Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame -1.5 | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 600 h 53 m | Show |
Taking NOTRE DAME. No coach. No problem. This team loves the new guy in charge. No lack of motivation. These guys are excited. Plus, they get a shot a big name program like Oklahoma. Who lost their HC and bring back an old HC to coach the bowl game. Why do I think some guys will be opting out for Oklahoma here? Give me the Irish in an absolute blowout. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME |
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12-31-21 | Georgia v. Michigan +8 | Top | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 627 h 42 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN here. This is it for Harbaugh. Time to deliver. You have the same NFL talent as Georgia does. Bulldogs defense very good. But, we have seen them vs Alabama and NFL talent. They can give up points. Wolverines can move the ball. We are also on this OVER. For me, this is really about Harbaugh getting over the hump and delivering. The guy can recruit. He finally got the big win he needed. Huge pressure lifted. I think these guys win outright tonight. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
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12-30-21 | Purdue v. Tennessee -3 | Top | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 558 h 43 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. This team really surprised me this season. Was not expecting such a quick turnaround. But here we are. And playing basically a home game. Huge edge here for Vols. Line moved accordingly. Look Perdue was 8-4. Beat Michigan State, Iowa on the road. Lost 27-13 to ND. The team plays defense. Vols offense will put that to the test. This team can move the ball and put points on the board, just about 39ppg. Boilermakers best defense player opted out of the bowl. Their best WR also is sitting out as both get draft ready. Not sure Purdue has enough bullets to go shot for shot here. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9.5 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -107 | 134 h 17 m | Show |
Taking OLD DOMINION. 5 straight wins for the Monarchs. Honestly, in December, normally I am looking at OD hoops, not the football team. But they are worth the bet today. Tulsa comes in winning 3 straight, but, too many points here. OD started 1-6 - let's not forget, these guys didn't even suit up last year during Covid. Maybe it took some time to get their act together. Too many points to lay with Golden Hurricane. 5* Best Bet OLD DOMINION |
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12-04-21 | Iowa v. Michigan -10 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 152 h 51 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. We had these guys a few times during the season. Didn't have them vs OSU. Had -6 on Buckeyes early. Guess I was still fuming over Wolverines blowing double digit lead to Sparty on the road. Let's be honest here. Michigan is way more talented than Iowa. The monkey is off the back. Time to bring Michigan back to the National Championship level. Took a long time for Harbaugh, but he is here now. No let down. They should win this one by 20. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
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12-04-21 | Georgia -4 v. Alabama | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -109 | 167 h 9 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA. Nothing has changed since August. We liked Georgia then. Still like them now. The defense is super. That will be the difference maker here. We can get into Nick vs his old assistants. We can talk until we are blue in the face about the greatness of Alabama. Nothing has changed my thoughts about Georgia this season. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
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11-27-21 | Notre Dame -19.5 v. Stanford | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 69 h 17 m | Show |
Taking NOTRE DAME. Big number, but I think the Irish win this by 3+ TDs. Do we think Stanford is just going to start slowing down people. 41 to Cal last game. 35 to Oregon State before that. 52 to Utah. You think they roll out another Oregon miracle OT winner? So the defense has been sound the last 3 games. How about this offensive output. 11 vs Cal - 14 Oregon State - 7 Utah. Notre Dame thinks it is the 4th team in the Playoffs. 50 points on the board tonight. 10* Money Bomb NOTRE DAME |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State -6 v. Michigan | Top | 27-42 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 15 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. So this is a great number because it will sail over the 7 shortly. Every will talk about bad Harbaugh vs good teams. I get it. And if it gets to 8.5 or higher, maybe I go for the middle. We had Michigan last week because as I said then, can't look ahead to a team that has owned you and for it to mean anything you need to beat the team in front of you. We know the past numbers between these too. I think OSU defense a bit better. We saw the Wolverines choke it away against Michigan State. (We had Michigan there also). We don't think they can do something stupid and turn a 5 point game into 14? Honestly, I think OSU wins by 10+. Yes the Buckeyes might have the pressure on them with the whole playoff thing or whatever. But the real pressure - the pressure everyone is feeling is resting on Michigan's shoulders. Harbaugh 3-9 against Ohio State and Michigan State, and 2-13 vs. AP Top 10 teams. If you think the players don't read papers or the internet, come on now. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE |
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11-26-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 45 h 1 m | Show |
Taking ARKANSAS. Besides the fact I think Missouri is terrible, what we have is their former HC sitting as DC of the Razorbacks. Oh you know he is going to want this one. And the players will respond. This is tough group. The new regime really has brought in the change. Have to like what you are hearing after their loss to Bama. No shame battling them. This is a get right game at home. The fans will be pumped. 3-7 last year. Win #8 here. First bowl bid since 2016. The blowout is on. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS |
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11-20-21 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -8 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -117 | 67 h 32 m | Show |
Taking WISCONSIN. Who remembers the Badgers 1-3 start? PSU, Notre Dame and Michigan knocked Wiscy around early. But they have reeled off 6 straight with a super defense. Now. Army, Purdue, Iowa, Rutgers, Northwestern. I get it. Not like those aforementioned programs. But Nebraska is somewhere in the middle, if not closer to these bottom teams. I think they are in for a rough day. 4 straight losses. 6 of 7 in the L column. And these are some tough losses. 26-17 vs Ohio State. 28-23 Purdue. 30-23 Minny. 32-29 Michigan. Heck, That 23-20 OT at Michigan State. 23-16 Oklahoma. These guys are battlers for sure. So Cornhuskers in off bye week. Great! Extra prep time. No! Scott Frost gets a contract extension, and oh by the way- Say Good-Bye to the offensive coordinator and wide receivers coach, offensive line coach and running game coordinator, the quarterbacks coach and running backs and recruiting coordinator last week! What the heck!. Last home game for Badgers. Wiscy by double digits. 5* Best Bet WISCONSIN BADGERS |
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11-13-21 | Texas A&M -2.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 8 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS A&M. Aggies starting with that Alabama win look like a different team right now. They look like the Top 5 team people thought they should be to start the season. Ole Miss and all the love for the coach and the QB. Eh. They are pretty banged up. 27 vs Liberty last week. Maybe they were looking ahead to this game. Aggies though with 3-14-14 allowed their last 3. We saw Mississippi vs Alabama. This team is right up there talent wise. Jimbo 11-3 ATS as road record at A&M also a tough trend not to back. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS A&M |
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11-13-21 | Georgia v. Tennessee +20.5 | Top | 41-17 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 50 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Vols will come out throwing like they always do. This is the best offense that the Bulldogs will see. We have been multiple times this season and have cashed several tickets. This is not one of them. Way too big a number with what the Vols can do offensively. Back-door wide open. But honestly, I won't be shocked if this is closer to a 7-10pt game with a small chance of an outright upset. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
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11-13-21 | Michigan v. Penn State +105 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -100 | 66 h 2 m | Show |
Taking PENN STATE. I like Michigan. Think they are a solid club. And, how about a 2-22 SU run for the Wolverines vs ranked teams. Yikes. I had Michigan vs Michigan State. They couldn't hold a double digit lead. I know that PSU will bring the defense. (Wolverine defense not too shabby either) They have been in some tough games. That Illinois game was nuts. Michigan at home. Crowd will be insane. Think the defense will force McNamara into a mistake or too. Big spot for a young QB. Clifford a bit more big game experience - could be the difference maker. 5* Best Bet PENN STATE |
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11-06-21 | Baylor -6.5 v. TCU | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
5* Best Bet BAYLOR |
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11-06-21 | Temple v. East Carolina -15 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
Taking EAST CAROLINA. Yes. Big number to lay with ECU. But the Pirates a pretty decent team. Yes. 2 losses in last 3 games. Lost in OT to Houston on the road. Lost 20-16 on the road to UCF. Losing 20-17 at South Carolina not a bad loss either. Temple though for me, a straight fade team. They have scored 24 points their last 3 games. 49-7 loser to UCF. 34-14 loser at USF. 52-3 loser at Cincy. Somehow they beat Memphis. Akron and Wagner as their other wins? They were 1-6 last year! As I mentioned. Loss to Cincy by 49 - Loss to Central Florida by 42 - Loss to South Florida by 20 - Loss to Rutgers by 47 - Loss to Boston College by 25. If ECU doesn't win this by 20 just on default, I will be shocked. 8* Sure Shot EAST CAROLINA |
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10-30-21 | Fresno State +100 v. San Diego State | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
Taking FRESNO STATE. One of those spots. San Diego, a 'ranked' team. Everyone on these guys as short home faves. But we have the better offense. I think the Aztecs defense is not as good as their rankings. SDST is undefeated. But unless Cincy slips up, these guys aren't going anywhere. And honestly those hopes end tonight. They have lost a couple of the stat battles in their games. And yes, a good team will make up for that. But not half the time. You are getting a little too lucky. This line tells you all you need to know about what people think about the Bulldogs. Balanced Fresno gets it done. 5* Best Bet FRESNO STATE |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 171 h 21 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. So we rolled out OSU last week and will come right back on them today. We saw a terrible Penn State team. And you say, well, they were looking ahead. Yeah. That would be fine on a 20-6 win. A 20-18 9 OT loser. No. You were outplayed. You didn't play well. And you will be totally flat coming here. Oh. You will be pumped to knock off OSU. Well the Buckeyes already took that loss from Oregon at home. They won't be looking past the Lions here. And frankly, they can't PSU losing drops them in the polls. Losing to Illinois will only mean Ohio State needs to win by 30+ instead of 20. 8* Sure Shot OHIO STATE |
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10-30-21 | Michigan -2 v. Michigan State | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 5 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN here. So I do like my Spartans. But this is too a short a line. Maybe it is a 'too easy' game. Michigan State sitting off their bye week, but Michigan took care of Northwestern in simple fashion. Wolverines come in with revenge for last years 27-24 win, as 21.5 point underdogs! Year before, Michigan 44-10 as 13.5 faves. I'll toss out some older numbers. Michigan -7.5, Michigan -13, Michigan -24.5 in 2016. Now we are seeing this kind of number? I think the Spartans have improved, but I am not buying this is a top 10 team. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers -117 v. Illinois | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
Taking RUTGERS. So yes, this is my Top 10*. But just because we put a nice name on it, doesn't mean we go crazy betting it. Put an extra unit or two on it. But we really love the Scarlet Knights in this spot. And why wouldn't we. Off their bye week. Illinois off their biggest win in ages over Penn State. 20 something point dog. 9 Over Times. Rutgers by double digits! 10* Money Bomb RUTGERS |
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10-23-21 | Ohio State -21 v. Indiana | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 48 h 40 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. Don't get all wrapped up the Hoosiers going 8-2 ATS last 10 in this series. OSU huge edge today. Off their bye week. Indiana off a 20-15 loss vs Michigan State. On the heels of getting shut out 24-0 at Penn State. This offense is sputtering. Take out the Idaho 56pt game and this team is putting up a little more than 15ppg. Everyone loves Pennix. Guy is always banged up. This team is reeling. OSU looking to come out huge here. In their only loss, the offense put up over 600 yards. We know that OSU will close in on 50. Are you counting on this Hoosiers team to get the mid 20s? 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE |
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10-23-21 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -7 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 43 h 50 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Holy cow. We have a perfect storm here in my eyes. Unranked Cyclones favored by a TD over an Undefeated team ranked in the Top 10! Added bonus - Said team is off monster road win over Texas Longhorns. Only thing that would be the proverbial icing on the cake if it was a win over Oklahoma. But all the ingredients are in this home cake to rise to the occasion. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
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10-16-21 | Alabama -16.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 49-9 | Win | 100 | 75 h 20 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. I don't think Mississippi State gets within 3 TDs here. First off. Last week, Crimson Tide was 18.5 favorite over A&M. Miss State was a 7 pt dog on the same field. So Alabama is a 25.5 favorite over the Bulldogs on a neutral. You want to think - home team off a bye week. Bama will be sad and not show up after a loss. Ok. You can go that way. All I know is that the Tide came all the back from being down 24-10 to take a 38-31 lead. They started slow, were a little sloppy with the ball. 41-0 last year. Oh. Revenge game for Mike Leach. Come on. Bama talent still light years ahead of the Bulldogs. Plus. Zero run game. A one dimensional team for the cover? Not happening. Not off a loss. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE |
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10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa OVER 40.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
Going OVER the total here. Last year 41-21 Iowa. 17-12 PSU in 2019. 30-24 PSU in 2018. Different teams, but we do so some scoring - and 40.5. Come on. There needs to be a lot of things breaking right for this to stay under. And that is just the offense not scoring. That isn't the defense forcing short fields or even scoring. Iowa defense brings it, we know this. For the team to win this one though, they will need to cross that football into the end-zone. Yes. Both defenses are very good at forcing TOs. I just don't see how this game doesn't play out 24-20, 27-24 or something in that range. 10* Money Bomb OVER Penn State/ Iowa |
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10-09-21 | Georgia -15 v. Auburn | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 66 h 16 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA here. So the Bulldogs in off a pair of shutouts over SEC teams winning a combined 99-0 over Arkansas and Vanderbilt. We are to think that Auburn stays within 20? You betting on Bo Nix being the guy to solve the Georgia defense? They are in off a great win at LSU. An early than a late 4th QB TD to turn 19-17 into 24-19. Very nice. But Georgia is head and shoulders past LSU right now. So coming in off that high, I think when the Bulldogs punch you in the mouth and all of a sudden it is 17-0 in the first quarter, War Eagle will be like, someone, anyone, help. 0 TD rushes allowed. 1 passing TD and 7 INTs for the defense. Until I see a team score off Georgia, I will lay the number. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
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10-02-21 | Western Kentucky v. Michigan State -10.5 | Top | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 46 h 33 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Lost with these crew last week. But while I was shuffling my feet muttering about Sparty, WKY was cashing an Over for us. I'll be honest, I thought this line should be about 2 Touchdowns. Indiana was -9 on the road, so they would have been 12-14 point faves at home. This line did open at 8 - I don't think MSU is worse than Indiana. Maybe I'm missing something. Anyway - on to WKU off Indiana. It was a dog fight -a 33-31 loss. Big game on tap for them with UTSA on deck. Much more important than trying to get a win here. Get out injury free. You tossed the kitchen sink at the Hoosiers, and Michigan State will be ready. Spartans off a tough OT loss and have a trip to Rutgers on deck. But after a poor game last week, I think this is a big get right spot. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE |
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10-02-21 | Oklahoma -10.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
Taking OKLAHOMA. At first look, you have say to yourself, we are grabbing K-State at this price. They won at Oklahoma last year 38-35. They won in 2019 at home 48-41. This Sooners team was down at West Virginia 13-10 heading into the 4th quarter. Won on a last second FG 16-13. They barely beat Nebraska at home, 23-16. We are going to make it 3 in a row over OU. This line opened 12, and has come down. So - a double revenge spot where OU was favored by 27.5 and 23.5 points. KSt QB Skylar Thompson is at best, very questionable for the game. He won those last 2 games for the Wildcats. His back up is also banged up. So - if Kansas State does suit up a less than healthy Thompson, this is a still a good spot. A 2 TD line move based on past games. And if we get a backup who did nothing last week on offense - we should get a huge revenge blowout with the Sooners winning by 3 TDs. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 50 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. What a spot here for Sparty? Foget the fact they are already having a nice little season. We cashed them vs Northwestern. We cashed them vs Miami. And we will go big here vs Nebraska. Now. I had Oklahoma last week in what I thought would be an absolute blow-out. Far from it. In fact, it was a tough pill to swallow if you are a Nebraska fan. Missing 2 FGs and a PAT - a 23-16 loss. Yikes. Just a total flat spot. I mean really. You are facing the Sooners, old-school Big 8 Rival when you guys were always Top 5 teams. Now you have to get off the mat and get pumped to play Michigan State. I don't see it. I think their coach is on the way out. I don't think they will be able to contain this MSU run game. I think their own run game is their QB running for his life. Spartans should win this one by at least 2 TDs. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN STATE |
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09-25-21 | Florida International v. Central Michigan -10 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 6 m | Show |
Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. So they are 1-2 on the year and a MAC team is laying double digits. Both losses in SEC play. In fact, last week they flew to the LSU game on game day! Yes. Not much hotel space after the Hurricane roared through town. 35-7 at the half and you're shocked they got 7. That's a tough schedule spot. But are home now, comfy in our surroundings. FIU comes in for a long road trip. A team off back to back losses - lost at home to Texas State and then went to Texas for Texas Tech to rough them up, 54-21. And unlike CMU, they didn't show up from the airport with their luggage. I like Jim McElwain. Butch Davis has lost that Miami U glow a long time ago. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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09-25-21 | Ohio v. Northwestern -14 | Top | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 61 h 49 m | Show |
Taking NORTHWESTERN. We faded these guys last week in one of my videos but will ride them to a cover and a date at the ticket window. This is a nice get right game for the home team. Ohio is an absolute dumpster fire right now. Coming into the season, these guys were poised to be one of the top teams in the MAC. Well - their long time HC abruptly hangs it up, and talent or not, the new guy can't get out of his own way. The players are just responding and maybe the guy standing next to the other guy wasn't the right choice to run the program. Wildcats were down 30-7 at half and rallied to a 30-23 loss. Turnovers hurt. Now they get a taste a victory vs a team that lost at home to Duquesne 28-26, as 28.5 favorites! Duquesne by the way, after trailing TCU 35-0 at the half, talked the Horned Frogs into playing 12 minute 3rd + 4th quarters. Ohio is a mess. If Northwestern doesn't win this by 20 here at home, they will be getting into the dumpster with the Bobcats. 8* Sure Shot NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS |
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09-18-21 | Purdue v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
Taking NOTRE DAME. I think the Irish win this one by double digits. This line is a joke in my eyes. Do we forget that Notre Dame was up nearly 20 points vs Florida State. That was a tough place to play that night with Bowden stuff going on. A hungry home dog. They took the punches and won the game. Here at home vs the Boilermakers. This is Purdue. A team I think is one of the bottom 3 teams in the Big 10, I mean Big 14. I understand that everyone is going to be on Purdue here. I see it already. Notre Dame defense bad. Can't stop people. I think this is a big overreaction. Normally I am an Irish fade guy, but something tells me the little green guy gets it done today. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME |
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09-04-21 | Georgia +3 v. Clemson | Top | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 224 h 16 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA. I know Clemson doesn't rebuild, it just reloads. But, big shoes to fill at both QB and RB. Georgia is always a talented bunch. Nothing really to say here. I am high on Georgia this year. It starts right here in Game 1. ML +190 should be sprinkled in. Let's go Bulldogs. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -7 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 235 h 0 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. So I lost with both of these guys on Friday. I am still not sold on Ohio State defense. I don't think anything can slow down the Tide but themselves. If you watched Alabama play at all this year, you can sit there and think they aren't 2 TDs better than any time? So they didn't run it up vs ND. To me, it seemed like they were going through the motions most of the time. Now- I didn't think OSU would lay the wood to Clemson. I thought they had something to prove in their own right. Maybe the loss of that offensive coach really set them back. Can't dwell on it - time to move on. OSU with a huge chip on their shoulder, probably the number 11. That being said, I still don't think the should be in the playoffs. The win, I will swallow a huge bitter pill. But this Tide team is just too much on offense. The total is in the mid-70s for a reason. I am just shocked this game isn't double digits. I mean, 22-10 grinder vs Northwestern. 42-35 Indiana. 49-27 Rutgers. 38-25 Penn State. PSU was 0-5 before it ran off a bunch of wins over 2 win teams. And lastly, let's not forget that big hit Fields took. He'll be feeling that a day later for sure. Eye test people. Think of what you have seen out of this Alabama team all year. I'd lay 10 and feel extra comfortable. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M -7 | Top | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 96 h 53 m | Show |
Taking A&M. I thought this team should have made the Playoff over Ohio State. After OSU gets trucked by Clemson and Bama wins by 30 over ND, you will hear that losing to good teams isn't bad. Except when you are 1 loss A&M. NC lost a bunch of offense to bowl opt-outs. 2 thousand yard rushers 28 TDs, Out. Leading receiver, 1000 yards 8 TDs Out. I'm all for next guy up. But next RB up has 121 yards on 80 rushes - oh its the QB. Yikes. The TAM comments alone make me think they will try to run it up. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -110 | 295 h 57 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Not a chance that Ohio State slows down the Tigers. You should know by now that I don't even think OSU belongs in this game, or even sniffing the playoffs. Clemson / Alabama Championship game awaits. Buckeyes defense will have zero answers tonight. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -115 | 291 h 44 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. Part of me wanted Ohio State here so we can all make fun of the Big 10 when the Tide put up 60+ on them and beat them by 45. But, we get another laugher as Notre Dame gets the 4 spot based on beating a team they just got dominated by with a backup QB. Irish do not have the horses to run with Alabama. I lost with Bama in the SEC Championship, but I think that is really a blessing. Now the Tide have been in a close game. They won't call the dogs off when they get up as Florida was fighting back the entire time. Is ND keeping Alabama under 50? Blowout. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Tulsa -2.5 | Top | 28-26 | Loss | -110 | 205 h 28 m | Show |
Taking TULSA. Hey Hey. Armed Forces Bowl -Look at us. We play in the SEC. Oh nice. Yeah. Come to our bowl. Who cares you are 3-7. Your coach is a great quote with a great named, 'Air Raid' offense. Tulsa all day for me. Only losses on the year. Opening game at Oklahoma State 16-7 and a FG loss in AAC Championship Game to Cincy. Both those teams would be favorites over this slop of a team from Starksville. Nothing better than your smaller brother beating up big brother. 8* Sure Shot TULSA |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii +11.5 v. Houston | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 27 m | Show |
Taking HAWAII. Fading away Houston here. In fact, lets sprinkle some +300 ML here on the Rainbows. Cougars with at least 15-20 guys not suiting up here. 3 of them, your sack leader, tackle leader and a pretty explosive WR, helps our dogs cause. I think the lack of games for Houston, they have played once since mid-November hurts them. They have had some extended bouts of Covid Cancels. I'm grabbing the Rainbows and pinning faith on their backfield to land some haymakers against a weakened defense. 5* Best Bet HAWAII |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida v. BYU -4.5 | Top | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 143 h 21 m | Show |
Taking BYU. Only loss that blemish at Coastal. Travel mid week to face another undefeated team in a crazy season. No shine of the luster in my eyes. Another big travel here down to Boca. But BYU is a program that will be proud to go 11-1 when some teams played 5 games. Defense the big edge here for me. UCF is a pretty good offensive unit. But the defense won't be able to slow down the road team. 8* Sure Shot BYU |
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12-21-20 | North Texas v. Appalachian State -19.5 | Top | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 115 h 40 m | Show |
Laying it with APP STATE. Every loss on the season for them, well, that team was playing in conference championship game the other day. North Texas gives up 40ppg. App allows less than 20. In 2017 NT lost its bowl game 50-30 to Troy, 2018 52-13 to Utah State. 2019- No Bowl game. Not because they were banned for giving up 50 in back to back losses, no, they were 4-8. Give me App State to run Mean Green out of the South Carolina. 5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN STATE |
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12-19-20 | Alabama -14 v. Florida | Top | 52-46 | Loss | -105 | 168 h 51 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. It would be great to cash my Gator SEC Future and the my Trask Heisman. But let's be honest here. This Bama team is steam-rolling people. Florida has slowed some bad SEC teams. They will have zero answers tonight. Alabama will put up 50 because that is what it does. I don't think Gators keep it within 20. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA - this line has moved to 17.. I would lay 20. |
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12-19-20 | Stanford +7.5 v. UCLA | Top | 48-47 | Win | 100 | 72 h 30 m | Show |
Taking STANFORD. So, Stanford final game of the year. And we have UCLA in off that USC disaster. Safe to say that Bruins will be flatter than a pancake for this one. Leading the entire game until the final 16 seconds. Even your QB says it hurts. Stanford 10-2 ATS vs UCLA last 12. 5* Best Bet STANFORD |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame OVER 60.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -115 | 164 h 41 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. Clemson at 7.5, 8 ok. 10+, eh. I will ride the OVER here. I think Tigers put up 40+ and ND has enough offense to put up 20+. We saw 87 with a backup QB in for Clemson. I think we get at least 70 with a guy who is suppose to go #1 in the NFL Draft. So back to the Irish - the offense has cracked 40+ 6 times this season. The defense has stymied lesser teams. Again, we saw Clemson get to 40 in a ND win. They can't stop a good offense. Maybe they slow it down a bit. I still see 30+ from the Tigers. We see the same from Clemson. What I can't see, is either team not get to 30. 5* Best Bet OVER Tigers/ Irish |
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12-19-20 | Texas A&M -13.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 66 h 18 m | Show |
Taking A&M. Real simple thinking for me here. Aggies on the outside looking in sitting at #4. We know that at least 1 team ahead of them will be taking a loss. Their lone L is to #1 Alabama. This is the game they need to drop a 40+ spot for some extra style points. No way they can let the Vols come anywhere near them. Aggies defense should keep Tennessee under 10 points. If this game isn't 40-6 heading into the 4th quarter, I would really be shocked. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M |
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11-28-20 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss OVER 68.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 40 m | Show |
So we like the OVER - I don't think Lane Kiffin will be taking his foot off the gas in this game. Ole Miss has put up 54+59 their last 2 games. They also had 42-48 point back to backs in a win at Kentucky and loss vs Alabama. We know they can score. The Air Raid of the Rebels hasn't taken off much. But there is signs of life showing - after 5 straight losses, they beat Vandy, and nearly picked off Georgia losing 31-24. I think this will be a wild Egg Bowl. 8* Sure Shot OVER Miss St/ Miss |
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11-21-20 | UCLA v. Oregon -13.5 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -106 | 64 h 23 m | Show |
Taking OREGON. Will lay the big number here. Not scared of UCLA. Yeah, nice little game last week beating up on Cal. But I will take that one with a grain of salt. I think Ducks roll here. Oregon is -5 in turnovers and still 2-0 on the year. They haven't played a crisp game yet and are still averaging nearly 40ppg. Short rest for UCLA who again, beat Cal early on Sunday. 10* Money Bomb OREGON DUCKS |
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11-21-20 | Florida -31 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 34 m | Show |
Taking FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will do it again and look for another huge offensive output. And why not. Yes we are in on Trask Heisman futures. You know that already from the other games we backed the Gators. You know we are Florida to win the SEC in our futures. Look. Vandy is not sniffing a win here short of something catastrophic occurring. Trask will throw 6 TDs by half time. This total is 68 for a reason - Gators will be approaching 60 themselves. No time to let up in this season. The team knows it. The coach and QB know it. Every game matters. Every stat matters. If you don't think the HC QB and this team knows it has the Heisman leader right now, you are crazy. No taking the foot off the pedal for Florida. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS |
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11-07-20 | Michigan -3 v. Indiana | Top | 21-38 | Loss | -109 | 81 h 3 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. We liked these guys over Minny when everyone loved the Gophers - we will like them today when people will want to back the small home dogs. Look. Harbaugh can't beat good teams. Ohio States Michigan States Penn States. Indiana is not a team like that. Just like Minny isn't. And oh. How about that Indiana win last week. We had the Hoosiers. But that was really me thinking that Rutgers wasn't going to someone muster 7 turnovers from another Big 10 team. And, we probably should have grabbed Sparty based on the horrible game vs Rutgers. Total overreaction. And that is what we see here. Oh, Michigan is bad. Indiana 2-0, beat Penn State. We had the Hoosiers that game also. Were totally outplayed there. Nearly blew a cover last week. I think Indiana is a little full of themselves right now thinking they will catch the Wolverines licking their wounds. I think the total opposite. Talent level not close. The vultures might be circling above the HC. I expect a big game from Michigan. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
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10-24-20 | Penn State v. Indiana +6 | Top | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 44 h 47 m | Show |
Taking INDIANA. Everyone going to say, oh, Penn State just has to win by a touchdown. Easy money. And yeah. PSU with some nice offensive talent. But the questions are on defense where they have just 4 returning starters. Hoosiers a bit better shape on that side of the ball. A lot of hype on Indiana as I see some 'top 25' mentions which I hate since that means the cat will be out of the bag soon enough if things go well. This is a pretty good team. They have held spring practices, PSU had none. Home dog gets it done. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS |
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10-24-20 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 29 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Team ranked 6 giving the ole 3.5 - Now, you know that normally when I see that 3.5 or 7.5 I am riding the fave. But in this case, I am going against my usual thinking. Because 1, I don't believe one iota that the OkSt is a Top 10 team. The defense is alright. But really. They needed a huge 13-0 4th quarter not to lose outright at home to Tulsa. I remember, I was laying 24 with them! They were out yarded. 14pt win at West Virginia (I was on WVa). Another phantom win and cover as they got a fumble return TD and scored with a little over a minute left to open things up. Time for a little revenge as the Cyclones lost at home as 11pt faves to Cowboys. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
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10-24-20 | Oklahoma v. TCU +7 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 35 m | Show |
Taking TCU. Not high on Oklahoma at all this season. Yet oddsmakers still laying the wood with these guys thinking Baker, Murray and Hurts are behind center. Sooners 2-2 coming off that Texas win (we had the Longhorns). They need 4 OTs to pull that off or they would be sitting at 1-3 season. Give me some home dog love here. Plus +195 ML will get some action. Last year was 28-24 Sooners as 18pt faves. Patterson 14-4 ATS at home with rest. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TCU |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
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10-17-20 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -6 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -107 | 39 h 37 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Grabbing the Vols here. And what am I missing? Is this the low hanging fruit game and I am not seeing the obvious? They won a tough one on the road against South Carolina. They handled MizzU 35-12, which looks better now as LSU was a 14pt road fave and lost 45-41. And led Georgia 21-17 at the half on the road. Kentucky defense is not near the Georgia defense. So - Wildcats in off a 24-2 win where they put 157 yards, allowed zero points defensively and got 6 INTs. Can you get past Kentucky was 4-14 on 3rd down and averaged about 3 yards a play? Vols 33-2 SU 26-9 ATS in this series and 7-1 ATS last 8. Tennessee off that loss - well. Let's go Pruitt. Bama on deck. If you have any hope of being over .500 you need to win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 31 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS STATE. Oh, you think we are in let-down mode? Not a chance. The real let down will be coming from the Red Raiders. What is left in their tank? You have a 15pt lead with 3+ minutes to go. You give that up, and lose in OT - vs a hated rival. Puh-Leaze. Nowhere to go but down as they hit the road. KST is 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and have won the last 4 outright. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE |
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10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 54 | Top | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
4* Total Money UNDER NC/BC |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -115 | 369 h 49 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Also, grab some of this ML. We cashed both these guys in the Playoffs. LSU looked really good putting up a zillion points. Which is why we get this inflated line. Clemson a tough team. Probably the best defense LSU will face. For me though, edge to defending champs. Nobody talking repeat. Just the Joe Burrow Heisman show. Dabo will have this team ready to go. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 137 h 9 m | Show |
Taking CINCY. What an absolute disgrace Bearcats here facing a 6-6 BC team. I know some teams will lack motivation for Bowl Games. I don't see that with Cincy though. Even in a lesser bowl like this. These guys can still get 11 wins on the year. That is a big number in College Football. And this BC team. Shouldn't even be bowling. - Fired their HC. Their best offensive player (RB) sitting out. On a back up QB. Their OC left. Their new HC is the DC at Ohio State and he was slightly busy the weekend before this bowl game. Cincy all day and will also be on the UNDER. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 561 h 8 m | Show |
Taking BAYLOR. Look. I am getting down here on the Bears because I saw last year Georgia didn't show up for the Sugar Bowl as they lost to Texas 28-21. 13.5 pt faves in that spot and it was 28-7 Texas with 11 minutes left in the 4th. So color me sketchy they are all in here. Under Kirby Smart, 2-2 in Bowls. Won Liberty Bowl 31-23 over TCU and Rose Bowl over Penn State 54-48 in 2017 before losing to Alabama 26-23 in National Championship Game. That was a brutal loss. Now they face Baylor. Bears only losses to Oklahoma on the year. Now. is Georgia pumped up for this Sugar Bowl? A win, they are in the Playoffs. But they get routed and back to back Sugars. We know Baylor will be pumped to be here. I am sure they will bring fans. This is huge season for this Waco bunch. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 111 h 16 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. No playoffs. No problems. Motivation? How about facing Michigan and that HC? You think Saint Nick wants to lose here? They lost some shootouts. This QB has A LOT to prove. You don't think he is motivated? All his NFL bound WRs will be playing for what I have seen right now. Tua will be going in mid NFL rounds, or sitting out a year rehabbing. Bama needs to see this QB more and get him into the system. They aren't taking New Years Day off. And Michigan - When was the last time they beat a ranked team. Heck a good team. Tide arguably would be favored over some of these Final Four Playoff teams. What will the lines be if it was Michigan? Also on the OVER here as Tide will get near 40 themselves. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -119 v. Ohio State | Top | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 484 h 1 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON, going ML. I know its a couple bucks off laying -1. But in the long run, this isn't going to hurt as we win these games. Arguably the 2 best teams some may say. Clemson, through no fault of their own - Defending Champs, Undefeated, somehow fall out the Top spot. And never had a chance to reclaim it. Well the year long disrespect is ready to be faced head on. Here come the Buckeyes. Look. I like OSU. We have cashed with them several times this year - albeit not last week when we had them and the over. But the fact is their best win on the year was at home, as 20pt home faves. This was a great win for them as they showed some heart and dominated the 2nd half. Can't get down like that to Clemson though. Tigers now in their 5th straight playoffs. Defending Champs. 3 seed! OSU can play the revenge angle from 2016. But I am not betting against Dabo. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU -12 | Top | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 480 h 8 m | Show |
Taking LSU. Been riding these guys the last few weeks and they have been lining our pockets. Got a quick -10 on one of my Jersey APPs then it was on the move in seconds. Sooners playing with fire coming down the stretch. I just don't have faith in their defense to make a stop. Obviously Hurts can put a legit hurt on us with a backdoor. That being said, I don't think it will maker when we are up 3+ scores most of the game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force -3 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 179 h 35 m | Show |
Taking AIR FORCE. Gotta love a service academy favored over a Power Conference. That is what immediately had me circle this game. Maybe. Maybe Washington State is pumped to finish 7-6 instead of 6-7. I know AF is excited as they are 10-2 and can get to 11 wins by knocking off a PAC 12 school. No 1 rush attack vs No 3 pass attack. We will also be on the Over in this game. Leach 4-10 ATS in Bowl Games. How about PAC 12 3-18-1 ATS last 25 bowl games! 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7.5 | Top | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 425 h 57 m | Show |
Taking LA TECH. Man. Got lucky with LT on my Jersey Apps at +10 before this came crashing down. But I still like the dog. And will sprinkle in some ML also. Who the heck is Miami to come on the road and lay this number vs a good La Tech bunch. 5 straight bowl wins for them. Skip Holtz is a terrific dog coach, and as stated above, 5 straight bowl wins. Manny Diaz was DC here before landing the Miami gig and his DC was also on Holtz staff. Familiar. Maybe. But that works for both sides. Last year, LT was in Hawaii. Now, bowling in Shreveport. Holy cow will there be a huge fan base cheering them on. Especially when you have a name like Miami U coming to town. We'll grab the 9-3 dogs to the 6-6 name brand team. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH |
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12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
Taking WASHINGTON. So -last game for Chris Peterson in what has to be thought of a failed stint. His old squad, Boise on the other side of the field today. Now, PAC 12 has had their problems in bowls - heck - not just bowls - the eat themselves with this Friday night games and cost them a chance at the playoffs. Here though, we are going with the faves. Ranked vs unranked and in this case the small school is the hunted. I just think that the QB spot is the key. Boise on 3rd of year. Washington with an NFL prospect. Team happy to send their coach off with a big bowl win. Also - they want to impress their new HC, who is their current DC. We know the defense will be pumped for their guy. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
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12-21-19 | SMU -3 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 28-52 | Loss | -115 | 233 h 45 m | Show |
Taking SMU. Lane train moving to the SEC. Where does that leave FAU? I have no clue. But Willie Taggart comes over from Florida State to get his career back on track. Might be a good fit. Today though. No. Give me the Pony Express. Even on their home field, FAU a home dog. Tells you all you need to know about where the CUSA Champs are. QB Shane Buechele had a nice little year for the Mustangs - 3,626 yards passing 33 TDs. SMU looking for a big 11th win on the year. Where is the motivation for the Owls? New coach coming in. Playing at home, again. They played in this bowl in 2017. They have their DC running the show here in the Boca Raton Bowl. 10* Money Bomb SMU |
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12-13-19 | Northern Iowa v. James Madison UNDER 46.5 | Top | 0-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
4* Total Money UNDER Northern Iowa / James Madison |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -120 | 150 h 25 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. Another program that just looks unbeatable. An NJ app had this at 12.5 Saturday night around midnight. Was gone by 8am. I'm shocked. I would lay up 20 here. I don't see Wiscy slowing down the Buckeyes. I get it. Badgers a Top 10 defense. I see a 207-0 score over Kent State, Michigan State, Central Michigan and South Florida. Impressive. 35-14 home win over Michigan. Seems good. Win over undefeated Minnesota on the road 38-17. - How about 38-7 loss to these Ohio State Buckeyes. I will forgive taking that 24-23 last second loss to the Illini. That was between crushing Michigan State 38-0 and playing at Ohio State. But talent proves out. And OSU has been the most talented and dominate team all the land this season. #1 scoring offense. #5 offense overall yardage. #1 defense overall yardage. This game in the dome in ideal conditions. OSU is putting up 45+ in my mind. 48-21 that unreasonable - no. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State OVER 56 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 49 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. 38-7 in the rain. Now - dome, fast track. #1 offense in the country and Wiscy is a lumbering defense. Buckeyes getting at least 45-50 tonight. I think Badgers can score a couple TDs. I won't be shocked to see something like 27-10 at half and the flood gates will just open. 8* Sure Shot OVER Badgers/ Buckeyes |
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12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU -6 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 147 h 34 m | Show |
Taking LSU. I had Georgia Tech last week. Obviously, a poor play. But like I said in that write up. Where has this Georgia offense been all year. LSU not as great as the Bulldogs on D. But the defense is good enough to hold Georgia down. Like Ohio State - until we see LSU put on ice, how can you not like them laying anything short of double digits? Last year was 36-16 LSU. I think we will see something along those lines today. Georgia is way too many close games for me to consider them elite. The loss to South Carolina just terrible. I know it looks a little too easy saying LSU just needs to win by a TD. But I will grab the low hanging fruit. They did play a close game vs Auburn 23-20. Those Tigers not to shabby themselves losing to Georgia 21-14 and beating Alabama in a wild one 48-45. But I think this LSU team is on another level right now. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -8.5 | Top | 24-29 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. A repeat from last week. Think Tigers cover by double digits in this one. I'm thinking of a nice 20pt win actually. Cincy struggled with Temple and South Florida before last weeks game with Memphis. It was 17-3 in the first Tigers, and the beat down should have been on. I don't think Memphis lets this one get away. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS |
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12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 44 m | Show |
Taking CMU. What a turnaround under McElwain for the Chips. 1-11 last year, MAC Championship Game this year. These guys on a 8-1-1 ATS run. 41 points in 5 of their last 7 games. We get an uninspired Miami Ohio gang for this game at Ford Field. How about a 20-17 win over Akron when you are laying 29? Then you follow that up with a 41-27 loss at Ball State who at the time had 4 wins, and, you were a dog! A dog to a 4 win team. 2-5 on the road for the MiaO and I think that road woes continue. Maybe this looks like the old low hanging fruit type of gang. But I am not getting in front of Central Michigan the way they are playing right now. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 42 m | Show |
Taking UTAH. I think Utes best team in the PAC 12. Always lean to the better defensive team in this spot. Plus, we have a clear coaching edge. I opened the season with Utah over BYU and I will close out their regular season with them over Oregon. Top 5 D that will slow down the Ducks. Oregon is not a bad team. Top 25 on both sides of the ball. Arguably they have a Top QB draft pick in Hebert. I can forgive the crazy loss to start the year vs Auburn. But laying an egg in probably the biggest game of the year vs Arizona State. Not forgivable. Utes win this one going away. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES |
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11-30-19 | UAB -107 v. North Texas | Top | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 113 h 54 m | Show |
Taking UAB. Huge game here. Blazers trying to lock up CUSA West. Presently a 3 way tie with Southern Miss and La Tech. Good News. They beat La Tech head to head. Bad news. Southern Miss won their head to battle. But good news. UAB is facing a 4-7 North Texas team that has 2 home on the year over barely D1 schools UTEP and UTSA. And, they give 33ppg that places them on the other side of the Top 100. Blazers come in with a rough Top 10 defense that can smell it's spot in the Championship Game. Southern Miss this weekend. Well they face Florida Atlantic, who at 8-3, sit atop the CUSA East. But, with just a game lead over Marshall and Western Kentucky, they need a win. They REALLY need win since they lost to WKU and that would leap frog the Hilltoppers past the Owls into said Championship Game. Blazers just have to win this game which makes better since there is no spread to worry about. 10* Money Bomb UAB BLAZERS |
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11-30-19 | Clemson -26 v. South Carolina | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 109 h 44 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Look. These guys. Defending Champs. Getting slighted since they play in the ACC. What a joke. I don't care if we are laying 30 here. Dabo will have this team firing on all cylinders coming out of their bye week. Statement time to let the powers that be know. We are the defending Champs. We are undefeated for the 2nd straight regular season. We have WON the National Championship Game 2 of the last 3 years. And have been in the National Championship Game 3 of the last 4 years. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS |
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11-30-19 | Florida International v. Marshall -7.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. I like Butch Davis. Wish he never left Miami U. But this is a real tough spot. Off huge upset of old school, nowhere to go but down. Look at the numbers. Plus 3 in TO's. They also stopped Miami twice in the red-zone (1,11 yard lines). Huge yardage discrepancy. Marshall also has a chance to make the CUSA Championship Game if they win and Florida Atlantic goes down. First thing to worry about . Taking care of FIU. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL |
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11-23-19 | Tennessee +4 v. Missouri | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Vols rolling right now with 3 straight wins. Off a bye week, they get a free-falling Missouri bunch who has dropped 4 in a row. No offense to be found scoring 6-0-7-14 in those games. They had 33 or more in 20 of 26 games! MizzU has dropped 50 the last 2 times these guys have played. Vols rested, smell the blood in the water. Bowl eligible with a win. Sprinkle that +160 ML 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
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11-23-19 | Arkansas v. LSU -43 | Top | 20-56 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
Taking LSU. No time to slow down the scoring. It is run it up time as it does matter in the rankings. How is Arkansas putting up points here? On the bad side of 100 for both offense and defensive ratings. What is this gonna be, 52-3? How about a 60 spot. Will the get to 70. Last week was the let down spot. This is back to work time to keep pace with Ohio State and Clemson putting up 50 a game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
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11-23-19 | Memphis -14 v. South Florida | Top | 49-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 12 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. South Florida done for the year. No bowl. The offense a total Jekyl and Hyde unit that has put up 17-7-45-3-27 their last 5 games. Can't be inconsistent against this Tigers team. 45-54--43-47-28Loss- 52-35-42-55. Too much to slow down for Bulls. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS TIGERS |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS A&M. Rolling this baby out as a BEST BET. One day, Jimbo is going to have beat a good team. Not just a good team, but a Top 10 team. Somewhere. Here, the road. Outer space. You can't be in the SEC and face Alabama, Auburn, LSU and Georgia and not win a game. You will 8-4 every year and out the door in 4. Lost to Clemson, Bama and Auburn this year. Lose by 14 at Clemson, 20 at Bama, 8 to Auburn. Bulldogs have trouble on the offense sometimes. Too many points if you like Georgia in my opinion. Another loss most likely, but A&M in cover mode. 5* Best Bet TEXAS A&M |
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11-23-19 | Air Force -22.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-22 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
8* Sure Shot AIR FORCE |
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11-16-19 | Texas v. Iowa State -6.5 | Top | 21-23 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Please explain this line. I know. Tom Herman what, 14-4 as a dog. Here getting a TD. Longhorns ranked in the Top 20. Iowa State 5-4, and laying a pretty decent size chunk here. World will be on Texas and Herman. We are going opposite. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
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11-16-19 | Alabama -19.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 74 h 45 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. We had LSU ML last week and it payed off. We will be all in on the Tide. Off a loss. Holy. Normally, their loss is the playoffs and they blast some team to open the season. Now the angry is fresh and will carry over. There will be no let-down for a double loss here. Tide still #5 in the Playoff Poll. That is an entire other argument as somehow Georgia who lost to South Carolina is 4 ahead of Alabama and undefeated Big 10 teams among others. Back to Miss State being a sacrificial lamb this afternoon. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. Interesting 2 point line move and the money was already in on LT as they are always live as dogs under Holtz. LT also averaging over 50ppg last 4 and again, besides the line move, the total dropped. Thought about moving this to a Top 10, but even hitting 60% this month, we aren't forcing our hand. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL |
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11-09-19 | Clemson -32 v. NC State | Top | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 81 h 25 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Undefeated, defending Champs, not in the Top 5 of the CFB Playoffs. I would lay 40 here. I think the Tigers demolish NC State who has been exposed the last 2 weeks giving up 89 points to Wake and BC. This is going to be a 55-10 type of game. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS |
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11-09-19 | Tennessee +2 v. Kentucky | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Kentucky playing a WR at QB and he is acting like a RB. Vols need 2 wins to get bowling. This is one. Vandy to end the year the other. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE |
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11-09-19 | LSU +195 v. Alabama | Top | 46-41 | Win | 195 | 124 h 27 m | Show |
Taking LSU here on the MONEY LINE, but also going to play some at +6.5. We have seen Saban teams have trouble with good offenses. Look at this line. A healthy Tua and we would be getting double digits, and I would still be looking at LSU. I can here all the Alabama backers saying Tide just have to win by a TD. Live dog today. 4* Money Maker LSU on the ML-- If you are taking +6.5, boost it to a 8* Sure Shot play. |
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11-09-19 | UAB v. Southern Miss -7 | Top | 2-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
Taking SOUTHERN MISS. I do like UAB. 6-2 looks nice, but no real upset, major wins. In off 30-7 at Tennessee. Now, rested So Miss off bye week. They are 5-3 but like UAB, 3-1 in Conference Play looking up at 4-1 La Tech. Just the scheduling spot I have to go with the home fave here. 5* Best Bet SOUTHERN MISS |
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11-09-19 | Stanford -3 v. Colorado | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Taking STANFORD. Back with a QB behind center, we will take the small faves here. Off their bye-week, sitting at 4-4, nice staring at Colorado who has dropped 5 straight. Buffs haven't won a game in November since 2016! 5* Best Bet STANFORD |
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11-02-19 | SMU v. Memphis -5.5 | Top | 48-54 | Win | 100 | 78 h 7 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. Line opened 3 and as high as 6 now at some shops. We have the lower ranked team vs the undefeated higher ranked team and laying a little chunk at home. SMU undefeated, but not sharp last week. Some call SMU HC Sonny Ykes since he isn't fond of playing much D. Or at least that is what I call him. You give up 73 and 96 yard TD passes last week to a back up QB on the road. Tigers tough at home. I think they win by 10. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
Taking WASHINGTON. Will grab Chris Peterson and his troops as a small home dog. Look. He has had trouble when he is a favorite. Even at Boise, he thrived in the dog roll. And here, out of a bye week, at home. Forget. 18 straight wins out of the bye for Peterson. Eason doesn't turn the ball over, this is an outright win for the home team. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
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11-02-19 | Georgia -6 v. Florida | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 27 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA. Here is another Radio Game I did on Monday. The line then, Florida laying 4. Heck, I even saw a sporadic 3.5 laying around. Opened at 6.5, dropped rose again. Not even sure of what to make of that. A group really trying for a 2 point middle? Well. I will say I was leaning Gators. And why wouldn't I? Fromm not looking like a guy some say should go #1 in the draft. Struggling last 2 games. But why do I see this turning into a big Bulldogs win going away. Both teams off bye weeks. What has been super for Georgia all year, their defense. 40 points allowed in 4 SEC games. You know how you do that. Control the clock. Gators have allowed LSU and South Carolina to both go for over 200 yards on the ground the last 2 games. Double digit win here for the visitors. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS |
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10-26-19 | San Diego State -13 v. UNLV | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 47 m | Show |
Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. Rocky Long has the Aztecs back in the hunt this year. Defense a Top 10 unit and should be able to man handle UNLV late night here. Revenge for home loss last year. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO STATE |
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10-26-19 | California +21.5 v. Utah | Top | 0-35 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 13 m | Show |
Taking CAL. Big ballsy play as a 10*. I get it. 3 straight losses. An offense that can't score 20. But, we are getting 3 TDs tonight. Utah with their own injured QB. Maybe he plays a bit. Maybe he gets hurt. Bears defense hasn't give up more than 24 points in 14 straight games. I'm looking for a score or 2 and we should be home free with a win. Thought about the Under 37.5, but this is a 6 full points lower than any Cal total this season. Bears on a 13-3 under run in PAC 12 games and 10 of their last 11 on the road have gone under. Just tossing out some trends for you. 10* Money Bomb CAL BEARS |
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10-26-19 | Auburn v. LSU -10 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -114 | 42 h 52 m | Show |
Taking LSU. Give me these guys at home all day long here. No look ahead here. These guys are taking care of business every week. Saw Bo Nix toss 3 INTs vs the Gators. This defensive backfield is just as good. Delpit or Stevens will have some big plays this afternoon. Burrows the Heisman leader right now. LSU by 20+ 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
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10-19-19 | Michigan v. Penn State -9 | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 8 m | Show |
Taking PENN STATE. I just think this is going to be a beat down. Michigan is done. I think Harbaugh is out of here. White-out game vs these guys? Forget it. Penn State line is going to maul the Wolverines on both sides of the ball. We can beat the Michigan / Harbaugh vs ranked teams thing to death (1-6 on the road). PSU defense clear edge over Michigan. This team is in real trouble. I don't think they score 10 points tonight. 10* Money Bomb PENN STATE |
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10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 55 m | Show |
Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Had Bears last week and that bit us in the butt. But that is who they are. Beat bad teams. Lose to decent teams. Now on the road, the 'Ranked' and "Undefeated" Baylor Bears are dogs. Chuba Hubbard to run all over the Bears. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA STATE |
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10-19-19 | LSU -17 v. Mississippi State | Top | 36-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
Taking LSU. I see this as a 20+ point win for LSU. Miss State having trouble scoring lately. 10 points at Tennessee! If Auburn is dropping 56-23 on you, I see LSU getting mid 40s at a minimum. Even at home, State going to have problems containing Burrows. QB problems don't help. Having your defense drafted into the NFL doesn't help. LSU can really name their score tonight. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
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10-19-19 | Clemson -23 v. Louisville | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 123 h 47 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. So, last year 77-16. Not that I am expecting that. But, we did cash Louisville last week. A wild, wild, 62-59 game vs Wake. Going on the road and knocking off a ranked team is a big deal coming off last season's 2-10 train-wreck. Even catching this big number, I don't think it's close. Clemson putting up some big numbers. 45-14 last week. 52 vs Charlotte, 52 vs GT. 41-6 at Syracuse. Can you say Louisville is along the lines of GT, SU? Even a down FSU? Forget this Tigers QB as a Heisman guy. The Heisman guy is his RB. 7 yards a carry. Heck, Dixon with 6ypg. Birds gave up 123 and 95 last week to a pair of Wake RBs. I am sure Clemson tailbacks licking their chops here. How about Tee Higgins seeing a Wake WR going for 196. I think Clemson drops 50 easy today and Cards don't have the horses to stay within 30. Also. Let's not rule out some Playoff Points. OSU and Oklahoma putting up big numbers. LSU and Alabama will cancel each other out, or will they? Pour it on 80s style. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS |
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10-19-19 | Florida -4.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 10 m | Show |
Taking FLORIDA. I get the thinking. Let-down off that LSU loss. I don't think so. Gators with bye-week next week. They know they need this game. A big what-if last week with an end-zone INT and stopped at LSU 2. Had lead at half-time. Tough loss for sure. But South Carolina comes in giddy upsetting Georgia. Deeper looks shows 4 Bulldogs turnovers help the cause greatly. Getting out-yarded by nearly 200 yards. Not sure who is QBing for Gamecocks, but I still think they don't score more than 13 points. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS |
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10-18-19 | Ohio State -27 v. Northwestern | Top | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 108 h 57 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. How the heck is Northwestern keeping this within 30 points? Nebraska 13-10, Wiscy 24-15, 31-10 Michigan State. So 10-15-10 vs Big 10 teams. Ohio State has given up 17 in 2 Big 10 road games. 48-7 at Nebraska, 51-10 at Indiana. Is Northwestern on either of their levels? 99-17 outscoring conference foes on the road for OSU. Ohio State is scoring 40-50 here. I don't think Wildcats get past 10 - and if they do, Buckeyes will surely answer any score. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE |
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10-12-19 | Rutgers v. Indiana -27.5 | Top | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 72 h 40 m | Show |
Taking INDIANA. Have to say. As a Jersey guy, it pains me to see how brutal Rutgers is. Every time I watch 30 for 30 The U, I think to myself. Man, can Rutgers just keep NJ kids in this state for a few years. Ah, what could be. That being said, in reality land, Rutgers is terrible. They have scored a grand total of 23 points their last 4 games vs Big 10 games. All 23 at home, 16 vs BC, 7 vs Maryland. Did I mention getting blasted 30-0 at Iowa and 52-0 at Michigan. Ok, Hoosiers may not be that level. The fact Indiana put a 31 spot up on Michigan State is enough for me to get behind them. Yeah, even a Sparty team that was possibly looking past Indiana. Is Rutgers that much better than UConn who Hoosiers beat 38-3? I don' think so. Eastern Illinois lost here 52-0. I can see something in between like the 45-10 range. I feel safe laying 30 here off a bye week. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS |