Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-24-22 | Idaho State +3.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals + the points over Northern Arizona. The Lumberjacks have burned money as a home favorite, as they've covered just 11 of their last 40, including just 4 of 26 vs. foes off a SU loss. Take Idaho State + the points. |
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02-24-22 | Wild v. Maple Leafs -140 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Minnesota Wild. With their overtime loss to the Blue Jackets on Tuesday, the Maple Leafs are in the midst of just their second three-game losing streak of the season. Things don't get any easier for them tonight as they face the Minnesota Wild who have almost an identical record to that of Toronto. At least the Leafs are back home tonight, where they've lost only six times all season. This is a revenge situation for Toronto as in the only previous meeting of these two this season, the Wild came out on top in a shootout at home back on December 4. Despite its success lately, the Wild is just 2-5 in its last seven as a road underdog while the Leafs are 23-9 in their last 32 as a home favorite. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-22 | Maryland v. Indiana -6 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Maryland. The Hoosiers are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Maryland won + covered 2 straight. We'll lay the points with the ice cold Hoosiers, as they fall into a 59.6% ATS system of mine which plays on certain .555 (or better) favorites of -6 (or more) points off 4 SU/ATS losses. The Terps are a poor 8-18 ATS off a point spread win. Lay the points with Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oakland -5.5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Fort Wayne. The Mastodons are on a 7-game win streak. But this hot streak has placed Fort Wayne into a negative 50-98 ATS system of mine. Meanwhile, Oakland comes into this game off back to back upset losses, but now falls into a 152-86 system that plays on certain teams off 2+ upset. Lay the points with the Grizzlies. |
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02-24-22 | Robert Morris +10.5 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 64-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Northern Kentucky. The Norse have covered just 5 of their last 20 as home favorites, including 0-7 when laying more than 7 points. That doesn't bode well for Darrin Horn's men tonight. Moreover, the Colonials are 6-1 ATS their last seven as underdogs off back to back losses. Grab the points with Robert Morris. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-22 | William & Mary v. Northeastern -7.5 | Top | 28-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over William & Mary. On New Year's Eve, the Tribe upset the Huskies, 71-70, as a double-digit underdog. Take Northeastern in this revenge match, as William & Mary is a wallet-breaking 8-15 ATS off a loss, and 22-44 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. Lay the points. |
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02-23-22 | Bucknell v. Army -6 | Top | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
At 6 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Bucknell. The Bison come into this game off a 92-89 win over Lafayette. But Bucknell's a poor 0-6 ATS after scoring 85+ points. Meanwhile, Army will play its final home game of the season this evening, and look to snap a 6-game losing streak in the process. It lost 83-67 at American on Saturday, which dropped its season record to 13-15, but is 15-5 ATS off a road defeat. Army's been installed as a home favorite, and already defeated the 7-21 Bison by 7 points in Lewisburg back in January. We'll lay the points with the Black Knights, as losing NCAA teams have gone 27-9 ATS at home when favored, and playing their final home game of the season off 5+ losses. Additionally, the Black Knights are 7-2 SU when playing their final home game of the season, while Bucknell's 6-19 SU when facing a foe playing its final home game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-22 | Oklahoma +10.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 42-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas Tech. These two teams met just 13 days ago, and Oklahoma routed the Red Raiders, 70-55, in Norman. Since that game, however, the Sooners have dropped three straight, while Texas Tech has won three in a row. Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's a poor 3-15 ATS off three straight wins. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is 13-0 ATS as an underdog of +2 (or more) points vs. foes off 3+ wins. Take the Sooners. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-22 | Nebraska +11.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Northwestern. The Wildcats are 12-13 on the season, and 5-11 in Big 10 Conference play. And they're favored by double-digits against a foe they already soundly defeated, 87-63, less than three weeks ago. The motivation will be on the Nebraska side this evening. So, we'll happily take the double-digits against a Northwestern club which is now 0-12 ATS its last 12 regular season Big 10 games as a favorite of more than 4 points. |
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02-22-22 | Maple Leafs -210 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -210 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Columbus Blue Jackets. Just because the Maple Leafs have one of the best records in the East, don't assume they will sit quietly coming up to the trade deadline. This is a team with plenty of high-end talent but one that needs depth at pretty much every position. They'd like to add a defenseman to ease the burden on their young blue line. And #1 net-minder Jack Campbell has looked a bit more human lately, so maybe Toronto would like some insurance in goal as well. When Campbell got his third start in five days on Saturday, that shakiness was apparent as he allowed five goals on 33 shots in Toronto's loss to St. Louis. The Leafs will step down-in-class tonight against a Blue Jackets team whose last four victories have come against the Blackhawks, Canadiens, and Sabres (twice). So the fact that Columbus is a hot team lately is more than a little misleading. The Leafs are 5-0 in their last five against the Metropolitan and 15-3 in their last 18 vs. teams from the East. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-22 | Georgia +12 v. Texas A&M | Top | 77-91 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Texas A/M. The Bulldogs were blown out, 85-68, on Saturday by Ole Miss. But SEC Conference double-digit dogs off losses by 12+ points have gone 144-85 ATS in conference play, including 69-32 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses. And the Aggies are a horrid 5-17 ATS as favorites of -9 (or more) points. It's true that A&M bested the Bulldogs in Athens, in early January. But the Bulldogs are 13-0 ATS in the regular season as underdogs of more than 7 points when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Georgia + the points. |
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02-21-22 | New Mexico State v. Seattle University +3 | Top | 68-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Redhawks over New Mexico State. Both teams enter this game with 12-2 records in WAC Conference play, so the winner will move to the top of the Conference standings. Seattle is 16-1 SU and 10-4-1 ATS at home this season, and it's 20-9-1 ATS its last 30 home games. Even better: WAC Conference home underdogs (or PK) have gone 35-14 ATS in matchups between winning conference foes, if both teams entered the game off a SU win. Take Seattle. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-21-22 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs minus 1.5 goals over Montreal. The Leafs avenged their Playoff ouster at the hands of the Habs last season, with a 2-1 victory on Opening Night. But the Maple Leafs will no doubt want to beat their rivals more than just one time after their disastrous Playoffs showing last year. So, I expect a solid effort from Toronto tonight, and the fact that it gave up six goals two nights ago to St. Louis should serve as extra motivation. Montreal is 12-20 (minus 13.6 net games on the moneyline) off back to back losses, and 4-15 (minus 8.0 net games) when playing with revenge. And it's 1-9 at home when the Over/Under has been 6+ goals. But rather than lay more than -300 on the moneyline, we'll take Toronto on the goal line for this game. Lay the 1.5 goals with the Maple Leafs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-21-22 | UTEP +5.5 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Blue Raiders return home off back to back road wins over Florida International and Florida Atlantic -- the latter win of the upset variety. And MTSU has covered the spread in its last four games, overall. But this hot streak has placed the Blue Raiders into several negative systems of mine, including ones with 24-89, 47-114 and 101-195 ATS records. UTEP is also playing very good basketball, with eight wins in its last 10 games (7-3 ATS), including 4-0 ATS its last four on the road. The Miners blew out Southern Miss, 84-70, on Saturday, and are 13-7 ATS off a double-digit win. Meanwhile, the Blue Raiders have covered just 10 of 30 vs. foes off a double-digit win. Grab the points with UTEP. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-20-22 | Lehigh v. Loyola Maryland -4.5 | Top | 42-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds minus the points over Lehigh. The Greyhounds will be playing their final home game of the season tonight, and are currently tied for 5th place in the tightly-packed Patriot League standings. With a difficult road game against 2nd place Navy on deck, the Greyhounds know they need to win today's game to stay ahead of Army and Holy Cross in the race for a top-6 seed, and a bye into the quarterfinals. It's true that the Mountain Hawks come into this game off an impressive, 86-77 win over Bucknell. But Lehigh's top two offensive performances this season were both against Bucknell, as they also scored 97 vs. the Bison back on January 13, so they clearly match up well vs. that opponent. The bad news for Lehigh, here, is that it's a horrid 0-13 SU/ATS after scoring 80+ points in its previous game. Lay the points with Loyola Maryland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-20-22 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -121 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Carolina Hurricanes. As they often do, the Pittsburgh Penguins got off to a slow start this season and there were many people thinking that this would be the season in which the age of their star players would catch up to the five-time Stanley Cup Champions. But also as they often do, the Pens have rallied after that slow start and now they look like a team that could not only win their division, but one that could make another trip to the Finals. Since December 4, the Penguins have gone 21-7, taking them to a tie with tonight's opponents atop the Metropolitan Division. Surprisingly, this is the first meeting of these two in almost two years (March 8, 2020 -- a 6-2 'Canes win here in Pittsburgh). The Pens lost to the Maple Leafs in their last game on Thursday, 4-1, and they are 7-0 in their last seven games playing with two days of rest. The Hurricanes are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings with the Pens and 6-13 in the last 19 here at PPG Paints Arena. The favorite is also 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. Take Pittsburgh. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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02-19-22 | Long Beach State v. UC-Santa Barbara -5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Long Beach State. The Beach defeated the Gauchos earlier this season. But Big West conference teams on 3-game SU/ATS (or better) win streaks are an ugly 29% since 1990 when facing revenge-minded foes they defeated earlier in the season, if they weren't favored by 3+ points in the current game, including 0-9 SU and 0-8-1 ATS their last nine. That doesn't bode well for Long Beach tonight. Nor does the fact that UCSB is 22-12 ATS at home when playing with revenge and priced from -3 to -6. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-19-22 | Bruins -170 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Ottawa Senators. The Bruins' trip to the Big Apple did not go as planned, as they lost to both the Rangers and Islanders by a combined score of 6-2. They are hoping a trip up north of the border will get them back on track. But the Bruins won't be taking their hosts lightly as the Senators have won four of their last seven, including victories over the Caps (4-1) and Hurricanes (4-3). Let's not forget, however, that this is still a team that is 18-29 overall and just 9-15 here at home. The Sens are also a group with a ton of injuries right now, including #1 Center Josh Norris (shoulder), #1 RW Drake Batherson (ankle), #1 D-man Thomas Chabot (upper body), and #1 Goalie Matt Murray (undisclosed). The Bruins are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with the Senators including a 2-0 shutout right here at Canadian Tire Center just one week ago. In fact, the Bruins are 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Ottawa. Boston lost its last game 4-1 and it is 7-1 in its last eight immediately following a loss by three or more goals. Take the Bruins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-19-22 | Stetson v. Liberty -14.5 | Top | 82-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Stetson. Liberty looks to bounce back off its upset loss to North Florida, and will welcome the 11-15 Hatters to Lynchburg. Liberty already smashed Stetson earlier this year, on the road in DeLand, as a 6.5-point road favorite. Now, they're back home, where they've won 46 of 47 games since Feb 2, 2019 (and have covered 64%). We'll lay the double-digits, as Liberty falls into several of my very best systems that play on certain teams off upset losses, including a 94-49 ATS angle, as well as a 60-20 ATS system. This will be a blowout. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-19-22 | Prairie View A&M -6.5 v. Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Top | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Prairie View A&M Panthers minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. The Golden Lions have covered just 30 of 76 as an underdog, and are also 8-19 ATS their last 27 off back to back ATS wins. With Pine Bluff in off back to back ATS wins over Alabama State and Alabama A&M, we'll fade them as a home underdog on Saturday. Lay the points with Prairie View. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-19-22 | Kennesaw State +6 v. Jacksonville | Top | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw State Owls plus the points over Jacksonville. The Dolphins enter this game on a 7-game ATS win streak, and are now 17-8 SU and 17-4 ATS. But Jacksonville's hot streak has triggered several negative systems of mine, including one with a 101-194 ATS record since 1990. Take Kennesaw + the points. |
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02-19-22 | North Texas v. UAB -4 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over North Texas. This is a great Conference USA match-up between the 20-6 Blazers, and 19-4 Mean Green. UAB already defeated North Texas, 69-63, in Denton. And we'll look for UAB to sweep the season series this afternoon, as it's 15-1 straight-up at home this season, and has a relative home/away point spread differential of +7.44. Even better: dating back to Feb. 12, 2020, the Blazers are 33-3 SU at home, and 22-10 ATS. Take UAB to blow out North Texas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-19-22 | Towson v. College of Charleston +3.5 | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars + the points over Towson. The Cougars were upset here, at home, by James Madison two nights ago, which lowered their record to 14-11. We'll look for Pat Kelsey's men to bounce back as a home dog, as the Cougars are 76-41 ATS when they're an underdog of +3 (or more) points, when they've owned a winning record. Take the Cougars. |
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02-19-22 | Eastern Illinois v. Tennessee State -10.5 | Top | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee State Tigers minus the points over Eastern Illinois. The Panthers upset the Tigers last month, as an 8-point home dog. But that upset has triggered a 164-92 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that were upset by their opponent earlier in the season. Even better: revengers have gone 17-7 ATS vs. Eastern Illinois. Lay the points with Tennessee State. |
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02-19-22 | Middle Tennessee v. Florida Atlantic -4 | Top | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Owls have dominated as a favorite, including 12-1 ATS their last 13 when favored by 1.5 (or more) points against a conference rival. Lay the points with Florida Atlantic. |
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02-19-22 | St. Thomas +19.5 v. South Dakota State | Top | 60-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over S. Dakota St. The Tommies are on an improbable 11-game SU/ATS losing streak, and will face a Jackrabbits team on a 15-game win streak (9-6 ATS). The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the ice-cold Tommies. But their long ATS losing streak has actually created point spread value. Indeed, teams off 10+ straight-up losses have covered 60% since 1990 vs. foes off 10+ straight-up wins. So, we will happily grab the double-digits, as the Tommies also fall into a 780-584 ATS system of mine, as well as 22-7 and 438-240-13 ATS angles. Take St. Thomas + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-19-22 | Northeastern +11.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra. Northeastern has lost its last two games - both SU and ATS. But Colonial Athletic Ass'n road underdogs of +9 (or more) points have gone 86-52 ATS if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, including 38-15 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Northeastern + the double-digits. |
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02-19-22 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -1.5 | Top | 54-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Oklahoma. After upsetting Texas Tech, 70-55, on Feb. 9, the Sooners have dropped back to back games to Kansas and Texas. I don't look for things to get better this afternoon in Ames, as Oklahoma is a dreadful 13-36 ATS away from home off back to back losses. Take Iowa State minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-19-22 | Central Connecticut State +15.5 v. Wagner | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils + the points over Wagner. After scoring 91 points in a win over Fairleigh Dickinson, the Blue Devils have hit the offensive skids, and have managed to tally just 60, 50, and 61 points in their last three games. But Central Connecticut State is 7-0 ATS its last seven (and 10-1 ATS its last 11) off 3 games where they failed to score 67+ points. And the Blue Devils also fall into a 701-491 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Grab the double-digits with Central Connecticut State. |
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02-18-22 | Predators v. Hurricanes -158 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Nashville Predators. The Hurricanes come into tonight's game off of back-to-back stinging 3-2 defeats. Those two one-goal losses came against two very good teams in the Wild and Panthers (the latter in OT), so the 'Canes will be stepping down-in-class tonight to face the struggling Predators, who visit Raleigh for the first time this season. In fact, the last time Nashville was here was in last year's post-season when the Predators lost to the 'Canes in the first round, 4 games to 2. The Preds come into tonight having lost three straight -- the last two of which were at home but they've had their struggles on the road this season as well. And Carolina -- in particular -- is not a place that has been kind to the Preds as they have won just three times in their last 16 trips here going all the way back to the 2012 season. The home team is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings of these two teams, while the favorite is 11-4 in the last 15. And Carolina is also 7-1 off back to back 1-goal losses. Take the Hurricanes. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | Long Beach State v. CS-Northridge +6.5 | Top | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Long Beach State. The Matadors come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over Cal Poly SLO and Cal State Bakersfield. The Matadors have been installed as a home underdog tonight, and we'll grab the points, as they fall into a 67.7% ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset wins. Additionally, Northridge is 17-4 ATS off an upset win, if it owned a losing SU/ATS record. And it's 11-4 ATS when playing with same-season revenge. Take Cal State Northridge + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | Montana State v. Eastern Washington +2.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles + the points over Montana State. The Eagles come into this game off a 3-point win (as a double-digit favorite) vs. Idaho State this past Saturday. And they play with revenge from a 69-65 loss to the Bobcats in January. Eastern Washington is a fantastic 21-6-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS as an underdog. And it's 18-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. It's true that the Bobcats are currently riding an 11-game win streak. But they're also 3-5 ATS their last eight. And they're a wallet-breaking 14-33-2 ATS off back to back conference wins, if matched up against a foe off an ATS loss. Take Eastern Washington + the points. |
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02-17-22 | UCF v. Houston -13.5 | Top | 52-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Central Florida. The Cougars have been one of the best -- and most consistent -- teams over the past two years. They've gone 48-8 SU, and 34-21 ATS. So, it was a bit of a surprise when the Cougars lost back to back games last week to SMU and Memphis -- the first time it dropped 2 straight games since the 2016-17 season. Still, it's worth noting that Houston is a staggering 35-11 ATS off a point spread loss, including 11-0 ATS when favored by 13 or more points. And it's 10-1 ATS off back to back ATS losses. Take Houston minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | CS Sacramento v. Weber State -15 | Top | 50-65 | Push | 0 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats minus the points over Sacramento State. It's not often that I will go against a team (like the Hornets) on an 0-9-1 ATS run, but I'll make an exception tonight, as Weber has lost its last three games -- each as a favorite. And home teams off 3 upset defeats have cashed 64.9% vs. non-winning opposition. Take Weber State to blow out the Hornets. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | Texas-San Antonio +2.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 98-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on Texas-San Antonio + the points over Southern Mississippi. These two teams met in San Antonio last month, and the Golden Eagles upset the Roadrunners, 74-73. But since that victory, the Golden Eagles have lost 10 straight games vs. division 1 foes. The Roadrunners have also not been playing well, as they come into this game off 5 straight losses. But they've covered the spread in their last two games, and in six of their last nine. UTSA is also 17-7-1 ATS off back to back conference losses, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Texas San Antonio + the points. |
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02-17-22 | Oregon State +24.5 v. Arizona | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Arizona. These two teams have mirror opposite conference records, as the Wildcats are 12-1 in Pac-12 play, while Oregon St. is 1-12. The Beavers lost by 25 at home to the Wildcats earlier this season, but should play a much closer game this evening. We'll grab the points with Oregon State, as it's 21-7 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss against a conference foe, including 10-1 ATS vs. .750 (or better) opponents. Even better, over the last 32 seasons, Arizona's covered just 25% as a double-digit home favorite off a SU/ATS win vs. revenge-minded foes that owned a losing SU/ATS record. Finally, Oregon State falls into 100-27, 437-240 and 779-584 ATS systems of mine. Take the Beavers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs -145 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over Pittsburgh. The Leafs were my preseason choice to win the Stanley Cup this season (at 7-1 odds), so we'll be playing on them a lot the rest of the way. Tonight, they'll host a Penguins team off 4 straight wins. And also a team which defeated Toronto not once, but twice earlier this season. But that sets up our play, as Toronto is 17-2 when playing with revenge from a home loss. Even better: the Leafs blew out Seattle, 6-2, on the road in its last game. And the Leafs are 28-8 off a road win by 2+ goals, including a perfect 9-0 this season. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | North Texas v. Florida Atlantic +3 | Top | 54-51 | Push | 0 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls + the points over North Texas. The Mean Green have won 10 straight games, and have been installed as a small road favorite at Florida Atlantic. I look for North Texas' win streak to be halted tonight, as the Owls have gone 10-0 SU and 8-0 ATS at home since December 1. Meanwhile, the Mean Green have covered just six of 27 Conference road games when favored by less than 5 points. And they fall into a negative 69-124 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road favorites with win percentages above .750. Take Florida Atlantic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-22 | Delaware v. Elon +4.5 | Top | 71-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Delaware. Elon will welcome the Blue Hens to Alumni Gym tonight, as it will look to avenge a 3-point loss to Delaware last month. It's true that Elon was blown out by 36 and 33 points in its last two games. But those two blowout losses have triggered a great 110-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back blowout defeats. Meanwhile, Delaware won by 21 on Monday vs. James Madison. But the Blue Hens are a horrid 2-15 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points off a 9-point (or greater) win. Take Elon + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets won by 10 points vs. Orlando two nights ago. Unfortunately, Denver is a horrid 21-48 ATS on the road off a win by more than 8 points, including 6-22 ATS if its foe failed to cover the spread by 5+ points in its previous game. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-22 | Spurs -5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City. We played against San Antone on Monday, and were rewarded with an 11-point Chicago victory. But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Gregg Popovich's crew on the road. Indeed, the Spurs are 82-51 ATS as a road favorite of -4 (or more) points off a SU loss. Take the Spurs. |
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02-16-22 | Evansville v. Drake -16.5 | Top | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Evansville. Last year, the Bulldogs were a point spread darling, as they opened the season on a 20-4 ATS run. This year, it's been quite the opposite, as they're 6-17 ATS. These two teams actually met earlier this season in a hastily-scheduled game (due to a COVID-19 cancellation by another opponent), so there was no point spread on the game -- a 60-59 victory by Drake. We'll lay the points tonight, as the Bulldogs are 16-6-1 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss, when playing a revenge-minded opponent, including 9-0-1 ATS vs. foes with a .475 (or better) ATS win percentage. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-22 | Pistons +13 v. Celtics | Top | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Boston. These two teams are headed in opposite directions. Boston won its 9th in a row last night in blowout fashion, as it pounded Philly, 137-87. Meanwhile, the Pistons are riding an 8-game losing streak, in which they've gone 1-7 ATS. But their one ATS win in this stretch was against these Celtics. And Detroit will have an advantage tonight, in that Boston will be playing without rest, while Detroit had last night off. Take the double-digits with Detroit. |
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02-16-22 | Nets v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Brooklyn. Both of these teams have been on horrid runs of late. The Nets, though, did get back into the win column on Monday, with a 24-point blowout of the Sacramento Kings. And that upset win snapped an 11-game losing streak. New York has only been a tad better, as it's 2-8 SU/ATS over its last 10 games. And its most recent game was its worst one yet, as it lost, 127-123, at home to Oklahoma City, as a 10-point favorite. But New York's 12-0 ATS off a loss as a favorite of more than 9 points, if it wasn't favored by 6+ points in its current game. And New York also falls into a 33-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off upset losses vs. foes off upset wins. Take New York to bounce back tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-22 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -125 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Florida Panthers. In what could be an early preview of the Eastern Conference Finals, the Panthers will head north to face the Hurricanes for the third time this season. The last meeting was here in Raleigh and the Panthers prevailed in OT, 4-3. With that victory, Florida has now won the last three meetings with Carolina going back to last April. But the Panthers come into this meeting with some key injuries, whereas the 'Canes are 100% healthy currently. The Panthers have been like a firing squad at home this season, averaging a League-best 4.76 goals per game in South Florida. But on the road, that number drops all the way down to 3.29 -- not bad, but certainly not on par with what they've been doing at home. Meanwhile, the 'Canes are one of the stingiest hosts this season, allowing just 2.24 goals per game at PNC Arena (while posting 3.62 GPG here). The Panthers are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings with the 'Canes overall and 15-37-2 in the last 54 meetings in Carolina. Take the Hurricanes. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-22 | Chicago State +19.5 v. Stephen F Austin | Top | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Stephen F. Austin. These two teams met just six days ago, and the Lumberjacks won by 20, in Chicago. But going into that game, the Cougars had gone 12-7 ATS over their previous 19 games. Chicago State also lost its next game, 72-59, vs. Sam Houston, but is 7-0 ATS as an underdog of +13 (or more) points off back to back losses. Meanwhile, SF Austin is a wallet-breaking 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of -12 (or more) points. And it also falls into a negative 584-778 ATS system of mine. Grab the points with the Cougars. |
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02-16-22 | Illinois v. Rutgers +4.5 | Top | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Illinois. This is a huge revenge game for the Knights, who were annihilated by Illinois, 86-51, in December. But Rutgers wasn't playing very well to start the season, as it opened on a 2-8-1 ATS run. Since then, however, the Knights have gone 9-4 ATS, including 4-0 ATS their last four games. Among Rutgers' victims this season have been Purdue, Michigan, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Wisconsin. And at home, the Scarlet Knights have been dominant vs. .545 (or better) foes, and especially when the Knights weren't favored by more than three points. In this situation, Rutgers is 17-1 ATS its last 18. Take Rutgers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-22 | Furman -13.5 v. Western Carolina | Top | 103-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Western Carolina. The Paladins went 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS in their nine games from January 5 to February 2. Among their victims was this Western Carolina team, which they routed by 38 points. But they then hit the skids with a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. I love Furman to bounce back tonight, as it's 56-3 SU and 47-12 ATS when favored by 6+ points against a .455 (or worse) opponent. Lay the points. |
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02-15-22 | Islanders -185 v. Sabres | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -185 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Buffalo Sabres. In November, the Sabres shipped their only bona-fide superstar in center Jack Eichel off to the bright lights of the Vegas Strip. But just because they don't have Eichel anymore, doesn't mean they don't have some other valuable assets to move for picks and prospects as the trade deadline nears. The Sabres are going nowhere this season so look for more of their players to be sent away before the end of March. They were fortunate to play the Canadiens in their last game and took advantage of one of the only teams that is worse than they are, coming away with a 5-3 victory on Super Bowl Sunday. The Islanders have lost their last two and five of their last seven, so they will no doubt welcome the class relief tonight against their cross-State rivals. In addition to being bad, the Sabres are also very injured at the current time with no fewer than eight regulars out of action due to some sort of ailment. The Isles are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings of these two teams. Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-22 | Memphis v. Cincinnati +3 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Memphis. Penny Hardaway's men upset then-No. 6-ranked-Houston, 69-59, as a 9.5-point underdog, on Saturday. And that upset win has triggered a negative 32-81 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off wins over top-level clubs. Even worse for Memphis: it's covered just 10 of 40 regular season games away from home, if it was off a win by more than 8 points away from home in its previous game. Take the Bearcats + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-22 | Kent State +9 v. Toledo | Top | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Toledo. The Golden Flashes come into tonight's Mid-American Conference game off six straight wins, and five straight covers. And Kent already defeated Toledo, 66-63, at home back on New Year's Day. We'll ride red-hot Kent tonight, as it's 25-10 ATS its last 35 vs. the Rockets, including 12-2 ATS as an underdog (or PK). Take the Golden Flashes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-22 | Maple Leafs -204 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Seattle Kraken. Not surprisingly, one of these teams will be staying home after the regular season while the other will be preparing to make a deep playoff run. While the Kraken's inaugural season has not been a complete disaster, the new team from Seattle is still several key pieces away from being in the position that Toronto occupies today. The Leafs will almost certainly be buyers at the upcoming trade deadline, looking most likely for some help on the blue line as well as perhaps an able back-up for their All-Star goalie Jack Campbell, as Petr Mrazek has been pretty shaky lately. Campbell will get the start tonight in the first-ever match-up of these two clubs. In addition to being one of the most talented teams in the league, the Maple Leafs are also the healthiest right now, with no injuries to report and that's a huge advantage as we head into the final two months of the season. The Kraken are 0-4 in their last four games following a win, and 1-7 in their last eight as a home underdog. Take the Leafs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls -5.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over San Antonio. The Spurs have impressed in their last two games, with upset road wins over the Pelicans and Hawks. But off those two road upsets, we will fade Gregg Popovich's crew at Chicago, as the Bulls will be looking to avenge a 9-point loss in the Alamo City less than three weeks ago. And San Antone has covered just 37% on the road since 1991 off back to back SU/ATS road wins, when matched up against a revenge-minded foe. Meanwhile, Chicago has been dominant as a favorite of -2 (or more) points, as it's 31-5 straight-up, and 26-11 ATS, including 9-1 ATS at home vs. a foe off a win. Lay the points with the Bulls. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-22 | Duquesne +13 v. Davidson | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes + the points over Davidson. Bob McKillop's Wildcats have burned money all season long at home vs. Atlantic-10 Conference foes, as they're 1-10 ATS. That doesn't bode well for Davidson tonight. We'll grab the points with Duquesne, which will be looking to bounce back off its upset loss to Fordham on Saturday. And the Dukes are 14-0-1 ATS as an underdog of +4 to +16.5 points vs. .440 (or better) foes, if the Dukes were off an upset loss. Take Duquesne + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 315 h 24 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over the Los Angeles Rams. The Bengals continue to step up against the league's best teams. They're now 9-1 SU/ATS vs. winning opponents! And that includes impressive upset wins over the Chiefs (twice), Titans and Ravens (with Lamar Jackson). In contrast, the Rams are 4-6 ATS this season vs. winning opponents, including a horrid 1-6 ATS as a favorite! And they're 6-12 ATS when laying more than 3 points, and 11-26 ATS off back to back wins under Sean McVay (including 5-19 ATS when the line was 7 or less points). It's true that the Rams will be playing this game at their home stadium, but home teams are a soft 17-25 in the Playoffs since 2018 when favored by 3+ points. Take the points with the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -104 | 315 h 23 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams OVER the total. The Rams held Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers in check in the NFC Conference Championship game, which finished 20-17, and went under the total of 45.5 points by 8.5 points. But the Rams have tended to go OVER the total when facing the better NFL teams, as they're 10-4 OVER when playing an opponent which averages more than 26.75 ppg, and 7-1 OVER when playing an opponent with a .650 (or better) win percentage. Additionally, the Rams are now 5-0 OVER following an under in their previous game. Even better: NFL teams have gone OVER 67-42 in the Playoffs following a game it went under by more than 8 points, if such Playoff game had a line greater than 42 points. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-13-22 | Hawks v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 95-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks were annihilated by San Antonio on Friday, 136-121, as they gave up 73 points in the first half. Many teams will bounce back off bad games. But not Atlanta, as it's 23-48 ATS on the road off a 15-point loss, when it's not getting more than 9 points (including 0-8 SU/ATS its last eight). Boston is playing its best ball of the season, with seven straight wins, and nine victories in its last 10 games (6-4 ATS). Lay the points with Ime Udoka's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-13-22 | Monmouth v. Iona -8 | Top | 62-70 | Push | 0 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over Monmouth. The Gaels are on a 4-game ATS losing streak, and will look to bounce back off straight-up losses in their last two games -- at Niagara and Siena. This afternoon, they'll welcome the revenge-minded Hawks to Hynes Athletics Center. Iona already eked out a 1-point win over Monmouth earlier this season, and has an 11-game home win streak (7-4 ATS) dating back to last February. Unfortunately for King Rice's men, the Hawks are a soft 17-24 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. And they're also 0-7 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Meanwhile, Rick Pitino's teams have gone 17-9 ATS off 4 (or more) ATS losses, and 41-31 ATS off a straight-up road defeat. Take Iona minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Stanford v. Oregon State +3.5 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Stanford. The Cardinals are a wallet-breaking 8-27 ATS in the 2nd of back to back road games, while Oregon State has consistently delivered as a Pac-12 Conference underdog, as it's 28-16-1 ATS its last 45 in this role vs. conference foes. Grab the points with the Beavers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Arizona State +11.5 v. Washington State | Top | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Washington State. After upsetting UCLA, 87-84, as a double-digit underdog in overtime, the Sun Devils have dropped their last two games. But this is a very good situation to back ASU, as it will be playing with revenge from a 51-29 defeat earlier this year. And NCAA underdogs are 68.2% ATS when playing with same-season revenge from a game in which they scored less than 38 points. Take the Sun Devils + the points. |
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02-12-22 | Grand Canyon v. Dixie State +8 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Dixie State Trailblazers + the points over Grand Canyon. The Antelopes pulled off a road upset win on Thursday at Utah Valley State, 79-69. But that upset win has triggered a negative 32-78 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams off upset road wins. We played on the Trailblazers on Thursday, and they covered for the seventh time in nine games, and we'll ride Dixie State once again tonight. Take the Trailblazers + the points. |
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02-12-22 | Ole Miss +1.5 v. Missouri | Top | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Missouri. Revenge situations don't get much better than this, as Ole Miss was upset by the Tigers, 78-53, as a 7.5-point home favorite, back on January 18. Mississippi is a solid 63% ATS as an underdog since 1990 when playing with revenge from an upset home loss. Take Ole Miss. |
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02-12-22 | Blackhawks v. Blues -185 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Chicago Blackhawks. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has had a very distinguished career with three Stanley Cups with Pittsburgh and a trip to a fourth final in his first season in Vegas. Fleury found himself traded last summer to Chicago and although his best years are clearly behind him, the 37-year-old could find himself with another Cup Contender in a month. Fleury is the main trade chip for Chicago at the upcoming deadline and his chances of remaining in the Windy City are about the same as the Hawks winning the Cup this Spring. Chicago's NHL team has plenty of problems -- with Fleury not being one of them. Short on talent and long on injuries right now, the Hawks have lost seven of their last nine games coming into St. Louis where they are 0-4 in their last four tries going back to October 2018. The Blues are having another outstanding season and are 17-6-2 in 25 games here at Enterprise Center. Chicago, meanwhile, is an awful 3-15 off a win by 2+ goals. Finally, the Favorite is 5-1 in the last six meetings of these two, and the home team is 8-2 in the last 10. Take St. Louis. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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02-12-22 | North Dakota State v. St. Thomas +7 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over N. Dakota St. The Bison went into Western Illinois on Thursday, and left with an 84-81 victory -- their fourth straight win. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Bison against the ice cold Tommies, who have dropped nine straight. But we'll run the other way, as North Dakota St. has not covered any of its last nine (and has covered just 20 of its last 71) off a win, in which it scored 79+ points. Take St. Thomas. |
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02-12-22 | Grizzlies -7 v. Hornets | Top | 125-118 | Push | 0 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Charlotte. We played on the Hornets last night, and easily got the $$$$ in a 141-119 victory over the Detroit Pistons. Unfortunately, the Hornets have to play tonight without rest, against a rested, revenge-minded foe. And unrested teams off a win, in which they scored 138+ points, have cashed just 25% since 1990 vs. rested, revenge-minded foes, provided our unrested team wasn't getting more than 11 points. Memphis is 20-6 ATS off a win, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Memphis minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 124-114 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. San Antone shot a blistering 18-of-32 from three-point range last night, en route to a 136-121 upset win at Atlanta. Even center Jakob Poeltl got into the act, as he swished a shot from beyond half-court to end the first half, and send the Spurs into the locker room, up 73-56. The Spurs came down to earth in the second half, and were outscored by two points, but still easily won by 15. But off that win, we will fade San Antonio tonight against a rested Pelicans squad. Since 1990, the Spurs are a wallet-breaking 21.4% ATS as an underdog of +7 (or less) points after a game in which they scored more than 116. And on the road vs. New Orleans, the Spurs are 6-17 ATS off a win. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Liberty -5 v. Jacksonville | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Jacksonville. We played on Liberty last month in the first meeting between these two Atlantic Sun conference foes, and the Flames delivered an 88-49 victory, as an 8.5-point home favorite. They're now a road favorite, and we'll lay the points once again, as the Flames fall into 195-108 and 159-76 ATS systems of mine that play on certain favorites off ATS losses. Additionally, Liberty has won its last 10 games straight-up, when installed as a road favorite, and is 5-2 ATS its last seven on the road when favored by 7 (or less) points. Take the Flames. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Arkansas-Little Rock +13.5 v. Troy State | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Little Rock Trojans + the points over Troy. Troy has struggled at home vs. losing teams, with a win percentage between .333 and .499, as it's 3-24 ATS. Meanwhile, Little Rock falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 435-240-13 ATS since 1990, which plays on certain teams off losses. Take Little Rock + the points. |
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02-12-22 | Murray State v. Morehead State +3 | Top | 57-53 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Morehead State Eagles + the points over Murray State. Last month, we had a huge play on Murray State vs. Morehead, and were rewarded with an 11-point victory. But we'll take the points with Morehead in this revenge match, as the Eagles are 6-0 ATS their last six as a home underdog, while Murray State is a poor 5-16 ATS on the road off a double-digit win, including 0-5 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points. And the Racers are 1-8 ATS their last nine road games vs. foes playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Finally, Murray State falls into a negative 68-123 ATS system of mine which goes against certain .900 (or better) teams on the road against foes with worse conference records. Take Morehead State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Lamar +17 v. Seattle University | Top | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Seattle. Lamar is 2-21, and was blown out by 22 at Cal Baptist on Thursday. But that blowout loss has triggered a very good 181-108 ATS system of mine, and we'll grab the big number of points this afternoon vs. an 18-6 Redhawks team off 3 ATS defeats. And Seattle's ATS losing streak doesn't bode well for it as a big favorite, as double-digit home favorites have covered just 39% since 1990 off 3 ATS defeats, if they owned a winning conference record, and their opponent had a losing conference record, and was off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Lamar. |
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02-12-22 | Bryant v. Long Island +2 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over Bryant. The Bulldogs come into this game on a long, 9-game win streak. But this will be a difficult venue for Bryant to extend the streak, as the Sharks are 11-1 SU their last 12 home games (7-4 ATS). And the only defeat suffered by the Sharks here, at home, was in overtime to Wagner -- and the Seahawks needed to hit a buzzer-beating 3-pointer at the end of regulation just to get it into the extra session. Long Island has won 7 of the last 10 meetings at home vs. Bryant, and the Sharks also fall into an 88-52 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams (like Bryant) on 8-game (or better) win streaks. Take the Sharks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Niagara v. Fairfield -1.5 | Top | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags minus the points over Niagara. The Purple Eagles upset Iona on Monday for their 3rd straight win and cover. But this win streak has triggered a negative 32-80 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams off 3 SU/ATS wins vs. foes -- like Fairfield -- off 3 losses. And while it's true that Niagara will be looking to avenge its loss to the Stags earlier this season, it's also true that Niagara is a horrid 0-10-1 ATS as an underdog of +6 or less points when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season. Take Fairfield. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-22 | Arkansas v. Alabama -4.5 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Arkansas. We played on Arkansas earlier this week as our SEC Game of the Year, and were rewarded with an upset win over then-#1-ranked Auburn. But off that upset, we will fade Arkansas, as it's 119-185 ATS away from home when not laying 3+ points. And it's 6-30 ATS in the regular season off an upset win, if it's playing an opponent with a .536 (or worse) ATS win percentage. Take Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-11-22 | Hornets -6.5 v. Pistons | Top | 141-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Detroit. This series has been completely dominated by Charlotte, as it's won the last 14 meetings, and has gone 11-3 ATS, including 5-1 ATS on the road. It's true that the Hornets have dropped six straight games (as have the Pistons). But .500 (or better) teams have cashed 64% off 6+ losses, if they weren't getting 5 or more points. Even better: the Pistons are a woeful 0-8 SU/ATS their last eight (and 35-61-1 ATS their last 97) at home against foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take the Hornets minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-11-22 | Long Beach State v. Hawaii -3 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Long Beach State. The Beach comes into tonight's game on a 9-game SU/ATS win streak. Unfortunately, their long win streak has triggered several negative systems of mine that go against hot teams, that have records of 92-48 and 46-21 ATS. Even better: Big West home favorites have covered 58% since 1990 off back to back losses, if matched up against a foe off 3 SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with Hawaii. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-22 | Bucks v. Suns -3 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks enter tonight's game off 4 straight wins, but are an awful 84-144 ATS on a 3-game (or better) win streak when playing a rested opponent, including 12-33-1 ATS their last 46 when priced as an underdog of 5 or less points. Take the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-22 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Seattle University -12.5 | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Redhawks minus the points over Rio Grande Valley. Seattle was on a 9-game winning streak when it went on its 2-game road trip last week. But it suffered losses at Grand Canyon, and also at New Mexico State. The Redhawks were underdogs in each of those games. However, tonight, they are back home, where they 28-7 SU their last 35. Twenty-seven of those 35 games had point spreads on them, and Seattle is 9-1-1 ATS its last 11, and 19-7-1 ATS in the 27 lined games. Lay the points with Seattle. |
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02-10-22 | New Mexico State v. Dixie State +10.5 | Top | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Dixie State Trailblazers + the points over New Mexico State. The Aggies won a huge game vs. Seattle on Saturday, 79-64, to take over first place in the Western Athletic Conference. Tonight, they'll face the Trailblazers, who are 4-6 in conference play, and they're laying double-digits. Unfortunately for the Aggies, they're 6-12 ATS as road favorites of -9 (or more) points. I expect a letdown by the Aggies off that big win, and we'll grab the points with Dixie State. |
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02-10-22 | San Diego +15.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 57-86 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros + the points over Saint Mary's. San Diego is 5-0 ATS as a conference road underdog this season, and 76-44-1 ATS in this role since 2002. That bodes well for the Toreros. As does the fact that the Gaels have covered just 19 of their last 48 conference home games. Take San Diego. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-22 | Morehead State v. Belmont -9.5 | Top | 47-48 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Morehead St. Belmont's 19-5, after winning its 6th straight on Monday vs. Austin Peay. And its last loss was against these Eagles, back on January 20. We'll lay the points with the Bruins in this revenge match, as Belmont is 21-9 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat, while the Eagles are 0-7 ATS their last seven as road underdogs of more than 2 points. Take Belmont. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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02-10-22 | North Dakota v. St. Thomas -6 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies minus the points over North Dakota. The Fighting Hawks come into this game off a win over Omaha. But the Fighting Hawks had lost their previous 12 games, and are 5-20 on the season. They're also 13-32 ATS on the road, including 0-17 ATS when priced from +6 to +8.5 points. Take St. Thomas minus the points. |
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02-10-22 | Southern Miss +24.5 v. UAB | Top | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over UAB. The Golden Eagles come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses by double-digits, while UAB won SU/ATS vs. Middle Tennessee in its last game. We'll take Southern Miss, as Conference USA double-digit dogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have covered 62% since 1990 vs. conference foes off a win. Grab the points. |
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02-10-22 | William & Mary +18 v. Towson | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Towson. The Tribe was blown out by the Tigers earlier this season, 91-69. We'll grab the big number with William & Mary in this early evening game, as the revenger is 24-12-2 ATS in this series, including 16-5-1 ATS as an underdog. Take William & Mary. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-22 | Islanders -115 v. Canucks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over Vancouver. The Canucks blew out Arizona, 5-1, last night, and will welcome the Isles to British Columbia on Wednesday. The Islanders have had the last six days off, so they'll be well-rested. And, to the extent that the Canucks are 3-14 their last 17 (and 8-22 their last 30) when playing without rest, that's a key factor. Even better: Vancouver's 1-5 this season after scoring more than 4 goals, and 3-7 as a home underdog. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-22 | Warriors v. Jazz -1.5 | Top | 85-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Golden State Warriors. The Jazz lost twice in January to the Warriors, including a 94-92 defeat 17 days ago in San Francisco. We'll lay the points with Utah, as the Jazz are 17-4 ATS off back to back wins, if their opponent is off a win, and the Jazz aren't laying more than 3 points. And Utah is 51-30 ATS at home when playing with double-revenge, if not getting 4+ points. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-22 | Wolves v. Kings +9.5 | Top | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Minnesota. These two teams played last night, and the T-Wolves came away with a 134-114 win. But Sacramento falls into a 67-34 ATS regular season system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that lost their previous game to the same opponent they're playing in the current game. Take the Kings + the points. |
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02-09-22 | Tulane v. Memphis -9.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Tulane. The Tigers were upset at Tulane earlier this season, 85-84, as a 6-point road favorite. We'll lay the points with Memphis in this revenge match, as it is 67-42 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat. Even better: the Green Wave are a horrid 11-24 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win. With Tulane, indeed, off an 86-66 home victory on Saturday over East Carolina, we'll fade Tulane tonight. Lay the points with Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 92-105 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Cleveland. These two teams played last month, and the Cavs won a tight affair, 114-109, as a 3.5-point road favorite. We'll take the Spurs in this revenge match, as San Antone has cashed 57% since 1990 as a road underdog when rested, and playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season. Take the Spurs + the points. |
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02-09-22 | Houston v. SMU +7.5 | Top | 83-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Houston. SMU is 11-0 straight-up at home this season, and has been installed as a home dog tonight. We'll grab the points, as home underdogs of +1.5 (or more) points have cashed 61% since 1990 if they were undefeated at home, with a record of 11-0 (or better). Take SMU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-22 | Louisville +7.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Notre Dame. The Cards were blown out, 92-69, by Syracuse on Saturday. But off that defeat, we'll grab the points with Louisville tonight, as it's 27-7 ATS in conference games off a loss by more than 12 points. Take the Cardinals. |
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02-09-22 | Columbia +15.5 v. Cornell | Top | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 5 pm (note the early start), our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Cornell. The Lions have been installed as a double-digit road underdog, which bodes well, as they're 47-24 ATS as a double-digit road underdog, including 22-5 ATS their last 27 if their ATS win percentage was below .500. Meanwhile, Cornell has covered just 10 of 27 Ivy League contests at home when laying more than 9 points. Take Columbia + the points. |
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02-08-22 | Pistons +11.5 v. Mavs | Top | 86-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over the 76ers and the Hawks. But off those wins, we'll fade Dallas as a double-digit home favorite. Indeed, the Mavericks are a horrid 0-7 ATS their last seven, and 2-16 ATS their last 18 off back to back covers as an underdog, if Dallas wasn't getting 6 (or more) points. And Dallas is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of more than 7 points vs. Detroit. Take the Pistons as a double-digit dog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-22 | UMKC v. St. Thomas +2 | Top | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over Missouri-Kansas City. St. Thomas' SU/ATS losing streak reached seven games with its 88-66 loss at Oral Roberts on Saturday. They're now back home, and will look to avenge their 81-72 loss to the Kangaroos five days ago. We'll go against UMKC, as Summit League road favorites have covered just 35.2% vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take St. Thomas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-22 | Auburn v. Arkansas +2.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over the Auburn Tigers. This is a great matchup between the #1-ranked Tigers, who have won 19 straight, and Arkansas, which enters on an 8-game win streak. The Razorbacks have also covered four straight, and seven of their last eight. And that bodes well for them tonight, as in match-ups between two teams with winning SU/ATS records, home underdogs have gone 87-63-2 ATS vs. foes off a win, if our home dog was off 3 SU/ATS wins. Even better: the Tigers have gone 20-39-3 ATS as a road favorite, while the Razorbacks are 22-10-1 ATS as a home underdog. Take the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-22 | Fordham v. St Bonaventure -12.5 | Top | 51-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over Fordham. The Bonnies are 12-7, but were blown out by Richmond, 71-61, in their last game. Tonight, they're back home, and we'll lay the points, as at Game 20 forward, .580 (or better) double-digit favorites, off a double-digit loss, are 36-12 ATS their last 48. Even better: St. Bonaventure is 8-0-2 ATS their last 10, and 12-1-2 ATS their last 15 vs. Fordham. Lay the points. |
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02-08-22 | Marquette v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Marquette. The Golden Eagles upset Villanova, 83-73, in their last game, and will go for their 10th straight ATS win tonight. And while Marquette does play this game with revenge from a home loss earlier this season, revenge-minded road underdogs off 7 ATS wins have gone 23-46 ATS since 1990. Take Connecticut minus the points. |
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02-07-22 | Texas-San Antonio +13.5 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Roadrunners come into tonight's game off three SU/ATS losses to Florida Atlantic (73-64), Rice (91-78) and North Texas (69-45). They're now getting double-digits on the road, and we'll grab the points. For technical support, consider that underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 495-409-15 ATS off three SU/ATS losses by 9+ points. Even better: .545 (or worse) underdogs of more than 3 points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, have gone 14-0 ATS their last 14 vs. Middle Tennessee. Take UTSA + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-22 | Akron v. Miami-OH +3 | Top | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Akron. This is the second of back-to-back games between these Mid-American Conference teams. Prior to COVID-19, it wasn't routine for teams to play such back-to-backs in the regular season. Indeed, in 29 seasons, it only happened 144 times. But in the last two seasons, we've had 707 instances where teams played back-to-back games in the regular season. The Zips won Round 1 in Akron two days ago, 66-55, as an 8-point home favorite. We'll take the underdog RedHawks in the rematch, as home teams off SU/ATS losses have been profitable in Round 2, and especially if they played a close game to the point spread in Round 1, and failed to cover by 3 or less points. These home teams have covered 67% of the time in the COVID-19 era. Even better: Akron is a horrid 1-10 ATS its last 11 regular season games when installed as a favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe. Take Miami-Ohio + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-05-22 | Thunder v. Kings -6.5 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder upset Portland last night, but will be at a disadvantage tonight playing without rest vs. the rested Kings. Indeed, unrested road underdogs off back to back upset road wins, have covered just 28% vs. rested foes. Take the Kings minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-05-22 | Loyola Marymount +16 v. St. Mary's | Top | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions + the points over St. Mary's. The Gaels are on a 6-game win streak, while LMU has dropped its last four. But St. Mary's is a horrid 23-41 ATS off a double-digit conference win, including 3-11 ATS vs. a foe off back to back losses. Take the Lions + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |