Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - Yes, the Badgers are off a loss here but the last time they were off a defeat they barely squeaked by Nicholls, a Southland Conference team! Also, Wisconsin has a big game on deck this weekend hosting rival Minnesota. Yes, the Badgers have a strong record this season but lets talk about what they have done since opening the season with a pair of blowout wins. Wisconsin has since gone 13-3 but the average margin of the 13 wins is only 6 points! Simply put, the Badgers are not known for blowing teams out. Only 2 of their last 12 victories have been by a double digit margin! The Cornhuskers have an ugly 6-13 SU record on the season but this is a scrappy underdog when on their home floor. Nebraska lost versus Ohio State in OT, was down by just 5 to Illinois with under 2 minutes to go in game, and lost by just 7 to Indiana. All those games were at home and all of those games so the Huskers fall just short. I would not be surprised, given the situation here, to see the Cornhuskers get the shocker upset but, at the very least, a home dog cover is likely here. 10* NEBRASKA |
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01-26-22 | Nuggets v. Nets OVER 221.5 | Top | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:10 ET - If you had the under last night in the Nuggets game I want to express my sincerest condolences. Trust me, I have had plenty of bad beats like that throughout my two decades in the business. Denver's game was on pace for 243 points entering the 4th quarter. Then, in the 4th quarter, a ridiculous total of 35 points were scored and the game stayed under the total. This is helping to give us line value here. Ironically, Brooklyn had a similar result last night versus the Lakers. Entering 4th quarter the game was on pace for 227 points but then the teams combined for only a ridiculous 32 points in the 4th quarter. All of this is combining to give us great line value here. What is also helping in terms of value is this total has dropped from the upper 220s to down near 220 and I will not pass up on this phenomenal line value. I feel quite certain of the kinda style we will see in this non-conference battle tonight with some tired legs in a back to back deciding to skip out on playing much defense from time to time. The over is 2-0 in last 2 meetings and we see another one here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn |
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01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Wednesday 9* Top Play Orlando Magic Pick vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers are off a hard-fought win last night at Washington where they rallied for the win after being down by 30 points at the half! Look for this to have taken a lot out of LA and now they face a rested Orlando team. While the Clips are 2nd night of a back to back and playing 5th road game in 8 days, the Magic playing just 2nd game in 5 days and have been off the past two days. Also, Mo Bamba has been back in starting lineup and is expected to be there again for Orlando tonight. The Magic going to be too much for a tired Los Angeles team in this one. 9* ORLANDO Pick |
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01-26-22 | Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 147 | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 147 in LaSalle Explorers vs Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - This total opened up around 151 and already has dropped to as low as 147. Yes, LaSalle is off back to back low-scoring losses but that had to do with the match-ups they faced. Now the Explorers face a UMass team that is one of the worst teams around when it comes to defense. The one thing the Minutemen can do is shoot the ball well including from beyond the arc. They love to get quick threes off and have no hesitation in being willing to play a fast-paced game. Massachusetts has allowed 82 points per game last 6 games! The Explorers need a strong performance at home after being bottled up by Richmond and Rhode Island. UMass will provide the perfect opportunity for the hosts to get going again. The over is 4-0 in the meetings between these teams the past two seasons. More of the same here! 10* OVER 147 in LaSalle |
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01-26-22 | Florida v. Tennessee OVER 133.5 | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators @ 6 ET - I am aware that Colin Castleton is still out for the Gators and he is Florida's leading scorer. However, he also led the team in rebounds and blocked shots. Guess what happens on the defensive end when you are without a guy like that? It is trouble for sure and now the Gators take on a ranked Tennessee team that will look to run them right out of the arena. However, Florida is still going to put up a fight here. Don't be surprised if they hang around in this game after getting knocked out of the SEC tourney by the Volunteers last March. This is their first meeting since and the guard-heavy Gators will do their best to hang around in this game in what will turn into a higher-scoring game than most expect. Florida does not have the interior defense to stop the Vols but, at the other end, the Gators will try to use quick guard play to keep the Tennessee defense on its heels. The result is a high-scoring game. 9* OVER 133.5 in Tennessee |
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01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 220 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play UNDER 220 in Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - We should see some good defensive intensity here. Both teams are off a loss and the Wizards loss was one in which they got blasted by 29 points. That is the type of defeat off a which a team usually responds with a much better effort. Washington had allowed an average of only 109 point last 7 games before that. The Wizards have scored an average of only 96 points last two games. The Clippers have scored only 102 points in each of their last two games. Los Angeles did have a high-scoring OT loss at Denver in the game that preceded those two but note that their 3 preceding road games before the Nuggets loss saw the Clippers average only 92 points per game! Considering the above as well as the line move from 215 to 220 we have excellent line value with the under in this one in my opinion. 10* UNDER 220 in Washington |
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01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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01-25-22 | DePaul v. Villanova OVER 133 | Top | 43-67 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 133 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 7 ET - The total has been dropping on this one. I like the over as the Wildcats so strong at home and we are getting value here because the Blue Demons are off a low-scoring loss but this is a DePaul team that does get involved in high-scoring games quite often. The Blue Demons were on a 5-0 run to the over before back to back unders so now we get line value in this spot. Villanova averaging 79 points at home this season. DePaul is averaging 76 points this season. The Wildcats do play solid defense when needed but look for this to be a blowout win, as you can tell by the pointspread, and there will be less attention on the defensive end as a result. Each of the last 3 meetings between the teams, including one earlier this season, went over the total. Going further back, it is an incredible 17-6 run to the over in games involving these foes. 10* OVER 133 in Villanova |
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01-24-22 | Bulls v. Thunder OVER 215.5 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have scored 94 ppg L3 games and the Bulls have scored 92.5 ppg L2 games. This total is a 215.5 and you would think the odds makers do not know what they are doing? Trust me...they do! In typical contrarian fashion what looks like a dead under has me going STRONG on the over in this one! This non-conference match-up will feature a lack of defense and a good pace and plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City |
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01-24-22 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202 | Top | 93-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 202 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This total has plummeted from 207.5 to a 202 and this has gone too far in my opinion. Cavs off low-scoring win versus OKC but have gone 3-1 to the over before that with those 4 games averaging 218.5 ppg. NY has scored 108 points or more in 5 of 7 games. The Knicks have allowed 102 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. 9* OVER 202 in Cleveland |
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01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 |
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01-24-22 | Jacksonville v. Kennesaw State OVER 128.5 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Annihilation Monday 9* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville Dolphins @ 5 ET - The Owls are off a loss and this season they have gone 4-0 and averaged 89.5 points per game! Yes some of those games were against weak competition but you can still see that Kennesaw has shown the way they respond to a loss is to push hard on the offensive end. I know Jacksonville, on the other hand, has a tendency to get involved in "grinders" as their games trend toward lower-scoring. However, the Owls are going to dictate the pace of this game on their home floor and the Dolphins will simply be forced to play up to that tempo. Both teams have high shooting percentages this season and couple that with a good pace this game should easily get into the 130s in my opinion. 9* OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State |
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01-23-22 | Clippers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 1:10 ET - I know this is a contrarian play because these are two of the lower scoring teams in the league. However, just look at how low this total has gotten. It is in the 205 range as of about 3 hours before tip-off and I feel that will prove to be too low. The Clippers are off a tight 102-101 win over the Sixers in Philly Friday. That was the 5th straight time that Los Angeles has allowed more than 100 points and they have allowed, not including OT, an average of 113 during this stretch. The Clippers, not including OT, have scored an average of 118 points last 3 games. So the point is that they can, and have been recently, putting up some bigger points. As for the Knicks, they have scored better in a number of recent games as New York had scored 108 or more points in 4 of last 5 games before poor effort in loss to New Orleans Thursday. With extra rest too, and off an ugly loss, I expect the Knicks to bounce back big here on their home floor. New York has allowed 105 points per game in their last 4 games. That is their season average for points allowed too and they are a 4 point favorite here so that would make the final 109-105 if odds makers are correct on the spread and that puts this total in the 214 range. You can see why I feel we have some value here. 10* OVER 205 in New York |
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01-23-22 | Butler v. Providence OVER 126.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Providence vs Butler @ NOON ET - There is an old saying that if something is not broken do not try to fix it. Of course that makes a lot of sense and the point is that Providence has exploded for 83 points in each of their last two games. Both of those contests were at home just like this one is and the Friars are proving they can win faster-paced games too. I am well aware that in terms of pacing, both Providence and the Bulldogs are known for playing slower. However, even with that, Providence has scored at least 70 in each of their last 4 wins and those games saw the Friars average 76.5 points per game. The Bulldogs, though known for playing slower, have lost 3 straight games and allowed at least 75 points in each loss. In fact, the Bulldogs are 6-6 last dozen games and allowed more than 70 points in all 6 losses. Providence is about a 9 point favorite here. If they score at least 71 and the line is about right that puts this at 71-62 which is 133 points and we have a total in the 127 range. Good value here as the way the Friars have been going I expect this game to close to the 140 mark. Look for a 75-65 type game. 10* OVER 126.5 in Providence |
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01-22-22 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 230.5 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Love grabbing the over on a huge number like this in Milwaukee after last night's Bucks game with the Bulls totaled just 184 points! Milwaukee AND Chicago each had their worst 3-point shooting performances of the SEASON in last night's game. Now, after that hard-fought defensive battle in a divisional battle between two of the top teams, the Bucks are hosting a non-conference foe tonight. I like to look at overs in non-conference games when the situation is right and that is certainly the case here. Milwaukee has beaten Sacramento 10 straight times but you know the Kings are going to push the tempo here and try to catch the Bucks a little tired in the 2nd game of a B2B. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams! Sacramento on a 3-1 run to the over and these 4 games have seen the Kings average 123.5 ppg but allow 120.3 ppg. The Bucks last two games, before the grinder versus the Bulls, averaged 237.5 total points. Look for this one to get into that range as well. 10* OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-22-22 | St. Joe's v. VCU OVER 134 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 2:30 ET - VCU is off B2B losses but now face a team they can dominate. The last two times they faced teams as a favorite in this price range was in their two games prior to the two game losing streak. The Rams averaged 84.5 ppg in two blowout victories. As for St Joseph's, yes they could get blown out here and they are a double digit dog for a reason. But the Hawks are off a 9 point win over George Washington and a win like that can go a long way toward building up some confidence again. Each of the Hawks last 3 road games have totaled at least 139 points. St Joseph's has allowed 75 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. They have given up an average of 76.5 in last two games versus Rams. With VCU off B2B losses I just seem them completely taking advantage of a game they can run away with here and I expect a good pace and a ton of points as a result. 10* OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth |
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01-21-22 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers have had back to back high-scoring games and even though the last one went into OT, the teams did combine for 228 in regulation. Prior to that game, Los Angeles had a game versus Indiana total 272 points. I like overs in non-conference match-ups when the situation is right and the 76ers have been scoring well too as they have scored 109 points or more in 10 of last 12 games. In fact, in those 10 games, Philly has averaged 116.3 points per game. Those were all wins and they are supposed to win this game too as you can tell by the line sitting in the -8.5 range. So if we estimate an "average" win for the Sixers and this game landing close to the number you are talking about a 116 to 108 type game which is double digits above the posted number on this total! I'll take it as I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity in a non-conference match-up like this. 10* OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 |
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01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown v. Providence OVER 143 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Providence Friars vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The Friars have not played in almost two weeks. The Hoyas know their best chance to win this game is to come into Providence and try to run the Friars right out of the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Indeed, Georgetown likes to play at a fast pace and they could try to utilize that here to catch Providence a little flat-footed after the layoff. The problem for the Hoyas is they have a tendency to ignore defense. This is particularly true on the road where they are allowing 80 points per game. Georgetown is off rare B2B unders but this was preceded by a 5-0 run to the over and the Hoyas consistently allow big point totals. Providence is not known as a particularly high-scoring team but they have averaged 75 points as a host this season. The Friars scored 83 in most recent game and should get at least that here and they are a 10 point favorite here an 83-73 game puts this well over the posted total. I like our chances for solid winner here! 10* OVER 143 in Providence |
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01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
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01-19-22 | Mississippi State v. Florida OVER 137.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Both teams off wins. The Gators have scored 70 points or more in 4 of last 5 games and averaged 75 points in those 4 games. The Bulldogs off B2B wins and have won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 69 points in all 6 games. Mississippi State averaged 78.4 ppg in these 7 games. The posted total on this one is a little low in my opinion given the above. This is particularly true in a game which should be close enough late that we'll see some late fouling and late-game scramble points as a result. Gators averaging 74 points in home games this season and the Bulldogs have been hot and scoring well as you can see. Each of last two meetings between these teams has gone over the total and Mississippi State enters this game on a 5-0 run to the over! 10* OVER 137.5 in Florida |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Early Contrarian Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +3.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The Wolves are attracting attention here as a small road favorite but, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side. I like the Knicks as a home dog off an embarrassingly low-scoring home loss to Charlotte. Keep in mind, New York had won 5 of 6 (both SU and ATS) before that loss. Also, the Knicks now catch the Timberwolves off a huge win over Golden State. Could Minnesota be a little flat after the Warriors? I absolutely believe so. Also, the Knicks have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and the only loss was by a single point! Value with the home dog getting solid points here! 10* NEW YORK KNICKS +3.5 |
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01-18-22 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 136 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 136 in Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Wolverines off ugly low-scoring loss but to a tough Illinois team and the over was on a 5-1 run in Michigan games heading into that one. Maryland is off an ugly low-scoring loss to Rutgers but the Terrapins entered that game having had only 1 under last 7 games. Both teams off games where they were held under 60 points. Both teams had been trending over prior to those disappointing losses. Also note that the last 4 meetings between these teams all were overs. It all adds up to a solid opportunity for an over based on situational factors. 10* OVER 136 in Michigan |
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01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
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01-17-22 | Drake v. Southern Illinois OVER 130 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 130 in Southern Illinois Salukis vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - Double revenge spot for the Salukis as they lost both match-ups with the Bulldogs last season. Hard to trust Southern Illinois though here against a Drake team playing well this season. What I can trust is that we have good value with the low total posted on this one. 6 of last 8 Salukis games have totaled at least 130 points. Drake has won 6 of last 7 games and have scored 80 or more points in 4 of last 5 wins. 14 of the 17 Bulldogs games, not including OT points, have totaled more than the posted total on this game. Great value here in my opinion. 10* OVER 130 in Southern Illinois |
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01-17-22 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta |
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01-16-22 | Loyola Maryland v. Lehigh OVER 133 | Top | 69-57 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB In the Zone Sunday Top Play 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds @ 6 ET - This total has moved lower than it should be in my opinion and we have excellent line value here as a result. The Greyhounds have won 4 straight and 9 of last 11 so they are playing with a lot of confidence. Loyola Maryland, and not including OT points, has had only 3 games out of last 10 that have totaled less than the posted total on this game. The odds are in our favor to top this total because Lehigh also playing with added confidence from winning 5 of last 6 games. No the Mountain Hawks are not a great team by any stretch of the imagination but winning games and now playing again at home here, it all adds up to confidence and a good pace of play. Lehigh has averaged 78.4 points scored per game in those 5 wins. 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh |
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01-15-22 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 220 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:35 ET - I lost with the over in Milwaukee Thursday. The Bucks had 77 points at the half but then proceeded to score only 41 more the rest of the way after nearly reaching the 41 point mark in each of the first two quarters. The problem in that game was the Warriors could not get anything going and the game had a massive margin and so Milwaukee was able to empty the bench and slow the game down and cruise to the victory. That scenario is not being repeated here! That said, look for Toronto to be ultra competitive here off B2B losses. The Raptors have had 3 straight unders but this was preceded by 10 straight overs. The Bucks have averaged 119 points per game last 6 home games and they are about a 7 point favorite here. 119 to 112 sounds about right in this one and that is 10 points clear of the posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 221 in Milwaukee |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State OVER 121 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 121 in Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Longhorns @ 2 ET - This total just too low and putting too much emphasis on the solid defensive numbers these teams have and not enough on their respectable production on offense. Both teams average 70 to 71 points per game and shoot 45 to 47 percent from the field. Also the history of this series shows 24-9 run to the over including 13-2 run to the over in games played at Iowa State. Yes some of that history is older history but the numbers impress nonetheless and looking at shorter term the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings! I look for the Cyclones, off B2B losses following their grinder win over Texas Tech, to absolutely push a little harder here in this one and that means a better pace. They can't afford to just sit back in this one as they need a win. As for the Longhorns, they have scored 66 or more points in 5 of last 6 games. Texas helps push this game into the 130s the way my numbers see this playing out. 10* OVER 121 in Texas |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - Yes the Sixers off a loss but they clearly got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the rival Celtics. Philadelphia had won 7 straight games before that loss. Also, the 76ers have won 4 of last 5 versus Boston. The Celtics are off a win and cover but this was preceded by ATS losses in 6 of last 8 games. The better team at home and laying a manageable price and they had been the hotter team. I'll take it as the Sixers bounce back off a loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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01-14-22 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 161 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 161 in Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls @ 6 ET - I know this is a big total but it is fully justified because both teams very comfortable playing at a high pace and the home team is a big dog for a reason here. The point is that the Cards can run and gun all they want because they think they have a shot on their home floor but the reality is this Buffalo team is just too much. So I look for the Bulls to win by the spread posted on this game - right around it so no play - but I expect the result to be a ton of points. Ball State has allowed 80 or more points in 5 of last 9 games. Buffalo is off a win in which they held their opponent to 64 points but this was preceded by the Bulls allowing 88 points or more in 3 straight games! Buffalo has scored at least 76 points in 6 of last 7 games. So they consistently score well but consistently allow a lot of points too. Ball State has scored an average of 84 points in their last 6 wins but allowed 83 points in their last 8 losses. Per the above you can see that no matter which way this game goes as to the side, we should see a ton of points and I look for a frenetic pace in this one. 10* OVER 161 in Ball State |
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01-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks OVER 223.5 | Top | 99-118 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams each totaled 237 points and averaged 240 points. I know there are some injury issues at play here but I like the fact the Bucks are off a game in which they did not reach the century mark in points. Prior to back to back low-scoring losses at Charlotte, Milwaukee had won 7 of 10 games and scored an average of 118.8 points per game. The Warriors have been involved with some surprisingly low-scoring results of late but this is still a team averaging 110 points per game on the season. Golden State's loss at Memphis totaled 224 Tuesday and is a sign that the point totals in Warriors games are going to start going back up and I look for this one to soar into the 230s just like the last two meetings between these non-conference foes. 10* OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-13-22 | Stanford +7.5 v. Washington State | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Stanford Cardinal +7.5 @ Washington State Cougars @ 5 ET - There has been a line move toward the Cougars here and it is likely due to the fact that the Cardinal are in a perceived flat spot coming off their big upset win versus USC Tuesday. So I get it. I understand it. But I feel we have value here as the line is just too much. Stanford is 9-4 SU this season and their last two losses were by 7 or less points. They won't be too tired from Tuesday's game because it was their first game since prior to Christmas. Keep in mind too that Washington State is off a bit of a big win too as Saturday they got their first win at Utah in 75 years. The Cougars have not won back to back games since November. Also, the Cardinal had won 3 straight in this series before a loss in the most recent meeting between these teams so some payback is on order here. Even if they fall short SU look for the points to be enough for the ATS cover for the road dog in this one. 10* STANFORD +7.5 |
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01-12-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +5.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Not only does Charlotte have revenge here from the Sixers having dominated recent meetings in this series, the Hornets also catch Philly with a big game against rival Boston on deck. I love this game for the situational aspects and Charlotte comes into this one hot with wins in 6 of last 8 games and 1 of those 2 losses was by just 3 points. The Hornets are on a 7-2 ATS run last 9 games and I am fully expecting at least another cover here and an outright win would truly not be a shock by any stretch of the imagination! There is a reason the 76ers, even though at home and on a 7-game winning streak, are priced so low here. In other words, don't let the line fool you! Grab the points with the underdog. 10* CHARLOTTE +5.5 |
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01-12-22 | Villanova v. Xavier UNDER 139.5 | Top | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 139.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - Look for Xavier to be very focused on the defensive end here. Revenge game from a 71-58 loss at Villanova just two games back. Also, the only other time the Musketeers were off a loss this season they won their next 59-58 in a grinder. Now I know Xavier has played one game since the loss to the Wildcats but you get the point - the Musketeers know how to turn the heat up on defense when necessary. Speaking of turning up heat when on D, the Wildcats have allowed just 57.3 points per game last ten games. Look for a grinder in Cincinnati tonight. 10* UNDER 139.5 in Xavier |
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01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 214.5 | Top | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - This is another one where waiting has paid off as this total has ticked downward a little bit this morning. I know that Oklahoma City has been trending under and that has resulted in some movement here with this total. However, Washington is at home for this one and will dictate the flow of this game and the over is 4-1 the last 5 times Wizards were off a win. The only under in those 5 games was a game that totaled 225 points! Also, Washington is off an under and they have not had back to back unders since November! Lot of things pointing to an over here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 214.5 in Washington |
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01-11-22 | Hofstra v. Towson OVER 144.5 | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
CBB CBS Sports Network Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in Towson Tigers vs Hofstra Pride @ 5 ET - Similarity to yesterday's play in CBB here I am fading a line move as this one went from upper 140s to mid 140s and I love the value here. Towson struggled on the defensive end last season and it has continued this season but the Tigers at least are shooting a little better this season. As for Hofstra, their head coach has been out on medical leave so they have a co-head coach now in Speedy Claxton. If you recognize the name he was a star for Hofstra back in the day plus he played in the NBA including winning a title with the Spurs in 2003. The key here is hat Hofstra has played like his name "Speedy" for the most part this season! That said, and even moreso after the line move in this one, we should have another solid totals winner here! The Pride are averaging 79.3 ppg this season! The Tigers are averaging 71.8 ppg this season and, other than an "outlier" result versus Navy, have allowed 71 ppg last 5 games and you know Hofstra will push the pace in this one. Towson has big game at Elon, knocked them out of CAA tourney by 20+ point margin last season, on deck. The Tigers could get caught looking ahead here and the Pride will be trying to run them right of their own arena in this one. The result is a ton of points. 10* OVER 144.5 in Towson |
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01-10-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 96-111 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +6.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - Yes the Knicks might get Kemba Walker back tonight but that is a question mark and he has played only 6 games since around Thanksgiving. He has quite a ways to get in getting back in to top form if he even plays tonight. I love the Spurs in this revenge spot. They lost at home to New York earlier this season by a double digit margin. They are hungry from a win after coming up just short in overtime at Brooklyn yesterday. Even though this is a back to back spot the game yesterday was an ultra early one and San Antonio is actually in pretty good shape for this one. New York has only 3 wins by more than a 3 point margin in their last 9 home games! The Spurs last two road trips ended with tough match-ups at Phoenix and at LA (versus Lakers) but they got the job done ATS in both games and actually blew out the Lakers in a SU win there. Another upset here would not surprise me in the least but we should get a least the ATS cover at a minimum. 10* SAN ANTONIO +6.5 |
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01-10-22 | Campbell v. Winthrop OVER 135 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Winthrop Eagles vs Campbell Fighting Camels @ 5 ET - I am aware that Campbell likes to play at a slower and more deliberate pace and they are highly functional based on strong offensive efficiency. However, the Fighting Camels are not going to march into Winthrop and dictate the game pace here. That said, the Eagles have scored well in all their games as a host this season expect for when they faced an SEC team. Winthrop was outclassed in that game but they are certainly not outclassed here against a Big South rival. That said, note that the Eagles have scored 78 points or more in all of their games as a host this season except the loss to an SEC foe. Also, last season Winthrop faced Campbell three times and went a perfect 3-0 and scored an average of 86 points per game! Considering the Fighting Camels returned the majority of their key scoring from last season and the Eagles, even with Prosser now as head coach, have been scoring well and will not allow this to turn into a grinder; I love the over in this match-up. The total dropped from upper 130s to mid 130s and that means even more value here. 10* OVER 135 in Winthrop |
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01-09-22 | Spurs +11 v. Nets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +11 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 12:10 ET - Home game for Brooklyn means no Kyrie Irving. Nets struggling too as they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS last 5 games. I know San Antonio also struggling but they are not the ones laying double digits here! The point is that Brooklyn has been struggling to win games let alone cover big double digit spreads like this. I know the Spurs are down some guys but they hung around against the 76ers for much of that game Thursday until Philadelphia pulled away late. The way the Nets are going, I just don't see them as being capable of pulling away like that in this game. 10* SAN ANTONIO |
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01-09-22 | Minnesota +12 v. Indiana | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +12 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ Noon ET - Indiana is off a big win over Ohio State. Keep in mind though, that 16-point victory was a 4-point game with about 6 minutes left in the game. The Hoosiers, coming off a big win over ranked Big Ten foe, could absolutely be a little flat here. At the very least, their a little over-valued in this spot as a result in my opinion. Note that Indiana was only 4-3 SU last 7 games heading into that win over the Buckeyes. Minnesota just got blasted by Illinois by 23 points so the set up here in terms of line value is perfect. The Golden Gophers had entered that game against the Illini with an overall 10-1 record this season and the lone loss was by 8 points to a ranked Michigan State team. I feel the Gophers better than they are being given credit for here and we have big value with the big line. 10* MINNNESOTA +12 |
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01-08-22 | St. Mary's +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 43-52 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play St Mary's Gaels +3.5 @ Brigham Young Cougars @ 10 PM ET - In a game projected to be a tight low-scoring game there is extra value with having the points on your side. Both teams are strong defensively but what I like about St Mary's is their big trouble last season was poor shooting but they have better in that regard so far this season. The Gaels getting 3.5 points here because they are on the road but also I like the double revenge angle here as St Mary's returned most everybody from last season's team and they lost both games to BYU last season. Look for the Gaels to get some measure of revenge here against the Cougars and the best kind of revenge is payback for a home loss by handing that team a home loss. I expect an outright road win for the revenge-minded Gaels here at Brigham Young but will grab the point in case they fall just short. 10* ST MARY'S +3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Hoops Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz -3.5 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the injury issues / covid issues (at least as of 9 AM ET game day) but the fact is I just love the situational edges here. Yes I know that Utah is in a back to back but the fact they are off a loss and it was a game in which they led by double digits at the half has me liking the Jazz a ton here. They will clean things up after a defeat in which they turned it over 21 times in comparison to an opponent that turned it over only 7 times. Also, the Pacers are struggling badly. Indiana has lost 6 straight games and 9 of its last 11. Adding to the value here is Indiana won at Utah earlier this season in November. The Jazz want payback and they'll get it here! 10* UTAH -3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma OVER 128 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 6 ET - This total just too low. It has been greatly impacted by the grinder of a win that the Cyclones just had over Texas Tech earlier this week. The Sooners will dictate the pace here at home and favored by 6.5 points with good reason. The point is that Oklahoma hosting Iowa State plays out much differently than the Cyclones hosting the Red Raiders and this total is just far too low. Note that the Sooners have scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games this season. The Cyclones had scored 68 or more points in 10 of 13 games this season before the low-scoring win over Texas Tech. This game has high odds of finishing in the upper 130s given those numbers and yet we're dealing with a total in the upper 120s. I'll take it! 10* OVER 128 in Oklahoma |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - Spurs are on the road again and playing for 3rd time in 4 nights. Also, San Antonio off a huge upset win at Boston. The 76ers crushed SA by 35 points the last time they hosted them. After tonight, the Sixers next game not until Monday and that one is back on the road and Philly enters this game off a road win at Orlando. In other words, the 76ers will be fully focused and want to make the most of this opportunity at home. As for the Spurs, they have two more tough games while on this long road trip as they have the Nets and Knicks up next for Sunday and Monday. Look for this one to be all Philly as the home team is the healthier team too plus will be up for this one and this looks like a flat spot for the travelers in this match-up. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -2 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Golden Eagles will take advantage of a rusty Hoyas team here. Georgetown has not played in 3 weeks and they certainly are not invincible on their home floor either. Not only have the lost a couple at home already this season they also have lost to Marquette in each of the last two times they have hosted them. However, the Hoyas did beat the Golden Eagles in the Big East tourney last season and it is payback time here. Marquette did not just lose that game, they got embarrassed as they scored just 14 first-half points on their way to a 19 points loss. The Golden Eagles are a young team but have already grown as the season has gone on and have covered each of their last two road games plus enter this game off a big home win over Providence. 10* MARQUETTE -2 |
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01-07-22 | Northwestern State v. Incarnate Word OVER 147.5 | Top | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Northwestern State Demons @ 2:30 ET - Both teams off losses in which they did not shoot well yesterday in tournament action in Katy, TX. As a result, the betting markets are attracted to the under in this match-up. However, both these teams are horrible defensively, allow opponents to play at a fast pace, and in a meaningless tournament game (both lost yesterday) that means it is unlikely we are going to see a sudden uptick in defensive performance here. Also, against fellow Division I schools, these teams both have consistently given up a ton of points all season long. Look for that trending to continue here and, as a result, this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word |
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01-06-22 | Celtics v. Knicks OVER 207 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I lost with the over in Boston yesterday as a high-scoring 1st half ended up fading into a low-scoring 2nd half. We'll get payback today. This total has dropped from the 211 range to the 207 range and, keep in mind, the over is 3-0 the last 3 times the Celtics have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Knicks are known for lower scoring games generally speaking but they have averaged 107 points last 4 home games and Boston is averaging 113.4 points per game last 7 road games. 10* OVER 207 in New York |
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01-06-22 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +11 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Illini just are not the same team without point guard Andre Curbelo and his return is unlikely for tonight's game yet this line is priced as if he would be playing. Maryland is a talented team that has been bolstered this season with solid play from newcomers (transfers) Qudus Wahab and Fatts Russell. They have joined Eric Ayala to give this team a solid trio at the top and the Terrapins have not lost a game by more than 8 points this season. They are getting double digits here and, the point is, Maryland getting double digits as a dog would equate to a 13-0 record this season! I know Illinois, even with Curbelo hurting, is still a high-quality team but only 4 of their last 11 games have been victories by more than 10 points! I look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin given all of the above. 10* MARYLAND +11 |
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01-05-22 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 222 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jayson Tatum and the Spurs Dejounte Murray both expected to play in this one tonight. Boston has already been getting healthier and it has translated to higher-scoring action on the floor. The Celtics last two games both flew over the total. San Antonio also enters this one off B2B overs and on an overall run of 10-4 to the over last 14 games. Spurs in a back to back and unlikely to be at their best defensively in this match-up plus non-conference match-ups have a tendency to have less defensive intensity. 10* OVER 222 in Boston |
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01-05-22 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Wednesday CBB 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +2 @ Florida Gators @ 7 ET - We are getting line value here because the Crimson Tide are on the road. Alabama is ranked and is the better team in this match-up and Florida is not as strong as Gators teams we have seen in recent seasons. So long-term approach here is bettors see Florida as a small home favorite and are induced to jump all over it but Bama is really the stronger team this season and could contend for the SEC Title. Also, the Gators game at Ole Miss for last week was cancelled so this will be Florida's first game in two weeks. They are likely to be rusty here as a result. The Tide, on the other hand, are off a win versus Tennessee last week and that gives them an edge here as at least they have seen some recent action. I know the Crimson Tide have slipped up lately in terms of ATS results but that is merely serving to give us line value in this spot. Keep in mind Florida's last game was a big win but over an out-classed Stony Brook foe. Prior to that the Gators were on a 1-4 ATS run. The Tide has played the tougher schedule so far this season too. 10* ALABAMA +2 |
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01-04-22 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | Top | 104-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Spurs most recent game only went over the total because of overtime. However, high-scoring games have been the norm for San Antonio for quite some time now as they are on a run of 9-4 to the over. That is strong enough for sure but how about the Raptors torrid streak of overs? They are on an incredible run of 7 straight overs! The Spurs enter this game off B2B off days and fired up to respond after the OT loss at Detroit while the Raptors also enter this game rested as they were off yesterday. Fresh legs and trending toward high-scoring action means I will not pass up on this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Toronto |
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01-04-22 | Ohio +1.5 v. Akron | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Ohio University Bobcats +1.5 @ Akron Zips @ 6 ET - Akron is off a huge win over Buffalo. That was big for the Zips because the Bulls had knocked them out of the MAC Tournament last season. As for the Bobcats, they lost by 20 points in their visit to Akron last season so they will be looking to make up for that Tuesday. I expect Ohio University to do just that as they are a fantastic 10-2 this season and their only two losses were to LSU (12-1 this season) and Kentucky (a ranked team) and both those teams are solid SEC programs. The fact Bobcats are on the road here is the only reason they are a small dog and I won't hesitate to grab them given the above factors. They catch the Zips a little flat off their revenging win. 10* OHIO UNIVERSITY +1.5 |
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01-03-22 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 217 | Top | 113-133 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - Philly could have some defensive letdown after big win over Brooklyn. As for Houston, they hardly ever pay attention to defense no matter the situation. The over is on a 17-4 run in Rockets games. The over is 3-1 in last 4 meetings between these teams and both match-ups last season flew over the total. Non-conference match-ups generally not known for much defensive intensity. Also, the line move from low 220s down to mid 210s is offering solid line value here! 10* OVER 217 in Philadelphia |
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01-03-22 | Alabama State -8 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Rotation #306051 Alabama State Hornets -8 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ 5 ET - The Hornets are only 2-11 this season and yet opened up as 10 point favorites here on the road at Mississippi Valley State. Big mistake, right? After all the line already dropped to a -8 because the sharps must be lining up on the Delta Devils here. Long-time followers know how I feel about supposed mistakes by the odds makers. The fact is that Alabama State at least has a couple wins on the season and also the Hornets are coming off back to back ATS covers against Texas Tech and Texas! They have certainly been a lot more competitive than a Mississippi Valley State team that is 0-10 this season and losing by an average margin of 29.5 points per game! The Delta Devils have one loss by a 4-point margin but all the other 9 defeats hae been by 14 or more points and I feel strongly this one will too! The Hornets are the better shooting team and the much better team on the defensive end also and one of just two wins that Mississippi State had season was on the road against this team. Now payback will be delivered on the road in their first meeting since then! 10* Alabama State -8 |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 vs Providence Friars @ 3 ET - The Friars are off a big win versus Seton Hall but the Pirates were down 5 players, including 1 starter, and this resulted in a limited rotation as the bench was much shorter than usual. Now Providence faces a tough DePaul team and this is a rare road game for the Friars. Look for home court and health to be big difference makers here. Keep in mind Providence had just one player shoot well from 3-point land in the win over Seton Hall as the rest of the team made just 1 of 11 three pointers! Look for the Friars to struggle on the road here and the Blue Demons take advantage with a big home court win as they get revenge for a pair of tight losses last season versus Providence including one in double OT! 10* DEPAUL +1.5 |
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12-31-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - The Celtics are without leading scorer Jayson Tatum. The Suns have struggled recently and that has led to line value in this spot as it has kept the line lower than it should be. Boston has struggled and lost 3 straight games SU and now has lost 8 of last 11 games. Phoenix has won 11 of 14 road games SU this season and they get the win and cover in this one as home team struggles without Tatum and plus without Dennis Schroder and also Marcus Smart still dealing with a hand injury. 10* PHOENIX -4.5 |
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12-29-21 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5 vs Arkansas Razorbacks @ 5 ET - Bulldogs got blasted at Arkansas by double digits last season. That takes the run to 32-12 SU for the home team in match-ups between these foes. Mississippi State should keep that home trend going here and they are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings as a host against the Razorbacks. I look for a big key here to be that home court edge and also how it impacts the shooting of these two teams. Arkansas has been horrible both inside and outside the 3-point line in terms of shooting percentages away from home this season. The Bulldogs have been rock solid in terms of the shooting percentages at home this season with 50.2% and 40.6% overall and outside the arc, respectively. Lay the short number here. 10* MISSISSIPPI STATE -2.5 |
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12-28-21 | 76ers -6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors roster is severely depleted by covid right now. Even though Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent Jr should return tonight they could be on minutes restrictions and this is still a team expected to be without its top two scorers. Both Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby are expected to still be out for this one. Keep in mind the #3 and #4 scorers are Siakam and Trent so this team is far from 100 percent right now. Also, the road team has won and covered each of the last two meetings between these teams and that includes a road win for the Raptors at Philly last month which makes this a revenge game for the Sixers. With revenge on their side, including the playoff loss a few years ago in a season that ended in Toronto for Embiid and Philly, I am expecting the 76ers to come up big here and take advantage of a short-handed Raptors team. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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12-27-21 | Rockets +6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-123 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Houston Rockets +6.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets are missing a few key players. The Rockets are getting a little healthier and could have a few key guys back on the floor for this one. That said, I like the value with the under-valued underdog in this one. Charlotte is off a win but has not won back to back games since before Thanksgiving. Don't be surprised if the road dogs get the outright upset here but, of course, I am grabbing the points as added insurance. Charlotte was only 3-9 last 12 before most recent win and 2 of those 3 wins were by a margin of just 3 or less points! Tremendous underdog value here especially considering the current covid/injury issues for each club. 10* HOUSTON +6.5 |
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12-27-21 | Brown +10 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB ACC Network Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Brown Bears +10 @ Syracuse Orange @ 6 ET - With all the time off between games for these teams I feel it strongly favors a double-digit dog. That's because it could be a bit of a sloppy game with a tough flow to it. That equates to a game in which it is hard to establish a big lead and maintain it. Yes Syracuse is the better team from the bigger conference. However, the Orange playing for the first time since over two weeks ago. Also, that was a loss that wrapped up a 2-5 stretch for Syracuse and one of those two wins was by just two points in double overtime. The Bears off a loss versus Vermont but it was by only a 5-point margin and Brown entered that game having won 4 straight. Two Bears losses that immediately preceded the 4-game winning streak were by 6 or less points. Tremendous value with the points here as I look for it to be tough for Syracuse to pull away as both teams show some rust in this game after the long layoff. 10* BROWN +10 |
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12-26-21 | 76ers -3 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 or -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards are expected to be without one of their top scorers as Bradley Beal likely to miss due to covid protocols. The Sixers will take advantage with fresh legs for both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris and I expect each of them to play in this game. Either way, I like Philly in this match-up as the Sixers have won 9 of last 11 meetings between these teams and this is a small number to lay so a SU win should equate to an ATS win as well. I know the Sixers have been struggling but this looks like an ideal bounce back spot as Washington will be short-handed and is also just 1-3 SU and ATS last 3 home games. That trend continues here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 or -3.5 |
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12-25-21 | Wyoming -7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Wyoming Cowboys -7.5 vs South Florida @ 1:30 PM ET @ Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii - This game is the battle for 5th place in this tournament and it has a local start time of 8:30 AM ET on Christmas Day. That is very tough on teams even though the players have been in Hawaii for some time already. It is just tough to play early morning basketball and to shoot well that early in the day. That said, I feel this situation strongly favors the much better team on offense. Wyoming shoots about 10 percentage points higher both inside and outside the arc and also averages about 20 points more per game on the season! With that said, a South Florida team that often struggles to score points is likely in trouble in this early morning start! Also, the Bulls are off a rare win where they did score well. Keep in mind, this is a USF team that is 0-4 SU this season when off a win. Yes, South Florida has yet to win back to back games this season. The Cowboys have 10 SU wins this season and 9 of those in lined games and they have had only 1 ATS loss in those 9 victories! Lay it! 10* WYOMING -7.5 |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks -6 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 12:10 ET - Trae Young has been ruled out for this game so that explains the Hawks being an underdog of about a half dozen points in this one. New York is at home and the Knicks, very short-handed Thursday, actually impressed me with their efforts. I had Washington in that one and we got the well-deserved win but I did like what I saw from the Knicks. That said, they will be in a little better shape health-wise for this one and they catch the Hawks missing a very key player, Young, among others who could miss as well due to covid. This is the first time the Knicks have hosted the Hawks since Atlanta knocked them out of the post-season here at Madison Square Garden back in early June. That said, we have plenty of motivational factors working in our favor here as well. Yes the Knicks won at Atlanta last month but they have waited a long time for this chance to exact some revenge at home as well. I look for them to get it and for it to be a solid win by 9 or more points just like their 9-point win last month. 10* NEW YORK -6 |
