Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -8 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Philadelphia -8.0 (10*) Philadelphia took Game 1 of this series with a 125-118 win but failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite. They barely missed the cover despite allowing Washington to shoot 55.7% from the field. That kind of shooting performance by the Wizards is highly improbable to occur again tonight against a usually stout defensive team like Philadelphia. I am also extremely confident that that Washington will continue to have few if any defensive answers in slowing down Philadelphia. During their 4 games versus Washington this season, Philadelphia has averaged 126.5 points per contest while shooting a sizzling hot 53% and includes 42.7% from 3-point range. Any NBA Playoff home favorite of 3.0 to 10.5 (Philadelphia) that’s playing Game 2 of a series, and they are coming off a home win in which they failed to cover by 3.5 points or fewer, resulted in those home teams going 13-0 SU&ATS since the 2007 postseason, and the average margin of victory came by 16.5 points per contest. Play on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns +2 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
LA Lakers @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) Phoenix won the opening game of this series 99-90. The Suns have now won 15 of their last 16 home games. Conversely, the Lakers are 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Any NBA home team playing in an opening round Game 2 of a playoff series that’s coming off a home win by 7 points while allowing less than 100 points, and they possess a win percentage of .615 or better, resulted in those home teams going 48-6 (88.9%) straight up since 2000. This NBA Playoffs straight up betting angle takes on added value since it supports the underdog in this contest. Bet on Phoenix plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-23-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 1:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Philadelphia -7.5 (10*) For starters, Philadelphia enters this opening game of the series with a full week of rest. Conversely, Washington will be playing their 3rd game in 5-days. That’s a huge advantage to Philadelphia in that specific category. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dominating 37-3 straight up in conference home games and they also went a profitable 27-13 ATS (67.5%) in those contests. Furthermore, if those conference home tilts took place after Game 55 of the season, the 76ers were 9-0 SU&ATS and won by a decisive 18.7 points per contest. Since the 2016-2017 season began, Philadelphia has gone 9-0 straight up at home versus Washington, and 3-0 ATS if they were favorites of 7.5 or more. Additionally, the 76ers won all 3 meetings against Washington this season. During those 3 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia averaged a sizable 127.0 points scored per game, shot a sizzling hot 54.3% which included an extremely impressive 47.4% from 3-point territory, and held a +7.3 rebound per game advantage. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Portland @ Denver 10:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland +1.5 (10*) For starters, I don’t see the Nuggets having any sustained success this postseason without Jamal Murray (21.2 PPG). Based on this current line, the sportsbooks are in agreeance with my opinion. Let’s not forget, Murray averaged a sizable 26.5 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 45.3% of his 3-point attempts, and was 89.7% from the free throw line during 19 playoff game a year ago. He was the main cog in leading Denver to the Western Conference Finals where they lost to the eventual world champion Lakers in 5 games. As a matter of fact, Murray had 4 games of 40 or more points during last year’s playoffs. Portland finished the season by winning 10 of their previous 12 games. It’s by no coincidence that they caught fire once they had both starting guards Damien Lillard and C.J. McCollum on the floor at the same time. McCollum missed an extended period of this season due to injury. The former Lehigh star played in just 47 of Portland’s 72 games this season. However, he did average a career best 23.1 points per game this season. McCollum has averaged 20 points or more during the previous 5 postseasons. His running mate Damien Lillard average 28.8 points and 7.5 assists per game during regular season action. The Blazers point guard also averaged 7.2 free throws per contest and made 92.8% of those attempts. Lastly, Portland was an extremely profitable 11-3 SU&ATS on the road this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards -3 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Indiana @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Washington -3.0 (10*) These teams have met 3 times during regular season action and Washington walked away a winner on each occasion. The Wizards finished regular season play winning their last 4 and 9 of its previous 10 home games. The Wizards are coming off Tuesday’s 118-100 loss at Boston. They’ve gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 14.0 points per game. During their 3 regular season matchups against Indiana, Washington averaged a massive 143.0 points scored per game, shot 58.4% from the field, and made an extremely impressive 46.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | Top | 117-144 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Charlotte @ Indiana 6:35 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Charlotte +3.0 (10*) Charlotte is unequivocally the healthier team in this matchup All you have to do is look at the Pacers current injury report below resembles the 1222-page book titled “War and Peace” written by Leo Tolstoy. The last time these teams met was on April 2nd at Indiana and Charlotte walked away with a decisive 114-97 win and did so as a 5.0-point underdog. Furthermore, the sportsbooks currently have this as virtually an even game despite Charlotte entering today on a 5-game losing streak. This just in, they just aren’t that kind or careless when setting a line. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-13-21 | Kings +8 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Sacramento +8.0 (10*) Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season, any team (Sacramento) coming off home wins by 10 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a win percentage of .340 or better after game 27 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or worse, and that team (Memphis) is coming off a straight win as an underdog, resulted in those teams going 28-1 straight up. This NBA straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the sizable underdog in this contest. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-11-21 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 119-100 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Detroit +7.5 (10*) I know the Pistons roster has been ravaged by injuries to key personnel. However, Minnesota laying this many points in this precise betting situation is a bit much. The Pistons are 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games. Nonetheless, Detroit is 6-0 ATS as an underdog this season following ATS losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they won straight up on 3 of those occasions. Detroit is 20-49 (.289) this season. Minnesota is coming off a 128-96 road win at Orlando and covered with ease as a 7.5-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 21-47 (.309). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA straight up betting angle which heavily favors the home underdog in this contest. Any home team with a win percentage of .285 or better (Detroit), versus an opponent who has a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they are coming off an ATS win in which they (Minnesota) covered by 19.5 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 49-7 straight up since the 2016-2017 season began. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks +1 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Atlanta 8:05 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Atlanta +1.0 (10*) This will be a tough sport for even an excellent team like Phoenix. The Suns will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and are coming off yesterday’s 134-118 win at Cleveland. Teams that have faced the Hawks when playing with nor rest have gone 3-10 SU&ATS in their last 13 games this season. That includes 1-7 SU&ATS in the last 8 if Atlanta was playing with 1 or more days rest. Speaking of Atlanta, they have gone an extremely profitable 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 at home, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS during their previous 6. This will be an excellent opportunity to make a statement for Atlanta against an elite opponent that will be potentially vulnerable this evening. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-01-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 140-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Minnesota +4.5 (10*) I cashed in with Minnesota as a 4.5-point home underdog on Thursday in their 126-114 win over Golden State. I am coming right back with them on Saturday. Minnesota has now gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those coming as an underdog. Minnesota is 2-0 SU&ATS this season versus New Orleans in games they were an 8.0 and 8.5-point underdog while winning both by comfortable double-digit margins. The Timberwolves are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and those wins came against opponents with a combined 109-80 (.577) record. Conversely, New Orleans has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 9.5 or less. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-25-21 | Suns +2 v. Nets | Top | 119-128 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Brooklyn 3:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) This will be the finale of an extremely 4-game in 7-day road trip for Phoenix. The Suns opened the trip with wins over 2 of the Eastern Conference’s elite team in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. They then laid an egg at Boston on Thursday losing to the Celtics 99-86. However, that was their 3rd road game in 4 days and were destined to fail following 2 huge wins. Now they come into today’s matchup against another Eastern Conference team and with 2 days of rest. Furthermore, the Suns are 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 following a loss and won by a decisive average of 14.8 points per game. The Suns will also be out to revenge a 128-124 home loss to Brooklyn on 2/16 in a game they squandered a 24-point lead. Furthermore, Phoenix has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 5.5 or less. Speaking of Brooklyn, they’re coming off a 109-104 home win over Boston. However, the Nets have gone 0-4 straight up in their previous 4 following a win and lost by 11.0 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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04-22-21 | Suns v. Celtics +1.5 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Boston 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Boston +1.5 (10*) Boston is coming off a disappointing 102-96 home loss to a 24-34 Chicago Bulls team. It was even more disheartening when considering that defeat halted a season high 6-game Celtics win streak. However, one can make a strong argument that they were caught looking ahead to today’s matchup against Phoenix (42-16) and tomorrow’s contest at Brooklyn (39-20). Furthermore, since the start of last season, Boston is a profitable 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less. Boston has also gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better. This is an extremely tough spot for Phoenix even as good as they are. This will be their 3rd road game in 4 days, and they’ll be playing with no rest. Additionally, they are coming off wins during their previous 2 against elite teams in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. Both those contests went right down to the wire with Phoenix beating the Bucks on Monday 128-127 in overtime and then yesterday’s 116-113 victory over the 76ers. NBA betting history over the past 25 seasons has proven that teams like Phoenix in this identical situation haven’t fared well straight up let alone laying points in away games. Since the 2012-2013 NBA season began, road teams playing with no rest that are coming off road wins by 5 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in those road teams going 0-12 straight up. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-18-21 | Wolves v. Clippers -10 | Top | 105-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Minnesota @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Clippers -10.0 (10*) Minnesota is coming off a 119-111 home win over Miami. The Timberwolves have gone 0-13 straight up and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games this season following a straight up win. Furthermore, they were an underdog of 5.0 or greater in 7 of those 13 contests and went 0-7 ATS while losing by an average of 18.6 points per game. Minnesota is also 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games versus the Clippers and lost by 15.4 points per contest. The Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games as a favorite and had an average victory margin of 17.6 points per contest. The Clippers are also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS this season as a conference home favorite of 8.5 or more with a winning margin of 16.5 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Golden State @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -4.5 (10*) Golden State has been reinvigorated since Stephen Curry returned from injury. The Warriors are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. However, hold the phone because 3 of those victories have come over Houston, Oklahoma City, and Cleveland. Those 3 teams have a combined season record of 54-113 (.323). Additionally, Oklahoma City is currently on a 9-game losing streak and Houston has gone an abysmal 4-31 over its last 35 contests. Boston is starting to like the team I thought they would be heading into this season. They have won 5 straight and covered each of their last 4 with 3 of those coming on the road. The Celtics are also 4-0 ATS iun their previous 4 as a home favorite of 3.5 or greater and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-15-21 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 230 | Top | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 230.0 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off yesterday’s 130-105 road win over Minnesota. The Bucks have played 8-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 225.0 to 230 and they scored 125 points or more in their previous game. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 241.1 points scored per game. Additionally, teams playing Atlanta with no rest this season have played 8-1 to the over and that includes 8-0 in the previous 8 with a combined 240.6 points scored per game. Atlanta has gone under in each of their previous 2 games. However, they have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 following back-to-back unders and there was 232.7 points scored per contest. The Hawks have also played 5-0 to the over this season at home when there’s been a total of 233.0 or less and their current opponent scored 120 points or more in their previous game. Those 5 home games produced a combined 238.6 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-13-21 | Heat v. Suns -3 | Top | 86-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Miami @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Phoenix -3.0 (10*) Phoenix is coming off an 126-120 home win over Houston last night despite sleep walking through the 2nd half but failed to cover as a large 13.0-point favorite. Phoenix led that contest 81-58 at halftime and then were outscored the rest of the way by a 62-45 margin by arguably the league’s worst team. The Suns coaching staff was none too pleased with their 2nd half effort and especially so defensively. I look for Phoenix to come back with a strong response tonight that has won 6 of its last 7 and includes going 3-0 during their previous 3 away games. The good news for Phoenix heading into tonight’s game is they’ve gone 11-0 SU&ATS following an ATS loss and won by an average of 16.4 points per contest. The Suns have also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home this season when playing with no rest with an average margin of victory coming by 12.6 points per contest. Conversely, home teams with a win percentage of .600 or better and are playing with no rest versus Miami are 3-0 straight up this season with an average winning margin of 9.4 points per game. Lastly, Phoenix has won their previous 8 home games and that’s significant considering the small number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Phoenix minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs +3 | Top | 135-115 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Toronto @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (10*) Toronto has gone an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 away games and lost by an average of 12.9 points per contest. The Raptors are coming off Thursday’s 122-113 home loss to Chicago. Conversely, Cleveland is coming off back-to-back road wins by 24 and 27-point margins. These teams have met just once this season and Cleveland walked away with a 116-105 home win. Any NBA home team that’s coming off back-to-back road wins by 20 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 9 points or greater, resulted in those home teams going 46-1 straight up since the 1997-1998 season began. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: LA Clippers -6.0 (10*) This seems to be a relatively high number when considering Phoenix leads the Clippers by 3.0 games in the Pacific Division standings. Nonetheless, this is where thinking like an oddsmaker will serve us well. The sportsbooks are inviting you to jump on the sizable road underdog with a superb season record of 36-14 (.720). When something looks to good to be true when it comes to sports betting it can be construed as a sucker bet on most occasions. Now let’s examine this specific NBA betting situation. Phoenix is coming off last night’s overtime home win over current Western Conference #1 seed Utah and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. The Suns had to expend a ton of emotional and physical energy to attain that huge victory. Not only will Phoenix being playing with no rest tonight, it’s also going to be their 3rd game in 4 days. Additionally, the Suns will be facing a rested Clippers team which also possesses an impressive 34-18 record, and they’re coming off a pair of double-digit home wins in their previous 2 games played. Any NBA home favorite of 10.5 or less (Clippers) that’s playing with 1 or more days of rest and is coming off a home favorite ATS win where they covered by 7.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Suns) playing with no rest and coming off a home underdog straight up win by 15 points or fewer, and they (Suns) have a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since the 1997-1998 season began. The average point-spread for those 12 favorites was -7.8 and their winning margin came by 16.8 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns +2.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Utah @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (10*) This will be chance to make a statement for Phoenix versus a Utah team that currently has the best record in the Western Conference. Nonetheless, the Suns aren’t too shabby themselves when considering they’ve gone 27-6 straight up and 23-10 ATS over their previous 33 games. Phoenix will also enter tonight’s contest winners of 6 straight games. Dating back to last season, the Suns have gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS as an underdog following a straight up win. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, home teams that have won 6 or more games in a row have gone 753-230 (85.3%) straight up. Bet on Phoenix plays the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -125 v. Celtics | Top | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Boston 7:35 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Philadelphia -125 (10*) Philadelphia is coming off an 116-100 home loss to Memphis in a game they were a 3.5-point favorite. Boston is coming off a 116-86 home win over Charlotte. That win improved the Celtics season record to 25-25 (.500). Additionally, the Celtics are just 2-6 straight up at home this season following a win by 15 points or more. Since the 2015-2016 NBA season began, any favorite (Philadelphia) who is coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more and is facing an opponent coming off a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, and they (Boston) have a win percentage of .600 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 26-0 straight up. Bet on Philadelphia for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Baylor vs. Gonzaga 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (10*) College Basketball fans have been waiting for this matchup to take place all season and appropriately it occurs in the National Championship game. I cashed in easily with Baylor as a 10* Top Play on Saturday in their blowout win over Houston. I really like this Bears team, but Gonzaga can beat you in a vast assortment of ways. The Bulldogs are coming off their thrilling overtime win against a game and resilient UCLA team. It was the first time in 28 games that Gonzaga had not won a game by 10 points or more. The Bulldogs will be inspired by seeking their first ever national championship and after coming up short in the title game versus North Carolina in 2017. Additionally, Gonzaga will look to be the first team to finish undefeated and win a national championship since Indiana accomplished the feat in 1976. The Bulldogs had their scare against UCLA and now they’ll get back to their dominant self tonight. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Houston vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Baylor -5.0 (10*) Houston is the first team in NCAA Tournament history that has won 4 straight games against double-digit seeds. However, they were lucky to escape with a 3-point win over Rutgers and nearly squandered a 17-point halftime lead before winning by 6 versus #12 seed Oregon State in their previous game. On both occasions they failed to cover. Conversely, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with wins coming over the likes of #8 seed Wisconsin, #5 seed Villanova, and #3 seed Arkansas and the average margin of victory was 11.0 points per game. They covered each of those 3 contests as a favorite and averaged just 6.2 turnovers committed per game. Furthermore, Baylor is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting at 41.1% and #3 in offensive efficiency by scoring 123.0 points per every 100 possessions this season. Not only has the top seeded Bears had a tougher slate than Houston during the “Big Dance”, they also played in a significantly stronger Big 12 Conference than the American Athletic where Houston competes. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
New York @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New York -3.5 (10*) New York is coming off a 98-88 home loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 24-23 (.511). The Knicks have gone 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite following straight up loss. Their average line in those 8 contests was -3.6 and they won straight up by an average of 12.5 points per game. Conversely Minnesota enters today with a dismal 11-36 (.234) season record. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.0-points (New York) that’s playing after Game 11 of their season and is coming off a home SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 3.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Minnesota) with a win percentage of .244 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 29-1 (96.7%) since the 2005-2006 season began. Bet on New York minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -6.5 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
UCLA vs. Michigan 9:55 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Michigan -6.5 (10*) #1 seed Michigan (23-4/.852) takes on #11 seed UCLA (21-9/.700) in Tuesday’s NCAA Tournament East Regional Final. The Wolverines are coming off a 76-58 win over Florida State while covering with ease as a 2.0-point favorite. UCLA is coming off an overtime win over Alabama and did so as a 6.0-point underdog. Since the 1990 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed that’s a favorite of 10.0 or less who possesses a win percentage of .851 to .944, and is playing after Round 1, and they covered their previous game by 4.5-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .771 or less and they are coming off an upset win, resulted in those top seeds going 12-0 ATS. The average line in those 12 contests was 8.8 and those #1 seeds won by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Arkansas vs. Baylor 9:57 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Baylor -7.5 (10*) Baylor is coming off a 62-51 win over Villanova and covered as a 7.5-point favorite. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Baylor has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 55 points or fewer and they outscored their opponents by an average of 16.1 points per game. Furthermore, Arkansas averages a robust 65 field goal attempts per game this season which translates to playing at a lightning-fast tempo. However, Baylor is 9-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons versus opponents averaging 62 or more field goal attempts per game and outscored those team by a decisive margin of 20.0 points per contest. Simply put, attempting to play up tempo basketball plays right into the Bears hands. Arkansas barely escaped with a 72-70 win over #15 seed Oral Roberts in their previous game while failing to cover as an 11.0-point favorite. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 9.0 or less that’s playing after Round 1, and they’re coming off an ATS cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Arkansas) coming off game in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and that opponent has a win percentage of .687 or better, resulted in those favorites going 7-0 ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests was 17.7 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
UCLA @ Alabama 7:15 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Alabama -6.5 (10*) History isn’t on the side of UCLA in this contest. Since the NCAA Tournament Play-In Round was established in 2015, no team has advanced from that round to a Regional Final. As a matter of fact, the only other team to even reach the Sweet 16 was Syracuse in 2018. The Bruins have been beneficiaries of a favorable draw in their NCAA Tournament wins while defeating #11 seed Michigan State, #6 seed BYU, and #14 seed Abilene Christian. They will be facing a whole other level of competition on Sunday when they square off against #2 seed Alabama. Alabama enters this Sweet 16 contest having won their last 8 and 22 of its previous 25 games. The Crimson Tide had a combined +37 rebounding advantage in the first 2 rounds versus Iona and Maryland. Alabama has the lethal combination of being a good 3-point shooting team and they defend the 3-point line extremely well (28.9%). The Crimson Tide has allowed their last 5 opponents to average a mere 11 free throw attempts per game. Alabama enters this contest with a season record of 26-6 (.813). The Crimson Tide is coming off an impressive 96-77 win over Maryland in a game they easily covered as a 6.0-point favorite. They will be facing a UCLA team with a season record of 20-9 (.690). The combination of this data sets up an NCAA Tournament betting angle which has remained perfect since 2002 and is shown below. Any Sweet 16 favorite of 3.5 or more that’s a #2 seed (Alabama), and they possess a win percentage of .806 to .870, and they’re coming off an ATS win as a favorite in which they scored 68 points or greater, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of .685 or better, resulted in those #2 seeds going 12-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by 13.5 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -7 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Villanova vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Baylor -7.0 (10*) Villanova entered the NCAA Tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games. That funk coincided with them losing senior starting point guard Conor Gillaspie to a season ending knee injury during a 73-61 loss at Butler on 2/28. The Wildcats also had favorable matchups in the first 2 rounds against #12 seed Winthrop and #13 seed North Texas. Villanova will be facing a much different animal on Saturday in #1 seed Baylor (24-2). The Bears began the season 18-0 before COVID protocols shut them down for 23 days. When returning they were unimpressive in their first 2 games before gradually returning to form. Anything short of a national championship with this loaded roster would be considered a failure in Waco. This team seems to be more than capable of living up to those expectations and Saturday will be a statement game for them in that regard. Since the 1993 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed playing in a “Sweet 16” game that’s favorite of 3.5 to 9.5, coming off a favorite ATS cover, and they’re facing a #5 seed or higher with a win percentage of .687 or better, and that underdog is coming off ATS covers in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those #1 seeds going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was by a decisive 14.9 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-26-21 | Heat v. Hornets +1 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Miami @ Charlotte 8:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Charlotte +1.0 (10*) The Miami Heat have gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 and that includes their previous 4 being at home. That has dropped their season record to a disappointing 22-23 (.489) and especially so when considering they made it to the NBA Finals last season. The Charlotte Hornets have won 7 of their last 8 including its previous 4 on their home floor. Furthermore, Charlotte is coming off road wins of 100-97 at San Antonio and 122-97 over Houston during their previous 2 contests. The Hornets enter today with a somewhat respectable 22-21 (.511) record. Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .511 or better that’s playing after Game 14 of the season, and they’re coming off back-to-back road wins while scoring 121 points or more during its previous contest, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .492 or worse and they’re coming off 5 consecutive losses, resulted in those teams going 24-0 straight up since the start of the 2001-2002 season. Considering the current point-spread, this NBA straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-24-21 | Hawks v. Kings UNDER 231 | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Under 231.0 (10*) Atlanta is coming off a hugely disappointing 119-110 road loss to the Clippers in a game they held a 22-point 2nd half lead. That defeat dropped their season record to 22-21 (.512). Prior to that loss, the Hawks had allowed 107 points or fewer in 5 consecutive games. Sacramento is coming off a 119-105 road win at Cleveland on Wednesday. The Kings have gone under the total in 6 of their last 7. The Kings have gone under in their previous 4 contests following a game in which they scored 116 points or more. Any NBA home team with a total of 230.0 or greater that’s coming off a win in which they scored 116 points or more, versus an opponent (Atlanta) with a win percentage of .333 to .647, resulted in those home teams playing 17-0 to the under since 1992. Those 17 contests produced only a combined 206.9 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 77-96 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Maryland vs. Alabama 8:45 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Alabama -5.5 (10*) Alabama is coming off a 68-55 win over Iona on Saturday but failed to cover as a 16.5-point favorite. Maryland was a 63-54 winner on Saturday over Connecticut and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. This sets up an NCAA Tournament against-the-spread betting angle that has remained unbeaten since 1990 and is displayed below. Any NCAA Tournament 2nd Round favorite of 15.0-points (Alabama) or less that’s coming off a double-digit win but failed to cover as a favorite of 15.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Maryland) off a straight up underdog win by 5-points or more, resulted in those favorites going 18-0 ATS since 1990. Those 15 favorites won by a decisive margin of 17.9 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Baylor -6 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs. Baylor 2:40 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Baylor -6.0 (10*) #1 seed Baylor is coming off an 85-62 win over Hartford in Round 1. That win improved their season record to 23-2 (.920). Wisconsin is coming off an 85-62 Round 1 blowout win over North Carolina in a game they closed as a 2.0-point underdog. The Badgers enter this Round 2 matchup with a modest 15-9 (.600) season record. This data leads to a terrific NCAA Tournament betting angle which is displayed below. Any NCAA Tourney #1 or #2 seed with a win percentage of .920 or less that’s playing in a 2nd round game, and they’re a favorite of 6.0 or greater, versus an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win by 12 points or more in the first round, and they have a win percentage of .812 or less, resulted in those top 2 seeds going 16-1 ATS (94.2%) since 1990. They outscored those 17 lower seeds by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. |
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03-20-21 | Missouri -105 v. Oklahoma | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. Missouri 7:25 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Missouri -105 (money line) (10*) Both teams have struggled down the final stretch of regular season and conference tournament action. Something must give in that regard and I am extremely confident that Missouri is the lesser of 2 evils in this matchup. Oklahoma has gone 2-5 straight up in their last 7 games and failed to cover any of those contests. Furthermore, their only 2 wins during that stretch came over an Iowa State team which finished the season with an abysmal 2-22 record and that includes 0-18 in Big 12 action. Missouri was eliminated in the SEC Tournament by way of a 6-point loss to #9 Arkansas. However, the Tigers are 3-0 in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Missouri for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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03-18-21 | Drake -105 v. Wichita State | Top | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
Drake vs. Wichita State 6:40 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Drake -105 (Money Line) (10*) Wichita State was less than impressive during their conference tournament. They barely survived in quarterfinal round with a 1.0-point win over South Florida as an 11.5-point favorite. The following day they were upset by Cincinnati as a 5.5-point chalk. The Bearcats then preceded to get blown out 91-54 by Houston in the American Athletic Association Finals. Drake (25-4) is coming off a 75-65 loss to #17 Loyola-Chicago in the semifinals of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. The Bulldogs are 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss in their previous contest. They also defeated Loyola earlier this season. Bet on Drake for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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03-16-21 | Pelicans v. Blazers -121 | Top | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Portland -121 (Money Line) (10*) New Orleans is coming off a home underdog 135-115 win over the Clippers in their previous game. Conversely, Portland is coming off a 2-point road loss to a Minnesota team who entered that contest with a dismal 8-30 record. The Pelicans should be the pick correct? Not so fast my fellow NBA bettors. The Pelicans are 1-5 straight up in their last 6 road games. Portland is 6-2 straight up in their previous 8 at home. The Trailblazers also welcome C.J. McCollum (26.7 PPG/5.0 APG) after a 2-month absence while recovering from a broken foot. Couple that with fellow guard Damien Lillard averaging 34.3 points scored per game over the last 4 contests, and Portland becomes a whole different animal to go up against. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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03-14-21 | Heat -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 102-97 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Miami @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Miami -7.5 (10*) This Orlando team has scored fewer than 100 points in 15 of their 38 games this season. That’s not good news for Magic backers since Miami has allowed 94 points or less in each of its previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, the Heat have won 9 of their last 10 games and allowed fewer than 100 points on 6 of those occasions. When Orlando scored less than 100 as an underdog, they have gone an abysmal 0-11 ATS this season and lost by a mammoth 24.8 points per game. Orlando scored 77 points in their previous game which resulted in a loss at San Antonio. Since the start of last season, Orlando is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog following a game in which they scored less than 100 points. The Magic lost those 7 contests by 17.8 points per game. There’s a good chance that Orlando will be without 5 of their 6 top scorers today for a variety of reasons. Thus, the reason for the sizable number the road favorite will be asked to cover. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-13-21 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State -4 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Georgia Tech vs. Florida State 8:30 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Florida State -4.0 (10*) Florida State will have plenty of motivation after squandering a chance to with the ACC regular season title by being upset at Notre Dame in their final game. The Seminoles will also be out to avenge a 76-65 loss at Georgia Tech the last times these teams squared off. Florida State won their only ACC Conference Tournament championship in 2012. They will be facing a Georgia Tech team on a 7-game win streak. However, the Yellowjackets only need to win 1 game to reach the ACC Finals after Virginia needed to bow out in their scheduled semifinal game due to COVID protocols. This is a textbook case of one team just being happy to be here (Georgia Tech) versus an opponent (Florida) which is very hungry to receive top billing. Bet on Florida State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-12-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Missouri vs. Arkansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Arkansas -5.0 (10*) Missouri got off to a fast 13-3 start to the season and were ranked in the Top 25 for several weeks. However, since that time the Tigers lost 5 of its next 8 games leading up to today. The Tigers narrowly escaped in a 3-point win over Georgia yesterday. Missouri has gone 0-6 SU&ATS the over the past 2 seasons following a win by 3 points or fewer. Arkansas comes into this SEC Tournament quarterfinal matchup on a red-hot 8 games winning streak. The Razorbacks are also an extremely profitable 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite of 9.5 or less and they won by 15.3 points per game. Bet on Arkansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-11-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Phoenix -4.5 (10*) Both teams entered the all-star break on a high note with Portland winning 3 straight games and Phoenix 4 in a row. However, the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season as a road favorite and won by a decisive margin of 19.2 points per game. Furthermore, Phoenix is coming off an 120-102 win over Golden State as a 13.0-point chalk in their previous game. Since the start of last season, Phoenix has gone 12-0 ATS on the road following a win by 10 points or more, and they outscored those 12 opponents by an average of 10.1 points per game. Additionally, the last time these teams met was on 2/22 and Phoenix came away with a lopsided 132-100 win. Any NBA road favorite that’s coming off an ATS cover as a double-digit favorite, and they’re facing an opponent playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 30 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 29-7 ATS (80.6%) since 1996. Those 36 road favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 13.7 points per game. Bet on Phoenix minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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03-10-21 | Duke -2 v. Louisville | Top | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Duke vs. Louisville 6:30 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Duke -2.0 (10*) If there was ever a trap play in this year’s conference tournament action, then this is it. Louisville is the higher seed with a better record and beat Duke twice already this season. Yet, they find themselves as the current underdog in this matchup. Taking the underdog would seem logical right? Not so fast my fellow sports bettors. It’s rarely ever that simple or easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true, then more times than not it is. Throughout their previous 10 games Duke has averaged 78.9 points scored per contest and shot 49.5% from the field. Conversely, Louisville shot a combined 39.3% during their previous 5 games played. This extremely young Blue Devils team makes a statement in this one. Bet on Duke for a 5* wager. |
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03-07-21 | Wisconsin v. Iowa -6.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 12:30 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Iowa -6.5 (10*) #25 Wisconsin is 4-7 in their last 11 and that includes losing 4 of its previous 5 contests. Conversely, #5 Iowa has won 6 of its last 7 and covered in 5 of those contests. The lone blemish during that stretch was a loss at #2 Michigan. So clearly these are teams headed down opposite paths with one being a serious contender for a national title and the other a textbook pretender. These teams met in Madison earlier this season and Iowa walked away with a convincing 77-62 win. The Hawkeyes are averaging a robust 80.4 points per game in Big 10 action while Wisconsin has scored fewer than 70 during each of their previous 7 outings. Furthermore, Iowa has held 4 of their last 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-06-21 | Duke v. North Carolina OVER 149.5 | Top | 73-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Duke @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Over 149.5 (10*) Duke has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and 10-1 to the over during their previous 11 games. The Blue Devils have averaged 77.0 points scored per contest and shot a superb 49.3% throughout their previous 5 contests. Duke will be facing a North Carolina team that loves to play up tempo basketball and averages a lofty 62 field goal attempts per game this season. That’s significant since Duke has played 6-0 to the over this season when facing teams that average 62 or more field goal attempts per game, and there was a combined average of 162.7 points scored per contest. According to Ken Pomeroy, North Carolina plays an extremely fast pace when facing fellow ACC teams. The Tar Heels have averaged a robust 71.0 offensive possessions per 40 minutes of play this season. They will be facing a Duke team that is 14th nationally in offensive efficiency. The Blue Devils have averaged 115.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. Those types of analytics from team facing each other more times than not turn into a high scoring contest. Speaking of facing each other. The last 3 times these teams have met, each of those contests went over the total. The average combined score in those 3 games was 179.0. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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03-05-21 | Ball State v. Toledo OVER 154 | Top | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Ball State @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Over 154.0 (5*) The pace in this game should be conducive to a high scoring affair. Each team has seen their last 5 games average a combined total of 126 field goal attempts per contest which is high by college basketball standards. Additionally, both teams have recently been excellent from the free throw line with Ball State 84.9% of their attempts and Toledo 83.5%. Ball State has witnessed each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there was an enormous 170.3 points scored per contest. During that stretch, the Cardinals averaged 91.5 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 52.4%. They have also been deadly from beyond the 3-point line of late. Throughout their last 5 games, Ball State has converted on 39% of its 3-point shot attempts and averaged 10 makes per contest. Toledo is ranked 13th out of 357 Division 1 teams in offensive efficiency. The Rockets have averaged 115.7 points scored per 100 offensive possession this season. They also rank #1 in that category when facing conference opponent while scoring 118.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. Toledo has played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 games when there was a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and there was 165.3 points scored per contest. Lastly, the Rockets have averaged 83.6 points scored, shot 47.4%, made 39.2% of their 3-point attempts through their previous 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Creighton v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Creighton @ Villanova 8:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Villanova -4.5 (10*) Villanova has a couple of things to atone for in this game and I am confident they will be more than up to the challenge. First, they’ll look to avenge an 86-70 loss at Creighton earlier this season. By the way, since the start of the 2014-2015 season, Villanova has gone a stellar 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Secondly, the #10 Wildcats will look to bounce back from an embarrassing 73-61 upset loss as a 12.5-point road favorite versus Butler in their previous game. However, Villanova is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite of 11.5 or less and won by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. The Wildcats allowed Butler to shoot 50% in their previous game. Additionally, Villanova is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better and they won by 18.3 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-02-21 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Phoenix +1.5 (10*) This line raised my eyebrows as soon as I laid eyes on it. We have the defending world champion Lakers at home as an extremely short favorite against an opponent that didn’t even make the playoffs a season ago. However, don’t be misled. Dating back to last season, Phoenix has gone 30-11 SU&ATS (73.2%) in their last 41 games and that includes 10-4 SU&ATS during their previous 14 on the road. Furthermore, the Suns are an impressive 14-3 SU&ATS in their last 17 outings and 6-1 SU&ATS during its previous 7 road games. Bet on the Suns for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-01-21 | Nuggets v. Bulls +5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Denver @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Chicago +5.0 (10*) There were lofty expectations for the Denver Nuggets this season after advancing to the 2019-2020 NBA Western Conference Finals. However, they’re off to a rather uninspiring 18-15 start to the season. The Nuggets are also a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 road games. Nonetheless, 1 of those 2 road wins occurred in their previous game during a 126-96 blowout of Oklahoma City. Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games following a win. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Denver is a dismal 4-16 ATS immediately following a road win by 15 points or more and were outscored by an average of 8.8 points per contest. I love the compete level and improvement the Bulls have shown under newly hired head coach Billy Donovan. Chicago is 5-2 straight up in their last 7 games. During their previous 4 games Chicago is averaging a robust 118.0 points scored per contest and shot a scalding hot 52.6%. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Iowa @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Ohio State -3.0 (10*) #4 Ohio State will be in a sour mood today after coming off back-to-back losses for the first time this season. The Buckeyes have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 4.0 to 17.0 points and with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. Ohio State is also 12-2 ATS since the start of the 2017-2018 season under current head coach Chris Holtmann as a conference home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Iowa and won by an average of 14.0 points per contest. Ohio State won 89-85 at Iowa earlier this season despite Iowa going 14-32 (43.7%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-21 | Baylor v. Kansas +3.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Baylor @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Kansas +3.5 (10*) Baylor (18-0) is a terrific team so let’s get that out of the way. However, it’s going to be extremely difficult for them to remain unbeaten going into the NCAA Tournament while playing in an extremely strong conference like the Big 12. The #2 ranked Bears are coming off a flat performance in a 5-point home win over a 2-17 Iowa State team. They closed as a massive 24.0-point favorite in that contest. For starters, Kansas has gone a terrific 47-2 in their last 50 home games. That includes 11-1 this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Texas. Since that Texas loss, Kansas has won 6 straight at home and covered on each of their last 4. The Jayhawks have improved dramatically on the defensive end as the season has progressed. As a matter of fact, over their previous 6 contests Kansas allowed 59.8 points per game and held opponents to a combined 35.4% shooting. The Jayhawks won 5 of those contests and their only defeat came in overtime at Texas. Furthermore, Kansas is 15-1 in their last 16 at home versus Baylor. Their only home loss to the Bears came last season. That should provide extra motivation and emotion for a program which prides itself on defending their home court. Bet on Kansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Washington -4.0 (10*) These 2 teams are clearly headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and lost by 9.5 points per contest. Conversely, Washington is an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS during their previous 7 and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS at home with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Washington has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 outings while averaging 120.6 points scored per game, shooting 50.3% from the field, and converted on 37.7% of its 3-point attempts. That’s not good news for a Minnesota team which has allowed 119.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.2% from the floor in addition to making 40.4% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-26-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Heat | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Utah @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Utah -6.5 (10*) Miami is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable home underdog tonight and for good reason. They will be facing a Utah team which has gone 18-0 ATS in their last 18 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. The Jazz are also 22-2 straight up and 21-3 ATS during their previous 24 games. Additionally, Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite and allowed a mere 97.3 points per game while holding opponents to an ice cold 39.4% shooting. The Jazz have averaged 121.2 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 41.9% from 3-point territory over their previous 5 games. Throughout that identical time span, Utah also averaged making an incredible 19 three-point shots per game. This more about me betting on Utah a lot more than wagering against Miami. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-22-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Oklahoma State +3.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off back-to-back losses to West Virginia and Kansas. The #15 Red Raiders have now gone just 3-4 straight up in their last 7 games played. Texas Tech will be playing with revenge from an 82-77 home defeat to Oklahoma State on 1/2/21. However, I don’t think revenge will be a determining factor in this one. Oklahoma State has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games. Additionally, 3 of those victories came over nationally ranked teams in Kansas, Arkansas, and Texas. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a home underdog versus a visiting team that isn’t performing like a Top 25 team right now. During their previous 5 games, Oklahoma State has held its opponents to a mere 36.9% shooting and that includes 24.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-21 | Kings v. Bulls +2 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Chicago 9:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Chicago +2.0 (10*) Sacramento limps into tonight’s contest having gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games. During that futile stretch, the Kings allowed 124.0 points per game while their opponents shot a scalding hot 52.2% and converted on an alarmingly high 46.2% of its 3-point attempts. Chicago is coming off a 112-105 loss at Philadelphia last night. The Bulls have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Chicago plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-21 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -7 | Top | 66-56 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 6:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Ole Miss -7.0 (10*) Ole Miss has played themselves into NCAA Tournament consideration by going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Included in this current successful run was home wins over #20 Missouri by 21 and versus #19 Tennessee. The Rebels have also averaged 82.3 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.2% during their previous 3 contests. On the other side of the table is Mississippi State who has gone a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 games and is coming off an embarrassing 72-51 home loss to Vanderbilt. These are 2 teams that are clearly headed on opposite paths. Bet on Ole Miss minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-15-21 | 76ers v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 123-134 | Win | 101 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Utah -7.5 (10*) Dating back to last season, Philadelphia is an abysmal 2-15 ATS as an away underdog of 12.0 or less, and 0-5 ATS if the number is 5.5 to 12.0 (-14.0 PPG). The 76ers have scored 111 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. Philadelphia is 0-4 SU&ATS this season after scoring 100 points or more in 3 consecutive games and they lost by a sizable margin of 13.3 points per contest. Utah has gone an incredible 15-0 SU&ATS in their last 15 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less and they won by 14.7 points per contest. If it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-15-21 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 142.5 | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Washington @ Washington State 8:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Over 142.5 (10*) Washington has played 6-0 to the over in true road games this season. Those 6 contests had an average total of 140.0 and there was a combined 161.7 points scored per contest. Washington State has gone over the total in each of their previous 4 contests and did so by an average of 9.5 points per game. These teams met earlier this season and Washington State came away with a 77-62 road win. That contest barely went under the closing total of 140.0. However, both teams were terrible at the free throw line in that contest. They both combined to go just 27-45 (60%) from the charity stripe. That many free throw attempts will likely occur again this evening. But it’s highly probable these teams will convert at a much better percentage than they did in their earlier season matchup. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-14-21 | Colgate v. Army OVER 150.5 | Top | 92-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Colgate @ Army 6:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Over 150.5 (10*) This will be the 4th meeting of the season between these Patriot League rivals. The first 3 all went over the total and there was a combined 154.7 points scored per game. The last of those meeting took place on Saturday and Colgate walked away with an 84-74 win and that contest sailed over the total of 147.0. The pace of that game was quite brisk as the teams combined for 125 field goal attempts. Colgate is 8-1 in conference play while scoring 86.2 points per game and has outscored those 9 opponents by an average of 20.1 points per game. Since the start of last season, Army has played 8-1 to the over when facing teams who are outscoring their opponents by 4.0 or more points per game. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 155.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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02-12-21 | Detroit v. Cleveland State OVER 138 | Top | 89-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Detroit @ Cleveland State 9:00 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Over 138.0 (10*) Cleveland State has seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. The average total in those contests was 137.6 and there was a combined 150.2 point scored per game. Detroit has been red-hot offensively during their previous 5 while averaging 80.4 points scored per game, shooting 51.8% from the field, and making a superb 43.0% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-11-21 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Wagner OVER 142 | Top | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
Farleigh-Dickinson @ Wagner 5:00 ET Game# 31-32 Play On: Over 142.0 (10*) Wagner has seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. The average combined score in those 5 contests was 154.0 points per game. It’s worth noting, FDU has witnessed their last 5 contests having a total of 150.5 or greater. During their previous 5 games, FDU has scored a robust 82.6 points per contest and shot an impressive 48% from the field. Both teams are physical and there will most likely be many free throw attempts in today’s game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-08-21 | Cavs v. Suns UNDER 215.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Phoenix 9:05 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Under 215.5 (10*) Cleveland has seen 7 of their last 8 away games go under the total and there was a combined average of 198.2 points scored per game. This will be the 13th time this season that Cleveland will be playing 6 or more games in 10 days. During the previous 12, the Cavaliers averaged just 94.9 points scored per game. The Suns have seen each of their last 4 at home go under the total and there was a combined average of only 199.5 points scored per game. During those previously mentioned 4 contest at home, Phenix held their opponents to a mere 94.5 points scored per game and 38.9% shooting. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-06-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Illinois 2:30 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Illinois -3.5 (10*) This will be a statement game for #12 Illinois against a #19 ranked conference opponent in Wisconsin. The Illini are much better than even their 12-5 overall record indicates. According to the highly respected Kenpom rankings that accounts for offensive and defensive efficiency in addition to strength of schedule, Illinois ranks #5 nationally. They also have Illinois as having faced the 4th most difficult schedule of all the 347 Division 1 teams. Illinois is coming off a 75-71 overtime win at Indiana in their previous game which extended their unbeaten streak to a modest 3-games. Conversely, Wisconsin has gone a mediocre 4-3 in their last 7 games which includes a pair of losses on their usually extremely strong home court. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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02-04-21 | Minnesota v. Rutgers -5.5 | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Rutgers 9:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Rutgers -5.5 (10*) Minnesota has been exceptionally good at home this season having beaten 4 Top 25 teams along the way. However, on the road has been a whole different story for the Golden Gophers. They have gone 0-5 SU&ATS in true road games and lost by a substantial average of 19.6 points per contest. Throughout their previous 5 games overall, Minnesota has been inept offensively while averaging just 62.8 points scored per contest and shooting an awful 36.8% from the floor. During that identical stretch, they were also at a terrible -8 rebound per game differential while going 1-4 SU&ATS. Rutgers spent the early part of this season ranked in the Top 25. They then went through a rough patch and found themselves on the outside looking in. Nevertheless, they have bounced back to go 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. After going an outstanding 15-1 at home a season ago, Rutgers has lost 3 home games this season. It must be noted, those 3 losses came at the hands of #19 Wisconsin, #7 Ohio State, and #8 Iowa. I look for a huge effort for the Scarlet Knights that will result in a comfortable win and cover. Bet on Rutgers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-02-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pacers | Top | 116-134 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
Memphis @ Indiana 8:05 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Memphis +4.5 (10*) Memphis comes into today’s game red-hot having gone 7-0 SU&ATS over its last 7 contests and they were an underdog on 5 of those occasions. Furthermore, the Grizzlies are 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 road games and 4 of those wins came as an underdog. Conversely, Indiana is just 3-5 straight up and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. The Pacers are also a dismal 2-4 straight up and 1-5 ATS in their previous 6 at home. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-01-21 | Lakers v. Hawks +6 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
Lakers @ Hawks 7:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Hawks +6.0 (10*) The Lakers will be playing the finale of a 7-game in 12-day road trip. They have shown signs of fatigue during their previous 2 while scoring just 92 and 96 points. They will be playing an Atlanta team which will enter today’s game with 2 days of rest. The Hawks are 5-2 straight up and 6-1 ATS throughout their previous 7 contests. Atlanta is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS during its last 5 games at home. Their only straight up loss in that sequence came by 4 points in overtime versus Brooklyn, but they still managed to cover as a 3.0-point home underdog. Bet on the Hawks plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-29-21 | Boise State -2.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Boise State @ Colorado State 11:00 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: Boise State -2.5 (10*) These teams met on Wednesday night and Colorado state walked away with a convincing 78-56 win. Yet here we are 2 days later, and Boise State is a short favorite despite that blowout loss. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the home underdog in this spot. Nonetheless, I am not being lured in and bet against not only the oddsmakers but public perception. That previously mentioned Boise State loss ended a 12-game Broncos winning streak. It was also just a 2nd time in 14 games that Boise had scored less than 70 points. Since the start of the 2018-2019 college basketball season, Boise State is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS following a game in which they scored 70 or fewer, and they outscored those 9 opponents by an average of 11.8 points per contest. Bet on Boise State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-23-21 | UCLA v. Stanford OVER 138.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
UCLA @ Stanford 5:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Over 138.5 (10*) Stanford has seen their last 5 games all go over the total and there was a combined average of 147.6 points scored per contest. The Cardinal have also seen all 3 conference home games go over with a combined average of 151.3 points scored per game. During those contests Stanford averaged 81.3 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 51.1% from the field. UCLA has witnessed 4 of their last 5 going over the total and there was a combined average of 148.0 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Bruins averaged 79.0 points scored per contest while converting on an extremely impressive 45.1% of their 3-point shots and 77.7% of its free throws. UCLA and Stanford have seen 8 of their last 9 games played against one another go over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-21 | Utah v. Washington State +3 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Utah @ Washington State 10:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Washington State +3.0 (10*) Public perception would indicate that bettors are betting this game based on Utah being a traditional winning team and Washington State the opposite. Nevertheless, Washington State has gone 8-1 at home this season and their only loss came by 4 to Arizona in a game they covered as an 8.0-point underdog. Utah has lost 5 of their last 6 and that includes going 0-3 SU&ATS during away games. Furthermore, Utah is coming off a 72-63 home loss to California in a game they closed as a sizable 12.0-point favorite. That was a Cal team that entered that contest with a dismal 1-7 conference record. Since the start of last season, the Utes are a dismal 0-8 ATS on the road following a conference loss and were outscored by a decisive margin of 17.5 points per game. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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01-20-21 | Kings v. Clippers OVER 230 | Top | 96-115 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Kings @ Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Over 230.0 (10*) Sacramento has gone over in 7 straight games this season when there’s been a total of 235.0 or less, and there was a combined 251.1 points scored per contest. The Clippers have seen each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there were a combined 234.3 points scored per contest. These teams just met on 1/15 in Sacramento and the Clippers prevailed 138-100 and that contest easily went over the total of 228.0. During their previous 5 games Sacramento allowed 129.0 points per contest while opponents shot 50.3% and that includes an alarmingly high 44.3% from 3-point land. Throughout that same 5-game span, the Kings averaged scoring 115.0 points per game, shot a sizzling hot 49.6%, and converted on an outstanding 38.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. The Clippers have averaged 122.6 points scored per contest while shooting 51.8% and made an off the charts 49.4% of their 3-point shots throughout their previous 5 games played. On a negative note, and over that identical stretch, they also allowed their opponents to shoot 48.9% and make 40.4% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-19-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State OVER 141 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Colorado State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Over 141.0 (10*) Colorado State has been red-hot offensively over their previous 3 contests while averaging 87.0 points scored per game and shooting 53.5%. The Rams are 7-1 in Mountain West Conference play and they’re shooting a strong 48.1% during those contests in addition to a sizzling hot 41.0% from beyond the 3-point line. Conversely, Utah State is 8-0 in conference action and has averaged 78.4 points scored per contest and is making a stellar 48.1% of its field goal attempts. To borrow a boxing adage, styles make fights, and this one involves two excellent shooting teams that have shown a consistent ability to score in the high 70’s and 80’s this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-21 | Kansas v. Baylor -8.5 | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Kansas @ Baylor 9:00 PM ET Game# 879-880 Play On: Baylor -8.5 (10*) I am labeling this as the sucker game of the night. We have the #6 Kansas Jayhawks as a sizable underdog against #2 Baylor. Then there’s the reputation and brand of Kansas basketball that will surely entice public betting to side with them at this heavy a number. However, we must look inside the numbers to get a clearer picture. Kansas is coming off a 75-70 loss at unranked Oklahoma State. They were also hammered at home by 25 versus Texas. Additionally, 5 of the Jayhawks 10 wins have come by 4 points or fewer. Baylor is 12-0 and has covered in 10 of those 12 contests. They are coming off a 68-60 win at Texas Tech in a game they covered as a 4.5-point favorite. It marked the first time this season that Baylor failed to win by a double-digit margin. As a matter of fact, Baylor has outscored their 12 opponents this season by an average of 26.1 points per game. The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games which all were against Big 12 Conference opponents, and they held those teams to 56.7 points per contest and an abysmal 35.1% shooting. Baylor has also forced 20 turnovers of more in the 3 of their last 4 and 5 of its previous 7 games which speaks to their superb length and athleticism on the defensive end. Baylor has made a terrific 42.3% of its 3-point shot attempts this season. Conversely, during their previous 5 games Kansas opponents have shot a combined 39.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-21 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | Top | 45-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Utah State -1.5 (10*) Utah State began the season by losing 3 of its first 4 games. Since that time, they have reeled off 8 wins in a row and won by an enormous 29.9 points per game. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS in Mountain West Conference action. During those conference games they held opponents to 49.8 scored per contest and a miserable 32.2% shooting. The Aggies have been a favorite of 11.5 or greater all 6 of their conference wins and covers. San Diego State is coming off a 69-67 win over Nevada in a game they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. This sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle shown below. Any home team that is coming off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite of 7.0 or greater, and they are facing an opponent (San Diego State) that is coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those home teams going 34-4 (89.5%) straight up since 1997, and the home teams outscored the visitors in those 38 contests by 15.7 points per game. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Utah State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-21 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 56-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (10*) Texas A&M is a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in neutral site or away games. They were blown out in all 3 of those contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. Mississippi State has been a somewhat overlooked team thus far. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games this season as a favorite. They are also off to a 3-1 start in SEC action and made a terrific 43.6% of its 3-point shot attempts while doing so. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-21 | Wisconsin v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 54-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Michigan -3.5 (10*) Michigan is a perfect 10-0 and that includes 5-0 in Big 10 Action. They covered in 4 of those 5 conference wins and had a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, 9 of 10 wins recorded by Michigan this season have come by 10 points or more, and they shot 50% or better in 7 of those 10 games. Michigan is coming off an 84-59 home blowout win over Minnesota in their previous game. The Wolverines are 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the 2018-2019 season following a conference win by 10 points or more, and they won by a substantial average of 17.7 points per game. The #9 Wisconsin Badgers are a solid team. However, they are just 1-1 in true road games, and their loss came as a 4.5-point favorite versus an average at best Marquette team. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-21 | USC -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
USC @ Arizona State 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: USC -2.5 (10*) USC has shot the ball extremely well in their last 2 games which resulted in comfortable wins over Utah and at Arizona. The Trojans are one of the best defensive teams in the country while allowing just 62.5 points per game and limiting them to a mere 35.4% shooting from the field. There were high expectations to start the season for Arizona State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games and lost by an average of 10.7 points per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Dallas @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Under 223.5 (10*) Dallas has seen 4 of their last 5 stay under the total and there was only a combined 205.8 points scored per game. During that stretch the Nuggets allowed a mere 98.4 points per game. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They faced each other 3 times a season ago and all went under the total with a combined score of 212.7 points scored per contest. Denver is coming off a 123-116 division win over Minnesota. Dallas is coming off a 113-100 win at Houston. The combination of these two results qualifies for a very profitable NBA totals betting angle displayed below. Any NBA home team that is coming off a division win, and they are facing an opponent coming off a road win by 10 points or more, resulted in those games going 83-41 (66.9%) to the under since 1996. The average combined score in those 124 contests was 208.2 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-21 | Knicks +7 v. Hawks | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
New York @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: New York +7.0 (10*) Don’t look now but the Knicks have won 3 of their last 4 which includes 2 of 3 on this current road trip. The Knicks are beginning to take on the personality of their new head coach Tom Thibodeau who has a reputation of being a defensive guru. During the last 3 games, New York is holding their opponents to 96.0 points per game and 39.2% shooting. They are also +11.3 rebounds per game throughout that stretch. Atlanta is off to a surprisingly good 4-2 start to the season. However, they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 8 days. While the Knicks will be playing just their 2nd in 4 days. Bet on New York plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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12-31-20 | Utah v. UCLA -7 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Utah @ UCLA 7:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: UCLA -7.0 (10*) This is a veteran UCLA team that returned all 5 starters from a season ago. Their only 2 losses this season came versus #25 Ohio State 77-70 at a neutral site and at San Diego State in its season opener. The Bruins are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS on their home floor this season and won by an average of 20.5 points per game. UCLA will have a huge rebounding edge in this contest based on the fact they are +7 per game in that department while Utah is at a -6. This will be just the 2nd road game of the season for Utah. In their only other away contest, they were blown out 82-64 at BYU. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +6 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Lakers @ Spurs 8:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Spurs +6.0 (10*) The Spurs are 2-1 so far but they have covered each of those 3 contests. San Antonio will be playing on 2 days rest. The rest factor is significant since this will be the Lakers 3rd game in 4 days and 4th game in 6 days. The Lakers will be playing their first road game of the season. They opened their 2020-2021 campaign with 4 consecutive home games and came away with just a 2-2 split. Bet on the Spurs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-20 | Celtics v. Pacers | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Boston @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Indiana (Pick) (10*) The Pacers are 4-0 straight up in their last 4 at home versus Boston. That needs to be considered and especially so with this current point-spread. The Pacers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS so far this season and have won by a decisive margin of 11.3 points per game. Indiana has shot 51% or better in each of their previous 2 games. Boston is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games and have allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in all 3 of their contests this season. Any NBA home team that shot 50% or better in each of their last 2 games, and they are facing team that allowed each of their previous 2 opponents to shoot 50% or better, resulted in those home teams going 67-19 straight up since 1996. Bet on Indiana for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +7 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (10*) Both teams have looked impressive in their 2-0 starts to the season. However, Cleveland has shot the ball much better than the 76ers have. The Cavs shot 50.5% during their opening 2 wins in addition to converting on a red-hot 45% of their 3-point attempts. Philadelphia has been fabulous at home since the start of last season. However, they have been anything but good on the road during that identical time frame by going 10-24 straight up and 11-23 ATS. Since 10/28/2019, Philadelphia has gone 1-10 ATS as a road favorite of 1.5 to 8.0-points, and they are coming off a win in their previous game. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-25-20 | Nets v. Celtics +3 | Top | 123-95 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
Brooklyn @ Boston 5:00 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Boston +3.0 (10*) Brooklyn is sure to be a public betting darling in the early going with all the hype surrounding the Nets duo of Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. Additionally, that will be even more enticed after watching Brooklyn dismantle Golden State 125-99 in their home opener on Wednesday night. However, Boston was no slouch in defeating Milwaukee 122-121 in their season opener as a 4.5-point home underdog. The Celtics have been money as a small underdog. Specifically, since 4/3/2019, Boston has gone 13-4 ATS of 4.0 or less, and that improved to 9-2 ATS if they are coming off a win. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-22-20 | West Virginia +2 v. Kansas | Top | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
West Virginia @ Kansas 9:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: West Virginia +2.0 (10*) This current point-spread tells me everything I need to know. It’s extremely rare when Kansas is this short of a favorite on their home floor. The Jayhawks are 7-1 but 4 of their wins have come by a combined 9 points and none of those opponents are as good as West Virginia. These teams have something in common with both suffering their only loss of the season to #1 Gonzaga. West Virginia was defeated by the Bulldogs 87-82 while Kansas lost 102-90. Bet on West Virginia for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-21-20 | Southern Illinois +9 v. Butler | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Southern Illinois @ Butler 7:30 PM ET Game# 779-780 Play On: Southern Illinois +9.0 (10*) Butler is coming off a loss by 8 to Indiana on Saturday. This isn’t one of the vintage Butler teams we have seen in years past. That’s not to imply they are horrible by any means. However, all you need to look at is their defensive statistics that indicates opponents are shooting 49.7% against them and is making an alarmingly high 45.6% of their 3-point attempts. Butler is only making 59.7% of their free throws thus far, and that must be considered if their opponent is trying to extend a game when playing from behind. Southern Illinois hasn’t played nearly as tough a schedule to this point compared to Butler. Nevertheless, the Salukis are 5-0 while putting up some impressive offensive statistics while doing so. They have shot 49.6% including 43.6% from 3-point territory and have converted on an excellent 78.5% of their free throws. Bet on Southern Illinois plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-17-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech -3 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (10*) Kansas is # 5 in the country but in my humble opinion is getting more respect for their brand than the worthiness of their ranking for this current Jayhawks team. Yes, their only loss has come against #1 Gonzaga by 12 in their season opener. However, they also only defeated North Dakota State by 4 as a 24.0-point home favorite, beat a Kentucky team that is currently on a 4-game losing streak by just 3, and escaped with a 1-point home win over #9 Creighton. This will be the Jayhawks first true road game of the season. Texas Tech is 6-1 and their lone defeat came against #6 Houston on a neutral floor. The Red Raiders are a perfect 5-0 straight up at home and covered 4 of those contests while winning by a decisive margin of 31.4 points per game. Texas Tech is also an excellent defensive team that is allowing only 51.6 points per game and has held its opponents to a mere 35.5% shooting. Bet on Texas Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-20 | Mercer +4.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
Mercer @ Georgia State 6:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Mercer +4.5 (10*) These teams met once already this season and Mercer came away with a convincing 86-69 win as a 3.0-point home underdog. Mercer outrebounded Georgia State 51-31 while also hauling in 15 offensive rebounds. They also held the visiting Panthers to a dismal 36.8% shooting and forced an alarmingly high 19 turnovers. Mercer also owns an impressive 10 points road win over Georgia Tech in a game they were a substantial 12.0-point underdog. There’s nothing apparent to me to suggest that Georgia State will be able to turn the tables on Mercer this time around. Bet on 6-0 Mercer plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-12-20 | Utah +2 v. BYU | Top | 64-82 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
Utah @ BYU 6:00 PM ET Game# 704-705 Play On: Utah +2.0 (10*) BYU opened the season with 3 straight wins, and all were against less than stellar competition. Since that time, they went 2-2 while stepping up in class considerably. They were blown out on a neutral court by USC by 26 points. They also lost at home in their previous game played versus Boise State. Utah is an experienced team that is off to a 2-0 start. They have looked solid in those wins over Washington by 13 and Idaho State by 16. They held those 2 opponents to just 35.9% from the floor and a mere 21.2% from 3-point range. Additionally, those opponents averaged just 11 free throw attempts per game. The Utes also converted on 40% of their 3-point shots in those contests. Play on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-04-20 | Wisconsin v. Marquette +5 | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Marquette +5.0 (10*) This series has been about as even as you can get in recent years with each team winning 8 times since 2004. Marquette will be smarting after an 8-point home loss to Oklahoma State in their previous outing. Marquette has gone 45-3 straight up in their last 48 non-conference home games following a loss. Wisconsin is 3-0 but all those contests were played on their home floor and came against weak competition. There has been one common opponent for these teams and that was Eastern Illinois. Wisconsin defeated them by 10 in their season opener while Marquette won by a decisive 25-point margin. |
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11-28-20 | Idaho State v. UC-Davis UNDER 144 | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Idaho State vs. UC-Davis 4:00 PM T Game# 713-714 Play On: Under 144.0 (10*) My personal numbers that I use on this contest indicates the total should be 136.0 That’s a sizable 8.0-points below the current total which from my experiences in using these calculations is significant. Idaho State has gone under in their first 2 games and there was only a combined average of 116.0 points scored per game. They were key contributors to those low scoring affairs due to playing at snail’s pace offensively which has seen them average just 44 field goal attempts per contest. Even more compelling is they shot a horrible 34.8% while doing so and made a subpar 64.1% of their free throws. Any neutral court team (UC-Davis) with a total of (140.0 to 149.5) that had a win percentage of .400 to .490 in the previous season, versus a team that had a losing record during the season before, resulted in those games going 71-28 (71.7%) under since 1997. The average total in those 99 contests was 144.6 and there were a combined 137.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-27-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Marquette UNDER 150.5 | Top | 50-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Eastern Illinois @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Under 150.5 (10*) Although the tempo is in this game will not be anywhere near a snail’s pace, it also won’t be far from blazingly fast. When crunching my numbers, I came up with a total of 142.0 on this game which is well below the current number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager |
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11-25-20 | UCLA v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
UCLA @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: San Diego State +3.0 (10*) My preseason power ratings indicate that San Diego State should be a 4.5-point favorite in this game instead of a 3.0-point underdog. That is a huge 7.5-point overlay that favors the home underdog Aztecs. UCLA is an experienced team that returns all 5 starters and is #22 in the college basketball preseason poll. However, it is extremely difficult for opponents to win at Viejas Arena in San Diego. How difficult is it? Since the start of the 2008-2009 season, San Diego State has gone 174-24 (.879) straight up at home. That lends itself well to home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on San Diego State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | Top | 114-108 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Lakers @ Nuggets 8:20 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Under 215.0 (10*) The Lakers went over the total in their previous game. They have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 this postseason following a game which went over. The Lakers allowed Denver to shoot a sizzling hot 54% during their Game 3 loss. Los Angeles is 4-0 to the under this season when the total is 222.0 or less and their previous opponent shot 50% or better. Those 4 contests had an average total of 216.1 and there were a combined 189.0 points scored per game. Conversely, Denver is 9-0 to the under this season when the total is 219.5 or less and they shot 52% or better in their previous game. There was an average total of 212.9 in those 9 contests and a combined 199.2 points were scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play total. |
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09-22-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Lakers vs. Nuggets 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Lakers -6.5 (10*) The Nuggets are coming off a deflating buzzer beating loss in Game 2. They have also expended a lot of energy in their last 2 series coming back from 3-1 deficits on each occasion. By the way, that’s never been done in NBA Playoff history. I doubt they have much gas left in the tank going forward. Conversely, the Lakers needed only 10 games in their last 2 series to advance to this point. Lastly, Lebron James knows the value of having additional rest at this time of the season `since he possesses plenty of experience in advancing to the NBA Finals. Getting this series over sooner rather than later coincides with that thought process. The Lakers are coming off a narrow 102-100 win in Game 2 of this series while failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. Including regular season action, the Lakers are 62-21 (.747) and Denver 54-35 (.607). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is displayed below. Any NBA favorite coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those favorites going 70-21 ATS (76.9%) since 1996. The average line in those 91 games was -5.1 and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 11.1 points per contest. Bet on the Lakers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Celtics vs. Heat 7:00 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Under 209. (10*) These teams went over the total in the opening game of this series on Tuesday night. Miami has gone under 5 consecutive times following an under in their previous contest and those games went under by an average of 1. Points per game. Boston has gone 9-3 to the under during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and 2 of the 3 overs were due to a pair of games going overtime. As a matter of fact, both games that required extra time were tied by an identical score of 98-98 at the end of 4 quarters, and that includes Game 1 of this series. Furthermore, Boston has allowed 101 points or fewer in regulation time during 10 of their 12 postseason contests. Despite the double overtime thriller on Tuesday won by Miami, both teams combined for an extremely low 173 field goal attempts. These teams witnessed all 3 of their regular season matchups go under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 208.5 | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Nuggets vs. Clippers 9:00 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Under 208.5 (10*) Since 2004, all NBA Playoff Game 7’s have gone 34-19 (64.2%) under the total. Furthermore, since the 201 NBA Conference Final Round, all 8 Game 7’s went under the total. Those contests had an average total of 208.0 and there was only a combined 182.0 points scored per game. There already has been 3 Game 7’s during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and there was a combined average of 181.0 points scored per game. The first 6 games of this series have gone 4-0-2 to the under. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 216 | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 214 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
Celtics vs. Raptors 7:30 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Over 214.0 (10*) The first 3 games of this series all have gone under the total. The closing totals in those contests was 217.5, 218, and 216.5 while those contests went under by an average of 12.7 points per game. It comes as no surprise that oddsmakers made an adjustment and opened this total at 212.0. Sharp players have since bumped it up to 214.0. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-03-20 | Raptors v. Celtics +2.5 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Raptors vs. Celtics 6:30 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Celtics +2.5 (10*) Toronto is 11-3 since entering the bubble in Orlando and all 3 defeats came at the hands of Boston. As a matter of fact, Boston has gone an impressive 5-1 this season versus the defending NBA champions and held them to 104 points or fewer 4 times. Boston is 6-0 this postseason and covered 5 of those 6 contests while holding opponents to 99.2 points scored per game, 39.1% shooting, and an abysmal 26.4% on 3-point shots. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-21-20 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs. Dallas 9:00 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: LA Clippers -5.0 (10*) This betting situation is very favorable for the Clippers based on this season’s results. The Clippers are coming off a straight up favorite loss of 127-114 to Dallas on Wednesday. Los Angeles is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 7.0 or less this season following a straight up favorite loss in their previous game. They won those 6 contests by a whopping average of 19.5 points per game. The Clippers are also 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 following a loss in their previous game. Their average victory margin in those 5 contests was 20.4 points per game. Conversely, Dallas is 0-4-1 ATS as an underdog of 5.5 or less following a straight up underdog win in their previous game. Bet on the LA Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-19-20 | Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Dallas vs. LA Clippers 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Dallas +5.5 (10*) Dallas probably should have won the series opener or at the very least covered. However, they lost 118-110 and barely failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog after leading by as many as 14 points. The unequivocal turning point in the game occurred when their star center Kristaps Porzingis was controversially ejected at the 4-minute mark of the 4th quarter after being whistled for a 2nd technical foul. Dallas has now lost 3 straight contests. Nonetheless, the Mavericks are 7-1 straight up this season following 2 straight losses with their lone defeat coming in Game 1. Dallas has also gone 6-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 6.5 points or fewer following a loss in their previous game, and they won 5 of those 7 contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -1 | Top | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
Toronto vs. Boston 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Toronto -1.0 (10*) Boston is coming off a 149-115 rout of an injury and COVID-19 depleted Brooklyn team. However, the Celtics have gone 0-4 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games following a win. On the other hand, Toronto has won 7 straight games and has gone 24-4 in its last 28 contests. The Raptors have also held 3 of their last 4 opponents to less than 100 points. Toronto also held Boston to less than 40% shooting in 2 of their 3 meetings this season. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-05-20 | Raptors v. Magic OVER 222.5 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
Orlando vs. Toronto 8:00 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: Over 222.5 (10*) These teams have met 3 times this season and each time it went under the total. The average total in those 3 contests was 208.3 and there was a combined 194.0 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, Toronto held Orlando to just 91.7 points scored per contest. The total for tonight’s game opened at 224.0 and dropped to 222.5. With today’s total elevated by 14 points more than the teams saw as an average during their previous 3 meetings, this appears to be a lock under. Nevertheless, if it looks too good to be true in sports betting most times it is. With that said. we must keep in mind that Orlando has gone over the total in an incredible 15 straight games. Those contests had an average total of 222.8 and there were a combined 239.3 points scored per game. Throughout that 15-game span, Orlando shot 49.0% while their opponents were even a tad better at 49.4. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-04-20 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 220 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Miami vs. Boston 6:30 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Under 220.0 (10*) These teams have met twice this season and both games went under the total. Those 2 contests produced a combined total of 205 and 210 points scored. Those contests averaged just a combined 165 field goal attempts per game which is a slow pace by modern NBA standards. Miami shot a dismal 40.5% in those 2 contests and converted on a terrible 30.6% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |