02-04-10 |
Samford v. The Citadel UNDER 108 |
|
57-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* I can't quite make a game set at 108 a 5 star top play, but this one is pretty close. These two teams played two weeks ago at Samford and the total was 101. Was it poor shooting? No it wasn't, as both teams shot around 45%. The three point shooting was actually pretty good. The reality is, the game is just played extremely slow when they match up. The under is 10-2 for Citadel and 10-4 for Samford. Take the under.
|
02-04-10 |
Florida v. Alabama UNDER 130 |
Top |
66-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* A close look at the recent games of both of these games made me feel like this one definitely warranted a top play. The under is 8-4 in Florida's last 12 and is 14-3 in Alabama's 17 games this year. Consider that in the last eight Alabama games none of them have gotten to 130. I don't think either team will push the pace here and I think the winner of this one may well have about 60 points. The data points to a big under!
|
02-03-10 |
Kansas v. Colorado OVER 151.5 |
|
72-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Kansas Jayhawks have scored more than 80 points in their last 6 games and I don't think that streak will stop in this game. Colorado is not strong defensively and they should have serious trouble stopping the inside/outside combination of offensive firepower from Kansas. Colorado averages 80 points per game at home and they should score enough to make this one go over the posted total.
|
02-03-10 |
Mississippi State v. Vanderbilt OVER 148.5 |
|
72-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star big Play* Vanderbilt has been playing great basketball of late and one of main reasons is because they have been able to push the tempo and beat other teams in transition. Mississippi State also likes to run at times, so this should be a good match up, but I think the winner will need 80 points in this one. I like the over here.
|
02-03-10 |
St Bonaventure v. St Louis UNDER 126 |
Top |
65-67 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The Billikens can play defense and they will most assuredly slow the pace down here. The Bonnies are missing their leading scorer and should struggle mightily on the offensive end. I thought this number would be around 120 and now I'm getting 6 points worth of value, so I'll take the under in a big way.
|
02-03-10 |
Elon v. Wofford UNDER 127 |
|
56-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Last time these two met the total finished at exactly 127. If you take a look at the number of free throws in that game you'll see why I think this one stays under this posted total. 72 free throws in a college game is pretty ridiculous and I think that should head back down to around 40-45 in this one. I think this stays in the low 120's.
|
02-03-10 |
South Florida v. Georgetown UNDER 136.5 |
|
72-64 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Georgetown Hoyas play a little faster this year than they have in the past, but they still don't like a real fast paced game. South Florida is the same way. The Bulls have a couple scorers, but are more of a defensive type of team. I thought this one would be down around 130, so I like the value of the under in this case.
|
02-02-10 |
Mississippi v. Kentucky UNDER 155 |
|
75-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* A game between these two isn't exactly my favorite to play an under normally, but this number does have some pretty solid value in the under. Ole Miss may well have trouble keeping up with Kentucky in this one and Big Blue could end up with a big win, which I think could hold the total down here. Take the under in this one.
|
02-02-10 |
Seton Hall v. Villanova OVER 165.5 |
|
71-81 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Villanova is my favorite team to play the over on and I think Seton Hall will be able to put up plenty of points here as well. A transition game on both ends with a solid amount of free throws and three pointers made should make this a real shootout. I think 170 is pretty likely in this one. Take the over.
|
02-01-10 |
Northern Illinois v. Kent State OVER 140 |
|
46-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* I have been riding the over with Northern Illinois of late as well as Kent State, and both have done very well to me. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 games and 5-1 in Northern Illinois' last 6 games. Northern Illinois has started pushing the tempo more than any other team in the MAC, and Kent State can score the basketball very well at home. I really think this is a game that should at least hit the mid 140's. Take the over here.
|
01-31-10 |
Arkansas v. Mississippi OVER 151.5 |
|
80-73 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Mississippi loves to push the tempo and Arkansas shouldn't have a problem playing that way. As long as Fortson or Clarke are hitting some of their three's Arkansas should put up quite a few points as well. The over is 8-2 in the Rebels last 10 home games. Chris Warren and the Rebels offense will push this one enough to get it into the mid 150's.
|
01-31-10 |
St. Joseph's v. Duquesne OVER 141 |
Top |
71-74 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 2 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* St. Joe's has upped their tempo more than just about anyone this year. Phil Martelli's team can't play defense, but they can score. Duquesne started the season playing slow, but they have sped up again. I think this one has the makings of a game that could be played in the 80's. Take the over and expect very little defense.
|
01-31-10 |
California v. Arizona OVER 147.5 |
Top |
72-76 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 31 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The Arizona Wildcats tend to adapt to their opponents style of play and Cal definitely loves to run. The over is 10-6 in Cal's games this year and 11-6 in Arizona's games this year. I thought the total would open around 152 or 153, so I'm getting a lot of value on the over here. Look for a shootout and take the over.
|
01-31-10 |
Penn State v. Purdue OVER 129.5 |
|
46-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* These two met three times last year and two of the three went over this posted total. Purdue has the speed to push the tempo more than most teams in the Big 10 and Penn State is having serious defensive problems this year. I think this one should end up around 135. Take the over and hope Penn State can score a decent amount.
|
01-31-10 |
Fordham v. Xavier OVER 144 |
Top |
60-108 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 0 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The Xavier Musketeers have been a much more fast paced team this year since Sean Miller left town. The Muskies like to run and gun and their strong back court helps them immensely. Fordham is a terrible team, but unlike most bad teams they don't slow things down. Fordham gives up about 76 points per game and Xavier scores 78 per game. This should be a blowout, but I think Xavier will score 85 or so themselves. Take the over.
|
01-30-10 |
San Jose State v. Utah State UNDER 141 |
Top |
58-77 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 54 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Maybe the odds makers know something I don't in this one, but I do know that Utah State is turning into a very good defensive basketball team. San Jose State likes to run, but they may have trouble scoring in this one. In their last 5 games Utah State is giving up just 55 points per game. I think this one stays in the mid 130's.
|
01-30-10 |
Utah v. BYU OVER 141 |
|
69-82 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 51 m |
Show
|
The Cougars of BYU are back to their winning ways this year, especially at home. This team has plenty of people who can score and tends to run other teams out of the gym pretty often. Utah does score fairly well themselves, but I don't think it will be enough to win. I like these teams to get to at least 145, mainly because BYU should surpass 80 by themselves. Take the over.
|
01-30-10 |
Montana v. Northern Arizona UNDER 128 |
|
84-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 22 m |
Show
|
Montana is a great team to play the under with, and Northern Arizona is a good opponent in this spot as well. These two played earlier this season and the total was 125. Montana shot 56% and Northern Arizona 46% in that game, so I would expect those percentages to go down. The free throw totals may go up, but I see a low 120's as a good possibility. Take the under.
|
01-30-10 |
Pacific v. Cal Riverside UNDER 116 |
|
72-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* This is a great combination of two teams who love to play extremely slowly. The under is 13-3 in Riverside's last 16 games and Pacific averages just 62 points per game despite their 13-6 record. No one will be running and gunning here, rather it should be a half court game where the clock runs early and often. Look for a total around 110. Take the under.
|
01-30-10 |
UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 120 |
|
62-52 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* If you need evidence as to just how slow Oregon State plays you should watch the tape of Thursday's 51-45 win over USC. UCLA plays to the tempo of their opponent, so expect the Beavers to dictate a very slow pace. UCLA has had low scoring games of late even with fast paced teams such as Washington and Stanford, so expect this one to be very low. I wouldn't be shocked to see the winner be in the 50's in this one.
|
01-30-10 |
Rice v. East Carolina UNDER 136 |
|
69-58 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The under is 14-3 in East Carolina's last 17 games, so the odds makers clearly haven't caught up to their slower pace and poor shooting just yet. The under is 22-10-1 in Rice's last 33 road games, so don't expect the Owls to push the tempo. This should be a sloppy game that stays in the low 130's. I like the value in the under.
|
01-30-10 |
Harvard v. Cornell OVER 138 |
Top |
50-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* It's amazing to say this about an Ivy league game, but I really expect this to be a track meet. Cornell can score with just about anyone in the country and Harvard is a very solid team this year who has a great scorer in Lin. I expect this one to go into the mid 140's, so I'm making this one a big play on the over!
|
01-30-10 |
New Orleans v. Western Kentucky UNDER 124.5 |
|
56-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* New Orleans is a team that is an absolute mess right now. They are leaving DI after this year and have no incentive at this point. The best player is hurt and the team basically stalls and forces very low scoring games. Western Kentucky isn't what they used to be offensively, so I expect this one to stay below this posted total.
|
01-30-10 |
Washington State v. Washington OVER 155 |
Top |
64-92 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Washington State is a completely different team this year and they can fill it up offensively. Washington at home is an absolute point scoring machine. The over is 26-7 in Washington's last 33 PAC 10 games and 12-4 in Washington State's last 16 games overall. Washington may well put up 90 points by themselves in this one. I think 160 is very easily attainable.
|
01-30-10 |
Western Michigan v. Kent State OVER 136 |
|
73-74 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Kent State is pushing the tempo a whole lot more of late, and they don't take their foot off the gas when they get a big lead either. I think 140 points is about right for this one, so the value is with the over. The over is 14-5 in Kent State's last 19 and 4-1 in Western Michigan's last 5. Take the over here.
|
01-30-10 |
Buffalo v. Northern Illinois OVER 149 |
Top |
95-83 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Northern Illinois is becoming a team that loves to play track meets, and Buffalo won't have a problem with that in this one. The over is 16-5 in Buffalo's last 21 games overall and 4-1 in Northern Illinois' last 5 games. Totals of 183 and 156 in their last two games against fairly slow opponents helps show the Huskies new love to run. Take the over here.
|
01-29-10 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 194 |
|
100-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
The Portland Blazers have a terrible rash of injuries and their offense is severely limited right now without Brandon Roy. The Rockets like to run when the chance comes, but tonight's referees are all three very low on their average totals. Curtis Blair has called 27 games and 19 have gone under the posted total. Take the under here.
|
01-29-10 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 201.5 |
|
97-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Clippers and the Timberwolves have played three times already this season, with two of the three going under the posted total. Last time they played they scored 215, which has moved this total up far too much. The referees here are pretty solid under referees. Last game had 56 free throws and I really doubt tonight's will see that many. Take the under.
|
01-28-10 |
Pacific v. Cal Irvine UNDER 124 |
Top |
61-50 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 59 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The Pacific Tigers play the best defense in the Big West and Irvine tends to adjust their tempo to the other team. Pacific is the better team, but at home Irvine will probably keep this one close. These two played a couple weeks ago and the total was 115. I think this one should stay under 120, so take the under.
|
01-28-10 |
Cal Poly Slo v. Cal Santa Barbara UNDER 137 |
|
57-80 |
Push |
0 |
28 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star big Play* Cal Poly is an interesting team because they seem to take on the pace of their opponent rather than dictating the tempo. UCSB would definitely rather play a half court defensive battle and I think they'll dictate this one pretty nicely at home. Look for a game in the low 130's. Take the under.
|
01-28-10 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Austin Peay UNDER 141.5 |
Top |
76-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 28 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* I put this one at about 135, so I see a lot of value on the under. There are some injury questions in this one and both of these teams have lost quite a bit of offensive firepower from their team a year ago. They scored 147 in their game a few weeks ago, but there were a ton of free throws that game, so if the fouling slows a little we should be ok.
|
01-28-10 |
USC v. Oregon State UNDER 112 |
|
45-51 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* It is really painful for me to take an under at a ridiculous level like 112, but it really is still a value. These are the two lowest scoring teams in the Pac 10 and this should be a nice even match up. No one will run in this one, rather we'll see a nice slow half court game and probably some pretty poor shooting. I'll take the under.
|
01-28-10 |
Denver U v. Arkansas Little Rock UNDER 131 |
|
57-69 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* These two got together twice last year with their meetings finishing at 123 and 113. Both play slightly faster this year, but not enough to warrant a line of 131. A game in the mid 120's is what I am looking for here. I think Denver tries their best to keep this slow and makes this a very close game to the end.
|
01-28-10 |
Loyola Chicago v. Detroit OVER 125 |
|
63-83 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Detroit has sped their game up noticably from a year ago, and against teams that don't make a huge effort to stall they have had some nice totals on the upside. The first game ended at just 101, but Loyola shot 25.9% from the floor and neither team shot many free throws at all. Look for that to change here.
|
01-28-10 |
Siena v. St Peter's OVER 128 |
Top |
66-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* I can't figure out why this line is so low. I really don't think Siena will allow St. Peter's to slow this game down to a crawl. Ubiles may or may not play, but even if he doesn't I think 130 should be easily attainable. St. Peter's will need to score to have a chance in this one. Take the over.
|
01-28-10 |
Duquesne v. Xavier OVER 141 |
|
50-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Earlier in the year Duquesne was slowing down, but it seems like they have ratcheted their pace back up. Xavier plays much faster this year since Sean Miller has moved on to Arizona. I think a lot of free throws are a good possibility here. A total around 145 is what I am expecting.
|
01-28-10 |
Coll Charleston v. Davidson OVER 145 |
|
71-86 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* C of C is a scoring machine of late and they should push the tempo nicely against Davidson. Davidson is down a lot from a year ago, but they still have some solid shooters. The shooting in the first match up was ridiculously bad, which gives us value on the over this time.
|
01-27-10 |
Ohio v. Northern Illinois OVER 141.5 |
|
99-84 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Northern Illinois is a team that loves to run when given the opportunity, and I truly think Ohio will give them that chance. If you look at NIU's totals against other teams with a faster pace than average they are very high. Ohio is also a team that is up and down on their totals, but this match up leads me to believe we will see the upper 140's in this one. Take the over.
|
01-27-10 |
Towson v. Va Commonwealth OVER 148.5 |
Top |
53-112 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 25 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* VCU has adopted a new run and gun style this year and that should fit very nicely with a Towson team that plays no defense. VCU may run away with this game and score 90 points or so, but that only leaves Towson needing around 60. I made this total 153, so I see value in the over here. Take the over and expect a beatdown and a lot of points.
|
01-27-10 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Indiana Pacers OVER 210.5 |
|
118-96 |
Win
|
105 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
The Lakers are on a nice scoring roll of late and the Indiana Pacers are the perfect team to play when you are scoring points. Indiana likes to run and gun and play virtually no defense. Granger and company will put up plenty of points, but Bryant and the Lakers should have a field day. Three officials who are higher scoring than the average league official helps put this one over the top. Play the over in this game.
|
01-27-10 |
Massachusetts v. St. Josephs OVER 146 |
Top |
87-80 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* St. Joe's is a team that really likes to push the ball this year, but they simply aren't very good. UMass has had wide ranges in their totals, but when they play other teams who like to push the ball they score in bunches as well. The combination of two teams who love to run and take the ball to the basket should mean a game that goes over the posted total.
|
01-27-10 |
Notre Dame v. Villanova OVER 165 |
Top |
72-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 53 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Normally I'm a little hesitant to play totals this high, but I think this one should be around 170. Villanova is an over bettors best friend this year, and if you have watched Notre Dame play you know they like to run and shoot three's as well. Nova will probably have too much firepower, but expect both teams to score plenty of points in this one.
|
01-27-10 |
Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 146 |
|
85-76 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* I made this total 150, so I see some value on the over here. Vanderbilt has been scoring in bunches of late, and Tennessee's full court press definitely speeds up the game. These two rivals generally have spirited games and this one should be no different. Take the over and enjoy a fast paced game between two teams that hate each other.
|
01-27-10 |
Connecticut v. Providence OVER 155 |
|
66-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Providence plays an uptempo style every single game and UConn has shown more of a tendency to run this year than in year's past. Neither team's defense is up to par, so there will probably be quite a few open looks. UConn is coming off a huge win and has momentum, but Providence has a nice home court advantage. Look for a close game with a lot of points.
|
01-26-10 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Phoenix Suns OVER 209 |
|
114-109 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Suns and the Bobcats played earlier this month with the Bobcats winning 125 to 99. Charlotte is a much higher scoring team than they were earlier this year after adding Jackson to the mix. The Suns haven't had a game go below this total in the last six games, and I really don't think they will tonight either. Take the over.
|
01-25-10 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 |
|
89-95 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
With Kevin Garnett back the Celtics become a better defensive team in an instant. The Clippers have had 24 unders and 19 overs this season and the last four meetings between these two teams have stayed under the posted total. Expect Garnett to be a defensive force in this one and the game pace to stay pretty slow, especially if Eric Gordon is out again.
|
01-24-10 |
Missouri St v. Creighton OVER 138 |
|
72-76 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Missouri Valley Conference has been a place where the tempo has picked up on the whole this year. Missouri State is a much improved team that has started pushing the tempo a lot more of late. Missouri State is averaging 73.5 points per game and Creighton is a team that has typically pushed the tempo more than most in this league. I made this one about 142, so I'll take the value with the over in this one.
|
01-24-10 |
Wisc. Green Bay v. Youngstown State OVER 138 |
|
69-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Wisconsin Green-Bay is a team that has typically been a friend to over bettors and Youngstown State doesn't have a defense that is capable of stopping much. The two teams played earlier this year and the final was 75-67. The teams put up 142 despite shooting 39% and 42% from the floor. I expect the shooting percentages to be up in this one and the lower total makes me like the over here!
|
01-24-10 |
Georgia Tech v. Florida State UNDER 134.5 |
|
66-68 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Florida State Seminoles defeated Georgia Tech on the road, but it took overtime to get it done. Even with the overtime period the final total was 125 that game. I thought the line might open around 130 here, but we got 134.5 so it looks like value on the under. The Seminoles should continue to slow the tempo down, and Georgia Tech won't press the issue too much either. Take the under.