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12-23-21 | Wizards -1 v. Knicks | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards -1 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Knicks have been greatly impacted by covid. That is why the Wizards are a small favorite here and is also why I will gladly take them in this spot! Washington has triple revenge from losing all 3 meetings with New York last season. The Wizards are off a big road win at Utah and have picked up 4 road wins since Thanksgiving so it is not as if Washington does not win on the road. Also, the Knicks are just so depleted in terms of their roster right now and this is a New York team which is off a win versus Detroit but this followed losses in 8 of last 10 games. 10* WASHINGTON |
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12-22-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Cavaliers have won and covered 6 straight games and overall are on an incredible 13-1 ATS run. The Celtics are off a home loss to Philly and have lost 5 of last 7 games SU. The Cavaliers have revenge from loss in most recent meeting between these teams and, keep in mind, before that defeat Cleveland had won 3 straight meetings with Boston. The Cavs have an incredible overall ATS record on the season plus are 10-5 SU in road games this season. Look for those trends to continue here. 10* CLEVELAND +6.5 |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee -1.5 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 vs Arizona Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Wildcats are 11-0 this season and the Volunteers already have 2 losses. Must be something wrong with this line, right? After all, how can Arizona be an underdog when they have not lost a game all season? Precisely! The point is that Tennessee is the favorite for a reason! Don't let the line fool you. The fact is that the Volunteers have played a bit of a tougher schedule and their two losses were to Villanova and Texas Tech, the latter of which was in overtime. The Vols have the rest edge here too since their most recent game, versus Memphis, was cancelled. Home court edge, rest edge, and in my opinion a slight strength of schedule edge so far this season. Two high-quality programs but watch the hosts surprise a lot of people when the knock off an undefeated team that is ranked among the top teams in the country. 10* TENNESSEE -1.5 |
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12-20-21 | Thunder v. Grizzlies OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 8:10 ET - The over is 5-1 in Oklahoma City's last 6 road games. Memphis is off an under yesterday but the over was on an 8-2 run in Grizzlies home games prior to that low-scoring win over the Trail Blazers yesterday. Also, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 212.5 in Memphis |
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12-20-21 | South Carolina State v. The Citadel OVER 155.5 | Top | 74-57 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 155.5 in The Citadel vs South Carolina State @ 5 ET - These teams just met a few ago and the game flew over the total and that is despite SC State making only 25% of threes and 33% from the field overall in that one. So how did it go over the total? Well, SC State took 78 shots from the field including 28 from beyond the arc. The fact is that both these teams are comfortable playing fast pace and we've seen some major point totals involving these teams. I expect more of the same in this one. The Citadel averaging 85.6 points per game this season. South Carolina State on a 4-2 run to the over and their last 7 games have seen them average 78 points per game! They are a double digit dog here. Given all of the above numbers you can see why I am projecting this game to get into the 160 to 170 range. 10* OVER 155.5 in The Citadel |
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12-18-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Divisional Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The covid protocol situation suddenly impacting all sports in a heavy way is going to make things even tougher on teams in back to back situations. That is the situation tonight for Boston and the Celtics expended a lot of energy in battling back against the Warriors last night only to ultimately fall short anyway. This back to back spot will be very tough on Boston while New York comes in rested and off a win at Houston Thursday. That said, value with the underdog in this one. I know that neither team has been playing very well but the situation makes the underdog very attractive in this one. 10* NEW YORK +4.5 |
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12-18-21 | TCU v. Georgetown OVER 142 | Top | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Early Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 142 in Georgetown Hoyas vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 2 ET - Both teams play at a good pace that is conducive to overs. The Horned Frogs have played 4 games away from home this season and NONE of the four resulted in an under! The Hoyas enter this game with their home games on a 5-0 run to the over. Georgetown does tend to score better at home and, with the way each of these teams has been trending, we should see plenty of scoring in this one. We have a manageable total to work with too. I will take it! 10* OVER 142 in Georgetown |
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12-17-21 | Heat v. Magic +7.5 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +7.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Still have football fever? Look at this game in this way then - the Heat opened up favored by a field goal and now are favored by a touchdown :) - but in all seriousness, I love fading the line move here. Miami was favored by 3 and now is favored by 7 in this one and they are still without Butler and Adebayo. I know Orlando has had a very rough season but, keep in mind, 4 of their last 8 games were either an outright win (Denver) or a loss by 5 or less points (3 of the defeats). The Magic also beat Utah here in Orlando earlier this season and they are catching the wounded Heat off a hard-fought win over the 76ers in Philly. This looks like the ideal flat spot for Miami. The Magic failed to cover at Miami earlier this season but had gone 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings preceding that one. The Magic get up for facing the in-state rival Heat and I look for them to get the job done here and an upset would not surprise me as Miami has struggled on the road this season and are battling injuries. 10* ORLANDO +7.5 |
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12-17-21 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech OVER 128.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Afternoon Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Virginia Tech Hokies vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 4 ET in the Basketball Hall of Fame Shootout in Charlotte, NC - Neutral site game for this tourney action and I like the over in this one. Yes, the Hokies have trended under of late but that has had a lot do with who they have faced and this total just seems far too low considering they are now facing the Bonnies and St Bonaventure is likely to get Kyle Lofton back for this one as he has been practicing this week. The over is 4-1 in the Bonnies last 5 games and Virginia Tech is knocking down 39% of their threes this season and St Bonaventure will force a decent pace in this game. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 74 points per game this season and the Hokies recent lower-scoring games had a lot to do with the opposition. That is merely serving to give us excellent line value here. 10* OVER 128.5 in Virginia Tech |
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12-16-21 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 209.5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Year Thursday NBA 10* Top Play OVER 209.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons have lost 12 straight games and allowed at least 100 points in all dozen of those games and an average of 111.6 points! The Pacers are off a game in which they were on pace to score 116 points heading into the 4th quarter but then scored just 12 points in the 4th quarter of that game and it stayed just under the total despite Indiana allowing 114 points to the Bucks in that game. That loss at Milwaukee was the 9th time the Pacers have allowed at least 100 points in last 11 games. In those 9 games Indiana has allowed an average of 111 points per game. Given all these numbers you can see why I am forecasting a high-scoring game here. Yes, the Pistons are without Jerami Grant but their first game without him totaled 220 and flew over the total. The over is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 home games and 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games overall. 10* OVER 209.5 in Indiana |
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12-16-21 | Incarnate Word +17.5 v. Rice | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Incarnate Word Cardinals +17.5 @ Rice Owls @ 12:15 ET - I know Rice is the better team from the bigger conference but don't be surprised if the Cardinals hang around in this game. Incarnate Word lost some key guys from last season but have received bigger contributions than expected from some newcomers and this is a well-coached team too. That said, even though they have a tough 2-8 SU record note that they have won 2 of last 3 games and also 3 of their last 6 losses have been by a single digit margin. Rice, looking at their last 7 games, have won 4 of 7 but 3 of the 4 wins by 15 points or less including two by just 5 points and one of those was in triple OT. The Owls get the win here but look for it to be by single digits. 10* INCARNATE WORD +17.5 |
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12-15-21 | Heat v. 76ers -6 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Joel Embiid (ribs) did participate in the morning shootaround. That is no guarantee he will play but it is a good sign for the 76ers. Either way we do the Heat will not have Bam Adebayo or Jimmy Butler and I look for Philly to roll in this one. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU last 6 times when off a loss and the Sixers lost at Memphis in an embarrassing ugly blowout loss to the Grizzlies by 35 points. Bounce back time here at home. Miami is off a road loss and is now on a 1-5 ATS run in road games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6 |
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12-15-21 | Chattanooga v. Belmont OVER 140 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Total Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 140 in Belmont Bruins vs Chattanooga Mocs @ 6 ET - Match-up features a Belmont team that came into the season projected to finish at the top of the Ohio Valley Conference and Chattanooga Mocs team that came into the season projected to finish at the top of the Southern Conference. These are two quality teams with a lot of confidence in the offensive end in terms of creating quality scoring opportunities on their possessions. Both teams averaging close to 80 points per game this season and I feel we have good value with the total on this one when you consider that both teams have been solid with high shooting percentages so far this season. 10* OVER 140 in Belmont |
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12-14-21 | Warriors v. Knicks OVER 211.5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 211.5 in New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The Warriors were on pace for an over and then the 4th quarter had just 38 points for the two teams combined! After that nonsensical finish, even if Steph Curry does not play in tonight's game, I feel we are going to see this one get over the rather low posted total here. We get a low total here because the Knicks are involved but New York off back to back low-scoring games but this followed 5 straight overs. Look for the over trending to resume here as the over is 2-1 in the Warriors last 3 second game of B2B situations and, by the way, the one that stayed under totaled 219 which would be an over given today's posted number. Look for this to soar over the total. 10* OVER 211.5 in New York |
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12-14-21 | Southeastern Louisiana v. Louisville OVER 139.5 | Top | 60-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in Louisville Cardinals vs Southeastern Louisiana Lions @ 6 ET - The Cardinals are off a home loss to DePaul in which they were held to just 55 points. Fired up off that defeat, you know Louisville is going to bring it in this one! The Cards are going to score a ton of points here as Southeastern Louisiana won't put up much resistance. The good news about the Lions is even though they come from the Southland Conference, they entered this season expected to be the top team in that conference. They are scoring 80.6 points per game so far this season and will not be intimidated about facing Louisville here. The problem is that they won't be able to stop the Cardinals. Based on the above I like the over plenty here but here is a statistical way to look at this one also. The Lions have scored at least 61 points in every game this season. The Cards are favored by about 23 points in this one. That puts the final around 84 to 61 even if Southeastern Louisiana just matches their season low in points scored. I am expecting even more that than given all of the above factors and am looking for a 90 to 65 type game. Should be a solid over as the Cardinals bounce back off the ugly home loss to the Blue Demons. 10* OVER 139.5 in Louisville |
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12-13-21 | Warriors v. Pacers OVER 213 | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NBA TV Early - 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - The last 3 times the Warriors were held to 103 points or less they enjoyed an explosion on offense in their next game. Golden State averaged 116.3 points per game in those 3 games and here they enter off an ugly 102 to 93 loss at Philly as Steph Curry, among others, shot unusually poor. The Warriors will bounce back here and I like the fact that Indiana is off a low-scoring win. That 106-93 win stayed well under the total but Pacers were on a 7-1 run to the over heading into that one. Their over trending resumes in a big way here. Curry is expected to play here and needs 7 more threes to break Ray Allen's regular season record for threes made. That only helps our cause here in another non-conference battle and coming off a rare poor shooting effort. Expect plenty of points in this one with a lot of threes! 10* OVER 213 in Indiana |
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12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -4 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - Luka Doncic is out for this game. Of course that is factored into this line however and I am going to lay the small number with Dallas on the road. The Mavericks fell apart in the 4th quarter at Indiana Friday after Doncic got hurt. Also, he made just 1 of 8 three pointers and the team made just 4 of 29! No wonder the Mavs lost by 13 with ridiculous numbers like that. In fact, Dallas actually outscored the Pacers by 14 not including 3-pointers. In other words, the horrible 3-point shooting of the Mavs was the difference in the game and that won't be repeated here against a bad Thunder team. Yes, OKC had B2B wins before losing to the Lakers Friday but, prior to those two wins Oklahoma City had lost 10 of 11 games. Only 1 of their last 11 losses by less than 4 points. Each of the Mavs last 6 wins by 8 or more points. Each of last 3 games between these teams decided by 8 or more points and the Mavs took 2 of the 3 and I look for guys to step up with Doncic out and help lead the Mavericks to a big road win in this one. 10* DALLAS -4 |
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12-11-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs | Top | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets Pick @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - In games played since Thanksgiving, Denver is 3-0 SU/ATS when they enter a game off a loss. After losing at San Antonio Thursday (Nuggets were in a B2B by the way), Denver should respond here. They get a chance at immediate revenge against the Spurs and note that in each of the past 6 meetings between these teams there has never been a case where there the Nuggets did not get either the SU or ATS win or both in back to back games. Throughout calendar year 2021 that trend has held true and with Denver failing to cover or win outright in the loss Thursday at San Antonio, look for them to get payback Saturday. Of course with this line a pick'em, any SU win also an ATS win for the Nuggets and I look for them to get it done in a big way here! 10* DENVER Pick'em |
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12-11-21 | LSU v. Georgia Tech +8 | Top | 69-53 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conf Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +8 vs LSU Tigers @ 6 ET - The Yellow Jackets are a scrappy underdog with a strong backcourt. The backcourt depth they have is going to give LSU some trouble here in this one. Georgia Tech going to be tough for the Tigers to put away especially with this game being played at Atlanta. We get line value here too because LSU is undefeated on the season. The Tigers are 8-0 SU this season but barely snuck into the top 25 and that is because their strength of schedule thus far is absolutely a concern. We take advantage here with a Yellow Jackets team that is off B2B losses but actually led North Carolina in the 2nd half of the eventual loss by a double digit margin. Just too many points here in a game that should be ultra competitive all the way through and I look for better shooting down the stretch for the Jackets here after that tough performance against the Tar Heels as the 2nd half wore on. Battle tested and a hungry home dog combine for strong odds of the host getting the money in this one. 10* GEORGIA TECH |
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12-10-21 | Mavs +2 v. Pacers | Top | 93-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Perfection Play Friday NBA 10* Dallas Mavericks +2 vs Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - The road team is on a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS run in meetings between these teams the past two seasons. Home court just has not mattered in their recent match-ups and I do not expect it to matter here either. The Mavericks are off a win and very hungry to build a win streak again like they did in early to mid November when they won 5 of 6 games. Consistency key for this Dallas team right now and they circled this 3-game road trip (began with win at Memphis Wednesday) as a chance to get things rolling again as they wrap up at Oklahoma City Sunday. I like the fact that, in addition to the 4-0 trend above, we also have a situation that is 3-0 this season going against Indiana. The Pacers enter this game off B2B wins and they have yet to win 3 straight this season. Indiana is 0-3 this season when they enter a game off B2B wins. Look for all these trends to continue Friday. 10* DALLAS +2 |
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12-10-21 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Tennessee State OVER 126 | Top | 44-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Earliest Rout Friday CBB 10* Top Play OVER 126 in Tennessee State Tigers vs IUPUI Jaguars @ 7 ET - The Jags are a different team this season under a new head coach and I am well aware of how low-scoring their games have been. However, this has resulted in line value in this spot as this total is far too low in my opinion. Keep in mind, Tennessee State is off a very low-scoring game and this has impacted this line. However, the Tigers first 6 games featured 5 that all totaled 149 or more points. Those 5 games averaged in the mid-150s and this total is in the mid-120s. Fully understand the low total based on how bad IUPUI has been on offense. But look for Tennessee State to dictate the tempo of this game and certainly the Jaguars can score a little better against a Tigers team that had given up 79 or more in 4 of first 6 games this season. IUPUI has allowed 73.5 points per game in their last two games. Will be more points than many are expected here and the Jaguars streak of unders to start this season comes to an end. 10* OVER 126 in Tennessee State |
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12-09-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) vs Utah Jazz @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers seek revenge for a 35 point blowout at Utah last month. The home team is now a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in last 5 meetings between these teams and that trend should continue here. Philly has been playing better as they have gotten healthier and now have won 3 straight games. The Jazz off a win and cover last night but were on a 2-5 ATS run in the 7 games prior to last night's contest. So Utah is off a win and cover but they have not won and covered both games of a back to back yet this season and that is another trend I don't expect to change tonight either. This is their 4th back to back this season and I look for them to continue to struggle to put together back to back wins in these spots. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 |
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12-09-21 | Texas +1 v. Seton Hall | Top | 60-64 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +1 @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 6:30 ET - Historically line flips like this don't seem to go well for those who follow the money. The point is when a line flips and a team that was the underdog becomes the favorite if you play that team that becomes the favorite and has been steamed by the betting markets it just does not work out well. I expect that long-term trending to continue here as Seton Hall was a 2.5 point dog and is now favored and I like UT considering that situation. The Longhorns want to atone for their lone loss this season which was an embarrassing one against Gonzaga. Now here is their first chance against a quality team since that ugly loss to the Bulldogs. The Pirates have won 7 of 8 games this season and that is why we're getting line value here with a ranked among the top ten teams in the nation. I'll take it! 10* TEXAS +1 |
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12-08-21 | 76ers v. Hornets OVER 215.5 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - The over is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games. Though 2 of the 6, including the one hosting Philly Monday, went to overtime, both of those games were over the total by the end of regulation already. Although the Hornets are dealing with a covid outbreak that was already an issue heading into Monday's game and yet Charlotte did just fine in the scoring department against the 76ers. In fact, the Hornets have now averaged 127 points per game in regulation time last 6 games! The Sixers have trended more toward unders of late but that had a lot to do with the teams they were playing. Matched up with Charlotte this is likely to be another high-scoring shootout. The Hornets have not looked good at all on defense and have allowed 126 points last 6 games but their offense continues to roll. 10* OVER 215.5 in Charlotte |
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12-08-21 | Ball State v. Xavier OVER 146.5 | Top | 50-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play OVER 146.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6:30 ET - This is a tough spot for the Musketeers and I expect their defensive intensity to be low in this game as a result. Xavier just got a hard-fought win at Oklahoma State Sunday and they have a huge rivalry game with Cincinnati on deck. Given this situation I just can not expect much from the Musketeers defensively in this game. As for the other end of the court however, they have now scored 70 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have averaged 76.2 points per game in those 6 games. They will score even better than that in this one considering the style of play Ball State employs. The Cardinals last 4 games have all totaled 159 points or more! Ball State has allowed 85 points or more in 3 of last 4 games. Ball State has scored an average of 89 points last 3 games. Ideal set-up and match-up for a high-scoring game with very little tenacious defense in this one! 10* OVER 146.5 in Xavier |
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12-07-21 | Nets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 ET - I am grabbing the home dog in a great situation here. Dallas is off back to back ATS losses and they have performed very well ATS when in that situation this season. Also, Kristaps Porzingis is upgraded to probable for this one and Luka Doncic was at practice yesterday and is simply dealing with a sore ankle. I don't see him missing this game even though he is listed as questionable. Mavericks are 3-0 SU and ATS last 3 meetings with Brooklyn. The Nets enter this game on a stretch that has seen them cover just 1 time in their last 9 games! 10* DALLAS +4 |
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12-07-21 | Virginia -4.5 v. James Madison | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -4.5 @ James Madison @ 6:30 ET - This line was as high as a 6.5 and then dropped to as low as a 4. Long-time followers know I like to fade line moves. I feel we are getting excellent line value here with the Cavaliers. Yes the Dukes have the better record early this season but consider the competition they have faced. This is no disrespect to James Madison but they play in the Colonial Athletic Association. Virginia, on the other hand, plays in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Cavs projected by many to finish in the top 3 or 4 in the ACC while the Dukes also expected to be top 3 or 4 in their conference but again that is the CAA. Yes James Madison is at home for this game but I just think Virginia's defense is going to be too much for this Dukes team. Two years ago when these teams met the Cavaliers won 65 to 34. I am not saying this game but will be like that but I am just saying I do not think the gap has closed so much between these teams. Tony Bennett one of the best coaches in college hoops and I do expect a victory by about a 10 point margin in this one as they dial up the defense again in this one. 10* VIRGINIA -4.5 |
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12-06-21 | 76ers -7 v. Hornets | Top | 127-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 @ Charlotte @ 7:10 ET - I expect Tobias Harris to be back tonight as his illness was non-covid related and the Sixers have had two off days since knocking off the Hawks on Friday. Philly showed great resilience in that game and, even if Harris does not play, I like them here. The 76ers have allowed an average of 93 points per game last 3 while the Hornets, NOT even including OT points, have allowed 131 points per game last 4 games. This is also the front end of a 2-game set as these teams meet again in Charlotte Wednesday. That said, the road team should be fully focused on the task at hand here and I look for the team that is much better defensively to prevail by double digits. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |
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12-06-21 | Texas Southern +23 v. Florida | Top | 69-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers +23 @ Florida Gators @ 6 ET - Texas Southern comes from a weak conference and they are 0-7 to start this season but the Tigers have played a brutal non-conference schedule. Keep in mind, we are not asking them to win this game but, rather, just to cover. This line is inflated because Texas Southern just had their worst loss of the season and because the Gators are off their first loss of the season. I feel the result here is solid line value as this Tigers team won their First Four game in NCAA Tourney last season and then lost to Michigan but by much less than the spread on this game. Also, the first 6 losses for Texas Southern this season came by an average margin of 10 points and this included some tough competition. Florida started the season 6-0 SU but 4 of the 6 wins were by less than the spread on this game. Just too many points here as the Tigers are hungry to be much more competitive in this game than their most recent and should shoot the ball much better in this one after a horrible shooting effort in prior game. Florida gets back on track and gets a big win here but I expect that big win to fall in a range of 12 to 18 points. 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN +23 |
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12-04-21 | Heat v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 vs Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Giannis is likely to be out for this game for the Bucks. However, Butler and Adebayo both likely to miss for the Heat. That said, I love the situational aspect of this game as Milwaukee is seeking revenge for a 137 to 95 loss at Miami early this season. Also, the Bucks are off a loss but this was preceded by 9 straight wins SU and a 4-1 ATS run. Heat are off a win but this was preceded by a 2-4 SU run and 1-5 ATS run. 10* MILWAUKEE -5.5 |
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12-04-21 | Rhode Island +6 v. Providence | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Rivalry Rout - 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +6 @ Providence Friars @ 2 ET - I really like the scrappy Rams getting points in this rivalry match-up. Rhode Island has shot the ball very well early this season and also defended very well. The Rams are more talented than many realize and they seem to have jelled well early this season which is always important. Rhode Island is catching the Friars off a tight, hard-fought win over Texas Tech so the set-up is perfect here. 3 of Providence's last 5 wins by 5 or less points. The average margin of the Rams two losses just 3.5 points. In a game that should go to the wire and does have potential for an outright upset, I love having the sizable points here. Strong shooting early this season, hitting the boards hard, and playing solid defense. Like what the Rams are doing and they are catching rival Providence at the right time to spring the upset. Grab the points as added insurance. 10* RHODE ISLAND +6 |
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12-03-21 | 76ers +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Rout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +2.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The first thought here might be revenge on the part of the Hawks since they got blasted at Philly earlier this season. However, two key points relating to that. One is that the Sixers, despite that win, still have much to atone for here as they lost in the post-season to the Hawks last season and they are very hungry for a win at Atlanta. Also, the 76ers - in comparison with Atlanta - are now the much healthier team. In the only meeting between these teams this season nearly 40% of Atlanta's points came from Reddish, Bogdanovich, and Hunter. The latter two of those guys are out for tonight and Reddish has been downgraded to doubtful. The Hawks, simply put, are short-handed for this one in a big way while Philly - despite some recent struggles still - is much healthier now than they have been in a long time. That said, a lot of line value here with the road dog. 10* PHILADELPHIA +2.5 |
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12-03-21 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +5 | Top | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Early Blowout - 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +5 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 6 ET - This Eagles team has new energy in the program based on some new faces on the team as well as a new head coach and he came in with a solid track record too. I like the hard-nosed gritty attitude that Boston College has. They are one of the lesser talented teams in the ACC but they battle so hard and they are known for battling the Irish particularly tough when they face them at Chestnut Hill. This one should go down to the wire as the Eagles are 5-0 SU at home this season and Notre Dame has a 3-3 SU record but the 3 wins were against weaker foes and the Fighting Irish have struggled some when stepping up in terms of level of competition. This will be a fierce battle as a result and is also just the 2nd true road game for Notre Dame this season. An outright upset will not be a total shock but certainly the points provide valuable added insurance I will not pass up on in this one. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +5 |
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12-02-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - I know this is a back to back for the Bucks but they are 2-0 SU L2 times in the 2nd game of a B2B and each win by 9 or more points. Also, the road team 3-0 SU and ATS in last 3 meetings between these teams. Additionally, Milwaukee has won 8 straight games while the Raptors have lost 10 of last 13 games. Toronto has been held to 97 points or less in 3 straight games and the last two of those were at home. Bucks averaging 111.5 points per game on the road this season and they have been hot. 10* MILWAUKEE -3.5 |