Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-14-16 | Washington State v. Utah -16 | Top | 47-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
858 Washington State at Utah |
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02-10-16 | St. Joe's +4.5 v. George Washington | Top | 84-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
535 St Josephs at George Washington |
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02-09-16 | Wichita State -17.5 v. Drake | Top | 74-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
737 Wichita State at Drake |
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02-06-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -8 | Top | 108-116 | Push | 0 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
520 Oklahoma City at Golden State |
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01-30-16 | Spurs -2 v. Cavs | Top | 103-117 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
513 San Antonio at Cleveland |
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01-27-16 | Clippers v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 85-83 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
510 LA Clippers at Atlanta |
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01-20-16 | Warriors v. Bulls +7 | Top | 125-94 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
514 Golden State at Chicago Great spot to go against public perception with a quality team in the home underdog role. Everyone just saw the 3 1/2 point road underdog Warriors totally dismantle the defending Eastern Conference Champion Cleveland Cavaliers on national television. Golden State just couldn’t miss from the field and looked like the clear favorite to hold the trophy of NBA Champions once again this season. Chicago on the other hand has dropped 4 of 6 games and just lost key defensive player Noah likely for the rest of the season. The Bulls only victories as of late came against Philadelphia and Detroit. The same Pistons by the way that just bombed these Warriors 113-95 four days ago. Chicago is 9-2 without Noah in the lineup. His defensive absence will hurt but the Bulls offense flows better without him.As mentioned previously Golden State was bet up to a 3 1/2 point underdog in Cleveland. Now the Warriors have been bet up to a 7 1/2 point favorite at Chicago. So the betting public is telling you the Bulls are 11 points worse than the Cavaliers on a neutral court. That’s just crazy. Those who bet for a living are always looking to take advantage of overreactions in the betting marketplace. This surely is one of the best times to do so all season.PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-19-16 | Bucks +5 v. Heat | Top | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
701 Milwaukee at Miami |
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01-13-16 | San Diego State -3 v. Colorado State | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
573 San Diego State at Colorado State The Aztecs played very inconsistently in the non-conference portion of its schedule with losses to Arkansas Little Rock, San Diego and Grand Canyon. But when conference season starts you know San Diego State will be at its best. Now a perfect 3-0 to start the season and an impressive road resume with wins at Utah State, Long Beach State and a close loss at Utah. Steve Fisher’s teams always play ugly, but they know how to win. Colorado State doesn’t have the talent of some of the other teams in the league, but it does play with heart, especially at home. Coming off winning 4 of the last 5 games the Rams will come into this game confident. The problem is the victories came against South Carolina Upstate, Regis University, UNLV right before firing its coach and San Jose State, the worst team in the league. Colorado State permits an effective field goal percentage of 51.6 compared to an outstanding 42.0% for the Aztecs. Defense wins this one as San Diego State remains undefeated in conference.PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE |
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01-07-16 | Arizona v. UCLA +3 | Top | 84-87 | Win | 101 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
750 Arizona at UCLA The Wildcats swept the Bruins last year so this game has been circled by the hosts. Now sitting at 0-2 in the conference after losses at Washington and Washington State, this is a must win for the Bruins. Coach Alford called his team out as a weak group earlier in the week, so the players should be a fired up bunch tonight.Arizona has been outstanding thus far and are off a road win against in-state rival Arizona State. The Wildcats shoot the ball well and defend extremely well, but the Bruins aren’t bad themselves in those areas. We expect the home crowd to be fired up here as the Bruins put themselves back into the national spotlight.PLAY UCLA |
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01-06-16 | Nuggets v. Wolves -3 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
514 Denver at Minnesota Two teams on bad streaks face each other tonight in Minnesota. Denver is really reeling right now and comes in to face a Minnesota team with something to prove. Not only have the Timberwolves dropped 2 of 3 to the Nuggets this year, but it just lost to the lowly Philadelphia 76ers. Instead of practicing after that defeat the team held a 90 minute meeting on how to turn the season around. The players said it was the best practice day they could have and the team should be playing with an added intensity tonight. We like to play against bad teams when the favorite has something to prove, so we will lay the small number here.PLAY MINNESOTA |
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01-04-16 | Youngstown State v. Oakland -16.5 | Top | 100-98 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
522 Youngstown State at Oakland The line has dropped slightly with Oakland having a huge game with Valparaiso on Sunday. But in our opinion that gives us more value. This Golden Grizzlies team has really impressed us in the early going, especially the way it battled the #1 Spartans just a couple weeks ago. This is a club that can be a real sleeper come tournament time.This is also a good matchup for Oakland as the Penguins also like to get out and run while shooting from distance. With the fast pace and the traditional long range shooting decline from the road team, the Golden Grizzlies can extend. Especially with a solid advantage in the offensive paint. PLAY OAKLAND |
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12-23-15 | SMU -5 v. Colorado | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
765 SMU & Colorado in Las VegasBig step up game here for the Buffaloes who have loaded its schedule with low to mediocre opponents. Last night the team struggled to get by Penn State 71-70 a team ranked 154 in the nation by the numbers we use.SMU coach Brown is back which means this team is primed for national attention this year. The Mustangs are 10-0 on the season, winning by margins of 16, 33, 44, 24 and 44 the past five games. The 16 point winner over Kent State last night assures a rested team of Mustangs in this one tonight. Colorado has gotten off to a nice start but the weak schedule doesn’t prepare them for SMU.PLAY SMU |
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12-18-15 | Bucks v. Warriors -19 | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
524 Milwaukee at Golden State Alright, call me captain obvious, but I like the situation for the Warriors tonight. It’s well documented that Golden State is looking for revenge for its only loss of the season tonight at home. Keep in mind that when these two met earlier in the week the Warriors had played 7 straight on the road. The Bucks game was the final one of the road trip playing without rest off a hard fought overtime contest with the Celtics. The Warriors were simply worn out at that point. Since that time Golden State returned home to beat Phoenix by 25 in a game that wasn’t even that close. After this contest Golden State doesn’t play again until the 23rd against Utah. Therefore this game is all the Warriors have to concentrate on for the next four days.Since pulling the upset of these Warriors the Bucks have lost by 18 and 13 to the Lakers and Clippers. This team hasn’t won a game on the road since November 6th. To lose to the Clippers in the first home game from a road trip is one thing, but to lose to the Lakers by 18 is something else entirely. We don’t think the Warriors will let up tonight with the large timeframe before facing its next opponent.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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12-16-15 | Bucks +11 v. Clippers | Top | 90-103 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
521 Milwaukee at LA Clippers The Clippers are in the midst of playing a whopping 18 games in different cities. They are returning home from a profitable 4-1 road trip with the only loss coming by 3 in Chicago. After this one game home stand LA must travel to San Antonio and onwards from there. The Clippers don’t play back to back home games until January 9th and 10th. When teams return from a road trip the first game home is often very hectic, with family duties, children situations and the like. It’s even worse here as the team has to go right back on the road. So focus is always an issuer in these sort of situations, especially tonight against Milwaukee. The Clippers beat the Bucks 109-95 just a week ago. This is a dangerous spot for the host to go through the motions.On the other hand Milwaukee is buoyed by the upset win over the Warriors. A team that had previously been undefeated. That joy didn’t last long as the team went on the road and lost to the Lakers in an obvious letdown spot. But because the two LA teams play in the same arena there is no travel situations for Milwaukee which is an advantage against a road weary foe. With recent revenge on the side of the Bucks we look for this one to go down to the wire.PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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12-11-15 | Cavs v. Magic UNDER 197.5 | Top | 111-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
706 Cleveland at Orlando Big scheduling advantage here for the Cavaliers as Orlando returns home from a five game road trip. Cleveland had two days off before facing Portland, had the last two days off, and have three more days off before taking on the Celtics. This is an important week of practice for Cleveland as they attempt to bring Irving and Shumpert back to the lineup. In fact, Iman Shumpert will be making his season debut tonight as JR Smith is out with an illness. That’s a major change in the Cleveland mindset as Shumpert is an excellent defensive player and JR Smith is … JR Smith. The last time these two tangled the game totaled 220 points, but that won’t be the case here. Especially when looking at how poor the Cleveland defense has been as of late. You know that’s been the emphasis at practice this week. With the addition of the ball hawking Shumpert look for the entire team to play with an added defensive intensity here.PLAY UNDER |