|
01-23-10 |
Rhode Island v. Xavier OVER 154.5 |
Top |
61-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 8 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Both of these teams have a tremendous offense. Rhode Island scores in the high 70's on average and Xavier is much more of a running team with Sean Miller gone now. This should be a good game and it should be a run and shoot type of tempo. Take the over and look for around 160 points in this one.
|
01-23-10 |
Air Force v. Utah UNDER 122 |
Top |
54-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 5 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Along with Wisconsin and Samford, Air Force is one of my favorite teams to play an under with. Air Force can stay in games by dictating a slow pace, and that is exactly what I expect them to do in this one. Utah tried to speed up earlier this year, but they are back to playing pretty slow again too. Take the under.
|
01-23-10 |
Cal Riverside v. Cal Irvine UNDER 124.5 |
Top |
65-56 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 2 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* When these two teams get together the result is a half court slow it down defensive battle. Riverside doesn't have much offense, but they should be able to "D" it up against Irvine. Expect a very close game, but this is a game I think stays under 120. There is a lot of value on the under in this one.
|
01-23-10 |
Pepperdine v. Portland UNDER 137.5 |
|
64-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Portland's whole plan of attack has changed with Nic Raivio injured. He is their play maker and their go to guy on the offensive end. Last game we saw how much different they play without him, and the end result was a game that went WAY under the posted total. I'm going to bank on him being out in this game and I'll take the under.
|
01-23-10 |
Montana v. Montana State UNDER 126 |
|
52-61 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Montana is a team that can play in spurts, but overall they are a very defensive minded team. Montana State has been scoring less of late and holding their opponents down. I put this one at around 120, so I see a lot of value on the under. Look for this in-state rivalry to stay low scoring.
|
01-23-10 |
Houston v. Memphis OVER 147.5 |
|
77-92 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Houston is a run and shoot type of team and although Memphis has definitely slowed down this year I think this line is set too low. The Cougars will try to force the issue, but they will also leave Memphis shooters wide open throughout this one. I think a lot of three's will be drained in this one. Look for this to go above 150.
|
01-23-10 |
Tenn Chattanooga v. Elon UNDER 136 |
|
80-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* This game should be very sloppy, but I think that will good for under bettors. Elon is a terrible team, as witnessed by their performance of late. Chattanooga isn't very good either, and they lack offensive firepower. I think a final total around 130 is a good bet. At 136 the value is with the under.
|
01-23-10 |
Old Dominion v. William & Mary UNDER 125 |
|
58-55 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The under is 16-6 in ODU's last 22 games and the under is 11-5-1 in William and Mary's last 17 home games. Old Dominion has some excellent defense and they should be able to make this a low scoring affair. William and Mary is much improved and this game should mean a lot in the CAA race, so I expect tough defense and a half court game.
|
01-23-10 |
East Carolina v. Southern Mississippi UNDER 135 |
|
53-68 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Southern Miss has slowed down in a BIG way over the last few weeks and I have definitely noticed. East Carolina is a team that can score a lot of points, but usually not against teams that are strong defensively. Expect Southern Miss to dictate the pace of this game. I put this total below 130, so I'm definitely taking the under here.
|
01-23-10 |
Samford v. NC Greensboro UNDER 119 |
Top |
70-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 7 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Bar none Samford plays the slowest tempo in all of college basketball right now. Greensboro isn't a good basketball team, and I don't figure they will be able to dictate the tempo in this one. Samford likes a final score around 100, and I wouldn't be shocked to see it in this one. Take the under big here.
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01-23-10 |
George Mason v. Towson OVER 131.5 |
|
80-71 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Towson simply can't play hardly any defense and George Mason has been improving offensively of late. Mason has quietly been putting up big numbers and I don't see why they would stop in this one when Towson is running and gunning and giving them open looks. Take the over and expect Mason to put up 75 or so themselves.
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01-23-10 |
Illinois State v. Southern Illinois OVER 134.5 |
Top |
80-81 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The Salukis are doing a lot more running this year than they did last. The pace should be quick here and it should be a very close game. Eldridge can score in bunches for Illinois State and S. Illinois has a score by comittee system in Carbondale. I put this one at around 140. Take the over.
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01-23-10 |
Kansas v. Iowa State OVER 147 |
|
84-61 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Kansas heads to Iowa State to take on the Cyclones in a hostile environment. Iowa State has sped up in a big way this year and it has helped them overall. The over is 7-3 in the Cyclones last 10 home games. I think this one could stay closer than many expect, but Kansas should put up a lot of points here!
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01-23-10 |
Auburn v. Vanderbilt OVER 153.5 |
|
74-82 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Defense is a foreign term to both of these teams. Last year they met and scored 157 points, and both of these teams have been scoring a whole lot of points and giving up a lot recently. The over is 5-1 in Auburn's last 6 road games. Both teams will want to push the tempo, take the over here!
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01-23-10 |
Villanova v. St John's OVER 148.5 |
Top |
81-71 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* If you've been paying attention to college basketball much at all over the last few weeks you should know that Villanova is a great team to bet on the over with. Over bettors have been rolling in the dough because of the Wildcats. They will push the tempo here and if St. John's wants any chance in this one they'll have to score a lot of points!
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01-23-10 |
Akron v. Kent State OVER 131.5 |
|
70-87 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Kent State showed their offensive prowess in the second half against Buffalo a couple of days ago. The Golden Flashes scored 55 points in the second half in a huge win over the Bulls. Akron can put up some points, but they'll definitely need to if they want to get past their rival. Take the over.
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01-22-10 |
Sacramento State v. Northern Colorado OVER 137 |
|
65-79 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* I fully expect Northern Colorado to win this one in a pretty big way, but I think the best play is on the over. Northern Colorado averages a game total of about 153 at home and Sacramento State is very poor defensively. Northern Colorado will push the tempo in this one. Northern Colorado has the capability to put up 85 or so by themselves. Take the over!
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01-21-10 |
Cal Riverside v. Cal Poly S.L.O. UNDER 133.5 |
Top |
65-67 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 6 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* I put this one at about 125. Riverside has virtually no offensive firepower, but they play good defense. Cal Poly seems to adapt to the tempo of their opponent. In this case the opponent is slow, so I expect them to play pretty slowly as well. Take the under and expect a close game to the end.
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01-21-10 |
Furman v. Charleston OVER 143 |
Top |
80-92 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 4 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* C of C likes to run and shoot and Furman has virtually zero defense. Charleston can probably put up 85 or 90 themselves if they want to in this one. I expect this one to get ugly and Furman to score quite a bit in mop up duty in the 2nd half. Take the over and expect something closer to 150.
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01-21-10 |
Wofford v. The Citadel UNDER 121.5 |
|
44-42 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The under is 8-0 in Citadel's last 8 games. Wofford seems to adapt nicely to the team they are playing, so I expect they will slow down just fine in this one. Citadel's last 6 games have all been under 121, so I'm expecting this one to finish around 115. Take the under here.
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01-20-10 |
Denver Nuggets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 230 |
Top |
123-118 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* I know both of these teams can score points like there is no tomorrow, but I'm looking at the referee crew for this game and I see tons of value on the under. If the number were 215 I would stay away, but at such a high level I have to take it. All three of these refs rank in the top 6 in the NBA for lowest scoring refs, all averaging less than 198 per game. I'll take the under!
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01-20-10 |
New Mexico v. Air Force UNDER 129.5 |
Top |
73-50 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 11 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Air Force is probably my favorite team to bet on unders with. The team controls the tempo better than anyone else, and that helps them stay in the game against better opponents. I doubt they win this game, but if they keep the pace where they want it they will hold New Mexico down enough to keep it reasonably close. A total around 120 wouldn't shock me.
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01-20-10 |
Marquette v. DePaul UNDER 130.5 |
Top |
50-51 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 59 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* DePaul has a new coach, but they continue to play a very slow tempo as they did under Jerry Wainwright. Now they have lost their best player in Mac Koshwal due to injury. Who will score for the Blue Demons? Marquette isn't nearly as strong offensively as they were last year. I expect DePaul to slow this one down enough to where the under hits here.
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01-20-10 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin UNDER 121 |
Top |
48-54 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 26 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The Michigan Wolverines came out with a big win against UConn last weekend, but now they travel to face the Badgers in the Kohl Center, where they are almost unbeatable. Wisconsin has absolutely played great defense this year and the under is 8-1 in their last 9 games. The under is 19-7-1 in Michigan's last 27 road games. I wouldn't be surprised to see a game total under 115 here.
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01-20-10 |
Creighton v. Illinois State OVER 132 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 14 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Both of these teams play faster than they did a year ago and both are on a nice over roll of late. This should be a very close game and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if there are a lot of free throws in this one. Take the over and expect a game in the upper 130's in this MVC match up.
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01-20-10 |
Bradley v. Southern Illinois OVER 135.5 |
|
57-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Bradley Braves and the Southern Illinois Salukis are both very different teams than a year ago. They both play a much faster pace than last year and allow more points as well. The over is 10-3 in Southern Illinois' last 13 home games. The last meeting between these two ended 86-81. Look for both teams to shoot pretty well and this one to go over.
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01-20-10 |
Texas El Paso v. Memphis UNDER 135 |
|
72-67 |
Loss |
-118 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Memphis isn't given enough credit for the quality of defense that they play. UTEP has slowed down dramatically in the last few weeks, with three of their last six games ending at 105 or less. I expect Memphis and their defense to give UTEP fits in this one. Expect a slower pace than normal and some very solid defense in this one.
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01-20-10 |
Iowa State v. Texas Tech OVER 152.5 |
Top |
71-78 |
Loss |
-108 |
25 h 9 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Texas Tech loves to push the tempo and Iowa State has adopted a new strategy of running and gunning this year. The line of just 152.5 doesn't seem to account for Iowa State's tendency to run and push the tempo this year. Nothing will be slowing the tempo down so as long as some shots fall I think 160 is very attainable here. Take the over here.
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01-20-10 |
Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan OVER 123 |
Top |
63-71 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 12 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* I had this one pegged at around 129 or 130, so we're getting a lot of value on this one. Eastern Michigan has no defense whatsoever and they have allowed a load of points of late. This won't be a high scoring game, but 123 is just too low in this case. Take the over here!
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01-20-10 |
Buffalo v. Kent State OVER 137 |
|
54-89 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams are on a huge streak of scoring a lot of points. The over is 12-4 Kent State's last 16 games and 12-3 in Buffalo's last 15 overall. The Bulls from Buffalo particularly like to push the tempo and they are a pretty solid team. This should be a close game that will likely go down to the end and we could see a lot of fouls at the end of this one.
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01-19-10 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech UNDER 143 |
|
64-66 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Demontez Stitt is expected to sit out tonight with a injured foot. That should slow Clemson down a bit on offense because Stitt is quite a play maker for them. Georgia Tech won't want to run all game long and Clemson is actually slowing down a bit from their tempo a year ago. I think this line is based more on last year's Clemson team than this season's. Take the under here.
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01-19-10 |
George Mason v. Hofstra UNDER 125 |
|
90-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* George Mason is great at controlling the tempo of a game. Hofstra does like to a run a little bit, but I think Mason can slow them down nicely. Expect this one to be a great half court battle and I think this one will go down to the wire. Barring a lot of free throw attempts from both teams I like this one to stay very low scoring. Take the under.
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01-18-10 |
Phoenix v. Memphis OVER 225 |
|
118-125 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Suns and the Grizzlies have a long history of scoring a whole lot of points. The last two meetings, both this year, have had 231 and 237 points scored between the two. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Both of the teams have been scoring a whole lot of late, so everything is set up nicely for the over.
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01-18-10 |
Towson v. St. Joseph's OVER 150 |
Top |
57-64 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 38 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* St. Joe's simply can't play defense this year, and Towson can't do much at all on defense either. Both teams should have their way offensively. The over is 11-2 in St. Joe's last 13 games. Phil Martelli's squad is playing an opponent who won't mind running, so expect a lot of fast break opportunities.
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01-17-10 |
Minnesota v. Indiana OVER 137 |
|
78-81 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Indiana has been playing surprisingly fast this year and they have been fairly competitive most of the year. Minnesota has also sped up this year and I definitely see them being able to force the Hoosiers into plenty of turnovers. As long as the shooting percentages aren't awful this one should go over.
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01-17-10 |
Akron v. Buffalo OVER 133.5 |
|
65-78 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* This Buffalo team is really pushing the pace a lot this year, playing faster than anyone else in the MAC, at least of late. Akron can score when it has to, and I certainly think they will need to in this one. Buffalo will push the tempo and Akron should be able to hang around long enough to put this one over.
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01-17-10 |
Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 147 |
Top |
77-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Villanova has been a great over team this year and I don't see it ending in this one. The over is 9-1 in Nova's last 10 games. Last game against Seton Hall Georgetown's total went to 158, so they have proven they can play in high scoring affairs. There should be a lot of trips to the line in this one and I see it going over the posted total.
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01-16-10 |
Detroit v. Wisc Green Bay OVER 134.5 |
Top |
72-74 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 32 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Detroit is a new team this year because of their pace change. The odds makers continue to line their games as if it were last year's team. The over is 20-7 in the last 27 home games for Wisconsin Green-Bay and the over is 7-3 in Detroit's last 10 games. Look for this one to go over the posted total in what should be a tight game.
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01-16-10 |
Stanford v. Washington State OVER 146 |
|
73-77 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Washington State has sped up in a big way this year and Stanford isn't efficient at all on the defensive end of the floor. Klay Thompson is a great scorer for the Cougars and the Cardinal have several players who should be able to get in double figures in this one. Look for an up and down game where the winning team puts up 80 plus.
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01-16-10 |
California v. Washington OVER 158.5 |
|
69-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Cal and Washington both run with reckless abandon and press the opposition like crazy. Both are on huge over streaks right now and Washington is a whole different team when playing at home. I think this will be a very competitive game, but the winner of this may have tp score 85 or 90 points. Take the over.
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01-16-10 |
Central Michigan v. Western Michigan OVER 124.5 |
Top |
61-70 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 30 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top play* Western Michigan should push the tempo in this one. Last year both of their meetings went well above this total and I don't see any reason to expect this one to be any different. If Central Michigan wants to stay in this game they better score. Take the over big in this one.
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01-16-10 |
Rhode Island v. Fordham OVER 152 |
|
85-67 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Rhode Island can score points at will, especially against a team like Fordham. As long as Fordham shows up and shows a decent amount of points I don't see this one staying under this total. Rhode Island put up 101 points last time out and I think 90 points or so is possible again this time out. Take the over.
|
01-15-10 |
Northern Colorado v. Portland State OVER 154.5 |
Top |
69-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Portland State has continued to run this year, but they play less defense than a year ago and are less talented. Northern Colorado runs more, but they are a much better team than a year ago. I fully expect that when these two teams get together this time it will take a whole lot of points to win this game. Barring some very bad shooting I think this one sails over.
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01-15-10 |
Loyola Chicago v. Illinois Chicago UNDER 125 |
|
55-50 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* When these two Chicago teams go at it you can expect a hard fought game with a lot of tough defense being played. Neither team scores a lot to start with and the rivalry games like this tend to bring lower scoring games. I expect a tight game that goes to down to the wire, but the best play is the under.
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01-15-10 |
Miami Heat v. Houston Rockets UNDER 197 |
|
115-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The Rockets have slowed down quite a bit of late and the Heat offense isn't the same because Dwayne Wade is dinged up right now. The referees here, especially Marc Davis, also lead me to wanting to play the under in this one. I don't think the pace will be quick, so barring a game with tons of free throws this one should stay safely under.
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01-15-10 |
Sacramento Kings v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 207 |
Top |
86-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 26 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The pace of this game should be lightning quick. Last time these two got together they scored 216 and Tyreke Evans didn't even play for the Kings. Look for a whole lot of open layups and transition buckets in this game and very little defense being played. I think there is great value in this over.
|
01-14-10 |
Gonzaga v. St Mary's CA OVER 152.5 |
|
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* The over is the play based on this year's data and the trends from the past. The over is 20-6 in Gonzaga's last 26 games and 16-5 in Saint Mary's last 21 home games. Both teams have plenty of offensive firepower and I don't see anyone looking to slow the pace here. Expect a lot of three pointers and as long as they shoot a decent percentage I think this goes over.
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01-14-10 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Utah Jazz OVER 194 |
Top |
96-97 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah between these two and last year they scored more than this total in all three of their match ups. I don't understand such a low line. Two of three referees in this game are two of the highest scoring refs in the league because of the number of fouls they call. Take the over in a big way here.
|
01-14-10 |
California v. Washington State OVER 149.5 |
Top |
93-88 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 1 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play* Washington State is playing a much faster pace this year and the Cal Golden Bears love to run with their strong backcourt and gifted scorers. The over is 9-3 in Washington State's last 12 overall and 24-11 in Cal's last 35 road games. This has the makings of a very fast paced game that goes down to the wire. Take the over!
|
01-14-10 |
Cal Riverside v. CS Northridge OVER 137 |
|
50-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Northridge scores almost 80 points a game at home and while Riverside will slow this one down some I think they will have to score to stay in the game. Look for the Matadors to push the tempo at every opportunity in front of their home crowd. I think a game a little above 140 is likely. Take the over.
|
01-14-10 |
Charleston v. Samford UNDER 121 |
|
78-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big Play* Samford plays the very slowest tempo in all of college basketball. In their last 10 games the highest total was against Texas Tech and that was just 127. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Charleston comes in on a nice under streak in conference play as well, at 14-3 to the under in the Southern conference. Take the under here.
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