Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -109 | 219 h 22 m | Show |
4* Total Money OVER Lions/ Cowboys |
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10-01-23 | Bengals v. Titans UNDER 44 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 264 h 45 m | Show |
Going UNDER the total. Two teams I will look to keep fading offenses with. Burrow didn't look all that great on Monday night. Now, a short week. Still hobbled. Tennessee. What is there to say? You draft Willis - You draft Levis. You still trot out the old guy. Guess you get some AARP discount or something for this QB-RB-WR combo of veterans. Both teams had the same 27-24 games in Week 2. But the other 4 games. Slop fests. I love that the Titans are 1-9 their last 10, so of course that peeks my interest. But, first team to 20 wins. 4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Titans |
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10-25-20 | Packers v. Texans OVER 56.5 | Top | 35-20 | Loss | -115 | 88 h 58 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. Texans defense is like a wet bag trying to hold a brick. Absolutely pathetic. Cost us last week in these write ups. I can't see them slowing down an angry A-Aron. Rodgers hurt us also as we had the Over against Tampa. Well. Looked good early as it was 10-0 then Rodgers turns into INT machine and its 38-10 and we can't get any garbage scoring. Off that kind of game, I am all in on the Pack and Rodgers jumping out fast. Already on the first half over will also be on the full game. 8* Sure Shot OVER Packers/ Titans |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 51 | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 147 h 6 m | Show |
5* Total Money OVER Browns/ Pitt |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
10* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Philly |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys OVER 40.5 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 98 h 11 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. Both teams off their bye weeks. Both pretty desperate to get their offenses going. Defenses are the strength of both squads. Something tells me though we see some new wrinkles. Dallas actually playing well this season at home. I won't be shocked if they get 30 themselves. This is the second lowest line this week. I have this at mid to high 40s. 5* Total Money OVER Titans/ Cowboys |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS and the OVER here. It is tough to lay this when the numbers say Dallas doesn't cover at home. But this is a different Cowboys teams as they are now on a 9-1 ATS/SU run. Dak and Elliot behind this line have been nothing short of brilliant. I would really have no issue with taking the Redskins here. I think Cousins leads a pretty good offense and the defense is no slouch either. But we just cashed them rolling the Packers. Now it is a short week vs a real physical, grinding team. I just think Dallas really pulls away in the 2nd half behind their OL. But I do think we see points here from both teams. I'm think something along the lines of 37-27 type range. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS + Over |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos OVER 45 | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 271 h 44 m | Show |
Going OVER the total in Super Bowl 50. I know we have some good defenses at play here. But This is the final game of the year. Do we really think that either team will sit on a lead? Who wants to be the HC being asked, Coach, you were up 24-6, why did you try to run out the clock the entire 2nd half. Losing 33-30 on a last second FG has to kill you. Point is. There will be no milking or grinding out clock. Panthers have a power run game. They put points on the board. Their OL is better than NE. They can keep the rush off Cam. And if needed, Cam can run. Manning is old. I had NE last week. They couldn't make the plays to win. But Manning still can play. He isn't a dummy back there. He has some WR weapons at his disposal. We will see points. The winning team will be scoring in the 30s tonight. 10* Total Money MONEY BOMB - OVER |
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12-17-15 | Bucs v. Rams OVER 41 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. I am looking for some offense tonight in St Louis. Both teams have good RBs in Martin and Gurley. Bucs rookie Winston has some WRs at his disposal. I know Keenum and the Rams offense isn't a sexy bunch, but I see points on the board tonight. Both defenses are not bad and with the spotty QB play, we will be seeing a lot of the ground and pound. That being said, I think what gets us the into the mid 40s tonight is the defenses forcing turn-overs. Short week, one team dealt a tough loss that hurts their playoff chances, the other snapping a losing streak keeping their wild card hopes alive. I look for trick plays, TOs that lead to TDs, and an easy cover by the 3rd quarter. 8* Total Money OVER Bucs/Rams |
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11-05-15 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 45.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
Going UNDER the total here. I just can't see a ton of points being scored here. Short week. Johnny Football could be starting. McCown banged up. I look for a little revenge here with Cincy. They lost to the Browns here nearly a year to the day 24-3. Coming off a tough game vs the Steelers, I think Cincy has trouble starting here. Browns defense choked away a 20-7 lead last week. They will tighten things up. Both games went under last year. I think we get another game that nears 40. 5* Total Money UNDER Browns/Bengals |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots OVER 51.5 | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 59 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. Do we really think that Tom Brady won't be looking to run it up here? What happened in the 2nd half of that Colts game after they took his ball? How did he do in the 2nd half of that Super Bowl against the Legion of Boom? This Steelers offense will be able to put up points. Their defense could be one of the worse in football. Brady is putting up a 40 spot here in his sleep. The over is 8-2 last 10 in the series. 10* Total Money OVER Steelers/Patriots |
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12-11-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams OVER 40 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. It would be easy to say, hey, two top defenses meeting up. Arizona hasn't scored more than 18 points in a month. Rams defense pitching shutouts like Sandy Koufax. 40 points. How can this game not end 17-6. STL has been sneaky good. They have already clipped the Broncos and Seahawks at home. They blew a lead vs the Cowboys. They have put up points. Arizona off a grinding home win, (10 wins) will be hard pressed to bring it here on Thursday night. I'm not going to be shocked when I see 30 points posted by half-time. 10* Total Money OVER 40 |
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11-23-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants OVER 47.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
Going DALLAS and the OVER here. Look, we know Cowboys are terrible laying points. But this is a different team in 2014. Off a bye week, they are refreshed. They have a great OL that will wear down a defense. Murray is playing great. Romo still has Dez and Witten. The defense isn't sexy, but makes stops. I do expect the Giants to show a little heart though which is why we are going big on the over. I don't think they slow down the Cowboys offense. 5* Best Bet DALLAS 10* Money Bomb OVER |
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10-20-14 | Houston Texans v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 44 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. A pair of teams off losses. Texans with some extra prep-time. Steelers off a humiliating loss to the Browns. I expect to see some fireworks tonight. Pitt has gone 5-1 over their last 6 at home. I think the Texans can take advantage of a shaky Pitt secondary. And I think the Steelers RB can pound the Texans. I see this game getting to 40 in the third quarter. I see 27-20, 30-24 type of game. 10* Money Bomb OVER Texans / Steelers |
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10-12-14 | Chicago Bears v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 53.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 47 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. Alright, so we have Atlanta averaging an insane 46ppg at home. A bit skewed from the 56 they dropped on TB, but they put 37 on the Saints here. They always perform better at home in the dome than outside. So off a pair of losses at Minny and NYG , 41 and 30 points allowed, I think they put up at least 4 TDs here. We know their defense is suspect. Now Cutler has his haters, but his offense is a pretty formidable bunch. We arguably have 3 of the Top 10 WRs in the NFL playing here (Jones, Marshall, Jeffery.) Roddy White is no slouch. TE Martellus Bennett is a threat. RB Forte can run or catch the ball out of the back-field. Lots of weapons for both clubs. Let's not forget Hester for the Falcons. Even Holmes for the Bears, albeit getting up there in age, can make a play here and there. I just think we have too many offensive weapons working here. Bears 16-5 OVER last 21 on the road. Falcons 9-3 OVER last 12 at home. This game easily eclipses 60. 10* Total of the Week OVER Bears/Falcons |
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09-25-14 | NY Giants v. Washington Redskins OVER 46 | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. Pretty simple in my thinking here. Redskins offense just seems to run better without RGIII. The defense isn't anything special, neither is the Giants. Eli should be able to hook up with Cruz for a score or two. If Jennings can repeat last weeks performance, we will be at 40 points by halftime on our way to an easy win. 5* Total Money OVER Giants/ Redskins |
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09-14-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 43 | Top | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 36 h 12 m | Show |
5* Total Money UNDER Miami/Buffalo |
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos UNDER 47 | Top | 43-8 | Loss | -105 | 212 h 43 m | Show |
Taking SEATTLE and the UNDER here. I'll be honest. Many of you had my plays in the Championship round and know that I had Denver and SF to play here at MetLife. Now, I will take that SF loss and roll the dice here on Seattle. Not because I thought SF was playing the best overall football and then since Seattle won, they are the best team. This is based on what I have seen of Denver. And the simple fact is this. When they have had to play physical, bruising teams that like to run, they have either come on with a loss, or on the short side of covering the number. We will start with Indy. They lost on the road to a team that was off to a very good start and had a nice season. Indy somehow managed over 100 yards on the ground with a patch-work run game. After their bye week, a couple tough division games vs SD and KC. They lost at NE when they should have won. Again they face SD and KC, losing at home to the Chargers. In the playoffs they faced SD and NE again and came out on top. But I am not impressed. The Broncos defense is playing very well. I am not going to take that away from them in the least bit. My problem lies with will they be able to contain bruising RB Lynch. I don't think so. This game is going to be won by the Seattle defense vs the Denver WRs. They have the size and strength to slow down this attack. I am not high on Wilson. I have said that before. Seattle is playing with house money. No pressure. All the pressure is on Manning. Seattle can swing here and miss. Denver can't miss at all. They take a shot and turn the ball over and turns into points, I can see them tightening up. This Seattle defense is very good. As great as Manning is, this defense is chomping at the bit to show just how great they are. Total wise, I really like the Under. Forget about the weather. Did you see the Lions and Eagles put up 54 in a near blizzard? I know Lynch won't have a problem in that, nor would I bet against Moreno. But I think these defenses are much better than Det/Phi. That being said, I don't see any wetness playing into the equation. It will be cold, and the QBs will be uncomfortable. The defenses love this kind of weather. We are going 2-0 today. 5* BEST BET PARLAY -- SEATTLE and UNDER
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10-20-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 55.5 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here in Philly. Cowboys didn't get much from the offense last Sunday night. No worries though. The special teams did all the work for them that night. And what better remedy for a lazy Sunday of football then to face this Eagles secondary for Tony Romo. Yeah, much maligned Romo with 14TDs and just 3INTs this year. He has plenty of firepower even missing his running game. I like this total even more with Foles at QB because he is a better pocket passer than Vick. He will find openings in the Dallas secondary. Do we forget Romo threw for over 500 yards 2 weeks ago. He basically had a bye week to rest his throwing arm Sunday night. Eagles 7-1 over their last 8 at home and 8-1 over their last 9 overall. These two defenses are at top or bottom, depending how you few it, for yards allowed passing. This is going to be another track meet for these clubs. I know someone is getting 40, and the loser will have 20 by halftime. 10* Money-Bomb OVER Cowboys/Eagles
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01-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 49.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 28 m | Show |
Going UNDER the total here. Pretty basic in my thinking here. I think the Falcons are going to win, and if I am correct, I see a score around 40-44. If it turns out the SF are the darlings, I can see a blowout, but another under. Something like 31-13. Again. Under the total. The Niners do have a top defense. I know the trends recently have pointed to overs in the championship game. But I will defer and go back to the 'defense wins championship' mantra. Falcons will need to establish their run-game, ball control offense. Falcons defense a bit soft and will have it hands full stopping Gore and Kaepernick. But I think it is something they are up to. They defense was great last week vs Seattle before they mailed it in the 4th quarter and barely escaped with a win. Falcons under 6 of their last 8 overall. Falcons 6-1 under last 7 at home. Falcons 10-2 under last 12 vs teams with winning records. Niners bring a top 5 defense across the board to this NFC Title game. DC Mike Nolan was canned mid-season by SF a couple years back. He will want to smother this team and the defense will rally around their coach. 10* UNDER San Fran/ Atlanta
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12-23-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. Saints come in clicking off a 41-0 bashing of Tampa. Brees now has 38TDs on the year. He hasn't been the problem even with 18INTs. The defense is terrible, ranked #32 in the league in yards allowed and giving up over 27ppg. I know people get down on Romo, but the guy produces numbers. He barely has 100 less passing yards than Brees does. Though with just 22TDs and 16INTs, he looks less impressive. The problem with Dallas is that the defense barely makes big stops. Even with the improved secondary, this team is still giving up more points (24.1) than they are scoring (23.4) Dallas actually has a top 15 defense, but I am willing to bet on Brees getting 3 or more TDs here. I also feel Romo will have a big day numbers wise. Saints 7-1 over last 8 vs teams with winning records. New Orleans 12-3 over last 15 vs NFC teams. Dallas has gone over in 4 of the last 5 vs NFC teams and 5 of their last 6 at home. 10* OVER Saints/Cowboys
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11-22-12 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 48 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 38 h 59 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. Romo has that ugly INT number, but if you take away the Bears loss, and the Giants game, he has been very good. Redskins do not have that secondary. Both defenses are prone to giving up a big play. The Cowboys under Romo have been very good getting W's in November and you do that by putting some points on the board. We are moving heavy on Dallas minus the points as we think they are good for a 30 spot here. I expect the defense to give up a few of their own. 5* OVER Washington/Dallas
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01-16-11 | Seattle Seahawks v. Chicago Bears OVER 41 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 62 h 34 m | Show |
Going OVER the total in Chicago. Right off the bat.. Hester is taking one to the house here. He did it in the loss to Seahawks back in October. Also, we have 2 QBs who can toss a pick or 4 in a game. Now, Seattle just put 41 on NO at home. My thinking is this is a 33-17 type game. Bears are quietly a pretty decent offense and Seattle can score as we saw last week. Plenty of nice trends backing up our Over selection. The Bears have gone over in 4 straight playoff games as faves and are 8-1 over their last 9 games in January. Bears have gone over in 4 of their last 5 playoff home games. Seattle is 12-3-1 over their last 16 as underdogs. Seahawks have gone over in 9 of thier last 10 and 4 straight when on the road in the playoffs. 10* OVER Seattle/Chicago
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12-20-10 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 33.5 | Top | 40-14 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Coming back with the UNDER here. We lost last week with the Bears and Pats in a blizzard. The wind didn't seem to affect Brady, but these 2 QBs are hardly Brady-esque. Bears didn't seem to handle the elements well last week. I don't expect much of an improvement here. They are calling for 5-8 inches of snow DURING the game. Maybe I am just nuts, but that has to affect the game. They are playing on a college field, neither team is use to. I think we will a lot of running plays here, and both defenses are decent in that area. Back to the under.. 10* UNDER Bears/Vikes
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12-12-10 | New England Patriots v. Chicago Bears UNDER 38 | Top | 36-7 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Going UNDER the total here. I know you can score in the snow. But snow, wind and blizzard like conditions. A bit harder. If this game reaches 20 I will be suprised. 10* UNDER Pats/Bears
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11-15-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins UNDER 43 | Top | 59-28 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
Monday Night TOTAL of the MONTH ~ Going UNDER the total in Washington tonight. Right off the bat the Eagles know McNabb and his tendencies and vice versa. We cashed with Washington when they traveled to Philly. We are putting a side selection on hold and concentrating on the lack of scoring going on here tonight. The under has gone 9-4-1 last 14 in the series and 5-2-2 last 9 in Washington. The Eagles come off a win over Indy. They couldn't really execute in the redzone and that score was a lot closer than what it should have been. The Skins come in out of their bye week and having an extra week to prepare for the Eagles offense should be ready to put the clamps on Vicks playmaking ability. Redskins have gone under in 5 of their last 7 vs NFC East teams and 9-3 under thier last 12 as home pups. Lets play on the defenses here to ramp it up on Monday Night and keep this as a 17-13 type game. 10* UNDER Eagles/Redskins
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11-07-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Going UNDER the total in GB tonight. Dallas has been getting ambushed and after being called out as quitters last week by Jax, look for them to make a stand out of pure manhood. GB is banged up on offense. Kitna will be running for his life tonight and the 'Boys will finally have a game where they run the ball 30 times. 10* UNDER Dallas/GreenBay
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11-07-10 | NY Jets v. Detroit Lions OVER 42 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
5* OVER Jets/Lions
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11-01-10 | Houston Texans v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 51.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
5* UNDER Texans/Colts
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10-24-10 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 37.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. KC has been quietly putting together a solid year. Their run game should be able to bust through a week Jags defense that saw themselves utterly destroyed on Monday Night. Off a short week, this is a tough spot. You would think the defense would show some pride, but even in doing that, they will allow at least 24 to KC here. Chiefs have gone 11-4-2 over in their last 17 home games. Jags have gone over in 5 of their last 6 vs FC teams. Jax also has scored 36 and 31 in the 2 games prior to MNF. Look for both teams to find the end-zone with regularity today in KC. 10* OVER Jaguars/Chiefs
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10-10-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 46 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
Going UNDER the total in Indy.KC is going to pound the ball all day and keep Manning off the field. That is the gameplan plain and simple. KC is giving up less than 13 ppg. When you run the ball 39 times like KC has the last 2 weeks, its tought to generate any consistantly for an opposing offense. Look for the Indy defense to be up to the task at slowing down the run. This game has 24-10 written all over it. 5* UNDER Chiefs/Colts
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09-19-10 | Chicago Bears v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 40.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 86 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the OVER here. A clear case of perception vs reality. The perception is that the Cowboys have an anemic offense after their showing on Sunday night football. Coupled with a poor pre-season, folks are down on the 'Boys O. That being said, this offense is deadly. Tony Romo is loaded with help in the backfield from Barber, Jones and Choice. He has a monster TE in Witten. The WR corp, with Roy Williams and Romo more familiar with each other, Miles Austin off a break-out year and the rook Dez Bryant are all capable game changers. All you need to know about the Bears is they let a Lions team march down the field from their own 1 and basically win the game. Terrible call there if you ask me. Now we get the Bears, with thier Mike Martz 'Greatest Show on Turf' finally playing on some. Cowboys will move the ball at will here. Every scenerio I have seen have the Dallas scoring no fewer than 34 points, while averaging nearly 38. Bears will get their points, but this is a spot where the Cowboys roll to a 48-24 win. 10* OVER Bears/Cowboys
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