03-27-24 |
Pacers -2.5 v. Bulls |
|
99-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Bulls 8:10: Road team 4-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pacers traveling well (5-1 SU/ATS last 6 road tilts). Indiana getting great work out of Siakam lately. Meanwhile, Bulls have lost 3 straight including an inexcusable loss to a depleted cellar dweller - Washington on Monday. Grab the Pacers.
|
03-27-24 |
UNLV +6.5 v. Seton Hall |
|
68-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
UNLV/Seton Hall 7:00: I realize the Big East has been a strong conference this season and dominating in the NCAA Tournament. Seton Hall narrowly missed the Big Dance and playing like it has a chip on its shoulder in the NIT; however, UNLV is no lightweight. They played well in a strong MWC and sport a profitable 18-10 ATS season mark. Moreover, they've played very well on the road (8-3 ATS). They're playing a great stretch of basketball now including lighting up the perimeter at near 44% in this tournament. Sure, they have to travel cross country for this one but I believe they have the wherewithal to deliver. Seton Hall has shown inconsistency throughout the year. They're just 6-7 ATS in their last 13 at home. We'll grab the points.
|
03-25-24 |
Suns v. Spurs +12.5 |
|
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
Suns/Spurs 8:10: On the surface, this looks to be another route. Suns are reasonably healthy this time of year with a fully loaded lineup while the Spurs will be without Wembanyama (ankle). Spurs got smoked in the front end of this series at Frost Bank Center. Suns, however, do have Denver on deck Wednesday and may rest some starters late. Spurs still have some fight, and pride, left in them and should put up a respectable revenge effort here. Backdoor cover a possibility. Spurs the call.
|
03-24-24 |
Yale +5.5 v. San Diego State |
|
57-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 19 m |
Show
|
Yale/SDSU 9:40: Bulldogs outcoached and outplayed a very good Auburn team that most sportswriters had going to the Final Four. Yale is proficient on both sides of the floor. Poulakidas and Mahoney are a solid backcourt with clutch capability. On the other hand, respect SDSU but they struggle offensively and should allow Yale to stick around in this game.
|
03-24-24 |
Texas A&M +10.5 v. Houston |
Top |
95-100 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M/Houston 8:40: Texas A&M was a horrible shooting team for most of the season but have come on recently as Taylor IV is getting more offensive support. What was keeping them in the game is their dominance on the glass. A great rebounding team - especially on the offensive boards and that is one area where Houston struggles. Houston won this game earlier in the year but Aggies' Radford was not playing. A&M is a scrappy and physical team that matches well with Houston. Remember, A&M won at Iowa State 73-69 earlier in the season. That was Iowa State's only home loss. Now that the Aggies are finding their offensive rhythm, we'll look for them to give the Cougars trouble.
|
03-24-24 |
Grand Canyon +6 v. Alabama |
|
61-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
|
Grand Canyon/Alabama 7:10: Alabama holds the distinction as the #1 scoring offense in the league at 91.3 PPG; however, defensively they also allow a whopping 81.5 PPG (353rd). Teams that are able to slow them down, limit turnovers, and get back on defense to avoid the Tide's transition buckets, will usually win. Grand Canyon is well disciplined defensively and has an offensive game with a solid backcourt in Grant-Foster and Harrison. Take the Antelopes.
|
03-24-24 |
James Madison +7.5 v. Duke |
|
55-93 |
Loss |
-109 |
16 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-24-24 |
Georgia +9.5 v. Wake Forest |
|
72-66 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
03-23-24 |
Oregon +5 v. Creighton |
|
73-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
Oregon/Creighton 9:40: PAC 12 continues to do well in this tournament and I'm staying on Oregon. Oregon's HC Altman does his best work this time of year. He's got a great backcourt in Couisnard, Shelstad and an inside presence with Dante. Take the points.
|
03-23-24 |
Washington State +7 v. Iowa State |
|
56-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
Washington State/Iowa State 6:10: PAC 12 an underrated conference with the likes of Arizona, Colorado, Oregon and the Cougars hanging around here. Cougars are no joke. This season they defeated Oregon, Colorado and Arizona twice! Iowa State is ridiculously locked into their man/zone hybrid defense; however, Cougars capable of lighting it up from the perimeter as they did Thursday at 50% vs Drake. To beat Iowa State, you have to have that perimeter game working. We'll look for the Cougars to hang around.
|
03-23-24 |
Michigan State +4 v. North Carolina |
|
69-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 27 m |
Show
|
Michigan State/North Carolina 5:30: I won't underestimate the ability of Tom Izzo in getting his men ready for NCAA Tournament play. The Spartans have underachieved virtually all season but starting to mesh at the right time. We'll look for Michigan State to find a way to limit Davis and Bacot while unleashing Akins and company. Izzo sports an NCAA Tournament record of 17 victories in games as a lower seed, including 64-51-win vs Mississippi State Thursday. Take the points.
|
03-23-24 |
Gonzaga -4.5 v. Kansas |
|
89-68 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
Gonzaga/Kansas 3:15: Kansas barely hung on against the game Samford Bulldogs on Thursday. Jayhawks were outscored 30 points from beyond the arc and still survived. I don't believe the Jayhawks have the wherewithal to beat Gonzaga without their All-American McCullar (knee). We'll look for Few to continue to advance to the Sweet 16.
|
03-23-24 |
Dayton +9.5 v. Arizona |
|
68-78 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
Dayton/Arizona 12:45: Dayton showed moxie Thursday by overcoming a 17-point deficit with 7:39 left in the game. The Flyers put together a 24-4 run. Flyers able to make stops when needed and have the 3-point shooting (40.2% - 3rd nationally) to give the Wildcats trouble. Someone always stepping up for Dayton. DaRon Holmes, Brea, Santos are consistent scorers. Anthony Grant has done a great job coaching them. They've only suffered one bad loss - a 14-point fall at #1 Houston as a 12-point dog. Arizona's top gun - Caleb Love - struggling to the tune of 13 of 51 (25.5%) last 4 games. We'll grab the points.
|
03-22-24 |
TCU v. Utah State +4 |
|
72-88 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
Utah State/TCU 9:55: TCU is a prolific scoring team but tend to struggle when forced into a half-court game. Utah State has demonstrated good defense on neutral floors this season under first year Aggies' HC Sprinkle. Utah State is led by 6'8" Osobor (18 PPG) with good support from the backcourt of Martinez, Brown and Falslev. TCU's Jamie Dixon - a great coach in the regular season but has had trouble in tournaments. We'll grab the points.
|
03-22-24 |
James Madison +5.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
72-61 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
James Madison/Wisconsin 9:40: JM not an easy out. They won 30 games on the season, including against Michigan State on November 6th. The Dukes' are 8th in the NCAA in scoring with 84.4 PPG. They shoot a healthy 48% from the floor while Wisconsin allows a generous 45.8% (320th). Wisconsin not used to seeing this kind of high-octane pace per game in the Big 10. Dukes' defense takes away the 3 pointer (28.8%) and limit from the floor scoring (41.3%). We'll take the points.
|
03-22-24 |
Yale v. Auburn -12.5 |
|
78-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
03-22-24 |
New Mexico -2.5 v. Clemson |
|
56-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
New Mexico/Clemson 3:10: Clemson was red hot early in the season playing great basketball with signature wins over NCAA Tournament teams. Then they went 11-9 SU against ACC teams and were routed by Boston College in the first round of the conference tournament. As for New Mexico, they are a solid tournament team that can play a physical half-court game and also run the floor in full court. They have a few players with NBA genes in House and Mashburn. Add Dent to the equation and the Lobos drop 82.6 PPG. Go with the Lobos.
|
03-21-24 |
South Dakota State v. Iowa State -15.5 |
|
65-82 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
SDS/Iowa State 7:35: Both head coaches know each other well from their years on the staff at South Dakota State. Henderson now runs the sidelines for the Jackrabbits and Otzelberger for Iowa State. Otzelberger surely has the talent on his side and he's coached them up well. I don't believe the Jackrabbits have the athleticism to outmaneuver the Cyclones. Iowa State just got off winning the Big 12 in a romp over #1 seed Houston. When they ratchet up the defensive intensity, teams struggle mightily to get into an offensive rhythm. And the Jackrabbits yield 71 PPG (182nd nationally). We'll lay the wood with the Cyclones.
|
03-21-24 |
McNeese State +6.5 v. Gonzaga |
|
65-86 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
McNeese State/Gonzaga 7:25: McNeese State no joke. They have TCU transfer Wells (Southland P.O.Y.) who can scorch the net from the perimeter at 37% while contributing 18 PPG. And he has support with Shumate and DJ Richards. The Cowboys are not only proficient on offense (80.4 PPG/39% 3 pt.) but can "D" up. They're the #1 FG% defense in the nation allowing 38.5% and sport the 4th scoring defense (61.5 PPG). Their HC Will Wade - in his first year at the helm of the Cowboys - has completely turned around the culture. Rember, Wade too LSU to the Sweet 16 back in the 2018-19 season. Gonzaga defense soft in spurts during games. And they land a bad draw here. Take McNeese State.
|
03-21-24 |
Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas |
|
44-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
Colorado State/Texas 6:50: Colorado State playing like they're in a power conference. Earlier in the season, they captured impressive tournament wins over BC, Washington, Colorado and crushed Creighton. They're hot again sweeping the conference tournament and blasting Virginia in the NCAA Play-In yesterday. Texas, which got to the Elite Eight last year, bowed out of the conference tournament against Kansas State. Texas defense not good enough to stall out the Rams. Take Colorado State.
|
03-21-24 |
Oregon +1.5 v. South Carolina |
|
87-73 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
Oregon/South Carolina 4:00: Great job by Gamecocks' HC Paris overachieving for the year with a team that the media had at the bottom of the SEC in a pre-season poll. They notched some strong wins and have a freshman -Murray-Boyles who is getting plenty of attention by NBA scouts. But don't rule out the Ducks as long as Dana Altman is manning the bench. He got his injury ravaged Ducks to the dance by sweeping (3-0) the PAC 12 Tournament. And he's a sweet 7-0 SU in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament as the Ducks' HC. Like Auburn's Bruce Pearl did, he'll find a way to slow down Murray-Boyles and steal a victory here.
|
03-20-24 |
Colorado v. Boise State +2.5 |
|
60-53 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 49 m |
Show
|
Colorado/Boise State 9:10: Boise notched a few strong wins including at St. Mary's, and swept San Diego State. Broncos using their disrespectful seeding along with being the underdog here as motivation. Broncos worked Colorado in Myrtle Beach last season. Broncos are a physical, defensive team that also has a respectable offense with four players in double-digits. Colorado State getting lots of action, but we'll grab the points with the Broncos.
|
03-19-24 |
Colorado State v. Virginia +2.5 |
|
67-42 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
Colorado State/Virginia 9:10: Contrasting styles take court in Dayton for the First Four In. Colorado State likes to push the ball up the floor while Virginia will attempt to slow the pace to a crawl. Both teams do have senior point guards - Stevens - Colorado State/Beekman - Virginia. I'm going to give the edge to Cavaliers' HC Bennett who guided the 2019 Virginia Cavaliers to the NCAA Tournament Championship. I believe his third ranked scoring defense (allow 59.5 PPG) can turn this into a half-court game. Colorado State is 0-6 SU when failing to score more than 65 points in a game. Virginia the call.
|
03-19-24 |
Kansas State +6 v. Iowa |
Top |
82-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
Kansas State/Iowa 9:00: Kansas State could have made a good argument to the NCAA Committee on why they weren't selected as one of teams in; after all, they had enough Quad 1 wins. It all boiled down to too many close wins vs lower tier teams, and the bid thieves. As for Iowa, they went 0-6 SU vs Top 3 seeded NCAA Tournament teams. Iowa has no trouble scoring. They are in the top tier of the NCAA in scoring at nearly 83 PPG; however, they're in the bottom tier of the NCAA in scoring defense - allowing 79 PPG. K State does not have a prolific scoring offense (72 PPG) but not deficient. They have a solid trifecta attack with Perry, Kaluma and Carter. And Wildcats' HC Tang has them playing solid defense (40.8% allowed from floor and 30.7% from perimeter) - which bodes well this time of year. K State is able to get those critical stops down the stretch while Iowa struggles in that area. We'll take the points with the road team.
|
03-18-24 |
Knicks +6.5 v. Warriors |
|
119-112 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Warriors 10:10: Knicks' defense has been awesome lately. Over the last five games, they've held opponents to an average of 83.2 PPG. And they're coming off a strong performance against Sacramento. They won't have to travel far in a revenge matchup tonight. The Knicks looking to avenge the 110-99 loss at MSG on February 29th. With a healthy Brunson - who makes his teammates on the floor a bit better, we'll look for NY to be competitive here.
|
03-17-24 |
Florida v. Auburn -5.5 |
|
67-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
Florida/Auburn 1:00: Florida, in its 4th game in as many days, should run out of gas here. They've done an amazing job and capitalized on turnovers while getting into a full court shootout. They were fortunate to have Aberdeen, who averages 2.6 PPG dropped 20 yesterday. That was an outlier and most likely won't happen here; after all, Bruce Pearl's boys are well schooled in tournament play and won't get into a shootout with the Gators. Tigers have played strong defense in both of their wins and should have fresher legs. Auburn the call.
|
03-17-24 |
Duquesne +2.5 v. VCU |
|
57-51 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 53 m |
Show
|
Duquesne/VCU 1:00: Both of these teams well-schooled and it should be a tough fight. But Dukes' HC Dambrot has years of tournament experience with an a near equal amount of talent. Dambrot coached 13 years at University of Akron getting them to the NCAA's for 3 years. He's building a quality program here and we'll give him the edge in tournament play. Duquesne sports a 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS mark in this series and I'll be glad to grab Dae Dae Grant and company as a dog.
|
03-16-24 |
New Mexico v. San Diego State -2.5 |
|
68-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-24 |
Nebraska +4.5 v. Illinois |
|
87-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-24 |
Texas A&M +3 v. Florida |
|
90-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
03-16-24 |
Wisconsin +6.5 v. Purdue |
|
76-75 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin/Purdue 1:00: Purdue has certainly been a consistent winner all season and deserved of #1 seeding in NCAA Tournament. Their urgency to win this game and move on to the conference finals not as great as Wisconsin's need. The Badgers had a bad losing streak down the stretch of the season (2-7 SU/0-9 ATS) but magically found its rhythm in this tournament. They throttled Maryland - a good defensive team - shooting 64% from the perimeter; moreover, they followed it up with a 45% 3-point range performance vs NW as Blackwell (4 of 6 from perimeter) joined the trey bomb party of Crowl, Storr, Klesmit. Badgers also have played the Boilermakers tough covering 4 of the last 5 in this series. I realize it is the 3rd game in 4 days for the Badgers but they're pretty deep and getting good minutes off the bench. Badgers proving to be a good neutral floor team 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS. We'll take the points.
|
03-15-24 |
Ohio v. Akron -2.5 |
|
62-65 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
03-15-24 |
Ohio State +5.5 v. Illinois |
|
74-77 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
03-15-24 |
Wisconsin v. Northwestern +4 |
|
70-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
03-14-24 |
Ohio State -1.5 v. Iowa |
|
90-78 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
03-14-24 |
St. John's -4 v. Seton Hall |
|
91-72 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
03-14-24 |
Mississippi State -4.5 v. LSU |
|
70-60 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
03-13-24 |
Lakers -2.5 v. Kings |
|
107-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Kings 10:10: Although the Kings have dominated this series (7-1 SU/ATS) in the last 8 matchups, this is a trouble spot for Sacramento. The Kings have not fared well in back-to-back games at 3-7 ATS; moreover, coming off a big win unrested just 1-4 ATS. Lakers' James (ankle) and Davis (Achilles) were in shoot around earlier so most likely a go. Lakers playing a decent stretch of basketball now and most likely will send a message to the young Kings. Look for Lakers to avoid the season sweep.
|
03-13-24 |
Missouri v. Georgia -2.5 |
|
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
Missouri/Georgia 9:30: Missouri had five in-season surgeries they had to deal with and the glaring weakness showed as the Tigers went winless in the SEC. Gates wasn't able to get his second-tier players up to speed and I don't see a turnaround here. Georgia, on the other hand, showed competitiveness on the road this season under White. Look for the Bulldogs to bounce back after a big loss and deliver.
|
03-13-24 |
Xavier v. Butler +2 |
|
76-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
03-13-24 |
Oklahoma +3 v. TCU |
Top |
70-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
03-13-24 |
USC -3.5 v. Washington |
|
80-74 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-24 |
Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +3.5 |
|
60-69 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
03-12-24 |
Miami-FL -2.5 v. Boston College |
|
65-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
03-11-24 |
Santa Clara +11.5 v. St. Mary's |
|
65-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
Santa Clara/St. Mary's 9:00: I like teams that can play on the road well and Santa Clara is one of them. They covered 8 of 11 road tilts and are coming off a 104-79 route of SD in the first round of the WCC Tournament in Las Vegas. As for the Gaels, they've been off since March 2nd - when they got thumped by Gonzaga. St. Mary's delivered a season sweep over the Broncos. The first one was 73-49 burial two days after the Broncos upset Gonzaga. The second one was a more competitive cover at St. Mary's. Sendek has a pretty solid history of same season revenge at 17-8 ATS. SC is a strong rebounding team, and they have a few dudes who can shoot - in Adama-Alpha Bal and 3 pt. marksman - Marshall. We'll take the points.
|
03-10-24 |
Michigan State v. Indiana +3.5 |
|
64-65 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
Michigan State/Indiana 4:30: The return of Xavier Johnson helped the Hoosiers deliver 3 straight wins. Johnson was out six games with an elbow injury. During that time the Hoosiers went on a 1-5 SU slide. Now that he's back, Indiana is playing a great stretch of basketball heading into the Big 10 tournament this Wednesday. Michigan State, however, coming in to this one on a 1-3 slide and needing a few breaks to go their way in an ugly home win against NW on Wednesday. Home team in this series is 6-1 ATS. We'll take the points with the home team.
|
03-10-24 |
Nebraska -5.5 v. Michigan |
|
85-70 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
Nebraska/Michigan Noon: Michigan pretty much packed their bags for the season as they sit in the #14 spot of the conference tournament on Wednesday. They'll have to win four straight tournament games to get an automatic bid to the dance - a highly unlikely scenario. As for Nebraska, not a good road team but, unlike Michigan, does have incentive here. A win here would guarantee them a double bye in the Big 10 tournament. One of the better teams in recent Nebraska history, we'll look for the Cornhuskers to complete the season sweep and cover vs the demoralized Wolverines.
|
03-09-24 |
Kansas +8.5 v. Houston |
Top |
46-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
Kansas/Houston 4:00: Kansas thrashed Houston in Lawrence 78-65 on February 3rd. Houston, of course, wants revenge but has its site on the bigger prize - deep run in NCAA Tournament. They already have clinched at least a share of the Big 12 regular season title with a win Wednesday over UCF. Sampson, however, is dealing with some bench production injuries. Jayhawks' veteran Coach Self knows how to utilize his bench and has a large percentage of the lineup available that buried Houston in Lawrence. Jayhawks can clinch the #3 Big 12 seed with a win here and that would clearly boost their seeding in the NCAA's. Kansas and the generous number of points here is the call.
|
03-09-24 |
South Carolina +5 v. Mississippi State |
|
93-89 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
S. Carolina/Miss State 2:30: Miss State trying to get to that 20-game win ledger but on an 0-3 slide leading to the conference tournaments. Meanwhile, South Carolina on a 3-1 ATS run. They were competitive vs class of SEC Tennessee on Wednesday falling short in the win and ATS column. Lamont Paris has done a great job preparing his boys to go on the road where they're a strong 8-2 ATS. They already notched a win against the Bulldogs earlier this season and can play relaxed here knowing they're in good shape to get an NCAA Tournament berth. Take the points.
|
03-09-24 |
Texas A&M +1.5 v. Ole Miss |
|
86-60 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M/Ole Miss 2:00: Ole Miss really struggling, especially down the stretch in games. Defensive minded Head Coach Chris Beard, who is a stickler for attention to detail and prep, really frustrated with his guys. On the other hand, Buzz Williams confident down the stretch that his team can get in the NCAA Tourney with a win here and a win in the Conference Tourney. We'll look for his boys to get it done. A&M looking to avenge their earlier season home loss to the Rebels, and they've covered 5 of the last 7 in this series. Aggies the call.
|
03-09-24 |
Arkansas +15 v. Alabama |
|
88-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
Arkansas/Alabama Noon: Arkansas is finally living up to a bit of the pre-season hype. After a miserable 1-6 SU start in SEC play, the Hogs have gone on a 5-1 ATS tear. Battle has gone off to the tune of 141 points over past 4 games. Sure, Alabama is the #1 scoring offense in the nation but also at the bottom tier of points allowed (349th) at 80.1 PPG. Arkansas capable of trading points on this floor. 'Tide not playing their best ball now. After that 7-1 SU run that launched them into the Top 25, they've lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Hogs are 8-2 ATS vs Alabama and getting a bit too many points. Take Arkansas.
|
03-08-24 |
Bucks -1.5 v. Lakers |
|
122-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-24 |
Celtics v. Nuggets +1.5 |
|
109-115 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-24 |
Heat +4.5 v. Mavs |
|
108-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
03-06-24 |
Connecticut v. Marquette +5.5 |
|
74-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
U Conn/Marguette 8:30: Marquette may have assist and points leader Kolek out, but they'll have big man Ighodaro back. He contributes heavily on the boards and adds 14 PPG. Chase Ross and Kam Jones are quality enough of a back court to deliver on Marquette's strong home floor. Marquette has knocked off U Conn the last two at this arena. Throw in revenge from the earlier season blowout and we got a play on with a dangerous Marquette team.
|
03-06-24 |
Houston v. UCF +8.5 |
|
67-59 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
Houston/UCF 7:00: Going to side with Johnny Dawkins and his boys which have been competitive in the Big 12 this season. They're 8-4 ATS in their last 12 dog roles. They've got some shooters which can hit from the perimeter in Sellers and Johnson. And they play respectable defense. Houston has a big target on their back as the #1 team and they're thin on the bench with Tugler, Arceneaux, Walker Jr. - all guys who come off the bench to put in quality minutes - out. Houston sports a sluggish 1-6 ATS role as a favorite and barely squeaking by on the Big 12 road. UCF off hard fought home loss to #8 Iowa State Saturday, will not be an easy out tonight. UCF the call.
|
03-05-24 |
Purdue v. Illinois -2 |
|
77-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
03-04-24 |
Thunder -1 v. Lakers |
|
104-116 |
Loss |
-112 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Thunder/Lakers 10:40: Thunder has had some trouble in Los Angeles losing 2 of their last 3 there. And they're coming off a grind out winning outing last night. Nevertheless, we'll side with the young guns of Oklahoma City that's 7-3 ATS in the second of back-to-back games this season. Lakers off another disappointing but predictable loss to Denver on Saturday. James got his 40,000 points record but logged plenty of minutes (37) in the process. And A.D. was near 39 minutes. Both are dealing with injuries - James (ankle) and A.D. (Achilles). OKC likes to run up and down the floor so it could be troublesome for the Lakers - especially with an uncertain Ham dishing out the minutes. OKC the call.
|
03-04-24 |
Texas v. Baylor -6.5 |
|
85-93 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
03-03-24 |
Rutgers v. Nebraska -8 |
|
56-67 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rutgers/Nebraska 6:30: Nebraska has a very strong home floor this season and can light it up from beyond the arc. Rutgers struggles to score on the road. Look for Nebraska to bounce back strong after sluggish outing at Ohio State on Thursday. Rutgers did snap out of their mid to late February funk with a convincing win over a Michigan team that's cashed in its chips for the season. But Nebraska a whole different animal in Lincoln (17-1). And they're in a revenge mode from January 17th OT loss. Nebraska the call.
|
03-03-24 |
Indiana v. Maryland UNDER 136.5 |
|
83-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
Indiana/MD 2:00: Both of these teams struggle offensively - 12th and 13th in Big Ten offensive production. MD clunks from beyond the arc at 28.2%. Indiana has trouble scoring on the road. Terps do bring defensive intensity and that should be a constant here. Terps are 0-8 O/U at home vs teams with losing records on the road. And 5 of the last 6 in this series has gone "under". We'll stay "under" here.
|
03-02-24 |
Nuggets +1.5 v. Lakers |
|
124-114 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/lakers 8:40: James should get his 40,000 tonight but Jokic and rolling Nuggets should get their 3rd win of the season against the Lakers. Murray (ankle) is questionable, and that's a concern; however, his backups - Jackson, Holiday, Braun shouldn't have trouble blending in with an uber talented Porter Jr., Caldwell Pope, Gordon and Jokic. Nuggets the call.
|
03-02-24 |
Michigan State +10.5 v. Purdue |
|
74-80 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Michigan State/Purdue 8:00: Michigan State appears in danger of ending their 25-year streak of an NCAA Tournament bid. They've lost two straight including a gut-wrenching loss at home to Ohio State on Sunday. On the other hand, Purdue has won 11 of their last 12 and in line for a #1 seeding in the NCAA Tournament; however, they're just 3-5 ATS in their last 8. And don't count Izzo and the Spartans out just yet. The wily veteran coach has elevated some of his past teams, much less talented than this one, to do some amazing things in March. He'll need an answer to stop Purdue's Edey who dropped an average of 35 points and 15 rebounds on his boys last season in two Boilermakers wins. He's had nearly a week to scheme. Remember, Michigan State was projected to be a Top 10 team in preseason. Take the points.
|
03-02-24 |
Iowa v. Northwestern -3 |
|
87-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
Iowa/Northwestern 5:30: Iowa absolutely owned this series until last season when the Wildcats blasted the Hawkeyes in Illinois. Boo Buie is a great floor leader with a strong supporting cast. Coach Collins has these guys playing great this time of year. Iowa has been suspect defensively virtually all season. We'll keep riding Northwestern.
|
03-02-24 |
Marquette v. Creighton -4.5 |
|
75-89 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
Marquette/Creigton 2:30: #5 Marquette playing a good stretch of basketball, but their reigning Big East P.O.Y. Tyler Kolek is battling an oblique injury and I'm going to side with Marquette keeping him out for this one based on where Marquette is sitting among the NCAA elite and well positioned going into the conference tournaments. Sure, Marquette still has a loaded backcourt in Jones, Mitchell and Ross, but Creighton is more needy of this win. The Blue Jays have some dudes too - Scheirman, Alexander and Kalkbrenner average around 17 PPG each! The Blue Jays are also well coached with McDermott. Creighton seeks triple revenge, having lost the last 3 in this series, including 72-67 in December at Marquette. When Creighton hits the accelerator, look out! Just ask U Conn in which they hung an 85-66 blasting on them not long ago. We'll lay the points with Creighton.
|
03-02-24 |
Oregon +13.5 v. Arizona |
|
83-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 46 m |
Show
|
Oregon/Arizona 2:00: Arizona won the first meeting in Eugene 87-78 on January 27th. Oregon is clearly on the bubble and could use a win here against the #6 ranked Wildcats. Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs Arizona under Altman. And we won't discount Dana Altman's 750 career wins in Division 1 basketball. He'll have his boys prepared and competitive. Ducks have collected a few strong wins on the PAC 12 road at Washington State, USC and Stanford. Altman a sweet 21-9 ATS in same season revenge. Take the points.
|
03-01-24 |
Cavs v. Pistons +8.5 |
|
110-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-29-24 |
St. Mary's -15 v. Pepperdine |
|
83-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
St. Mary's/Pepperdine 11:00: Analysis to follow...
|
02-29-24 |
Wizards +9.5 v. Lakers |
|
131-134 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
Wizards/Lakers 10:40: Lakers coming off a second half 21-point deficit comeback win over their court shared rival Clippers. Now, they go unrested at home against league bottom feeder Washington, that had a day off to mull stopping their 12-game losing streak. Consequently, that means James and Davis will either take the game off or check out mentally vs the punchless Wizards. Washington has actually been a decent spread winner on the road at 18-10-2. Former Laker Kuzma will surely be motivated to help ignite a fire in the belly of the Wizards. We'll take the points.
|
02-29-24 |
Nebraska v. Ohio State -3.5 |
|
69-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
Nebraska/Ohio State 6:30: Interim OSU Coach Diebler has the Buckeyes playing their best ball winning two of their last three games, including upsetting then #1 Purdue on the 18th and then an outright win at Michigan State as a 10-point dog last Sunday. Buckeyes will need a win here and at least a 3-game run in the conference tournament to secure an NCAA berth. Nebraska has been hot - 4-0 SU/ATS run. But the Huskers are not quite the team on the road that they are at home. Nebraska sports a minus 6.2 points differential in that role. Cornhuskers were fortunate to get 6'10" Mast go off for 34 points at home vs the Buckeyes in the January 23rd 83-69 win. Look for the Buckeyes to return the favor tonight.
|
02-28-24 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State UNDER 137 |
|
45-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma/Iowa State 8:00: This is the second game in this season series. Oklahoma took the first one 71-63 in Norman. Iowa State tough to beat at home where they're undefeated this season. Otzelberger's defense allows a stingy 63 PPG. The Cyclones pack the paint often in a man to zone switch at any given instant. Teams that can kick out and hit threes have moderate success. Oklahoma is not a great 3-point shooting team at a 34% clip. On the other hand, Porter Moser is another defensive minded coach who will have his boys schooled to bring optimum intensity. And they guard the perimeter well at 29% - 10th nationally. The last 3 played at Iowa State in this series combined for 122, 129 and 111, respectively. We'll look for both teams to ratchet up the defensive intensity again to stay "under"
|
02-28-24 |
Northwestern +6 v. Maryland |
|
68-61 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
Northwestern/Maryland 7:00: I was all over MD (+2) at Rutgers on Sunday. MD dominated the glass and suffocated the Scarlett Knights offensively. Tonight, I'm fading the Terps. NW won the first game at home 72-69. In the final minute NW's Boo Buie scored 2 buckets to ice it. MD's Jahmir Young is a scoring machine (20.7 PPG) but Buie is a playmaker down the stretch of games; as a matter of fact, in games decided by 5 points or less, Wildcats are 8-2 SU while the Terps are 1-9. I don't see MD dominating the boards against NW like they did vs Rutgers. NW had a few extra prep days for this, and we'll look for Collins' well coached boys to deliver.
|
02-28-24 |
Auburn +7.5 v. Tennessee |
|
84-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
Auburn/Tennessee 7:00: Bruce Pearl goes back to his old stomping grounds to challenge the team he once coached. He's had a great deal of success vs the Volunteers at 8-1 ATS. Possibility that F Jaylin Williams (knee) might sit out again; however, Baker Mazara picked filled the void well last Saturday with 25 points in a blowout of Georgia. Auburn (11) looking to strengthen their seeding for the tournaments and should be quite competitive here. Auburn the call.
|
02-27-24 |
Mavs +4.5 v. Cavs |
|
119-121 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Cavaliers 7:10: This series has gone to the visitor at 6-0 ATS. December 27th of this season, Cleveland went into Dallas to deliver a 113-110 win. Tonight, look for Dallas to return the favor. Irving and Doncic starting to play well together but will need not only Hardaway Jr. to step up his game but other supporting cast members against the #2 defensive team in the league. Dallas was riding a 7-game win streak until they stumbled at Indiana Sunday. Look for the Mavericks to bounce back vs a Cavaliers team on an 0-5 ATS slide. They're coming off a sluggish road win vs league bottom feeder Washington. Dallas the call.
|
02-27-24 |
Davidson +11 v. Dayton |
|
66-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
Davidson/Dayton 7:00: Davidson playing a good stretch of basketball on a 4-0 ATS run despite losing 2 of those SU. They're coming off a tough loss at Richmond in the closing seconds. HC Matt McKillop has some veteran guys who can step up on the road. Bailey, Kochera and Huffman each are double-digit scorers. And Durkin, who's getting more minutes because of Skogman's season ending injury, is developing well. The Wildcats got worked at home in the first matchup but now face a Dayton team that's fallen off their hot earlier season play. They've failed to cover in 3 of their last 4 games. We'll look for Davidson to be competitive tonight.
|
02-26-24 |
Baylor +2.5 v. TCU |
|
62-54 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
Baylor/TCU 9:00: Baylor coming off a disappointing loss at home on Saturday vs Houston. They got stomped in the first half with a 16-point deficit but amazingly worked their way back to force OT and actually take the lead before losing down the stretch. Nevertheless, they showed a lot of grit in that comeback attempt. Bears go into TCU with revenge from their 105-102 OT loss back on January 27th. TCU has been playing a good stretch of basketball, but we won't count out the Bears here. This has been an extremely tight series with Baylor controlling a 4-2 SU edge only to lose by 1 point at TCU January 24th, 2023, and, of course, this season's OT loss at home. TCU's perimeter defense suspect, and Bridges, Nunn, and even Walter could go off tonight. Baylor the call.
|
02-26-24 |
Pistons +11.5 v. Knicks |
|
111-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
Pistons/Knicks 7:40: The Knicks have absolutely owned the Pistons the last few years - winning 13 straight. The last win in this series for the Pistons was November 6, 2019. Knicks have been vulnerable recently on a 1-7 ATS slide. Brunson is limited in his help with Randle, Robinson and Anunoby all sidelined with injuries. Detroit, the worst team in the league, has shown signs of competitiveness recently - on a 6-4 ATS run. They have a tendency to follow up an isolated cover with another cover at 8-3 ATS in that role. They were competitive at NY on November 30th this season with a 118-112 loss. We'll look for Detroit to keep this one competitive.
|
02-26-24 |
West Virginia +9.5 v. Kansas State |
|
90-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
West Virginia/Kansas State 7:00: West Virginia, winless on the Big 12 road, went into a strong Iowa State venue Saturday and easily covered. Had it not been for a silly 23 turnovers - many self-induced, the Mounties could have won that game. Kansas State presents a pretty strong home court too, but not the caliber of defense the Mounties faced at Iowa State Saturday. Mounties moved the ball pretty well and had 4 double digit scorers. Kriisa, Edwards and Slazinski average double digits on the season. And I was impressed on Saturday by the defensive discipline of WV under Josh Eilert. K State is coming off a win over BYU and now playing into revenge from when they went to WV on January 9th in an 81-67 win. Look for WV to be competitive here for their 3rd straight cover.
|
02-25-24 |
Minnesota +7.5 v. Nebraska |
|
55-73 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
Minnesota/Nebraska 6:30: Hard to go against a team 23-3 ATS for the season. They've covered 6 of 7 conference road games. Nebraska a formidable foe, especially at home this season. In the first game in this series December 6th in Minnesota, the Golden Gophers overcame a 15-point halftime deficit to win by double digits. In that game, they got no points out of leading scorer Garcia in 7 minutes. Minnesota has multiple scorers who step up repeatedly. Look for Minnesota to do what they do best on the road - stick around.
|
02-25-24 |
Mavs -1 v. Pacers |
|
111-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-25-24 |
Maryland +2.5 v. Rutgers |
|
63-46 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
Maryland has covered 2 of the last 3 visits to Rutgers. They're looking for same season revenge after getting up on Feb 6th on their home floor. Maryland sticks around on the road with a hustling and physical defense. Rutgers, like Maryland, is offensively challenged and should allow Maryland to eke this one out. Maryland the call.
|
02-24-24 |
Alabama v. Kentucky -2.5 |
|
95-117 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 41 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Kentucky 4:00: Alabama blasted the Wildcats last season at Alabama 78-52. Calipari sports a strong conference revenge mark off double digit defeats to the tune of 7-3 ATS. And throw in the fact they let one slip away at LSU on Wednesday, Wildcats should be fired up here. Meanwhile, Crimson Tide, at home, barely got by Florida. The #1 Alabama offense seems like a lock to outgun a Kentucky defense that's allowed a generous 73 PPG. On the other hand, Kentucky can light it up too at nearly 88 PPG and faces a defense that allows 77 PPG. Reeves and Dillingham can match buckets with the best of them. And the Wildcats should have board crashing Tre Mitchell back today to add to a deep bench of shooters. Grab the Wildcats here.
|
02-24-24 |
West Virginia v. Iowa State -17.5 |
|
64-71 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
West Virginia/Iowa State 2:00: Iowa State in an ornery mood after dropping a 73-65 decision to #2 Houston on Monday. WV, in comparison, will be like facing a JV team. Mounties used to own this series when Bob Huggins was patrolling the bench. Now, they're substantially lacking defensive discipline under their new leader. And they've been blown out on the Big 12 road to the tune of 19.5 PPG. ISU, which is undefeated at home, sports one of the best defenses in the NCAA. And they've got shooters! We'll lay the wood.
|
02-23-24 |
Heat +3.5 v. Pelicans |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-24 |
Washington State +13 v. Arizona |
|
77-74 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
Washington State/Arizona 11:00: Washington State already has notched a win over Arizona (Jan 13th). And they're currently playing their best stretch of basketball. The Cougars have showed road savviness and have the veteran leadership and moxie to fight on enemy ground. They share the ball well and play better defense than Arizona. We'll take the generous number of points.
|
02-22-24 |
Michigan v. Northwestern -11.5 |
|
62-76 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Northwestern 9:00: Northwestern has been the punching bag for Michigan for years. This season, Michigan is limping along on a 1-8 SU/ATS slide while Northwestern has thrived with upsets of conference heavyweights Illionois and Purdue. Northwestern can light it up from 3pt land at a 43% clip (best in conference). The Wolverines 3 point defense allows 36% (314th), and their defense has been pathetic - allowing 79 PPG (339th). If that's not enough, leading scorer McDaniel is on the hot seat for academic probation while 2nd leading scorer Nkamhoua is out with a wrist injury. We'll look for Boo Buie and the Wildcats to keep their foot on the gas tonight.
|
02-21-24 |
Illinois v. Penn State +8 |
|
89-90 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
Illinois/Penn State 6:30: Penn State on an 0-3 SU slide in desperation of notching a conference win, will play at the 6502-seating capacity Rec Hall for the first time since December 2015. They'll do so without their leading scorer - Clary - who was dismissed earlier this week. Baldwin, Hicks and Kern will have to share a majority of the scoring duties for the offensively challenged Nittany Lions. Fortunately, offensively proficient Illinois is giving up lots of points nowadays. Penn State controls a 3-0 SU/ATS run in this series, and we'll look for them to hang around here.
|
02-20-24 |
Maryland +7.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
70-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
Maryland/Wisconsin 9:00: This series has been tightly contested with a margin of 6 points or less in 5 of 6 games. Both teams struggling a bit. MD 4-6 SU/5-5 ATS in their last 10 while the Badgers are on a 1-8-1 ATS slide. MD's defense, in the top tier of the Big Ten, keeps them in games and gives them a chance. Unfortunately, their offense lacks at 66.6 PPG; however, Jahmir Young has fueled the Terps to 75 or more points in their last 3 games. We'll look for MD to keep it competitive here.
|
02-20-24 |
Tennessee -11.5 v. Missouri |
|
72-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Tennessee/Missouri 7:00: Barnes is utilizing his bench more to keep his team healthy as tournament time remains around the corner. The bench, however, has been very productive. Vol's have blown out 3 of their last 4 opponents and, in addition, whipped Kentucky at Rupp Arena. Missouri has been injury ravaged, struggling to be competitive in SEC with 12 straight losses. Tennessee has covered in 4 of the last 5 at Missouri. We'll lay the wood here with a team that controls a major talent disparity.
|
02-19-24 |
Iowa State v. Houston UNDER 132 |
|
65-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
02-19-24 |
Iowa State +8.5 v. Houston |
|
65-73 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
02-18-24 |
Utah v. UCLA -2 |
|
70-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Colorado -1.5 v. USC |
|
92-89 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Michigan State -6 v. Michigan |
|
73-63 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Akron -13 v. Buffalo |
|
73-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Texas Tech v. Iowa State -7.5 |
|
74-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
Texas Tech/Iowa State Noon:
|
02-15-24 |
Warriors v. Jazz OVER 240 |
|
140-137 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Jazz 9:10: Both of these teams are coming off losses last night. Utah defense was torched from the perimeter as the LeBron-less Lakers sank 14 of 31 from the perimeter at a 45.2% clip. Now they face the NBA's all-time perimeter scorer who has sunk at least 6 trey bombs in 8 of his last 11 games. And usually before All-Star break teams will dismiss defensive prep - lots of them already checked out for break. Going unrested, I see that magnified tonight. We'll grab the "over"
|
02-15-24 |
Colorado v. UCLA +1.5 |
|
60-64 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
Colorado/UCLA 9:00: UCLA finding its rhythm at the right time. They're on a 7-1 SU/ATS run as Cronin instituted a nice balance of offense and defense to deliver. The #1 PAC 12 defense will now face a sliding Colorado team that's having a tough time finding its footing. They're on an 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS fall. Colorado has had its problems on the road virtually all season and traveling to UCLA at the wrong time. Take UCLA
|
02-14-24 |
Lakers +6 v. Jazz |
|
138-122 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-24 |
Miami-FL +7.5 v. Clemson |
|
60-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
|