5*Baylor -3

Wow, I think we're getting some line value. Baylor is ranked much higher in my power rankings, which would make Baylor 5.5-point road chalk. Texas doesn't have the pass defense that can stop this Bears' aerial attack. The Longhorns' defense has a QB rating against of 160.9, which should benefit the Bears' offense. Texas is allowing 9.1 yards per pass attempt, which ranks in the bottom third in all of College Football. Baylor has two weeks to prepare and will be playing with revenge from a 23-17 loss last season, despite out-gaining Texas 479-307. Baylor has won six of their past seven games following a BYE week. The Longhorns played a physical game last week against Kansas State. I like the Bears in this spot!

4*Minnesota Timberwolves +2

The T-Wolves should be one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season. They have good size, lots of team speed and a plethora of emerging young talent, namely Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins. Both players should be All-Stars this year. Towns has a chance to be really special. I love the addition of head coach Tom Thibodeau, who will surely improve the defense while commanding respect in the Locker room. This team wants to start fast for their new coach and president of basketball operations. Take the road dog in this one!

4*San Diego Chargers +7

4*Philadelphia Eagles +3

4*Miami Dolphins +3

4*Jacksonville Jaguars -1

4*Kentucky +3

5*Virginia +8.5

The Tar Heels are now in first place atop the ACC Coastal after upsetting Miami Hurricanes last week. North Carolina doesn't have a shut-down defense and I believe this Virginia team will be able to keep this one close. Keep in mind that the Tar Heels have been out-gained by 12 yards in all FBS games this season. This is the week in College Football when ranked teams struggle to win and/or cover against an unranked home team. Virginia is 17-4 ATS as an underdog of any kind over the last three seasons. Take the points in what should be a closer game than most people think.

5*Northwestern -1.5

I have Northwestern ranked much higher in my power rankings. The public has bet this line down from four points based on the Wildcats 4-8 ATS record as a favorite over the last three seasons. They did go 7-5 SU in those 12 games. Two teams heading in opposite directions with the host winning two in a row, while the visitor has lost two straight physical contests. I think the line should be at least Northwestern minus -3 so we are getting some value here. 

4*Dallas Cowboys +4.5

5*Washington Redskins +3

I am going against the public in this one and taking the Redskins as an underdog at home. Carson Wentz and the Eagles will be playing their first division game and teams now have film on him and what the Eagles like to do on offense. Washington's defense has been getting stingier with each game and the Redskins check in with a 5-2 SU and 5-2 ATS record as home underdogs of 3 points or less of late. Take the host!

4*Northern Illinois +3

4*Virginia +3

10*Texas Tech +1

I think this a great spot for the Red Raiders, who are playing with double revenge, including a 5-point road loss last season as 9-point underdogs. The host is allowing 5.8 yards per play while West Virginia is allowing 5.2 yards per play. Texas Tech has a sneaky good defense and the No. 2 ranked offense. The offense is averaging 7.7 yards per play while the visitor is averaging 6.4 yards per play. Texas Tech will be focused at home with a chance to defeat a ranked opponent. This is a trap line with undefeated WV only favored by 1-point against a 3-2 team. Note, West Virginia is 1-9 ATS when playing with rest, including 0-8 in the conference. Take the home team!

5*San Diego Chargers +3.5

The Chargers are this close to being 4-0, but sit at 1-3. San Diego outgained the Saints by 71 points in their 1-point home loss last Sunday. A game they led most of the way. Oakland is 3-1 but they have allowed season-high yardage to all four teams, and they have been outgained in every game this season. The Chargers always give the Raiders a close game (19-7 ATS in Oakland, including 10-0 ATS if the Raiders won their last game). Lets take the points with the better defense in this big division matchup.

5*Tennessee Titans +3.5

This is a game that has been on the Titans' calendar ever since last year's October 18th matchup. The Dolphins crushed Tennessee 38-10 and took out QB Marcus Mariota on a cheap shot with a hit below his knees. In that game Lamar Miller had a huge day. He's not on the roster anymore and Miami is averaging just 77.8 rushing yards per game through four games. The Dolphins offensive line is ranked No. 32 in pass protection, while the Titans are ranked No. 6 according to Football Outsiders. Tennessee owns the better offense and defense and were getting 3.5 points. I like that. Miami is just 2-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the past three seasons. The Dolphins have been outgained in 21 of their past 26 games. Big revenge spot and were getting some line value. Take the road dog!

4*Detroit Lions +3.5

4*Tennessee +7

4*Virginia Tech +1.5

4*Army +6

5*Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3

5*New York Jets +2.5

10*Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5

The Jaguars are hungry for a victory and will be playing in London for the third straight season. Indianapolis has never played a regular season game in London. I really believe that's a significant advantage for Jacksonville. The Colts have issues on the offensive line and in the secondary. I like taking division underdogs with the better defense. A defense that is allowing just 311 yards per game, compared to 400 for Indy. Dante Fowler Jr. is a full go for the Jags' defense. The Colts are coming off an emotional 4th quarter come-from-behind victory last week. This is a perfect spot for the Jags to win their first game and I think they will. Take the Jags plus the points.

5*Indiana U +7

5*Northern Illinois +4.5

10*Texas Longhorns +3

Texas has the better offense and defense in terms of yards gained and yards per play. Texas held UTEP and California to season-low yards. I also think the Longhorns special teams unit is far superior at this point of the season. The road team has won the last seven games on the field, including last year's 30-27 win by the Cowboys. The key for me this week is that the Longhorns have two weeks to prepare for this big revenge game. Love taking rested underdogs with the better defense in revenge games. Take the 'Horns!

5*Toledo +3.5

The Rockets are 8-2 SU in their past 10 games dating back to last season. They have outgained their opponent in all 10 games. I like taking College Football underdogs with the better offense and defense if the line is 4 points or less. Toledo owns a +327 Yards Per Game advantage over the host so far this season. BYU has a big game next week against Michigan State at East Lansing. The Cougars are just 3-6 ATS against winning teams over the last three seasons. The Rockets are well-rested and extremely motivated. Take the road dog in this spot!

5*Jacksonville Jaguars +1

The Jaguars return home off their embarrassing performance in San Diego. Jacksonville should be pumped up for this game knowing a third straight loss to begin the season will really damper its playoff hopes. The Jags are 0-2, but have won the stats in both games. This team is poised to play a really good game. Baltimore didn't impress me in their comeback win against the Browns as Cleveland outgained the Ravens. Northern teams often struggle when playing games in the Sunshine state during this month. Take the home dog!  

5*Arkansas +6.5

I really like the Razorbacks this season and in this spot. Texas A&M is coming off a big revenge win last week against Auburn. The Aggies have won four straight in the series including overtime wins in 2014 and 2015. They won in OT last season despite Arkansas outgaining Texas A&M 457-423. This game will be played at AT&T stadium in Arlington. There will be some Arkansas fans in the building for sure. This line is too high and should be closer to 4 points based on my power rankings. Arkansas is 7-1 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points over the last three seasons. Take the road dog in this one!

5*Florida Gators +7

The Gators have a really good defense (top-ranked) and backup QB Austin Appleby is more than capable of pulling off the upset victory. Appleby has played in big stadiums before when he was with Purdue. His teammates have a lot of confidence in him and so do I. He's a big kid (6' 5", 229) that knows how to prepare the right way. Florida has defeated Tennessee in 19 of the past 23 matchups, with only one loss by more than three points. The Vols offense doesn't scare me against this Florida defense. Take the points! 

4*South Florida +5.5

5*Atlanta Falcons +4.5

No team is as bad as they looked in the NFL and Vice Versa especially after week one. The Falcons should be able to score some points on this Raiders' defense. Atlanta outgained Tampa Bay in their week one loss while the Raiders were outgained in its win over the Saints. Oakland's offensive line is very "nicked" up and their depth will be tested in this game. The Underdog is 14-3 ATS in Dan Quinn's head coaching career. While I am high on the Raiders this season, this is a role that Oakland has struggled with. The Raiders are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games when installed as the favorite. I have the Raiders just 3-points better at home against Atlanta. NFL teams that are 0-1 facing a 1-0 team have a lot of motivation to not begin the season 0-2. Close game by a FG either way. Take the road dog this one!

4*Tennessee Titans +6

4*Cleveland Browns +5

4*East Carolina +3.5

4*Nebraska -3.5 (+104)

5*Bowling Green +6.5

I think this line is way out of whack. Bowling Green lost to Vanderbilt last week by 23 points despite outgaining the Commodores by 151 yards. My power rankings have the Falcons a 3.5-point underdogs. I think we are getting tremendous line value. Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points over the last three seasons. The Blue Raiders are 1-4 ATS against MAC foes since 1993. Take the home dog in this one!

5*New England Patriots +6

The Patriots have a very good defense, especially their front 7. The Cardinals' offensive line struggled early in preseason games and that was their first team unit. Carson Palmer is an above average thrower, but struggles with pressure in the pocket. Bill Belichick has been excellent with extra time to prepare and as an underdog. In fact, Belichick is 12-4 ATS as underdogs of 6 or more points in his time with the Patriots. I think New England with be just fine without Tom Brady for the first four games because of the brilliance of Belichick. Arizona has led the league in turnover differential for two consecutive seasons and that tends to regress to the mean over time. I will trust my numbers (2.5-point line value) and take the road underdog in this spot.

5*San Diego Chargers +7

The Chargers went 0-6 in all division games last season, despite having positive overall stats (gained more yards than allowed). Head Coach Mike McCoy has made it a point of emphases this season to be much better within the AFC West. San Diego showed nothing during the preseason so don't be scared about the team's performance last month. The offensive line is healthy and with the return of offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt, the Chargers should have a pretty good offense this year. Kansas City relies on a good running game and playing stout defense. No Jamaal Charles in this one. Philip Rivers is a sparkling 10-2-1 ATS as road underdogs in all division games in his career. Lastly, NFL teams that missed the playoffs are 17-6 ATS when playing a team that made the playoffs in week one over the last four seasons combined. This line seems a bit inflated to me. Take the Chargers plus seven!

4*Chicago Bears +6

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +5

4*San Diego State -7

4*East Carolina +5.5

4*Purdue +6

5*Wyoming +9.5

The Cowboys only won two games last season while Northern Illinois has won six straight MAC West titles. This game will be played at altitude something Northern Illinois is not use too. The Cowboys have a plethora of returning starters and more talent than in year's past. Wyoming has won 13 out of their past 14 home openers with that one loss coming last year against North Dakota State. I will trust my numbers (2.5 point line value) and take the home underdog in this spot.

5*Southern Miss +7

Southern Miss has a new head coach with the hiring of Jay Hopson, a 24-year veteran of coaching college football, including stints with his new team as defensive coordinator. He led conference USA in scoring defense in each of his three seasons with the Golden Eagles. The offense should be in good shape with QB Nick Mullens returning along with three good offensive lineman. Southern Miss went 9-5 SU last season (lost Heart of Dallas Bowl 44-31 against Washington) and should be just as good this year. With Kentucky facing the Gators next week, I'll grab the points in what should be a very close affair.

4*Colorado State +8.5

4*Jacksonville -1.5

4*Oakland Raiders -3

5*Tennessee Titans -1 

We cashed our Top-rated 10* NFL Preseason Game of the Month with Tennessee last week. I like them again. This is a much bigger game for the Titans, playing against the Super Bowl runner-up from a season ago. This will be the Titans final preseason home game before their home opener against the Vikings in Week one on Sept. 11th. They are planning to the play the starters into the third quarter. Tennessee has some really good young talent that nobody really knows about. The front seven has a chance to be really good, especially with the new blitz packages they are implementing this season. Carolina has its "dress rehearsal" game at home against the Patriots in six days, so I doubt the Panthers put much of a game plan together for this contest. Lots of vanilla stuff. For added measure, Carolina is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in preseason week two. Take the host!

5*Cleveland Browns -2.5

The Falcons played in their comfy home dome last week and not must travel to play outdoors in high-humidity. Atlanta has gone 1-3 ATS of late in Week two of the preseason. Cleveland has four solid QB's with RG3, Josh McCown, Austin Davis, and Cody Kessler. Matt Ryan is above average, but after he leaves the Browns will have a decided advantage under Center. The Browns and new head coach Hue Jackson will be playing to win this home opener after a listless effort last week. Take the host! 

5*Los Angeles Rams -3.5

The place will be rocking as the LA Rams return home after countless years in St. Louis. From everything I am hearing locally, they want to win this game and set the tone for the upcoming season. Dallas is "nicked" up with only two healthy QB's behind Tony Romo. Dak Prescott is a rookie and Jameill Showers is a second-year QB from the practice squad. Jason Garrett is going to coach this one very conservatively. His 6-14 ATS preseason record is the worst winning percentage with at least 20 games played. The Cowboys are just not built to win many preseason games. Case Keenum will start for the Rams followed by first overall pick, Jared Goff. Goff is making steady progress with each practice. Sean Mannion will finish up and at 6 ft. 6 inches and 229 pounds he certainly looks the part. Sean had a solid career at Oregon State from 2011-14. Mannion was born in California and should be fired up for this game. Take the host!

10*Tennessee Titans -2.5

I do think both teams will improve from last year's record. Tough spot for the Chargers, who have to travel and play a high-humidity game after practicing in So. Cal's low humidity climate. Even in the Summer, it's very DRY out here. The Titans have a solid QB rotation and the defense should be pumped up to play against former Titan Zac Mettenberger, after Philip Rivers and Kellen Clemens see action. San Diego suffered numerous injuries on the offensive line last year. Head coach Mick McCoy isn't going to take many chances with their top two rotations early in the preseason. Look for the Titans' defense to wreak havoc on the Chargers' third & fourth string offensive lineman and get the win for first-year head coach Mike Mularkey. Take the host!

5*Cleveland Cavaliers +6

The Cavs should be extremely motivated in this first game after blowing a 2-1 series lead in last year's NBA Finals. I also think they are a better team over last year's unit. They are healthy. This is the same point spread as last year's opening game when Golden State won by 8 in overtime. Cleveland is playing at another level from what they showed during most of the season. They are making almost 4 more three-pointers in the playoffs compared to the regular season. LeBron James and company seem to have a huge "chip" on their shoulders after most experts are already handing the Championship to Golden State. The Cavs have played three fewer playoff games. That's huge considering the Warriors will have just two days to get ready. The Warriors are coming off a hard-fought seven game series, while the Cavs are fresh and ready to go. I think the Cavs learned a lot from last year's finals. Cleveland wins the series in six or seven.

4*Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5

4*Toronto Raptors +5.5

4*Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5

5*Toronto Raptors -4.5

I think the Raptors back court will shoot much better in this game. Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan were a combined 12-of-32 in Tuesday's overtime loss. Both players got in some extra shooting practice which should help. The Heat are hobbled as Hassan Whiteside and Dwyane Wade received treatment for their ailing knees. Only one day off should benefit the home team. Lets not forget the Heat are coming off an emotional game one win. Wade himself said "we actually had to win the game twice." I think the home team pulls away in the second half and wins comfortably.

4*Indiana Pacers +1.5

The Pacers return home after losing game two by 11 points. Role players perform much better at home. Indiana has a +4 point differential at home while the Raptors are +2 on the road. Toronto has played just eight games with two days of rest this season. They have gone 5-3 SU in those games. The Pacers have played 14 games with two days of rest. Indiana went 10-4 SU in those games. I think two days off helps the Pacers a lot. I like the home team in this spot.

4*Houston Rockets +13.5

The Rockets were eliminated by the Warriors in last years playoffs and should be extra focused in this first game. I don't expect the Rockets to win more than one game in this series, but they have more talent than your typical No. 8 seed. The Warriors exerted a lot of energy down the stretch and I see a closer game than most people believe after their record-setting 73-win performance. The oddsmakers have been inflating Golden State lines and this game is no different. The Warriors are just 14-18 ATS in their last 32 games. The Rockets are 28-11 ATS when playing with 2 days of rest over the last three seasons. Golden State by only 9! 

3*Villanova +3

I believe the Wildcats' run to the championship game has been more impressive as Miami, Kansas and Oklahoma were all power rated among the top 15 nationally and seeded No. 3 or higher. The Tar Heels had an easier go of it by drawing no opponent better than a No. 5 seed. North Carolina hasn't faced a top-level defense in this tourney. Indiana, Notre Dame and Syracuse do not boast elite-level stop units like Villanova. North Carolina has a lot of size up front. This should be a close game that goes down to the wire. Small play on the underdog!

5*Villanova -2

The public will look at their previous encounter when Oklahoma crushed Villanova 78-55 and say this one is easy. Not so fast. That game was back in December. The difference in the first meeting was 3-point shooting. OU was 14-of-26 (53.8%) while Villanova went 4-of-32 (12.5%). This game is being played at NRG stadium in Houston. I expect the Sooners to struggle a bit behind the arc in a very tough venue for long distance shooting. I believe stadium style venues are difficult for teams that rely heavily on outside shooting, basically from one player (Buddy Hield). The Wildcats look like a better team to me especially on defense. Take the Wildcats!

4*Sacramento Kings +2

The Kings have the size and skill to matchup with the Wizards. Speaking of the Wizards, this will be their third road game in four nights. They have gone 6-12 SU when playing without rest. Lets take the home dog in this spot.

4*Detroit Pistons +3.5

The Thunder are coming off an up-and-down game against the Raptors on Monday. This will be the third game in four nights for the roadsters and they are pretty much locked into the third seed out West. The Pistons need wins to remain in the eighth spot in the East. Detroit is 11-2 SU after an upset loss as a favorite this season. The Thunder check in with an 8-19 ATS record after a non-conference game. They also have a big revenge game on deck against the Clippers. I like the home underdog in this spot. 

4*Detroit Pistons -2.5

5*Maryland +6.5

The talent gap between these two teams is closer than you think. I will take the Terrapins in what should be a closely contested affair. Maryland has a decent shot to win this game outright, so lets take the generous 6.5 points. 

4*St Josephs +6.5

5*Miami +2

10*Northern Iowa +4.5

Northern Iowa has won 11 out of their past 12 games and got a taste of the Big Dance last season. They defeated Wyoming 71-54 as 6.5-point favorites before losing to Louisville in the 2nd round. Northern Iowa has one of the best defenses (62.9) in this tourney. They are much better at the free throw stripe as the Longhorns are one of the worst teams in free throw percentage. Texas is extremely overrated and should not be favored by this much. I would not be shocked with an outright upset.

4*Yale +5.5

5*Iona +8

Both teams like to push the pace and take quick shots. The Gaels have won 8 in a row and are led by future NBA talent A.J. English. Iowa State is a good team, but I will take the generous 8 points in what should be a closer contest than what most people believe in the high-altitude of Denver.

3*Arkansas LR -2.5

5*Northern Illinois +3.5

4*New Orleans +1.5

4*Chicago Bulls +1

4*Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies have lost both games against the Jazz in Utah this season. Utah has been good at home and not so hot (9-20) on the road. Memphis has been playing good team basketball without the injured Marc Gasol. I like the home team in this spot.

5*St Bonaventure +3.5

The Bonnies (20-7, 12-4 in Conference) play a St. Joseph’s team that leads the Atlantic 10, but also appears to have locked up an NCAA Tournament berth with a 24-5 overall record and 13-3 in the league. Bonaventure, which gave up a home game to entertain fans at Blue Cross Arena at the War Memorial, knows beating coach Phil Martelli’s team would be the type of quality win the NCAA Tournament selection committee looks favorably upon when evaluating bubble teams. I'll take the motivated underdog in this spot!

4*Mercer +4.5

5*Detroit Pistons +2

The Pistons are focused at making the playoffs this season and ending its 0-4 skid at Milwaukee. Detroit lost by 21 points in Milwaukee earlier this season. They got revenge by winning 102-95 at home almost two weeks later. The Pistons are more athletic than those two previous matchups. With two days of rest, I like the Pistons in this spot.

4*Wisc Milwaukee +4.5

4*Miami Florida -1

4*Western Kentucky -2

4*Clemson +2

4*Detroit Pistons +2

The Pistons have lost three straight before the All-Star break and have some new additions which should make them more versatile. The Wizards played a high-energy game last night and they are just 3-8 SU when playing with zero days rest. Washington defeated the Pistons by two points in Detroit earlier this season. Look for the Pistons to get some revenge in this one.

4*Northern Kentucky +2

4*Michigan +1

4*Northern Illinois +4

5*Denver Broncos +6

This game reminds me of when the Broncos got crushed by the Seahawks 43-8 in Super Bowl XLVIII. Denver was favored by -2.5 points with 75% of the public backing them. Carolina opened as 3-point favorites and the line quickly moved with 74% of the bets and close to 90% of the total dollars wagered on the Panthers. The average home-field is worth 3.5 points so that means this would make Carolina -9.5 at home. Crazy. I would expect a pro Broncos crowd in Santa Clara. Denver has the No. 1 ranked defense and they are very active at all three levels. Manning should be able to read Carolina's defense and have some success on the ground and through the air. I think Gary Kubiak will do a great job having Thomas Davis (broken arm) isolated in coverage against one of his running backs. The team with the better defense has won 40 out of the past 49 Super Bowls straight-up. Also, Super Bowl teams with the #1 ranked defense have gone 9-2 SU in Super Bowl history, including a loss last year. The weather will be ideal with Sunny skies and temps approaching 70 by game time. I don't think this line will move much higher so I'm taking the Broncos plus the generous 6 points. 

4*Phoenix Suns +6.5

4*Michigan +4.5

4*Phoenix Suns +8

4*Nebraska +6

4*Louisville

4*Evansville +4

4*FAU +6

5*Utah Jazz -1.5

The Jazz lost to the Pistons in Detroit on opening night by five points, while shooting 16.7% (2-12) from 3-point land. I would expect Utah to shoot much better at home, especially with having extra rest due to Saturday's canceled game (blizzard) against Washington. Detroit is actually a decent team in the East, but this will be their fourth road game in five days. Tough. Not to mention they played at high-altitude (Denver) in their last game. This will be another high-altitude game for the visitors. The Pistons have a minus -3.3 point differential on the road, while the Jazz are plus +3.5 at home. Great line value here. Take Utah!

4*Arizona Cardinals +3

The Panthers defeated the Cardinals in last year's playoffs 27-16 while outgaining Arizona 386-78. Those 78 yards represent an NFL playoff record for fewest yards gained. Carson Palmer watched helplessly from the sidelines as Ryan Lindley threw for just 51 yards. I think Bruce Arians will "play up" the underdog card to his team. The Panthers' secondary has some holes and I believe the road team has the skill on the outside to take advantage. Carolina benefited from one of the easiest schedules and they have been outgained by 232 yards combined in their last three games. Take the points in what should be a very close game! 

5*New England -4

The Patriots are better in my opinion and appear to be getting healthier. I like Bill Belichick with extra time to prepare. The Chiefs' defense is ranked No. 28 in sacks allowed with 46. That's a bad matchup for the road team going against a Patriots team that is ranked 2nd in QB sacks with 49. The Chiefs played in a cozy indoor building last week and now must play a cold-weather game in a tough environment. Ignore the Pats two-game losing streak as injuries and Belichick pulling back the reigns were major factors. New England is being undervalued here. Pats by 7!

NFL Wild Card

4*Minnesota Vikings +5

I am going against the Public in this one and taking the home underdog in what could be one of the coldest games ever played in Minnesota. I would expect a much closer game than the first meeting. The kickoff temp is going to be around 0 degrees. In extremely cold weather you are more likely going to see one-possession games late in the fourth quarter. Both teams have a great running game and barring any crucial turnovers, I think the home team will keep this one close. Mike Zimmer loves playing the underdog card with his team. The Vikings are 21-10 ATS as underdogs over the last three seasons, including 6-1 ATS this year.

4*Houston Texans +3.5

The Texans are in a good spot if they can hold up on special teams. Houston has outgained seven of their last eight opponents, while holding six foes to season-low yards. The Texans have a sneaky good offense, averaging about 16 more yards per game than KC. The Chiefs are leaking oil, having been outgained in three of their past five games. Lets not forgot, the Texans outgained KC 396-330 in their 27-20 week one loss at NRG Stadium. Houston is ranked No. 11 in red-zone efficiency. The Chiefs are 5-11 ATS when playing on Saturday and 6-13 ATS in January games since 1993. Both teams mirror each other and I would expect this game to be decided by 3 points or less.