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12-09-15 | UNLV +7 v. Wichita State | Top | 50-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
741 UNLV at Wichita State First true road game for the Rebels, and first home game in close to three weeks for the Shockers. That should give the Shockers an advantage here, but other than that the Rebels look to be the right side in this one. Unlike Wichita State, UNLV is healthy and deeper this year which is a big edge when playing on the road. While the Rebels continue to struggle from the free throw line this team has done the little things that make teams great. Hustle, rebounding and overall positive attitude are things not always present in Las Vegas.The Shockers have struggled in the early going because of injuries. This team was known to be deep, but players are forced into roles they were not expected to be in. It takes time to build cohesion but this squad hasn’t had enough time together.PLAY UNLV |
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11-10-15 | Lakers v. Heat -11 | Top | 88-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
506 LA Lakers at Miami The Lakers are a play against team this year in what looks to be the final year of Kobe Bryant’s career. So much money is being paid to Bryant, a major liability on the court, that the Lakers can’t find quality players to surround him. To add insult to injury Bryant just told the coaching staff that he doesn’t want to sit out back to back games. His goal is to play every night, which is to our advantage in the betting community.Miami despite just a 4-3 record has been an excellent team this year when under a microscope. This team is under the radar in our opinion and a bet on when healthy. Like the Lakers key ingredients on this team are veteran players who need rest on occasion, but when in the lineup Bosh and Wade are still very productive. We have a play on against a play against tonight and we will easily lay the big number in this instance.PLAY MIAMI |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +10 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
505 New Orleans at Golden State It’s our annual play against the winner of the NBA Title selection. We have found that award ceremonies are a distraction for the host, especially early in the game when all the hoopla takes place. The visiting team gets inspired to beat the team getting all the recognition while the host isn’t ready for the task at hand. This game also features playoff revenge as the Warriors beat the Pelicans in a sweep last year. New Orleans isn’t 100% healthy which is why the line is so high. But that gives us extra value here as this line has reached double digits. I myself will be playing the Pelicans in the first quarter, first half and entire game. This selection for our clients will be grading on the entire contest.PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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06-07-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
703 Cleveland at Golden State |
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05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -1.5 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
718 Cleveland at Chicago |
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03-25-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic UNDER 201.5 | Top | 95-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
758 Atlanta at Orlando The last three meetings between these two resulted in less than 200 combined points being scored. Both teams talked about a lack of defense after their most recent losses. Atlanta players spent extra time in the film room viewing the poor defense it has shown since the All-Star break. Players talked about getting back to playing the good team defense it showed in the first half of the season. With both teams stressing defense and all three games this season being low scoring we look for this one to stay substantially under the posted total.PLAY UNDER |
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03-20-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | Top | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
810 Indiana at Cleveland The Pacers have beaten the Cavaliers each of the last two meetings but scheduling dynamics played a major factor in those wins. On February 6th the Cavs played at Indiana unrested after taking down the Clippers the previous night, Indiana was rested. On February 26th the Cavs had just taken on Golden State and faced the Pacers unrested while Indiana had the previous two days off. Now these two teams play on equal rest which is a big difference for Cleveland.The Cavs have dominated Indiana at home and Cleveland has won 14 straight at home overall. Indiana has been struggling as of late and run into a Cleveland team that has had this game circled.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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02-27-15 | Pennsylvania +4.5 v. Brown | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
831 Pennsylvania at Brown The Quakers are looking to avenge a recent home loss to the Bears who won 71-55 less than two weeks ago. Penn’s weakness is the inability to take care of the ball but Brown isn’t a team that puts a lot of pressure on ball handlers. Riding a five game losing streak it’s imperative for the Quakers to get back in the win column with Yale on deck. Brown has won three straight in this series while Penn had captured 9 of the previous 10 before the current Bears run. The road team has won outright 11 of the last 18 meetings, so home court value has mattered little in this series. Penn and Brown are two teams very equal in talent and catching points in this matchup is just a bonus. The Quakers don’t have the talent to play with the top of this conference but it matches up well with teams like Brown.PLAY PENNSYLVANIA |
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02-23-15 | Louisville -6.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 52-51 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
717 Louisville at Georgia Tech This is the time of year when the Cardinals start to up their game, especially on the defensive side of the court. After allowing 69 and 74 points in the previous two contests Louisville held Miami to just 53 on Saturday. The Cardinals don’t have great ball movement and they aren’t a particularly good shooting team, so defense has to be the rallying cry for this club.Georgia Tech has dropped 12 of 15 as of late. The Yellow Jackets are a good rebounding team but has major deficiencies in just about every other area. Georgia Tech is one of the worst shooting teams in the country and they don’t attack the basket. Two major problems when taking on Louisville.PLAY LOUISVILLE |
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02-17-15 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +4 | Top | 63-46 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
528 San Diego State at New Mexico Down year for both these programs although the Aztecs are still very likely to be dancing come March. Steve Fisher has always had teams that played great defense and this club is no exception. But the Aztecs this year are having an even harder time than usual getting the ball in the basket. Averaging just 62 points and just 10 assists per game show exactly why San Diego State has underperformed. Teams that play great defense are traditionally very good on the road, but that hasn’t been the case with San Diego State this year. Losses to the likes of Washington, Cincinnati, Fresno State, Colorado State and Boise State show that when this team steps up on the road too often it comes up short.New Mexico enters this game on a four game losing streak, with 3 of those 4 games on the road. The Pit is traditionally a very tough place to play although this year the Lobos have not dominated here as expected. Still New Mexico has lost only twice here this season by more than tonights spread. In a must win game for the host we look for this game to go down to the wire. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
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02-11-15 | San Antonio Spurs -6 v. Detroit Pistons | Top | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
705 San Antonio at Detroit With this being the final game for both these squads before the break we can use one of our favorite handicapping angles. Playing on veteran teams that have been playoff contenders right before the break. These type of teams know the importance of grabbing a victory before the break, while others play as if already on vacation. You see it every year. Teams not used to playing deep in the playoffs as well as perennial lottery teams mailing in the final game. While Detroit isn’t likely to give this one away we are confident that San Antonio will put forth a supreme effort. The Spurs led Detroit by as much as 18 points in the earlier meeting only to lose at the buzzer. That revenge motive only adds to our backing of the Spurs here.PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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02-07-15 | Chicago Bulls -2 v. New Orleans Pelicans | Top | 107-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
501 Chicago at New Orleans |
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01-31-15 | Air Force +10.5 v. UNLV | Top | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
689 Air Force at UNLVThe Falcons are playing shorthanded this year and aren’t in the same class as previous editions. That said, the Rebels have always struggled against Air Force as UNLV recruits highly athletic, low IQ players. After watching every game from the Rebels this year, there is no doubt the collective basketball IQ is worse on this team then in any previous year dating back to the Bill Bayno days. Off two straight nail biting victories we see the Rebels playing down to its competition once again here. We watched the Reno feed of the prior game and the announcers talked how they had never seen a more focused UNLV squad. The Rebels had lost three straight to the Wolf Pack. Now they regress once again after a major hustle output.PLAY AIR FORCE |
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01-09-15 | Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -3 | Top | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
822 Orlando at LA Lakers It’s clear in our eyes that the Magic are building the right way. While the record is still less than desirable this is a team with a positive future. But the lack of scoring is a concern and will continue to be until the Magic get a player that can take over a game.We are not a fan of the LA Lakers and much of that can be attributed to the outrageous contract handed out to Kobe Bryant. A fantastic player in his younger days his contract has become an albatross to this organization. That said, we really like the Lakers in this particular game. Last time out this club was simply embarrassed against its in-city rival the Clippers. Afterwards the head coach called his team out as being soft. Kobe didn’t play in that game because of rest, but he surely felt the same way about his teammates. You can bet the Lakers will be fired up tonight to prove their manhood. The number is cheap and we take full advantage.PLAY LA LAKERS |
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01-07-15 | Nevada +10 v. UNLV | Top | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
791 Nevada at UNLV The Wolf Pack took both meetings from the Rebels last year as the veteran squad had a sizable advantage in the backcourt. This year both teams are very young with only Kendrick and Wood remembering the defeats for the Rebels. Both squads started the season poorly with UNLV struggling against weaker opposition. But now that both clubs have had time to gel it should be a highly competitive game. This rivalry is mostly one-sided as the city of Reno circles games against it’s big city brethren in Las Vegas. The Rebels on the other hand faced Arizona, Wyoming and Kansas in 3 of the last 4 outings. So this game means much more to the visitor who has strung together three straight victories heading into this contest. The Rebels own the better talent but the team hasn’t played overly well at the Thomas & Mack. The line on this game is inflated in our eyes as we expect this contest to be competitive throughout.PLAY NEVADA |
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12-23-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Cleveland Cavaliers -14 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
708 Minnesota at Cleveland |
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12-17-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +9.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
715 Milwaukee at Portland The Bucks suffered a major blow yesterday as Parker, the first round selection, was lost for the season with an injury. While on the surface it’s devastating for this young and improving club, we will get an overinflation in line value. Teams step up when a quality player is out of the lineup and the Bucks have enough veteran talent to remain very competitive in a very weak Eastern Conference.Portland suffered it’s own loss last time out as the starting center went down for 6-8 weeks. To add to the Blazers problems though is the schedule. Off a quality win over San Antonio, Portland faces the Spurs again on Friday followed by New Orleans, Houston and Oklahoma City. You wouldn’t blame the Blazers for overlooking the Bucks here with the injury to Parker. Milwaukee has played hard all season and we expect nothing different here. Nice spot for the short-handed Bucks to pull off a shocker.PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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10-28-14 | Dallas Mavericks +4 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 100-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
501 Dallas at San Antonio One of our favorite handicapping angles is to go against the champion in any sport in the first game of the season. The team is preoccupied by the presentation while the opponents are fired up to prove they belong. It also helps in this instance that the Spurs swept the Mavericks in the regular season a year ago and the Mavs are also playing with playoff revenge. An added bonus for Dallas backers is that the Spurs top two defensive big ben are out tonight. Dallas improved during the offseason and we expect an outright victory to open the season.PLAY DALLAS |
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05-09-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards -4 | Top | 85-63 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
718 Indiana at Washington Now that the Pacers have evened the series at one game apiece it’s time to jump on the team who has played the far better ball since the All-Star game at a very reasonable price. Washington is the one underrated team remaining in the playoffs and despite the victory in game two the Pacers in our eyes are being given too much credit. Washington lost that game late in a contest in which it shot terribly from 3 point last and the free throw strip. The Wizards lost by four points despite just a single fast break point on the night. Back home in front of a frenzied crowd we expect the atmosphere to be a major factor in energy for the host.Indiana has been great off a loss in the playoffs, unfortunately the Pacer’s plan wasn’t to lose many games. This is not the same team as the last couple years or what we saw in the first half of the season. Washington is the better team, playing at home, off a loss. Pretty simply really.PLAY WASHINGTON |
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05-06-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat -7 | Top | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
706 Brooklyn at Miami The Nets had a real dogfight with Toronto in the opening series winning in seven games. It will be tough for them to regroup here and take on the two time defending champs with little time to prepare. While the Nets were preoccupied with the Raptors the Heat easily dismantled their opening round opponent and have a score to settle with Brooklyn.Miami lost all four meetings with the Nets this season and nobody knows that better than Lebron James. With extra rest and preparation we expect Miami to have a little more spring in their step tonight. Miami has been working on its game plan for a longer period of time as you know the coaching staff is itching to put in some new wrinkles. The betting line may be a bit shorter too with the public seeing both road teams winning convincingly yesterday. PLAY MIAMI |
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03-28-14 | New York Knicks +6 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
871 New York at Phoenix
The Knicks have rattled off 9 of 11 winners since the franchise moved into a new direction with Phil Jackson taking over the reigns. The team has played with a much more focused attitude since the hiring as all hands on deck need to prove themselves to remain in the Big Apple. The only losses came against Cleveland in a lookahead situation and to the Lakers, Jackson |
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03-27-14 | UCLA v. Florida -4.5 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
810 UCLA & Florida
The Bruins are the second fastest team remaining in the tournament when it comes to tempo. They want to get out in the open court and run. That may be a problem against the second best defensive efficiency team in college basketball. The top four defensive efficiency teams left in the tournament are Arizona, Florida, Louisville and Virginia. Three of those four teams earned top seeds in their region and many felt Louisville deserved the same. UCLA played Arizona at home and lost outright, so they have yet to impress against an excellent defensive squad. Florida is 34-2 on the season with both losses coming against Connecticut and Wisconsin, two teams still alive in the tournament. UCLA on the other hand lost to four teams that didn |
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03-24-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 180.5 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
612 Indiana at Chicago
These teams met just three days ago with Indiana winning at home 91-79. The coaching staffs talked about that game having a playoff type atmosphere and this game likely to play the same with adjustments being made. That means another low scoring affair with both teams trying to intimidate the opposition in what could be a possible playoff preview. Indiana has held 6 of 7 opponents to 94 points or less while the offense has been held to double digits in 9 of the last 11 overall. The Bulls have held 13 of 14 opponents under the century mark. Look for defense to rule the day here as these two prepare for playoff type basketball. PLAY UNDER |
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03-16-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +11 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 80-102 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
887 Cleveland at LA Clippers
While the Clippers have won ten straight games and are making a major run towards the playoffs, this could be a tough spot for the host. In the ten game stretch LA has played the likes of Oklahoma City, Houston, Phoenix twice and Golden State, all possible playoff opponents. On deck they have a revenge game at Denver tomorrow. Non-rested teams playing in altitude is very tough for anyone. Therefore we can see the Clippers brain trust cutting back on key minutes tonight for the starters which makes getting double digits that much more attractive for the dog. Cleveland has won 10 of 17 as of late as they try to end the season in a respectable manner. The Cavaliers have always played well against the Clippers winning earlier in Cleveland and being victorious in 5 of the last 6 in the Staples Center. Cleveland is playing good team ball right now and they have a rare chance to pull off a perfect 3-0 western conference sweep after knocking off Golden State and Phoenix. Cleveland is 12-15 on the season vs the western conference. This line is simply too high based on the situation. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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03-13-14 | Wyoming +8 v. UNLV | Top | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Wyoming at UNLV
The Cowboys gave the Rebels all they could handle in the earlier meeting coming up short by two points on this floor in a very slow paced game. The Rebels have been a terrible team in the half court game this season as they are at their best in the open floor. Obviously Larry Nance Jr is no longer in the lineup but these Cowboys have fared pretty well in his absence. With this game being played in the afternoon the home court advantage is much less, and it isn |
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03-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats -5 | Top | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Cleveland at Charlotte
The Cavaliers are calling this weekends games against Charlotte and New York Must Win Weekend. The reason being that Cleveland currently sits 3 1/2 games out of the playoffs with the two teams on the schedule being just ahead of them in the playoff fight. But the fact remains teams in must win situations are there for a reason, they haven |
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03-05-14 | Louisville v. SMU +2.5 | Top | 84-71 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
730 Louisville at SMU
Big game for the SMU program here as it |
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03-01-14 | Texas +4 v. Oklahoma | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
581 Texas at Oklahoma
Home revenge spot for the Longhorns who were sitting pretty at 11-2 before the first meeting with the Sooners. Texas is just 10-5 since that earlier matchup. The last time this club took to the road they were blown away at Kansas by a whopping 31 points. The only other in-season revenge game for Texas this year resulted in a convincing win over Oklahoma State. Oklahoma has dropped 4 of 7 as of late and have West Virginia revenge on deck. Oklahoma is coming off a home revenge opportunity of their own but the Sooners came up short against Kansas. PLAY TEXAS |
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02-25-14 | Air Force +8.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
547 Air Force at Wyoming
While the Falcons are just 4-10 in Mountain West Conference play they have been extremely competitive when playing away from home. Air Force is 6-0-1 ATS on the conference road with the push being a 10 point loss at Nevada in a game that went to overtime. Air Force has won outright the last two visits to Laramie and this team should be in a fired up mood after a 19 point home blowout loss to Nevada last Saturday. The Air Force coaching staff has stressed shooting earlier in the shot clock in anticipation of this expected defensive battle. Wyoming must carry on after the season ending injury to Larry Nance Jr. The son of the former NBA star was by far the best all-around player on this team. Even with Nance in the lineup this was a club that struggled to put points on the board, which makes this line relatively high considering the low scoring nature of Wyoming games. The only three times the Cowboys were favored by 7 points or more in conference action this year the games ended with an average of 115 points scored. With scoring at a premium and Air Force proving to be a tough out on the road, we will back the Falcons here to take this one to the wire. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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02-22-14 | Nevada v. Air Force -2 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
576 Nevada at Air Force
The Wolf Pack started conference action on fire winning 5 of 6 and proclaiming that last years 12 win team was far off in the rearview mirror. Unfortunately reality set in as Nevada has now lost five straight games heading into this contest. The last time these two met was at the Lawlor Events Center where the Wolf Pack were a 10 point home favorite against the Flyboys. Air Force battled this team tooth and nail and the game went to overtime. Amazingly Nevada not only won that contest but covered for the first time all game win a 69-56 victory. To battle all that time and then lay down in overtime is sure to be on the minds of this staff and players. If Air Force has one game on the schedule circled it |
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02-18-14 | Villanova -4 v. Providence | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
527 Villanova at Providence
We used these Wildcats on Saturday in a big revenge game against Creighton. That one didn |
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02-13-14 | Colorado +10.5 v. UCLA | Top | 74-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
543 Colorado at UCLA
The last time these two met was right after star guard Spencer Dinwiddie went down for the season for the Buffaloes. Losing a major scorer and key playmaker took some getting used to for Colorado but now Askia Booker has taken over the point guard role and run with it. Since that defeat the Buffaloes are 4-2 with the only losses coming at Arizona and Arizona State. This is a team that is gaining confidence and since the Dinwiddie injury has stayed under the national radar. UCLA sits are 7-3 in conference and are off the biggest rivalry on the schedule against around the corner rival USC. Even in a down year for the Trojan program a win over USC is still a big deal to this program. After this game against Colorado the Bruins look to avenge a loss of their own when Utah comes to town on Saturday. The Utes are 16-7 on the season and are a difficult opponent for the Bruins. While this is one of the tougher home court in the conference we believe these two squads to be much closer in talent than the line suggests. We will back the double digit road dog playing with home court revenge against what could be a preoccupied Bruin. PLAY COLORADO |
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02-10-14 | Southern Utah +11.5 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 56-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
733 Southern Utah at Sacramento State
We are at the time of the year when teams that have been big money losers for their backers all season long start to have some money making ability. Southern Utah at 1-19 on the season and 0-11 in league play is just that type of team. The Thunderbirds have been a punching bag for the majority of the season and those in the know took advantage. But now that the Southern Utah gravy train has ended it |
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02-05-14 | South Florida v. Central Florida -4 | Top | 79-78 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
750 South Florida at Central Florida
The Bulls are coming off back to back impressive performances against SMU and Cincinnati. Beating the Mustangs outright and giving the Bearcats all they could handle on the road. But SMU had already blown out the Bulls in the earlier meeting and had a showdown with poorhouse Memphis on deck. Cincinnati was off Louisville with Connecticut un deck, so don |
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01-24-14 | Indiana Pacers -10 v. Sacramento Kings | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
823 Indiana at Sacramento
This looks to be a throwaway game for the host who returns home from a long road trip only to find Rudy Gay out of the lineup and DeMarcus Cousins doubtful. The Kings even at full strength were likely in for a real test tonight just coming home from a six game trip through the midwest. Teams traditionally struggle when returning from an extended getaway as the trials and tribulations of home life usually take their toll. Now likely missing 42 points of scoring we can |
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01-18-14 | UCLA -2 v. Utah | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
593 UCLA at Utah
This is one talented Bruins team especially offensively. Starting the year 14-3 with the losses coming to Missouri, Duke and Arizona. The 13 point victory two nights ago at Colorado was especially impressive despite the Buffaloes being without their best player. That |
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01-18-14 | SMU -4.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 58-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
SMU at Central Florida
The Mustangs were good to us earlier in the week and they continue to have plenty of pointspread value. Now 12-4 on the season with losses to Arkansas, Virginia, Cincinnati and Louisville, this is one club that played a very tough non-conference schedule and were not intimidated. At only 2-2 in conference this is a game the Mustangs need badly, and talent wise the number is at a bargain price. The Knights are 9-6 on the season but the non-conference schedule was loaded with weak opposition. Wins over the likes of Tampa, Bethune-Cookman, Stetson, Howard and Jacksonville did not prepare this club for conference action. Now 1-3 in the AAC with the lone win against 5-10 Temple, this is a club that has shown nothing to get us excited this season. While Central Florida is a good rebounding team they do little else to instill confidence. PLAY SMU |
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01-17-14 | Canisius +7.5 v. Iona | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
829 Canisius at Iona
Two Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference contenders go head to head tonight in New Rochelle. The Golden Griffiths have gotten off to a 2-5 mark on the road which may be why this line is so high, but the five losses have come against teams with a combined 45-40 record, including St Bonaventure and Notre Dame. At 5-1 in the MAAC this club has proven it can compete with anyone as they build on a 20 win season a year ago under Jim Baron. This is a good shooting team with an effective field goal percentage of 52.1%. Iona has established themselves as a solid program after four straight seasons of 20 or more victories. Also at 5-1 in conference play they too are a proven commodity in the MAAC. Against a very comparable schedule the Gaels are just 8-7 overall on the season. While they have played the likes of Kansas, St Bonaventure and Dayton, 7 of the 8 victories have come against teams currently ranked outside of the Top 200 in the nation. The only somewhat impressive win came against 7-10 George Mason. Not sure that |
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01-16-14 | North Texas +6.5 v. Marshall | Top | 80-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
517 North Texas at Marshall
After a 12 win season a year ago Tony Benford has the Mean Green heading back to previous hard court success. Now 9-7 on the season and winning 4 of the previous 6 games. Off back to back home losses to Southern Miss and Tulane we know we will get a prime effort from the Herd on the road tonight. This is a good rebounding team that has competed very well on the road against much tougher competition. Marshall has played the weaker of the two schedules and enters play at 6-11 on the season. Since leading scorer Elijah Pittman was suspended this team has really struggled to find offensive rhythm. Losers of 7 of the last 9 with the only wins coming against Presbyterian and Alice Lloyd. The guard play is less than desirable and defensively the Thundering Herd really struggle. Western Kentucky is the only team Marshall has beaten this year anywhere near to having a winning record. Other than the Hilltoppers the other wins have come against teams with a combined Division 1 record of 15-38. With both teams winless in conference we will back what in our opinion is the clear better team catching points. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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01-15-14 | San Jose State +7.5 v. Air Force | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
793 San Jose State at Air Force
The Spartans are just 6-10 on the season but they are much closer in talent to the Falcons than this number shows. San Jose State has played the tougher schedule as well as four less home games, yet is being outscored by less than 2 points more per game than Air Force. Coming into the season these two were expected to battle for the basement of the Mountain West Conference, but Air Force is now thought of as far superior because of recent victories over Utah State and UNLV. But we |
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01-10-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers -9 | Top | 66-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
802 Washington at Indiana
The Wizards end their three game road trip tonight after winning the first two contests at Charlotte and New Orleans. But we wouldn |
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01-04-14 | Air Force v. UNLV -14.5 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
640 Air Force at UNLV
We |
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12-16-13 | San Antonio Spurs -2.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 92-115 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
715 San Antonio at LA Clippers
The Spurs have dominated this series the past three seasons winning 14 of the last 18 meetings in straight up fashion. While San Antonio is playing its third game in four days the Spurs have cashed 8 of 11 in the road favorite role. Now 19-3 SU on the season when installed as favorites the Spurs are in a solid spot here against the Clippers. LA returns home off an extended seven game eastern road trip, having secured a winning mark after winning in Washington on Saturday. Chris Paul pointed out prior to that game how important it was to post a winning record on this trip. Now back home playing its eighth game in 13 days we can |
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12-13-13 | New York Knicks +4.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
807 New York at Boston
Nice spot to jump in with a team nobody is going to want in the New York Knicks. This team has majorly underperformed this season and now Raymond Felton is out with a hamstring injury. Hs backup at point guard Iman Shumpert is a game time decision. But this is also quick revenge for a team that was just blown out by the largest margin in the league this year, last weekend in New York. This team is only permitting 93.8 points per game away from the Garden. Boston is off two emotional games since the Sunday 41 point blowout of New York. They played Brooklyn and the return of Garnett and Pierce, and last time out the Celts faced off against the Clippers and long time coach Doc Rivers. Despite losing both those games you know the Boston players had those two games circled before the season. Now in the unfamiliar role as sizable home favorites we can fade the Celtics in an obvious poor scheduling spot. PLAY NEW YORK |
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06-13-13 | Miami Heat +2 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 109-93 | Win | 100 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
Miami at San Antonio
We said all along that this would be a zigzag series with both veteran teams and plenty of playoff experience. We have been on the right side of both blowouts in games 2 & 3 after passing the opening contest. Now we come right back with the Miami Heat off an embarking loss, with the best player in the NBA off a very subpar performance. Miami is now 11-0 ATS off a loss and that defeat in game 3 was the ugliest loss of the season for Miami. We always want to back an elite team off an embarrassment which is why Miami in game 3 and San Antonio in game 4 were such strong plays. Miami was completely outplayed on Tuesday as the players simply did not show any will to win. That won't be the case on Thursday with Miami now in a desperate situation. We will back what we feel is the best team in the league off a terrible performance. History and the best player in the league cash the ticket on Thursday. PLAY MIAMI |
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05-10-13 | San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
San Antonio at Golden State
We wanted to wait as long as we could to release this game hoping the line would continue to go up to 3, but now with the sharp books heading back down we better grab the 2 1/2 while available. We love the job Jackson has done with the Golden State Warriors this year, especially in the playoffs, but this line has gotten out of hand. With a home court advantage between 3 1/2 and 4 points this line is essentially saying the Spurs are just a one point better team on a neutral court when coming off an embarrassing home loss. That's simply not the case. The Warriors have shot lights out in the playoffs and are due for some regression. San Antonio is a veteran team that is led in my opinion by the best coach in the NBA. To get the Spurs as an underdog in this situation in our mind is a gift we simply cannot refuse. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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05-02-13 | DENVER GM6 v. GOLDEN STATE GM6 -115 | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
Denver at Golden State
The Denver Nuggets own one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA. Yet they haven't dominated the Warriors when playing in Denver. Even in the last contest in a must win game they couldn't put away their Oakland counterparts. The Nuggets got physical with the Warriors and yet Golden State would not fold, playing hard the entire contest. That's a testament to how well coach Jackson has improved this team and their mental ability. Now back home in Oakland where the fans here are known to be a bit out there, we find a Warriors team with something to prove. Regardless of how Curry was treated in Denver, the fans and the players feel he was roughed up. Therefore you can expect the most intense game of the series from both the players and those in attendance. Golden State has been the better of these two teams in this series and we expect the Warriors to close it out here. The Nuggets were superior through 82 games but this is the playoffs and Denver hasn't been known for their playoff prowess over the years. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-30-13 | Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Golden State at Denver
David Lee went down with a season ending injury in the opening game of the series. That happened in the fourth quarter where the Warriors outscored the Nuggets by 5 points. The Warriors since that game have outscored Denver by 14 points in game two, 2 points in game three and 14 points in game four. In the last 13 quarters playing with a smaller and quicker lineup the Warriors have outscored the Nuggets by a combined 35 points. Yet they have been installed as an 8 point underdog here, which is completely wrong. Denver came into this series as the favorite based on a full season of work owning what could be the deepest roster in the league. But because of TV timeouts and the importance of every game that depth doesn't help in the playoffs. After Golden State lost their best rebounder Lee in game one everyone wrote off this Warrior team, except for the Warrior organization. Now on the verge of pulling the upset on the road we can't see this Golden State team laying down here if things get tough. This is a squad that has shown tons of character and are in it to win it. We've seen the Nuggets come up short over the years when the chips were down, why should this team be any different. This is just too many points to give a confident Golden State team right now. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-09-13 | Washington Wizards +10.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 99-120 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
657 Washington at New York
Underrated Wizards have won 9 of 15 and 18 of 31 as of late as they continue to be an afterthought in the minds of many NBA fans. After starting the year with 12 straight losses the Wizards have rebounded nicely and now have a solid future for next season. The defense has held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 88 points or less as this team is still giving great effort as the year winds down. There is little doubt the Knicks riding a 12 game winning streak will take the Wizards for granted here. They have already beaten Washington by margins of 8, and 21 while dropping a visit to Washington by 10 when New York was really struggling in early February. The Knicks have a triple revenge game on deck against the Bulls after losing by 7, 4 and 8 points in the previous three meetings. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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03-29-13 | Fla Gulf Coast v. Florida -12.5 | Top | 50-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
880 Florida Gulf Coast & Florida at Arlington
The FGC Eagles are 12-2 ATS the last three years, including a perfect 8-0 in March as they have been an under the radar team for more than the last two games. They have covered their five tournament games by a combined 70 1/2 points. The Eagles are producing 9 steals per game against opponents averaging just 7 steals allowed. While that's all great news for this Fort Meyers team and their backers the end of the road comes today. Keep in mind this is a team that lost twice to Lipscomb, a 12-18 team. While they surprised Georgetown and San Diego State the Gators have had a great deal of preparation time and Billy Donovan is a proven elite coach. Florida is an amazing 62-35 ATS in tournament games the past 15 years, as they have posted one of the most consistent winning trends in college basketball. Many talk about the Izzo's of the world but rarely is Donovan talked about for his tournament record. The Gators are shooting 48.3% on the season against teams allowing only 41.6%. That tells you just how good this Gator team is, and they are even better on defense. What we saw yesterday in the Syracuse victory will be even more extreme here. Florida Gulf Coast isn't prepared for this Florida defense and fast break points will be very hard to come by. PLAY FLORIDA |
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03-28-13 | Syracuse +6 v. Indiana | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
807 Syracuse & Indiana at Washington DC
While we admit that Syracuse hasn't performed overly well when stepping up in class, this is a great match-up for the Orangemen. The Syracuse zone is tough to crack for any team, but especially a squad who likes to run the court similar to the Hoosiers. Syracuse simply does not let the opposition dictate the pace and in doing so frustrates the opposition. Because they spread the court the opposition shoots just 28.9% from behind the arc against the Orangemen. So it's strength against strength in that regard as Indiana is a very good three point shooting team. But the problem for the Hoosiers is that a majority of their long range success has come in transition, which will be completely shut down by Syracuse here. Syracuse has held 8 of their last 9 opponents to 63 points or less. A similar effort here not only cashes the ticket but likely results in an outright victory. Indiana which has dominated on the glass this season will not have that advantage against a sizable Syracuse squad that forces outside shots. The points are a bonus here as the Orange have a very good chance to advance in this tourney. PLAY SYRACUSE |
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03-22-13 | Oklahoma +3 v. San Diego St | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
829 Oklahoma & San Diego State
Lon Kruger is very familiar with Steve Fisher and his type of play at San Diego State from Kruger's time at UNLV. While Lon didn't fare all that well against the Aztecs, San Diego State had better teams in those years. In our opinion San Diego State is down this year compared to previous editions and it's gone unnoticed in the betting markets. Oklahoma under Kruger has improved greatly since he took over and the Sooners can play with this running and reckless Aztecs squad. The Mountain West hasn't performed well in the Big Dance and Boise State picked up right where this conference left off last year with a loss on Wednesday. Getting more than a field goal in this contest is a bargain. PLAY OKLAHOMA |
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03-14-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs -8 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Dallas at San Antonio
The Mavericks are playing better ball as of late winning four straight, including the first three straight games on this road trip. But they end the trek tonight in San Antonio against a team they have really struggled against this season. The Mavs have lost by 38 in this building, 25 at home and by 6 at home in the last meeting. The Mavericks simply do not match up very well with this Spurs squad. San Antonio is off an embarrassing 24 point loss at lowly Minnesota. That came on the heels off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. The Spurs are now 9-5 ATS off an outright loss this year and 4-1 ATS off a double digit defeat. With only Cleveland, Golden State and Utah on deck the Mavericks will have the Spurs full attention here. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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03-13-13 | Air Force +9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
639 Air Force at UNLV
The Falcons have matched up very well with the more athletic Rebels taking UNLV to overtime in this building and winning in Colorado. The early start time lessons the UNLV home court advantage as the Rebels do not have their traditional evening time slot. UNLV has underperformed all season and we see no reason to back them here in a game they need to win by double digits to cover. The Rebels have had some recent fortunate situations which have masked their overall play. Two point victories over Colorado State and San Diego State on this court were less than impressive and the blowout at Wyoming was against a decimated host. Air Force knows it can compete with the Rebels and they need to win this conference tourney to advance to the big dance. We have a solid underdog here against an overrated favorite. Put us down on the Flyboys to make this one interesting. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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03-10-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -6.5 | Top | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
808 Indiana at Miami
While the Pacers are playing good ball they have only played two teams in the last five weeks who are playing well, the Clippers and Celtics and Indiana dropped both those games. The Pacers have beaten the Heat in both meetings this year holding Miami to 89 and 77 points in the process. You can bet Miami has had this game circled, similar to their double revenge game against the Knicks last Sunday. Miami has won 17 straight games and are coming off uninspiring efforts over Philadelphia, Orlando and Minnesota. With only Atlanta, Philadelphia, Milwaukee and Toronto on deck this is the game the Heat want. The first two meetings meant more to Indy, this one take precedence for the Heat. PLAY MIAMI |
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03-07-13 | Oregon +3.5 v. Colorado | Top | 53-76 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
513 Oregon at Colorado
Revenge situation here for the Ducks who dropped a one point decision to the Buffaloes earlier in Eugene. In fact, since joining the Pac 12 Colorado has beaten Oregon 3 of 4 meetings with every victory coming by a single point. Not only does Oregon look to avenge the loss this year but the Ducks were knocked out of the Conference Tournament by the Buffaloes last year. While Colorado is 11-2 straight up in Boulder they have covered just 6 of 11 lined games. Oregon has won 5 of 6 overall heading into this contest including outright wins in 4 of 6 road games, including two straight up underdog victories. PLAY OREGON |
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03-04-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets -10 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
710 Atlanta at Denver
Nuggets are now 12-3 ATS on the season playing an unrested foe while the Hawks finish up a six game road trip after dropping a nail biter last night in Los Angeles. Denver also has revenge for a 108-104 loss at Atlanta. Denver is off back to back two point victories but it has had the past two days off. With lowly Sacramento on deck the Hawks have the full attention of a deep and rested Denver squad. PLAY DENVER |
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02-27-13 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois +2 | Top | 53-41 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
766 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois
The Eagles have been very strong at home this year but suspect on the road. Traditionally they have struggled away from Ypsilanti and this year has been no different. After blowing out the Huskies by 17 in the earlier meeting this team may take Northern Illinois for granted here. Northern Illinois well remembers the last meeting in which they became a national punchline by producing just 25 total points. Despite that embarrassment the Huskies have actually played this team very well, covering and winning 11 of the last 15 meetings in the Convocation Center. We are sure the host has had this game circled and Eastern Michigan is just 1-11 SU on the road this season. The Huskies get their revenge here. PLAY NORTHERN ILLINOIS |
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02-24-13 | San Antonio Spurs -9 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 97-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
813 San Antonio at Phoenix
The Spurs are off a rare loss as they dropped a 107-101 decision to Golden State on Friday. San Antonio is 7-5 ATS off a loss this season, 7-3 ATS when doing so with rest. There is no lookahead here for the visitor as they have the second game of a home and home on deck with Phoenix as well as games against Sacramento and Detroit. Phoenix wasn't very good to start the season and they may have regressed as the year has gone on. Losers of 10 of the last 13 games. The Suns are only 10-19 ATS on the year when facing a team off a loss. Phoenix simply doesn't have the offense to compete here as they have failed to reach the century mark in 13 of 14 games. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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02-20-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder -3 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
715 Oklahoma City at Houston
The Thunder are one team who has the ability to play the preferred up tempo game of the Rockets, and they do it better than Houston. The Thunder have beaten the Rockets 120-98 at home and 124-94 in Houston. Off back to back losses for only the second time all season and with lowly Minnesota on deck the Rockets will get the full attention of the Thunder tonight. Oklahoma City is now 10-3 ATS on the season off a loss. Houston is a solid play against middling and lesser teams but when facing an elite squad or a deep team they have struggled. How about losses by 10 and 8 to the Clippers, by 6 and 3 to Miami, by 8 and 10 to Denver, by 6, 8 and 22 to San Antonio and the afore mentioned blowouts at the hands of the Thunder. Houston has yet to beat an elite or deep team all season. That trend continues here. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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02-18-13 | Notre Dame +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 51-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
703 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh
The Irish finally had a bit of a letdown last time out against Providence after back to back wins over DePaul and Louisville. That Cardinals game was the five overtime contest that would have taken the steam out of any team. Now after suffering a loss and with nine full days since that epic Louisville game we feel the Irish will be in a solid spot tonight at Pittsburgh. The Panthers are just 17-24 ATS the last three years at home and they continue to be overpriced in this building. Pitt laid 10 1/2 to Marquette and Connecticut here in the past few weeks, two teams with less of a record than the Irish. The Panthers failed to cover both of those games outscoring the opposition by just a single point. These two clubs have identical records overall and in conference. It's been proven that the home court value in this league is one of the lowest in college basketball. So why are we seeing a double digit spread here? History shows that these two clubs are evenly matched, in fact the Irish have cashed 15 of the last 22 meetings. This line is just too high as Pitt is being given way too much credit for playing at home. PLAY NOTRE DAME |
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02-16-13 | San Diego St v. UNLV UNDER 136 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
646 San Diego State at UNLV
The first meeting this season saw 90 points being scored in the first half as our over play easily cashed in an 82-75 UNLV road victory. In watching that game it was clear that the Aztecs did not have the athletes to run with the Rebels. At halftime coach Fisher slowed down the pace and San Diego State got back into the game. Because of that we will switch course and look for San Diego State to slow the pace from the start as this game stays under the posted total. UNLV hasn't had a good offensive game since that matchup as the entire conference knows they can't let the Rebels run. Since that time UNLV's fast break points have been nonexistent as the opposition forces the Rebels to shoot from the outside. UNLV simply does not have the personnel to hit from deep and their best perimeter shooter was injured last time out at Air Force. San Diego State is known for getting up and down the court but Steve Fisher is too good a coach to fall into that situation again against these Rebels. Look for the Aztecs to play similarly to how they came out in the second half of the previous game. PLAY UNDER |
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02-14-13 | Northwestern v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
514 Northwestern at Ohio State
The Wildcats become thiner and thiner as the weeks pass as injuries have taken a toll on this team. Northwestern has been easy pickings as of late on the road and they don't have the athletes here to keep this respectable. Ohio State is off back to back losses which is a major rarity in Columbus. Off Michigan and Indiana with Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan State on deck the Buckeyes have the ability to take out some frustrations here. Ohio State pounded the Wildcats in this building a season ago, we look for a repeat performance. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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02-10-13 | Drake v. Evansville -7.5 | Top | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
836 Drake at Evansville
The Bulldogs knocked off the Purple Aces as a small home dog in the first meeting. That game occurred right after Evansville pulled off two outright upsets of their own against Wichita State and Northern Iowa. But now the tables have turned somewhat as Drake enters play after winning 2 of 3 games including an outright road win at Southern Illinois. Evansville on the other hand has dropped two straight at Missouri State and Bradley. This is a big game for the host who have lost four straight in this series, all by 9 points or better. After two straight losses this becomes a statement game for the Purple Aces. Drake is allowing 75.3 points per game on 47% shooting in true road games this season. Evansville is 11-2 straight up at home and they own the horses here. It's payback time in Evansville Arena. PLAY EVANSVILLE Top Opinions: Denver/Boston Over Oklahoma City Team Points Over |
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02-06-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder -10 | Top | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
718 Golden State at Oklahoma City
The Warriors come in unrested after allowing 140 last night in Houston. They had held the previous three opponents to less than 100 before being run out of the building against the hot shooting Rockets. The last time these two met was in Oakland where the Warriors beat the Thunder 104-99 on January 23rd. Including that game Oklahoma City is just 4-4 straight up as they look to be going through the motions. But when this team is motivated they are a bet on squad witnessed by a 10-2 ATS mark off a loss. In revenge the Thunder have a perfect 4-0 ATS mark this season. This is the best team in the league and when they play with a purpose we want to back them. With only a home and home ahead with the Suns the Warriors take the brunt of the force of the Thunder. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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02-02-13 | St. Johns +8 v. Georgetown | Top | 56-68 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
587 St Johns at Georgetown
The young Red Storm was overwhelmed by the Hoyas by 16 at home in mid-January but since that time this talented young team has been on the upswing. Five straight victories and four covers since that embarrassing loss including outright road wins at DePaul and Rutgers. St Johns is 4-2 ATS in true road games this year and they have been a money maker all season cashing 67% of the time regardless of venue. Georgetown is a very good defensive team and the last time these two tangles just 118 points were scored. Laying this type of number in a likely low scoring affair isn't something we cherish when backing the Hoyas. Look for this game to be decided late as the Red Storm take this to the wire. PLAY ST JOHNS |
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02-01-13 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics OVER 189 | Top | 84-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
805 Orlando at Boston
The Magic suffered a major injury when its only good defensive post player Glen Big Baby Davis went down with a season ending injury against New York. When he was out for 11 games earlier the Magic's defensive rating was worse by 1.7 points per 100 possessions. In turn the team fared better offensively in his absence. Without Rondo Boston's totals will be lower because he was the main option on offense. But the Celtics have players on this team who have been major contributors offensively in the past. We expect the offense to have an easy time here without much of an interior defense from Orlando. The last time these two played we saw 204 points scored in regulation in a 116-110 overtime win for the CEltics. We look for another high scoring affair here. PLAY OVER |
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01-30-13 | New Orleans Hornets +7.5 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
719 New Orleans at Utah
Having success betting the NBA all comes down to contrarian thought. The Hornets played last night at Los Angeles and take to the altitude of Utah unrested. The Jazz are coming in off a franchise worse 45 point home loss to Houston. The situation calls for a Utah blowout and the line reflects that fact, but that's not how the NBA works. In reality we have a New Orleans team on the rise despite losing 3 of 4 games. A closer look finds the Hornets having just played San Antonio, Houston, Memphis and the LA Lakers. Before that recent stretch this team won 7 of 9 games. Keep in mind over the last week the Hornets caught 8 1/2 at San Antonio and 7 1/2 at Memphis, two teams that in our opinion are far superior to the Jazz. Sure Utah will be in a foul mood but they also have a home and home with Portland on deck after an off day tomorrow. The Blazers are a team the Jazz must beat for possible playoff seeding. So while the situation screams Utah we go contrarian and take the pointspread value with the underrated squad. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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01-28-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Chicago Bulls -11 | Top | 85-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
710 Charlotte at Chicago
The Bobcats are off a 102-101 victory over the decimated Minnesota Timberwolves. Charlotte is just 2-8 ATS on the season after an outright win. They are also 5-12 ATS facing a team off a loss, 2-6 ATS on the road in that situation, and the Bulls were embarrassed last time out at Washington. Chicago had been playing pretty well coming into that Washington shocker on Saturday so we expect a big performance from the host. In addition, these same Bobcats upset the Bulls in this building 91-81 as an 11 1/2 point underdog on December 31st. New Year and a different result this time for Chicago who is about to head out for a five game road trip. PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-27-13 | Detroit Pistons +2.5 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 104-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
805 Detroit at Orlando
These two clubs know each other well as it's the fourth time they have met this season. Orlando has taken 2 of 3 outscoring the Pistons by a combined 5 points. Detroit has dropped the first two games on this road trip by 3 at Chicago and by 22 at Miami, but the Pistons step way down in class here. Orlando is now 5-10 ATS on the season when playing a team off a loss, when doing so at home it is 1-9 ATS on the year. The Magic have dropped 15 of 17 games as of late and it embarks on a five game road trip after this contest. So the thought would be that this is a must win game for the host. But we have watched enough NBA over the years to know the obvious plays rarely are successful. The truth of the matter is that Orlando simply doesn't play the defense to be favored here. Look for the outright Detroit victory. PLAY DETROIT |
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01-25-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks +2 | Top | 113-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
814 San Antonio at Dallas
The Spurs will be without their coach and perennial All-Star Tim Duncan who both stayed back in San Antonio. Leonard is questionable and he is the key defender against perimeter shooting big men. The Spurs play again tomorrow when they host Phoenix at home. Dallas has had the past four days off heading into this contest. The Mavericks have been humiliated twice this season against San Antonio losing by margins of 25 and 38 points. With tomorrow off this is a statement game for the home dog who is getting healthy and playing much better ball. PLAY DALLAS |
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01-22-13 | Iowa v. Ohio State -11 | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
510 Iowa at Ohio state
Hawkeyes off huge upset victory over Wisconsin and 20 point road blowout win at Northwestern. But traditionally Iowa has not been a very good road team. Ohio State is 10-1 SU at home and has been an excellent pointspread proposition the past few seasons. The Buckeyes are off a close loss at Michigan State and have dominated Iowa the last two years winning by margins of 29 and 22 points. With only Penn State on deck the Buckeyes take out some frustrations on the Hawkeyes. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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01-19-13 | UNLV v. Colorado St -2.5 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
634 UNLV at Colorado State
The Rebels are just 10-19 ATS on the road the past three seasons but they are off an impressive win at San Diego State. That was the first time in four years the Rebels beat the Aztecs on the road. After losing at New Mexico that was a statement game for UNLV. Now they once again travel and they won't be facing the same style of play as they faced on the west coast. UNLV really struggles in the half court game, especially against the zone. The Rebels have also had problems rebounding against big teams. That wasn't the case last time out as San Diego State is a guard oriented team that plays man to man defense. You saw how the Rebels struggled to score after halftime when Coach Fisher saw that his team couldn't run with the Rebs. Colorado State has a huge home court advantage and they are an excellent rebounding team. It's also a team that plays an solid zone defense so we expect points to be hard to come by for UNLV. The Rams are a perfect 10-0 SU at home this season and they beat the Rebels as a home dog a year ago. The last two times Colorado State hosted UNLV they held the Rebels to less than 40% shooting. UNLV can't beat the Rams on the boards so this will be a very tough situation. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
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01-19-13 | Charlotte U v. Richmond -2.5 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
596 Charlotte at Richmond
Charlotte is in a first place tie in the Atlantic 10 standings and its 15-2 record has been outstanding. The problem has been that the 49ers have played a very weak schedule. In the last 11 games they have been dogs just twice losing to Miami by 31 and beating Davidson by 4. Charlotte has 3-0 in conference Xavier on deck. Richmond sits at 1-2 in conference and it has been playing without one of its best players in Derrick Williams. This is a game the Spiders simply need to have to avoid falling too far behind in the standings. Richmond is 9-1 SU at home this season and 49-9 overall at home the past few years. As opposed to the 49ers this team has played a very touch schedule including Minnesota, Kansas and Butler. The Spiders have won 7 of the last 9 meetings in this series, and alter losses in 5 of the last 7 games this is a do or die game for the host with VCU on deck. PLAY RICHMOND |
