Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-10-21 | Duke -2 v. Louisville | Top | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Duke vs. Louisville 6:30 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Duke -2.0 (10*) If there was ever a trap play in this year’s conference tournament action, then this is it. Louisville is the higher seed with a better record and beat Duke twice already this season. Yet, they find themselves as the current underdog in this matchup. Taking the underdog would seem logical right? Not so fast my fellow sports bettors. It’s rarely ever that simple or easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true, then more times than not it is. Throughout their previous 10 games Duke has averaged 78.9 points scored per contest and shot 49.5% from the field. Conversely, Louisville shot a combined 39.3% during their previous 5 games played. This extremely young Blue Devils team makes a statement in this one. Bet on Duke for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
03-07-21 | Wisconsin v. Iowa -6.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 12:30 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Iowa -6.5 (10*) #25 Wisconsin is 4-7 in their last 11 and that includes losing 4 of its previous 5 contests. Conversely, #5 Iowa has won 6 of its last 7 and covered in 5 of those contests. The lone blemish during that stretch was a loss at #2 Michigan. So clearly these are teams headed down opposite paths with one being a serious contender for a national title and the other a textbook pretender. These teams met in Madison earlier this season and Iowa walked away with a convincing 77-62 win. The Hawkeyes are averaging a robust 80.4 points per game in Big 10 action while Wisconsin has scored fewer than 70 during each of their previous 7 outings. Furthermore, Iowa has held 4 of their last 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
03-06-21 | Duke v. North Carolina OVER 149.5 | Top | 73-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Duke @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Over 149.5 (10*) Duke has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and 10-1 to the over during their previous 11 games. The Blue Devils have averaged 77.0 points scored per contest and shot a superb 49.3% throughout their previous 5 contests. Duke will be facing a North Carolina team that loves to play up tempo basketball and averages a lofty 62 field goal attempts per game this season. That’s significant since Duke has played 6-0 to the over this season when facing teams that average 62 or more field goal attempts per game, and there was a combined average of 162.7 points scored per contest. According to Ken Pomeroy, North Carolina plays an extremely fast pace when facing fellow ACC teams. The Tar Heels have averaged a robust 71.0 offensive possessions per 40 minutes of play this season. They will be facing a Duke team that is 14th nationally in offensive efficiency. The Blue Devils have averaged 115.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. Those types of analytics from team facing each other more times than not turn into a high scoring contest. Speaking of facing each other. The last 3 times these teams have met, each of those contests went over the total. The average combined score in those 3 games was 179.0. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
03-05-21 | Ball State v. Toledo OVER 154 | Top | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Ball State @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Over 154.0 (5*) The pace in this game should be conducive to a high scoring affair. Each team has seen their last 5 games average a combined total of 126 field goal attempts per contest which is high by college basketball standards. Additionally, both teams have recently been excellent from the free throw line with Ball State 84.9% of their attempts and Toledo 83.5%. Ball State has witnessed each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there was an enormous 170.3 points scored per contest. During that stretch, the Cardinals averaged 91.5 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 52.4%. They have also been deadly from beyond the 3-point line of late. Throughout their last 5 games, Ball State has converted on 39% of its 3-point shot attempts and averaged 10 makes per contest. Toledo is ranked 13th out of 357 Division 1 teams in offensive efficiency. The Rockets have averaged 115.7 points scored per 100 offensive possession this season. They also rank #1 in that category when facing conference opponent while scoring 118.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. Toledo has played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 games when there was a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and there was 165.3 points scored per contest. Lastly, the Rockets have averaged 83.6 points scored, shot 47.4%, made 39.2% of their 3-point attempts through their previous 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
03-03-21 | Creighton v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Creighton @ Villanova 8:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Villanova -4.5 (10*) Villanova has a couple of things to atone for in this game and I am confident they will be more than up to the challenge. First, they’ll look to avenge an 86-70 loss at Creighton earlier this season. By the way, since the start of the 2014-2015 season, Villanova has gone a stellar 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Secondly, the #10 Wildcats will look to bounce back from an embarrassing 73-61 upset loss as a 12.5-point road favorite versus Butler in their previous game. However, Villanova is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite of 11.5 or less and won by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. The Wildcats allowed Butler to shoot 50% in their previous game. Additionally, Villanova is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better and they won by 18.3 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
03-02-21 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Phoenix +1.5 (10*) This line raised my eyebrows as soon as I laid eyes on it. We have the defending world champion Lakers at home as an extremely short favorite against an opponent that didn’t even make the playoffs a season ago. However, don’t be misled. Dating back to last season, Phoenix has gone 30-11 SU&ATS (73.2%) in their last 41 games and that includes 10-4 SU&ATS during their previous 14 on the road. Furthermore, the Suns are an impressive 14-3 SU&ATS in their last 17 outings and 6-1 SU&ATS during its previous 7 road games. Bet on the Suns for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
03-01-21 | Nuggets v. Bulls +5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Denver @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Chicago +5.0 (10*) There were lofty expectations for the Denver Nuggets this season after advancing to the 2019-2020 NBA Western Conference Finals. However, they’re off to a rather uninspiring 18-15 start to the season. The Nuggets are also a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 road games. Nonetheless, 1 of those 2 road wins occurred in their previous game during a 126-96 blowout of Oklahoma City. Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games following a win. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Denver is a dismal 4-16 ATS immediately following a road win by 15 points or more and were outscored by an average of 8.8 points per contest. I love the compete level and improvement the Bulls have shown under newly hired head coach Billy Donovan. Chicago is 5-2 straight up in their last 7 games. During their previous 4 games Chicago is averaging a robust 118.0 points scored per contest and shot a scalding hot 52.6%. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Iowa @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Ohio State -3.0 (10*) #4 Ohio State will be in a sour mood today after coming off back-to-back losses for the first time this season. The Buckeyes have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 4.0 to 17.0 points and with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. Ohio State is also 12-2 ATS since the start of the 2017-2018 season under current head coach Chris Holtmann as a conference home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Iowa and won by an average of 14.0 points per contest. Ohio State won 89-85 at Iowa earlier this season despite Iowa going 14-32 (43.7%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-27-21 | Canadiens -132 v. Jets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Montreal @ Winnipeg 10:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Montreal -132 (10*) Winnipeg has gone 7-3 against the money line in their last 10 and that includes a current 3-game win streak. Conversely Montreal has lost 4 straight and 7 of its last 8 versus the money line. Yet, it’s Montreal who is a decent sized favorite tonight. It’s more time than not as easy as it appears when it comes to sports betting. This is one of those spots to think like an oddsmaker while also doing away with conventional thinking. The Canadiens will go with backup Jake Allen in goal tonight. Allen has been terrific in 7 starts this season while compiling a brilliant .932 save percentage. The way #1 goaltender Carey Price has recently played, Allen gives Montreal their best chance to win. The Jets are coming off Thursday night’s 6-3 home win over Montreal. However, since the start of last season, Winnipeg is an abysmal 0-7 against the money line following a game in which a combined 9 or more goals were scored. Bet on Montreal for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-27-21 | Baylor v. Kansas +3.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Baylor @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Kansas +3.5 (10*) Baylor (18-0) is a terrific team so let’s get that out of the way. However, it’s going to be extremely difficult for them to remain unbeaten going into the NCAA Tournament while playing in an extremely strong conference like the Big 12. The #2 ranked Bears are coming off a flat performance in a 5-point home win over a 2-17 Iowa State team. They closed as a massive 24.0-point favorite in that contest. For starters, Kansas has gone a terrific 47-2 in their last 50 home games. That includes 11-1 this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Texas. Since that Texas loss, Kansas has won 6 straight at home and covered on each of their last 4. The Jayhawks have improved dramatically on the defensive end as the season has progressed. As a matter of fact, over their previous 6 contests Kansas allowed 59.8 points per game and held opponents to a combined 35.4% shooting. The Jayhawks won 5 of those contests and their only defeat came in overtime at Texas. Furthermore, Kansas is 15-1 in their last 16 at home versus Baylor. Their only home loss to the Bears came last season. That should provide extra motivation and emotion for a program which prides itself on defending their home court. Bet on Kansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Washington -4.0 (10*) These 2 teams are clearly headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and lost by 9.5 points per contest. Conversely, Washington is an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS during their previous 7 and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS at home with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Washington has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 outings while averaging 120.6 points scored per game, shooting 50.3% from the field, and converted on 37.7% of its 3-point attempts. That’s not good news for a Minnesota team which has allowed 119.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.2% from the floor in addition to making 40.4% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-26-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Heat | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Utah @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Utah -6.5 (10*) Miami is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable home underdog tonight and for good reason. They will be facing a Utah team which has gone 18-0 ATS in their last 18 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. The Jazz are also 22-2 straight up and 21-3 ATS during their previous 24 games. Additionally, Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite and allowed a mere 97.3 points per game while holding opponents to an ice cold 39.4% shooting. The Jazz have averaged 121.2 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 41.9% from 3-point territory over their previous 5 games. Throughout that identical time span, Utah also averaged making an incredible 19 three-point shots per game. This more about me betting on Utah a lot more than wagering against Miami. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-23-21 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Pittsburgh @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Over 6.0 (-117) (10*) Pittsburgh is 7-3 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 6.0 or greater. Tristan Jarry is slated to get the start in goal for Pittsburgh. Jarry has gone 0-5 in his road starts this season while posting a brutal .823 save percentage in those games. The Penguins are a poor 2-6 against the money line on the road this season and allowed an alarmingly high average of 4.0 goals per game while doing so. Pittsburgh is also averaging a lofty 3.6 goals per game during their last 5 outings. Washington has played 7-3 to the over at home this season. The Capitals goaltending has left much to be desired thus far and that’s reflected by their combined .881 save percentage which isn’t very good. One thing that has been this season is the Capitals power play which has converted on an impressive 33.3% of their man advantage situations. Better yet, Washington is 12-24 (50%) on the power play at home. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, these teams have seen 8 of their 11 games played against one another go over the total and that includes 3-1 to the over this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-22-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Oklahoma State +3.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off back-to-back losses to West Virginia and Kansas. The #15 Red Raiders have now gone just 3-4 straight up in their last 7 games played. Texas Tech will be playing with revenge from an 82-77 home defeat to Oklahoma State on 1/2/21. However, I don’t think revenge will be a determining factor in this one. Oklahoma State has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games. Additionally, 3 of those victories came over nationally ranked teams in Kansas, Arkansas, and Texas. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a home underdog versus a visiting team that isn’t performing like a Top 25 team right now. During their previous 5 games, Oklahoma State has held its opponents to a mere 36.9% shooting and that includes 24.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-20-21 | Flames v. Oilers -127 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Calgary @ Edmonton 10:05 PM ET Game# 23-24 Play On: Edmonton -127 (10*) Edmonton is coming off last night’s 2-1 win at Calgary. As a result, the Oilers have now won 4 of its last 5 and 8 of their previous 10 games. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Edmonton is an extremely profitable 10-1 versus the money line when playing with no rest. The Calgary power play has gone 4-33 (12.1%) on the road and 1-15 (6.7%) during its last 5 games overall. That’s not good news considering they will be facing an Oilers team tonight that averages a robust 3.7 goals scored per game at home. Bet on Edmonton for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
02-20-21 | Kings v. Bulls +2 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Chicago 9:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Chicago +2.0 (10*) Sacramento limps into tonight’s contest having gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games. During that futile stretch, the Kings allowed 124.0 points per game while their opponents shot a scalding hot 52.2% and converted on an alarmingly high 46.2% of its 3-point attempts. Chicago is coming off a 112-105 loss at Philadelphia last night. The Bulls have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Chicago plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-20-21 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -7 | Top | 66-56 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 6:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Ole Miss -7.0 (10*) Ole Miss has played themselves into NCAA Tournament consideration by going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Included in this current successful run was home wins over #20 Missouri by 21 and versus #19 Tennessee. The Rebels have also averaged 82.3 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.2% during their previous 3 contests. On the other side of the table is Mississippi State who has gone a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 games and is coming off an embarrassing 72-51 home loss to Vanderbilt. These are 2 teams that are clearly headed on opposite paths. Bet on Ole Miss minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-15-21 | 76ers v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 123-134 | Win | 101 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Utah -7.5 (10*) Dating back to last season, Philadelphia is an abysmal 2-15 ATS as an away underdog of 12.0 or less, and 0-5 ATS if the number is 5.5 to 12.0 (-14.0 PPG). The 76ers have scored 111 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. Philadelphia is 0-4 SU&ATS this season after scoring 100 points or more in 3 consecutive games and they lost by a sizable margin of 13.3 points per contest. Utah has gone an incredible 15-0 SU&ATS in their last 15 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less and they won by 14.7 points per contest. If it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-15-21 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 142.5 | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Washington @ Washington State 8:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Over 142.5 (10*) Washington has played 6-0 to the over in true road games this season. Those 6 contests had an average total of 140.0 and there was a combined 161.7 points scored per contest. Washington State has gone over the total in each of their previous 4 contests and did so by an average of 9.5 points per game. These teams met earlier this season and Washington State came away with a 77-62 road win. That contest barely went under the closing total of 140.0. However, both teams were terrible at the free throw line in that contest. They both combined to go just 27-45 (60%) from the charity stripe. That many free throw attempts will likely occur again this evening. But it’s highly probable these teams will convert at a much better percentage than they did in their earlier season matchup. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-14-21 | Colgate v. Army OVER 150.5 | Top | 92-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Colgate @ Army 6:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Over 150.5 (10*) This will be the 4th meeting of the season between these Patriot League rivals. The first 3 all went over the total and there was a combined 154.7 points scored per game. The last of those meeting took place on Saturday and Colgate walked away with an 84-74 win and that contest sailed over the total of 147.0. The pace of that game was quite brisk as the teams combined for 125 field goal attempts. Colgate is 8-1 in conference play while scoring 86.2 points per game and has outscored those 9 opponents by an average of 20.1 points per game. Since the start of last season, Army has played 8-1 to the over when facing teams who are outscoring their opponents by 4.0 or more points per game. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 155.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
02-12-21 | Detroit v. Cleveland State OVER 138 | Top | 89-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Detroit @ Cleveland State 9:00 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Over 138.0 (10*) Cleveland State has seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. The average total in those contests was 137.6 and there was a combined 150.2 point scored per game. Detroit has been red-hot offensively during their previous 5 while averaging 80.4 points scored per game, shooting 51.8% from the field, and making a superb 43.0% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Wagner OVER 142 | Top | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
Farleigh-Dickinson @ Wagner 5:00 ET Game# 31-32 Play On: Over 142.0 (10*) Wagner has seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. The average combined score in those 5 contests was 154.0 points per game. It’s worth noting, FDU has witnessed their last 5 contests having a total of 150.5 or greater. During their previous 5 games, FDU has scored a robust 82.6 points per contest and shot an impressive 48% from the field. Both teams are physical and there will most likely be many free throw attempts in today’s game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Cavs v. Suns UNDER 215.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Phoenix 9:05 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Under 215.5 (10*) Cleveland has seen 7 of their last 8 away games go under the total and there was a combined average of 198.2 points scored per game. This will be the 13th time this season that Cleveland will be playing 6 or more games in 10 days. During the previous 12, the Cavaliers averaged just 94.9 points scored per game. The Suns have seen each of their last 4 at home go under the total and there was a combined average of only 199.5 points scored per game. During those previously mentioned 4 contest at home, Phenix held their opponents to a mere 94.5 points scored per game and 38.9% shooting. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs UNDER 56 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
Kansas City @ Tampa Bay 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 56.0 (10*) For starters 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls have played to the under when there was a total of 50.0 or greater. The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 38-24 win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Since 10/1/18, Kansas City has played 7-2 to the under when there was a total of 52.0 or greater and after they scored 35 points or more. That took place with almost the identical offensive players as this season, and if anything, this year’s edition on defense may is better than the previous 2. The Chiefs will be facing a red-hot Tampa Bay defense. The Bucs are #1 against the run and have been for 2 years running. Tampa Bay is also 6th in total yards allowed per game and 4th in sacks with 48. The Tampa Bay defensive front 7 are outstanding and underrated. Look for Tampa Bay to invite Kansas City to run the ball and force them to be patient in the passing game by keeping everything in front of them. It’s likely the only time that plan gets abandoned is inside the red zone. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Illinois 2:30 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Illinois -3.5 (10*) This will be a statement game for #12 Illinois against a #19 ranked conference opponent in Wisconsin. The Illini are much better than even their 12-5 overall record indicates. According to the highly respected Kenpom rankings that accounts for offensive and defensive efficiency in addition to strength of schedule, Illinois ranks #5 nationally. They also have Illinois as having faced the 4th most difficult schedule of all the 347 Division 1 teams. Illinois is coming off a 75-71 overtime win at Indiana in their previous game which extended their unbeaten streak to a modest 3-games. Conversely, Wisconsin has gone a mediocre 4-3 in their last 7 games which includes a pair of losses on their usually extremely strong home court. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Minnesota v. Rutgers -5.5 | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Rutgers 9:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Rutgers -5.5 (10*) Minnesota has been exceptionally good at home this season having beaten 4 Top 25 teams along the way. However, on the road has been a whole different story for the Golden Gophers. They have gone 0-5 SU&ATS in true road games and lost by a substantial average of 19.6 points per contest. Throughout their previous 5 games overall, Minnesota has been inept offensively while averaging just 62.8 points scored per contest and shooting an awful 36.8% from the floor. During that identical stretch, they were also at a terrible -8 rebound per game differential while going 1-4 SU&ATS. Rutgers spent the early part of this season ranked in the Top 25. They then went through a rough patch and found themselves on the outside looking in. Nevertheless, they have bounced back to go 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. After going an outstanding 15-1 at home a season ago, Rutgers has lost 3 home games this season. It must be noted, those 3 losses came at the hands of #19 Wisconsin, #7 Ohio State, and #8 Iowa. I look for a huge effort for the Scarlet Knights that will result in a comfortable win and cover. Bet on Rutgers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-02-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pacers | Top | 116-134 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
Memphis @ Indiana 8:05 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Memphis +4.5 (10*) Memphis comes into today’s game red-hot having gone 7-0 SU&ATS over its last 7 contests and they were an underdog on 5 of those occasions. Furthermore, the Grizzlies are 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 road games and 4 of those wins came as an underdog. Conversely, Indiana is just 3-5 straight up and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. The Pacers are also a dismal 2-4 straight up and 1-5 ATS in their previous 6 at home. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
02-01-21 | Lakers v. Hawks +6 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
Lakers @ Hawks 7:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Hawks +6.0 (10*) The Lakers will be playing the finale of a 7-game in 12-day road trip. They have shown signs of fatigue during their previous 2 while scoring just 92 and 96 points. They will be playing an Atlanta team which will enter today’s game with 2 days of rest. The Hawks are 5-2 straight up and 6-1 ATS throughout their previous 7 contests. Atlanta is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS during its last 5 games at home. Their only straight up loss in that sequence came by 4 points in overtime versus Brooklyn, but they still managed to cover as a 3.0-point home underdog. Bet on the Hawks plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-29-21 | Boise State -2.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Boise State @ Colorado State 11:00 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: Boise State -2.5 (10*) These teams met on Wednesday night and Colorado state walked away with a convincing 78-56 win. Yet here we are 2 days later, and Boise State is a short favorite despite that blowout loss. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the home underdog in this spot. Nonetheless, I am not being lured in and bet against not only the oddsmakers but public perception. That previously mentioned Boise State loss ended a 12-game Broncos winning streak. It was also just a 2nd time in 14 games that Boise had scored less than 70 points. Since the start of the 2018-2019 college basketball season, Boise State is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS following a game in which they scored 70 or fewer, and they outscored those 9 opponents by an average of 11.8 points per contest. Bet on Boise State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-24-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Kansas City 6:40 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Buffalo +3.5 (10*) We all know how good Kansas City has been in recent years let alone being the winner of last year’s Super Bowl. Yet, we have the #1 seed Chiefs as just a 3.0-point to 3.5-point home favorite in this contest. Remarkably enough, even after Patrick Mahomes was cleared to play there was very little line movement if any at all. I am not fearful whatsoever of the sportsbooks. Nonetheless I enormously respect their ability to set an accurate line and adjust to the money coming in. With all that in mind, the oddsmakers are telling you this is an even game and there was an adjustment of 3.0-points made to the Chiefs for homefield advantage. By the way, since their 26-17 loss to Kansas City in Week 6, Buffalo has gone 11-1. Their lone defeat came on an Arizona Cardinal miracle last seconds “Hail Mary Pass” from Kyler Murray to Deandre Hopkins that resulted in that 32-30 setback. The Bills are also an extremely profitable 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Since the start of last season, Buffalo has gone a sparkling 12-5 on the road and that includes a money-making 7-2 ATS when installed as an underdog. By the way, since Week 12, Buffalo is the #1 red zone offense and Kansas City is the #26 red zone defense in the NFL. The Bills one of just a few teams in the NFL that can match the Chiefs offensive firepower. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
01-23-21 | UCLA v. Stanford OVER 138.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
UCLA @ Stanford 5:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Over 138.5 (10*) Stanford has seen their last 5 games all go over the total and there was a combined average of 147.6 points scored per contest. The Cardinal have also seen all 3 conference home games go over with a combined average of 151.3 points scored per game. During those contests Stanford averaged 81.3 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 51.1% from the field. UCLA has witnessed 4 of their last 5 going over the total and there was a combined average of 148.0 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Bruins averaged 79.0 points scored per contest while converting on an extremely impressive 45.1% of their 3-point shots and 77.7% of its free throws. UCLA and Stanford have seen 8 of their last 9 games played against one another go over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-21-21 | Utah v. Washington State +3 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Utah @ Washington State 10:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Washington State +3.0 (10*) Public perception would indicate that bettors are betting this game based on Utah being a traditional winning team and Washington State the opposite. Nevertheless, Washington State has gone 8-1 at home this season and their only loss came by 4 to Arizona in a game they covered as an 8.0-point underdog. Utah has lost 5 of their last 6 and that includes going 0-3 SU&ATS during away games. Furthermore, Utah is coming off a 72-63 home loss to California in a game they closed as a sizable 12.0-point favorite. That was a Cal team that entered that contest with a dismal 1-7 conference record. Since the start of last season, the Utes are a dismal 0-8 ATS on the road following a conference loss and were outscored by a decisive margin of 17.5 points per game. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 10* wager. |
|||||||
01-20-21 | Kings v. Clippers OVER 230 | Top | 96-115 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Kings @ Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Over 230.0 (10*) Sacramento has gone over in 7 straight games this season when there’s been a total of 235.0 or less, and there was a combined 251.1 points scored per contest. The Clippers have seen each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there were a combined 234.3 points scored per contest. These teams just met on 1/15 in Sacramento and the Clippers prevailed 138-100 and that contest easily went over the total of 228.0. During their previous 5 games Sacramento allowed 129.0 points per contest while opponents shot 50.3% and that includes an alarmingly high 44.3% from 3-point land. Throughout that same 5-game span, the Kings averaged scoring 115.0 points per game, shot a sizzling hot 49.6%, and converted on an outstanding 38.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. The Clippers have averaged 122.6 points scored per contest while shooting 51.8% and made an off the charts 49.4% of their 3-point shots throughout their previous 5 games played. On a negative note, and over that identical stretch, they also allowed their opponents to shoot 48.9% and make 40.4% of their 3-point attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-19-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State OVER 141 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Colorado State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Over 141.0 (10*) Colorado State has been red-hot offensively over their previous 3 contests while averaging 87.0 points scored per game and shooting 53.5%. The Rams are 7-1 in Mountain West Conference play and they’re shooting a strong 48.1% during those contests in addition to a sizzling hot 41.0% from beyond the 3-point line. Conversely, Utah State is 8-0 in conference action and has averaged 78.4 points scored per contest and is making a stellar 48.1% of its field goal attempts. To borrow a boxing adage, styles make fights, and this one involves two excellent shooting teams that have shown a consistent ability to score in the high 70’s and 80’s this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-18-21 | Kansas v. Baylor -8.5 | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Kansas @ Baylor 9:00 PM ET Game# 879-880 Play On: Baylor -8.5 (10*) I am labeling this as the sucker game of the night. We have the #6 Kansas Jayhawks as a sizable underdog against #2 Baylor. Then there’s the reputation and brand of Kansas basketball that will surely entice public betting to side with them at this heavy a number. However, we must look inside the numbers to get a clearer picture. Kansas is coming off a 75-70 loss at unranked Oklahoma State. They were also hammered at home by 25 versus Texas. Additionally, 5 of the Jayhawks 10 wins have come by 4 points or fewer. Baylor is 12-0 and has covered in 10 of those 12 contests. They are coming off a 68-60 win at Texas Tech in a game they covered as a 4.5-point favorite. It marked the first time this season that Baylor failed to win by a double-digit margin. As a matter of fact, Baylor has outscored their 12 opponents this season by an average of 26.1 points per game. The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games which all were against Big 12 Conference opponents, and they held those teams to 56.7 points per contest and an abysmal 35.1% shooting. Baylor has also forced 20 turnovers of more in the 3 of their last 4 and 5 of its previous 7 games which speaks to their superb length and athleticism on the defensive end. Baylor has made a terrific 42.3% of its 3-point shot attempts this season. Conversely, during their previous 5 games Kansas opponents have shot a combined 39.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Saints 6:40 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Saints -3.0 (10*) Since 2017, Tampa Bay is a lousy 2-9-2 ATS as an away underdog of 6.0 or less. Moreover, the Bucs are a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS during its last 5 games versus New Orleans, and that includes 0-2 SU&ATS this season. Tampa was outscored in those 2 losses by 72-26. New Orleans has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite and won by an average of 15.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since last season, New Orleans is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or less and won by 11.0 points per game. If you are wondering how a playoff home favorite of 6.5 or less does against a division opponent that have beaten twice during regular season action. Well, you came to the right place. This situation has occurred only 6 times since 1983 with Sunday’s game being the 7th. So, it’s rare indeed. However, it’s important to note, the previous 6 have seen the home favorite of 6.5 or less going 6-0 SU&ATS, and with a decisive average victory margin of 16.0 points per game. Bet on the Saints minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 46 | Top | 18-32 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Rams @ Packers 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) The Rams know they can’t win a shootout against Green Bay. Jared Goff and the Rams offense is nowhere near as explosive in the passing game as they were 2 years ago when they advanced to the Super Bowl. However, one thing they continue do well is run the ball and that will be a key ingredient to their success on Saturday. The Rams defense is the best or at least one of the best units in the NFL. I look for Rams star cornerback Jalen Ramsey to more than hold his own while shadowing Green Bay #1 wide receiver Devante Adams who has torched opposing secondaries this season on a regular basis. Bet this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
01-14-21 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | Top | 45-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Utah State -1.5 (10*) Utah State began the season by losing 3 of its first 4 games. Since that time, they have reeled off 8 wins in a row and won by an enormous 29.9 points per game. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS in Mountain West Conference action. During those conference games they held opponents to 49.8 scored per contest and a miserable 32.2% shooting. The Aggies have been a favorite of 11.5 or greater all 6 of their conference wins and covers. San Diego State is coming off a 69-67 win over Nevada in a game they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. This sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle shown below. Any home team that is coming off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite of 7.0 or greater, and they are facing an opponent (San Diego State) that is coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those home teams going 34-4 (89.5%) straight up since 1997, and the home teams outscored the visitors in those 38 contests by 15.7 points per game. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Utah State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-13-21 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 56-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (10*) Texas A&M is a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in neutral site or away games. They were blown out in all 3 of those contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. Mississippi State has been a somewhat overlooked team thus far. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games this season as a favorite. They are also off to a 3-1 start in SEC action and made a terrific 43.6% of its 3-point shot attempts while doing so. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-12-21 | Wisconsin v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 54-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Michigan -3.5 (10*) Michigan is a perfect 10-0 and that includes 5-0 in Big 10 Action. They covered in 4 of those 5 conference wins and had a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, 9 of 10 wins recorded by Michigan this season have come by 10 points or more, and they shot 50% or better in 7 of those 10 games. Michigan is coming off an 84-59 home blowout win over Minnesota in their previous game. The Wolverines are 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the 2018-2019 season following a conference win by 10 points or more, and they won by a substantial average of 17.7 points per game. The #9 Wisconsin Badgers are a solid team. However, they are just 1-1 in true road games, and their loss came as a 4.5-point favorite versus an average at best Marquette team. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Ohio State +9.0 (10*) The Buckeyes will continue to play with a chip on their shoulders tonight after being heavily criticized for making the College Football Playoff despite playing only 6 games at the time. Ohio State is one of the few and maybe even the only team in the country that can match Alabama’s offensive explosiveness. The Buckeyes defense has given up its share of yards this season, but they have also forced an eye-popping 18 turnovers in just 7 games. Ohio State has racked 254 yards or more rushing in each of its last 4 games. The Buckeyes have outrushed their opponents this season by a substantial 184 yards per game. This qualifies by a high percentage college football betting angle which is shown below. Any neutral field underdog that has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their last 3 games, and they’re outrushing their opponents on the season by 100 or more yards per contest, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 30-7 ATS (81.1%) since 1992. The average point-spread in those 37 games was 7.1, and the underdog also won 18 of those 37 games straight up. This precise betting angle came up in the previous game for Ohio State and they came away with a 49-28 blowout win over Clemson as a 7.5-point underdog. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -117 | 44 h 42 m | Show |
Ravens @ Titans 1:05 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Titans +3.5 (10*) I hear a lot of talking heads giving a lot of love to Baltimore. One team that surely isn’t buying it is the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee has beaten Baltimore in both of their meetings since last season and did so as an underdog on each occasion. During last year’s Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the Titans knocked off Baltimore 28-12 as a 10.0-point road underdog. That was a Ravens team that entered the playoffs on a 12-game win streak, and they were favorite to win the Super Bowl. Then earlier this season, Tennessee turned the trick again by winning at Baltimore 30-24 as a 6.0-point underdog. There was a constant theme in those 2 victories. Tennessee and namely Derek Henry gashed the Baltimore defense on the ground for a combined 390 yards and 5.5 yards per rushing attempt. The Ravens stop unit will once again be hard pressed to stop Henry who rushed for over 2000 yards this season. They will also be challenged by an improved Titans passing game. Since 1980, NFL Playoff home underdogs of 3.5 or less (Titans) that have a win percentage of .687 or better, and they are facing a non-division opponent with a win percentage of .764 or worse, resulted in those postseason home dogs going a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by a decisive 16.7 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-09-21 | USC -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
USC @ Arizona State 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: USC -2.5 (10*) USC has shot the ball extremely well in their last 2 games which resulted in comfortable wins over Utah and at Arizona. The Trojans are one of the best defensive teams in the country while allowing just 62.5 points per game and limiting them to a mere 35.4% shooting from the field. There were high expectations to start the season for Arizona State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games and lost by an average of 10.7 points per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:40 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Over 42.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 18-7 home win over Arizona in their final regular season game. Los Angeles has seen each of its last 4 games go under the total. The last too stayed under by decisive margins of 19.0 and 15.5 points. Any NFL team (Rams) that is coming off each of their previous 2 games going under and both doing so by 15 points or more, resulted in those contests going 52-23 (69.3%) to the over since 2011. The average total in those 75 occurrences was 43.8 and there were a combined 50.1 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in a game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2018, the Seahawks are 8-1 to the over following a win by 3 points or fewer, and that includes 3-0 to the over if that contest was played at home. Any NFL team (Seahawks) that is coming off a straight up win in which they did not cover, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 44-11 (80%) to the over since 1980. The average combined score in those 55 contests was 54.8. This exact situation has arisen 8 times already this season, and all those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-07-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Dallas @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Under 223.5 (10*) Dallas has seen 4 of their last 5 stay under the total and there was only a combined 205.8 points scored per game. During that stretch the Nuggets allowed a mere 98.4 points per game. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They faced each other 3 times a season ago and all went under the total with a combined score of 212.7 points scored per contest. Denver is coming off a 123-116 division win over Minnesota. Dallas is coming off a 113-100 win at Houston. The combination of these two results qualifies for a very profitable NBA totals betting angle displayed below. Any NBA home team that is coming off a division win, and they are facing an opponent coming off a road win by 10 points or more, resulted in those games going 83-41 (66.9%) to the under since 1996. The average combined score in those 124 contests was 208.2 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-04-21 | Knicks +7 v. Hawks | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
New York @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: New York +7.0 (10*) Don’t look now but the Knicks have won 3 of their last 4 which includes 2 of 3 on this current road trip. The Knicks are beginning to take on the personality of their new head coach Tom Thibodeau who has a reputation of being a defensive guru. During the last 3 games, New York is holding their opponents to 96.0 points per game and 39.2% shooting. They are also +11.3 rebounds per game throughout that stretch. Atlanta is off to a surprisingly good 4-2 start to the season. However, they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 8 days. While the Knicks will be playing just their 2nd in 4 days. Bet on New York plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 44 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 44.0 (10*) Washington has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and there was a combined 36.5 points scored per game. The Football Team won the first matchup versus the Eagles 27-17 at home. However, the points scored were a bit misleading since Washington was able to amass only 239 yards or total offense and Philadelphia just 265. The Eagles 3 turnovers in that contest heavily attributed to Washington’s scoring output. Philadelphia is coming off a humiliating 37-14 loss at Dallas in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. Since 2018, Philadelphia is 17-7 to the under at home and that includes 4-0 if they are coming off a game versus a division opponent. Any NFL team playing in a division game and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 15-0 to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for my NFL 10* Total of the Year. |
|||||||
01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
North Carolina vs. Texas A&M 8:00 PM ET Game# 497-468 Play On: North Carolina +7.5 (10*) Whenever I get a winning team with an explosive offense as an underdog like North Carolina is in this contest it always prompts me to do further investigation. This situation qualifies in the regard. North Carolina is 8-3 and they averaged 43.0 points scored and 556.5 yards gained per game. They have also scored 41 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games which includes a regular season finale 62-26 win at nationally ranked Miami. I like to use the boxing analogy when it comes to these high scoring underdogs. I compare them to knockout artists in boxing, you are never out of it because you have a punchers chance. Texas A&M is 8-1, winners of 7 straight, and ranked #5 in the country. However, Aggies players and coaches alike were perplexed by being snubbed by the college football playoff committee. One school of thought is they will be out to make a statement in this matchup. In my experience, it’s quite the contrary, and college teams that have been snubbed in either football or basketball more times than not come out flatter than a pancake in their following game. This will be a textbook example of such. Bet on North Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
01-01-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Clemson 8:00 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Ohio State +7.5 (10*) For starters, Clemson head coach Dabo Sweeney gave the Ohio State locker room plenty of motivational press clippings after voicing his displeasure on Ohio State being included in the 4-team playoff field despite playing only 6 games. The Buckeyes will also be playing with big time revenge stemming from last season college football playoff loss to Clemson 29-23. Ohio State squandered a 16-0 lead in that contest and lost despite having an edge in total yards of 516-417. Ohio State also held almost a 7-minute edge in time of possession advantage and current quarterback Justin Fields outplayed highly prized Clemson signal caller Trevor Lawrence. Ohio State is allowing 97 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, Clemson is averaging 164 yards rushing per contest. These rushing stats leads us to an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football neutral field non-conference underdog (Ohio State) that allows 100 or less rushing yards per game and is facing an opponent (Clemson) that averages between 140 to 190 yards rushing per game, resulted in those underdogs going 22-11 (66.7%) straight up since 1992. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this matchup it takes on added relevance. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for my “College Football Game of the Year”. |
|||||||
12-31-20 | Utah v. UCLA -7 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Utah @ UCLA 7:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: UCLA -7.0 (10*) This is a veteran UCLA team that returned all 5 starters from a season ago. Their only 2 losses this season came versus #25 Ohio State 77-70 at a neutral site and at San Diego State in its season opener. The Bruins are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS on their home floor this season and won by an average of 20.5 points per game. UCLA will have a huge rebounding edge in this contest based on the fact they are +7 per game in that department while Utah is at a -6. This will be just the 2nd road game of the season for Utah. In their only other away contest, they were blown out 82-64 at BYU. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +6 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Lakers @ Spurs 8:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Spurs +6.0 (10*) The Spurs are 2-1 so far but they have covered each of those 3 contests. San Antonio will be playing on 2 days rest. The rest factor is significant since this will be the Lakers 3rd game in 4 days and 4th game in 6 days. The Lakers will be playing their first road game of the season. They opened their 2020-2021 campaign with 4 consecutive home games and came away with just a 2-2 split. Bet on the Spurs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 64 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Texas @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 297-298 Play On: Over 64.0 (10*) This Texas team has seen all 4 of its games not played on their home field go over the total. Those 4 contests averaged a massive 97.8 points combined being scored par game. The Longhorns offense has averaged an enormous 41.3 points scored and 457.3 yards gained per game this season. Colorado is averaging a tad above 29 points scored per game. The Buffaloes defense has been good at times but has been torched on more than one occasion as well. Colorado has allowed 32 points or more in 3 of 5 games played during this COVID-19 shortened season. Texas is outgaining their opponents by an average of 47.6 yards per game this season. Conversely, Colorado has outgained their 5 opponents by an average of 44.2 yards per game. This sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle displayed below. Any neutral field non-conference game with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that involves teams that both have a +50 to -50 yards per game differential, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 30 contests was 66.1 and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-29-20 | Celtics v. Pacers | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Boston @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Indiana (Pick) (10*) The Pacers are 4-0 straight up in their last 4 at home versus Boston. That needs to be considered and especially so with this current point-spread. The Pacers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS so far this season and have won by a decisive margin of 11.3 points per game. Indiana has shot 51% or better in each of their previous 2 games. Boston is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games and have allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in all 3 of their contests this season. Any NBA home team that shot 50% or better in each of their last 2 games, and they are facing team that allowed each of their previous 2 opponents to shoot 50% or better, resulted in those home teams going 67-19 straight up since 1996. Bet on Indiana for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-27-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +7 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (10*) Both teams have looked impressive in their 2-0 starts to the season. However, Cleveland has shot the ball much better than the 76ers have. The Cavs shot 50.5% during their opening 2 wins in addition to converting on a red-hot 45% of their 3-point attempts. Philadelphia has been fabulous at home since the start of last season. However, they have been anything but good on the road during that identical time frame by going 10-24 straight up and 11-23 ATS. Since 10/28/2019, Philadelphia has gone 1-10 ATS as a road favorite of 1.5 to 8.0-points, and they are coming off a win in their previous game. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | Top | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) The Seahawks have been beneficiaries of a soft non-division schedule. As a matter of fact, 9 of its 10 non-division games this season came against opponents that currently have a losing record. The lone exception was at Buffalo (11-3) on 11/8 and they lost that contest 44-34 in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. The Rams should be plenty motivated this week after coming off an embarrassing 27-17 home loss as a 14.0-point favorite to the then 0-13 Jets. That defeat dropped their season record to 9-5 and forced them to relinquish first place in the NFC West back to Seattle (10-4). On a positive note, since 2018, the Rams are 11-4 SU&ATS on the road and immediately following a home game. Additionally, the Rams are 4-0 straight up this season following a loss and won by an average of 9.7 points per game. Quality NFL teams coming off embarrassing losses have historically responded with a strong performance more times than not in their next contest. The Rams did win the first meeting with Seattle this season 23-16. It’s simple for the Rams, win and their chances to win the AFC West remains alive. Or lose and possibly end up as low as a #7 in the NFC come playoff time. If that occurs it would be a first-round playoff game at either Green Bay or New Orleans. Desperation and urgency will be the difference in this contest on Sunday which surely favors the Rams. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-25-20 | Nets v. Celtics +3 | Top | 123-95 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
Brooklyn @ Boston 5:00 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Boston +3.0 (10*) Brooklyn is sure to be a public betting darling in the early going with all the hype surrounding the Nets duo of Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. Additionally, that will be even more enticed after watching Brooklyn dismantle Golden State 125-99 in their home opener on Wednesday night. However, Boston was no slouch in defeating Milwaukee 122-121 in their season opener as a 4.5-point home underdog. The Celtics have been money as a small underdog. Specifically, since 4/3/2019, Boston has gone 13-4 ATS of 4.0 or less, and that improved to 9-2 ATS if they are coming off a win. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-22-20 | West Virginia +2 v. Kansas | Top | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
West Virginia @ Kansas 9:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: West Virginia +2.0 (10*) This current point-spread tells me everything I need to know. It’s extremely rare when Kansas is this short of a favorite on their home floor. The Jayhawks are 7-1 but 4 of their wins have come by a combined 9 points and none of those opponents are as good as West Virginia. These teams have something in common with both suffering their only loss of the season to #1 Gonzaga. West Virginia was defeated by the Bulldogs 87-82 while Kansas lost 102-90. Bet on West Virginia for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-21-20 | Southern Illinois +9 v. Butler | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Southern Illinois @ Butler 7:30 PM ET Game# 779-780 Play On: Southern Illinois +9.0 (10*) Butler is coming off a loss by 8 to Indiana on Saturday. This isn’t one of the vintage Butler teams we have seen in years past. That’s not to imply they are horrible by any means. However, all you need to look at is their defensive statistics that indicates opponents are shooting 49.7% against them and is making an alarmingly high 45.6% of their 3-point attempts. Butler is only making 59.7% of their free throws thus far, and that must be considered if their opponent is trying to extend a game when playing from behind. Southern Illinois hasn’t played nearly as tough a schedule to this point compared to Butler. Nevertheless, the Salukis are 5-0 while putting up some impressive offensive statistics while doing so. They have shot 49.6% including 43.6% from 3-point territory and have converted on an excellent 78.5% of their free throws. Bet on Southern Illinois plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-20-20 | Chiefs v. Saints +3 | Top | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
Kansas City @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 365-366 Play On: New Orleans +3.0 (10*) The Saints had their 8-game win streak snapped during last Sunday’s 24-21 loss at Philadelphia. They were not only defeated by an Eagles team that entered that contest with a dismal 3-8-1 record but was also starting a rookie quarterback who was making his first start of his career. In my estimation they were clearly looking ahead to this Sunday’s game against the defending world champion Chiefs (12-1) in what many have been tabbing as a Super Bowl preview. On a much more positive note, New Orleans has gone an outstanding 11-1 straight up in their last 12 following a loss in their previous game. New Orleans will also get an emotional lift as Drew Brees returns from injury to make the start. Nevertheless, I would have liked New Orleans in this spot with Brees or Taysom Hill under center. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Arizona State v. Oregon State +7.5 | Top | 46-33 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 18 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Oregon State 10:30 PM ET Game# 225-226 Play On: Oregon State +7.5 (10*) Arizona State is coming off a 70-7 shellacking over their winless in-state rival Arizona last Saturday. The Sun Devils have played just 3 games this season and last week marked its first win. Now they travel to Oregon State against a 2-4 Beavers team that in recent years has been a PAC-12 doormat. However, this is a better than advertised Beavers team whose 4 losses came by just a combined average of 6.3 points per contest. Arizona State has allowed an average of just 20 points per game this season despite surrendering 423 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has bailed themselves out by forcing a whopping 11 turnovers in their 3 games played. However, they will be facing an opponent on Saturday which has only committed 6 turnovers in 6 games. Oregon State also averages a healthy 31.0 points and 450.3 yards per game in their 4 contests played at home. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-17-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech -3 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (10*) Kansas is # 5 in the country but in my humble opinion is getting more respect for their brand than the worthiness of their ranking for this current Jayhawks team. Yes, their only loss has come against #1 Gonzaga by 12 in their season opener. However, they also only defeated North Dakota State by 4 as a 24.0-point home favorite, beat a Kentucky team that is currently on a 4-game losing streak by just 3, and escaped with a 1-point home win over #9 Creighton. This will be the Jayhawks first true road game of the season. Texas Tech is 6-1 and their lone defeat came against #6 Houston on a neutral floor. The Red Raiders are a perfect 5-0 straight up at home and covered 4 of those contests while winning by a decisive margin of 31.4 points per game. Texas Tech is also an excellent defensive team that is allowing only 51.6 points per game and has held its opponents to a mere 35.5% shooting. Bet on Texas Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-16-20 | Mercer +4.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
Mercer @ Georgia State 6:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Mercer +4.5 (10*) These teams met once already this season and Mercer came away with a convincing 86-69 win as a 3.0-point home underdog. Mercer outrebounded Georgia State 51-31 while also hauling in 15 offensive rebounds. They also held the visiting Panthers to a dismal 36.8% shooting and forced an alarmingly high 19 turnovers. Mercer also owns an impressive 10 points road win over Georgia Tech in a game they were a substantial 12.0-point underdog. There’s nothing apparent to me to suggest that Georgia State will be able to turn the tables on Mercer this time around. Bet on 6-0 Mercer plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 47 | Top | 47-42 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Browns 8:15 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: Under 47.0 (10*) These division rivals have seen the last 3 games played against one another in Cleveland all go under the total. These teams are run heavy offenses in what is now a pass happy league. The Browns have run the ball on 53.3% of their offensive plays this season while Baltimore does it at a 55.9% clip. It’s no coincidence that they rank #1 and #2 in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Conversely, Baltimore is dead last in the league in passing yards per game and Cleveland is #27 in that category. The weather forecast on Monday nigh is calling for winds of 17 to 20 MPH. That will certainly affect the teams passing games when going against the wind. Cleveland enters this game with a stellar 9-3 (.750) record. The Browns will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Baltimore in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable Monday night totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 43.0 or greater that has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those games going 22-1 (95.6%) to the under since 1980. If those home teams were an underdog of 4.0 or less this betting angle improves to a perfect 16-0 to the under since 1980. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Utah +2 v. BYU | Top | 64-82 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
Utah @ BYU 6:00 PM ET Game# 704-705 Play On: Utah +2.0 (10*) BYU opened the season with 3 straight wins, and all were against less than stellar competition. Since that time, they went 2-2 while stepping up in class considerably. They were blown out on a neutral court by USC by 26 points. They also lost at home in their previous game played versus Boise State. Utah is an experienced team that is off to a 2-0 start. They have looked solid in those wins over Washington by 13 and Idaho State by 16. They held those 2 opponents to just 35.9% from the floor and a mere 21.2% from 3-point range. Additionally, those opponents averaged just 11 free throw attempts per game. The Utes also converted on 40% of their 3-point shots in those contests. Play on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Wisconsin -2 v. Iowa | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 1 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 3:30 PM ET Game# 385-386 Play On: Wisconsin -2.0 (10*) This opening line and the following substantial line movement really caught my eye. Wisconsin opened as a 3.0-point road underdog and at the time of this writing they have moved all the way to a 2.0-point road favorite. Of curse I checked Iowa’s injury list and COVID-19 situation to see if something within those categories prompted this large of a move but there was nothing of the sort. Iowa enters this contest on a 5- game win streak. However, their wins have come over 5 Big 10 Conference opponents that enter this week with a cumulative 10-20 record and all currently have losing records. Wisconsin has lost 2 straight and scored only a combined 13 points in those defeats. However, they were plagued by 7 turnovers committed during those 2 games. Another words, they stopped themselves more so than opposing defenses did. On a positive note, the 2-2 Badgers have been outstanding on defense while allowing a mere 12.3 points and 229.3yards per game. Iowa is solid offensively, but they are far from a juggernaut. Bet on Wisconsin for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Colts v. Texans +3.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
Indianapolis @ Houston 1:00 PM ET Houston is coming off a 41-25 win over Detroit. That win improved their season record to 4-7 (.363). Indianapolis is coming off a 45-26 loss to Tennessee. The combination of these results provides with a NFL betting angle which has won 85.1% of the time since 2011. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .363 or better that's coming off a win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or worse, and that opponent (Indy) is coming off a loss by 14 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 63-11 (85.1%) straight up since 2011. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | BYU -10 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina @ BYU 5:30 PM ET This is a situation that I have to trust my eyes and professional intuition. I firmly believe that BYU could have at the very least competed for a title in any Power 5 Conference if afforded the oppotunity. Regarding strength of schedules neither of these teams rates highly. However, my personal eye test indicates that BYU is the more physical team on both sides of the ball and especially so on the interior line. BYU quarterback Zach Wilson is an NFL quarterback waiting to happen. Coastal Carolina relies heavily on their run game to move the ball with 65% of their offensive plays this season being rushing attempts. Conversely, BYU allows a mere 88 yards per game on the ground and just 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. This line speaks volumes to me with the #9 Cougars as a double-digit road favorite against the #14 and undefeated Coastal Carolina. Bet on BYU minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-04-20 | Wisconsin v. Marquette +5 | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Marquette +5.0 (10*) This series has been about as even as you can get in recent years with each team winning 8 times since 2004. Marquette will be smarting after an 8-point home loss to Oklahoma State in their previous outing. Marquette has gone 45-3 straight up in their last 48 non-conference home games following a loss. Wisconsin is 3-0 but all those contests were played on their home floor and came against weak competition. There has been one common opponent for these teams and that was Eastern Illinois. Wisconsin defeated them by 10 in their season opener while Marquette won by a decisive 25-point margin. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Buccaneers 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has been a resilient team thus far. Despite their somewhat disappoing 6-4 record thus far, they have shown an ability to bounce back strong from a poor performance. The Bucs are coming off a Monday night 27-24 home loss to the Rams in a game they were only able to muster 251 yards of offense. However, Tampa Bay has gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by an enormous 21.7 points per game. Included in those 3 wins was a 38-10 rout of the 7-3 Green Bay Packers. I may be in the minority and that’s okay when I say that Tampa Bay may matchup better against Kansas City than any other NFC team. They have an outstanding wide receiver corps, quality tight ends, and running back Ronald Jones is having a career year. Their defense is #1 against the run for 2 seasons running, #6 in total yards allowed, and #4 in sacks with 32. Their linebackers are extremely athletic and that always helps when facing a mobile quarterback, the caliber of Patrick Mahomes. If the Chiefs have a weakness it has been their ineffectiveness in consistently stopping opposing running games. They rank #27 in that specific category while allowing 133.5 yards per game. The combination of Jones and Leonard Fournette are more than capable of exposing that potential weakness. That will open up the play action passing game for Tom Brady and his star-studded wide receivers. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M -14.5 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
LSU @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Texas A&M -14.5 (10*) Thee first college football playoff rankings came out this week and 5-1 Texas A&M is #5. The Aggies can justify their ranking with a decisive win over defending national champion LSU on Saturday night. LSU is a mediocre 3-3 and is a shell of the team they were a season ago. The Tigers are coming off a gratifying 27-24 win at Arkansas. However, they are 0-2 SU&ATS this season following a win and allowed a combined 93 points in those losses to Missouri and Auburn. As a matter of fact, LSU has allowed 44 points or more and 506 yards or greater in all 3 of their losses this season. They will be facing a Texas A&M offense which has averaged 39.8 points scored and 460.0 yards gained during their current 4-gamee win streak. The Aggies only loss this season came at the hands of #1 Alabama. Texas A&M will also be out to revenge a humiliating 50-7 loss at LSU last season. The Aggies will enter this game with plenty of rest as they take the field for a first time in 3 weeks. Bet on Texas A&M minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Idaho State v. UC-Davis UNDER 144 | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Idaho State vs. UC-Davis 4:00 PM T Game# 713-714 Play On: Under 144.0 (10*) My personal numbers that I use on this contest indicates the total should be 136.0 That’s a sizable 8.0-points below the current total which from my experiences in using these calculations is significant. Idaho State has gone under in their first 2 games and there was only a combined average of 116.0 points scored per game. They were key contributors to those low scoring affairs due to playing at snail’s pace offensively which has seen them average just 44 field goal attempts per contest. Even more compelling is they shot a horrible 34.8% while doing so and made a subpar 64.1% of their free throws. Any neutral court team (UC-Davis) with a total of (140.0 to 149.5) that had a win percentage of .400 to .490 in the previous season, versus a team that had a losing record during the season before, resulted in those games going 71-28 (71.7%) under since 1997. The average total in those 99 contests was 144.6 and there were a combined 137.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Marquette UNDER 150.5 | Top | 50-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Eastern Illinois @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Under 150.5 (10*) Although the tempo is in this game will not be anywhere near a snail’s pace, it also won’t be far from blazingly fast. When crunching my numbers, I came up with a total of 142.0 on this game which is well below the current number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager |
|||||||
11-25-20 | UCLA v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
UCLA @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: San Diego State +3.0 (10*) My preseason power ratings indicate that San Diego State should be a 4.5-point favorite in this game instead of a 3.0-point underdog. That is a huge 7.5-point overlay that favors the home underdog Aztecs. UCLA is an experienced team that returns all 5 starters and is #22 in the college basketball preseason poll. However, it is extremely difficult for opponents to win at Viejas Arena in San Diego. How difficult is it? Since the start of the 2008-2009 season, San Diego State has gone 174-24 (.879) straight up at home. That lends itself well to home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on San Diego State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Bengals v. Washington Football Team -1 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington -1.0 (10*) For starters, Cincinnati is an abysmal 0-16-1 straight up during their last 17 away games. Considering what this point-spread is, it would be difficult to ignore the Bengals most recent futility on the road. Cincinnati will be facing a vastly underrated Washington defense which goes overlooked because of its current 2-7 record. However, the Washington stop unit ranks #7 in yards allowed per game (320.7), #5 in sacks with 28, and surrenders an NFL best 194.7 yards passing per game. What has been even more encouraging for Washington backers is their team has shown some life offensively of late. During their last 3 outing, Washington has averaged 24 points scored and 421 yards gained per game. Veteran 36-year-old quarterback Alex Smith made his first start in a 27-24 loss at Detroit last Sunday. He was magnificent in going 38-55 for 390 yards passing. His story is well documented and serves as an additional inspiration for a team that is still in contention for a NFC East Division title. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Liberty v. NC State -3.5 | Top | 14-15 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
Liberty @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: NC State -3.5 (10*) If NC State even contemplated taking Liberty lightly all they need to do is use Virginia Tech as a lesson not to do so. Liberty went into Blacksburg earlier this season and defeated Virginia Tech 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog. This certainly will be a bigger game for upstart Liberty while seeking their 2nd win over a Power 5 Conference school this season. However, NC State has unequivocally played the tougher schedule and combined with my previous point made should have no excuse on Saturday to come up with nothing less than a huge effort. Liberty is coming off a 58-14 blowout win over West Carolina and that improved their season record to 8-0. Conversely, Virginia Tech is coming off a 38-22 win over Florida State which now makes them 5-3 this season. The combination of this data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 2.0 or more that has at least 1 loss on the season, and they scored 22 points or greater during its previous game, versus an undefeated opponent that is playing after Game 8 of their season who allowed 27 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was 20.3 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Seahawks v. Rams -2 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Rams -2.0 (10*) The Seahawks defense has been brutal this season and especially against opposing passing games. They rank dead last in total defense having allowed 455.8 yards per game and that includes an NFL worst 362.1 yards per contest. How bad is their defensive passing numbers? The next worst is Atlanta who surrenders 51.8 passing yards fewer per game than Seattle. The Seahawks have been bailed out by the heroics of their quarterback Russel Wilson. However, Wilson turned the ball over via interception or fumbles 7 times over the Seahawks last 3 games of which 2 of those contests resulted in losses. The Rams are unequivocally the more balanced team in this matchup in terms of offense and defense. They are #2 in total defense and #6 in total offense heading into this game. Head coach Sean McVay is a brilliant offensive mind and will have a field day calling plays that will thoroughly exploit this inept Seattle defense. By the way, since 2018, the Rams are 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less. Los Angles is coming off their bye week and benefit from that extra time to prepare and rest for this huge game against a team they trail by a mere 1.0 game in the NFC West standings. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Arkansas v. Florida -17 | Top | 35-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
Arkansas @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Florida -17.0 (10*) At first glance when looking at this line on Monday, my initial feeling was Florida would be in for an emotional letdown after defeating Georgia for a first time in 4 tries during its previous game. However, that win catapulted them to #6 in the country, and if they aspire to be in the SEC title game or the College Football 4-team Playoff, they have no room for error. Additionally, they are going to need some style points along the way. Arkansas has been a nice story this season under first year head coach Sam Pittman. After being an SEC laughingstock for the past few seasons, the Razorbacks are a respectable 3-3 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in those contests. It is highly improbable that Florida will overlook this game in lieu of what they have at stake and how competitive of an opponent they will be facing. Furthermore, the Razorbacks will be without head coach Sam Pittman who tested positive for COVID-19 this week. Former Missouri head coach and now Arkansas defensive coordinator will take on the temporary head coaching duties. From an emotional standpoint, that will affect the Razorbacks in some way, shape, or form. I look for Florida to make a further emphatic statement in “The Swamp” on Saturday night. Bet on Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Cardinals 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Cardinals -4.5 (10*) Miami is coming off a 28-14 home win over the Rams. However, they were outgained in that game by a decisive margin of 471-145. The Dolphins scored 2 touchdowns in that win via a 78-yard fumble return and an 88-yard punt return. The Rams also committed 4 turnovers and 2 of which set the Miami offense up with a short field to work with. Tua Tagovailoa made his much-anticipated NFL debut last Sunday and was an uninspiring 12-23 for 90 yards passing. This will be his first career start on the road. Arizona is coming off their bye week and is coming off a thrilling 37-34 overtime win over NFC West Division leading Seattle (6-1). Bet on the Cardinals minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Baylor v. Iowa State -13.5 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Baylor @ Iowa State 7:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Iowa State -13.5 (10*) It is clear at this point that Baylor is nowhere near the caliber of team that they were a season ago under current Carolina Panthers head coach Matt Ruhle. Iowa State is better than their present 4-2 record indicates. Iowa State is averaging 433.3 yards of total offense per game. The Cyclones are coming off a 52-22 blowout win at Kansas in a game they outgained the Jayhawks by 302 total yards. Baylor is allowing 371.8 yards per game. The combination of this data sets up a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of between 10.5 to 21.0 points that is coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by 125 yards or more, and that home favorite is facing an opponent which is allowing between 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home favorites going 25-2 ATS since 2011. The average line in those 27 contests was 15.2 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by a substantial 24.9 points per game. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -125 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
Steelers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Baltimore -3.5 (10*) Pittsburgh is coming off a very physical game last week at Tennessee in a game in which they nearly squandered 20-point 2nd half lead before holding on for a 27-24 win. That win improved their season record to an unblemished 6-0. I am sure a good portion of public action will back the undefeated Steelers as an underdog this week. However, I am not one of those individuals. Especially when considering they will be facing a 5-1 Ravens team which is coming off their buy week and one that may be even more physical than Tennessee. Furthermore, since 2002, Baltimore has gone a terrific 15-3 straight up and 14-4 ATS following a bye week. During that time, the Ravens have had only two head coaches in Brian Billick and John Harbaugh. There is something to be said for continuity when making sense of those extremely profitable results. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 11 m | Show |
Ohio State @ Penn State 7:30 PM ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Penn State +12.5 (10*) Despite losing being upset 36-35 at Indiana last week as a 7.0-point favorite, Penn State outgained the Hoosiers 488-211. Ohio State is coming off a season opening home blowout win over Nebraska. However, the Cornhuskers were able to move the ball evidenced by its 370 yards of total offense in that contest. Any college football conference home underdog of 14.0 or less that is coming off an away favorite of 7.0 or greater straight up loss in which they allowed 22 points or greater, and they are facing an opponent coming off a home win by 17 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 2009. The home underdogs also won 6 of those 11 games straight up. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-27-20 | Rays +121 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rays (Snell) vs. Dodgers (Gonsolin 8;08 PM ET Play On: Rays +121 (108) The Rays sense of urgency will be at peak capacity tonight as they face elimination. They are 2-0 this postseason when facing elimination with wins over the Yankees and Astros. Tampa is coming off a 4-2 loss in Game 5. The good news is they are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 games this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater following a loss. The rays will have an excellent opportunity to jump out to a lead tonight against Tony Gonsolin who has struggled in 2 postseason starts. The Rays Blake Snell is a former American League Cy Young winner and I look for a strong 5.0 innings out of him. Bet on the Rays as a 10* Top Play money line underdog. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 38 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cardinals 8:20 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Cardinals +3.5 (10*) The Seahawks offense has been Super Bowl caliber thus far led by star quarterback Russell Wilson and an extremely talented group of wide receivers. Nevertheless, their defense has been another story and has shown no signs of improvement at this point. The Seattle stop unit is allowing 27.2 points and an atrocious 471.2 yards per game. They are especially inept against the pass which is indicated by them surrendering 280 yards per game in that specific category. Moreover, they allowed Minnesota (1-5) to rush for over 200 yards last week in a game they narrowly escaped with a 27-26 win as a home favorite of 6.5-points. That porous Seattle defense will have their hands full on Sunday night against an Arizona offense that averages 27.7 points and 402.5 yards per game. You also may be surprised to know that the Cardinals defense has been stellar as well while allowing just 18.7 points per game which is 4th best in the NFL. The Cardinals are coming off an impressive 38-10 home win at Dallas. If they hope to be a serious contender in the NFC West race, then this is an early must win situation. A win moves them to within 1.0 game of Seattle, and a loss would put them in a substantial 3.0 game hole. Any NFL team (Arizona) which is coming off a road win by 21 points or more and is facing an opponent (Seattle) coming off a home game in which both teams scored 24 points or greater, resulted in those teams going 41-11 (78.8%) straight up since 1983. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the home underdog. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
10-24-20 | NC State v. North Carolina -14.5 | Top | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
NC State @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: North Carolina -14.5 (10*) The first thing that jumped out at me was the double-digit point-spread. Especially when consider North Carolina heads into this week ranked 14th and NC State comes in at #23. It seems the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. I know that a high percentage of bettors will take the bait considering North Carolina was upset at Florida State last week as a 14.0-point favorite, and NC State has gone 3-0 SU&ATS since losing to Virginia Tech 45-24. Speaking of Virginia Tech, North Carolina beat them 56-45 just 2 weeks ago while racking up an enormous 558 yards of total offense. NC State turned the ball over 3 times in their previous game. Since 2018, the Wolfpack have gone 0-7 SU&ATS following a game in which they committed 3 or more turnovers and lost by an average of 23.1 points per contest. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +1.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
Green Bay @ Tampa Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Tampa Bay +1.5 (10*) The Tampa Bay defense has been stout against the run since Bruce Arians took over as their head coach. They were #1 in the NFL pertaining to that category last season and they led the league this year as well while yielding a scant 58 yards per game. The Packers Aaron Rodgers is going to get his yards in the air. However, Rodgers has been aided by the stellar performance of running back Aaron Jones who has averaged 93.5 yards rushing per game during the Packers 4-0 start. The production by Jones has made the Packers play action passing game extremely effective. Nevertheless, I like the Bucs defense ability to shut down the run and make Green Bay a one-dimensional offense on Sunday. Green Bay is a perfect 4-0 this season. However, all 4 wins have come against teams who currently have a win percentage of less than .500 and sport a cumulative record of 4-15. Conversely, Tampa Bay is 3-2 and their first 5 opponents currently have a combined 14-10 record. Additionally, legendary Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady will have his full compliment of wide receivers available for a first time since Week 1. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 143-144 Bet On: Mississippi State +5.5 (10*) This is a dangerous spot for Texas A&M after they pulled of a home upset over then #3 Florida last week. As a matter of fact, the Aggies last 2 games have come against #2 Alabama and the previously mentioned contest versus Florida. Now they face a Mississippi State team which is coming off a pair of disappointing losses to Arkansas and Kentucky after beginning their season with an upset win at LSU. As the old cliché goes, “beware of the wounded animal”. I just can not envision Texas A&M coming close to the same intensity level they had in their last games which came against Top 10 ranked teams. Despite suffering 2 straight losses, the Bulldogs outgained both those opponents by 125 and 136 yards. The problem was, they committed an alarmingly high 10 turnovers in those defeats and now have 14 in their first 3 games. I just do not see the volume of mistakes continuing to occur on Saturday. Furthermore, despite the offense putting their defense in tough sports because of turnovers, the Bulldogs are allowing only 285.7 yards per game to their opponents. They have been especially strong against the run while allowing only 39 yards rushing per game. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-13-20 | Rays v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Rays (Yarbrough) vs. Astros (Urquidy) 8:40 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) The Astros have scored just a combined 3 runs during the first 2 games of this series. However, it is not like they were not creating scoring opportunities. Houston had an alarmingly high 20 men left on base in those first 2 games. There are too many quality hitters with substantial postseason experience in the Houston lineup for that trend to continue. Jose Urquidy was prone to give up the long ball in his only other start this postseason which came against Oakland. During that outing, Urquidy allowed 4 home runs in just 4.0 innings pitched. The rays have cracked 17 home runs in 9 postseason games while Houston went yard 15 times during these 2020 playoffs. Bet this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-12-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Braves (Fried) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 8:08 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) If the Braves have any realistic hope in winning this series, it is paramount they win with their ace Max Fried on the mound. Atlanta has gone a terrific 12-1 with Fried as their starter. Having said that, I am counting on Fried coming up with a quality start tonight more than relying on Atlanta winning. Furthermore, Atlanta is a perfect 5-0 this postseason and post shutouts in 4 of those victories. The Braves bullpen has collected a microscopic 0.44 ERA in 20 1/3 innings of work this postseason and is averaging better than 1 strikeout per inning. On a negative note, Atlanta has a poor .294 team OBP during this postseason. The Dodgers will counter with their young right-hander Walker Buehler. The Dodgers hurler has seen each of his previous 3 starts go under the total while compiling a stellar 2.2 ERA. The Dodgers bullpen is arguably the best in baseball, and they have a combined 1.65 ERA this postseason. The powerful Dodger lineup has hit just 2 home runs in 5 postseason games and that comes after averaging 1.97 home runs per outing during regular season action. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -9 | Top | 43-17 | Loss | -106 | 49 h 5 m | Show |
Dolphins @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: 49ers -9.0 (10*) The 49ers are coming off a disappointing 25-20 home loss to Philadelphia in a game in which they were a sizable 7.5-point favorite. They suffered that defeat despite outgaining the Eagles 417-290 but were plagued by committing 3 turnovers. San Francisco starting Jimmy Garoppolo returns is probable to return from injury after a 2-week absence due to injury. Garoppolo will be facing a Miami defense which has allowed 24.0 points and 410.0 yards per game. I am sure that Miami will receive their fair share of public action since San Francisco has gone 0-2 SU&ATS at home thus far. With that in mind, then why is San Francisco such a large favorite? The sportsbooks just are not so generous and they are begging you to take the underdog in this contest. I am not taking the bait. Bet on the 49ers minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -14 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 48 m | Show |
Miami @ Clemson 7:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Clemson -14.0 (10*) Both teams come in with unblemished 3-0 records. Nonetheless, Miami is 3-0 ATS during those contests while Clemson failed to cover as a double-digit favorite on each occasion. However, it must be noted, the defending ACC Champion Tigers were a favorite of 28.0 or greater in all those contests. Truth be told, they sleepwalked through each of those victories and obviously looked uninspired while playing vastly inferior opposition. That will not be the case with #7 Miami and their star transfer quarterback D’Eriq King coming to Death Valley. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-04-20 | Bills -3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
Bills @ Raiders 4:25 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Bills -3.0 (10*) Buffalo has started 3-0 and covered 2 of those contests. They were a favorite on each of those occasions and their only ATS loss came when Miami was able to back door them on a touchdown with 0:49 left in the game. The Buffalo defense has not played well during their previous 2 games. However, this is the same core group of players that was one of the best stop units in the NFL last year. I look for a much better performance from the defense last week and more of what we were used to seeing a season ago. The Buffalo offense has been terrific through the first 3 weeks. Quarterback Josh Allen has been especially good and has taken a giant leap thus far in his 3rd season. Allen has thrown for over 1000 yards in 3 games in addition to tossing 10 touchdown passes and ran for 2 scores as well. The Raiders defense has not exactly been stellar during their 2-1 start. They are allowing 30.0 points and 406.0 yards per game. Conversely the bills offense is averaging 31.0 points and 434. Yards per game. Bet on Buffalo minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-03-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
Oklahoma @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET Game# 123-12 Play On: Iowa State +7.5 (10*) I know many college football bettors will not be courageous enough to fade Oklahoma following a loss. However, I am not only willing to do so but it is going to be my largest wager on Saturday. Oklahoma had a commanding 35-17 lead in the 4th quarter against Kansas State last Saturday. Nevertheless, the Wildcats scored 24 unanswered and came away with a huge 38-35 upset win as a 27.5-point road underdog. Now Oklahoma has not lost 2 consecutive regular season games since 1999. As a result, public betting has favorited Oklahoma big time thus far. Yet, this line went from Oklahoma opening as a 9.5-point favorite down its current state of -7.5. This is a chance for redemption on many fronts for Iowa State. First, they will be out to atone for a poor showing in their home opener when they were knocked off by UL-Lafayette 31-14 in a game they closed as a 13.0-point favorite. Secondly, they will be out to revenge a narrow 42-41 loss at Oklahoma last year in a game they were a 14.5-point underdog, and failed on a 2-point conversion late in that contest which would have earned them an upset over the eventual Big 12 champion. Despite Oklahoma winning 5 straight Big 12 titles and making it to the College Football Playoffs the last 3 years, Iowa State has played the Sooners extremely tough. As a matter of fact, since Matt Campbell took over the head coach duties at Iowa State in 2016, The Cyclone have gone just 1-3 against Oklahoma but all 3 losses came by 10 points or less. Bet on Iowa State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-30-20 | White Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
White Sox (Keuchel) @ Athletics (Bassitt) 3:10 PM ET Game# 945-946 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The current White Sox active roster is 9-59 (.186 BA) against the Oakland starting pitcher Chris Bassitt. Speaking of Bassitt, he has been brilliant over his previous 4 starts while recording a microscopic 0.34 ERA in 26 2/3 innings pitched. Additionally, Bassitt has compiled a superb 0.72 ERA in 6 home starts this season and each of those games went under the total, Oakland has gone 19-10-2 to the under at home this season. The White Sox will go with veteran Dallas Keuchel on the mound today. Keuchel has an exceptional 0.45 ERA during his last 4 starts. During 7 road starts this season, Keuchel has collected a terrific 1.60 ERA and 5 of those games went under. Bet on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-27-20 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 485-486 Play On: Cowboys +5.5 (10*) Despite playing poorly last week Dallas overcame a 29-10 halftime deficit to miraculously beat Atlanta 40-39 and avoid an 0-2 start. I look for them to carry that momentum into their game at Seattle this week. The Seattle defense has been getting bailed out by some off the chart numbers from their star quarterback Russell Wilson during its 2-0 start. Nonetheless, the fact still remains, their pass defense is horrible, and it was last season as well. During their first 2 games, Matt Ryan has passed for 450 yards and Cam Newton went for 397 in the air against them. They will be facing a good one in Dak Prescott on Sunday who threw for 450 yards last week against Atlanta. Bet on the Cowboys plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -12.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Army @ Cincinnati 3:30 PM ET Game# 435-436 Play On: Cincinnati -12.5 (10*) Army has looked terrific in 2 blowout wins over Middle Tennessee State and UL-Monroe. Their vaunted triple option rushing attack has looked in midseason form while racking up 390 yards per game on the ground and averaging 36 minutes in time of possession per game. Nonetheless, they will be stepping up in class considerably in their first road game of the season against a Cincinnati team that has gone a superb 22-5 during the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats return 8 starters on defense and 15 of its top 17 tacklers from a year ago. The Cincinnati defensive line may be the best in the AAC this season. I look for the Bearcats to open an early lead and give Army a taste of its own medicine by controlling the tempo of this game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 10* Top Play |
|||||||
09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | Top | 114-108 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Lakers @ Nuggets 8:20 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Under 215.0 (10*) The Lakers went over the total in their previous game. They have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 this postseason following a game which went over. The Lakers allowed Denver to shoot a sizzling hot 54% during their Game 3 loss. Los Angeles is 4-0 to the under this season when the total is 222.0 or less and their previous opponent shot 50% or better. Those 4 contests had an average total of 216.1 and there were a combined 189.0 points scored per game. Conversely, Denver is 9-0 to the under this season when the total is 219.5 or less and they shot 52% or better in their previous game. There was an average total of 212.9 in those 9 contests and a combined 199.2 points were scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play total. |
|||||||
09-22-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Lakers vs. Nuggets 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Lakers -6.5 (10*) The Nuggets are coming off a deflating buzzer beating loss in Game 2. They have also expended a lot of energy in their last 2 series coming back from 3-1 deficits on each occasion. By the way, that’s never been done in NBA Playoff history. I doubt they have much gas left in the tank going forward. Conversely, the Lakers needed only 10 games in their last 2 series to advance to this point. Lastly, Lebron James knows the value of having additional rest at this time of the season `since he possesses plenty of experience in advancing to the NBA Finals. Getting this series over sooner rather than later coincides with that thought process. The Lakers are coming off a narrow 102-100 win in Game 2 of this series while failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. Including regular season action, the Lakers are 62-21 (.747) and Denver 54-35 (.607). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is displayed below. Any NBA favorite coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those favorites going 70-21 ATS (76.9%) since 1996. The average line in those 91 games was -5.1 and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 11.1 points per contest. Bet on the Lakers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Patriots @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (10*) I said it before the season, and I will say it again, anytime you get an opportunity to catch a Seattle game that has a total of 49.5 or less you should give strong consideration to bet the over. Last week in their season opener against Atlanta the total closed at 49.5 and the Seahawks prevailed 38-25 which easily surpassed the number. The Patriots are coming off a 21-11 win over Miami. However, now they are going to face on of the best quarterbacks in football with Russell Wilson as opposed to the Dolphins Ryan Fitzpatrick. You will not get many to disagree that Wilson is a huge step up in class compared to the former Harvard quarterback. Seattle is also vastly superior at the offensive skilled positions in comparison to Miami. The Patriots defense is still a formidable group. Nevertheless, they lost some key personnel from that exceptional unit from last season. It did not show up against Miami, but it will against this Seattle offense. I would be shocked if the New England offense does not expose the biggest defensive weakness for Seattle and that is their secondary. Matt Ryan torched the Seattle defense for 450 passing yards last week and 3 receivers went over 100 yards for the day. The Seattle pass defense has been a major issue for them dating back to last season. There is no more “Legion of Boom”. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-19-20 | SMU v. North Texas OVER 69 | Top | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Over 69.0 (10*) The enormous total in this game is for good reason. It still is not enough to scare me away. North Texas had over 700 yards of offense and allowed more than 500 in a 7-31 win over Houston Baptist in their season opener. They now will face one of the more prolific passing attacks in college football during recent years when they take on SMU this Saturday. The SMU secondary is vulnerable against good passing attacks and North Texas has exactly that. This will be an extremely high scoring game in which they winning team will most likely have to score 50 points or more. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Celtics vs. Heat 7:00 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Under 209. (10*) These teams went over the total in the opening game of this series on Tuesday night. Miami has gone under 5 consecutive times following an under in their previous contest and those games went under by an average of 1. Points per game. Boston has gone 9-3 to the under during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and 2 of the 3 overs were due to a pair of games going overtime. As a matter of fact, both games that required extra time were tied by an identical score of 98-98 at the end of 4 quarters, and that includes Game 1 of this series. Furthermore, Boston has allowed 101 points or fewer in regulation time during 10 of their 12 postseason contests. Despite the double overtime thriller on Tuesday won by Miami, both teams combined for an extremely low 173 field goal attempts. These teams witnessed all 3 of their regular season matchups go under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |