40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Indiana -14) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying double-digits against Nebraska in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. I played against the Cornhuskers in their finale at Minnesota, which they lost by a final score of 107-75 to a struggling Gophers team. Indiana has lost 3 of 4, but two of those were on the road to Illinois and Purdue and the other was a game they should have won at home against Wisconsin. 

Big reason I played against Nebraska in the finale against Minnesota is guards Dachon Burke Jr and Cam Mack were both suspended. Burke is definitely out and Mack is also not expected to play. Cornhuskers had little chance with those guys on the floor and without them they would need to shoot lights out to keep this close. Give me the Hoosiers -14!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawks as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Knicks. Easy fade of New York for me, as the Knicks will be playing on no rest after a game last night at Washington, which they lost in a shootout 115-122. NY has gone 0-4-1 ATS last 5 and 2-6 ATS this season on no rest. THey are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 as a road dog. Hawks are 8-3 ATS last 13 games at home and 4-1-2 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Give me Atlanta -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Oklahoma State -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cowboys as a 6.5-point favorite against the Cyclones. Iowa State is way down this year and have really struggled down the stretch after losing by far their best player in Tyrese Haliburton. Now they are likely to play without 2nd leading scorer Rasir Bolton and 4th leading scoring Prentiss Nixon figures to be playing at less than 100%. Note that any success ISU has had of late is on the road and while the Big 12 tournament has often felt like a home game for the Cyclones, I don't see it this year with how bad the team is. Oklahoma State started out 0-6 in Big 12 play, but finished 7-5 over their last 12 conference games and have won 3 straight going into this one. Give me the Cowboys -6.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland winning by 5 or more at home against the Suns. Big time revenge spot for the Blazers, who just lost at Phoenix last Friday 117-127 as a 3.5-point road favorite. Portland not only is basically laying the same number at home, but they will be on a full 2 days of rest here. Suns hitting the road for the first time in almost two weeks, as they just finished up a 6-game homestand. Give me the Blazers -4! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Magic. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Grizzlies at home. Memphis comes in having won 4 of their last 5 and during this stretch have held their opponents to a mere 95.4 ppg on 37.5% shooting. Orlando is simply getting a lot of love here because of the fact that they have covered 3 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Thing is the Magic have really taken advantage of a soft schedule. Not an easy spot here either for Orlando, playing their 4th road game in 6 days. Give me the Grizzlies -2! 

40* UNC/VA TECH ACC TOURNAMENT NO-BRAINER (UNC -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tar Heels winning by 5 or more in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. You won't find many teams that go 6-14 in conference play, who enter their conference tournament with more confidence than UNC. The Tar Heels got healthy down the stretch and more than showed they can hang with the big boys in the ACC. Given that they have to win the ACC Tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, the Tar Heels are going to play inspired. Va Tech needed double-overtime to beat UNC back on Jan. 22 and the Tar Heels were down both Cole Anthony and Brandon Robinson. UNC is simply the more talented team and playing the better basketball. Give me the Tar Heels -4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a 3.5-point home dog against the Fighting Illini. A double-bye is on the line in the Big Ten Tournament and while Illinois has been tough at home, I just feel that Iowa is the better team. Hawks also will have had two more days to prepare, as they last played on Tuesday, while the Illini had to travel to Ohio STate on Thursday. I played the Buckeyes in that game, as I wasn't buying the recent 4-game win streak for Illinois. I just don't think the offense is good enough to hang with what should be an extremely motivated Iowa side. Also got to love this line, as it's begging the public to take Illini as a small home favorite. Give me Iowa +3.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Tulsa +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Hurricane at least covering the 6.5-point spread at Wichita State and wouldn't be shocked at all if Tulsa won this game outright. With a win here the Golden Hurricane can clinch the outright AAC regular-season title. I think they are the better offensive team and statistically are the top defense in the American. Wichita State is getting a lot of love for their great home record, but a lot of their success at home came early in the year. Give me Tulsa +6.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors +2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Golden State as a home dog against a 76ers team that is playing their 4th and final game of a 4-game west coast trip without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons. Especially with the Warriors having back Steph Curry. Not only is Curry an elite talent, but I think him coming back from injury when he could have easily sat out the rest of the season has ignited this team. They shot just 41% and only lost by 8 to the Raptors in Curry's first game. I think they win here outright in a blowout. Give me Golden State +2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas A&M +3) 

I'll take my chances with the Aggies as a home dog against the Razorbacks. Texas A&M has really been playing well down the stretch. They are 4-2 over their last 6 games with their only two losses coming on the road at LSU and at home against Kentucky. They just won at Auburn in their last game. Arkansas is off a big home win over LSU and have to be running on fumes here. AFter playing a game against Georgia last Saturday that saw 188 combined points, their game against the Tigers 3 days ago had 189. Razorbacks have also lost 4 straight on the road. Give me Texas A&M +3!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Kansas State -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Cyclones. I've been fading ISU on the reg on the road since they lost Haliburton. They are just 2-8 ATS away from home on the season and have not been competitive away from home without their best player. Big reason we are getting value with K-State is the Wildcats come in having lost 10 straight. That losing streak comes to an end on senior day. Give me Kansas State -5.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (USC -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Trojans as a small home favorite against the Bruins. I've been on UCLA a ton down the stretch with a lot of success, but I feel like it's time to jump ship and fade them in this spot. USC is an outstanding home team and are finally back healthy. USC already beat UCLA on the road and defensively they made life miserable for the Bruins. Given how good the Trojans defense has been of late on their home floor, I see no reason why they shouldn't find a way to win this game. Give me USC -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Purdue -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers laying a mere 5-points at home against the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers is getting a ton of love here off an impressive home win over Maryland, which also happened to be the Scarlet Knights senior night. Rutgers is a different team on the road, where they are just 1-10 this season with the only win coming at Nebraska. Purdue only lost by 7 on the road at Rutgers and that revenge is definitely a plus in this one. Boilermakers also playing well right now and will be motivated for their senior day. Give me Purdue -5! 

50* NBA PRIME TIME (ESPN) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Lakers +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Lakers as a home dog against the Bucks. This is a no-brainer if you ask me. These two teams played back on Dec. 19th. Milwaukee really embarrassed LA in that game. The Bucks won by just 7, but were up 19 at the half. Lakers will be out to send a message here and no way should they be getting points. Give me Los Angeles +1! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5)

I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Suns. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Portland now that Lillard is back in the mix. Blazers have won their last two and just rolled the Wizards in Lillard's first game back. Suns have lost 4 straight and the books just can't seem to price this team right. Phoenix is a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games. Give me the Blazers -2.5! 

40* NBA ODDSMAKERS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +8) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a 8-point road dog against the Mavs. For starters, Dallas could be without Doncic (questionable with illness). Tim Hardaway, J.J. Barea and Dorian Finney-Smith are all questionable. Even if they all play I would like the Grizzlies at this price. Memphis has won and covered 3 straight and are playing ridiculous defense during this stretch, holding the Lakers to 88, Hawks to 88 and the Nets to 79. Give me Memphis +8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans at basically a pick'em at home. New Orleans has lost their last 3 and are now 5 back of the Grizzlies for the final playoff spot in the West. I see them showing up in a big way in this game. Miami is a good team, but are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home. I think the Heat riding a 4-game winning streak (all at home) are getting too much love here. Give me the Pelicans -1.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Knicks +7)

I'll take my chances here with the Knicks as a 7-point home dog against the Thunder. There's a lot of negative talk right now with New York, mainly around owner James Dolan. I think it has the Knicks undervalued right now. The Knicks have covered 3 straight, which includes a win at home against the Rockets as a 10-point dog. They have shot 48% or better from the field in 5 straight. Thunder have failed to cover 5 straight and have a big game at Boston on deck Sunday. Give me the Knicks +7! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento winning by 6 or more at home against the struggling and depleted 76ers. Philadelphia is still without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons and this is not a deep team that's built to sustain injuries of that kind of magnitude. I just don't see them playing well in this one. Kings have been red-hot since the All-Star break, going 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Give me Sacramento -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Memphis -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Shockers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Tigers at home. Memphis is 14-3 at home this season and will be plenty motivated after losing at Wichita State earlier this season. Shockers come in having won 5 of their last 6, but I still don't trust this team, especially on the road. Give me Memphis -1.5! 

40* NCAAB - BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio State -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Buckeyes as a slim 5.5-point home favorite against the Fighting Illini. Ohio State was the talk of the Big Ten at when they opened up the season 11-1, but they proceeded to go 1-6 over their next 7 games. Most people wrote them off. That was a mistake. Buckeyes are back and have won 3 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. Illinois has won 4 straight, but two of those were against bottom feeders Nebraska and Northwestern and they just barely beat Indiana at home by 1 last time out. Give me the Buckeyes -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Virginia -2)

I'll take my chances here with the Cavaliers as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Hurricanes. I'm not sure why Virginia isn't getting more love here. I get they are off a big win over Duke, but they are rolling right now and there's plenty of motivation to stay on task with a shot of winning the ACC regular-season title still in the mix. Miami has had to play each of their last 3 on the road. They will be happy to return home, but the offense is struggling and I could see them having a miserable time scoring against Virginia in this one. Give me the Cavaliers -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +1.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a 1.5-point road dog against the Nets. I just think this is a great spot to fade Brooklyn. The Nets scored 51 points and rallied from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime at Boston last night and wound up winning 129-120. That's not just a tough game to bounce back from physically, but emotionally as well. Memphis is also coming in off two straight dominating performances on the defensive end, beating the Lakers 105-88 at home and the Hawks 127-88 on the road. Give me the Grizzlies +1.5! 

40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +11)

I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a double-digit dog against division rival Milwaukee. The Bucks come in off a 89-105 loss at Miami and were lucky to win the night before, barely escaping with a 93-85 win at Charlotte. That was Milwaukee's 5th road game in 7 games since the break and while they are back home for this one, this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Pacers come in having won 4 straight and will bring a surging defense against a slumping Bucks offense. Give me Indiana +11! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Cavs +2.5)

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a small home dog against the Celtics. This to me looks and feels like a game Boston wants nothing to do with. For starters, they are expected to be without basically all their good players. Walker, Hayward, Brown and Tatum are either out or listed as doubtful and Smart could be suspended. On top of that you got Boston off an ugly loss at home to Brooklyn last night in OT. Celtics gave up 51 points in the 4th quarter. I just don't see them showing up for this game. If this was any other team than the Cavs there would be a much bigger reaction with the line. Give me Cleveland +2.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers as a small 3.5-point home dog. I think we are getting a good price here with Indiana due to them coming off back-to-back road losses. Hoosiers are 14-3 at home and are taking on a Minnesota team that is struggling. Gophers have lost 7 of their last 9 and are 3-9 away from home this season. Indiana is much better home team than they are at home and they beat Minnesota by 12 on the road. Give me the Hoosiers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a 5-point home favorite against Purdue. Iowa is undefeated at home in Big Ten play and winning by a wide margin. They will be especially motivated for this game, as they have not forgot about their 68-104 loss at Purdue almost a month ago. Easily the worst loss of the season for the Hawks. Give me Iowa -5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (W Virginia -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mountaineers laying 6 at ISU tonight. West Virginia has hit hard times. A team that was once 18-4 and 6-3 in the Big 12 is now 19-10 and has a losing record at 7-9 in league play. I still trust the talent on this Mountaineers team and I think they are going to find a way to win on the road against ISU. Cyclones are nothing without Haliburton and playing at home won't save them in this matchup. Give me West Virginia -6! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Texas +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns as a 6.5-point dog against Oklahoma. I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with Texas given how well they are playing right now. Longhorns have won 4 straight and just beat Texas Tech by double-digits on the road. Not saying they will win here, but I expect it to be close. Give me Texas +6.5! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. Boston is playing great right now, but did just lose at home to the Rockets and could find it tough to play well here. Celtics figure to have Kemba Walker back, but both Marcus Smart and Jason Tatum are questionable. If Tatum doesn't play, you have to give Brooklyn a shot at winning outright. Either way I think they keep it close. Give me the Nets +8.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rutgers -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Terps. This is just too good a price to pass up on Rutgers at home. Scarlet Knights are 17-1 at home. They are also 8-1 ATS this season when revenging a road loss. Give me Rutgers -1

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BOOKIE DESTROYER (North Carolina -7) 

I'll take my chances here with UNC laying 7-points at home against Wake Forest. Big revenge game for the Tar Heels, who recently lost at WF by 17, though that was a bit to be expected, as they were just two days removed from a crushing OT loss to rival Duke. Tar Heels are playing their best ball of the season right now. They followed up a big home win over NC State with a 92-79 thrashing of the Orange in Syracuse. GIve me the Tar Heels -7! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland covering as 8.5-point home dogs. I just think this is a big number for Utah to be laying on the road against a much improved Cavs team, at least for the time being, under interim head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. I know Thompson and Garland are both out, but they still got some guys who are playing well. I also think those injuries could work in our favor, as it will make it that much harder for Utah to get up for this game. Give me the Cavs +8.5! 

40* DUKE/NC STATE NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Duke -12)

I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils covering the big number at home against NC State. I was actually surprised to see the public being all over the Wolfpack. Sure, Duke has lost 3 of 4, including a 22-point (66-88) loss at NC State back on Feb. 19. If anything, that makes me like the Blue Devils more in this spot. 

Duke is locked into a double-bye for the ACC Tournament, but need to get back on track with a win for their seeding in the Big Dance. Let's also not overlook that all 3 losses during this recent bad run have came on the road and one was a double-OT loss and the other was by 2 at Virginia. I'm confident Duke steps up here they 6-0 at home against teams not named FSU, Louisville and Virginia. All 6 have come by at least 12 points and 5 of the 6 have been by 24 or more with 4 by 30 or more. Give me Duke -12! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Kings cashing in a cover as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Pistons. Sacramento is clearly motivated to make the playoffs, as they have gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS since returning from the All-Star break. I really feel that if the Kings show up to play, they win by double-digits easy. 

Detroit is a mess right now. They got next to no talent on that roster, as they are clearly in rebuild mode. They just won at Phoenix as a 9-point dog and that was 100% the Suns not playing with a sense of urgency until it was too late. What will get overlooked in the Pistons 113-111 win is the fact that they let Phoenix shoot 60% from the field. That's after allowing the Nuggets to connect on 58% in their previous game. Lot more likely for Detroit to stumble than build off a win, especially in their 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip. Give me the Kings -7.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Louisville -12.5) 

I'll take my chances here and lay the big number with the Cardinals at home against the Hokies. Louisville is sitting tied on top the ACC standings with FSU at 14-4, but due to losing both meetings with the Seminoles, they need to finish ahead of them to win the league outright. The most recent game was a 67-82 loss at FSU, but that was on Monday, so the Cards are well rested here.

Same can't be said for Virginia Tech, who just suffered a crushing 53-56 loss at home to in-state rival Virginia on Wednesday. I just don't trust the Hokies to show up in this spot and this a team that has struggled on the road against the top teams losing by 26 at Virginia and by 24 at Duke (didn't play FSU on the road, but did lose by 11 at home to Seminoles). They also lost by double-digits at Miami and Georgia Tech. Give me the Cardinals -12.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Michigan +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines getting their revenge against the Buckeyes and easily covering as a 3.5-point road dog. These two played just about a month ago (2/4) at Michigan. Ohio State won 61-58, but that was with the Wolverines not having the services of Livers, who is back healthy. Michigan did just lose at home to Wisconsin, but that was more of the Badgers just not missing. Wisconsin shot 54% from the field and 48% from deep (made 11 3's). 

Wolverines had won 5 straight prior to that setback and have really thrived away from home of late. Michigan has won 5 straight away from home in Big Ten play. Give me the Wolverines +3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -5.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Illini laying just 5.5-points at home against the Hoosiers. Indiana is probably my favorite team in the Big Ten to play on at home and to fade on the road. I see this as an easy fade of the Hoosiers. 

Illinois has regained some of their mojo of late, as they come in having won 3 straight. While the last two were against the two bottom feeders in Northwestern and Nebraska, the streak started out with a big road win at Penn State. Indiana just lost by 8 at Purdue and were lucky it wasn't a lot worse, as they scored just 49 points on 25% shooting. Give me Illinois -5.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Creighton -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bluejays as a mere 4.5-point road favorite against the Red Storm. I just think St. John's is getting a little too much love in this one. The Red Storm are a solid home team and in their last two home games they lost by just 3 to Xavier and upset Providence. 

Thing is they forced both of those teams into 20+ turnovers, which is what St. John's has to do to be competitive. Their defense really struggles to get stops when they don't take the ball away. That's why this is such a horrible matchup. Creighton takes excellent care of the ball. They only had 11 turnovers in the first meeting with the Red Storm and they won that game by 12, scoring 94 points on 60% shooting. If it wasn't for 16 offensive rebounds, Bluejays would have won by 20+

With Creighton needing to win out for a shot at the Big East title, I just don't see them slipping up here. Give me the Bluejays -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UCLA +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with UCLA as a home dog against the Wildcats. The Bruins have had quite the midseason turnaround. Just about everyone was writing this team off when they opened up Pac-12 play at 1-3 and fell to 8-9 overall. They have won 10 of their last 11 since that mark and sitting tied on top the Pac-12 standings at 11-5. Arizona is a good team, but are just 9-6 in conference play and have struggled on the road and enter having lost their last 2. They also lost by 13 at home to UCLA earlier this month. Give me the Bruins +2.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS ANNIHILATOR (Alabama -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide covering as a 5-point home favorite against the Gamecocks. ALabama is going to be highly motivated off a loss at Mississippi State and this is really a different team at home. South Carolina is off a grueling 94-90 OT win at home against Georgia and will be on just two days of rest. That's a problem against the frantic pace of the Tide. Give me Alabama -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Terps laying a mere 2.5-points at home against the Spartans. I get Maryland stole a game at Michigan State earlier this season, but that's a positive more than a negative in the rematch at home, where the Terps are a perfect 15-0 this season. Maryland can also clinch at least a share of the Big Ten regular season title with a win. Give me the Terps -2.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Hawks -1.5)

I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. Portland had failed to cover 5 straight prior to a very fortunate cover at Indiana on Thursday. I just don't trust this Blazers team in the slightest without Lillard, especially on the road. I get the Hawks are on no rest, but they coasted to a 141-118 win last night at home against the Nets. Limited stressful minutes and no travel should make this a favorable spot for Atlanta to continue their strong play since the break. Give me the Hawks -1.5!

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Oklahoma State -7)

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys laying it on the Cyclones and covering the 7-point spread at home. I like Oklahoma State to win here by double-digits. ISU has won a couple games at home without their best player in Haliburton, but that's just because they have such a great home court edge and teams probably not giving them their full attention. It's been a different story on the road and this Oklahoma State team has been playing much better of late and will be out for revenge. Give me the Cowboys -7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange cashing in a win and cover as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. UNC has been playing a lot better of late and just knocked off NC State, but this is a really tough spot and matchup for them. Tar Heels don't have a lot of outside shooting and that's the one thing you really need to attack the Orange 2-3 zone. This is also the final home game for Syracuse and the Carrier Dome is already one of the tougher places to play. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Notre Dame -2)

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a slim 2-point road favorite against Wake Forest. This is the ideal spot to fade the Demon Deacons and I was on WF in their upset win at home over Duke. That was going to be a tough game to bounce back from no matter the result, but even more so having won and the game went to OT. Notre Dame has won 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall with one of those an OT loss at Virginia. Irish clearly playing their best ball of the season at the right time. Give me Notre Dame -2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a big road dog against the Pelicans. Cavs have won 4 of their last 5, yet are still a team no one wants anything to do with. There definitely won't be many public players looking to back Cleveland against Zion and the Pelicans. I just think the Cavs are way undervalued right now. They have played with a different sense of urgency since they fired Beilein and promoted Bickerstaff. Tough spot for New Orleans who just finished up a 3-game road trip against LeBron and the Lakers on Tuesday and will be hosting the Lakers in a big rematch on Sunday.  Give me the Cavs +12.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami bouncing from a rare home loss with a win and cover at home against the Mavs. Heat let one get away against the Timberwolves last time out, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 4 minutes. They were visibly and vocally upset with that loss. I think we are going to get their very best tonight. As good as Doncic and the Mavs are, this is too good a price on Miami with them being 23-4 SU on their home floor. They are also 15-6 ATS this season off a loss. Mavs had had to travel quite a bit since the break and could be running out of gas for this one. Give me the Heat -2.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wolves +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Minnesota covering as a 7.5-point road dog against the Magic. I've liked what I've seen out of this Timberwolves team. They got a bunch of guys in trades that other teams didn't want and they are playing with a chip on their shoulder. They just won on the road at Miami playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Even with Towns out they got a lot of depth right now. 

Magic have won 4 of 5 and just took care of Atlanta and Brooklyn on the road, but prior to that did fallby 16 at home to the Mavs. Tough spot for Orlando having just got home on Thursday and having to pack up and leave right after this game for a matchup with the Spurs in San Antonio tomorrow. I wouldn't be shocked if the T-Wolves won this outright. Give me Minnesota +7.5!

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Pacers -9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana winning by double-digits at home against the Blazers. I'm actually shocked the public is on Portland. Blazers have looked as expected without Damian Lillard, who was playing at a MVP level before he got hurt. Portland has failed to cover 5 straight. Their only win was against the Pistons and 3 of the 4 losses were by double-digits. Pacers are fresh off a 119-80 win at home over the Hornets. Indiana should be a motivated team right now. They are 3-1 after a 6-game losing streak. Give me the Pacers -9.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Purdue -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Boilermakers as a 6-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. I think this is the perfect spot to sell high on Indiana. Hoosiers are fresh off a big 68-60 home win over Penn State and prior to that won at Minnesota. I just feel like it's covering up who Indiana truly is on the road and that's a bad team. Hoosiers are 2-6 in true road games and their losses on the road are by nearly 16 ppg. Purdue's one of the toughest places to play in the country and I see them winning by double-digits rather easy. Give me the Boilermakers -6! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Florida -5)

I'll take my chances here with the Gators as a 5-point home favorite against the Tigers. Florida is going to be eager to get back on the court after a hard fought loss at Kentucky on Saturday. Gators had won 3 straight prior and are 10-3 at home this season. 

LSU is off a win at South Carolina, but I just think the Tigers are overvalued right now. LSU opened up SEC play at 8-0 with a bunch of close wins. Those late breaks have quit going their way. Tigers have lost 4 of 6 with 3 of those losses on the road. Give me Florida -5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a 8-point home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a fortunate win and cover as a 8.5-point home favorite against the Hawks, outscoring Atlanta 38-20 in the 4th quarter of a 17-point win. Key thing to note is that was at home. Things don't go so well for the 76ers on the road and they are still missing one of their best players in Ben Simmons. 

Cavs have won 3-4 and I think are a team worth taking a shot on right now. They are definitely playing harder since the coaching change and while he hasn't played great, Drummond is a big addition for this team. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Cleveland won outright. GIve me the Cavs +8! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Nets -2)

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a slim 2-point road favorite at Washington. I played and lost with the Nets at home against Orlando in their last game, but that's not going to deter me from taking them here. I really like this Brooklyn team, that is as long as Kyrie is out. They have been better without him and show value because he's out. Washington has lost 3 straight out of the break and are off a crushing 3-point loss at home to the Bucks in the 2nd of a back-to-back. I think they struggle to show up here. Give me Brooklyn -2! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Syracuse +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange at basically a pick'em on the road against the Panthers. Syracuse turned a double-digit deficit in the 1st half into a 79-72 win at home on Saturday. That win snapped a 3-game skid and I believe it will be the spark they needed to close out strong. 

Pitt has lost 4 straight and are off a gut-wrenching 3-point loss at home to Virginia. I just don't see the Panthers being able to keep pace in this one. You need to be able to hit the 3-ball against the Orange 2-3 zone and Pitt ranks 332nd in 3-point shooting at 29.2%. Give me Syracuse +1! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (S Carolina -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gamecocks as a small home favorite against the Bulldogs. This is it for South Carolina. If they want to stay on the bubble they have to win this one at home against Georgia. I believe they will do just that. We know they are going to play hard after giving up 86 in a loss at home to LSU on Saturday. Gamecocks already beat the Bulldogs 76-69 on the road back on Feb. 12 and seeing how Georgia's only SEC road win is against Vanderbilt, it's hard seeing a different outcome. Give me South Carolina -5.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Celtics -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston cashing in as a 6.5-point road favorite. As long as the Blazers are without Lillard they are worth fading, at least until the books catch up. Portland has failed to cover 4 straight and I think their most recent game says it all. Blazers only beat the Pistons at home by 3 points and did so with McCollum going off for 41 and Anthony scoring 32. How much more can you really expect from those two and it doesn't get much worse than the Pistons right now. Give me the Celtics -6.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Texas Tech -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders covering as a slim 3-point road favorite against the Sooners. Texas Tech has won 5 of 6 and finishing the season strong is exactly what Chris Beard's team did a year ago. Red Raiders just owned ISU 87-57 on the road and I just think it's worth a shot to roll them here, especially with Oklahoma coming in having lost 3 straight, most recently getting annihilated by 17 on the road to in-state rival Oklahoma State. Give me Texas Tech -3! 

50* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE YEAR (North Carolina -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Tar Heels laying a short number at home. North Carolina has lost all 7 games since star freshman Cole Anthony returned from injury, but there's no doubt they are playing better with him. UNC simply couldn't be more unlucky in this 7-game skid. They have 5 losses in this stretch by 6 or fewer, with several defeats coming on a last second shot. 

They did just get annihilated at Louisville 55-72, but Garrison Brooks was a late scratch due to being sick. He should be good to go for this one and I think we see UNC lay it all on the line to beat their in-state rival. It also helps this is a tough spot for the Wolfpack off a crushing 61-67 loss at home to FSU. Give me the Tar Heels -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Miss State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs cashing in at home as a small 3.5-point favorite against the Crimson Tide. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Mississippi State and the value here stems from Alabama coming off a big 103-78 win at Ole Miss. I just don't trust the tide on the road and I think we are going to see the Bulldogs playing with a chip on their shoulder from an earlier 20-point loss to the Tide. Give me Mississippi State -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Wake Forest +11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Wake Forest as a 11.5-point home dog against Duke. There's no question the line here has been inflated on the Blue Devils with how big a public play they are. Add in the fact that Duke beat this same WF team by 31 at home earlier and no one is going to want to play the Demon Deacons here. 

Thing is, Blue Devils just haven't played great at home. THey are just 1-5-1 ATS in their 7 conference games. You also can't read too much into how bad they beat a team at home. We saw them beat Boston College by 39 points (88-49) at home and then later only beat them by 8 on the road. Give me Wake Forest +11.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn laying a short number at home against the Magic. Orlando is 9-18 on the road this season and the Nets are 16-12 at home. I have to lay the 3 here with Brooklyn. I just think this team is way undervalued right now because of the recent news that Irving has been lost for the season. Nets have played better without him and it's really not a surprise. Irving is an incredible talent, but an awful teammate. Brooklyn is 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games. Give me the Nets -3! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a 6.5-point home dog against the Heat. These two teams just played in Miami on Saturday. The Heat won that game 124-105. They couldn't have played much harder than they did in the 1st half, as they were determined to get a big lead to make sure they could enjoy the halftime celebration for Dwyane Wade. They did just that, setting a new franchise record with 82 points in the 1st half (shot 77%). 

They only won the game by 19 after that. Cleveland is a team that I'm willing to take a shot on right now, as I think they are playing harder after the coaching change and they did just add in a really good player in Drummond. They didn't have Love in that last game and he's back. Miami will still be without their best player in Jimmy B and the Heat are not the same team on the road. Give me the Cavs +6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (FSU -2.5) 

I'll take the bait and take my chances here with Florida State as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Cardinals. The Seminoles are getting no love here at all. I get Louisville is sitting on top the ACC standings, but Florida State went on the road and beat this Cardinals team 78-65. They did so in impressive fashion, scoring at will on the offensive side (shot 55%) and really made things difficult for Louisville's offense. 

Now they get to host the Cardinals for a chance to move into 1st place and let's not forget the Seminoles have won 21 straight at home. How do you not take them when the line is basically a pick'em. I get Louisville has won their last two in blowout fashion, but both were at home and the Cards are a mere 2-8 ATS last 3 seasons when off 2 wins by 15+ points. Give me the Seminoles -2.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +6)

I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering as a 6-point road dog against the Raptors. I know the Raptors are likely without Oladipo, but they haven't really played well since he's been back, as he's just not producing. I think they could actually play better without him in this one. They definitely will be up for this game, as they have lost twice to this Raptors team this month. First it was a road game where they led the whole way and then blew it late. A couple days later they lost a close game at home. I think Indiana will be the more motivated side here and might actually win this thing outright. Give me the Pacers +6! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cincinnati -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bearcats as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Shockers. I think we are getting a great price on Cincinnati at home. Wichita State has won 3 straight, but it's come against teams all in the bottom half of the AAC. Shockers have struggled with the top tier teams in this league, especially on the road. Bearcats will be 100% locked in for this one off a home loss to UCF. Give me Cincinnati -4! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wisconsin -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Badgers laying a short number at home against the Scarlet Knights. Wisconsin has won 3 straight and are extremely tough to beat at home. That makes this a great matchup. Rutgers is a team that has been outstanding at home, but has had their struggles on the road. Scarlet Knights also come in having lost 4 of their last 6 with one of the two wins coming in OT at home to Northwestern. Give me the Badgers -4.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Hawks +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 6.5-point home dog against the Mavs. Hawks are a team to look out for. They are definitely motivated to make the playoffs with the moves they made at the break. They lived up to the hype in the first game back from the break, beating Miami 129-124 as 6-point home dog. That was on Thursday. Dallas is off a 16-point win at Orlando, but that was last night. Look for the Mavs to struggle to turn this into a blowout playing on no rest and I wouldn't be shocked if they lost outright. Give me Atlanta +6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas Tech -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders getting a win and cover as a slim 5-point road favorite against the Cyclones. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Texas Tech against a ISU team that is without not just their best player but one of the best in the country in Tyrese Haliburton. Even when they had Haliburton the Cyclones struggled at home against the top teams in the conference. Without him I don't give them much of a shot, especially with Tech surging right now. Red Raiders are 4-1 over their last 5. Give me Texas Tech -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Syracuse -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Yellow Jackets. I see this as the perfect time to buy low on Syracuse, who has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. It's really been a brutal scheduling stretch for the Orange, which is why I'm confident they bounce back at home against a team like Georgia Tech. Note these two already played once this season and it wasn't close with Syracuse winning 97-63 as a 3-point road dog. Give me the Orange -5.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida State -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Seminoles going on the road and getting a big win over NC State. I just don't like this spot for the Wolfpack. NC State just played their best game of the season in a 88-66 win at home over Duke. The game before they lost at BC and their previous home game was a 20-point set back to Louisville. I just don't see the Wolfpack being able to play at the level they did against Duke in back-to-back games. FSU is too good and will not be overlooking NC State in this one. GIve me the Seminoles -1! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOODBATH (Purdue -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Purdue as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. I just think Michigan is getting a little too much love in this one, having won and covered 4 straight. You also got the Boilermakers having lost 3 straight. I look for Purdue to bounce back in a big way at home, where they are 10-3 this season. 

Michigan is 0-6 ATS last 6 when covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, while Purdue is 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more straight games. Give me the Boilermakers -3.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Suns +8)

I'll take my chances here with Phoenix as a 8-point road dog against the Raptors. Toronto went on a crazy 15-1 run before the All-Star break, but the lone loss did come in the final game before the break, as they lost 91-101 at Brooklyn. I don't know that the All-Star break did them good. I know they got some guys hurt, but when things are going as well as they were, you don't want to take a big break and throw off that chemistry. 

I think Phoenix will be motivated to play well here against a top team in the first game back from the break and the Suns are as healthy as they have been in a while with both Saric and Baynes expected to return from injury. Give me Phoenix +8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +8.5)

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog at Philadelphia. I think the Nets are showing value and will continue to as long as Kyrie Irving is out. I just don't think Irving is a good team player and rubs people the wrong way. The Nets have been a much much better team without him on the floor than with him. I don't think the public sees it that way. 

I feel 8.5 is way too much here. I know the 76ers are really good at home, but how motivated are they to return from the All-Star break? I just think we see them come out a little flat and it wouldn't shock me at all if the Nets won this game outright. Give me Brooklyn +8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Ohio State +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Ohio State coming away with a cover as a small 3-point dog against the Hawkeyes. I just feel like this is a good time to sell high on the Hawkeyes. Iowa won a game at Minnesota on Sunday they had no business winning. I think the loss of C.J. Fredrick really hurts them. As good as Garza is, and he's really good, there's not much else for scoring options. He's got to be great for them to even have a shot and lately it hasn't been good enough. 

The Buckeyes are a team that started hot and then hit a wall, but it looks like they are rounding back into early form. Ohio State has won 5 of their last 6, which includes a road win at Michigan. Ohio State should have no problem scoring here. Buckeyes shoot the 3-ball extremely well and Iowa's defense can be exploited from deep. I like OHio State to win a shootout on the road. Give me the Buckeyes +3! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington St -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Washington State covering as a 5.5-point home favorite against Cal. I think the value here with the Cougars stems from the perception that this is an evenly matched game between two of the bottom feeders in the Pac-12. 

I just don't see it that way. Washington State is tied for the 3rd worst mark in the conference at 5-8, but have a big home court edge. The Cougars are 11-3 at home on the season, which includes wins over Oregon, Oregon St, Arizona St and Washington (3 of those by double-digits). 

Cal hasn't won a road game all season. Golden Bears are 0-9 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 16.6 ppg. I'm not the biggest fan of taking bad teams, but I just see too much value here to pass up a play. Give me Washington State -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Mississippi St -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Mississippi State covering as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Gamecocks. The Bulldogs have really been playing well for a while now. That is outside a horrific 2nd half at in-state rival Ole Miss, where 34-33 halftime lead ended up in a 58-83 loss. That's the only bad game in their last 10. They are 7-3 over this stretch with the other two losses coming away from home against Oklahoma and Kentucky. 

I think it really says a lot about this Mississippi State team with how they were able to respond from that ugly 2nd half against Ole Miss by going on the road and defeating Arkansas. 

As for South Carolina, I just don't like the outside distractions with the allegations that have recently been made public with them breaking violations. I get they pulled out a last second win over Tennessee in the first game since the news broke, but it doesn't change my thought on this team. I think they have a real tough time here matching the intensity of the Bulldogs. Give me Mississippi State -5.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Miami +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hurricanes as a 4-point road dog against Virginia Tech. Miami has won their last two games in blowout fashion, beating BC 85-58 and Wake Forest 71-54. Because neither of those opponents are all that great and both were at home, I still don't think the perception of the Hurricanes is very good right now. Prior to these two wins they had gone just 3-10 to start out ACC play. 

What people will fail to realize who don't follow this team closely, is the fact that Miami has dealt with a ton of injuries and are as healthy as they have been in a long while. Seeing how they beat Va Tech shorthanded earlier this year by 10 at home, I see no reason why they can't win this game on the road. Hokies are off a win, but it was against Pitt and had lost 5 straight prior to that victory. Give me Miami +4! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Drake -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Drake covering as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Crusaders. Both of these teams are sitting at 7-7 in MVC play, which I think has a lot to do with the number. Valpo also won the first meeting on their home floor 66-61, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. 

The thing is there's such a big home/away difference for both of these teams. Drake losing at Valpo isn't all that shocking, if anything only losing by 5 is a positive. Bulldogs are just 4-9 away from home this season, compared to 13-1 at the Knapp Center. As for the Crusaders. They are 9-2 at home and just 5-11 on the road. Give me Drake -4! 

50* NCAAB POWER 5 CONF PLAY OF THE YEAR (Rutgers -1)

I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a mere 1-point home favorite against the Wolverines. Rutgers is a team that is better than a lot of people realize, especially those that don't follow the Big Ten real close. No way I'm passing up on the Scarlet Knights at basically a pick'em at home. Rutgers hasn't lost a game at the RAC all year (17-0) and a big part of that is the atmosphere from a rowdy home crowd. 

Michigan has played better of late, which is definitely playing into the number, but it's also come in a very favorable stretch of their schedule. In their last 8 games their only two true road games have come at Nebraska and Northwestern. I just think Rutgers is too good and could see them winning this game going away. Give me the Scarlet Knights -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wake Forest -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Demon Deacons at basically a pick'em at home against the likes of Georgia Tech. Here of late I've liked what I've seen out of Wake for the most part. They have been a lot more competitive than their 4-11 ACC mark would lead you to believe.

However, they did just lose badly at Miami in their last game, while Georgia Tech pulled off a huge upset at home over Louisville. I think these results have resulted in a ton of value here with the home team. Georgia Tech is more likely to fall flat on their face after that huge upset win than build on it. Demon Deacons on the other hand should be highly motivated here to get a win. Yes, Duke is on deck, but it's not until next Tuesday. 

Yellow Jackets are 1-6 ATS last 7 times they have come off a SU win. WF is 5-1 ATS last 6 off a loss and 4-0 ATS last 4 at home. Give me the Demon Deacons -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Seton Hall -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pirates covering as a 6-point home favorite against the Bulldogs. The betting public is on Butler in this one and I just don't see why this team continues to get love. Yes, they started out the season 15-1 and were 3-0 in Big East play, but they are not playing at that level or anything close.

The Bulldogs have lost 6 of their last 10 and have had to scratch and crawl for the 4 wins they have managed during this stretch, as all 4 came by 5 or fewer points and 3 of the 4 were at home. 

I get Seton Hall has lost their last two. They got beat by a Creighton team that is playing as good as anyone right now and then lost a heartbreaker at Providence on Saturday. I just trust this team a lot more than I do Butler, especially with the Pirates at home. Give me Seton Hall -6! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Ole Miss +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rebels as a 2-point road dog against the Tigers. Ole Miss has caught fire over the last 3 weeks and I see no reason not to jump on the bandwagon here. Rebels have covered 7 straight. They are 4-3 SU in this run with their 3 losses to Auburn, @ LSU and @ Kentucky all by 10 or less. 

Missouri comes in off a big upset win over Auburn, but we have seen that before. They destroyed Florida 91-75 back in January and then proceeded to lost by 27 at Miss St the next time out and lose their next 4 in a row overall. Keep in mind they had a big game at LSU right before the upset of Auburn and with just 2 days off, I think they are going to have a hard time taking Ole Miss seriously. Give me the Rebels +2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisconsin -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Wisconsin as a small 4-point home favorite against the Boilermakers. Feels like the Badgers are flying a bit under the radar right now and thus it has them showing some big time value. Wisconsin is 11-1 on their home floor this season and will be facing a Purdue team that is a mere 4-9 on the road. 

Big time revenge for the Badgers here, as they played one of their worst games of the season in a 51-70 loss at Purdue a few weeks back. It's not out of the ordinary for a team in the Big Ten to beat a team by double-digits at home and then go and lose by double-digits on the road. That's exactly what I think happens in this one. Give me Wisconsin -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Notre Dame -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. I was on the unfortunate end of a crushing last second loss by North Carolina this weekend at home against Virginia. Keep in mind they let one get away last weekend in an OT loss to Duke and went to Wake Forest on Tuesday and got annihilated 57-74. 

It's just not easy bouncing back from a loss like that, especially when they stack up on each other. It doesn't help that it's a lost season for UNC, whose only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is by winning the ACC Tournament. 

With another big game at Louisville on deck, I just have a hard time believing UNC is going to be mentally ready for this game just 1 day after the heartbreaking loss to Virginia. As for Notre Dame, they can't wait to get back on the court after getting embarrassed at Duke over the weekend. Irish also will have plenty of motivation here as they are still "on the bubble" and have revenge from an earlier loss to UNC way back in November. Give me Notre Dame -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Connecticut -4) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Tigers. UConn has been playing well of late. They are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games. The only two losses being a mere 7-point setback at Memphis and then a 4-point loss at SMU. Revenge is definitely going to be a big motivator for the Huskies, but this is also a really tough spot for the Tigers. Memphis has lost two straight after a late collapse at Cincinnati that saw what looked like a win turn into a OT loss. I just think the Tigers are going to have a hard time playing well on the road after that game on just 2 days of rest. Give me UConn -4! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 PLAY OF THE WEEK (UCLA -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bruins as a slim 3-point home favorite against Washington. This is an easy one for me. I don't like what I see from the Huskies. Their just too young and seem to crumble whenever things get tough. They have lost 7 straight and are in the brutal spot here of playing their 3rd straight road game in a 7-day stretch. As for UCLA, I really like what I've seen out of the Bruins here of late. New head coach Mick Cronin is getting his team to play his way after a slow start and they are 6-2 over their last 8 game. Give me the Bruins -3! 

50* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK (UNC -1)

My money is on the Tar Heels to cash in a win at home against Virginia. I think a good chunk of the public got burned with UNC in their last game against Wake Forest. People expected another great game after nearly upsetting Duke and instead they laid an egg in a 57-74 loss. I was on the Demon Deacons in that one. No way was UNC going to be able to get up for that game with just 2 days of rest. They will be ready to go here. I expect that same team that nearly beat Duke to show up and this time finish the job. Give me the Tar Heels -1! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland +7)

I'll take my chances here with the Terps catching 7-points on the road against the Spartans. Maryland is no joke. The Terps come in having won 7 straight and you can bet they are going to be a little pissed off when they see this line. Keep in mind Maryland has lost once all season by more than 7 points. I get Michigan State is off a big road win over Illinois, but the Illini have been struggling and the Spartans had lost 3 straight prior. Give me the Terps +7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (TCU -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Horned Frogs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. I just think this is the spot to jump on TCU. The Horned Frogs couldn't have played any worse than they did in their 42-88 loss at Texas Tech on Monday. That was their 6 straight loss. I just think we see them bounce back in a big way here at home and it certainly doesn't hurt going up against a struggling K-State team that just lost at home to Oklahoma State. Give me the Horned Frogs -2.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rutgers -3.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights laying a mere 3.5-points at home against the Illini. I know Big Ten teams aren't winning at home at the same clip that we saw to start the year, but home court is still massive. Rutgers is 16-0 at home and the RAC is sold out for this one against Illinois. Illini have lost 3 straight and I just think it's going to be tough for them to right the ship in this spot. Give me Rutgers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Notre Dame +12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a double-digit dog at Duke. I just think Notre Dame is going to be tough for the Blue Devils to blowout, especially coming off those two huge games against UNC and FSU. This is Notre Dame's only shot at the Blue Devils, so we know they are coming to play. Irish take great care of the ball and I just think if you don't turn it over and don't let Duke score a bunch in transition you can hang around. Give me Notre Dame +12.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Alabama -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide as a slim 2-point home favorite against LSU. Alabama really struggled to keep the momentum going after losing Herb Jones to injury. He's back and while only on a limited basis, I think he gives this team the spark they need to get back on track. As for LSU, they are just not as good as that 9-2 conference mark makes them out to be. Tigers have won so many close games. They could easily have a losing record in conference play with 6 wins by 4 or fewer points. Give me Alabama -2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St Bonaventure -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bonnies laying a mere 3.5-points at home against the Wildcats. There's just no way I'm passing up a play on St. Bonaventure at this price at home with how well they are playing and how badly Davidson has struggled on the road. Bonnies have lost on their home floor just once since early November and come in having won their last 5 games. Wildcats are 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS away from home this season. St Bonaventure should own the boards on both sides and have a big edge at the free throw line. Two keys to not just winning, but winning big. Give me the Bonnies -3.5! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Oregon -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Buffaloes. I just have to play Oregon in this spot. Ducks are going to be extremely motivated here, as they are off back-to-back road losses following a 4-game winning streak and are also going to be out for revenge from a 9-point loss at Colorado earlier this season. 

Oregon is 12-0 at home this season and we have seen Colorado struggle on the road, losing at UCLA, as well as by 21 at Arizona dn by 8 at Oregon State. They also lost by 14 at KU. Buffs are 10-27 ATS last 37 as a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points, 3-14 ATS last 17 on the road off a home win and 1-8 ATS last 9 on the road after playing two straight as a home favorite. Give me Oregon -4.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Pelicans -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Thunder. No way I'm passing up a play on New Orleans at this price. I think people realize that Zion is good, I just don't think they realize how good. This is a dangerous Pelicans team with him healthy. They come in having won 3 straight and are going to be extremely motivated to keep that momentum into the All-Star break. As for the Thunder, they have lost their last two, losing outright as an 8-point home favorite last time out. I just don't think they will be able to match the intensity of the Pelicans in this one. Give me New Orleans -2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Indiana -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers finding a way to win at home against the Hawkeyes. This is one of my favorite situational handicaps in that we have an unranked team laying points against a ranked opponent. Even better that it's Indiana at home.

I know the Hoosiers have lost 4 straight, but that's going to happen with how loaded the Big Ten is this year. I think we get the best the Hoosiers have to offer in this one and Iowa is a team that has had their struggles away from home. Iowa's last two road games in the Big Ten have resulted in double-digit losses and their only win on the road in the conference is at Northwestern. Give me the Hoosiers -1.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Heat. Utah has now won 3 straight since losing 5 in a row and I fully expect them to come out highly motivated here at home to make sure they go into the All-Star break on a positive note. 

As for Miami, this is really a tough spot for the Heat. Miami will be faced with playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and their 5th straight on the road overall. They got some new pieces, but it's a work in progress to get them up to speed and I just think we aren't going to see this team take a step forward until after they have some time to build some chemistry. Utah is not the place to figure things out. Give me the Jazz -4.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Villanova -5)

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats snapping their 3-game skid and getting revenge against the Golden Eagles. There's just no way I'm not taking a shot on a Jay Wright coached team in this spot. We are going to get the very best version of Villanova in this one and I just feel like Marquette is getting a little too much love on the road. Yes, the Wildcats just lost at home to Seton Hall, but they are still 10-2 at home and the Golden Eagles are a mere 5-5 away from home (12-1 at home). Last time Villanova lost 2 straight conference games at home was back in 2013. Give me the Wildcats -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Providence -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Friars finding a way to win on the road against St. John's. Providence had won at Butler 65-61 and at home against Creighton 73-56 before a tough loss at Xavier on Saturday. I just trust this team to bounce back in this spot and St John's is getting quite a bit of respect considering they are 2-9 in Big East play with their only 2 wins against DePaul. 

The Red Storm did only lose by 5 at Providence earlier this season, but I don't think it will get easier for them. St. John's needs to play in transition to score and the Friars are elite at transition defense. Red Storm only managed 58 points in the first meeting. If Providence doesn't have an off night shooting they win by double-digit easy, as they dominated the glass and made more free throws than St John's attempted. Give me the Friars -1.5!