already one of the league's worst teams even when healthy but right now the Thunder are extremely short-handed. Yes this is a big number to lay but OKC is off B2B home losses by an average margin of 15.5 points and its last 4 road losses have also come by an average margin of 15.5 points. Lay it! 9* PHILADELPHIA -12.5 |
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02-11-22 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 216.5 | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Friday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7 ET - With all the personnel changes for the Pacers following the trade, one might be reluctant to invest in the over here. However, I feel this could lead to a rather fast-paced disorganized game where players on defense miss switches and/or are out of position. Things like this happen when a team has a new influx of players like Indiana does now. I also love the fact that these two teams just met and the game totaled only 183 points. Keep in mind, that is the only under the Pacers have had in their last 9 games. The Cavaliers have allowed 115 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. Cleveland has a tendency to not score well but they now take on a Pacers team that, other than the one clunker against the Cavs, allowed 123.7 points per game in other 10 games dating back to January 20th. Look for plenty of points in this one. 10* OVER 216.5 in Indiana |
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02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee OVER 146.5 | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers vs Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Panthers just got held to only 39 points on their home floor in their most recent game! You know what is coming here from UW-Milwaukee after a game like that. Even though they will respond on the offensive end here, this Panthers team has allowed 76 points per game last 7 games. I am looking for a shootout here as a result as the Raiders come into this one having won 4 straight games and averaging 80 points per game during the win streak. Wright State has averaged scoring 79 points last 6 road games. The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +4.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - The Terrapins go as Fatts Russell and Eric Ayala go. That said, with those guys struggling overall the last 3 games it comes as no surprise that Maryland enters this one on a 3-game losing streak. However, match-ups certainly matter in basketball. That said, Russell and Ayala both had solid games against the Hawkeyes in the first meetings this season and that was at Iowa and ended up a loss by only a 5-point margin. Now the Terrapins are getting nearly that same number at home and note that the Hawkeyes are 2-5 on the road this season. This one sets up well for an upset and I like the extra value of having a few points on our side as well should Maryland fall just short. Note that Maryland is allowing only 65.5 ppg at home while Iowa is allowing 74.4 ppg on the road. The better defense at home and off 3 straight losses and catching some points...I'll take it! 10* MARYLAND +4.5 |
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02-10-22 | William & Mary v. Towson OVER 136.5 | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Towson Tigers vs William & Mary Tribe @ 5 ET - This game is off the radar of most sports bettors and I feel that is why we are getting such a good value here. Towson is one of the best teams in the CAA and William & Mary is one of the worst which is why the spread on this game is 18. Where the value lies in my opinion is with the total. The last time these teams met the Tigers won 91-69 even though they were on the road for that one earlier this season! The Tribe enter this game having allowed 88 points per game their last two games even though they were at home! Towson is off an ugly low-scoring road loss in most recent game and that means they will not hold back and should score a pile of points here. Keep in mind, prior to that road loss the Tigers were on a 9-game stretch that saw them win 8 of 9 games. Towson, taking out the few clunkers in the bunch, averaged 78 points scored in the other 6 games and now they take on a team that is one of the worst in the league. That means the Tigers should get to 80+ easily and if the 18 point spread is right (which so often these numbers are good) that means this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 136.5 in Towson |
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02-09-22 | Spurs v. Cavs OVER 216 | Top | 92-105 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 216 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Cavaliers could have Curtis Levert (acquired from Indiana) on the floor for this one tonight. Also, Darius Garland could be back after missing 4 straight games. Even if those guys don't play, although odds favor both coming back and at least one of them for sure, I like the over in this match-up. The Spurs have been so poor on the defensive end and they like to play an uptempo style and Cleveland, in an Indiana sandwich, could just "play along" here in a rather meaningless non-conference match-up. The Cavaliers just beat the Pacers and now have a game at Indiana on deck. So this is a classic flat spot for the Cavs in terms of defensive intensity. Also, the over is on a perfect 5-0 run in meetings between these teams. The Spurs have trended under on the road and the Cavaliers have trended under at home this season but that is what has resulted in downward line movement here. The result is exceptional value on the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 216 in Cleveland |
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02-08-22 | Villanova v. St. John's +4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
CBB PA Insider Tuesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +4 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - Villanova is a great team but St John's is very scrappy and this is particularly true at home. The Red Storm are seeking revenge for getting blown out at Nova earlier this season. In that game, though St John's lost by double digits they simply shot very poorly! Villanova was on fire from deep and the Red Storm had about the same number of 3-point attempts plus overall had 15 more FG attempts in the game but it was just an off-shooting game for them. The Wildcats also are likely to be without Gillespie in this one and he is arguably their best player and a team leader. This is a very tricky spot for the Cats and the home team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The safe play here is to grab the points but we likely will not need them! 10* ST JOHN'S +4 |
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02-08-22 | Suns v. 76ers -106 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NBA PA Money Line NBA 10* Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -105 vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers opened up as a 2.5 point favorite and now this line is down near a pick'em. Long-time followers know I love to fade line moves. Of course Phoenix is a great team but they are on the road here in the 2nd game of a back to back and playing their 4th game in 6 nights and the travel hasn't been particularly easy. The Suns have gone from the Southeast to the Northeast to the Midwest and now back to the Northeast again. Philly is at home and is rested and also has not had a back to back since mid-January. The Sixers have two off days on deck after this too as they do not play again until Friday. Philadelphia wants to make up for their most recent home game as it was a disappointing home loss to the Wizards. The 76ers had won 8 of 10 home games heading into that one. They get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA Money Line -105 |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 224 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets have been trending under but this is the right match-up to get them going again. On the season, Charlotte has been a high-scoring team. Now, after an ugly low-scoring home loss to the Heat, the Hornets will bounce back against a team that has been playing plenty of run and gun basketball of late. The Raptors are on a run of 3 straight overs and overs in 6 of last 8 games overall. Speaking of trending to overs, when Toronto and Charlotte have squared off the over is 5-2 in last 7 games. The average points scored in the first half of the last 4 meetings is 130! That is a pace for 260 in each game. Though they did not get to that lofty total, they did get to overs in all but 1 of those 4 games and the fact is these teams are rested (each was off yesterday) and I expect a fast-paced game all the way through which will fly over the very manageable total posted on this game. 10* OVER 224 in Charlotte |
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02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
CAA Game of Year Monday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -6 vs NC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - This line has gone from an opener of 7.5 to as low as a 6 as of mid-morning game-day and it is now "go time" with this one. Yes the Seahawks have the much better record than the Pride but why do you think this game is priced this way? You think the odds makers made a mistake? They did not! Hofstra was installed as a 7.5 point home favorite with good reason in this one. The Pride have revenge from a loss at UNC-Wilmington a little over a week ago. They lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land on a rare poor shooting night for Hofstra. Also, the Pride severely outrebounded the Seahawks by a 13-carom margin but were done in by a rare turnover-prone effort as they turned it over 17 times in the game. UNCW turned it over only 9 times in that game. Now with the Pride as the hosts watch all the flukiness of that first game result get flip-flopped here. Hofstra will not be denied here as they have also played the tougher schedule so far this season but are set up well here with an edge as they are playing 3rd straight home game while the Seahawks are on the road for a 3rd straight time! 10* HOFSTRA -6 |
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02-06-22 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 85-98 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers @ 6 ET - The Cavaliers could get Darius Garland back today. The Pacers could get both Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis back today. Either way I like the over. Indiana has been given a lot of time to younger players recently and this has strengthened their bench when guys like Brogdon and Sabonis are back. The fast-paced style that the Pacers have been playing with has led to a perfect 7-0 run to the over. I know Cleveland likes to play slower and the Cavaliers have been trending under. However, the last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 217 points per game and the way the Pacers have been playing of late this game should have a much stronger pace than even those 4 match-ups did. That said, this one gets well into the 220s. Indiana, not including OT, allowing 121 points last 11 games! The Pacers, not including OT, scoring an average of 114 points per game last 11 games! 10* OVER 216.5 in Cleveland |
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02-06-22 | Minnesota v. Iowa OVER 148.5 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 148.5 in Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 4:30 ET - Iowa fired up off B2B losses and an overall unacceptable stretch that has seen them lose 4 of last 7 games. The Hawkeyes will respond in a huge way here at home in this game. Iowa has averaged 88.8 points per game at home this season. Minnesota is averaging 69.9 points per game on the road this season. The Golden Gophers have endured a 1-7 stretch that has seen them allow 74.4 points per game. Now they face a team capable of hanging 90 points on them and I see an incredible tempo to this game as the Hawkeyes are itching for that huge big home win to get them back on track. This is the perfect spot for it and Minnesota has the talent to hang around within about 10 or 12 in this game and that should send this soaring over the total. 10* OVER 148.5 in Iowa |
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02-05-22 | Suns v. Wizards OVER 219.5 | Top | 95-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - This total opened up at 223 and has now fallen to as low as 219.5 this morning. The Wizards are without Bradley Beal and he is a big scorer. However, Washington is still battling hard and just scored 106 points in a win at Philly Wednesday in a game that easily could have been higher-scoring as the Wizards had 59 points at the half. Washington is known for scoring better when at home and has only had one "dud" in their last dozen home games. In the other 11 games at home during this hot stretch of scoring, the Wizards have averaged 115 points per game! The Suns come into this one having averaged 112.4 points per game on the road this season. The over is 5-0 in last 5 meetings between these teams. With Phoenix off a loss at Atlanta, the Suns will come out fired up for a big road win and they are going to push the tempo here and also keep their foot on the gas throughout this game. Phoenix responds off a loss, Wizards fight hard at home (only once in last dozen home games have they had a loss by more than a 5-point margin) and the result is a high-scoring shootout here. 10* OVER 219.5 in Washington |
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02-05-22 | Penn State v. Wisconsin OVER 129.5 | Top | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6 ET - The Nittany Lions are off an upset win versus Iowa and that game was not as high-scoring as it appears because it did go to overtime. However, the 132 points in regulation would have been enough in terms of comparing to the number posted on this match-up for Penn State at Wisconsin. I am well aware of the fact that the Nittany Lions have often struggled to score well on the road this season. However, the win over the Hawkeyes is a big confidence boosting win for this team. Also, Greg Lee is off a strong game at the forward position and the frontcourt of Lee, Seth Lundy and John Harrar can produce solid interior offense for PSU in this one. Wisconsin used to be known for defensive low-scoring grinders but the situation has been much different this season. The Badgers are allowing 67 points per game and 44% shooting from the field! The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games and they do average 75.4 ppg at home. If you consider that number plus the 8.5 point spread in this game you are looking at a game getting into the low 140s and yet this number is hovering near 130. I feel we have excellent line value with the over here as the Badgers are hungry to bounce back at home after a disappointing road loss at Illinois. Wisconsin has averaged 78 ppg last 6 home games. Penn State has allowed 72 points per game in their 6 true road games this season and 75 points per game on the road if you remove the low-scoring grinder with Ohio State from the equation. This total just too low with Badgers poised for a big bounce back on their floor but dealing with a Nittany Lions team surging with confidence right now after beating Iowa. Penn State ready for a solid road performance and can hang around in this game which will push it over the total. 10* OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin |
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02-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 57-62 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Florida Gators -8.5 vs Ole Miss Rebels @ 3:30 ET - Though the Gators probably will not have Colin Castleton back just yet, he has started practicing again and this is giving the Florida team a mental boost as they know one of their best players has an imminent return. The big injury news about this match-up is that Ole Miss just lost freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season to a knee injury suffered in the Rebels upset win at LSU early this week. Though a freshman, he had taken on a starters role for the last 10 games and he had thrived at the point guard position. In fact, he had 21 points in the upset win over these Gators at Ole Miss last month. His loss is huge and is particularly troublesome because guard Jarkel Joiner is still out. That means Austin Crowley likely will be at the point guard position again. Point guard is such an important position and now Ole Miss down to their third choice there. Also, the home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Look for the Gators to win in a home blowout by a double digit margin as they get their revenge. 10* FLORIDA -8.5 |
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02-04-22 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 231 | Top | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - A lot of injury/covid issues/concerns in this one. It will not matter. No matter who has been on the floor lately, both these teams have been trending over. Yes, the Bulls game last night went to OT but it was over the total by the end of regulation. Also, Chicago is on a perfect 5-0 run to the over in the 2nd game of a B2B. Indiana enters this game on an overall 6-0 run to the over and the Bulls have gone over the total in 4 straight games overall. The Pacers have been forced to play a bunch of younger guys recently and give more minutes than usual to role players as well. The result has been a lack of defensive efficiency but fantastic offensive efficiency. The Pacers, not including OT, have allowed an average of 122 last 7 games and scored an average of 114 last 6 games! The Bulls, not including OT points, have allowed 110 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have scored 111 points or more in 6 straight games. Chicago averaging 119 per game in those 6 games and tonight's game could go either way in terms of the side in my opinion and that means a 120-119 type game given the above numbers. Look for this one to sneak into the 240s and the line is near the 230 mark. 10* OVER 231 in Indiana |
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02-04-22 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -6 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -6 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7 ET - I know Bryce Aiken might still be out here but I still like the Pirates a ton in this spot even if he does not play. The key is that if he does he is likely to be close to 100% because his only issue was being in concussion protocol. In my mind the bigger story here is the Bluejays being without center Ryan Kalkbrenner as he rolled his ankle quite badly in Tuesday's game. That is a tough injury so even if Kalkbrenner plays he is unlikely to be himself. From a situational standpoint, this is a great spot as Creighton is off an upset win at Connecticut as a double digit dog! The Bluejays had lost 3 straight road games heading into that one and the margin of the games was 23 points per defeat! Yes Seton Hall has been struggling to cover games lately but the Pirates are 8-3 at home this season and off B2B losses SU as a solid home favorite each of last two games in Newark, the Pirates are hungry. Look for the hosts to respond in a huge way here. Note that Creighton is only making 30.9% of threes this season and on the road they are allowing 37.5% threes! The Pirates stats, when at home, are nearly the identical reverse of that with hot shooting and strong defense. They pull away for the double digit win here in my opinion. 10* SETON HALL -6 |
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02-04-22 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 136.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Yale Bulldogs vs Dartmouth Big Green @ 5 ET - Sometimes Dartmouth gets involved in low-scoring grinders but I see Yale dictating the pace and flow of this game on their home floor. The Bulldogs struggled a bit in non-conference action but now are red hot in Ivy League action including knocking off Princeton in their most recent game. As for the Big Green, 4 of their last 6 games have totaled at least 139 points. Each of Dartmouth's 3 road games in Ivy League action have totaled at least 139 points and have actually averaged 145 points apiece! With each team off a big win (Big Green just won at Columbia) confidence riding high for these guard-heavy teams and I look for solid shooting and another high-scoring game. These teams are "feeling it" right now as Dartmouth had a string of tight losses before the win over the Lions and getting over the hump, even though against a weaker foe, was big for them heading into this match-up. Plenty of points here as Big Green do shoot well from 3-point land (even on the road) but also allow high shooting percentages. 9* OVER 136.5 in Yale |
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02-03-22 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 224 | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:40 ET - Only 3 of Bulls last 13 games have resulted in an under. Chicago allowing 115 points per game last 6 games but also scoring an average of 120 points per game last 5 games. Toronto has been trending toward lower-scoring numbers than that. However, the Raptors have allowed an average of 111 points per game last 6 games and have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 games. Zach LaVine is probable for the Bulls here and that is good news in terms of Chicago's point production. The Bulls are an underdog here but playing extremely well and will help push the pace in this one as we continue to see the high-scoring trending in Chicago's games. 10* OVER 224 in Toronto |
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02-03-22 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 128-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Detroit Pistons +7.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Detroit has an ugly SU record on the season. However, Minnesota has been a road-adverse team. Looking at the last 11 Timberwolves games, the home team is a perfect 11-0 ATS in those games! Wolves at home, they get the cash. Minny on the road, their opponent gets the cash. This pattern going for 3 weeks now and I look for it to continue here. Pistons off a home loss to New Orleans but were on a 5-1 ATS run heading into that one. Detroit also is on a 6-2 ATS run in home games. Pistons lost Cade Cunningham to injury in that game and he only played 21 points. He could come back for this game and is listed as questionable. Either way, I do like the home dog here catching big points. 9* DETROIT +7.5 |
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02-03-22 | Drexel v. Delaware OVER 141 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
CBB CAA Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Delaware Fightin Blue Hens vs Drexel Dragons @ 6 ET - This total opened up in the 147 range and is now down to the 141 range as of game day morning. The odds makers that set this total must be clueless in terms of what they are doing, right? Of course not! Long-time followers know I love fading line moves like this when the situation is right. That's because the odds maker are some of the sharpest guys around and I respect their numbers. So take a closer look at this one and note that these teams combined for 158 points in their first meeting this season and no it did NOT go to overtime. The fact is both these teams have solid shooting stats this season. Both teams also tend to struggle on the defensive end. Drexel had one good game defensively against Elon two weeks ago but, in their other 7 games since early January the Dragons have allowed an average of 74.4 ppg. The Fightin Blue Hens have had 7 games since early January and, not including OT points, Delaware has allowed an average of 73.9 ppg. Looking at these numbers you can see why this total opened up closer to 150 than 140. Now, with huge value after the move, I am hammering the over in this Blue Hens match-up! 10* OVER 141 in Delaware |
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02-03-22 | St. John's -4.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm -4.5 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6 ET - The Red Storm off B2B losses but faced a pair of ranked foes and they have not lost 3 straight games this entire season. Also, in their loss to Providence Tuesday, St John's actually had 16 more field goal attempts in the game but the Friars got to the line for 33 free throw attempts - 3 times as many as the 11 the Red Storm got! St John's is a little under-valued here off the unusual results the last two games and note that Georgetown has lost 9 straight games including a 19-point beatdown at St John's. Though the Hoyas are now at home for the rematch, they are simply not a very good basketball team and the Red Storm will be aggressive and bring extra hunger to this match-up as a result of B2B losses. Only one of Georgetown's defeats in the 9-game skid came by a margin of less than 7 points. Once again, look for the Hoyas to lose by 7 or more points as their losing streak reaches 10 games. 9* ST JOHN'S -4.5 |
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02-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 213 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped from the 218 range to the 213 range and this is offering great line value on the over. I understand the Wizards will again be without Bradley Beal and he is a big-time scorer. However, the odds makers knew this when they posted the total. The line coming down is because Washington has scored so poorly recently but the odds makers knew that as well. The keys to this game are that Joel Embiid is back for this one after resting against Memphis and I look for he and the Sixers to have a huge game on the offensive end. Philly lost at Washington last month and will be out for revenge here. Though that game stayed under the total it did reach the 215 mark and note that the under ended a streak of 4 straight overs in match-ups between these teams. The 76ers will take advantage of a team allowing 114.5 points per game last 6 games. This line is right around a 10. If Philly gets at least 115 - and I feel strongly they will do even better than that - it puts this game in the 115-105 range which is 220 points. This game gets well into the 220s the way I see it and I am taking advantage of the drop on this total. 10* OVER 213 in Philadelphia |
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02-02-22 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6 vs Florida Gators @ 3 ET - The Tigers have been struggling overall but this is a different team when on their home floor. Though Missouri is likely without Javon Pickett here lets not forget the Gators are still without leading scorer and leading rebounder Colin Castleton. That said, the value is with the home underdog here. Florida is off big win versus Oklahoma State but had lost 5 of 8 games heading into that one. Also, the Gators have lost 3 of last 4 road games. Missouri is just 2-2 SU last 4 home games but the two losses were each by 3 or less points! Now a line that opened at -5 is already up to a -6 and this is just two much for Florida to be laying on the road when you consider all of the above. Look at the defensive stats for these two teams in this spot too. Gators allow 69 points and 47% shooting on the road. Tigers allow 63 points and 39% shooting when at home. Grab the home dog! 10* MISSOURI +6 |
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02-01-22 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Western Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +3.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Warriors are off 5 straight wins but are in the 2nd game of a B2B and Klay Thompson will sit. Conversely, the news is much better on the Spurs front as they were able to rest up yesterday plus get Dejounte Murray back tonight for this one. Also listed as probable are Poeltl and White. San Antonio as a home dog is the play here as they are 4-1 SU the last 5 times off a loss. The Spurs did win at Golden State earlier this season and it was no fluke. San Antonio played a strong game in Oakland and they can do it again here with a refreshed Murray ready to go and he is having a great season. The Warriors barely covered at Houston against a bad Rockets team and, keep in mind, Golden State was on a 1-5 ATS run in road games heading into that one. I don't think we'll need the points here but I will grab them for added insurance. 10* SAN ANTONIO +3.5 |
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02-01-22 | Boston College +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +9.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 6 ET - The Cavs are a solid team known for stellar defense. However, their long-term struggle season after season tends to be with scoring and that is the situation now moreso than ever this season. That is a big part of the reason the Cavaliers are a rather mediocre 12-9 this season. Now, because they are at home and hosting an Eagles team that has had its share of struggles this season we are seeing this line way too high. Virginia has gone just 7-7 last 14 games and only 3 of the wins were by more than 5 points. You read that right...the Cavs have just 3 wins of more than 5 points in their last 14 games! That said, I love the Eagles plus the big points here and will challenge the Cavaliers to win this game by double digits. Boston College has some extra confidence heading into this win off a big win over Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, that is the same Panthers team that the Cavs beat by an average margin of only 3 points in their two meetings this season. The Eagles have played 20 games this season and only 5 of them resulted in a loss by a double digit margin. I see the Cavaliers winning this game but I look for it to be a tight low-scoring battle as the road team covers! 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +9.5 |
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01-31-22 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers did not just lose at Memphis last month, they got embarrassed by 35 points. Philly played that at game without Embiid and Curry but both those guys will be playing in the rematch in Philadelphia. On that ugly night in Memphis last month, the undermanned Sixers simply shot very poorly while the Grizzlies were on fire. That will not be the case in the rematch. I like the fact that Philly is off an ATS loss versus Sacramento, we had the Kings as a big dog that night and was a solid winner. Note that the Sixers have not had back to back ATS losses since that tough mid-December stretch that included the ugly loss at Memphis. So it has been about 7 weeks since the Sixers have had B2B ATS losses. Coming off the non-covering win versus the Kings, look for Philly to not only win this game but also cover as it is a much shorter number to cover. Yes Memphis is a very strong team but Philly is tough at home and especially when they are motivated. The 76ers will be ready to go here and their 2-point win versus Sacramento ended a streak that saw each of the Sixers last 17 wins come by a margin of 3 or more points. Look for this win to get the job done and get the hosts right back into the ATS win column. Lay the short number! 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 |
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01-31-22 | Colgate -8.5 v. Lafayette | Top | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NCAAB Patriot League Game of the Year 10* Top Play Monday Colgate Raiders -8.5 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 6 ET - I know this is a bit of an off the radar match-up but it caught my attention for two reasons. Colgate, whom I lost with Friday, was a team I was looking to come back with in their next game. Lafayette is a team from Easton PA whom I am familiar with from my family roots in Rickenbach PA which is just north of Reading PA and not far from Easton. The Leopards had rare success in recent seasons but this season they are back to being the bad Lafayette team they usually are. Lafayette lost league scoring champion Justin Jaworski coming into this season and that has hurt this team a lot. They are 5-13 on the season and the Leopards have lost 5 of 7 games and just can not score at nearly the same level that the Raiders can. Colgate had won 4 straight before their tough loss at Boston University and they will bounce back here. The last time the Raiders faced the Leopards they dominated and won the game by 25 points. I know this is a big line on the road but it is fully justified in a game in which the majority of my models are projecting a double digit road win. Lafayette's last loss was by only 4 points but, prior to this, their last 3 losses all were by 14 or more points. Look for this one to be in that range as well. 10* COLGATE -8.5 |
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01-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College -3.5 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles -3.5 vs Pittsburgh Panthers @ 4 ET - The Eagles off back to back ugly losses but both were on the road and they had their chances against the Tar Heels at North Carolina but shot extremely poor in that game. Boston College is now back home and I expect the shots to be falling for them here as they enjoy their return home. The Eagles are catching the Panthers at an ideal time for a big win. Pittsburgh is off a big win versus Syracuse and note that the Panthers have only managed B2B wins twice this season and each time the 2nd game was against a foe much weaker than this BC team. Look for the Eagles to come up with a blowout win here. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE -3.5 |
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01-30-22 | Blazers v. Bulls OVER 229.5 | Top | 116-130 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 229.5 in Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:30 ET - Yes the total looks big but don't let the number scare you. It is fully justified in this one as the Trail Blazers on a 6-2 run to the over in road games and the Bulls on a 5-1 run to the over in home games. Portland averaging 113.4 points last 5 games but allowing 117 points last 3 games. The Bulls have averaged 117.6 points in those 5 overs at home but also allowed 121 points per game last 4 home games. This is a non-conference battle that will feature a lack of defense and plenty of run and gun. The last time these teams met here the game totaled 245 points. More of the same here! 10* OVER 229.5 in Chicago |
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01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month NBA 10* Top Play Sacramento Kings +10.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Kings are off B2B ugly losses but have been off for two days since that B2B situation. Also, there is a chance that BOTH Fox and Metu will be back for this game. Even if only one returns or neither returns, Sacramento has a great shot at a solid cover in this one in my opinion. Prior to the B2B ugly losses, the Kings last 7 losses featured only one by more than ten points! Here we are working with a line of 10.5 and a rested and angry Sacramento team is going to put up a helluva fight in this one. Philly is 4-2 SU last 6 games but only 2 of the wins by more than 10 points and the Sixers just beat a Lakers team without LeBron James. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Kings and 76ers. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS the last 3 times they were at home and coming off an ATS cover in their prior game. That is the situation here and a hungry and motivated and rested Kings team that should be healthier here too is going to be a handful for Philly to deal with. This one decided by single digits. 10* SACRAMENTO +10.5 |
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01-29-22 | Rutgers v. Nebraska OVER 138 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NCAAB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 138 in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - When these teams met at Rutgers, the Scarlet Knights scored 93 points and no the game did NOT go to overtime! Now the rematch is in Nebraska and the Cornhuskers like to play fast and they tend to score better at home. The Huskers even put up 65 in their loss to Wisconsin Thursday. The Badgers are known for solid defense. That said, I look for a breakout game offensively from Nebraska in this one but they again will struggle to stop Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are off a low-scoring loss to Maryland at home but they did have over 60 field goal attempts in the game but simply struggled to hit shots. Once again, the Knights will not have trouble scoring on this rather lackluster Huskers defense. Nebraska has allowed nearly 80 points per game this season. The line on this game is nearly a pick'em. Even if each team only gets to the 70 mark rather than 80 in this one we still have a winner. I feel we have excellent line value here on the Cornhuskers total in a game that is "off the radar" of most bettors! 10* OVER 138 in Nebraska |
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01-29-22 | St. John's +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm +13.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 4:30 ET - The Red Storm can hang tough in this game. Looking at their road games this season, St John's did get blown out once but they also lost by 2 at Indiana, lost by 2 at Pittsburgh, lost by 10 at a ranked Providence team, lost in OT at UConn, and are off a big road win at Seton Hall. As you can see the Red Storm have been solid away from home and are coming off a confidence-boosting win over the Pirates. That said, I feel this is too many points for Villanova to be laying here. The Wildcats are a strong ranked team but off a dominating win over DePaul that is resulting in an inflated line here. Nova has big games against two ranked teams, Marquette and UConn, coming up and the Cats may not be fully prepared her for a scrappy Red Storm team that is absolutely going to give them all they can handle in this one. Look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin. 9* ST JOHN'S +13.5 |
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01-28-22 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 212.5 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Quick...who are the two worst teams in the NBA and why are they are so bad? Here they are folks! The teams with the worst records in the NBA are the Magic and the Pistons and each allowing 110+ points per game on average. I just do not expect to see a whole lot of defense in this one. Detroit has allowed 118 points per game last 6 games! Orlando has allowed 108 points or more in 6 of last 8 games. In those 6 games the Magic allowed an average of 113 points per game. Orlando has gotten healthier and gotten most of their guys back now and this has helped lead the way to the Magic averaging 110.5 points per game their last 4 games. After struggling with the 3-ball against the Clippers in a loss Wednesday, look for things to open up much more on that end of the floor against Detroit and the open shots will be falling for the Magic at home but they also can not stop the Pistons here! The result? Plenty of points! 10* OVER 212.5 in Orlando |
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01-28-22 | Pennsylvania +4 v. Harvard | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers +4 @ Harvard Crimson @ 5 ET - Dingle is off a huge game for the Quakers even though he shot very poorly from 3-point land. Getting him rolling again - 31 points in that game - is a huge plus for Penn and watch him now knock down his threes at a much higher rate in this one. The Quakers are playing better currently than what their full-season record indicates and that is why they are such a small dog here even though Harvard has the much better full-season record. Note that the Crimson have been without forward Chris Ledlum - top rebounder and 2nd leading scorer - each of last 3 games. Also, Harvard has been without another key rotation player, guard Idan Tretout, each of the last 3 games. The Quakers get it done on the road here and we probably will not even need the points but I will grab them for added insurance in this one. 10* PENNSYLVANIA +4 |
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01-28-22 | Colgate -1 v. Boston University | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Colgate Raiders -1 @ Boston University Terriers @ 2 ET - Both teams entering this game on hot streaks but Boston University enters the game with the much better record on the season plus this game is on their home floor. Do not let the line fool you here. The game is priced this way for a reason and Colgate dominated the Terriers in their meetings last season plus enters this game on a 4-game winning streak with all 4 wins by MORE than a DOZEN points each! The Raiders get the best of this one even though the game is at Case Gym in Boston. 9* COLGATE -1 |
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01-27-22 | Lakers +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 87-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Lakers +3 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Right away this morning this line jumped out at me. This line opened nearly at a pick'em even though Philly is at home and has won 12 of 15 games and they are hosting a Lakers team that had lost 11 of last 18 games before the win at Brooklyn. Also, LA is only 9-12 in road games this season. Sure, Anthony Davis is back now for the Lakers but essentially a "pick" on the road against a 76ers team that has been hot and has the better record this season. Looks funny, right? Sure enough the betting masses have hammered the Sixers here and the line has gone as high as a +3. As long time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am all over the small road dog here. This game was priced this way for a reason and I feel the Lakers have a chip on their shoulder and are out to prove some things now that they are getting healthy. Keep in mind, Sixers still dealing with some injury issues too. 10* LOS ANGELES LAKERS +3 |
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01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - Yes, the Badgers are off a loss here but the last time they were off a defeat they barely squeaked by Nicholls, a Southland Conference team! Also, Wisconsin has a big game on deck this weekend hosting rival Minnesota. Yes, the Badgers have a strong record this season but lets talk about what they have done since opening the season with a pair of blowout wins. Wisconsin has since gone 13-3 but the average margin of the 13 wins is only 6 points! Simply put, the Badgers are not known for blowing teams out. Only 2 of their last 12 victories have been by a double digit margin! The Cornhuskers have an ugly 6-13 SU record on the season but this is a scrappy underdog when on their home floor. Nebraska lost versus Ohio State in OT, was down by just 5 to Illinois with under 2 minutes to go in game, and lost by just 7 to Indiana. All those games were at home and all of those games so the Huskers fall just short. I would not be surprised, given the situation here, to see the Cornhuskers get the shocker upset but, at the very least, a home dog cover is likely here. 10* NEBRASKA |
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01-26-22 | Nuggets v. Nets OVER 221.5 | Top | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:10 ET - If you had the under last night in the Nuggets game I want to express my sincerest condolences. Trust me, I have had plenty of bad beats like that throughout my two decades in the business. Denver's game was on pace for 243 points entering the 4th quarter. Then, in the 4th quarter, a ridiculous total of 35 points were scored and the game stayed under the total. This is helping to give us line value here. Ironically, Brooklyn had a similar result last night versus the Lakers. Entering 4th quarter the game was on pace for 227 points but then the teams combined for only a ridiculous 32 points in the 4th quarter. All of this is combining to give us great line value here. What is also helping in terms of value is this total has dropped from the upper 220s to down near 220 and I will not pass up on this phenomenal line value. I feel quite certain of the kinda style we will see in this non-conference battle tonight with some tired legs in a back to back deciding to skip out on playing much defense from time to time. The over is 2-0 in last 2 meetings and we see another one here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn |
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01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Wednesday 9* Top Play Orlando Magic Pick vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers are off a hard-fought win last night at Washington where they rallied for the win after being down by 30 points at the half! Look for this to have taken a lot out of LA and now they face a rested Orlando team. While the Clips are 2nd night of a back to back and playing 5th road game in 8 days, the Magic playing just 2nd game in 5 days and have been off the past two days. Also, Mo Bamba has been back in starting lineup and is expected to be there again for Orlando tonight. The Magic going to be too much for a tired Los Angeles team in this one. 9* ORLANDO Pick |
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01-26-22 | Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 147 | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 147 in LaSalle Explorers vs Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - This total opened up around 151 and already has dropped to as low as 147. Yes, LaSalle is off back to back low-scoring losses but that had to do with the match-ups they faced. Now the Explorers face a UMass team that is one of the worst teams around when it comes to defense. The one thing the Minutemen can do is shoot the ball well including from beyond the arc. They love to get quick threes off and have no hesitation in being willing to play a fast-paced game. Massachusetts has allowed 82 points per game last 6 games! The Explorers need a strong performance at home after being bottled up by Richmond and Rhode Island. UMass will provide the perfect opportunity for the hosts to get going again. The over is 4-0 in the meetings between these teams the past two seasons. More of the same here! 10* OVER 147 in LaSalle |
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01-26-22 | Florida v. Tennessee OVER 133.5 | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators @ 6 ET - I am aware that Colin Castleton is still out for the Gators and he is Florida's leading scorer. However, he also led the team in rebounds and blocked shots. Guess what happens on the defensive end when you are without a guy like that? It is trouble for sure and now the Gators take on a ranked Tennessee team that will look to run them right out of the arena. However, Florida is still going to put up a fight here. Don't be surprised if they hang around in this game after getting knocked out of the SEC tourney by the Volunteers last March. This is their first meeting since and the guard-heavy Gators will do their best to hang around in this game in what will turn into a higher-scoring game than most expect. Florida does not have the interior defense to stop the Vols but, at the other end, the Gators will try to use quick guard play to keep the Tennessee defense on its heels. The result is a high-scoring game. 9* OVER 133.5 in Tennessee |
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01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 220 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play UNDER 220 in Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - We should see some good defensive intensity here. Both teams are off a loss and the Wizards loss was one in which they got blasted by 29 points. That is the type of defeat off a which a team usually responds with a much better effort. Washington had allowed an average of only 109 point last 7 games before that. The Wizards have scored an average of only 96 points last two games. The Clippers have scored only 102 points in each of their last two games. Los Angeles did have a high-scoring OT loss at Denver in the game that preceded those two but note that their 3 preceding road games before the Nuggets loss saw the Clippers average only 92 points per game! Considering the above as well as the line move from 215 to 220 we have excellent line value with the under in this one in my opinion. 10* UNDER 220 in Washington |
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01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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01-25-22 | DePaul v. Villanova OVER 133 | Top | 43-67 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 133 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 7 ET - The total has been dropping on this one. I like the over as the Wildcats so strong at home and we are getting value here because the Blue Demons are off a low-scoring loss but this is a DePaul team that does get involved in high-scoring games quite often. The Blue Demons were on a 5-0 run to the over before back to back unders so now we get line value in this spot. Villanova averaging 79 points at home this season. DePaul is averaging 76 points this season. The Wildcats do play solid defense when needed but look for this to be a blowout win, as you can tell by the pointspread, and there will be less attention on the defensive end as a result. Each of the last 3 meetings between the teams, including one earlier this season, went over the total. Going further back, it is an incredible 17-6 run to the over in games involving these foes. 10* OVER 133 in Villanova |
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01-24-22 | Bulls v. Thunder OVER 215.5 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have scored 94 ppg L3 games and the Bulls have scored 92.5 ppg L2 games. This total is a 215.5 and you would think the odds makers do not know what they are doing? Trust me...they do! In typical contrarian fashion what looks like a dead under has me going STRONG on the over in this one! This non-conference match-up will feature a lack of defense and a good pace and plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City |
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01-24-22 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202 | Top | 93-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 202 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This total has plummeted from 207.5 to a 202 and this has gone too far in my opinion. Cavs off low-scoring win versus OKC but have gone 3-1 to the over before that with those 4 games averaging 218.5 ppg. NY has scored 108 points or more in 5 of 7 games. The Knicks have allowed 102 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. 9* OVER 202 in Cleveland |
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01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 |
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01-24-22 | Jacksonville v. Kennesaw State OVER 128.5 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Annihilation Monday 9* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville Dolphins @ 5 ET - The Owls are off a loss and this season they have gone 4-0 and averaged 89.5 points per game! Yes some of those games were against weak competition but you can still see that Kennesaw has shown the way they respond to a loss is to push hard on the offensive end. I know Jacksonville, on the other hand, has a tendency to get involved in "grinders" as their games trend toward lower-scoring. However, the Owls are going to dictate the pace of this game on their home floor and the Dolphins will simply be forced to play up to that tempo. Both teams have high shooting percentages this season and couple that with a good pace this game should easily get into the 130s in my opinion. 9* OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State |
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01-23-22 | Clippers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 1:10 ET - I know this is a contrarian play because these are two of the lower scoring teams in the league. However, just look at how low this total has gotten. It is in the 205 range as of about 3 hours before tip-off and I feel that will prove to be too low. The Clippers are off a tight 102-101 win over the Sixers in Philly Friday. That was the 5th straight time that Los Angeles has allowed more than 100 points and they have allowed, not including OT, an average of 113 during this stretch. The Clippers, not including OT, have scored an average of 118 points last 3 games. So the point is that they can, and have been recently, putting up some bigger points. As for the Knicks, they have scored better in a number of recent games as New York had scored 108 or more points in 4 of last 5 games before poor effort in loss to New Orleans Thursday. With extra rest too, and off an ugly loss, I expect the Knicks to bounce back big here on their home floor. New York has allowed 105 points per game in their last 4 games. That is their season average for points allowed too and they are a 4 point favorite here so that would make the final 109-105 if odds makers are correct on the spread and that puts this total in the 214 range. You can see why I feel we have some value here. 10* OVER 205 in New York |
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01-23-22 | Butler v. Providence OVER 126.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Providence vs Butler @ NOON ET - There is an old saying that if something is not broken do not try to fix it. Of course that makes a lot of sense and the point is that Providence has exploded for 83 points in each of their last two games. Both of those contests were at home just like this one is and the Friars are proving they can win faster-paced games too. I am well aware that in terms of pacing, both Providence and the Bulldogs are known for playing slower. However, even with that, Providence has scored at least 70 in each of their last 4 wins and those games saw the Friars average 76.5 points per game. The Bulldogs, though known for playing slower, have lost 3 straight games and allowed at least 75 points in each loss. In fact, the Bulldogs are 6-6 last dozen games and allowed more than 70 points in all 6 losses. Providence is about a 9 point favorite here. If they score at least 71 and the line is about right that puts this at 71-62 which is 133 points and we have a total in the 127 range. Good value here as the way the Friars have been going I expect this game to close to the 140 mark. Look for a 75-65 type game. 10* OVER 126.5 in Providence |
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01-22-22 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 230.5 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Love grabbing the over on a huge number like this in Milwaukee after last night's Bucks game with the Bulls totaled just 184 points! Milwaukee AND Chicago each had their worst 3-point shooting performances of the SEASON in last night's game. Now, after that hard-fought defensive battle in a divisional battle between two of the top teams, the Bucks are hosting a non-conference foe tonight. I like to look at overs in non-conference games when the situation is right and that is certainly the case here. Milwaukee has beaten Sacramento 10 straight times but you know the Kings are going to push the tempo here and try to catch the Bucks a little tired in the 2nd game of a B2B. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams! Sacramento on a 3-1 run to the over and these 4 games have seen the Kings average 123.5 ppg but allow 120.3 ppg. The Bucks last two games, before the grinder versus the Bulls, averaged 237.5 total points. Look for this one to get into that range as well. 10* OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-22-22 | St. Joe's v. VCU OVER 134 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 2:30 ET - VCU is off B2B losses but now face a team they can dominate. The last two times they faced teams as a favorite in this price range was in their two games prior to the two game losing streak. The Rams averaged 84.5 ppg in two blowout victories. As for St Joseph's, yes they could get blown out here and they are a double digit dog for a reason. But the Hawks are off a 9 point win over George Washington and a win like that can go a long way toward building up some confidence again. Each of the Hawks last 3 road games have totaled at least 139 points. St Joseph's has allowed 75 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. They have given up an average of 76.5 in last two games versus Rams. With VCU off B2B losses I just seem them completely taking advantage of a game they can run away with here and I expect a good pace and a ton of points as a result. 10* OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth |
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01-21-22 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers have had back to back high-scoring games and even though the last one went into OT, the teams did combine for 228 in regulation. Prior to that game, Los Angeles had a game versus Indiana total 272 points. I like overs in non-conference match-ups when the situation is right and the 76ers have been scoring well too as they have scored 109 points or more in 10 of last 12 games. In fact, in those 10 games, Philly has averaged 116.3 points per game. Those were all wins and they are supposed to win this game too as you can tell by the line sitting in the -8.5 range. So if we estimate an "average" win for the Sixers and this game landing close to the number you are talking about a 116 to 108 type game which is double digits above the posted number on this total! I'll take it as I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity in a non-conference match-up like this. 10* OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 |
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01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown v. Providence OVER 143 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Providence Friars vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The Friars have not played in almost two weeks. The Hoyas know their best chance to win this game is to come into Providence and try to run the Friars right out of the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Indeed, Georgetown likes to play at a fast pace and they could try to utilize that here to catch Providence a little flat-footed after the layoff. The problem for the Hoyas is they have a tendency to ignore defense. This is particularly true on the road where they are allowing 80 points per game. Georgetown is off rare B2B unders but this was preceded by a 5-0 run to the over and the Hoyas consistently allow big point totals. Providence is not known as a particularly high-scoring team but they have averaged 75 points as a host this season. The Friars scored 83 in most recent game and should get at least that here and they are a 10 point favorite here an 83-73 game puts this well over the posted total. I like our chances for solid winner here! 10* OVER 143 in Providence |
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01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
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01-19-22 | Mississippi State v. Florida OVER 137.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Both teams off wins. The Gators have scored 70 points or more in 4 of last 5 games and averaged 75 points in those 4 games. The Bulldogs off B2B wins and have won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 69 points in all 6 games. Mississippi State averaged 78.4 ppg in these 7 games. The posted total on this one is a little low in my opinion given the above. This is particularly true in a game which should be close enough late that we'll see some late fouling and late-game scramble points as a result. Gators averaging 74 points in home games this season and the Bulldogs have been hot and scoring well as you can see. Each of last two meetings between these teams has gone over the total and Mississippi State enters this game on a 5-0 run to the over! 10* OVER 137.5 in Florida |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Early Contrarian Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +3.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The Wolves are attracting attention here as a small road favorite but, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side. I like the Knicks as a home dog off an embarrassingly low-scoring home loss to Charlotte. Keep in mind, New York had won 5 of 6 (both SU and ATS) before that loss. Also, the Knicks now catch the Timberwolves off a huge win over Golden State. Could Minnesota be a little flat after the Warriors? I absolutely believe so. Also, the Knicks have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and the only loss was by a single point! Value with the home dog getting solid points here! 10* NEW YORK KNICKS +3.5 |
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01-18-22 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 136 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 136 in Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Wolverines off ugly low-scoring loss but to a tough Illinois team and the over was on a 5-1 run in Michigan games heading into that one. Maryland is off an ugly low-scoring loss to Rutgers but the Terrapins entered that game having had only 1 under last 7 games. Both teams off games where they were held under 60 points. Both teams had been trending over prior to those disappointing losses. Also note that the last 4 meetings between these teams all were overs. It all adds up to a solid opportunity for an over based on situational factors. 10* OVER 136 in Michigan |
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01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
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01-17-22 | Drake v. Southern Illinois OVER 130 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 130 in Southern Illinois Salukis vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - Double revenge spot for the Salukis as they lost both match-ups with the Bulldogs last season. Hard to trust Southern Illinois though here against a Drake team playing well this season. What I can trust is that we have good value with the low total posted on this one. 6 of last 8 Salukis games have totaled at least 130 points. Drake has won 6 of last 7 games and have scored 80 or more points in 4 of last 5 wins. 14 of the 17 Bulldogs games, not including OT points, have totaled more than the posted total on this game. Great value here in my opinion. 10* OVER 130 in Southern Illinois |
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01-17-22 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta |