Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-04-23 | Lakers v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Both teams enter this game with identical 3-2 records. Orlando will be returning home after a 4-game road trip (which included a 106-103 loss at the Lakers), while Los Angeles will be hitting the road after its back-to-back home wins over Orlando and the Clippers. We'll fade Los Angeles, as it's 20-49 ATS as a favorite (or PK) on the road off back to back home wins, including 11-36 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Grab the points with the Magic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State -2 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Georgia Southern. The Eagles are in 2nd place in the Sun Belt East division with a 3-1 record following a 44-27 blowout of Georgia State last week. Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won just two of four conference games this season, and lost by 18 at home to Troy last week. We'll take Texas State as a home favorite, as NCAA favorites (or PK) have covered 62% of conference games since 1980 if they did NOT have a winning conference record, and were off a SU/ATS loss, and were playing a foe off a SU/ATS win which had a .750 (or better) conference record. Lay the points with the Bobcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Hawaii +3.5 v. Nevada | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Nevada. The Rainbows are 2-7 ATS this season, including 0-4 SU/ATS their last six. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Rainbows. But consider that NCAA teams have covered 56% the last 41 years when they were on 4-game SU/ATS losing streaks, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 63% when our 'play-on' team wasn't getting 7+ points. Take Hawaii. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Tulane -17 v. East Carolina | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over East Carolina. Tulane stumbled out of the gate by losing to Ole Miss, but has reeled off six straight wins. The Green Wave will try to make it seven-in-a-row this afternoon, in Greenville, against a Pirates team riding a 4-game losing streak (and a team which is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS vs. FBS schools). Tulane is a solid 24-10 ATS as a favorite. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Iowa v. Northwestern +5 | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Iowa. The Hawkeyes were upset last week, 12-10, by Minnesota, while the Wildcats pulled off an upset win vs. Maryland, 33-27, as a 14.5-point underdog. We'll take Northwestern to win its second straight (and cover its 3rd straight), as it is 42-22 ATS as a single-digit underdog vs. foes off a loss. Grab the points with the Wildcats. |
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11-04-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State +6 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma. I love playing on Home Dogs that can score, and Okie State certainly fits the bill. The Cowboys have tallied 39, 48 and 45 in their last three games. We'll grab the points with Oklahoma State, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 34-14 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points. Take the Cowboys. |
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11-04-23 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +21.5 | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State. The Seminoles are 8-0 and ranked 4th in the country, while Pitt is 2-6 SU/ATS, including back to back SU/ATS losses at Wake Forest and at Notre Dame. But the last time an undefeated team came calling and played Pitt here, on campus, was just three weeks ago, when the 6-0 Louisville Cardinals were handed their first loss of the season, 38-21, as a 7-point road favorite. Pitt is understandably getting more points than that today, and we'll happily take the Panthers + the more than 3 touchdowns, as they fall into a 76.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. undefeated foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, Pitt is 21-11 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points vs. conference foes. Take the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Penn State v. Maryland +9 | Top | 51-15 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Penn State. The Maryland Terrapins will be looking to bounce back from last week's upset loss at Northwestern. And they'll also be seeking revenge, as they were whitewashed, 30-0, by Penn State. We'll take the points with the revenge-minded Terps, as Big 10 teams have gone 36-16 ATS when playing with shutout revenge, and installed as an underdog of less than 20 points. Even better: the Terrapins are 21-11 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State +7.5 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas St Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Rajin' Cajuns pulled off a big upset last week, as a 12-point road underdog, when they went into Mobile, and upset the South Alabama Jaguars, 33-20. Unfortunately, teams off upset road wins as 12-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the next week just 38% since 1980, if they were on the road vs. an opponent off a win. With Arkansas State, indeed, off a win last week, we'll grab the points with Butch Jones' men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Suns +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 100-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Philadelphia. The Suns lost not once, but twice at home to Victor Wembanyama's Spurs (as favorites of -7 and -10.5). And in the 2nd match-up, on Thursday, Wemby got a career-high 38 points! I expect Coach Frank Vogel to get his troops to come out with energy and focus this afternoon, as they won't want to lose three in a row this early in the season. For technical support, consider that NBA road underdogs have covered 73% since 1990 off back to back upset losses, if they were favored by at least 7 points in those 2 games, and were now playing an opponent off back to back wins. Take Phoenix plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-23 | Notre Dame v. Clemson +3.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Notre Dame. The Tigers have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Irish, and I'll happily take the points. Indeed, it's hard to pass up Clemson as a home underdog (or PK), as it's gone 26-14 ATS in that role, including 9-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss. Even better: the Irish come into Death Valley off back to back blowout home wins over USC (48-20) and Pittsburgh (58-7). But Notre Dame is a nasty 1-13 ATS after back to back home wins by more than 10 points. Take Clemson + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Dallas. The Nuggies were smashed, 110-89, by the T-Wolves two nights ago, and will look to bounce back tonight against the undefeated Mavericks. We'll lay the points, as defending champs have covered 64% at home the last 34 years, if they were off a loss by more than 20 points, and were now matched up against an opponent off a win. Take Denver. |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies -2 v. Blazers | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. This is the first of two back-to-back games here, in the Rose City, between these Western Conference clubs. The Blazers come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins at Toronto and Detroit. But those two upsets have triggered a negative 177-269-7 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off back to back upsets. We'll go against a Portland team which is a putrid 0-17 straight-up, and 2-14-1 ATS its last 17 as a home dog (and 19-40-2 ATS its last 61). Take Memphis minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over New York. The Bucks were throttled, 130-111, by Toronto on Wednesday, as a 4-point favorite. We'll take Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. to bounce back tonight, as they've gone 25-8-2 ATS as a favorite of 13 or less points (or PK) following a game where they failed to cover the spread by 20+ points. Take Milwaukee. |
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11-02-23 | Spurs v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 132-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over San Antone. We played on the Spurs two nights ago, and got the $$$ when San Antonio won outright, 115-114, as a 7-point underdog. Phoenix did, however, lead by 20 points, but slowly blew that lead, and finally saw the Spurs take their first lead of the game with 1.2 seconds left after Keldon Johnson stole the ball from Kevin Durant, and went in for a lay-up. Kevin Durant will no doubt want to make amends for his game-losing turnover, and the good news for the Suns is they get to play the same team tonight, in the second of back-to-back meetings in Phoenix. I expect Frank Vogel's men to not take their feet off the gas, and for them to absolutely throttle the Spurs. The Suns are 26-10 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss, including 9-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-23 | Stars v. Oilers -128 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Dallas Stars. The Oilers got off the schneid Sunday when they won the Heritage Classic against rival Calgary, 5-2. That game snapped the Oilers' 4-game losing streak, and also saw the return of star Connor McDavid from injury. The Oilers then had three days off to rest, and prepare for this game. Coach Jay Woodcroft took advantage of the unusual gap in the schedule, and held important practices the last two days to reinforce the good traits the team displayed in its win over the Flames. I expect Edmonton to come out focused tonight, and notch its first win of the season at its home arena (after dropping the first three to Vancouver, Winnipeg and the NY Rangers). Take the Oilers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-23 | Wake Forest v. Duke -12 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Wake Forest. The Blue Devils will be thrilled to see Wake Forest in Durham tonight, as three of Duke's last four opponents are currently ranked among the nation's Top 20 (Notre Dame (#12), Florida State (#4), Louisville (#15)). Not surprisingly, the Blue Devils lost all three games. But Wake Forest is not an elite team, as the Demon Deacons are 1-4 in ACC Conference play. And the Deacons are especially horrible against the pass, as they give up 256.5 passing yards per game (rank #112 of 130 in country, and dead last in the ACC). So this will be a big step-down in class for Duke. And when Duke's been installed as a favorite vs. an FBS (Division 1) school, it's gone 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 8-2 ATS its last 10. Duke is also 9-0 SU/ATS its last nine as a home favorite of more than 10 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-23 | Raptors +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia. These two Atlantic Division rivals are meeting for the 2nd time in five nights. We played on the 76ers in the first meeting, and were rewarded with a 114-107 victory (as a 4-point road favorite). The Sixers are at home for this game, and we'll grab the points with the Raptors. Toronto is 17-10-1 ATS as a road underdog with revenge, while Philly is a horrible 11-21 ATS as a home favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe. And the Raptors are 31-22 ATS the last 53 meetings. Take Toronto as a big underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Kings +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Golden State. These two teams met last Friday, and the Warriors upended Sacramento, 122-114. We'll take the Kings in this rematch, as Sacto is 38-19-1 ATS on the road, including 13-3-1 ATS when playing with revenge. And Golden State is 1-11-1 ATS its last 13 (and 32-77-3 ATS its last 112) when it was off a point spread win, and playing a revenge-minded foe. Grab the points with Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies +3 v. Jazz | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Utah Jazz. The Grizzlies come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses. The good news for Memphis is that it's an awesome 26-7-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses when it wasn't getting 4.5 (or more) points. And Utah is an ugly 18-41-2 ATS when priced from -6 to +2 points. Take the Grizzlies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -105 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Texas Rangers. The offensive outburst that many felt the Rangers were capable of finally came forth on Tuesday in Game 4 of the World Series. And it came forth like a dam break. By the end of the 3rd inning, Texas already had a 10-0 lead and the Rangers cruised from there. But the night was not without some bad news for the team from the Lone Star State. Outfielder Adolis Garcia, arguably the Rangers' post-season MVP, tried to play last night after exiting Game 3 with a side injury but he was ruled out of action for the remainder of the series. The series returns to the #1 starters tonight as RHs Nathan Eovaldi and Zac Gallen take center stage in this must win game for the home team. That "home" part is important for Gallen who was nearly unstoppable at Chase Field in the regular season. In 16 starts here covering 102 innings, Gallen was 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.03 WHIP vs. just 5-6 and 4.42 in 18 starts on the road. Needless to say, this is his biggest home start by far. Take the Diamondbacks. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over New York. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams. New York won Round 1 in Cleveland last night, 109-91. We'll take the underdog Cavaliers in the rematch, as Cleveland falls into a 489-350 ATS revenge system of mine. Even better: Cleveland is 0-4 ATS to start the season. And at Game 5 forward, road teams have covered 76% of non-division games since 1990, if they were winless ATS, and off a straight-up loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-31-23 | Spurs +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix. We played against Gregg Popovich's crew on Sunday, and were rewarded by a 40-point Clippers blowout. But off that horrible game, we'll back the Silver and Black tonight in the desert. Phoenix will be without two of its best players, as Bradley Beal and Devin Booker will be in street clothes. And the Spurs are 101-58-2 under Popovich in the regular season off a loss by more than 10 points, when their opponent was off an ATS win. Additionally, Phoenix is an ugly 26-56 ATS at home off a win by more than 17 points, if it was playing a rested opponent. Take the Spurs. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-31-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -105 | Top | 11-7 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Texas Rangers. It's Halloween and things are getting pretty scary for the Diamondbacks after they lost their first home World Series game in franchise history on Monday (they won all four home games in their 2001 Championship over the Yankees). The Rangers pulled out a 3-1 victory in Game 2 last night behind some solid relief pitching after starter Max Scherzer lasted just three innings. Tonight they will send out LH Andrew Heaney in what will undoubtedly be the veteran's biggest start of his career. The 32-year-old has just one prior start against the D-Backs and it was not good as Heaney allowed six runs in just 4 2/3 innings. It wouldn't mean much if that start was early in Heaney's career but in fact it was just this past May. He could be up against it again tonight as the D-Backs lineup pretty much had its way with Rangers southpaw starter Jordan Montgomery in Game 2 back in Arlington. Heaney was just 3-3 with a 4.29 ERA in 15 road games (12 starts) this season. Take the Diamondbacks. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-30-23 | Nets v. Hornets | Top | 133-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Charlotte Hornets. We played on the Nets +6.5 over Dallas on Friday, as our NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month and were rewarded with a wire-to-wire cover. Brooklyn is 0-2 straight-up, but 2-0 "in Vegas." And we'll take Brooklyn once again in this road game at Charlotte, as rested teams, with a .200 (or worse) win percentage, have covered 69% since 1990 if they were 100% Perfect ATS on the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have scored 125+ points in each of their two games to start the season. We'll fade Indiana, as undefeated NBA teams have gone 7-29-1 ATS after scoring more than 115 points in each of their 2 previous games, provided they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game. And if our 'play-against' team was matched up against a sub-.400 foe, then our 29-7 stat zooms to 12-0. Take Chicago + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Spurs v. Clippers -9 | Top | 83-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over San Antone. We played against the Clippers on Friday, and got the $$$ with the Utah Jazz, who pulled off the 120-118 upset of L.A. The Clippers will welcome Victor Wembanyama & Co. to the West Coast for their first road game of the season. And the Spurs have been dreadful away from the Alamo City, as they've gone 11-27 ATS, including 0-12 ATS their last 12 when priced from +5 to +9.5 points! Meanwhile, the Clips are a solid 38-22 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Blazers +9.5 v. 76ers | Top | 98-126 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Philadelphia. We played on Philly last night at Toronto, and were rewarded with a 114-107 win (and cover). But we'll switch gears, and play against the unrested Sixers tonight. Philly is a poor 34-57-2 ATS when playing at home without rest following a road game the day before, if its opponent was rested. Grab the points with the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Hawks +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 127-110 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks won their opener, 118-117, over the Philadelphia 76ers, and Damian Lillard had a smashing debut, as he scored 39 points. But Milwaukee failed to cover the spread in that game. I don't think they'll cover tonight, either, as Atlanta falls into some of my very best NBA systems, with records of 140-84, 95-28, and 89-32. The Hawks are 0-2 ATS to start the season, and they're 19-5 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points. And Milwaukee is 14-27 ATS when favored by 7 or more points at home, off a straight-up win. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals +5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over San Francisco. The 49ers come into this game off back to back upset losses, while Cincy has won its last 2, both straight-up, and ATS. In most instances, I would be looking to play on the team off back to back upset losses. And it's certainly true that the 49ers have excelled in that situation, going 11-5 ATS. But my problem here is that I don't want to lay this many points to a dangerous and, in my mind, still undervalued Bengals team. Indeed, dating back to the start of the 2021 season, the Bengals are 12-0 ATS when getting 2.5 or more points. I won't fade those numbers. Take Cincinnati. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos +7 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City. The Broncos lost at Kansas City 2 weeks ago, 19-8. But they'll get a chance to avenge that defeat at home, on Sunday. And I love playing on revenge-minded home underdogs that lost to their opponent in their previous game, or two games back, as they've covered 65.9% since 1980. Even better: AFC West division underdogs, playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, with a .500 (or worse) record, have gone 100-64-6 ATS. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Ravens v. Cardinals +10 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Baltimore. The Cardinals return home off back to back road games. And they've played much better at home this season than on the road. At home, Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg on offense, compared to 12.7 ppg on the road. And Arizona has gone 2-1 ATS at home, compared to 1-3 ATS on the road. Arizona is an awesome 31-7 ATS at home vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Arizona was not favored by 3 or more points. And the Ravens are a wallet-busting 10-22-4 ATS on the road off a win by 19 or more points. Take Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Ravens v. Cardinals OVER 44.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total. The Cardinals have not been scoring on the road this season, but they have been scoring in bunches at home. On the road, Arizona has averaged 12.7 ppg, and three of its four road games have gone under the total. But it's been a different story in front of its home faithful, as Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg, and all three went over the total. The Cardinals have gone over in 17 of their last 26 home games. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 45 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs to go Over the total. The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off 3 straight unders, while the Broncos have played their last 2 under the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with Denver scoring just 8 points in the season's first meeting. But I'll take the Over, as the Chiefs are 25-13 Over the total following 3 or more unders. And NFL games have gone Over the total 56% the past 20 seasons if a team scored 8 or less points in the season's prior meeting. Take the Over. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Houston. The Texans come into this game off four straight covers -- all as an underdog. But now, they're favored at Carolina. And the last time Houston was favored, it didn't cover. I don't like to play on teams as favorites following a string of covers as an underdog, as such teams generally don't do very well when they reverse roles from an underdog to a favorite. Indeed, favorites of more than 2 points, off 3 straight dog covers have gone just 14-37 ATS, including 5-23 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses. Take Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Saints -2 v. Colts | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints over Indianapolis. Last week, I played on the Colts vs. the Browns, as I loved the situational spot for Indianapolis, as it was off a 17-point blowout loss to division rival, Jacksonville, while the Browns came in off that shocking upset win over the previously-undefeated 49ers. But now the Colts are NOT off a SU/ATS loss, as they covered the spread in defeat vs. Cleveland. And Indy is a super 46-21 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 3-0 ATS this season. But when it's NOT off a SU/ATS loss, Indy has gone just 31-43-3 ATS. Meanwhile, New Orleans is 60-35 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss, including 15-4 ATS their last 19. Take the Saints. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers over Minnesota. The Vikings upset the 49ers on Monday Night Football, 22-17, as a 7-point underdog. But off that upset win, we'll fade Minnesota in this game. Since 1980, NFL favorites (or PK) off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points, have covered just 38%. Even better: in this NFC North division rivalry, teams off a SU/ATS win have gone just 10-24 ATS when their opponent was not off a SU/ATS win. With Green Bay off a loss to Denver, we'll take the Packers to snap their losing streak. |
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10-29-23 | Jets v. Giants +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the New York Jets. The Jets come into this game off back-to-back upset wins over Denver and Philly and have covered 3 straight overall. But the Jets are now favored for the first time all season, and on the road no less. (I understand the two teams share the stadium, but it's still a Giants home game, and the Giants' season ticket holders will be in the stands.). I don't like playing on NFL road favorites following back to back upset wins, as they've cashed just 35.7% the past 42 years. And the Jets are also a poor 16-28 ATS off 3 ATS wins. Take the Giants + the points. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans and Carolina Panthers Under the total. First-year Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans is starting to mold the Texans in his image. The Texans have given up just 13.3 ppg their last three games, and all three went under the total. And, dating back to his stint as defensive coordinator of the 49ers, 20 of his last 33 games have gone Under. The Under is also 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these clubs, including a 24-9 win by Carolina two seasons ago. Take the Under. |
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10-29-23 | San Jose State v. Hawaii UNDER 59.5 | Top | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 48 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Midnite, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbows and San Jose State Spartans Under the total. The last three meetings between these two foes have sailed UNDER the total. The three games have averaged 43.3 ppg, and have gone Under the total by an average of 17 ppg. I'll look for another low-scoring game on the Island, as nine of the last 12 Hawaii home games vs. Mountain West foes have gone Under. And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 89-59 and 48-25. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over UNLV. Both teams are 6-1 on the season, but Fresno is looking up at UNLV in the Mountain West standings, since Fresno's loss came in conference play, while UNLV lost at Michigan. We'll lay the points with the home team, as road underdogs of +6 (or more) points that are undefeated in conference play have cashed just 43% since 1980 vs. conference foes that had lost at least one conference game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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10-28-23 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Oklahoma State. The Bearcats are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak while Oklahoma State has won and covered its last three. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cowboys at home, in Stillwater. But be careful, as teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have been solid on the road vs. conference foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 57.2% since 1980. Even better: since 1980, the Bearcats have covered 71% off back to back losses when playing a conference foe off back to back wins. We'll grab the points with the Bearcats. |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. In its opening game, Philly took the Milwaukee Bucks down to the wire on Thursday, but narrowly lost, 118-117. Tonight, Nick Nurse's men will face the coach's former team, Toronto. The Raptors also narrowly lost, 104-103, in overtime, at Chicago, last night. And that lowered the Raptors' season record to 1-1. The Raptors are a soft 10-17 ATS as home underdogs, while Philly is 14-7 ATS as a road favorite (including 5-0-1 ATS its last 6). And rested road favorites have cashed 64% since 1990 vs. unrested division rivals, if our road favorite owned a worse record. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Ohio State. The Buckeyes had a big win last week in their showdown with Penn State. Both teams entered with 6-0 records, and the Buckeyes won, 20-12, as a 4-point favorite. But I expect a bit of a letdown in Madison, on Saturday, as undefeated teams have only covered 22% on the road the past 44 seasons (at Game 8 forward) following a win against another undefeated team, if our play-against team (here, Ohio State) wasn't favored by more than 4 points in its prior game. Wisconsin is an awesome 18-3 ATS when getting more than 6 points from an undefeated team, including 9-0 ATS at home, or on a neutral field. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Detroit Pistons. Detroit pulled off an upset win last night at Charlotte, 111-99. But off that blowout win, we'll fade Monty Williams' men tonight. For technical support, consider that Detroit is a disastrous 0-16 ATS at home off a win by 7+ points! Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 41 h 25 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Boise State/Wyoming game UNDER the total. These two teams generally play low-scoring contests, as the last four (and seven of the last eight) have gone UNDER the total. Indeed, the last four meetings have averaged 34 points, and have gone under by an average of 13 ppg. I look for another low-scoring game on Saturday evening. Take the Under. |
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10-28-23 | Arkansas State v. UL-Monroe -2 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 8 m | Show |
At 5 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks minus the points over Arkansas State. The Warhawks come into this game on a 5-game losing streak. But they've played well in defeat, lately, as they covered their last two games by 17.5 and 6.5 points. They'll now welcome a Red Wolves squad which defeated it, 45-28, last season, but is off back to back blowout SU/ATS losses. I look for Monroe to snap its long losing streak, as revenge-minded teams, on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks, have gone 59-34 ATS when they weren't getting more than 5 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Tulane -10 v. Rice | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice. The Green Wave have been road warriors of late, as they have now covered 10 straight away from New Orleans. I won't step in front of this freight train. And especially not with an Owls team which has covered just 7 of 24 as a double-digit home underdog. Rice also falls into a negative 111-208 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off upset wins. Lay the points with Tulane. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | BYU v. Texas -19 | Top | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 40 h 47 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over BYU. The last two times these teams met, the Cougars were underdogs, but hammered the Longhorns by scores of 41-7 and 40-21. I expect Texas to remember those upset losses, and exact a measure of revenge on Saturday afternoon, as NCAA favorites of 14 or more points have cashed 74% when they lost the two prior meetings (and weren't underdogs in those two losses). Even better: Texas has lost its last 2 games to the spread. But it's cashed 72.2% as favorites of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Oregon. The Utah Utes had an impressive win last week at USC, as they won, 34-32, as a 7-point road underdog. It was the first time a team had scored more than 21 points on the defensive-minded Utes, who are giving up just 15 ppg on the season. They now return home to take on the high-octane Ducks, who are averaging 47 ppg. In match-ups between offensive-minded teams and defensive juggernauts, I tend to side with the defense -- and especially if installed as an underdog. We'll play on the Utes as a home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of +4 (or more) points have covered 78% since 1980 (at Game 5 forward) if they gave up 15 ppg (or less) on defense, and their opponent averaged 45+ points on offense. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -18.5 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 32 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers come into this road game off back to back wins over William & Mary and North Carolina (as a 24-point underdog!). Unfortunately, Virginia is a woeful 9-25 ATS on the road off back to back wins. Take Miami. |
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10-28-23 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson. We played against the Tigers last Saturday at Miami, and will go against them on the road again, in Raleigh. The Wolfpack lost their previous game, 24-3, at Duke, and play this game with revenge from a 10-point loss at Clemson last season. The Tigers are a horrible 15-38-1 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded foe off a straight-up loss. Take NC State. |
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10-28-23 | West Virginia +7 v. Central Florida | Top | 41-28 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Central Florida. The Knights played well last week at Oklahoma, and covered the 17-point spread in defeat. But now UCF has been installed as a big favorite vs. West Virginia, and the Knights have mightily struggled as a conference favorite of more than 3 points, going 4-19 ATS, including 0-9 ATS if UCF was off a straight-up loss. Additionally, the Knights fall into a negative 62-125 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off losses. Grab the points with WVU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Oklahoma v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 6 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Oklahoma. The Sooners are riding high with an undefeated, 7-0 record, but have to travel to Lawrence to take on the rested Jayhawks, who had last week off to prepare for this game. The Jayhawks are a solid 5-2 this season (including 2-2 in Big 12 play), and will be in a prime spot to pull the outright upset. We'll grab the points, as rested home dogs of more than 7 points, with a .500 (or better) conference win percentage, have cashed 67.7% vs. undefeated conference foes. Take Kansas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +3.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Utah was blown out, 130-114, by the Sacramento Kings, on Wednesday. We'll take the Jazz to bounce back, as they're 42-20 ATS as home underdogs, and 11-4 ATS at home vs. Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Clippers are a wallet-busting 1-9-1 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, if they were playing a sub-.400 opponent off a loss. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Mavs | Top | 120-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Dallas. This will be the first time these teams have faced off since Kyrie Irving was traded by the Nets to the Mavericks. And I expect a hotly-contested game which could go down to the wire. Indeed, the last five meetings between these clubs have been decided by 2, 4, 2, 3 and 4 points. I expect a similar game tonight, and love the underdog Nets. Dallas did open its season with a 126-119 win vs. the San Antonio Spurs. But it allowed a bad Spurs team to shoot 51.7% from the floor, and was only able to overtake San Antonio by ending the game with an 11-2 run. Dallas was horrible as a favorite last season, and is 15-36-2 ATS its last 53 in that point spread role, including 3-20 ATS off a straight-up win. Meanwhile, the Nets are 21-12-1 ATS as a road underdog. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Toronto. These two teams met in last season's play-in round, and the Bulls upset Toronto, 109-105. Unfortunately, the Bulls succumbed to Miami in the next game, and didn't qualify for the Playoffs. In Chicago's first game this season, it was blown out, 124-104, by Oklahoma City here, at home. The Bulls will try to redeem themselves tonight, and I expect a much better effort, as home teams off 20-point (or worse) losses in their home openers have covered 65% since 2000. Take Chicago minus the points. |
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10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Charlotte | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 87 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Charlotte. The 49ers pulled off a nice upset on the road last week, when they went into East Carolina, and shocked the Pirates, 10-7, as a 6-point road underdog. And that moved Charlotte's road ATS record to 4-0 this season (and 6-0-1 ATS their last seven, dating back to last season). Unfortunately, the 49ers have burned $$$ at home, as they've gone 0-3 ATS this year (and 1-9 ATS their last 10). Florida Atlantic, meanwhile, laid an egg last week, as they were blown out, 36-10, by Texas-San Antonio. But that blowout loss has triggered a very good 84-37 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off losses by 21+ points. Lay the points with Florida Atlantic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Pistons +4 v. Hornets | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets upset Atlanta, 116-110, as a home underdog on Tuesday, while Detroit lost a squeaker at Miami, 103-102, as a 9.5-point road underdog. Detroit will be an improved team this season, with newly-hired coach Monty Williams at the helm, and Cade Cunningham back from injury. Indeed, Cunningham poured in 30 points vs. the Heat. Charlotte is a poor 27-39 ATS at home off a home win. Take Detroit + the points. |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets opened their season with an impressive victory vs. the Lakers on Tuesday, and will look for a 2nd straight win tonight, on Beale Street. But I like Memphis to pull the upset, as the Grizzlies are 50-24 ATS at home vs. foes off a win, if Memphis wasn't favored by 2+ points. Even worse for Denver: it's 63-96 ATS on the road off a point spread win. And the Nuggets are a dismal 0-5 ATS their last 5, and 1-9 ATS their last 10 at Memphis. Take the Grizzlies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills -8.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -107 | 64 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Tampa Bay. We played against Buffalo each of the past two weeks, and got the $$$ with New England last Sunday, and the New York Giants the week before. We also played against Tampa Bay last week, and won our NFC South Game of the Year on Atlanta. In this Thursday game, we will side with the homestanding Bills, and look for Josh Allen & Co. to bounce back from their disappointing game at New England. Indeed, the Bills generally bounce back at home off losses, and especially in non-division games, where they've gone 55-31-4 ATS. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-26-23 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern -1.5 | Top | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles over the Georgia State Panthers. The Eagles come into this home game vs. Sun Belt rival, Georgia State, off back to back ATS losses, while the Panthers enter off back to back ATS wins. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Panthers. But be careful, as Sun Belt home teams have covered 70% off back to back ATS losses vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided our home team wasn't getting 3+ points. Additionally, the Eagles are 21-9 ATS at home, including 9-0 ATS their last nine when priced from +2.5 to -9.5. Take Georgia Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-23 | Jacksonville State v. Florida International +8 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Jacksonville State. The Gamecocks upset Western Kentucky, 20-17, as a 7.5-point home underdog last week. They're now installed as a road favorite. I'm not a big fan of playing on road favorites following an upset win as a home underdog, and especially not when they're matched up against a .500 (or better) foe, as they've cashed just 41.5% the past 44 years. Even worse for the Gamecocks: Conference USA favorites have cashed just 26% away from home the past 23 years following an upset win as an underdog of more than 7 points. Grab the points with the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. The D-Backs upset the Phillies at Citizens Bank Ballpark to force a seventh game of this NLCS tonight. The big home run hitting bats of the Phils were silenced for the most part by Merrill Kelly in a relatively easy 5-1 victory for Arizona. It's only the second time in this post-season that the Phillies have not scored at least three runs (12 games). Tonight should be a different story as Philadelphia's bats will almost certainly come alive against rookie RH Brandon Pfaadt. Notwithstanding his stellar effort in Arizona's Game 3 win, the 25-year-old from Louisville, KY was just 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 19 games (18 starts) for Arizona in the regular season. Don't be surprised to see the Phils hitters swinging early and often against Pfaadt to try to gain the advantage in this must-win game. This will be Pfaadt's first-ever start at Citizens Bank, a place that's known to be particularly unkind to rookies visiting for the first time. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky +5.5 | Top | 42-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Liberty. The Flames are 7-0 straight-up, including 3-0 in Conference USA play. But Western Kentucky will be difficult to defeat in Bowling Green. The Hilltoppers are 40-16 SU and 30-18 ATS at home over the past 10 seasons, including 7-4 ATS as a home underdog. Admittedly, Western Kentucky played poorly last Tuesday, and lost outright to Jacksonville State, 20-17, as a 7.5-point road favorite. But the Hilltoppers are an awesome 11-0 ATS as an underdog, priced from +3.5 to +9 points, off a straight-up loss. And they're 9-2 ATS at home following 2+ road games. Finally, Liberty falls into a negative 64-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain undefeated teams. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros 'under' the total. The Rangers and Astros go to a winner-take-all seventh game in this Lone Star State championship series. For the Astros, it will be business as usual if they win as they've been to four World Series in the past six years but for the Rangers it will be territory that's been uncharted since 2011. It's going to be a rematch of the Game 3 starters which means RHPs Cristian Javier and Max Scherzer. Both are looking for redemption tonight -- Javier for his less-than-stellar regular season and Scherzer for his awful performance in that Game 3 when he was chased after only four innings. Expect a much better outing from the three-time Cy Young tonight as the 39-year-old has thrived throughout his career in pressure-cooker situations such as this one. Javier, on the other hand, just needs to keep doing what he has been in the post-season for his team to have a chance. In two playoff starts covering 10 2/3 innings, Javier is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA with 12 strikeouts. Take Game 7 Under the total As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 runs over the Philadelphia Phillies. After their win in Game 5, the Phillies are one victory away from returning to the World Series for a second straight season. Arizona took the first two of its home NLCS games, but couldn't make it three in a row like the Astros did over in the American League. So it's not a must-win situation for the home team tonight but rest assured that the Phillies want to win it now so they can get an extra day off. For the Diamondbacks, they want to show up for starter Merrill Kelly tonight, something they didn't do in Game 2 here six days ago. Kelly didn't pitch that poorly -- only three hits allowed in 5 2/3 innings -- but the bats fell silent and the Phils cruised to a 10-0 victory in that one. But the veteran RH needs to avoid the long ball -- something he didn't do in Game 2 -- while Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, Christian Walker & Co. need to jump on Phils starter Aaron Nola early. Arizona is 9-1 this season behind Kelly when he's worked on an extra day or two of rest. And the Diamondbacks are a solid 46-49 (+11.3 net games) as an underdog this season. Meanwhile, Nola's teams have gone 14-20 (minus 9.7 net games) in his next start after not allowing an earned run in his previous start. I think this will be a tight game, and we'll take the 1.5 runs with the D-Backs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-22-23 | Rangers +110 v. Astros | Top | 9-2 | Win | 110 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers over the Houston Astros. After going undefeated in their first seven games of the 2023 post-season, the Rangers have now lost three straight -- at home no less -- to fall behind in this ALCS, 3-2. Game 5 was especially frustrating as Texas was three outs away from heading to Houston with a 3-2 series lead when the wheels fell off in the ninth inning after leading 4-2. But this series is far from over as the Rangers have been ultra-tough on the road all postseason and if they can win tonight they'll be just one more road victory away from getting to the World Series for the third time in Franchise history. They appear to have a strong edge in the pitching match-up in this Game 6 as RH Nathan Eovaldi will take his 3-0 playoff record with a 2.29 ERA to the mound opposite the Astros' southpaw Framber Valdez (0-2 and 11.57 in two starts). Not only have the Rangers won all three of the veteran RH's starts this post-season, but they also found themselves on the winning end in six of his last nine regular season starts. And Eovaldi's teams have gone 13-2 (87%) in his career playoff starts. Take Texas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Kansas City. The Chargers are a sensational 111-61 ATS as a road underdog of +2 or more points, including 29-9 ATS within the division when the Chargers have owned a losing record. Los Angeles has covered 5 of the last six in this series with its only point spread loss as a 3-point underdog in overtime, when it lost by 6. Take Los Angeles. |
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10-22-23 | Packers v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + over Green Bay. The Denver Broncos come into this game at Mile High Stadium with a 1-5 record (.167), while Green Bay is slightly better, at 2-3 (.400), for a win percentage differential of .233. We’ll take Denver as a home dog, as it is a jaw-dropping 50-14-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points, if its opponent didn’t have a win percentage differential of .333 (or better), including a perfect 13-0-2 ATS if the Broncos’ win percentage was .333 (or less). Additionally, home underdogs on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 62% since 1980 vs. non-division foes off a loss. Take the Broncos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 3-2 on the season, but it’s a phony 3-2, as they have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points per game, and they have failed to cover the point spread by an average of 4.5 points per game. And they’ve been outyarded in every single game — even their three wins. They defeated Cleveland by 4 points, but the Browns outgained them by 153 yards. They won by 5 over the Raiders, but Las Vegas outgained them by 29 yards. And then, in their last game, they defeated the Ravens by 7 but Baltimore outgained them by 46. In contrast, the Rams have outscored their opponents by 3.5 points per game, and have covered the point spread by 5.16 points per game. And they’ve outgained four of their 6 opponents, even the San Francisco 49ers, though they lost that game by 7. I’ll lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +8 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots have been installed as a big home underdog vs. their division rival. And New England will be looking to snap a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. We'll grab the points, as New England is 28-5 ATS as an underdog of 4+ points, when its W/L percentage was .400 (or less), and it was not off an ATS win, including 12-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Take New England. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts +3.5 | Top | 39-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Cleveland. The Browns stunned the previously unbeaten San Francisco 49ers last week, when they won, 19-17, as a 9.5-point underdog. But off that huge upset win, we’ll fade Cleveland as a road favorite. Indeed, since 1984, .500 (or better) road favorites have covered just 27.5 percent off an upset win as a 5-point (or greater) underdog. The Colts also come into this game off a blowout loss, and they’re 54-30 ATS off a straight-up defeat. Take the Colts + the points. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is the first meeting between these NFC South Division rivals, and underdogs have been great in games between NFC South Division rivals when it was the first meeting of the season, as they've gone 37-19-1 ATS. Tampa's 3-9-1 ATS its last 13 as a favorite, and also 7-25-3 ATS off a loss in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 5. Finally the Falcons are off an upset loss to Washington, and fall into a 163-105 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records off losses. Take the Falcons + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | UCLA -17 v. Stanford | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal came back from a 29-0 deficit to stun the Colorado Buffaloes, 46-43, as a 13.5-point underdog, in double-overtime last Saturday. But off that huge upset win, we'll fade Stanford on Saturday night vs. UCLA. The Cardinal are a wallet-breaking 1-8 ATS as a home underdog of more than 14 points, while UCLA is a reliable 14-6 ATS as a double-digit road favorite. Even worse: double-digit home underdogs have covered just 37.2 percent of conference games since 1980 off outright wins as a double-digit conference road underdog. Take UCLA minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Philadelphia Phillies. With their dramatic victory last night here in the desert, the hometown Diamondbacks leveled this series and in the process have guaranteed a return to Philadelphia for a Game 6. It was a huge comeback win and brings this series back to the #1 starters, tied at two games apiece. The Phillies will go with RH Zack Wheeler while RH Zac Gallen will get his second NLCS start for the D-Backs tonight -- his first at home. That second part is important as the 28-year-old dominated his opposition in the regular season here at Chase Field. In 16 starts here covering 102 innings, Gallen was 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Those numbers compare very favorably to his 5-6 record and 4.42 ERA in 18 starts (108 innings) on the road in the regular season. And although he lost Game 1 of this series, Gallen has a career 3-1 record with a 2.22 ERA in five regular season starts vs. the Phillies covering 24 1/3 innings. Take the Diamondbacks. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-21-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 34-32 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/Utah game. Something's gotta give tonight, as USC is scoring 47.1 ppg, while Utah is giving up just 12.1. Utah has played five of its six games Under the total this season. And I'll look for another low-scoring Utes game, as NCAA football games have gone under 60.3% in match-ups between a great defense which gave up 15.5 (or less) points and a great offense (which scored 47+ points). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Clemson v. Miami-FL +3 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Clemson. The 'Canes have had a tough couple of weeks. First, they lost to Georgia Tech when their head coach, Mario Cristobal inexplicably ran a rushing play rather than kneeling down to end the game. Miami fumbled. Then Georgia Tech won miraculously on the game's final play. Last week, the Hurricanes were competitive in defeat, and fell, 41-31, to the undefeated North Carolina Tar Heels. This week, Miami is back home, and is an underdog vs. Clemson. Miami is a super 18-4 ATS as an underdog of +10 (or less) points, if it was off a loss, and its opponent was off a win (and 6-0 ATS if Miami was off back to back losses). Take the Hurricanes + the points. |
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10-21-23 | Army v. LSU UNDER 60 | Top | 0-62 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on Army and LSU to go Under the total. The Black Knights are a rush-heavy team that has gone UNDER the total 64-47-1 their last 112 games. This season, they've averaged 16.1 passing plays, and 47.8 rushing plays. So, 74.7% of their plays have been on the ground, and that chews up the clock. Army has gone 20-2 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog of +9 (or more) points (and 11-0 UNDER when getting more than 14). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | TCU +6 v. Kansas State | Top | 3-41 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Kansas State. The Horned Frogs blew out BYU, 44-11, last week, as a 4.5-point favorite, for their best win of the season. Now, they'll take on Kansas State, and the Frogs have had this game circled on their calendar for months. When these two teams last met, Kansas State handed the Horned Frogs their first loss of the season when the Wildcats won, 31-28, in overtime, in the Big 12 Title game. When playing with revenge, TCU is a solid 31-20 ATS as a road underdog, as well as 13-4 ATS off a win by more than 30 points. Grab the points. |
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10-21-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -7 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Colorado State. The Rebels are on a roll, as they've covered the spread in every game this season. And outside of their road game against #2-ranked Michigan, they've scored 40+ points in every game this season. That bodes well for UNLV, as home teams have covered 56.2% since 1980, if they were off 3 blowout wins by 17+ points, in which they scored 40+, and covered by 10+ points. The Rebels should have no problem scoring on Colorado State, which ranks 127th of 130 teams in Total defense, giving up 462.7 yards per game. Colorado State has also given up 40+ points in three of its five FBS games this season, and are also a poor 3-8 ATS on the road off a win. Take UNLV. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Utah State v. San Jose State -4 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Spartans minus the points over Utah State. The Aggies had their 2-game win streak snapped by Fresno St last week, and are now 3-4 on the season. Today, they'll travel to San Jose, and face a Spartans team looking for its first win in the series since 2008. San Jose should, however, be confident, as it comes into this game off its first FBS win this season. And it was impressive, as it went into New Mexico, and blew out the Lobos, 52-24, as a 6-point road favorite. That bodes well for San Jose tonight, as single-digit home favorites have covered 58% of conference games off a road conference blowout by 28+ points, provided they covered the spread in that blowout by 21+ points. Even better: the Aggies are a soft 2-16 SU and 7-11 ATS when installed as a road underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe. Finally, the Spartans are 21-3 SU and 17-6 ATS as a favorite off a straight-up win, if they are playing an opponent off a loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | UTSA v. Florida Atlantic +3 | 36-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls + the points over Texas-San Antonio. The Owls will attempt to win their 4th straight in this series, as they won the first three meetings between the schools (in 2014, 2019 and 2020). Both the Roadrunners and Owls come into this American Athletic Conference showdown off SU/ATS wins. UTSA blew out UAB last Saturday, 41-20, as a 9 point favorite, for its biggest win this season, while Florida Atlantic also had its most impressive win of 2023 when it upset South Florida, 56-14, as a 3-point road underdog. Off that momentum-building upset, blowout win, we'll grab the points with the Owls, as home underdogs have covered 61.2% over the past 40 years following a blowout win by 42+ points, when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take Florida Atlantic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Toledo -1.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Miami-Ohio. Both of these teams enter on 6-game win streaks, and this game could be a preview of the MAC Title game in December. We played (and won) on Miami-Ohio three times this season, including each of the past 2 weeks. But will switch gears this Saturday, and go against the RedHawks. Last week, Toledo escaped Muncie, Indiana with a 13-6 victory over Ball State. The good news for Toledo is that MAC Conference road favorites have gone 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS in conference games after scoring less than 14 points. Take Toledo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Wisconsin -3 v. Illinois | Top | 25-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Illinois. The Illini have been installed as a short home underdog. Unfortunately, they're 17-53-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points. And they're 20-52-1 ATS at home when playing an opponent off a straight-up loss. With Wisconsin in off a 15-6 defeat at the hands of Iowa, we'll lay the points with the Badgers. |
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10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Tennessee. The Volunteers upset Nick Saban's men last season in a thriller, 52-49, as a 9-point home underdog. But we'll lay the points with 'Bama on Saturday, as Nick Saban's teams have gone 27-11 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from a loss suffered when he was head coach. Additionally, Alabama is 45-25 ATS following a win, in which it lost against the spread. With Alabama in off a 24-21 victory as a 19-point favorite vs. Arkansas, we'll take the Crimson Tide on Saturday afternoon. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Air Force v. Navy +10 | Top | 17-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Air Force. The Midshipmen shut out Charlotte, 14-0, on the road in their last game. And NCAA teams off road shutout wins the previous week have gone 177-120 ATS in the regular season, including 53-30-2 ATS as an underdog. Navy has also covered 16 of the last 21 times it was an underdog vs. Air Force. We'll go with the underdog Midshipmen. Take Navy + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Arkansas. The Razorbacks have lost their last five games, and now return home to take on Mississippi State, which won, 41-28, over Western Michigan in its last game (but failed to cover the 21.5-point spread). We'll go against Arkansas, as SEC Conference favorites of -20 points or less (or PK) are a dreary 188-270-3 ATS (41 percent) at home off a straight-up loss. Even worse: if their opponent failed to cover the spread by more than a touchdown in its previous game, then our 270-188 stat zooms to 94-51-1 ATS (65 percent). Take the Bulldogs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Boston College +5.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Georgia Tech. BC upset Army, 27-24, as a 2.5-point road underdog in its last game, while Georgia Tech shocked Miami, 23-20, as a 19-point dog. The Eagles are 25-14 ATS their last 39 as an underdog vs. ACC Conference foes. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech is now 9-2 its last 11 as an underdog, but 0-10 ATS its last 10 as a favorite vs. FBS (Division 1) schools. Take Boston College + the points. |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers 'over' the total. The Astros got their bats out in Game 4 on Thursday night and they plated 10 runs to even this series which plays its final game in Arlington tonight (Game 5). Game 1 in Houston featured the same two starters as tonight (RH Justin Verlander vs. LH Jordan Montgomery) and that was a 2-0 Rangers victory, but that's not the way these games normally go. In fact in seven of the last 11 meetings between these two, one or both of the clubs have scored double-digit runs. So don't expect a repeat of Game 1 as both of these teams know the importance of jumping out to an early lead and whoever wins this game will be just one victory away from the World Series. Yes, LH Jordan Montgomery has been very good in this post-season but it's unlikely he would go more than six innings tonight and the Rangers used a ton of pitchers in Game 4 so their bullpen is stretched very thin right now. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings of these two. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Jacksonville Jaguars Over the total. The Saints have played all 6 games in the 30s this season, and this Over/Under has been priced accordingly. But the Jaguars have played four of their six games at 45+ points, with three topping 50 points, including last week's 37-20 victory vs. Indianapolis. Jacksonville's gone OVER 13 of 18 games when the O/U line was 43 points or less. And I look for a relatively high scoring game on Thursday. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -1 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Jacksonville. The Jaguars blew out Indianapolis last week for their 3rd straight win and cover, while the Saints were upset at Houston, 20-13. We'll play against Jacksonville on Thursday, as road teams off 3 SU/ATS wins are an awful 16-37 ATS vs. foes that were upset on the road the previous week. Additionally, the Saints are a super 67-34 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a win. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | James Madison v. Marshall +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over James Madison. The Dukes come into this game with an undefeated 6-0 record, but I like Marshall to hand them their first defeat of the season. Marshall will be looking to redeem itself after two road losses at NC State (48-41) and Georgia St (41-24). And the Herd are 12-3-1 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when not favored by more than 3 points. Even better: Sun Belt conference underdogs (or PK) are a solid 87-59 ATS in conference games off back to back SU/ATS losses. And undefeated teams, off back to back ATS wins, with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 14% as home favorites of less than 25 points vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Marshall + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Rice +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane come into this American Athletic Conference game off a loss, 20-17, at Florida Atlantic. Unfortunately, they're a horrid 9-43-2 ATS at home off a loss, when matched up against a non-winning team, and not favored by 17+ points. That doesn't bode well for Tulsa. Nor does the fact that Rice is also off a SU/ATS loss, 38-31, vs. UConn. And the Owls are 62-45 ATS in conference games off a SU/ATS conference defeat. Take Rice + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 117 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Philadelphia Phillies. So much for NL "small ball." The Phillies have dominated their opposition in this post-season, not by getting on base and stealing second or bunting players over. They've done it by way of the long ball -- 19 in their eight post-season games so far. Many of those have been of the solo variety, but that hardly matters when you're sending balls over the fence as often as they are. That could change with a trip to the Desert. The Phillies won't be in their homer-friendly ballpark tonight but instead in a place where the long ball doesn't happen nearly as often. They'll also be facing a starting pitcher that they've never seen before in 25-year-old rookie RH Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt doesn't have numbers that jump off the page at you, but guess what else he doesn't do? He doesn't give up home runs when pitching at Chase Field (only one long ball in his last five starts here). And Pfaadt shut down the Dodgers in his only NLDS start against them (4 1/3 IP, 2 H, 0 ER). Take the D-Backs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | Top | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Texas Rangers. Tonight will represent a couple of long-awaited events in baseball. It will be the first Championship Series game to be played in Arlington, TX since 2011, so the crowd will surely be amped up, especially given that the home team already has a 2-0 lead in this series. But tonight's ALCS Game 3 will also be Max Scherzer's first start in over a month. The future Hall-of-Fame RH pitcher hasn't been on the mound since a September 12 start against the Blue Jays. Scherzer hit the bench with a shoulder issue after that appearance but has been deemed ready to come back tonight on the biggest of stages. But don't expect the three-time Cy Young winner to pitch more than four innings and there-in may lie the problem for the Rangers, who have been getting deep runs from their starters throughout their undefeated post-season. In 27 career post-season games (22 starts) Scherzer is just 7-7 and he has a career 4.56 ERA in five starts here at Globe Life Field. Take the Astros. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers 'under' the total. If there's one pitcher in these MLB Playoffs who wants to atone for a less than ideal, let-down of a regular season, it's the Astros Cristian Javier. The veteran RH had a breakout campaign in 2022, winning 11 of 25 starts with a 2.54 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Big things were expected from the 26-year-old entering 2023, but instead of building on those numbers, Javier struggled through much of the season, posting a 4.56 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 31 starts. Fortunately his teammates picked him up and Houston won its third straight AL West title (sixth of the last seven years) and now Javier looks to redeem himself in a big way. He's already shown how great he can be in his only ALDS start, tossing five shutout innings vs. the Twins, allowing just one hit while striking out nine and walking none. With 3-time Cy Young winner Max Scherzer on the other side tonight, runs could be very scarce at Globe Life Field. The under was 4-1-1 in Javier's last six regular season starts. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies 'under' the total. It didn't take long for the Phillies to show that they mean business in their second straight NLCS. Kyle Schwarber hit the first pitch he saw over the right field wall and Bryce Harper homered two batters later to set the tone in Game 1. The Phillies' hitters ambushed Zac Gallen's fastball last night and held on for a 5-3 win to take a 1-0 series lead on the D-Backs. Philadelphia's big bats will see a different type of pitcher tonight in the D-Backs Merrill Kelly. Gallen throws his fastball 50% of the time and the Phillies jumped all over it in Game 1. The 35-year-old Kelly throws a lot more off-speed pitches and that may cause problems for the free-swinging Philadelphia lineup. But the D-Backs hitters could have the same problems against Philly RH Aaron Nola, who has been stellar this post-season with a 2-0 record and 1.42 ERA. Kelly hasn't been getting love from his hitters lately as the D-Backs have plated more than three runs in just five of his last 14 starts. And the D-Backs are 19-12 Under behind Kelly this season, and 72-50 Under in his career starts. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-15-23 | Giants +14 v. Bills | Top | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 86 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Bills come into this game off a loss last Sunday in London. I will fade Buffalo, as NFL teams have gone 4-18 ATS in the United States following a game in London. Moreover, the Giants have lost all five games ATS this season. However, underdogs off 5 ATS losses have covered 64.8%, including 12-3 ATS when getting more than 11 points. Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 34 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Detroit. The Lions come into this Sunday's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. But they will have to play a rested Tampa Bay team coming off its bye week. We'll grab the points with Tampa, as Detroit is an ugly 3-26 ATS off a home win, if it owned a win percentage of .692 (or better), including 0-13 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win. Take Tampa Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |