Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-14 | Edmonton Oilers +150 v. Dallas Stars | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas is hardly worthy of laying this much juice regardless of the opponent. The Stars enter tonight having lost 6 in a row. The Oilers have been a bit better in recent games with wins over quality teams like Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh. Against a porous defensive club like Dallas, the Oilers have enough skilled forwards to create another headache for Stars head coach Lindy Ruff.
Any team that's coming off 6 or more games in a row that they went over the total, and they average 2.5 to 2.9 goals per game, versus an opponent playing in the 2nd half of their season, and they allow 2.9 or more goals per game, has gone 22-6 versus the money line since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Edmonton Oilers as a 5* selection. |
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01-10-14 | Toronto Maple Leafs +145 v. Washington Capitals | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Any road team playing in the 2nd half of the season which has seen their last 5-games or more go over the total, and they're averaging between 2.5 to 2.9 goals per game, versus an opponent that's allowing an average of 2.9 or more goals per game, has gone 22-6 (78.6%) versus the money line since the beginning of the 1997-1998 season. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs as a 5* selection.
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01-09-14 | Dallas Stars v. New Jersey Devils -120 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Dallas enters tonight having lost 3-games in a row. In those 3 lossess they allowed a whopping 18-goals combined. Although the Devils are far from hot of late losing their last 3, and 5 of their last 7-games. They're 12-3 versus the money line in the last 3 seasons after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7-games. Cory Schneider will be between the pipes for New Jersey. Schneider has posted an excellent 1.66 GAA in 7 home starts this season.
Play on any team that allows 3.0 or more goals per game on the season, and is coming off 2 straight losses by 4 goals or more in each. Playing against that team has produced a money line record of 24-6 (80%) since the start of the 2009-2010 season. Play on the New Jersey Devils as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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01-04-14 | Vancouver Canucks v. Los Angeles Kings -139 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Any money line home favorite that's playing in the 2nd half of the season, and has lost 5 or more games in a row, and has a winning percentage of between .510 to .600 is 28-3 (90.3%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Los Angeles Kings on the money line as my 10* "NHL Game of the Month"
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12-20-13 | Anaheim Ducks v. New Jersey Devils +111 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Any money line home underdog versus an opponent that's playing with same season revenge from a loss as a favorite, and they come off a road win by 3-goals or more in their previous game is 19-9 (67.9%) since the beginning of the 1997-1998 season.
Any money line home underdog coming off home wins in each of their previous 2-games, and they have a losing record on the season is 25-13 (65.8%) since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season. Play on the New Jersey Devils as a 5* selection. |
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12-19-13 | Nashville Predators +120 v. Tampa Bay Lightning | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Any money line road underdog of +100 to +150 that comes off a loss to a division opponent, and they have a winning percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent with a winning record is 35-20 (63.6%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Nashville Predators as a 5* selection.
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12-19-13 | Florida Panthers +128 v. Ottawa Senators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 128 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
The Florida Panthers have quietly gone about their business winning 4 in a row, and 6 of their last 7. This is an Ottawa club that's vastly underachieved all season long. The Senators are just 7-12 at home versus the money line. Ottawa will also be playing with no reset, this will be their 3rd game in the last 4, and their 7th in the last 11-days.
Any road team that's playing with same season double revenge from 2-losses in which they allowed 3 or more goals in each game, and they're coming off a road win versus a division opponent is 89-52 (63.1%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Florida Panthers as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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12-17-13 | Florida Panthers v. Toronto Maple Leafs -127 | 3-1 | Loss | -127 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Any money line favorite in the 1st half of the season that's playing their 8th game or more in the last 14-days, they have a winning percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .250 to .400 is 28-4 (87.5%) on the money line since the beginning of the 1997-1998 season. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs as a 5* selection.
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12-17-13 | Winnipeg Jets v. Buffalo Sabres -104 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Any home team that's -100 to -150 on the money line with a winning percentage of .300 or less playing in the 1st half of the season, that's lost 4 of their last 5-games, versus an opponent with a losing record is 51-15 (77.3%) since the beginning of the 1997-1998 season. Play on the Buffalo Sabres as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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12-06-13 | Anaheim Ducks +160 v. Chicago Blackhawks | 3-2 | Win | 160 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Any money line road underdog of +100 to +200 that's playing with exactly 2-days rest, and they lost their previous 2-games both to division opponents is 36-17 (67.9%) since the beginning of the 1997-1998 season. Play on the Anaheim Ducks as a money line underdog as a 5* selection.
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12-06-13 | Detroit Red Wings v. New Jersey Devils -120 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
For the 2nd game in a row the Red Wings will be without their two injured top scorers Henrik Zetteberg and Pavel Datsyuk. The Red Wings didn't fare to well without them in a 6-3 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday. Detroit has gone 2-7 this season after allowing 4-goals or more in their previous game. New Jersey is 9-2 the last 3-years after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7-games.
Any home favorite coming off a 1-goal loss, versus an opponent that's scored 3-goals or more in each of their last 5-games is 82-31 (72.6%) versus the money line since the beginning of the 1997-1998 season. Play on the New Jersey Devils as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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12-05-13 | Ottawa Senators +113 v. Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Ottawa comes off a 4-2 win over Florida in their previous game. The Lightning have been shutout in each of their last 2-games. These results set up a very strong money line NHL system.
Any team that scored 4 or more goals in their last 2 games, versus an opponent that's been shutout in each of their last 2-games is 39-18 (68.4%) versus the money line since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Ottawa Senators as a 5* money line selection. |
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11-04-13 | Anaheim Ducks v. NY Rangers -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
This money line says it all. The favorite Rangers are just 6-7 on the money line this season versus an opponent who is a stellar 11-4. We have to take into account that the Rangers played their first 9-games of the season on the road while Madison Square Garden was going through a renovation process. The Rangers are a very profitable 55-27 in their last 82 home games. The Ducks are just 7-22 on the road over the last 3 seasons as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
Any home team that comes off a win by 4-goals or more versus a division opponent, versus a team coming off a road win is 22-4 (84.6%) versus the money line since the start of the 1999-2000 year. Play on the New York Rangers as a 5* selection. |
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06-22-13 | Boston Bruins +136 v. Chicago Blackhawks | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
The Bruins are 11-2 on the money line this season when playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Chicago is a dismal 4-14 over the last 2 seasons on the money line when playing 5 games or less over the last 14 days. The Blackhawks are also just 5-12 on the money line over the last 2 seasons after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous game. Don't expect Tukka Rask to have another below average game like he had in Game 4. Contrarily the Bruins have exposed a huge weakness in Corey Crawford's glove hand especially when going high. The Bruins will bounce back and regain control of the series.
Any road team versus an opponent with a +0.65 or more goal per game differential, and they're coming off a game when a combined 9 or more goals were scored is 32-13 (71.1%) versus the money line since the start of the 1997-1998 season. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 10* money line selection. |
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06-19-13 | Chicago Blackhawks v. Boston Bruins -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bruins are played at an enormously high level right now. They have made two explosive offensive teams in Pittsburgh and now Chicago look less than average in the regard. As good as Cory Crawford has played throughout the playoffs the Bruins net-minder Tukka Rask has been better. Rask is 14-5 this postseason with an excellent .947 save percentage. The Bruins defense continues to be excellent while even contributing offensively. I still maintain the Bruins overall depth has been or will continue to be they key ingredient in their pursuit of the Stanley Cup. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 5* money line selection.
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06-17-13 | Chicago Blackhawks v. Boston Bruins -121 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
The Bruins have been terrific in the postseason in this exact situation. Boston is a perfect 8-0 in Game 3 of a series since the start of the 2001 playoffs. Boston has won those 8 games by a whopping average of 2.6 goals per game. The Bruins penalty killing has been magnificent killing off the last 22 power play chances by opponents. The Bruins have reeled off 6 straight wins at home since a loss to Toronto in Game 5 of their opening round series. Tuuka Rask continues to play at an extremely high level posting an excellent .947 save percentage in 18 games during these playoffs.
The Blackhawks are on the opposite side of the spectrum as the Bruins when it applies to this exact situation. Chicago is 0-5 in Game 3 of a series since the start of the 2011 playoffs. Chicago has played 6 overtime periods over their last 3 games. All 3 of those games took place at home where the energy of the crowd can certainly produce a surplus of adrenalin. With this game being on the road look for Chicago to show some of the wear and tear as a result of the rigors they have endured over the last 10 days. Play on the Boston Bruins as my 10* NHL Playoff Game of the Year. |
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06-15-13 | Boston Bruins +138 v. Chicago Blackhawks | 2-1 | Win | 138 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
The Bruins are a resilient team with a ton of character. Both of those attributes will be seriously tested after blowing a pair of 2-goal leads in the opening game of the series. The Bruins were also hindered in the overtime when first line winger Nathan Horton left the game with an upper body injury. Horton was also sidelined with a concussion in the 2011 Stanley Cup Finals versus Vancouver. The Bruins came back from 2-0 down in that series to win the Stanley Cup. The Hawks outshot the Bruins in the opening game but the visitors quality scoring chances far exceeded their opponent. Boston hit the post twice in overtime and missed several other golden opportunities. Chicago was the beneficiary of some luck on both the tying and winning goals. Most teams would be hard pressed to come back from such a heartbreaking loss. The Bruins aren't one of them. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 5* money line selection.
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06-12-13 | Boston Bruins +132 v. Chicago Blackhawks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
The Bruins enter the Stanley Cup Finals on a tremendous roll winning their last 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10. This is also a Boston team which is an extremely profitable 11-1 on the money line over the last 2 seasons when playing on 3 or more days of rest. The Bruins starting goalie Tukka Rask was just sensational in their 4 game sweep f the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Eastern Conference Finals allowing just 2 goals versus arguably the most explosive team in the NHL. Rask has posted a terrific .947 save percentage in 16 playoff games this postseason. Boston has won all 3 opening games of their previous series' while outscoring the opposition by a combined 10-3 in doing so. The Chicago starting goalie Cory Crawford has been very good this postseason as well. However Crawford has faced just an average of 28 shots per game in the playoffs and will be facing an opponent which averages 36 shots on goal per game this postseason.The Bruins won the Stanley Cup in 2011 while the Hawks won it all in 2010. The difference is that Boston has 17 players remaining from that 2011 team while the Hawks have just 9 remaining from their 2010 Cup winner.
Any team coming off 2 straight home win by 1-goal each and is playing with 3 or more days of rest is 32-14 (69.6%) on the money line since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 10* Best Bet money line selection. |
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06-05-13 | PITTSBURGH GM3 v. BOSTON GM3 -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
The Bruins are a perfect 7-0 on the money line in Game 3 of a playoff series over the last 3 seasons. The Penguins is a dismal 3-12 on the money line over the last 2 seasons following a home loss by 2 goals or more. The Penguins are a frustrated club who can't seem to solve the hot goal-tending of Tukka Rask. Contrarily the Penguins goal-tending has been suspect throughout the postseason. Thomas Vokoun is probable to get the start tonight for the Penguins after surrendering 3 goals and being pulled before the end of the 1st period in Game 2. Boston is a terrific 7-1 since Game 7 of their opening series versus Toronto. Their only loss in that span came on the road versus the Rangers in Game 4 of that series and it took overtime to beat them.
Any home team versus an opponent playing with same season revenge from a loss by 4 goals or more, and they're coming off 2 straight home losses by 2 goals or more in each is 25-3 (89.3%) on the money line since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 10* Best Bet money line selection. |
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06-04-13 | Chicago Blackhawks +114 v. Los Angeles Kings | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
The hockey purists will tell you in a situation such as this it strongly favors the home team down 2-0. I'm not going to say that stance isn't a valid one but there are always exceptions to every rule, and if there wasn't everyone would be a sports handicapper for a living, or Las Vegas sportsbooks would all be out of business.
Chicago is a perfect 7-0 on the money line this season versus opponents that allow 2.4 or less goals per game. The Blackhawks are also a highly profitable 18-4 this season on the money line after a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. Since falling behind 3-1 in their previous series to Detroit the Blackhawks have reeled off 5 wins in a row. Much has been made of the play of Los Angeles goalie Jonathan Quick and rightfully so. However the Chicago net-minder Cory Crawford has quietly been superb in his own right in posting a .938 save percentage in the playoffs. This is a Kings team that has been terrific on home ice this season. That will not faze a Chicago team that's won 4 of 5 games at the Staples Center over the last 3 seasons. Chicago opened the season with a dominating 5-2 win at Los Angeles. The Hawks are an outstanding 20-9 on the road this season. Since opening their previous series with a 2-0 lead versus San Jose the Kings have dropped 5 of their last 7. The Kings are 1-9 on the money line this season versus opponents who kill 87% or more of power plays against them. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks on the money line as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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06-01-13 | Los Angeles Kings v. Chicago Blackhawks -157 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
The Blackhawks can only exhale after escaping in a 7-game series win over Detroit which culminated in a overtime goal by Brent Seabrook in the deciding game. Chicago knows they have to be much better in this series versus the defending champion Los Angeles Kings and they will be up to the task. The Hawks are an extremely profitable 17-4 versus the money line following a 1-goal win. Surprisingly the Kings have been terrible on the road this season going 9-21 versus the money line including 1-5 so far this postseason. The Kings are an even more dismal 1-9 versus the money line on the road this season following a home win.
Any money line favorite of -200 or less that's playing with 2 days rest versus an opponent playing with 3 or more days rest is 120-49 (71%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks as a 10* Best Bet money line selection. |
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05-23-13 | San Jose Sharks v. Los Angeles Kings -142 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Kings have been tremendous this season at home. As a matter of fact the Kings are an incredible 21-2 on the money line at home this season versus opponents that average allowing just 4 or less power plays against per game. In translation they have been dominant at the Staples Center versus opponents who don't choose to play a physical brand of hockey. The Kings are also a perfect 10-0 on the money line at home this season versus opponents that allow an average of 2.55 or less goals per game.The Sharks are a dismal 1-7 versus the money line on the road this season following a home game.
Any money line favorite in the 2nd half of the season versus an opponent with a +0.2 or more goal differential in the first period of their games, and that opponent has allowed 1 goal or less in each of their last 2 games is 45-12 (78.9%) on the money line since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the Los Angeles Kings as a 5* money line selection. |
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05-23-13 | Boston Bruins +102 v. NY Rangers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
The Bruins have slowly but surely worn the Rangers out in this series. This has been done not only with a physical style of play but with the ability of the Bruins to keep rolling 4 solid lines throughout the first 3 games. The Bruins 4th line of Daniel Paille, Scott Thornton, and Gregory Campbell has been a thorn in the side of the Rangers the whole series. John Tortorella has not been able to make any possible adjustment to counter the Bruins depth up front. Boston has made Henrik Lundquist look human in this series which has been a huge factor. It's not like Lundquist has been horrible but the Rangers needed "Sir Henrik" to be spectacular to have a chance. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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05-22-13 | Pittsburgh Penguins -130 v. Ottawa Senators | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
The Penguins will be in a sour mood tonight after allowing Ottawa to tie Game 3 with just 0:28 to go in regulation, and then eventually losing in overtime. Pittsburgh was clearly the better team for the majority of the evening. The Penguins were more poised with the puck, had more quality scoring chances, and received another solid effort in goal from Thomas Vokoun. Kudos to Ottawa for showing the resiliency and character to pull out a win in which was for all intents and purposes a must win situation. Having said that the Senators can now hang their hat on the fact they weren't swept by the star studded Penguins. Pittsburgh will hand Ottawa a harsh dose of reality tonight. Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins as a 10* Best Bet money line selection.
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05-21-13 | Los Angeles Kings v. San Jose Sharks -128 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
The Sharks have been stellar at home this season in going a very profitable 20-7 on the money line. San Jose has been even better at home on the money line versus teams with a winning record going an incredible 13-2 on the year. The Kings have been the polar opposite on the road this season going a dismal 9-19 on the money line including 1-3 in the playoffs. The Kings were an even more unimpressive 2-10 on the road versus the money line this year versus opponents allowing an average of 2.55 or less goals per game.
Any home team in the 2nd half of the season with a starting goalie who has a save percentage of .915 or better, and they have had 30 or more shots on goal in each of their last 5 games is 36-5 (87.8%) on the money line since the start of the 2008-2009 season. Play on the San Jose Sharks as a 10* money line Best Bet. |
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05-19-13 | NY RANGERS GM2 v. BOSTON GM2 -118 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
In spite of needing overtime to win the opening game of the series the Bruins were much the better team. Boston hit the post and crossbar a combined 4 times and outshot the Rangers 48-35. The Boston power play which has been the target of criticism this season and rightfully so looked terrific in Game 1. This is a Bruins team that received a second life after that improbable comeback win in Game 7 versus the Leafs in their opening series and may freight train their way right to the Stanley Cup Finals as a result. The only department that the Rangers hold a clear cut advantage is in goal. However the Bruins relentless pressure will eventually break through versus Sir Henrik Lundquist.
Any home team playing a game in the 2nd half of the season with a starting goalie with a .915 or better save percentage, and they had 30 or more shots on goal in each of their last 5 games is 34-5 (87.2%) on the money line since the start of the 2008/2009 season. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 10* money line winner. |
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05-18-13 | Los Angeles Kings v. San Jose Sharks -126 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
LA Kings @ San Jose 9:05 ET
Game # 15-16 Play On: San Jose -126 (10*) The Sharks are an outstanding 19-7 at home on the money line this season. Included within those numbers is a 10-2 mark versus teams with a winning record. With the Sharks down 2-0 in this series this is pretty much a must game. The Sharks deserved a better fate in the last game losing 4-3 on 2 power play goals scored 22 seconds apart by the Kings with less than 2 minutes to go in the 3rd period. The Sharks were the better team for the majority of the game so confidence will not be a problem going into game 3. Any favorite on the money line that comes off 2 or more road losses in a row, versus a team who comes off a 1-goal win versus a division opponent is 56-15 since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the San Jose Sharks as a 10* Best Bet money line selection. |
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05-16-13 | NY RANGERS GM1 v. BOS BRUINS GM1 -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is starting to look eerily similar to the Bruins Stanley Cup winning run 2 springs ago. They started that trek with a 7-game series win over Montreal. In that series versus the Canadians the Bruins advanced after an overtime winning goal by Nathan Horton in the deciding 7th game. This year the Bruins advanced in similar fashion overcoming a 3-goal 3rd period deficit and winning in overtime in Game 7 versus Toronto. The Bruins still maintain the majority of the roster that took them to the promised land 2 seasons ago. The Rangers also advanced by going the full 7 games versus Washington. This is a Rangers team that vastly underachieved for most of the season while appearing to have some chemistry issues along the way. The public has jumped all over the Rangers mostly due in part to their success in recent head to head meetings versus the Bruins. In my personal experiences that means nothing at this time of year. The Rangers are a dismal 2-10 versus the money line this season on the road following a road game. New York is also a terrible 2-8 on the money line this season versus opponents that average 2.55 or more goals per game.
Any home team playing in the 2nd half of the season with a starting goal that has a save percentage of .915 or better, and they have had 30 or more shots on goal in each of their last 5 games is 33-5 (86.8%) on the money line since the start of the 2008-2009 season. Play on the Boston Bruins as a 10* Best Bet money line selection. |
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05-13-13 | NY Rangers +115 v. Washington Capitals | Top | 5-0 | Win | 115 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
This Rangers underachieved for the vast majority of the season. They now have a chance to atone for some of the disappointment with a win in a deciding Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. I am supremely confident that they will be up to the task. The Rangers are 12-4 versus the money line on the road the last 3 seasons when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Washington is a miserable 4-13 on the money line this season when out to revenge a road loss. I look for the Rangers starting goalie Henrik Lundquist to come up with a huge effort tonight. Lundquist has been on this big stage before on the road and will shine brightly.
Play against any home team on the money line that's playing with no rest and is coming off a road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less. When playing on the road team is this exact situation you would be 43-27 (61.4%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on the New York Rangers as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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05-11-13 | Pittsburgh Penguins -164 v. NY Islanders | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
The Penguins don't need great goaltending they just need someone to be solid to support their high powered offensive talent. Well they received more than they could have asked for with the insertion of veteran Thomas Vokoun taking the place of Marc Andre Fleury in Game 5. Vokoun came up large with 31 saves in a 4-0 shutout win. There are many who have asked why it took the Penguins to make the goaltending change. In my opinion it would be a legitimate question considering Vokoun has a stellar 13-4 record this season with a very good .923 save percentage. If it weren't for the fact that Fleury couldn't stop a beach ball let alone a puck in the first 4 games this series would be history already. The Islanders goaltender Exegni Nabokov has escaped the critics thus far due to the ineptness displayed by Fleury. However looking inside the numbers through the first 5 games of this series Nabokov has a horrible .847 save percentage. In spite of having a successful year the Islanders are just 11-15 on the money line at home this season. The Isles are also a dismal 3-13 at home on the money line the last 2 seasons when attempting to revenge a loss by2 goals or more. It will be time for the home team to take their golf clubs out and enjoy the offseason by the night's end.
Any road team on the money line coming off a win by 4 goals or more versus a division opponent, and is facing an opponent who's revenging a road loss by 2 goals or more is 30-9 (76.9%) since the start of the 2008-2009 season. Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins as a 10* Best Bet selection. |