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01-16-13 | UNLV v. San Diego St OVER 134 | Top | 82-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
801 UNLV at San Diego State
These two teams have really had some battles over the years with many games being decided in the closing minutes. But the makeup of the two teams is a bit different this year with offensive edges that can be exploited. UNLV for the first time in years has talented big men. They have the ability to take advantage of a smaller and less potent rebounding team in San Diego State. Also the Rebels have really struggled against the zone but that's not the style of play coach Fisher and his Aztecs prefer. San Diego State likes the playground style of basketball which fits right in with the way the Rebels want to play. Get out and run instead of half court sets. San Diego State has a major advantage in its backcourt as the Aztecs are extremely talented in that regard and its small forward could be the best player on the court. It will be tough for the Rebels questionable guards to keep up with San Diego State. While past games have tended to be low scoring these teams are far different from the past. Look for a fast paced game with both teams getting to the free throw line. This line is based on history and we take advantage. PLAY OVER |
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01-14-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls -4 | Top | 58-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
706 Atlanta at Chicago
We have major concerns about this Atlanta team right now who have dropped 5 of 6 games straight up. The lone win came at home against Utah in a contest that the Jazz led by 15 in the third quarter before a furious Hawk comeback. During this streak Atlanta has lost outright to the likes of the Pistons, Cavaliers and Wizards. They are really struggling to put points on the board, producing 84 points or less in 4 of the last 6 games against some questionable defenses. Chicago is off an embarrassing 16 point home loss to the Suns. That game came on the heels of an upset win over the Knicks. Beating New York has been very important for the Bulls this year but they have suffered a letdown and looked really bad after all three victories. We expect a focused effort from the host tonight as it looks to avenge a 92-75 loss in Atlanta. Chicago hasn't played well at home this year which is why this line is very reasonable. We take full advantage. PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-10-13 | Montana State v. No. Colorado -7.5 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
586 Montana State at Northern Colorado
The Bobcats enter on a positive note having won three straight contests. The problem is that all three of those games were at home and now they must travel which has been a problem this year. Winless on the road this season and at a sizable disadvantage on the boards this team could really have an upward battle tonight. Northern Colorado had a major rebuilding job a season ago after winning 21 and 25 games the prior two seasons. They fell to just 9 victories last year with a young and inexperienced team. But BJ Hill returned four starters this year and despite a poor record this is a team with a high upside. The Bears have been severely tested with games on the road against Colorado State, Northern Iowa, Wichita State and Weber State. This is a club who has played 8 of the last 9 games on the road and finally return to the Butler-Hancock Pavilion. This Northern Colorado team has been through hell schedule wise this season but now we catch them with plenty of point spread value. Look for a Bears blowout tonight. PLAY NORTHERN COLORADO |
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01-06-13 | Northwestern +16.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 51-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
817 Northwestern at Minnesota
This game sets up similar to our Utah winner over Arizona last night. Once again we find the sizable favorite in a major sandwich situation. The Golden Gophers are off an impressive victory over Michigan State with Big 10 powerhouses Illinois and Indiana on deck. The last two times Minnesota hosted Northwestern they won by double digits, covering both instances. So what is the motivation here for the host? The last six meetings in this series have seen the line posted at 5 points or less, now the line is more than three times as large. Northwestern just got blown out by Michigan, a 28 point loss at home. These players will fight tooth and nail to distance themselves from that terrible performance. These teams have split the last six meetings in straight up fashion. While we are well aware of the Wildcats attrition problems this line is way overblown for the situation. PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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01-04-13 | Indiana Pacers +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 75-94 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Indiana at Boston
Indiana continues to struggle to score failing to reach the century mark in 17 of 19 games with a high water mark of 104 points during that streak. That 104 points scored against Utah was a season high in regulation. This road game breaks up six straight home games for the Pacers. Indiana has Milwaukee revenge on deck tomorrow. Boston has dropped four straight games by double figures and travel to Atlanta tomorrow and New York. The Celtics have lost 8 of 10 with the only wins coming against Cleveland and Brooklyn. This is a very important game for the host. While Boston has struggled with athletic teams that can beat the Celtics in transition, that's not the type of team they will be facing tonight. The Boston players have talked about getting back on tract and this is their best opportunity with a team that won't overwhelm them in the open court. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-03-13 | Texas State v. Denver -18.5 | Top | 53-64 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
530 Texas State at Denver
Very tough situation for the Bobcats who make their first ever trip to Magness Arena. Not only is it tough to win in this building but the altitude change is extremely trying on a team not used to playing in these arenas. Texas State is playing its first season in the WAC so they are at a major disadvantage when playing at many of these foreign courts. The road games that they have played out of conference does not prepare them for what they will encounter here. Denver is off a 22 win season and are just 5-7 on the year, but they have played a very tough non-conference slate. California, Colorado State, Southern Miss, Stanford and Wyoming are just a few of the teams this team has played. The last three home games against this type of competition resulted in wins by margins of 25, 35 and 29 points. The Pioneers defense has held 4 of the last 6 opponents to 47 points or less. This is a statement game for the host. PLAY DENVER |
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12-28-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +3 | Top | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
818 LA Clippers at Utah
Friday night home crowds in the NBA are always a huge bonus. It's usually the highest attended game of the week and most in the crowd are excited for the weekend. Therefore we see an added skip in the step of teams playing at home especially if the visitor is a high profile opponent. And you don't get much higher profile right now than the 15 straight winners of the LA Clippers. Utah has dropped two straight home games outright by double digits. They are also looking to avenge a previous loss on this court to these Clippers, a 105-104 defeat at the beginning of the month. With the second game of a home and home coming Sunday in Los Angeles this is a very important game for the Jazz. The Clippers are riding high right now off a 106-77 home blowout of the Celtics last night. But playing unrested in altitude has never been a positive situation, especially when put in the road favorite role. After this home and home with the Jazz the Clippers face the likes of Denver, Golden State twice and cross town rival LA Lakers. You can easily see the Clippers taking the Jazz for granted tonight. PLAY UTAH |
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12-14-12 | Boston Celtics v. Houston Rockets UNDER 206 | Top | 89-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH
812 Boston at Houston Boston is 3-8 to the Under in regulation when the total is set at 190 or higher. This is the first time all season a total has been set at over 200. When playing against teams with high pace ratings Boston has gone Under against Dallas by 5, Under against San Antonio by 19 and Under against Milwaukee by 9 1/2, 6 and 17. Houston plays the fastest pace in the NBA and coach Rivers knows he can't compete against Houston playing the Rockets fast paced game. Off a double overtime win over Dallas on Wednesday and with another game tomorrow at San Antonio we look for the Celtics to severely slow the pace. PLAY UNDER |
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12-05-12 | USC +10 v. New Mexico | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
563 USC at New Mexico
When a game has such a low projected total playing the double digit underdog becomes a very strong play. With USC off a loss and New Mexico coming in undefeated we have a terrific situation to cash on the college hardwood. These two teams met last year in a total slugfest as the Trojans won 44-41. The total in that game was 115 1/2. Now we find USC getting double digits off three straight losses to Marquette, San Diego State and Nebraska. While New Mexico has gotten off to a great start they have been sizable favorites in every lined game. We look for an inspired effort out of the dog here with the game being an ugly show paced slugfest. The double digits cannot be ignored. PLAY USC |
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11-09-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. New Orleans Hornets -6.5 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
514 Charlotte at New Orleans
The Bobcats had by far the worst record in the league last year and while improved are still way behind the rest of the NBA. The team has tried to press the opposition which has led to turnovers but also to a great deal of offensive rebounds. Charlotte doesn't defend well enough to allow second shots. After surprising Indiana in the opener with their unorthodox defensive style Charlotte has been beaten by 27 and 7 points the last two games against mediocre competition. New Orleans just set a franchise mark in futility last time out being held to 62 points against Philadelphia. Without another game until Wednesday the Bobcats will get their full attention. Davis has been held out of the last two games because of concussion symptoms but he is expected to be cleared to play today. Look for a rebound performance for the Hornets here as they take out some frustrations on a bad team. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |